Taking MICHIGAN here. We have Wolverines favored here - But lo and behold, the Spartans, 10-0 ATS and 8-2 SU in this series last 10 game. MSU 17-5 ATS last 22 as dogs overall. Last year, as 13 faves at home, Wolverines fall 14-10 as O'INT, oops O'Korn tosses 3 INTs and Michigan gets nothing going on offense. Not so much of a problem this season. We have Michigan in off of crushing a decent Wiscy team. Michigan State in off a road upset of a good Penn State team. What is the difference for me is the Sparty offense, or lack of - 13 points vs Arizona State, 19 vs Northwestern - Heck, only 21 vs Penn State. Michigan has a pretty good defense themselves. Harbaugh finally getting some wins vs better Big 10 teams. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN 

Taking SOONERS here. Yes, TCU with double revenge as Oklahoma picked them off twice last year. But Oklahoma in off their bye. Done licking wounds from last second FG by Texas to lose Red River Rivalry. They fire their DC so things can only get better on that side of the ball. Murray is a beast at the QB position. TCU is just having a bad year. I get the defense is still solid. The offense is down right anemic. 16-17-14 points scored their last 3 games. Sooners should win this one by double digits going away. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ARKANSAS. Ok. At first glance, this line does look a bit short. SEC only minus a TD vs AAC Tulsa squad. But the Hogs themselves just 1-6 with new HC Chad Morris enduring a tough run. Can't discount Tulsa coming in off a brutal loss against South Florida last week. Up 14 in the 4th, allow 15pt on USF final 3 drives for the loss. Ouch. Back to SEC vs AAC. I know Tulsa will want to play up to the big conference. But I can't see it happening. It isn't like we are laying double digits here. QB situation for visitors is rough. Skipper out after tossing 6 INTs to just 4 TDs and 716 yards. Enter Boomer who has been better? just 1 INT but 19 of 52 for 37% Completions. Yikes. Arkansas was competitive in 24-17 loss at Texas A&M. The put up 31 against Alabama for a cover 65-31 (+35). They did choke away a 27-10 lead over Ole Miss last game. But this is probably their last chance at a win. Chad Morris won't have his team overlooking a smaller school especially when his own school has just 1 win. Vandy, LSU at home up next, then 2 road games at Miss State and Missouri to end things. I look for a big win for the Razorbacks today. 10* Money Bomb ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 

Taking the BRONCOS here. A rough NFL last week. Still at 61% on the year. And quite frankly, normally I am hovering around .500 this time of year as the dogs really don't come out to play for me until December (hello 76% 31-10 last December!!) 76% !! - So, as good as the start of the season has been, it will only get stronger and better as we move forward. 

Ok - onto Denver. For me. This is it for the Broncos. A couple feel good home loss moral victories to KC and the Rams don't have HC's keep their jobs. Joseph, I think, will be canned if he loses this one tonight. No reason to wait till a bye week or end of the year. So this will it for him. I expect a no holds barred totally effort tonight. Offense letting loose. Risky, ballsy play calling all over the place for the Broncos.  - Now, for Arizona. They cost me a win in the Super Contest as they manage to lose by 10 for a push in the contest. A defensive TD hurts. And you can look, and say, hey, this team is playing tough. They are in these games. And yes. We have cashed with Rosen and the Cards as a home dog vs the Bears, and on the road vs San Fran. I just look at this anemic offense and can't see them doing much. I think Von Miller terrorizes Rosen tonight. At least Arizona is breaking in not only a rookie QB, but a rookie HC. Can't see them firing Wilks this season, even as bad as he has made this team look. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the PACKERS. Do you think this makes me happy? Laying big numbers like this in the NFL - after having our Top GOW on the Lions fading this Green Bay team? - Well, that week is behind. New week. New teams playing. I think Rodgers is getting ready to bring his fury done on the HC. McCarthy probably on the way out after this season. Favre and Rodgers for 20 years and you get 2 Super Bowl wins. What a disgrace. Cousins, Alex Smith, Stafford all a bit better than CJ Beathard. The defense should be able to do something here at home on Monday Night. Bye week up next so GB must exhibit some kind of life. Last time here, they beat up the Bills pretty good. Should see more of the same vs a banged up San Fran team. I took NE a couple weeks ago laying points at home to Miami. Said, if it's over, I will go down with one last swing on a legend. So, I say again. If Rodgers and this GB is officially on the outs, I will go down with a last swing when they know everyone thinks they are down and out on MNF. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Not going to jump on the trending dog in this spot. Going with the veteran HOFer to win this one by 10. I'm not saying KC isn't a decent team or Mahomes isn't good. But beating the Chargers who find new ways to lose every week, a struggling Steelers team, the Niners, pulling out a late win at Denver and getting 5 TOs from the Jags isn't putting them to the top of my charts. Especially with the worse defense in the league giving up over 460 yards a game. Patriots with extra rest last covering for us on Thursday night vs Colts. Also with revenge from opening day loss last year. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTS 

Taking DALLAS, again. Got a win with these guys last week by a hook. I hate Garrett. You already know this from previous write ups. Draft Zeke and don't go for a win on the road in short yardage. Unbelievable. I nearly put this out +150 on the ML. Because that is what is going to happen. Dallas will be up late. And maybe Garrett pulls a Garret and they lose by 1 on a late FG. But how can you back Bortles laying points. I know he can't be worse than last week. But KC has no defense. At least Dallas has some guys to pressure the QB. Maybe they will get some INTs in the secondary eventually. Dak mobile enough not to be a sitting duck vs this defense. We need him to produce at least 1 TD in the air today. I get it. At first look, you have to play the Jags off that terrible game. But this is a back to back road game, out of conference. Big home game vs Houston up next. We either steal this or keep it close enough to cover. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Have we finally the real deal from these guys yet? A nice road win over Philly hopefully gets them on track. Having a shot to tee off at home vs a pasty like Arizona should really get this team humming. We did have Arizona last week as a nice win at San Fran. I don't see them scoring like that today. 26 points in the final 7 minutes? Minny will not overlook the Cards. Hello. They got trucked here by a terrible Buffalo team 27-6. You think they are taking things for granted? They beat San Fran in Week 1 in a miracle cover for us. A tie at Green Bay. Tough spot short week vs Rams, loser 38-31, before last weeks win 23-21 that seemed closer than it was with a late Eagles TD. At home today, I expect for the defense to finally show some teeth vs a rookie QB. Rosen, and his Arizona teammates in an early time slot. How about 0-10 ATS run at this hour of the day? I had Minny pegged as a Super Bowl contender. Time for them to right the ship. Can't see Arizona getting to 17 points. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the REDSKINS. Public love what is fresh in their minds. And what is fresh is Drew Brees and his record breaking performance last week. Skins walked into a buzz saw on Monday night. We knew that. We had the Saints. That game is what people think of Washington. They don't remember the Panthers sleepwalking against the Giants. We backed the Panthers last week with extra prep time and they need a 63 yard FG to walk out of their home stadium with a win. Giants are bad. I know that. I had them on Thursday night. Washington is a tough team. They knocked off GB (we had Skins) here already. Last game on the road, the Panthers gave the Falcons their lone win on the year. I think Alex Smith leads Washington to victory this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the COLTS. I am kicking myself for not taking the Jets last week over Denver. But I will easily fade NY off that game. Colts with extra rest since we faded them in that Thursday night game vs New England. Have to love any defense getting any extra prep time facing a rookie QB. And as much as I like the pick for NY, and think he is a franchise QB, the kid has a long way to go. Yes, Jets rushed for over 300 yards last week - 200+ from Cromwell. He is a 'questionable' with an ankle problem that kept him out of practice until Friday. Darnold 10-22 for 198. 76 on 1 play. So that is 9-21 for 122 - That won't win many games as a favorite. I'm not a fan of the Colts or Luck. But I think they are a decent play on team as the season progresses and he gets back in the swing of things. In this spot, just have to fade NY as small home faves. You know I don't like backing home teams giving less than 3. Being on the road 4 times in 5 weeks is tough for Indy. But the extra time off from the last game I think off-sets some of that. 4* Money Maker INDY COLTS 

Taking the TEXANS. Not trying to make a habit of taking double digit faves in the NFL. That isn't healthy for long term bankroll. But I will fade the Bills here. So we Houston win last Sunday (had Dallas +3.5) in a game that both coaches appear to try to lose. I know the Bills somehow knocked off Minny at home. We saw what happened last time they traveled. 22-0 at Green Bay. A defense nothing like this one. Texans still bring the defense. And the Bills sure don't bring much offense. 47-3 in that Ravens win over Buffalo we had in Week 1. I can see something like that today. Same kind of defense. Back to Back OT games is not what the doctor ordered for sure. Add in Jaguars on deck and this good be like Minny looking ahead to the Rams. Rookie Josh Allen is just too erratic with zero NFL quality receivers. 53% completions. 2 TD 5 INTs. 23-10 gets us a cover. I see plenty of short field opportunities for Texans today. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking the DOLPHINS. So, wasn't that long ago we faded the Bears on the road against Arizona. Will do the same today. Can't trust Mitch as a favorite on the road. This Miami team has been pretty good as we try to forget blowing a 17-0 lead on the road last week. Yes, Bears off their bye week. But I think that hurts them as they looked unstoppable in that 48-10 destruction of Tampa. People love what they see. They see Miami blowing leads and the Bears scoring 40+. Have to grab the home dogs. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the BROWNS. Tough, I know. You look up for a Top Play and it is on a team with 1 win the last 2 years. But we get the Chargers playing on the East Coast clock. They have a game in London up next. Where is the enthusiasm. We had the Chargers last week and they did not disappoint. And I do hate backing this HC. But there is zero quit in the players. Are these guys the cardiac kids or what? Tie vs Pitt. Last second loss to the Saints. Late TD for the win over the Jets. Wild shootout in OT vs Raiders. A OT win with 2 seconds on the clock last week. They sure don't make it easy for the fans. 10* Money Bomb CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking USC. Ok. So one of my odd gambling angles is this. When I see a 'ranked' team getting points I like to take the fave. There are little things I do to tweak this with CBB and CFB, but in most cases, this is a play that really doesn't make us sweat when we play it. Colorado, undefeated at 5-0 catching a full TD from an under-performing 3-2 USC bunch. But we have a nice week of rest under out belts. How about USC on a 2-11 ATS runs last 13? Which is why this line is even more shocking! Now, I guess the easy thing to do would just be to grab the dog that appears to be the better team. Washington - Stanford - Alabama - Utah - Texas. Those are the teams USC has lost two recently. Not exactly upstart programs. The ATS number is bad when you historically lay double digits to schools. In this spot, we aren't laying double digits. I like the Buffs. Thought they would be decent this year. And yes, this is a big 'circle the wagon' type game as Trojans have won 8 straight in the series. But I see this being a 10pt win for the home team. Like I always say when we take an ugly dog, or in this case, an ugly favorite. If it looks to easy, it won't be. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANS 

Taking VIRGINIA. I do like the Hurricanes. Think of myself as a fan of The U. But this is a terribly spot for the 'Canes. Off a huge, 27-7 comeback win over Florida State - How much do they really have in the tank here? Last year, Va had these guys down 28-14 on the road before Miami rallied back. Cavaliers a better team this year. Plus, off their bye week. This is a big game for the home dogs tonight. And let's be honest with ourselves here. How many regular Joe's right now are saying. Oh man. Who is Virginia- Hurricanes can easily win this by a touchdown. Give me Bronco and the points against Perry making his first road start at QB. 4 TDs last week yes, but 13-32 throwing the ball is a bit uneven for me. Home pups as live dogs. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

Going OVER. Yeah. Over the 74. Until I see someone slow this team down, I am going to pencil them in for about 60 points. So they take Tua out at half-time after he tosses 5 TDs and it's 45-7. Will you not be happy when Hurts comes in and tosses 2 more TDs in the first 7 minutes of the 3rd quarter? Drew Lock has decent numbers and Missouri has shown it can score putting up 40-40-35 across the scoreboard. For this to stay under it would mean Bama pitches a shut out and wins 40-0. And that is one scenario I just don't see happening. 4* Total Money OVER Missouri/ Alabama 

Taking UTAH STATE. So this opened near 20 and has gone up a bunch. But that should be expected with UNLV having zero QB play. Aggies will get their 50 points tonight. I don't think the Runnin' Rebels crack 20. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE 

Taking OREGON. Now. The Ducks crushed our soul with they way they lost at home to Stanford. I mean. Really. How did they end up losing that up 10 with 4 minutes left in the game! So. The did bounce back from the epic loss with a win at Cal. Then they had a nice little break to gear up for Washington who rolled them 38-3 last year. You already know I like this kid Herbert at QB. I think he is the top QB in the upcoming draft. Not that I put stock on 'rankings.' But this Huskies team is just 7-11 vs 'ranked' teams. That shows me they aren't as talented against similar competition as when they beat up as mid pack teams. Give me the home dogs for the outright win this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot OREGON DUCKS 

Taking MARYLAND. Terps, home with revenge in this spot. Rutgers is rarely competitive on the road. Even against a low-level Big 10 team like Maryland, Scarlet Knights just don't have the bodies to compete. Would maybe think this as a flat spot off Michigan. But, it is home-coming. So I can see the Terps really running it up for their fan base especially since they have last years loss hanging over them. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND TERPS 

Taking VANDY today. So Florida 2-7 ATS off their LSU game including 6 Straight Up losses. Gators now with 3 straight SEC wins and play in their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Now, I don't think Vandy is a good team by any stretch of the imagination. Simply a spot-play for me with the home dog and the visitor in a flat-spot. 4* Money Maker VANDERBILT 

Taking INDIANA here. Ok. first thing. College hasn't been as great as our NFL. Depending on the site, we are either 36-35 or 34-36-1. Again. Sites and lines are different where one game I could get at a better ML price and a site I might take +2. Doesn't matter. Being .500 isn't putting money on our pockets- 2nd week of October, we have plenty of time to get on track - it start here with this High Noon BEST BET - Home dog, sign me up. This is a tough little team. Off an Ohio State loss. On the road at Penn State next. Iowa is a big team for them yes. But I think they believe this is a game they can win. Like I said PSU next. Michigan down the road. Those are games they won't win. Maryland, Minnesota, Purdue are not gimmies. This team wants to go bowling. 2nd year HC Allen has a talented QB/RB combo. Back to back conference road games are tough no matter what program you are. Facing a hungry underdog doesn't help. Might have to sprinkle some ML +170/175 on these guys. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking the GIANTS tonight. Now. I know you are wondering why we aren't just getting some +130 ML with the G-Men. Well, you should already know that I hate both of these teams. But I don't let my heart or feelings really get in the way of backing teams that make me ill. Plus, these are the Giants. I crashed and burned with them in home dog spot vs the Saints where they failed to show up. Then they rip my heart out last week as they put up a fight vs Carolina. What I am 100% certain of is fading the Eagles. I said this last year after Wentz went down. How could they say he would be ready by the start of the season. It's now mid-October and he still looks out of sync. Their WR situation doesn't help. Nor does the depleted RB field. Home dogs I believe are along the lines of 16-7 so far this NFL season. We have cashed with them plenty of times. Eagles now 1-6-1 ATS last 8 as faves. NYG 6-3 ATS last 9 as division home puppies. Both teams in the proverbial 'must win' spot. But only 1 is the home dog in this bitter rivalry. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS

Taking ARKANSAS STATE. Both teams off byes. I will side with the home dog and might grab +300 on the ML for a bit of change. Appy State will get a lot of love since everyone saw them hang with Penn State and lose in OT on the road. They see 72 points, 49, 52. The offense is shiny. I am not disputing that Appy State is a good team. Probably best in Sun Belt. They should win the East if they beat Troy at home. But the Red Wolves are my pick in the West. This is a lot of points and I have to side with the home dogs. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE 

Taking the SAINTS tonight. Have to say, and you should know this with me by now. Hate, hate hate, laying less than a TD with the home team. Cause all I used to here from every day sports bettors was, oh man, Saints win by a TD no problem. Now, after sitting in a sports book in Jersey for 14 hours, it is 100 times WORSE!! That being said, I still think New Orleans gets it done tonight. Brees should be able to set some records tonight. The dome will be rocking. As good as the Redskins defense appears on paper (3rd in total defense), facing Arizona, the Colts, who they lost to at home, and then beating GB (and lets be honest people. GB is not that good this year - Top 10* on Lions yesterday and had Redskins over them) is a lot different than Brees at home. I do like Alex Smith. The guy doesn't make mistakes, and we also know that the Saints defense gives up points. I just think we have too many horses out of the stable tonight in what should be a high scoring affair. Also like the Over tonight - 2 winners 1 great price! 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking DALLAS. A battle for Texas. With arguably the 2 worse coaches in NFL. Though fans of the Browns, Chargers, Broncos and Cardinals might chip in their two cents. Garrett plays scared and what should have been a Cowboys cover for us turns into a loser. But for the Texans, well O'Brian really takes the cake. I will be on the Under 45 here also. Since I think we see a steady diet of Elliot from Dallas. When he isn't pounding the ball, I think we see him catch about 10 passes out to he backfield. Cowboys have a decent defense. Better than the Texans clinging to their history. After their OT win snapped a 9 game slide, Houston now a 2-12 run their last 14. 2-12! (4-10 ATS) I know Watson is suppose to be the savior for the Texans. They need OT at Indy to get to 1-3 this year. Can't trust them as a fave. We are catching a hook which helps the cause. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly in late action. I'll grab a rookie QB on the road. How do you trust the Niners in this spot? Oh you say. They nearly beat the Chargers last week. CJ Beathard is not going to salvage this season for San Fran. SF with some OL injuries starting to mount. Arizona has actually won 6 straight in this series. Best player on the field, Card RB David Johnson. Rosen gets his first win. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. So typical Chargers they nearly lose as double digit faves vs SF and a back up QB in his first start of the year. Now they face a familiar foe in division rival Raiders. Oakland got a huge OT win in what should have been a home loss to Cleveland. If an NFL game was 1 quarter, Raiders would be a perfect 4-0. But it's not. They look terrible at times. Chargers 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Probably will see a bunch of points as both defense have to make a stop this season. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the BILLS. Ok. Have to be honest. This line scares me a bit. I was all in ML on Buffalo when they were getting 3. Now it has risen to 5. That isn't Joe Public money coming in. But that edge is gone for Titans backers at a FG. It was a what I thought, and probably many others, a prime let down spot. Upsetting Super Bowl Champs at home in OT. That was a very nice win while the Bills were out getting drilled again. Will probably be on the Under 40 also. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the LIONS. Easy to look at this and say, oh man, Rodgers and the Pack just have to win! Easy money. Look. Not that I think the Lions are some great team. They burned me last week as I had the Cowboys. But the Dallas defense is better than this GB bunch. And let's call it the way it is. If the Bears didn't choke away opening night, Packers can be sitting with 1 win right now. They didn't look good in Washington. Think Stafford takes advantage of his WR edge on the secondary this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Had the Giants last week and they laid an egg at home. Now they face Carolina off their bye week. Give me the rested team. Not happy with the line, but will still back Cam and friends. This NYG team has had trouble now for the last couple years scoring. Panthers always bring defense to the party. Should be a 10pt win for the home team today. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS

Late add here at about 930 Sunday morning. Taking the STEELERS. Yeah, we are going 10*. I was tossing and turning on this all week. Simple cause both teams 'need' a win was one of the reasons I chose to try and avoid it. But as I get ready for my sons football game today, I think of his teams advantages. And I just can't not think of how Big Ben has the WRs to destroy this leaky Falcons secondary. We saw it last week in their home loss. We saw it the week before in their home OT loss. Now a dome team is outside vs an always physical bunch coming off being humiliated at home on SNF. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Will grab the home dogs here. Notre Dame off the Stanford win. Hokies 11-3 ATS last 14 as home dogs. This will be a close one. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH 

Taking NEW MEXICO. Big line move since UNLV lost it's QB. Can't see the new guy coming in and lighting things up in his first start. New Mexico should be able to keep it close. Won't be shocked if they pulled the outright win. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO 

Taking BOISE. Just think this an big mismatch for San Diego State. They are banged up coming to the Smurf Turf. I get they are off a bye week. But when you are down your starting QB, RB and FB, you are walking into a tough atmosphere. This is a good Boise team this year. I know they have terrible ATS numbers as home favorites. Looking back a few years, I see several home non covers in between 4 game road trips, and some early games vs non-con foes. This number just seems high as if they are begging you to grab Rocky Long's bunch. Something tells me Rypian tosses 5 TDs and he climbs the conference all-time passing leader board. 10* Money Bomb BOISE STATE 

Taking SYRACUSE today. Yeah. Could be a bit of let-down spot for Syracuse who had Clemson on the ropes. They just couldn't close the deal. But a good coach will have these guys ready to take out that frustration on the next opponent. Orange can't take teams for granted. 5* Best Bet SYRACUSE 

Taking ILLINOIS. I guess you can make an argument for taking Rutgers. They did beat Illinois last year. But there is no way I am coming near Rutgers. They are an auto fade for the rest of the season. No questions, they are bad. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS 

Going OVER. Look. Alabama can get this by themselves. They will score 50 points. What I am really betting on here is for Arkansas to put something on the board. 5* Total Money OVER 

Taking WEST VA - I am not really a fan of laying huge points like this. But I think this is a statement game for West Va. Grier, if he wants to get more into this Heisman talk, need 6 TDs today. I don't doubt we put up a 50 spot here. Kansas hard pressed to put up 21. I'm looking for a 52-17 type of game today. 5* Best Bet WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking UTAH STATE. This BYU is tough. I get it. They have played some 'bigger' programs and won. But I can't get behind this offense right now. Even as a small home fave. Utah State is going to put up some points. Won't be shocked when the Aggies win this one outright. BYU didn't show up at all last week, so expect a focused group. Utah State off a bye week, and this is a big series for them. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE 

Going to go UNDER the total. My normal thinking here. Short week. Colts banged up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk banged up as usual. For me to be on the over, it would mean I was looking for a 34-20 type game. When I think this game is going to be 27-17. 4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Patriots 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I am also on Under 51 here. And like I said in that write up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk a little banged up. But we still have Brady. And I have zero respect for Luck and the Colts on the road right now. They have a ton of guys banged up. And who knows, maybe they all play and everyone is healthy. I still think the Pats put up 27 points. I can't see Indy getting more than 17. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking TROY. Will lay it on the short week. 34-51-49. Those are the points allowed by Georgia State prior to last weeks 46-14 win. Did I mention them getting 4 turnovers? Troy puts up 40 a game and will get their points tonight. I think this is a 20 point win. 4* Money Maker TROY 

Taking the RAVENS. Not sold one bit on the Steelers. Baltimore cashed for us nicely last week, (had Bucks on MNF). Ravens 5-1-1 last 7 ATS in the series. Pitt won both last year. Probably see some points tonight, but in the end, we get that outright win. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Not really a fan of laying 2 scores. But I think this is a spot where Rivers and the company drop 30+. Let's toss out the huge loss of Jimmy G. That has to suck the wind out what was thought by some to be a playoff bound season. We have see the CJ Beathard show behind center. Didn't we see an 0-9 start and he goes 1-5. I see the offense with points of 10-10-10-13 .. 21 at home vs NYG and 23 at Washington in his first start. Not sure how he pulled out 2 TDs. But I can't see him coming in and going toe to toe with Rivers. Chargers defense not elite. But neither are the Niners. 3rd road game in 3 weeks even though it is in state. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the GIANTS. You have to know by now how much I hate NY. But I am not blinded by my heart. They have some major problems. For me here, all about the spot for the Saints. Off a huge OT win at Atlanta. Division rival. Now back to back roadies. Home dog who finally got a win last week as a dog. Saints defense is far from decent and even farther from good. This NY team still has some weapons. Barring a huge shift in weather, (not calling for winds), this game should be wild one. We have cashed fading the Saints in Week 1, and playing them in Week 3. What is clear in all 3 games. They could easily be 3-0 or 0-3. Don't think they should be favored, especially outside on the road. 8* Sure Shot NEW YORK GIANTS

Going UNDER. Dallas has gone under in 11 of their last 12. This offense is sputtering. The defense has been solid. Lions off huge win Sunday night over the Patriots. Defense showed up finally for them. Or are the Pats slipping with Brady having trouble with nobody to throw to? Dak has nary a soul to throw to also. If we get steady Zeke, that milks the clock for us. Stat-ford, I mean Stafford can air it. But I just can't get off the fact of how poorly this Cowboys team has performed for almost a year now. 4* Total Money UNDER Lions / Cowboys 

Going UNDER here in Tennessee. Have you seen these two play? One, Wentz still shaking off the rust. Titans a tough team to play. Maybe their last 2 big wins, over the Jags 9-6 and Houston 20-17 were more being familiar with opponent and grinding out an ugly win. But Philly comes in with bigger fish to fry on deck as the Vikings come to down. An out of conference loss won't way as heavy. We saw the Eagles lose outright on the road in Tampa. Different offense in place though for Titans. Not going to shock me to see 17-3, 20-0, 20-17. First team to 20 wins. 4* Total Money UNDER Eagles/ Titans 

Taking the BENGALS. Have to fade the Falcons here. So we backed them against the Eagles and Panthers. But had New Orleans last week and will go against them again this week. That was a tough division game. OT to boot. And you had the ball pushed down your throat for TD in that OT. Injuries starting to mount for Falcons. Always a soft spot for Cincy and I don't know why. They always seem to break my heart as the calendar turns later and later in the fall months. Back to back roadies, and 3rd road game in 3 weeks has me down-grade this a bit. But Cincy has been a strong ATS team in Septembers. (15-6-2) 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Maybe I should have thought more about pupil facing teacher last week. Lions going all out for their coach, who knows a thing or 2 about the Patriots, after having their backs to the wall out of the gate. Well now it is time to back another home team with their backs to the wall. Not saying if NE loses here they can't real off 10 straight when they get their WRs back. But there is no way I can back Miami in this spot. Maybe Brady and Hoodie are on the outs. And if it is, so be it. We have always heard after a loss or 2. Well. this is it. Brady done. Pats done. Dynasty over. It takes a lot for not to be on the Dolphins. When I see 6.5, all I think about is Joe Public saying no way the Pats don't win by a TD. They've lost 2 in a row. They're due! - We all know that sports betting isn't that simple. It is simple for me though. If the end has finally arrived for New England, it will be with me backing them to win by a Touchdown over their division rival. Small play - 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Look. This is a difficult call I get it. We look at Dallas, the offense has been terrible, Dak,terrible for a years worth of games. Why will that change now? Well. For me, I really like this spot today. We have the Lions coming in off their Super Bowl. Let's face it. They get humiliated on MNF Opening night. They show up with about a quarter to play in SF to make the score respectable. Then, the game their new HC is probably most worried about. Not the Bears. Or Packers. Or Minny.. No. New England. His former boss. A team that is the Apex predator of all teams. The most hated QB and HC and franchise in all of football. And he only just left a few month ago with all he knew about all his players. Wish I really thought about that more last week cause I would have unloaded ML on the home dogs. So where to go but down? Dallas is the desperate team now. They will be the ones pulling tricks out there pockets. They need to do something, and they need it done yesterday. I am also on this under 44. Because of the Cowboys said woes on offense. But I think this defense is pretty good. They will give Stafford from problems. I see this shaping up to be a 23-13 type of game. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking CAL and going ML. You can grab the points, but I think the Ducks will be prime for a road loss tonight. Man. We had a brutal loss backing Oregon last week. Putting that behind us though. But that is easy when you just lose some cash. We wake up and it is a new day. For the players. That is a really bad game. And for the coach, you have to be thinking, well, what the heck was he thinking! A kick in the teeth like that is tough to come back from. Being on the road makes it doubly tough. And as a fave, well good luck. Off a bye, have to grab the home dogs. 4* Money Maker CAL BEARS 

Taking FRESNO. Rested home team. I'm in. Toledo off a win over Nevada. But playing that game is much different than the Bulldogs on the road. Blocked punt and KO TDs help the cause. But Reno also has allowed 50pts in 8 of their last 12 games. Come on. Bulldogs should take care of business at home tonight. Fresno 9-2 ATS last 11 at home and 14-3 ATS last 17 overall. Not going to knock Toledo offense who has scored 60 twice this season. But this is a long way from Ohio vs a pretty solid defense. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking OHIO STATE. Look. Not a fan of either school. OSU has the W's lately in the series, 5 of 6 SU. Penn State 3-1 ATS last 4. But the numbers show me how much more dominate Buckeyes have been. The Bosa loss can't be overlooked. This defense isn't elite. But McSorley hasn't matched last years numbers either. Haskins is putting up huge numbers for the OSU offense right now. These lines are normally double digits. 7, 17, 17.5, 14, 15. Now it's a baby number. 73-8 overall , 47-3 in Big 10 play for Meyer here at OSU. Lost at home 17-14 to Mich State in 2015. 2016, on this field 24-21. Remember that game. 21-17 OSU, line up for FG, blocked, to the house 24-17 PSU. And of course, who can forget them getting demolished 55-24 by Iowa last year. I see something close to a 10pt win here. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Taking BOISE tonight. Will lay the big number. Had Boise in their no-show at Oklahoma State. Well this is the team they take out all that frustration on. Both teams off byes. So they each have had time to lick their wounds off losses. But this Boise team is much better. Hello. Laying 3 scores on the road. We are winning by 20. And could probably stretch this to a near 30pt in the area of 42-14 type of game. The defense for Boise should have no problems containing this Cowboys offensive unit. 5* Best Bet BOISE STATE

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Huskies the top dogs in the MAC for me. Off 3 straight losses. Iowa, Utah, Florida State. Pretty decent teams. EMU off a tough loss at San Diego State and a 1-2 road trip. Beat Purdue, lost to Buffalo. Northern Illinois though 16-1 SU last 17 vs Eastern Michigan. 10 straight. 7-3 ATS last 10. Now catching points? Maybe this is the old low hanging fruit game and NIU has fallen on hard times. But I need to see them in MAC play to make that determination.  4* Money Maker NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking INDIANA. Small play here as we fade my state's laughing stock of a football team. Man. I really thought we could get a coach in here that could keep NJ's talented players home. This is as bad as things have been in like 20 years. As if losing to Kansas wasn't bad enough, they get housed by Buffalo. From the MAC? Who took off the entire 2nd half and Rutgers still didn't have a prayer. Indiana isn't a dominate Big 10 team. But they have been kicked around enough to want to lay some pain on a bad squad. Have to fade Rutgers at every turn from here on out. 4* Money Maker INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking TEXAS TECH today, going ML. We can grab them at 3.5/4, but I have faith in our home dog. I do like West Va. Have a nice Heisman ticket on Grier. But hitting the road vs offense. Should be a tad more difficult for the defense then the K-State squad they just faced. Or Youngstown. Or Tennessee. Game looks to play out high scoring as we see a 77 as the opening total. I'm rolling with the Red Raiders. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH

Taking BUFFALO. So, at first look, yes. Fade the Bulls off beating Rutgers. Yeah, Rutgers is not a good team. But it is still a Big 10 team, that you mauled on the road. Looking at the numbers, and being an NJ guy, we see that Buffalo really took the foot off the gas in the 2nd half. They are ready for Army. They face Army enough not to be had by their offense and the defense can make a stop or two. And what about Army. Man, tough loss at Oklahoma. I always give the service academies a bump in my ratings just because of the career paths they have chosen. It is do the job, back to work. But that is a draining affair. Again OT at Oklahoma. Offense held the ball for 45 minutes. Not tired at all here? They converted 3rd and 4th downs. Buffalo pulls away last for a double digit win. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking COLORADO. Now normally, I would be looking at the the dog in this spot. But I cannot come anywhere near UCLA right now. The Westgate send out line for this was PK back in July. Well, when you lose your starting QB. A back up transfers. You have a young QB learning a new offense from an old NFL coach who ran a great College offense, and a father of a QB questions play calling. Safe to say you are having a tough go. Chip Kelly will have this team back on track soon enough. But it will take some time. Colorado cruising at 3-0. Will like to smack around the bigger PAC 12 name  and has revenge for 27-23 loss last year. No lack of focus for Buffs. Bruins with 12 straight losses away from the Rose Bowl. The Colorado defense isn't any great shakes for sure. But the offense is running very well right now. Should easily get to the mid 30s and that should be enough for a double digit cover. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO BUFFALOES 

Taking the VIKINGS. Maybe this is a sucker play. I see 6.5 in spots, 7. A few 7.5 - For me. A total overreaction line off Minny losing at home to the Bills. No way around it. Do we forget last year in Minny, Rams scored on first drive, then, nothing. 24-7 win with the Vikes scoring 17 in the 4th. This is a HUGE gave for Minnesota. Off a terrible loss. They have a tie. They need a Win. Rams are as talented as any team in the league. Some CB problems now for LA. Cousins needs a good game. He beat the Rams last year while playing for the Redskins. Believe it or not I am also liking the Over 49.5 a bit. Revenge yes for the Rams. But Vikings really with their backs to the wall tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking NC tonight. Just think this is too many points, even with a road team on a short week. This is still a conference game. National TV. Heels will be pumped up. Miami defense is solid. They have solved their QB troubles. But laying 18 in a conference game. Visiting coach on a bit of a hot seat. Dogs for me. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking TAMPA here. I did a video way back in mid-July taking the Bucs in Week 1 over the Saints. Lo and behold not only did they roll the Saints, the come back vs the rested Super Bowl Champs and deliver another outright win as short dogs. Now they get the 0-2 desperate Steelers and again, an ever so slight home dog. I know Pitt needs this win. But this team is in turmoil right now. No Bell. Players calling out Bell. Bryant twitting about getting traded to prove he's good. That is a lot of off shield non-sense. Not to mention their on field play which hasn't been all that spectacular. Enter TB. I said I like FitzMagic behind center better than Crab Legs. Guy is a gritty vet. We saw him lead the Jets to some wins with his veteran presence and players around him. Same spot here. Jackson and Evans are good players with some time under their belts. Something to prove to nay-sayers. OJ Howard had 6 TDs last year. He's a good TE who I think should get to 10 TDs if Fitz is here the entire year. Just a whole different atmosphere in Tampa. Players saying if they are winning, Crabby shouldn't get the starter spot back. Give me the Bucs again. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCS

Taking the PATRIOTS tonight. Not wasting any time getting down on this game. Will probably see some 7s by game time. Hate taking a public team like this, especially in an ESPN spot like this. But I can't fade Brady and Hoodie off a loss. Especially when we see Brady yelling at teammates. Pats don't lose many game a year. Losing to a tough defensive team like the Jags on the road is one thing. Them losing to this Lions team. Not likely. Ex DC faces mentor. Give me BB all day long. This Lions defense hasn't looked good in its first 2 games. Matt STATSford seems to be good only in garbage time. This game to me has 37-20 written all over it. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly, sure. But do you really have that much faith in this Bears team laying this on the road? This is a big number for a young team. I know they have a good defense. And that is a nice edge. Would it be shocking to see Josh Rosen come in ala Baker Mayfield style and pull out the win this afternoon? I faded the Cards last week against the Rams. But like Week 1, I am back on them at home. It would really help the cause if we used our great RB more. That would really make life easier for whoever is behind center. We have seen the Bears in back to back prime time games. Blowing a lead vs GB and then beating Seattle, who, people still bet on like it's 2014. Public will be all over Chicago. Arizona off one of the worse performances of the season so far. Might also be looking at the Under 38 here. But right now, 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Going UNDER the total. Ok. So Dallas has a decent defense I think. Seattle offense nothing special. Cowboys OL once the best in the league, has a couple issues. We won't even start on the lack of fire-power on Dallas O. Until I see a lot more out of the Cowboys offense, I think the Under is an auto-play for me right now. 4* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Seattle 

Taking the SAINTS early. Should probably go ML for +150 the way we have cashed NFL. But we aren't greedy. We grind out day in, day out. I know NO has not looked good this year. I faded them Week 1. Backed them Week 2. And here we are again. Big edge for me is the Saints staff. We have seen this Atlanta offense sputter for over a year now with their play calling. Maybe Sark opens things up. Even if that is the case, NO has some horses of their own. We haven't really anything close to an 'A' game from New Orleans. Falcons a very good team, but I think they clipped here at home. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Going UNDER the total here. Somehow the Titans pulled out a win with Blaine Gabbert under center, 20-17 over the Texans. Even in a potential let-down spot off a big win over the Pats, I can't see this defense giving up 20 points. They have double revenge from last year. That is a nice little extra motivation. Where this line is at, it shows me that Mariotta will probably be under center. I would think it would be closer to 9-10 if it is Gabbert facing this defense. Fournette still a little banged up. I can see the Jags going through the motions and still pulling out a 23-9 game here. 4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Jags

Taking the REDSKINS. Faded these guys in Week 1. Was going to fade them in Week 2 but was worried about any hurricane remaining weather with dome Colts in town. But this is an easy play for me. One. I like Alex Smith. That guy is not going to do anything stupid to hurt you. Two. How about GB's first 2 games this season. A huge come from behind win over the Bears when Rodgers went out, then returned. Last week, they blow a lead. Had a bad call against them. Should have lost on FG. End up in a tie. How do they respond off 2 last second games like that. And hit the road for the first time this season. Plus, you see this line, some 2.5s even. You know just like me. You hear in your sleep, some uniformed troll saying how easy Packers are this week. Same line they said last week in Philly / Tampa game. home dog please. 4* Money Maker 

Taking the NINERS. Faded these guys Week 1 vs Minny and was sweating bullets before pulling out the cover. But Jimmy G can play. And this is a nice number to grab on SF as dogs. KC defense not exactly world beaters. Early line on this was 2, 2.5. Now we are 6.5 and 7. Niners as a dog will always be something I look for. Jimmy G 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in his brief career. Against a defense that gives up some points, I'll grab the dogs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS 

Taking the RAVENS early. Catching Denver in their first road game of the year. 1-9 ATS and SU last 10 on the road. Coming cross country. Off a last second win over the Raiders. We have extra rest. Broncos in my eyes, paper tigers. I think the Ravens are the better team. Plain and simple. Coaching edge in our favor. Defense should be able to contain Keenum. Denver held off a bad Seattle team. They need a miracle comeback vs a Raiders team that in its first 2 games, seem to only show up for 1st halves. No such luck today. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Will grab ARIZONA STATE. Big dogs for sure. Faded Washington last week and couldn't cash. But the offense to me is still a bit of a question mark. I get the huge revenge angle for Washington. Arizona State has 12 straight covers with 11 straight-up wins vs Washington! What the heck is that? This is a big number, and ASU has played decent for Herm. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE 

Taking OREGON. Will grab the ducks on the ML. I just think this is a different team when Herbert plays. This guy makes the offense go. 52ppg down to 15ppg - I know Stanford is good. They have a Heisman guy in RB Love. But I feel the Ducks want to show they are back after 4-8 and 7-6 seasons. This is a huge game for the program in a revenge role. 5* Best Bet OREGON 

Taking LA TECH. So nice little spot to grab 3 TDs. LSU stole our soul last week as we backed Auburn. But off that huge upset, we get them in a bit of let-down spot. Nothing like a last second win and then a game vs a mid-major. Make no mistake though, this big brother/ little brother fight has huge implications for the dogs. How many of this kids grew up wanting to play for LSU? And they are at La Tech. Total disrespect card to be played along with huge dogs in an instate battle. Skip Holtz group should battle for their conference championship. I am still not sold on LSU even after that big road win. Down 21-10 last second FG to win on road. Ole Miss on deck. LSU should win, but I can't see them covering this number vs rested dog with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet 

Grabbing RICE and the points. Owls have covered 6 of the last 8. Off a bye (last played at Hawaii), while Southern Miss bye caused by Hurricane. Southern Miss is probably the better team based on Rice's 1-11 record last season. But sometimes you get a new coach and every thing changes. They have covered both games vs Houston and Hawaii putting points on the board. Against Houston, they put points up early. In Hawaii, it was late. That is where that long travel comes into play. But it also shows no quit. So we get an under-achieving Southern Miss team laying a pretty big number. Give me the hungrier team with something to prove. 5* Best Bet RICE OWLS 

Taking MARSHALL. Will sprinkle some +180 ML on this puppy also. I like the Herd team. A lot of starters back. Could battle for top spot in CUSA East and get into the Championship Game. Have to love a home dog vs Power 5 school. Also playing with revenge. NC State for me is a mid-pack ACC team. Wolfpack defense for me allows us to cover, and even get the outright win. 8* Sure Shot MARSHALL 

Taking TCU. I am tossing out Herman's great under dog record. Because Gary Patterson has absolutely owned Texas. 155-33. That isn't a typo. Last 4 games vs Texas, Horned Frogs 155-33. I think this line is a little short. Texas pulled out a big home win over SC. While TCU was undone vs Ohio State with some miscues. Well they take out that frustration on in-state rival and shows the State of Texas where the premier program is. 4* Money Maker TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking VIRGINIA as our Top Play. Like this team. Like the coach. Clearly 2 programs going in opposite directions. Petrino at the 'Ville misses Lamar Jackson behind center. I just can't see them really keeping pace with the Cavs. Bronco Mendenhall will have the team focused in revenge mode. Too much offense as Virginia jumps out fast (last week 35-7 3 minutes to go in 2nd Q) and never looks back. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. So a lot of things working here. We Akron off their first Big 10 win beating Northwestern on the road. Back to back roadies vs Power 5 schools. Last year 41-14 Zips lost at home. Riding high after win and thinking they can knock off another Power 5 school? Let-down game after huge victory? What about the Cyclones desperation? Sitting at 0-2, these guys in the all too familiar 'circle the wagon' situation. TCU and Oklahoma State road trips await. You think these guys are looking ahead? They already know their schedule. No way they under estimate Akron here. Especially with them coming in off a win. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

Taking USC. Said on twitter the other night the send out line on this was USC -15.5. 15.5! SC has looked terrible the last 2 weeks vs Stanford and Texas. Offense sputtering. Getting stuffed at the 1 in that Texas game was really the turning point for me. Up 14-13 and going in, that changes everything. And on the road, that will suck the wind right out of your sails. Wash St comes in averaging 40ppg. But this is a big step up from Eastern Washington. Think the proverbial hot seat is entering the picture for the staff at USC. The good news is that Helton and Co. have won 12 straight at home. And, will be looking for revenge for last years road loss. Desperate team, I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANS 

Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Well, Lane laid an egg for us way back in Week 1. But I will grab him and his squad as a nice double digit dog tonight. I like UCF. And I think the Heupel hire is solid. But this is still his 3rd game as HC. This is a HUGE game for not only bragging rights of these smaller schools, but has monster ramifications for recruiting the same players. And let's be honest, the way Florida and FSU have fared lately, they can be moving up on the players they are going after. That is a different write up all together. So I like FAU and the points. Just think this is going to be a lot closer than this line. 6-1 ATS as double digit dog for the Lane Train. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking the BROWNS. Yeah - You can say it is tough backing a team as a FG fave when they haven't won a home game since Dec 2016! We can say Cleveland could, or should be 2-0 if they had a decent field goal kicker. We can say with certainty that the Browns do have a good defense. And that my friends, is why we are rolling with Cleveland. Tough spot for a rookie QB, on the road, and a short week for the icing on top. Was also thinking about the Under but will just attack the small home fave and build our bankroll. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Going UNDER the total. Got hurt yesterday with our totals, but will attack again under the number. Bears have a good defense. I think they get after Russell Wilson tonight. This Seattle O has some problems. Wilson is a very good QB, and has solid stats on MNF. But the problem is the rest of the team just is not at that level. Off a terrible game at Denver (470 yards allowed), now in a back to back road situation. I think HC Pete Carroll gets the troops to rally off that game. Don't see many points. First team to 20 probably wins this thing. Seattle under in 5 of their last 7 on the road. Bears under 6 of their last 7 overall and under 6 of their last 8 at home. 4* Total Money UNDER Seattle/ Bears 

Taking the GIANTS tonight. Last week we faded NY in our big GOW and cashed our 10* on the Jags. Well we are on the G-Men for Sunday night. One, I am a Cowboys fan. But I don't let teams I like blind me. Garrett has to go as HC. I have been saying this for the last few years. Anyone who has purchased plays gets a full run down on why he is a terrible coach. Like I said last week. I thought Coughlin would really fire up the players to avenge his firing. Tough spot for NYG against a very good defense. Dallas defense is ok, but nothing like the Jags. Eli has some players to help with ODB back and Barkley in the backfield. Can't count out the banged up Dallas OL. Giants never had problems generating pressure on Cowboy QBs. Dallas O in turmoil. Stacked Ds all year to shut down Zeke and force Dak to beat you with one of the worse WR groups in the league. Giants 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAMS. Will lay this very hefty number. And I'm a dog guy. Especially with a division foe like this. But Arizona looks bad. I had them last week. And maybe this number is pumped up a FG based on how poorly they looked last week. But do we expect a big offensive game here? Fact is, (we had Raiders/Under) the 2nd half of MNF the Rams found their groove on both sides of the ball. This is their home opener. Against a team they demolished last year by a combine score off, stop me if you have heard this 100 times already this week, 66-15. What has changed? Cards bring in a new HC in Steve Wilks, a DC guy. Preseason is one thing. Everyone playing hard for the new regime. Regular season a lot different as every team is playing hard, on every play. Arizona O build around their stud RB. But if Rams get off to a fast start. Which, judging by last year, and 2nd half Monday night, they will. That renders their opponents best player useless. 23 points in the second half. Defense with 3 INTs. I get Bradford is a decent game manager. And you have Fitz at WR, Johnson at RB to try to milk the clock and score some points. But are they putting up over 20? Because I don't see their defense holding the Rams to less than 34. This has 34-13 written all over it. 40-17 wouldn't shock me. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Going UNDER the total. Chargers coming out east. Early start. I know LAC allowed some points last week. But we can't overreact to that. KC has some weapons, Bills not so much. This team was going to struggle this year. And they will. 47-3. Both defenses with something to prove after giving up a combined 85 points last week. As of this writing, I am actually leaning Bills and the points here on Tuesday night.  4* Total Money UNDER Chargers/ Bills 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Have to say. Had the Under in their Game 1. After a few weather delays, we got a shoot out. We did cash the Jets as a nice dog outright. But I think we our getting some value in this spot. Jets looked great. But let's be honest here. Rookie QB now making his second start. Every team looks bad in this division because the Patriots sit a the top. But I think Miami will toss some new wrinkles at the rookie. The defense isn't a bad unit. Offense is decent enough. Again, I think we have extra value based on the Monday night factor. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Going UNDER the total. Now. Had Falcons and Under in the Eagles first game. I expect the defense to show up again. And I had Tampa and the points in their monster win on Sunday. 48 points. And this opens at 44, some 43.5 around. Look. Eagles have a defense. And, I thought TB would have an improved D. But Foles is not Dome Drew Brees. And as much as I like FitzMagic as a steady vet, now 3-1 in his Tampa starts, this is a tougher battle. Philly with extra rest can only help the defense better prepare. While the Bucs let it all hang out vs a division rival. First glance has me looking towards the Eagles. But sometimes when a line looks to go to be true, it often is. for now 4* Total Money UNDER Eagles/ Bucs 

Taking the VIKINGS. Rodgers plays, doesn't play. Wouldn't make much difference to me. Like I said last week in taking Minny. Best defense in football. Bears are pretty good. But GB gets another angry division foe. I think Minny is reppin' the NFC in the Super Bowl. I am not that high on Packers defense. Rodgers could be fired up. Vikes knocked him out of game last year on a 'cheap shot.' But we do know that Minny has no qualms about taking shots on the QB. And real fast to last week vs SF. A bit sloppy in the cover. But maybe they were just a tad more focused on this match-up instead. And as long as we are on last week. How about that comeback. Bears, whoever. down 20-0 3 minutes left in the 3rd? That is a lot of gas being used up in the tank. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Taking the STEELERS. Not going to over react to 5 TOs on the road and a tie at Cleveland. They could have, and probably should have won that game anyway. Now they are home. Big Ben totally different QB at Heinz field. Numbers back it up. Bell loss not the problem in their last game. KC will be in another shoot-out. Difference being, Pitt has a defense that can make stops. Back to back road games for KC. I think this is a 10pt win for the home team. 8* Sure Shot PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking UTAH. Utes have played these guys tough last 2 years. Not thinking much have changed. Tough test again on the road for Washington. They couldn't get it done vs Auburn. Tigers better than these Utes for sure. But a tough conference foe on the road. Not an easy task. Have to grab the home dogs. 4* Money Maker UTAH 

Going UNDER. Not sure where the points for USC will come from. I don't think the Texas defense is as bad as it appears. I think this will be a 27-13 type of game. 4* Total Money UNDER Texas/ USC

Taking PURDUE. I know MizzU has revenge for last years loss (35-3). But this is a tough spot. Boilermakers now 0-2 after a terrible loss to Eastern Michigan. 0-2 and desperate. First road game of the year. Plus, Tigers have South Carolina on deck. I have this game as a toss up. So getting this amount of points on the home dog is a big bonus. 4* Money Maker PURDUE BOILERMAKERS 

Taking ALABAMA. I don't know. I can see this being a 30 point game. Tide can really name the score. I had Bama last year and they rolled these guys. I know that previously, Ole Miss had won 2 of the last 3 before getting demolished last year. I think we can see something like that again tonight. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking TEXAS TECH. Not sure why all the love on Houston. This team really has only a few good games under their belt. Both HCs, for me, are on the proverbial 'hot seat'. Maybe a bit more at TT. I think this could be a back and forth affair. I will back the Red Raiders. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Like this little squad. Arkansas blew a 27-9 lead last week. Will have their hands full with a Fine QB for NT. Mean Green should be able to put up some passing yards with the best QB in conference.  Enough points for us to easily back NT. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS 

Taking BOISE here. Will grab the small points with the dog. I know a lot of times I am grabbing MLs at 3 or less. But I can see this one really coming down to something late. For me, the Boise defense is the difference maker. 10 guys back on that side of the ball. Cowboys always tough at home, especially when you see this short number. But a new QB behind center, vs a team that is always tough. Again. Comes down to someone making a stop. And I am betting on the road dogs to come through. 4* Money Maker BOISE STATE 

Taking AUBURN today. Look. I had LSU on the ML over the Hurricanes. But I am laying it and expecting a 15-20 point win Saturday afternoon. Right off the bat - Huge revenge spot for us blowing 20-0 lead last year. Home team on a 16-2 SU and 13-4-1 ATS run. LSU still has some QB issues. Do we really think they are coming in here and winning? Because, if I am taking a dog, I think it wins outright. I don't think the back door will be in play here. Guess people forget that Auburn smacked both Georgia and Alabama when they were ranked #1 on this field. This is a good Tigers team. 10* Money Bomb AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking OHIO here. Nearly made this a ML play. I have Ohio as the best in MAC East. I know Virginia isn't a sexy big school, but for the MAC, it's a big game. Off their bye week, I expect them to be more than ready to hang with this ACC team. Now. We did cash backing Virginia last week. But in this spot, game being played in Vandy's Stadium with Hurricane in town. I can't think they are fully focused here. As much as they need this win, I think Ohio is the hungrier team with less on their plate right now. Bobcats can stop this run game and force Perkins to beat them with his arm which he hasn't shown much consistency in doing. Solich is a solid mid-major coach and has pulled some upsets out of his hat before. 5* Best Bet OHIO BOBCATS 

Taking PITT. Almost went ML here. I'll grab the home dogs off a rough game as they were humbled by in state big brother, Penn State. G-Tech defense for me is why I lean on the homers. Don't see them making a key stop along the way. A little revenge on tap at Heinz today. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Going SYRACUSE on the ML in this spot. You can grab 3. But really. If it's that close, I am betting on the Orange to get the outright win. Westgate sent this out as a GOY at FSU -9.5. I would have been on Syracuse then also. Fact is for me, I don't think Noles are that good. They weren't good last year. They really haven't impressed this year. We did cash with Va Tech over them already this season. I'm still trying to figure out all the love for Willie Taggart. Guy was 47-50 before coming to FSU. Am I missing something in his coaching history? Getting South Florida ranked in 2016 is what got him the job here? He'll get top Florida recruits? Syracuse isn't anything special. But Dino Babers at least has shown me he can produce. 7-5, 12-2 at Eastern Illinois ranked 25th and 4th. Bowling Green 8-6, 10-3 pair of Bowl Games. Syracuse a pair of 4-8 to start, and 2-0 here in Year 3. They had a couple tough road losses to LSU and NC State covering as big dogs. They squeezed out 3pt home wins over Pitt and that epic Clemson game. They hit the road for a pair of tough back to back losses at Miami and FSU. The wheels came off the next 3 games, but that was a very good showing for this team in my eyes. I think we have the better coach. The players obviously will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Hate that the Orange are getting public love, but we are riding the home dogs. 4* Money Maker SYRACUSE