5* NO BRAINER on Air Force -6½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Boise State -15½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on South Carolina/LSU under 58½ -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Kentucky/Missouri under 49½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Penn State/Indiana over 57 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Tulane/Central Florida under 73½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Nebraska/Ohio State over 65½ -103

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Kansas/Kansas State under 51 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Illinois/Wisconsin over 50½ -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Arkansas State/Appalachian State under 66 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Georgia/Alabama under 59½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Boston College/Virginia Tech over 59½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Marshall/Louisiana Tech under 52½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on North Texas/Middle Tennessee State over 69 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Army/UTSA under 50½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Kentucky/Tennessee under 48 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on South Florida/Temple over 50 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Clemson/Georgia Tech over 60 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on SMU/Tulane under 68 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Georgia State/Arkansas State over 71½ -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Georgia State +4½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina +7 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Charlotte -2½ -118

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Miami-FL/Clemson over 61 -119

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Pittsburgh/Boston College under 43½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on UTSA/BYU over 60½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Liberty -18½ -113

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Florida/Texas A&M under 59 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Florida -6½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Virginia Tech/North Carolina over 58 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Louisville -4½ -112

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Houston -4½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Auburn +7 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Iowa State +7½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* Academy Game of the Year on Navy +

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Middle Tennessee State +7 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Texas A&M +17½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on North Carolina -10½ -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Memphis -1½ -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Missouri +11 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on BYU -24 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State -2½ -119

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* MAJOR on Kentucky +8 -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Wake Forest +3 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Appalachian State -3½ -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* BEST BET on Oklahoma State -22 -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Coastal Carolina -28½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* BEST BET on Western Kentucky/Louisville under 58 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Clemson -32½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on UL-Lafayette +11½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* BEST BET on Miami-FL -14 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* BEST BET on Stephen F Austin +7½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on SMU/Texas State over 66 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on South Alabama +15 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* NCAAF - Clemson/LSU ATS Vegas INSIDER on Clemson +6½ -110

I like the value with Clemson as a dog in the title matchup with LSU. I just think Clemson is a very scary team when they are a dog and I definitely think LSU's blowout win over Oklahoma has inflated this number to the point where you got to take a shot with Clemson. 

I just think people are failing to realize how big a game there was between Oklahoma and the other 3 teams. I don't doubt for a second that Ohio State and Clemson would have destroyed the Sooners had they played them. LSU's offense is great, but people were hyping Ohio State's offense just as much and Clemson held them to 23 and didn't even play their best. 

When Clemson has had 2 or more weeks to prepare for a game over the last 3 seasons, they are giving up a mere 12.0 ppg in these matchups. While I think LSU will definitely surpass that, I don't see them eclipsing 30+ points in this game. 

Clemson is 7-0 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record, 7-0 ATS last 7 vs a team that averages 31 or more points/game and 10-1 ATS last 11 games vs a team that averages 450 or more total yards/game. Take Clemson! 

5* NCAAF - National Championship NO LIMIT Top Play on Clemson/LSU under 68½ -110

I love the value here with the UNDER in the title game between Clemson and LSU. After watching LSU score at will against Oklahoma in the semifinal matchup, I think the perception here is that there's just no stopping Joe Burrow and that offensive attack. 

I'm not about to say Clemson is going to shutdown LSU's offense, but they are definitely going to offer a lot more resistance than Oklahoma, who keep in mind was not a great defensive team and missing some key guys on that side of the ball. 

It's no secret that LSU's offense is built around Burrow and the passing game, but that plays right into the strength of the Clemson defense, which was No. 1 in the country against the pass, giving up just 138.5 ypg. 

As for the LSU defense, it's been a lot better of late and they definitely got the talent on that side of the ball to keep Clemson's offense in check. 

I also think the long layoff from the semifinal games to this contest really benefits both defenses and there's simply not enough being made of the two mastermind defensive coordinators in this matchup with LSU's Dave Aranda and Clemson's Brent Venables. 

UNDER is 13-1 in Clemson's last 14 games played in a dome and 7-0 over the last 3 seasons when playing on 2 or more weeks of rest. UNDER is also 20-5 in LSU's last 25 after 3 or more consecutive covers and 16-5 under Orgeron after a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Tulane/S Miss ARMED FORCES BOWL Top Play on Tulane -6½ -110

Easy play here on Tulane in Saturday's early bowl action against Southern Miss in the Armed Forces bow. While the Green Wave ended up finishing the season with a mere 6-6 record, it was more a result of the brutal schedule they had to navigate. Tulane's 6 losses were against Auburn, Memphis, Navy, Temple, UCF and SMU. Four of which won 10 or more games. 

No disrespect to Southern Miss, but I just think they are outclassed here. Despite the tough schedule, Tulane still managed to finish 24th in the country in total offense at 456.8 ypg. They were also a respectable 55th in total defense. 

Golden Eagles are a very pass-happy team, which is evident by the fact that they finished 118th in rushing. Tulane on the other hand is a ball control team that ranked 11th in rushing at 251.4 ypg. I think the Green Wave are going to play keep away, which is going to wear down the Southern Miss defense and keep the Eagles offense out of sync. Take Tulane! 

4* NCAAF - Ohio/Nevada IDAHO POTATO BOWL on Ohio -7½ -107

Easy play here on the Bobcats as a big favorite against the Wolf Pack in Friday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Ohio finished the season with a mere 6-6 record, which might have some wondering why they are laying such a big number with how bad the MAC was. 

Thing is, the Bobcats were really close to a double-digit win season. They had 5 losses decided by 10 or fewer with 4 of those by 3 or less. In terms of talent, this may have been the best team in the MAC this year. 

Either way, they should have no problem winning by double-digits against a Nevada team that is very fortunate to be in a bowl. Wolf Pack went 7-5, but that was largely due to their schedule. Nevada had just one win against a FBS team that finished with a winning record. This is a team that lost by 71 points to Oregon and 51 to Hawaii. They really got no business even playing in a bowl game. Take Ohio! 

3* NCAAF - Tennessee/Indiana GATOR BOWL  on Tennessee -2½ -114

I think we are getting a great price here with the Vols laying less than a field goal against the Hoosiers in the Gator Bowl. Tennessee might be one of the worst in the SEC, but I still think there's no doubt they are the more talented team. 

I also love how the Vols finished the season with 5 straight wins and were 6-1 ATS over their last 7. Indian went 8-4, but really struggled against the better teams in the Big Ten. In fact, the Hoosiers didn't have a single win all season over a FBS team that finished with a winning record. 

Playing on a neutral field hasn't been kind to Indiana, as they are a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 times on a neutral site. Vols are 6-1 ATS last 7 on a neutral site as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games when laying points. They have also covered 4 straight against the Big Ten. Take Tennessee! 

3* NCAAF - Baylor/Georgia SUGAR BOWL on Georgia -7 -110

I know Georgia has a lot of players down on both sides of the football, but I just don't think it's going to be enough to keep them from winning this game. Baylor gets a lot of love for how tough they played Oklahoma, but after watching how overmatched the Sooners were in their semifinal matchup with LSU, there's clearly a massive gap from the top of the SEC to the top of the Big 12. 

I get Georgia wasn't as elite as they have been in previous years, but this is still a really talented football team. They are absolutely loaded with talent, so while some key guys will be out I don't think they will be missed in this one. 

I get this isn't a great spot for Georgia after losing the SEC title game to miss out on the playoffs, but it's the same thing with Baylor. I actually think the Bulldogs will be fine, as they can look back at last year and how poorly they played in their bowl game after losing the SEC title game to Alabama. Simply put, Baylor just isn't good enough to keep this close. Take Georgia! 

3* NCAAF - Wisconsin/Oregon ROSE BOWL  on Wisconsin/Oregon under 52 -110

I'm expecting a defensive showdown in the Rose Bowl between Oregon and Wisconsin. While both teams ranked in the Top 40 in total offense and Top 25 in scoring, they will both be facing two of the nations best defenses. 

Wisconsin was 8th in total defense (295.2 ypg) and 10th in scoring (16.1 ppg). While Oregon ranked a little further back at 24th in total defense (331.1 ypg) they were 9th in scoring defense (15.7 ypg). 

The other big thing here is that Oregon's defense is built to stop a team like the Badgers that is built around their running game. Ducks were 59th against the pass, but ranked 12th against the run, giving up just 107 ypg and 3.2 yards/carry. 

Wisconsin's defense was great against both the run (8th) and the pass (16th). They only gave up 3.4 yards/carry and opposing QB's completed a mere 50.8% of their pass attempts against them. 

It's just going to be really tough for both teams to get a lot going offensively and when they do move the ball I could see both having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Minn/Auburn OUTBACK BOWL Top Play on Minnesota/Auburn under 52½ -110

I really like the UNDER in the Outback bowl, which has No. 12 Auburn facing off with No. 18 Minnesota. While both offenses were decent, the strength of the both of these teams was their defense. Both units ranked in the Top 20 in total defense. Auburn was 19th, giving up just 323.9 ypg and Minnesota was 14th, allowing just 312.8 ypg. 

The other thing here is that both of these teams really like to run the football. Minnesota averaged 43 rush attempts per game compared to just 24 pass attempt and Auburn put it on the ground an average of 44 times compared to 31 through the air. 

All that running combined with the talent on defense is really going to make it tough for this game to eclipse the total. The clock is going to be running constantly and there just isn't going to be a ton of possessions for either side. 

UNDER has cashed in 11 of Auburn's last 14 non-conference games. It's also 24-11-1 in their last 36 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1-1 in their last 6 bowl games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Minnesota's last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF -Alabama/Michigan New Year's BOWL OF THE YEAR on Michigan +7½ -110

I love the Wolverines getting a touchdown and the hook against Alabama in the Citrus Bowl. While both teams ended the year with losses to their biggest rival, the Crimson Tide's was a lot more costly. Alabama's crushing 45-48 loss to Auburn knocked them out of the playoff race and for the first time since the playoff format was introduced they are not one of the 4 teams participating. 

I just think that makes this a really tough spot for Alabama to show up and it's not like we haven't seen this before when the Crimson Tide missed out on the BCS with a late loss and didn't show up in their bowl. On top of a lack of motivation, the Crimson Tide have a number of guys sitting out and are really decimated on the defensive side of the ball. 

Michigan had hopes of making the playoff, but those were put to rest a long time ago and I think they will have no problem here getting up for a shot at Alabama. Michigan's defense won't have to worry about facing Tua, which is a big plus, but more than anything I think a Wolverines offense that got better and better as the season went on will be able to do more than enough to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Michigan! 

4* NCAAF - Kansas St/Navy LIBERTY BOWL on Kansas State/Navy over 52½ -110

I really like the value with the OVER in the Liberty Bowl matchup between Kansas State and Navy, as I think we are going to see both offenses have big days in this one. 

Midshipmen finished the year with the nations No. 1 ranked rushing attack at 363.8 ypg and will be facing a K-State defense that allowed 4.9 yards/carry, which is a bit alarming given how pass happy the Big 12 is. 

As for Navy's defense, they were great against bad teams and awful against good teams. Midshipmen allowed 17 or fewer points in 6 games against Holy Cross, East Carolina, Tulsa, USF, UCONN and Army. In their other 6 games they gave up 36.7 ppg. Wildcats averaged 30.7 ppg and I think they easily top that mark as this flies past the total. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAF - Florida St/Arizona St SUN BOWL  on Florida State +4½ -110

I like the value here with the Seminoles in their Sun Bowl showdown with Arizona State. I just don't get why the Sun Devils are getting so much love in this one. 

Head coach Herm Edwards fired a bunch of his offensive staff and if that wasn't going to be enough to overcome, ASU's two biggest weapons at the skill positions are both sitting out for the draft in running back Eno Benjamin and wide out Brandon Aiyuk. 

As for Florida State, they will be down their top two backs with Cam Akers also skipping to prepare for the draft and backup Khalan Labron out with an injury. However, they got plenty of talent at that position and should be able to throw all over this Sun Devils defense. Seminoles ended the year with the 33rd rank passing offense and will be up against a ASU secondary that ranked 114th against the pass. Give me Florida State +4.5! 

4* NCAAF - Virginia/Florida ORANGE BOWL  on Virginia +14½ -105

This is just too many points to pass up on a play with Virginia. There's no question that Florida is the more talented team, but I just feel like this line is a huge overreaction to the Cavaliers embarrassing 62-17 loss to Clemson. The thing you have to keep in mind is Clemson, Ohio State and LSU were on a whole different level than the rest of the country. 

This is a Florida team that keep in mind only beat Miami by 4 in their season opener and had several close calls throughout the year against teams they had the talent edge against. I just think with all the talk about how the Gators are going to dominate this game, they might have a hard time here giving Virginia the respect they deserve. 

As for the Cavaliers, they have to be itching to get back on the field after that ugly loss to the Tigers and show everyone they are a better team than that score would indicate. I'm not expecting a win by Virginia, but look for this to be a lot closer game than the line would suggest. Take Virginia! 

5* NCAAF - Clemson/Ohio St TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clemson/Ohio State under 64 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's CFP Semifinal matchup between Ohio State and Clemson. There's going to be plenty of talk about the two high-powered offenses and what they were able to do this season, but I just think both are going to have a miserable time moving the ball on these two elite defenses, especially at the rate needed to eclipse a high total like this one. 

Ohio State's defense ranked 3rd in the country giving up just 12.5 ppg and were 2nd in total defense, allowing just 247.9 ypg. Clemson had the best scoring defense in the country, giving up only 10.6 ppg and were also 1st in total defense, allowing 244.7 ppg. Both defense ranked in the Top 10 against the run and the pass. 

UNDER is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 games when they have two or more weeks to prepare and 4-0 in their last 4 semifinal games in the playoffs. UNDER is also 5-1 in the Buckeyes last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/LSU Playoffs PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma +14 -110

I absolutely love the value here with the Sooners at this price. The hype around this LSU team has gotten out of control and the books have drastically inflated this line knowing the public is going to pound the Tigers no matter the number. 

I'm not going to say Oklahoma is going to win this game, but I'm extremely confident they keep it within two touchdowns. Sooners have more than shown they can compete on this stage the last two years. Last season they fell 45-34 to Alabama as a similarly priced 13 point dog. The year before they should have beat Georgia, but blew a big lead and wound up losing in 2OT. 

Oklahoma's offense might not be as potent as it was the last two years behind a couple of Heisman winners, but the defense is vastly improved. Also, as good as Joe Burrow and the LSU offense is, the defense can be had. They allowed 38 to Texas, 28 to Florida, 41 to Alabama and 37 to Ole Miss. I fully expect them to struggle with Lincoln Riley's offense and a turnover here or there by the Sooners defense and this could get real interesting. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NCAAF - Memphis/Penn State COTTON BOWL on Memphis/Penn State under 60½ -109

I really like the UNDER in Saturday's matchup between Penn State and Memphis in the Cotton Bowl. Simply based on what these two offenses were able to accomplish in the regular-season, it would be really easy to expect a shootout. Memphis put up 40.5 ppg and Penn State finished the year at 34.3 ppg. 

However, there's a good reason to believe that neither offense will be on top of their game. That's because both offenses will be working under a new play caller. Memphis lost head coach Mike Norvell to Florida State and he was the guy that orchestrated that offense. As for Penn State, offensive coordinator Ricky Rahne left to be the head coach at Old Dominion. 

Another thing here is that these two teams can get after you defensively. Penn State has one of the best d-lines in the country and gave up just 14.1 ppg. Memphis had their lapses on defense, but only gave up 24.4 ppg when it was all said and done. 

The other big thing is I expect the effort to be there defensively, as these two know a lot of people will be tuned into Saturday's card leading up to the two big semifinal matchups in the playoffs. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Temple/N Carolina MILITARY BOWL on North Carolina/Temple over 53½ -110

I really like the value here with the OVER in the Military Bowl between Temple and North Carolina. The Owls are perceived to be a great defensive team, but I just don't know that's the case. The only decent offense they faced in non-conference was Buffalo and they gave up 38 points to the Bulls. 

Temple finished with the 6th best record in the AAC and every team below them had 3 or fewer conference wins, so basically they were the worst of the quality teams in the American. Their only win against one of the top teams was a 30-28 victory over Memphis, but it was real fluky. The Tigers turned it over 3 times in their first 4 possessions, which allowed the Owls to jump out to a 16-0 lead. They were outscored 28-14 in the final 36 minutes of that game. 

The two best offenses that Temple faced outside of Memphis were SMU and UCF and those two did whatever they wanted. The Knights put up 63 points and over 600 yards of offense, while the Mustangs had 45 points and over 650 yards.

UNC has the 14th best offense in the country, ranking in the top 45 in both rushing and passing. Tar Heels will score and score a lot. 

While I don't think Temple is going to be able to go score for score with UNC, I do think they will be able to put some points on the scoreboard. Owls offense was 39th in passing and will be up against a Tar Heels defense that finished 79th against the pass. I think worse case here this ends up like 35-21 in favor of UNC. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAF - Miami/La Tech INDEPENDENCE BOWL Top Play on Louisiana Tech +7 -110

Easy play here on the Bulldogs catching a touchdown against Miami in the Independence Bowl. I just don't feel Miami is the least bit interested in playing in this game, especially with how they closed out the season with back-to-back losses to FIU and Duke. Given the talent that the Hurricanes have, there's zero excuse for them losing either one of those games other than they just don't care about finishing the season strong. 

I just don't think Miami flipped a switch once the regular-season was over and started putting everything they had into beating LA Tech. There's no incentive for the Hurricanes to win this game. The same can't be said for the Bulldogs. Any time a small conference gets a shot at a Power 5, especially a storied program like Miami, they really get up for the game. 

That alone is enough reason to take the points with Louisiana Tech, but there's even more reason to like the Bulldogs. The game will be played in Shreveport, Louisiana, which is roughly an hour drive from their campus in Ruston. It's going to feel like a home game for the Bulldogs. 

You also have to take into account just how good La Tech head coach Skip Holtz has been at getting his team prepared and motivated for bowl play. Since he took over with the program, they have gone 5-0 in bowl games and he's 7-3 in his career as a head coach. I would not be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech! 

5* NCAAF - UCF/Marshall GASPARILLA BOWL Top Play on Marshall +17½ -110

This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thundering Herd in Monday's matchup with UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl. Marshall has thrived in bowl games under head coach Doc Holiday. They have yet to lose since Holiday took over with a perfect 6-0 mark and come in having covered 5 straight bowl games. 

UCF had another fantastic season and are without a doubt the more talented team, but bowl games is all about motivation and I just wonder how much the Knights really want to be here. UCF was playing in the Fiesta Bowl last year and the Peach Bowl the year before that. They got nothing to prove here against a team they are favored to beat by more than two touchdowns. 

Marshall has the 43rd ranked defense (362.1 ypg) and 42nd in points allowed (23.1 ppg). With the extra time to prepare, I think they can slow down this UCF offense. At the same time, the Knights are vulnerable defensively against the run and the Herd averaged a healthy 195.7 rushing ypg (36th). This is just too many points. Take Marshall!

3* NCAAF - UAB/App St NEW ORLEANS BOWL on UAB +17 -110

I just feel this is too good a price to pass up with UAB in the New Orleans Bowl. I know the Blazers played a really easy schedule in route to making the C-USA title game and were annihilated by FAU in that C-USA Championship. I just feel that poor perception of UAB is playing into this line. 

As for Appalachian State they are really good team, but it's not always about who is more talented in bowl games. It's typically about who wants it more and I really question the motivation here for the Mountaineers. Appalachian State was so close to being the top ranked Group of 5 team, which would have had them in the Cotton Bowl.

I just don't think playing UAB in the New Orleans Bowl will get the juices flowing. Keep in mind it's the same exact bowl they played in last year, which I think also takes away from the excitement. 

On top of that, the Mountaineers had to deal with their head coach leaving, for a second straight year. Last year Scott Satterfield bolted before their bowl to take over at Louisville. This year it was Eliah Drinkwitz jumping ship to Missouri. I still think App State wins, just not by the number. Take UAB! 

5* NCAAF - Wash/Boise St LAS VEGAS BOWL Top Play on Boise State +3½ -109

The Broncos are definitely worth a look here catching more than a field goal against the Huskies. There's a lot of talk about this being the last game for Chris Petersen with Washington and how they are going to play their hearts out for him because of that. I just don't that I buy that. If I was a Huskies player I would be a little ticked off that Petersen is walking away. 

The other big thing is this was not a great Washington team this year. One that lost at home to Cal and Colorado on the road. This is also a far cry from the kind of bowl that the Huskies are accustomed to. The last 3 years they have played in the Peach, Fiesta and Rose bowls. 

You also got some of their best players sitting out, which I think speaks volumes to how little this game really means to them. Left tackle Trey Adams and tight end Hunter Bryant are both skipping to prepare for the draft. 

Lastly, this is a Huskies offense that struggled to score and will be facing a really good Boise State defense. The Broncos ranked 35th in total defense (347.5 ypg) and 24th in scoring (20.6 ppg). They are also really good at stopping the run, ranking 19th in the country allowing 113.1 ypg. Broncos are also 10-3 SU in their last 13 vs a team from the Pac-12. Simply put, the wrong team is favored. Take Boise State! 

4* NCAAF - C Mich/SD St NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan +4 -109

I'll gladly take the points here with Central Michigan against San Diego State in the New Mexico Bowl. The Chippewas had quite the turnaround in the first year under head coach Jim McElwain, as they finished 8-5 after going just 1-11 last year. They also won the MAC West after being picked by many to finish last in the division. 

They did come up short in the MAC title game against Miami (OH), but I think that will have them that much more motivated to finish their season strong. As for the Aztecs, you just can't trust Rocky Long's team in postseason play. Long is just 4-9 as a head coach in bowl games. Last year they lost 27-0 to Ohio out of the MAC 

Long has basically said his primary goal is to not win bowl games. He's more interested in developing his underclassmen and getting them primed for making a bigger impact the next season. 

It's also really hard to trust a team laying points that has a hard as time as San Diego State scoring the football. The Aztecs finished 115 in total offense (330.1 ypg) and 119th in scoring (19.0 ppg). The defense is good, but some of the great numbers are a result of a schedule that simply didn't have them facing many great offenses. I like the Chips and their balanced attack to have some success and really like them to win this outright. Take Central Michigan! 

3* NCAAF - C Mich/SD State NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan/San Diego State under 41 -110

The UNDER is worth a look in the New Mexico Bowl as San Diego State takes on Central Michigan. I just think it's going to be a real struggle for both teams to score, which is just about how every game this season has went when the Aztecs are involved. 

UNDER is 11-1 in San Diego's 12 games this season, including a perfect 6-0 away from home. Aztecs simply have no offense, as they score just 19.0 ppg. What they do have is a great defense, that is holding teams to 12.8 ppg and 289 ypg. Central Michigan is scoring 31.9 ppg, but a lot of that has to do with the soft defenses they faced in the MAC. They didn't score a point in a game at Wisconsin and managed just 12 vs Miami. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Utah St/Kent St FRISCO BOWL Top Play on Utah State -6½ -110

Easy play here for me on the Aggies. I don't get the line move at all as I thought the books had it priced right when they opened Utah State at -8.5. There's simply too much value here now with them under the key number of 7. 

I just think Jordan Love announcing he was leaving early to go pro and then some key guys getting accused of smoking pot had people leaning Kent State in this game. Thing is, Love is playing and those allegations appear to be false, at least from what head coach Gary Anderson is saying. 

Love is going to want to show out here to build up his draft stock. I also think the Utah State players will be motivated that much more after hearing the coach had their back. Love should have a field day in this one, as the Golden Flashes are awful defensively. They give up 471.7 ypg and allow 34.6 ppg away from home. They also are allowing opposing QB's to complete 69% of their attempts for 249 ypg and 8.4 yards/ pass attempt. 

Also, Kent State went 6-6 and their only decent win was against Buffalo and they trailed 27-6 in the 4th quarter of a crazy 30-27 win. Golden Flashes are a great story as they had quite the turnaround, but they are outclassed in this one. Take Utah State!

5* NCAAF - Buffalo/Charlotte BAHAMAS BOWL Top Play on Buffalo/Charlotte under 58½ -110

Easy play here on the total in Friday's first bowl game of the season with Buffalo taking on Charlotte. Couple factors here that really has me loving this game staying UNDER the total. 

First off these are two teams that are run-first offenses. Buffalo finished the season ranked 9th in the country in rushing at 254.3 yards/game and Charlotte was 26th at 211.3 ypg. I full expect both teams to try to come out and establish the run. 

They might not have a choice. The other big factor here is the weather with the game in the Bahamas. Winds are expected to exceed 20 mph with gusts approaching 30 mph. Plus, the game is being played in a soccer stadium, which is built like your normal CFB stadiums, so the wind could be even more of a factor than you would expect. 

UNDER is also 28-6 (82%) since 1992 in games where you have two non-Power 5 teams with decent offensive teams (390 to 440 ypg) facing off in a non-conference game. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Army/Navy NO LIMIT Top Play on Navy -10 -110

I got no problem laying double-digits with the Midshipmen in Saturday's huge rivalry game with Army. Some might think Navy will be looking ahead to their bowl, while Army is going to treat this like it's their bowl game. Sure the Black Knights are going to come to play, but don't think for a second that the Midshipmen aren't 100% focused on this game. 

A big reason for that is they come in having lost 3 straight in the series after they had rattled off 14 wins in a row over Army. A big reason for the Black Knights recent success is they for the first time in a long time had the better talent on the field. This year Army has underperformed big time and finished just 5-7, despite a schedule that had many calling for at least 8 wins. 

Navy has played the much tougher schedule and are 9-2. Midshipmen are the better team on both side of the ball and I just think they come out with a chip on their shoulder Saturday and win here by at least 14. 

Army is just 1-9 ATS last 10 as a neutral field dog of 7.5 to 14 points and have lost in this spot by an average score of 35 to 10. Take Navy! 

4* NCAAF - Big Ten Championship VEGAS INSIDER on Wisconsin +17 -115

I really like the value here with the Badgers getting three scores against the Buckeyes in Saturday's Big Ten Championship Game. The public is going to be on Ohio State in this one. Not only because they are off an impressive 56-27 blowout win at Michigan last week, but because of the fact they beat Wisconsin 38-7 with a 431 to 191 edge in total yards when these two played in the regular-season. 

As lopsided as the box score was in that first meeting, Wisconsin held their own for a good chunk of that game. Ohio State was only up 10-0 at the half and 24-7 going into the 4th quarter. I don't think Wisconsin's offense can play any worse than they did in that game and they closed out the season really strong on the offensive side of the ball, scoring 37 or more in each of their last 3. 

The other big factor here is the health of Buckeye's star quarterback Justin Fields. He's probable to play with a knee injury, but I don't think he's going to be playing at 100%. I could definitely see him not utilizing his legs like he has and I think taking away his ability to run really makes things easier on the Wisconsin defense. They should also be better off having already faced this offense once. 

Badgers are 32-15 ATS last 47 vs excellent offenses that average 450 or more yards/game and a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 times they have been on the road when revenging a loss where they scored 14 or fewer points. Take Wisconsin! 

5* NCAAF - Georgia/LSU SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Georgia +7½ -110

I love the value here with Georgia keeping this within a touchdown against LSU in the SEC Championship Game. LSU has been the talk of college football this year and it's only a matter of time before Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow is named this year's Heisman winner. I just think with how the public is pounding LSU right now, it's resulted in too good a price to pass up with Georgia. 

The biggest thing that I think people are overlooking in this game is Georgia's defense and part of that is the public just doesn't think this LSU offense can be stopped. The Bulldogs defense was already going to be fired up for this game and I think all the Burrow talk will have them playing with a massive chip on their shoulder. Keep in mind Georgia hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any game this season and are excellent against both the run and the pass. 

Ed Orgeron has proven he's more than just a motivator, but I still give the coaching edge to Georgia's Kirby Smart. People were saying the same things about Georgia the last two years when they met up with Alabama in the national title game in 2017 and in last year's SEC title game. They lost both of those games, but should have won both meetings. 

Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are outgaining teams by 125 or more total yards and off a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 60-28 (68%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. At the same time, neutral field underdogs that are outrushing opponents by 100 yards/game are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Georgia! 

3* NCAAF - MWC Championship ATS ANNIHILATOR on Hawaii +14 -110

This is too good a price to pass up with the Rainbow Warriors as a two touchdown dog against the Broncos. Boise State is the household name and are nationally ranked, so no surprise the public is on the favorite in this one. I'm not saying Hawaii is going to win this game outright, but I'm confident they will put up a fight and keep this within two touchdowns. 

I know Boise State won the regular-season meeting by 22 at home, but there's reason to believe that Hawaii can make up the ground. Broncos only had a 518 to 438 edge in total yards and 29 to 24 advantage in first downs. The difference in that game was the Warriors turned it over 4 times to Boise State's 1 turnover. 

I also like the fact that all the pressure is on the Broncos, as they need this win to have any shot at playing in the Cotton Bowl. Hawaii on the other hand can play loose, as they really got nothing to lose. 

Rainbow Warriors don't have the best defense, but road teams that are coming off a game where they allowed 7.25 or more yards/play, who have an experienced QB are a dominant 72-36 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if facing a team with an inexperienced QB. Take Hawaii! 

3* NCAAF - Army/Hawaii BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Hawaii -2 -105

I think the public perception here is that because the Rainbow Warriors have already locked up a spot in the MWC title game next week, they aren't going to show up for this one. I just don't think that's the case. With a win the Rainbow Warriors would improve to 9-4 and that means they would have two shots to get to that elusive 10-win mark. 

As for Army, this has been a season to forget, as the Black Knights have come nowhere close to meeting expectations. Army has won their last two, but against two awful teams in UMass and VMI. Their other 3 wins are against Rice, UTSA and Morgan State. They just aren't very good. 

This is also a horrible matchup for the Knights, as they are not good at defending the pass, especially teams like Hawaii that can really stretch the field with their air attack. Look for the Warriors to score at will and cruise to an easy win and cover. Take Hawaii! 

3* NCAAF - Texas A&M/LSU Prime Time ATS DESTROYER on LSU -16½ -110

I got no problem here laying the points with the Tigers at home against the Aggies. LSU is 100% locked in right now. Even with a spot in next week's SEC title game locked up, I don't think it's going to stop them from winning here by 20+ on senior day, especially with this being a night game. 

Texas A&M is better than they get credit for, as they have played a brutal schedule, but they still are now match for the Tigers. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for them coming off that emotional game at Georgia last week. 

Aggies are just 4-17 ATS last 21 on the road with a total of 63 or more and 12-28 ATS last 40 on the road vs teams who are outscoring opponents by 17+ ppg.

History is also on our side. Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with an experienced QB back as their starter are 51-19 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if they come in having outgained their last two opponents by 125 or more total yards. Take LSU! 

4* NCAAF - UNC/NC State ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK on North Carolina -10 -110

Easy play here for me on the Tar Heels winning by more than 10 at rival NC State. No question the Wolfpack will play hard here against their in-state rivals, but they just don't have enough talent or healthy bodies to make a game of it. 

NC State has been on a complete free fall, as they enter having lost 5 straight, including a heartbreaker 26-28 setback at Georgia Tech in their most recent game to put to bed any hopes of getting to a bowl. UNC has been better than expected in the first year under Mac Brown, but they still need one more win to get bowl eligible. 

All 6 of the Tar Heels' losses this season have come by 7-points or less, 3 of those decided by a field goal or less, including a mere 1-point loss at home to Clemson. Note that these two teams have played 3 common opponents and UNC has outgained those 3 teams by 3 ppg, while NC State has been outscored by 27.0 ppg. 

Wolfpack are 0-6 ATS the last 2 seasons when listed as an underdog and have lost in this spot by a ridiculous 30.6 ppg. Take North Carolina! 

4* NCAAF - ND/Stanford Rivalry PLAY OF THE WEEK on Notre Dame -16 -110

The Fighting Irish are worth a look here as a big road favorite against the Cardinal. Notre Dame has really responded well to that ugly loss to Michigan, as they have rattled off 4 straight wins. Each of the last 3 have come in blowout fashion. They crushed Duke 38-7 as a 7-point road favorite, rolled Navy 52-20 as a 7.5-point home favorite and destroyed BC 40-7 as a 20.5-point favorite. 

Irish are clearly okay with going to a New Year's Day bowl and they can pretty much lock up a spot with a win here. Stanford on the other hand has lost 3 straight and failed to cover all 3. The most recent being a 20-24 home loss to rival Cal, which marked their 7th loss of the season and put to rest any hopes of getting to a bowl game. 

With K.J. Costello expected to miss this game, I just don't know how the Cardinal offense is going to be able to score enough to keep this close. Their defense has given up 31 or more in 3 of their last 5 and this Irish offense is one of the best in the country averaging 36.4 ppg, scoring almost 10 points more than what their opponents allow. 

ND is 23-10 ATS last 33 vs bad defensive teams that are allowing 425 or more yards/game and 5-1-1 ATS last 7 road games vs a team with a losing record. Cardinal are just 2-8 ATS last 10 overall and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a loss. Take Notre Dame! 

3* NCAAF - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt/Tennessee over 45½ -110

I really like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's SEC East clash between Vanderbilt and Tennessee. The Commodores are giving up 38.2 ppg and 513 ypg on the road this season and 37.0 ppg and 487.5 ypg in conference play. There's a realistic chance the Vols could eclipse this total on their own. 

However, I don't think they will need to. Tennessee's defense is solid, but Vanderbilt should be able to generate some offense in this one. I think they could easily get to 20-points and that would have us flying past this total. Just last year they hung 38 on the Vols and have scored 28 or more in 4 straight meetings. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAF - Ohio St/Mich Total NO-BRAINER on Ohio State/Michigan over 50 -110

The OVER is worth a look in Saturday's highly anticipated Big Ten showdown between No. 1 Ohio State and No. 13 Michigan. I think the fact that the Buckeyes are coming off a much lower scoring game than expected against Penn State has created some value here. 

That was the first time this season that Ohio State failed to score at least 34 points and had they not turned it over 3 times they probably would have got there, as they put up over 400 yards of offense against the Nittany Lions. 

Michigan's got a good defense, but they have not been able to slow down Ohio State in recent years. Buckeyes have put up at least 30 on the Wolverines in each of the last 6 meetings, 4 times scoring 42 or more. 

Wolverines offense has improved greatly over the course of the season and I think with them playing at home they can make more than enough plays to push this thing OVER the mark. OVER is 11-3 in the Buckeyes last 14 as a road favorite and 10-2 in Michigan's last 12 at home against a conference rival. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAF - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Purdue +7 -115

I love the value here with the Boilermakers catching a touchdown at home against the Hoosiers. I think the fact that Purdue is sitting at 4-7 and can't get to a bowl has people thinking they won't show up. I don't think that will be the case at all. If anything it just continues a run here of the Boilermakers being undervalued, as they have covered 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. 

Indiana's already got 7-wins, so they are just playing to get to a slightly better bowl, but I also think they could be out of gas here after playing their last two games against big time opponents in Penn State and Michigan. 

Hoosiers defense struggled against both the Nittany Lions and Wolverines. Road teams who are outscoring opponents by 7+ ppg are just 45-87 (34%) ATS after allowing 31 or more in 2 straight over the last 10 seasons. Boilermakers are also a dominant 13-4 ATS last 17 as an underdog. Take Purdue! 

3* NCAAF - Late Night Total DESTROYER on South Florida/Central Florida under 63½ -110

I just feel the books have set the total way too high for tonight' AAC action between USF and UCF. You really need to good offensive teams to go over a total like this and I don't think that's the case at all.

The Bulls have done next to nothing offensively when matchup up against the top teams in the American, scoring just 3 against Navy, 7 against Temple, 17 against Cincinnati and 10 against Memphis. Even against a UCF defense that has allowed 29+ in 3 straight games, I think they struggle to get to 20 here. 

The other key here is the Bulls aren't a complete pushover on the defensive side of the ball and we know they are going to give a big effort against their in-state rivals. USF is giving up less than their opponents average on the season and are only allowing 22.7 ppg and 333 ypg on their home field. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Boise State -13½ -110

I think we are getting a bit of a discount here on Boise State, as the perception here is that the Broncos won't be 100% motivated given they have already locked up the MWC Mountain Division and spot in next week's MWC title game against Hawaii. 

I'm just not buying it. Boise State is trying to make a New Year's Six Bowl and they can also do something they have never done before in MWC play, that's finish the season with an undefeated record in league play. 

If there's any team that's going to be lacking motivation it's Colorado State. I could have seen the Rams getting up for this one if Boise needed to win to make the title game, but that's not the case. There's also no hopes for an upset to get to a bowl, as they suffered their 7th loss of the season last week in a hard fought 17-7 loss at Wyoming. 

Broncos have not taken it easy on bad teams. They are 7-1-2 ATS last 10 vs a team with a losing record, including 5-1 ATS last 6 vs a team with a losing home record. Take Boise State! 

5* NCAAF - Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa -4½ -109

I cashed in on Nebraska last week at Maryland and the Cornhuskers didn't disappoint, as they took out a season worth of frustration in a 54-7 victory over the Terps. However, that win doesn't change the outlook on this Nebraska team and I'll gladly back a much better Iowa team laying less than a touchdown on Friday. 

Hawkeyes have owned the Cornhuskers of late with 4 straight wins against their rivals. I'm confident they make it 5 in a row, as I think the conditions for this game will heavily favor Iowa. It's going to be miserable with rain expected throughout. That's going to allow the Hawkeyes to focus that much more on a one-dimensional Nebraska offense. 

As for the Cornhuskers defense, don't be fooled by their big effort against Maryland. Prior to holding the Terps to a mere 7-points they had allowed 30+ in 4 straight games and even Maryland was able to run for 149 against them. Iowa should control both sides of the ball and win here easily. 

Hawkeyes are 20-7 ATS last 27 as a road favorite of 7 or less, while the Cornhuskers are a mere 4-15 ATS last 19 at home and 0-7 ATS last 7 as a home dog. 

3* NCAAF - Early Bird Total ANNIHILATOR  on Bowling Green/Buffalo under 53 -105

A lot of people are going to look to take the OVER here given that Buffalo just put up 49 last week against Toledo, marking the 3rd time in their last 4 that they scored 40+, and the fact that Bowling Green Gave up 66 at home to Ohio. I just don't see this being that kind of high-scoring affair. 

Not a lot for either team to play for in this one, so don't be surprised if a few backups get a few more reps, especially the younger guys. With the Bulls win over Toledo last week they got their 6th win for bowl eligibility and the Falcons are simply playing for pride at 3-8. 

Another big factor here is both teams really like to run the football. Buffalo is averaging 51 rush attempts/game and Bowling Green runs it 42 times per game. UNDER is also 7-1 in the Falcons last 8 road games and 13-3 in their last 16 overall. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAF Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER on Boise State -8½ -110

Some might be hesitant to play this game because of the uncertainty with both starting quarterbacks. However, I feel there's value here with Boise State laying single digits. I just think the Broncos have the much better QB depth and there's a more likely chance that the Aggies star quarterback Jordan Love doesn't play. 

Thing is, even with Love I don't know that Utah State could keep this close. Boise State is one of the best Group of 5 teams out there and got a ton at stake in this one. A loss here would likely cost the Broncos the Mountain Division title and a spot in the MWC title game. 

I think you can really see the talent difference in this game by looking at how these two have performed against the 3 common opponents they have played. Boise State is outscoring these 3 teams by 3.7 ppg, while Utah is getting outscored by 15.6 ppg. Defense is where the Broncos were much better. They only gave up 21.3 ppg and 326.7 ypg against these 3 team, where Utah State allowed 31.3 ppg and 484.7 ypg. 

Broncos are 72-48 ATS (60%) ATS in their last 120 road games and are 7-3-2 ATS last 12 conference games and 8-0-1 ATS last 9 after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. Take Boise State! 

4* NCAAF - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Troy +14 -110

This is just too good a price to pass up with the Trojans and that high-powered offense. Troy comes into this game averaging 39.0 ppg and 478 ypg. Numbers that are even better in Sun Belt play, as they are scoring 43.3 ppg and putting up 505.5 ypg against conference opponents this season. 

I get Lafayette has a really good offense of their own and have the better defense on paper, but all signs here point to a back and forth shootout. One that I wouldn't be surprised at all if Troy won outright. We know we are going to get a big effort from the Trojans, as they still need a win to get bowl eligible and next week's game at home against App State is far from a sure thing. 

As for the Ragin' Cajuns, they are comfortably sitting at 5-1 and 1-game up on Arkansas State for the top spot in the West Division. Which is basically a 2-game lead given they own the head-to-head tiebreaker. A loss here is not the end of the world. They showed signs of being a bit complacent last week, as they only beat South Alabama by 10 as a 28-point favorite and were outgained by the Jaguars 467 to 391. 

Troy is off a 63-27 blowout win at Texas State and prior to that beat a good Georgia Southern team 49-28 at home as a 2.5-point dog. Trojans are 9-1 ATS last 10 on the road after a win by 35 or more , 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road vs a team with a winning home record, 12-4-1 ATS last 17 conference games and 7-2 ATS last 9 in the month of November. Take Troy! 

5* NCAAF - ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Louisville -9 -110

Easy play for me on the Cardinals laying single-digits at home against the Orange. I just think we are getting a great price with Louisville due the fact that Syracuse finally showed some life in last week's 49-6 win as a 10.5-point road dog at Duke. That would be great if the Blue Devils were playing well, but Duke is on a free fall. Blue Devils have been outgained now by 100+ yards in 3 straight and have lost the yardage battle in 6 straight. 

Even though they won by a whopping 43-points, Syracuse only outgained the Blue Devils by 116. The only other two teams the Orange have won the yardage battle against all season are Holy Cross and Liberty. This is a team that got outgained by 250 yards to Maryland and 243 a couple weeks ago against BC. 

Louisville has one of the best offenses people don't know about. They are averaging 32.3 ppg and 438 ypg. What's impressive is it's come against opponents who on average are allowing just 25.1 ppg and 377 ypg. They should score at will here and while the defense isn't great, I think they easily win by two touchdowns. 

Orange are 2-11 ATS last 13 off an upset win by 14 or more points and have lost in this spot by an average of 20 ppg. Take Louisville! 

3* NCAAF - Big Money ATS MONEYMAKER on Nebraska -6 -110

The Cornhuskers are worth a look here laying less than a touchdown on the road against the Terps. Nebraska is simply showing value here because of how disappointing a season they have had and the fact that they enter having lost 4 straight. 

As bad as it's been for the Cornhuskers, it's been even worse for the Terps. Maryland just can't catch a break with the injury bug. They just don't have enough healthy good players to be competitive. The evidence is in the numbers. Terps are getting outgained by 221.2 yards/game in Big Ten play. Nebraska in comparison is only getting outgained by 12.4 yards/game. 

There's also a big motivational edge here with Nebraska still having an outside shot at bowl game if they can win out, while the Terps have no shot at a bowl and are struggling to just keep games close. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Cornhuskers won going away. Take Nebraska! 

4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Southern Miss -3½ -110

I really like the value here with Southern Miss laying a short number at home against Western Kentucky. Not only do I think the Golden Eagles are the better team, they have a massive motivation edge in this one. 

Thanks to LA Tech having both their starting QB and top wide out suspended, Southern Miss has a legit shot at winning the West and playing in the C-USA championship Game. They do need the Bulldogs to lose at UAB, but they are still without those two suspended players and are a 7-point dog. However, the most important thing is winning this game, so we can expect a max effort. 

Western Kentucky is just 1-game back of first in the East, but trail both FAU and Marshall and lost both the head-to-head matchups against those two teams. They are already bowl eligible, so there's not much at stake. Not to mention they are poised for a letdown off that big upset win over Arkansas last time out. Take Southern Miss! 

4* NCAAF - Undervalued DOG OF THE WEEK on South Alabama +10 -109

The Jaguars are worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Panthers. South Alabama is just 1-9 overall and have lost 8 straight, but that has not deterred this team from playing hard down the stretch. Just last week they only lost by 10 at Lafayette, who is tied with Appalachian State for the best record in the Sun Belt. The Jaguars easily covered as a 28-point dog and are now 5-1 ATS last 6 games. 

As for Georgia State, I think the Panthers could be in for a bit of a letdown here off last week's blowout loss at home to Appalachian State. That was a massive game for Georgia State, as they were in a position to where if they won that game and won out, they would have won the East and would be headed to the Sun Belt title game. Now they are simply playing for pride with a big rivalry game on deck against Georgia Southern. 

Panthers are just 2-9 ATS last 11 off a SU loss and have failed to cover 6 straight in Weeks 10 thru Week 13. They are also 0-7-1 ATS last 8 vs a team with a losing record and 4-12-2 ATS last 16 conference games. Jaguars are 7-1 ATS last 8 conference games. Take South Alabama!