I'm playing on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders have had this one circled. You may recall that the Cowboys upset them, in OT, back on the second day of January. Off back-to-back losses, they're going to be extremely hungry for this one. The last time that the Raiders lost two in a row, they responded with a win and cover on the road, at LSU. Note that Texas Tech is 10-4 SU/ATS the past 14 times it played with one or less day's rest in between games. The Cowboys, who have lost some players since the first meeting, are just 9-14 ATS the past 23 times that they were road underdogs of three or less. Lay the points with the revenge-minded visitors. 

I'm playing on SACRAMENTO. After a dreadful homestand, the Kings will be happy to hit the road. In fact, they've been better on the road overall this season. They're 7-3 ATS (5-5 SU) through 10 games, away from Sacramento. The Bulls, on the other hand, are just 5-8-1 ATS (5-9 SU) at home. While the Kings had last night off, the Bulls are off a hard-fought loss at Philadelphia. The Kings know that this road trip gets a lot tougher after this, as their next two games are at Milwaukee and Brooklyn. Armed with this knowledge, they know that they desperately need to stop the bleeding tonight. They won big here (98-81 with a line of 2) last season. Schedule in their favor, I expect another win and cover this evening. 

I'm playing on TENNESEE STATE. Sometimes, all is takes is one win to get a team going. The Tigers finally snapped their losing streak with a win and cover last time out. I expect that victory to provide a spark and I look for them to carry the positive momentum into Saturday's game. I also believe that they're providing excellent value. Consider that the line was -7 for the earlier meeting and that was AT Jacksonville State. Despite playing on the road, the Tigers gave the Gamecocks all they could handle. Jacksonville State won by a single point. The Tigers won both last season's meetings, too. This is a team they feel very comfortable playing against. The Tennessee State defense does a very good job at forcing opponents to turn the ball ove. In fact, they do so on 23.1 % of all possessions, the 28th-best rate among Div. I teams. Jacksonville State, meanwhile, ranks 303rd in that category, forcing turnovers on just 16.7% of possessions. The Gamecocks are off a loss and they're just 1-3 ATS the past four times that they were favored on the road, in the -6.5 to -9 range. Grab the points but don't be surprised when the Tigers score the outright win. 

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. The Thunder are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Bucks are feeling like I am right now. Mad. Angry about losing, enough is enough. The skid ends here. Not only have the Bucks dropped an unheard of five in a row, one of those losses came against these same Thunder. The Bucks are still 16-7-1 ATS (18-6 SU) the past 24 times that they were off a double-digit loss though, 4-2 ATS this season. During that span, they're also 32-17 ATS (37-12 SU) when off an "upset" loss. Playing the second of b2b games may be just what the doctor ordered, too. The last time that the Bucks played their second game in two nights resulted in a 124-99 victory. Speaking of "blowouts," the Bucks also struggled at OKC (won by 2, laying -9) a bit last season. However, when the teams met here, almost exactly one year ago, the Bucks crushed the Thunder by 47 points. Look for them to "get healthy" at OKC's expense tonight. 

I'm playing on Purdue Fort Wayne. To their credit, the Vikings have played well this season. They still don't score that many points though, as they average only 69.7 ppg. On the road, that number dips to 65.4. Meanwhile, they allow 71.7 on the road. That makes laying points on the road a tough task. Off four straight road games, the Mastadons are going to be very happy to return home. They score a healthy 78.7 ppg here, while allowing 78.4. While the Vikings connect on 41.8% of their field goals, the Mastadons have a 46% field goal percentage. In conference play, the climbs above 47%. After a string of non-covers, the Mastadons broke through with a cover (2 point loss) at Youngstown State last time out. Note that Fort Wayne is 5-1 ATS when facing a team with a winning record. These teams met twice earlier in the season, the Vikings won both but each was decided by single-digits. The first of those, a 2-point Clev. State win, saw the Mastadons favored by -2 points. Now, we're getting a handful of points. I believe thats providing excellent value and while I'm expecting the outright win, I'm happy to grab the points. 

I'm playing on TENNESSEE STATE. The Tigers haven't been covering. However, a date with the rival Golden Eagles is just what the doctor ordered. The Eagles have dropped 14 straight on the road. They've been outscored in those games by an average of 78.2 to 63.5. While the Eagles are 0-2 ATS the past 2+ seasons as road underdogs of three or less, the Tigers are quietly a perfect 3-0 ATS as home favorites of three or less. Tech won by three, at home, in this season's earlier meeting. However, the Tigers won by 15 in the last game played here, almost exactly a year ago. Expect the revenge-minded Tigers to break through with another victory today, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on TENNESSEE. The Gamecocks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. South Carolina has been hit hard by Covid and has missed a lot of games, as a result. Its started to catch up with the Gamecocks; they've lost three straight and seven of their last nine. Don't expect the Vols to show them any mercy. Off a loss of their own, the Vols are going to be all business. The last time that they were off a loss, the Vols went on the road and beat Kentucky by nine points. Tennessee outscores teams by a 76.7 to 60.8 margin at home. Meanwhile, South Carolina gives up 76.9 ppg on the road. While the on the road, the Gamecocks allow their hosts to hit 46.5% of their field goals. The Vols, on the other hand, hold visitng teams to a 39.4 field goal percentage. Expect that vastly superior defense to prove the difference as the Vols pull away for a double-digit victory. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Embid was a late scratch on Monday. That surely didn't help the 76ers' cause at Utah. As of this writing, it appears promising (currently probable) that Embid will be back for tonight's game. However, with or without him, the 76ers have more than enough to take care of Houston. Indeed, a home game vs. the Rockets is much different than a road game against the Jazz. The Rockets have dropped six straight games. They're getting outscored by a 120.4 to 101.4 average score over their last five games, four of those five resulting in double-digit losses. The 76ers have the best home record in the East and are tied for the fewest home losses in the league. Expect a highly motivated effort and for them to win this one in blowout fashion. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Jazz have been on an extended run and continue to play well. However, tonight, they'll be without Conley and taking on a very good Philadelphia team, one which is anxious to close out its trip on a winning note and one which always plays them tough. Note that the 76ers have the best record in the East, the only Eastern Conference team currently winning more than 60% of its games. Also, note that the Jazz are 0-4-1 ATS their last five against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The 76ers beat the Jazz by nine at Phily last season and they lost by only two, here at Utah. Including those results, the 76ers are 6-0 ATS the last six in the series, the 2-point loss and five outright wins. With the 76'ers last three games all decided by single digits, this figures to be another close one. Look for the 76ers to give the Jazz all they can handle with a great shot at another outright win. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Two of the past four meetings between these rivals have been decided by four points or less. I beleve these teams are very evenly matched and I'm expecting another close one this evening. The Huskies haven't won for awhile. However, they lost by only three against UCLA last time out and a date with the Cougars provides reason for hope. Indeed, this is a team they have a real chance of beating. WSU, which lost by nine on Saturday, is just 1-4-1 ATS (1-5 SU) the past six times it played with one or less day's rest in between games. The Huskies come in absolutely hungry for a conference victory and looking to avenge an earlier loss at Washington. Grab the points and look for them to improve to 10-6 ATS the past 16 times that they attempted to avenge a home loss. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. I like what I've seen from the Mavs recently. They've won four straight and are getting stronger. Over their last five games, they're averaging a whopping 127.6 points. After eking out wins over Golden State and Minnesota, they rallied from a big deficit to beat Atlanta two games ago. Then, last time out, they pounded the Pelicans, putting up 143 points in the process. Doncic and Porzingis were unstoppable. The Blazers have also been playing well, as they're off three straight wins. Those were all at home though. Their last road game resulted in a double-digit loss at MSG. Though the Blazers beat them in the bubble last summer, the Mavs won by eight when the teams played here at Dallas. Expect another win and cover this evening, the Mavs improving to 5-2 ATS when off a double-digit win. 

I'm playing on ARIZONA STATE. The Beavers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Not only are the Sun Devils angry after getting beaten up by Oregon, they also haven't forgotten the earlier 1-point loss at Oregon State. That result notwithstanding, the Sun Devils are the more talented team in this matchup. Playing at home and highly motivated to bounce back with a victory, I expect them to demonstrate it on Sunday evening. Prior to the 1/16 game, the Sun Devils had beaten the Beavers four straight times. Five of the Beavers' last six losses have been by a minimum of nine points. Payback time. 

I'm playing on NORTHERN IOWA. I'm projecting a double-digit win for the Panthers in this one. Both teams lost big last time out but Northern Iowa is much better equipped to bounce back. The Panthers have won six of the past seven meetings. Each of the past three resulted in double-digit wins for the Panthers. Te Crusaders are averaging only 61.8 ppg on the road and they may not even get that many today. Last game, they scored 52, while giving up 76. That was at home. Their last two road games have seen them score 51 and 52 points, respectively. The Crusaders also managed just 51 points the last time that these teams met. The fact that Northern Iowa has struggled at the betting window has helped keep this line reasonable. That changes today, the Panthers keeping the pedal to the metal and pulling away for a double-digit win. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. The Mavs have started to win, they just haven't been covering. Tonight, however, a SU win should also result in an ATS win. I expect that to be the case. I really liked what I saw from the Mavs last game. They were down big to Atlanta but rallied to win the game by a point. While that wasn't enough for the cover, it was enough to build positive momentum for this game. I successfully played against the Pelicans in their last game, a double-digit loss at Chicago, and noted that they haven't been playing well on the road. The Mavs have dominated the Pelicans franchise here for years and they did so again last season. Expect homecourt to prove significant as the Mavs win their fourth straight. 

I'm playing on MANHATTAN. I love the setup here. The Gaels haven't played since way back on Dec. 23rd. That's a 51-day layoff, the longest in school history. Rick Pitino acknowledged the following: "We're out of shape right now. Mentally and physically, we're not a basketball team, but still make the best of where we're at." Keep in mind that 17 players and staff test positive for Covid. Note that the Gaels are 1-6 SU/ATS the past seven times that they played with seven or more day's rest in between games. Unlike Iona, Manhattan has been playing regularly. Four of the Jaspers last five games have been decided by five or less. Grab the points. 

I'm playing on TENNESSEE STATE. The Tigers have really struggled at the betting window. That's led to them getting a generous amount of points for this evening's game vs. Morehead State. I feel that they're catching the Eagles at the right time. The Eagles are off an emotional 1-point win and they've got Belmont on deck. If there's ever a game to "look ahead" to, that's the one. While Morehead State has won 11 straight games and sits in second place, Belmont is a perfect 14-0 and atop the conference. That will be the biggest game of the season, to date, for the Eagles. I absolutely feel that they could already have that game in the back of their minds. That'll prove costly though as the Tigers have played them tough recently. In fact, Tennessee State has won three of the past four meetings outright, the lone loss coming by three points. Each of the past two meetings here came down to the wire, as they were decided by just four combined points. Look for this one to also prove much closer than many will be expecting. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Bulls have both the schedule and the venue in their favor. I believe that they're providing us with excellent value as home underdogs. While the Bulls had last night off, the Pelicans are off a big win against Houston. While that game wasn't entirely taxing for the starters, due to its blowout nature, it was still a revenge win against a divisional opponent. Houston had hammered them at New Orleans, just over a week earlier. Thats the type of win that could have them ripe for a letdown, when facing a non-conf. team like Chicago, particularly with another divisional opponent (Dallas) on deck. The Pelicans are 1-3 their last four road games and that lone victory came by a single point. Even off last night's win, they're still just 4-7 ATS as favorites. The Bulls, meanwhile, are 11-5 ATS as underdogs. The Bulls are also 3-1 SU/ATS when off an upset loss. Last night, the Pelicans caught Houston playing its second game in two days. Shoe on the other foot, look for the Bulls to score the upset. 

I'm playing on LSU. Off b2b losses, the Tigers are going to be highly motivated to get back on track here. The last time that they had lost two in a row, they went on the road and hammered Texas A&M. Including a 92-88 victory in their last visit here, the Tigers are 9-4 ATS their last 13, when listed as a road underdog of three or fewer points. While the Bulldogs average 70.8 ppg, the Tigers average 81.5 ppg. LSU Coach Wade knows how important this game is. He had this to say: "All of them will be critical down the stretch here. We certainly have to win some games; we haven't won some games lately. You always say 'must-win, must-win, must-win,' but we just have to pick up as many wins as we can down the stretch. This is the next one, so this one's obviously critically important. But we've got to pick up some wins, win some games." Expect Wade's team to benefit from Saturday's open date as they come ready to play and score the minor upset. 

I'm playing on KENTUCKY. Wrong place, wrong time for the Razorbacks. It was already going to be difficult enough for Arkansas but the Razorbacks are dealing with some injury issues. Desi Sills, who has played in all 85 games since the start of the 2018/19 season is questionable. Even if he does go, in order to keep the consec. games streak in tact, he's likely going to be less than 100%. Others are in the same boat, too. Regardless of which of the questionable players suit up for Arkansas, they'll be facing a hostile and highly motivated Kentucky team. The Wildcats are off three straight losses. The last time that they were in this spot, off three straight SU setbacks, they hammered LSU by double-digits. They're 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS the past nine times that they'd failed to cover three in a row, too. The Wildcats have dominated the Razorbacks here over the years. Expect them to bounce back with a much-needed victory. 

I'm playing on KANSAS. The fact that these teams appear to be headed in opposite directions has kept the line much lower than it could have otherwise been. In my opinion, the Cowboys are in the wrong place at the wrong time. Off a loss at WVU and looking for payback from last month's loss at OK State, the Jayhawks are going to be in an ugly mood. Kansas is a perfect 8-0 SU the past eight times that it attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. During that span, the Jayhawks are also a perfect 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS, after having allowed 80 or more points in their previous game. Going back further finds that has been a lucrative situation (65-34 ATS L99!) for them for years. The Jayhawks have indeed struggled on the road. However, they remain very hard to beat at home. Visiting teams are averaging only 60.8 ppg here, while connecting on just 38.3% of their field goals. Its true that the the Cowboys have been playing really well. That said, they're off an emotionally and physically exhausting double-OT win 48 hours ago, which figures to take a toll here. Note that the Cowboys are just 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 go 6 range. Kansas won 83-58 when these teams played here a year ago. While much has changed since that time, I'm expecting this year's result to remain the same, a win and cover for Kansas. 

I'm playing on FAIRFIELD. I believe that the wrong team is favored in this one. While it was awhile ago now, the Stags got on track with a win in their last game. Playing at home, I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this afternoon's game. Note that they're 3-1 ATS the past couple of seasons, when playing with seven or more day's rest in between games. The Bobcats, who have also been off for some time, are 0-4 when playing away from home this season, 0-2 on the road and 0-2 at neutral sites. The Stags are 4-2 ATS the past six times that they were home underdogs of three or fewer points. While Qunnipiac has had their number in recent seasons, I say things change on Sunday afternoon. Grab the points but expect the Stags to score the minor upset. 

I'm playing on HOFSTRA. These teams met yesterday. Drexel jumped off to a big early lead and Hofstra was unable to climb all the way back. Hofstra showed plenty of "pride" in battling back though, eventually losing by only two. I expect the Pride to build off their strong 44-32 second half and look for them to get off to a much better start in this one. Prior to yesterday, Hofstra had dominated Drexel in recent meetings. In yesterday's game, the Dragons shot 61.9% (62.5% of 3's) from the field, to Hofstra's 37.5%. Yet, Hofstra still managed to almost pull off the victory. Those percentages won't be like that again today. Revenge-minded Hofstra cools down the Drexel shooters and gets some immediate payback. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. These teams met on Thursday. The Warriors were pretty short-handed and played with a small lineup. That didn't stop them from embarrassing the Mavericks by a score of 147-116. That wasn't just a regular loss, coach Carlisle calling it a "difficult lesson." Desperate to avoid seeing their season slip away and also highly motivated to avenge that blowout, I absolutely expect to see the best of the Mavs on Saturday night. Note that Dallas has dominated the Warriors in recent seasons, Thursday notwithstanding. The previous four games saw the Mavs win by scores of 124-97, 141-121, 142-94 and 126-91. Oubre scored a career high (40) in points on Thursday and that won't happen again. Doncic will be on a mission from the opening tip. While things might seem bleak for the Mavs at the moment, they've got a stretch of winnable games ahead. I expect them to start by taking care of business in this one, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on ODU. This line went up overnight and I believe thats providing us with excellent value. Note that each of the last six meetings between these teams was decided by single digits and that four of those games were decided by five or fewer points. In fact, in the six games, Marshall only outscored ODU by two total points, 431-429. Indeed, these games are usually close which makes getting those extra points all that more significant. The Monarchs were dealt a blow early when star Jason Wade was ruled out for the season. They've had a few months to adapt though and still have quite a deep and experienced team.Both teams have been off for a long time. Marshall is already 0-2 ATS when playing with seven or more day's rest in between games this season. True, the Herd have been pretty good on the road. The Monarchs are undefeated at home though and they're 5-1 ATS their last six home games against teams which win more than 60% of their games on the road. Expect another close one and grab the points. 

I'm playing on CREIGHTON. The favorite is 5-2 ATS the past seven times that these teams faced each other. I expect those stats to improve after Wednesday night. The Hoyas managed a 1-point home win last time out. However, they'd lost their previous four games and they're 0-4 ATS the past four times that they were off a SU win, 3-11-1 ATS their last 15 off a conference win. The Hoyas are also 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road. While the poiintspread might seem a little high, I believe that it could easily be higher. Its stayed "reasonable" thanks partly due to the Bluejays not covering much recently. Note that Creighton was laying -13.5 for the last meeting (won by 15) and the gap between the teams is bigger this season. Keep in mind that Creighton returned four starters from last year while Georgetown returned one. Including last season's win, the Bluejays are 3-1 ATS the past four times that they were favored in the -12.5 to -15 range. I say this one gets ugly.

I'm playing on WISCONSIN. The Nittany Lions are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. These teams just played, at Penn State, on 1/30. The Nittany Lions protected their homecourt with a 81-71 victory. Tonight, however, its the Badgers who are playing at home. They've got a chance for some immediate payback and I fully expect them to make the most of it. The Badgers are already 3-0 SU/ATS off a loss in Big Ten play this season. After losing to Maryland, they beat Minnesota by double-digits. After losing to Michigan, they went on the road and beat Rutgers. Most recently. after a loss to Ohio State, they went on the road and defeated Maryland, avenging the earlier loss to the Terps. With an O/U line in the high 130s, note that Wisconsin is a dominant 35-4 SU and 26-12-1 ATS when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range. Expect a blowout. 

I'm playing on INDIANA. The Pacers suffered a 4th quarter collapse against the 76ers last time out. I lost with them in that game and obviously wasn't happy about it. However, with the schedule and venue in their favor, I'm more than willing to give them another chance tonight. While Indiana had last night off, the Grizzlies are off a road win at San Antonio. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, this will also be their third game in the past four days. That had been preceded by an extended layoff, so the sudden three games in four days may prove a bit of a shock to the system. Either way, I expect the Grizzlies to have their hands full against an angry Indiana team. The Pacers swept the season series last year. The most recent resulted in a double-digit win with all five starters scoring at least 14 points. Brogdon had 19 while Sabonis had an 18/14/8 stat-line before fouling out. Off the painful loss to the 76ers and knowing they've got a tough game on deck tomorrow, the Pacers won't squander this opportunity. 

I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. I really like how this one sets up for the Pelicans. The Kings have have already a successful road trip. However, they lost their last game by a single point and this is the final game of the trip. I think they could easily get caught thinking about what might have been and/or about the return trip home. The Pelicans lost last time out, after having won their previous two. Having struggled in January, they know they absolutely need to take advantage of the fact the Kings are at the end of a trip. Note that NO is 2-0 SU/ATS its last two home games against the Kings, 6-2 SU/ATS its past eight. The Pelicans are 20-13 ATS their last 33, off an upset loss. With the Kings just 9-15 ATS (5-19 SU) their last 24 road games, when the O/U line was 230 or more, look for the Pelicans to deliver the win and cover. 

I'm playing on ILLINOIS STATE. Analysis to follow

I'm playing on ASU. Its been tough sledding at the betting window for the Sun Devils. Tonight, however, thanks to all those previous ATS losses, the number is so small that a SU victory should also result in a cover. That's what I'm expecting. The Sun Devils won the past two meetings with Stanford by scores of 74-69, at Stanford and 80-62 here at ASU. They catch the Cardinal dealing with several injuries. That includes the likes of Ziaire Williams, Daejon Davis and Bryce Willis, all key players. Those losses will hurt them here. While Stanford is 12-18 its past 30 on the road, ASU is 28-12 its past 40 at home. Expect the Sun Devils to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on ARKANSAS STATE. These teams will battle each other on both Friday and Saturday. While the ATS wins haven't been there, this is a better Arkansas State team than last season. The Red Wolves will be anxious to demonstrate that point against the Mavericks, a team which swept them last season. The Red Wolves have one of the better backcourts in the conference and that should give them an edge in this one. While Texas-Arlington is 15-24 SU its last 39 on the road, Arkansas State is 25-12 SU at home, during the same span. The Mavs are 1-4 ATS their last five on the road and they're shooing just 36.6% from the field their last five games overall. The Red Wolves, on the other hand, are hitting 52.5% of their field goals at home, outscoring teams by an average of 87.8 to 64.5 in games here. Grab the points. 

I'm playing on BROOKLYN. The Thunder generally fight hard. However, they won't outwork their opponent tonight and they're overmatched in the talent department. The Nets are going to be highly motivated; they haven't forgotten that these same Thunder upset them at Brooklyn earlier. (The Thunder also won at Brooklyn in 2020.) The Nets followed that 1/10 loss by winning four in a row. Now, they've also won three in a row. Those have been close wins though and they're going to be itching for a "feel good blowout" against a team that upset them. Note that they're 59-43-1 ATS in the revenge role the past few seasons. I expect them to improve on those stats with a double-digit win. 

I'm playing on ASU. Its been a tough stretch at the betting window for backers of the Sun Devils. Tonight, however, should provide an excellent opportunity for a big win. The Sun Devils already won by eight at Berkeley. They beat the Bears by double-digits the last meeting here. In fact, they've beaten them six straight times. The two games here were won by an average of 20.5 points. Overall, ASU is 27-12 SU at home the past 2+ seasons while Cal is 3-26 SU on the road. The Sun Devils have thrived as home favorites of this size the past few seasons, too. They're 3-0 ATS their last three, as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. During the same span, the Bears were a money-burning 1-6 ATS as road underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 range. After losing to Arizona, ASU coach Bobby Hurley had this to say: "I've got to do a better job of getting us ready to play early in the game. I commend our effort in the second half, but the cabinet is filled with moral victories, so I’m not really that enthusiastic." With an opportunity to stop the skid, expect Hurley to have his team ready to go from the opening tip and for them to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way. 

I'm playing on TEXAS. The Sooners' recent hot streak has kept this line lower than it easily could have been. I feel thats providing excellent value with the Longhorns. Keep in mind that Oklahoma's wins have been coming at home. The Sooners' last three road games have ALL resulted in loses. They dropped those games at Xavier, Baylor and Kansas by an average of 14 points, two of the three losses coming by double-digits. While some may be concerned about the Longhorns' extended layoff, another potential factor helping to keep the line down, lets not forget the game against Kansas. That was a 1/2 game and the Longhorns hadn't played since 12/20. Rust? Not exactly. They crushed Kansas by a score of  84-59. While these teams have played some close ones, I see the Longhorns pulling away and covering the small number. 

I'm playing on TEXAS TECH. The Mountaineers are a really good team. However, I believe that the Red Raiders are even better. While the Mountaineers did get a game in on the weekend, a blowout of K-State, both teams have missed some games recently, due to Covid. Prior to the off time, WVU had lost two of three. We're getting the Red Raiders as an underdog, due to the fact that they're playing on the road. However, the Raiders have no issue winning on the road. Texas Tech has won its first three road games in Conf. play, only the second time it has done so since 1996/97. While the home team has had the advantage in the series of late, I believe that the Red Raiders' ability to win on the road will prove significant. I'll take the points but am expecting the upset. 

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Bucks are in an angry mood. Even with the loss to the Lakers, they're still an outstanding 31-13 ATS when off an 'upset' loss. While the Bucks have been facing top tier teams like the Lakers and Nets, the Hawks have been taking on the likes of the Pistons and T-Wolves. The Bucks come in rested; they've had the past two days off. They also have the next two days off. In other words, the Hawks will have their full attention. The Bucks won all three of last season's games by a minimum of eight points. The most recent meeting saw them hammer the Hawks by 26 points. They were up 63-40 by halftime and cruised the rest of the way. I'm expecting another double-digit win here. 

I'm playing on MISSISSIPPI STATE. Needless to say, Alabama has been enjoying a great season. I certainly respect the Tide, having successfully played on them on more than one occasion. That said, I believe that they're a bit over-valued here and I believe that this will prove to be a much tougher challenge than many will be expecting. Off their win at LSU, their third staight "blowout victory, the Tide may be reading their press clippings and patting themselves on the back a little. With a big game against Kentucky on deck, it's going to be easy to look past the Bulldogs. That'll prove costly though. The Bulldogs have arguably played on the road than at home this season and they're coming in thinking "upset" and "signature win." Yes, the Tide put up a whopping 105 points in the LSU game. The Bulldogs don't think much of that though as they're 5-0 ATS their last five against teams which scored 100 or more points, in their previous game. Look for them to give their hosts all they can handle. 

I'm playing on SACRAMENTO.The Kings have both the schedule and the venue working in their favor here. While they had yesterday off, the Knicks are off a late game, at Golden State. Desperate for a victory and knowing that their next six games will come on the road, I expect the Kings to take advantage of the favorable situation tonight. The Kings have won two of three games against Eastern Conf. teams this season, most recently knocking off the Pacers. They're 24-17 SU off a double-digit loss, the past 2+ seasons, going 25-16 ATS. That's a great record, particularly when compared to the rest of their games during that span. Expect the Kings to leave it all on the floor, improving on those stats in convincing fashion. 

I'm playing on WYOMING. Nevada has been on a nice ATS run in conference play but I expect it to come to an end here. I like the way that the Cowboys come into this one. They dropped the first of two games against Air Force. After dropping a close one in the first of two games against the Falcons, Wyoming responded with a 77-58 blowout in the second game. Note that Wyoming is 6-3 ATS its last nine, off a conference victory. The Cowboys play Air Force again tomorrow. However, thats not nearly something to "look ahead" to the way that Nevada's Saturday opponent is. The Wolf Pack will play San Diego State Saturday, which is a "double-revenge" spot. The last three meetings between these teams have all been very close, the three games together decided by just nine combined points. While I like Wyoming's chances of winning outright, in a game which could well come down to the wire once again, I'm happy to grab the points. 

I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. I won with the 'over' when these same teams faced each other on Tuesday. For tonight's rematch, I feel that the value lies with the visitors. Having dropped Tuesday's game, the Pelicans are coming in angry and motivated. While the Jazz got the better of them Tuesday, the previous six meetings between the Jazz and Pelicans had all been decided by 10 points or less, two of the previous three decided by a single bucket. The Pelicans are already 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss. Off a double-digit loss against Miami, they bounced back to beat the Spurs. Off a double-digit loss against the Suns, they bounced back to crush the Thunder. Off a double-digit loss to the Lakers, they bounced back for a win and cover at Sacramento. Off Tuesday's double-digit loss, look for them to bounce back with AT LEAST another cover tonight. 

I'm playing on HOUSTON. To their credit, the Golden Hurricane have played pretty well. Facing a superior and angry opponent, I believe that they run into a reality check tonight though. Last time out, Tulsa eked out a 1-point home win over Memphis. However, in their last road game, the Golden Hurricane got thumped by a score of 72-53. The Cougars haven't forgotten that the Golden Hurricane upset them, at Houston, on 12/29. This is a Houston team which is a perfect 8-0 SU and a profitable 6-2 ATS the past eight times it attempted to avenge a road loss. With an O/U line in the mid-120's, this is projected to be a fairly low-scoring game. That suits the Cougars just fine. They're a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS the past seven times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 120s. Going back further finds them at 18-8 SU/ATS in that situation. The Tulsa loss was the Cougars' only defeat. They were up by as many as 11 in that game. They will have learned from that and will be determined to avoid a repeat. Expect them to keep the pedal to the metal the whole way, en route to a blowout victory. 

I'm playing on TENNESSEE STATE. I believe that the gap between these teams is considerably wider than is indicated by the pointspread. Yes, the Redhawks won the earlier meeting. However, that was at SE Missouri State and the game went to OT. Now, the revenge minded Tigers get a chance for payback on their own homecourt. Note that the Tigers are 5-0 ATS their last five home games against a team with a losing road record. On the other hand, the Redhawks are 0-6 ATS their last six road games against teams with a losing home record. This is makeup game and it catches the Redhawks in between games against Morehead State, a team which beat them Saturday. I believe it all adds up to a win and cover for the revenge-minded Tigers. 

I'm playing on DENVER. A lot of people seem to be down on Denver these days. I like what I've seen from the Nuggets recently though and feel that they're offering excellent value tonight. Sure, the Jazz are going to be motivated for some revenge from the playoffs. The Nuggets are going to be every bit as hungry though; as they're currently looking up at the Jazz in the division standings. 

I played on the Nuggets in their last game, noting the following: "...I believe that the Warriors are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Denver lost at Brooklyn on Tuesday. However, that loss notwithstanding, the Nuggets have been playing well of late. Jokic is the "straw that stirs the drink" for this team and he's found his groove. He was two rebounds and three steals short of achieving a "quadruple double" last time out. He entered that game as just the second player in NBA history to average 20/10/10 in his team's first 10 games. He's going be an unstoppable force again, tonight. Denver has still won four if its past six games and responded to each of its last two losses with a double-digit win next time out. While both teams had yesterday off, note that the Nuggets also have tomorrow off while the Warriors play at Phoenix. In fact, the Nuggets have the next two nights off. In other words, there's no holding back in this one. The Nuggets are 66-22 when listed as the home team the past 2+ seasons..."

Sure enough, the Nuggets came through with a double-digit win. Sure enough, Jokic delivered a triple-double. (He'd finish with a 23/14/10 line while adding three steals.) As I pointed out in the previous writeup, the Nuggets had two nights off, after the GSW game. So, they're coming in well-rested. The Jazz also had yesterday off. However, they played the previous day and this will mark the ninth time in a row that they played in a different city than their previous game was played in. A home game to start the year on 1/1. Then six straight on the road. Then, another home game. Now, back on the road. After this, the Jazz will finally get a "homestand," as they'll play six straight at Utah. For tonight, however, I expect them to potentially be a bit road weary. The Nuggets are 20-8 the past 28 times that they played with two day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. 

I'm playing on PORTLAND. Playing their second game in two nights, the Blazers stumbled against the Pacers on Thursday. Prior to that, however, they'd won four straight, covering three of those. Tonight, its the Blazers' opponent which is playing its second game in two days. While Portland had Friday off, Atlanta played at Utah. The Hawks lost by five, at home against Cleveland, the only previous time that they played the second of b2b games this season. As for the Blazers, they know they need to take advantage of games against teams from the East, particularly when catching them at home. While they're only 1-2 in three against Eastern Conf. opponents so far this season, the Blazers are 40-20 (SU) against them the past 2+ seasons. The home team won and covered both meetings in this series last season. The Hawks won by 12 at Atlanta while the Blazers won by 11, here at Portland. Venue and schedule in their favor, expect another win and cover for the Blazers here. 

I'm playing on BOSTON U. These teams have both played Colgate twice and they've both played Holy Cross twice. They both split against Holy Cross. Army also split against Colgate. Boston, meanwhile, was swept by Colgate. Those results have helped to provide us with outstanding value with the Terriers. The logic or theory of many bettors will be, if the Black Knights can split against Colgate, a team which swept the Terriers, then they should have the edge in this one. While Army does deserve credit for its win against Colgate, that theory doesn't hold water here. The Terriers brought back most of last year's team and last year's team beat the Knights by a score of 80-66, at Army, and by a score of 81-59, here at Case Gym. The Terriers are coming in extremely hungry. They're 11-5 the last 16 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 130s and that includes a perfect 4-0 record when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range. Expect Boston to bring its very best effort in this one, en route to a badly needed victory. 

I'm playing on NORTH TEXAS. The Mean Green were favored by 10 points for last year's lone meeting. That game, which was last January, saw North Texas win by exactly 10. The previous season's lone game was played at UTEP. Yet, North Texas was still favored by 5.5 points and still won by seven. This year's North Texas team returned four of its top six scorers and is arguably even better than the recent versions. Yet, we're getting the Mean Green at a much lower line than we were last season. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. To be fair, UTEP is probably better this year than it was. That said, I don't think the Miners, who will miss the size, depth and rebounding of senior forward Vila, are going to be ready for what's in store for them here. The Miners lost last time out and they're just 7-17-1 ATS their last 25, off a conference loss. During that span, they were also 7-15 ATS (6-16 SU) when playing a game with an O/U line in the 130s. North Texas, the top rated shooting team in the conference, is undefeated at home, outscoring visiting teams by a 98 to 62.7 average margin. Expect another win and cover. 

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. Despite dealing with some Covid issues, the Mavs have been rolling of late. Tonight, however, I expect their run to come to an abrupt start. As of this writing, the Mavs still have a number of players questionable, due to quarantine protocol etc. However, even at full strength, they'll be no match for what they're about to run into. When you don't lose that many games, you tend to remember the losses. The Bucks haven't forgotten that the Mavs upset them here last season. Milwaukee was laying -10 for that 12/16 game. The Mavs came in hot while the Bucks had an off night. That 120-116 upset snapped an 18-game winning streak for the Bucks. So, yes, they remember it. The fact that the Mavs also beat them "in the bubble" will further add to their anger tonight. The Mavs have been playing the majority of their games on the road so far this season and it figures to catch up with them here. The Bucks are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS at home this season. Even with last year's loss to the Mavs, they're 72-14 SU and 52-33-1 ATS here the past 2+ seasons. The Mavs average 109 ppg while the Bucks average more than 120. Payback time. 

I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Wildcats already know that they won't face Oregon, as originally scheduled, on Saturday. That's because of Covid issues with Oregon. They will still get a chance to face Oregon State though and I expect them to make the most of it. The Beavers have been dealing with their own Covid issues and have been out of action since Jan. 4th. That won't help them here. Not against a superior opponent which almost always gives them trouble. Arizona has won eight of the last nine meetings. The most recent meeting saw the Cats crush the Beavers by 26 points. With the Beavers rusty from their layoff, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cats jump all over them and never look back. Even if OSU does survive the initial onslaught, Arizona's superior talent will ultimately lead to another double-digit win. 

I'm playing on DENVER. I believe that the Warriors are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Denver lost at Brooklyn on Tuesday. However, that loss notwithstanding, the Nuggets have been playing well of late. Jokic is the "straw that stirs the drink" for this team and he's found his groove. He was two rebounds and three steals short of achieving a "quadruple double" last time out. He entered that game as just the second player in NBA history to average 20/10/10 in his team's first 10 games. He's going be an unstoppable force again, tonight. Denver has still won four if its past six games and responded to each of its last two losses with a double-digit win next time out. While both teams had yesterday off, note that the Nuggets also have tomorrow off while the Warriors play at Phoenix. In fact, the Nuggets have the next two nights off. In other words, there's no holding back in this one. The Nuggets are 66-22 when listed as the home team the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on STEPHEN F. AUSTIN. Sometimes these smaller conferences can provide the biggest value. In this case, I believe the superior team is undervalued. The Lumberjacks are the class of this conference. Both their two losses came on the road, one of them at Baylor. At home, they're undefeated and outscoring teams by a 90-70 margin. Last year, the Jacks were laying nine points at Central Arkansas and 12.5 points for the game here. They won a close one on the road but won by 15 in the game here. Central Arkansas is 1-7 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 83.5 to 68.4. Seven of the Bears' losses this season have come by double-digits, including each of the last six. Its been more than a year since Stepeh F. Austin lost a game in this conference. The last time it happened was Jan. 8th, 2020. Since that time, the Jacks have reeled off 17 straight Southland wins. This year's Stephen Austin team, led by their seniors, quietly ranks fourth in the entire country, in terms of forcing opponents into turning the ball over on 28% of all their possessions. Expect another double-digit win. 

I'm playing on WISCONSIN. While I'm happy to grab the points, I like the Badgers to win this one outright. The Wolverines were favored by three in last year's game. Wisconsin won by seven. The Badgers last road game saw them win by nine, at Michigan State. This is a team which knows how to win, at any venue. The Badgers' lone road loss came by just two points. With an undefeated record, Michigan has obviously played well and is worthy of respect. That said, the Badgers have played the tougher schedule thus far and are more "battle-tested," as a result. Including last season's win here and this season's win at Michigan State, the Badgers are 12-8-2 ATS their last 22 as underdogs, 11-11 SU in those games. Expect them to give the Wolverines all they can handle with a great shot at another upset. 

I'm playing on MARYLAND. While I respect Illinois, I believe that this will prove to be too many points. The Terps are coming in hungry. They got embarrassed last time out and they've now dropped three straight. Note that if we go back over the years, they're 12-2 ATS their last 14, after having dropped their previous three. Maryland has also had plenty of success against the Illini over the years. The Terps have won six of the past seven meetings and are 11-5 in 16 meetings since the late 1990s. All five Illinois victories came by 11 or fewer points. Maryland's three conference road games have resulted in two single digit losses (at Purdue and Indiana) and an outright win at Wisconsin. Expect them to give their hosts all that they can handle. 

I'm playing on LA. The Bulls are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Chicago is at the end of a road trip. Off b2b really close losses, the banged-up Bulls are thinking about getting home. The Clippers also lost last time out. They're already 3-0 SU/ATS off a loss though. They won those three games by an average of 12 points, too. While they did manage to upset the Clippers last season, something LA hasn't forgotten, the Bulls are now 15-42 SU in games against Western Conf. teams, the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Clippers are 37-17 SU against teams from the East. Expect LA to improve on those stats this afternoon, picking up the cover along the way. 

I'm playing on DAYTON. While I respect Davidson, this line climbed higher overnight and its a lot of points to be laying against a determined Dayton tean. The Flyers, who have beaten Davidson three straight times, have lost just three times this season. All three losses came by two points or less. One of those setbacks came last time out. That's noteworthy as Dayton is 6-1 SU (5-1-1 ATS) its last seven, off a conf. loss. Speaking of close games, last year's meeting here was decided by a single point, a 74-73 win for the Flyers. Davidson was laying four points for that one, which is roughly what I feel the Wildcats should be laying here, if one was setting a true line, not based on trying to balance action. Getting an extra few points, above and beyond that, in what could well be another close one, is offering excellent value. Remember, Dayton has defeated the likes of Ole Miss and Miss. State. Off each of this season's previous two losses, the Flyers bounced back with a win. Look for them to give their hosts all they can handle. 

I'm playing on TENNESSEE STATE. There's a reason why the team with the inferior record is the favorite. Homecourt is only part of it. The Tigers are more talented, in my opinion. Additionally, they're currently playing better, arguably. They're also going to be desperate for a win, having dropped three straight. Of course, off four straight losses of their own, the Skyhawks are also going to really want a "W" here. However, a look at the four losses shows that they haven't even been competitive. All four losses were by double-digits. The average margin of defeat was 24 points. The Tigers' losses, on the other hand, were all close, each coming by single digits. Note that the Tigers are 6-3 ATS the past couple of seasons, after having dropped their previous three games. I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. 

I'm playing on DUKE. The Blue Devils come into this game very well-rested and chomping at the bit to get going. Admittedly, things aren't exactly "normal." The Blue Devils have been on an extended layoff and they're going to be without Coach K on the sidelines. Yes, his absence is significant. However, he hasn't been completely out of contact: Krzyzewski had this to say: "I've had Zooms yesterday with my staff to go over Boston College, wrote out our practice plan, had a meeting with my staff this morning. I'll be able to follow practice on Zoom....and then I'll have another meeting with my staff and I'll FaceTime with each of the players individually tonight, and do the best we can ... " While the Eagles may be thinking that a young Duke team is vulnerable, one fact remains unchanged. Duke is more talented. The Eagles, who lost quite a lot from last year, have played some good teams, so they know what they're up against. However, they've also already lost seven times, three of those losses by 12 or more. Syracuse beat this team by 38 points. Speaking of "blowouts," the last two meetings here at Duke saw the Blue Devils win by scores of 88-49 and 80-50. Not many will likely be ready to back Duke in this spot, but I'm projecting another blowout. 

I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE. While the Knights have the higher ranking, playing at home, I expect the Spartans to have the edge. The Spartans dropped their first three conference games. However, two of those were on the road and the third was against Wisconsin. Last time out, also on the road, they bounced back and picked up this season's first Big Ten win. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Spartans haven't fared well at the betting window. Their ATS struggles work in our favor here though as we don't need to lay any points. Keep in mind that the Spartans were favored by 14, 15.5, 21.5, 13 and 28 points the past five times that they hosted the Knights. Yes, Rutgers is improved this season. However, the point remains that the Spartans are offering excellent value. Remember, they're 32-5 the past 2+ seasons at home and that includes a perfect 6-0 record when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 150 to 154.5 range. The Knights, still without Omoruyi, have still won just seven of their past 25 on the road. A 2-point loss against Iowa last time out figures to be deflating. I say that as they left it all on the floor and played great, only to have poor free throw shooting cost them. The Spartans, who have beaten Rutgers every single Big Ten meeting, won't have any sympathy. They need another win and I expect them to get it. 

I'm playing on MEMPHIS. These teams met here Sunday. The Lakers won by 14. The champs haven't been home since last year though and this is the final leg of their road trip. I believe that they could easily overlook Memphis tonight. Note that LA is 9-12 ATS the past couple of seasons, after playing its previous three on the road. On the other hand, the Grizzlies play with recent revenge and absolutely don't want to be "swept" in this 2-game series. Still seeking their first home win, they're going to be hungry and determined tonight. While the Lakers are 1-2 ATS off a double-digit win, the Grizzlies are 2-1 ATS off a double-digit loss. I expect the Grizzlies' best effort and am grabbing the points. 

I'm playing on CHARLESTON SOUTHERN. I believe that this line is too high. Winthrop may be the class of the conference but the Buccaneers are an experienced team which, in my opinion, is better than many realize. Note that Charleston Southern's only loss of greater than 12 points was on the road, at NC State. The Bucanneers, still 21-12 SU their last 33 home lined games, believe that they can win this game and they've had it circled. Winthrop can score but it also gives up 75 ppg. The Eagles won the most recent meeting by 17. However, the Bucs won the previous meeting and the three before that were all decided by four or less. Look for the Buccaneers to bring their "A game," and for this one to prove closer than many will be expecting.

I'm playing on DENVER. I successfully backed the Nuggets in their last game here, as they got on track with a big win over Houston. They'd follow it up with a loss in a b2b spot, on the road, the following night. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect another win and cover to ring in the year. While the Nuggets had last night off, the Suns are off a hard-fought win at Utah. The only previous time that the Suns played b2b games this season, their opponent was in the same situation. That's not the case here. Not only will the Suns be playing b2b games, they'll also be playing three games in four nights and five in the past seven. Facing a motivated and rested Denver team, expect it to all catch up to the Suns tonight. Nuggets roll. 

I'm playing on LIPSCOMB. Liberty is off a huge season and has dominated the Atlantic Sun Conference in recent years. The Flames lost a lot from last year though and I believe that they're ripe to get upset here. Note that the Bisons did beat Liberty here last season. Getting nine points, they won 77-71. While Liberty's team has arguably taken a step back, on paper, Lipscomb is arguably stronger than last year. Its also worth noting that four of the past five meetings were decided by seven or less. I like the fact that Liberty hasn't played since 12/22 as there may be some rust. I also like the Lipscomb has built up confidence with three straight wins.  Including last year's upset win over Liberty here, the Bistons are 34-18 ATS their past 50+ as underdogs. Expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon with AT LEAST another cover. 

I'm playing on SAN FRANCISCO. These teams are at opposite ends of the conference. No West Coast Conference team can compete with Gonzaga, as the Bulldogs are in a class of their own this season. However, the Dons are capable of competing with any other team in the conference. Remember, this is a team which beat Virginia earlier. The same cannot be said for San Diego. The Toreros, who are likely destined to finish near the bottom of the conference. San Diego, hit by Covid-19 mitigation measures, didn't get to work together until late in the season. Now, the Toreros have still only had a chance to play four games (SF has played 10) so they still aren't really firing on all cylinders. They're 1-3 and their three losses came by an average of 22 points. Last time out, they lost by 32, at UC-Irvine. While they didn't cover, I like how the Dons eked out a close win against a Grand Canyon team which had been playing very well. The Dons won last season's meeting by 25 points. Knowing they've got Gonzaga on deck, they're going to want to build confidence. Expect them to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way, en route to an other lopsided win. 

I'm playing on TENNESSEE TECH. While the Golden Eagles are winless, I believe that they're favored for a reason and I expect them to earn their first victory here. The Golden Eagles, who have beaten the Redhawks three straight times here at Hooper Eblen Arena, are winless due to the schedule that they've played. Tennessee Tech has played seven of its nine games on the road. Underdogs in every game, until this one, the Golden Eagles have taken on the likes of Indiana, Xavier and Tennessee, to name just a few. Indeed, they're battle-tested and won't be intimidated by a Redhawk team who's toughest opponent was Indiana State. Over the past couple of seasons, SE. Missouri State was 0-2 ATS as a road underdog of three or fewer points. The Golden Eagles won by nine against the Redhawks here last season and I believe that they're an improved team this season. I can't say the same for the Redhawks. Tenn. Tech rolls. 

I'm playing on DENVER. The Rockets are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Nuggets are already  0-2 on the season, both those losses here at home. They know that their next game is on the road and that they won't play another home game until "next year." That will provide them with a sense of urgency and I expect them to take it out on the Rockets. As you likely know, Harden wants out. That's made things difficult, to say the least. Of course, even when the Rockets were fully functional, they had trouble winning here. While the Rockets have beaten the Nuggets eight straight times at Houston, they've lost their last three games here at Denver, losing by an average of more than 10 points. The Nuggets were 22-10 SU and 17-13-2 ATS when off a double-digit loss, the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats with a double-digit win of their own. 

I'm playing on CSU. The Bulldogs are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Fresno has almost an entirely new starting lineup and has yet to play a game against a quality team. The Bulldogs' two games have come against William Jessup and Fresno Pacific; neither game had a line. The Rams, a far more experienced team to begin with, have played twice as many games overall and they've actually taken on real opponents, like St. Mary's. The Rams have already beaten the Bulldogs by double-digits twice in 2020. They won 80-70 at Fresno in February and they hammered the Bulldogs 86-68 in a game here in January. Prior to the season, Fresno coach Justin Hutson noted: "...It's just a lot of new guys, so the theme is to get them to gel as a team." They haven't had a chance to do that yet. Look for the Rams to take advantage of their inexperience, improving to 3-1 ATS the past couple of seasons, when listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. 

I'm playing on PROVIDENCE. The last time that these teams faced each other was on 3/7/2020. The Friars hammered them by a score of 93-55. The Friars were up 55-25 by halftime. While this one is unlikely to get that ugly, I am absolutely expecting another double-digit win for the Friars. In this season, when teams didn't get to practice in the offseason the way they normally do, actually playing games is very important. In this case, Providence is "battle-tested" with eight games under its belt. I expect this season's experience to prove the difference. The Friars have taken on the likes of Indiana, Davidson, Alabama, TCU, Seton Hall and Butler. By comparison, Depaul has played just one game and that was against Western Illinois. Sure, the Blue Demons won 91-72. However, thats not saying much as the "Leathernecks" were 5-21 last season and didn't bring back a single starter this year. With Depaul just 6-12 ATS its past 18, after scoring 80 or more in its previous game, expect the Friars to pull away for a comfortable win and cover. 

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. While its important not to over-react to one game, its also important not to ignore what just happened. In this case, the Warriors looked terrible in Tuesday's opener, at Brooklyn. Thompson is out. Green missed the opener and may well miss this one. If he does play, he's not likely to be 100%. Without Green in there to take some pressure off him, Wiggins really struggled in the opener. Curry can't do it alone. The Bucks are thinking nothing less than a championship this season. Still stinging from last season's playoff disappointment, this is their chance to remind the world how good that they can be. They should be improved, too, having added Jrue Holliday to their already stacked lineup. Bucks make a statement and win by double-digits. 

I'm playing on ALABAMA. This is a mismatch in terms of both talent and experience. The Bucaneers won 30 games last season. However, this year's team has an entirely new starting lineup, as well as a new coach. They're still going to be good, within their conference, but they're not yet ready to challenge the likes of Alabama. Not when the Tide are going to be motivated, as I expect them to be here. The Tide are 2-0 SU this season, when coming off a loss. Off a loss and playing their final game before Christmas, with conference play to follow after that, they're going to be anxious to bounce back with a big win. The Tide are better than their record suggests. In an angry mood, expect them to close out the non-conf. slate with a statement blowout.

I'm playing on MEMPHIS. This isn't just a regular game for the Tigers. They have a score to settle with this team and have had this game circled. The last time that they met, Tulsa beat them by a score of 80-40. Forward D.J. Jeffries noted: "They pretty much humiliated us last year. We're coming back tomorrow with redemption. We're trying to go out there and prove that we're the tougher team and better team, you know, go out there and hit them in the mouth first, because last year I felt like they hit us in the mouth first." Coach Penny Hardaway added: "A lot of players quit in that game and it was very disappointing. So we’re a totally different team now. We have the utmost respect for everybody. ... So now they know what to expect. And it's been an opportunity for us to get another home win, but also get back at Tulsa for how they beat up on us last year." I say its payback time. Memphis rolls. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Billikens have a veteran team this year and they've been playing well. However, I expect a highly motivated Minnesota team to hand them their first loss. A closer look at the Billikens' games show that none have come on the road and that none have been against real top quality opponents. They did eke out a win against LSU while beating NC. State. So, those wins were fairly impressive. Again, however, they weren't on the road. The rest of the Billiken's wins all came against weak competition, as they were favored by double-digits in every other game. The Gophers have also taken care of business when playing at home. Their only loss came last time out, at Illinois. The Illini are one of the top teams in the country though, so there's no shame in losing on the road to them. The fact that the Gophers got hammered will have them working extra hard to bounce right back. Indeed, Pitino will use that blowout loss as motivation and have his team ready to go. Look for a huge effort from the Gophers, as they improve to 16-9 ATS the past 25 times that they were off a conference loss. 

I'm playing on ST. MARY'S. The Gaels have played a lot more games than the Rams and I expect that to work to their advantage this evening. Since dropping its opener against Memphis, St. Mary's has won seven straight games. The Rams, on the other hand, have only played two games. Both were against weak competition and neither were on the road. The Rams are just 17-30-1 ATS over the years as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. The Gaels, during the same span, were 24-15 ATS as home favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range. The Gaels are 20-11 SU/ATS their last 31 against MWC opponents, 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS their last seven. The Gaels have won five straight at home, averaging more than 80 ppg while giving up just 63. Expect homecourt to prove significant as the Gaels win their eighth straight overall while covering the relatively small number along the way. 

I'm playing on RICHMOND. Big game between two good teams. It was a recent addition to the schedule and the teams will meet at Indianapolis. Richmond has positive momentum in its corner, while Loyola-Chicago is off its first loss. I expect that to work in favor of the Spiders. I also like the fact that the Spiders have played a couple more games overall than have the Ramblers. With teams not being able to do as much offseason work together as normal, those extra games help more than they hurt. With their loss against the Badgers, ther Ramblers are just 4-10 ATS as underdogs the past 2+ seasons. I really liked how the Spiders responded to their first loss of the season, as they were flawless in the first half against Vanderbilt. Even better was the fact that they allowed the Commodores to come back and cover in the second half, as it kept today's line more reasonable than it easily could have been. I say the Spiders keep rolling, covering the small nubmer along the way. 

I'm playing on ASU. The Miners are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. While they may have played Arizona tough, the Sun Devils are a different beast. Having survived, while receiving a wake-up-call, at Grand Canyon, I expect Arizona State, 6-2 ATS its last eight against CUSA teams, to be all business in this one. The Miners will have an opportunity for a win before Christmas. However, tonight, they're at the end of a road trip and thinking about what might have been at Arizona and also about getting home. Keep in mind that UTEP hasn't won a road game against a team with a winning record, since the 2016/17 season. Once Remy Martin and the Sun Devils get up, as I fully expect them to do, its going to be tough for the Miners to fight back. Look for the Sun Devils to build some positive momentum from their close call at Grand Canyon, keeping the pedal to the metal the entire way and delivering a one-sided blowout. 

I'm playing on AUBURN. I'm expecting this one to get ugly. All five of Auburn's opponents have been better than this one. The Tigers have taken on the likes of Gonzaga and Memphis. Even their lesser opponents (UCF, St. Joseph's etc) were considerably better than Texas Southern. To their credit, the Tigers (Texas Southern) have also taken on some fairly tough teams. They've been mostly competitive, too. That said, they're going to be getting a little road weary for this one. This is their sixth game and its the sixth different arena that they will have played in. That stretch started way out on the West Coast, too. Bruce Pearl will make sure his team doesn't take their opponent for granted. He knows that games will soon get a lot harder and that his team will benefit from a big win in this one. Auburn is off its most impressive win of the season and will now look to build on it with a blowout. Not only is Auburn 30-0 SU its last 30 non-conf game but the Tigers are also 23-0 all-time against teams from the Southwestern Athletic Conference. Texas Southern is just 1-4 ATS its last five as a road underdog in the 12.5 to 15 point range. I see Auburn pulling away and winning by 20+. 

I'm playing on LIPSCOMB. In case you weren't aware, these schools don't like each other and this is a major rivalry. With the two private schools separated by only a couple of miles, this series is known as "The Battle of the Boulevard." For schools of its size, the rivalry is considered the fiercest around. The two schools have met 140 times over the past 64 years. While they may not be well known, the Bisons are well-coached and hungry. They've quietly gone 34-17-1 ATS their last 55 as underdogs. Of course, the Bruins know how dangerous the Bisons are. Lipscomb beat Belmont outright in both 2017 meetings. Since then, they've had four meetings and ALL FOUR were decided by six or fewer points. In the most recent meeting, last December at Belmont, the Bears were laying 13 points but won by only five. Now, the Bruins are on the road against what I believe is an improved Lipscomb team from last year. Note that this is Belmont's first true road game of the season. Also, note that the Bruins were 0-2 ATS the past couple of seasons, when listed as road favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range. While the Bruins have been playing weak teams, the Bisons have been getting battle-tested against the likes of Arkansas and Cincinnati. They finally played a home game last time out and defeated S.E. Missouri State by six. I like their chances of winning this one outright but in a game which could well come down to the wire, like recent games in this rivalry have been doing, I'm happy to grab the points. 

I'm playing on WYOMING. The Cowboys are off a momentum-building comeback win at Oregon State and come in full of confidence. Facing a very young Denver team, which will struggle this season, offers an opportunity for them to build momentum with a blowout win. I expect them to make the most of it. This is a rivalary that goes back a lot of years and the Cowboys have historically dominated the Pioneers here. The fact that Denver actually scored the upset last time here (2018) won't be forgotten and will help to ensure the Cowboys keep their foot on the gas the entire way. The Pioneers lost by 20 against UC Riverside last time out, which doesnt bode well for them here. Now, they hit to the road where they're 1-28 SU their last 29. Expect a one-sided blowout. 

I'm playing on RUTGERS. These are both good teams and both brought back a lot of starters from last year. The problem for Syracuse is that its missing a couple of theirs. Buddy Boeheim and Bourama Sidibe, each important pieces, are both out. Boeheim got a positive Covid test while Sidibe is recovering from a knee injury. Of course, the one starter that the Orange did lose from last year's team was a big one and will be tough to replace. Elijah Hughes led the entire ACC in scoring last season. Syracuse 8-11 ATS its last 19 against teams which score 77 or more. During the same span, the Knights are 12-5 ATS against opponents that score 77 or more and 9-4 ATS against teams which allow 64 or fewer points per game. I say Rutgers is catching 'Cuse at the right time. Look for the Knights to move to 4-1 ATS the past five times that they were listed as home favorites in the 3.5 to six range. 

I'm playing on ARIZONA. You can't really call this one an instate "rivalry," as the Wildcats crush this team every time that they meet. The last five meetings have had scores of 91-52, 101-67, 92-37, 77-44 and 93-50. Every win by more than 30. This season's Wildcats are young and they're currently missing a few key players. However, unlike their guests, they're talented. Also, unlike their guests, they've got a couple of games under their belts. While the Widcats have had a few games cancelled, they've at least gotten to play. The Lumberjacks have had each of their games cancelled. I like how the Wildcats were tested last time out and prevailed, a 70-67 win over Eastern Washington. Thats the type of win that a young team can build positive momentum from. The Cats still have enough to lay a beating on their overmatched guests. I expect them to pull away for another 30+ point win. 

I'm playing on TULSA. The home team has won by exactly 14 points each of the past two seasons, with nearly identical scores. Playing at home, the Mavericks took last year's game, 73-59. However, in the most recent game here at Tulsa, the Golden Hurricane won by a score of 72-58. At home, I expect another double-digit win for Tulsa this evening. To their credit, the Mavericks have fought pretty hard, eking out a pair of covers in their two true road games. They still lost both though, most recently falling by 12 on Wednesday. They've got some winnable games coming up after this one, but I expect them to be in over their heads here. As of this writing, the O/U line is 135, at most shops. Thats noteworthy as Tulsa has long thrived when playing at home, with games projected to play at this tempo. The Hurricane are 39-16 SU and 32-22-1 ATS over the years, when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range, 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Mavericks were just 2-4 ATS (1-5 SU) when playing a road game with a total in the same range. Lay the points. 

I'm playing on LA TECH. These schools were disappointed to have their football game cancelled a few weeks ago. However, they'll get a chance to settle things on the hardwood and I really like how things set up for the Bulldogs. This is a quality LA Tech team, one which now has a couple of games under its belt. Both resulted in SU wins but narrow ATS losses. (Last time out, LA Tech won by 14, laying 16.5.) Now the Bulldogs face a run of instate opponents. After Louisiana-Monroe, they'll face Louisiana State (LSU) SE Louisiana and Louisiana-Lafayette. Needless to say, LSU will be a tougher challenge. So, the Bulldogs will look to build momentum with a blowout win. Note that with that LSU game not until Sunday, there's no reason to rest stars. ULM, with a revamped roster, was going to be outmatched regardless but what makes matters worse is that the Warhawks have yet to even play a game. All those new faces are going to take time to come together and it won't be happening tonight. Look for the Bulldogs to keep the pedal to the metal, pulling away for a decisive win and improving to 18-7 ATS the past 25 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 130s. 

I'm playing on MICHIGAN. I successfully played against the Wolverines in their last game. However, I like how they were tested and that they won the game in OT. I believe that will serve as a wake up call while also providing positive momentum. Ball State, on the other hand, has had some time off since a deflating 1-point loss in their first game. Not ideal. (Ball State just 1-4 ATS its past five, with five or six day's rest in between games.) This is a team which needs to practice and to play. Its also far from ideal that the Cardinals have been without Coleman and Jones, a pair of important players. It doesn't appear that either will be available but even if one or both were, they wouldn't be at 100%. Either way, Michigan has too much talent and size and will ultimately pull away for a decisive win. Lay the points and look for the Wolverines to move to 11-7-2 ATS (19-1 SU) their last 20, as home faovrites in the 12.5 to 15 range. 

I'm playing on LOUISVILLE. The Hilltoppers are indeed a very capable team, one which has performed well in the underdog role in recent seasons. However, the Cardinals handled them last year, a 71-54. While they aren't at the level that last year's team was, I believe that the Cardinals' superior defense will again be the difference. Note that WKU entered last year's game shooting 41.1% from beyond the arc but went just 1-for-17 against the stifling Cardinal defense. This year, through three games, Louisville is allowing 59.3 ppg while WKU is allowing 75.3. With an O/U line in the low 140s, note that the Hilltoppers are 0-3 SU/ATS the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 140 to 144.5 range. During that span, the Cards are 6-1 SU at home, with a line in the same range. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the relatively small number along the way. 

I'm playing on OAKLAND. Admittedly, the Golden Grizzlies really stunk in their three games at the Xavier Invitational. Those poor performances have helped provide us with a very generous pointspread. I believe that the Grizzlies are better than they showed and I believe that the big line is offering excellent value. Note that Michigan is just 1-3 ATS its past four, as a home favorite in the -24.5 to -30 range. The Grizzlies did improve each time out in the tournament, covering in the final game. Each time out, they scored more points and allowed less, than they did in their previous game. Look for them to provide a tougher test than many will be expecting, improving to 9-3 ATS the past 12 times that they scored 60 or fewer points in their previous game.

I'm playing on ODU. The Monarchs bring back a lot from last year and are poised for a big bounce back season. The same cannot be said for the Tribe. William & Mary lost a lot from last season, promptiing coach to Fischer to comment: "Our team is going to look completely different from what it did last year ... " He'd go on to describe having so many new faces as "daunting." Speaking of last season, the Monarchs haven't forgotten that they were thumped at William & Mary, losing by 17 on the road. Note that ODU won by 18, at home, when the teams met the previous season. This is a chance at some payback and a chance to show how far this team has come. The Monarchs have had this one circled and I expect them to deliver a blowout. 

I'm playing on MOREHEAD STATE. While the Spiders are obviously the stronger team, I really like how this one sets up for the Eagles. Most know that Richmond brought back all its starters. However, it should be noted that one of them, Nick Sherod, was lost to injury. That's a big blow. This will be the Spiders first game, as their game against Detroit was cancelled. The Eagles, on the other hand, have already taken on Kentucky. So, they've had a chance to work off some of the offseason rust. Speaking of Kentucky, the Spiders have a big showdown against the Wildcats up next. If they do get up big in this one, they could easily take their foot off the gas a bit and give their starters a little extra rest for that one. Also, note that this game is being played in the state of Kentucky; Lexington is only an hour or so away from Morhead State's campus. Last year, Richmond also had a big game (Vanderbilt) on deck for its second game and it ended up getting taken to OT (100-98 win) in its first game, despite being listed as a double-digit favorite. Look for this one to also prove closer than many will be expecting. 

I'm playing on ALABAMA. This is a major mismatch and the Tide could easily win by 30+. Alabama, in year two of the "Ball and Oats" era, is poised to have a big year and is expecting to make a return to the NCAA tournament. The Tide, who bring back the SEC's two top returning scorers from last year, will be looking to get things started with a statement win. In addition to being more talented than the Gamecocks, the Tide are far more experienced. The Gamecocks are just 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were road underdogs of 12.5 or more points. They won't be able to keep up and are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Expect a blowout. 

I'm playing on LA. This series is over. The Lakers know it and deep down, though they would never admit it, I believe that the Heat know it, too. The Heat played a great Game 4 and it still wasn't enough. As I expected, the Lakers elevated their defensive intensity, holding the Heat to a mere 96 points. Specifically, Davis slowed down Butler, a huge factor not seen in the boxscore. Unfortunately, the Lakers only managed 102 themselves, which meant that a "meaningless" Miami 3-pointer in the final second of the game, cost them the cover. That shot aside, I like that I saw from the Lakers. Now, they smell the blood in the water. Its been a long time in the bubble and they're anxious not to extend that time any longer. The Lakers got "only" 50 combined points from James and Davis in Game 4. Those two superstars are both capable of getting that many themselves. I expect the two stars to combine for more than 50 in this one, the Lakers continuing their dominant defense, en route to a win, cover and title. 

I'm playing on LA. I really didn't think that the Heat would go down without a fight. Jimmy Butler made sure that they didn't. All Butler did, in willing his team to victory, was put up the third 40-point-triple-double in NBA Finals history. Butler would finish with 40 points, 11 rebounds and 13 assists. As you know, the series now sits at 2-1. It wasn't just Butler, the entire Miami team outworked the Lakers. That said, the Heat can't expect a super-human effort from Butler every night. The Lakers have received their wake-up call and they're not going to get outworked again. The last thing that they want to do is give this young Miami team more hope than it has. I expect Lebron, Davis and co. to be entirely focused from the opening tip and I look for them keep the pedal to the metal, in terms of intensity, the entire way. Butler will get points but the Lakers will make sure he doesn't have a repeat performance from Game 3. This year's Heat are just 4-11-1 ATS when off an upset win. Going back further finds Miami at only 20-38-3 ATS when off a double-digit win. Lay the points and expect James and Davis to deliver a statement. 

I'm playing on MIAMI. This is it for the Heat. They obviously can't afford to go down 0-3. (No team has come back from down 3-0.) They need to leave everything on the floor in this game and thats exactly what I expect them to do. Clearly, the Lakers are an excellent team. Still, they played a near-flawless game and couldn't pull away from the Heat. The Heat actually outscored the Lakers by four points in the second half and finally started playing the type of defense (held LA to 21 in the 4th) that they need to, in order to compete. They obviously aren't going to be able to shut down Davis entirely. Still, the expected return of Bam Adebayo, their best defender, will at least help slow him down. Still 12-4-1 ATS in these playoffs, look for the Heat to build off their strong second half in Game 2, playing their best game of the series and earning AT LEAST the cover. 

I'm playing on LA. The Heat have been on a great run and have taken down some good teams. They haven't faced a team with the size, talent and playoff experience like the Lakers though. Indeed, the Lakers are a far more complete team than the ones which Miami has faced and they come in on a mission. Both teams won big in closing out the Conf. Finals. LA beat Denver by 10 while Miami defeated Boston by a dozen. However, the Heat are just 11-16 ATS off a double-digit win, an ugly 20-37-3 ATS (24-36 SU) their past 60 in that situation. During that span, the Lakers were a much better 35-26-3 ATS (45-19 SU) off a double-digit win. The Lakers took both regular season meetings, the wins coming by an average of 7.5 points. Expect Lebron, Davis and co. to start things with a statement win. 

I'm playing on the LA LAKERS. The Nuggets continue to hang around and they deserve credit for their Game 3 win. Still, this is not the Clippers that they're playing. These Lakers are an extremely talented and determined team, on a mission to get to and win the Finals. The Nuggets got a huge Game 3 from Grant but they can't count on a repeat performance from him and lack a reliable third scoring option. The last time that the Lakers lost, they responded by winning six straight games, the first five of those victories all coming by a minimum of eight points. Off their prior loss before that, the Lakers responded with four straight wins. All victories came by a minimum of eight points. Expect the Lakers to respond once again, delivering a statement double-digit victory. 

I'm playing on LA. The Nuggets have surprised a lot of people, myself included. This is an entirely different matchup though. I expect their exhausting comeback against the Clippers to catch up with them against a rested and determined Laker team. Lebron and co. watched what Denver did to the Clippers and will not be taken by surprise or come in thinking this will be easy. Expect the Lakers to be fully focused, determined to seize control of this series right out of the gate. Since these teams played a close one on 8/10, the Lakers have won eight games. All eight of those victories came by a minimum of eight points. I expect a double-digit statement win in this one. 

I'm playing on LA. Give the Nuggets a lot of credit for hanging around. However, I believe that the Clippers will prove to be too much for them today. LA is a ridiculous 17-1 SU and 14-4 ATS when off an upset loss. Friday's loss was just the sixth for LA since returning to play. The Clippers followed up all five previous losses with a victory and they won those five games by an average of 17 points, three of those coming by 13 or more. They're the more complete and talented team and I see them pulling away for another double-digit win this afternoon. 

I'm playing on LA. The Nuggets hung around for the cover last game. However, I believe that the Clippers are the more complete team and I expect them to pull away in this one. Both teams have allowed a nearly identical number of points, per playoff game. The Nuggets have allowed an average of 112.8 ppg in the playoffs while the Clippers have allowed 112.9. However, on the other side of the ball, Denver is averaging just 108.6 while LA is averaging a whopping 121.6. Even with the non-cover last time out, the Clippers are still 38-29-1 ATS (50-18 SU) when laying points. The Clippers won by 23 in the first one. I'm expecting another double-digit win tonight. 

I'm playing on HOUSTON. I've had a pretty good read on this series. Through the course of the six games, I've successfully backed both the Thunder AND the Rockets. I've also won with both the 'under' AND the 'over.' Last game, we saw a scrappy OKC team which refused to quit, when facing elimination. OKC was the more desperate team and played like it. However, in Game 7, both teams will be "equally hungry." Throw out that motivational edge which they enjoyed in Game 6 and I believe that the Thunder are overmatched. Paul had a fantastic Game 6, turning back the clock. He's still very capable. However, he's not Harden and his supporting cast is prone to struggling. While the Thunder have to work hard for many of their buckets, the Rockets can often score with relative ease. While the Thunder are 0-2 ATS the past couple of times that they were tied in a playoff series, the Rockets are 4-2 ATS when tied in a series, during the same span. When this series was tied at 2-2, Houston won by 34. I say the cream rises to the top once again, the superior team (Rockets) digging deep and advancing while covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on OKC. After Saturday's blowout win by Houston, most are writing off the Thunder. That sentiment, in turn, has led to a generous pointspread. I feel that's providing excellent value with what I believe will be an extremely determined OKC team. Keep in mind that the Thunder tend to thrive as underdogs. Even factoring in Saturday, they're 50-30 ATS their last 80, when getting points, 27-14 ATS on the season. Prior to Saturday, the Thunder had beaten the Rockets twice in a row. They still believe that they can do it. The OKC offense will be much better in this one, as the Thunder shot terribly Saturday and can only improve. Backs to the wall, expect the Thunder to give the Rockets all they can handle, taking this game down to the wire with an excellent shot at the outright upset. 

I'm playing on LA. The Blazers pulled off the upset in Game 1 and are clearly as dangerous a #8 seed as we've seen in a long time. Probably ever. Lebron and co. aren't about to just roll over though. The Blazers were still 37-39 on the season as compared to LA's 52-20. Their Game 1 win/cover notwithstanding, the Blazers are still just 14-20-2 ATS as underdogs. Lebron didn't get the help from his supporting cast that Lillard did in the opener. I expect that to change in Game 2. And, if it doesn't, I expect James to take matters into his own hands, willing his way back in the series, picking up the cover along the way. 

I'm playing on BROOKLYN. Obviously, I respect the Raptors. They've got talent, playoff experience and they're very well coached. That said, this is a lot of points and the Nets have been playing very hard. They've covered four straight and six of seven. The last two meetings between these teams saw Brooklyn win by 10 points and Toronto win by only one. While the Nets have thrived in the underdog role, the Raptors are just 3-8-1 ATS the past 12 times that they played with two days rest in between games. Grab the points and don't be surprised when the Nets give the champs a tougher game than most will be expecting. 

I'm playing on MEMPHIS. While the bubble experience has NOT been a good one for the Grizzlies, they still control their own destiny. All they need to do is win this game and they're into the 8/9 play-in-series. If they lose, the Grizzlies would need plenty of help as they'd also require the Suns and Spurs to lose. Needless to say, they don't want to rely on that. As Coach Jenkins said: “I told the guys we’ve got one game left, we’ve got to try to find a way to play our best game at this point. We’ve got to lay it on the line. Whatever’s been in the past is in the past.” The Bucks have already secured top spot in the East. I say Memphis "finds a way."

I'm playing on OKC. The Suns have obviously been great in the bubble. However, lets not forget that the Thunder still boast the superior record. The Thunder still won both previous meetings this season. While the Suns are 12-17 ATS as favorites, the Thunder are 24-12 ATS as underdogs. Going back further finds them at a lucrative 47-26 ATS, when getting points, the past few seasons. The Thunder did play yesterday but it was a relatively easy win, as they were up big by halftime. Meanwhile, while OKC gets tomorrow off, the Suns will have a showdown against the 76ers. The Thunder are 16-8-1 ATS when playing a game with an O/U line of 220 or above. Grab the points and expect AT LEAST another cover Monday afternoon.