Taking ALABAMA. Any questions about how good the Tide should be out the window. I will say this - coming into the season, I thought the Aggies would be a live dog here. This team isn't getting any live QB play. IF we thought Saban and Alabama just methodically dismantled Mississippi, well this game should be pure precision surgery. Line will only go up. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

4* Total Money OVER UTSA/WKU

Taking IOWA HAWKEYES. I can't believe this game isn't at least 3. Hawkeyes the better team. That's it. 4* Money Maker IOWA 

Going OVER the total here. Last year 41-21 Iowa. 17-12 PSU in 2019. 30-24 PSU in 2018. Different teams, but we do so some scoring - and 40.5. Come on. There needs to be a lot of things breaking right for this to stay under. And that is just the offense not scoring. That isn't the defense forcing short fields or even scoring. Iowa defense brings it, we know this. For the team to win this one though, they will need to cross that football into the end-zone. Yes. Both defenses are very good at forcing TOs. I just don't see how this game doesn't play out 24-20, 27-24 or something in that range. 10* Money Bomb OVER Penn State/ Iowa 

Going OVER the total. Navy offense started real slow. But, we see 34-30 vs UCF. 28-20 vs Houston, a pretty decent defensive club. We know SMU can move the ball. They have put up 41-42-39-35-56 (alcorn) this season. This game gets to 60 in the 3rd quarter. 4* Total Money OVER SMU/Navy 

Taking GEORGIA here. So the Bulldogs in off a pair of shutouts over SEC teams winning a combined 99-0 over Arkansas and Vanderbilt. We are to think that Auburn stays within 20? You betting on Bo Nix being the guy to solve the Georgia defense? They are in off a great win at LSU. An early than a late 4th QB TD to turn 19-17 into 24-19. Very nice. But Georgia is head and shoulders past LSU right now. So coming in off that high, I think when the Bulldogs punch you in the mouth and all of a sudden it is 17-0 in the first quarter, War Eagle will be like, someone, anyone, help. 0 TD rushes allowed. 1 passing TD and 7 INTs for the defense. Until I see a team score off Georgia, I will lay the number. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking OLE MISS. So I had these guys ML last week. And that was basically, if we thought they would get inside that number, why not an outright win. It was more value play than anything else. We had Georgia as a no-brainer play in our 'Pick The Lock' Show. I mean. How many people were all over Arkansas. And as I said. A team that was unranked, and not really expecting a huge year was in off b2b wins over Texas and Texas A&M. While the Bulldogs are a team we have a 150 ticket at +800 to win the Natty. Miss is the better team. Both teams in off bad, bad losses. Give me the Lane Train to get back on the rails. 4* Money Maker OLE MISS

Taking TEXAS. Oklahoma is not a vintage Sooners team. I lost with these guys last week. And maybe it should have been a win. A KO return real late for a TD to get in through the back door. But overall, this offense is not an elite unit. This series is always a shoot out. I expect the same today with the exception is that the Longhorns offense looks like the superior unit. I'll grab any points with the dog here. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS 

4* Total Money UNDER Coastal/ Arkansas State

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders are 3-0 with a pair of OT wins. Chargers 2-1 and could be 3-0 if they got some calls vs Dallas. And before we get into, oh, let down spot for LAC with win in KC, remember, Vegas could be in a let down spot themselves. I mean. They get a huge non call that Miami should have had a PI in the end zone. Short line here, so I am grabbing the home team. LAC has shown they can slow down, and stop an offense. Chiefs and Dallas can move the ball and score with anyone. Raiders, for me, with wins over a backup Miami QB - a game they battled back and could have lost. At the Steelers, who, the question is, how did the Bills choke away the game. And finally, an opening night win over the Ravens with RBs they picked up at the RB Dollar Store. And you need OTs vs the street RBs and a journeyman QB. Like we saw with the Ravens over the Broncos. Sometimes the record is inflated based on the teams you play. Chargers the better roster. I think they have big edge with their WRs over the Vegas corners. Herbert will exploit that. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking TAMPA BAY. I don't see how this line does not get pumped up. I don't even know what happens vs the Rams, but I think this is a game for Brady to explode on. And that is saying something cause the guy tosses 4 TDs a passes a game like clockwork. I can't see NE keeping it within a touchdown. I know The Hoodie will have some insight on how to slow down Brady. But there are just too many weapons for Tampa. Overall talent wise on both sides of the ball, edge Bucs. This is just a bad spot for Mac Jones. The defense for Tampa will want to stomp this kid out for their QB. Maybe I am being a square on this one. But unless this line moves at least 2 or 3 points, I can't even think of grabbing the Patriots. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the PACKERS. This Steelers team is a hot mess.But short of Rodgers retiring, Green Bay should be able to exploit this Pitt defense. I won't get into a lengthy discussion about Big Ben. The entire Steelers offense is worrisome. I know it is easy to say fade GB off a big road win. But I can't see Pitt slowing down this offense or, having even offense to stay within a touchdown. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Going OVER the total here. These guys have played over in 5 of their last 6. I won't be shocked when both teams get to 30 here. But the fact is, we need one to get there and the other to be in the 20s. I think that is a solid play. Seattle gets up and down the field. Wilson is again off to a blazing start. Injuries again piling up for San Fran. The offense can still score, especially against this Seahawks defense that, let's face it, is not very good. 5* Total Money OVER Seattle/ Niners 

Taking SEATTLE, going ML. I mean, if you think the Seahawks hang in there get a backdoor to lose by 1, I guess, you grab the 2.5 or buy to 3. But I am going ML. I though San Fran would battle the Rams for the top of the NFC West. This team looks to has some major flaws again due to injury. Russ will Russ. We know Seattle scores and gives up points. But we are always in it. We faded them last week with this game being the more important road game of the two. The win outright this afternoon. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the RAMS. Ok. At first glance, we think let-down spot right? Off big win over the Super Bowl Champs. A nice game on both sides of the ball. Maybe Tampa was looking ahead to NE. Maybe their secondary isn't just that great. I think it is a combo of both plus, the Rams are good. Here comes the early MVP favorite in Murray and the Cards. Early start last week. Struggled a bit. Easy to think they come in here, cover or even knock off LA. I don't see it. One. Huge edge coaching for the Rams. Two. LA owns Arizona. 8 straight wins over the Cardinals. 9-10-7-27 the last 4 margins of victory. Maybe people have forgotten the miracle win for Arizona at home over the Vikings. I guess they forget them being behind at the half off a crazy special teams play. Not buying Arizona. The money has come in from 6 to 4.5 on Arizona. Edge for us on the shorter number - though I think this is a double digit winner. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking the CHIEFS. So we all know KC has is now what, 1-12-1 ATS last 14 or something terrible along those lines. I will say I have had KC all 3 weeks. I thought they were begging us to take Cleveland week 1. And I love me some Browns this season. In Week 2, we had a nice 2.5 early number and had a double digit lead before a collapse on national tv. Then last week. A game I thought they would come out and dominate based on the Ravens game, and, more importantly, having a full season of film on Herbert, and seeing the Chargers not really get the offense offense vs Washington and Dallas to a lesser degree. Now this is it. Coach out of the hospital. 2 straight losses. This line will only go up. Every saw the Eagles look awful last night. But news flash, this is not a good team. This is as much of a 'must win' game for KC as any tam needs a 'must win.' Philly might be able to run a bit since we saw Lamar expose this defense. But there is zero way that Mahomes doesn't shred this defense. Simple for me. I hate saying someone has to win. But I will go back to the well one last time on the Chiefs. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the BROWNS. Might be a square play, but I am taking it. You know I was high on Cleveland last year. I am still high on them this season. Defense. Run Game. Ball control. I like the HC. He knows this Minny team. I think people forget he was on this Viking staff. This defense will know exactly how to contain Cousins. Also. Seattle was the same small fave last week over these guys. And the Browns overall, head and shoulders better than the Seahawks. Oh. Pretty sure Seattle was up double digits early in this game also. Make no mistake. Cleveland gets up and they can bury you with a double headed brutal rush game. The defense and pass alone, and Stefanski knowing this team. Huge edge. We cashed Minny as our Top 10* last week. Total opposite thinking today. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Going UNDER the total. Both teams decent on defense. We have seen Dallas lay eggs off prime time games. Panthers will look to milk the clock. 4* Total Money UNDER Carolina/Dallas

Taking the TITANS. I have an old buddy named Scoop. He would always say when talking about his mid 90s Steelers. Can't win if you can't score. Gregg Lloyd and Rod Woodson took peoples souls. I say the same about the Jets. This QB looks like a deer in headlights. I thought it was a bad pick in April. I think it is bad now. Maybe he grows and is the QB they think he will be. But for now. I can't see NYJ slowing down the Titans. The offense is just too good. The line is short enough where even if the Jets somehow punch one in late, I don't think the spread will come into play. Henry will maul these guys. Then the WRs will get their shots in. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Lost with these crew last week. But while I was shuffling my feet muttering about Sparty, WKY was cashing an Over for us. I'll be honest, I thought this line should be about 2 Touchdowns. Indiana was -9 on the road, so they would have been 12-14 point faves at home. This line did open at 8 - I don't think MSU is worse than Indiana. Maybe I'm missing something. Anyway - on to WKU off Indiana. It was a dog fight -a 33-31 loss. Big game on tap for them with UTSA on deck. Much more important than trying to get a win here. Get out injury free. You tossed the kitchen sink at the Hoosiers, and Michigan State will be ready. Spartans off a tough OT loss and have a trip to Rutgers on deck. But after a poor game last week, I think this is a big get right spot. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE

Going OVER the total here. Over has cashed 5 of the last 6 in this series. 111 last year. 90 in 2019. 69 in 2018 (Miss scored 7!) 69 in 2017 (Miss scored 3!) 91 in 2016. You get the idea here. Alabama will put up over 50 here. Ole Miss with a pretty decent offense this year. They are #1 in total yards and scoring at nearly 53ppg. Tide not bad either at 46ppg. This is going to be a shootout. Line opened at +20 but couldn't get it. Now 14.5. Not sure where I am leaning as of Sunday. 4* Total Money OVER Ole Miss/ Bama

Taking OLE MISS. Grabbing that +475 ML. Look. Ole Miss can score. They scored last year and this team is better. Bama is not as good as their team last season. For me - I think Mississippi can stay close - and if we are close, we are right there for the outright win. 4* Money Maker OLE MISS 

Taking OKLAHOMA. At first look, you have say to yourself, we are grabbing K-State at this price. They won at Oklahoma last year 38-35. They won in 2019 at home 48-41. This Sooners team was down at West Virginia 13-10 heading into the 4th quarter. Won on a last second FG 16-13. They barely beat Nebraska at home, 23-16. We are going to make it 3 in a row over OU. This line opened 12, and has come down. So - a double revenge spot where OU was favored by 27.5 and 23.5 points. KSt QB Skylar Thompson is at best, very questionable for the game. He won those last 2 games for the Wildcats. His back up is also banged up. So - if Kansas State does suit up a less than healthy Thompson, this is a still a good spot. A 2 TD line move based on past games. And if we get a backup who did nothing last week on offense - we should get a huge revenge blowout with the Sooners winning by 3 TDs. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. At a pick or Cincy dog, give me the Bearcats. I just think that everyone is going to be on Cincinnati today. At plus money- give me the Irish as a home dog. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME

Taking WAKE FOREST. Wake has been churning. Some might think to fade them off their win last night. But I think the fade should be on Louisville knocking off Florida State. Couple that with their win over UCF. No shame losing here on the road to a deep Wake team. Revenge spot for 45-21 loss last season. 4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST 

Going OVER the total. I want to take TCU here and the points. I just don't trust the defense. They scored on the first 4 times they had the ball last week and lost 42-34 against SMU. Week before, a 34-32 win against Cal. 74 points allowed in your last 2 home games? Not good with Texas coming to down. A Texas team that you have beaten 6 of the last 7 times. A team that dropped a 70 on Texas Tech, with a huge revenge game on deck? 58-0 vs Rice just shows they can score at will. This game will be a back and forth shootout till someone turns it over. 4* Total Money OVER Texas/ TCU 

Going OVER the total. Another spot I was leaning dog. Tech in off of rolling NC as a 14 dog. You would think a flat spot off that 14-8 loss at Clemson. But, a QB change and the offense erupts. Enter Pitt who has gone over in all their games this season. Add in they are a team that is up and down. Win at Tennessee 41-34, lose at home to Western Michigan 44-41. Last year in this spot, it was a 34-20 Pitt win. I think the Pitt defense is worse. I think the GT offense is better. I know the Pitt offense is better. This is actually a spot where I am thinking - what am I thinking? Because if both teams aren't in the 30s I will be shocked. I think this game can be 14-14, half home, heading into the 2nd quarter. 4* Total Money OVER Pitt/ Tech 

Taking MARYLAND. Can someone explain this line to me? I am no Locksley fan by any stretch.  But I see a Top 5 team laying a short number like this. Auto play for me on a home dog. Terps can move the ball. Iowa though, a pretty good defense. Not going to say they aren't. But this offense is rough to watch. Penn State on deck for them. That is bigger than going to Ohio State for the Terps. Terps at home are thinking upset here. This line has come down a full point in some books and Iowa is getting the money. Upset alert on Friday night. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND TEPRS 

Taking TULSA. Love when I see 1-3 laying points to a 3-1 team. And then we add that Houston is a 'bigger' name than Tulsa. Don't be fooled  by those 3 wins. Navy, Grambling and Rice are 2-9 SU this year. Tulsa played some real teams with losses to Oklahoma State and Ohio State. Not a fan of Cougs HC either. We had Texas Tech in Week 1 and we should send him some thanks. A 21-7 halftime lead turns into 31 unanswered and a loss. I just think this is a bigger game for Tulsa. Might be close, but I still think Tulsa gets it done by a touchdown. 4* Money Maker TULSA 

Taking the BENGALS. I'll be honest. Part of me wanted to jump on the Jaguars here. Thought about it last week against the Cards. Early start time. Rams on deck. Even with that, and a special teams TD, Jags couldn't muster a backdoor cover. I don't think they get one here either. Burrow has command of his offense. Plenty of weapons before his WR teammate from college arrived. Defense is solid. Trevor looks over-matched out of the gate. This isn't the ACC baby. NFL defenses. 7 INTs 54% completions. That won't get you many win or even covers here. You're coach will be retiring in December. I am no fan of the Bengals HC either. But they have too much talent on offense not to win this one by 2 touchdowns. Short week also hurts the young Jags. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Going UNDER the total here. What am I missing? Ok. So we don't even worry about the the scores when they played in 2020 19-14, or 2019 17-9 or 2018 16-13. All nail bitter Miami wins. Is Miami the UNC offense? Because that was Virginia's only over in that 59-39 shootout. 37-17  Under 71 in loss vs Wake. 42-12 Under 57.5 vs Illinois. Even a putting up 43 on William and Mary is an under in a 43-0 win. And Miami. We won't bother with 69-0 over Central Connecticut State. Hurricanes 2 backup QBs go 21-25 with 5 TDs and 400+ yards. Against real teams - 38-17 loser as a favorite but Under the 57.5. 25-23 can't over vs Appalachian State and stays Under 55.5. 44-13 vs the Alabama Crimson Tide and other Under we cashed as a Free Pick. So The U may or may not have King under center. And if he is, how healthy is he? Is he a shot away from the bench. And do you have faith that a pair of freshman QBs will perform in ACC play? I think Canes need to grind and play defense, drain the clock. 4* Total Money UNDER Virginia/ Miami

Taking the COWBOYS. Maybe they do have a bit of a defense. Had Dallas and the Over last week, got a split. We faded the Eagles again and got the win. That is 2 straight wins for us on San Fran. Tonight though. Dallas. I have to say, this over looks a little high, 52. With scores of 17-11 and 20-17 last week. Fishy. I know Philly plays the Boys tough. I just think the offense should be able to get us over the hump here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the VIKINGS, going ML. This is an absolute 'must win' circle the wagons' whatever you want to call it for Minny. They have let 2 games slip through their fingertips. Pressure is on. Good thing though -Seattle comes to town. A team that has no problems going up and down the field. Hey, we get up 20 points its ok, we will let you come back and tie things up. Cook might not be Henry, but he is a great back. Should open things for the WRs here. Vikings can easily be 2-0. Don't blame the offense. They will put 30+ up on this Seattle unit. We just need a defensive stop. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Just a better team for me at home. I have not been high on Miami coming into the season. I won't be high on them during the season. I think the defense is overrated. I think the offense is overrated. Though they do have an edge at HC. I really like Flores. Something about being home in Vegas I like about the Raiders. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Going OVER the total. Ravens defense doesn't look like the 2000 edition. And this is another tough, tough spot. Opening on the road in Vegas and going into OT. Home vs the Chiefs. This game just screams over. 4* Total Money OVER Ravens/ Lions

Going OVER the total. Washington does have some extra time to prepare. The defense looks like it needs a little help. And the Bills offense has been so-so in their first two games. This is just a low line even if Washington defense shows up like they were part of their Super Bowl Champion teams. 4* Total Money OVER Washington/ Bills 

Going OVER the total. I almost want to take KC minus the -6.5 here But I just hear the voices -- All Mahomes has to do is win by a touchdown. Easy money. Forget it. I am going OVER. KC will put up 30. Chargers offense will chuck it with their young QB. This line will be 54-56 soon. 4* Total Money OVER Chargers/ Chiefs 

Going UNDER the total. Browns defense will feast on this Bears team. I am just worried that Cleveland scores 37+ and threatens the over by themselves. 4* Total Money UNDER Bears/ Browns 

Taking the LIONS. If we have seen anything from the Lions, it is they Do Not Quit. Big comeback vs the Niners. And taking a lead into the half at Green Bay. Now they get the Ravens, and are nearly a double digit home underdog. Baltimore enters off a huge win over KC. A win is a win, but they got the gift fumble. Also, this defense is like a wet paper bag holding a rock. Way too many points and that back-door is wide open. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the BROWNS. You are kidding me with this line right? I though this line should be 9, maybe 10. Everyone excited about Justin Fields. Ok. Great. Cincy Joe Joe tossed 3 INTs, 1 for a TD. The score was 7-3 heading to the 4th before a flurry of miscues make it a 20-17 final. You have that much faith in the rookie on the road? In the Dawg Pound. Against a defense that just laid an egg? Good Luck. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I believe KC is now on something like an 0-10 ATS run. 1-11-1 ATS if you want to go back a little further. Tough one last week. I had KC -2.5 and still think I had the right side. Chiefs have been playing down and down and down to their opponents. I think Andy Reid doesn't call the dogs off today. He has a super QB. No way he is giving the ball to a RB with the game on the line ever again. They are in off a loss where the defense was absolutely horrible. Now they get Herbert. Kid was the spot starter after Tyrod Taylor was stabbed in the lung! Ok. They don't know much about the kid, close game. Then it was a Week 17 game. Yeah. KC was really invested in that game before the playoffs begin. Now they have a year of tape. They are off a bad game. They have seen the Charger score 20 and 17 points with their new coaching staff. If ever Andy Reid was to 'release the hounds', it is right now. KC should score 40 today. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

4* Total Money UNDER Colorado / Arizona State 

Taking NEW MEXICO. Not sure why I waited on this? Guess I could have gotten that early +3, but I think Lobos win outright anyway. UTEP is 5-39 SU last 44 games. Forget they are off a bye week. Does that even matter? Lobos got routed last week by A&M. But you what. They didn't care. They didn't get hurt. They didn't exert themselves. They were waiting for this game. A game they can and will win. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO 

4* Total Money OVER Indiana/ Western Kentucky 

4* Total Money UNDER Kansas State/ Oklahoma State

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. What a spot here for Sparty? Foget the fact they are already having a nice little season. We cashed them vs Northwestern. We cashed them vs Miami. And we will go big here vs Nebraska. Now. I had Oklahoma last week in what I thought would be an absolute blow-out. Far from it. In fact, it was a tough pill to swallow if you are a Nebraska fan. Missing 2 FGs and a PAT - a 23-16 loss. Yikes. Just a total flat spot. I mean really. You are facing the Sooners, old-school Big 8 Rival when you guys were always Top 5 teams. Now you have to get off the mat and get pumped to play Michigan State. I don't see it. I think their coach is on the way out. I don't think they will be able to contain this MSU run game. I think their own run game is their QB running for his life. Spartans should win this one by at least 2 TDs. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking STANFORD here. So we roared with Stanford after their Game 1 debacle vs Kansas State and were rewarded with a double digit dog outright winner. We did fade them last week laying a big road number to Vandy. But, to my surprise, there was no let down and Stanford took care of business. This line has gone up a point since the opener. I guess people think UCLA is 'due' to win since they were upset last week. Well, if they were in a dog roll or shorter favorites, maybe I would consider it. Bu, the Bruins are 1-6-1 ATS last 8 in this series and just 3-8 ATS last 11 trips to Stanford. Last year was a wild 48-47 Stanford OT win. Stanford did lead 20-3 at the half. UCLA took a 34-20 4thQ lead before the Tree tied things up. I don't know if gets that crazy tonight, but I will grab any points with the home team. 4* Money Maker STANFORD

Taking ARKANSAS. This team is a nice surprise for their fans. Line continues to drop. I am not sold on A&M off a big win. Beating New Mexico and not even covering is not a major accomplishment. This team has QB problems for me. Or at least scoring problems overall. However you want to word it. The 10-7 at Colorado should send up alarm bells. That is the same Colorado team that just was blanked 30-0 at home by Minnesota without their star RB! Hogs playing with Wild Boar sized chips on their shoulders right now. We saw them absolutely destroy Texas. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN. Looks like the Western Michigan we thought was going to show up against Michigan showed up against Pitt. Albeit they gave up 6 passing TDs. Good news is San Jose isn't built like. Better news is they get them here at home with Spartans coming in from Hawaii. That is a long haul. Clear body clock edge for the home team. Now the 'let down' factor might be in play but not a lot. San Jose also in off a big road win. Any road win is big for them. Coming into the season, WMU was suppose to contend for the MAC Title. Knocking off a so-so Pitt team is not that far fetched. I liked this guys coming into the year, will take them laying the short number at home. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking TCU. Revenge on the plate for this lunch time game on Saturday. SMU knocked these guys off back in 2019. Well, the Horned Frogs have been sitting around their bye week preparing for the Mustangs attack. SMU in off a last second 33 yard TD pass to remain unbeaten. Their QB to no ones surprise who knows a Sonny Dykes offense,  has 16 TD passes through 3 games. But this is a step up. You knocked off big brother last time. Time for little brother to be put in his place. Double Digit win here as the SMU defense is always lack luster. 4* Money Maker TCU 

Taking UTAH STATE. So we have a nice early start time. Right off the bat, a good plus for the home team. Boise I think is in for a long season. I think their coach is in over his head. Now, laying a big chunk to an undefeated on the road. After you just got stymied at home and couldn't do anything offensively? No way. I think this line is a touchdown to high. I won't be shocked one bit if the Aggies win this one outright. These guys are a live dog. They have gone on the road as dogs and won at Washington State and Air Force. Boise whipped a bad UTEP team. I had them against UCF for a miracle cover. Again. Coaching problems. My guy on Utah State loves the dog role and is hungry. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE 

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. So they are 1-2 on the year and a MAC team is laying double digits. Both losses in SEC play. In fact, last week they flew to the LSU game on game day! Yes. Not much hotel space after the Hurricane roared through town. 35-7 at the half and you're shocked they got 7. That's a tough schedule spot. But are home now, comfy in our surroundings. FIU comes in for a long road trip. A team off back to back losses - lost at home to Texas State and then went to Texas for Texas Tech to rough them up, 54-21. And unlike CMU, they didn't show up from the airport with their luggage. I like Jim McElwain. Butch Davis has lost that Miami U glow a long time ago. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking NORTHWESTERN. We faded these guys last week in one of my videos but will ride them to a cover and a date at the ticket window. This is a nice get right game for the home team. Ohio is an absolute dumpster fire right now. Coming into the season, these guys were poised to be one of the top teams in the MAC. Well - their long time HC abruptly hangs it up, and talent or not, the new guy can't get out of his own way. The players are just responding and maybe the guy standing next to the other guy wasn't the right choice to run the program. Wildcats were down 30-7 at half and rallied to a 30-23 loss. Turnovers hurt. Now they get a taste a victory vs a team that lost at home to Duquesne 28-26, as 28.5 favorites! Duquesne by the way, after trailing TCU 35-0 at the half, talked the Horned Frogs into playing 12 minute 3rd + 4th quarters. Ohio is a mess. If Northwestern doesn't win this by 20 here at home, they will be getting into the dumpster with the Bobcats. 8* Sure Shot NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS 

Taking SYRACUSE. I think everyone will be grabbing Liberty here. They are now 14-1 (a 1pt loss) and 13-2 ATS their last 15. Tonight, laying less than a touchdown? Not buying it. A little revenge for the Orange as the Flames won last year 38-21. 4* Money Maker SYRACUSE ORANGE 

Taking the CHIEFS. Had these guys last week. Couldn't get it done. Slow start and we paid for it. Chiefs have owned Baltimore in the past. I don't see this changing much. They are really beat on offense. I won't be shocked at a Raiders win on MNF over the Ravens. I actually took Vegas +140 FH. Again. Ravens on offense, a mess. KC offense, well you see what they can do. I don't think this line gets any lower. Will only go up, especially if Baltimore lays an egg Monday night. I will grab KC early at this price. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the TITANS. Oh how bad did these guys look last week. Totally cost us a play on the over. We did cash Seattle and the Under in their game. I just feel that Tennessee is much better than what they showed last week. Might take a bite of the over 52.5 here also. I think this is going to be a back and forth game. Seattle is good for either being down, and coming back. Or being up, and allowing teams to score. Give me Tennessee to bounce back off their game and maybe even pull an outright win here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS

Going OVER the total. Dallas with extra rest here. Can't hurt Dak's arm. Guy was said to have a 'tired shoulder' in pre-season. Coach lets him throw the ball 47 times. The same as the 2nd year starter for the Chargers! Have to love coaches who want to chuck it up and down the field. Especially when one team has a terrible defense. Chargers defense ok,  but I don't see them holding the Cowboys offense in check. Shoot out in LA. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Chargers 

Taking the COWBOYS. Nothing like extra rest and prep time for a road trip. Dallas at home, tricky betting as favorites. On the road though, sign me up. I expect this game to be a shoot-out. We have the OVER 52.5 in this one. I can't say anything bad about the Chargers. They went on the road and beat, who I think, has the best defense in the NFC. I like the DL of Washington a bunch. But the Chargers escape with a win- albeit vs a backup QB as Fitzmagic got hurt. Dak is much better than those guys, and the Cowboys offense is electric. What we need for the outright win here is for the coach to stop with his bonehead decision making. A lot of times I just go ML on games like this, but Dallas is Dallas. Take the FG here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking SAN FRAN. Got a win at the right number last week with these guys. What an epic meltdown. No way the coach stands for that this week. Let's be honest. Eagles played way over their heads - and the Falcons did me no favors as I backed them. But is Philly that good, or is Atlanta just a hot mess. I am leaning more to the second. Back to San Fran. They were cruising. We see what happens when you take your foot off the case. A couple lucky plans and you barely get out of town with a win. NFC West clearly the best division in football. No time for mistakes or bad losses. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Going UNDER the total. Cleveland a run first team. A very good defense. Texans were a nice win for a last week. But this isn't Jax. Browns a team with Super Bowl dreams. Defense will overwhelm Houston. 4* Total Money UNDER Houston/Browns

Going UNDER the total. Jaguars are bad. Denver brings a solid defense. We know defense travels. Teddy B a nice covering machine when he starts. But the line is a bit too big for my liking. I don't see the Jags getting 20 points today. Broncos aren't a monster offense. For me, defense makes this team go. 4* Total Money UNDER Denver/ Jags

Taking the PATRIOTS. I see 3.5s up to 5. I will lay a little extra money if I have to 120/130. Obviously I think the Patriots are going to win this one by double digits. If I take a favorite, I am thinking blowout. When I take a dog, I think we are winning outright. I had New England last week. Tough loss. 1 of 4 in the red zone. A turnover 2 FGs. That won't cut it. The defense is good. We knew that. And now it gets to face a rookie QB. Did we see the Jets offense last Sunday? I won't be shocked if this game gets to 6 or 7. I think people will be hammering Patriots off a loss. In this spot, I think it is warranted. I would say, if NE was in off beating Miami, maybe I would think of grabbing the home dogs. But everything is week to week in NFL. And this one checks all my boxes for a huge blowout win. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE

Taking ARIZONA STATE. I faded BYU and it cost me last week. But, as a dog outright winner in the Holy War, this game has let-down written all over it. Rushing the field. All the non-sense that goes with beating a big rival. Well, Arizona State sleep walked in their game last week. This is a big game for them and I expect QB Daniels to be sharp. Also, the defense coming off a nice game, (UNLV so does that count?), but gives them some momentum here. I'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE 

Taking UAB. These guys are the class of CUSA. I thought maybe they would hang with Georgia. Looking back on it. I should have figured they would take the pay day and get ready for their conference opener. A nasty loss on paper for them, but they should take it out here on Mean Green. 4* Money Maker UAB BLAZERS 

4* Money Maker CHARLOTTE 

4* Total Money OVER Mid Tenn St/ UT San Antonio 

Taking EASTERN MICHIGAN. Don't be fooled by the UMass score last week. BC played with a back up QB, and the team threw just 18 times. They also lost 2 fumbles. This is a bad team. EMU comes in off playing Wiscy. That is like your 14 year playing varsity and now playing in U10 rec league. Eagles should get it done by 3 TDs here. 4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. I'll be honest. Part of me wants to grab Wake here. And if the Seminoles held on last week, that is exactly what I would be doing. Now, we had FSU against Notre Dame. That is a tough loss. You are going to play down off that kind of game with an ACC foe on deck. But to lose like that to Jacksonville State. Yikes. That just makes this one a more of the 'circle the wagons' type game. Make no mistake. This is a 'Must Win' game for the coach and team. FSU is 7-1 SU/ 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. I am hoping for the outright, but will settle for a cover. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA STATE 

Taking BAYLOR. Kansas couldn't get in a 27pt road back door last week while not committing a turnover. And we think they are going to stay within 4 TDs of Baylor. Heck, we don't even need that from the Bears. But I think that is what we will get from them. Baylor has covered 9 straight in the series with an average score of 49-10. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking NOTRE DAME. I think the Irish win this one by double digits. This line is a joke in my eyes. Do we forget that Notre Dame was up nearly 20 points vs Florida State. That was a tough place to play that night with Bowden stuff going on. A  hungry home dog. They took the punches and won the game. Here at home vs the Boilermakers. This is Purdue. A team I think is one of the bottom 3 teams in the Big 10, I mean Big 14. I understand that everyone is going to be on Purdue here. I see it already. Notre Dame defense bad. Can't stop people. I think this is a big overreaction. Normally I am an Irish fade guy, but something tells me the little green guy gets it done today. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME 

Taking INDIANA. How many people will see Cincy, ranked in the Top laying the short number and jump on it? Honestly. When I see an AAC team favored over the Big 10 I really want to grab the road favorite. But this isn't say UCF over ACC Louisville. Cincy is a team that has been beating on the Jan 1 Bowl Game Doors for awhile now. This is a pretty good program. The home dog gets the call for me though. We have a tough QB and a decent defense. I can't see this being a blow-out. This is a one possession game with whoever has the ball last probably kicking a FG to win it. 4* Money Maker INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA. Nothing I have seen from Nebraska makes me think they can stay within this number. The offense is sloppy and erratic. Sooners can write in any score they want to and get to it. Let's be honest. The alumni will want to see Oklahoma run it up here. They coach will know exactly what these guys are betting on their old school. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

4* Total Money UNDER Connecticut/ Army 

4* Total Money UNDER Western Michigan/ Pitt 

Taking OHIO. Oh man. I had these guys pegged out of the gate vs Syracuse and they laid an egg. Then they lose outright to Duquesne as 28pt favorites! Yikes. But this is too many points to pass up. Lafayette was a team that everyone loved in Week 1 vs Texas. They didn't cover. Then last week, not an outright loser, but a 27-24 win as 26pt favorites? If you want to give up 4th quarter touchdowns, then wonderful, leave that back-door open for the Bobcats. 4* Money Maker OHIO BOBCATS 

Taking the RAMS. I know people want to jump on the dog here. I wouldn't even bite if Fields was playing. Best defense guy in the game will be looking to feast on Bear meat tonight. I think Stats Padford. Pad Stattsford. Oh wait Matt Stafford will have a big game. A team he beat when he was on a bad team. This team has talent around him. Should be a fun offense to watch. Nagy should be canned. Could very well be on the under 46.5 here also. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the CHIEFS. So I will say this. We have a couple Cleveland futures working here. But that being said, give me Kansas City. Browns a super trendy dog pick here going off this line movement. I will rave about them another day. For today, this is about Andy Reid and the prep time ATS wizard he is. 27-5 SU -  21-11 ATS  - Worth it at this price. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Taking the PATRIOTS. Here comes the Mac Attack. I thought Cam would be here, but, so it goes. This team was missing a bunch of guys on defense and still managed to win games. The Patriots will be better. I am not buying into Tua on the road. I get it - Miami HC ex NE guy. Ok. Fine. But this isn't old NE where we are laying huge numbers. This is a FG game. I think NE wins by more. Simple as that. One team out to redeem themselves and prove doubters wrong. Sign me up with the coach with some SB hardware looking to show people he hasn't lost a step. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking SEATTLE. Said on Mid Day Money on Saturday to try to find Russell and the 'Hawks getting points. Now with Wentz out, this line will be on the move. Jacob Eason, Sam Ehlinger, Jalen Morton and Brett Hundley listed as QBs 2-5. Anyone vet they sign will have 3 weeks to learn the system. Give me the road dogs. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Taking the TEXANS here in Game 1. An underdog. To rookie QB and HC who hasn't coached any football in 2 years. Give me the home team that nobody believes in. Tyrod Taylor has played for both this HC and OC before. I think people forget he had decent years back in Buffalo. Again, a guy playing with a chip the size of Texas on his shoulder. I will be grabbing some ML here also. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

4* Total Money UNDER Seattle/ Colts

Taking the BILLS. This line is going to move to 7 or more. Short of our QB not playing, Buffalo should put up a nice 30+ here over the Steelers. Pre-season is one thing. And I had Pitt a couple times there. But regular season - hello. Big Ben farewell tour - rebuilt OL. Shaky defense. Not buying it. Not here. Bills and their QB out with a lot to prove. Taking care of the Steelers by double digits should be a nice start to the season. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS 

Going OVER the total. So we have New QB facing Old Team. And Old Team with New QB who is the new face of the franchise. Safe to say, both guys with something to prove. Both guys with decent talent and help around them. A pair of so so defenses. We have HCs who want to get off to good quick starts. I don't see how this game doesn't get into the 50s. 4* Total Money OVER Jets/ Panthers 

Taking the FALCONS. If you watched any of the Mid Day Money August previews shows, you had to know we were coming in on Atlanta. I went over their 4-12 record - We know about that crazy Dallas loss.  But there were a couple more they let slip away. Easily could have been anywhere from 7-9  to 10-6. The offense should be fine. The defense can only get better. Back to Philly. Hurts, 1-5 in his games last year. You really think this kid is coming into the dome, with fans, and taking care of business? I don't. And if he does. Then hats off to him. I think this is going to be a 34-10 type of game. I have no doubts Falcons put up 30+ here. I would be on the over but not sure that the Eagles help the cause. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Going UNDER the total. This is pretty simple for me. I do not know what to expect out of Burrow. Kid got hurt last year. Are they going to let him stand back here and take a pounding? Minny had been a pretty good defensive club before the wheels came off last year. I think a refocus to that is in the works. We saw nothing out of the offense in August. I think it is safe to assume that Cook and the run game will be the key to it. So - more running. More defense. A HC in Cincy who I think is in over his head. Give me the under. 4* Total Money UNDER Minny/ Cincy 

4* Total Money UNDER Niners/ Lions

Taking the NINERS. This is probably my favorite game of the week. I am not rushing out my big Top 10* Money Bombs in week one. I know some guys come out with GOWs or GOYs out of the gate, but I will go Best Bet here. Still Week 1. Anything is possible. But San Fran is a good team. I like the defense. Like the coach. The offense is good. We have an entire new regime in Detroit. A QB who this defense knows. A QB with less talent than he had when he faced this defense. If SF doesn't win by 2 touch downs, I'll be shocked. A double digit win should in the making. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Laying the wood here with ARIZONA STATE. Real sloppy last week in their opener. I expect a crisp game here. UNLV is bad. Miracle that game even went to OT, but some bad play calling by Eastern Washington and taking their foot off the gas made that a game. Will also lay 20 in the first half if I have to. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE 

Taking UTAH. Annoyed that I didn't grab the 6 or even 6.5 when I had a chance on Sunday. Do I think it will come down to a point. Heck no. You know me by know. If I am on a small dog, I think we are winning outright. If I am on a favorite like this, only thing going through my head is double digit blow-out. If you watched the Mid Day Money Show, you know that I like the Utes to win the PAC 12. Nothing is changing that. Love the coach. Love the defense. The team is good. Big rivalry here. For sure. People think, oh man BYU, home dog. Zach Wilson ..  Yeah. Their QB is now in the NFL and their defense has just 4 starters back and the offense loses a Top NFL draft pick. What can go wrong? I know the Cougars are usually a solid club. But our guy Whittingham has a deep, experienced team back ( 10 Off 9 Def). This guy is the most underrated coach in CFB. There is a reason they are favored basically by a TD all over the place right now. They are that good. 4* Money Maker UTAH UTES 

Taking TEXAS. Jumping on this guy before the line goes up. We had Rice getting 20 and they somehow blew that game. As I said in that write up - Razorbacks were on a 5-27 SU run. And now you are telling me they can stay this close to Texas. I am not huge Longhorns guy. I thought that ULL was a trendy dog, but still don't want to bed on a new HC in Game 1. They did look good though. Again. This will go up at least 2 points. Arkansas will take a step forward in year 2 of HC Pittman, but I think there is still a talent gap here. Might be a low hanging fruit game, but we are on the road favorites today. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking MIAMI. Everyone saw the Hurricanes look like garbage the other night. Why do I feel like the world will be on Appalachian State this week. Go make a list of teams that beat Alabama in Week 1, or any weeks for that matter. And then go to the score-card and see some of these Tide scores. No shame in that loss. This is game the Hurricanes should roll in. Home. National TV loss. Big bounce back here. 4* Money Maker MIAMI HURRICANES 

Taking RICE again. Well, it was a tough one not to cover last week. But I am back again on these guys. We faded Houston and will do it again. Nothing I saw changes my thoughts about these guys. Cougars on a 7-14 SU run. Give me those points - maybe even outright today! Home dog, lets go. 4* Money Maker RICE OWLS 

4* Total Money UNDER Iowa/ Iowa State

Going OVER the total. Both teams in off of big wins over cupcakes. This is really all about Nebraska for me. We know Buffalo is going to want to come out with everything in the playbook playing a Big 10 school. But the Cornhuskers even in their sloppy week 1 show us they can score while being bad on offense and, can give up points to guys right off the bench with their defense. We also have the Sooners on deck for Nebraska. An old-school Big 8 rivalry game. So I think Buffalo will be able to get to about 30 today. I am surprised this line isn't higher. I think we see a game in the 60s. 4* Total Money OVER Buffalo/ Nebraska 

Going UNDER the total. Will probably take a rip at USF at +28.5 after we had them getting blanked 45-0 last week. I like the Florida defense. And after a game like last week, you know the USF guys want to come out and not get trucked by an in-state rival. 4* Total Money UNDER Florida/ South Florida 

Taking SOUTH FLORIDA. I will either look like a genius or idiot with this play. Also on the UNDER in this game. A team is never as good or bad as the were in the previous game. And USF was downright awful losing 45-0. Off that kind of beating, if their ever was a game 2 circle the wagons type of situation, it is brewing right here. 4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS 

Going UNDER the total. Man. I clearly remember I had Oklahoma State big last year in this exact same spot. It was a 16-7 grinder. Maybe we choke it up to the Covid season and teams not getting enough practice in or whatever. That being said, I  think we get something like that today. Now. I am not saying it will be 23 points scored, but I can see it staying under 50. Both teams last week were terrible. I am not saying we rush to conclusions after 1 games. But, we see Tulsa lose as a 20pt fave 19-17 to Cal Davis. Oklahoma State, as a 33pt favorite, goes up 20-0 and 20-3 at the half. It ends a 23-16 win, but when you lose a QB, these things happen. Give me the Under. 4* Total Money UNDER Tulsa/ Oklahoma State 

Taking ECU. I didn't pull the trigger on these guys last as they were getting a whole lotta love. And promptly laid an egg. We had line movement early on this game and it looks to be settled. For me. When I see a SEC team laying this kind of number, I have to take the dog just on principle. Pirates are not as bad as they looked last week. And the Gamecocks, well safe to say that getting a blocked punt, 2 INTs, it helps the cause. Hey. They do that here on the road, they deserve to win. 4* Money Maker ECU