#714 - Northern Kentucky -5.5   *7 EST

Been wanting to take these guys a few times in this tourney, but tonight the Cinderella story ends for Wisconsin – Milwaukee who is 11-23 but knocked off Valpo and Illinois Chicago, both upsets in this tourney, especially Valpo.  These two split games this season both winning at home but the Norse can knock down 3’s and have been hot, hitting 50% from the floor last night and cruising to a 10 point win after a 20 point halftime lead against Youngstown State.  In their last 5 games No. Kentucky has hit 51% from the floor, 76% from the charity stripe and 41% from 3 point land, and scored 84 ppg.  WOW.   Plus the Norse are 12-6 ATS on the road, and while I respect the hot streak W-Milwaukee has been on, It ends here against a high octane offense hitting on all cylinders. 

Play 1 Unit on Northern Kentucky

BONUS ACC Play HALF UNIT (also 7 EST Tip)  – #712 - Georgia Tech   +2  

#542 - St Mary’s -7   *11:30 EST

I have admired St Mary’s for years, a feisty program that always lights it up on scoreboard and gives you a game, but this year there are a sleeping little Giant boys, ranked in the Top 18, and they have beaten BYU badly twice this year and despite all the notions that schools like this rain 3’s and live and die by them in small gyms, this team plays badass defense, and no team that they have played has exceeded 58 points on offense against them since before Valentine’s day and their defense is 21 ppg better than BYU’s in their last 5 game averages and for St Mary’s in their last 5 games, they have averaged 54% in FG%. WOW

Play 1 Unit on St. Marys 

Illinois State +7.5  *2 EST 

Opened at 9 at bookmaker offshore and shot down quickly for a good reason   ISU and Wichita State are the creme of the Crop in the Mo Valley and split a regular season pair of games with WSU blowing out ISU at home in the last meeting.  This is too many points here in what should be a great championship game.  ISU is the top defensive team in the conference and third on offense.  WSU is tops in the league in offense, so this will be a battle of who can knock down shots and Wichita St has a rough time for 30 minutes with Mo State last night who plays little defense, ISU has breezed through this tourney to this point.  

Play 1 Unit on Illinois State 

#609 - Kansas +1  *6 EST 

Yes a sucker bet but as hot as OSU has been, the only 2 games out of their last 9 games against good team they got beat including Kansas.  Waters is out of Okie St and Kansas is getting March Madness game face on.  Bill Self will not want his season ending on a loss, even on the road to a decent team, KU will not settle for that as a throw away game.  Kansas one of the best teams in the nation bar none.  Might want a small lean on the UNDER 164.5 too...FYI 

Play 1 Unit on Kansas

#568 - Auburn -9  *3:30 EST   *3:30 EST 

Look Mizzou is a fade team.  A season of Misery ends today.  Mizzou managed just 24% from the floor in their loss to Texas AM and that was AT HOME.  They are the worst team in the SEC and their coach will be fired the day after their next loss int he SEC tourney- Just a fade against a bad team who has thrown in the towel and cannot score.  

Play 1 Unit on Auburn

#657 - Southern Illinois +8 *3:30 EST 

No time for write up - game just released - This has been a 4 point and 7 point game this season in meetings.  Saluki's hang tight here and make a game of it.

Play 1 Unit on Southern Illinois 

#536 - Depaul +7  *2 EST

Xavier went from a 3 or 4 seed to possibly missing the tourney.  Dropped 6 straight and with Summer out and Bluiett banged up, I like Depaul at home here to come up with a big effort as a live dog.

 Play 1 Unit on Depaul

#517 - Illinois -4   *12 Noon EST 

Look Rutgers is ranked 322 is scoring in the NCAA and Illinois playing for a bubble spot and possible bid in the big dance and are hot as hell.  Illinois 3-0 SU / ATS their last 3 road games, and have ripped off 4 in a row.Rutgers cannot handle the firepower here and have mailed it in, despite senior day and all that, Illinois should win by 8 here or more.

Play 1 Unit on Illinois

BONUS PLAY @ 12 Noon EST   - (#525)  Pitt +11.5 - Virginia anemic on offense to lay double digits to anyone and Virginia off their biggest win of the year and are not playing for a bye in ACC tourney either, that is not an option.  Pitt stays within the number. Play half unit on Pitt.

#869 - Missouri State +2  *9:30 EST

Have to go with offense here and better guard play.  Northern Iowa has lost 3 straight scoring 44,59, and 42 points and I simply am going with Mo State based on their offense.  These two team split the regular season games winning on each other’s floor and this is a good matchup of middle of the pack teams here, but I like Mo States big’s on the offensive glass for easy points and if their guards can knock down some outside shots, they should win.  This game in their home state and I feel Missouri State is the better team getting points.  Northern Iowa a shell of their former self and are very young and have major issues on offense, and yes their defense is good, but at days end I am grabbing the points where the underdog in this series is 10-4 ATS.

Play 1 Unit on Missouri State 

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#827 - Cleveland -3  *7 EST 

Kyle Korver will be motivated tonight as the Hawks traded him to Cleveland.  That said the Cavs are in a foul mood after losing to Boston on Hump Day and have dropped 2 out of 3 and come in here motivated, and now have Williams in house after the trade deal and I expect James, Irving and Kyle to have a solid night and a motivated team to win by 8 points here.  Cavs playing with revenge as the one time they played Atlanta, they got beat on their home floor. 

Play 2 Units on Cleveland

Bradley -3 to 3.5 MAX

Yes this is a battle of bottom feeders and Drake has lost to Bradley in both conference games this season and yes it tough to beat a team 3 times in one season, however Drake is dead last in the Mo Valley in about every stat category that counts and that includes one of the worst defenses in the NCAA, and in their last 5 games allowed 81 ppg while scoring 68.  Bradley is not the Braves of old who used to dominate this conference however Bradley won by 7 points and 8 on the road against Drake this past weekend and have enough moxy to pull out a win here.  Bradley has won their last 3 games and in their previous 3 losses to decent team those 3 losses were by a combined 11 points, while Drake has dropped 9 in a row!

 Play 1 Unit on Bradley 

March Madness Package on Sale today - $189 for the rest of the season - ALL Post Season Action till they crown a champ!  

#525 - Arkansas +11  *7 est

Florida is a beast in the SEC but they are laying a huge number to one of the best SEC road teams in Arkansas who can absolutely light it up from the outside with Hannahs, Macon and Barford who all average double digits.  Arkansas is a hot team who can score at will (84 ppg their last 5) and they have ripped off 5 straight wins.  Florida off a deflating loss to Kentucky by double digits and while this is a big home game, Arkansas should hang tough, as nothing comes easy this time of the season with teams like Arkansas knowing this is a post season resume building type game.  Anyone who can score like the Razorbacks and getting this many is always worth the stretch.

Play 1 Unit on Arkansas 

#721 - Florida State +6.5  *7 EST  (might go to 7) 

Too many with super guard Allen out for Duke here.  He opens up a lot of things on offense for the Blue Devils and despite their recent run with Coach K back, this is going to be a war tonight against a good FSU team who has a 16 point win over Duke already this year and FSU can flat out light up the scoreboard and that brings big points into play here.

Play 1 Unit on Florida State

BONUS PLAY - #748 – Georgia Tech -2 at 9 EST.  I expect the Yellow Jackets to get over on Pitt in their final home game and Pitt off a bad loss to NC and have Virginia on deck!  

Toronto -3 to 3.5

Look the Knicks play no defense, their defense the last 5 games has been embarrassing allowing 113 ppg, while the Raptors have stepped up their defense in the same timeframe allowing just 99 ppg.  The Knicks have a 3-7 run going and one of those wins was against Philly.  I have a 6 point overlay here on Power Numbers.

Play 1 Unit on Toronto 

#515 - North Carolina -3.5   *7 EST 

High Octane offense in the Tar Heels who have proven once Virginia is not match for them, even though the Cavs defense is ranked as one of the best in the country, it makes no matter.  Time to look at coaching, and who dials in their players as March 1 approaches, and gets them in tourney shape better than Roy Williams?  I can answer that, very few coaches do. Awesome that in their last 5 games Virginia has held opponents to 63 ppg, problem is they only scored 58 ppg in those games on offense, and you have to score points to beat NC and that is why a few weeks ago NC beat the Cavs by 24. 

Play 1 Unit on North Carolina 

#833 - Oakland -8 to 8.5   *3 EST 

Two teams going in different directions here, Oakland is a scoring machine scoring 88 ppg their last 5 games, shooting a whopping 50% from the floor and have won 8 straight games while Milwaukee Wisconsin struggled on offense at 63 ppg their last 5 games, allowing 74 and they should get beat on the boards here too.  Oakland is no joke and are 19-6-1 ATS on the road their last  26 road games.  

Play 1 Unit on Oakland 

Kentucky -4 to 4.5  *2 EST

I expect a double digit win at home here.  Revenge spot at home, DeAaron Fox is 100% and I expect KU to light up the scoreboard here.  Many people down on KU, they have off the chart stats, like them at home here in a big game before the tourney, Calipari loves spots like this.

Play 1 Unit on Kentucky

BONUS PLAY #610 - Texas State -1  *530 EST

St Johns +1

Catching a good number here and the Sharps in Vegas and my source are unloading on this one.  St Johns a beast at home with recent wins over Seton Hall and Marquette and they do not turn the ball over and well coached and coming on.  GT over rated.

Play 2 Units on St Johns

Utah -3

Play against the Bucks after 3 straight wins when they are at home the following game.  The record is 19 Wins and 49 Losses since 1996 - WOW.  Add in the fact the Jazz's defense is 10 ppg better on the season and this trend and I am on the better team in Utah.

Play 1 Unit on Utah

#873 - Valpo -2   *7:30 EST

Short number for Valpo against Wright State tonight and even though a road game Valpo is the class of the Horizon Conference and has the best Offense and Defensive percentage numbers of any team in the conference, and while Wright St can put up some points, they are 3rd to last in defense in this conference and Valpo only laying 2 here after already beating this team by 15 last month, has me taking a lean on them to win by 6-8 points. 

Play 1 Unit Valparaiso 

#529 - Memphis +14  *7 EST 

Too many points based on recent scoring models and numerous sharps are hitting the Under here and neither team their last 5 games is averaging over 68 ppg and both playing good defense in those last 5.  That said Cincy is no joke at home undefeated this season but this is always a tight ballgame and a conference rivalry, I will take the points , especially double digits in what should be a game where neither team exceeds much more than 70 points if that.

Play 1 Unit on Memphis 

Play 1 Unit on Memphis 

#540 - Georgia Tech -3   *8 EST 

The only thing performing worse than yours truly in CBB in NC State who has a lame duck head coach who is already fired and the Wolfpack are on a huge slide and allow 87 ppg on the road while scoring just 66.  GT is tough at home at 14-3 SU this season while NC State is just 1-7 on the road and I do not see them winning here.

Play 1 Unit on Georgia Tech  

Virginia -7

Dropped 2 full points and I waited for it, after the Cavs dismal effort Saturday I like them to bounce back at home.  Miami still without one of their stars and I will gladly lay it here as oddsmakers begging you to take the Canes with Virginia's last showing simply pathetic against North Carolina

Play 1 Unit on Virginia 

Georgetown +6.5 to 7

The Hoyas have had a full week to prepare for this one and beat Creighton by 20 at home last month.  The Blue Jays are just 3-3 SU their last 6 and just lost to Seton Hall on Wednesday.  Georgetown has a knack for being pesky beating teams like Syracuse, Oregon and Butler on the road this year.  Jays struggling a little in recent weeks and I like the points in this one. Creighton has never fully recovered from losing Watson in my opinion. 

Play 1 Unit on Georgetown 

#657 - USC +9.5 to 10  *10 EST

I prefer to take the points with a fairly hot team in the Trojans who KNOW they can hang with UCLA in this heated rivalry and USC already owns a win over UCLA by 8 earlier this season.  4 straight wins for USC who then dropped one to a very good a highly ranked Oregon team, but in a rivalry game here and cross the street foe so to speak, I will gladly take big points in what should be a very good game.  I expect a tight one and USC to cover here.  UCLA is a terrible ATS team in the PAC 12 and always carry's premium numbers.  

Play 1 Unit on USC 

#572 - Purdue -9.5  *4 EST 

Purdue just too big for Michigan State here and should handle this one with ease.  Purdue pounded the Spartans in East Lansing already this year and will win by double digits at home.  Purdue the real deal, and Coach Izzo just does not have the horses this year. 

Play 1 Unit on Purdue

#551 - UT Arlington -2  *2:15 EST 

Small Conference gem here but Georgia State is a public darling in this conference and again my Vegas Source says huge sharp money came in on UT Arlington here and they are the most talented team in the Sun Belt and have their big man back who was out for a tough skid for them, but they will win this one on the road against a huge public side.

Play 1 Unit on UT Arlington 

#539 - Mississippi St +10.5   *2 EST

Florida has a huge game on deck with So. Carolina in 3 days and this is a tough road spot.  Miss. St well coached and will give the Gators all they want in this one. My source in Vegas said 2 syndicates hit this game hard for big money out there, and I agree.  Scheduling spot for Florida is not good - back to back roadies and Miss St has hung tough in all 3 losses their last 3, and Florida lost big man Egbunu for the season this week.  Aggie's have not beat Florida since 2011 and will play hard and cover.

Play 1 Unit on Miss. State 

#703 - Celtics +1  *8 EST 

Wrong team favored - The Bulls last 5 Games – They have scored 99 ppg and allowed 111 ppg on defense.  Not the winning recipe against Boston who has won 4 straight, they are 11-1 their last 12 and Thomas has been on fore.  I am taking the hot team here to close out the 1st of the of the season before the All Star break with a win.  Better coach for Boston as well.

Play 1 Unit on Boston 

#571 - Illinois State -4   *9 EST

Yeah another road team but Mo State plays no defense ISU in their last 5 games have held opponents to under 60 points and own a win already here in this series, and Mo State just managed 52 points in a home loss to Northern Iowa, a bottom feeder in this conference.  ISU is 8-1 ATS their last 9 road games.  Mo State is 1-5 SU their last 6 games.  Illinois State Needs this win to stay within striking distance of Wichita State.

Play 1 Unit on Illinois State

#559 - Creighton -1.5  *8 EST

Like the Jays against Seton Hall tonight. After losing one of their studs 3 weeks ago Creighton has stayed steady and continue to impress.  Big matchup down low with Blue Jays Patton and the Pirate’s Delgado but Creighton has the guards and that is the difference.  Creighton 10-1 away from Omaha beating teams 12 ppg on the road average.  WOW. 

Play 1 Unit on Creighton 

#533 - Wichita State -13   *7 EST

The Shockers keep laying numbers and cover huge, they simply are the best team in the Mo Valley and beat up weak sisters.  They beat this team 87-45 two weeks ago and Wichita St. is a road dream in betting, they have covered 41 out of their last 59 road games.  Total mismatch.

Play 1 Unit on Wichita State

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#716- Pitt -4    *7 EST

VT off a huge upset win and short rest and Chris Clark is out for VT with his 12 ppg and  baords.  VERY tough spot for VT and Pitt laying much better basketball right now and I like them here at home against a tired team with a key player out who are playing on the road.

Play 1 Unit on Pitt

BONUS PLAY - Ohio U +2.5  (also at 7 EST) Half Unit 

#859 - Washington State - 8:30 EST

Colorado has won 4 out of their last 10 games and while 4 of those wins have come in their last 5 games this is a huge number for them to lay, Washington St owns a win over the Buffs already and this is too many points.

Play 1 Unit on Washington St 

#583 - Texas +12  *4 EST 

Yes Texas is 0-7 SU on true road games this year and while they may not win this one, they did beat Okie St back on 1/4 82-79 and now catching 12?  Neither team can close out a game and Texas plays everyone tight, this is simply too many points, and Texas plays a better brand of defense.  Texas just upend Iowa State this week and still getting no respect from oddsmakers here, I will gladly take the double digits.  Texas 8-3 ATS their last 11 in Big 12 Play! 

Play 1 Unit on Texas 

#563 - Central Michigan -3.5  *3:30 EST

Love the Chippewa's here on the road.  the road team in this series is 11-5 ATS and CMU has covered and won the last 2 here on the road and in their last game won by 9 and covered at home and scored 101 points in that game.  The offense of the Chippewas is no joke, scoring 92 ppg their last 5 games as compared to Miami (OH) who has scored 69 ppg.  Yes the Chips play little defense, but they simply outscore you and win.  Short number here for a hot team who is 5-2 ATS their last 7, while Miami OH is 1-9 SU their last 10. 

Play 2 Units on Central Michigan 

#861 - Indiana +5   *8 EST

Both teams surging but I like the play of the Pacers right now who won both trips in here last year.  Washington off back to back OT games.  One of those OT games was Brooklyn after a tough loss to the Cavs, and both teams were on nice runs and both recently lost to the Cavs.  A ton of good guards in this game, should be high scoring (total over looks tasty but passing) however Indiana can score with anyone and despite the Cavs big score against them they held their previous 4 opponent’s to 96 points or less which pushes me their way.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana 

#713 - Purdue -1.5  *7 EST

With or without Blackmon I do not see Indiana hanging here with mighty Purdue.  Short and Sweet, better team, even on the road laying less than a 2 pointer is a take here.

Play 1 Unit on Purdue

BONUS PLAY – Missouri State +18.5 (playing Wichita St)  * 9 EST

#547 / 548 - Loyola Chicago / Evansville OVER 133  *8 EST

Evansville shot 50% from the floor, 87% from the free throw line and still lost to Loyola by 6 about 2 weeks ago.  Loyola is a tough out for anyone right now and they are 8-2 ATS their last 10 games, and I have cashed them in 2 of those.  The Purple Aces lose games late, and while Loyola looks like a take this is a tough spot for them but I would slightly lean their way on the short number, BUT the Total in this game is too low.  133 is the number, and Loyola has went OVER in all 9 games this season on the road and Evansville is 8-2 on the OVER at home.  Both teams hitting above 45% from the floor in their last 5 games and Loyola shooting 40% from 3 point land and both teams good at the charity strip

1 Unit on the Over 

#537 - NC State +13.5  *7 EST

Yep bucking the red hot Florida State team while NC State is falling on hard luck, but this is a MUSt win for NC State and while I do not think they win, they need this one and they will play tough and a look ahead spot for FSU as well with Notre Dame on deck.  NC State scores 81 ppg and while their average is lower on the road, I still like their chances at a cover here. 

Play 1 Unit on NC State

#527 - Ol Miss +5   *6:30 EST

Look Tennessee should not be laying anywhere near this number and Ol Miss if a GREAT road team, 7-1 ATS their last 8, and already beat Tenn. By 11 3 weeks ago.  Yeah I know Tennessee beat Kentucky in here, and beat Kansas State in here, but Ol Miss is 26-10-3 ATS their last 39 road games.

Play 1 Unit on Ol Miss

#740 - Northwestern -5.5 to 6 MAX    *8 EST

Short and Sweet, NW off a blowout loss without Lindsey on Saturday (flu) and clearly have the better team. He is back and they should run away with this one at home.  Illinois struggles on offense continue and the Wildcats at home is a foul mood after a humiliating defeat should roll it up on Illinois who have scored 43 and 59 in their last 2 games!  WOW. 

Play 1 Unit on Northwestern

#5660 - Creighton -3.5   *3 EST 

I like the Bluer Jays at home, as they have their feet under them after losing Watson for the season and off a big win this week.  They are very tough to beat at home in Omaha and Xavier only 2-5 on the road and struggled in their last 2 games with wins but St Johns and Seton Hall gave them all they wanted.  Creighton beat Xavier on the road by 5 already.

Play 1 Unit on Creighton

BONUS PLAYS HALF UNIT EACH - Indiana Pacers -4 and Washington State +7 

#729 - Memphis -13  *7 EST 

I have faded South Florida twice this season and cashed both.  Inb their last game Memphis shot 30% from the floor and still won by 7.  South Florida plays no defense and has little offense either, and they are off a 41 point beatdown against Cincy.  Memphis is clearly the better team here.

Play 1 Unit on Memphis 

Georgia Tech +9.5 to 10

Perplexed is a great word when I look at this line.  I took GT at home against Clemson about 2 weeks ago as a big dog and they won outright and now they are even a bigger underdog?  Why.  In their last 5 games on stats, and that is how you cap hoops, looking at recent trends and stats and not season long stats as much, GT is flat out better.  they match Clemson in points on offense and are 14 ppg better on defense, and will out rebound the Tigers and get easy buckets because Clemson is the smaller team by far.  All indications point towards a line of maybe -3 for home court, no way double digits.  Big overlay here I am taking the points gents.

Play 2 Units on Georgia Tech 

#719 - Central Michigan +7   * 7 EST

Again we have a team who can flat out score (86 ppg) on the road against a team with a losing record laying a big number in conference action.  CMU has plenty of firepower on offense despite Buffalo’s 66 ppg allowed at home to hang within this number.  CMU playing with double revenge as Buffalo swept them last year and Buffalo 2-4 SU their last 6 and CMU off back to back wins.

Play 1 Unit on Central Michigan

BONUS HALF UNIT PLAY:  #733 – Maryland +2.5  *7est 

#525 - Okie State -1.5  *9 EST

OU was buried against Florida this weekend and failed to reach 55 points on offense and they face the #1 offense in the Big 12 in Okie State who quite frankly simply has a better team, better players, and vastly more offense.  Lon Kruger is rebuilding this season and while neither of these teams is going to contend for a Big 12 title, Okie State is 5-8 points better here.  Okie State playing with 7-time revenge and have not beaten OU since Feb. of 2013.  Think they want this one?   The Cowboys lead the Big 12 in 3 pointers made, OU is second to last!   I will take the more consistent scoring team who no doubt is highly motivated

Play 1 Unit on Okie State 

#863 - Illinois State -7 to 7.5 max    *4 EST 

The Purple Aces are having issues scoring, 58 ppg their last 5, and they are playing the top team in the conference here.  Illinois St is ALLOWING just 57 ppg their last 5!  Need I say more.  Evansville has dropped 7 straight games - and ISU is a 60% ATS cover team on the road this season so far.

Play 1 Unit on Illinois State 

Under 211 Knicks and Hawks - *3:30 Est

Amazingly the Over cashed in every single NBA game on Saturday, WOW.  Atlanta is 8-2 on Unders the last 10 games, and play good defense at home and the Knicks offense is iffy at best and Rose is out for this game as well.  I do not see this going much over 200.  My power rating is 204.5, that is a huge overlay against the spread here.  In the Knicks last 26 games, only 7 have went Over the total.

Play 1 Unit on the Under 

#604 - Kentucky -7   *6:15 EST 

Kansas beat up and depleted in depth with recent suspensions and if they got waxed on the road at West Virginia what is Kentucky going to do to them.  Not sold on Kansas being ranked this high, they exposed by a good team again.  Kentucky has won their last 4 home games by 98 points, that is 24 ppg spread per game.  While Kansas looked like a public take here, I will lay it and go against the grain.  Kentucky has better athletes and are deeper and if Kansas gets in foul trouble Kentucky can pull away. 

Play 1 Unit on Kentucky  

#555 - Loyola Chicago -1.5  *2 EST 

Too much offense for Indiana State to contend with even at home, and ISU plays little defense.  Short number on the road where Loyola Chicago has struggled but this is a very beatable opponent.

1 Unit on Loyola Chicago

#539 - St. Bonaventure +6.5  *2 EST

Not sold on Rhode Island laying this number.  St. Bonny's has been a rock solid road team all season at 7-2 ATS and they are 9-1 ATS in this series, and have the better offense and Rhode Island stinks at the free throw line as well, just 58% in their last 5 games.,  This will be a close one. 

Play 1 Unit on St. Bonaventure

#883 - Wisconsin GREEN BAY +7.5  *9 EST

No idea why Oakland is laying his many as their home court is not overwhelming, as both these teams are explosive on offense and GB in their last 5 games is averaging 77 ppg, and Oakland just 71 a game in the same timeframe and are shooting just 21% from 3-point range.  GB playing with double revenge after getting swept last year, allowing Oakland 111 points in both games. Oakland in a recent game lost to Wright State by 21 points and Green Bay beat that same by 17.  High scoring, GB hangs around, grab the points.

Play 1 Unit on Green Bay  

LA Lakers +13

While the Jazz have been on a hot run, they have played a brutal and busy schedule and even though LA played and covered in Portland last night, I am not laying 13 points with a team whose offense does not even average 100 ppg.  

Play 1 Unit on the Lakers to cover the number. 

#513 - Golden State -10  *8 EST 

Curry back in home state, off a loss, Golden State clearly the better team and although the last game of a road trip, I have the feeling, based on numerous things that Charlotte gets crushed here and they play better defense than they did against Miami, which has been publicly stated.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

#552 - Illinois State -13   *8 EST

The Top Team in the conference will smoke Indiana State tonight.  We are catching them at home as well here which is a bonus, hell I would lay this on the road if I had to.  Illinois State is the Top team in the conference at 8-0, they are the best defensive team in the conference and second on offense.  They already beat this team on the road by 19 and are playing better now!  In their last 5 games Illinois State is allowing just 56 ppg, that is 22 ppg better than Indiana State. Bear in mind Illinois State beat Wichita St in here by double digits.

Play 2 Units on Illinois State

#713 - Auburn +9.5   *6:30 EST 

Not sold on South Carolina laying this number as Auburn and Bruce Pearl are scoring some points right in, as I tend to look at recent 5 games trend this time of the season, and while the Tiger defense is not all that good, they are scoring damn near 80 ppg their last 5 games and South Carolina’s shooting average is 37% from the floor in their last 5 games, and Auburn does hit the defensive glass better than the Gamecocks who are off a 16 point beat down against Kentucky in their last game.   I think this is lower scoring tonight and will bring the big points into play. Also PJ Dozier is very unlikely to play tonight for SC, and he averages 14 ppg!   

Play 1 Unit on Auburn

BONUS HALF UNIT PLAY:   Kansas +3.5  

#519 - NC State +16   *7 EST

This road trip is a 20 minute bus ride across town in Raleigh and I expect NC State to give 100%, and while it might not be enough, this is a huge number for Duke, who is featured a lot on Mondays and are 5-15 ATS their last 20 Monday games.  Add in the fact Duke carries a premium number always, they have managed just 2 covers in their last 8 games and Grayson Allen is not 100% for this one.  NC State is well coached and will bring all they have here, and bear in mind NC State has not lost by more than 10 points to Duke since March of 2015.  Duke the better team, but in a rival game and not playing all that well, I will grab the big points and the Wolfpack here.

Play 1 Unit on NC State 

Virginia Tech +6

Say what?  Clemson has lost 6 straight, and yes 4 of those losses are to ranked teams, however this is too many points.  I have these two teams even, and although the Hokies have not played all that well lately, I like them here as Clemson is off a 32 point beat down against Louisville and no doubt the Tigers confidence is shaken and they have no business laying this type of number.   The Key in this game is rebounds as Tech has some good big guys that hit the boards and Clemson is a very undersized teams.  That means cheap buckets inside favor VT here.  

Play 1 Unit on Virginia Tech  

#663 - Southern Illinois -3  *8 EST 

Tricked out line?  Well I am buying it, as Northern Iowa is not a good team this season after massive losses to graduation.  UNI is 3-13 ATS dating back to last season, and they have managed to score 57 ppg on the road this season playing a team with a winning record, who is 6-2 ATS their last 8 as a favorite and scores 75 ppg at home. NIU has won their last 2 games at home in a row, however they are a different animal on the road and they are catching a ticked off SIU team off an brutal OT loss at Drake, where they played badly.  Good setup for a better team who is better than the spread here.

Play 1 Unit on Southern Illinois 

#239 - Tulsa -6  *1 EST 

Cheap number for the Golden Hurricanes against free falling South Florida, even on the road as South Florida has lost their last 6 games by a total 14 ppg, all double digit losses except one. Too much offense from Tulsa here.

Play 1 Unit on Tulsa

BONUS HALF UNIT PLAY - #563 - Illinois +8  *2:15 EST 

Under 238 - Golden State  - Houston

This line is flat out inflated and there is a reason GS scores a ton at home, they shoot well in their house no doubt, but they are 1-10 ATS on Overs their last 11 on the road.  Harden - Curry - Durant are garnering a lot of respect in this one and the huge score in the last meeting was an OT game.  

Play 1 Unit on the Under 

Richmond +12

What the hell is Dayton laying 12 for in this game, always a battle between these 2 teams and Richmond is 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 in the series.  The Spiders are scoring 77 ppg their last 5, 7 points better than Davidson and the defenses are damn near even, and even the season long stats are damn near even, and Dayton has a guard out in this one averaging 9 ppg.  Too many points.  Richmond 5-1-1 ATS on the road this year and in their last 5 games are averaging 51% from the floor. 

2 Units on Richmond! 

#561 - Kansas State +3  *9 EST

K State played 2 brutal back to back games including Baylor and they are a great offensively, while Oklahoma State could not stop grandma with a shopping cart at Costco on defense.  Okie State has dropped 5 straight and K State gets a team they can beat here, should have a big night scoring, take the points.  OSU has gave up 84 ppg their last 5 and K State should have beat Kansas and Baylor.  K State better than their record indicates.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas State – Go Cats! 

#579 / 580 - South Dakota / Oral Roberts OVER 150.5  *8 EST

Oral Roberts is giving up 88 ppg at home, and scoring around 80 at home, South Dakota is a hot team for sharps in Vegas.  South Dakota a better team and 14-3-1 ATS this season and this is a very tricked out line.  Oral Roberts and SD have went over the total in every single game since 2011 and OR plays no defense what so ever and their last 6 games have went over the total as well. 

Play 1 Unit on the OVER

#521 /522 - Missouri St / Indiana State OVER 140.5   *7 EST

These two are Over machines and their last 2 meetings were both OT games and both over the total in regulation.  MSU is 5-1 on Overs on the road and 11-5 on Overs overall. Indiana State is 5-1 on Overs at home and 12-4 on Overs with one push on the year.  Should be another shootout with Mo State gunning the 3-ball and they have hit 42% their last 5 games from the 3-point line.  Both teams also good free throw teams.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

#747 - Wichita State -11 to 11.5   *9 EST 

Seriously, WSU off their first conference loss and steaming mad about it, and Evansville in free fall, losing 4 straight and lost by 11 and 12 points to far lesser teams at home their last 2.  The Shockers offense is head and shoulders above the Aces, look for a 20 point win here.

Play 1 Unit on Wichita State

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#545 -546 - Over 154 to 155 - Kansas / Iowa State   *9 EST

Always a shootout in this matchup -and both teams off weary draining games Saturday which makes a defense tired -  and the Total has flown over 10 out of the last 14 times these two met, and the Cyclones can flat out knock down shots at home.  Kansas has scored below 81 points JUST ONCE Since December 3rd gents and this one here is run and gun, typical Big 12 ISU / KU shootout.  Kansas Over the Total in 7 out of their last 10 games.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 154 

Cleveland +8

You going to give me this many with the best team in the NBA, or at least one of the best, the second best or best team is who they are playing.  Good number here as Cleveland was stinking it up last week, but they got back on track on offense scoring 120 against the Kings and LeBron and company get complacent in certain scenario's, they will not here tonight and it should be a good game, as they have had the Warriors number.....no secret there.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland  

#647 - Wichita State -2.5   *8 EST 

The offense of of the Shockers here is the difference, averaging 82 ppg.  The Shockers on road games are 3-0 SU this season and although they are a horrible Saturday ATS team, just 1-7 ATS their last 8 Saturday games, they are not as usual carrying a huge number in this one.  The Redbirds are no doubt the second best team in the Mo Valley and spread it around well, but WSU is shooting 50% from the floor, 40% from 3 point range and scoring 87 ppg their last 5 games!  

Play 1 Unit on Wichita State -   Might be worth A LOOK  for a half unit on the OVER 139.  

Virginia -2.5  *noon EST

Clemson off a 22 point spread loss against GT (I had GT) the other night and I am all over the Cavs here.  Clemson offense way too sparatic.

Play 1 Unit on Clemson

BONUS HALF UNIT PLAY - #557 - Nebraska +9  *2 EST

Huskers sneaky good and although missing a key player here, Michigan is laying too many here, grab the points.

Play 1/2 Unit on Nebraska

#717 / 718 - OVER 211 Cleveland / Sacramento  *10:30 EST 

We are catching a pissed off Cavs team coming off back to back losses here and sputtering on offense in those 2 losses (86 and 92 points), despite averaging 101 ppg in their last 5.  Also this is the Cavs 5th road game in a row since the 6th of this Month so I expect their defense to be weary here and allow the Kings, who are off a big win against Detroit, to score 100+ and for Cousins to continue his stellar play.  Look for King James and company to put it up tonight on the scoreboard as they will be dialed in to improve their offense against a team giving up  107 ppg their last 5.  Also the Cavs put up a 120 in each of the last 2 times they played the Kings.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

#516 - Georgia Tech +9.5  *7 EST

I will take home points here with a team who has beaten North Carolina this year, and Clemson has dropped 2 straight against ranked opponents, but the defenses are even and while Clemson scores more on offense, no road win comes easy and GT i8s capable of winning a game like this, I will gladly take the points.

Play 1 Unit on Georgia Tech 

#760 - Creighton -5.5   *9 EST 

Blue Jays at home, they lead the nation in FG% and that also includes 3’s, at nearly 43% and their lone loss was to top ranked Nova on this Floor.  I took Creighton laying a small number Saturday and they were a no sweat winner, they simply have too much offense for Butler here on their home floor.  Amazing their 7-footer Patton can also hit threes and also keep defenses honest by going low post and it opens up their perimeter game – very hard to defend.  Butler is slow and methodical, but look for Creighton to dictate to their fast pace and for their backcourt to shine.

Play 1 Unit on Creighton

#529 - Ohio U -1   *7 EST

Popular with the sharps in Vegas, Ohio takes on Buffalo, and the Bulls defense is going to give the Ohio offense plenty of chances to cover this number, which is currently less than a bucket.  Buffalo giving up 76 ppg their last 5 games, they have lost 6 out of their last 10 and in the last 5 games the Bobcats are shooting 48% from the floor.

Play 1 Unit on Ohio U 

#707- St Johns +6.5 to 7  *6:30 EST 

Georgetown in free fall and laying this number makes no sense to me.  While I usually see a line and stay away from it because it stinks to high heaven, the Red Storm have been playing some good ball, and the yearlong stats on off / def between these 2 is damn near even.  GT has dropped 4 straight and this is always a rivalry type game between 2 storied Big East teams, and St Johns has the better offense and are scoring 84 ppg on the road.

Play 1 Unit on St Johns

#531 - Wichita St -10  *4 EST 

Laying 10 on the road is always tricky in CBB, no doubt, but it is warranted here as Northern Iowa is way down this year, and they have covered just 1 spread out of their last 11 games and their offense is averaging just 55 ppg thier last 5 while the Shockers are averaging 87 ppg and scored 90 against Drake and 100 against Bradley in their last 2 games,  NIU cannot trade punches on the scoreboard and these two teams are a mis match in favor of the visiting Shockers today who are red hot. 

Play 1 Unit on Wichita State

#753 - Creighton -4    *2 EST 

5 Time revenge for the Blue jays as Providence has won 5 straight against a Creighton team who will be dialed  here.  Providence has a good defense but Creighton's #10 ranked NCAA offense will test them and beat them in my opinion.  Too much offense for the Fryars and Creighton's MvcDermott will have his kids coached up for this one. 

Play 1 Unit on Creighton

BONUS LATE STEAM :  HALF UNIT -   #851 - Loyola Chicago -2.5 to 3  (playing at Bradley at  8 EST) 

Loyola Marymount -3

Pepperdine has lost 9 straight games and have not seen their home floor in quite some time, but it will not matter tonight against Marymount who is an average to slightly above average team at best this year but they are playing a team who has allowed 84 ppg their last 10 games and are a funnel to the basket on defense and LMU should put up a ton of points here and cover the number with ease.

Play 1 Unit on Loyola Marymount  

Bucks -2.5

Numerous Players, Sharp Player sin Vegas took the Bucks against the Knicks tyonight - I am jumping on board as one sharp bettor in Vegas did a max bet at a book and I know about it.  That said, the Knicks have dropped 5 straight and as usual are a mess, and have lost 8 out of 10 and their defense is deplorable.  Bucks have the better defense and better wing players as well.

Play 1 Unit on Milwaukee

#538 - Loyola Chicago -2   *7 EST 

Northern Iowa was the once the class of this conference but have lost a ton to graduation and rank 235th in offense ranking at Ken Pom and on the road the Panthers numbers are horrific this year.  They are scoring 53 PPG and Allowing 75 PPG!  Wow.  Loyola of Chicago is 10-5 SU, scoring 69 ppg at home and they are 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS on their home floor.  Looks too good to be true at a cheap number but I am drinking the kool aid on this one, and I will take the 4th ranked offense in the Mo Valley at home against a team who cannot score on the road and plays bad defense. NIU has dumped 4 in a row and after Loyola laid an egg in their last game at Illinois State and got blown out badly on their home floor, I expect them to bounce back tonight and bear in mind Illinois State is the 2nd best team in this conference behind Wichita State in my opinion.  

Play 1 Unit on Loyola of Chicago  

Ol Miss +14.5

This line is perplexing, but not sold on the Gators laying this big of number against a team who scores more than them, are better rebounders,  has a better free throw % than them and in their last 5 games has an equal defense in points allowed.  My power rating says 7 points difference even on the road, and we are getting 14.5.

Play 2 Units on Ol Miss  

#530 - Old Dominion -5.5   *7 EST

William Mary is the lesser team here, they are a bad road team (0-5 this year), and the favorite in this matchup is 10-2 ATS the last 12, and ODU dating back to last season has covered 8 out of their last 10 at home.  In 10 lined games this year ODU is 6-4 ATS and their defense is 23 ppg better in allowed points.  WOW.  William and Mary can score where ODU is a slow paced and based in fundamentals, but the better defense at home is the take here.

Play 1 Unit on ODU  

Golden State -3 to 3.5

The Warriors are playing with some real revenge here guys, NBA Finals loss, where they dropped 3 straight to Cleveland to lose.  I also am not sold on the Cavs even at home here, they needed OT to beat both Milwaukee and Brooklyn of all people in their last game.  The defense of Golden State in their last 5 games is 10 ppg better than Cleveland and the Warriors have not lost a game in 24 days!   I think the Warriors exact some revenge here and it will be interesting to see the dynamic that Durant brings to the table in this match up that GS did not have last year.  

Play 1 Unit on Golden State 

#719 - Kentucky (PK)   *7 EST 

Look, Louisville has a great defense and have 2 key wins over Wichita St and Purdue, but have not faced a powerhouse team like Kentucky.  In my opinion this is the best team talent-wise, even though young, that coach Cal has had.  You can throw the 59 ppg on defense allowed by the Cards out the window, as Kentucky can hit you about anywhere on offense and after a shootout with North Carolina over the weekend, I can assure you Coach Cal has stressed some defense in practice and will use the wide open approach on offense.  The two leading scorers for Louisville average just 11 ppg, and I do not see how they trade punches on the scoreboard against KU even though their defense will slow them some. Kentucky 14-4 ATS their last 18 games dating back to last year.

Play 1 Unit on Kentucky 

#747 - SIU Edwardsville +14.5

Playing Green Bay on the road.  The Phoenix (Green Bay) is allowing 89 ppg at home, and shoot just 28% from 3-point range and are laying almost 15?  Any team with no defense whose opponent has a better 3 point shooting team than them, and laying this type of number is worth a look at the dog.  SIU has the better defense and a much better turnover ratio.  Green Bay off a bad beat down against big brother Wisconsin over the weekend. 

Play 1 Unit on SIU Edwardsville 

Davidson +15.5 to 16

Kansas playing in KC, the weather is deplorable here, as I live here and am going to this game.  Davidson is a good team and KU does not have Fog Allen on their side.  Look for an easy cover here, too many for KU to lay.  Sharp bettors all over Davidson tonight in Vegas, the line is dropping, bet it right away.

Play 1 Unit on Davidson 

Charlotte +7

Almost the same exact stats and we all know the Hornets can score lights out.  More PPG, better on defense, turnovers, rebounds and a deeper bench.

Play 1 Unit on Charlotte 

#715 - Georgia Southern -1.5  * 7 EST

Florida International has won 3 games this year and honestly 2 of those wins are against schools I have never heard of and I have been capping games for 25 years!  GS is a good team with all 5 starters returning from last year, they gave NC State all they wanted in a surprising and impressive 2 point loss and they are a better than average spread team at 15-5 ATS their last 20.  They have a superior backcourt production advantage here.  Less than a layup - I will take em as numerous sharps hit this in Vegas today and the line will climb, get on it.  

Play 1 Unit on Georgia Southern  

#536 - Nevada -10.5  **10 EST 

Off a huge win against Washington, and a strong home floor for the Wolfpack, 14-3-1 ATS their last 18 home games, I am all over them tonight as they should shut down UC Irving as they managed just 53 points against St Mary’s in a 31 point ass kicking 2 days ago and now travel to Reno to play Nevada

Play 1 Unit on Nevada 

#713 - Temple +15.5 to +16   *7 EST 

Going take the points here against Nova.  Yeah they are #1 and own their cross town rivals no doubt.  Temple has some solid wins against West Virginia, and Florida State and are scoring 75 ppg, and although the Nova defense is good, Temple has plenty of shooters and will keep this within the number.

Play 1 Unit on Temple – BONUS Half Unit on Santa Clara late -5.5 to 6      

#552 - Butler -3 to 3.5

Play 1 Unit on Butler over Cincy this afternoon, tip is at 3:30 CST.  With short timeframes, this season on Saturdays,  I am not writing long game descriptions guys as I have to breakdown all these games, and then get them posted in a reasonable time frame.  Rest assured they are researched and capped, and also my Las Vegas source is an odds maker who I work with out there and the info I get is top shelf and we are getting on games the whales are on.   

Play 1 Unit on Butler

BONUS PLAY - #583 - Colorado +4.5 to 5 for half unit - Game at 9 CST.  

#517 - Over 133 Vandy / Middle Tennessee

Both teams average over 70 ppg, Vandy is 10th in the NCAA in 3 point scoring and this one should be a shootout all the way.  My overlay on the total in power ratings is 9 points, well worth the stretch here.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

#745 - Creighton -4   *9 EST 

Coach McDermott may have his best team at Creighton ever, and Tim Miles continues to struggle at Nebraska in big games and as a head coach at NU has never beaten his I-80 rival, Creighton who is just a 45 minute bus ride away in this one, ranked 10th currently and Huskers have no answer for Patton in the middle.  Looks like a set up line and ect, but Nebraska cannot get over on Creighton.  Watson and Foster in the backcourt for Creighton one of the Top 3 backcourts in the nation.  NU home floor is tough,  here but Blue Jays will have plenty of fans there as well.

Play 1 unit on Creighton

#540 - Evansville -6   *8 PM EST 

Opened at 4 but this should be a double digits.  Bowling Green is 0-3 on the road and the Purple Aces of Evansville again have a better than average Mo Valley team and I like their chances here tonight. Evansville’s defense will keep BG in check for sure, their depth and offense should dominate the game.  Evansville 4-0 SU  home.

Play 1 Unit on Evansville  

#549 - South Alabama -4 to 4.5  *8 EST

Sharps in Vegas pounded So. Alabama from 4 to 4.5 already in some spots. It opened at 5.5 and dropped like a rock and now the line is creeping back up.   South Alabama is playing with 6 time revenge, and have no beat Southern Miss since 2008 believe it or not.  So. Miss cannot shoot from the outside, 18% from 3 point range, just UNREAL.  Ken Williams from So. Alabama is a great player.  

Play 1 Unit on South Alabama 

Syracuse +6.5

I am Short on write-ups this season guys, time is crucial,  rest assured all my CBB is well handicapped and power rated, plus I post after noon CST as I also contact my 2 inside sources in Vegas who know where the sharp players are betting, and trust me these are INSIDE sources behind the counter.  That said I like Cuse and their front-court here and off an ugly game getting added value, and Wisconsin is hit and miss nightly from the floor.  Too many points here.

Play 1 Unit on Syracuse

BONUS PLAY:  Play 1/2 Unit on Pacific tonight +8.5, Nevada's best player is out.  Sharp move in Vegas. 

#523 - Butler -2.5 to 3  *9 EST 

Utah has played no one to date, their strength of schedule and RPI rating is a joke and Butler is battle tested, and just off beating Arizona in a Tourney and Butler is 6-0 and playing a team who is 4-10 ATS their last 14 games as a dog.  Huge step up in class of Utah, I will take Butler with a strong front court 1-2 punch here.  Not sold on Utah's 59 ppg on defense, again they played no one really to date at all.

Play 1 Unit on Butler  

OK City -3

No Russell for LA tonight with a bum knee.  I like Westbrook and company to come in here and outscore the Lakers, who have given up 113 ppg their last 5 games, and while they have been scoring a big piece of that is out tonight.

Play 1 Unit on OK City 

#515 - Raptors -3 to 3.5   *9:05 EST

Short and Sweet, while neither play defense Toronto heads and shoulders above the Nuggets whose only win in the last week and half was against lowly Phoenix.  Raptors dropped 2 against Cavs and Warriors in back to backs, they get back on track here.  Nuggests getting pounded by good teams.

Play 1 Unit on Toronto