E.Michigan is a horrendous team to watch. Ya they sling the ball down field well, but just stand   around like pilons on defense, as the offense waits to come back on the field.  E. Mich has allowed 58, 44, 47, 63, and 49 points respectively in their L/5 games.This Thursday night, however, the offense, Im betting wont get much traction as the defense gets smashed again vs a  Western Michigan football program that has faced Michigan state and Ohio State this season and played admirably in those contests. I also expect the E.Michigan D, to wear down to nothing as this tilt progresses, and for this contest to end in a  one sided beat down of ugly proportions. E MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS  against conference opponents over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 26.3 ppg. 

Western Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Utah is No. 3 in the country, and are the only undefeated school in the Pac-12. But here they are an underdog.  Many pundits may have been surprised ,but I was not. Utah needed 20 unanswered fourth-quarter points to beat Arizona State at home, and were out played at home two weeks ago vs California and had no right to win that game , but did . I believe the Utes are extremely overrated and their ranking questionable . Now this week vs an extremely talented and hungry USC team, the Utes go down to defeat. 

USC to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Kentucky is a public darling. Everyone likes offense, and the way this team slings the ball down field, The Hiltoppers,can score in bunches , but  have not gone unnoticed by the elite teams in College Football, and after Memphis beat Ole Miss last week, you can bet that the Tigers won't be looking ahead or in trap situation, as they take their opposition lightly. Instead, the home team will be fully focused, and ready to make a statement. Hold your hats folks, the public darlings might just end up on a wrong end of a good old fashioned Boyou ass whoopin.

If you look at the  power on the rushing games and the intensity of the passing game, LSU overshadows WKU is almost all aspects of the game. Defense is what WKU would have to rely on to stop the run and pass -This WKU team gave up 38 points to Indiana and La. Tech.  They gave up 28 points to North Texas

 Does this sound like a LSU team that is looking ahead:

"This is a very good football team," Miles said. "All you have to do is watch film. ... Doughty, every bit an SEC quarterback, big,talented, strong, smart quarterback. Big arm. Again, enough (that if) you watch the film, he'll get your attention."

LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hawaii is  playing their second straight mainland away game, and will be in a letdown mode after losing a lead last time out for a loss. They are currently on bankroll depleting  1-8 ATS run in the second of back-to-back away games and  and under  HC Chow 1-21 SU . You know how teams are distracted by visits to paradise island to play the Warriors, well the same holds true for young men visiting Reno or Vegas. I expect Nevada rolls to victory . 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection

Despite of some strong recruiting classes, some of the best fans in the nation, and a media that constantly tells us how good the Vols will be . They just have not produced. Hopism is big in Tennessee , but the coaching and erratic QB Josh Dobbs and preparation remains behind what the pundits expect from the team. Even with a bye week, Im betting against them here in Alabama . The Crimson Tide are now starting to click on all cylinders, especially on defense , where the team held all but one of their opponents to season low yards. The Tide have won 8 straight meetings in this series by more than 23 points per game and covered the L/4 here at home in this series and  have covered 11 of their L/14 as a 11 to 19 point favorite. 

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Duke defense ranks third in the ACC overall, allowing 252.8 total yards per game, and second nationally against the pass, giving up 131.2. The Blue Devils allow an ACC-best 9.3 points per game and are well rested after a bye week and a dangerous dog in this spot. Duke is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 after a bye winning SU by an average of 7.7 ppg.  The last 2 meetings in this series were decided by a total of 4 points, and we have mucho value with a under rated underdog . 

Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cavaliers were 0-4 SU on the road last year versus the ACC and are 0-2 SU on the road this year so far. In those six games, they averaged just 16 PPG. You have to be able to score to beat a team like North Carolina. Virginia’s defense, they’re allowing 38 PPG against  FBS opposition while North Carolina's explosive offense is averaging 41 PPG on the season. Nothing is easy when it comes to wagering on College Football, many scenarios that can go against you can come back to bite you in the buttocks. But alot of the time, the numbers dont lie, and if all the facts on the ground remain the same, and Im betting we get a conclusive victory here.

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 19th-ranked Rockets knocked off a pair of Power 5 squads to open the season and have dominated every opponent since. This team is the real deal, and must be respected.Toledo has outscored opponents 162-44 over the last four and set a season high with 611 total yards in Saturday's 63-20 win over Eastern Michigan to go 3-0 in MAC play. Meanwhile, the he Minutemen  rank an ugly 114th of 127 FBS teams in scoring defense (37.7) and 115th in yards allowed per game (489.5). Toledo's  offense averages  446.2 yards per tilt and ranked  second in the MAC and includes a conference-best 204.5 per game on the ground. With that said, Im betting laying the 14 points is a gift , even here on the road.

Teams like UMass  that are double digit dogs off a SU home favorite loss are 1-18 SU and 3-16 ATS when facing undefeated opposition like Toledo. 

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kent State are no pushovers defensively, and wont be run over, even by an explosive Bowling Green side. Kent State has lots of work against  respected teams this season, Illinois, Minnesota and Marshall and will be nore than ready to compete vs a visiting side that they are 8-3 ATS in this series against  since 2004, including 4-0 ATS when taking 7 or more points. Kent State is also  16-6 ATS  L/22 when playing against a top tier team like Bowling Green with a Win % .600 to .750. 

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last week Bill Snyders Kansas State Wildcats were humiliated at home by Oklahoma. They showed up last week exhausted and in emotional letdown mode after blowing a big lead vs TCU before losing the week before. Now with redemption and looking for some lost respect I expect this fiesty group of Wildcats to give the  schizophrenic Longhorns all they can handle on their way to a cover.  Note: KANSAS ST is 16-3 ATS L/19 off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival.It must be noted that Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Texas have failed to cover 23 of the L/29 times  after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, which they did vs Oklahoma - against opposition after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game as KS was , also by Oklahoma, Kansas State has covered 4 of their L/5 visits here. HC Strong of Texas is 0-7 ATS (  after outr ushing opposition by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached .Kansas State is 18-1 ATS as a conference puppy in tilts off a SUATS loss under head coach Bill Snyder, including 17 covers in a row.

Kansas State to cover  1 unit reg selection

Clemson is 17-4 in its past 21 games - all those defeats coming in true road contests, so they are vulerable away from Death Valley. Meanwhile,Miami enters off a 30-20 victory over Virginia Tech   a heart breaking loss a week earlier to rival Florida State, and are currently in top form and are threat to Clemsons winning season. Miami Fl  HC Golden is a bankroll expanding  14-1 ATS  as a home dog of 24 or less points in his coaching career, including 10-1 ATS in conference play. The Tigers (6-0) maybe undefeated , but are just  2-10 ATS after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection

Georgia Southern (5-1, 3-0), which enters with the nation’s leading rushing offense ....an option team that operates out of spread formations with an average of 399 yards, is now ready to go up against a quality team , as the App State defense allows an average of just 109 rushing yards — 11th in the nation.In last season’s 34-14 victory in Statesboro, the Eagles gashed the Mountaineers for 408 yards on 60 rushes, Im betting this time around the Mounties are  better prepared for what's coming and overall will be relentless in their actions tonight, in revenge mode. App State  is one of the few teams in the nation that are built to slow down a team like Georgia Southern. Appalachian State is showing their explosiveness as they smashed an opponent for the  fourth straight week. The Mountaineers rolled to a blowout victory, reeling off 42 straight points to top Louisiana-Monroe 59-14, and I wont be surprised if this one ends in a DD  beat down as well.   Mountaineers are currently  on an 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS conference run with their only loss coming to Clemson- since mid-October of last season  .

year.Appalachian State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 In the last few years, Oregon has lost their best head coach, best player and best recruiting class (no. 10) all while the conference was seeing upgrades in coaching and recruiting.  Subsequently the Ducks were crushed by Utah earlier this season, and now its become obvious, that the Ducks are no longer and elite team. Despite of this , and because of the insurmountable pressure surrounding the coaching staff, and a still talented group, I'm expecting a top tier effort this week in Washington. It must be noted that the Ducks have not lost back-to-back games since 2007, as is evident by a 14-0 SU record . Also Washington is a ugly  0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS in this series and getting DDs each time. Has Oregon fallen off this much, I'm betting no. 

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After a big win vs California last week, I'm betting the Utes are in a letdown mode. Truth be known if, it were not for 6 interceptions, the Utes looked over matched in that contest, and have been out gained in 3 of 5 games. The big win vs Oregon  may have not been as big as thought, as Oregon has been down graded a bit after some sleepy losses. Also Arizona State has won 10 straight meetings in this series, and are 10-2 ATS L/12 on the road as 4 point dogs or more. Arizona State opened the season with a loss to Texas A&M and followed it up with two lackluster wins and  an ugly loss to USC. Since, the Sun Devils have played very good football with victories over UCLA and Colorado and an argument can be made they are the hottest team in the conference the last two weeks. If they lose this game,  a win  wont come easily for Utah. Take the points.

Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

USC  came out flat last time out, as their coach Sarkasian took the wind out of the team, as he showed up intoxicated for the game. Im not going to judge Sarkasian, but Im sure his condition has played a role in USCs struggles of late. The Trojans are a supremely talented team, and when prepared , are not a team to take lightly. With this situation cleaned up , Im betting these gifted young men come out here with something to prove. It must be noted that USC has proven itself before off a loss to bettors by cashing 13 straight tickets, as road dogs off a loss and 9 straight overall games off loss. Also USC has done well vs the South bend crew winning 10 of the L/13 meetings. Im betting on a tight game with the points becoming golden. 

USC To cover 1 unit reg selection 

You have to score to be able to keep up with  the Tar Heels. N.Carolina is diverse and explosive with the ball, smashing opponents  for an average of  40 points a game during their current  four game winning streak.  Meanwhile, Wake,  has a gazillion problems and cohesiveness  with their QBs John Wolford and Kendall Hinton on offense and  they also  can’t run the ball, and have a consistent tendency to turn it over , while averaging only 15 points per game against FBS teams. Tobacco road rivalry projection. North Carolina 41 Wake Forest 13

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HAWAII is 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992

The Rainbow Warriors have been shut out  in all three trips to the mainland,. This the last place the football program wants to be as  has not notched a victory vs  New Mexico since 1991, and haven't won in Albuquerque since 1987 and are 0-5 ATS SU during that time. 

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wyoming has lost all 6 of their games this season by DDs. HC Bohl is 1-8 ATS in lined home games with Wyoming losing by an average of 11.5 ppg. Nevada has played against the likes, of Arizona Texas A&M and stingy Buffalo, and smacked around New Mexico last time out, a team that beat the Pokes, 38-28. No reason Nevada a team looking to get above .500 on the season cant come out here and really pile up some numbers in a conclusive win. WYOMING is 0-7 ATS in home games after the first month of the season, losing SU by an average of 18.7 ppg.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection

 After 3 straight shutouts the public loves Michigans Harbaugh and company, and that was obvious with the early line move. MSU (6-0) has consistently shown over the last few seasons, that their multiple receiver packages coupled with QB Connor Cook 29-3 record which includes having exploited every team they have played  which has led  to the nation's longest streak of 24+ points offensive outputs That makes the under rated Spartans  a dangerous opponent as underdogs vs a Michigan team that is getting far to much love here ... On the fipside.I don't see Rudock and Michigan's passing game fooling a tough Michigan State defense especially with a below average  Wolverine run game.Dantonio needs one victory to reach 100 in his head coaching career at Cincinnati and Michigan State and don't be surprised if he notches it here as an underdog. Note: Mich State is a perfect is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing defenses allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 14 ppg. 

Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Oklahoma literally fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last week, when they visited the Texas Longhorns. They came in ill prepared to face Texas, and payed the price in a loss. The Sooners really heard it from their supporters, and crap was flying everywhere. Now with redemption needed, the Sooners will be in full mad dog mode. That's not a good omen for a downtrodden and deflated group of Kansas State Wildcats who blew a huge lead to TCU last week and eventually lost. It must be noted that Oklahoma is a perfect 34-0 SU L/34 after a loss. Sooners coach  Stoops is 5-0 SU against Kansas State away.

Oklahoma to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama's defense is elite -No. 1 according to my own data base numbers, but its offense and quarterback Jake Coker have been inconsistent.Texas A&M has the type of up-tempo, big-play offense that has historically given Alabama problems, so don't be surprised if this tilt resembles the close ones these teams took part  in 2012 and 2013 instead of the lopsided 59-0 beat-down last year . It seems Saban's troops only get motivated when they are off a loss, and the rest of the time this talented group just does enough to get the job done.  The Tide are under the spot light so much, that its got the point, where they treat each game like a chore. Texas A&M off a rest week, and are keyed up to avenge last seasons loss. Im betting they keep this game surprisingly close and possibly pull of the upset.

Texas A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In five games the Flashes have held opponents to 27-of-95 on third down conversion attempts.  Holding opponents to 26.3 percent ranks ninth in the nation. This is their key to a possible outright upset vs UMass this week.

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Middle Tenn States pride was smashed down last week by Western Kentucky in a 58-28 beat-down. Now with redemption on their plates, this week at home, I'm betting this explosive side will be ready to take out their frustrations on a Florida International side that has not fared well in the past vs strong offenses that are averaging 450 + yards of offense per game, like Midd Tennessee currently is , failing to cover 12 of 14 times with the average margin of defeat coming by 32.2 ppg. 

Middle Tenn State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Marshall is a football program that has not been getting  the respect they deserve. Yes, they are rebuilding a bit after losing star QB Rakeem Cato to the Canadian Football league in the off season. But the truth is, Marshall is now adjusting, and getting better by the week, thanks to a defense that must be considered a top tier unit.  Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic is in my humble opinion getting to much respect, after losing last week to Rice at home by a 27-26 count as favs,  and  with their lone win this season coming against lower level Charlotte by a 17-7 score. In three games previous to that tilt their defense gave up 33 44 and 47 points, and Im betting they get dinged again here, while their own offense finds the going tough in the other direction. 

Florida Atlantic  is a bank roll depleting  0-7 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite losing SU by an average of 21.4 ppg . 

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Thirteenth-ranked Ole Miss (5-1) travels to face Memphis (5-0) on Saturday.

OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. mistake prone teams  like Memphis - 60+ penalty yards per game losing SU by an a verage of 26.2 ppg. 

Ole Miss  has 11 players on the roster from the Memphis area so you can bet this team will be primed to play. Alot of pundits have also warned in social media that Ole Miss could upset -if not careful -by Memphis. This Mobile football field is a big one, and Memphis might not even have as much support as the Rebels.It's also familiar territory for Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze, who coached at a high school in Memphis for about a decade before a quick rise through the college coaching profession. Bottom line" Memphis has not faced a team the caliber of Ole Miss this season, and their numbers may mean nothing coming into this tilt vs a far superior SEC team. t\he Rebels have won six straight in the series, the past three coming by an average of 23.0 points. and Im betting on a similar outcome today. 

Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The BYU offense is kind of banged up, with key Rbs Adam Hine and Jamal Williams  down for the count and their current QB Tanner Mangum supposedly playing with a bad hamstring.  Against a under rated Cincinnati side that has lost only 2 of their L/12 games SU to two undefeated teams , BYU look like fade material at home this Friday night.

 BYU is just 3-14 ATS  in home games versus excellent offensive teams  averaging 450+ yards/game . Cincinnati is 13-4 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 after collecting 475 yards of offense last time out which happened in a 34-23 beatdown of a pretty good miami  team last time out.-BYU is in the midst of a 4 game home stand, which put this trend of bad payoff trends in play - BYU is  2-14 ATS at home off back-to-back home games, and 1-13 ATS off a Straight up  win.

Cincinnati to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When this season began alot of us believed Auburn was ready to break out, and make a run for the SEC title. Since than many bettors have turned against the Tigers. But the truth is, despite of some of the results, the Tigers are a supremely talented team, that now has a chip on their shoulders, because of the disrespect that is being heaped on them by the media. Im betting Auburn is fully awake now, and ready to get back some of that lost respect here tonight against a hard working  Kentucky team that is  getting far to much respect. Here;s a quote" “We still have a point to prove. It's going to be a big point.  That we're not as bad as people think we are," said wide receiver Melvin Ray. "We're actually a pretty good team and we know how good we are across the board. We know what we got talent-wise and ability-wise and so far we just haven't proved it.” It must be noted that the hosts have beaten and covered against their other two SEC opponents – as 7-point dogs at lowly South Carolina (26-22) and as 2.5-point home favorites vs. over rated Missouri (21-13), but they wont surprise Auburn. Book it.(AUBURN is 3-0 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992 at Kentucky)

Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TCUs explosive offense goes head to head with Kansas state top tier defense that has allowed 17.2 ppg.  When offense goes against defense, in a big game like this , defense almost always comes out on top. The last time the Frogs faced a defense with a heart beat was Minnesota in Week 1 and they barely pulled off the 23-17 win. The Frogs have failed to cover 4 straight in this series and are 1-9 ATS L/10 as visitors here. Bill Snyder considered to be a gridiron coaching God,  is 124-29 SU at home in his career and cashed 80 of 121 lines games and when he is off a loss (which happened last week) he has cashed 14 of his L/17 times. Kansas State is  8-0 ATS  in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 11th-ranked Gators (5-0, 3-0 SEC) are one of the biggest surprises in college football. After close wins over East Carolina and Kentucky, Florida notched a come-from-behind victory against Tennessee and Im betting they are still over rated and over performing. The Gators have lost the last two games in the series  and I wont be surprised if they lose today.  Florida has not done well in October recent years as is evident by a  6-12 SU record in the month between 2010-2014.Grier will face  n a Missouri team that leads the conference in both total defense and scoring defense. His last road start, at Kentucky, he went 13 of 22 for 125 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. Meanwhile, Missouri  did very well when they started freshman Drew Lock in place of the suspended Maty Mauk last week, and Lock will be under center again this week. He went 21 of 28 for 136 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions to help the Tigers defeat South Carolina 24-10. This kid looks cool under pressure and will once again do well managing this offense. 

Missouri to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Lafayette enters this game off a 43-14 setback to Louisiana Tech last Saturday night that lowered their record to 1-3. Now they face a Franchione coached team off a bye week. Meanwhile, with the departure of all-conference quarterback Terrance Broadway, Hudspeth and company haven’t found a consistent player behind center through four games and are going to have  a hard time keeping pace with a Texas State team that can score in bunches scoring 63 against Prarie View and 50 vs Southern Miss. Note: (UL Lafayette have failed to cover 7 of their L/8 as home favorites and lost 4 of those games straight up).

Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Poor Colorado State, this is a fine team, battling with undisciplined mistakes, as penalties are costing them wins and recognition they deserve. The Rams have out gained opponents by more than 80 yards on the season and are 34-15-1 as home dogs and are being disrespected . Hey I know Boise State is a fine team, but with a inexperienced rookie QB in Rypien a the helm of the offense, and more than two TD spread attached , the under rated home team looks dangerous. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oregon’s young secondary struggled against lower tier Eastern Washington (438 passing yards, 549 total yards, five touchdowns) or Georgia State (318 yards, 431 total yards, four touchdowns) during nonconference home games against spread offenses. Oregon’s defense — which ranks 114th among 127 FBS teams in passing yardage allowed (287.2 ypg) — will face a Washington State  aerial attack offense that passed for 436 passing yards in last year’s meeting. QB Falk of the Cougars, a sophomore, leads Pac-12 quarterbacks in completion percentage (72.6) and yards per game (364.8) with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. The Cougars’ deep receiving corps promises to be a nightmarish adventure for Oregon’s secondary if Falk can handle Oregon’s pressure by making quick decisions, which he has proven without a doubt, in the past, that he can .Note: 9-2 SU is the  Record of road teams in Pac-12 games this season.

Washington State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Notre Dame fighting Irish enter this game in a natural letdown situation after a heart breaking loss to Clemson last week in Death Valley. That's not a good omen vs a Navy side in top form.

It must also be noted that the Middies are 11-1 ATS L/12 in South Bend and overall are 7-1 ATS L/8 as DD road underdogs.

Look for one of the most disciplined teams in the nation to wreak havoc with their clock controlled run game this Saturday and grab the ATS cover. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Tech offense has been on fire to this point in the season, but from a historical perspective this is not necessarily a good thing as they are 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 450 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games over the last few seasons, actually losing SU by an average of 21.8 ppg.

Everyone loves an explosive offense, like the Red Raiders own, but their defense is miserable to say the least allowing 45, 55, 63 points in 3 separate games this season, so they are susceptible to being slashed. Meanwhile, Iowa State is a much better side, than some might realize , with their two losses coming to a perfect Toledo squad, and Iowa that is now making waves in the Big 10. With that said, Im expectinga much closer game than many talking heads might expect.

Take the points with Iowa State 1 unit reg selection 

Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Finishing off their nonconference slate at 3-1, the Mountaineers enter Sun Belt play on Saturday at Georgia State on a high note and just three victories from becoming bowl- eligible for the first time at the FBS level. This game really means something to them, so motivation is a factor.Since losing to Liberty last season, the Mountaineers are 9-1 SU and have found a new level of focus.App State punished Georgia State last season scoring a 44-0 win as 11 point favorites. The Mountaineers return almost their entire starting defense and offense, and so does Georgia State. The home field advantage is now reversed but the talent on the field remains the same, and the matchup very much favors the visitors to roll to another victory in the rematch. App State has already posted two 49-0 shut outs this season and Im betting GEorgia State has problems scoring again, and also struggle to App State from scoring in a boatload full of points. Meanwhile GStates defense has looked atrocious, allowing a Charlotte team that has an extremely inefficient offense to beat them 23-20 and in subsequent tilts to allow 32, 61, 41 points respectively.  With that said, look for the Mountaineers to again put up big numbers, against a  Georgia State side allowing an average of 305 passing yards — No. 119 in the nation and almost as bad against the ground game, allowing 186 yards per game.

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Syracuse Freshman quarterback Eric Dungey  is expected to return vs South Florida this week after sitting against LSU two weeks ago because of a head injury. Dungey stepped in for injured senior Terrel Hunt and has been a amazing. He has a 204.03 pass efficiency rating and has completed 21 of 36 passes for 428 yards and five TDs with zero interceptions and no lost fumbles, The Orange are off a bye and well rested and will be ready to take down a USF Bulls side that has lost 5 straight home coming games. It must be noted that from a CFB wide betting trend archive, that teams like like the Orange that have covered in 3 of their L/4, a top tier team with a win %.600 to .800 going against a lower tier side with a ,250 win percentage or less like South Florida  have covered 25 of their L/28 games, With that said, I look for HC Taggart and company to get ko'ed in this spot. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UMass has never beaten the Falcons, falling 47-42, 28-7 and 24-0 over the last three seasons .As back-to-back MAC East champions, the road to Motown goes through BG. The Falcons were picked to three-peat in the division during the preseason, and their play has lived up to  expectations thus far, netting the team road victories at Maryland (48-27) and Purdue (35-28) another near-win against Memphis in a game they should have won. They will want to make amends for that loss to their faithful alumni. With the Minutemen not exhibiting top tier excellence thus far, Im betting their injury riddled lineup get stood up and pounded in a big way here this Saturday by the Falcons . Note: Bowling Green is  is a perfect  9-0 ATS L/9 in home games vs. lower tier  defensive teams like Umass who give up 37 or more points/game winning SU by an average of 31 ppg.

 Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The amount of action from the public and even sharp bettors has been staggering here, and now the line has gone all the way down to -3 for Marshall which is now a take for me. Also alot of sharp money that took the 6.5 points on the opening line, is now coming back the other way. I know Marshall is no longer the team they were the last few years, but there is still a boatload full of talent here, and they must not be disrespected. Marshall only has one loss, and that was to a very good Ohio Bobcats team. Meanwhile, despite of Southern Missisppi's explosive offense, their defense has times looked porous as was the case when they allowed Texas State to put 50 points on the board,  as they own one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing over 200 yards per game on the ground. Marshall's rushing attack accounts for over 150 yards per game on the ground. Also despite of Southern Miss big time aerial attack  Marshall has proven to be one of the better teams in the country at defending the pass in 2015. With that said, I expect Marshall to feed on the home crowd and control the tempo of game via their ground attack. This will keep QB Mullens and his offense off the field for long stretches which in turn will effect their momentum.  In important conference USA game, Marshall has the experience and coaching needed to win and cover. 

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  Oregon is in a, let us just say cranky mood right now. They came out against a good Utah side,  last week at home and crapped their pants. It was ugly and humbling and something this football program did not take lightly afterwards. I know QB Mariotta is now in the NFL honing his skills, but this Oregon Ducks football team is still deep with talent. Oregon is  21-6 ATS  off a home game winning SU by an average of 10.7 ppg. Colorado is a much improved team , but this is not a good spot for them vs a extremely embarrassed Ducks side that will be hell bent on getting back their well earned respect, against a Buffs side that might be biting off more than they can chew . Im betting  the Ducks wake up out of their slumber in a big way here. Note: Crazy line movement  and most of the action was public bettors. 

Play Oregon to cover  1 unit reg selection 

 Clemson is a place no one wants to visit. Death Valley has seen visiting teams win SU just twice in their L/30 visits there. I know Notre Dame has played some great ball this season, but it seems they came flying out of the gate this season, with chips on their shoulders after many talking heads wrote them off after losing players to the NFL. Notre Dame's victories have come against opponents with combined records of 4-11. So now , reality check is now on the table in a nasty environment.Last week Notre Dame shot their wad and put 62 points up on the board vs Umass, and now a natural letdown must be expected vs a Clemson's defense  that is ranked ninth nationally in allowing 260.7 yards a game. Note: Notre Dame is just  1-11 ATS  in road games after gaining 7.25 or more yards per play last time out. The Irish are just 6-22 ATS  vs top rated defensive teams  that allow 285 or less yards per game losing SU by an average of 10.1 ppg. Irish are alos just 2-5  SU under Kelly on the road against ranked teams. Meanwhile, Clemson is 41-6 at home in seven seasons under coach Dabo Swinney and have won 11 straight. 

 Clemson to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Mississippi State's season is back on the upswing after an extremely important road win against Auburn. Meanwhile, their hosts Texas A&M after last weeks come from behind OT win against hard hitting Arkansas could find themselves short on energy, vs a nasty Bulldogs defense that held Auburn to 9 points last week. I know how much the talking heads love the Aggies, but I wont be surprised if their upset here by an under rated group. The Aggies allowed Nevada two weeks ago to score 27 points on them and had to come from behind last week in win in OT vs Arkansas, which will have them in a natural letdown scenario. Texas A&Ms coach agrees with my assessments, about the team he will face today Quote: This team has got an experienced quarterback who knows how to win and will not be intimidated, been in big environments and won big football games," Sumlin said. "... I think basically it's a team that's not getting the type of respect they should be getting. They're coming in here to prove something. You've got two very similar teams playing, so it's going to be a heckuva game." With that said, the points look to be golden. Note: Texas A&M  is 1-9 ATS ( when playing against a top-tierl team with a Win percentage of  .750 or better  over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of  8.3 ppg.

Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Georgia Southern has won 3 straight and have put 40 points or more on the scoreboard  in all three behind an explosive rushing attack that logged 412 yards /on average. Thats not a good omen vs a Warhawks side that allows 4.7 yards per carry.HC Berry of ULMonroe is 0-7 ATS L/7  in home games versus top tier rushing teams  that  average 4.75 rushing yards per carry losing SU by an an average of 15.9 ppg. 

Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Georgia Tech seems to do well vs aerial attack oriented teams like North Carolina as  is  evident by a 9-2 ATS  record vs quality passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. After losing two straight games, one to Notre Dame in a hard fought affair and than a letdown loss in Duke, you can bet the Gtech will be ready to rock. It must be noted that    Tarheels HC Fedora is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games in the first half of the season. Also Im not always big on revenge angles, but this this one qualifies as N.Carolina defeated Tech last season 48-43 in a shootout and payback is at hand now. Note: North Carolina is No. 115 in the country against the run (228.8 yards per game). We all know what Gtech does well! Run baby Run!

Georgia Tech to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Duke is a fine team, but getting way to many accolades for beating a Gtech side last week in a letdown mode, after losing a heart breaker to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils were still out gained in that  game and got some breaks, so Im not all in on them, especially against this type of hardcore defense (ranking No.1 in the nation) while getting it done against  the likes of Florida State , N.Illinois holding both to season lows on offense. Boston College has covered 3 straight on the road in this series, and are capable of pulling off the SU upset. But with a TD plus point spread on our side, Im taking all the way.  Note: BC long term and under a historical pretext spanning a 58 game sample size vs  a program with a win % of .750 or better has seen an average margin of 4.2 points decide these games. 

Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama, has put itself in a must-win situation by losing at home to Mississippi a couple of weeks back. The Tide are being made underdogs for the first time since 2009. There is alot of excitement in Georgia about this game, and the possibilities .  But the truth is  Mark Richt and company almost seem like their playing scared this week. Georgia HC has been careful with his words about the game to the media, as he does not want to wake, what has been ,so far this season a sleeping giant.It must noted that Georgia is a bankroll depleting   4-18 ATS in home games when playing against a top-tier teams with a win percentage of .750 or better like Alabama . Roll Tide Roll.

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

From a league wide College football league trend archive it must be noted that teams like Buffalo that are Home underdogs off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road win like Bowling Green are a bankroll expanding 26-6 ATS for a 81% conversion rate. I know Buffalo lost to Nevada last week, but Im predicting a bounce back effort here ,  in mac play vs a Bowling Green side that just upset a Big10 opponent and could easily be in a letdown spot, vs a coach in Bulls  Leipold that must not be underestimated as a game plan tactician. It must also be noted the Buffalo is 7-0 SU in the second of back to back home games.

Play on Buffalo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im big on Toledo this year, mostly because of the improved defense,  but this is just to many points to be laying on the road against a viable opponent in Ball State. Toledo has won their first three games, but in the past this has not always been a good omen for their covering abilities as they are just 5-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins losing SU by an average of 2.9 ppg. Ball State has covered 8 of the last 10 in this series at home. The line moved in a big way but +6 or better is a steal in my humble opinion. Take the points 

Ball State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Northern Illinois is a fine team, and a MAC power house. I have lots of respect for them, and they have played well this season despite of 2 straight losses to a sleepy looking Ohio State squad and feisty Boston College . But Central Michigan is a well coached squad in a home coming situation. They are just 1-3 on the season, but have played admirably vs top ranked competition playing close against Syracuse, Oklahoma State and Michigan State. Northern Illinois has lost only 3 of their L/41 MAC games, but guess who they lost all three to-yup you guessed it Central Michigan.

Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Umass has played Notre Dame, and and  improved Colorado team and Temple to start their campaign. They are now battle tested and very ready to take down a lower tiered Florida International squad on their own home turf. It must be noted the visiting Panthers are playing their 4th away contest of the season, and will be road weary and in a letdown situation after a mistake filled loss to LA Tech last time out. Im betting on up and coming star QB Blake Frohnapfel to pick apart the FIU secondary in a big way today and get us an easy cover. Umass is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6  after allowing 37 points or more last game which happened against Notre Dame. Take a minute and lay the FG.

 UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio is a very under rated side, and gave a tough Minnesota football program all they could handle last time out  in a close loss as 10 point road dogs. Now they come into face a Akron football program they have owned of late winning the L/7 meetings SU. It must be noted that Ohio HC 7-0 ATS  L/7 in road games after a loss by 3 or less points. UAkron is 0-10 ATS  off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last couple of seasons and have failed to cover 12 of their L/16 games overall. Akron's HC Bowden is 0-6 ATS  in home games in October games losing SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games in weeks 5 through 9.

Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Louisville's HC Bobby Petrino after an 1-3 start is desperate, and has seen his backers becoming less tolerant of his underachieving ways by the week, and he is on the HOT SEAT. This week against a revenge minded NC State side, that lost last year by a 30-18 count in this series, Petrino;s young talented group will be wound up and ready to play. As for the revenge factor goes, Im not overly concerned , as you don't always get what you want. Also Im not overly impressed by the faux numbers that Pack have put up vs the likes of South Alabama, Old Dominion, Eastern Kentucky and Troy. For a Cardinal side that has faced Clemson, Auburn and very under rated Houston this trip to Raleigh may seem like a Sunday walk in the park. Note : Petrino is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs an opponent of back to SUATS victories and a perfect 6-0 ATS in conference battles. 

 LOUSIVILLE TO COVER  1 unit reg selection 

Two seasons ago, Northwestern went undefeated in nonconference play and then managed one Big Ten victory the rest of the way. Northwestern has a history of early successes, going 21-3 in August and September since the start of the 2010 season. However, it's 6-14 SU record in October during that span that is troubling. Now against a very tough and physical Minnesota side, that slowed TCU down and only allowed them 23 points in the  season opener comes into Northwestern looking to pull of the upset, and cover for the 10th straight time in this series. Im betting the Gophers get it done. 

Minnesota to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Two long time rivals the Pittsburgh Panthers and VTech Hokies go head to head today and a tilt that promises to be hard hitting and close.The Panthers according to my power rankings are under rated, while VTech is over rated.  The Hokies enter this game off a failed cover, which is not a good omen for them as they are just 4-12-1 ATS L/15 in their following a failed cover game  and 1-10 ATS L/11in conference tilts. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATs L/8 in this series, and Im betting on another cover as I recommend taking the points. 

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Mountaineers have allowed just 23 points through three games, which puts them at number one in the nation in points against.It's going to be a big test for Lincoln Riley's air raid offense who will be coaching his first Big 12 game at Oklahoma.West virginia is 10-2 ATS L/12 as conference dogs of 7 points or less.With revenge on board for a 45-33 win for Oklahoma last season , under rated West Virginia Im betting plays hard and brings home the cash!.

 WEST VIRGINIA TO COVER l 1 unit reg selection 

 Temple is playing their third straight road game, and are still pretty road weary after going against some stringent competition,  even though they are off a bye week. This situation vs a lower ranked opponent (Charlotte) will have them in a natural letdown position, which could easily make for a lackluster performance. It must be noted that historically speaking Temple's football program is just 1-29 SU L/30 in a lined road game with rest and have lost 25 straight under those parameters. By the way that one road win was by just 1 point. Charlotte enters the game after holding their own in a  17-7 home loss to an explosive Florida Atlantic side  in Conference USA play. If they can control that offense, Im betting they have a viable chance in this spot. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection   

Rebuilding Fresno state is very capable of covering the number here vs a San Jose State program that  has a coach in Caragher who is 0-9 ATS  off a road loss as the coach, something that the Spartans suffered last time out 35-21 at Oregon State. The Bulldogs put 21 points on the board vs one of the best teams in the nation Ole Miss and  scored 24 against Utah. Fresnos HC DeRuyter is 10-0 ATS against strong  rushing teams - averaging 4.75 + rushing yards/carry  like San Jose State winning SU by ana verage of 16.4 ppg. ( I know  Zach Greenlee might not  play  beause of being arrested, (party incident) but have factored in if DeRuyter opts to suspend Greenlee for Saturday’s game, the Bulldogs also have West Virginia transfer Ford Childress on the roster. Childress, a redshirt junior, started two games for the Mountaineers in 2013 and threw for 427 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. He spent the 2014 season redshirting at Trinity Valley Junior College (Texas) before landing at FSU.

Fresno State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My propietary programs rated this game very highly. Im expecting a one sided margin of vicory for a Houston team that upset Lousiville , scoring 34 points , two weeks ago and are very fresh and well rested after a bye week. 

Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS their last six at neutral sites, 1-5 ATS as a conference favorite of more than 7 points and 3-8 ATS away from home off back-to-back home games. The Aggies biggiest probelems come on the ground , as the  run defense as was evident when they surrendered 240 yards in a 56-23 win over Ball State on Sept. 12. The Aggies were also eaten alive for 285 on the ground by the physical Razorbacks last season and I can see the same thing happening again. TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATS against quality rushing teams  averaging 4.75 or more  rushing yards per carry over the last few seasons losing SU By an average of 8.7 ppg. 

TEXAS A&M is  also a bankroll depleting 3-16 ATS   in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored .ARKANSAS football program is 11-1 ATS  in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards. Arkansas is also 21-8 ATS   in home games vs. top tier passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yard per game. 

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

Arkansas State  is 0-12 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards  losing SU by 10.8 ppg which happend against Missouri State last time out . Toledo is 12-3 ATS L/15 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points wnning SU by an average of 14.1 ppg. Toledo beat Arkansas State away from home last season 63-44 and Im betting on  even bigger margin of  victory  this Saturday because of the Rockets upgraded defense that just held Arkansas to 12 points and Iowa State to 23 points! 

Toledo to cover 2 unit TOP selection (Generals Club Top Rated ++Blow Out Winner)

California and their high flying offense, come into Washington to go against a hardcore defense.Through three games, Washington leads the Pac-12 in scoring defense, total defense and rush defense and is one of the few teams built to stop this kind of offense. Im expecting a physical grinding close affair with the points proving golden. California is just 4-21 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 

Washington cover  1 unit reg selection 

TCU is banged up with a boatload full of injuries, especially on defense where they have lost 7 defensive starters. Meanwhile, Texas Tech  3-0 has come along way, and is playing good football out of the gate this season. Tech has also won the L/4 meetings at Texas Tech all time and once again in front of a sold out crowd looks capable of putting up a strong fight and possible upset in this spot. There is a revenge factor in play here for last seasons 82-27 pounding. The embarrassment resonates, with coaches like Kingsbury and he will have his team fired up. 

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know that the Crimson Tide are angry, but 38 points is a big spread to cover. Saban has a history of being sub par off a loss with a 20-25 ATS mark and 3-11 ATS off one or more consecutive losses and has failed to cover in 11 of his 17 vs non conference opposition under these parameters. Lane Kiffin the Tides offensive coordinator does not have a clue to what hes doing with the talent assembled, as was evident in last weeks home loss to Ole Miss, and yes, they might roll UL Monroe today, Im betting they dont cover the number. UL Monroe is 5-1 ATS L/6 as 34 point or more underogs and  posted a 21-14 victory in the last meeting between the teams in 2007 at Alabama.

UL Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 East Carolina got clobbered by Navy last week, but I was not surprised by that. This week, after two straight losses, Im betting we see East Carolina at their best .It must be noted that VT QB Michael Brewer expected to miss 4-8 weeks ( Shoulder ).

E CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS   in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game. Beamer is 2-9 ATS  after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games .  VTEch is also just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favorites. HC McNeill of the Pirates  is 10-2 ATS (  after a loss by 17 or more points as the coach of E CAROLINA and is  is 5-0 ATS in his last five  versus the ACC and 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off back-to-back losses.

 East Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Oklahoma State mostly destroyed opponents in its nonconference slate, while Texas has already been shown to be defensively challenged before beginning play in one of the nation's highest-scoring leagues. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State   is one of three FBS schools that ranks in the top 20 in scoring offense (41.7 ppg) and scoring defense (11.7). I know alot of hope, as been making the rounds in Austin this week after Jerrod Heard, making his second career start at quarterback, amassed 527 yards of offense, against what has proven to be a inconsistent California defense over the last few seasons. ( Im putting it politely, but who am /i to be politically correct, so Ill just say it......the Bears defense has been atrocious for while so Im not puting alot into that performance. 

The Cowboys got clobbered by Texas in their 2014 meeting, losing in  Stillwater by 21 points. Now Oklhoma State has revenge on board   for that loss and will be primed to add   7-0 ATS L/7 visitor ATS advantage . Oklahoma State also owns a  13-0 ATS  L/13 record as road favorite  of fess than 19 points when playing off back-to-back SU wins.

Gundy is 12-3 ATS  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game as the coach of the Cowboys is winning SU By an average of 25.6 ppg and the Long horns qualify under those parameters 

Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Irish wont take this game for granted, but that is a big number to cover here. DeSpite of being ready to play , coach Brian Kelly still could have problems getting his young men in top form after a bruising hard fought win against a tough Georgia Tech side last week, as they will be in a natural letdown mode, which effect their performance out of the gate. The Irish are 29-point chalk against the Minutemen, one of the largest point spreads during Kelly's six seasons as Irish coach. No. 11 Notre Dame was 28-point favorites against Purdue in 2014 and won 30-12 , not covering. The 14th-ranked Irish were also 29.5-point favorites against Temple to open the 2013 season and won 28-6 with a no cover attached to that score. No. 11 Notre Dame also was 24.5-point favorite favorites against Boston College in 2011 and won only 16-14. Im betting on no cover here again.

NOTRE DAME is 7-20 ATS  as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.  UMass has 19 returning players and 17 retuning starters and must not be disrespected behind up and coming QB Blake Frohnapfel who threw for 393 yards vs a solid Temple defensive secondary last week in a underdog win. 

umass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio (3-0) returns 20 starters including 10 starters on offense, seven on defense and three specialists. They also return all five starters on the offensive line. This a very dangerous team, that could spring the upset here vs a Minny team that has a tendency of playing up or down to their competetion! 

Ohio to cover  1 unit reg selection 

This one is all about mathematics, and certain over projection of how good Baylor is both offensively and defensively. Rice is very under rated. Yes over matched on paper, but the number says its a take.

Rice is 8-0 ATS L/8 after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored, which happend last week.

Rice to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Stanford had a big win vs USC last time out and will now be in a letdown mode, and probably not as explosive out of the gate, vs a Oregon State side that would love to pull off an upset. The Cardinal also saw starting QB Kevin Hogan injure his ankle, and despite of it  being sore it  is luckily not broken. But with said, the QB may not start and if he does, will not be 100%.  Also if Stanford builds a good lead. Backups Ryan Burns and Keller Chryst have minimal game experience, I don't think the points will come as freely. This will give us room for back door cover. Keep an eye on True freshman quarterback Seth Collins, for OSU, this guy is the real deal, and getting better with each game out.Gary Andersen is 16-3-1 ATS As a a underdog of 3 or more points.

Play on OSU to cover 1 unit reg selection

Virginia’s 4-3 defense has six seniors slated to start this week against the Broncos, but it maters little considering  how inconsistent they have been as evident by , allowing 32.3 ppg .Two-thirds of Virginia's offense Saturday against  lower tier William and Mary who they barely beat was, 245 of 373 yards, was condensed  and squeezed into six gains of 21 to 80 yards each, wow. That tells the story of the  Cavaliers' playmakers but also their failure, to date, to consistently move the ball, especially between the tackles on the ground. Meanwhile, Boise State is limiting opponents to 1.7 yards per rush and 45.7 yards rushing per game, ranking 2nd in the nation . Im betting they force Virginia into a one dimensional aerial offense, which in turn makes them easy to read . Also Boise state has yet to name a starting quarterback,  but it'll be either sophomore Tommy Stuart or Brett Rypien, nephew of Super Bowl champ and Redskins quarterback Mark Rypien. Both bring alot of attributes to the field and Boise State Im betting will  not suffer  set backs on offense.

 BSU 20-7 ATS  L/27  in road games against below average  rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 26.2 ppg. 

Historically speaking,  BSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS  in a game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 dating back 23 years with an average margin of victory coming by  28.2 ppg! 

Cavaliers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The USC Trojans have come out and started their season by clobbering their first two opponents Idaho and Arkansas  State. Meanwhile, Stanford came out and started their season, in sleep mode, and woke up on the wrong side of the scoreboard in their opener vs Northwestern ,before coming back and beating up on UCF in their second game. Despite of the different, directions both teams have taken on , early this season, I still dont believe the Cardinal should be 10 point dogs here in a important conference matchup, Last season a 16 game home win streak was ended vs the TRojans by a 13-10 count, and now in revengeful fashion they would  love nothing more than to return the favor. Stanford has covered 4 of their L/5   visits here, and overall have covered 5 straight as 8 point or more dogs. USC has also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 in this series as DD favs.  HC David Shaw is also 7-1 ATS in his career as a dog, and when barking 3-0 ATS vs an undefeated opponent. 

Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Charlie Strong is on the hot seat in Texas and his job is on the line, after the Longhorns came out and looked completely out of sync in their first two games of the season.  Meanwhile, California and their explosive aerial attack, are humiliating opponents, and the lines-makers and public are in love with them, as the opening line shot up from -3 to -7 very quickly. But hold your horses, this is one very hungry and angry group the Bears are playing today, and to be honest, this is just to many points to pass up on with the home dog. California has still not proven that their defense, can remain consistent, and until they do I;ll reserve my opinion on their progression to god like gridiron status. California historically speaking has not been a good bet for their backers  under these parameters, as is evident by a 6-25 ATS mark as road favs of 8 points or less. 

Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Rams are 14-2 in their last 16 home games after last week valiant OT loss to Minnesota, including 9 of their L/10 with one loss as mentioned above coming in extra play. Meanwhile, Colorado despite of a win vs a UMass side playing their first game of the season, and showing rust , must not be considered a legitimate favorite in this rivalry game. Meanwhile, Colorado has lost 16 of their L/20 away from home, SU . Yes, I know Colorado State is a little miserable after an OT loss to Minnesota last time out but that game also solidified their confidence. The Rams are a fine team and will find a way to cover this number. (This game is being played in Denver) On a neutral field my own projections make the Rams -2 favs, so we have value here with this line. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah State is one of my favorite College Football teams. They personify all that is good about the game. Very good coaching, a core of hard working lunch box types, and extremely under rated QB in Chuckie Keeton. The Aggies are as they say tough as rocks, and tenacious in their approach, as has been evident for their betting bakers as their 13-1 ATS mark as 5 point or more underdogs suggests. Washington is rebuilding and still is not 100% with their QB situation as HC Peterson Hums and Haws about you is the defintitive starter. With that said, Im betting the Aggies hang tough till the end here and cover the all important number, and possibly pull off the SU upset. 

Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Kentucky lost star running back Leon Allen for the season. Thats a huge blow, to the Hilltoppers as QB Brandon Doughty will now have problems keeping defenses honest. The Hilltopers defense remains susceptible and now against a explosive Big10 opponent like Indiana, things could get ugly fast. 

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Auburn beat LSU 41-7 last season, and I know many expect a huge revenge performance from the Tigers. However, Im not one of them. I know Auburn has not looked that impressive early on this season, but they are still a very talented team, and I expect their best of game of the early season here today in the Bayou. Add to that my power ranking suggest the Tigers are over rated and you have a situation, that screams for me to take the points with Malzahn .Les Miles has not done well in the past in conference openers in his career, covering only once in 13 tries. LSU is also just 1-8 ATS L/9 as a 7 point home  favorites or more. 

Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami enters this contest looking like a very viable team this season, and are primed to take down another opponent in a big way. I know they have been disappointing and inconsistent in the past, but for much of the year,  Al Golden coaching staff have preached about staying alert and game ready. Im betting this Canes talented group will be ready for the Cornhuskers today. It must be noted Miami Fl is 11-0-1 ATS  L/12 as non conference home favorites of 8 points or less. It must be noted that Nebraksa's head coach Riley is just 2-7 SU/ATS in non conference road openers. 

Miami Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 This is Navy's inaugural campaign as a football-only member of the AAC and Saturday's contest will mark its league debut. East Carolina is off a emotional road  loss at Florida, 31-24 and will be in a letdown spot after slogging around in the SWAMP with the Gators. * By the way don't be to impressed with that score board count as the Gators are downgraded and rebuilding this season. 

Navy, which has posted winning records in 11 of the last 12 seasons are a dangerous triple option foes. The Midshipmen boast a 58-35 mark during the eight-year tenure of HC Niumatalolo. The team is well rested and very ready to make a mark on the ACC with a opening win. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Umass a program with 17 returning starters , looked very rusty last week in their season opener vs Colorado, but now with a game under their belts should be ready for this home opening battle against Temple. After upsetting Penn State in their opener and than beating Cincinnati last week, Temple could very much be a letdown scenario this week, and come crashing back down to earth. Im taking the points here with the experienced home side. 

UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis is a program on the rise, but being pegged as road favorites at a place like Bowling Green had me scratching my head as to the legitimacy behind the decision especially considering how well the Falcons have done in home openers winning 13 of their L/14 . I also recognize that Bowling Green has been dangerous as hosts recording a  13-4 SU mark L/17 overall which includes a 5-1 ATS mark as  non conference home dogs. Memphis beat a Kansas football program last week that is in desire straights, so this is a huge step up in competition. 

Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 I have not been impressed by Missouri so far this season despite of their 2-0 record.  Meanwhile, the Huskies who are also 2-0  remain a slow tempo team that can eat up clock time with their defense and ground game, and keep games close . They held their first two opponents to an average of 16 ppg and despite of this being a big upgrade in competition Im betting their style helps them cover. The Huskies have covered 10 of their L/16 as 21 points or more doggies and are 7-1 ATS L/8 as non confernce dogs of 20 or more points.  

UConn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida Atlantic is off a game against Mimai Fl, many of their players are from the Miami area, and they were hyped up for that game, not to mention, they were playing a big time name football program. They lost that game and came away battered and beaten, and their stud QB Jaquez Johnson hurt his ankle and is less than 100%. Meanwhile, Buffalo is a football team that can play two way football, and stopped Penn State cold holding them to 300 yards when they played them. The Bulls defense is staunch and must not be disrespected under any circumstances. It must be noted that FAU were favorites 4 times last season and lost all four times . ouch

Buffalo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ill say Im sorry to Texas A&M fans before I tell you that the public is over reacting to the Aggies first two wins this season against Ball State and Arizona State. For one Ball State was able to rip off over six yards a crack and Arizona State was running relatively well vs the Aggies, and this Im betting is their achillies heel ....their run defense. Meanwhile, Nevada has the  talent  to deliver up with  big runs and alot of time consuming drives,which will keep the A&M offense off the field. The Wolfpack have been solid on  third downs so far – and able to hold Arizona to 2-of-13 conversions last week and are capable of doing the same thing to Aggies side that maybe in a bit of letdown after its first couple of tilts and bigger game on the horizon with conference action next week. 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State hasn't lost a regular season game since November 24, 2012 and haven't lost on the road since October 6 of that same year, but I wont be srprised if the streak ends tonight against a under rated and scrappy Boston College football program, that smashed a lower tier Howard Bisons by a 76-0 count last week. It must be noted that FSU has failed to cover 12 of their L/19 road games and 13 of their L/16 overall.  The Eagles might not have the same talent as the Seminoles, but what they do have is heart and never say die attitude. The Eagles are 13-6 ATS L/19 at home, and last season , as 16.5 point dogs almost upset FSU losing a 20-17 heart breaker. Play it again!

Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Louisville came out in their first home game of the season in lackadaisical fashion, and lost a 34-31 decision to Houston. The team, now 0-2 in my opinion was in a letdown situation, after a loss to Auburn, and than found themselves asleep at the proverbial wheel and looking ahead to this game with Clemson. This was a big mistake, and now alot of pressure is on, and Im betting the Cardinal play like their playing for their lives this week and leave everything on the field. Last year when these teams met the Clemson Tigers won by a 23-17 count, so revenge is on board.  It must be noted HC Petrino of Lousiville is   11-3 ATS L/14 in home revengers, and 8-1 SU off back to back losses.

  Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection (This selection can be played at +5 to +6)

LSU's season-opening game against McNeese State was canceled due to lightning which means the Tigers may not be as tuned up as they need to be against this kind of opponent. LSU has a brand new  quarterback, Brandon Harris,  and now gets to take snaps vs a vicious and tenacious Bulldogs defense on the road in Starksville.

  Les Miles,  is a great coach, and in revenge mode for last seasons 34-29 downer in Baton Rouge , and  there is talent up and down the sidelines, but here in cowbell territory Im betting the sledding gets tough.LSU is just 6-6 on the road against SEC teams the last three seasons, including an 0-3 record against ranked teams.   The Bulldogs are 18-3 at home the last three seasons and are no pushovers. Im taking the points.

Mississippi State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Marshall vs. Ohio is a rivalry that dates back 110 years. The "Battle for the Bell" pits these two local rivals (and former conference foes) together in one of the best mid-major rivals this nation has to offer. Ohio has had the upper hand in the recent past pulling off three  wins in the L/4 in the series, but were clobbered last season by a 44-10 count and now have big time revenge on board. This season  Marshall was fortunate to knock off Purdue in their first game, after getting 4 interceptions including two picks sixes- one with just 1:31 left in the game to cover the spread. I just don't believe Marshall will be as dominant this season, and that Ohio is vastly under rated. It must be noted Frank Solich the Bobcats coach is 14-2 in home openers lifetime with the two losses coming by 3 and 7 point deficits. 

Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Michigan enters into this contest off a adrenalin pumping home tilt against  Big 10 power house  Michigan State last time out and will now be in a letdown mode. They lost but valiantly covered and will now be in a letdown mode, vs a triple option offense, that could cause them major problems. Meanwhile,. Willie Fritzs offense struggled last week vs West Virginia, which actaully surprised me. But Im betting they will be primed to rebound behind a running attack that averaged 383 yards per game last season. It must be noted that Western Michigan when allowing 200 or more yards on the ground have lost 15 straight games. 

Georgia Southern  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma defeated Tennessee 34-10 in Norman last time they played now its revenge time .The Volunteers have been built on top flight recruiting classes over the past three years which I am betting leads to a solid 2015 season.This is a different game than last year. Tennessee has a legitimate shot at winning this game , and with 100 thousand fans backing them the energy level behind the home team will be the difference maker.

Butch Jones is tough to play against at home, when he hosts non conference opposition winning 18 of 20 SU. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has covered just 6 of their L/16 vs non conference opposition on the road.

Neyland Stadium is going to be an amazing place to be tonight as Tennessee moves to the next level of their development with a win. 

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HC Kirk Ferentz and an extremely tough defense will make life difficult for Iowa State this week.  The Redbirds defense has held 11 sides to season low or 2nd lowest offensive output over the last couple of years, and are as tough a crew as could be imagined.  With revenge on board for last season 20-17 home loss as 13 point favorites to Iowa State, you can bet Iowa will be in the mood for a beat down. I know alot of these rivalry games between the two have been close , but there have been blowouts as well , with the home team only covering 11 of 35 battles.  It must be noted that Ferentz is a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 from a previous season loss rematch.

Play on Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Colorado is on a 9 game losing streak and have lost 13 of their L/14, and Im betting things don't get suddenly better vs an under rated UMass side with 19 returning starters back in the lineup. It must be noted that Colorado has lost 14 of their L/18 at home . Their L/home win came against Hawaii by 9 points last season,  with 2 of the other three wins coming vs Central Arkansas, and CHSOU. Nothing comes easy for the Buffaloes, and UMass is the type of experienced team, that will make them work for anything they get here today. With that said, lets take the points with confidence.Colorado are far from a dominant side, and must be once again considered fade material! Yes even here at home. 

UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Jim Harbaugh is a fine coach. But here in the Wolverines second game of the season, the team might be a little gassed. There was alot of adrenalin pumping in game 1 of their season, against Utah and the team could now find itself in a letdown mode at an unfortunate time. The alumni are now, maybe a little unrealisticaly expecting a miracle to present itself becaise of the Jaws precense. But Im betting things may not go as smoothly as the fan base might expect. Meanwhile Oregon State are no pushovers with the crafty former Wisonsin HC Anderson at the helm. He knows the Big 10 like the back of his hand, and is a bankroll expanding 11-1 ATS on the road in non conference action and a perfect 9-0 ATS when getting DDs from the linesmakers. Considering the Wolverines, are 0-10 ATS L/10 vs PAC 12 opposiiton with only 2 SU wins, Im betting the Harbaugh/Wolverine road to respectability will remain rocky for alittle while longer .

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 UConn is a program I respect and have rated them higher than many of my collegues this season. Time will tell if Im right. One thing for sure is that Army continues to grind along, with not much improvement from season to season. Running remains their strength, and so does their tradition of losing on the road, as is evident by a 0-20 SU and 1-19 ATS record in their L/20 away tilts. Last year UConn got smashed when they fell asleep at the wheel vs Army and lost as favorites by two TDS. Now this time around Im betting the Huskies are awake and ready to hammer the visitors in a start to finish wipe out. 

Connecticut to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah enters this tilt off a big time confrontation with Michigan in well advertised national televised event last Thursday. The Utes young men were sky high for that tilt and come into this rivalary game in a letdown mode, which Im betting effects their performance negatively. Meanwhile, Utah State that returns three all-MWC performers headlining a defense that ranked in the Top 30 in five categories last time out had a much easier tune up against Southern Utah, shutting them down allowing just 9 points on a total of 163 Totals yards and just 52 yards rushing on 30 touches. This week I also expect star QB Chuckie Keaton do get in some hard snaps as he is back at the helm of an offense that can be quietly explosive. 

Utah State three seasons ago won this battle in OT, and two seasons ago were leading in the th quarter before losing by 4 points. Im expecting a much closer smash up today. than the linesmakers line estimates. 

Utah State is 6-1-1 ATS L/8 road games in September. 

Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State one of the favorites for a national title this season, have some negatives to deal with in game 1 of the season vs Virginia Tech. Their junior defensive end, one if the top defensive players in the nation and projected future nfl starter, was suspended for the team's Sept. 7 opener against the Hokies.Coach Urban Myer said the suspension stemmed from a violation of team rules.  Those are not the only suspensions as Sophomore running back Jalin Marshall, junior running back Dontre Wilson and senior receiver Corey Smith also were suspended. It must be noted Jalin Marshall and Dontre Wilson - combined for 1,044 yards rushing and receiving last year on 108 carries, which averages out to 9.7 yards per touch.  I know highly hyped half back Braxton Miller is considered a backfield super athlete, but it may take time for the young man to make up for those above mentioned losses in his first game in the spot light. With that said, I expect VTechs top tier defense (line and secondary), to wreak havoc on Ohio States offensive efficiency and for their own offense  behind mini strong man tailback JC Coleman and some solid tight ends to do just enough damage to keep them from being completely humiliated by the reigning national champs.

Take the points with Frank  Beamer  and company at Lane Stadium tonight 1 unit reg selection (VTech cover). 

 The Boilermlaers should be improved this season with 16 returning starters in the fold. Meanwhile, Marshall has had to deal with the departures of versatile QB Rakeem Coto WR Tommy Shuler, and all conference center Chris Japerse and the teams best trio of DBs on defense. Im betting on a Tough under rated Big 10 team to come out and help their side get the cover. Purdue has won 13 of their L/16 season openers.

Purdue to cover  1 unit reg selection 

According to my own preseason power rankings Alabama is head and shoulders ahead of everyone on the planet when it comes to College Football. Yes even better than Ohio State.  The defense remains the most powerful front 7  in the nation . The offense is retooled and will be much better and even faster,despite of losing some key starters like WR Amari Cooper. Im expecting  Former high school All-Americans Chris Black and Robert Foster  to emerge as the top options in the passing game, and incoming freshman Calvin Ridle who has the tools to destroy records and star in the NFL. . Meanwhile,   In his first game as head coach, Paul Chryst is presented with this major challenge coaching this Wisconsin Badgers team here in the heart of south. His reconstituted offensive line Im betting will get molested by Alabama's superior defensive group, and the Tides backs will smash and grind past a defense that has a new nose tackle and inexperienced linebackers. I like the Badgers, and was mildly surprised with what they did with Auburn last bowl season, but Alabama on opening day is whole different beast. 

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Southerns triple option via Time of possession is always what you're looking for as a team that likes to grind the ball alot on the ground . They can Keep a defense on the field, wear them down and frustrate them with a steady stream of four and five-yard plays. This is exhausting, and time consuming. West Virginia is experienced on defense, but no amount of experience can prepare you for this freak show. I like the Mountaineers this season, and they should be improved, but today they will have problems dealing covering this big of a spread. .Note: Backup quarterback Favian Upshaw  is no pushiver and was the fourth leading rusher in 2014 with 385 yards, he takes the place of suspended QB Kevin Ellison.

 Play on Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Owls lost their three best defensive players to graduation in linebacker Andrae Kirk, cornerback D’Joun Smith and safety Damian Parms -  former Baylor offensive coordinator Tulsa's new coach Philip Montgomery knows how to take advantage of defenses, and Im betting he engineers a way to  clobber this inexperienced crew in a big way tonight. I know Tulsa's defense is a work in progress after last seasons, ugly effort, but FAU one dimensional QB/WR combo Im betting does not have the guns to keep up with what Im betting will be an explosive Hurricane attack. Also Tulsa has big revenge on board for a 51-20 beat down last year at FAU, So there is added incentive to smash their opponents mercilessly here. 

Play on the Tulsa Hurricanne to cover 1 unit reg selection (Projected BLOWOUT winner)

Temple returns all of its starters from an extremely strong defense, which could cause major problems for a still young Nittany Lions offensive line.  Im betting the Penn State offense struggles to find their rhythm , while the Owls do just enough damage offensively for this contest to stay extremely close until the very end. 

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Michigan State over the couple of decades have become notorious slow starters, as is evident in their last 19 road openers, where Michigan State has won only one game by more than 17 points!  Western Michigan has 16 returning starters  , and Narduzzi no longer coaching along the sidelines with Dantonio and revenge on board next time out against Oregon and you have a situation in a Kalamzoo that favors the underdog making this closer than expected  , which Im betting sees the home side covering the spread. This is a huge game for this Western Michigan school and bus loads full of fans will be there cheering their team in the most important game their current gridiron history.

Play on the Western Michigan Broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection