Taking RUTGERS on the ML. I know. Why in the world are we taking a stab with arguably 2 of the worse teams in Power 5 play. But Kansas is off their first win in what seems like a decade. Maybe they think they can get a 2 game win streak since Rutgers comes in getting trucked by Ohio State. But the Jayhawks are not the Buckeyes. You have to know that Rutgers will be eyeing this as a must win game as they aren't ready for Big 10 power house teams. And like us taking Syracuse on the ML. If we think that we cover getting 3 points, then why not put a couple more bucks in our pocket on the ML. I'm not thinking we lose 24-23 on a last second FG. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS 

Going UNDER the total tonight. Starting out last week with Falcons and the Under. Will be using Cincy as a Free Pick though. Ravens have lost 7 of the last 9 SU (doggy is 6-2 SU/ ATS L8) in the series averaging less than 20ppg. In fact, huge revenge spot as the Bengals knocked Baltimore out of the playoffs on a 4th down play to end the year and put the Bills in the playoffs in Week 17. We have a pair of division rivals facing off. Two teams that know each other pretty well. Cincy on a 7-3 Under run at home. Ravens 8-3 Under run last 11 in AFC North play. Under has cashed 4 of the last 5 in the series. 4* Total Money UNDER Ravens/ Bengals 

Taking WAKE here. There is a lot of love coming down on BC. And I get it. I like their HC. They are in a revenge spot from last years game. Hurricane approaching so maybe Wake isn't 100% focused on football. But the Eagles are not a good bet covering the number as a fave. They thrive more in a dog role when nobody is counting on them. Might be looking to pull the trigger on the Under 55.5 here. If the winds start picking up early and heavy rains come into play. 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST 

Taking OLD DOM. So lost with these guys in Week 1. I really thought they were going to be an improved team. Have them Over their season win total. Will go ML. A rarity for me with a fave, albeit a small one. 4* Money Maker OLD DOM

4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Rams

Taking the RAIDERS. Think these guys can score a bit. I am on the Under 49.5 already, but am coming in on the puppy. Not sure what we see out of the Rams as this is a non-conference throw away game with Arizona on deck. Enough points to roll the dice. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the JETS here on Monday night. Think this team is going to surprise some people this season. Think they have some players on both sides of the ball. For the Lions, a new regime. New HC takes over. And to be honest, I don't think he is some defensive wizard. Wasn't like the Patriots were a Top 5 defense in his time over there. Yeah, they are paying their QB a ton of cash. But I can't see this group being a .500 team. I see this 6.5 and can here every square in NJ at one of the new sportsbooks saying, uh, Jets are crap, Bowles sucks. No way the Lions don't win by a touchdown. 4* Money Maker NY JETS

4* Total Money UNDER Redskins / Cardinals 

Taking CAROLINA. Will grab the Panthers at this price. I like Dallas. Am a Cowboys fan. And they have much better ATS on the road than at home. But this team to me, isn't going to be that good. Unless a couple WRs really have huge years, this is a lost season. Load up the line, control Zeke, let Dak have one of his WRs beat you. That plays well into a good Panthers defense. Not a huge fan of Cam. But the guy has the weapons around him to get us the win and cover this afternoon. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking ARIZONA. Pretty sure everyone is sleeping on the Cards because of the QB play. But this team is not that bad. Always a solid defense. They have a very good RB to take the pressure off said QB play. I actually like the new HC. You know the defense will just as good or better than past editions. Not expecting what I saw in Pre-Season from ARZ. That is more to me. A new HC, guys playing hard all game. And other teams going through the motions. Will really have to work to get those kind of TOs from Washington. Redskins have their own new signal caller in Alex Smith. And he's a guy I have back with mixed results over his career. And also a guy who isn't in the habit of bad INTs. At this price, even against AP at RB, who might run angry since Cards cut him last year. Think we have enough to get the outright win this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the BROWNS. How many times did this guy kick my nuts in last year with lines I thought were too short. I will subject myself to abuse just once this opening weekend. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking MINNESOTA here. Wish I grabbed this earlier for myself. This is about as high I will want to go with Minny. I think this is a very good team. Great coach - probably the most underrated guy in the league. Defense always a top unit. But I have to tamper expectations because we have a new OC in town. I still think this is a win for us. SF is getting a bit too much love in my eyes. Everyone loving Jimmy G. Again, Minny HC will have something special to unleash on the youngster. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Browns

4* Total Money UNDER Jags /Giants

4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Dolphins

Taking TAMPA. I know this is crazy. But I like the Bucs more with FitzMagic behind center. Veteran guy. Smart. Won't lose the team. He has good weapons to work with. This is a bundle of points. Tampa defense isn't that bad. TB went 2-1 with Fitz last season. The line is a bit inflated as everyone will be hammering the Saints with Winston out. They should be able to mount some pressure on Brees. Just once in the last 8 match-ups have the Saints won by more than 7. Can't lay double digits in division play. Dog time. 4* Money Maker TB BUCCANEERS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Also like the Under in this game. But we are all in on Jax. First off. You don't think that Tom Coughlin has been telling these guys to stick to NYG on every play. The guy was run out of town and replaced by a joke of a coach. Jags were already miles ahead of the GMen in talent. Yes, they drafted a nice RB, signed some OL, have a healthy ODB. But do we really think Eli, a statue, is going to be able to buy some time and make something happen against this pass rush and secondary. Jags defense will dominate. The offense will do enough to win this by double digits. Coughlin gets revenge against a team he hoisted Super Bowl Trophies with and got a kick in the ass out the door as a thank you, while the crappy GM stayed on board. 10* Money Bomb JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the BENGALS. Yeah, The Colts are 46-30 with Luck behind center. But did you see anything in his brief August games that say this is a guy ready to come under live fire? Bengals have missed the playoffs last 2 years. Marv clearly on the hot seat as many though he would be canned last year. We saw 53 points from these guys in Week 4 of pre-season! That is normally under territory. But we saw that the 'starters' for Cincy held a 20-7 lead at the half over the Colts. Look - Pre-Season doesn't matter much to me when the calendar says September. But Indy, I think has a long way to go with Luck getting up to speed with his new HC and the playbook. Cincy always has a tough defense. Daulton has some nice weapons. He can beat bad teams. This isn't Pitt or NE that he is battling. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking RICE. Hawaii rewarding backers with a pair of big wins. But this line is inflated in my eyes. Have to grab the points. Simple as that. Can't give up free points. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE

Taking VIRGINIA. Again, a game I will sprinkle some ML +205. I'm a Bronco fan. Think he is a good coach. He has 8 starters back on D. Which will help against the Hoosiers who have 7 back on offense. I do think Indiana could be a bowl team this year. But, I have to grab the points with the visitor. VA with revenge for last years lost. I think if they can pound the ball and control things, they can pull out the outright win. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS

Taking IOWA STATE. Grabbing a little ML +160 also. Tough in-state battle. Give me the points. ISU has covered 8 of 10 here. Like our QB better than theirs. Stanley for Iowa barely getting over 100 yards. I looked at that game and thought NI would show up. After looking at the roster, they had same holes to fill. Tough to do vs a Big 10 school. But a Big 12 program, and a bitter in-state rival. Well this screams upset to me. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking COLORADO. Nebraska hasn't played yet. I like the Frost hire. But this is a tough spot for an opening game. True frosh starting at QB. This line also looks a little short in my eyes. Might sprinkle some ML also. Buffs young, but I think there was so much work to do at Nebraska, this is a pretty even match-up talent wise. 4* Money Maker COLORADO 

4* Money Maker NAVY

Opinion KANSAS ML 

Taking DUKE. Duke rolled these guys last year. We can say, oh revenge at home for Northwestern. And we had these guys last week. But we also watched them not score a point in the 2nd half after putting up 31 in the first half. Not sure this veteran Duke team turns it over 3 times to help the cause. 4* Money Maker DUKE BLUE DEVILS 

4* Money Maker LIBERTY

Taking SOUTH FLORIDA. I'll even dabble in the +150 ML here. I know we are breaking in a new QB. But I will back the home dog here. Both teams in off easy wins. South Florida has some cupcakes on deck. G-Tech has a bigger game vs Pitt on deck. Maybe it is because I am a Charlie Strong fan. Even losing a bunch of talent, I feel that here in Year 2, he has enough to knock off a bigger school. 4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA 

Taking ARIZONA. Should probably just go ML. Revenge. Arizona looking terrible in Week 1. Everybody goes crazy over one week and what they just saw. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA 

Taking TCU. Just can't get behind SMU at any price. Sonny Dykes? I guess you think he was an OC for the Frogs and might know some ins and outs. But I am not buying that angle tonight. SMU was down 36-0 before scoring vs North Texas last week. TCU isn't taking their foot off the gas. Is 52-20 really that far fetched? Last year, I had SMU and the points on the road and was rewarded with a cover. Actually had an early 19-7 lead before TCU poured it on. So we won't be taking this team for granted. 4* Money Maker TCU 

4* Total Money UNDER Falcons/ Eagles 

Taking the FALCONS. I know it is easy to take Philly. Defending champs, Home opener. Crowd pumped up. They have guys who missed out on the Super Bowl run returning to the lineup. But the QB play is iffy for me. We now that Wentz is out for a big. Foles got banged up this August. Falcons have revenge from the playoff loss. And playing outside in Philly now, as opposed to later in the winter or January is a big difference. Atlanta has a pretty solid defense themselves. The offense isn't too shabby. I am also on the under 46 in this game. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH. I think FSU is a very good program. But I think they start a little slow tonight. Might take a game or 2 to get things flowing in real time under new HC Willie Taggart. This guy could have a QB problem depending on how things go. VT had all summer to get ready for the Noles. I think they can keep this close and have a shot at an outright upset if things go to plan and they get a turnover or 2. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH 

Taking LSU and going ML. You can grab the points - But for me, if I am taking small points like this, I have to believe in my numbers and that at this price, we can get an outright win. I know Miami is a trendy pick this year. Everyone high on them. I like them, am a fan. But money is money. And LSU is not some joke program. They get kids who can play. And in Game 1, right out of the gate with the nation watching, these guys will want to make a statement. No 'turnover chain' nonsense. I believe that Ed Orgeron is on the hot seat of LSU. 9-4 seasons won't cut it. Talent is there every year and he needs to deliver soon. 5* Best Bet LSU TIGERS 

Early mover.. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME

4* Money Maker FIU 

High on this team... 9 starters back on O, 7 on D. -- Liberty making the jump from FCS. They did beat Baylor last year. But lets not get to excited. Coastal Carolina, who was 10-3 their last year in FCS went 3-9 their first year with the big boys. Liberty was 6-5 last year. Not sure what to expect from Turner Gill who stunk up Kansas in his last gig on the big stage. 4* Money Maker OLD DOMINION 

Taking MISSISSIPPI early. 4* Money Maker

Taking TEXAS STATE. So. Both teams with young QB. If this was really any other Big 10 school, or Rutgers had a junior or senior behind center, I would be on the home team. Wins will be tough to come by for both clubs. At Ohio State for Rutgers next as Chris Ash heads back to his coordinator days. But this team can't look ahead. I just don't think they are going to be very good this year. My son plays on a football team with the brother of a Rutgers player. The dad has echoed my same concerns about QB play. But also just about many Rutgers players not being on the physical level as their Big 10 counterparts. Texas State won't be confused with Texas or TCU or even SMU. But it is Year 3 of HC Withers run. I think they can keep it close. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE 

Taking TEXAS. I am sure the Longhorns staff had this game circled since Week 2 of last year. Big game for Texas. A lot of off-field distractions for the Terps. This isn't even a real 'home' game as it is played at Fed Ex field. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Have to grab the big points with Lane's squad. CUSA Champs this year. Have to be thought of as the top program with Marshall on their heels. This is a huge game for them. As a small, mid-major conference team, they have to show they can play with the big boys. Sooners breaking in a new QB and always a bit shaky on defense. I like that last year on the road, they lost to Wiscy 33-14. That is a tough venue and tough team to play. Shows me they won't be intimidated. Defense has 10 starters back which is huge to me getting this many points. Can't discount the fact that FAU new starting QB is a Sooners transfer. As if he needs more motivation for his first of the year.  8* Sure Shot FLORIDA ATLANTIC

Taking WISCONSIN tonight. Going to lay the big, big wood in this spot. I think Wiscy can quietly win the Big 10. Lot of drama around Ohio State. Michigan hasn't won a big game under Harbaugh. Nebraska is not ready for the big leap. Michigan State has struggled. This team just always seems to be in the mix. They get a Western Kentucky team that did win the CUSA in 2015 and 2016. But they lose their starting QB. Just 3 offensive starters back. Opening up in Madison is tough for any school. 2nd year HC Mike Sanford will have some more growing pains this season. Badgers should win the West in the Big 10. Should be able to name the score behind this offense tonight. 4* Money Maker WISCONSIN BADGERS

Opinion WESTERN MICHIGAN 

4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN 

Taking TULANE. So the early line on this was +13. That would have been a really nice home dog to bark at. But this is still a good number. I nearly made this a ML on the sites and will be looking for +200 in Jersey Sports Books this week. Wake breaking in a new starter behind center. Never an easy task. Green Wave bring back their QB, 2 top WRs, and a 800 yard back. 4* Money Maker TULANE GREEN WAVE

Taking UCF - Yeah. tough laying this on the road, especially with a new HC running the show. But this still is a very explosive offense. And UConn only brings back 2 starters on the defensive side of the ball. How about UCF saying they are National Champs last year after going undefeated. These guys don't lack any swagger. I expect them to come out fast to prove to people they are just as good as last year and need respect from voters. 4* Money Maker UCF 

4* Total Money UNDER Wyoming / New Mexico State

4* Total Money UNDER Hawaii / Col State

Going to lock in early here with the PATRIOTS. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS 

Alright everyone. Thanks for the follow this year. Going to cap off a great NFL season with a final winner for our pockets. 40-14 good for 74% since December 1. In that time, 11-4 with our Top Plays. Best Bets, Sure Shots and Money-Bombs. But I am not going to put out a huge 'name' play, just because it is the final game of the year. This, as always, the longest write up of the year. Let's get to it - 

As a big dog guy, especially with NHL and MLB, almost by instinct, I am pulled towards Philly. And why not. One of those 4 Top Game losses was Philly over NYG. I like Foles. As I said in previous write-ups, and last weeks Over analysis. Do people forget 27 TDs from this kid a couple years ago. The guy can play in the NFL. Not saying he is Wally Pip'ing Wentz out of a job, or Brady Bledsoe'ing for the younger crowd. But he can play. And let's be completely honest. Eagles probably rate better overall across the board except for the QB position. Plenty of offense for Philly vs, at best, a middle of the road Patriots defense.

Yes. The Hoodie gets the, oh, Mr Adjustments. What a great defense. Come on. Bend don't break defense carried by the greatest QB/ HC combo of all-time. This total has already ticked up, and I still lean Over in this game. 

I am sure the sharps are going to be lying in wait. Seeing if the public comes heavy on NE as they normally do. Maybe we see 4.5 - Maybe we see 6.5. I am 2 weeks out with my play. When we grab dogs, like the Jags, we think they win outright. Which, maybe they should have. We will leave questionable play calling to the talking heads.

Back to NE. Look. I am not a huge Pats fan. I did have a Top 10* on them to roll the Titans. I took the +9.5 out of the gate in the Championship Game. As much as I see Foles getting better. I see Brady cementing a legacy, if he hadn't already. If this was Wentz/ Brady. I would probably be on the Eagles. But it isn't. These guys, at this stage, look for any slight, to come out and piss people off. So we have all heard of that story about the owner/coach/QB - Next game. Utter destruction of the Titans. What better way to really get under peoples skin and win b2b Super Bowls. Did anyone miss that Hoodie didn't even hold onto the AFC Championship Trophy? Is that crazy? That is all you need to know about this team. That is how focused they are. 

Philly will get everyone's love since they are facing the Evil Empire. The, We wear Dog Masks. No respect. I get it. House money. Back-up QB. Rally around the role. Understood. And that isn't all it has going for them. I think they have the much better defense. Special teams are probably a wash. Again, this is why I am liking the Over a bit also. Plenty of weapons for Foles. Dome setting should help. 

As much as there are checks to cross in the Philly box. I just can't go against this HC/QB combo in a Super Bowl. Brady has proven time and time again. Champion. Down 10. No problem. 28-3. No problem. Do we have to go back and see the stats vs the Legion of Boom? Do we remember how 'legendary' that Seattle defense was suppose to be? 13-15 2TDs in the 4th quarter as Seattle was for 2 straight Super Bowls. 

Maybe the Eagles are like the Giants. Getting pressure. Knocking Brady off his spot. Or. Brady gets the ball out and carves them up. I think the really underrated unit is the Patriots OL. These guys are quietly, a solid bunch. 

So. I am going PATRIOTS as a 5* BEST BET here in Super Bowl action. I think they get this done by a TD or more. 

My FREE PLAY is on the UNDER 48.5 -- 

Going OVER the total. It can be easy to look at this and think under. We have probably 2 of the Top 5 defenses in the league playing today. But this is still a low total. It was 38 and I was staring at it. I see a game in the 20s. For everyone who wants to knock Foles, the guy can still QB in this league. Do we forget 27 TD 2 INT year for these same Eagles? He has some weapons that Minny needs to contain. Vikings themselves can move the ball also. I just think everyone thinks Philly can't do anything offensively with what they have seen their last 3 games. 15-10, 6-0 loss to Dallas, 19-10 MNF Raiders game. Foles was 6-10 vs the Rams in relief of Wentz. He tossed 4 TDs vs the Giants the next. Raiders and Dallas were games they were going through the motions. Especially with nothing to prove vs the Cowboys. I won't be shocked to see this 30 points by halftime. 4* Total Money OVER Vikings / Eagles 

Taking the JAGUARS. So. We had the Jags over the Bills. And we faded them last week vs the Steelers. Not really the way I want things to be working out on Jax. We cash very nicely with the Patriots as our Top 10* Money-Bomb over the Titans. That being said. There were reasons I liked/disliked them in spots. We won't rehash those. That is the past. Let's get to it. -- Defense. Clear edge for the Jags. Arguably the best in the league this year. Yes. We have seen Big Ben last week, and prior the Seahawks and SF put some points on the board on these guys. And Brady is the best in the biz. I probably shouldn't write Brady and Bortles in the same sentence. Look. Marrone is familiar with NE after going 2-2 ATS vs them when he was HC in Buffalo. It sure as heck can't hurt to have Tom Coughlin, who beat these Pats TWICE in Super Bowls in case you have been under a rock. Much like those Giants teams, defense is this teams strength. And like Marrone's old Biils teams, running the ball, is what dictates this offense. I know. I know. Pats looking like the last go around. Internal power struggles. I said last week, the Hoodie was ready.. On to Tennessee. But the fact is this. Both OC and DC are probably out to HC gigs. The HC and QB have been the best in the biz for a long time. You have to think this is their swan song. Either way. I think this defense keeps us in the game. Weather shouldn't be a problem. It will be warmer here than it was in Pitt last week. Maybe some rain. Will also be on the under here. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

4* Total Money UNDER Jags/ Pats

Taking the VIKINGS. Real simple for me. One. We are rested. Two. We have the much better defense. Three. We have seen the last 2 weeks that New Orleans has had trouble stopping Tampa and Carolina. A pair of teams that are pretty generic with their offenses. - Now they face a Minny team that has a bunch of options for their QB to turn to. This is no knock on Brees. I just thin that their defenses injury and depth will catch up with on the road, and vs a team with probably the most under-rated HC in the league. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the STEELERS. Have to play a little on Pitt. First we have that revenge working for us. Utterly wrecked at home with Big Ben tossing, what, 10 INTS! - Seriously. That was a joke. Yes this Jags defense is very good. But the offense is putrid. And I had them last week. I thought they can put up points. Because they have. But I have seen Seattle and SF both carve this team up recently. This is an experienced Steelers team. Lots of explosiveness on offense. We are laying just a TD. I thin this should be a 10pt game for us. 8* Sure Shot PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I'll lay this beast. And try to keep my reasons brief. So Titans down 21-3 to KC. KC loses best player to take advantage of poor Tenn pass defense. Titans get, let's just say, a few calls in their favor. Won't get into detail. Safe to say that everything that needed to happen, happened. Enter the Pats. We are going to go against Hoodie? In a week where we see a problem between Brady, Kraft and Hoodie. It's mass chaos in New England. Coach vs Trainer vs Owner vs QB. Forget that nonsense. The defense has been an absolute monster down the stretch. Toss out those early games. 14ppg since. 'All in on Tennessee' - Belichick  10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Falcons/ Eagles 

Taking the FALCONS today. You can grab the 2.5, but I will go 3 just to take back a little extra cash. So, we cashed on Atlanta last week. I am not sure why everyone is shocked they won. As I said. Against a rookie HC and basically, a rookie QB, I would take a veteran QB and HC playing with a chip, the size of a Super Bowl Trophy, on their shoulder. And what do they walk into here. Only an Eagles team that has been average at best. Now, I like Foles. In fact, I backed Philly over the Giants and while they won, they couldn't cover. Then we had that Monday night game vs the Raiders. Finally, the Nate Sudfeld game. Enter our Falcons. This isn't last years team. They are playing much better defense. The fact is, with no Wentz, this game is a toss up. ATL the fave really based on the QBs. Both defenses are pretty solid. And both teams can run the ball. I am just coming back to what they learned last year. Philly, like the Rams, are rolling the dice with house money, up-starts. Bright futures. Falcons on the other side of that. Veterans. Looking to redeem themselves. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking ALABAMA tonight. So. Tide is the team that shouldn't have been playing say a lot of people. Even though as the 4 seed they were to be favored over every other team in the playoffs, and the country for that matter. It is easy to say that the only real team Alabama played, Auburn, beat them. And then you Auburn beating what was the #1 Alabama and then #1 Georgia before falling to Georgia in the SEC Championship. But this Bama team was #1 for nearly all season for a reason. Just like they are favored over every team for a reason. Again, they have been dogs exactly once since 2010. A 1.5 to these same Georgia Bulldogs in 2015. Crimson Tide rolled to a 38-10 win. We know what to expect from Alabama. I thought they would cruise to a relatively easy win over Clemson and they did. I think the Clemson defense is as good, or better than Georgia's. Now. Is Baker Mayfield and the Sooner offense better than the Tide. Absolutely. But they pasted this defense for 48 points. And really, they should have won. And I am not saying that as a guy who had the Sooners. Their 1st year HC Riley really wet the bed when it mattered most. Kirby Smart is an old Bama assistant. Well, Saban is 11-0 winning with an average score of 38-10 over his old coaches. 427-111 in those 11 games Tide have outscored Tennessee (Dooley) , Colorado State (McElwain), Florida (Muschamp)+ (McElwain), Florida State (Jimbo) , and Michigan State (Dantonio. I am not expecting some wild game like that. I think this is going to be more along the lines of Bama/LSU, Auburn/ Oregon than the last 3 playoffs where we saw at least 60 scored in each game. These are really 2 of the same molded programs. But I am backing the teacher over the student. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking the PANTHERS. So. We have the old, it's hard to beat a good time 3 times playing out. Saints won 34-13 and 31-21 this already this year. But it is January football. I am not a fan of Cam at all. But I like his legs and the rest of the RBs vs this depleted Saints defense. Not a lot of depth and they are missing 5 starters. We saw the Bucs march down the field last week as time was running out to score a win. On a side not, that TD sent it Over the total and we go 7-2 instead of a super 8-1. I just think that we have seen Carolina knock off the Pats and Vikes. A pair of pretty good teams. We cashed with the Falcons over these same Panthers. Everyone saying, oh Carolina has a lot to play for. Well what about Atlanta. They were playing for their season. (had them yesterday also) - Road team 23-10 ATS last 33 in the series. Underdog 6-1 ATS last 7 in the series. Panthers 0-6 ATS last 6 in the series. Something has to give. I am betting on Cam being 'Superman' and not 'Laptop Man' - 8* Sure Shot CAROLINA PANTHERS  

Taking the JAGUARS. Forget the line here. To me, this game is pick the winner. And if you think the Bills cover, then you think they win outright. I don't think they win outright. I think the Jaguars defense is a beast. I think with a gimpy McCoy, if he even plays, we know he is not near 100%, that Taylor will force some things. That plays into the Jax strength, their defense. Yes, it is frightening laying near double digits with Blake Bortles. Jags have won their last 5 at home, last 3 putting up 35ppg. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Now. I know that the Rams had a great year. Rookie HC takes off with a 2nd year QB who looked like a bust and turns 4-12 into 11-5. But those two combinations is exactly why I am on the visitors in this spot. Atlanta really changed gears down the stretch going 6-2. Rams not exactly with a huge home field edge here either. Falcons couldn't make a stop in the 2nd half of the Super Bowl. But the defense is what has improved this year while the offense has taken a step back. I do like this Rams team. But all I have heard from people is, how don't the Rams win by a touchdown? For me, this is too many points to give to a playoff tested experienced team. Don't be shocked if Falcons win this outright. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money UNDER Falcons/ Rams

Taking the CHIEFS here. Man oh man with all these lines wild-card weekend. Normally I am shying away from near double digit faves come playoff time. But I see a pair of totally different teams. Yes. We cashed the Titans as our Top 10* Money Bomb last Sunday. But we don't fall in love with teams. We like numbers. Value. We started the season backing the Titans over the Raiders. And we will end their season fading them vs the Chiefs. KC a bit different now with their new OC calling plays. I just don't see Tennessee being able to hang close here. I think that KC gets a big edge on special teams that gets us this 10-14 pt win. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking ALABAMA. So here we are. 3rd times a charm right. Who takes the crown? I had Clemson ML last year. Had Alabama minus points the year before. Back to the Tide. Look. All I heard coming into the playoff selection was how Bama didn't play anyone. Lost to the only good team they played. Didn't deserve to be here. Forget the fact they were ranked #1 all year long. You don't think Saban uses this crap to motivate. Hard to motivate when you have been favored in 50 straight games or whatever it is. Well. After I typed that I went all the back to the 2010 season. 1 game. They were a 1.5pt dog at Georgia in 2015. They won 38-10. These guys are healthy. The defenses might offset. But Bama offense has the edge. They aren't facing Watson who carved them up. Heck, we saw what he did in his brief NFL stint. No. They get Kelly Bryant. 13 TDs 6 INTs on the year. In the 2 previous Championships, we saw 76-75, Bama by 1. That was with Watson. As good as Clemson is. I can't sit here and think they are that good right now. I know you will here about their great bowl run the last few years. We aren't laying 6.5 like the previous 2 years. It's a FG. And I am in on the Tide. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking OKLAHOMA. Backing the Sooners to make it to the Championship. Strength vs strength. Georgia defense, vs the Heisman winner and a monster offense. I know, I know. Defense wins champions. Stoops can't win big games. Throwing that out here. This Sooner defense is good enough to slow things down on Georgia. I don't think the Bulldogs can do the same with Oklahoma. I am trying to find the offense they faced that is anything like what they see in this game. I have no idea what the heck happened at home vs Iowa State. Laying 31, losing outright. That is some mind-boggling crap. But that being said - Sooners went to the Horseshoe and dominated Ohio State. They took care of a pretty tough TCU squad twice. Georgia put up 50+ on Missouri who put up 16 on Texas. Not that I like comparing teams this way. But Georgia has yet to face this kind of team. I think Sooners win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA 

Going OVER the total here. Won't be shocked if we are over 50 by halftime today. UCF will put up some points. I think Auburn will get 40+. Look. We can sit here and say, oh, Auburn mails it in. They were a game away from the playoffs. And I can't blame you for that thinking. But then they get a match-up vs the only undefeated team. I think that will peak their interest. Again. Yes, they beat then #1 Georgia, and then #1 Alabama. But playing an undefeated team, even from the AAC will get their attention. Scott Frost and all the assistants stayed on to complete the 13-0 season. We know they will all-in here. Slaying an SEC team? A team that beat a pair of #1 ranked teams. Heck. That is a nice trophy to hang their hats on their. This game has absolute 45-44 thriller written all over it. Or the Tigers absolutely mail it in and get throttled 47-13. I am betting on a wild shoot-out. 5* Best Bet OVER Auburn/ Central Florida 

Going UNDER here. South Carolina fired their OC. Have a young QB. Facing a tough Michigan defense. Michigan gets its best QB back. Though how rusty or at least a little out of sync will he be since he hasn't thrown a pass in a game since a loss to Wiscy on November 18th. 4* Total Money UNDER South Carolina/ Michigan 

-- I know this line has moved since we put it out -- Still take SF - They will cover a TD -- Taking the NINERS. Well. Faded the Jimmy G show last week. That didn't work out well. But we see they aren't playing for a higher pick. I said in games we took SF that they like Jimmy and their HC. Rams I think will rest up here after a fine season and get ready for the playoffs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS

4* Total Money UNDER Saints / Bucs

4* Total Money UNDER  Bengals / Ravens 

4* Total Money UNDER Raiders / Chargers

Taking the TITANS. Not sure where the Jags motivation is? They are locked into the 3 seed. They host a home game. Even off that SF loss, I can't see them risking getting guys injured. Maybe they play a half. I had Tennessee last Sunday. Win and they are in. I'll back the small home fave. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Man. All I am  hearing is talk about the Panthers. I know this isn't the same Super Bowl team as last year. The offense clearly not the same. I know Julio is banged up. But hell. It is Week 17. Playoff spot on the line. Time to man up. They win, they are in. They lose. And they need Arizona to beat Seattle. Just take care of business yourself. As for Carolina. They have some possible seed movement. Anywhere from 2-6. Not sure how they play it. They get down early, they might pull back. They just played a really tough game vs TB needed everything to win. Atlanta 7-2 ATS last 9 here at home vs Panthers. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Total Money UNDER Bears/ Vikings 

4* Total Money UNDER Jets/ Pats

Taking the COLTS. So Indy has lost 6 straight and 9 of 10. Yet, are favored. Look. Normally this a game I would mark a giant X through during the regular season. But final game of the season. Most likely, final game of Pagano's reign for the Colts. I will back the home team. As bad as this team is, likely assured the 3rd pick in the draft, they haven't quit. Oh, they blow 10pt leads like that is what you are suppose to do to win games. But they aren't mailing games in. Can't see them doing it here. Not with Frank Gore also probably heading out the door. They will play for that old timer for sure. Texans have been riddled with injuries all year. Not even sure they get off the plane. This is the game the Colts should win by 10+. Not get up 17-0 and somehow lose  21-20. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking MIAMI tonight. Almost want to go +200 on ML. But we'll grab the points. Now. I still think The U is a year from really being a top program again. Richt can coach and recruit. Have to like them in the home dog role. We have seen them demolish Va Tech and ND on this field. They have pulled some magic out of the rear-ends this year in last second wins over FSU and G-Tech. Plus, that crazy turnover chain! Everyone always sleeps on Wiscy. All they do is churn out 10 win seasons so we can't overlook them. But the points are too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker MIAMI HURRICANES 

Taking the POINTS with IOWA STATE. These guys went into Oklahoma and won. They win ugly. They lose ugly. They can play defense. They can put up points on offense. This is a scrappy bunch. This is a home game for Memphis and it looks a bit low to me. They do have some trouble slowing teams down, even if they march up and down putting their own points on the board. But the Cyclones won't be shocked. They see Big 12 spread offensives all the time. I think their defense can do enough to maybe pull out the outright this afternoon. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Big edge for the Cards. First, the coach. Plenty of bowls under his belt. Miss State HC left for greener pastures. Second. QBs. Last year's Heisman who had a pretty good follow up season, in his last college game. For the Miss State, their season starter lost for the year in Egg Bowl vs Ole Miss. I just think this lines up with a lot of positives for UL. Like I said - Mullen to the Gators. No Fitzgerald. Tough to overcome a UL team looking to make up for last years 29-9 loss to LSU, another SEC team. No lack of focus as their QB is looking to go out on a high note. 8* Sure Shot LOUISVILLE 

Taking USC. You can grab the points, but we will grab the +250 for a nicer payday. I know everyone is talking about OSU snub. But how do you think SC feels? These guys have similar resumes. But OSU was trucked by Iowa allow 50+ to a 6 loss team. At least getting pummeled on the road in South Bend isn't as ugly. SC is 20-2 with Denard under center. 4* Money Maker USC 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE. First bowl game in nearly 60 years for the Aggies. These guys looked pretty evenly matched in my eyes. Not a far ride for Aggies backers. Word is they will be rolling in pretty deep with fan support. Huge game for the school. 5* Best Bet NEW MEXICO STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Now. I will say that I was looking at Washington State. They lose their top 2 WRs for the game. Not that should matter since they have other players with 30+ catches. What really flipped me to Sparty is 1 - The coaches. Does anyone really have faith in Mike Leach? He tossed his hat into the ring of HC openings. Who knows if he was serious. But the coaches under maybe raised an eyebrow. Freshened up resumes. Dantonio, I know, will bring his A game. Dude got into with Michigan HC over the bowls. This team will come out angry with something to prove. 17-4 ATS 14 outright wins in Dantonio's last 21 listed as dogs. Now. This opened with Wash State as a the fave. Now it is a pk or even MSU favored. Either way, Sparty is the play. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE 

Going UNDER the total in the Alamodome. Maybe I'm a giant sucker. But the only way I see this game going over is if we get a 20-20 tie and trade scores in OT. We know that Stanford is going to pound the ball and try to run all game with Love. TCU is an under machine, 10 of their last 13. Paterson always has a tough defense. The holding teams to under 100ypg rushing should be taken with a grain a salt since they face some air-raid attacks in the Big 12. But what can't be overlooked is that 5 teams had season low yards vs them. And all teams, had over a 100 yards per game less facing TCU then their season averages. 4* Total Money UNDER Stanford/ TCU 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Man. Was really on these guys coming into the year. Thought the offense would really carry them to the Playoffs. Well, here we are in Orlando with a 9-3 record. Rudolph will score on this defense. I think 10 wins is big for the club. They have a chance to win back to back bowl games. No way that VT has the offense to trade punches. And let's not get wrapped up in the Hokie defense. 21st best passing defense?  Who have they faced that runs a similar offense? West Va in Week 1? Remember that the ACC replaced a couple QBs this year. Watson, Trubisky, Kaaya, Peterman. I won't bore you with their schedule. But beating Old Dom and ECU by big numbers isn't all that impressive. They scored more than 24 in 1 ACC game this year. They didn't even face the best ACC passing teams. I think that the big play ability of the Cowboys is a big difference maker this afternoon. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE 

4* Total Money OVER Missouri / Texas

Taking MISSOURI. We already are on the over in this game. I am just thinking that the Tigers are just playing that much better. Texas barely got here. They get up for 'bigger' named teams. I think Missouri puts up 40+. As long as the Longhorns get off the bus, both side and total should cash easily. But we have seen some duds so far. As we rolled with FAU and La Tech, teams scoring 50, but both games went under. (We didn't have sides in either game) But I would hate this one to end up 44-13 and kick myself for not being on the team I believe is going to cover. 5* Best Bet MISSOURI 

Taking BOSTON COLLEGE. I like Steve Addazzio. I think the kids really play for him. We saw wins over Louisville and Florida State. They get up for big games. Playing a bowl game, even in Yankee Stadium is big for these guys. And really, how is Iowa laying points to anyone. Forget about them ripping apart Ohio State. That is clearly a blip in their season. These guys are a barely a .500 team that isn't that good. Iowa 0-5 SU their last 5 bowl games. Losing by 27 to Florida, 29 to Stanford, 17 to Tennessee, 7 to LSU and 17 to Oklahoma. Now, they are playing BC in the Bronx - Zero motivation factor in a step down spot. 5* Best Bet BOSTON COLLEGE 

Grabbing SOUTHERN MISS and all the points today. How can we not take this dog? I love to gamble as much as the next guy, and the ML +510 or whatever seems inviting. But instead, I will just play the points. First. Basic handicapping brings us to the motivation factor. FSU was a team many thought would be in the Playoffs. You lose your QB and it is all down hill to a 6-6 season just to make this bowl to keep a streak alive. Their HC bolts to Texas A&M. Their defensive leader is sitting out. For Southern Miss, this is a Super Bowl. A chance to beat Florida State. You know their players won't be just going through the motions which could be the case on the other side of the field.  4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS

Going UNDER the total here. Someday's you really like the games. Other days, not so much. I guess you can back Utah and their 10-1 SU HC in his last 11 bowl games. I guess you can back K-State and their 78 HC, who may or may not retire at years end. I wouldn't even argue if you wanted to grab UCLA on the ML. But as our sole Tuesday bowl action selection, I think we have a nice winner on tap. So NIU brings a pretty decent defense to the game, but the offense leaves a lot to liked. The Duke defense ranks a bit better, but their offense is even behind NIU. If this game goes to OT, we are in trouble - Because every other scenario that I have sees this play out to the teams rarely even scoring a combined 45. 4* Total Money UNDER Duke/ Northern Illinois 

Going UNDER the total tonight. Where the heck is any motivation for the Raiders? 3000 miles from home. 30 degrees. Cold, miserably Philly on Christmas night. It's reported that Del Rio has a 50/50 shot at coming back next year. I see this playing into a 24-10, 27-14 type affair. 4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Eagles

4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Texans

Taking FRESNO here. Going with the team that has the better defense. Long trip for Houston. Fresno has played in Hawaii already this season. Cougars on 3rd QB. Have to give it to Tedford, 1-11 to 9-4. Kids are obviously buying in. Applewhite, also in his first year at Houston. Applewhite's first game was last years Las Vegas Bowl where they lost 34-10 to San Diego State. 13-1 in 2015, 9-4 last year, and now 7-4. Just don't see much motivation for Houston. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS 

Taking the COWBOYS this afternoon. Tough laying with Dallas at home especially with their terrible HC. But we are getting a fresh and angry Zeke back. That is enough to move the needle for us to Dallas. This Seattle team is in turmoil. Giving up tons of points. 72 points allowed last 2 weeks! Defense players tweeting at each other. Wilson is a great QB. Guy, by himself, has this team still alive for the playoffs. Now, we have seen Dallas and their brain dead HC crumble with playoffs on the line before. But I can't undervalue the return of Elliot. That is a huge boost. Coming off a 35pt home loss, you expect Seattle to be angry. But the defense is a shell of its former self. My thinking. Zeke, fresh off his break, bullies Seahawks late and Dallas wins this by 10. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. Simple thinking for me here. Giants mail it in here on Christmas Eve. The Eli show comes to an end at home, against rival Redskins. That is the game the Giants go all out. This has been a brutal year all around for NY. The coach. The QB. The WR. The defense. Everything. Good news is they will draft high. Last week they left it all on the field in a near win vs the Eagles. They can't get up like that again. Not a chance. Not 3 weeks in a row. Next week. We'll look to NYG. Both teams playing for pride. Final home game for the Cardinals. Give the fans an early Christmas gift with an easy win! 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

4* Total Money UNDER Jags/ Niners

Taking the JAGUARS. Man. Every where I look I see the Niners are back with Jimmy G. I had these guys with Jimmy the Gent. I get it. They are playing hard. I wrote this in previous write ups. They are playing hard for the new coach, and their QB. But as they say. Defense travels. We can mock Bortles all day long. And who can blame you? Fact is though, the guy has been very good lately. 900+ yards and 7TDs 0 picks last 3 games. And the Jags have been getting into the end zone. Not getting FGs like SF. Jimmy G is moving the ball, but trading 3 and 7 just doesn't add up to Ws. We saw this Jax defense frustrate Big Ben and a pretty good Steelers team to the tune of 5 INTs. Back to how our defense travels. This defense has 51 sacks. SF has given up 42. Good for 8th worse in the league. Jags have allowed just 21 (4th best). SF at tied for 6th least sacks. Jags 2nd in INTs with 20. SF 5th worse with 7. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

4* Total Money UNDER Chargers/ Jets

Taking the TITANS. Had these guys last week ML and they let me down. Now I will grab them as a nice home puppy. Rams off a huge win over Seattle, 42-7. That was their statement game. Much like when we had the Jags over the Seahawks as their statement game. Now, we can see a bit of a let down. They have the Niners at home to close out their season. I just think with a desperate Tennessee team, this is too many points. Titans 9-1 SU their last 10 at home. Have to take the home team this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

4* Total Money UNDER Lions/ Bengals