Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
03-08-12 | Nebraska v. Purdue -9 | Top | 61-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Purdue -9
The Huskers flat out suck. They cannot score on the road, scoring 59 ppg this season while Purdue on the road scores 70. Purdue just pounded Nebraska into submission and that |
|||||||
03-04-12 | Illinois State v. Creighton -5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Creighton -5
Numerous facotrs at work here, despite the number. I LOVE going against teams off an upset win, especially a double digit dog winner. ISU stunned the nation and Wichita State yesterday, a game I saw in person, as I saw both these terams play yesterday. Creighton slayed a dragon in Evansville in blowout fashion, and Evansville was my sleeper and a team the Blue Jays struggled with all season and is a good team. In the 2 games these have played this season, Creighton won by a combined 37 points including a 102-74 win in Omaha Feb. 1. Creightion's size and all world All American forward Doug McDermott way too much for the outmanned, starry eyed Redbirds. Nice story for ISU, and beating the Shockers is commedable, but playing that style of defense against Creighton is futile and I doubnt the Blue Jays shit down their leg in ther second half like Wichita did yesterday. Creighton has won and covered all 4 games the past 2 years. McDermott had 45 points in the 2 games these 2 played, they have no answer to defend him, he will be the dfifference. Blue Jays have not ben the team they were in mid season and despite that they still have only 5 losses all year, they are ranked for a reason. Creighton has covered 24 out of 28 games on Sunday's, and while I am not a trend lover, that is impressive. Play 1 Unit on Creighton Play a half unit on Cal Bears at a pickem for a Bonus Play. Playing for PAC 12 crown...Stanford not good enough to hang. |
|||||||
03-03-12 | Baylor v. Iowa State -1.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Iowa State -1.5
Hilton Arena will be rocking in Ames tonight avenging a loss to Baylor about 3 weeks ago. ISU very very tough at home and have no doubnts, they have more to play for than Baylor. Bear in mind ISU beat mighty Kansas in here and are playing for a Big Dance ticket, and altrhough I think they are in, this one cements it. Senior night on their home floor against team they laid an egg against. Baylor not the worlds best road team against good teams and ISu the best cover team int he Big 12. Play 1 Unit on Iowa State |
|||||||
03-03-12 | North Carolina v. Duke +2 | 88-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Duke +1.5 to 2
Home court huge here and quite frankly Coach K a better coach than Roy Williams. Yes Duke won the first round of this series on a last second thriller shot by Rivers, but at home I do not see them losing an ACC regular season title. Coach K has repeatedly outcoached Willimas in this series winning 5 out of the last 6. Duke carries HUGE numbers at home because they are a public darling, thus they have a bad home ATS record, but with them as a pick and now a 2 pop pup, they are not carrying that moniker as a huge home fav which is tough to cover. Like them to get the ACC crown, they are the better team, slightly..both teams are excellent. Home court is HUGE here worth 4 points and they are getting points! If Duke can hit the boards they can cover with ease. they could not stop NC in transition on the road and still won that game. Play 1 Unit on Duke |
|||||||
03-03-12 | Evansville +6 v. Creighton | 71-99 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Evansville +6
Too many here. Creighton is not 100% for various reasons and have yet to recapture their mid season form when they were dominating. The Purple Aces were my play yesterday and won outright as a 2 point dog, they are my sleeper team and took Creighton intro OT before losing by 1 point on the road in their last matchup. I like them to play tough. Creighton struggled huge last night against a bottom feeder after a bye in round 1. Play 1 Unit on Evansville |
|||||||
03-03-12 | Louisville +9 v. Syracuse | 49-58 | Push | 0 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Louisville +8.5
Like the under here at 133. Last game had 103 points. So saying that I like getting the 8.5 points with a capable team who had covered 7 out of the last 8 in this series and pushed on one other. The noose gets tight this time of season and I like the big points in games where it means something to the underdog and not near as much to the home fav. Play 1 Unit on Louisville. |
|||||||
03-02-12 | Missouri State v. Evansville +2 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Evansville +2
Tough to beat a team 3 times in one season? Usually true however the Purple Aces won both regular season games in OT in this series but you must look at how teams are playing enetering the conference tourneys and Mizzou St has stunk it up. Shooting 38% from the floor and 33% from 3 point range is not a good sign. Evanasville sneaky good a sleeper of mine in this tourney to give the upper echilon teams some issues and I think they get past MSU in this one by 4-5 points. They are hitting 45% from the floor, 43% from 3 point land and 75% in free throws. Evansville the best cover team in the Mo Valley at 16-9-1 ATS. Their last game was a 75-70 OT win over Mizzou State 6 days ago, a tough draw no doubt but I think they get it done against a team who has dropped 5 straight and lost confidence. The game before Mizzou St Evansville took Creighton into OT at Omaha and lost 92-91. They are capable. Play 1 Unit on Evansville Bonus Play - Play a half unit on Marist -5.5. The should POUND St Peters. |
|||||||
03-01-12 | Miami Heat -4.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 107-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami Heat -5
Portland an average team, Miami an exceptional team who loves the limelight, none bigger than TNT. Miami is a scoring machine and the big 3 are on fire and they were the hottest team in the NBA headed into all star break. They have won and covered 4 straight in this series and the road team is 6-1 ATS the last 7. Portland off a loss last night and are sorely outmatched here. Play 1 Unit on Miami |
|||||||
03-01-12 | Bradley v. Drake -7 | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Drake -7
Tough to beat a team 3 times in a year, unless it is bottom feeder Bradley. In both games away and home Drake has won by this spread this season. Bradley in their last 5 games has averaged 52 ppg on offense and allowed 62 on defense. They have shot less than 35% from the floor in those games. Drake is not a solid road team by any stretch, but Bradley just flat out the worst team in the conference and although Drake has played inconsistent all year they did have an OT loss to power Wichita State this year and has enough backcourt to put plenty of distance between them and Bradley here. Play 1 Unit on Drake |
|||||||
03-01-12 | Michigan +2 v. Illinois | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Michigan +2
Illinois is a joke opening up here as a -1 favorite. Set up line maybe, but I am not buying it and just do not see it. Bruce Weber has a mess on his hands and with Michigan is playing for one of the top seeds in the conference tourney. With Michigan State going down on Monday Michigan is 1 game back here. Illinois has a good home record and have beaten a few good teams in here, but Michigan off a loss and totally focused to get it done tonight. Illinois has fallen from grace as a Big 10 power, and is 4-9 against teams with an RPI rating of 50 or under. Yes Michigan has lost 7 road games, but those were to powerhouse teams including Virginia and Ohio State and Arkansas to name a few, Illinois not that caliber of team with a lot on the line for Michigan. Illinois has no true shooters and Michigan better, big time on the boards. Play 1 Unit on Michigan |
|||||||
02-28-12 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Indiana | 55-70 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State -2.5
I have said it numerou stimes over the years, long term coaches with a high success rate know how to coach late in the season headed into conferences tourneys and the Big Dance. Tom Izzo is one of those coaches as they close in on a Big 10 title. Allowing a Big 10 low 37% in FG % from the floor, and averging 52 ppg on defense their last 5, it is all on the line tonight. Michigan St has won 6 straight in the series and Indiana simnply does not have the horses to hang here. Better coaching, better defense, better team. 6-1 ATS for MSU last 7 in this series. Play 1 Unit on Michigan State. BONUS PLAY - PLay a half unit on Kansas State -4. |
|||||||
02-26-12 | California -2.5 v. Colorado | Top | 57-70 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Cal -2.5
With a Washington win last night, Cal still looking for #1 seeding in PAC 12 Tiourney. Given the fact Cal already has beaten Colorado, in a game where they did not shoot over 37% from the floor, the line adjustment from that game to this one is baffling. Cal was a 13.5 point favorite. Given the fact I watched the Stanford and Colorado game this past week , Colorado, even on a strong home floor, looked deplorable in a 24 point beatdown. Cal is looking good for the big dfance but beating a 19 win team on the road may bump them up a seed down the road. Colorado avergaing 59 ppg their last 5 and you can win with defense alone in this conference. Cal macthes up well in this one and not sure that Colorado has recovered fromt he beat down they took on Thursday. Cal the better team by 6 or more here. Play 2 Units on Cal. |
|||||||
02-25-12 | Washington -1 v. Washington State | 59-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Washiongton -1
Huskies the king of crop in the PAC 12, a must win in some respects to stay atop PAC 12 with CAL. They won this game by double digits erlier this year, but this one will not be a blowout but at days end get the win. Too much talent on Washingtons side. Washington States best player out for this game. HUGE blow. Play 1 Unit on Washington. |
|||||||
02-25-12 | Missouri +8.5 v. Kansas | 86-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Missouri +8
Really liked KU at home here around 6, but laying 8 points in a bitter border war, even at crazy Allen Fieldhouse which will be going nuts is a ton of points to the 3rd ranked team in the USA. Yes Mizzou off a bad loss to K State, but they match up better against Kansas. Gertting added value on the line with that Mizzou loss this week. Last time ever they play a regular Big 12 season game, stakes high for both teams. KU worth 4 at home on the line, but Mizzou will not go down without a fight. Play 1 Unit on Mizzou |
|||||||
02-25-12 | Creighton -1.5 v. Indiana St | Top | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Creighton -2.5
Could be a set up line but I am taking it. Creighton struggled to a 93-92 OT home win against Evansville this week, and their defense has stunk it up allowing 78 ppg while scoring 77 ppg on offense in the same timeframe. We get them at a cheap price here against a team they hammered 75-49 already and they have covered the last 4 in the series. Blue Jays hungry here and getting back on track after a 3 game closing streak, they have won 4 straight. Play 2 Units on Creighton - TOP PLAY |
|||||||
02-24-12 | Marquette v. West Virginia -1 | 61-60 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
Marquette ( -1) Line at midnight on Thursday. It will go up some.
Not afraid to lay it, because this will be at least -1.5 to 2 on Friday Night. West Virginia an enigma wrapped in a riddle. Hit and Miss all the time with this team, but Marquette is consistently good, especially on offense averaging 80 ppg their last 5 while WV averaing 64 and only 23% from 3 point range. On top of that they managed just 44 points in a beat down at Notre Dame their last game. Marqueete has covered ATS 40 out of their last 60 Big East games and have enough offense in this one to win it, along with a 82% charity strip Shooting % their last 5. Way too much for WV, even at home where they can be tough. Play 1 Unit on Marquette |
|||||||
02-23-12 | New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -9.5 | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Miami -9
Lets dispel the fact NY crushed Atlanta last night. Last time they had a back to back game scenario, they got beat by the Nets of all people at home. This is the 4th game in 5 days for the Knicks, and Miami was home resting night watching them play. Miami is the best team in the NBA in my opinion and would love nothing more than to beat the team all America is hyped up on. Mis-Matches all over the place, and 3 best players on the floor are on Miami |
|||||||
02-23-12 | Duke -1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Duke -2
When is the last time Coach K got swept in ACC action by a team other than North Carolina? I cannot remember when. REVENGE is huge in this one and Duke will exact some after FSU stepped into Cameron Indoor arena and knocked off Duke. Payback time. Good coaches make a HUGE difference late in the conference season getting close to March, and no better motivator in basketball |
|||||||
02-21-12 | San Antonio Spurs +4 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 97-137 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
San Antonio +3.5 to 4
Portland looked deplorable last night at the Lakers and San Antonio is hot. Smells like a set up line, but Portland banged up and I am drinking the kool aid on this one. Aldridge is not 100% and San Antonio is a solid team, and with a deep bench, I like them to get the outright win in the Rose Garden tonight, I am grabbing the points with the better team. Play 1 Unit on San Antonio |
|||||||
02-21-12 | New Mexico -6 v. Colorado St | 63-71 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
New Mexico -5.5
Love the Lobos here. Steve Alford has a great team who already destroyed Colorado State by a score of 85-52. New Mexico is 8-1 ATS their last 9 road games and are clearly ythe class of the conference, and they just pounded UNLV by 20 at home this weekend. DEFENSE IS KEY with New Mexico. They have only allowed over 54 points ONCE in their last 7 games. One team, Wyoming had 38 points. Lay it here. I won with Colorado State this weekend at home, and while they are a decent team, they have already shown a serious mis match issue against this team. Play 1 Unit on New Mexico |
|||||||
02-21-12 | Kansas State +9.5 v. Missouri | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
K State +9.5
Mizzou wins this but it will not be easy. K State can hang with anyone as evidenced on Saturday as an outright dog winner against Baylor. K State pounded Mizzou earlier this year. This is Mizzou |
|||||||
02-20-12 | Baylor v. Texas -2 | 77-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Texas -2
A sense of urgency in this, as Texas is a bubble team for the NCAA Tourney. They have went to the dance in each of coach Rick Barnes 13 years at Texas. They need a high RPI win to assure a tourney berth in my opinion, and I feel that is the opinion of the Longhorns too. Texas is a bad road tea, as evidenced by a bad loss at Okie State on Saturday as 3 point fav, while Baylor was busy losing at home to K State by 1 point in a game where both teams scored less than 60 points. A VERY tough loss. Texas has lost only 2 games at home all year to Mizzou and Kansas by a combined 4 points, and they are avenging a 76-71 loss at Baylor last month. The stats are pretty even here but home court is huge in any conference including the Big 12. A Must win for Texas, and they know it. Baylor has dropped 8 out of 10 ATS in the Big 12. Play 1 Unit on Texas. |
|||||||
02-20-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets -3 | 93-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston -3
Losers of 2 straight to Memphis, I like the Rockets at home to avenge those losses. They shot 33% from the floor on the road against Memphis last month in a tough loss, where their guard Martin who averages 18 ppg did not score and Memphis |
|||||||
02-16-12 | Los Angeles Clippers -2 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
LA Clippers
|
|||||||
02-16-12 | Florida Intl. +6 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | Top | 64-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Florida International +5.5 to 6
Too many points here and lots of trending towards FIU in this one. As a matter of fact FIU has won their last 3 road games, one of them as a 10 point dog. The underdog in this series in 10-4 ATS and FIU is a hell of a road team ATS, going 20-8 their last 28 road games, unreal number. Arkansas Little Rock is under 40% from the floor for the season and in all home games this year has managed 39% from the floor overall and only 26% from beyond the arc, and laying 5.5 points against a proven road team whose stats are dead even with them. Neither team a barnburner on offense, this will be a tight game. Play 1.5 Units on Florida International. Best of Luck. Tony |
|||||||
02-15-12 | Purdue v. Illinois -3 | Top | 67-62 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Illinois -3
Love them to avenge 6 straight losses to Purdue, and the KEY this time of season in ANY conference action is home court. Without a doubt worth 3 points on most lines that you need to figure in. Illinois is 12-2 SU at home. They have dropped 3 straight but on their home floor have defeated BOTH Ohio State and Michigan St. Expect an all out effort from them tonight. Forget the stats, they KEY is home court and a hungry team. Play 1 Unit on Illinois Bonus Play |
|||||||
02-14-12 | Virginia Commonwealth v. George Mason | 61-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
George Mason +1
Huge rivalry game against VCU. Sources tell me out east that GM has had this circled on the schedule since last years beat down by 16 points the CAA Tourney. The stats are even here, both solid teams, VCU on an 11 game win streak and GM only loss was at Delaware by 5 points in their last 10 games. Home court is HUGE in mid majors and small conferences. Play 1 Unit on George Mason. |
|||||||
02-14-12 | Texas -3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Texas
|
|||||||
02-14-12 | Florida -3 v. Alabama | 61-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Florida -3
Must win for Florida here in the heat of the SEC race. Alabama still with 2 starters suspended, one of them a 14 point per game player in Green and Mitchell who is also listed as out is a 13 ppg player. Both forwards which leaves the frontcourt slim. Florida off back to back losses, Saturday Tenn. Beat them at home. Look for a supreme effort where they can get over on a shorthanded team tonight. Florida also an excellent free throw shooting team, which in the clutch is a huge deal in NCAA Hoops, especially on the road. Play 1 Unit |
|||||||
02-13-12 | Kansas -4 v. Kansas State | 59-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Kansas -4
Going to play the better team here. Kansas is more balanced and consistent than little brother K State. This is a tough road game no doubt, but KU has won big games on the road (with the exception of Missouri where they allowed an 11-0 run to grab defeat from the jaws of victory) in that one. K State off a huge and devastating loss at Texas on Saturday (we were on Texas) blowing a 14 point lead at one point, and to recover, travel back home and play one of the top rated teams in the nation is a tough spot. KU is familiar with Big Monday national TV games and in their last 21 Monday games, the Jayhawks have covered 16 of them. Kansas has also owned K State covering 21 out of the last 28 meetings. With an 18 point win under their belt the last meeting in Phog Allen, Kansas has been hot as of late hitting 51% from the floor overall in their last 5 games, against a team who has struggled to just 63 ppg on offense their last 5. K State has a way of dropping off and not maintaining intensity and giving up big plays in transition, which plays right into KU |
|||||||
02-12-12 | Evansville +1 v. Drake | 54-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Evansville+1 to -1 to a pick - Line all over the place.
Evansville off a home upset of Creighton but Drake is in a tough spot at home here without star Ben Simons, out with Mono, gone is 16 ppg and about 38 minutes a game from one of their best players. Drake won by 9 at Evansville already back in January so revenge is front row and center., and I like their chances here. Evansville is a cover machine and have covered ATS 12 out of their last 15. Aces are 7-1 ATS their last 8 roadies and catch a team who they want to beat without one of their best players. Play 1 Unit on Evansville |
|||||||
02-11-12 | Michigan State +8.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 58-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Michigan State +8.5
Ohio State laying a huge number against a very talented team here. The best defense in the Big 10 and Ohio State faces a team that will keep the scoring under 60 points quite posssibly and getting this many points in a low scoring game is a gift. This will be a tight contest all the way, forget the stats and look at it for what it is. MSU allowing just an amazing 52 ppg their last 5 and OSU allowing 58. 8.5 point spread here just insane. Play 1.5 Units on Michigan State Play a half unit on Wichita State +1 - I think they upset Creighton who is faltering and on a 2 game slide. |
|||||||
02-10-12 | Dallas Mavericks -2 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Dallas -2.5
Dallas had owned the T Wolves until this year. They have dropped 2 straight against them and I like the defending world champs in a double revenge spot tonight on the road laying a short number here. The Mavs are always a solid road bet given a decent line, they are 16-6-1 their last 23 on the road and Minny really is not all that good at home covering just 3 out of their last 11. The Dallas angle continues as well as the the road team in this series has covered 21 out of 26 times. Dallas just avenged a home loss to Denver on the road their last game and I like them to get it done here with a day off and they will be ready for this one. Play 1 Unit on Dallas Play a half unit on the OVER 201to 202 in the Thunder and Jazz game tonight. No doubt the Thunder will be tired on defense after playing late last night. Both teams will score and Utah in transition should get a ton of points here. Lean to Jazz as well |
|||||||
02-09-12 | NC State -4 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 61-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NC State -4
NC State in revenge mode here and I like their chances as they are playing great ball right now and sit 6-3 in conference action. Winnable road games are rare in the ACC, and this is one that the Wolf Pack are focused on winning. Please note also that GT has no home arena and are playing where the Hawks play and have little if any home court advantage, as a matter of fact they have won just 1 conference at home all year. NC States defense is the key in this game and they have done a stellar job on the road all season holding opponents on their own home floors to under 40% from the floor. I like their outside defense on the perimeter to shut down any GT assault from 3 point range and I feel this number is very cheap with a better team, on the road, on basically a neutral floor. Play 1 Unit on NC State. BONUS PLAY |
|||||||
02-08-12 | Duke v. North Carolina UNDER 157 | 85-84 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Duke / NC UNDER 157.5
The only way Duke stays in this is to step up and play defense, which they have not lately, but rest assured FOCUS will be present here. NC banged up with some injuries coming in here as a big fav. Duke can compete and close the gap here on that and while I am not seeing tons of value in the side play, this Totals play is too high as I see neither team getting near 80 points in this one. NC plays it close to the vest against good teams to control the game, that has always been Roy Williams style, and they are a perfect 6-0 on the under their last 6 games against teams with a winning record and Duke has went 7-3 on Unders their last 10 roadies. Play 1 Unit on the Under |
|||||||
02-08-12 | Missouri State -3.5 v. Southern Illinois | 56-54 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Missouri State -4
Love MSU in this one against Southern Illinois. Mizzou St has been inconsistent all year but by far have the better team, more offense and the best player on the floor in this one, a must win game for them. Interesting that MSU has the same record on the road they do at home. They already beat up the Salukies by 12 at home, I think they get close to a double digit win here tonight. Play 1 Unit on Missouri State |
|||||||
02-08-12 | Kansas +1.5 v. Baylor | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas +1.5 to 2
I saw this game last time out in person as KU destroyed Baylor in Lawrence. There is no doubt KU has struggled opn the road, losing at Mizzou this past weekend when they allowed an 11-0 run against them to grab defeat from the jaws of victory. Very unlike a Bill Self coached team. Baylor is good but has struggled against good teams, Mizzou beat them up in Waco, and I see no reason why Kansas cannot win here. KU having back to back losses is very rare. Expect KU |
|||||||
02-07-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors +3 | 119-116 | Push | 0 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Golden State +2.5
Like to go against teams off an OT game the night before, and OK City beat Portland in OT last night. This is their 5th road game on this road swing and deep into a long road trip I like to go against teams who are traveling and off a game the night before, once they get 4 or 5 games into the travel schedule. Head Coach Mark Jackson benched all his starters in their last game, a loss to the Kings for lack of effort, the second time this season he has done that. Since GS has not played since Saturday Night I expect an full out effort and some fresh legs here to pull off the upset as a live dog. Bear in mind the Warriors have beaten Miami, Chicago and Portland at home this year,. Play 1 Unit on Golden State |
|||||||
02-07-12 | Alabama v. Auburn +5.5 | 68-50 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Auburn +5
The Tigers are 12-1 at home this year and are playing their rival. Alabama suspended Mitchell yesterday for this game, a starter who puts in 13 ppg and about 8 board. Coming in here shorthanded on the road laying a number in conference action against a bitter rival is a bad spot. I will take the point. Auburn is a hot ATS going 7-1 their last 8. Play 1 Unit on Auburn. |
|||||||
02-07-12 | Iowa State +2 v. Oklahoma State | 67-69 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Iowa State +1.5
|
|||||||
02-06-12 | Missouri -5 v. Oklahoma | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Mizzou -5
I usually hesitate when a team is off a huge win and have a game 2 days later, and also have a big game on deck. This fits Mizzou's situation tonight, but they are so well coached, I have no fear of laying a road number against an Oklahoma team they aboslutley DESTROYED last month in Columbia. Mizzou players asked the fans not to rush the court on Saturday nights big win over hated rival Kansas, because of the factt they felt it was not an upset and they were suppose to win the game. That is confidence and disipline. Mizzou beat the stuffing out of the Sooners 87-49 last month, and clearly are the better team, and ranked in the Top 4 in the nation. They have won road games at Iowa State and Baylor (far better teams) and while their road ATS numbers are horrible, bear in mind that was with another coach. Mizzou is a bad matchup for OU who does not defend the perimeter well. anmd while payback is in mind, OU does not have the horses here. A MUST WIN road game for Mizzou, as Big 12 road wins do not come easy. Mizzou 11-2 ATS the last 13 in this series. Play 1 Unit on Mizzou BONUS PLAY: Play Texas AM +2.5 for a half unit against Texas. Texas AM has been shooting lights out their last 5, Texas struggles from 3 point range and Texas AM playing with 4 time revenge in their last Big 12 meeting at home with hated rival Texas as they leave for the SEC, they will be ready big time here. |
|||||||
02-04-12 | Indiana St v. Wichita State OVER 131.5 | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Wichita State / Indiana State OVER 132
The Shockers score damn near 80 ppg at home and Indiana State can put up some points here. This total is 8 points off on my power rating on the overl;ay. That is a big number and I will willing to lay it here. Over is 9-2 in the last 11 in this series. Play 1 Unit on the OVER |
|||||||
02-04-12 | Kansas v. Missouri -2.5 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Mizzou -2.5 to 3 max
This is HUGE game for both teams, but this is the last time Mizzou will play KU, a bitter and heated border war, in conference action as Mizzou heads to the SEC next season. the last time in Columbia and the "Zoo" weill be packed to the rafters and rocking. If Mizzou can play perimeter defense, which they can, they can win this despite having issues in rebounding. This is going to be a barnburner and Mizzou is stoked. KU has not fared well away from home against decent teams as evidenced but a loss to Iowa State last week as a 6 point fav. Home court worth 4 points here minimum..lay it Play 1 Unit on Missouri |
|||||||
02-04-12 | Buffalo v. Toledo +5.5 | Top | 72-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Toledo +5.5
Love Toledo in this spot tonight. Playing with 4 time revenge in this series and off back to back losses, oddsmakers gave us a great line in this one tonight and I am all over it. Buffalo has a solid ball club, but like many mid major conferences, good teams struggle on the road and the Bul;ls have dropped 4 out of 6 on the road, many of those to lesser teams than Toledo. Play 2 Units on Toledo |
|||||||
02-03-12 | Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -4 | 89-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Toronto -4
Fresh off 2 embarrassing losses, one by over 30 points, I like the Raptors at home to bounce back against the worst team in the NBA in the Wizards. This line dropped a half point upon opening, I will take it. Battle of ugly teams. Neither team very good, but Toronto at home worth 3 points and they are 3-6 points better than the Wizards. Wiz playing better after firing Flip Saunders, but I do not see them winning this one on the road. Teams off a bad loss in the NBA have a tendency the next game to turn it on big time. Short and Sweet today. Play 1 Unit on Toronto. |
|||||||
02-02-12 | Denver Nuggets +1 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 112-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Denver +1.5
Three reasons here why I am going against the red hot Clippers. This line is too easy and I smell a rat. Denver just lost at home last week to the Clips so I like the revenge angle. Also last night LA blew their wad in a hard fought barn burner type game at Utag in the altitude. Returning home with fatuige and playing a rested Denver team with revnge is a tough spot. Denver is a hell of a road bet as well, one of the better ones in the NBA, they are 22-6 ATS their last 28 road games and against the NBA Pacific division are 8-1 ATS their last 9. Denver has won 5 out of their last 6 roadies and the only loss was an OT loss st Memphis. Fresher legs with revenge. If oddsmakers thought LA would dominate at home where they are 10-2 this year, this line would be 3 or higher. The public will drive this up during the dau, keep an eye on the line as you may get added value. Play 1 Unit on Denver |
|||||||
02-01-12 | Memphis v. Southern Miss -2.5 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Southern Miss -2
Love the Eagles at home here. They have dropped an AMAZING 16 straight to Memphis, who no doubt is the best team in this conference, but I smell some serious payback as So. Miss has a SOLID team. So. Miss is 10-0 at home, and recently knocked off Cen. Florida. One thing here for the Eagles who are 19-3 is they hit the defensive glass very well and should be able to contain Memphis getting easy put backs. Both teams play excellent defense but the home court advantage and the fact is has been close to 8 years since So. Miss has beaten Memphis, has me laying the bucket with a highly motivated team and a wild home crowd tonight to get it done with maybe the best team they have had in recent memory. Play 1 Unit on So Miss |
|||||||
02-01-12 | Connecticut v. Georgetown -3 | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Georgetown -3
U Conn flat out has stunk it up on offense, and have struggled on the road this season at 2-3. They have Lamb carrying the load on scoring but he has no help. Georgetown is not a good cover team, I am aware of this, but also one sided trends tend to even out over time and this is a great spot to take GT at home. They have covered just 1 out of their last 8 games. U Conn has lost 3 in a row including road games at Tennessee most recently, Seton Hall and Rutgers of all people. GT the better team here, especially at home. Play 1 Unit on GT |
|||||||
02-01-12 | Drexel -4 v. Northeastern | Top | 61-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Drexel -4
Drexel should absolutely roll Noprtheast5ern here. NE is scoring 58 ppg and Drexel is allowing just 50 ppg their last 5. If you look at teams that NE has played with an RPI of 50-100, they have not beat any of them. Drexel off 8 straight wins and covered every one of them, 3 of them on the road against losing teams, and though many feel this is a letdown spot, I feel the opposite. They are rolling and the class of the conference and NE is a bottom feeder. Simply put this is a great spot for the Dragons and the oddsmakers have it at -4, and I have a 5 point overlay, even on the road. Get on this one early, sharps will drive the line up big time. Play 2 Units on Drexel |
|||||||
01-31-12 | Kent State -5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Kent State -5 (this line will go up)
Love the Flashes here tonight. Kent may be the best team in the MAC, and Central Michigan is a bottom feeder, below middle of the pack team. Kent State is 23-4 SU against teams with a losing record their last 27 times, unreal record. Kent State well coached and far deeper than CMU. I found a stat as well that as a road favorite between -3 and -6 the Flashes are 7-1 ATS. Cen. Michigan has struggled against winning teams, and are 2-8 their last 10 against them. Big man Green for the Flashes should have a HUGE night in the low post area, and I have no doubt here for a 8-10 point win. Play 2 Units on Kent State, lay the wood here. |
|||||||
01-30-12 | Missouri -1 v. Texas | 67-66 | Push | 0 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Mizzou -1
Texas has lost 4 out of their last 5 and quite frankly have struggled against anyone good all season. Rick Barnes is a deplorable coach and Mizzou loaded with talent and off a horrific road performance against Okie State their last road trip, they bounced back Saturday at home, and I look for them to pick up a road win here. Mizzou already bet Texas once at home. Texas over valued at home, as evidenced by a 3-8 ATS their last 11 at home. Missouri better in all phases, I will lay les than a bucket here. Play 1 Unit on Mizzou Bonus Play which STARTS before this game...West Virginia -5.5 for a half unit. |