Miami is play off bound, and will want to sharpen up on their top tier brand of defensive basketball. I expect they will be very focused on being defensively responsible here this evening and for them not to be interested in a run and gun style of play, as they look to stay fresh for the post season. The Heat are 4th in in the league in points allowed and 27th in PACE. Meanwhile, NYK, despite of wanting to push for a more wide open attack tonight after suffering a ugly 97-73 set back last time out, will still have to contend with very good D, in a game I'm betting stays on the low side of the number.

The Knicks have gone under 14 straight times at home off a loss as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 80 points with the combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 171.9 ppg, with the highest combined score reaching just 188 points.

Under is 5-1-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 19-6-2 in Knicks last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 22-8 in the last 30 meetings in New York.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 57-29 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind/

Play UNDER

Both Minnesota and Philadelphia are playing quality hoops at the moment, and with the play offs approaching will be concentrating on being a little more diligent in the defensive end of the court and in transition. I know both these teams can light up the scoreboard in a hurry , but with Jimmy Butler on the sidelines with an injury for the Wolves, and this being their 5th game in 8 days, I'm betting Minnesota won't be as fluid as the linesmakers expect vs staunch Philly D . It must also be noted   that the 76ers  are also in tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 night. These scheduling anomalies  I'm betting effect both sides offensive output here today, making this a viable under wager.

Minnesota is 24th in the league in PACE. Philadelphia is ranked 4th in PACE but are ranked 4th in defensive rating and are a highly under rated defensive side.

PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 UNDER  L/35 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season with a combined average score of 211.1 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. HC Brown is 10-1 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of the Sixer's with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 40-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA/PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 140-50 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive win are 44-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for  a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA

Look for Dukes powerful inside-outside game  to go head to head in a back forth affair  against the dynamic guard play of the Rams in a game I have projected to go over the total.

DUKE is 11-1 OVER  L/12 after a non-conference game this season with a combined average score of 169.7 ppg scored.DUKE is 10-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average score of 164.8 ppg scored.

Over is 6-2 in Blue Devils last 8 neutral site games. Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 neutral site games.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RHODE ISLAND/DUKE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 160-88 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Both these sides have played some fairly high scoring back and forth games of late, but the Clippers still key on defense to get where they need to go, and have seen 3 of their L/4 stay under the total . The average combined score of the  Clippers road games clicks in at around 216 ppg.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma City also has been running and gunning on a consistent basis, but because of this the lines makers are attaching some slightly bloated Totals to their tilts which makes for value when looking at the under as is evident by 4 of their L/5 home tilts failing to eclipse the number. The Thunders home games have seen a combined average score of 209.6 ppg scored behind the 20th ranked pace in the league and the 8th best defensive rating. My projections make this Total closer to 219 which gives us value on the under.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-27 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season with a combined average score of 211.3 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER L/33 against Pacific division opponents with a combined average score of 213.1 ppg scored.

The Thunder are 0-20 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest when they won as a favorite in each of their last two games with the highest score in those games coming in at 218 total points with the average combined score clicking in at 193.7 ppg.

The Thunder are 0-19 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest off a double-digit win as a favorite with the highest score in those games not eclipsing the 216 point plateau.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 38-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 211.6 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER

AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orlando, FL  

The linesmkaers are expecting Cincinnati to take out the SMU Mustangs by a DD margin of victory, which translates to the Bearcats putting up 72+ plus points here according to my own projections with the Mustangs reciprocating with 58+ points in a game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. The meetings between the programs this season have seen 127 and 132 points go on the scoreboard. I'm expecting a score of around 130+ here in a neutral court environment giving us an edge for an over wager.

SMU HC Jankovich in 23 i neutral court games in his career has seen an a combined average of 130.4 ppg scored. Jankovich  in all 33 tournament games  he has coached  have seen a combined average score of 131.6 ppg  scored. HC Cronin of Cincinnati  in  203  games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game has seen a combined average of 130.2 ppg go on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SMU/CINCINNATI) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Fridays are 26-2 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.2 ppg.

Play OVER

ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

BC has  gotten better as this season has progressed because of their ability to punch it out offensively with anyone in this conference behind the talented backcourt duo of Robinson and Bowman and I'm betting this group will force a defensive minded Clemson into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own in this conflict.

Yesterday Boston took out NC State by a 91-87 count and scored a 88-77 opening round win vs Georgia Tech .  This BC team knows only one way to play and that is fast transitional basketball, and nothing will change here today. When these teams played earlier this season Clemson took a 74-70 win and my own projections estimate a combined score of the 145+ points range to be scored here which makes for a viable over wager.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-2 OVER  L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last  season with  a combined average score of 160.4 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER  L/12 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a  combined average score of  157.3 ppg going on the board.BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 OVER  L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average score of 158.9 ppg scored.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 OVER  L/6  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 These two rebuilding programs have gone through a lot of struggles this season, and both have looked a little winded here late in the campaign. A team that is particular tired are the young Suns, as was evident against Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, falling 124-116 despite 39 points from emerging star Devin Booker. QUOTE: "I think we probably fatigued a little bit," Phoenix interim coach Jay Triano told reporters afterward. "I don't know if our guys are used to playing at that level for that long of a period of time, but that's what we'll get to." END QUOTE. Today here in Atlanta I'm expecting their tired legs to effect the Suns, and they won't be up to taking part in a run and gun affair, which is just fine for a Atlanta side that prefers a slower pace behind a 26th ranked offensive effecnicy rating. With that said, I'm betting we see the combined score of this affair to stay below the number.
 
Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have stayed under including the L/4 here in Georgia.

Under is 11-2 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games. Under is 20-9 in Suns last 29 games following a straight up loss. Under is 17-8 in Suns last 25 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 vs. Western Conference. Under is 21-7 in Hawks last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

ATLANTA is 21-7 UNDER  L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 9-0 UNDER  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored .  PHOENIX is 16-7 UNDER  L/23 after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored.

NBA All teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA/PHOENIX) - in a game involving two struggling teams (25% to 40%), second half of the season are 38-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play on the UNDER

Kentucky and Florida enter this game both playing top tier hoops at the moment. I'm expecting like the linesmkaers for this to be a closely contested 2 possession game that will see both teams according to my own projections putting 72+ points on the board, which gives me justification in call for an over wager here in this spot. Note: Florida has averaged  76.4 ppg at home this season, and Kentucky has averaged 73.3 ppg away.    The  total combined score according to my projections and systems analysis  could easily eclipse this number by 5 points , making this a viable over wager.

FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER L/13  in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season with a combined average of 148.7 ppg going on the board.KENTUCKY is 11-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with a combined average score of 168.7 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER  in road games off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals with a combined average of 163.5 ppg  going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER  after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games this season with a combine average score of 168.2 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KENTUCKY) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 75-33 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round - Detroit, MI

These teams just took part in a back and forth game on Feb 24 that saw Cleveland State grab a 99-94 victory. However, now in the rematch I expect a more tempered approach by both sides, and a reversion to the norm from a  offensive output standpoint. Tourney play tends to be more tactical, and physically grueling which should aid this score to stay on the low side of the number.

CLEVELAND ST is 12-2 UNDER  off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored and is 6-0 UNDER  off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 129.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 UNDER  after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season with the combined average score of 132.3 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a struggling/losing team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the total combined score of those tilts clicking in at 126.7 ppg.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - in a conference tournament game, a struggling/losing team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Southern Conference Tournament - First Round - Asheville, NC

In both meetings this season, the total combined score did not exceed this posted number. UT Chatanooga 78 Samford 71 - Samford 73 Chatanooga 56. My own projections expect both sides to not exceed the 75 point offensive plateau, which makes for a viable under wager according to these estimates.

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 14-3 UNDER  L/17  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 145.8 ppg scored.UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-1 UNDER   after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 143.4 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (SAMFORD) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday nights are 27-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 128.4 pgg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a struggling team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.4 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two struggling  teams (20% to 40%) are 38-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament - First Round - Albany, NY

Marist road games have seen a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Fairfield has seen a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. My own projections estimate that in this neutral court environment, that the combined score will be closer to  149, which gives us a two possession advantage to the under in what will be a tighter more grueling post season affair than their last regular season matchup that saw Fairfield beat Marist 83-79.  

FAIRFIELD in their L/25 games  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 146.8 ppg scored.FAIRFIELD is 9-1 UNDER  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. HC of Fairfield Johnson is 18-5 UNDER  L/23 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals with a combined average score of 131 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ) are 46-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 132.8 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 53-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the combine average score of 136.9 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament - First Round - Evansville, IN

When Tennessee Tech and SIU Edwardsville met earlier this season, they took part in a grueling physical game that Tennessee Tech Tech won 68-67, and I'm betting on a similar style game this time around and a combined score that is also similar , which makes this a viable under wager according to my own projections.

TENNESSEE TECH is 9-0 UNDER  L/9 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game of 134.3 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 145.3 ppg scored. TENNESSEE TECH is 8-0 UNDER  when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season of 135.9 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 24-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENNESSEE TECH) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better) are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

It is no secret that LSU struggles with grind it out teams like South Carolina. Last time out the Bayou Bengals allowed 90+  points to Georgia  to a team that struggles to score 60 points most nights. Tonight against a South Carolina I'm betting the home side scores above its season average of 71.2 ppg,  vs a Tigers side that has allowed  an average 78.8 ppg on the road, and for LSU to hit in the 75point range (  LSU averages 77.7 ppg overall in off) . Those projections suggest a Total that will be eclipsed.

LSU HC Wade is 9-1 OVER  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games with a combined score of 145.9 ppg scored.LSU is 8-1 OVER  L/9 in road games after allowing 90 points or more with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. LSU is 14-5 OVER   as a road underdog or pick  with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER  L/8 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season with a combined average of 165.4 ppg scored.

S CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER  L/6  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 149.7 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LSU) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more are 131-71 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S CAROLINA) - after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 97-59 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

BSU has won the past three meetings vs Central Michigan, including an 82-76 victory earlier this year in Muncie, all three combined scores easily eclipsed this Totals number, and I'm expecting another fairly high scoring tilt here today. Central Michigan is averaging just under 80 ppg at home this season, while BSU has averaged 76.6 ppg overall, and have picked up their offensive attack of late with  87,90,99, 77, 80 point outputs in their L/5 respectively.  Everything points to this total getting eclipsed.

Central Michigan is off 89-76 loss vs Toledo last time out, which sets us up well for an OVER wager to cash, as C MICHIGAN is 11-1 OVER L/12 off a road loss against a conference rival dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 176.1 ppg scored.C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER  as a home underdog or pick over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 180.5 ppg going on the  board.C MICHIGAN is 7-1 OVER  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg scored. C MICHIGAN is 17-3 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 176.6 ppg registered on the scoreboard. C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER  L/6 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%)  with a combined average score of 163.3 ppg scored.

BALL ST is 22-9 OVER  L/31 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 156.7 ppg scored. BALL ST is 6-0 OVER   vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots ( Note: The Chippewas lead the league in free throw shooting at 80 percent  )

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a79% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 71-39 OVER L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Houston enters this game against Denver having won  11 straight games  and  have notched victories in 18 of their  last 20 games. But  will play without Eric Gordon (18.5ppg) which I'm betting effects their offensive flow here in the high altitude of the Rockies  this evening.  Meanwhile, Denver has won 10 of 13 and are  7-1 SU in February and could find the sledding tough behind their 17th ranked PACE vs a Houston team that can also play some solid D, as is evident by holding 4 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points and ranked 9th in the league in defensive rating. Despite both teams current explosive forms , this line according to my own projections is slightly bloated to the upside and gives us a viable opportunity to cash taking an under stance.

Under is 11-2 in Rockets last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-4-1 in Rockets last 15 road games.

HOUSTON is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER  L/21  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average score of 216.2 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER /HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 37-9 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 214 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER

Philadelphia plays their best defensive basketball at home this season , and in recent action have  not allowed 5 of their L/8 opponents to score more than 98 points when playing as hosts. Overall leading up to the all star break the Sixers allowed an average of just 94.8 ppg in 5 games all wins and are currently ranked 4th in the league in Defensive effecnicy .  They did take part in a high scoring affair in their first game after the break, but will now be prepared to clamp down defensively vs a inconsistent Orlando offense ( Ranked 19th in Off Effecnicy). I'm betting on a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER  L/12  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 20-11 UNDER   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 41-11 and 6-0 this season UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My own projections for this game suggest both teams will score at least 75 points each here today. BAYLOR is 9-0 OVER   in games where both teams score 75 or more points over the last few seasons with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. .TCU is 11-1 OVER  in games where both teams score 75 or more points this season with a combined average of 169.5 ppg going on the board.

Both these teams play contrasting styles of basketball. TCU is a run and gun group, while Baylor likes to slow things down.  But from a matchup perspective, Baylor is going to have to pick up their pace  on offense if they want to keep up here in an environment where the home team should be able to make the speed of this tilt more to their liking. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score that eclipses this number.

TCU is 16-5 OVER L/21 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.TCU is 7-1 OVER L/8 when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.TCU is 6-0 OVER   in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 163.9 ppg. Dixon is 12-1 OVER  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 159.9 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

After almost a weeks rest both these very capable offensive sides will be fresh and ready to run and gun here as they prepare to start the stretch drive towards the play offs in a game that my projections suggest will eclipse this number.

Cleveland Ranks 5th in offensive output in the NBA and 27th in points allowed and  29th in defensive effecnicy . Leading up to the all star game the Cavs registered 140,123, 121, 120 in offensive production  4 straight games.  Washington ranks 9th in offensive effecnicy and 15th in points allowed. Washington has scored 101 or more ppg in 10 straight games and have allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to put 100 or more points on the board.

WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road wins with a combined average score of 230.5 ppg scored.  Washington  is 20-6 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 228.1 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 15-4 OVER L/9 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or more - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 223.6 ppg clicking in on the score board. CLEVELAND is 17-6 OVER L/23  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 223.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER  after scoring 120 points or more this season with a combined average score of 223.7 ppp ringing in on the board.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND/WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 28-4 OVER L/5 seasons and a 6-0 so far this season for dual 88% and 100% conversion rates for bettors.

Play OVER

 Wofford averages 82.1 ppg at home this season on offense, while Greensboro averages 72.4 ppg on the road.Note:  UNCG  overall is averaging 74.0 points per game while shooting 44.8 percent (737-of-1646) from the field and 36.3 percent (273-of-752) from 3-point land and according to my projections should be on pace for a similar offensive output.   Greensboro plays the better defensive ball, but I'm betting their dragged into a faster affair than they like by a revenge minded Wofford team that plays their best basketball at home, which I'm betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. Wofford’s only loss at home in conference play came at the hands of ETSU by a 75-62 margin.In their L/meeting on Dec 30 of this season, Greensboro on their own home court dictated the pace and came away with a 71-67 win, but here on the road Wofford will up the speed of this game , which is more to their liking which will result in this tilt eclipsing the number.  

These teams have gone over the Total in 9 straight meetings here at Wofford.

UNC-GREENSBORO is 8-1 OVER  L/9  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 156.8 ppg scored. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-1 OVER   in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average score of 154.8 ppg clicking in on the board.WOFFORD is 6-0 OVER  L/6  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.2 ppg scored. WOFFORD is 12-2 OVER  L/14  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. WOFFORD is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 162.6 ppg getting scored. WOFFORD is 15-3 OVER  L/18 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games of 157.9 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

Minnesota enters this game struggling on defense, allowing 94,76,91,80,87 points respectively in their L/5 strips to the hardwood for an average of 85.6 ppg. The Gophers have struggled a bit of late on offense against some top tier competition, but their overall ability to put points up on the board (76.5ppg),has been their saving grace this season, and made them competitive for the most part in Big 10 play and according to my projections should score in the 65-69 point range here in this spot.  Meanwhile,  Wisconsin has done  their best offensive work at home this season, averaging 72 ppg, and I'm betting on them upping their average offensive output here by 5 to 8 points vs a  pylon D.  With that said, according to my own prognostication system, this total should be easily eclipsed.

Minnesota in 15 conference games this season, has seen a combined average score of 148.4 ppg go on the board.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 OVER  L/8 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 151.2 ppg going on the board. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 40-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82%conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Villanova easily dispatched Xavier in the first meeting this season, an 89-65 smash down at the Wells Fargo Center back on Jan. 10 and now I'm expecting a slower pace from Xavier as they try to mess with Novas flow. Meanwhile, Villanova in a mini slump after having lost 2 of their L/3 , will be concentrating on playing a complete game . The coaching staff wants the Cats to be more physical, which I'm betting they will be today and this will translate into a grinding war, that makes for a lower scoring game then the lines-makers expect. After Nova lost to Providence last time out, Villanovas Coach made this statement "We weren't physical enough to get open," Wright said. "So then we couldn't run the offense. We were forced to drive the ball and they were more physical than us in that area also." END QUOTE: With this game being so late in the season, and with playing solid D, a very important factor at this time of the season, I expect a total combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

VILLANOVA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 133.4 ppg .VILLANOVA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 136.2 ppg. VILLANOVA is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in road games on Saturday games with a combined average of 144.8 ppg going on the board. HC Wright is 17-8 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game as the coach of VILLANOVA with a combined average of 148.5 ppg clicking in on the board.




CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (XAVIER/VILLANOVA ) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

With this being the last game before both sides launch their mini vacations during the all star break, I expect both will feel energized and ready to run and gun tonight, as they also know an extended rest is on the way.

Denver enters this game having won 5 of their L/6 behind an offense that is clicking on all cylinders, averaging more than 117.8 ppg during that stretch. The Bucks also rank 6th (110.6)  in the league in offensive efficiency and  22nd  ( 109.7) in defensive efficiency   Meanwhile, Milwaukee despite of being inconsistent, are ranked 12th in the league in offensive effecnicy  rating (108.9 ppg) and 16th in defensive efficiency ( 108.7 ) and in this type of matchup vs an explosive offense will have to speed up their pace, which in turn will have them go above their current ratings, which will translate in to a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.

DENVER is 38-21 OVER  L/59 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 22-8 OVER  L/30  in road games after a combined score of 225 points with a combined average of score of 222 ppg scored. DENVER is 31-18 OVER  L/49 in non-conference games with a combined average of 222.4 ppg scored.Malone is 40-19 OVER  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored.

Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. NBA Central.Over is 14-4 in Bucks last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The Flyers have scored 80-plus points in all three February games.Dayton's offense ranks third in the country in 2-point field-goal percentage (.595).In conference play, Dayton leads the A-10 in field goal percentage (.506) and assists (18.0). Meanwhile, George  Mason recently  shot 41.2 percent (7-17) from 3-point range. The Patriots are 17-of-42 (.402) from deep over the past two contests and primed to light up the scoreboard again via the trey,, which gives credence to what I'm betting will be a fairly high scoring game. Note: Mason gave up 82.0 points per game and allowed opponents to shoot 46.6 percent over the first 10 games of the A-10 schedule.

GEORGE MASON is 11-2 OVER L/13 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of  152.2 ppg .DAYTON is 7-0 OVER L/7  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or les  turnovers/game after 15+ games  with a combined average of 161 ppg scored. DAYTON is 10-0 OVER  L/10 in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 156 ppg going on the scoreboard. DAYTON is 7-0 OVER  after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 160. ppg scored.

The two most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 153 and 162 ppg scored. George Mason has gone OVER in 7 of their L/9, while Dayton has gone over in 4 straight games.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 58-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 38-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Two banged up teams the San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets go head to head tonight in the Mile High City. The Spurs after playing last night in Utah wont; have the legs to run and gun tonight, and with key offensive weapons Leonard and Aldridge sidelined don't have as much scoring punch as usual.   Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets , continue to play without Paul Milsap, and have a bevy of walking wounded that are playing at less than 100%, and welcome the all star break that is on the horizon. This above combination of circumstances I'm betting will result in a much lower combined score than the lines-makers expect.

SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 UNDER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 198.2 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 21-7 UNDER   when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season of 194.7 ppg scored and 13-2 UNDER  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 191.7 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 50-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 The last time these teams played  they took part in  wild 148-124 shootout, that saw the Thunder shoot 58%+ FG, and the Cavs 51%.. However, it  seems both coaches were not happy with their own defenses, especially the Cavs Lue, and now I expect he makes sure his team is ready to be more physical, and more defensively responsible in transition, which I'm betting makes this a slower game than many expect.

CLEVELAND in their L/21  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more have seen a combined average score of 217.2 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 L/29 UNDER  against Central division opponents with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-8 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 220.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win are 42-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 755 conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.7 ppg.

Play UNDER

We all now how explosive Houston's offense is, but many do not notice that they are defensively efficient , as they rank 9th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.  ie Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Recently the Rockets have been tough on opposing offenses holding 3 of their L/6 opponents to 97 points or less. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of taking part in a lot of higher scoring affairs this season, remarkably owns the 23rd ranked pace, and tonight, I expect they will be even more deliberate in their approach, vs a powerful offense. With that said, and according to both teams expected style of play, and road vs home scenarios I'm betting on a total score that does not eclipse this total.

 Rockets are 5-0-1 UNDER  last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-1 in Rockets last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-3-1 in Rockets last 14 road games.Under is 34-15-2 in Rockets last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season and 7-0 on the road with a combined average score of the away games clicking in at 206.2 ppg. HC' DAntoni is 25-4 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score  of 213.9 ppg on the board.  HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER   in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 32-11 UNDER  L/43 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or over ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games 27-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

San Antonio is banged up with some key injuries but still have enough talent to put some points on the board here and keep track with the red hot Utah Jazz a team that is averaging 117.6 ppg  in offense over the L/7 games during their 9 game win streak. Considering the Jazz played last night I doubt they will be prepared to play a lot of defense here and I'm anticipating a much more wide open game because of this. With that said, I'm recommending we take an over stance in this spot.

UTAH is 21-7 OVER  L/28 against Southwest division opponents with a combined average of 204.5 ppg on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER L/19 with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored  in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (UTAH) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing on back-to-back days are 37-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 201 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER

The SMU Mustangs enter this key game at home missing  junior guard Shake Milton (hand injury), who is averaging 18.0 points and was named conference preseason player of the year by the AAC's coaches. Facing the stifling D of the Cincinnati Bearcats without him will be extremely difficult, and their offensive flow  will  be effected and mute the Mustangs ability to score consistently. Even if Milton plays he won't be 100% and less effective than usual. No matter what the case is ,  I also expect this to be a very physical game, which will also effect the combined score of this tilt to low side of the Total. Note: SMU is also down to only seven available scholarship players after junior guard Jarrey Foster (knee) and freshman forward Everett Ray (foot) were lost for the season to injuries.

CINCINNATI is 10-2 UNDER  L/12  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 125.2 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 8-1 UNDER  L/9  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games  with a combined average of 117.8 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game are with a combined average of 122 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 110.6 ppg going on the board.

CBB All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 81-34 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My projections make this total closer to 149, and thus I am recommending a OVER wager here. Boton College has really upped their offensive output of late pouring down 80 points or more in 3 straight games and are averaging 81+ ppg at home this season, and despite of Miami Fl have a viable D, they will be hard pressed to hold BC to under 75 points here which bodes well for this score eclipsing the number. Note: The Canes have scored 80 or more points in back to back games, and can run and gun with the best of teams in this conference if need be, something I'm betting they will need to today to keep up here.

MIAMI is 6-0 OVER   when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.MIAMI is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored.  BOSTON COLLEGE is 15-4 OVER   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 157.9 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored. BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-2 OVER  L/16 as a home underdog or pick with a combined average of 155.7 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 18-4 OVER  in all home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MIAMI) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 68-35 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Dallas Mavericks visit a tired looking  Golden State Warriors team on Thursday night that has lost 3 of their L/4 overall. The last time the Mavs came to town  the Warriors took a  112-97 win and I'm expecting a similar output tonight. Note: Dallas has gone under in 7 of their L/8 while, the Dubs have gone under in 3 straight tilts.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER  L/10 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 15-7 UNDER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 21-11 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 19-7 UNDER  L/26 after 3 or more consecutive unders dating back to last season with the combined average score of 215.3 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or better) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 27-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent free throw shooting team - making 80% or more  of their free throws, in February games are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

 Portland as the season has progressed has reverted back to their old run and gun style of play and has improved its offensive production now ranking 15th in the NBA in offensive rating (105.2). The Blazers' defense has  also gotten progressively worse and after being in the top 10 for a long time  and are now  ranked 11th at 104.9. ppg. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 18th in points allowed, and 14th in offense, with a combined average of 212.8 ppg scored. (106.4 ppg in both categories). From  matchup perspective and a projections system I have used for 14 years,  I'm expecting both sides to play a faster paced game then usual, and for the this combined score to eclipse the number.

My projection has both sides scoring more than 105 points each- Note: PORTLAND is 20-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board.CHARLOTTE is 49-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored.

PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 226.4 ppg clicking in on the board. PORTLAND is 12-2 OVER L/14  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg being registered.

Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons

HC Stotts is 8-0 OVER L/8 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season  with a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 43-14 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The Knicks enter this game  having lost four games in a row and seven of their last nine and  are obviously in bad form, and to make matters worse they have to play without a key offensive cog because of an injury to Porzingis  and also to guard Ron Baker (right shoulder surgery) and center Enes Kanter (oral surgery). If Tim Hardaway Jr. plays for NYK he has been fairly unproductive and rusty and won't help their offensive cause much. This will of course effect the Knicks offensive flow tonight vs one of the leagues top teams the Toronto Raptors , which in turn will effect the total combined score of this tilt in downward fashion. The Knicks know they have to find a way to slow this game down and make it physical, and that's what I'm betting they will do which will aid us in cashing an under bet here. The Four most recent meetings in this series have all not eclipsed this Total.

Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 overall.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.

TORONTO is 16-7 UNDER   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. TORONTO is 8-1 UNDER   after a division game this season with a combined average of 198.7 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors .

Play UNDER

My own number ( total ) on this game is closer to 127.5 thus giving us value on a under wager in this spot. St.Peters in their 5 most recent games have not scored more than 60 points with their average offensive output during that time clicking in at 58 ppg. St.Peter's sets a deliberate pace, and once again will dictate the speed of this game, which I'm betting will be slow and grinding.

ST PETERS is 11-2 UNDER  L/13 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average of  123.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 59-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 128.3 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 25-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER

UNLV is coming in to this tilt vs instate rival Nevada off a heartbreaking overtime loss at Boise State (93-91) on Saturday and will be in a letdown spot at the worst possible time. This situation I'm betting will see the Rebels offensive production curtailed and effect their offensive  flow which in effect will slow this game down a bit for both sides, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt then the  lines-makers expect. 

UNLV is 41-22 UNDER  L/63  in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or more of their attempts.UNLV is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games with a combined average score of 144.7 ppg scored. UNLV in their L/14 road  games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 152.4 ppg go on the board. NEVADA in their L/7  i home games in February games over the last few seasons have seen a combined average score of 152.4 ppg scored. NEVADA in their L/24  as a home favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 155 ppg. NEVADA in their L/9  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 or more free throws/game have seen a combined average of 156.6 ppg go on the board.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (NEVADA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (UNLV) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 171-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

The Rockets are off a win in Brooklyn last night by a  123-113 count  and now prepare to visit the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at AmericanAirlines Arena . The Rockets now  on tired legs  just won't have as much energy to run and gun as they usually do . Add to that they will play a very physical defensive side, lead by Hassan Whiteside,  that are  well equipped to slow the Rockets  down. With that said, I won't be surprised if the visitors  produce below their season offensive average in this spot.  On the flipside,  the Heat ranked 28th in pace and 5th in defensive efficiency,   and off a couple of dubious lackluster defensive  performances, will  be primed to bounce back and play solid D, in a building where they have held 3 of their L/4 opponents to 91 point or less. Houston must also not be underestimated in their ability to play solid D, as they have held 5 of their L/10 opponents to 99 or less points and rank 9th in the league in defensive rating. The above combinations bode well for this score staying on the low side of the Total.  

Note: Miami in 7 of their L/15 overall have seen them and their opponents fail to eclipse the 99 point plateau in a game. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings between these teams here in Miami have remained on the low side of the number.

Under is 10-2 in Rockets last 12 overall.Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 road games.Under is 35-15-2 in Rockets last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-11 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

When these two teams squared off earlier this season, Cincinnati won 49-38 at CFE Arena.UCF is third in the nation, holding opponents to 60.6 points per game. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is ranked 2ne holding teams to 56.8 ppg and just 55.8 ppg at home.  I'm expecting more points from both teams  this time around , but I'm betting this tilt still falls below the Total.

I know that UCF is without 7'6 Tacko Fall, after getting injured but the Knights D, is still viable enough to turn this into a physical battle in the paint and slow transitional affair.

UCF is 10-0 UNDER  \L/10 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) dating back to last season with a combined average of 115.8 ppg scored.UCF is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average score of  111.1 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER  L/18 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 122.7 ppg scored.

These teams have a history of slow physical low scoring games with 8 of the L/9 meetings remaining on the low side of the Total with the 3 most recent meetings seeing a combined average score of 100 ppg scored  (  49-38 , 53-49, 60-50) . Rinse and repeat on the under.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

HC Huggins and his West Virginia group finally played the defense their capable of playing last time out in a lopsided 89-51 weekend defeat of Kansas State. The Mountaineers played hard in that game and exerted a lot of energy and will now approach this dangerous offensive opponent with a conservative mind set on tired legs and in a  defensive posture , which will result in both team outputs being curtailed. Meanwhile, Oklahoma high paced attack  is also off a hard fought physical loss to Texas last time out, and will also be in tired legs, which I'm also betting will effect their overall flow and  output in this spot, despite of playing with revenge tonight. With that said,  I'm expecting a grueling affair, that won't have the offensive fireworks that the public expects thanks to the hype associated with media darlings like Trae Young in this spot.

The Mountaineers edged the Sooners, 89-76, in the season’s first meeting on Jan. 6 in Morgantown  with a total of 167 points scored. I won't be surprised by a similar total output this time around in a rinse and repeat situation.

W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.4 ppg.W VIRGINIA is 16-6 UNDER  as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick with a combined average of 130  ppg scored.  W VIRGINIA is 10-2 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER  when the total is 160 or more  over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  off a road loss against a conference rival with a combined average of 139 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA is 26-9 UNDER L/35 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 133.8 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 26-9 UNDER L/35  after a blowout win by 30 points or more with a combined average of 141.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 170-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - playing with one or less days rest are 384-244 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

Utah is suddenly playing top tier hoops again as is evident by 5 straight wins. Their current top form must be attributed to their ability to play a very strong brand of defensive basketball that has resulted in allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents to score less than 99 points. This type of D, has been a mainstay of Jazz basketball for a while, and their now in a groove and closely following their regiment.  I know that the Pelicans have continued to play fairly high scoring games, despite of losing DeMarcus Cousns to an injury, but  their flow I'm betting will be inhibited tonight by a side that knows exactly how to slow opponents down, behind a 25th ranked pace and the 4th best D in the league.

Utah HC Snyder is 28-15 UNDER L/43   versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 194.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Washington enters this game starting to shore up their defensive play and have held 3 of their L/6 opponents under the 98 point mark and overall  rank in the upper half of the NBA defensive numbers . Meanwhile, Indiana ha held 8 of their L/16 opponents to  99 points or less behind the 17th ranked pace. With that said, and considering my own power ranking matchup projections the lines-makers are slightly over weighted on the Total and thus I'm betting we have value with an under wager in this spot.

Indiana has gone under 17 of their L/28 home games this season. Washington has gone under in 17 of their 26 road games during this campaign. The combined average score of Wizards road games clicks in at a combined average of 210 ppg, while Indiana's home games have seen a combined average of 211.3 ppg. The two most recent games these teams have played here in Indiana have not eclipsed this total, and I'm once again betting on this Number not being breached.

WASHINGTON is 16-7 UNDER  L/23 after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. r

INDIANA is 25-9 UNDER  L/34  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average 205.3 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 19-8 UNDER L/27 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

New Orleans after losing DeMarcus Cousins for the seasons with a Achilles injury are now  Short-handed going in to this tilt against the Wolves . The Pelicans  did manage to shore up their bench by acquiring Forward Nikola Mirotic from the Bulls and  is expected to make his debut for New Orleans tonight. But his presence I'm betting slows down the offensive flow of the Pelicans that they  had with Anthony and Cousins patrolling the hardwood. From my own projections which considers the new personnel  I'm estimating that the Pelicans will score in the 100 point range , and attempt between 81 and 87 shots, which has resulted in them combining with their opponents to average 206.8 ppg in the recent past. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches, have shown that they  have the flashes of having the  ability to play solid defense as well,  behind the 24th ranked pace in the league, which has resulted in them going under in 4 straight games, allowing two of their L/4 opponents to 97 and 87 points respectively. The combination of Minnesota's concerted focus on playing better  D, and the Pelicans getting acclimated to playing without key cogs and new pieces will culminate in tilt that stays under the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  in road games versus  teams -  allowing an overall shooting pct defense of  46% or worse - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign, with the combined average score of 207.9 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 UNDER  in road games off an upset win as a road underdog  with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. ( The Pelicans upset Thunder 114-110 L/time out) MINNESOTA is 13-3 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive unders this season.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 OVER L/21 seasons, for a 87% conversion rate for bettors ( with a combined average of 210.6 ppg going on the board).

 Play UNDER

When we think of  the Houston Rockets  we get the image of a run and gun offensive team that plays with one way reckless abandon. While their are times when they do look like this kind of side, overall this is not a true picture of what they have been trying to achieve or the way they play . Overall the Rockets are ranked 10th in the league in defensive efficiency, and on the road of late have held 5 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points or less. Overall thanks to a decent defensive posture they have also seen 8 of their L/10 games remain on the low side of the number. On the road this season the Rockets have seen a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Now we enter this game against a Cleveland team, playing for the most part aggressive offensive ball  while looking like pylons on defense. The Cavs did however, come out last time out, and show us some metal in a 91-89 win vs Miami, and now on a couple of days rest, should be well prepared to use that winning formula for this  top tier  non conference showdown in a game I have pegged at staying under the slightly bloated  public total.

HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER L/34  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season  with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. CLEVELAND  in their L/42  versus   teams - allowing 106+ points/game have seen an average of 224.7 ppg scored.

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 201.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-7 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors, with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games 48-16 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER  L/9  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 156 ppg going on the board. MONTANA ST is 10-1 OVER  L/11 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.N COLORADO is 6-0 OVER  in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 166.6 ppg scored.

CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points MONTANA ST/(N COLORADO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60  or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER dating back 5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Blue Raiders and Monarchs prepare to meet in a game that I have pegged for a defensive battle on Thursday.These are the two best statistical defenses in the conference this season, ODU giving up just 62.9 points per game and MT 64.9
 
In the last seven of their eight-meeting series all-time – in which Middle Tennessee leads 8-0 – neither team has topped 68 points, and the loser hasn't scored more than 61 and I'm betting on history repeating itself tonight.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-0 UNDER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 127 points going on the board.

Middle Tennessee State has gone under in 8 straight games.


MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 128 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

West Virginia is off a couple of down games , and will now come into this tilt fired up and ready to run and gun which in turn will force Iowa State into doing what they do best , which I'm betting will result in a higher scoring affair. W VIRGINIA is 6-0 OVER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with the combined average score of 157.1 ppg.

Both these teams play at a fairly high pace. W VIRGINIA is 11-1 OVER L/12 in quicker paced games where they attempt 63 to 69 shots with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored. IOWA ST is 8-1 OVER L/9 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average of 166 ppg scored. IOWA ST is 21-8 OVER L/29 versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored and 9-2 OVER L/11 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average of 157.2 ppg going on the board.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (/WEST VIRGINIAIOWA ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 122-64 OVER L/5 seasons for 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Louisville enters this game  off a 97 point out and win vs Wake Forest last time out, but now go against a staunch physical Virginia D, that will be out to ruin their flow and make them more manageable to control. Meanwhile, Virginia will be in a letdown spot , and on tired legs after taking out Duke on the weekend in a grueling 65-63 win , which should see them even more methodical than usual. VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots this season and is 12-2 UNDER  L/14 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or mote  with a defense of 42% or better .LOUISVILLE is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better.

Note: Louisville has not  scored more than 60 points in any of their six meetings with the Cavaliers since joining the ACC. Virginia currently leads the country in scoring defense, allowing (52.1). Rinse and repeat are on tonight's agenda in what I'm betting is a combined total that remains on the low side of the number.

VIRGINIA is 10-0 UNDER L/10 after a win by 6 points or less and is 8-0 UNDER  off a road win against a conference rival with both combined totals well below this offered number.

Play on the UNDER

Play UNDER

The Washington Wizards  tried to run and gun with the red hot  Oklahoma City Thunder on the road last week and lost by a 121-111 count. Now in the rematch, I'm betting the Wizards slow things down a little bit, as they play without star guard John Wall in the lineup. This combination of expected strategy and key cog missing  will see their flow curtailed, which will also effect their   offensive output here , which in turn will effect the total combined score falling on the low side of the number.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER  L/8 in road games on Tuesday nights. ( This could just be an anomaly but still worth noting) OKLAHOMA CITY is also  19-5 UNDER   after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 UNDER  L/14  after 5 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 192.1 ppg scored.

Under is 25-12 in Thunder last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Wizards last 17 vs. Western Conference.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5/ 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

E.Tenn State is a fine all around team, but their defense is particuallary tough, as is evident by allowing just 65 ppg on average. I know Citadel is a wide open run and gun team, but I'm betting E.Tennessee will slow them down , and conservatively and systematically wear them down as the game progresses( something they do very well). This type of game plan should lead to much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.

E TENN ST is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored. E TENN ST is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game  and is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games .THE CITADEL is 6-0 UNDER L/6 off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 154 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (THE CITADEL) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 33-13 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (E TENN ST) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Washington State has allowed 96,89,82, 82 points respectively in their L/4 PAC 12 road games for a 87.25 ppg defensive points against average. With that said, I'm betting on Washington having one of their bigger offensive outputs here tonight in a much higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 55-20 L/75 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

When these teams played back on Jan 7 they combined for 107 points in a Loyola Chicago win by a 57-50 count. I'm expecting another physical affair, that results in a rinse and repeat situation.

N IOWA is 11-3 UNDER L/14 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) with a combined average score of 122.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. N IOWA is 8-1 UNDER  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games with a combined average score of 114 ppg scored. N IOWA is 9-1 UNDER  L/10 in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with a combined average score of 120.1 ppg scored. LOYOLA-IL is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 123.1 ppg scored.

N IOWA is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent  with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored. N IOWA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread with a combined average of 117.2 ppg.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team ( 80% or  better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors with a combined average score of 116.9 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 75-40 UNDER L/5 seasons with the combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Rockets have no problem scoring points in bunches behind an explosive offense that averages 116.8 ppg at home this season, but its their defensive performances that are most troubling, as is evident by allowing 108.8 ppg as hosts. Needless to say, the Rockets are a one way offensive juggernaut and nothing will change today vs the visiting Phoenix Suns. The Suns are allowing more than 112 ppg this season, while the offense, has averaged 106.8 ppg on the road  ranking last in the NBA overall and also own the 4th fastest pace . This according to my own projections results in a high scoring affair that eclipses this fairly high but beatable Total.

My own estimates suggest that the Rockets will meet their season average offensive output of around 117 points today, which is a good omen for a over wager cashing as the  Rockets 46-13 OVER   when they score 117 or more points in a game with the combined average score clicking in at 236 ppg scored.

PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER  L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points wit a combined average score of 236.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points with a combined average of 145.3 ppg going on the board.

PHOENIX is 14-3 OVER  L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game of 130.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 34-8  OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
Play on OVER

The Celtics in a grueling physical game took out the Golden State Warriors  92-88 in a  home win in November. With that template having proven successful last time out, I'm betting on the Celtics preparing to play a similar type conservative affair. Boston's guards limited Golden State's  super star backcourt duo of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to a total of 22 points on 8-for-32 shooting in that game. I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in a much lower scoring game than the pundits might expect.

BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 when the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 9-1 UNDER   when the total is 220 to 229.5.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 25-4  UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
Play on OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
Play on OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
Play on OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
Play on  UNDER

This game between the visiting NY Knicks and their hosts the Phoenix Suns has the makings of a run and gun all out offensive affair. 

The Suns behind the 4th ranked pace in the NBA  are lead by explosive offensive  guard Devin Booker who is averaging 24.8 points a game but  also own  a lackluster D allowing  112.2 ppg the worst mark in the league. With this their first game home after an extended road trip, I'm betting they will be ready to take off here in their own digs. Note: Over is 19-7-1 in Suns last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Meanwhile, the Knicks  are allowing 110.3 ppg on the road this season, and are consistently taking part in back and forth wide open tilts as is evident by going over the Total in 9 straight and 11 of their L/12 games overall with the average combined score clicking in at 223.5 ppg . The Knicks are also on tired legs as they played last night, and won't have the energy to play physically in what should be a loosely played game. Over is 18-5 in Knicks last 23 games playing on  no  rest.

NEW YORK is 10-1 OVER  L/11 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average score of 224 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 7-0 OVER   versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 228.8 ppg scored.

PHOENIX is 23-11 OVER  L/34  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Northern Kentucky can score in bunches, but what makes them such a strong team is their ability to play shutdown defense , especially at home where they have allowed an average of  just 58 ppg. I'm betting Oakland despite of owning a solid attack, will find their flow curtailed here, which will effect their output which in turn will influence the Total combined score of this tilt to a lower combined score than the lines-makers are estimating.

N KENTUCKY is 17-8 UNDER  L/25 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 141.3 ppg scored.OAKLAND is 10-2 UNDER   in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less  turnovers/game with a combined average score of 146.7 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams against the total (N KENTUCKY) - a very good team (+8 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 82-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 65\% conversion rate for totals bettors on the blind.

CBB Road teams against the total (OAKLAND) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) 66-31 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the UNDER

LA Monroe is struggling to score, as is evident by a 48,52, and 55 point offensive outputs in their \L/3games.  LA Monroe 's saving grace  to some extent has been a decent D, that  allows just 61.3 ppg on home this season .  With that said, I'm expecting LA Monroe to try to slow this game down to grind, in an effort to control Troy's more aggressive offense, which I'm betting effects this total combined score to stay under.

LA-MONROE is 13-5 UNDER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games.

Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (LA-MONROE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

AIR FORCE is 9-1 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with  a combined average of 153 ppg scored.

The L/7 meetings in this series have gone OVER.

 CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (AIR FORCE) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for Totals bettors.
 

Play OVER

The Pelicans enter this game having seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored on the road this season. Meanwhile, Charlotte has seen a combined average  score of 211.5 ppg go on the board in their home games this season. These averages and a head to head matchup systems analysis has me projecting a total closer to 218.5 to 220, which gives us value on making a UNDER wager in this spot. The discrepancy between my numbers in the offered total is partially based on series history which has seen both sides take part in a high scoring affairs. But the lines-makers have stretched this number to its outer limits and there is value on the under considering my projections.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 UNDER L/29  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record with the combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 23-12 UNDER  L/35 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game with t a combined average of 210 ppg scored.

HC Clifford of Charlotte is Clifford is 21-9 UNDER in home games after a win by 6 points or less ( beat Sacramento 112-107 last time out) the combined average score of 195.1 ppg.

Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 6-2 in Pelicans last 8 road games.Under is 10-4 in Hornets last 14 vs. Western Conference.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 37-84 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. ( The combined average score of those games was 218.7 ppg)

Play UNDER

Wakes Forests only chance to be competitive here today vs visiting Duke, is to make this a slow precise game. I expect plenty of clock time to be burned as the Deacons look to keep the Blue Devils from running and gunning.  This I'm betting leads to a lower scoring game than the  lines-makers might anticipate.

WAKE FOREST is 11-2 UNDER   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141 ppg going on the board. DUKE is 24-8 UNDER  L/32 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games with a combined average of 143.9 ppg scored.WAKE FOREST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 as an underdog this season with a combined average of 140.7 ppg going on the board.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 167-96 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

ST JOHNS is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored and is 10-2 UNDER  ) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average with a combined average of 142.3 ppg scored.CREIGHTON is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in January games dating back to last season with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored.ST JOHNS is 19-6 L25 UNDER  as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points with a combined average of just 128.8 ppg going on the board. ST JOHNS is 24-8 UNDER  after a combined score of 165 points or more were scored, with a combined average of 137.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

.TCU wants to run and gun and Bill Huggins and company could comply, but I'm betting they won't as they choose to slow this game down and take TCU out of their comfort zone. This I'm betting leads to a score that fails to eclipse the totals number. W VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER  L/10 versus good shooting teams - making 45%or more  of their shots this season with a combined average score of 143.1 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.2 ppg scored.W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 when the total is  159.5 160 over the last few seasons with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. ( key on the set  total as the lines  makers know these facts/stats as well) Still plenty of value at 159 . Home teams where the total is between 159 and 169.5 points (TCU) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 23-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored.

 Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

N CAROLINA is 11-3 UNDER l/14when the total is 160 to 169.5  with a combined average of 159.1 ppg scored.

N CAROLINA is 7-1 UNDER  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts this season with a combined average of 144.9 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (N CAROLINA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Indiana is on tired legs, as they are on the tail end of a 5 game western conference road trip. Their ability to play physical defense,  I'm betting will be hampered by fatigue. Meanwhile, the Spurs anxious to get back on a winning run and inflict payback for a previous loss to the Pacers earlier this season, will see the Spurs playing aggressively, and pushing the tempo of the game. This will force the Pacers to chase, and reciprocate with some offense of their own in game that I have pegged to over the set total. Note: INDIANA is 9-1 OVER L/10 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored.

Pacers offense averages 106.5 ppg this season and on the road have also averaged  105.9 ppg on average , while the defense has allowed 105.7 ppg overall and 106.5 ppg. San Antonio has scored 107 ppg at home this season, and overall have seen a combined average of 204.6 ppg.

SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 OVER  L/25 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored. NDIANA is 22-11 OVER  L/33 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 216.7 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less are 23-4 OVER L/21 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

S ILLINOIS is 7-0 OVER  L/7 after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse ith a combined average of 153 ppg going on the board.N IOWA is 11-3 OVER  L/14 at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (S ILLINOIS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) 30-9  OVER  L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-2 OVER  L/13 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games , with a combined average of 162.4 ppg.LOUISVILLE is 13-3 OVER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games , with a combined average of 153.8 ppg.

CBB Road teams against the total (BOSTON COLLEGE) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 47-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LOUISVILLE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 114-60 OVER for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (RIDER) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 22-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (SOUTHERN UTAH/E.WASH) - playing with one or less days rest 373-236 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 61% long term conversion rate on the blind.

 Play UNDER

The Suns offense remains in issue as they have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 3 of their L/5 and now the  defense is being scrutinized after allowing Portland to shoot over 50% from the field in game they  played Tuesday night. Some of the players blamed it on fatigue, but you can bet, HC Triano a master tactician won't take this sitting down, and will try diligently  to make sure his young team works harder on their transitional play and overall defense tonight vs a sometimes explosive Nuggets team. Something that might aid the Suns, in their attempt to slow down the Nuggets offense is the rash of nagging injuries the Nuggets are currently experiencing and the heavy schedule that will now have them playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Thanks to a array of issues  it must be noted that Denver has failed to score 99 or more points in 5 of their L/8 overall.The Nuggets  have gone under in 5 straight games and in 7 of their L/8 overall, and despite of some historical high scoring past meetings, I'm betting history is unlikely to repeat itself here under the current circumstances.

DENVER is 17-6 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 205.4 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half  are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors with the average combined score of these games clicking in a 209 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-38 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

CANISIUS is 6-0 UNDER  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season dating back to last season. MANHATTAN is 8-1 UNDER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season.CANISIUS is 8-1 UNDER   after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. MANHATTAN is 6-0 UNDER   in home games after playing a home game.

Play UNDER

Detroit enters this game ranked 25th in offense and 21st in pace, and own the 4th ranked D,  and I'm expecting those numbers to remain on average here tonight against the Wizards. Meanwhile, Washington ranks 13th in pace and 11 in defensive rating, and 11th in offensive rating. My numbers make the Total closer to 203-204 thus giving us value with the under here.

DETROIT is 8-0 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.DETROIT is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 199.3 ppg scored.DETROIT is 11-2 UNDER  L/13 as a home underdog of 6 points or less dating back to last season with a combined average of with a combined average of 194.5 ppg clicking in.DETROIT is 15-6 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 70-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

IDAHO ST is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 141.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (PORTLAND ST/IDAHO ST) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) are 58-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors with a combined average of 158.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

When these teams played back in late November of this season, the Warriors took a 143-94 win vs their hosts tonight the Chicago Bulls. I'm sure that bad defensive performance still is a sore point for Hoiberg and company, and this time around I'm betting the Bulls despite of some decent offensive production of late won't allow themselves to get caught up in shoot out that they probably can't win. This I'm betting cuts into the lines-makers Totals projections. Add to that the Warriors are off a big win vs Cleveland last time out, and now in a an emotional letdown situation, their energy levels should be diminished , and their offensive output curtailed, which could lead to a much lower scoring game than expected.

HC Kerr is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season with the combined average score registering in at 214.6 ppg. Bulls HC Hoiberg is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent with a combined average score of 201.9 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 214.7 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 30-18 UNDER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the average combined score clicking in at 207.9 ppg.

GOLDEN STATE is 23-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 229.5 to 230 with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 27-10 UNDER L/37 in home games in non-conference games with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 33-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

     My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Iowa plays a one way offensive game, scoring 81 plus ppg on offense and allowing 81 ppg on the road. Rutgers plays a little slower paced game, but I'm betting will be dragged into a much faster paced tilt then their accustomed to which will result in a fairly high scoring affair.

RUTGERS is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 145.7 ppg scored and 10-2 OVER L/12 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board.

IOWA is 16-4 OVER L/20 in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 154 ppg going on the board. IOWA is 11-1 OVER L/12 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.

CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RUTGERS/IOWA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 112-54 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER                    

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

N DAKOTA ST is 14-2 OVER L/16 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games and 9-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better. N DAKOTA is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER in non-conference games this season.


CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 60-26 OVER L/5 season for a70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

KENT ST is 9-0 OVER  L/9  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last few seasons. W MICHIGAN is 24-11 OVER  L/35 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over. KST HC Senderoff is 20-6 OVER L/26 in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W MICHIGAN/KENT ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=60 shots/game) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games are 46-12  OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Rockets enter this contest against the LA Clippers playing decently without super star James Harden ( injury). However, the Rockets still don't look like they have the same flow they had with him in the lineup. Yes, their offense remains productive, but I can see chinks in their armour, and I'm betting the Clippers find a way to slow them down a little bit on their own home floor. I know these teams took part in a high scoring 128-118 affair back in late December , that the Rockets won, but with the Clippers learning their lesson, I expect a different type of approach here. With that said,   the  Clippers  know its in their best interest to slow this game down if they want positive results. With LAC HC Rivers starting to look like a much better tactician than he was earlier in coaching career  ,   I'm also  betting Rivers will try to slug it out with Houston in a slower more grinding game, instead going head to head with them,   in a run and gun affair again. This will result in a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers might expect.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half dating back to last season with a combined average of 195.4 ppg going on the board. LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 UNDER L/18 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored.HOUSTON in their L/28 games in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game have seen a combined  average of 222.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 31-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Lakers  have had success of late and are on a 4 game win streak thanks to playing  much better defensive hoops and held the last three opponents to an average of 89.3 points. Tonight against a Memphis side that has only average 97.8 ppg in offensive production at home, I'm betting on them keeping their foes under wraps again. It must also be noted that the Lakers have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/7 in slower paced affairs behind the 29th ranked offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, Memphis is off scoring 78 points last time out in a hard fought defensive game in Denver (87-78), and I'm betting that Fizdale and company stick to this type of physcial hoops again, as they revert back to a slower paced game plan as they search for consistency.

Memphis is ranked 30th in Pace in the NBA while their  offense ranks 29th.

Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 games following a ATS win.

MEMPHIS is 15-7 UNDER L/22 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. MEMPHIS is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season .MEMPHIS is 16-5 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a combined score of 175 points or less are 39-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

The Spurs key to success has always been a dominant D, but with a boatload full of injuries to key defensive players, ie ( K Leonard) I'm betting they will be at a disadvantage tonight, against a young LA Lakers team that despite of trying to play better D,  is still for the most part  a one way run and gun team. Earlier this season with Parker and Leonard out, the Spurs still played very competitive ball, and I'm betting nothing changes tonight, except maybe their ability to defend and be physical in the process, as they are also on tired legs, as they play their third road game in four nights. The Lakers offense has been a little stagnant of late, but with an opportunity to upset a big time opponent I'm betting we see these kids and their veterans in top form and ready to run. The above mentioned group of situations should contribute to a looser game than many might expect and a much higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.

LAL ranks 29th in the league in D and own the No.1 pace.

Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 19-9 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 overall.Over is 22-8-1 in Lakers last 31 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors with a combined average of 225.6 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER

My own Totals projections estimate a total combined score of around 150-152 making this a viable OVER wagering opportunity. 

TCU owns a high powered offense averaged 86.9 ppg, and Texas despite of being a strong physical defensive side, will be dragged into playing a faster paced game then they might want to , which I'm betting will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect.

TCU is 6-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season with the combined average score of 169.8 ppg scored.TCU is 10-2 OVER  in road games against conference opponents dating back to last season with a combined average score of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are a long term viable totals  bet, as the OVER is 108-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Toronto Raptors are on tired legs after an  overtime victory over the Nets last  night. Not only will they be exhausted but  also maybe short handed after  All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry injured himself last night. If Lowry does not play or is less than 100% the Raptors flow will be interrupted and so will their offensive cohesiveness. Also after last nights affair this Raptors side will be in no condition to run and gun, which will also effect their output ratio. Another factor here is that  we may see the explosive TO crew curtail their aggressiveness  as coach Casey, was not impressed with their defensive play last night, and now wants a concerted effort in transition,  in their own end of the court. This Toronto team despite of being an offensive juggernaut when healthy , play solid D, and rank 6th in Defensive efficiency in the league and are more than capable of stepping up their stopping efforts. Meanwhile the Heat  despite of taking part in some fairly high scoring tilts of late, do their best work when their playing tough defensive ball behind Hassan Whiteside, and tonight I'm betting their prepared to be physical in their quest to some how slow down this explosive side  ( Heat Rank 27th in pace in the league and 7th in points allowed). These scenarios play well towards this total score falling below the posted Number. Note: The four most recent meetings in this series have all failed to eclipse the posted total with a combined average of 187.8 ppg scored.

MIAMI is 26-12 UNDER  L/38 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored during that span.MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

Under is 60-29-1 in Heat last 90 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-2 in Heat last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 home games.

NBA  team (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Miami Heat  enter this home game playing some good hoops of late, winning three straight , and  now go against a inconsistent  slumping Utah Jazz team that has lost 12 of their L/15 games  this  Sunday afternoon  at American Airlines Arena.

Both these teams overall numbers on the season suggest they are comfortable playing slower paced hoops. But recent stats and style of play do not support the overall data. This giving us value playing the OVER.

The Jazz's biggest problem this season is their inability to play solid defense, something they have become respected for, until recently. That is evident by allowing more than 100 points in 12 of their L/15 tilts with the average  opposition offensive production coming in at 109.4 ppg in those above mentioned games . With the Heat hitting their offensive stride of late scoring , 117, 111, 107 points in their L/3 , in fast paced back and forth affairs, . Considering the Heats current blue print has been successful   I'm betting on another similar output this Sunday by the Heat as they force the Jazz into a faster paced game than they may want to participate in. It must also be noted that the Heat have allowed 6 of their L/7 opponents to eclipse the 100  point plateau allowing a average of 106.5 ppg in the 6 games. With that said,  my own projections, estimate both sides to eclipse the 100 point plateau, in this spot which makes taking an over wager a  very viable investment option.

Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Miami.

MIAMI is 11-1 OVER  L/12  in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49% with a combined average 216.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. UTAH is 14-1 OVER    in road games versus lower tier foul drawing teams - attempting  21 or less free throws/game with the combined average score of 205.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games are 37-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Rockets did well without the injured super star James Harden last night in a 116-98 win vs a downtrodden group in the Orlando Magic. Tonight, however, on tired legs  I'm betting their offense will be muted , vs a much better  and under rated defensive side , that is ranked 5th in defensive efficiency  in the league . With that said, I'm expecting the Rockets to take a much more conservative approach to this confrontation, vs the explosive Warriors than they usually would because of being short handed which will result in a slower paced game then expected. The Rockets are also no pushovers on defense as their efficiency ranking is 10th overall in the league and will be primed to play physical ball. Note:Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA);  for players and teams... it is based on points allowed per 100 possessions.

Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.

The last meeting between these teams was high scoring ,a 122-121 shootout win for the Rockets as road dogs but 5 of the L/6 overall have stayed under the total . I'm expecting for these sides to revert back to those types of confrontations tonight.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games are 28-7 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Texas A&M is expected to without its leading scorer, D.J. Hogg (suspended), and guard Admon Gilder (knee) . Robert Williams and Duane Wilson suffered injuries against the Crimson Tide in a game where they scored just 57 points in a DD loss. These injuries and suspensions will once again I'm betting effect the Aggies offensive output, in a tilt that I'm betting they will play in methodical fashion as they try to avert another beat down. This will lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total.

FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS A&M is 21-9 UNDER L/30 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.TEXAS A&M is 17-8 UNDER L/25 when playing against a team with a winning record.

Play UNDER