Taking the CHIEFS today. Hate laying huge numbers like this. Went 1-1 last night with the big faves. But this NFL season is crazy. I think the gap between the teams is this big. And not just this game. Look across the card. Just huge lines. As a big dog guy, you can only hold your nose so many times as you get burned during a season. So for here. Win and in KC gets the nod. I thought Miami would be a playoff team. I thought Cutler back with his old coach would produce nice numbers. They have some decent WRs in Miami. They had a decent home run hitting RB before trading him away. The defense has talent. And it will get them a new HC on Black Monday in 2 weeks. Andy Reid isn't calling plays on offense and lo and behold they scored 30 in 2 of the last 3 games. I think Dolphins are going through the motions. We saw how good KC can be as they roared out of the gate. And we saw them flat out awful. They are on the upswing again. Dolphins have been bad on the road. They pulled out a miracle win for us in Week 1. Lost to Jets 20-6. Shut out by Ravens 40-0. Lost by 24 at Carolina, 18 at NE, 8 at Buffalo. Pulled a gem out of the butts in Atlanta 20-17. We know they aren't scoring 20. Chiefs averaging nearly 30ppg last 3. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Again. I will lay the big number. Not happy about it. But Minny is playing for a bye week, and a shot at home field throughout the playoffs. Possible since Eagles lost their QB. Ya never know. Now. If GB had A-Aron behind center. Different story. But that went out last week in their loss. No Rodgers. That is a dagger. They might be OK for a half. But I think the reality sets in. Fact is Hundley has been terrible. OT wins at Cleveland and over TB. Not exactly Vikings type teams. Did we see them get blanked by Baltimore? The only game he looked half-way decent in was against the Steelers. And we now that Pitt plays down to teams. And the fact that they admitted to looking ahead to New England. I think McCarthy is a terrible coach. It is obvious. No Rodgers, the team is pathetic. Zimmer is a great coach. They will be playing for blood tonight. Just look at this line. They are begging us to take the Packers. 8-9pt division home dog rivalry game. I'm not buying it. This is a deflated Packers team. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the RAVENS. I'm going say this. I can make a case for taking every dog this NFL weekend. But then we will be dead broke. Like last December, the faves continue to crush. We have picked our spots with faves. Some cash, some lose. Laying basically 2 TDs in the NFL is not a recipe for long term success. But I look at Ravens as a team still alive for the playoffs. They get a Colts team that has an OL that has gotten their QB sacked 43 times this season. We had them last week on Thursday. They couldn't contain Brock! You would think they would play with some pride at home. You figure their HC is done after this season. Ravens win out, and are in the playoffs. 5 straight losses for the Colts. They blew another double digit lead, at home to boot! Indy hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game in over a month. Baltimore somehow averaging 30ppg their last 7 games. Ravens have forced 33 TOs, most in the league. I think our D is good for a pair today, and that should generate at least 10 extra points for us. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE here. I know you worry about option running offenses. Normally, it is a team you take the points with they step up in class against a bigger school. But let's not forget that Rocky Long has seen this offense plenty. Air Force and New Mexico have the same run game. Aztecs defense gave up just 502 yards in those 2 games this year. Now SDST doesn't thrill you out of the stadium with their offense. But in RB Penny, they have a guy who can explode for us. Guy is a beast and will go over 2000 yards in this game. The defense should be the difference for us covering this number. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN here. Man how times have changed. Last year we were riding a Cowboys wave with this team. Now we have a banged up QB who was the 'top pick' in the NFL draft coming into the season having thrown 13TD passes this year! Shane Morris for the Chips is on a nice 14-2 TD/Int run his last 5 games. 4th straight bowl for CMU, lost last year in Miami Bowl. Facing a week offensive team that has a pretty decent defense, I think the Chips are in position to pull out a nice 10pt win on the day. 10* Money Bomb CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Going OVER the total in St Pete. Could have made a play in FIU also. Like the dog catching points. Not much travel for them. First bowl in years. You know they are coming to play. Butch Davis will have the crew ready. Temple with a lot to prove as they are at 6-6. Clearly moving the needle lately as Nutile has been solid behind center with 9TDs and just 2 picks down the stretch. So they are playing to be over .500 for their first year HC. So both 1st year HCs with much to prove. It might get ugly at times. But I think both teams surpass 30. If things really break in our favor, this could be over in the 3rd quarter for us. 4* Total Money OVER Temple/ FIU

Taking LA TECH on the ML. You can go +5 if you want, but it's Bowl Season, and we are gambling! Like me some Holtz coaching. Skip Holtz has won 3 straight bowls with the Bulldogs. We are sitting at 6-6, winning our last 2 games. So obviously getting over .500 is huge. As is winning another Bowl. They face a 7-5 SMU squad who lost their coach to Arkansas and the SEC. Not sure how much motivation they have playing. I know this is a game in Texas, but LA Tech has been in this area 3 of the last 4 years. Nothing new to them. But it is all new for the Mustangs. They haven't been bowling since 2012 Hawaii Bowl. So without their season long play-caller now ex-HC, I think SMU falls a little short offensively. We know their defense gives up points. I expect Holtz to get the most out of his team as he has done in previous bowls. 5* Best Bet LA TECH BULLDOGS 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Yeah. I will lay 3+ TDs with Lane. The guy is a kook and a total follow on Twitter trolling old teams and coaches. So we get an extra home game with the Owl. Let's be honest. They can write their own score in. I am expecting at least 50. Lane will love to run it up here. You know he is looking for his next job already. Akron out of the MAC is miserable on defense. This is an average team like what FAU beat up all year in CUSA. Do we forget Akron down 38-0 in the 3rd in MAC Championship Game before Toledo called off the dogs for an unlikely back door cover (45-28)? Owls 9th in scoring just under 40 game. If this was another year, or some other team, I would be worried about motivation. But FAU has won 3 games each of the last 3 years. The home fans will be pumped to come see them roll to a Bowl Win. 8* Sure Shot FAU 

Taking the COWBOYS. Would be easy to grab the home dogs, but not happening. Dallas sees playoff hope here. They have strung together a couple wins. They get their RB back soon. Eagles lose their QB. They have a playoff shot if they can win out. Raiders a lost season. I said at the start of they year when I had the Titans in Game 1 that the Raiders were lucky a lot last year. You can't sustain that 2 years in a row. Not going to get every break, or 1 point win or 2 pt conversion. Cowboys defense strong lately forcing TOs. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS. Yeah. I will lay more than 2 TDs with Brees at home. First. We have extra rest from that Atlanta loss (Though we cashed the Falcons) We catch the Jets coming off getting shut out and losing their QB. They will turn to Petty. Good luck in the dome kid. Bottom line for me here is this. New Orleans needs to keep winning as the Panthers 9-4 and Falcons 8-5 are right on their heels. Things are getting crazy in the NFC with Wentz out and Rodgers on the mend. And who knows about Dallas running the table to get back in the hunt. Saints 17-2-1 ATS last 20 at home when they are sporting a winning record. Final though on this one. Brees tossed that INT in the end-zone real late last week. You know that is killing him. He is coming out breathing fire today. Won't be shocked to see 14-0 end of 1st quarter en rout to a 40+ point day. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the EAGLES. 9-1 ATS last 10 for Philly. Yes, they lost their QB. But Foles is no slouch. Guess people forget the guy had 27 TDs and 2 INTs back in 2013 in 13 games, 10 starts for these same Eagles. And right now, let's be honest. He is probably better than Eli. He has the better parts around him that is for sure. Really for me though is this. Giants are done. Last week would have been the game for them. New coach. Eli back. Home vs Cowboys. Nope. Doors blown off in the 4th. You can hear any life being sucked out of the building. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

Taking the VIKINGS. Two teams in total opposite directions. Cincy off getting smoked at home by the Bears. Where is there motivation? Their season was lost 2 weeks ago when they blew the game vs the Steelers. There will be, or least should be, a coaching change for the Bengals. Do we really think they rally around the coach? Time for a change from the top down. Minny home after 3 straight road games. Still have a lot to play for. I can't see their defense giving up more than 10-14 points today. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the CHIEFS here. Cashed big last week on KC. We will head back to them today. We also had the Chargers last week. We can toss out the trends. Chiefs 6-2 ATS last 8 but LAC 4-1 ATS last 5 in Kansas City. Andy Reid 17-7 ATS as home dog. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS

Going OVER the total here. Will tell you that I will have Mid Ten St on the ML as my free pick video play today. Just think we see some offense. As i backed off Boise and made it a no play saying to buy on Oregon. Much of the same to that move applies here. The QB play. Ducks were getting back a guy who led them to a fast start. On top of the fact the players all wanted this coach. So that changes things dramatically. Here, we get Stockstill back behind center. 144 points scored in his last 4 games back. Red Wolves bring their 6th best passing offense to the field. They won't meet much resistance from MDTNST defense that has a grand total of 8 takeaways in 12 games. 4( Total Money OVER Mid Tenn/ Ark St

Taking MARSHALL. Well. We can grab the 5/ 5.5 if you want. But I think we win this outright. Better defense. Even in a slide we are competitive. Rams won this bowl back in 2008 and 2013. But since that 2013 win, they have dropped 3 straight bowl games. We know Marshall has won 5 straight bowls going back to 2009 (09-11-13-14-15) and are an unbelievable 10-2 ATS/ SU last 12 bowl games. I like Holiday over Bobo for us on the sidelines also. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL 

============ BUY OFF OF THIS +++ NO PLAY === 

Taking BOISE. This was a spot I was looking at even before the Ducks lost their coach. But now that Taggert is heading to FSU, we will officially jump on Boise. Will even sprinkle in some ML +260 - We have Mountain West vs big brother PAC 12. This wasn't an old-school Boise team, but they won 10 games. Most times I am heading to the other team when I see the proverbial 'ranked' team catching points from an unranked opponent. But here we see a PAC 12 team favored over the smaller school. Even a down year 7 win Ducks team has more talent across the roster. I just look at this as a good spot to play on the dogs though. Where is the motivation for Oregon? Hey, we are in the Las Vegas Bowl! I think people forget that Chip Kelly left these guys with a 3 year reduction of scholarships. That just ended. This isn't 2014 with Mariota in the Rose Bowl for the Championship. Those were Chip's recruits. I think Helfrich did a crap job recruiting. They were 4-8 in his last year, and just 7-5 with Taggart this year. As good as this job is with everything Nike, this is not the spot to be playing on TD+ favorites. Give me the hungry dog looking to take down the big name. 4* Money Maker BOISE

Going OVER the total here in New Orleans. Right off the bat I will shocked if Troy doesn't put up at least 44 themselves. This North Texas defense is a poor bunch. 96th in Total Defense. 106th in points allowed. 113th in forced turnovers. Mean Green most likely without their top RB in Wilson. That being said, they have a pretty good QB in Fine who was CUSA first teamer. Troy also brings an experienced QB behind center. I just think we see closer to 70 here than 60. 4* Total Money OVER North Texas/ Troy

Taking COLTS and going MONEY LINE. I mean, you want 2.5/ 3 fine. But My thinking is we aren't going to lose by 2. They should have pulled out the blizzard game last week. Woulda coulda shoulda. That being said, how often are we saying Jacoby Brissett is the best QB on the field. And can we slow down on Denver. The defense hasn't been great all year. So they beat the Jets. The Jets that were suppose to go win-less or win 3 games this year. The Jets, who we cashed over KC the week before. That go from home dogs, to away favorites. I am sorry I over-looked the Broncos last week as I went 8-0 Thursday through Monday. I know Frank Gore was a beast last week in the snow. And he's what, 40 or something. Ok, not that old, but a short week for a grinder like him would hurt since he carries the Colts offense. But the guy is a border line Hall of Famer. Denver is scoring about 15ppg their last 11 games. I think we can put up at least 2 TDs here at home. Broncos 0-8 ATS last 8 on the road. 1-8 ATS last 9 overall. How about 0-6 ATS last 6 in Indy and a crazy 1-9 ATS last 10 in the series. Home dog for me on the short week. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Going UNDER the total tonight. Alright. As I write this we could be looking at nice 6-0 day of NFL action if the Ravens, up 31-20 right now, hold on for us +5. That being said. Still a nice December run as we are 12-1 in the month heading to that Sunday night game. I'm going to tell you that I am 11-12 on my totals this NFL season. But I can't lay double digits on the road, and I can't get in front of this NE beast. And what really sets this team apart lately is their defense. Remember how we said Pats were done after opening the year 0-2 at home. Blowing a lead to KC. Having to score in the final seconds to beat a rookie QB at home against the Texans. Letting Carolina drop 33 on them at home. The defense was terrible. Well. In 8 games since they haven't allowed more than 17 points. They have really turned it up lately. 3-8-16 points allowed their last 3 road games. As I said in our Ravens write up. Big game on deck vs Steelers up next for NE. Do we think this team is pulling out all the stops here? They show up and win by 10 just going through the motions. I think Gase is out this year. The Cutler job was brutal. Yeah. They exploded for 35 last week vs Denver. 2 defensive TDs and 2 safeties. Do you like those chances against Brady? I think Miami still has a decent defense. So I don't think NE gets to the mid-30s. And I can't see Miami getting more than 20. 4* Total Money UNDER Pats/ Dolphins 

Taking the RAVENS here. One really thing I like here is that Pitt is off that Cincy game. Man they hate Cincy. Almost as much as they hate Baltimore. Tough to come off such a physical, and emotional game like that. Now to get up for another hated division rival. Steelers appear, not to play down, but to always be in a game late. Maybe they are begging us to take Baltimore and Pitt rolls 34-17. But Ravens 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in the series. Pitt won 26-9 back in October. They have the Patriots on deck. I know they battled all the way back over Cincy. But the talk has been all New England and home field. I'll take the flyer on a division road dog. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Look. We cashed Seattle ML last week. But that was a home game. It was a totally disrespect game with a line starting at 6. This is a tougher game. First. Flying to the opposite coast. They get a break with a 4pm start. But they have a much bigger division game on deck vs Rams. And let's be honest here. This Jags defense is a beast. They will eat up this OL. Wilson will make a couple plays. But I think he is going to make a couple costly mistakes also. I think this is actually a 'statement' game for Jacksonville. They hear that Bortles is garbage and they can't win with him. I think they rally and show the league they are for real. We have to win by a FG not 2 TDs. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Easy to jump on LAC and say. Oh, no way they don't win by TD. I feel that every square will be on this play. And believe me. I have taken my lumps with dogs all year while the public has reaped the rewards of season of favorites. I'll tell you why I like this. Defense. Yes. Defense. LAC has been winning with their defense. 0-4 start for them. How about those first 2 losses. OT loss on the road to Jags. They have given up more than 24 points once on the year. To Philly (26). Not the Patriots in New England where they blew a cover losing 21-16. I can't take anything away from Cousins. Guy just fills the stat sheet. But I think Bosa (11.5 sacks) Ingram (8.5 sacks) get to him behind his banged up OL. Chargers 4th in sacks and 4th in INTs on the year. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS

Taking ARIZONA today. Now. Many times you will see just grab ML when there are +2.5/ 3 points dogs. Not in this case. As much as I want to, I have to ease up just a bit. This is more of a fade play on the Titans. How the heck are these guys 8-4 and have been outscored on the season. They get another end of game cover on a break away run. I'm not sold. And that is completely opposite of how I started the season on them over the Raiders. Arizona knocked off the Jags here. Is this team better? I don't think so. Plus, how can you lay points with Mariota on the road? 3rd road game in 4 weeks for Titans, while this is 3rd straight at home for Cards. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the NINERS going ML. You can grab 2.5 or 3. But for me, I don't play a dog thinking they are losing by a FG. I think they win outright. As the year winds down I look for good teams to play on. And by good, I mean spot plays. Niners injected new life with Jimmy G last week. No TDs. But the guy had the offense moving. Bears defense at home is pretty tough. We saw them knock off Pitt, Carolina and nearly the Falcons and Vikings. So forgive me if I think he can put a couple in the end-zone vs this Texans defense. I see no quit in SF. Forget their record. They play hard for their coach and now have their QB behind center. Same can't be said for a lost Houston season. Defense again lost with injuries. The loss of Watson at QB, huge. What a job he did. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS

Taking the CHIEFS this afternoon. We cashed the Jets last week over KC as we had a nice 6-1 of NFL action. I think we start off today just like last Sunday. Andy Reid handed over the reigns of the offense and Alex Smith aired it out for 4 TDs and 366 yards. We have revenge for that crazy 31-30 loss back in Oakland. Go youtube that ending. Tough for us KC backers. We know that the Chiefs have allowed more than 20 points once (21) in their last 11 home games. After a 5-0 start, the desperation is reaching a fever pitch. Remember that Oakland was in the same desperate hole on Thursday night. They were 2-4 having dropped 4 straight. Now the shoe is on the other foot. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

Taking the FALCONS. So we had the Saints in a nice win in our 6-1 Sunday of action. But like I always say. It is what people see last. They see New Orleans winning, and the Falcons struggling at home vs the Vikings. This is the season for Atlanta. With a 45% of making the playoffs, they need to win 3 of 4 to have a chance. And facing NO twice and finishing up in Carolina, they will have a shot at getting in. Give me the desperate home team. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking SEATTLE and going ML. Heck. At 3 maybe I would be interested a tad in Philly. But there is no way I am laying a near TD with this group on the road. Not in this spot. This is a tough place to play. I know the defense is missing a lot of talent. I am not running down their IR list or injury report. Seattle isn't an elite group anymore, but they are good. And this is a pretty disrespectful line if you ask me. And I hate Seattle. I try to go out of my way to find a reason to fade them. But I will grab Wilson in this spot. The kid makes plays. 8 straight wins and covers for Philly. I am bucking that trend and calling home dogs outright on Sunday night. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the SAINTS. Yeah, the win streak is over. But losing to the Rams was expected from me. This is their must win game. They already took care of Carolina on the road and went on a nice run. They win this one and they wrap up the division like an early Christmas gift. Panthers with a lucky cover last week. I think they are in for a battle today. Saints bringing a pretty good run game to counter Brees and his accurate arm. Granted, the NO defense is always leaky. But Cam can bring a clunker when times get tough. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the CHARGERS today. Yeah. Big number. Last week we lost with the Bears and Dolphins as big dogs. Pulled out Bills. That being said. The Browns aren't either of those teams. This franchise is a train wreck. 1-26 SU last 27 games.  We laid the number with Cincy last week over Cleveland. Let's not forget. Browns BEAT the Chargers last year. What an embarrassing loss for the franchise! Payback time. 4-17 ATS last 21 for Cleveland. Chargers in a groove. Extra rest with win over Cowboys on Thanksgiving. Playoffs are in site. 4* Money Maker CHARGERS

Taking the NINERS here. Should probably just go +140/160 in the ML this afternoon. Look. I just think we have 2 teams, organizations if you will, heading in opposite directions. Where the Bears look to be moving on from Fox, SF is firmly behind its new hire. The players will be extra motivated with Jimmy G getting his first start. The guy looked good in his only starts. Granted. That is with the Hoodie directing the attack. Also. This Bears offense is anemic. How can you trust them laying any points. They had 6 rushing yards last week. Again, I am not saying SF is Philly. But I think we have at least the 'spark and motivation' factor with our QB. I'll take the 1 win Niners. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS 

Taking the PACKERS. Obviously, we had a nice showing from GB last week in Pitt. I hate just going off 1 game. But after 6 games, you would think he is grasping, or at least, getting better in the system. And let us not mistake Tampa for some great team. I think that HC Koetter could be given his walking papers at the end of the year. The Bucs give up the most yards per game. Tough to not like GB at home laying such a short number. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the JAGS. Can't believe I am backing Bortles laying this number. But the defense is no joke. And at least for us, the Colts are a complete joke. Jags with the road shut-out 27-0 in Indy. Now home, off a pair of back to back road games going 1-1 ending with a loss in Arizona last week. I think they come out angry. I think that 7-2 in conference play, they need every win they can get with the Titans breathing down their necks here in the South. Jax with 10 sacks in the first meeting. Colts still having problems on the OL as the Titans sacked the QB 8 times last week. Jags 3-0 SU/ ATS after a loss this year winning each game by at least 21. 44-7 over Ravens. 30-9 over Steelers and 27-0 over these Colts. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the JETS here. Might even go +150 ML today. No way you can step on the KC train right now. Are you playing the they are do card? I get they have some nice weapons. But the run game has been awful. The QB play terrible. And the coaching is just not getting it done. Jets have played hard every game for their HC. This is the joke team that was suppose to go 0-16 or win 3 games this year. Jets have blown 4 4th quarter leads this year. They should be undefeated ATS at home. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

Taking WISCONSIN. Well. We can grab the 6.5 or 7, but I am more interested in the +220 ML play. How they heck aren't these guys chomping at the bit to come out and attack Ohio State. Undefeated Big 10 team. Holy Cow. If this was Michigan or Ohio State, forget about it. They would be the #1 seed in the playoffs. But, it's the Badgers. Ho-hum. You can't ask for a better disrespect card to be played. I can't blame you for leaning OSU. Urban Meyer championship games have a knack for scoring a W. But I have seen Bucky lose at home to Oklahoma. I saw them rally to an improbable win over Penn State at home. I saw them, gassed from said win, get absolutely trucked at Iowa. Then come out and totally pound Michigan State into submission after that loss. So who shows up? Not that the 59-0 absolute beat-down OSU gave Wiscy in the 2014 Big 10 Championship Game have any ramifications. But rest assured, oh some old Badger players made the rounds and are looking for a pound of flesh in the revenge world. You look at this Wiscy schedule and see nothing sexy or flashing. Just win after win after win. I will tell you on Sunday night, I said to myself. Yeah, OSU as a TD fave. Should get their. Too much talent. But, the game isn't played on paper. I'll take my ML shot tonight. 4* Money Maker WISCONSIN 

Taking FRESNO. A quick rematch off of last week's Fresno win. 28-17 doggy outright. What has changed? I think this guys are pretty equal teams. And more importantly for me. The famed 'Smurf Turf' has lost its luster. Boise 3-12 ATS last 15 at home. Maybe this is a huge square play I am getting reeled in on. But I'm biting on the dog anyway. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking CLEMSON tonight. Let's start with the Tigers and their 5-1 SU post-season record the last 2 years. Experience. Depth. Those two things alone vault us to a 10pt edge over the Canes. And I'm a U fan. Believe me. I hope that Mark Richt can bring back the glory days of Miami past. But this team is not talented enough to play in this spot. 10-1 is a great year. But really. These guys pulled out some miracles. We faded and played on them in key spots. They have been up and down all year. They bring the show for the marquee teams. Florida State, Va Tech, ND. 2 convincing wins, but a last second one over FSU. How about that win over GT? Or the play down to Syracuse and NC. Again. I just don't think Miami has the horses for Clemson. This is the Tigers 5th ACC Championship Game. The first for the Hurricanes. Tigers have been a top recruiting team for years and Dabo just reloads. With Bama out of the picture, Clemson is the marquee football school. Not Ohio State. This is the 11th straight game week for The U. Clemson had a bye in mid-October. They scheduled a cake walk in mid-November 61-3. The jumped out to a 34-0 lead before South Carolina got a FG on the board in the 4th quarter. This team is rested and focused. Oh, it won't be 58-0 like 2015 when the Tigers mauled Miami on the road. But this should be at least a 14-17pt win for Clemson. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking AUBURN. Well. We had Auburn over these guys when the first met. We had Auburn ML last week over Alabama. And will get behind them again as they ride into the Playoffs. I said in August I thought the winner of the Iron Bowl wins the SEC. Not changing now. I know Georgia had a great year. But I don't trust them in this spot. I can't harp on them for their Clemson loss. And I think they learned a valuable lesson up 20-0 in the 2nd quarter before letting LSU claw their way back to a late victory. That kind of loss stays with you and eats at your insides. They have been on a mission since with winning margins of 32, 15 (both on road), 40-17 over this Georgia team, 28, and last weeks 26-14 win over Alabama. Is a true frosh QB ready for this kind of game even with a big revenge angle in his favor? 4* Money Maker AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA. I'll tell you what it really comes down to for me. I know that TCU is the prime defense in the Big 12. But this Sooners offense has been pretty good. We know that Baker Mayfield can move the ball on the Horned Frogs. Do you have that kind of faith in Kenny Hill? I sure don't. 2 years ago it was 49-24 Sooners heading to the fourth quarter. Don't be fooled by a 52-49 final. 64 and 74 yard TD passes for Hill. I know Sooners defense is leaky. But it can be when you have a QB with 37 TDs and just 5 INTs. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking MEMPHIS and grabbing the ML +240/250. Look UCF is undefeated. Nothing negative to really say about the team. They ambushed Memphis with 17 unanswered in the 2nd quarter back in September in rout to a 40-13 win. But this is a talented bunch so I think it worth sprinkle a small unit or 2 on them. Opinion Play MEMPHIS ML 

Taking USC here in the PAC 12 Championship. This is it. Pretty simple thinking for me. Forget the fact that the Trojans beat these guys 42-24 back in September. What really jumps out for me on SC is this. They are off a bye. How huge is this in December! After 12 straight games, a 10-2 record and 4 game win streak, Trojans should have an edge tonight. Stanford in off 38-20 thrashing of Notre Dame. But that game was 20-17 heading into the fourth quarter before 3 Cardinal TDs. Love is a beast RB. Again. I saw USC have 2 RBs go for over 100 vs Stanford when they first met. Plus I saw SC QB toss for 300+ yards while Stanford went for 160. A near 20pt win and your QB has 2 INTs. You take away a 75 yard run for Love and that 160 drops to 85. SC hasn't won the PAC 12 since 2008! Stanford has won it 3 times since then. I know Darnold and the offense is a bit turnover prone. But this is a short number. I can't under-value the extra prep + rest for USC. 5* Best Bet USC TROJANS 

Going OVER the total here. So. Both these guys on regular rest as they both played on Thanksgiving. Redskins pulled out an ugly win. Cowboys laid an egg in ugly loss. Never have I been a fan of Jason Garrett. Guy is trash. We have all seen the outscored by 72-6 in 2nd half last 3 games. But the guy is a terrible coach. People want to rip Romo. Man. If the guy had a coach who could game plan maybe he would have won a playoff game. Instead, you sent Romo out there to win it on his talent. Well. Dak isn't Romo. And when you have a banged up OL and no RB, it doesn't matter who is behind center, you are in trouble. The defense has been leaky for umpteenth years. Whatever limited hope for a wild-card berth is there, both 5-6 teams will be, safe to say, desperate tonight. I nearly went Redskins. I can see Cousins to Doctson for 3 TDs today. 4* Total Money OVER Redskins/ Cowboys 

Taking the RAMS. LA home after taking an ugly loss vs the Vikings. But make no mistake. Minny defense at home is 100 times tougher than a Saints unit, on the road to boot. Saints had to come all the back with some OT to score a win over the Redskins. Again, Washington defense a notch below who the Rams trot out. Finally. New Orleans outside, no turf. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

4* Total Money UNDER Browns/ Bengals

4* Total Money UNDER Bears/ Eagles

Taking BUFFALO here. So. We had the Giants ML last week over KC. We bucked all the Andy Reid off bye trends. So what has changed? How are they a double digit favorite? These guys have stunk up the place since their fast start. Now, a little turmoil with the Bills. They bench Taylor. Backup tosses 5 INTs in a half. But we get Tyrod today. I think he will want to really stick it to his coach. He is looking for a payday after the season. KC defense not threatening at all in my eyes. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Uh. Man. These guys again. We had them for what ,5 straight weeks. Up and down. Nearly impossible to get in front of the Pats and Brady train. But this is a lot of points. NE home after spending 2 weeks away. They stayed in Denver to prep for the Mexico atmosphere. So this is a welcome home for them. Schedule makers have these guys meeting up in 2 weeks on a Monday night. I think we see Pats go through motions. While Moore could get nod for Miami and would want to prove he can QB in the NFL. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the BENGALS. I know that I shouldn't be laying this number with Cincy as they are a team I really can't get a grasp on. But they have some guys on offense who can actually score some TDs for us. Browns 1-8 ATS last 9 games. How about 1-25 SU under Hue Jackson! 4-43 SU last 47. Holy Cow. My 11 year old has better numbers in Madden. Bengals a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the PANTHERS. I know the Jets are nice feel good story. We cashed them and have faded them. But I think a little reality sets in as the season goes on. First. Carolina is a playoff team. They seem to peaking. Jets were said to be an 0-16 team, though I was thinking they would win about 4-5 games. So here we are. As much blood Bowles has been getting out of this rock, the law of averages can, and will catch up to the Jets. They just aren't that talented. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the BEARS. Big number. Gotta grab it. So, we cashed Chicago a few times already this year (Falcons, Steelers). They have beaten the Ravens, Steelers and Panthers who are a combined 20-10. The lost by a FG to Minny. Hung tough with the Saints. Covered vs the Falcons. Their 2 bad road losses. At Tampa, 2 INTs by Glennon, also 2 fumbles. At GB v Rodgers 2 INTs by Glennon, 2 more fumbles. A much improved product with the rookie behind center. And the defense is a solid bunch. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

4* Money Maker COLTS ML

Taking WASHINGTON STATE in the Apple Cup. Have this +320 ML on other sites. I'll be the first to say I think they are trying to sucker us into this line. I mean, 2 teams, nearly 'ranked' the same. And one is laying double digits. What I really like for us in that we are coming in off a bye week. Extra time to prep for hated in-state rival? What's not to like? Washington has won 4 straight in this series. But I think we get our revenge tonight. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON STATE 

Taking NOTRE DAME tonight. Now. Don't think there is any chance that ND gets back into the playoff picture. But 10-2 will get them a big bowl even if 9-3 with Irish pasted across their clothes probably does also. But I think the coach needs a win either way. They were pasted by Miami. I think they need to need to take care of Stanford by about 20. Stanford losses all on the road this year. But I didn't think this was a vintage Tree team to begin with anyway. Love should suit up at RB. At this time of year, everyone is banged up. That being said, I think the Irish win this one going away. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME 

Taking AUBURN and going ML. I see 4.5, and even a 5 pop up. But I think the Tigers pull off the upset. What is there to say about Bama. We cashed them a few times this year. That being said, I thought the Tigers were the only team that would have the shot at knocking them off. And that's that. I know Auburn has 2 losses. But beating unbeaten Tide, and knocking them out of the Playoffs will erase those losses and thrust them into Playoff conversation. Iron Bowl 10* MONEY BOMB on the AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking NEVADA today. 2-9 team favored over 5-6 team looking to even record and get to bowl. Sign me up! 4* Money Maker NEVADA

Taking BOSTON COLLEGE. BC read hot with the number 7-0-1 ATS last 8 and are now small faves over the Orange. Syracuse throttled their last 2 giving up 43 and 56 in those losses. Not sure where the motivation is as they sit at 4-6. BC looking to get to 7 wins which guarantees them a winning record regardless of bowl outcome. Syracuse has won the last 2 years in the series, so I think BC gets their revenge. 5* Best Bet BOSTON COLLEGE 

Taking OHIO STATE early today. So. Somehow, people in Columbus think that the Buckeyes can still get into the Playoffs. Not really sure how that happens. But rest assured OSU has the offense to cover this number vs Michigan. I know the Wolverines bring a defense every week. And taking a double digit home dog with the better defense is normally a recipe for success. But I can't back this Michigan team. The offense is just terrible. Last game on the road OSU was ripped 55-24 by Iowa. No way in God's green Earth does Meyer have these guys unfocused or prepared this afternoon. Especially against Harbaugh. Since that Iowa loss, 102-17 Buckeyes. Michigan might be within 10 at half. But I expect OSU to pull away and cover this fairly easily. 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE 

Taking CAL tonight. Points are great, but find that +230 ML and get down on that also. Bears looking to lock up a bowl bid with a 6th win. I"m looking at UCLA to mail it in as they dumped Mora. I know that the Bruins also sit at 5-6. But come on. The faster the season ends, the faster they get on with their coaching hunt. 4* Money Maker CAL BEARS 

Taking TEXAS here. Just see 2 programs going in completely opposite directions. Wheels spinning for Texas Tech. Kingsbury should be on the hot seat for coaches as far as I am concerned. No such problems like that in Texas. New guy has this team believing. A win here clinches their first winning season since 2013. I'll tell you what. This Longhorns team has suffered for a few years. I think they win this one going away. And whatever bowl they end up, they will win that game also. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking VIRGINIA here. Nearly went ML +220 in this spot. We cashed with them as big dogs last week at Miami. This is a pretty decent team we have as home pups. VT has won 13 straight in the series. 52-10 last year. But I think we are in position to not only cover, but get some revenge. If we take out the 10 TDs that VT QB has thrown vs Old Dom , ECU and Delaware, he has thrown 7 in ACC games. And 2 of those games he had ZERO TD passes. I think Cavs can pull this out. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

Taking NEBRASKA here. I figure this. Forget the points. Look. Cornhuskers probably looking for a new HC as I type this. But I think the coach can work a little magic here. The old, this is your final home game of the year. It's been a tough year. Let's show the fans who we are type crap. Iowa has scored 20 points TWICE their last 8 games. That beating of Ohio State and over Illinois. Again. This is me thinking Riley can whip up a games worth of support from his players and at least send the seniors out with a win in their final game in Lincoln. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. Have you seen New Mexico losing by 41,39,38 their last 3 on the road. 6 straight losses for the Lobos.  Aztecs looking for their 10th win. That is a big number. They should run right over this team and name their number. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking BUFFALO. So, as I write this on Tuesday, we have Akron laying the number to wrap up their spot in the MAC Championship Game. Now. If they fail to deliver on that, well then Ohio can jump them and secure that spot. But I don't see a 2 TD fave getting upset at home. So. We go home dog Bulls looking to get bowl eligible. Home team 6-1 ATS last 7 in the series. And if everything holds form on Tuesday night, Ohio should be absolutely flat as a win isn't getting them a better bowl. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO 

Taking the COWBOYS here. What a set up for us today. Are you kidding me. Down to a pk right now. Holy cow. Nothing like people betting on what they just saw. And what better for Chargers backers then seeing 54 points put up and Dallas getting crushed at home allowing 30 points in the 2nd half to Philly. Look. I like the Chargers. We have cashed with them a few times. Dallas looking lost with no Zeke the last 2 weeks. I have never liked Garrett. You can go through my write ups over the years about how he is a terrible coach. But this team is still pretty talented. As I write this, no word if Lee is suiting up for us. He is a huge key to the Boys defense. But again. It is about perception. Is LAC as good as what we saw, and is Dallas as bad? I don't think so. Thanksgiving short week. You damn well know the Cowboys will want to show the NFL World they are still 'America's Team' and going to make the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Had them Sunday, and even though this a short week, will go back to the well. Case is having a nice little year. Leave the guy in there. 8-2 and the defense is doing there thing. I like Zimmerman as an edge on the sidelines. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking AKRON here. Yep. Laying the big number. But a win here, and the Zips lock up a spot in the MAC Championship Game. Kent has lost 4 straight. In those games, they have given up 42-48-44-48. They have 1 win in MAC play. 0-6 on the road. In the 2 games they 'covered' they lost 24-3 getting 23 and 42-3 getting 42. So, safe to say this should be a 20pt win for a game that means everything the home team and the visitor just wants to get to mom's house for Thanksgiving dinner. 5* Best Bet AKRON ZIPS 

Taking the FALCONS. I'll tell ya what, I was thinking Seattle all week -3. But now I see this line dropping. And the more I think about how much I do like Russell Wilson, this defense for Seattle is brutal. The still have a bad OL and an even worse running back situation. At least when we look across the field, we see some offensive skill position players. Now. Getting Sark to get the offense going is an obvious problem. And to be honest, I think that Atlanta has a bit of a better defense even with the '12th Man' reigning down on Matt Ryan and company. And make no mistake. I think last year was the outlier in Ryan's career. I think he isn't a 38-7 TD/INT guy. But more to the averages he put up between 2010-15 where he was around 26-14 kind of passer. That being said. I think they win this one. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the EAGLES tonight. Ugh. Waited a bit instead of loading up early and we lose at least a point, maybe a point and half. Even with Elliot, I was leaning towards Philly. But after seeing the OL and problems last week, this is going to be a tough home game for the 'Boys. So. Birds with the week off. As I have said numerous times over the years, Garrett is a terrible coach. You see now, even with Dak, what Romo had to go through for all those years. Talent is great. Having guys around you is great. But if your defense doesn't help the cause, more often than not you will on the losing side of games. And, it hasn't happened much yet as Dak has wheels. But he will start throwing bad balls that will be picked. Lee is again banged up for Dallas. When that guy is healthy and playing, he totally lifts the entire defense. Eagles just look very good and out of their bye, we have to back the square play here. Thankfully, the Cowboys have a big public following, so instead of laying an even bigger number, we have a bit of an added edge. Philly by 10. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

Taking the RAIDERS this afternoon. Nearly went the +270 on the ML here. Raiders desperate for a win. NE now with 12 straight road wins after crushing Denver. They stayed at AF to practice in the thin air. Raiders won here beating Texans so they are a bit more familiar with things. This is it for the Silver and Black. At 4-5, off their bye week. Circle the wagons and save your season time. Not a lot of faith in their HC so we will grab the points as opposed to going all in on ML. 4* Money Maker RAIDERS 

4* Total Money OVER Chiefs/ Giants

4* Total Money OVER Skins/ Saints

Taking the GIANTS here and going +360 on the ML. You can grab 10.5/ 11. I am looking for the bigger payday. Now. I think that NYG are absolute trash. What can you possibly say positive about them? What a performance at SF! I see reports a player sent a text saying we hate the coach. Watch. Then after the game, another one. Told you so. Geez. I am no fan of Ben McAdoo, or McAdoo-Doo as I like to call him. But the last time the nails were in the Giants coffin, I, along with probably a lot of other people were stabbed to death with their win at Denver. I'm not going lie. I get it. Andy Reid off byes (16-2 SU). Nearly unbeatable. Alex Smith, 1 INT on the year. I'm sure Andy Reid has no love lost for the Giants organization after being with the Eagles. So he will want to show no mercy. But again. I have to think. These guys are pros. This is NY. Do they really want to be an absolute joke on the season? I know Eli has the dumb look on his face, and McAdoo-doo is in over his head. But knocking off a pretty good KC team will at least make for a happy Thanksgiving dinner. I haven't read or heard a person NOT on the Chiefs. We will also be on the over just as a little hedge if NY has a complete no-show and we get another performance like the one they gave the fans vs the Rams. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. We also will be on the over as I think we get a bunch of points this afternoon. We know Washington has problems slowing things down. And, well Brees in the dome is good for a 30 spot. But Saints haven't faced many good QB. Cousins is a pretty decent arm who moves the ball and generates points. Tough to get in front of this hot New Orleans team no doubt. But , this is a decent number to be getting. And if things break right for us, forget the back door. We could be walking out the front door with a straight up W. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the LIONS here. So, maybe this is a bit of a sucker line. Bears have been tough, especially at home. We had them in games here at home vs the Falcons, Steelers and Vikings. The offense is just so hard to get behind at times. Lions offense, though limited with the short passes, does move the ball.  Defense improved. Look at these Lions losses. 30-26 vs Falcons, which, some say should have been a TD for Detroit. 27-24 loss to the Panthers. And a tough 20-15 loss to the Steelers. Saints lit them up in New Orleans. Can we say the Bears are on those kind of levels? 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Late add here on the BROWNS. It took me this long to find the balls to play them. I do like the Jags. And we have cashed with them in other spots. But as much as I love the defense, laying a TD on the road is hard for me to. Nearly as hard as taking the crappy BROWNS. Make this a half points/ half ML 4* Money Maker 

Taking the VIKINGS. I do like this Rams team. We have cashed them a few times already. But in this spot, I have to go Minny. I think their coach is just better right now. That is not a knock by any means on the youngster on the LA sideline. But I think this defense will rattle the Goff this afternoon. Again. I am not knocking the Rams or their defense. They have an old dog in Phillips calling things that will trip up boy Case for sure. That being said, this should be a very good game. Rams 117-24 their last 3 games. But beating up on the Texans with Savage at QB and nary a defense to field and dropping a pitiful Arizona team 33-0 at home is nice for the fantasy fans. Let's not overlook Minny putting up a respectable 95 points their last 3 games, 2 on the road. So we can score a bit. As hot as the Rams have been, they are due for a market adjustment. I think it comes this afternoon. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking LSU. We faded this train wreck Vols team last week and will do it again. Utter turmoil. Coach out. Players hurt. Zero motivation. Coaches left sending out resumes looking for a soft landing. Not sure what Brady Hoke says to the team. Hey. Let's win this one so I can get another HC gig somewhere! Not sure a RS Frosh QB is the answer to a streaking LSU team that has won 4 of 5. 4* Money Maker LSU TIGERS 

Taking BAYLOR and going ML +290. I know on this site I have the points. But I will also be heavy ML. Final home game for Baylor. And what a miserable year. But I am not sold on Iowa State. They are in off 2 straight losses themselves. There are not many positive things I can say about the Bears. That being said, this is just one of the games that where I see Baylor get over the hump. I'm calling dog outright in Waco. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS

Taking VIRGINIA here. So this Miami team is still undefeated. Off a complete and utter domination of Notre Dame. I had faded the U against Va Tech and it bit me in the butt. I will do it again. Let us recap this roller coaster season so far. They have had 2 last second wins over Florida State and Georgia Tech. An obvious let down spot in a battle vs Syracuse, who, is surprisingly covering 5 in row as dogs before getting blasted by Wake. They really played down vs NC. Then they come out and smoke Va Tech and the Irish from jump street. They have no real look ahead with a trip to Pitt on deck. But lets be honest. They are near 20pt faves. Maybe they are a bit cocky with their freshly minted spot in the Playoff Bracket. Like I said. Off arguably their 2 best games. Short week coming up vs Pitt. They have an ACC Championship Game locked up. It really comes down them vs Clemson to see who gets a playoff spot. So I can see a flat spot this afternoon. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

Taking WISCONSIN early. Well. Liked these guys laying 10. Now down to 7. I would really go all in except the line move has me hesitant. I'm trying to find marquee wins on either resume. Not much to be found. But I like the Wiscy offense just a little better. 4* Money Maker WISCONSIN 

Well. Trying to get ARKANSAS +400 but the site just allows the points. Sprinkle some on the ML as an OPINION Play. 

Taking MEMPHIS here. Well, I don't like laying double digits with any team. But I think we still rate a nice edge. Memphis off their bye. Memphis has won the last 3 51-7, 63-0 and 48-10. I can see what you are thinking.. Oh revenge angle, huge. Now, the first 2 games, Memphis was favored by 20 and 22. Last year -3 on the road. Now 12. Look I do like the Mustangs. Nearly played them last week. But they are finishing up a tough run here. So back to back vs a team off their bye. While they faced Navy in a thrilling 43-40 last second loss. Down 34-11 and coming back to tie with 3 minutes left to lose as the clock hits 0. Tough one. That takes a bit out of you. A week before, you lose a back and forth 31-24 battle to undefeated Central Florida. How about that 38-34 comeback win over Tulsa before that. Or that 31-28 OT win over Cincy before that. I am not saying teams don't play close games. But there is a spot where you pull a clunker. SMU is bowl eligible. They wrap up their season with a winnable home game vs Tulane next. 7-4 is a nice year. 5* Best Bet MEMPHIS 

Taking the TITANS tonight. Well. What can we say? Backing another ugly dog and this one, a short week road team. So I am not high on the Steelers. They struggled last week against the Colts. They have had some 'internal' issues with players. They pretty much have the North wrapped up. Titans are a scrappy bunch. The ugly, beat you with our run game team. But they aren't afraid on defense to play ugly and hit you either. Tennessee have an old time DC who knows a thing or two about Big Ben and the Pittsburgh offense. Titans will try to smash the Steelers with their own rush attack and keep Bell off the field. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking TOLEDO tonight. Faded the Rockets last week and it paid off for us. But today, nope, all in on Toledo. Look. Bowling Green is bad. This is a recipe for disaster. Toledo will look to take out some frustration and get back on track. I know this is their 3rd road game in 4 weeks, but it is a cupcake. BG has given up 38-48-48 their last 3 losses. Take out the 2 games vs MAC elites Ohio and Northern Illinois, and Toledo has tallied 58-48 their 2 games vs lesser MAC teams. Rockets with the top offense in the MAC and just outside the Top 10 nationally. Bowling Green, a terrible defensive team, last in MAC play and 125 out of 129 teams overall giving up over 500 yards a game. I'll lay it as Toledo looks to lock up a rematch in the MAC Championship vs Ohio. 5* Best Bet TOLEDO ROCKETS

Taking OHIO here. Yeah. Laying a big number on the road. But a win and the Bobcats lock up a MAC Title Game spot. Had these guys last week and cashed. They have been rolling lately putting up 38-45-48-48 last 4 games. These 2 played to a 9-3 clunker nearly a year ago. I can't see the Zips keeping pace with Ohio who is putting up over 40ppg on the season. And let's be honest. They can't over look Akron. Bobcats have to be extremely focused with Title Game ramifications on the line. 4* Money Maker OHIO BOBCATS

Taking MIAMI. We are on the Dolphins again. We have been on these guys through all the highs and lows. It is a bit scary taking them as big road dogs. We saw the Ravens shut them out on the road. We saw the Saints shut them out in England. Panthers playing as well as any team right now. But again. As I have said all season, the defense is good. It keeps us in the game. As bad as Cutler has been, this team is still in the playoff hunt. Most times I am taking dogs to win outright. But in this case, I think it is a good enough number for us to push in the back-door. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS

4* Total Money UNDER Giants/ Niners

Taking the REDSKINS today. Gonna zig-zag back on Washington this afternoon off that win. I would say it was a 'big win' and you can see a 'let-down' factor. But I don't think that is the case. Yeah, Seattle has been playing better. But this is the Super Bowl Champs, or the team that lost to NE. This defense is a bit more suspect and the OL + run game need some work. 3 missed FGs sure helps the road team score a win. Now, Minny in off bye which always helps. But the 'Skins should be getting some guys back. I see over a dozen guys day-to-day. So. I do like the Minny defense. I do like Zimmer. But as good as Case has been under center, I just don't like him laying points on the road. Redskins still in a position to make a wild-card run in my eyes. But like every team, they need to win the games in front of them. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Kinda want to go +170 on the ML also. Lost last week here with the Bengals. So Jax has gone W - L every other game. A win, then their bye, then a win over Cincy. So was the bye week a loss? Are they 'due' for a loss as they have rotated wins and losses all season? Do the books just not respect the Jags with this line? I have said the last 2 years this is a very talented defense. Chargers come in off their bye week. Last we saw them, they were failing to cover for us against NE. Prior, they had reeled off 3 straight. I like this offense. Rivers can sling it. The run game gets overlooked. They have a couple guys in Bosa and Ingram who can get after the QB. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Colts

4* Total Money UNDER Bills/ Saints

Taking the BILLS. They cost us last Thursday against the Jets. What a clunker. Holy cow. But. I still like the defense. I still like offense. And I will never stop liking fading dome teams in Buffalo. Saints a different team out of the dome. Brees a bit different in the elements. If you get lucky, you might be able to get a better number than this. I think the public will be on NO as they have been very good the last month. But I am on the dog and will probably come in a little ML also. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking OKLAHOMA tonight. Won big with the Sooners as our Top 10* Money Bomb last week. And you would think that there is no place to go but down after 'Bedlam.' But as our pal Lee Corso says. Not so fast my friend. Yes. TCU has allowed  7-7-0-6 points in their last 4 games. Put all those 4 offenses together and you won't get the Sooners. TCU won at Ok State 44-31 in a game that will be very similar to this. We know that Oklahoma can't make a stop on defense. But there hasn't been many times they have been stopped on offense. But for our money, we are not backing Kenny Hill over Baker Mayfield. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA 

Taking MISSOURI here. Wow. Talk about dead man walking. Put a fork in this Vols team. Shocked the coach isn't canned yet. What are you doing blowing a red-shirt QB for like, 2 plays or whatever. Absolute nonsense in Tennessee right now. Both teams need wins for a bowl bid. I just think that even off a win, the Vols are mailing it in. Tigers have been an offense machine the last few weeks. 45-52-68 run vs Florida, Uconn and Idaho. Not a murderer's row, but enough to build some confidence. Can't see Tenn putting enough points on the board here to stay within striking distance. 8* Sure Shot MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking ALABAMA here. I lost with these guys last week. But I will come back to them again. Look. These guys are good. I thought they would be motivated after being slighted to #2 in the Playoff Poll. And I still think they play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. How do you motivated guys who have won and played in National Championship Games? You gotta fire them up. Bama didn't look to interested going through the motions vs LSU. They were actually out-rushed. I think they come out here after hearing about their performance all week from their soft-spoken coach. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. You can grab the 2.5 but I will go ML. When I taking small dogs like this I am not thinking they lose by 2. I take dogs because I think they win outright. I know Snyder has owned the youngster from WV. Dana has had no answers for the old man. But I do like Grier. I think he the difference maker in this game today. 4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking BC here. Eagles won 21-14 last year on the road scoring with just under 5 minutes left in the game. Easy to think to lay the number with 'ranked' NC State. But, State off ND and Clemson. Now BC is in off their bye. But before that, we saw them put up 45 in a win at Louisville. Follow that up with another road win at Virginia 41-10 with no let down in site. And for good measure come home and humiliate Florida State 35-3. It could be said that maybe BC is getting fat, and will think we beat FSU, we can beat NCST. If it was the next game, I could see that. But the Eagles get their bye. They are rested from that 3 game run of putting up 121 points. These guys still playing solid defense. They have just found some offense to make them that much tough. Home puppy bites. 4* Money Maker BOSTON COLLEGE 

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS here. Absolutely not a fan of laying 32 and backing huge faves like this is not good for our bankroll for the long haul. But a nice spot play and I believe we still have value even at nearly 5 TDs. So last we saw NIU they were losing in MACtion to Toledo 27-17 last week. Same day we saw Ball State get trucked 56-14 by Eastern Michigan. That was on the heels of their 58-17 home loss to Toledo. Ball State has lost in conference play by 52-28-47-31-42 points. Huskies with the best defense in the MAC. They lead the MAC in sacks and Ball St has allowed 20 their last 5 games. A win and NIU is bowl eligible. I see a 50-10 beating taking place to get that last weeks loss out of their system. 4* Money Maker NIU HUSKIES

Taking OHIO. Almost pulled the +155 ML play here on the sites. Ohio won this game last year and come in haven't played since Halloween. The Rockets on the short week having knocked off NIU in MACtion Thursday night. Think we will see some points put up here tonight. Dog is 6-2 ATS last 8 in the series. Have to side with the home pups. Think the extra rest helps us pull out the late win. 4* Money Maker OHIO BOBCATS 

4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO