-Golden State hits the road without Kevin Durant; more efficient and a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 38.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from 3
-Warriors allow just 43.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Houston was down 20 points in Game 5 before coming back to lead; blew a great opportunity
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field
-Rockets allow 46.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that also shoot 46.3% from the field

10* Play WARRIORS (+).

-Denver played a perfect Game 5 at home; 124 points in regulation; most since March 12th
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Portland returns home off an ugly 26-point road loss; 36-10 at home; expect a big bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting
-Trail Blazers allow 45% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

-Toronto hits the road after dominating Game 5 on their home court; expect the series to end
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 33.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

-Philadelphia failed to show up for the all important Game 5; bad spot here even playing at home
-offense has struggled to score points in this series; held to 96 points or less in 4 of the 5 games
-76ers defense allows 111.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game

9* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Houston won both games at home to tie this series at 2 games apiece; now on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.3%

-Golden State returns home off back-to-back losses; 33-13 at home; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors defense allows just 34.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Portland lost Game 4 on their home court; on the road now; expect a strong bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Trail Blazers allow 45.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field

-Denver bounced back with a solid win off their 4 overtime loss in Game 3; at home; regression
-offense averages just 110.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.3 points per game
-Nuggets defense has given up 112 points or more in 3 of the 4 games in this series; bad form

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (+).

-Philadelphia hits the road after losing Game 4 on their home court as a favorite; bounce back
-offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-76ers defense allows 33% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Toronto was in a good spot to win Game 4 off a loss in Game 3; now at home; complacency
-offense is getting little production off the bench; second unit scored 12 points in 48 minutes
-Raptors defense allows 35.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

9* Play 76ERS (+).

-Milwaukee dominated the 3rd quarter to win Game 3; game was even other than that quarter
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Boston is now off back-to-back losses in this series; must win game tonight; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Celtics defense allows 44.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

10* Play CELTICS (-).

-Toronto has now played back-to-back poor games; off a 21-point loss; big bounce back here
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 107.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.5 points per game

-Philadelphia once again played perfect in Game 3; 6 players scored in double digits; regression
-offense shot 51.2% (43-84) from the field, 87% from the free throw line, and they made ten 3’s
-76ers defense allows 111.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 

10* Play RAPTORS (+).

-Golden State won the first 2 games on their home court by a combined 10 points; bad sign
-offense shot 48.2% (80-166) from the field in the 2 games and couldn’t win by margin; regress
-Warriors defense allows 111.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game

-Houston returns home down 0-2 in the series; must win game; expect a big bounce back effort
-offense averages 116.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111 points per game
-Rockets defense allows 108.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game

10* Play ROCKETS (-).

-Denver played a clunker in Game 2 on their home court; expect a strong bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Nuggets defense allows 33.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from three 

-Portland got a complete team effort in Game 2; 6 players scored 10 points or more; regression 
-offense averages 109.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 111.3 points per game
-Trail Blazers defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play NUGGETS (+).

-Milwaukee bounced back strong in Game 2 as expected; 3 starters scored 21 points or more
-offense is shooting 34.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Boston figured to be flat for Game 2; off that loss expect a big bounce back at home tonight
-offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Celtics defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

9* Play CELTICS (-).

-Toronto hits the road off a home loss in Game 2; expect a focused effort here; bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 107.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.4 points per game

-Philadelphia got a complete team effort in Game 2; 5 players scored in double digits; regression
-offense scored 54 of their 94 points from 3-point land and the free throw line in Game 2
-76ers defense allows 112.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 

10* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Portland lost Game 1 in Denver as expected; this is still a bad matchup, so expect a 2-0 deficit
-offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Denver has won 4 of their last 5 playoff games after losing 2 of their first 3; in good form now
-offense is shooting 48.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 103.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 ppg 

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Boston dominated Game 1 and won by 22 points; shocking result; expect major regression here
-offense shot 54% (47-87) from the field and they made 13 three’s in Game 1; won’t repeat that
-Celtics defense has been worse on the road; give up 107.8 ppg and 45% shooting from the field 

-Milwaukee played one of their worst games of the season; off that loss expect a big bounce back 
-offense is shooting 48.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Bucks defense allows 43.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%

10* Play BUCKS (-).

-Portland had it easier than expected in beating Oklahoma City in Round 1; bad matchup now 
-offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Denver lost Game 1 on their home floor to the Spurs in Round 1; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 48.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 102.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 ppg 

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Houston had little trouble in beating Utah in Round 1; taking a huge jump up in class now
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 46.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Golden State lost 2 games on their home floor in Round 1; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 49.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors defense allows just 34.8% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Boston swept Indiana in Round 1; every win came by 10 points or less; massive class jump now
-offense is shooting 45.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Celtics defense has been worse on the road; 108.2 ppg and 45.3% shooting from the field 

-Milwaukee dominated Detroit in their Round 1 sweep; every win came by 16 points or more 
-offense is shooting 48.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Bucks defense allows 42.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

9* Play BUCKS (-).

-Philadelphia had an easy matchup in Round 1 against the Nets; huge step-up in class now
-offense is shooting 33.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-76ers defense allows 114.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.6 ppg 

-Toronto lost Game 1 on their home floor to Orlando in Round 1; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 47.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Raptors defense allows 106.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.4 ppg 

10* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Golden State lost as 14.5-point home favorites in Game 5; embarrassing result; big effort now
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field
-Warriors defense allows 43.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% 

-Los Angeles got a complete team effort in Game 6; very unlikely they’ll repeat that performance
-offense shot 54.1% (46-85) from the field and made 13 three’s in Game 5; major regression here
-Clippers allow 115 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 points per game 

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Denver has played 2 perfect games after losing Game 3 in San Antonio; expect regression here
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

-San Antonio returns home off a blowout loss; also lost previous home game; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 41.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 
-Spurs allow just 106.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.2 points per game 

10* Play SPURS (-).

-Utah finally got a win in this series in Game 4; off that win expect major regression tonight
-offense is shooting 34.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.4% shooting from 3
-Jazz defense allows 36.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

-Houston returns home off an ugly road loss in Game 3; 7-3 at home off a road loss this season
-offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Rockets defense allows 33.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 

10* Play ROCKETS (-).

-Brooklyn blew a 4th quarter lead in Game 4 at home; off that close loss, expect a flat effort here
-offense is shooting 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting
-Nets allow 113.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

-Philadelphia lost Game 1 on their home court; won in a blowout in Game 2; focused effort again
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-76ers defense allows 34.1% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three 

10* Play 76ERS (-).

-Houston has scored at will in this series; 111 points or more in 9 of their last 10 games overall
-offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three
-Rockets defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Utah is down 3-0 in this series; expect more of a free flowing game plan tonight; offense first
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Jazz defense has given up 104 points or more in 6 straight games; 113 points or more in 4 games

10* Play OVER the total.

-Portland is a much better home team than road team; 13 win difference; expect another loss
-offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 
-Trail Blazers allow 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field

-Oklahoma City bounced back strong as expected in Game 3; they will match that effort here 
-offense averages 114.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

10* Play THUNDER (-).

-Houston played 2 perfect games at home, and they won by a combined 52 points; regression
-offense is shooting 44.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

-Utah just played their 2 worst games of the season; return to their strong home court; big effort
-offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 
-Jazz defense allows 104.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that score 111.4 points per game 

10* Play JAZZ (-).

-Portland has played well above their level in the first 2 games of this series; regression coming
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 
-Trail Blazers allow 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field

-Oklahoma City returns home where they’ve played much better this season; big bounce back
-offense averages 114.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

10* Play THUNDER (-).

-Boston was extremely fortunate to win Game 2; needed a miraculous finish; regression here
-offense is shooting 45.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting  
-Celtics allowed 165 points in 2 games; gave up 102 points or more in 16 of previous 17 games  

-Indiana returns home down 2-0 in the series; must win game; big bounce back effort at home
-offense is shooting 38.1% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Pacers allow 43.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

9* Play PACERS (-).

-Golden State blew a 31-point lead in Game 2 at home; embarrassing result; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field
-Warriors defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% 

-Los Angeles won by a fluky result in Game 2; that’s not going to happen again; regression here
-offense shot 56.5% (48-85) from the field and 45.2% (14-31) from 3 in Game 2; won’t repeat
-Clippers defense allows 114.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game 

9* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Utah still has a terrific matchup edge despite losing Game 1 by 32 points; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Jazz defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Houston shot 50% from the field and made 15 three’s in Game 1; high variance team; regress
-offense is shooting 45% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Rockets allow 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field

10* Play JAZZ (+).

-Oklahoma City was terrible in Game 1; shot just 15.2% (5-33) from 3; expect big bounce back
-offense is averaging 114.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Thunder allow 45.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field 

-Portland got a complete team effort in Game 1; 3 players scored 20 points or more; regression 
-offense made 11 three’s in Game 1; held a +18 point advantage from 3 and only won by 5 points
-Trail Blazers allows 35.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three

9* Play THUNDER (+).

-San Antonio was in a good spot for Game 1 and they took advantage with a win; opposite now
-offense shot 48.2% (40-83) from the field and 46.7% (7-15) from 3; expect regression tonight  
-Spurs allow 47.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that only shoot 46.1% 

-Denver was 34-7 SU at home prior to their loss in Game 1; strong home court; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets allows 32.3% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Brooklyn is the lone team in the playoffs with a negative point differential; hit 11 3’s; regress
-offense is shooting just 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Nets allow 113.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 points per game

-Philadelphia was terrible in Game 1; shot just 12% (3-25) from three; expect big bounce back
-offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-76ers allows 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% from the field

9* Play 76ERS (-).

-Utah has a terrific matchup edge here; played the best of any team against Houston; bad line
-offense is shooting 47% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Jazz allow 106.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Houston has been a hit or miss team in the playoffs recently; high 3-point shooting variance
-offense is shooting 44.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Rockets allow 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field

10* Play JAZZ (+).

-San Antonio closed the regular season by winning their last 3 games; confidence and good form 
-offense is shooting 39.2% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three
-Spurs defense allows 110 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Denver closed the regular season by going 5-6 SU over their last 11 games; bad current form
-offense is shooting 35.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.6% shooting from three
-Nuggets defense has given up 110 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; not a good sign 

9* Play SPURS (+).

-Orlando has a terrific matchup edge here; played the best of any team against Toronto; bad line
-offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that also give up 35.6% shooting from three
-Magic allows 105.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

-Toronto has a history of underperforming in the playoffs; some new pieces; still question marks
-offense shot 50% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games; not happening here; regress
-Raptors defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play MAGIC (+).

-Portland is still playing for playoff positioning, so they are not mailing this game in; focused
-offense has scored 110 points or more in 4 straight games; continues vs. a bad Lakers defense
-Trail Blazers allow 110.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game 

-Los Angeles comes in off back-to-back SU wins as double digit underdogs; not happening again
-offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Lakers defense allows 113.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.6 points per game

9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

-Texas Tech has been ultra impressive in the tournament; meet their defensive equal here
-offense averaged 3.5 points per game less on the road; facing one of the best defenses tonight
-Red Raiders defense allows 32% (#176 overall) of points scored to come from 3; bad matchup

-Virginia didn’t take full advantage of their matchup edge vs. Auburn; lucky win; undervalued
-offense is shooting 39.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three  
-Cavaliers defense allows 55.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game   

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Denver has just about clinched their playoff position; resting their starters in this game
-offense is shooting 44.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Portland returns home off a loss in Denver; 5-2 at home off a road loss; average win by 15 ppg
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 46% shooting 
-Trail Blazers allow just 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

-Texas Tech has been the most impressive team in the tournament; confidence and momentum
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders defense allows 59 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game

-Michigan State had an easy path prior to their last game against Duke; another tough out here
-offense faced four mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country
-Spartans defense is also terrific, but they had the pace edge in every tournament game; not here 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Auburn needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; not happening tonight; bad matchup
-offense is shooting just 43.5% from the field on the road; facing one of the best defenses here
-Tigers defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from 3 

-Virginia plays at an extremely slow pace; they grind teams in the half court; excel vs. fast teams
-offense is shooting 39.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three  
-Cavaliers defense allows 55.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.8 points per game   

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Sacramento comes in off a home win last night over Cleveland; back-to-back in altitude now
-offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field
-Kings defense allows 116.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.2 ppg

-Utah is 11-1 SU over their last 12 games; in excellent current form; last night off; blowout here
-offense has scored 114 points or more in 11 of their last 12 games; continues vs. a bad defense
-Jazz defense allows 43.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 

10* Play JAZZ (-).

-Milwaukee will conclude their 3-game East Coast road trip tonight; bad spot with season ending
-offense is shooting 34.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Philadelphia returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-76ers defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

10* Play 76ERS (+).

-Memphis comes in off a loss in Los Angeles to the Clippers; 6-2 SU their last 8 when off a loss
-offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Grizzlies defense allows 105.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.9 points per game

-Portland returns home from a 4-game road trip; 1 day off since; back on the road after; bad spot
-offense just scored 132 points after shooting 54.9% against Minnesota; expect major regression  
-Trail Blazers defense allows 35.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

9* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

-Boston just beat Miami at home on Monday despite shooting 39.6% from the field; good sign
-offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Celtics defense allows 108 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game

-Miami returns home for this one off game before playing 3 of their next 4 on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting just 44.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Heat defense allows 35.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that are shooting 35.4% from three

9* Play CELTICS (+).

-Toronto has won 4 straight games against teams that have quit on the season; different opponent
-offense has scored 245 total points in their last 2 games; expect some major regression tonight
-Raptors defense allows 45.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Brooklyn comes in off a home loss to Milwaukee; won previous 4 home games; bounce back 
-offense averages 114.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.2 points per game
-Nets defense allows just 33.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play NETS (+).

-Denver hits the road off an ugly home loss to Washington; last night off; big bounce back here
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Nuggets defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Golden State is just 11-8 SU over their last 19 games; team is on cruise control into the playoffs
-offense scored 268 total points in their last 2 games; regression coming against a good defense
-Warriors defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

10* Play NUGGETS (+).

-Orlando is 7-1 SU over their last 8 games; in excellent current form; confidence and momentum
-offense has scored 119 points or more in 5 of those 7 games; expect more of the same tonight
-Magic defense allows 105.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 ppg

-Toronto has faced the Bulls twice and the Knicks in their last 3 games; big step-up in class here
-offense is facing a good defensive team; scored just 98 points on the Magic last time they played
-Raptors defense allows 35.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play MAGIC (+).

-Michigan State has been dominant in their tournament games; terrific in the half court as well
-offense is shooting 39.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.3% shooting from 3
-Spartans allow 37.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% from the field

-Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace in this game
-offense is shooting 27.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.9% shooting from 3
-Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4.1 points per game more

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

-Auburn has been quite impressive throughout this tournament; expect another solid game here
-offense is shooting 38.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.7% shooting from three
-Tigers defense allows 68.8 points per game vs. defenses that average 73.2 points per game

-Kentucky won their last 2 games in the final minute; team is now overvalued here by a 2 points 
-offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.2% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.2 points per game more 

9* Play AUBURN (+).

-Texas Tech comes in off an ultra-impressive win over Michigan; confidence and momentum
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders defense allows 58.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.6 points per game

-Gonzaga has had an easy path to the Elite 8; every win by 12 points or more; big jump in class  
-offense faced three mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country
-Bulldogs defense has been worse away from home this year; allowing 5.1 points per game more 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; impressive in the tournament so far too
-offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 60.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72 ppg

-Kentucky is a very young team, and may be without their starting center; bad pace matchup here
-offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.1 points per game more 

9* Play HOUSTON (+).

-Virginia Tech plays at a slow pace, so the matchup here is good; beat Duke 77-72 last month
-offense is shooting 39.5% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from three  
-Hokies defense allows 61.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.1 points per game   

-Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace tonight
-offense is shooting 30.7% from three vs. defenses that allow just 32.9% shooting from three
-Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4 points per game more

10* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Oregon took advantage of 2 easy matchups to reach the Sweet 16; stepping way up in class now
-offense averages 66.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.5 points per game
-Ducks defense faced inefficient offenses throughout the season in the Pac 12; skewed numbers 

-Virginia has yet to play 48 minutes of their best basketball in this tournament; happens tonight
-offense is shooting 40.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three
-Cavaliers allowing just 55 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game  

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Florida State comes in off one of their best games of the season; regression off that blowout win
-offense is shooting 43% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting
-Seminoles defense hasn’t faced many fast-paced teams; allow 70 points or more when they do

-Gonzaga had a tough matchup with an undervalued Baylor team; easier matchup here; blowout 
-offense is shooting 52.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow just 44% shooting
-Bulldogs defense allows 30.5% shooting from three vs. defenses that shoot 34.9% from three

9* Play GONZAGA (-).

-Los Angeles comes in off a home spotlight TV win last night; 3rd game in 4 nights in altitude
-offense is shooting just 32.9% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from three
-Lakers defense allows 116.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.2 ppg

-Utah is 7-1 SU over their last 8 games; in excellent current form; last night off; blowout coming
-offense has scored 114 points or more in 8 straight games; trend will continue vs. bad a defense
-Jazz defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 

10* Play JAZZ (-).

-Boston is 0-4 over their last 4 games; 2-5 their last 7 games; bad current form; no Kyrie Irving
-offense is shooting 45.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Celtics defense has given up 114 points or more in 7 straight games; in terrible form right now

-Cleveland comes in off an ugly 22-point road loss in Milwaukee; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 36.2% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Cavaliers defense has give up just 212 total points in their last 2 home games; in good form

10* Play CAVALIERS (+).

-Oklahoma City is just 1-4 over their last 5 games; 6-11 their last 17 games; bad current form
-offense is shooting 33.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Thunder defense has give up 566 total points over their last 5 games; bad unit all season too

-Memphis comes in off an ugly 13-point home loss to Minnesota; big bounce back effort here
-offense has scored 337 points over their last 3 games; in good form and facing a bad defense
-Grizzlies defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

10* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

-Ohio State was a surprise to make the tournament; win over Iowa State was an upset; run ends 
-offense is shooting 39.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.5% shooting
-Buckeyes defense held a negative efficiency rating in conference play this season; bad sign

-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; easy win over Georgia State; momentum 
-offense is shooting 37% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 60.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72.2 ppg

10* Play HOUSTON (-).

-Oklahoma took advantage of an easy matchup on Friday; stepping way up in class for this game
-offense needs to play at a fast pace; not happening here; 3-8 SU when held to less than 70 points
-Sooners defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% from 3 

-Virginia was terrible in the first half on Friday; they dominated the second half; blowout here
-offense is shooting 40.5% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three
-Cavaliers allowing just 55.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game  

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Texas Tech has the goods to make a deep run in this tournament; great pace matchup here 
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders allow just 59.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.3 points per game

-Buffalo needs to play as fast as possible to be their best; not going to happen here; bad matchup
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that allow 71.3 points per game; class jump
-Bulls allow 74.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 72.5 points per game

9* Play TEXAS TECH (-).

-Iowa rallied in the second half to beat Cincinnati on Friday; unlikely they can repeat that effort
-offense shot 54.7% (29-53) from the field and 50% from three (11-22) in that game; regression
-Hawkeyes allow 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

-Tennessee struggled a bit with Colgate; that wasn’t unexpected; better matchup for a big win
-offense is shooting 49.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting from the field
-Vols defense allowing 40% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% from the field

9* Play TENNESSEE (-).

-Kansas beat Northeastern much easier than expected; facing a better matchup here; undervalued
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.2% shooting from the field
-Jayhawks defense allowing just 33.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3

-Auburn’s fatigue from their run in the SEC tournament showed late on Thursday; bad spot here
-offense is shooting 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting
-Tigers defense allows 36.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3

9* Play KANSAS (+).

-Michigan State didn’t play their best on Thursday; already beat Minnesota by 24; big effort here
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field
-Spartans allow just 31.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3

-Minnesota beat Louisville 86-76 on Thursday; they made 11 three’s in that game; regression  
-offense is shooting 31.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from 3  
-Gophers allowing 45.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.1% from the field

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

-Michigan beat Montana by 19 points; that game took nothing out of them; another blowout here 
-offense is shooting 45.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field
-Wolverines allow 39.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field

-Florida took advantage of a shorthanded and sick Nevada team; still fortunate to win; bad spot
-offense is only averaging 64.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.8 ppg
-Gators defense is good and they play slow, but their opponent is much better at doing the same

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

-Wofford quietly went 30-4 this season; crushed Seton Hall on Thursday; dangerous team
-offense is shooting 41.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from three
-Terriers defense allows 65.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.7 points per game

-Kentucky is a very young team, and without their starting center; bad matchup vs. slow team
-offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34% shooting from 3
-Wildcats allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3

9* Play WOFFORD (+).

-Maryland beat a well-coached Belmont team on Thursday; different style of team now is better
-offense is shooting 45.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.7% shooting from the field
-Terrapins allow just 39.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.6% from the field

-LSU shot the lights out in the first half in their win over Yale; struggled to hold on; overvalued
-offense is shooting 31.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from 3
-Tigers allowing 75.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.3 points per game

9* Play MARYLAND (+).

-Virginia Commonwealth had an excellent season; flew under the radar; dangerous team here
-offense is shooting 44.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field
-Rams defense allows 27% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.7% from 3 

-Central Florida unexpectedly lost their final two games of the season; stepping-up in class now
-offense averages 66.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.3 points per game
-Knights defense had problems at the end of the season; gave up 146 points in their last 2 games

10* Play VCU (+).

-Liberty lost 6 games this season; 4 of those losses came by 9 points or less; tough team to beat
-offense is shooting 49% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.4% shooting from the field
-Flames defense allows 60.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game

-Mississippi State had a down year based on their preseason expectations; 2-5 to close the season
-offense was much worse on the road; shot 3.4% and 3.6% less from the field and from three  
-Bulldogs allowing 35.3% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot just 35% from three

9* Play LIBERTY (+).

-Utah State closed the season by going 17-1 over their last 18 games; terrific tournament team
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting from the field
-Aggies allow just 39.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44% from the field

-Washington likes to play at a slow pace while confusing teams with their zone; bad matchup
-offense is only averaging 68.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.4 ppg
-Huskies defense allowed 70 points or more in 3 of their last 4 road games to close the season

9* Play UTAH STATE (-).

-UC Irvine quietly went 30-5 this season; they have an efficient offense and a solid defense
-offense is shooting 36.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.3% shooting from three
-Anteaters defense allows 62.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71 ppg

-Kansas State isn’t built to win games in blowouts; play at a slow pace and rely on their defense
-offense is averaging 65.8 points per game vs. defenses that give up 70.3 points per game
-Wildcats defense has been a little worse away from home this season; 1.3% more from the field 

9* Play UC IRVINE (+).

-Oklahoma went just 19-13 this season; lots of close losses was a big reason for that; tough out
-offense is shooting 44.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting from the field
-Sooners allow just 40.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field

-Mississippi built their record against a weak non-conference schedule; 2-5 to close the season
-offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3
-Rebels defense allowing an ugly 37.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3

9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Saint Mary’s lost 11 games this season, but they’re in excellent form; 9-2 their last 11 games
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field
-Gaels defense allows 30.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35% from 3 

-Villanova is household name now after recent championships and deep runs in this tournament
-offense is shooting 43.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field
-Wildcats allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3

9* Play SAINT MARY’S (+).

-Abilene Christian lost 6 games this season; 4 of those losses came by 9 points or less; tough out
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense allows 63.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 67.8 points per game

-Kentucky is extremely talented, but they are also a very young team; bad matchup vs. slow team
-offense scored 66 points or less in 3 of their last 5 true road games to close the season; bad form
-Wildcats allowing 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from 3

9* Play ABILENE CHRISTIAN (+).

-Northeastern closed the season with a flourish; 16-2 SU over their last 18 games; one loss in OT
-offense is shooting 40% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3
-Huskies defense allows just 33.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three

-Kansas is talented, but they are extremely young and will be forced into a half court game
-offense struggles mightily in slow-paced games; just 3-8 SU when held to less than 70 points
-Jayhawks defense faded down the stretch; they allowed 78 ppg over their last 5 road games

10* Play NORTHEASTERN (+).

-New Mexico State quietly went 30-4 this season; they have a terrific offense and a solid defense
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.5% shooting
-Aggies defense allows 64.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game  

-Auburn went on a strong run to win the SEC tournament; off that success, expect regression
-offense is shooting 42.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting
-Tigers defense allows 37.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from 3

9* Play NEW MEXICO STATE (+).

-Yale had a terrific season with 22 wins; loads of talent, including NBA prospect; very good team
-offense is shooting 49.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting from the field
-Bulldogs allow just 29.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.2% from 3

-LSU had an unexpectedly good season; they pulled off lots of upsets along the way; overvalued
-offense is shooting just 32.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.3% shooting from three
-Tigers allowing 75.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73 points per game

9* Play YALE (+).

-Arizona State played in the weak Pac 12 conference; mediocre team at best out of conference 

-offense is shooting 42.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.5% shooting 

-Sun Devils defense gave up 74.9 points per game on the road this season; bad matchup here

-St. John’s comes in off an ugly 32-point loss to Marquette; 5 days off since; big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 36.1% from 3-point land vs. defenses that allow 34.4% shooting from 3
-Red Storm allow 43.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4% from the field 

10* Play ST. JOHN’S (+).

-Philadelphia comes in off back-to-back wins where they scored 253 points; regress in a bad spot
-offense is shooting 34% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-76ers allow 114.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.5 points per game

-Charlotte comes in off an embarrassing 18-point road loss in Miami; big bounce back at home
-offense is shooting 36.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Hornets defense allows 34% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

10* Play HORNETS (+).

-Miami played at home yesterday; now on the road; 3rd game in 4 nights; bad scheduling spot
-offense averages 105.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.2 points per game
-Heat defense allows 36.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Oklahoma City comes in off an ugly 22-point home loss; step-down in class; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Thunder defense allows 34.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 

10* Play THUNDER (-).

-Chicago comes in on a 4-game losing streak; 1-6 SU their last 7 games; in terrible current form 
-offense averages 105.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 110.5 points per game
-Bulls defense allows 47% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

-Sacramento returns home off a 4-game East Coast road trip; taking a big step-down in class here
-offense is shooting 37.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Kings defense allows 34.2% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three 

10* Play KINGS (-).

-Oregon will play their 4th game in 4 nights; off an overtime game last night; terrible spot here

-offense is shooting 41.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.8% shooting 

-Ducks defense has been better at home; gave up 75, 90, and 73 points in recent road games    

-Washington lost their season finale at home to Oregon; playing with revenge; big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 36.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 34% shooting from 3
-Huskies allow 41.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% from the field 

9* Play WASHINGTON (+).

-Indiana hits the road for the first of a 4-game West Coast road trip; expect a big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Pacers defense allows 38.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3

-Denver will conclude a 3-game homestand; terrible offense in their last game; big effort here
-offense is shooting 48.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting
-Nuggets gave up 118, 112, and 122 points after allowing less than 100 points; trend continues 

10* Play OVER the total.

-Iowa beat Michigan at home in a great spot earlier this season; played last night; bad spot now 

-offense shot 51.7% (31-60) from the field and 52.2% (12-23) from 3 last night; regression here

-Hawkeyes allow 46.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% 

-Michigan comes in off a season finale loss plus they are playing with revenge; big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 35% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.6% shooting from 3
-Wolverines defense allows 29.4% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from three 

10* Play MICHIGAN (-).

-Portland comes in off back-to-back wins where they scored 252 points; regress in a bad spot
-offense is shooting 35.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 37.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-New Orleans comes in off an embarrassing 17-point home loss to Milwaukee; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Pelicans defense allows 35.2% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

9* Play PELICANS (+).

-Sacramento comes in off a road loss in Washington; 2 days off since; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 37.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Kings defense allows 33.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Boston is returning from a 4-game West Coast road trip; beat the Kings by 2 points; bad spot
-offense has been poor at home recently; scored just 92, 104, and 107 points in their last 3 games
-Celtics defense has given up 356 total points over their last 3 games; in poor current form

10* Play KINGS (+).

-USC won yesterday as an underdog; 2-7 SU their previous 9 games; big step-up in class

-offense was really struggling prior to yesterday’s game; scored just 65 points vs. Washington

-Trojans defense allows 47% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.7%

-Washington was terrific all season until the last few games; great matchup; bounce back here
-offense is shooting 46.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting
-Huskies defense allows 64 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.7 points per game 

9* Play WASHINGTON (-).

-Stanford lost their last 2 games of the regular season by a combined 6 points; bounce back here
-offense is shooting 45.8% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.7% shooting from the field 
-Cardinal defense allows 33.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35% from 3 

-UCLA also lost their last 2 games of the regular season, but those came by a combined 36 points  

-offense is shooting 42.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting

-Bruins defense allows 39.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.2% from 3 

9* Play STANFORD (-).

-Orlando comes in off a road loss in Memphis; 2 days off since; expect big bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Magic defense allows 104.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.1 ppg 

-Washington just beat the Kings at home in a high-scoring game; lost previous 2 games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 34.5% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three
-Wizards defense allows 117.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game  

10* Play MAGIC (+).

-Arizona comes in off back-to-back losses; conference tournament new season; bounce back
-offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 34.4% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense allows 32.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from three 

-USC is just 2-7 SU over their last 9 games; hard to just turn things on; in terrible current form

-offense has scored 67 points or less in 3 of their last 5 games; facing a bad matchup here

-Trojans defense allows 38% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3

9* Play ARIZONA (-).

-Milwaukee comes in off a loss at San Antonio; offense was bad; last night off; bounce back here
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting from the field
-Bucks defense allows 37% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-New Orleans has lost 3 straight games, including their last 2 home games; expect a big effort
-offense is shooting 47.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field
-Pelicans defense allows 115.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

-Oklahoma City comes in off an expected loss in Los Angeles; 2 days off since; bounce back
-offense averages 115.4 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 111.7 points per game 
-Thunder defense allows 35% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three

-Utah is just 1-2 SU over their last 3 games; won their previous 4 games; bad form; overvalued
-offense is shooting just 34.9% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from three
-Jazz defense allows 35.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three

10* Play THUNDER (+).

-Toronto played in Miami yesterday; 3rd straight road game; 3rd game in 4 nights; terrible spot
-offense is shooting just 35.3% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three
-Raptors defense has given up 104 points or more in 5 straight games; in poor current form

-Cleveland returns home off 2 road losses; had 2 days off to rest since; big scheduling edge
-offense is shooting 36% from three vs. defenses that allow just 35.4% shooting from three
-Cavaliers defense has allowed just 107, 98, and 93 points in 3 of their last 5 home games

9* Play CAVALIERS (+).

-Houston hits the road off an easy blowout last home game win; playing into revenge; bad spot
-offense scored 90 points in their last game; one of their best games of the season; regress here
-Cougars defense has solid seasonal numbers, but they’ve played a weak schedule; stiff test here

-Cincinnati returns home for their last home game; playing with legitimate revenge; big effort

-offense shoots 37.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only allow 33.5% shooting from 3

-Bearcats defense allows 39.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.3%

10* Play CINCINNATI (-).

-Brooklyn hits the road for just the 3rd time since February 14th; terrible spot here; overvalued
-offense is shooting just 44.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Nets defense allows 46.2% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Atlanta comes in off back-to-back losses with the last being at home; big bounce back effort
-offense averages 113.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 110.8 points per game 
-Hawks defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

9* Play HAWKS (+).

-Oklahoma hits the road for their season finale; 4-1 over their last 5 games; in good current form  

-offense is shooting 35.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.1% shooting from 3

-Sooners defense allows 41.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.5%

-Kansas State returns home off a big road win at TCU; overvalued in this spot; expect tight play
-offense is only shooting 32.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 33.8% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense faced Oklahoma’s offense 2 months ago; a lot has changed since; stiff test here

9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Arizona State will be playing their 3rd straight road game; at their in-state rival; terrible spot
-offense is shooting 42.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.6% shooting
-Sun Devils defense allows 75.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 74.1 ppg

-Arizona returns home off an ugly blowout road loss; playing with revenge in last home game   

-offense is shooting 44.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43.7% shooting

-Wildcats defense allows 30% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3

10* Play ARIZONA (-).

-Central Florida hits the road off a last home game revenge win; 4th road game in last 6 games
-offense averages 68.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.1 points per game
-Knights defense gave up 73 points at home to Temple earlier this season; bad sign for rematch 

-Temple returns home for their last home game; playing with legitimate revenge; big effort here 

-offense shoots 44.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43% shooting from the field

-Owls defense allows just 29.9% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34% from 3 

9* Play TEMPLE (-).

-Oklahoma City comes in off a spotlight win in overtime last night in Portland; terrible spot here
-offense is shooting 32.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Thunder defense allows 46.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

-Los Angeles has had 3 days off to get rest and be ready for tonight’s game; big scheduling edge
-offense is shooting 38.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Clippers defense allows 44.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

10* Play CLIPPERS (-).

-Northern Colorado hits the road off back-to-back easy home wins; bad spot to be laying points 

-offense is shooting 44.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.3% shooting  

-Bears defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.2%  

-Southern Utah returns home off back-to-back road losses; playing last home game with revenge

-offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.6% shooting from 3 

-Thunderbirds allowing 41.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

9* Play SOUTHERN UTAH (+).

-Fairfield opens their conference tournament against an opponent they just beat by 13 points

-offense is scoring 51.8% of their points from 2-point range in conference play; good matchup

-Stags defense allows just 33.6% shooting from 3 in conference play; ranks #1 in the MAAC

-Manhattan just won as an 8-point road underdog; 2-5 SU their previous 7 games; regression

-offense is shooting 40.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.3% shooting from the field 

-Jaspers defense allows 37.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.5% from 3 

10* Play FAIRFIELD (-).