Texas -1.5

Hate to play a road fav this time of year but this is a big game for Texas in a 3 way tie for 2nd in the Big 12, and Tech although tough at home does not match up well here. Texas has dropped their last 4 games on the road and need a road win. The KEY here is Texas Techs offense...horrific the past 2 weeks Their last 3 games they managed 56,49 and 57 points and have not broke 64 points on offense in any of their last 7 games. That's not enough against Texas.

Play 1 Unit on Texas

Southern Illinois +5

NIU just hammered Southern Illinois by 19 points 2 weeks ago, and with the Panthers getting their big man back, they are playing the best ball of the season. THAT SAID when 70% of the money is on 1 team and the line does not move oddsmakers are telling you they do not want to give sharps added points with SIU. Northern Iowa is still under their season average their last 5 games but playing some good defense. This is going to be a low scoring game (series is 10-4 on the UNDER the last 14 times) , and with these points, and the fact both dogs covered last night (there are a ton of dog covers every year in this tourney) and the fact these 2 split during the season and the Saluki

Wright State -3

Horizon League action here, Wright State is hot, covering 8 out of their last 11 and on a 4 game win streak. They swept the regular season against Oakland and matchup well here. Oakland plays bad defense folks, that is the KEY in this game. Final home game for Wright State here as well.

Play 1 Unit on Wright State

Memphis +6

Yes Cincy is tough at home and crushed Memphis on the road earlier this season. But Cincy

SEMO -7

Like Southeast Mizzou St here in the Ohio Valley Tourney. Their offense is top 5 in the nation and you always look for teams peaking headed into these tourneys and no doubt they are playing the best ball of the season and Eastern Illinois cannot trade punches on the scoreboard here. EIU 4-11 away from home and SEMO is 3-0 on a neutral court this year. I smell a blowout. SEMP could easily have 80+ here.

Play 1 Unit on SEMO

SEC Hoops FREE PLAY

Tony George Sports

Arkansas -8.5 vs Ol Miss

One thing is for sure, Arkansas is playing some solid hoops, and you always look to teams peaking at the right time in March, and playing a weak sister, especially with revenge against a team who has owned them. I love this setup tonight.

One thing to note here is that this group of seniors for the Razorbacks have NEVER beaten Ol Miss, and they get them on a strong home floor where the Rebels roll in here back on their heels losing 7 out of their last 10 games and playing a revenge minded Arky team who is 15-2 SU at home and hell bent on revenge. Interesting Ol Miss was a 9.5 point favorite at home and beat Arky by 12 in their first meeting, and now look at this line swing. One would think this swing from oddsmakers is an over adjustment, I do not think so, I think oddsmakers and I are on the same page, they sniff a blowout. Arkansas if you measure the last 5 games stats for both teams, has a stat edge in every category that counts and the real edge besides being at home here in a tough place for anyone to win at, is their edge on the boards which equates to easy points. I see a double digit winner here.

Free Pro Pick on Arkansas

Catch my NCAA - NBA Triple Header tonight for less than $10 a Play - YOU GO 2-1 or Better or Thursdays NCAA Action is FREE

Orlando +6.5 to 7

Going against Houston off a HUGE game and win last night against the Heat. Howard is scheduled to play but my sources in Houston tell me his back is very sore and he may see limited time. The Magic are on a 9-1 ATS tear and playing much better basketball right bnow and getting better at the guard position with a few players coming back tonight off injury. Great spot to fade a hot team off a big win that took allot out of them, hard to get back up on a back to back roadie and lay big points.

Play 1 Unit on Orlando

Indiana -5.5

Huskers on the road, other than beating Michigan St when they were injury depleted is a fade team almost always (2-8 SU on the road). The Husker offense is not clicking and the Hoosiers are off back to back wins against Iowa and Ohio State and are hot right now and avenging a road loss in Lincoln against the Huskers as a 2 point pup. I am laying this, NU managed just 49 and 54 points on offense in their last 2 games.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana

Baylor -3

Life on the road in conference action is brutal. Iowa State lives and dies by the 3, and in big games it costs them. The DEFENSE of Iowa State is flat out terrible, do not let their 6 losses fool you, they play NO defense what so ever. Cannot stress the fact this is a huge game for Baylor, helps their RPI immensely with a win. Baylor needs this game and perhaps 2 in the Big 12 tourney to get in the dance and this is senior night in Waco which always raises the intensity as well. Cannot trust ISU on the road with this defense against a motivated Baylor team who can put up points. There is a reason an unranked home team is favored. Iowa State on a back to back roadie here with little time in between as well. This past weekend 7 ranked teams lost to unranked opponents.

Play 1 Unit on Baylor

Dallas +5.5

Spurs defense is weak, Dallas offense clicking. The Mavs are playing with 7 time revenge here and have dropped 7 straight SU and went 1-6 ATS their last 7 against the Spurs. That should provide plenty of motivation.Spurs are 1-6 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record and Dallas's offense at 109 ppg their last 5 playing a Spurs defense giving up 102 ppg their last 5 keeps them in this all the way, I will take the points.

Play 1 Unit on Dallas

Kansas -1 to -1.5

Drinking the kool aid here with a small road fav, but KU clearly the better team and far from being on cruise control even though they have the Big 12 wrapped up. Bill Self knows how to coach late in the season as KU makes a tourney run. OSU is 3-7 SU their last 10 games and 2-7- ATS their last 10 games. They might have Smart back on the team but they are no match for KU here even at home. Travis Ford is not a good big game coach, never has been.

Play 2 Units On Kansas - TOP PLAY

Nebraska -8

Huge number for Huskers but a MUST WIN at home today, where they are a different animal and NW a bad road team with a struggling offense.(56 ppg their last 5) Catching Huskers off a loss at Illinois but NU at home scores well and play great defense. This has blowout written all over it. Huge edge for NU on the boards here, and NU is 13-1 at home. Northwestern have dropped 5 straight.

Play 1 Unit on Nebraska

Louisville -4.5

Been waiting for this one, Louisville avenging a loss on their home floor, one of their 4 losses all year to Memphis. The Tigers no doubt tough at home but like Louisville here and their high flying offense in revenge mode. Memphis just 1-4 ATS their last 5 games and the Cards are a strong 8-1 SU on the road.

Play 1 Unit on Louisville

OVER 192.5 Cleveland / Utah

Utah has been scoring and also for the sake of the Over play here, plays little or no defense. The last 6 in a row in this series has went over the number and 8 out of 10 overall have went over. The Cavs off a HUGE win at OK City scoring 114 points. As a a matter of fact the last 6 games these two played, including back in January, both teams exceeded 100 points each.

Play 1 Unit on the Over.

Nebraska +3.5

The Huskers are playing great ball

Portland -2.5


The Blazers remain solid and the Nuggets have continued a free fall losing by 14 at home to Sacramento and by a whopping 28 against the Bulls in their last 2. As a matter of fact the Nuggets have won 1 game since Feb. 5th and that was against lowly bottom feeder Milwaukee. Really? Portland is not going to fall to Denver in this game, they are vastly better and I see no way the sputtering Denver offense can keep pace on the scoreboard against the Blazers as the Nuggets are giving up 109 ppg their last 5

Iowa -2

Yep smells like a trap line but I am not buying it. Minny

Oklahoma +10.5

It came easy for Kansas on Saturday Night in a big emotional game, and with a young team to bounce back 2 days later against a good team and lay double digits is always tough. Lon Kruger a vastly better coach than the pathetic Rick Barnes of Texas and OU not given enough credit beating up on Okie State and Kansas St in their last 2 wins. OU lost by 7 at home against Kansas when the Rock Chalk hit 54% from the floor and 50% from free point range and made 80% of their free throws. Does not get much better than that and in their last 5 games, Kansas has only hit 27% from beyond the arc. KU wins but I will take the points here.

Play 1 Unit on Oklahoma

BONUS PLAY : LA Clippers -3.5 for a half unit. Off a big win against OK City, I just do not see the Pelicans matching points here, Clippers can win by 10+ if they show up.

Texas +10


Thought this line would be 6 or 7 max. Texas matches up well against KU, and beat them by 12 21 days ago. Texas is in the top 5 in rebounding in the NCAA and have a huge edge on the boards. Kansas is up and down and just had a 1 point win over Texas tech and I do not see them in total sync. Texas off a road loss at Iowa St, but this is a battle of top teams in the Big 12, I will gladly take double digits here. It won't come easy for KU, even at Phog Allen.


Play 1 Unit on Texas

Louisiana Tech -7


Jump on it quick! Opened at -5 and shot up to 7. La Tech off a loss but a very good team with a high octane offense. La tech is a tourney team with 6 losses but they need to win out to get there in my opinion. They are playing ODU who is 1-9 ATS their last 10 games and only has scored 56 ppg on offense their last 5 games, and La Tech is scoring 80 and vastly better.


Play 2 Units on Louisiana Tech

Texas AM +4.5



Texas AM's defense is the Key here. Should be low scoring. Texas AM off a monster blowout win at home against Bama and they are 14-2 ATS home versus Tennessee who is 2-6 on the road this season. The Vols do not score well on the road and have went under in 57 out of their last 86 road games and Texas AM defense allowing less than 59 their last 5 games.



Play 1 Unit on Texas AM

Cleveland +8

I lost a big play on the Raptors on Hump Day when the lost straight up to a below average Bulls team. Cleveland is hot, they have remained hot and are scoring 101 ppg and allowing just 89 ppg their last 5, and they have a better defense. Cavs are on a 6-0 ATS and SU run, and have covered 4 out of the last 5 north of border. This line is at 8 in some places early this morning, grab it if you can. And bear in mind Cleveland has the best player on the floor tonight, he is a difference maker and totally dialed in right now.

Play 1 Unit on the Cavs

BONUS PLAY

Michigan State -4.5 to 5.5 max (line shot up this morning a full point)

Line dropped here but I LOVE this spot. Michigan State got their ass handed to them by Nebraska on Saturday in the biggest upset of the weekend no doubt. Unfocused and poor play and they were out hustled. What does Tom Izzo do after a loss. He is 8-2 SU off a loss and MSU will come into Purdue tonight, a team they own, who they have already beaten 11 days ago by 13 points and kick their ass. Looking at the past box score Purdue shot 47% from the floor in East Lansing and still got beat by double digits. Keith Appling is playing tonight at guard for MSU which is a huge plus for them, Dawson still out till March Madness. I like the scenario here, the stats look even but MSU will want to make a statement off a loss.

Play 2 Units on Michigan State to win by 8-10 points.

Toronto -2.5

The Raptors are hot (23-13 SU since mid-December), I rode them last night to an easy winner and they get back home to take on a struggling Bulls team, in a place where they have went 9-2 their last 11 at home. The offense is clicking for Toronto, and despite the Bulls momentum headed into the All Star break with 3 straight wins and Boozer back, the break sometimes stops that momentum and Toronto already has their legs back after a win and game yesterday and should be primed at home against a team they have beaten 2 out of 3 this season and held to under 80 points in both those wins. The Bulls defense is no joke but like Toronto at home where they have been solid and in their last 7 games overall, 6 of them the Raptors have exceeded 100 points on offense.

Play 2 Units on Toronto

Utah State +10

San Diego State has a huge game on deck this weekend no doubt for MW Crown against New Mexico and quite frankly their offense is not all that great for a highly ranked team and while they are the better team here and at home, I like Utah States offense here and their 3 point range as well to keep this close. Teams that struggle putting up points with a double digit spread against a capable team are a go against. Serious look ahead spot.

Play 1 Unit on Utah State

Toronto +3

Wizards were falling from grace in the first half dropping 4 out of 5 and the Raptors are one of the best cover teams in the NBA. The Raptors also get Amir Johnson back tonight and should have a solid frontcourt advantage. Like them here in the dog role.

Play 1 unit on Toronto

Texas +5

Iowa St is 1-9 ATS their last 10 games. Wanna know why? They play no defense and it kills them in big games. Texas ranked in the top 5 in the NCAA in rebounding and after their last debacle on the road at Kansas State they have since buried Okie State and West Virginia, both in blowout fashion. Cannot trust Iowa State anywhere, even at home allowing over 81 ppg their last 5 and playing no defense against a very good Texas team. Both coaches suspect here in terms of ability to win big games, just like Texas here in a nail biter.

Play 1 Unit on Texas

North Carolina -1

The Tar Heels are hot, and many would fade them in this spot after a short time off a small upset win over Pitt Saturday but I like the way Roy Williams has developed his team as the season rolls along and this is a crucial road game scenario against a beatable team in conference action which is rare in the ACC. Huge edge on the boards for NC and the Seminole offense is struggling scoring an average of 11 ppg less than NC

Colorado -3


Life on the road is tough in conference action no doubt but the Buffs a superior team to USC. The Trojans on a 5 game free fall and they have lost 9 out of their last 10. I had this number at -6 even on the road, and the -3 is a good number to bet into here. The Buffs already beat this team by 21 a month ago and we laying 11, and USC has regressed since that game and allowing 79 ppg their last 5 games.


Play 1.5 Units on Colorado

Florida +2



One key in this game. Florida's defense. Kentucky is overrated, and they will struggle big against this Florida defense. Against good defensive teams KU has struggled all year and this man to man D of Florida's in their last 5 is holding opponents to 54 ppg.



Play 1 Unit on Florida - wrong team favored.

Missouri St -1



A gift playing Northern Iowa at home here where MSU is 12-1 on the year playing Northern Iowa who is 1-9 on the road and does not have near the firepower on offense that Mizzou State does. Mizzou St avenging a loss to NIU on the road where they allowed 91 points in that game, and at home they will get it done, more than willing to lay less than a bucket with a good home team versus a bad road team, in a revenge spot



Play 2 Units on Missouri St - TOP PLAY - 9 EST Tip Off

Utah +9.5



Love Utahs backcourt here and they match up well against UCLA. As a matter of fact they beat UCLA by 5 and are now getting 9 or more? Utah has not been beaten by double digits all season! WOW. I like them to keep this tight.



Play 1 Unit on Utah

OVER 182.5 Nets / Bulls

Both teams averaging over 92 ppg their last 5 and both teams scored 100 points in their last game. Whole world loves the Under here, this line is off by 6-8 points on my recent power ratings and 4 out of the last 5 in this series has went over, and Boozer also returns for the Bulls tonight. Like this one to get to 190 points.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Syracuse +1.5

That time of year where life on the road in conference action for big time teams is scary, just ask Kansas. That said Syracuse's defense is so good against a poor shooting team that it is the difference maker here all the way. Cuse as good as advertised gents and Pitt while only 4 losses, got beat by all the good teams they played and already lost by 5 to Cuse this year. Also the Panthers in their last 5 games have allowed more points than scored and needed OT to win their last 2 games.

Play 1 Unit on Syracuse

BONUS PLAY - Play a half Unit on Dallas +9.5 points to get over on Indiana and keep it close. Dallas offense clicking.

Cleveland -1 to -1.5

The Cavs have cashed out 2 in a row and are avenging their worst defeat of the year tonight at home against the woeful Kings, who are on their 3rd road game on a west coast swing and are struggling on offense. The Cavs are playing better since the firing of their GM and the players are making an effort. Kings just 6-24 SU on the road and in a pick em game basically against a bad road team struggling on offense, and avenging a bad loss last month, all over the Cavs here.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

Iowa State -2

West Virginia is a giant killer at home no doubt, but ISU in total sync and had an easy game on Saturday with TCU in a blowout win while UWV was getting hammered at Kansas. Tough to recover from a beat down and Iowa State has a winnable conference road game which is not easy. Iowa States defense is suspect and will kill them in the post season but their offense is clicking and they are a vastly better shooting team as UWV has managed just 39% from the floor in their last 5 games and ISU also holds a solid rebounding advantage here. I will lay a bucket in this one.

Play 1 Unit on Iowa State

St Johns +3

Like the Redmen here, they are hot and fought Creighton to a 3 point loss in Omaha their last meeting. St Johns frontcourt a difference maker and they are hot from the floor as well. The stats are pretty even here, especially the last 5 games, and a home team here catching points, and Creighton due to fall here and the rebounding will go to St Johns in this game and they are holding opponents to 64 ppg at home

Play 1 Unit on St Johns

Vandy +1

Arkansas a horrific road team and Vandy catching a point at home here is a gift, as they are totally in sync and playing some good ball. Arkansas 0-4 in SEC road games and they score 16 ppg less on offense on the road than their season average and Vandy's defense is rock solid allowing just 56 ppg their last 5. Vandy slows the pace down and will give Arky fits here.

Play 2 Units on Vanderbilt

Under 197.5 Indiana / Portland

Both offenses not up to par right now and neither team has broken 100 points on offense in their last 2 games, and in a battle of good team I like the Under when it is near 200 points in this one. 5 out of the last 7 have went under in this series and the Pacers against teams at home against a team with a winning road record are 4-0 ATS and the Blazers are 6-1-1 ATS on Unders their last 8 games and only scoring 91 ppg.

Play 1 Unit on the Under

n

Brooklyn -6

This is simple. Spurs off a brutal OT win last night and play again tonight. The Nets are waiting and what a better time to rack the Spurs, No Parker, No Duncan, No Gionobli. Enough said, the Spurs best 3 players are out, on the road off an OT game.

Play 1 Unit on the Nets

Wichita State -4 to 4.5


Indiana St is the second ranked team in the Mo Valley. I was in Las Vegas on Jan. 18th and took 11 points and ISU against the Shockers and guess what, I got it handed to me. ISU does not match up well against the undefeated Shockers and got outrebounded, outplayed, outshot and outcoached in every aspect of the game and now a 6 point line swing after a WSU 20 point win, in their favor? Shockers are one of the best cover teams in the NCAA. WSU 13-3 their last 16 roadies. Like them here by 10.


Play 1.5 Units on WSU



BONUS PLAY - Phoenix Suns +7.5 for a Half Unit

Kansas -3.5



Two things at play here, mainly Kansas if off a butt whipping at Texas for their first defeat in Big 12 play and Bill Self will has his boys on full focus mode for this one. Baylor snapped a 5 game losing streak by beating Okie State on Saturday but Okie State has been struggling and lost last night to Iowa State. Kansas beat Baylor by 10 last month, pushing on a 10 point spread and now they are laying 3.5 to 4? A 6 point line swing against a team who has struggled their last 7 games to a 1-6 record? KU has averaged 82 ppg their last 5 games and Baylor just 66 ppg in the same timeframe and KU will be highly motivated here after a bad showing against a good Texas team. In a tight game free throw percentage is always key, and Baylor shooting just 57% from the charity stripe.



2 Units on Kansas

Siena -2



Hidden Gem top play. The Saints are a rock solid team at home going 9-3 ATS their last 12 and are 7-2 at home this season, going up against a weak Quinnipaic team who does poorly on the road and allows 79 ppg on the road this season.



Play 2 Units on Siena - Top Play

Oklahoma +8.5



Iowa State shooting, especially from 3 point range has been poor and Oklahoma playing their best ball of the season and already own a 54 point win over ISU. The Cyclones defense is their demise and OU can hang tough here with their offense.



Play 1 Unit on OU

NC State +9.5



Cross town rivalry, NC State has more wins than the Tar Heels. North Carolina hitting 59% from the free throw line and stats are about equal. NC has won 3 in a row in confer4ence action here and North Carolina is 2-7 ATS their last 9 against ACC foes, because Oddsmakers despite Carolina's woes this year still place a premium number on them



Play 1 Unit on NC State, grab the big points

Orlando -5

Cheap number fading the Bucks who have 8 wins all year long and are giving up 109 ppg while scoring just 94, and they have 2 players out tonight that add to the misery on the road where they have managed a 4-18 record, and to note they have no outside threat when you manage 27% from 3 point range in the NBA. Orlando is no awesome team by any stretch, but at home here against a beatable team who plays no defense, who in 4 out of their last 5 road games, all losses, gave up over 101 ppg in each game.

Play 1.5 Units on Orlando

NY Knicks -6

Short and Sweet. Knicks on fire, Cleveland is not. Cavs have matchup issues all over the place and what NY did to Boston the other night in a huge win where I was all over them, they will do to the floundering Cavs. Riding the Kicks at home here.

Play 2 Units on the NY Knicks

Indiana State -4

Looks like a trap line here but I am laying it and going against a bad team in Southern Illinois with a losing record at home, against Indiana State who is 7-1 in conference action, 7-3 in road games and has the vastly better team in every stat category that matters. Points, rebounding, bench points, free throw %, shooting %. Short number here. SIU has dropped 7 out of their last 9 games against a team on a 9-1 SU run!

Play 1 Unit on Indiana State

Miami Heat -3.5

Miami lives for games like this. Forget the stats. LeBron likes to show up Durrant, and Miami is at home and Wade is making a comeback. The Heat play to the level of their competition, they have all year. Miami plays bad teams bad, especially on the road, but when they play someone good, look out.

Play 1 Unit on Miami

Virginia Tech +6

Battle of ugliness here, neither teams offense worth a crap, and in a low scoring ugly game, I will always take big points. BC has 5 wins all year and might get one here but laying 6 points in a conference game to a team your equal is always a take.

Play 1 Unit on Virginia Tech

NY Knicks -5.5

2 scenario

Oklahoma +4.5

Okie State not a great bet on the road, lost at K State, beat UWV by 1, lost to Kansas and managed a 5 point win over Colorado on a neutral floor. OU very tough at home and OU has covered 5 out of the last 6 in this series. OU

Orlando +6.5 to +7


Yep, taking the magic on the road. 3 out of the top 5 scorer's for the Pelicans are out in this one, and Orlando's offense has picked up and should flourish against the injury ravaged Pelicans team. Like the big points here, short and sweet.


Play 1.5 units on Orlando

Wichita St -10.5



Love the Shockers here, especially their backcourt against Hapless Drake who snapped a 5 game losing streak with a 3 point win over SUI when they managed just 57 points. The Bulldogs are allowing 70 ppg their last 5, the Shockers just 53. WSU will OWN the boards especially on the offensive galls and the Shockers are 24-9 ATS their last 33 roadies.,



Play 1 Unit on Wichita State

Oregon State +3.5



Like the Beavers backcourt, and they have been hitting 50% from 3 point range and also the offensive glass play has been stellar. Wrong team favored here, Huskies offense has been struggling at 66 ppg their last 5, too much offense here from the Beavers



Play 1 Unit on Oregon State

Oklahoma +1



Drinking the kool aid here but OU a better team and should OWN the boards in this one. tech tough at home no doubt but OU has won at Baylor and Texas on the road in conference action and playing a team who is 2-4 in Big 12 Play SU.



Play 1 Unit on OU

The Shockers won by 19 a couple of weeks ago against the Redbirds. This Wichita State team has been nothing short of excellent. The real key is they are playing defense at a high level. No opponent has scored over 72 points against them. Don

Wrong team is favored here. LSU clobbered Vandy who beat Mizzou last week at Vandy. Both good reasons for the public to like LSU here. But MU played much better defense Saturday against Bama and they are the better team. MU is 2-1 on the road this year. I will gladly take the 5 points with MU here.

Play 1.5 Units on Missouri +5

Ohio State -8

The Buckeyes have dropped three in a row since last pounding Nebraska by 31. They look to get healthy here and beat the Huskers for the 10th time in a row. The Huskers were held to 53 points in the last meeting versus Ohio State.

Play one unit on Ohio State -8

Play half unit on Creighton +6

Indiana State +11

2 top teams in Mo valley, both score 70+ and both play excellent defense, and with good defenses, I like big points with good teams, and ISU will keep this very interesting

Play 2 Units on Indiana State

Baylor -4

Texas Tech is dangerous in Lubbock and road conference favs are a fade past 3 in most cases, but Baylor the superior team here. Texas Tech has been very competitive but they have opened up Big 12 play at 0-3 SU and I like Baylor to catch a road win here against a very beatable team.

Play 1 Unit on Baylor

Miss. St +11

Bama carrying a big number here. The Aggies will own the boards here and while they may not be the better team despite their record, I like them within this number

Play 1 Unit on Miss State

Toronto -4

Hot team. Last 3 wins by double digits and Boston going nowhere fast. I had this number at 7, and the Raptors can put in some points and Boston

Purdue -6.5



The Huskers road woes are well documented. As a matter of fact the Huskers last 3 road games they have managed 59,57 and 53 points respectively and lost all 3 games by double digits including a 31 point butt whipping at Ohio State. Nebraska's overall road stats are a clear cut indication their offense is in the tank away from Lincoln, averaging on the year 59 points and allowing 76. Not good news against Purdue who is averaging 81 ppg at home and clearly are the better team in this matchup. Purdue of back to back losses, they get healthy at home here on Sunday



Play 1 Unit on Purdue

Kansas St +9.5

Yeah KU hammers them every year, but KU turns it over like crazy and struggles with defense first type teams. All 4 of KU losses against team who slow it down and play D. KU wins a close one.

Play 1 Unit on K State

Indiana State -14.5

Bradley horrific in shooting, have no bench and are dropping games left and right. ISU red hot, 7 out of their last 8 have been winners, their only loss in that run a 1 point loss to St Louis. BLOWOUT. Bradley got hammered by a score of 80-46 and they are scoring just 58 ppg on offense their last 5 against a hot shooting team. Bradley has shot 18% from 3 point range and 39% from the floor on the road this year. UNREAL.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana State

Iowa State -3

A GUFT. OU allowing more than 83 ppg on offense and Iowa State is a one man wrecking crew ojn offense, which is why they are ranked 7th in the nation. I have this line at -7 on power ratings, mis-match.

TOP PLAY 2 Units on Iowa State
=

OVER 210 OK City / Denver

Denver on fire scoring 114 a game their L5 on the average and OK City at 106 ppg in the same timespan. Neither play defense either. Huge issue on defense for OK City with Ibaka out. Shootout all the way, run and gun, lots of scores on the floor for both teams.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Oklahoma +6

This is quite frankly too many points for KU to be laying on the road at this point in the season. Young team, no true point guard against a Sooner team that beat KU straight up last year in Norman. Sooners averaging 87 ppg.

Play one unit on Oklahoma +6

Bonus Play on Colorado -7 for .5 Unit

Kansas State -4

Love the line drop from -5.5 to 4 here and K State is red hot. Off a huge win over Okie State and wins over GW and Gonzaga, this is the first true road game for K State. TCU has managed just 8 covers in 35 games against Big 12 foes, have only covered 18 out of their last 58 home games, and they are catching a hot team who should own the boards here and should shut them down on defense.
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Play 1 Unit on K State

BONUS PLAY

OVER 202 Dallas / NY Knicks

Knicks 3rd road game in 4 nights which means weak legs and lazy defense against a team who is 5-0 ATS on Overs their last 5 homes games, and the Knicks have allowed 107 ppg on defense their last 5 and in the Knicks last 3 road games here on this trip, both teams in those games scored 100 points or more.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER.

Drake -4.5 - Play 1 Unit - Bradley is not the Braves team feared at home, and Drake at 10-3 the real deal here. Bradley has covered just 8 out of their last 32 games!

Clemson -2.5 - Play 1 Unit - BC Allowing 77 ppg their last 5 on defense, Clemson allowing just 58 and a far better team.

DePaul +11.5 - 1 Unit Play - Playing better ball and 2 close losses to good teams and a win over Northwestern, Both teams play good defense, like the points here.

SEMO +2

Southeast Mo State is a solid prop this year in terms of betting action, and I have cashed twice on them including a tourney they were in. Murray St is living on the past reputation and oddsmakers have the wrong team favored here. My sources tell me SEMO had some lively practices over the holiday and they are a team who is GREAT ATS-wise in conference action, and a solid road team. Murray St off 2 straight losses, and the last one against Dayton where they lost by 21, but bear in mind Dayton beat Gonzaga this year. SEMO is 7-1 ATS their last 8 in the Ohio Valley, 10-2 ATS their last 12 road games and in this series the road team is 17-4-1 ATS the last 22 meetings. The dog also dominates this series at 16-6-3 ATS the last 25 meetings. I honestly figured this line at SEMO -3, so this line is a gift, and I was willing to make a move at -3, and we are getting points. SEMO has a big lineup of players, have a huge edge on the boards on both ends of the floor and average on the season 12 ppg better on offense than Murray St. Murray St has hot 60% from the free throw line their last 5 games, SEMO 77%. Some concern on SEMO

Marquette +9


When looking at big points, I look at defense. Both Marquette and Creighton in their last 5 games each have allowed 58 and 59 ppg respectively on defense and Marquette can also score points. Basic fundamental capping, two good defenses and allot of points, take the big points. Should be a good game here, step up in class for the Blue jays, I will gladly take the points.


Play 1 Unit on Marquette

Toledo +15

The Rockets at 12-0 and scoring over 75 ppg their last 5, and have a starting rotation all scoring double digits. Kansas unreal at Fog Allen but simply put this is too many points for this young team still trying to find chemistry. Still no true point guard for Bill Self in this bunch, I am not that high on KU who will struggle even to win the Big 12. KU comes on late in the season, never early, stiff test for them here against a team who can score.

Play 1 Unit on Toledo

SEMO +7.5

SOLID Play here as SEMO travels to Springfield 4 hours to play Missouri State. SEMO has played a tougher schedule, have average 74 ppg and are 6-3 ATS on the year. Missouri St has played 2 good teams this year and lost them both. Schedule and battle tested rest with SEMO.

Play 1 Unit on SEMO

South Florida -1.5

Bradley in poor form, shooting less than 35% from the floor their last 5 games, 20% from 3 point range and their defense is terrible. South Florida a solid team, they are 2-0 SU on the road in road games, and I like them here to dominate the scoreboard with vastly better shooters. Bradley going back 30 games have covered just 8 of them.

Play 1 Unit on South Florida


BONUS NBA PLAY - Play a half unit on the 76ers +10

Atlanta +8.5

Last time Miami played a game, they played poor defense, and Atlanta is on fire scoring 112 ppg their last 5 games on the average. While their success against the Heat is a go against trend for sure, I am taking the big points with a team who can in fact trade points on the scoreboard with the Heat. 118,124,118 was the offensive total for Atlanta in their last 3 games, a sweep at home, and head in here with plenty of confidence to knock off the Heat and make a good game of this.

Play 1 Unit on Atlanta

Play 1 Unit on BYU +8 - Cougars have played a brutal schedule this season and this is a ton of points for the high flying Ducks. BYU a capable team, I will take the points

Play 1 Unit on SE Missouri State +19 at Memphis - Plenty of scorers for Semo and many of the players in this game played for or against each other in High school. SEMO in 12-4 ATS run their last 16 and will make a game of this.

Orlando -3.5

Yes the Magic! I love going against a team on an opposite coast swing at the end of a long road trip against a rested home team. Always worth a look and Orlando has had 2 days rest and this is a winnable home game for them. Sacramento lost by 19 last night and this is their 4th road game in 5 days, and all those games were blowout losses. Sacramento allowing 109 ppg their last 5 and Orlando with rest should do enough here to score and win against a very bad defense.

Play 1 unit on Orlando

Charlotte +6.5

The Bobcats defense ranks second in the league in scoring The Pistons D not nearly as good giving up over 101 per game. I think Charlotte keeps this one close. Give me the points in this one.

Play one unit on Charlotte

Texas +11

Tar Heels off a big win over Kentucky and going against a team off an upset win is always worth a look and the Stats are about even here, and I expect Texas to make a game of this, as both teams defense in the last 5 games have held opponents to 65 points or under. Big chance for Texas here, they have scorers and should easily hang within this number.

Play 1 Unit on Texas

OK City -2

OK City off a scare at home against Orlando, but as I look at the last 3 road games for OK City, they dominated them all. The wins were by 16 at Memphis, 9 against Atlanta and 14 at New Orleans. I like their offense here against an inconsistent Nuggets team who got beat over the weekend at home by 10 against Utah. The offense of the Thunder is at 111 ppg their last 10, while Nuggets are at 94 ppg in that same timeframe. LOVE ME SOME THUNDER.

Play 1 Unit on KK City tonight.

LA Clippers +2.5

yeah San Antonio is on a 4 game win streak, but of you look closely at their schedule, you will see that big physical teams who run and gun beat them up, and then the Spurs turn around and feast on weak sisters. I Like LA at home as an underdog. In any meaningful games the Spiurs got beat, 11 point loss to Indiana, 6 point losses to OK City and Houston and as a matter of fact they are 0-4 ATS against their last 4 against teams with a winning record. They also are 1-4 ATS their last 5 in this series. Their offense is clicking but not against good teams. Wrong team favored and also the Clippers would make an excellent half of an NBA teaser here too.

Play 1 unit on the Clippers.

Oregon -6.5

Not sold on Illinois and some amped up numbers from a weak schedule. Dana Altman for the Ducks one of the better coaches in the NCAA and has a solid team, averaging 95 ppg their last 5 games shooting 55% from the floor and 48% from the 3 point stripe! Illinois defense is against weak sisters, they step way up in class here against a hot ranked team.

Play 1 unit on Oregon

Atlanta -1

The NY Knicks still a hot mess and I like the Hawks here. Martin is out for NY again, and Atlanta flat out better, especially on offense. Kicks in their last 4 games average just 84 ppg on offense.

Play 1 unit on the Atlanta Hawks

Tennessee +6.5

Like the Vols at Wichita State tonight getting points. The Shockers were good last year and Tenn beat them and this home and home series is a big step up in class for WSU and I think this spread is too high. The stats and key numbers are dead even I see a tight ballgame here and Stokes is really stepping up for the Vols.

Play 1 unit on Tennessee

Charlotte +12

Yeah yeah, the Pacers are awesome BUT look at the defenses for these 2 teams BOTH Indian and Charlotte are a couple of the top defensive teams in the NBA, Indy at 89 ppg and Charlotte at 92 ppg allowed. Add in the fact there is a double digit spread in a lower scoring game, and I am taking the points here with a team with a good defense who Indiana may be overlooking.

Play 1 Unit on Charlotte

College Hoops

Dallas +5.5

Like the Mavs and points here against Golden State tonight. GS is off a ugly road trip and a loss to Charlotte while the Mavs have had time to think about losing to the Kings in a piss poor effort. The Mavs beat the Warriors in late November despite Ellis only having 4 points and again, Curry cannot bail out the Warriors in big games. Dallas provides a stiff test against a suspect defense tonight and can score enough to hang around in this one. The number is weak because Dallas is off a bad loss, getting value in the line. Road team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the underdog 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series.

The Pacers return home after a long road trip where they went 3-2. They surrendered over 100 in four of those games but, still lead the league in defense. That is how good they have been playing D at home. The Heat are on the end of their road trip and don't put as much stock into this game as the Pacers do. I like the Pacers to send the Heat home the way they Thunder sent the Pacers home.

Play one unit on the Indiana Pacers

Miami -5



Willing to lay it here as Miami always hammers the Bulls it seems, 4-1 ATS their last 5 in here, and the Bulls continue to struggle without Rose. On TNT, I tend to isolate those games from others, it really is the NBA

Denver -4

Love the Nuggets here off a blowout win at Toronto and scoring vastly more points than the hapless Nets, without Pierce right now and poor play from the old guard in place. Garnett a shell of himself and the offense of Denver better by 10 ppg in recent stats. Denver hot, 6-0 SU their last 6!

Play 1 Unit on Denver.

Denver -4

Love the Nuggets here off a blowout win at Toronto and scoring vastly more points than the hapless Nets, without Pierce right now and poor play from the old guard in place. Garnett a shell of himself and the offense of Denver better by 10 ppg in recent stats. Denver hot, 6-0 SU their last 6!

Play 1 Unit on Denver.

Illinois +2

Illinois at 7-0 and playing some great defense, along with defending the perimeter well, I cannot fathom that Georgia Tech who is off back to back losses, where they cannot put together a complete game should be favored here, even as a home team. The defense of Illinois is allowing just 54 ppg their last 5 and 58 ppg on the road this year. GT struggles with inconsistent scoring and only 1 player had double digits in their last game and he was off the bench. Illinois led by Rayvonte Rice and should own the boards in this one. Very cheap number for the better team. Illinois beat this team last year in this tourney by 13 at home.

Play 1 Unit on Illinois

Play a half unit on Utah +8