Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will go back to the well again. As i said then. No team with more to prove. If they have any shot at the Playoffs they need 20-30 point win here. Win, win and win some more. This will be one of their 38-17 type games. 4* Money Maker UCF 

Taking VIRGINIA. No time like the present to end a 14 game losing streak to your in-state rivals. VT suffering through a bad year. I know as home pups, you would think they are up and ready to play their rivals. I just can't get behind the Hokies. Even off a loss, VA has a lot working in its favor. Big edge on defense. A QB completing over 70% of his passes last 3 games. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA

Going OVER the total. Saints go under last week putting up 48 points! Look. This is a lot of points that NO is laying, 12-13 in some places. I think they score 40+. This Falcons defense couldn't stop them at home. And the Saints defense had problems also. Brees at home has been, well, the guy is  HOFer. That is all you need to know. Atlanta with enough O to put up 24-30. 4* Total Money OVER Falcons/ Saints 

Taking the SAINTS, and will look for a 20+ point win. Look. Had these guys last week. And they rolled. And it looked like they went easy on Philly. Falcons in off loss to Dallas. We had the Cowboys and the points (lost the Over though). This is it for Atlanta. For you to be on the Falcons you have to be thinking they win out. They need to win their final 6 games for 10 wins and a playoff spot. They still have games at GB, Carolina and TB. And before you laugh at Tampa, just look at the points they put up. Plus games at home vs Baltimore and Arizona. And to tell you the truth, that isn't really weighing all that much on my play here. Rams won on Monday night. And for NO to hold that tie-breaker edge and home field through playoffs, they need to win. And this team isn't a win by a point team. Brees is on another level right now. He should carve up this defense like we will be carving up our Turkeys and Hams 3 hours prior to this kick-off. New Orleans again will toy with dropping a 50 spot. The sites don't have first half lines - But I can see NO jumping out to a fast lead by half-time if you want to sprinkle something on that. At this points, Saints really can just name their score vs teams. I think they want this 40pt streak to continue. The spots where I think NO is ripe for being picked off (though I was wrong at Cincy) is possibly Dallas next week or, playing their 3rd straight game at Carolina in 3 weeks. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking DALLAS - I know that Dallas is terrible at home ATS wise 0-7 on Thanksgiving. I know that Thanksgiving home faves are great ATS wise 15-3 when laying 7 or more. I don't think there is much drop off at the QB position for Washington. I think the bigger issue is their OL play. Dallas defense is tough. Not great at turning teams over, but the defense is very sound. Last game, Jason Garrett clapped his way to lose. That's what this clown does. Crush peoples hopes and dreams when you back them. In this spot, like last week. I swallow hard and pray to the football Gods that in a league that gave us a 100pt game on Monday night, this guy doesn't continue to bring back 3 yards and a cloud of dust football. Zeke is the key. The kid does it all out of the backfield. He then opens things up for Dak.  Back to back upset road wins has Cowboys back in the NFC East hunt - Winner here takes first place as even splitting, Dallas 3-1 in division, Redskins 2-1. Huge game for Cowboys. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Going UNDER the total. I just feel everyone will be thinking this is 45-40. I have to think opposite of that. 34-30 is a winner. How about Gurley for 140 yards, milking the clock for 34-28. I know we have seen some big over games this year. But if you have been following me this year or last year, or ever, you know we go outside the box sometimes. 4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Rams 

Taking the VIKINGS. Going ML. If you want to buy the 2.5 to 3, I guess that is fine. I just don't think we need the points. A nice spot with Minny coming off their bye. Playing better winning 4 of their last 5. Finally getting healthy. This is a great story going on in Chicago. Might be the only time that the Bears face a defense that is probably as good as theirs - Vikes can bring it on that side of the ball. Trubisky having a nice year. But the offense really gets rolling off the defense making plays. Bears missed 2 PATs and FGs last week. That can come back to haunt you vs good teams. This Minny team was suppose to be a top flight NFC contender. Like Zimmer to get it done on the road. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the SAINTS. We faded NO last week and it cost us. Otherwise, we have pegged these guys all season long. This line is moving. Not surprising really. Eagles O didn't look good vs Dallas. And Saints D is not as good as the Cowboys defense. But at home, Brees and the New Orleans will do damage. Golden Tate will probably score a TD this week. There is a nice prop bet if you can find it. But I don't think that Philly can slow down this machine right now. Rush, pass. Doesn't matter. NO finds ways to put points on the board. Take out a 34 game vs the Giants, and the Philly high water mark is 24 points. Not enough bullets for this battle. Scoring 22 a game and giving up 20 will get you exactly what the Eagles are. A 4-5 team. They got very hot and rode it all the way to a Super Bowl Championship. Well - things seem to lining up perfectly for a Saints run as they scored at least 40 in 5 of their nine games. A little luck doesn't hurt either. And they have been falling into their share of breaks along the way. Just 2 losses their last 11 home games. Tough stopping this group in the dome. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking ARIZONA. Yeah. Tough taking a 2 win team to win by 6 points. But they are playing the Raiders. The Raiders who have score 6,3,3 in 3 of their last 4 games. 5 straight losses of 14 or more points. It really comes down to this for me - Oakland is clearly 'tanking'. They want the #1 Pick. They won't get that by beating a team h2h and tying them with 2 wins.  The trades of Mack and Cooper, waiving Irvin. Clear signs this team is done. I think everyone has checkout. For Arizona, a tough year sure. But they have their franchise QB. They also have a new OC who is looking to spice things up a bit. He has David Johnson who is still a stud RB. HOF Fitzgerald who should find some space vs this terrible Oakland secondary. Cards 5-1-1 ATS run shows no quit even with their poor record. *Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Had these guys last week. And even sleepwalking they managed to cover double digits. This just seems like a different all around team. Still don't like their kicking game, but man oh man, what a year from Rivers. Let's not forget Gordon either. The RB is having a great year rushing, and catching the ball. First 'home' game for LAC in 6 weeks! Remember London. They are 7-1 here at Stub Hub. Neither of these coaches are at the top of any of my lists. Maybe worse NFL lists. Broncos in the midst of a terrible year. I think Vance Joseph is out the door in January. When I see Denver I see 2 pt loss vs Houston (home0, 7pt loss on road to KC, 3 point loss to Rams (home), 4 pt loss to KC (Home) -- Plus 1 pt win at home over Oakland, 3pt win at home over Seattle. Yes. They are 'in' games. And losing is a reflection on the coach. You think Case is happy about trading WR Thomas? How the heck is he matching big-plays from Rivers today? 34-16 loss at Jets. 27-14 loss at Ravens.. That is what we will be seeing from Denver this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Have been back and forth with this. Not a fan of laying on the road. But Panthers were humiliated on Thursday night football last week. It was nice as we cashed the over, but they want to move on from that in a quick minute. Lions. Man. What are they doing? I thought they were going for it by trading for Snacks. Then they deal Tate. I like Ron Rivera over Patricia for sure. Better defense with something to prove off that Steelers loss. Lions had covered 5 straight, now 3 straight double digit losses. Short week with Bears on Thanksgiving. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Always tough backing this team because not only do you have an entire team on the other side of the field working against you, you have a head coach who is against you for about 40 of the 60 minutes of the game. If, huge if - If Dallas gives it to Zeke, should be a nice easy day. He is a legit playmaker. Kid is very good. He opens things up for Dak. Cooper has caught some balls since he arrived. I expect more of him vs a banged up Falcons defense. I know in the dome ATL can light it up. But the Dallas defense has actually been good. The don't get many TOs, but they don't give up a ton of points either. It is a tough spot as Falcons come in off terrible loss to Browns and the 'Boys upset Philly on the road. I'm still grabbing the points though. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Going OVER the total. So, we are also on Dallas here. I think the Cowboys will get their points. They should at a minimum, put up 27-34 points. Yes. I know the have strong under trends. But I'll toss them against this Falcons defense and favorable field. Dallas does sport a good defense. But they haven't faced this kind of QB and WR combo. ATL, as it does at home, will put up their points. I'm thinking this should be over 30 points by half-time. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Atlanta 

Going OVER the total. Thought about taking Indy in this spot. Then I think about their defense and want to take the Titans. We will go over. I like Tennessee. Had them right out of the gate to start the season. This is a tough team. Solid defense. Underrated offense. And this offense should have success vs the Colts. Forget about that Bills game. Indy let rookie Darnold 2 TDs, Bortles 2 TDs Carr 3 TDs Brady 3 TDs. We won't even really dive into the completion percentage (about 75% combined). I don't care how good Luck is. Or that they have a RB or healthy WRs. You need about 35 points to pull out games if your D is giving up numbers like this. 4* Total Money OVER Titans/ Colts 

Taking HAWAII. A good spot to fade UNLV. Big 14 point 4th quarter in a 24-13 comeback win over San Diego State for the Rebels last game. Now they are in gorgeous Hawai'i. Of course they won't be looking past the Rainbows as have state rival Nevada on deck. 4* Money Maker HAWAI'I 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. The ole bubble burst fade. We had Fresno as they blew a 17-3 lead last week and hopes of a New Year's Day bowl get flushed down the blue turf toilet. Now they have to face SDST, who, is also off a disappointing loss. But I do like Rocky Long. And  nothing will get an upset loss out of their minds like taking care of Fresno. Aztecs 7-1 ATS last 8 as dogs with outright wins over Boise and Arizona State this year. San Diego State has played 8 straight games decided by one score. Fresno 18-4-2 ATS run, but that is why we are getting extra points with the dog tonight. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Just think this is the old 'statement' game for UCF. Disrespected again the playoff poll. Only undefeated again. Last year they did everything asked of them including beating SEC Auburn. This is a game they will want to run it up as the powers that be say 'they don't pass the eye-test' or 'who do they play'. I see a 40-50 spot being dropped tonight. College Game Day in town. Huge home game of for the Knights. Cincy D gets a lot of press. But, 1 Top 30 offense faced all year. That was Ohio, who put up 30 points and over 400 yards. Reigning in the #3 offense is a bigger challenge. UCF should win this one by double digits. 10* Money Bomb CENTRAL FLORIDA 

Taking NOTRE DAME. So. It looks really nice getting a 'ranked' Syracuse team and double digits. I mean, - these guys almost beat Clemson this year and beat Clemson last year. And Clemson is good right!! Clemson lost their starting QB. They had a 3rd stringing in for the game this year. Who has Syracuse beaten? I see ratings where they are 30th or below. They trailed NC and needed OT to beat a 3 win team. They lost in OT to Pitt. Played LSU tough, Yes played Clemson tough on the road. And this is a tough spot for ND travel wise if you look at their schedule. But yet, 10 points. This line has ticked up. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME 

Taking MINNESOTA. Gophers with everything to play for today. Need a win for a bowl big. Northwestern comes in as the Big 10 West Champions! Possible let-down spot? Absolutely. This line just is begging you to take the Wildcats. Ranked team, getting points. A 5-5 team vs the Big 12 West Champs. Home team please. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS

Going UNDER the total. So. Thought about Kentucky -16 here. But the more I think about it, the more I am on the total. We know Kentucky will run the ball. Yes, they had their season blow-up with Georgia. Then the let-down bubble of said season contributes to loss last week to Vols. Now they get Mid Tenn State. They win today and vs helpless Louisville, and it is a 10 win football season in town. That is a big deal. Also. Let's look at the Blue Raiders vs SEC teams this year. 35-7 loss at Vandy - 49-7 loss at Georgia. So, with a huge game with UAB on deck for CUSA title, you want me to believe they are coming in here full throttle? No chance. 4* Total Money UNDER Mid Ten St / Kentucky 

Taking NEBRASKA. Give Scott Frost some credit. This season could have really went off the rails with their poor start. But there has been zero quit in his troops. 3 wins in 4 games. I know the defense is shaky. But Michigan State offense is the opposing teams best defense. Toss out Huskers 3-7 straight up record. They are better than that. 0-4 in games decided by 5 points or less. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA

Taking SMU. So neither team really shows up with a defensive game plan. Have to play the home dogs at this price. Somehow tied for 1st in AAC West sitting at 5-5. They beat Houston and Tulane, both teams they are tied with at 4-2 in conference play. Memphis at 3-3 and looking to leapfrog to the top of the West. Not sure it will be that easy. One - We have seen them on the road give up 41-65-40 this year to ECU MizzU Tulane. SMU has put up 63-45 in their last 2. They seem to be finding a groove right now. Memphis has put up 50+ 5 times and got to 47 once. Again the OVER will also be in play tonight. This won't shock me to be at 50 by half-time. Who will be shocked when this is a 55-49 game to start the 4th? 4* Money Maker SMU + OVER 

Taking SMU. So neither team really shows up with a defensive game plan. Have to play the home dogs at this price. Somehow tied for 1st in AAC West sitting at 5-5. They beat Houston and Tulane, both teams they are tied with at 4-2 in conference play. Memphis at 3-3 and looking to leapfrog to the top of the West. Not sure it will be that easy. One - We have seen them on the road give up 41-65-40 this year to ECU MizzU Tulane. SMU has put up 63-45 in their last 2. They seem to be finding a groove right now. Memphis has put up 50+ 5 times and got to 47 once. Again the OVER will also be in play tonight. This won't shock me to be at 50 by half-time. Who will be shocked when this is a 55-49 game to start the 4th? 4* Money Maker SMU + OVER 

Taking SEATTLE. Had thought about these guys yesterday at 2.5 or the total. I still like the over a bit. We will see some points tonight. GB is not that good. Coach is garbage. 0-4 on the road. This Seattle team. Man, I was wrong. I put out Under their win total way back in July and they have a shot at getting the over right now. Look. Seahawks even off 2 losses are tough, especially at home. They were in these games late vs the Rams and Chargers. We cashed GB last week. Pretty easy as they were off Rams and Patriots and get the Dolphins at home. As I said. 0-4 on the road. Losses at Washington, Detroit, Rams, Patriots. Wilson getting some RB help that just makes him better. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking OHIO. Easy to think Buffalo is the play. You look at the 9-1 record. Getting a couple points. I'm not interested. Will go the other way. Ohio clearly caught looking ahead last week. Both teams can score. But I'll grab the MAC home team tonight. 4* Money Maker OHIO 

Taking the GIANTS. So. Going ugly here. What worries me is this line moving up a half point. I don't really like that too much. I know that SF looked good last Thursday vs the Raiders. But, it was the Raiders. New York in off their bye week. You have to think that they are going to get Barkley more touches. Kid is electric. And that will open things up for Eli to at least complete pass to another unworldly talent in ODB. And I say that as someone who can't stand the G-Men. But those 2 guys are great. I know the race is on for a top pick, but this team has too many veterans and attitudes to mail it in. I saw 2 spots with conflicting SF trends. 2-9-1 ATS last 12 as a fave and 1-12 ATS last 13 as fave. So maybe they used different closing numbers. In taking NYG, I am under the impression that their HC gets away from relying on Eli and moves more to the RB he took at the top of the draft. Rested dog gets the call in Prime Time. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the PACKERS. Not a fan of laying double digits that's for sure. Especially with a coach I hate. And this guy ranks up there with his brothers from Dallas, Chargers and Denver. But this QB is a beast. He actually is getting some RB help. I like when A-Aron is angry. This Miami team is like a JV club coming to town after the Patriots and Rams. Miami does have a pretty schedule if you look at records and who they have to play. They are projected to be a AFC 6 seed. GB with Seattle and Minny on deck. They can't overlook an AFC team. They can't overlook anyone when you are 3-4. Dolphins needed a lot of extra help, as in 4 INTs to get a win over the Jets (Miami my Top 10 LW)- And I am grateful for the win. But that shouldn't inspire much confidence as they come to a cold city with Brock leading the troops. If Osweiler keeps Miami in striking distance I will really be shocked. 5* Best Bet GB PACKERS 

Taking the CHARGERS. Yes. Very tough laying this with the Chargers since I can't stand their HC and I don't think they know they need a placekicker to score points. But it is clear that the Raiders are checked out and looking forward to Vegas. Picking up draft picks and cutting vets. Rivers having a monster year. Gordon back. LAC can name their score. I'm thinking something like 27-6. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS  (took me 3 times to write this as I keep putting SD instead of LA) 

Taking the TITANS. Uh. Going against Brady and friends. Never really a wise move. We did cash with the Patriots over Green Bay last time out and failed to cover as we had Dallas Monday night. (Side note, only loss for me on a 4-1 Super Contest day currently 18th overall out of 3200 people) So we have seen ex Pats in the form of Lions HC get the better of their former mates. We have that again today. Plenty of ex NE's on the Titans side of the field. Tennessee lost 35-14 to NE in last years playoffs. This years team is bad on offense. I get it. But the defense is a top unit. I think they hang here. Have to grab the TD with a home dog who knows their way around the Patriots thinking. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the JAGUARS. I get we have 2 teams that look totally different right now. Jax off their bye week. Licking their wounds. Benching QBs. Pointing fingers. Train running off the tracks. While Indy looks like things are great with Luck healthy and back behind center. They have 2 straight beating the Raiders and the Bills. Not exactly NFL royalty. This team gave up 42 points to the Jets and were in the throes of a 4 game losing streak when Buffalo arrived with Derek Anderson at QB who they pulled out of a rest home. This is the Jaguars season. The defense did an awful lot of talking and has produced just 7 TOs after 33 last year. Time to step up and Jax has had success vs the Colts. Jags 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 8-3 ATS last 11 in Indy. Will also be looking at the Under in this game. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Going UNDER the total. Under 11-3 last 14 in the series and has gone under in 7 straight here in Indy. Colts have gone 5-1 under their last 6 in division play. Jax 12-4 to the under last 16 vs AFC teams and 5-1 in their AFC South. 4* Total Money UNDER Jax/ Colts 

Taking the BENGALS. Now. We are 6-1 when betting Saints game. Had TB in Game 1, lost our fade of them vs NYG. In this spot, I will again go against them. More a situational spot more than anything. NO comes in winners of 7 straight. A tough come from behind win over Baltimore on the road. And ugly win at Minny. Then, shooting out to a fast lead, only to the Rams tie it up at 35, before winning by 10. That is an emotional run the last couple weeks. And, Super Bowl Champion, Philadelphia Eagles on deck. Losing out of conference isn't a bad loss by any stretch. Maybe a slight look ahead. Cincy in off their bye week. Dome team outdoors. Bengals quietly the most efficient red-zone team in the league. Again. Ravens missed a PAT that would have forced OT. Vikes turned the ball over at the worse time. Rattling off 10 points after a Rams rally. You need some luck to go along with talent to win. But you can't get that every time you suit up. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking CINCY. Man. South Florida was undefeated 2 weeks ago. Then Houston beat them by 57-36. They followed that up as a 7pt home fave and losing to Tulane 41-15! USF 33-3 last year. We will see that flipped tonight. Cincy in off blanking Navy 42-0. They are licking their chops at a wounded Bulls team. USF 2-7 ATS. So even when they were winning, they were over-valued and under performing. Cincy 6-3 ATS on the year. Bulls defense in for a long night - last 3 road games, 57-24-42 points allowed. Bearcats last 3 at home 42-37-34. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Going OVER the total. Won't be shocked if Utah State nears this on their own. 61-10 on the road over these guys last year. 56-61-59-45-42-73-60.. Aggies can put up some numbers. We need San Jose to muster a score or two for good measure. Because 55-0 just isn't good enough. 4* Total Money OVER San Jose/ Utah State

Taking PITT today. Not liking the VT rush defense at all in this spot. Panthers are on a tidy 4-0 ATS run. VT at 4-4 on the year. Not a nice season at all. But, this is the Backyard Brawl. So we toss records out. That being said, Pitt has been getting better as the season progresses, VT in a tail-spin. I want to say with everything points in Pitt's direction. Upset win over ranked Virginia last week. Close loss vs ND. Leading the ACC Coastal. This line does have me slightly worried. Won't shock me if VT plays this one as their Super Bowl. But I just can't see Pitt letting this slip away. VT has won the last 2 meetings. Pitt off that upset Virginia win, plus, they dropped 54 spot on Duke. If the Hokies didn't score a last (19 seconds) TD vs NC, we are talking about a team that has dropped 4 straight and not looking good at all. Small home fave gets the call. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS 

Taking ALABAMA. How do we not taking the Tide when laying less than 30? Let-down? Not likely. Please let us not forget that this Mississippi State team managed 3 points on the road at LSU (29 there for us) 6 vs Florida at home, 7 at Kentucky. We take LT, ULL and SFA and this team has scored more than 28 points (A&M) just once (Kansas State). This game should be right around the number by half time. I don't see MSU scoring more than 14 points here. 67 points in 5 SEC games works out to be about a little more than 13ppg. Not cutting it against the Tide home even getting a bundle. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Yeah. A best bet on a 1 win team. NC fighting in every ACC game. This is a Tobacco Road game so I can't see them mailing it in on the season now. Duke not all that sharp on the season- and if they are to lay an egg, coming home off a big win over Miami laying double digits would be the spot to do it. Think this is a 1 score game. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA 

Going UNDER the total. Just not impressed lately with Ohio State. Michigan State is not an offensive machine. Should be a tight low scoring affair. I am saying that Urban is out of Columbus after this season. 4* Total Money UNDER OSU/MSU

Taking FRESNO. Tedford a mind boggling 18-3-1 ATS on the sidelines and 12-1-1 ATS in conference games! I liked Boise. I had them at Oklahoma State. Opened a dog, steamed to a fave and dismantled by the Cowboys. No idea how Bulldogs lost to Minny. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking SYRACUSE. yes, a GOY. Like last weeks Big 10 GOY on Michigan, we expect another big blowout. Big revenge spot as Orange were blasted last year 56-10.  62-28 the year before.I can see the complete opposite of those scores tonight. 56 or more allowed by Louisville in 3 of the 4 games. Going on at limb and saying perhaps a new HC on the sideline next season for the Cards. 10* Money Bomb ACC GOY SYRACUSE 

Going OVER the total. And why wouldn't we? Every week some one is putting up 30- points on TNF. 57 -69 -62- 55-65. We had 2 teams putting up 34 each while the weak offense teams they played couldn't muster much offense. Won't be the case here. We know Big Ben puts up big numbers at home. Pitt isn't missing a beat minus Bell, as Connor is a beast. Panthers playing at the top of their game. They will put some points up today. Won't be shocked to a see a wild 34-30 back and forth game tonight. Panthers over in 5 of their last 7. Steelers over in 5 of their last 6 home and 7 of their last 10 overall. 4* Total Money OVER Panthers/ Steelers 

Going OVER the total . Think we see some scoring in MACtion tonight. Ohio will put up their 40+. 49 points in 3 straight MAC games, and getting 59 and 52 in 2 of those 3. The offense is clicking to say the least. I think we get a decent showing from the home Redhawks. The way the Bobcats have been lighting up the scoreboard, we may need a measly 10 points for this one. 4* Total Money OVER 

Going OVER the total. Kent is pretty bad. I think Buffalo can challenge this on their won if they play the entire 60 minutes. I know they are scoring in the mid 30s. Anything out of Kent early would be a bonus. I expect a garbage TD from them late. Doubt we even need it though. Final home game before hitting the road. Should be pumped up for the fans. Blowout in the making. 8* Sure Shot OVER 

Going OVER the total. Both teams off their bye weeks. Both pretty desperate to get their offenses going. Defenses are the strength of both squads. Something tells me though we see some new wrinkles. Dallas actually playing well this season at home. I won't be shocked if they get 30 themselves. This is the second lowest line this week. I have this at mid to high 40s. 5* Total Money OVER Titans/ Cowboys 

Taking the COWBOYS. I know a lot of people all over Titans. Right off the bat, gut tells me to go opposite of that thinking. I like Dallas. Am a fan. Hate their HC. Guy wasted Romo's career. Can't manage the clock, timeouts and plays to tie instead of winning. Even after that, I will lay the number tonight. Both teams off byes. A reason why I a like the over, which was 40.5 when I put it out, now 40, even a 39.5 creeping up. I think out of the bye we see some more wrinkles in the offenses. Points will be scored. The Cooper trade - people have opinions on. Getting out of Oakland will help. Dak can throw the ball. I think this is a good pickup. Won't be shocked when he scores a TD on MNF. Just him on the field will open things up for Zeke out of the backfield. I think Dallas gets over 30 tonight. At 6.5, I was leaning Titans early, now at 4. Last home game 40-7 over Jacksonville. Everyone moving on Tennessee now has me heading to cash my ticket in the opposite direction. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. First to admit we scored a gift cover on Monday night with the New England. Sure did look NE was going through the motions against the Bills. Not doing anything fancy. FGs all over the place. Just enough to escape with the win. While last we saw GB fighting to the absolute bitter end vs the Rams. That kind of loss hurts. Hurts so much they cut people. Rodgers is one of the best. Brady arguably The Best. Cross Country back to back road games. Tough for sure as the Packers head to Gillette. Do you really feel comfortable backing McCarthy over The Hoodie? He'll do something stupid. Pats by 10. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the SAINTS. Been on this New Orleans money train for a couple weeks now. Last week we get the cash and Brees basically takes the day off. Nice road wins in Minny and Baltimore for us. We crushed them over the Redskins. We have a pretty good feel of this club right now. Rams a good team. Probably the 2 best teams in the NFC battling it out today. But we have seen the Rams secondary get abused by A-Aron, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins and Phillip Rivers. Brees will put up points. This game is a PK. We just have to win. Not like we are laying 3-4-5 or more. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Going OVER the total. Think we are going to see some points on the board. Chargers off their bye week. Seattle off a nice road win. Rivers and this offense will put up their 20+ points. Wilson always seems to get points on the board for the Seahawks. This game will be played with both teams in the 20s and should eclipse 50 points. 4* Total Money OVER Chargers/ Seattle 

Taking the BROWNS. Have to take these home dogs today. So - Every pundit, fan, tv talking head said how Hue Jackson was the worse coach in the NFL. Well, time to find out. If that was the case, just him being removed should up the players. If he was still here, what is the line, 12? 15? New OC along for the ride. Gregg Williams the DC now the top dawg. KC with Browns than Arizona. So should be a couple of cupcake wins. And perhaps today will be. I am betting on the players in this spot. Big number to lay on the road and Chiefs can still walk out with a W and not cover. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the VIKINGS. So, we had the Saints on Sunday and even though the scoreboard was all New Orleans, Minny wasn't terrible. If you tell anyone that Brees is tossing for 120 yards - that Ingram and Kamara are going 26 for 108, I would be worries NO is run out of town. But, turnovers hurt. So this is now a huge game for the Vikings. And normally, I might be thinking of taking the Lions. Heck. We lost with them last week. And have been on, and off them, in previous games. What really sticks out for me is that Detroit has thrown in the towel.  As I write this they just trade their best WR in Golden Tate- Maybe there is a good reason. But at 3-4, with Minny 4-3-1 and Bears 4-3 GB 3-4-1 ahead of them, why send up the white flag? I don't get it one bit. A big take away from Sunday was the way Minny defended the run. And now the Lions will really lean on RB Kerryon Johnson. Again. Back to Minny being in a desperate spot. While Detroit looks to me they are throwing in the towel. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the DOLPHINS. So - I was looking at the under in this game and saying how the Jets, barring that 48 spot at Detroit opening night, have scored 17-12-10 their other 3 road games. 20-12 back in September when these guys played. Brock, Tannehill. I mean for me, it doesn't matter. I have seen Brock put 23-21-28 up in his 3 games. NYJ missing some key guys. Powell gone for year. WRs Enunwa down and Anderson banged up. CB Johnson limited. Stills is probably out for Miami. I just think we see a big RB attack from Gore and Drake from the Dolphins. That keeps the pressure to a minimum on Brock. Miami with the extra rest of the loss at Houston. Can't discount that time to brush up on a rookie QB and his habits. 10* AFC East GOY MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking ALABAMA. I know that there are a of 'sharps' or other 'touts' all over LSU. And I can understand that. This is a big number. Talking 2 TDs here. LSU played much better teams. So I get who has Bama really played. I know the defense isn't as good as years past. But LSU QB play isn't at an elite level either. Have we really seen a full Tide game this year? They maul people from kickoff. Saban needs any type of motivation for his club. Being #1 in Playoff is big. Crushing the #3 team would be huge. Looking over the past games. 1 game would have been by this amount of points. Every one in the last 10, Under this total. Heck, 6 of the last 10 haven't gotten to 40. Last year, Tide were 20.5 at home - Won 24-10. That being said. Tua is not Hurts. This is a passing team. Tua is 20 yards from Hurts total yardage from last year. 25-0 TD/INT (17/1 Hurts LY) He isn't the runner that Hurts is. He doesn't have to be.  LSU is going to want to grind. Not sure if people realize their QB has 6 TD passes (3 INTs) on the year. Can't see Tigers shutting down this pass attack. And barring multiple TOs, I can't see them scoring more than 24. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking LA TECH. Last year, State rolled this guys 57-21. Not saying our guys get revenge, but getting 3+ TDs,  - I'll take the bait. I can see a bit of a let-down per say though from MSU. Lose to LSU. Beat A&M. Alabama on deck. This is a game where they want to win and get out. We had Louisiana Tech way back vs LSU and they delivered a cover for us. Skip Holtz is nice in a 32-14 ATS as a road dog. They have a decent defense and MSU isn't a high-powered offensive machine. Step up in class for sure. But this is too many points not to take. 4* Money Maker LA TECH 

Taking FIU - Had these guys last week. We faded FAU last week. Team Lane a ship without a rudder. Big revenge spot as FAU walloped FIU last year 52-24. Shoe on the other foot this season. FIU top dogs right now in CUSA - 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 

Taking FLORIDA. Gators in off getting blasted in their game vs Georgia. But it wasn't anything like the way Missouri went down. Oh the humanity in losing on a TD pass as time expires. Tough to get over that. Now, in The Swamp. Florida lost last year 45-16. HC Mullen wasn't here for the Gators - But I am sure his players getting smacked like that. Lock 0-9 in his starts for MizzU vs 'ranked' teams. Can't see a let-down here as Gators in a position to win out and get 10 wins. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking MICHIGAN. 42-13 last year as PSU crushed the Wolverines. Pay-Back time. Defense will be able to contain McSorley. This will be a blood-bath. Michigan in off their bye week. Not going to overthink things here. Michigan the better team. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking GEORGIA. Yeah. In off big win over Florida. Hangover game- Doubt it. This is for the SEC East. And they won't overlook a team a couple spots behind in the Playoff Ranking and a team 'ranked' 15 overall. Kentucky somehow pulled a rabbit out of the hat last week over Missouri (We had MizzU) - Punt return TD and that end of game TD pass. Brutal loss for those Tigers. And a huge win for Kentucky. Stoops doing nice job. But Kirby Smart is from Bama. And there are no let down games or look aheads in this coaching tree. Talent prevails and Bulldogs should win this one by double digits going away in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking KANSAS STATE. I think it is safe to say that the train is off the tracks or the wheels have fallen off the bus. Whatever you want to use. TCU has hit tough times. Injuries have sapped what could have been a nice little year. Wildcats, well coached, should be able to stay inside this number. KST will look to grind it on the ground. TCU lost to Kansas last week. You can think, oh, they will be pissed. Big bounce-back. We haven't seen anything close to that so far. Not going to happen as their bowl hopes slip away. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE 

Going OVER the total. 0-8 vs 1-7. UTEP losers of 20 straight. Rice beat the Miners 31-14 last year. Look. A pair of terrible teams getting together. I think we see some offense. I think this is one of those 31-24 type games. Heck- This will probably be an overtime game. 4* Total Money OVER Miners/ Owls 

Taking CLEMSON today. Will lay the giant number here. After the Tigers win this by 50, I will go out a limb and say that UL says adios to Bobby Petrino. Cards gave up 56 to Wake and 66 to G-Tech. Clemson in off of 59 on Florida State, 41 vs NC State and 63 at Wake. Wake! Who scored 56 on UL had 3 vs the Tigers. Let's get one thing out of the way. No way Clemson will be sleepwalking, going through the motions here. They are #2 in the Playoff Poll. They will want to be playing 'statement game' football for the next couple weeks. They can't be in any dog fight or lackluster games. If this is a close game and LSU upsets Bama, LSU will leap-frog these Tigers. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. Kansas just won their Super Bowl. A last second win over TCU. Now - Yes, Kansas now has 3 wins on the year. It wasn't like they were win-less. But TCU had been a pretty good program before falling apart this year. That is a huge win for Kansas. A literal last second FG with 1 second left on the clock propels them to the W. Out-yarded by 200 yards. TCU fumbled at the Kansas 7 and was stopped on the Kansas 1.. 2 TOs help the home dog cause also. That is a lot of mojo working in your favor. Two weeks in a row? Doubt it - 45-0 last year. Iowa State had put up at least 40 in 2 of their last 3. 5* Best Bet IOWA STATE

Taking MID TEN STATE. Fade the Hilltoppers last week. Will do the same tonight. Triple revenge spot for the Blue Raiders. WKU is down, way down this season. Last conference road game saw them get blitzed 40-14 by Charlotte. I'll lay it and expect the similar score. 4* Money Maker MID TENN STATE 

Taking the RAIDERS. Ugh.. Glutton for punishment. Had these guys last week. So they battled back from down 10-0 in the first. Took a 14-10 lead. A 21-13 lead. A 28-21 lead. They just couldn't hold on. Luck is better than whoever the Niners trot out behind center. SF defense nothing to smile about. The rebuild is on for Oakland. But I don't think we see any quit in these guys - Especially on a stand alone game where the entire league is watching. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. One of just 4 remaining unbeatens, Knights need a big win tonight. Playoff rankings did them no favors. With or without Milton, I will back the home faves. Backup QB Mack after a decent game now has a week + of practice to get up to speed. Temple a tough foe. And double digits in conference, especially a mid-week stand a lone spot makes the dog look inviting. That being said- Back up QB laying 10. Might seem a bit to easy to grab the Owls. Home team gets it done. 4* Money Maker UCF KNIGHTS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. Laying 2 TDs, on the road, is far from a recipe of success in NFL sports betting. But I will bite the ugly sandwich tonight. So, we cashed NE last week as we held off a hail-Mary prayer. Are the Pats a team that are going to be pumped about a 1-1 road trip. Bills first MNF game in 10 years. Is Derek Anderson!! Derek Anderson putting up 20 points today? Nate Peterman! Pats last 4 games here. 23-3 last year. 41-25 2016. 40-32 2015. 37-22 2014. Let's look at the Bills points scored their last 4 games 5-13-13-0.. Honestly. Maybe this is a total sucker play. And I like to fancy my self a bit of sharp, or pro player as I love my dogs. And I have taken ugly dogs most of my life. But if you are saying that Brady, even without Sony Michael can't put up 24-30 points tonight, I will humbly disagree. Under should be looked at also. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the SAINTS. Yes. Tough taking a team in back to back to roadies. Especially they won they battled back. How much do they have in the tank? Well. I don't ever sell Brees short. Guy is a beast. No way in hell do these forget that miracle playoff win for Minny last year. (I had Minny!) But this Vikings team as well as they have played of late, to me, a paper tiger. 3 INTs of rookie Darnold. 1 INT from rookie Rosen. And I love this HC. You know this. Had them both of those weeks. But the injury bug has me concerned here. Brees is going to put points up even on good defenses. And he has a RB combo that alleviates a lot of pressure. Minny missing Joseph is tough. Barr adds to it. Rhodes is whipped cream on top. Normally, missing a guy won't really have anything to do with my thought process (unless it is a QB). But the collective of those 3 hurt the defense. And New Orleans, coming in with bad memories, is not a team you want to come in under manned against. Tough road coming from Baltimore and with Rams on deck. But I am siding with the road team to win this thing. 5* Best Bet NO SAINTS 

Going OVER the total here. Sorry for the late add. Look. I don't see how this isn't 60. Packers defense is terrible, or at least very bad. I can't see them holding LAR to under 40. And Rodgers should be able to muster a few TDs. I actually almost laid the big number with the Rams in the Super Contest. But that backdoor will be wide open. Either for a GB cover or a score for this over. Again. I see 40-45 from the Rams. 4* Total Money OVER Packers / Rams 

Taking the RAIDERS and will sprinkle ML +150ish on these guys. Off their bye week. They are done right? Trucked in London by Seattle. Traded Cooper. Carr crying. Heck. Who wouldn't be crying getting mauled every week. This is just their 3rd 'home' game. 33-13 losers to Rams. They looked good out of the gate! - 45-42 over the Browns in that wild game. And that Seattle-London game was a home game. Colts defense nothing pretty. I'll tell you what you should already know. Cooper wasn't doing much here. I think TE Cook really gets things going now. Can we get a Jordy Nelson TD this year? As we always say. No team is as bad, or good as they look the week before. The look ahead number was I think 1 or 1.5 Raiders favorite. Now they are a full 3 and in some spots you can get 3.5. Colts were laying 7 to the Bills last week. Would you be laying 9 or 10 with Indy at home in this spot? Clear overreaction. Doggy outright possible. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the BEARS. Faded both of these guys last week and it paid off. Will take Chicago based on their defense and facing a rookie QB on the road. Bears have their own young QB. But we have seen him score at home - On the road as a fave, a bit different for Chicago. But at home vs a team that is a little banged up. This is a big number when you think the Jets put up 48 on the road at Detroit and then 42 and 35 at home vs Colts and Broncos. Bears defense a bit better though in my opinion. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the PANTHERS. You can lay the -120 for +3. But I will grab +105. Heck. ML should be sprinkled in. I am not betting on Carolina to lose when I am getting 2 points. So two teams in off drastic outcomes. Panthers rally for huge win over defending Champs. Ravens blow lead late and then score TD to tie things up. But their automatic HOF kicker misses! Oh the humanity. Look. 4th road game in 5 games for Baltimore. Steelers on deck for them. Winning is important. But next week is the 'bigger' game for the Ravens. Panthers have covered 6 of their last 8 at home. And those 2 were them as faves. I'll back my tough home dog every time. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the REDSKINS. The sell off is on for the Giants. Now, I did have them ML on Monday night. Put a fork in them. ODB is going to have a tantrum. Eli will be hitting the bench. Sitting at 1-6, the life has been sucked out of the season. Send in the clowns. Washington off a win because Jason Garrett still doesn't know how to coach. Skins have to smell blood in the water against their hated rivals. I can't see New York 'circling the wagons' to save the season. Not happening. All in on the Redskins Sunday afternoon. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the LIONS. Cashed these guys last week as our Top 10* Money-Bomb - Will roll with them as a Best Bet today. Detroit has been in the money the last 5 weeks. We have been all over with this team. Faded them vs Jets, NE, Dallas. Backed them vs GB and Miami. And here we are again. This is quietly a decent team. Seattle gets a lot of love. Yes, they are off their bye week. Last we saw them beating up the Raiders in England. I am not sold. Russell Wilson is great. I give that guy a lot of crap, but man, he is an excellent player. By himself, makes this team competitive. What I have liked as the season has progressed from Detroit is the run game. And the fact they are finally using it to help Stafford. Lions have to be confident that they can make a move in the division. I know there are many on Seattle. Matt Patricia stole a Super Bowl from Carroll with that INT. Cowboys lucked into a win over these guys or Detroit would have 4 straight wins. Buying on the small home fave. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS

Taking the JAGUARS. Well. Could be easy to say - Oh, Bortles stinks. He was benched last week. Team is in turmoil. I think this is just what they need. Escape to London where they have played 5 straight years, wining 3 in a row. Scoring a grand total of 28 points in 3 straight losses some may say we are nuts for backing Jax. But do the Eagles really deserve to be faves here on a neutral? What would the line be at Philly? Are they THAT much better than the Jags? 2-5 ATS for Philly. Jax as a dog much better bet than when they are faves. Won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking FIU tonight. Lost a few times on these guys last year. Maybe I was a year to early to the Butch Davis party. What I am sure of is that Western Kentucky is struggling big time this year. Tough to lay points on the road. And FIU mauled WKU last year 41-17. Just the Hilltoppers mail it in- Havent' been able to do much offensively on the year barely scoring 20 a game. And FIU comes in averaging 36. Plus FIU with the better defense. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS 

Taking TEXAS A&M tonight. Now. Normally- I am taking the home 'unranked' team over the 'ranked' team. That's in CBB or CFB. But we have to look a bit deeper into this besides the 'rankings'. First - State came into College Station last year and spanked the Aggies 35-14 last year and have won the last 2 meetings. So a little double revenge in place. A&M of a tough win at South Carolina. But to counter that, we have Bulldogs coming in off 19-3 loss at LSU. (I had MSU) - Now. Somehow, State put up 23 points vs Auburn. Which, I guess shows how terrible the Tigers are. If we look at the 3 losses in their last 4 games, we see 3 points at LSU. 6 points at home vs Florida. 7 at Kentucky. This offense is putrid. And honestly, it kinda scares me a bit to see them favored here. That being said. I am grabbing the low hanging fruit with the road dog. Aggies do have a decent defense and can, and have scored - both at home, and on the road. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking MISSOURI. So. I always say things like 'ranked' team getting points catches my eye. Well. When the ranked team is a 7pt road dog to an unranked team - Let's just say my ears perk up. Sign me up all day on MizzU today. UK has won 3 straight in the series to boot and are getting points like this! I think the Tigers run away with this one. 10* Money Bomb MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking IOWA today. Penn State slide continues. Lost to Ohio State who they had dead to rights. Off that brutal loss, lose to Michigan State - Then, as 14pt road faves, let Indiana hang around with a chance to steal a win late. Now vs this team. A streaking Hawkeyes bunch. A bad loss to Wiscy the only blemish on the record. They are just playing good football. And catching points like this. Sign me up. Oh, PSU also has big, bad Michigan on deck. They know they are out of the Playoffs. If Iowa gets up early, this could get ugly. 8* Sure Shot IOWA HAWKEYES 

Taking NORTHWESTERN here. So, last week we told you to take Rutgers ML +900 vs the Cats. If you didn't have the stomach for that, maybe you grabbed them and the points in a narrow 18-15 Northwestern win. Well here is part 2 of that look ahead spot. They are a nice home dog - Wiscy has not impressed all year with the hype they received. I am really shocked to see them favored at all. Home team 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series. Dogs on 7-0 ATS run in Northwestern games. Sign me up. 4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN 

Taking ARKANSAS early. Vandy in off 3 straight losses. Razorbacks finally into the win column with a shut out last week. I can't say much positive of either team. But I think the kids at Arkansas will fight every game for their new HC. While I think the Derek Mason act at Vandy could be in last days. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS 

Taking PURDUE. I know we have them off huge win over Ohio State. But Boilermakers looking good last few weeks. 49 on Ohio State, 46 at Illinois, 42 at Nebraska - 4 straight wins. Sparty comes in off loss to Michigan (we cashed a 8* on big brother). That was a tough, physical game. And lets keep things real here. Michigan State was off a big win at Penn State. That wasn't an easy task. Battling the Wolverines is a rough assignment. Just think with Purdue peaking, and Sparty in a terrible flat spot, dog outright in my eyes. 5* Best Bet PURDUE 

Taking LA TECH tonight. Almost went ML here. But didn't want to end up like MNF where the Giants cover but don't win outright. So in this revenger (48-23), we will grab the points. FAU not looking like last years version. 1-6 ATS run for Lane's crew. La Tech comes in ready having this game circled. Holtz with a solid 32-14 ATS number when his team are dogs and 14-5 his last last 19 in that spot. LT brings a the better defense to the field today. How about FAU giving up a full TD more than they score on the year. Barking Dog. 8* Sure Shot LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN. So these two guys are the class of the Sun Belt East, along with Troy. Getting 10 at home, vs a RANKED Sun Belt team. I'l take it. Appy lone loss to Penn State. GaSo lone loss to Clemson. So not bad losing to that kind of talent. But we can't over look that the Southern DC was at Appy the last 8 years. That's a bit of knowledge that could keep us in this number. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN. Cliche time. The ole 2 teams going in opposite directions. WMU, after dropping first 2 games vs Syracuse and Michigan have reeled off 6 straight. And on the other side of the spectrum, we have Toledo. In off a loss to Buffalo. Up 17-7 at the half and get outscored 24-0 in the 2nd, at home, and you pull your QB. That is now 5 straight games they have been outyarded. 2 straight losses and 3 of their last 4. 1-5 ATS run. I am not  counting a -48 cover over VMI. One of the worse defenses in yards allowed now gets a Top 25 offense. Rockets whacked them last year 37-10. Revenge served for the home favorites. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking the GIANTS and going ML. Could have grabbed the nice number earlier in the week, and it is now down to 4. But I will go for the +170 tonight. And basically, this is it for NYG. Could be the end of Eli at QB. Against this Atlanta defense though, I will take the shot. Lot of drama around this team. So we have had success both on and against the Falcons. I can see them totally laying an egg here at home on MNF. I personally lost money on them when they let some clown name Geno Smith on the Jets march in here and take their lunch money. With extra and sheer desperation, GMen get it done. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Going OVER the total here. Last 5 in this series have all gone over the total with every game hitting at least 50 points. It might appear the offenses are down, but I expect to see a bit of fireworks this afternoon. Dallas can get after the QB- but I think Alex Smith will counter that and make Dallas pay. Elliot is a beast and I think Dak is full of confidence off last weeks big home win over the Jaguars. We cashed on both of these teams last week in pretty easy fashion. And I think we see, again, something along the lines of 33-24. I know Dallas has been pretty much an under machine lately. But we toss out those numbers in this series. Cowboys 8-2 SU in this series so at least Garrett appears to be able to not hamstring his team against the Redskins. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Washington 

Going UNDER the total. San Fran crushed me by somehow showing up at Green Bay and ruining my night. I am not buying them again. And I am not buying them having an offense to compete with the Rams. Rams in off a tough game at Denver. So this is a 3rd straight road game vs a team off the short week Monday Nighter. Rams with a much bigger home game next week vs Packers. I can see them just giving it to Gurley and calling it a day 27-10. Then again, Gurley is no slouch so this is never as easy as it seems. Just think that Rams would want to give their banged up players an easy day if possible. No need for McVay to run up 40+ points in this spot. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Niners 

Taking the RAMS. Will admit that SF has not been kind to me this year. I cashed fading them in Week 1 vs Minny. I lost backing them in KC. I had the Chargers and SF came out with firing. I had the Cardinals as a dog outright winner. I had GB on MNF. And I will again lay a large number fading the home dog. Look. These guys have shown fight as big dogs. But that was a tough loss to swallow in Lambeau as time expires. I guess they will be pumped to face a division foe. Rams playing their 3rd straight road game coming out of Mile High. But they pretty much cruised in that game. I can see a big effort here as SF did win last year when LA sat guys in a New Year's Eve home loss. Rams have been in some close games lately and appear to be just going through the motions at times. With GB at home and trip to New Orleans coming up, I think McVay is going to want to see a complete game from both units for an entire 60 minutes. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Had Dallas last week in nice upset win, and will grab them again. They have had a good run vs the Redskins. But this is a bit of a different, on both sidelines. Also cashed with Washington last week. That was easy money after they were destroyed by the Saints (we had NO) on Monday night. Nobody ever as bad, or good, as they look the week before. And saying that, I really like what I saw from Dak. You all know I hate this Dallas HC. Guy wasted Romo for years. He was going to do the same with Dak. For whatever reason, the offense is coming along. It improved in the Lions game before the HC got scared and played not lose. Then he played not to lose again and lost against Houston. Elliot is a beast. The OL is still pretty good. The run game should dictate the outcome here. Dallas D does get pressure on the QB -  8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Going OVER the total. Saints off the bye week. I know this is a dome team outside, in October. But the weather is fair. And this NO team does have a decent rush attack so it is not all on Brees to do the heavy lifting. Baltimore by far the best defense that Saints have faced. But this is a tough spot. Yes, they are home. But Ravens off 3 straight road game. At Steelers, a huge division game that we cashed backing them. At Cleveland. An OT grudge match that was a defensive battle. Then, they battered around the Titans last week. Another physical game. Not that teams take off non-conference games, but this is a tricky game with a road game at Carolina next. I think we see plenty of scoring today. Saints defense isn't that good in any stadium. 4* Total Money OVER Saints/ Ravens 

Taking the SAINTS. Almost went +135 on the ML here. NO comes in off their bye week. Ravens home after 3 tough road games. Now normally, I am fading the Saints outside, especially in the cold weather cities. But we aren't in the bad weather or the extreme cold yet. And in case you haven't noticed, the Saints have a pair of RBs so their HOF QB does not need to throw for 450 yards a game. Ravens defense, stingy, to say the least. But this is a tough assignment to come home to. 7-1-1 ATS off their bye week are the New Orleans Saints. Mariota, Mayfield, Keenum, Allen/Peterman. Not exactly elite QBs of the league. Cincy on the short week doesn't really rate into my thinking. Saints clicking right now and have to grab the points. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the VIKINGS. Will the real Minnesota Vikings please stand up? Look. I like the Jets. They are in my own backyard. I like the HC even though people hate him. I think the QB will be good. This is an exciting team. That being said, I had Minny as one of the top 2,3 teams in the NFC to get to the Super Bowl. I didn't have the Jets in that conversation. Back to Bowles. The guy is 7-1-1 ATS as a home dog with 5 outright wins. 2 nice home wins over Indy and Denver as this is their 3rd straight home game. Again. As a big dog guy this hurts fading a money making home puppy. But Minny has had their hiccups. Better defense. Better QB. And, I love the HC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. So NE has lost at the Jags (revenge spot their Super Bowl) and at Detroit (vs old DC in a desperate spot). Oh. Patriots also didn't have much at the WR position. Yes, they are off a wild one against KC. But this Bears team is not in that offensive level. But the defense is elite. Or it was until facing the Brocketman in Miami. Bears blew a win at Green Bay. Eked by the Cardinals. Walloped Tampa, and beat a Seattle team that I really don't what to think of. I know that the Patriots take zero games off. NE was up 24-9 before over KC. I see a trendy Bears 8-1-1 ATS home dog run. But some of those lines were easily double this number. Are the Patriots not winning on the road this year? NE 14-5 ATS last 19 on the road. I know that the trendy, and 'wise guy' move will be to play on the Bears. But like the spot we took NE at home over the Dolphins, if the dynasty is truly over, then I will go down with it in this game. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the LIONS. So Detroit HC was a DC for Pats in the AFC East and may have a bit of insight to Miami. Brock behind center again. And listen. Somehow, we cashed Miami last week as a home dog with him starting. And I will gladly take that. But we have Detroit, off their bye week in town. So after they edged out GB at home on some missed FGs, they got to relax and in the process the 'let-down game' to follow is pushed aside. Instead, they get film on a guy, a QB, who got a 72 MILLION Dollar contract from the Texans. Who benched him that same year for, Tom Savage! Then was traded to the Browns, who released him!! 5 teams (Denver twice) in 5 years. That alone has me fading the Dolphins. I think Miami has a decent defense. But the Lions will do enough to get us out of here with the cover this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS 

Going UNDER the total here. I don't think the Titans can look any worse than that home loss last week. But the offense is rough to watch. Even the proverbial rebound after horrible game won't jet them to hurt this under. Chargers are good. I did that early prop video where I had Allen WR and Rivers QB most yards at their positions. Chargers will score a bit. But this is still a long hike from home. I see something along the lines of 24-13. 4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Chargers 

Taking the TITANS. We are also on the UNDER in this game. But the more I think of this, the more I have to jump in just for a small play on Tennessee. They looked absolutely brutal last week vs the Ravens. And we all now that nobody is as good or bad as they appeared the week before. I have been on both sides of Chargers games this season. This just seems like a flat spot for them 5447 miles from home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. So LSU off huge win over Georgia while Bulldogs come in off their bye. Revenge card for LSU after Miss State blitzed them 37-7 last year. But the 2 games before that, 23-20, 21-19. And 34-29 back in 2014. So we do see close games most of the time. Dogs bring a tough defense, an FBS best 12.7 ppg to the table. This is not an easy place to play either. But I can see this being a FG game. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE 

Taking MISSOURI. Memphis in off their Super Bowl. A loss to UCF. The season is over. It isn't like MizzU is some huge SEC team where they will be extra pumped to face. Missouri comes in off playing Alabama. It was 13-10 in the first, then Bama did their thing. So it isn't like Tigers are all depressed and out of it after a near miss. Let's lay it as I think Memphis has nothing in the tank. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI 

Taking RUTGERS -- You can grab 20.5 but I am going MONEY LINE +900. I know it is a big, ballsy bet. We have Northwestern coming in. They are off a huge come from behind win. Down 10 late 4th. 99 yard drive to tie. Win it in OT. I guess they can come in riding high. They get to face Rutgers who has been an absolute joke of a program this year. 2-17 5 INTs last week . 8 yards passing! Northwestern with margin of wins at 3,4,10 -- Granted. No team has been as bad as this Rutgers team. It really can't get any worse than last week can it? With Wisconsin on deck, off that late win, and with Rutgers as bad as they have been, Wildcats can easily be not focused and going through the motions looking for an easy win. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS

Going OVER the total. I like Army. This is a tough team. Going to still play on Black Knights even as this line has dropped from 11 to 8. They can move the ball and put points on the board. Frankly, I think they get 40 themselves. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week and Army off the bye. Redhawks first time facing this kind of offense. No contest here. 4* Total Money OVER Miami/ Army 

Taking ARMY. Also like the OVER in this game. I know this line has moved down from 11. But I am still on the Black Knights. For all intention purposes, Army with a bye week last week as they won 52-3 over San Jose. This team just improves every week. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week. Redhawks haven't faced the option in years. You think a few days will have the ready for this. All you need to know about Army is this. - They took Oklahoma to the wire only to lose in OT. That is impressive enough. I mean, covering and losing by 20-29, ok, Sooners just overlooking them. But play to OT. Then, to top it off. Coming to Buffalo, a good Bulls team, off said heart breaker. Falling behind 7-0 a minute 10 into the game. And I had Buffalo!! - Falling behind 7-0 a minute into the game and winning 42-13! Army to the races. 45-17. 5* Best Bet ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS