The Jazz Im betting come right after the Warriors tonight in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City in effort to wind their opponents. That Im also betting will see a much higher up-tempo tilt than some might expect. Utah after a bit of a slump have really picked up their efforts of late, and have taken 3 straight wins. Note: UTAH is 8-1 OVER  in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored.

Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

 The over is 8-1 L/9 games in this series with a combined average of  (226.9 ppg ) going on the board and my projections estimate a similar output giving us value on this light totals number. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Dallas behind their 3rd rank ppg defense and 28th ranked pace and 25th ranked offense, obviously depend on top tier conservative transitional hoops for their successes. Nothing will change tonight against a Detroit side that averages just over 101 ppg on the road this season while ranking 29th in ppg offensive output. Advantage to the under. 

Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 10-2 in Mavericks last 12 games as a home favorite.

DALLAS is 10-0 UNDER L/10  in home games versus struggling  teams - shooting 43%  or less with a defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season  with a combined average of 176.8 ppg scored.DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined averag eof 203.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 2041. ppg scored .DALLAS is 9-0 UNDER  in home games after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Im betting the Suns explosive offense (ranked 3rd in the NBA) will be forced into opening up against a aggressive opponent playing at home. From there the Suns will force the speed of the game  upward behind the 9th ranked pace in the league. Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the 76ers. Over is 5-1-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

The Series  between the Suns and Sixers has been high scoring - going 7-0 OVER L7 with a combined average of (236.4) scored. 

PHOENIX is 33-17 OVER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 245 points or more were scored are 66-33 OVER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 158-94 OVER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.

Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Orlando has really picked up their pace lately and are playing run and gun hoops as is evident by 8 of their L/9 games going over the total.  Today Im betting they force the Celtics to have to open up in a tilt Im betting eclipses the number. Over is 5-0-1 in Magic last 6 overall.

ORLANDO is 10-1 OVER after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, in February games are 29-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Oklahoma City ranks last in the NBA in ppg offensive output and 17th in pace and 12th in ppg defense while their opponents Dallas rank 25th in ppg offense and 3rd in ppg defense behind 27th ranked pace. According to the data and style of play both teams initiate its obvious that this generally would be a lower scoring affair, which has me leaning strongly to the under based on my own projections which estimate a combined score that sits closer to 206 , which is a full possession advantage. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 UNDER  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season with a combined average of 201.9 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER  in home games this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Both these sides are off big run and gun DD wins vs top tier sides , as Minnesota flattened Utah and Denver smashed the defending champion Bucks  and now Im betting on a regression on offense in a natural letdown situation. This will effect the combined score which favors the under. 

Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA /DENVER) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 22-3 UNDER L/5 seasons last 26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on the UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Houston as this season has progressed  has turned into a run and gun type team that plays little or no defense ranking 1st in pace and 30th in ppg allowed . Tonight against a top tier opponent Im betting they leave everything on the floor as they are expected to lose anyway vs Golden State. This Im betting sees a very uptempo game and  alot of offensive fireworks and a combined score that eclipses this total. 

HOUSTON is 13-3 OVER versus below average  foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored.

Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 games as a home underdog. Over is 13-3 in Rockets last 16 home games

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-3 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 240.3 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Golden State ranks 1st in the NBA in defensive rating and 1st in ppg allowed and rank 12th in pace. At home they are almost always able to dictate the tempo of a game and nothing will change tonight against a  offensively aggressive Minnesota side that is  ranked 18th in offensive rating and 10th in overall defensive rating.  

Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

GOLDEN STATE home games this season have seen a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 16-3 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 205.4 ppg scored this season.GOLDEN STATE is 17-6 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with the combined average of 209.4 ppg scored.

MINNESOTA L/155   road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) has seen a combined average of 201.4 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 45-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 overall and Im betting on another fairly high scoring affair here today based on my projections which estimate a combined score in the low 220s. Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons  are 5-1 OVER  in the  Pistons last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-3-1 in Pistons last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

DENVER is 15-2 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. Malone is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. 

DETROIT is 14-6 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored, 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are  29-6 L/5 over for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. 

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the OVER 

Utah played last night in a very physical grinding game against the Warriors losing 94-92 and will be on tired legs tonight and not prepared to run and will once again formulate a tough defensive transitional game plan vs a dangerous opponent. Meanwhile, the Suns behind the 1st ranked defensive rating in the league, will once again be prepared to grind their opponents down, in what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair.

Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall.

Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games as a favorite.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/ PHOENIX) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 25-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-17UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 75%) are 43-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Phoenix.

Under is 17-7 in Suns last 24 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play UNDER

These teams in their previous few meetings have combined for some very high scores, but the Jazz and their hosts current form suggests a ,ore conservative transitional affair . When  considering the type of  defensive hoops the Warriors  (No 1 ppg allowed) have embraced  this totals offering give us value on an under wager tonight as my projections estimate a combined score that fails to eclipse the number . GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE  18 games this season  when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average of 215.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE  in 23 games  as a home favorite this season have seen a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored.

Golden State ranks 11th in pace and Utah ranks 15th in pace. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 24-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Im not expecting this combined score to eclipse the total. Under is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games as a road underdog and are  10-4-1 in Nets last 15 games as an underdog. Meanwhile,  the Under is 23-9 in Timberwolves last 32 games as a home favorite and when they are well rested with 3 or more days rest like they have tonight are 7-3 UNDER. 

NBA BROOKLYN is 13-0 UNDER  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games are 38-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Celtics enter this tilt with a  3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a struggling  offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

The Indiana Pacers rank 18th in offensive ppg output in the league and 23rd in pace  are on tired legs after playing last night  in LA and will be curtailed as well by a staunch Golden State D that ranks 1st in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive rating behind 12 ranked pace. Im betting on the Pacers playing a conservative type of transitional ball and for the Warriors in their usual manner to control tempo the other way which Im projecting results in a fairly low scoring affair. 

INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored.  Carlisle is 17-6 UNDER as an underdog as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 211.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. 

GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 UNDER versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season with a combined average of 202.8 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Im betting the Pistons will score above the linesmakers projections today and that the Suns will be forced to open up in a game that eclipses the offered total. Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Over is 3-0-1 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

DETROIT is 7-0 OVER  in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored.

PHOENIX is 32-18 OVER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.1 ppg scored in this 50 games. 

NBA  teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 71-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

New Orleans took a 123-104 win vs the Clippers back in late November and Im betting a similar type of pace and a combined score that eclipses this offered total. New Orleans has scored more than 100 points in 12 straight games in 14 of their L/15 and Im betting that constant will once again come to fruition, and the Clippers in revenge mode, will have to up their pace or be blown off the court once again which will result in faster game than expected by the pundits .  

NEW ORLEANS is 14-2 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-4 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus struggling  offensive teams - scoring 108  or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.2 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. ( New Orleans won 128-125 last time out).

Play OVER 

My projections estimate that both these sides will not breach the 108 point plateau on offense. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-0 UNDER  where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg going on the board. WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER  where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg scored. 

Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 UNDER   in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 24 games ringing in at 209.1 ppg. 

Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games as an underdog.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-7 UNDER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 34-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 37-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less ), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Sixers are ranked 27th in pace and 21st in offensive ppg output and are ranked 8th in ppg allowed which translates into a what must be considered a defensive style of play. Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 home games.

Meanwhile, San Antonio has seen just  4 of their L/17 games eclipse the total as a road underdog. 

Im expecting the home side to dictate the pace here and for this game to end up in a lower scoring affair. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored in those tilts .SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Clippers beat the Suns 111-95 at home back in December and now Im betting the Suns will be wide awake here today and push the action into a higher paced affair, in a game that Im betting will see these teams open up for a bigger than expected combined offensive output.  

Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 home games.

PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER   in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 31-17 OVER   in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. . 

NBA  team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 100-47 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 227.4 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 90-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. 

Play on OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WISCONSIN is 7-0 UNDER  as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored.

WISCONSIN is 18-7 UNDER  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 128.4 ppg .WISCONSIN is 10-2 UNDER  L/12 after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more with a combined average of 124.6 ppg scored. 

Milwaukee in their L/5 trips to the hardwood have averaged 121.6 ppg and Im betting their explosive offense continues to produce a boatload full of points vs a inconsistent Pelicans D. Meanwhile, New Orleans has recently shown some good chemistry on offense and have recorded, 105 or more points in 14 of their L/15 games. Im betting both sides take part in a high tempo tilt as Milwaukee will force the issue and the Pelicans will have no choice but to open up which Im betting will result in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this Total. 

NEW ORLEANS is 12-1 OVER  in January games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 14-3 OVER   after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-2 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 48-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 230.4 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 44-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Raptors have gone over in 4 straight games, as they are playing a more wide open type of hoops at the moment, and as a result the defensive efforts have looked ugly as was the case last time out as they allowed 144 points in a loss. The Raptors now rank 20th overall in defensive rating at (110.3) and Im betting that wont get much better tonight. Meanwhile, the Sixers despite of their lower offensive output averages, matchup well here vs the Dinos D that is in a down mode at the moment and Im expecting they hit above their season averages. With that said Im expecting a combined score  that eclipses this total. 

Over is 5-0-2 in 76ers last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-1-1 in 76ers last 6 road games.

Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games as an underdog.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Memphis is on back to back games here tonight and Im betting they will be on tired legs and not ready to play hardcore defense against a Suns side that did not play well on Christmas day and will come out here spitting bullets in redemption mode. With that said, look for the Suns 4th best league offense, to explode in run and and gun style  behind the 6th fastest pace. This will force the  Grizzlies 5th ranked offense into having  to open up or be blown off the court which will result in a combined score that eclipses this offered total. 

Over is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in road games off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of  243.6 ppg scored. ( they smashed Sacramento last night by a 127-102 count)

PHOENIX is 28-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Indiana is banged up with key players not playing or less than 100%, but still have enough bench strength to be aggressive offensively tonight vs a Chicago side that is also short handed because of covid protocols and a key injury to Zach Lavine. The Bulls are also still capable of attacking but what seems missing of late from the Bulls is their ability to defend as they have allowed 107 or more points in 8 of their L/9 games, including 115, 118, 110, 118 points in their L/4 overall. With that said my projections estimate this line should be closer to 220 giving us a full possession of value to the OVER. Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.Over is 10-4 in Pacers last 14 overall.

 CHICAGO is 26-13 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 113-79 OVER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached with a combined average of 218.7 ppg.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 57-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 70-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Play OVER

Covid protocols and injuries will effect this game greatly especially from a offensive standpoint, which Im betting results in a much lower scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. Regardless of GLeague signings Im betting cohesiv-ness will be an issue. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 44-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Im betting on a hard fought play off type defensive affair tonight between two top tier opponents. The Suns are ranked 4th in ppg allowed defense, and the Warriors rank 1st in ppg defense in the league. Golden states road games have seen a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored while the Suns home tilts have seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg go on the board. Considering where this Totals line offering is at and basic math, a combined average score of 212 might be expected , which is what my projections have estimated. Of course its never easy estimating shooting efficiency and vise versa defensive efficiency , but usual average can be considered as well as the importance of the game from a one or more angles (seeding) and the types of systems both sides use. Both have been highly proficient at controlling offenses, and in a tilt that   you can bet will be physical to an extent. Note: Matchups with early start times (6 p.m. ET or before) for teams in the Pacific Division have gone 151-107-1 under  dating back to the 2005-2006 season for a 58% conversion rate. These teams have gone under in 8 of their L/9 meetings with the two most recent clashes seeing a combined average of 200 and 214 ppg go on the score board.

PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER  vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in home games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. 

 GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 10-0 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-0 UNDER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 209.5 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PP are 168-94 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

FRESNO ST is 9-2 UNDER  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored.FRESNO ST is 16-6 UNDER   versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored. 

UTAH is 61-37 L/98 UNDER  versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game with a combined average of 123.8 ppg scored. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

DAVIDSON is 32-13 UNDER  versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 142.5 ppg scored.

Bucks are expected to play without Rick Middleton (knee) and star forward  Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight vs Cleveland  because of covid protocol. The Bucks usually play top tier teams differently than lower tier sides, as they pay special attention to defense out of transition. With these star athletes out of the lineup tonight for the Bucks, their emphasis on a strong defensive game will become even more paramount. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers calling card all season long has been a strong brand of defensive hoops, ranking 2nd in ppg allowed and 3rd in overall defensive rating. 

**(If Middleton does play Im betting he will see limited action)**

The Bucks took out the Cavs a week ago by a 112-104 score. Note: Bickerstaff is 21-9 UNDER  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of CLEVELAND with a combined average of 209.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games as a favorite. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more.

MILWAUKEE is 19-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a home underdog.

CLEVELAND is 14-3 UNDER  after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 38-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Celtics have struggled defensively of late, allowing an average of 112.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, via a opposition 47% FG conversion rate. Thats not good from to be in vs a Golden State side that averages 111.8 ppg this season on offense while ranking 3rd overall in the league and 9th in pace. If Boston has any chance of victory here tonight, they will have to be aggressive offensively against a strong defensive side, which Im betting sees alot of action in transition  and speedier pace than expected. Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 34-9 OVER L/ 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CAL POLY-SLO is 12-1 UNDER  as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 122 ppg scored. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Philadelphia usually plays their best hoops at home, and tonight is an opportunity to up their game, and take down Western Conference power house Golden State. By pushing on their visiting opponents Im betting on a more aggressive game out of transition by both sides that will  then see the  combined score pushing upward past this offered  totals number.

PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 OVER  in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. 

 - NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home teams against the total (OHIO ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are 98-53 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Lakers enter this road game against Memphis with the 4th best ppg offense the 28th ranked ppg defense behind the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA. Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 8th in ppg offense and 24th in ppg defense behind the 13th fast pace in the league. Tonight Im betting on an all out offensive slugfest behind two sides who attack and rarely play defensively well in transition which will result in a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are expecting. 

Note:  Im expecting a fast pace and alot of shots here tonight by both sides:  MEMPHIS is 32-19 OVER  in up-tempo games where they attempt 93 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. 

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, first half of the season are 55-21 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Lakers offense is very cohesive at the moment  as they rank 4th in ppg offense and they have been pressing with the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA, but on the flip-side are ranked 28th in D ppg allowed.  Im betting the Lakers continue to run and gun and for the Celtics to have to reciprocate or be blown off the court. This Im betting results in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. BOSTON is 25-14 OVER   as an underdog over the last 2 seasons  with a combined average of 228 ppg scored in those 39 games.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 41-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 67-31 OVER L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Golden State Warriors after defeating and ending the Suns huge winning streak, came out the next time out, and looked asleep at the wheel especially on defense as they suffered a upset loss to the Spurs. Tonight Im betting on a bounce back effort behind the leagues No.1 ppg allowed defense  and defensive rating. Meanwhile, their opponents the visiting Magic own the leagues 25th ranked offense, and Im betting they continue struggle enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the this offered total. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 games as a home favorite.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 UNDER  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game this season with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 14-2 UNDER  after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a struggling  team (25% or less ) are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 209.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 41-15 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 206.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Suns had an extensive winning streak end last time out vs Golden State, and did not eclipse the century mark in points for just the 2nd time in their L/20 games. Im now expecting a bounce back behind the  4th fastest pace in the league and a offense that ranks 5th in the NBA   Meanwhile, San Antonio has been in a rhythm lately on offense scoring 116, 114, 112 points in their L/3 trips to the hardwood, and will once again have to be aggressive offensively or be blown of the court. Im betting the Suns come out here and explode offensively even without Booker in the lineup and for the Spurs to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in speedy fashion behind the 5th fastest pace in a tilt that I have pegged to eclipse this total. 

Over is 7-2-1 in Spurs last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a ATS win.

Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a favorite.Over is 6-2 in Suns last 8 home games.Over is 19-7 in Suns last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a ATS loss

Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 224.9 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, with a losing record are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 232.2  ppg.

Play OVER

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Bucks rank 8th in pace and 8th in offensive output in the NBA, while, Cleveland runs at a slower pace and ranks 2nd in ppg allowed. However, from a head to head perspective Im expecting the Bucks to dictate the pace and to force the slower but capable Cavs offense to have to speed their game up and produce above their averages offensively. My projections are estimating a score in the high 218-220 range giving us more than full possession value on this totals offering according to my thesis which is based on various head to head matchup probabilities. 

Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER  in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 220.5 ppg scored.

Budenholzer in his L/44 i n home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average score of 216.4 ppg scored.Budenholzer in his L/86) versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game or less as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average of 220.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as a favorite.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 41-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Milwaukee. 

Play OVER

I know Cleveland is playing very good defense art the moment, but the Jazz have shot 40% or better from 3-point range in five games this season and are going to bomb from downtown again, because of Cavs go interior D. On the flips die   Utah is recently  gave up 30 or more points each of the final three quarters against Boston -- including 41 in the third quarter and Cleveland as this game goes on should have success in this sport according to my head to head offense vs defense  matchup algorithms. Advantage over.

UTAH is 15-4 OVER  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 26-13 OVER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored.  

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER 

According to my head to head matchup stats this line is on a low side, and my projections estimate a combined score of 215 or more.  Note: Portland is ranked 28th in overall defensive rating in the NBA and 7th in offensive rating and the average score of their home games comes in at 217.1 ppg. The blazers are off a  sleepy home effort last time out, but Im betting they will be ready to bounce back here with a more aggressive effort vs a Boston team off putting 130 points on the board last time out. Advantage over.

Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games as an underdog.

These teams have gone over in 4 straight meetings including last two here in Portland .Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland.

PORTLAND is 20-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 27-14 OVER  off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play OVER

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Houston has had a good run of late, winning 3 straight, and last time out showed a strong defensive posture allowing just 89 points and Im expecting more of the same here vs a Thunder side, that has not scored above the 99 point plateau in 10 of their L/19 with only 1 of the other 9 games seeing more than 105 point scored and own the 30th ranked offensive output in the league. Advantage under.

HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-12 UNDER for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Knicks run a slow pace ranking 22nd in the NBA and tonight against a  Brooklyn side with far more offensive weapons I expect the Knicks to turn this in to a slow grinding affair. This Im betting has a direct effect on the combined score staying on the low side of the offered number. 

Note: Brooklyn ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. 

Under is 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 home games.Under is 7-3 in Nets last 10 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 33-16 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 season for a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 10-1 UNDER after scoring 105 points or less this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored.

Under is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 road games.Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 overall.Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 games as an underdog.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 64-28 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Houston is off a back forth offensive slugfest last time out and Im betting on a precipitous letdown here from an offensive standpoint. This in itself will make this a lower scoring affair , much like when they teams played last , where the Thunder took a 101-89 victory.  HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER   after scoring 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

The Thunder rank 29th in ppg scored and 12 in ppg allowed.  

Under is 8-0 in Thunder last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

  HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored.   

HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER   at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored.  Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 14-3-1 in Rockets last 18 games as a home favorite.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY/HOUSTON ) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 44-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

Revamped Golden State has built back better, and now sport a top tier D, that compliments a strong offense. However it is their D, that shines and stands out the most, allowing just 100.9 ppg this season, ranking 1st in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers key to success has been their defense for a while now ranking 3rd in ppg allowed. The Clippers know they cannot run and gun with the Warriors thus Im expecting a slowed down game plan from them today, in a contest that will feature strong D, and a combined score that stays on the low side of this offered  Totals number.

Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 22-8 in Warriors last 30 road games.

Under is 9-4-1 in Clippers last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 28-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UNDER

My projections make this Total closer to 209 thus giving us more than full possession value to the over. Over is 9-4 in Magic last 13 road games.

CLEVELAND is 8-0 OVER in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237 ppg. 

ORLANDO is 13-4 OVER  when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored.Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. is 20-8 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 season with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 51-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less  PPG differential) are 38-14 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Atlanta ranks 6th in ppg in the NBA and 21st in ppg allowed  while Memphis their hosts rank 7th in ppg scored in the league and 30th in ppg allowed with 7 of their L/9 games seeing a combined core of 227 or more points going on the board. Tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat offensive performance from  the Grizzlies and enough efficiency from the Hawks for this offered total to be eclipsed. 

Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 overall.

MEMPHIS is 21-7 OVER  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 80-37 OVER L/ 5seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 66-33 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

both these sides are operating at high level and both Im betting will be pushed into action tonight in what Im betting will see the combined score push into the upper 215+ area which projects an over wager cashing. Yes, I know both defenses are playing well but an aggressive posture by these teams will push is over the offered number.

MIAMI is 8-1 OVER  in non-conference games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 220.7 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.  Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - a very good team (+7  or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate wih the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg. 

Over  is 6-0 L/6 meetings overall in this series.

Play on the OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (UCLA) - an excellent offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or more PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 48-16 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA) - an excellent defensive team (63  or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) are 44-17 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Detroit took part in a big brawl against the Lakers last time out. They also blew a big lead for a loss and will now want some sort of redemption. Meanwhile, with Miami knowing they should not overlook this opponent, and they themselves off a loss, Im betting the Heat will come out here firing bullets, and Motown will have to respond with some fireworks fo their own or be blown off the court in classic chase action -which will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games as a road favorite.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER  versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.MIAMI is 11-1 OVER  as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 18-4 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222 ppg. 

DETROIT is 9-0 OVER  after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.Casey is 34-19 OVER  in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of DETROIT.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER

The Suns romped to a big DD win last night and are currently firing on cylinders behind the 4th best ppg offense and 5th ranked pace. Note:PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER  after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored in the 17 game sample size . Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Meanwhile,  San Antonio has allowed 115+ ppg at home this season, and rank 24th overall in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 4th in pace which sets up for what I expect will be a speedy game that will eclipse this offered totals number. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 home games

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 31-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the combined average score of 233 ppg going board.

Play OVER 

Sacramento enters this game ranked 27th in ppg defense and rank 7th in pace. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 3rd in offense behind a mid range pace as compared to the league. Using these numbers, and head to head style of play factors Im projecting a combined score in the mid 220s giving us value with an over wager. 

 SACRAMENTO is 18-6 OVER  in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. Walton is 29-12 OVER   in home games after playing a home game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home which was the case last time out, which from my perspective will make the Kings more aggressive especially in an environment that has nothing to lose written all over it.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - playing on back-to-back days, a struggling  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

TORONTO is 24-11 OVER  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average for 225.6 ppg . Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. are 56-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

My projections make this total a little low, as my estimates says we should see a combined score into lower 220s. 

Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

PORTLAND is 14-4 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 233.4 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 41-19 OVER  after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 on the opening line (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 36-11 OVER L/25 seasons for a  77% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER 

Minnesota has allowed 4 of their L/6 opponents to breach the 123 point plateau and tonight my projections estimate the Suns will produce  a +119 to +129 point offensive output which gives an edge to this offered total being eclipsed. 

Minnesota owns a 24th ranking in Defensive Net rating and are ranked 9th in pace. 

Phoenix ranks 3rd in offensive ppg and 4th in pace. 

MINNESOTA is 16-3 OVER  after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. 

MINNESOTA is 44-25 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg going on the board in those 69 tilts. 

NBA  Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - after one or more consecutive overs, a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) are 24-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Denver s top tier D, have not allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to breach the 98 point plateau ranking first in ppg allowed and ranking 26th in pace behind the leagues 27th worst ppg offense. Meanwhile, Portland averages 104 ppg on the road this season, but my projections estimate at least 6% drop in output here based on a analytical chart I use   which equates, into a 97.76 team score , while Denver is estimated to score 107 points,  giving us more than a full possession advantage on this totals offering making this a viable bet based in my projections, 

DENVER is 8-1 UNDER   vs poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 196.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER  as a favorite this season with a combined average of 196 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 55-25 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER