Houston after a long delay played their first game of the season vs the Tulane Green Wave last week in successful fashion out gaining them by a  476-211  count rolling  to a 49-31 victory. Meanwhile, BYU had a much harder time vs a physical UTSA squad winning by 7 points but failing to cover as 34+ point chalk. Now this week, BYU makes its first trip away from Provo , and are being pegged as favorites. However, the Mormons are just 2-12 ATS L/14 away as 4 point or more chalk, and in my humble opinion are being over estimated in their abilities at this point in the season. Tonight Im betting on Holgerson's heros to get us the cover. It must be noted the HC of Houston has seen his team cover 3 straight times vs undefeated sides. Meanwhile, Sitake is 0-6 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of BYU.

Play on Houston to cover

The SMU Mustangs travel to play the Tulane Green Wave in College Football action this Friday night. Which side has the edge? Get the scholastic gridiron info the books do not want you to have. kick off after 6:00 pm et

Louisiana moved up in the national rankings this week, ranked No. 21 in the AP Top 25 poll and No. 21 in the USA Today Amway Coaches poll and deserve respect.  I like Coastal Carolina football program and they are up trending, but according to my graphical data charts should be closer to -10 underdogs, thus giving us value with the favorite at home. Im betting on Levi Lewis  to be key in  their victory tonight. The Qb has thrown for 723 yards through three games this year. The yardage total   ranks him 34th in the nation .

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 YPP or more ) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), in conference games are 11-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play ON UL Lafayette. 

Miami may be improved but their still not in the same category as the Clemson Tigers.Dabo has won 24 straight at home  and in my humbler betting opinion will be motivated to romp here today.  The last two meetings in this series, were 58-0 and 38-3 victories for Clemson. Rinse and repeat. 

CLEMSON is 11-2 ATS  vs. sub par/average passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons with Clemson scoring an average of 50.2 ppg while allowing 12,2 ppg.CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 200  or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 30 ppg. 

Play on Clemson to cover 

Western Kentucky  does not have great numbers, but must not be underestimated as home dogs vs a Marshall side in a letdown situation after a huge win vs Appalachian State last time out. 

W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.  Holliday is 8-18 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of MARSHALL.

CFB home team (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more are 38-13 ATS L/28 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover

This will be Temples first game of the season, while Navy will play their 4th game of the season. I know Navy has looked uneven to this point, but with this being the Owls first real game, the Midshipman could easily have an edge .With that said, Im recommending we take the points. 

NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Midshipmen are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on Navy to cover 

  My projections estimate this game to be decided by one score or less. I also  wont be surprised if the Wildcats win this game SU.  I know QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury might be a problem, but according to some insiders he should still be able to play if things go south for his backup. Also after TCUs huge win vs Texas last time out I expect them to be in a letdown situation. In the past playing the Longhorns has not been a good come for TCU betting backers as they have lost the cash in 11 of 12 tilts. Patterson is 2-12 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of TCU.The Wildcats have won four of the last five meetings with the Frogs and get my support here taking points. 

Play on Kansas State to cover 

Neither of these teams inspire confidence in most bettors, but according to my projections FIU is the superior side by 6 + points. 

CFB Road underdogs (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 3-34 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg  diff clicking in at -20.4 ppg. 

Play on Florida International to cover 

 The Roadrunners are much improved and deserve respect here . With that said, Im betting on them  to continue their viable  ATS profit run that  has seen them cover 7 of their L/9 9 vs. FBS programs  and 4 of their last 5 as visitors. Hey BYU looks powerful, but this spread is just to big in my humble betting opinion. 

BYU has covered on 2 of their L/13 as 30 plus point chalk. UTSA has covered all 5 of their games  where they were made  30+ point underdogs. 

CFB Home favorites (BYU) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points are 20-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UTSA

This is a Tennessee side that has won 6 straight SEC tilts and 8 wins overall,  must be respected here getting points vs Georgia . My projections actually make this a very close game that will be decided by 1 score or less. The Vols have also cashed 4 of their L/6 on the road as 10 or more point dogs and look like solid underdogs in this spot play. Also with revenge on board board for a ugly 43-14 loss in Knoxville last season, there will be lots of motivation for the Vols here on the road vs a Dawgs side that has failed to cash in 4 of their L/5 at home as DD SEC home favs. Note: Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in this series when out looking for revenge, including 5-0 ATS as a underdog.

Smart is 4-12 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of GEORGIA. 

Play on Tennessee to cover 

. Duke enters this contest winless in 4 trips to the gridiron and are being over rated here vs a Cuse side that looked good recently in a win vs GTech by a 37-20 victory.

The Orange smashed Duke , 49-6 last season, and even though the Blue Devils might want revenge, Im betting their effort to avenge that loss wont come easily.  It must be noted  the Devils are just 2-7 ATS in their L/9 attempts  when playing with ACC revenge. 

SYRACUSE is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry. SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS L/22  in home games off a home win by 17 points or more.

DUKE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games.

CFB  home team (SYRACUSE) - off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9 are 47-18 L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Im one of these guys who believes Florida is over rated. You have to remember that this is a Gators side that did not play well against  South Carolina winning by a 38-24 count while failing to cover as 18 point favs  and also gave up a crap load full  of points in the 51-35 victory at Ole Miss. I know Texas A&M were soundly beaten by Alabama. But hey that was Alabama , so Im giving them a break . Note: Aggies HC Jimbo Fisher is 6-0 SU all-time when coming off a loss of more than 17 points. These teams have split their last four  meetings with the last game in 2017 ending  in a 19-17 A&M victory. With that said, I;ll take the points here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. 

Texas A&M are 15-3-3 ATS as conference home underdogs against opposition coming off a victory  of 14 or more points, including 12-1 ATS as underdogs of less than 15 points.

Take the the points with Texas A&M 

Both teams enter with 2-0 records overall and in ACC play. Virginia Tech despite of being short handed on a regular basis has found ways to win while North Carolina had  played twice since Sept 12 and looked average at best this past  Saturday in a  26-22 win at Boston College . The Hokies  lead the ACC (3rd nationally) with 319 yards rushing yards per game, behind Khalil Herbert  who leads the nation with a 156-yard per-game average. North Carolina leads the ACC, and the nation, in rushing defense at 54 yards per game. Strength against strength  has me envisioning a stalemate type of tilt that will be closely contested.   

VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.

Virginia Tech has covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series. 

CFB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 75-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

 The Sooners (1-1, 0-1 Big 12) have won five consecutive conference titles and have reached the College Football Playoff for three consecutive seasons, but their ability to continue either of those streaks is in doubt after last week's 38-35 loss to Kansas State. Now in desperation mode, Im betting they will come out here ready to play, but the linesmakers knowing this and playing to public sentiment have over evaluated this line giving us value with the underdog. 

The series has been largely lopsided with the Sooners winning 20 of the last 21 meetings and 24 consecutive games in Ames since 1961.

But since Matt Campbell's arrival, the Cyclones have been competitive against Oklahoma. Each of the last four meetings has been decided by 10 or fewer points and Iowa State pulled off an upset at Oklahoma in 2017. 

CFB road team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-28 L/5 seasons for a go against  88% conversion rate. 

CFB Road favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440 ot more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-69 ATS L/28 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on Iowa State to cover

Arkansas' offense Im betting will flow   against Mississippi State and have more favorable results  than it did against Georgia's top tier D.  Meanwhile, Miss State off a huge win last week vs LSU will now find themselves in a letdown spot. With that said we have value with the Arkansas Razorbacks to cover . 

The Air Force Falcons have won eight consecutive games going back to last season, which matches Notre Dame for the nation's longest active winning streak. Navy has lost three consecutive games in Colorado Springs and Im betting if they win today it will not come easily. 

Niumatalolo is 7-16 ATS in road games after a bye week as the coach of NAVY

CFB Road favorites (NAVY) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-55 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Air Force to cover 

This SMU side deserves respect here vs Memphis  as they ride a 12-2 SU record that dates back to last season. This season they are 3-0 averaging 562 yards per game and 49 points. Note:  SMU HC  Sonny Dykes owns a 5-0 SU record  when coming off three wins-exact and get the nod again today.   SMU is 6-0 ATS  after playing a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Dykes is 6-0 ATS  after playing 2 straight non-conference games as the coach of SMU.

CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite, after the first month of the season are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 40-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on SMU

CFB  home team vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.6 YPP), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Kansas State to cover 

Boston College behind HC Jeff Hafley  are off to a 2-0 start, including victories against  Duke and Texas State. With the Golden Eagles 6-1-1 ATS  as a conference home dog I looked closely at them to get us the cover today vs North Carolina .   Considering since game day, it will be three weeks since UNC last played with this being their first road game Im betting they will be rusty and less cohesive than they need to be vs a scarppy side giving us the edge we need with BC to cover at home as DD dogs. 

Play on Boston College to cover 

NC State's defense despite of some hickups had success pressuring the quarterback in the Wake Forest game, registering six sacks in that outing  and Im betting they can replicate that here today on their way to a cover vs a hyped 3-0  public favorite( Pittsburgh) The L/4 times that Pittsburgh found themselves at 3-0 they failed to cash for their backers. I know Pitts D, looks strong but NC States offense looks capable of keeping pace . 

Take the points with NC State to cover 

Thanks to recency bias of a 2-0 and  103-10 winning deficit to start their season BYU has been raised to its highest bar in seasons. However, a natural letdown is expected by me vs  a Skip Holtz side that must not be underestimated in its ability to stay within the 24 point plus line . Holtz as a  Road Underdog is 23-9 ATS L/32 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.  

Louisiana Tech can really make a game fast and their pace right now is at  24.8 seconds per play.  The  offense has run 90% of plays through the 10 formation, and have gone to the air in  60% of those downs and overall  ranked top 20 through two games in passing success rate behind the arm of Luke Anthony. When your looking to back a underdog like this I truly have always believed that that teams needs to be offensively efficient  with a quick strike ability, and we have that  with LA Tech. 

BYU s 0-7 ATS as double-digit favorite when playing off back-to-back wins against an opponent  coming off a double-digit victory like LA Tech. 

Play on LA Tech to cover 

BYU started fast this season against a Navy team that was not prepared to play. The final 55-3 score was indicative of a side with more practice vs one that did not even take part in full contact drills. So Im not going to take alot from the Mormons game 1 win and crown them a top tier side just yet. Now after more than two weeks rest, BYU may also exhibit some rust, vs a well coached Troy team. Note: BYU is just 2-9 ATS L/11 with rest. It must be noted that Troys HC was the offensive coordinator  at Auburn and   a former quarterback coach at Troy and knows how to push a offense into warp speed.

BYU is 23-41 ATS  after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

The Trojans, are 10-0 ATS when coming off a non-conference win which was the case in the DD victory vs Midd Tenn State last time out. 

Play on Troy to cover 

Gamecocks are just  2-9 ATS   in the last eleven series meetings at home, and Im betting against them here today, as Tennessee according to my numbers should be closer to -6 favs. Yes even here on the road. Note: The Vols won their final 6 games of last season, and 17 starters back look like a viable bet vs a downtrending S.Carolina side that is 3-12 SU L/15 as a home dog. 

TENNESSEE is 18-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992.

CFB team (S CAROLINA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.\

Play on Tennessee to cover 

Duke brought in Trevor Lawrences backup from Clemson (Chase Brice) in the offseason, and the offense has sputtered accumulating just  19 points and two ugly losses. The duke D, ha also been horrendous allowing 825 yards in the two defeats, and Im betting things wont get much better today vs Virginia.  

The Cavaliers have owned this series of late winning 5 straight SU/ATS and considering Dukes 1-7 SU record in their L/8 ACC battles, it wont be a hard decision to bet against them here this Saturday. 

Play on Virginia to cover 

The undefeated No. 14 Bearcats host the 22nd-ranked Black Knights on Saturday. Cincinnati has lost 15 of its last 16 games against ranked teams and today Im betting if they get a win, it wont come so easily. 

ARMY is 5-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992.

CFB  road team vs. the money line (ARMY) - allowing 200 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 20-7 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Army to cover 

Liberty has just 9 returning starters and lost their  leading rusher from last season , as well as their quarterback and top receiver in addition to its 3 top tacklers on D. I know Florida International also lost some experience from last season, but their defense now bolstered by the return of  of twin Dames brothers make them a tough group to move the ball against. In my opinion we have value with the underdog to cover. 

CFB road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, game between two teams with 5 or less offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 32-8 ATS L/28 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Florida Int to cover 

Pittsburgh is 2-0 so far with wins vs Austin Peay and Syracuse. Meanwhile, Louisville was beaten by Miami Fl,last time out  but proved that they can score and are more than capable of hanging with the Panthers here today. Note: Pittsburgh as home favs , are less than a consistent bet as they sport a lowly  8-15-1 ATS L/24 record. Also Cardinal HC  Scott Satterfield is 17-4 SU when coming off a loss, including 8-0 ATS when off a double-digit ATS loss.

Play on the Louisville Cards to cover 

Georgia Tech as road favs did not sit well with me  knowing the school is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine away  trips when favored.  GTech is up-trending but laying wood with them on the road is not a recipe for success this early in their development. I know Syracuse is a side that no one loves these days, but now in desperation mode Dino Babers Orange Im betting come out here and leave everything on the field and get us the cover. 

Syracuse has covered 3 of their L/4 at home as 7 or more point dogs. 

CFB team (GEORGIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 10+ PPG, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Auburn has owned this overall series but have not played each other  since 2015 . Dating back to  2009 these teams have played 3 times.  Kentucky's last victory in this series in 2009 ended  a 15-game winning streak in the series for the Tigers. Both games played since that game were decided by a field goal and Im betting on another close affair here. I know Auburn is a top tier SEC team, but Bob Stoops group is ascending quickly and after looking at their recruiting class could be on the verge of something big. 

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

Play on Kentucky to cover

Midd Tenn State looked bad in its first two games of the season, while 2-0 UTSA has looked very good converting on 11 of 11 red zone opportunities. With these sides operating at the opposite  end of the performance spectrum its an easy decision for me to take the hungrier uptrending side playing at home. Key will be a Road runners ground game thats cranking out  5.6 ypc. 

CFB  home team vs. the money line (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 26-4 L/5 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at 17. 

CFB home team (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season is 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on UTSA to cover 

 Wake Forest got blasted last week  37-13 vs Clemson , and despite of the result played decently and now have a game under their belts. . This  will the  opener  for North Carolina State after having to cancel their  Virginia Tech tilt on Sept. 5 due to Covid problems. Wake Forest in game time experience will have an edge here today vs a Wolfpack side that they have beaten 3 straight times SU. 

Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson i in conference games in his career,   5-0 ATS as a underdog of 3 or less points. 

CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, returning an inexperienced QB and 5 or less offensive starters are 39-12 L/28 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

Forgive me if I dont buy into the Miami  hype. Ya the Canes took game 1 of their season against UAB , but make no mistake the uptrending Cardinal are a much more potent opponent than they faced last week and in their own diggs in front of 18000 fans Im betting Louisville take control of this game and get the cover. Note The Cardinal also have the added motivation of revenge for a 52-27 loss to Miami last season. 
 

UM is 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS L/10 as a dog in road openers. Louisville is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series.

NCAAF home team vs. the money line (LOUISVILLE) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 32-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average margin clicking in at +19.8 ppg. 

Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover 

UL-Monroe had their butts handed to them in a  37-7 loss at Army last week. While  Texas State  lost in OT by a  51-48 count  to UTSA. I know the Warhawks did not look good, but Army looks explosive and must not be disrespected . With that said, despite of Texas State looking much improved this season, that OT game last week will have them in a letdown spot . Note: The Warhawks have won 4 straight tilts vs   UTSA Bobcats who have dropped 6 straight road games, 8 of their last 9 vs. FBS schools, and 5 straight overall. Texas State is just  2-11 overall  vs. FBS teams under HC Jake Spivital and are fade material this week and 1-13 L/14 as visitors. 

Play on UL Monroe to cover

  Duke lost by 14-points last week at Notre Dame and looked very average the entire time vs a Irish squad that looked like they had alot of rust.  Today against new HC Jeff Hafley's BC Im betting things wont come much easier. The Golden Eagles return 9    starters on a defense that is up trending in my rankings .  I know the BC  offense no longer has  RB A.J. Dillon   and QB Anthony Brown in the lineup, but  they look good with  QB Phil Jurkovec in  from Notre Dame.  He will operate behind a big strong O-line that must be respected. 

Duke is 0-13 ATS as conference home favs of 17 points or less. Eagles are 11-1 ATS as road dogs of 10 or less points. The visitor in this series has cashed 4 straight times.

CFB Home favorites (DUKE) - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on Boston College to cover 

No.\11 ranked OSU is an explosive side behind RB Chubba Hubbard , WR Tylan Wallace , QB Spencer Sanders  and enter this season with a huge amount of experience as 18 returning starters  come back for what should be a peak year for the school. Meanwhile Tulsa, owns a D. that returns just 4 starters. That inexperienced D Im betting will get completely ripped apart today. Note: Oklahoma State HC Mike Gundy  in non- conference action is 12-0 ATS  L/12 overall.  

OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS  as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

 Golden Hurricane  have lost and failed to cover the last 4 meetings in this series  and have been horrendous in  Big 12 meetings losing 23 of 24 tilts straight up while covering just  6 times . 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

Both these teams up-trended last season behind new coaches.  This is a  rematch from last year’s 38-21 U of L victory vs WKU   in Nashville.  It must be noted that the Hilltoppers owns a  5-0-1 ATS Game One record and have cashed  9 of their L/12 ATS  as dogs of 12 or more points, and are a profitable  8-3 ATS with non-conference revenge. Meanwhile,  the Cardinal are 0-4 ATS as hosts vs a side with  non-conference revenge, and a lowly 2-7 ATS  as chalk  of  11  or more points. . Louisville is  just 1-9 ATS as DD home fav  against opposition  that won 5 or more games  last season.

The Hilltoppers' defense features defensive end DeAngelo Malone, the 2019 Conference USA Defensive Player of the Year. Malone helped the Hilltoppers limit opponents to 337.8 yards per game last season, ranking No. 30 nationally. Im betting on this veteran group to key on D, and for them to factor hugely into us getting  the cover. 

Western Kentucky to cover 

The Ramblin’ Wreck, go into this game against Florida State having now  covered six straight in this series, and have a recent history of road dog success in ACC tilts recording a  5-1-2 ATS mark in their last eight tilts. Georgia Tech returns 19 starters from last years sub par season, but after changing up their system from pound the ball on the ground football to run and gun football, Im betting their now more experienced and ready to uptrend vs a Florida State side, that still does not instill confidence after a 6-7 season last year. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS  when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Georgia tech to cover 

Kansas State is in a rebuilding zone with their offense , as their entire offensive line from last  year is gone with only three returning  Offensive starters in the lineup . Meanwhile, Arkansas State has almost their entire lineup back on  offense. Arkansas state showed their fortitude in a loss to Memphis to start their season, by a 37-24 count and will now not have to deal with rust like KState. Anderson is 15-6 ATS  when the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of ARKANSAS ST. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. S-Belt.

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

UAB has already played one game, putting up 45 points in a victory vs C.Arkansas and that is big factor here tonight against a higher tier team that has some rust , and that looked flat at the end of late season losing 3 straight. With only 13000 ppl expected home field advantage wont be a factor here. Canes Diaz is just 2-7 ATS as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS when laying 8 or more points. 
 

 HC Clark is 18-7 ATS  in the first half of the season as the coach of UAB.

Play on UAB to cover 

Nothing comes easy for UTEPs football program as is evident by  an 11-game losing streak and a current 2-34 SU run. Seeing them as TD favs did not sit well with me , even though they are playing lower tier competition.With that said, Im betting on a   Lumberjacks side that return a solid core on offense at key skill positions against a UTEP side that just does not have a tradition of winning. 

Play on SFA to cover 

These are two explosive offensive teams who were on great runs to end last season clash today on a tilt that Im betting will be much closer than the linesmakers estimate . Arkansas State has returning starters in key offensive categories, and even have their OC back. Memphis also has key guys back on offence, but new play callers on the sidelines, and one key absence ,Kenneth Gainwell (2000 all purpose yards, 16 TDS) out of the backfield which could be an issue here early on for the Tigers . 

CFB road team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS ST) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 450 or more total yards/game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 24-12. L/28 seasons for a 63% conversion rate which gives credence to to spread bet here getting points. 

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

The Knights are replacing some key  weapons, on both sides of the ball, and the defense is looking vulnerable,I know Middle Tenn State did not play. well last season, but they do have some key returning starters on offense back and should be able to make Army work hard here.  Army as favorites are  just 18-33-2  since 2005, failing to cover by just under three points per game on average and in  season openers, the Cadets own a money burning 4-11 ATS (26.6%) mark. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIDDLE TENN ST) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 35-9 L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Middle Tenn State 

Southern Miss has had to replace key components of its D, this off season, and already were having problems with their pass defence  last season ranking a  lowly 122nd in the nation. What Im betting on here tonight id for the South Alabama to take advantage of the Golden Eagles depleted secondary , and keep this game closer than the linesmakers predict. 

S ALABAMA is 19-8 ATS  in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

Play on South Alabama to cover 

Play on UAB to cover 

 The  Austin Peay  Governors are being underestimated here today. Austin Peay core for success is a ultra physical defense, having allowed only 104 yards per game last year while forcing nearly a fumble per game . Also last year when they played Central Arkansas the Governors  dominated the line of scrimmage for most of the game.  However, they  allowed two big plays late in the game and eventually lost.In last years tilt, of 15 total drives Central Arkansas  they only got into the red zone  twice, with one of the attempt starting at the Austin Peay 21-yard line. This year despite of new faces on the sidelines and under center and at the running back position Austin Peay are talented enough to hang here, and Im betting new HC Marquase Lovings formations and under rated coaching ability will get us  cover in this spot. Note: There are also expected Thunder showers today and some wind , which will greatly help Austin Peay get us a cover.

Austin Peay to cover 

I look at this game, and see an experienced tested  championship team like Clemson, going against an upstart LSU team that has had a tremendous success in the short term behind a very talented group of players, but lacks experience in big games. That experience and Clemsons superior defence Im betting wins out here today. Advantage Clemson. 

CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS  in road games after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons (Clemson 40.9 opp 11.1)

Swinney is 15-3 ATS  vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return as the coach of CLEMSON. 

Play on Clemson to cover  

Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

After a very strong start to their season Tulane fell apart down the stretch losing 5 of their L/6 and are on a 3 game losing streak. Their demise has a lot to do with the disintegration of their  offensive line coupled with the struggles of  LSU transfer QB Justin McMillan, who was sacked 18 times  during that ugly  6-game run. Here against a Southern Miss D,  ranked No. 36 in the country in total defense (350.3 ypg). Im betting the Wave scoring output will once again be curtailed . Meanwhile,The Golden Eagles have relied heavily on their passing  game this season as . Southern Miss ranked among the top 25 nationally and led Conference USA in passing offense (288.6 ypg) during the regular season,  and today Im betting on them hitting enough explosive plays to get us the promised land and get us the cover.

Play on Southern Miss to cover

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

The Wolf Pack played in the 2006 and 2008 bowls, losing to Miami and Maryland, respectively. The Bobcats played in the 2011 bowl, beating Utah State. 

This Ohio football  program has  a viable strong history and culture under Solich that has an explosive offense and that Im betting will be the difference maker here today.

Add to that Nevada will be without key starters on the defensive side of the ball  for a brawl they had with UNLV in their last game of the season and have a new defensive coordinator for this game, which is not a good omen for a  Wolfpack side that   ranks 116th in defensive rushing success rate and 115th in line yards.  With that said, Im betting on Solich pounding the rock on the ground today for big gains and score behind Rourke and for Nevadas inconsistent offence to have issues repsonding.

  Solich is 9-2 ATS  after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of OHIO U.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U) - excellent offensive team ( 440  or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 38-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ohio . to cover 

Indiana must not be underestimated here behind an  offense that ranked No. 14 in offensive SP+.  This Hoosiers side , looked very viable against a top tier opponent in Penn State in mid-November and just missed on a victory at Michigan State when the Spartans were ranked No. 25 in late September. This is a good team, and despite of Tennessee turning a corner and up-trending Im betting they hit a disrespected buzz saw here today and end up on the wrong side of the ATS sheet. Note:  Vols Wide receiver Jauan Jennings a future NFLer in the  will sit the first half with a  suspension from a sideline altercation against Vanderbilt, that Im betting will have Tennessee starting slow offensively. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - off a home win against a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

All-American LT Andrew Thomas not suiting up for Georgia and  starting RT Isaiah Wilson also out out as they prepare for the NFL draft as well as  starting guard Ben Cleveland  who was ruled academically ineligible.It does end there as the Dawgs will also be  without its top two receivers a Lawrence Cager and Dominick Blaylock  as they deal with injuries. Georgias key RBs could also be out as leading rusher DeAndre Swift,  is banged up and hobbled and could easily just try to get healthy before the  NFL Draft and skip here or see very limited action. Add to that  James Cook,  is in trouble with the law for a having a gun in his car, and you have an array of Georgia Bulldogs  out or missing and team with very little motivation taking the field today against a hard working Baylor team, that has a coach on the sidelines in Matt Rhule who has thrived in the underdog role for bettors, going 33-15 ATS getting points and 30-14-1 ATS in neutral site tilts . Some times Bowl games are all about motivation that off sets some talent issues. Kirby Smarts group is a team that could easily just be going through the motions here today, while Baylor will be sky high and ready to make a mark and get this program back on the College football map again.Per Rhule, he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion.

"Our guys value the opportunity to compete. I think they value the opportunity to compete against one of the best teams in the country," Rhule said. "What a great measuring stick for us as a program, our players. And we have a lot of guys that -- everyone is going to play."

Rhule is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Rhule is 11-1 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992

BAYLOR is 7-1 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Advantage Baylor plus the points 

Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA

 I was surprised to see this line float into the FG range with  Wisconsin, as according to my projections the underdog Oregon Ducks were the slightly superior side and matchup well against a team like Wisconsin that uses their running attack as a key to controlling time of possession . I know many pundits have not given the Ducks D, the kudos they deserve this season, because of perception . The Ducks are perceived as just an explosive offensive team, but the real truth is that they are balanced and have shown themselves resilient defensively holding 6 teams to season low offensive yards output.Key here today will be pressure on Whiskeys QB- look for  Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year Kayvon Thibodeaux (team-high 14.0 tackles for loss, 9.0 sacks) to pace an Oregon defense  ranked No. 11 in the country with 41 sacks.

QUOTE: "Between Oregon and Ohio State, they both have amazing athletes on the field that get after the quarterback and make big plays," Badgers quarterback Jack Coan told reporters. "They're an amazing defense." END QUOTE:

OREGON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. OREGON is 45-14 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game and is 32-9 ATS  after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half. 

It must also be noted that Mario Cristobal’s Ducks  are a bankroll expanding  8-0  ATS as underdogs  versus the Big 10 opposition, and 11-2 SU and 12-1 ATS as dogs with rest. 

CFB Bowl pups with 17 or more returning starters from last year returning if they  won 8 or less games,  and are coming off an ATS win of 3-plus points, are 15-1 ATS since 1990.  (Oregon fits this description)

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX

HC Herman of Texas may not have a great overall record with this program of late, but what he does well is to get his teams to play tough competition at a top tier level as is evident by cashing 15 of his L/20 as an underdog. Im betting on Texas here today vs a Utah team that was humbled in their last game of the season vs Oregon .Because of that mentioned debacle the Utes missed the play offs and may not be as motivated as need be here vs a Texas side that has won their L/3 Bowl appearances.

Utah will be at a disadvantage with All-Pac-12 safety Julian Blackmon (knee) and cornerback Jaylon Johnson (NFL draft) both ruled out. So Sam Ehlinger should have success behind what is a healthy Longhorn offence, that will have senior wideout Collin Johnson (hamstring) and junior tight end Cade Brewer (ankle)in the lineup and ready to play.

TEXAS is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game  which happened in their last game of the regular season in a 49-24 victory vs Texas Tech. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Arizona Bowl - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

Georgia state according to my power rankings matches up very well vs this punchless Wyoming football program that will have problems taking advantage of a sometimes porous GState D.  On the flip side,  Georgia State averages 32.5 PPG and is ranked  No. 14 in the nation with their ground attack and  27th in total offense and should do more than enough damage to secure a cover here . Note:Sun Belt   conference teams have been cash cows  in bowl games since 2013  going 26-9  straight up and SBC bowl pups  of  3  or more points are a bankroll expanding  11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS and get the nod again this New Years eve.

Georgia State to cover 

Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN

Navy triple option offence ranks no1. in the nation in rushing  and  they also own the   No. 2 Red Zone Offense. Your always going to get a great effort from a military teams, as is evident by Navys 5-0 ATS run  as a bowl favorite . Navy is not only hard working but very disciplined ranking No. 3 in nation with the least penalties. It must be noted that Military teams are 10-1 L/11 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points in Bowl games.

Kansas their opponent a team that lost 5 of 6 stats battles against Bowl teams might seem like a good matchup for the Middies, but despite of similar mind sets about running the ball and time of possession control , their actually not as cohesive or consistent as they seem as it must be noted that  the Wildcats rank No. 130 in Red Zone Defense. I know the  reputation of their current HC Chris Klieman (former North Dakota State super coach) but he lacks Bowl experience and that is going to be a detriment to him here today when this is all said and done. 

Tuesday’s Bowl tilt is about finishing their season with gusto for Navy. The Middies have a chance to tie the program record of 11 wins set in 2015 and end the year in the Associated Press rankings for just the third time in the past 56 years and Im betting on a humungous effort from them here today. 

. NAVY is 7-1 ATS  as a favorite this season. 

NAVY is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - excellent passing team (8.3  or better PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Navy to cover 

Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX

Mike Norvell has left Memphis and is now the new HC at Florida State. He won't be on the sidelines today, butIm sure he is having an influence already which is a positive going into this Bowl game Meanwhile, this Sun Devils  program is missing some key players here today on offence which will hinder their ability to be offensively aggressive ie 1000 yard rusher  Running back Eno Benjamin, and a 1000 yard receiver in Brandon Aiyuk  who are out getting ready for the NFL draft. Add to that to tha the Devils t have a lousy ATS record as bowlers as is evident by a   0-7 ATS mark all tine in Bowl games   versus the ACC. Add to that  PAC 12 teams are  just. 2-20 ATS L/3 seasons in Bowl games  .  ARIZONA ST iw also s 0-6 ATS  as a favorite this season and are fade material here vs a FSU side feeling good about themselves at the moment behind a new mentor. 

Play on FSU 

"I think our guys know I plan on being here for a long time. I know what I have here. I love being here. I think we're building a championship program here." – UF head coach Dan Mullen on NFL rumors. 
( The core of this team looks towards the future with Mullens on the sidelines which is both a key mitigating and momentum based factor that has me supporting the Gators here today on a two TD line)

This team has come a long way over the last two seasons and are only getting better. Virginia is a fine football program, but their over matched here by an over powering SEC team , and as this game moves forward the Gators Im betting will run away with this. 

Play on Florida to cover 

Projected score: Clemson 31 Ohio State  27

Camping World Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL

Notre Dame owns a top tier offence butI Iowa State  behind quarterback Brock Purdy, who completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,760 yards, 27 touchdowns are no pushovers and deserve respect as underdogs in a neutral field environment. HC Kelly of Notre Dame  said could not afford to take Iowa State for granted. "This is a really good football team that could easily be 11-1," Kelly said. "We know what we're getting."Explosive offenses in the Big 12, really solid defensively, physical football team, well coached -- Matt Campbell is an outstanding football coach. It's going to be a good football team we're playing." I agree with Kellys assessments, and wont be surprised by a SU upset victory by the Cylcones here today. 

IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games .

Iowa State is 31-13 ATS L/44 as a dog. 

Play on Iowa State to cover 

Cotton Bowl - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX

Memphis seems to be a popular pick here by some pundits, but with HC Norvell  no longer on th sidelines for Memphis after taking the HC job at Florida State Im betting his former team may not have the needed guidance to deal with a top tier Penn State team that has tangled with some of the best teams in the country.You have to remember  Penn State  made Ohio State work hard for a 28-17 win in 2nd last game of the season. The way I lookout this is, if Memphis had some problems dealing with Cincinnatis D, they are really going to have issues taking on what Im betting is the most physical group they have faced all season long here vs the Nitanny Lions. Like the old saying goes, offence gets you to a championship but defensewins those big games. The good thing for Penn State is that they both have a  upper shelf D, to go a long with a under rated offence and Im betting they get the job done here today vs the underdog that is loved by the public because of their prolific scoring abilities. 

Penn Statest wo losses have come on the road by a combined 16 points to then-No. 17 Minnesota and No. 2 Ohio State.

Play on Penn State to cover 

Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY

MSU has gone against some of the best teams in the country this season and are more than prepared to take on Wake Forest in this Bowl tilt. Dantonio already owns school records for most bowl wins (five) and bowl appearances (12), including a school-record four-game bowl winning streak with victories in the 2011 Outback Bowl vs. No. 18 Georgia, 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl over TCU, 2014 Rose Bowl against No. 5 Stanford, and 2015 Cotton Bowl vs. No. 4 Baylor. The Spartans defeated No. 18 Washington State, 42-17, in the 2017 Holiday Bowl.

MSU has won five of its last seven bowl games.

Michigan State D, will out perform Wakes viable offence. After facing the likes of Penn State , Michigan, and Wisconsin the Spartans are more than ready for what comes their way here at Yankee Stadium.

CFB team (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan State to cover 

 Military Bowl - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD

Mack Brown  has moved North Carolina forward since taking over as a coach and alosmot pulley's doff an upset vs Clemson earlier this season and  now gets a Bowl Game to preview their ascension..  Despite of this Im still not 100% sold on the Tar Heels and recently the  ACC in Bowl games have failed to cash 4 straight as chalk against  the AAC. Also  Brown himself is just   1-7 ATS as a  a HC as a bowl favorite of 4 or more points. Meanwhile, Temple  is a team that must not be underestimated in their tenacity and are 5-1 ATS as an underdog while  winning four times SU. The Temple offense was serviceable at 27.4 PPG (though 4-points below what their foes allowed on the season). The Owls defense is their strength and  allowed just  23.4 PPG and were No. 4 in Red Zone Defense this season and will be the difference maker today.  TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Temple to cover 

Motivation might be a issue here for Pittsburgh, but their defence is head and shoulders the superior side here today vs an atrocious E. Michigan D. I know the Panthers offence has taken some time to jell cohesively behind a new pass happy system, but today they should be able to get things going vs a below average secondary and a Eagles D, that rank 129th in both Line Yards and Stuff Rate. Note:MAC bowlers are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS as underdogs of 8 or more points.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA

The LA Tech  Bulldogs enter this game with a lot to prove after losing the CUSA championship game UAB. It must also be mentioned that their starting QB was suspended for that tilt, but will play today behind what will be a crowd that is on their sides here in Shreveport . Note: LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons Tech are a talented bunch that is not getting enough respect here vs a inconsistent Miami Florida football program, that is ranked  No. 130 in 3rd Down Conversion Percentage  and No. 120 in Red Zone Offense and will be missing three  future NFL starters including their top wide receiver Jeff Thomas. The Bulldogs averaged  34 PPG and 445 YPG,  on offence and had a D that was ranked  No. 3 in Red Zone Defense. Im not a big Manny Diaz fan, and just don't like his mojo so betting against him is not a difficult proposition for me. Miami is just 2-9 SU L/11 Bowl games including a ugly 0-6 ATS as chalk Skip Holtz's  5-1 ATS in bowl game record shines through and gets my support. 

Play on LA Tech to cover 

Hawaii Bowl - Aloha Stadium - Halawa, HI

 Hawaii had a good season overall  as they made it all the way to the Mountain West Championship game. Now the  Warriors get to host a BYU team that is bringing cheerleaders, their families, and even key donors to this game. Its going to be far from a (its all business type of experience for BYU ) and more like a vacation to paradise island which is a negative for game preparation. 

Both teams  pound the ball efficiently but the difference maker comes down to the arm of .Hawaii’s Cole McDonald who has thrown for  29 touchdown passes. 

BYU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season. 

The dog has cashed 9 of the L/12 Hawaii Bowls. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Gasparilla Bowl - Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL

 This will the Herds  second straight Bowl game here in Raymond James Stadium, and they have a comfort edge going for them in this matchup vs UCF.  It is the fourth time that Marshall has played in the Tampa/St. Petersburg-based bowl game. The Herd is currently 3-0 in its trips to the contest. Add to that Marshall recruits a large number of its players from Florida, and many of them are excited to go home, and show case their abilities, so this Thundering Herd team will be motivated and Im betting they are viable underdogs in this spot play. 

UCF is 1-7 ATS  after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games this season.

MARSHALL is 12-2 ATS in a bowl game since 1992. Holliday is 6-0 ATS/SU  in a bowl game as the coach of MARSHALL and is 11-2 ATS  in games played on a neutral field since 1992.

Take the points with Marshall to cover 

 New Orleans Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA

The Blazers have shown themselves to be talented but highly inconsistent this season, and undisciplined, after a  6-1 start  went  just 3-3 at the finish line , and were smashed in their conference championship game by DDs vs an explosive FAU side.  However, UAB coach Clark’s has proven before that he can engineer a quick bounce back off defeat as is evident by a  12-4 SU and 11-3-1 ATS record in his career. Clark is 8-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of UAB. 

 Blazers really need a good showing here after that above mentioned debacle in the CUSA championship game. This is a chance to do it by hanging tough against a ranked Appalachian State side, that despite of a great season,  are getting a very average Bowl show case that might not have them very excited to play in. Note: This also an easy trip for UAB fans so Im betting the majority of the crowd will be backing the Blazers, which will buoy their chances here two fold. 

CFB  Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (APPALACHIAN ST) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a good team (60% to 80%). are 31-63 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UAB to cover 

  Lane Kiffin has left the Florida Atlantic sidelines   but things are looking up as    Willie Taggart is about to take over. Add to that a new defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer stepping in for this game and  the Owls look like a football program with upside, and the ability to upend SMU here today. You have to remember, that FAU owns a big play attack with  and with SMU secondary  giving up 285 yards per game their vulnerable to be nipped here for big yards , gains and subsequent scores. on the flip side, Im betting the Mustangs will have problems running the ball vs a Owls team that have allowed fewer than 100 yards in five of their last ten games. If SMU cant run the ball, their passing game will be easier to read, and problems will arise as this tilt goes on. 

SMU is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-9 ATS  in road games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.

FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Florida Atlantic to cover 

New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM

Central Michigan comes into the New Mexico Bowl featuring a multi dimensional  offense. Chippewas running back Jonathan Ward has rushed for 1,082 yards along with hefty 6.2 yards per carry. His 15 touchdown runs rank third in the MAC. Meanwhile, Quarterback Quinten Dormady, a transfer from Tennessee, finished the regular season looked like a gunslinger. He completed 71 % or more of his pass attempts in the final three games leading into the MAC championship game, effectively spreading the ball among a number of pass-catchers. Im betting this group will test San Diego State sturdy D, alot more than recent opponents and make life difficult for a team that will be in an uncomfortable situation of having to open up . 

HC Rocky Long is just 4-9 ATS in his career in Bowl Games. 

C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS vs. average passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS  after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season.

Play on Central Michigan to cover 

The Celebration Bowl is one of the most competitive bowl games on the schedule each year. Each Celebration Bowl has been decided by a touchdown or less. Last year the North Carolina A&T Aggies snuck past  Alcorn State Braves by the slimmest of margins  24-22. Looking at both teams numbers, from this season suggest both possesses balanced defences and offences and matchup well against each other in a game that should be a pickem, thus getting points makes for a solid wager according to my projections. 

Play on Alcorn State to cover 

Bahamas Bowl - Thomas Robinson Stadium - Nassau,

CUSA’s record of 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS versus MAC opponents in Bowl games has me looking directly at a up trending Charlotte football program as viable underdogs here today in this Bowl game. Don't get me wrong Buffalo is a fine team and were 7-5 on the season, but they were far from perfect and periodically fell asleep at the proverbial wheel. Meanwhile, their opponents today the niners, finished their season in over powering fashion, going 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, and 5-0 ITS and deserve respect here getting points. It must also be noted that Buffalo Bulls , HC  Leipold  is bankroll depleting  0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away vs a above .500 team like Charlotte. 

BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS L/16 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHARLOTTE) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 38-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

AMERICAN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

The Tigers closed -14   against Cincinnati in their meeting last week, and despite of not covering looked like the far superior side. Now on a single digit line their is value with the favorite in the rematch. I know quarterback Desmond Ridder is back for the Bearcats but he was highly erratic in recent starts and is still dealing with a shoulder injury that is less than 100% healed. I must also be noted that Cincinnati has lost the stats battles in 8 of their 12 games this season , including 1-7 ITS the last eight overall tilts and over rated in my humble opinion at this juncture of the season. Note: MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS L/12 in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

 When these teams met earlier this season in Waco the Bears built a  28-3 lead against the Sooners, but blew that lead as the Sooners woke up and won 34-31. Now in this championship game Oklahoma will be fully focused and be ready for this tilt and will be prepared for a fast start and keep the pedal to the proverbial metal from start to finish. The Sooners football program owns a 9-1 record and 8-2 ATS mark in big 12 championship games.The  favorite is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS the last nine tilts  in this event. Also recently the Sooners are 11-2 ATS  as single-digit chalk.  The Sooners also have the motivation of getting the final and 4th spot in the college football play off, but their victory has to be convincing to beat out a impressive Utah side and will be merciless here if up.

CFB team (BAYLOR) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 37-78 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 68% conversion rate.

Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover 

 Billy Napier, UL Lafayette is a highly under rated team and from a bettors perspective an ATN machine cashing   18 of 25 times for a 72 % conversion rate for bettors. I know App State is nationally ranked side, but when these teams played earlier this season the Cajuns stayed with them almost every step of the way and the 17-7 ,  10 point margin of victory for the Mountaineers was a little misleading. Since that above mentioned loss to App State , the Cajuns have reeled off 6 straight wins and must not be underestimated in their ability to cash a ticket for us today on what is now a bloated line according to my projections. 

LA LAFAYETTE is 10-1 ATS  after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games which was the case last time out vs UL Monroe. 

APPALACHIAN ST is 4-14 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LA LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UL Lafayette to cover 

UCLA was up-trending until a recent two game road trip settled their season, and bowl chances as they were hammered by USC and Utah in back to back tilts. It must be noted UCLA is 8-19 ATS  after a 2 game road trip since 1992. Now downtrodden and emotionally let down Im betting they dont have much left in the tank to take on a tough California Bears team, that now has their strong signal caller Chase Gerber  back under center. With California needing a win for a Bowl appearance and revenge on their minds for a loss last season to the Bruins as 7 points favs, Im betting a strong motivated  California performance. UCLA is 0-5-1 ATS L/6 final home games. 

Play on California to cover 

Nevada is off a big upset win vs Fresno State on the road last week and have won 3 straight, and now have momentum coming home on senior day vs instate rivals UNLV. The Pack will be primed and motivated to also take the Fremont Cannon. The Wolf Pack have won four of its five games in Mackay Stadium this season,   including a win vs Big 10 opponent  Purdue by a  34-31, count, and a very viable team to back here this Saturday. 

CFB  home team vs. the money line (NEVADA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog are 33-1 L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +25 ppg. 

Nevada to cover 

Rice has won 2 straight games entering this tilt, and have momentum and confidence on their sides. I know Rice struggled for most of the season, but during their campaign they have shown flashes of brilliance and were up-trending in my power rankings and deserve their road favrote status here today. UTEP is 2-9 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.6 ppg. 

CFB Road favorites  (RICE) - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 37-1  L/5 seasons and 15-0 SU this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +23.2 ppg, 

Play on Rice to cover 

New Mexico State is a team that has not won on the road yet this season, and have been outscored by a 123-48 count in their L/3 away tilts. Today  Im betting they get clobbered again vs an explosive up-trending Liberty football program putting more than 35 ppg on the board this season. Note: NM St has allowed more than 40 ppg on average. 

NEW MEXICO ST is 4-15 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. with the average ppg diff clicking in at -29.5 ppg.

CFB Road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NEW MEXICO ST) - an average offensive team (21 to 28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG), after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 34-10 L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Liberty to cover 

Since losing  QB Sean Chambers for the season, the Cowboys justdont have much offensive flow they need to be competitive .  Their D, remains stout, but against a team like Air Force that can put points on the board against the best of Ds. their in trouble. 

Calhoun is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry as the coach of AIR FORCE. 

CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (AIR FORCE) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Air Force to cover  

Michigan finally looks prepared to move forward and get a win vs unbeaten Ohio State  this week as underdogs behind the arm of Shea Patterson and a defence that is playing its best football of the season. I know the Buckeyes have won 7 straight meetings in this series, but after watching Michigan play some amazing football of late, including last weeks DD blowout of Indiana  Michigan looks  very capable. Last year Ohio State humiliated , the Wolverines in a 62-39 smash down and now revenge is also in play.  Note: The under dog  is 5-1 ATS  last 6 meetings, and HC  Jim Harbaugh is 5-0-1 ATS as a Big Ten circuit getting points at home  of more than 5 points, and has cashed  in 5 of his L/6 with conference revenge.It must also noted that  undefeated road chalk in their final game of the campaign has won just 5 of 16 tilts  SU and are just  3-13 ATS when facing .700 or greater opposition. 

MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS  in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.

CFB  Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 38-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan to cover

Lovie Smith has done a fine job with Illinois , but with his top QB Brandon Peters injured or less than 100% which put the team at a disadvantage. Peters started 10 of the 11 games. Look for Northwestern dominating front 7 to the work needed to slow Illinois and for us to get the cover .

NORTHWESTERN is 22-10 ATS L/32 in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game.

ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. Northwestern has won 4 straight meetings, and have owned the Land of Lincoln trophy and wont relinquish it without a fight.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NORTHWESTERN) - in a game involving two average rushing teams (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) after 7+ games are 57-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northwestern to cover

The battle of I-4 goes this Friday between instate rivals UCF and USF. Charlie Strongs Bulls wont be going Bowling this season,so this esentially is their big game of the campaign, and Im betting they will muster a way to stay competetive and get the cover against a a good but defensively challenged Knights side that allows more than 28 ppg. 

S FLORIDA is 18-6 ATS L/24  in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game.S FLORIDA is 16-4 ATS L/20  after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half.Strong is 22-5 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFB Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points (S FLORIDA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102 -57 L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on South Florida to cover

Troy looked horrendous last week, in a 53-3 loss vs UL Lafayette on the road and was most probably in a look ahead situation knowing App State was up next and also regressing after some record setting offensive performances. This Friday however, Im looking on a giant bounce back effort, behind the arm of .QB Kaleb Barker  who was held without a touchdown pass for the first time this season in the Louisiana game.

I know Cincinnati has not looked its best over the last couple of weeks, especially on offence, but their D is of the top tier variety nationally and are hard to beat, even when taking on an explosive offence like Memphis that  ranks Top 10 nationally in points (42.2) and yards per game (488.2). This Cincinnati team has won 9 straight SU, with their only loss coming against Ohio State , and must not be underestimated as DDs here in Memphis today. 

CINCINNATI is 16-4 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games.

MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS off 2 consecutive road wins.

CFB Road underdogs (CINCINNATI) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (80%or more ) are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Iowa earned a 31-28 win over the Cornhuskers last year in Iowa City and Im betting on another closely contested affair here that will see me back Nebraska getting points at home. Because this game comes on a Friday,  and both sides having only had 6 days to prepare , this is a a situation that  favors the home side. 

This tilt is of ultra importance to this Nebraska football program as a win here would get them a bowl game, and give credence to HC Frosts  tenure and his teams progression upwards in the Big 10. Everything will be left on the field today in Lincoln by the Cornhuskers. 

Play on Nebraska to cover 

 Missouri has lost five in a row while losing the stats wars n all 5 tilts  and needs a win to get a lower tier  Bowl appearance.  They have shown little motivation recently and I doubt we will see them put together some pride here . Meanwhile, Arkansas are not much better at  just 2-9 SU on the season, but, from a long term betting perspective are 18-8 ATS as conference home dogs of  17 or less points. Last year Missouri clobbered the Razorbacks by a 38-0 count so Im betting on revenge and redemption to go hand and hand here with a strong effort from Hogs  here tonight in Little Rock. 

Play on Arkansas to cover 

Kent State has fought hard to make it to a point in the season where they can  get a bowl appearance with a win today thanks some surprising wins . But it must be noted that Kent States football program has not travelled well of late losing 19 of their L/21 away from home.  Its been a real uphil battle for the Flashes, and Im betting they are most probably out of gas, and very much vulnerable to getting steamrolled vs a team ready to notch their 4th straight home coming event and a 7win season that will buoy them to a possible Bowl invite. E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. 

CFB Home favorites  (E MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 39-2 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. 

CFB team (KENT ST) - good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on E.Michigan to cover 

The Ole Miss Rebels have revenge on board for last seasons Nasty and merciless 35-3 beatdown at the hands of Mississippi State and have had this revenge scenario circled on their calendars for a long time now. It must be noted that the Rebs  are 13-4 SU / ATS when playing with revenge in this series, and Im betting they cover again and also look lie viable SU winner here as well. 

CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 7-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

Hawaii as a favorite vs this type of tough defence that San Diego State has is a go against situation for me. Whenever a top tier offence  like the Warriors  goes up against a top tier D like the Aztecs, Im almost always taking the defence as long as the math behind the play makes sense.Hawaii is 2-15-1 ATS in its last eighteen games as a favorite and  is  4-18-1 ATS, 1-11 ATS at home, and 3-15 SU against San Diego State over the last 23 head to head meetings which is not s good omen for a Hawaii team that upset Rocky Longs side in his last game of the season last year.  Now with revenge on board  I look for the Aztecs to be fully awake and ready for payback on paradise island this Saturday night. Note: Hawaiis HC Nick Rolovich is 0-9-1 ATS L/10 as a home favourite. 

Play on San Diego State to cover 

Utah State QB  junior Jordan Love,  departed last Saturday's victory over Wyoming with an undisclosed injury and rumors are he wont start today, which significantly gives Boise State an edge here on the road tonight. Meanwhile, the status , Bosie State QBs looks more positive as as capable second-stringer Chase Cord (670 yards, nine touchdowns, three interceptions) is listed as probable .

Harsin is 8-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFBFavorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BOISE ST) - excellent offensive team (440  or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 37-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boise State to cover 

The Sooners have pounded TCU the last 3 times they have met them by scores of 52-27, 41-17, and 38-20 and Im betting on a repeat performance here this Saturday. The one game that the Frogs looked bad in this year was against Iowa State losing a 49-27 beat down, and this is another bad matchup for TCU according to my power rankings .  

OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS  in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +39.4 ppg. 

TCU is 2-10 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Home favorites  (OKLAHOMA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff of +20 going on the board. 

Play on Oklahoma to cover 

Temples last two losses have come to UCF and SMU both by DD deficits and my own personal opinion is that they are over rated. Now they go against a team that is every bit as good as those two teams and maybe even better from a all around perspective. With that said, Im betting on the Bearcats to proverbially eat the Owls alive here and take this tilt in convincing fashion, much to a chagrin of a public that believes Temple is an elite team. I know Temple has won the last two meetings in this series SU, in 2017, and 2018 but those incarnations of those football programs are vastly different than this version of each team. Add to that a revenge scenario and the Bearcats look like solid choices at anything under -10 points. 

CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog are 32-1 SU L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +24.7 ppg.

Play on the Cincinnati to cover 

 Florida Atlantic has won 4 straight ATS/SU on the road behind an explosive offence and enter into this game looking to finsih strong and are still in the fight for the Conference USA East title .With tha said, Im betitng the Owls  will be primed to perform here this week vs a UTSA side with not enough fire power to compete or even give their supporters a back door cover.
 HC  Owlsley  is 3-1-1 ATS all-time as double-digit road favorite.  .

Play on FAU to cover 

 TROY is heating up and off huge back to back wins behind the arm of QB Kaleb Barker who has passed  for nearly 700 yards and 9 TDs vs Georgia Southern and Texas State . Troy is now  5-5 on the season, and need one win to get a Bowl game and will leave everything on the field  again this week vs UL Lafayette side that allowed S.Alabama to roll over them last week for 458 yards.  The Trojans have covered in five of the last six road tilts in this series  and get my support again taking points in a key game for them. 

Play on Troy to cover

Quarterback Ian Book etched his name into the Notre Dame annals last week, setting a school record with his third game of the season with at least five touchdown passes and Im betting he keeps trucking along this week vs a inconsistent Boston College secondary in what Im betting will be a big DD victory for the Catholic boys. I know Boston College is off a rest week, but that still wont save them vs a side ready to celebrate a senior day victory. 

NOTRE DAME is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff registering at +24.8. 

CFB home team  (NOTRE DAME) - a top caliber team (14 or more  PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 5 PPG diff.) after 7 or more games, after scoring 50 points or more last game are 27-1 L/27 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with ppg diff clicking  in a +24.7. 

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

The GT Yellow Jackets have opened as a small favorite in this matchup despite of some of their inadequacies . They had played 3 tough games, against Duke, Pittsburgh, and Miami, and than beatenn and battered were clobbered by VTech 45-0  last time out. Now its bounce back time for the  under rated Ramblin reck.  It must be noted that the NC State Wolfpack have  lost all four of their road games this season by an average of 22.5 PPG . It's become obvious that the Wolfpack  seem ill prepared to play their opposition away from home and are fade material here in this spot vs a side that needs redemption badly. 

NC STATE is 0-6 ATS vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game over the last 3 seasons.NC STATE is 0-6 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NC STATE is 0-8 ATS L/8 after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnover.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NC STATE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-27 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on GTech to cover 

The Bobcats hopes for a MAC title or anything even close to that ranking  were  put to end over the last couple of  weeks thanks  in part to a porous defence. Now they are being made 21 point chalk. The line is viable, but the Bobcats motivational stimulus is not there , which makes taking the points a investment option.OHIO U is 0-7 ATS   as a favorite this season.OHIO U is 9-21 ATS  in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992. I know Bowling Green does not inspire most bettors, but they have shown flashes of life of late with wins vs Toledo and Akron of late. 

Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bobcats are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Bobcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Bowling Green.Bobcats are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 meetings.

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

LSU after a monumental win vs Alabama last week, will now find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a Mississippi program, that needs two wins before the reg season ends to become Bowl eligible. After a week of celebrating the Tigers hangover is real, and mustering the energy to play at 100% will be nearly impossible if improbable which opens up the door for a motivated home dog that has cashed in  4 of their L/5 at home vs .850 or better opposition to get us the cover. Note: Underdogs who win matchups of 6-0 or better teams  are 0-6 ATS in the followup as favorites of 21 or less points since 1980. 

 LSU is 2-10 ATS L/12 off an upset win as a road underdog.

CFB team (OLE MISS) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 92-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

The under achieving Cardinals lost in Colorado in their last game 16-13. But its important to note Stanfords coach Shaw  in his career has been  a bounce back specialist to the extreme, as his team when coming off a SU favorite loss, are 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS , including 15-0 ATS the last fifteen tilts .  With Stanford  getting double digits on the road Saturday we have a value side to bet into vs a Washington State side, that despite of owning a top tier offence, also have a horrendous D and because of this , sit at the bottom of the PAC 12 North. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and Im betting will get the cheese again.

STANFORD is 23-9 ATS  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more  yards/game .

STANFORD is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON ST since 1992.

CFB team (WASHINGTON ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2  or more YPP) against a team with a struggling defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB team (WASHINGTON ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average offensive team (330-390 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover 

Minnesota has surprised alot of pundits this season, and are now 9-0 on the season after beating a very good Penn State team last week. The Gophers were sky higher for that game, and left everything on the field and now a natural regression and emotional let down situation  is at hand here in Iowa this Saturday. Note: College Football 8-0 or better away teams off a double-digit ATS win as an underdog are 0-6 ATS dating back 37 seasons.

IOWA is 20-7 ATS L/27 vs. explosive offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game.

OWA is 11-1 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992.

CFB team (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 17-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover