Taking SAN FRAN tonight. I am just not sold on this Titans team. First. They are in off a tough loss to the Steelers. Tough, more like Brutal. Up 13-0, can't score in the 2nd half. Miss a 4th down by a full yard. That is 3 losses in the last 4 weeks. Lone win. Jacksonville. A game they won 20-0. And we move on to point number 2. The offense. We can start with no points in the 2nd half vs Pitt. But lets go to Jags and 20 points. You get 4 INTs and can only put up 20? That isn't shocking. They put up 13 in back to back losses to the Patriots and Texans. Funny, we have or have faded the Titans the last 5 weeks and are a perfect 5-0. I think I can read this bunch. The offense is anemic without Henry. Enter SF. This team is playing well. 30 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games. 5-1 in those games. 5-1 ATS in those games. Finally the HC. Clear edge for us on the sidelines right now. Zero adjusts coming from Tennessee. That 4 week slide in September/October seems a lifetime ago for the Niners. SF by double digits tonight. They take care of business tonight, 10 days to get ready for Houston at home. That might be the fade spot with the Rams in LA to close out the regular season. Tonight though. The focus is on winning, and they do that by 10. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

Taking UCF here. Ok. So Florida comes in off their win over Florida State. Interesting they players didn't mail it in as their coach was canned. But are they pumped here even for an in-state foe? Talent edge, yes. Guys sitting out - sack leader, out. One QB out injured. Other QB, entered transfer portal but will play? Why? You would think the OL will let him get sacked. Get the heck out of here if you don't want to be here! Yes. Huge motivation edge for UCF. Huge HC edge for them also. Little Brother / Big Brother. Have to grab the points because we know the Knights will be pumped up here. 4* Money Maker UCF

Taking NORTH TEXAS today. Mean Green outright! We have NT, basically in their own backyard, getting points. Come on. 5 straight wins to end the year. Facing a MAC team. The MAC, who is right now (Tuesday Night) winless in their bowl games. NIU the only team showing up for them in Bowl Action. Miami comes in 2-2 down the stretch. I'm not sold. Had UTSA the other night thinking the same thing. Home state. Motivated. Excited. Then their 2 best offensive guys sit out for us. Don't think that is happening at North Texas. Dog Outright. 4* Money Maker NORTH TEXAS

4* Total Money UNDER Army/Missouri 

Taking ARMY. In off a loss to Navy, time for Army to deliver. Missouri cannot stop the run. No way they stop the option attack - I think Army puts up 40 and the Tigers pack it in for the day.  8* Sure Shot ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS  **this line has moved to about a touchdown. MizzU cannot stop the run. They couldn't do it during the season. They aren't going to learn to stop this attack in 3 weeks. Army wins this by double digits.** 

Taking UT SAN ANTONIO We will grab the CUSA Champions and not look back. One. The game is in Texas. A couple hours from home. Should have fans there. San Diego State. Ok. A physical bunch. Not like the WKU team they just face who will air things out. But I  have to think about excitement level. You get your doors blown off in the Mountain West Championship 46-13 as a 6.5 pt favorite. Now you have to go to Texas to face a team basically playing a home game. Can you really be pumped up about facing a CUSA team? I don't think so. Look at the Under also in this one. 4* Money Maker UT SAN ANTONIO 

Taking SEATTLE. I said on the Look Ahead Lines Show Sunday night we would grab the Seahawks here. And we did. Rams were in all or nothing mode Monday night, that is why we said take Rams ML. They needed a big win, they got it. But that is a big effort and on a short week for another division rival, and, on the road again. Granted Rams 10-4 SU run vs Seattle. But the line reflects some LAR virus news. No clue who is suiting up or not suiting up. NFL changes these things. My feelings and thoughts haven't changed though. Give me the home dogs here. * Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

4* Total Money OVER Raiders/ Browns

Taking OLD DOMINION. 5 straight wins for the Monarchs. Honestly, in December, normally I am looking at OD hoops, not the football team. But they are worth the bet today. Tulsa comes in winning 3 straight, but, too many points here. OD started 1-6 - let's not forget, these guys didn't even suit up last year during Covid. Maybe it took some time to get their act together. Too many points to lay with Golden Hurricane. 5* Best Bet OLD DOMINION 

Taking GREEN BAY. We had these guys last Sunday night and needed a big 2nd half. Totally flat out of the gate and their bye week. But they are still fighting Tampa and Arizona for home field. I can't see them mailing a game in here. I know Rodgers has a toe thing. The guy is a gamer. He isn't sitting out. The run game is solid. Ravens a total desperate team right now. QB situation sketchy. Still banged up all over the place. We had the Browns last week who blew a 24-6 halftime lead. This isn't Baker and we will screen and run the ball offense. GB will air it out. And then run their RBs at you. Now sure Baltimore can handle a balanced attack right now. Packers by at least a TD this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GREEN  BAY PACKERS 

Taking BUFFALO. The old 'circle the wagons' type of game for the Bills. Lost here at home to the Patriots. (we had NE) Lost in OT to TB (we had Bucs). The only thing that looked good was aftger getting behind early, they didn't fold up, they actually battled back. Now though, 7-6, playoffs on the line - time to bring back that Bills focus that we saw after their loss to Indy, 31-6 at New Orleans. Or 45-17 over the Jets after 9-6 loss to Jaguars. Or 26-11 win over Miami like we saw after 34-31 loss to Titans. We do know that the Bills have taken care of lesser opponents for the most part minus that Jaguars game. Carolina come in losing 3 straight, 4 of 5 and 8 of 10. (2-8 ATS). Cam is now 0-11 his last 11 starts. PJ Walker? If you have 2 NFL QBs you have none. McDermott an ex Carolina coach. No way he wants to lay an egg here. Allen looks like he is a go here. Even with Trubisky, I think Bills cover by 2 touchdowns. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the STEELERS. This is really just me fading the Titans. I had Tennessee last week and it was a miracle we got the cover there. Not happening here. Not a fan of them laying on the road. The Henry loss is huge. So you beat the Rams. Ok. You couldn't cover vs the Saints, Houston and NE. 20-0 over the Jags who gave you 4 turnovers. Where is the offense? 23-13-13-20 their last 4 games. As bad as Pitt, and I think they are bad, they find ways to come back on teams as we saw vs Minny and the Chargers. Will I be shocked at a 16-16 tie like the Lions game. Heck no. Steelers though off a bye and 8-3-1 ATS as home dog including 6 straight covers. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS    

Taking the COLTS. We said on Lookahead Lines grab Indy at +1 or +2. Now, favored. Not shocked. Both teams off bye weeks. I think the Colts are better. I can't say a bad thing about the way the Patriots have played this year. This is why we told you back in August to grab them to win the AFC East. I just think that the Colts will beat them at their own game. Bully you with the run, have your QB make his passes. And your defense is a solid units. Home team gets the nod. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking UTAH STATE. Why wouldn't we take these guys? Dream season continues. MWC Champs. Look. I will say this. Normally, I see 7.5 or 3.5, and I am grabbing favorites thinking they want you to fall in love with that hook. But honestly, why is Oregon State favored? A middle of the road PAC 12. Nothing special in my eyes. While the Aggies continue to win. Wins in 7 of last 8 totally demolishing San Diego State in MWC Championship. And the Beavers. Lost to Oregon, no shame there. Best win was beating Utah. This is a team that plays to up or down to a team. And them being favored is not a role I want to back. Too many points. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE

Taking EMU here. Give me the Eagles here. Liberty was probably hoping for so much more right? These guys last 10-1. Darlings of the season. 7-5, flatter than a pancake - 3 straight losses. Now, playing a MAC team? I mean. Motivated? I don't think so. Eastern Michigan is 0-3 SU under their HC in bowl games, but, we don't care because 3-0 ATS is what matters most. Won't be shocked at an outright win this afternoon. One final ATS number. EMU, a 41-22 ATS run. Too many points to pass up. 4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking UTEP. So - right off the bat. Excited to be here team in UTEP. Haven't won a bowl game in what, 70 years. Look Fresno lost it's HC. Their QB was leaving, then is staying. Fresno the better team - not going to argue that. But this is a big number. Am I a bit concerned hearing UTEP mentioned a little too much. Of course. I don't want to be on many public dogs. But again, I think the Miners, even in a loss, keep this within the number. 4* Money Maker UTEP

Taking the CHIEFS. 9-9-9-14-7-17. Those are the points the Kansas City defense has allowed the last 6 weeks. On offense. Well, 48 and 41 vs the Raiders. 22-19-13-20 vs others over those same 6 weeks. Let's us not forget the revenge angle for a September 30-24 loss. Chargers tied it with 2 minutes to go and scored the game winning TD with 30 seconds left. The LA defense gives up some points. 21-22-28-37-27-24-27-34-42. KC offense should be able to get in the mid-20s tonight. Still not sold on this coaching staff for the Chargers 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS

Taking GREEN BAY. Rodgers and the Packers off a bye week. Vs the Bears who they own. Vs possibly Justin Fields. I would lay 20. GN 5-0 SU/ATS at home this year. 10-2 ATS on the year overall. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY

4* Total Money UNDER Bears/Packers 

Taking TAMPA BAY. We had NE last week. Will fade the Bills again. Either Buffalo was coming in here off a huge win. Or they are coming in off a tough loss. Hello tough loss. This is tough team to get a read on. Short number. I am grabby Brady at home. We also are on the OVER 52.5. Bills going from a team that ran over them, to a team that will throw over their heads. I just don't know what kind of heart these guys have. Beating up bad teams is one thing. But they have been manhandled by Pitt and NE at home. Colts abused them. Jags game I toss up to a fluke a week. Tampa a good team. Not the physical type like NE or Indy. But their finesse can get you in trouble. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

4* Total Money OVER Bills/Tampa

Taking the BENGALS. Well. This one has gotten away from us. Burrow banged up. Mixon probably out. Higgins questionable. Missing a few defensive starters. Uh. Only thing keeping it close will be Jimmy G starting on the road. What I don't understand is the total moving to 49. Maybe everyone from Cincy suits up and are healthier than reported.  4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

4* Total Money UNDER Lions/ Denver

4* Total Money UNDER Giants/Chargers 

Taking the CHARGERS. Again. Locked in before a whirlwind week began. NYG with QB questions. Chargers with their own issues. We do have a decent number as of now. I was liking this based on Miami to Cali and Freddy Kitchens calling OC plays. We do have the more talented team. The QB edge gets to the moon if we get Fromm behind center. G-Men putting up just about 11ppg their last 3 games. Chargers offense has put up 41 in 2 of the last 3 weeks so should be able to cover this. We also grabbed the UNDER 44.5 here. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking DALLAS. Liked this a lot more before their idiotic HC decided to guarantee a win. I can't even write anything. Guy put a bullseye on his team. But we locked this in way before he opened his mouth so we are stuck. Maybe look in-game if things get out of control. Possible Under play as well. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking TENNESSEE. Yeah. Laying a big number here. But. We are off a much needed bye week. Running on fumes the last couple weeks. 12 straight weeks of ball. Add in losing your MVP. And you still muster wins before falling the last 2 weeks. No MVP. But the team should be good to go. And, against the Jaguars. A team averaging, what, 10ppg a game lately. We had the Rams last week over these guys for much of the same reason. Time to get back on track. No better team to face. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the CHIEFS. We know that KC is not a great team. But I have been down on Vegas since Gruden left. This wasn't a good team to start. They are not good now. Too much talent on the Chiefs. Yes. This is basically a double digit number. Yes. Raiders in revenge mode from 41-14 loss a couple weeks ago. LV has lost 4 of 5 and KC has won 5 in a row. And the defense is how they are getting things done. A pair of teams heading in different directions. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the BROWNS. Off their bye week, get it done Cleveland. I think this game will be just as ugly as their Under we called 2 weeks ago. Baker banged up. It's mid-December, everyone is banged up. Revenge time. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

4* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Washington 

Taking the PATRIOTS here on Monday Night. Not going to overthink things here. Bills have been a real strange team this season. Tough to figure out for sure. What I do know is they will be riding their QB all night. This team can't get any run game going. Let's be honest here. NE and their HC. Just unbelievable. We knew they would be good with their guys coming back who sat out last year. That team won some games. They got a kid under center who does what is expected. 6 straight wins for Patriots. Getting points. Have to grab the dog. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking KANSAS CITY. Uh. Will the Chiefs get down to business and start covering big numbers? That is the question. For me. Andy Reid out of a bye week. Guy is great off rest. 27-6 SU 21-12 ATS. KC with Mahomes, Kelce and Hill should be able to put up 30 tonight. This Denver defense is patchwork. Looks ok vs teams that do not have stars. And honestly - is Teddy B going to keep pace here? And maybe you think, ugly game. It will be close. He doesn't have to keep up. I dunno. KC on a 11-0 SU run vs these guys. How about 9-2 ATS under Reid vs the Broncos. And as bad as the Chiefs defense was to start the season, they are allowing about 12ppg the last month. A bye week win over a slumping Chargers team. Coming in to KC on a Sunday night vs a team off their bye week. I think KC wins by 20. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

4* Total Money UNDER San Fran/ Seattle 

Taking the RAMS. Time to get right in LA. 3 straight losses. 5 straight non covers. Remember when people though these guys were Super Bowl bound? Time for McVay to show he is a great coach. Enter Urban the Jags. Jax averaging a little more than 11ppg their last 5 games. If there was every a game to fatten up on. 13 straight road losses for the Jags. Is Stafford throwing more Pick 6's? That is how Jags cover today. I think he turns into Pads Statsford and throws 4 TDs. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

4* Total Money UNDER Vikings/ Lions 

Taking the BENGALS. I understand not wanting to bet Cincy off of them beating the Steelers again. But this is new Cincy. It think Mixon has a big game here. I think we have the QB and offensive edge here. We have the defensive edge. Chargers give up points. 28-37-27-24-27-34-42. Cincy has rolled out 41-31 the last 2 weeks. Then before that egg vs Cleveland, 31-41-34. Chargers in another road game. After getting beat down in Denver. They pulled out a game out of their butts vs Pitt that should never have been close. They edged Philly 27-24. Before that 2 straight losses. This team could have lost 6 in a row or won 6 in a row. Give me the new look Bengals. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

4* Money Maker CAL  BEARS 

Taking MICHIGAN. We had these guys a few times during the season. Didn't have them vs OSU. Had -6 on Buckeyes early. Guess I was still fuming over Wolverines blowing double digit lead to Sparty on the road. Let's be honest here. Michigan is way more talented than Iowa. The monkey is off the back. Time to bring Michigan back to the National Championship level. Took a long time for Harbaugh, but he is here now. No let down. They should win this one by 20. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking CINCINNATI. We can say what a great year for Houston and Dana Holgorsen. We had Texas Tech in Game 1 and thought the Cougs would booting the coach mid-season. But, you run off 10 in a row and things appear to be good. But here - nope. I think Cincy runs them out. Yes. Bearcats nearly played themselves out of the playoffs with some non-covers. Not today. At home. Undefeated. A team they ran out of this stadium last year 38-10. A team they beat in Houston 38-23 the year before. What has changed? Same coaches. Same QBs. Ok. Houston defense better. Ok. But who have they played? We will compare a couple 'good' teams. Cougs 31-24 OT home win over ECU. 35-13 on the road Cincy over ECU. SMU 44-37 for Houston. 48-14 for Cincy. Defense? I think the Cincy defense will limit Houston more than the other way around. Cincy 10-3-1 ATS last 14 vs Houston including 5-1-1 ATS here at home. Bearcats by 20. 8* Sure Shot CINCINATTI BEARCATS 

Taking GEORGIA. Nothing has changed since August. We liked Georgia then. Still like them now. The defense is super. That will be the difference maker here. We can get into Nick vs his old assistants. We can talk until we are blue in the face about the greatness of Alabama. Nothing has changed my thoughts about Georgia this season. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking KENT STATE. We saw a wild 52-47 a month ago between these guys. But I don't think NIU is on par with Kent offensively. They mailed it in last week. We saw that coming and had Western Michigan. So let's look at the last 5 games. Rest your QB, lose 42-21 at home. No effort in seniors last home game. 33-27 OT win at Buffalo. 30-29 win over Ball State. 52-47 loss at Kent. 39-38 win at Central Michigan. You have some tight games there. And 3 went your way with a pair of 1pt wins and an OT winner. That will regress. Kent has put up 52-54-38-48 in their last 4 games. They are in off their own crazy win stopping a 2pt conversion. Let's go back to the summer when Kent was thought to be the at the top or right behind Buffalo or Toledo to win the MAC. NIU was picked at the bottom. I think Kent is the better team. I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker KENT ST

Taking UTAH here. We said back in August this was our pick to win the PAC 12. Time to wrap up that promise. They get a rematch vs the Ducks. They rolled them 38-7 a couple weeks ago. What has changed? I'll tell you - nothing. Oregon is hanging it's hat on a win at Ohio State. I said it before - will say it again. That was Game 2. A young QB making his 2nd start vs a pretty decent team. And yes, Oregon is pretty decent. They OSU defense we saw those first 2 weeks, 31 at Minny, 35 to Ducks, heck, 20 to Tulsa. That is not what they will get in Utah. Take out that weird game in Arizona, and Utah defense is really in a groove the last month. Whittingham is a good, solid coach. 17 years here at Utah. He can get to his first ever Rose Bowl with a win here. I think Ducks choke it away like they did 2 weeks. If you lay an egg like that with a shot at the playoffs on the line, what kind of performance are you getting here? Revenge? Ok, a decent enough angle. But coaching edge Utah. Defense edge Utah. And QB edge Utah as Cam Rising is 8-1 SU since taking over under center. 4* Money Maker UTAH UTES 

4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY

4* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Saints 

Taking the COWBOYS here. Also on the UNDER 47.5. Pair of reeling teams. Both in off Thanksgiving home losses. Saints having dropped 4 straight. A total no-show vs Buffalo. We had Bills and Under there. But also lost with Dallas and the Under. This is an important game for them. Who cares the coach isn't there. I can't stand that guy anyway. First of 3 straight road games. They need to get back on track. Washington on deck then the Giants. We have seen Dallas wilt under the pressure before. I just can't see it with this offense. The defense is decent enough that it should hold Hill in check. Saints are a mess. If the Cowboys don't win by 10 I would be shocked and will be looking for Washington or Eagles NFC East division champ tickets. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

4* Total Money UNDER Browns/Ravens 

4* Total Money UNDER Rams/Packers 

Taking GREEN BAY here. We had Minny last week with this game circled. Angry GB at home. We get the Rams outside in November. What is there not to like? Stafford, a guy the Packers have seen for years. They know every weak spot of his game. If Green Bay doesn't win  by 2 touchdowns here, then Love had to come in to QB this game for the home team. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the COLTS. Off a huge win, yeah, I would be lying to say I am not worried for a drop off. But, defending Super Bowl Champs. I can't see Indy being flat. Especially at home. Short week for Tampa off of beating the Giants. Does that even count? Both teams with division rivals on deck- Falcons for Tampa, Texans for Colts. Both will be focused here. For me though. Home team. Visitor off MNF. Visitor is Tom Brady. Always a little inflated number. Colts defense is a solid bunch. Wentz should be able to move the ball. Indy run game better than Tampa. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. This line will be a TD by game day. Hats off the best coach ever. We did say to grab NE to win the AFC North back in August. This is not that shocking that the Patriots are playing well. The defense is solid. The QB has been solid. We know we always have an edge on the sidelines. We said to fade the Titans last week. Winner. This team had been winning with smoke and mirrors and honestly, that run was ready to end. Some tough reality now hitting the road. I think Patriots win this one by 10+.  5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Taking the HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. Big number, but I think the Irish win this by 3+ TDs. Do we think Stanford is just going to start slowing down people. 41 to Cal last game. 35 to Oregon State before that. 52 to Utah. You think they roll out another Oregon miracle OT winner? So the defense has been sound the last 3 games. How about this offensive output. 11 vs Cal - 14 Oregon State - 7  Utah. Notre Dame thinks it is the 4th team in the Playoffs. 50 points on the board tonight. 10* Money Bomb NOTRE DAME

4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA 

4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M

4* Money Maker PENN STATE

Your FREE PICK on Saturday is on SOUTHERN MISS. This FIU has completely quit. We can go in detail about what the did to their coach, and then said coach throwing the admin under the bus for lack of funds and equipment. These guys won't even get off the bus today. They are getting double digits from a team who has been an underdog to every D1 school they have faced! So Miss running a wacky O that the fans will rally behind in their final game of the season. Lay that big number and take SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI this afternoon. 

4* Money Maker RICE

Taking TOLEDO here. Will be laying a boatload for sure. Zips the worse team in the MAC. Interim coach on the sidelines. 5 straight losses. 38-0 losers at home last week. You think they are showing up on the road here? I had a Toledo over ticket. This is a really good team. The losses. 52-49. 26-23, 22-20. That is some MACtion heartbreak. Let us not forget 32-29 at Notre Dame. Final home game. I think they easily score 40+ this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS 

4* Money Maker FLORIDA STATE

Taking OHIO STATE. So this is a great number because it will sail over the 7 shortly. Every will talk about bad Harbaugh vs good teams. I get it. And if it gets to 8.5 or higher, maybe I go for the  middle. We had Michigan last week because as I said then, can't look ahead to a team that has owned you and for it to mean anything you need to beat the team in front of you. We know the past numbers between these too. I think OSU defense a bit better. We saw the Wolverines choke it away against Michigan State. (We had Michigan there also). We don't think they can do something stupid and turn a 5 point game into 14? Honestly, I think OSU wins by 10+. Yes the Buckeyes might have the pressure on them with the whole playoff thing or whatever. But the real pressure - the pressure everyone is feeling is resting on Michigan's shoulders. Harbaugh 3-9 against Ohio State and Michigan State, and 2-13 vs. AP Top 10 teams. If you think the players don't read papers or the internet, come on now.  5* Best Bet OHIO STATE

Taking IOWA STATE. Let us flash back to August and this team was ranked in the pre-season Top 10! Look. Final home game for this group. The QB and RB and the rest of the seniors had a heck of run. Tough season. Some tough losses. They should dominate this TCU defense. Yeah. TCU can get that 6th win. And honestly, I like Jerry Kill. But something tells me you will see what everyone thought this team would be when the season began. ISU by 20. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

4* Total Money UNDER Cincy/ ECU 

Taking ARKANSAS. Besides the fact I think Missouri is terrible, what we have is their former HC sitting as DC of the Razorbacks. Oh you know he is going to want this one. And the players will respond. This is tough group. The new regime really has brought in the change. Have to like what you are hearing after their loss to Bama. No shame battling them. This is a get right game at home. The fans will be pumped. 3-7 last year. Win #8 here. First bowl bid since 2016. The blowout is on. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 

4* Total Money OVER Ohio/ Bowling Green 

4* Total Money UNDER Bills/Saints

Taking the BILLS here. Talk about a must with game. This is the one Buffalo needs in a bad way. Look. Saints are no great shakes. The defense that had been carrying them has been bad the last couple weeks. It started with 27 to Tampa. 27 more to Atlanta, who we saw lay back to back eggs on offense at Dallas at home to the Patriots. 23 to Titans not terrible. But, hello. 40 to the Eagles. Wow. Now an angry Bills team coming in off a humiliating loss. Maybe no Kimara again. This is far from a vintage New Orleans offense. Bills with a pair of clunkers in 2 of their last 3. Yes, Patriots on deck - but after this Thursday game, you worry about New England. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS

4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Cowboys

Taking the COWBOYS. Not that we love laying points at home with Dallas, but, they had been taking care of ATS business in Jerry's World with the exception of that Denver game. Now they are off an ugly Kansas City game. So. Amari banged up. Lamb too. Maybe Zeke. You know what. It won't matter. Because this Raiders team is in a free fall. 3 straight losses. Not even close the last 2. Oh. They are going to turn it on for Thanksgiving. I don't think so. I wasn't high on these guys to start the year. No way I can back them even at a TD price. Lots of problems on and off the field. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the LIONS here. Uh. The Lions.  But you know what, if they are going to win, today is the day. We lost a rough one with Bears ML last week. Yes, Chicago the more talented bunch. As I have said before on Mid Day Money - this team Does Not Quit. I want to go ML here. But I have been through enough emotional abuse for the week taking the Bears over the Ravens. Goff or Boyle, I think it doesn't really matter. Bears are a mess. Nagy could be canned. On the road with a backup Detroit battled a team better than this. This is going to be an ugly dogfight. Sign me up for the home puppy. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Going OVER the total. Brady will be on fire tonight. Bad loss. There is no way he gets outplayed here by Daniel "turnover' Jones. Start with TO Jones. He is good for a pick or fumble, probably 2. Short field generates points. Brady will torch NYG defense. Tampa defense is, eh. NYG off bye week. I expect to see some flare from them. Mid 50s sounds about right. 4* Total Money OVER Giants/ Tampa 

Taking the CHARGERS. Are you kidding? Pitt ties the Lions. Wow. Somehow these guys haven't lost in their last 5 games. This game is huge for both teams if they are thinking about having any chance of making the playoffs. And I have to side with the Chargers here at home. Better defense. Better QB. Big Ben might play. Maybe not. If he's out, this line is probably near 7. Doesn't matter. Steelers are mess with banged up guys. I like their coach - and he doesn't have them mail it in. But sometimes the talent is too much to overcome. And the talent is across the field tonight. Will be looking at the under here also. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS

4* Total Money UNDER Pitt/ Chargers 

Taking SEATTLE here. Here we go. Desperate team at home. 3-6. Off a shutout. Give me the small dogs here. Murray banged up if he plays. And I get it. Getting smacked by Cam and Carolina is pretty bad. But I like our HC better to respond off a bad game. We have a great leader on the field. No way he is taking being in last place in the division lightly. Circle the wagons time. Russ is 21-3 SU at home coming off a loss.  Bad game last week, got the rust off so to speak. And- Say Murray is back. Is coming in sharp as a tack throwing dimes? This Seattle defense is doing a great job. 17 on the road to GB. 7 to Jax. 13 to New Orleans. I should really just say that crazy Titans game and giving up 30 Minny on the road are their only bad games. Dog Outright is my thinking. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the COWBOYS. I know KC finally showed up after what seems like an eternity of not covering game. 15-3 ATS NO Covers for KC last 18. How about an 0-9 ATS run at home. Yeah. A short number. But how many people will be saying - Oh, Mahomes and KC just have to win by a FG. Easy Money. Dallas Outright for me - Short week in Vegas. Back in first place in the AFC West. Have to take any points with Dallas. Their offense is just as good or better than Kansas City. Now. Coaching another story. Dallas with a Big D as in Dummy on the sidelines. Cowboys had it going last week, and that was with a big road trip to Arrowhead on deck. This is a big measuring stick for Dallas and Dak. I like the small dogs to win this one. 5*  Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking CINCY here. So we get the Raiders in off that KC Sunday night loss. Didn't look that good. I had Vegas there. Tough to back KC the way they had been playing. And playing on someone waiting to have a good game isn't how you make money over the years betting. In this spot though. Short week off big rivalry game for Vegas. They have to go to Dallas for Thanksgiving. And they have to face the Bengals, off their bye week, where they will be totally focused after getting blitzed 41-16 to the Browns before hand. Now. even off the bye we do have the Steelers lurking next week. Normal scheduling, this would probably be a pass. But the Bengals need wins sitting at 5-4. They are actually behind the 5-3-1 Steelers in the North. Conference wins will be important in a muddled playoff picture. 4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS 

Taking MIAMI. Extra rest off a nice win. A little booster heading to New Jersey knowing they have beaten the Jets 6 of 7 and last year's two games were a combined 44-3. Zach Wilson. Mike White. Josh Johnson. Joe Flacco. Does it even matter who is behind center? I understand wanting to maybe play on NYJ. Last time they got smashed 54-13, they upset Cincy 34-31. So after back to back games giving up 45 to the Colts and Bills, you think they show up. I don't think so. Joe Flacco looks to be getting the start. If Miami wants to at least show some pride in this season, beat a bad Jets team. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

4* Total Money UNDER Niners/ Jags

Taking MINNESOTA. For me it is simple. Wide open for the playoff pickings. And Minny needs a win here. At home. GB can lose, it won't crush them. Cousins has enough around him to match Rodgers. Now. Him rising to the occasion can be problematic, especially in prime time. 1pm Sunday he is primed to keep his solid year going. Will also be on the Under here. 4* Money Maker MINNESTOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the BEARS and going ML. You can grab the points. I am going for the big pay day. And why not. Baltimore 1-6 ATS as faves - straight up losses as faves to the Raiders, Bengals and Miami. How about the Lions game with a 700 yard FG! Easy money Ravens backers. Oh. Overtime for wins over the Colts and Vikings. I know Chicago and Fields is a tough backing. But, off a bye week, I think this will be their best game of the season. Plus. Anyone remember last time we saw the Bears on MNF getting hosed by the refs. Maybe we get a little repayment with a call or two. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking WISCONSIN. Who remembers the Badgers 1-3 start? PSU, Notre Dame and Michigan knocked Wiscy around early. But they have reeled off 6 straight with a super defense. Now. Army, Purdue, Iowa, Rutgers, Northwestern. I get it. Not like those aforementioned programs. But Nebraska is somewhere in the middle, if not closer to these bottom teams. I think they are in for a rough day. 4 straight losses. 6 of 7 in the L column. And these are some tough losses. 26-17 vs Ohio State. 28-23 Purdue. 30-23 Minny. 32-29 Michigan. Heck, That 23-20 OT at Michigan State. 23-16 Oklahoma. These guys are battlers for sure. So Cornhuskers in off bye week. Great! Extra prep time. No! Scott Frost gets a contract extension, and oh by the way- Say Good-Bye to the offensive coordinator and wide receivers coach, offensive line coach and running game coordinator, the quarterbacks coach and running backs and recruiting coordinator last week! What the heck!. Last home game for Badgers. Wiscy by double digits. 5* Best Bet WISCONSIN BADGERS 

Taking SMU. Some of the value gone as this opened at 13. But I can't back Cincy. How can you back Cincy? They have all  but spit the bit when the pressure was on. They couldn't put away Navy. They couldn't run away from Tulane or Tulsa. They put up 45 against South Florida, but allowed 28 in a non cover. And now they SMU. They had their season pop by Houston 3 weeks ago in a wild one. Then proceeded to lose another tough one the next week at Memphis 28-25. A rout of UCF has them feeling good. And really - when you put up 42ppg you are going to have a shot in most games. And the Cincy defense, and the team as a whole is not really playing like a team that should be in the playoffs. With their season ruined, you know that SMU would like nothing better to knock Cincy from the unbeaten ranks. Super Bowl for the Pony Express. 4* Money Maker SMU

Taking MICHIGAN here. I know, I know. Penn State last week. Ohio State next. A Maryland filled sandwich spot. I'm still on the Wolverines. Going for win #10 on the year. And since Harbaugh hasn't been able to win big games, at least you know he will hang his hat on - well, we went 10-2! Not sure  how the Terps slow down Michigan. 40 to Michigan State. 31 to Penn State. 35 to Indiana. 34 to Minny. 66 to Ohio State. 51 to Iowa. Wolverines should be in the high 30s this afternoon. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking MINNESOTA. So my thinking on this one is pretty simple. One. Indiana is a hot mess. Two. Minny actually has a pretty decent defense. Three. Hoosiers QB leads to #1 and will be center stage for #2. Four. Gophers really messed things up for themselves with their last loss. They will need to win here and against Wisconsin to get to the Big 10 Title Game. And they will need some help along the way. But they need to win first. So- Better defense vs poor QB play. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA 

Taking NOTRE DAME. Georgia Tech has lost 5 of 6 and 4 in a row. It will be 5 in a row by dinner and 6 in row in a week after George demolishes them. I don't see them being competitive today. Irish with a clear path to the Playoffs. They are Notre Dame! Of course they will go over 2 loss Oklahoma or Oregon or Oklahoma State or whoever short of maybe Ohio State. It is going to be Georgia, Alabama, a Big 10 Champ and who.. Irish just have to take care of GT and then Stanford. 5 straight Ws and covers for ND since that Cincy loss. Tech will give up some points on the road. 33 to Miami. 48 to Virginia. Duke scored 27 on them. I think this one has 34-10 written all over it. Like I said. Notre Dame on the road this week. Undefeated #1 Georgia at home next week. Which do you think is their Super Bowl?  4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME

4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA 

4* Money Maker NEVADA

Taking the ATLANTA FALCONS here at home Thursday night. Have the Falcons ever recovered from 28-3? I mean, seriously. It has been a rough one since that Super Bowl. Look. We have NE in off a 38 point win over the Browns. Atlanta losses by 40 to Dallas. For me, a clearly buy low spot. I know people have short memories and it is a what have you done for me lately world. We saw NE struggle at Carolina. That game was 14-6 before a 88 yard pick 6 to make it 21-6. We can make fun of Matt Ryan - but the guy is better than Sam Darnold at home. Or how about the 27-24 road win at Chargers. Another dogfight.  I know you guys forgot- but I didn't since I had the Texans. 25-22 where the Patriots 10 points in the 4th quarter to over come a 22-9 deficit to, checks notes, Davis Mills! Sam Darnold and Davis Mills gave this team a hard time. Oh, you say they just play down. Fine - you win, the Falcons have 1 less win than Carolina. Desperate team in Prime Time. Cash that ticket baby. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money UNDER Patriots/ Falcons 

4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking the RAMS. Had the Rams last week at -3.5 and the Niners at +2.5 and lost both having those numbers. Sometimes the good numbers do not matter. I think Rams rebound and SF continues to sink. It is that simple. One coach superior to the other. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Vegas played the Chiefs tough when KC was good. This team looks uninterested. I don't what else to say. The offense isn't as explosive. I know the Raiders have a bunch of off the field BS going on, but I have to take the home dog here. 4* Money Maker VEGAS RAIDERS 

Taking SEATTLE. Will grab Seahawks at this price. Maybe Rodgers is forced out another week. Even if he plays, we know Seattle plays some wild games with Russ behind center. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the VIKINGS. This is a good team. We know we saw them losing to Dallas on SNF and Cooper Rush and think they are done. But take that bad game out. Their other losses are really tough losses. Chargers a solid bunch- that being said, I like Minny and the points. 5 losses by 18 points. Cousins 16 TDs 2 INTs. I think Cook is the difference maker in this one for us and runs through LAC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the COLTS. Indy 4-5. All 4 wins by double digits. All 4 wins over garbage teams. Miami, Texans, Niners, Jets. Ok maybe SF isn't as bad as the other 3. But the Jaguars are as equal to those team. Extra rest for Cots. Wetz with multiple TD passes in 6 straight games. 17 TDs 3 INTs on the year. A 5-1 ATS run (loss to Tenn) Jags off a huge upset over the Bills. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the BROWNS. This line hasn't budged and it looks like both Chubb and Hunt are out for the Browns. I don't care about ODB. He played, Cleveland lost. To NE. Are we impressed with their wins? 3 points over the Texans. The Jets? Panthers? Even the Chargers win was a close one. Baker might have not his top 2 RBs, but we saw the back up tear things up on a Thursday night. The OL is still solid. He still has guys to catch the ball. And the coach. The coach is good. You know we cashed a big COY ticket on him last season. The defense is good enough to cause problems for Mac. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Had these guys last week, and we faded Atlanta in what was a miserable day. Today though, Dallas gets straight. Atlanta gave up 25 points to Trevor Simien and the Saints. 28 to Tua and Miami and 48 to Brady all on the road. Do we forget that Hurts and Philly put up 32 on these guys. Dallas better all over the field. After that loss, payback time. They cost themselves with some failed 4th down tries. A weird punt block. If Dallas doesn't get to 40 I will be shocked. And I don't think Atlanta scores 30+. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

4* Money Maker NEVADA

Taking TEXAS A&M. Aggies starting with that Alabama win look like a different team right now. They look like the Top 5 team people thought they should be to start the season. Ole Miss and all the love for the coach and the QB. Eh. They are pretty banged up. 27 vs Liberty last week. Maybe they were looking ahead to this game. Aggies though with 3-14-14 allowed their last 3. We saw Mississippi vs Alabama. This team is right up there talent wise. Jimbo 11-3 ATS as road record at A&M also a tough trend not to back. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS A&M 

4* Money Maker UTEP