Taking CLEMSON. Also, grab some of this ML. We cashed both these guys in the Playoffs. LSU looked really good putting up a zillion points. Which is why we get this inflated line. Clemson a tough team. Probably the best defense LSU will face. For me though, edge to defending champs. Nobody talking repeat. Just the Joe Burrow Heisman show.  Dabo will have this team ready to go. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON 

Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

5* Best Bet UNDER Titans/ Ravens 

Taking the RAVENS. Have the UNDER here also. My thinking is this. Titans going to want to run, run and run some more. Baltimore defense I think is better than the Patriots. Also, not that we look at the last game and think, hey, Tannehill threw for 80 yards or whatever (72 yards!). But, say the Ravens bottle up Henry, and instead of going for 182, he goes for 92 - do you have faith in Tannehill to exploit the Ravens secondary? Because I don't. And I was big on the Tennessee most of the year. This is a 2nd back to back playoff game vs a better team. If these guys were playing the Chiefs, I would be more inclined to grab the points in that spot. This is just not the match-up for them. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL!  5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking MIAMI OHIO. I get the MAC was bad. But this total disrespect. MAC Champs getting 2 TDs. The underdog has covered 4 straight in the bowl including 3 outright wins. Sun Belt teams have won the last 4 games over MAC teams for what that is worth. I know ULL can score. But in the last game before National Championship, I am expecting some defense from the MAC Champ to get us a cover. 4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO 

Taking the EAGLES here. The team  nobody is giving a shot. I get all the Seattle trends. But I am not buying. I was in the Fan Cave at Bally's (where I will be Super Bowl Sunday for those in the area) watching this slop game back in November. 3 TOs for Philly sealed that 20-9 win. How about just 2 Seahawks wins by more than 7. Dogs live in all their games. I don't think Seattle has improved much from then. But I have seen a lot of improvement from Philly. And, not by beating the Giants who they own, or a bad Redskins team. Heck, I will toss out the win over a talented Dallas team. Those 4 wins are very nice. But more importantly to me is the play of the players. Improving every game. That is huge when you have dealt with the losses Philly has. And, with all that, Philly has still outscored and outyarded their opponents on the year! Finally- tough spot for Seattle travel wise. A win late last Sunday and they are home. Instead, they can't knock off San Fran and take a 3000 journey for a short week game. At least NFL gave them the last slot. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the TITANS here. I know it is tough going against this QB + HC combo at home. Especially when not laying a TD. I guess people think it looks real easy for New England. I don't know. What I know is that Patriots not the same in Wild Card round as they are with a bye week. First time since 2009 no bye. And, no Super Bowl runs when in a Wild Card round for NE. Defense is very good for NE. But this offense is a step back. Titans will ride Henry like a mad-man here. Also - Tannehill. 30ppg with him under center (7-3 SU/ATS). Tennessee was at 16 with Mariota. Let's not forget Titans beat the Pats last year 34-10. Ex-Pats coach Vrabel will have his team focused. Might sprinkle some ML here. Also on the Under. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Patriots 

Taking the BILLS. Not a fan of OBrian for the Texans. This guy does almost as much less with more than his State of Texas counterpart Jason Garrett. Give me Buffalo all day here. Better defense. Better rush game. Bills not a sexy team, especially in the day and age of QBs airing it out. They win with their D. #3 in yards allowed and #2  in ppg. Texans as a 10 win team have been outscored on the year. We have the better coach. Catching points. Hungry team. Also lean Under. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Bills 12-4 to the Under, Texans Under in 6 of their last 9. 

4* Total Money UNDER Cincy/ BC

Taking CINCY. What an absolute disgrace Bearcats here facing a 6-6 BC team. I know some teams will lack motivation for Bowl Games. I don't see that with Cincy though. Even in a lesser bowl like this. These guys can still get 11 wins on the year. That is a big number in College Football. And this BC team. Shouldn't even be bowling. - Fired their HC. Their best offensive player (RB) sitting out. On a back up QB. Their OC left. Their new HC is the DC at Ohio State and he was slightly busy the weekend before this bowl game. Cincy all day and will also be on the UNDER. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BEARCATS

Taking BAYLOR. Look. I am getting down here on the Bears because I saw last year Georgia didn't show up for the Sugar Bowl as they lost to Texas 28-21. 13.5 pt faves in that spot and it was 28-7 Texas with 11 minutes left in the 4th. So color me sketchy they are all in here. Under Kirby Smart, 2-2 in Bowls. Won Liberty Bowl 31-23 over TCU and Rose Bowl over Penn State 54-48 in 2017 before losing to Alabama 26-23 in National Championship Game. That was a brutal loss. Now they face Baylor. Bears only losses to Oklahoma on the year. Now. is Georgia pumped up for this Sugar Bowl? A win, they are in the Playoffs. But they get routed and back to back Sugars. We know Baylor will be pumped to be here. I am sure they will bring fans. This is huge season for this Waco bunch. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

4* Total Money OVER Michigan/ Bama

Taking ALABAMA. No playoffs. No problems. Motivation? How about facing Michigan and that HC? You think Saint Nick wants to lose here? They lost some shootouts. This QB has A LOT to prove. You don't think he is motivated? All his NFL bound WRs will be playing for what I have seen right now. Tua will be going in mid NFL rounds, or sitting out a year rehabbing. Bama needs to see this QB more and get him into the system. They aren't taking New Years Day off. And Michigan - When was the last time they beat a ranked team. Heck a good team. Tide arguably would be favored over some of these Final Four Playoff teams. What will the lines be if it was Michigan? Also on the OVER here as Tide will get near 40 themselves. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

4* Total Money UNDER Texas/ Utah 

4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking KANSAS STATE. One. I really like this HC - Chris Kleiman. 69-6 at North Dakota State and 4 FCS Championships in his 5 years there. 8-4 with the Wildcats out of the gate. Kids love him. This guy can coach. We had Navy over Army in their last game. And this is a talented Navy team. But if I am giving anyone extra prep time for the option, then this guy gets the nod. As mentioned, a huge winner. He will have his team more than ready for the Navy offense. Will also be on the Under here as both teams like to run. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE 

4* Total Money UNDER   K-State/ Navy 

Taking FLORIDA. Last we saw Virginia they were getting blitzed by Clemson 62-17 in the ACC Championship Game. A 9-4 season, but this is a one man team. QB Bryce Perkins is the cog that makes them go. I expect the Gators defense to contain him. 14ppg less than 300 yards allow, Florida defense will come to play. 11 wins is a nice season. They rolled Michigan in their bowl game last year 41-15 - I can see something similar here. Mullen in back to back bowls and I expect another big win. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking SEATTLE. Got to love Wilson as a home dog. I know these guys are banged up. But I will roll the dice as dogs. I have mentioned numerous times their home issues. Losses to Saints, Cards, Ravens, near loss to Bucs in OT, Bengals in Week 1, Rams missed FG. But all as faves. SF back end of the schedule real tough. Cracks appearing as we saw in that crazy Falcons loss. Live dog here with this HOF coach and quarterback. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the TITANS, again. Hurt me last week. Win and in. Texans assured of their home field. Won't risk any injuries. Letting it fly on Tannehill and friends. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the GIANTS. Super Bowl here for the GMen. A win over rival Philly could possibly knock them out of the playoffs is Dallas wins. Huge motivation for another wise down team. They nearly pulled out in Philly with Eli. Danny Jones off a huge game. Leaning home pups who are live. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Ravens 

Taking ARIZONA. How are the Rams favored? Totally out of it. Nothing to prove. Banged team most of the year. No playoffs after Super Bowl. Give me the young team on the other side that is playing for pride and jobs. That is what you do when you are a 5 win team. Come hard every week. Off huge win, they want to build going into 2020. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the COLTS. Jags really screwed us 2 weeks ago. Had to show up for 1 quarter! Really? One quarter they show up in their last 7 games. Their last 2 home games they have been ambushed 45-10 by the Chargers and 28-11 by Tampa. Indy wants to end their year .500. They have the superior HC. I can't see any motivation here. Lay it. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Jags

Taking DALLAS here. And why wouldn't I. Everyone has written them off. And maybe they are right. HC is a dead man walking. They need the Giants to pull off a miracle. But, this old coach is good for one thing. And that is being a .500 guy. 8-8 will be his legacy. 3 straight 8-8 seasons. 12-4, then 4-12 when Romo was crushed. 13-3, 9-7, 10-6 and 7-8 heading to his farewell. Nothing good be finer than an 8-8 season to round out his career. Speaking of contracts running out. Dak. The guy wants 30-40 mill. Would we be shocked when Jerry comes in at 25 an says, with the best OL in football you have gone 9-7, 10-6 and (hopefully) 8-8.  I can't see Dak losing here at home. This Redskins defense is a hot mess. Especially the secondary. I am not going to be shocked when Dallas scores 40+ to close out the season this afternoon. OVER in play also. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS

4* Total Money OVER Redskins/ Cowboys 

Taking the RAVENS. Give me a break. I know the Steelers have had an awesome year based on the way things have gone. You are on QB #3 and can still make the playoffs and win 9 games. But I see no way, NONE, that Harbaugh and the Ravens let Pitt celebrate that on their home field. We see the way this guy prepares in preseason with wanting to win every game. Give me RGIII all day in this spot. Also like the UNDER here. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the JETS. Who knows what could have been had these guys had their QB for the season. What we know for sure is Buffalo is locked into facing the Texans. Give me the small dogs here. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

4* Total Money UNDER Miami/ Patriots

4* Total Money UNDER Chargers/ Chiefs 

4* Total Money UNDER Saints/ Panthers 

Taking the BENGALS, going ML. Looking for an outright win today. Yes. Outright with the team with the #1 pick in the draft. Andy was mad after last week. Complaining about fans wanting them to lose to secure the top pick. Well. He will be looking for a new team and contract next year. Mixon will want to prove something against the RB across the field from him. And lets not forget another losing season for the Browns. This team - all hype this year. From their QB to their WR. -- we are winning the North - Playoffs - Super Bowl dark-horse. pfft. Now 12 straight losing seasons. How about this is just the 4th time since 1999, yes 1999! that the Browns have been a division road fave. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS

4* Total Money UNDER Packers/ Lions 

Taking the FALCONS. This team was 1-7 and instead of quitting on their coach, or him being canned, they came out of the break with a win at New Orleans and haven't looked back. 5-2 SU last 7 games. Revenge for an earlier loss at home to Tampa. Tampa and Winston without his top 2 WRs. Julio Jones doing his usual thing. Winston on cusp of 30/30/5000. I'm taking the better QB with a slightly better defense playing for their HC. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking CLEMSON, going ML. I know its a couple bucks off laying -1. But in the long run, this isn't going to hurt as we win these games. Arguably the 2 best teams some may say. Clemson, through no fault of their own - Defending Champs, Undefeated, somehow fall out the Top spot. And never had a chance to reclaim it. Well the year long disrespect is ready to be faced head on. Here come the Buckeyes. Look. I like OSU. We have cashed with them several times this year - albeit not last week when we had them and the over. But the fact is their best win on the year was at home, as 20pt home faves. This was a great win for them as they showed some heart and dominated the 2nd half. Can't get down like that to Clemson though. Tigers now in their 5th straight playoffs. Defending Champs. 3 seed! OSU can play the revenge angle from 2016. But I am not betting against Dabo. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking LSU. Been riding these guys the last few weeks and they have been lining our pockets. Got a quick -10 on one of my Jersey APPs then it was on the move in seconds. Sooners playing with fire coming down the stretch. I just don't have faith in their defense to make a stop. Obviously Hurts can put a legit hurt on us with a backdoor. That being said, I don't think it will maker when we are up 3+ scores most of the game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. Maybe this is one of those too good to be true games. The line makes me think it. Irish beat 6 bowl teams this year losing to Georgia and Michigan. Iowa State didn't cover in its only win over bowl bound Texas. Why is this line so low? Kelly does a decent job in bowls. Forget the playoff loss to Clemson last year. They beat LSU the year before. Lost the Fiesta to Ohio State. He is 4-4 in ND Bowls. I give him a pass for the 2 playoff losses. So 4-2. ND can't compete with those teams. Just too much talent and speed. It is like his days at Cincy getting them in the Orange and Sugar Bowls. His teams were just not as talented. Make no mistake. ND has the talent over Iowa State. I am sure they want to wipe last years bowl loss out of their memory. It is easy to say they aren't interested since it's not the playoffs. ND has rattled 5 straight after getting knocked out of the playoff picture so I think motivation isn't a problem.  4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME. 

4* Total Money OVER Washington State/ Air Force 

Taking AIR FORCE. Gotta love a service academy favored over a Power Conference. That is what immediately had me circle this game. Maybe. Maybe Washington State is pumped to finish 7-6 instead of 6-7. I know AF is excited as they are 10-2 and can get to 11 wins by knocking off a PAC 12 school. No 1 rush attack vs No 3 pass attack. We will also be on the Over in this game. Leach 4-10 ATS in Bowl Games. How about PAC 12 3-18-1 ATS last 25 bowl games! 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE

4* Total Money OVER Iowa/ USC

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. This is pretty much of fade of Temple HC Rod Carey. He has been blitzed in his 5 bowl games at Northern Illinois. 0-5 outscored 195-81, 143-44 the last 3. Just once has his team put up more than 14 points, that was a 52-23 loss. Mack Brown paying off rewards in his first year. Look for NC to get off their 6-6 mark and finish over .500. Always interesting when 6-6 team lay points to 8-4 teams. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking LA TECH. Man. Got lucky with LT on my Jersey Apps at +10 before this came crashing down. But I still like the dog. And will sprinkle in some ML also. Who the heck is Miami to come on the road and lay this number vs a good La Tech bunch. 5 straight bowl wins for them. Skip Holtz is a terrific dog coach, and as stated above, 5 straight bowl wins. Manny Diaz was DC here before landing the Miami gig and his DC was also on Holtz staff. Familiar. Maybe. But that works for both sides. Last year, LT was in Hawaii. Now, bowling in Shreveport. Holy cow will there be a huge fan base cheering them on. Especially when you have a name like Miami U coming to town. We'll grab the 9-3 dogs to the 6-6 name brand team. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking the VIKINGS. Not high on GB. Think they are a phony team. Rodgers barely completing 50% of passes the last few weeks. Minny defense off a 7 turn over game have to be feeling good coming home in this spot. Minny 5-1-1 last 6 vs GB. Packers have been out-gained in 9 of 14 games. Zimmerman 60-34-3 ATS. Guy is a covering machine. 28-10-1 ATS at home laying less than a TD. Vikes undefeated at home on the year. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking MARSHALL. Huge line. But is it warranted? I love me some Doc Holliday as an underdog. And let's be honest here - UCF the last 2 bowl games. Undefeated heading in playing SEC Powers. Beating Auburn and losing to LSU. Now they get the Thundering Herd out of the CUSA. A team they know from being a past member. Both teams have played here before. Marshall with a win here last year over South Florida. Herd 12-2 in bowl games (not counting the 1947 Tangerine!) and undefeated (6-0) in bowls under Holliday. Way too many points for a a team like this. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL 

Taking BEARS, going ML. You can grab 6 or more if you find it. Chicago out of it, yes. But I dunno. Something tells me Nagy and Mitch have something to prove. One, Nagy's old team. Two. Mahomes picked after Trubisky. I'm taking a shot ML for the Christmas miracle but think Bears will be within striking distance to get us a straight up win. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

4* Total Money OVER Cards/ Hawks

Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

10* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Philly

4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Chargers

Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS

Taking the RAVENS, laying the big wood. Baltimore still with a lot to play for. As in home field. This Browns teams is done. What a disaster? And they are keeping this coach. Wow. Browns players yelling for Arizona to come and take them away. What is this Calgon? Total coaching mismatch. Total QB mismatch. Revenge from the Browns dropping a 40 spot on them in their house. Baltimore or nothing. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

4* Total Money UNDER Cincy/ Miami

4* Money Maker NY JETS 

4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

4* Total Money OVER Rams/ Niners

Taking WASHINGTON. So -last game for Chris Peterson in what has to be thought of a failed stint. His old squad, Boise on the other side of the field today. Now, PAC 12 has had their problems in bowls - heck - not just bowls - the eat themselves with this Friday night games and cost them a chance at the playoffs. Here though, we are going with the faves. Ranked vs unranked and in this case the small school is the hunted. I just think that the QB spot is the key. Boise on 3rd of year. Washington with an NFL prospect. Team happy to send their coach off with a big bowl win. Also - they want to impress their new HC, who is their current DC. We know the defense will be pumped for their guy. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES 

Taking FIU. Give me some Butch Davis and his 7-2 Bowl Record. 3 straight bowls for him here with the Panthers. I have FIU favored and they are getting points. ML Play for me. You can grab the short number if you want the 2.5. I like Sun Belt teams. I really do. But not laying points. Much more value on them being a dog. CUSA is a bit better overall. ML or Points. FIU gets the nod. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 

Taking the BILLS. I like the Bills. You have heard me say this before. Love the HC. Like the defense. The QB I can give or take. He has his ups and downs. But the team is solid. I can hear everyone saying how easy it is to take the Patriots today. Just need to win by 7. This offense does not scare me. Brady still does. He can make plays. But they just have a lot of ugly on the offense. OL. Run game, WRs TEs. This is not a vintage team. Oh they win, and win ugly. But so does Buffalo. I know it is tough going against the NE HC + QB. But I'm doing it. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking SMU. Lane train moving to the SEC. Where does that leave FAU? I have no clue. But Willie Taggart comes over from Florida State to get his career back on track. Might be a good fit. Today though. No. Give me the Pony Express. Even on their home field, FAU a home dog. Tells you all you need to know about where the CUSA Champs are. QB Shane Buechele had a nice little year for the Mustangs - 3,626 yards passing 33 TDs. SMU looking for a big 11th win on the year. Where is the motivation for the Owls? New coach coming in. Playing at home, again. They played in this bowl in 2017. They have their DC running the show here in the Boca Raton Bowl. 10* Money Bomb SMU

4* Total Money OVER Liberty/ Ga So

4* Total Money OVER Texans/ Bucs

Taking KENT STATE. The +6.5 is nice, but I will be going ML here. If we are grabbing dogs, we think they are biting and winning outright. Utah State was 11-2 last year. A bit of step back. Love and Bright, their QB + RB were busted for weed over the weekend. Not sure what ramifications if any will be doled out. You would think in his first year back, Anderson would dole out some kind of punishment. Who knows? I know that every game Kent was in the last month and half have been one possession battles. Points/ ML you decide. 4* Money Maker KENT STATE 

Taking the COLTS. One.. We have the Saints bringing in their 2009 Super Bowl Champion teammates back for a little party after 10 years. I find that whenever teams do these things, bad things happen. And we don't even need an outright win here. We can easily get a back door for a New Orleans team that is 3-8 ATS last 11 at home. How about 1-5 ATS last 6 on Monday night. Colts in a bit of a free fall dropping 5 of 6. But every game is close. 3 last week at Tampa and they blew a lead. Titans won by 14 but very misleading on a special teams TD late. Lost by 4 to Miami. Lost by 2 to Steelers. And this is a spot wear the Saints HC doesn't have a huge edge in that area. And Finally. Let's be honest here. This Saints defense is having problems. Last 2 home game - SF beat them putting up 48 spot. And Carolina, SHOULD have won with their 31 points but should have probably been 37 or 41. I'll grab a desperate, talented Colts team with a back door opportunity. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking ATLANTA. Faded San Fran the last two weeks and it has cost us. 3 in a row anyone. Niners have to come up for air at some points. Had that OT game vs Seattle. Shoot out vs Arizona. Clubbed GB on Sunday Night. Tough physical, road loss at Baltimore. A wild back and forth game at New Orleans. Rams on deck. Today, say hello to 3 win Atlanta. Falcons with the 6th best O which is prime back-door country. SF wins, but this is too many points. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money OVER Rams/ Cowboys 

Taking DALLAS. I just can't get over this line move. The look ahead was Dallas -4. Opening number last week -3. Now, +2 for the Cowboys. I get it. Garrett is a dead man walking. They don't need this game as long as they beat Washington and Philly they are in the playoffs, with, Home Field! But nothing is a given in life. Especially when Jason Garrett is your QB. Also, having your kicker miss 10 FGs isn't helpful either. Now. If you, with extra rest, Playoff Revenge, and quite frankly, some damn pride, can't get off the carpet at home and show your fans something this afternoon. Then this 3 game slide will be 6 because you won't beat Philly next week or the Redskins. Rams needs this more, understood. They also needed a win at Pittsburgh. They eked out a win over the Bears. Got mauled by the Raven. Beat a bad Arizona team. Last week, really got on Seattle good. San Fran on deck, then Cards to end the year. Everything pretty much screams LA Rams. We will go opposite and happily cash our tickets. 10* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA here. Back to Back Sooner Heisman QBs squaring off! Do you really trust this team to lay points on the road? The, we are going to the Playoffs and Super Bowl in July Cleveland Browns. Maybe, maybe, they are playing to finish with a winning record. But this team is a hot mess. I think they have to can their HC. Guy is terrible. Raise your hand if you think OBJ is back in New York next season. What a waste of talent on this offense. On the flip side, home dogs. I'll grab the rookie HC and QB duo here. Granted. The season is bad. Nothing unexpected. Final home game for the Cards. I bet Klingsbury would love to end Baker here. Was benched (for Mahomes) by him then went on to the Sooners. Maybe he gets Chandler (14 Sacks) to rattle the cage a bit. This is a hold your nose play as Arizona is on a 2-12-1 run at home. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. So, you know I have Minny NFC North Champ futures. But, the Chargers. Can anyone figure this group out? We faded them correctly in Denver. Then we thought with their season in shambles flying cross country we would fade them again. Nope. Now home. They have already took care of Green Bay pretty convincingly here. Chargers have outscored and outgained their opponents on the year. Probably should be 8-5 instead of 5-8. Zim has some very good numbers in Minny - but 1-6 in Mountain and West time zones. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS

Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking MIAMI. How the heck are the Giants favored. Miami is in every game. Heck, they should have won at the Jets - we had NYJ there. i'm done trying to figure these guys out. The team is playing hard for their HC. They play hard for their veteran QB. The Giants, are well, they are what they are. Not a team that should be favored. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS

Taking DENVER. So we had these guys the last 2 weeks and it has paid off. Will come back to them again here in KC. Look. KC is the better team. That isn't an argument. But, the spot. We have Chiefs locking up the AFC West. We get them off a big road win at New England. The way Denver has moved the door leads us to possibly get a back door if need be. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the REDSKINS. This Eagles team looks pretty done to me. I know they are still alive with Dallas and winner takes the division. But, they have to beat the Skins first. Maybe this is when the Cowboys line went from -3 to +1. They know Eagles are losing early. And I guess Dallas will rest guys since they won't have a bye week? Look. Skins not a good team. But, new coaches will be coming in. Maybe new ownership. Maybe a new franchise QB. Who the heck knows? I do know they blew a big early lead vs these guys to start the year. I know they haven't thrown in the towel behind their rookie QB. Would really like them if they had Guice at RB. Then you look over and see the Eagles with WRs they will pluck off the practice squad. Down OL. Down on defense. Redskins with 3 straight ATS and covers in 5 of their last 7. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking NAVY. Triple revenge in order for the Midshipmen. This Army team totally down from last years monster. Why doesn't Army have a website? They can't string 3 W's in a row! Look. I know these guys have historically played real close, tough games. We've seen it the last 4 years with 3 Army wins. 17-10, 14-13, 21-17, 21-17. This Navy team is different. Black Knights off a game where 3 QBs go 5-11 with 127 yards 0 TDs 2 INTs. Nearly 40ppg for Navy. 1500 yards rushing 19 TDs and 1000+ Yards from QB Perry. Both teams run heavy, but Navy a big edge at QB and on defense. Just 110 rushing yards a game allowed. They know the option. They are angry. Time to take out 3 years worth of pain. 4* Money Maker NAVY 

4* Total Money UNDER Northern Iowa / James Madison 

Taking the RAVENS. Can't trust the Jets to hang tough here. Baltimore playing for home field throughout the playoffs and needs every win. Short week for NY who fought battle with Miami. Baltimore a little bit of an easier go pulling away from the Bills. Big coaching mismatch here. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the RAMS. Wilson and Seattle crushed my dreams last week on Minny. My Vikings NFC North ticket dangling in the wind. So yea, I will grab LAR here. I know I have kicked their teeth in at times this year saying they aren't a great team. From Super Bowl to possibly not making the playoffs. But man oh man, it seems like Seattle is playing with fire every game. Forget fire. TNT. I dunno, something worse. No Theilen or however you spell his name at WR. Cook goes out. That is a game changer. They eked out a win at home over LAR when Greg the Leg missed a game winning FG. Good for us as we had Seattle ML. But as I said - Seattle playing a little to close to the edge. OT to beat Tampa, Lost to Baltimore. Lost to Bridgewater Saints. Nearly lost to Bengals. 2pt win on the road at Pitt when Big Ben got hurt. OT win on the road at SF. 27-10 was their easiest win at Arizona. Heck 17-9 at Philly was painful to watch. I just can't see them catching every break all season long. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Patriots 

4* Total Money UNDER Pitt/ Arz

4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS

4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the JAGS. Who the heck are the Chargers to be laying again on the road. It was 14-0 Denver before you settled in last week. (we had Broncos) Going to sprinkle in some ML here. Rivers looks done. Lynn should be fired before Garrett. LAC finds interesting ways to lose games on a weekly basis. Seems like every game is decided by one score. Give me a the home dogs with a QB with something to prove. 10* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the JETS. Miami approaching a little danger zone with these wins now. A game behind these NY Jets. Game behind the Jags, Chargers and Broncos. Tied with the Falcons, Lions and Redskins. A game ahead of the Giants. For a team tanking,  you aren't even in the Top 3 and might be out of the Top 10 if you keep notching Ws. Had the Jets in Miami last time they played. I know they are off a brutal loss. But, that is what every saw last. Jets losing to win-less Cincinnati. Sign me up. Gase vs old team. December at Meadowlands never a fun trip for a Miami team. 4* Money Maker NY JETS

Taking the BRONCOS. One thing about these guys. The defense comes to play every week. KC only team to put up more than 27. Denver has 4 wins. Getting 8 point they would have covered half their other games. Buff 20-3, KC 30-6 the two big losses. 27-16 at GB, but Pack hit a late FG. Also, 24-16 L at Oakland. Bottom line. They show up. I don't put this team in the KC or Buff circle. Texans in off the Sunday night game. Which right now, is them owning Brady and the Patriots 21-3 last 3rd. We get a nice inflated line for a team with a solid defense. Also, with a new rookie QB in place, not much tape available on Lock. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the BILLS. 9-3 and getting totally disrespected at home. I get the Ravens are good. Baltimore had me fooled into laying the points last week vs a pretty good SF team. I know BLT is tough - but come on, this number, on the road? I'm not buying. I will buy the nice extra rest for Buffalo. And BLT off a physical game vs SF won on a last second FG. Bills quietly a very good defense that doesn't give up much yardage. #3 in the league at barely 300 a game. I'll grab the points and win ugly with these guys. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS

Taking the LIONS. I'll grab whatever points I can get here. Short week for Minny. Long extra rest for the Lions. Hope we get Blough again. Kid looked good in spots. This is just way too many points for a rested team with a QB you have never seen to be getting. Lions playing with house money Blough with extra time under his belt might be able to hang for a bit. Again, getting more than 2 TDs, the back door is tough to slam. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

4* Total Money UNDER Ravens/ Bills

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS

Taking the SAINTS. Tough spot again for San Fran. Off a tough Ravens game - now coming to the dome to face Brees and Payton. This is a pretty short number. Normally I shy away from the long hanging fruit. But people will be all over SF for a second week in the row in a dog role. A little extra rest with the Thanksgiving Game in Atlanta, and this should be a nice cash. 8* Sure Shot 

Taking OHIO STATE. Another program that just looks unbeatable. An NJ app had this at 12.5 Saturday night around midnight. Was gone by 8am. I'm shocked. I would lay up 20 here. I don't see Wiscy slowing down the Buckeyes. I get it. Badgers a Top 10 defense. I see a 207-0 score over Kent State, Michigan State, Central Michigan and South Florida. Impressive. 35-14 home win over Michigan. Seems good. Win over undefeated Minnesota on the road 38-17. - How about 38-7 loss to these Ohio State Buckeyes. I will forgive taking that 24-23 last second loss to the Illini. That was between crushing Michigan State 38-0 and playing at Ohio State. But talent proves out. And OSU has been the most talented and dominate team all the land this season. #1 scoring offense. #5 offense overall yardage. #1 defense overall yardage. This game in the dome in ideal conditions. OSU is putting up 45+ in my mind. 48-21 that unreasonable - no. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Going OVER the total. 38-7 in the rain. Now - dome, fast track. #1 offense in the country and Wiscy is a lumbering defense. Buckeyes getting at least 45-50 tonight. I think Badgers can score a couple TDs. I won't be shocked to see something like 27-10 at half and the flood gates will just open. 8* Sure Shot OVER Badgers/ Buckeyes

Taking VIRGINIA. So Saturday night Pointsbet here in NJ came up with some early lines. Ohio State -12.5 was one of them and Clemson -21.5 another. The sunrises and the real odds-makers show themselves. I will still be laying with Clemson. Not a chance that Virginia keeps up here. Tigers can write their own score. But I see a 50 spot on the horizon. What an under the radar season for the defending Champs. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking LSU. I had Georgia Tech last week. Obviously, a poor play. But like I said in that write up. Where has this Georgia offense been all year. LSU not as great as the Bulldogs on D. But the defense is good enough to hold Georgia down. Like Ohio State - until we see LSU put on ice, how can you not like them laying anything short of double digits? Last year was 36-16 LSU. I think we will see something along those lines today. Georgia is way too many close games for me to consider them elite. The loss to South Carolina just terrible. I know it looks a little too easy saying LSU just needs to win by a TD. But I will grab the low hanging fruit. They did play a close game vs Auburn 23-20. Those Tigers not to shabby themselves losing to Georgia 21-14 and beating Alabama in a wild one 48-45. But I think this LSU team is on another level right now. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS