Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

Utah likes to muck up the waters with a grinding style of play which suits their player personnel. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers need to use their top tier offensive talents , and push in transition. Tonight, will see a war of wills, but this type of action I am betting will result of this being a much higher scoring game than the line makers suggest. 

LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 OVER as a road favorite this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. LA CLIPPERS are 12-1 OVER L/13 in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 213.5 ppg getting scored. 

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With the Boston Celtics  a 2-0 hole, I'm betting the Beatown basketball crew come out here with all guns blazing in desperation mode. The Chicago Bulls will than have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I am betting eclipses the total. CHICAGO is 14-6 OVER L/20 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season, with a combined average of 215.1 ppg going on the scoreboard, and in the /bulls L/53 games vs Atlantic division teams the combined average total of those tilts rang in at 207.4 ppg. The Celtics have scored 100 or more points in 12 of their L/14 and allowed 100 or more points in 12 of their L/14. 

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - SAS Leads 2-0

Grinding into a slow methodical pace has not helped the Grizzlies so far in this series, and now they will have to speed things up here on their own home floor. Of course the Spurs will reciprocate with their own fire works which I am betting leads to a higher scoring game that many may anticipate based on the first two games in this series. In Memphis's L/9 games off a loss to a division rival thye have seen an average of 201.9 ppp get scored. Memphis when on 2 days rest have seen a combined score of 202.5 ppg get scored. SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 OVER  after a cover as a double digit favorite dating back to last season have seen an average of 201.4 ppg go on the scoreboard.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points like the Grizzlies  - attempting 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in April games have seen the over go 57-26 dating back 5 seasons .

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Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

These teams took part in a 106-100 point game last time out in Toronto which is a true pace, of where I am betting this series is headed in . MILWAUKEE is 25-16 OVER in home games this season with an a average of average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. Toronto has seen an average of 204.9 ppg go on the board in road games this season.

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These teams played two high scoring games in the first two meetings of this series, and nothing suggests anything will change tonight.

All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 the Pacers - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 64-28 on the over for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

CLEVELAND in their L/27  after a combined score of 225 points or more this season have seen an average of 220.4 ppg go on the scoreboard.CLEVELAND is 20-8 OVER L/28 as a road favorite this season have seen a combined score of 222.5 ppg go on the scoreboard. HC McMillians L/8 games have seen an average of 220.1 ppg go on the board. HC Lue is 20-7 OVER L/27 in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 with ana verage of 221.1 ppg clicking in on the board. 

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The Los Angeles Clippers lost  Game 1 of this series  97-95  to the Utah Jazz,   at Staples Center because they played to the Jazz pace. Now I expect they will speed up their play and look for quicker transition into their offense. Their Clippers reserves were outscored by the Jazz's 47-20 , but Im expecting a different story this time around and a more aggressive offensive effort from the Clippers in a game 2. With that said,  I am betting the  combined score will eclipse the total. In Utah's last 12 games as a underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points a total of 200.6 ppg were scored. In the Clippers L/19 home games after a 1  or more straight unders a total combined score in the following game came up a 214.8 ppg and their L/26 games revenging a loss the total combined score clicked in at 208 ppg. 

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Atlanta saw an average of 202.6 ppg go on the scoreboard in their road games this season, and own the 27th ranked  offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, the Wizards saw an average of almost 216 ppg go on the scoreboard in their home games this season.  With that said, the Hawks who own the 4th best defensive rating in the NBA will Im betting attempt to give themselves a chance at winning on the road by implementing  a slower more physical game plan to deal with the Wizards take no prisoners style of hoops.  This will see the total combined score hit in a  the 207-209 range according to my own player to player and systems matchup configurations. Thus giving value to an under wager. 

Note: The Wizards despite of some high scoring game outputs this season still rank only 11 th in pace in the league, 

Atlanta has seen 11 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the number. HC Budenholzer is 17-6 UNDER L/23 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the total combined score coming in at 208.5 ppg. ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER l/15  versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this  season and is 11-2 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% +  with a combined average of 203.2 ppg getting scored.. Atlanta  is 10-0 UNDER  off a road loss by 10 points or more this season, which happened in their finale. ATLANTA is 30-9 UNDER  after playing a road game this season.ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER  after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. division opponents this season.The Hawks from a long term perspective have seen a combined average of 187.3 ppg go on the board in their L/54 play off road games dating back to the late 90s. 

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CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3)

Championships are usuallywon with top tier defesne, and with that said,  tonight despite of both teams ability to score in bunches , Im betting on a more phsycial slower paced affair, especially here in game 1 as both tems feel each other out in conservative fashion. COASTAL CAROLINA in their L/6 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons have seen an average of 131.2 ppg.WYOMING   in 14  non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 148.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. Coastal Carolina in their L/10 after taking part in a fairly high scoring game where 155 ppg were put on the board, have followed up with a combined score of 140.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. Wyoming off a home win going on the road have seen a combined score of 133.4 ppg get scored, spanning a fairly decent 23 game sample size.COASTAL CAROLINA is 13-5 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 137.13 ppg going on the board.

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For whatever reason its become apparent of late that Indiana is having alot of problems on the road, as compared to home. The Pacers do play a more conservative style on the road, and are also playing a better overall brand of defensive hoops, which has culminated in alot of lower scoring tilts. For example, the Pacers have scored less than 99 points, in 7 of their L/8 away games, and in 6 straight, scoring 99,97,88,85,81,91 respectively. Also in their L/10 games only one combined score has eclipsed todays total. Meanwhile, Boston, as the season progressed have based their successes and failures on playing a top tier brand of basketball, which has resulted, in 17 of their L/21 games staying on the low side of the Total and have gone under in 8 of their 9 March match-ups with an average of 205.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams did take part in a 109-102 affair in Indiana that the Celtics won back on Dec 22, but based on how the teams are playing now, Im betting on a lower aggregated score that comes in at no more than 201-204 combined points. With that said, Im recommending we take the under. 

In Indiana's L/21 games when playing their third game in 4 days, they have seen a combined score of 203.7 ppg go on the board. INDIANA is 32-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent dating back to last season with a combined average of 204 ppp going on the scoreboard. Boston's HC McMillian is 118-87 under when the total is 200 to 209.5 in all games he has coached with this team, with a combined average score 200.4 ppg getting scored. Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 road games.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-6-1 in Celtics last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1-1 in Celtics lThree of the L/4 games played in Boston in this series have gone under.

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NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City,UT

Arizona in the opening round of the tournament put 100 points on the board, and it looks like their ready to run and gun and are in top form offensively.  Previous, to that Arizona scored 92,86,83 points in their final 3 conference regular season games. Meanwhile, St,Marys despite of liking to play a slower more deliberate style of hoops will have no option but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court..

ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 171.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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Big Sky Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Reno, NV

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own Totals estimates make this number closer to 150. Thus there is value taking the OVER in this tilt.

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Gonzaga (31-1) ranked No. 4 nationally averaging 84.9 ppg overall and Saint Mary's (28-3) at No. 19 averaging 73 ppg on offense this season prepare to tangle in a game with a cheap total attached to it .Gonzaga shot 55.3 percent from the field in its 74-64 win over Saint Mary's on Feb. 11 in Moraga, Calif. The Bulldogs shot 64.7 percent in their 79-56 victory in Spokane, Wash., on Jan. 14 and have obviously shown an ability to bypass Saint Mary's defense that is the key to their successes and failures. Today, I expect the Bulldogs to dictate the pace of this game , and for Saint Mary's to have to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own  or be blown off the court.

ST MARYS-CA is 8-1 OVER  after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games with a combined average score  of 136.2 ppg going on the board.GONZAGA is 28-13 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5.GONZAGA is 31-18 OVER L/51  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 146.3 ppg getting scored.

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MEAC Tournament - First Round - Norfolk, VA

Delaware prepared for this tourney , by playing their L/3 games with a defensive mindset,  taking part in 3 low scoring physical tilts, losing to Morgan St 65-54  and MD East Shore 65-64, before defeating Howard in their last game of the season, 66-56.  Now against a Bethune Cookman side, that struggles with their offensive consistency,as is evident by scoring ,69 points or less in 3 of their L/5 , I expect Delaware will grind away in a deliberate slowdown fashion, which will help keep this game on the low side of the number. 

DELAWARE ST is 12-3 UNDER  in all neutral court games  it has played dating back 20 seasons, with average combined score of 123.5 ppg getting scored and  is 14-4 UNDER in all tournament games  over he same time span, with themselves and their opponents combining to score 123.1 ppg.

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Tonight's Texas Showdown between the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs will see a more physical , Im betting will see a more defensive type game than the pundits might expect. The Rockets play a fire house brand of basketball, that features an explosive offense. Meanwhile, the Spurs  ranked No.1 in the league in D rating,despite of being able to run and gun with the best of teams , base their successes and failures on playing strong two way basketball based on solid defensive fundamentals, behind a pace that ranks 26th in the league. Tonight Im betting the home team, show cases this , and controls the pace of this tilt, which will in turn help keep the total combined score of this game on the low side of the number.

   From a league wide data base is must be noted that  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Rockets/Spurs - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 32-6 UNDER for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Spurs - after 7 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 23-4 under for a 85% conversion rate for bettors following this league wide trend that dates back 5 seasons.

HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER L/21 vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 204.7 ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 UNDER   in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games.Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-3 in Rockets last 14 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 11-4 in Rockets last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

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The Spurs return home with little rest after a late night and a later flight after beating New Orleans 101-98 in overtime on Friday and will be no mood to run and gun and instead will focus on their top tier defense to slow down the young rested Minnesota Wolves. Note: The Spurs have not allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to not eclipse the 99 point plateau. I also will not be surprised if Spurs HC  Popovich does not rest Aldridge, Green and Gasol for parts of his game after all three played big minutes in last nights exhausting tilt, which in turn will mute the Spurs sometimes explosive offense. Meanwhile Minnesota, looks like they have turned a corner with some impressive defensive performances of late, allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents 99 or less points and 3 of those opponents to not eclipse the 88 point plateau. They are off a upset win last time out vs Utah by a 107-80 count but have seen their L/11 games off a win vs a division rival see a combined score of 199.9 ppg go on the scoreboard in their follow up tilt and if off a upset win as a underdog of 6 or more points vs a division rival the follow up game has seen them and their opponents average just 194.1 ppg, over a 21 game span.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season, with just under 200 combined ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots with the average combined score clicking in at 193.4 ppg and 11-2 UNDER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game   with the combined score of 193.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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The Chicago Bulls roll into this contest having won four straight games, behind an offense that has suddenly come to life, scoring 105,104,128, and 117 points in those games via a more aggressive attack and uptick in pace.  Meanwhile, Denver despite of struggling of late, continue to score in bunches on most nights, averaging 110.6 ppg on the season, behind the 7th ranked pace. Their biggest issue comes via their defense, which has allowed a whopping 111.7 ppg this season, and 112 ppg in road tilts, ranking dead last in defensive rating in the league. Considering the Bulls current form, and the Nuggets propensity to run and gun, Im betting we will see a high scoring affair tonight that eclipses this number. My owns numbers suggest that both these teams  will score in 110 range . DENVER is 30-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined score of 234.8 ppg, going on the scoreboard , and the Nuggets are  also  22-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average of 239.2 ppg getting scored. 

DENVER is 11-1 OVER L/12 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. DENVER is 10-0 OVER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season, with a combined average of 225.8 ppg getting scored. Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. NBA Central.Over is 11-5 in Nuggets last 16 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

These are two of the best teams in the MAAC, and both can light up the scoreboard with efficient offenses. But in a big game like this defense and a more physical type of game Im betting will take precedent, which will lead to a lower combined score than the Total may indicate. It must also be noted that Monmouths D, is very reliable , holding  4 of their L/6 opponents to 69 points or less and once again help this combined score stay on the low side of the Total. 

MONMOUTH is 15-4 UNDER ( versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of those games clicking in at 152.1 ppg and is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or more of their attempts under the same above time and game perimeters with a combined average of 131.1 ppg. 

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The No. 5 UCLA Bruins take on the No. 4 Arizona Wildcats Saturday night in a game with tremendous Pac-12 Conference and NCAA Tournament implications. In games like this , play off style /post season game type of events , a more physical and defensive type battle must be expected. This kind of tilt will help mute both sides usually potent offenses. With that said, taking the under here makes for a viable wager.

ARIZONA in 12 games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined to average of 147.9 ppg on board. 

UCLA is 9-1 UNDER  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 137.1 ppg getting scored.UCLA is 12-3 UNDER L/15 as a road underdog or pick with a combined average of 138.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like UCLA - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better) going under 28 of the L/32 times dating back 21 seasons for a massive 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

HC Alford of UCLA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. UCLA lost to Arizona 96-85 earlier this season as 5 point home chalk. Also Afford is 9-1 under L/10 if his tea has revenge on board in game his team allowed 85 points or more, with the combined average score clicking in at 150.2 ppg.  

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My own numbers make the Total of this tilt closer to 210.5 to 211 and Im betting we have value taking an over wager here. Yesterday, Miami scored 108 points, in its first game back off the all star break, while their opponents tonight the Pacers popped 102 points on the board. Both played last night, and will now be in rhythm heading into this game, which will lead to a run and gun affair. MIAMI in 16 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 212.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pacers - revenging a road loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days have gone over 31 of the L/39 times this trend has been in play dating back 21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers. Also NBA teams like Miami  - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team have gone over 49 of the the 66 times for a 74% conversion rate for betting backers.

  MIAMI is 8-1 OVER  on Saturday games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games playing  with no rest.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

HOFSTRA is 9-2 UNDER L/11 when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (WM & MARY/HOFSTRA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) are 100-58 under dating back 20 seasons for a 63% long term conversion rate for bettors.

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My own estimates make this total closer to 150, and thus taking an under stance makes for a high probability outcome for under bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (QUINNIPIAC/MANHATTAN) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) after 15+ games are a bankroll expanding 30-6 to the under for betting backers which equates to a 83%  long term conversion rate .

MANHATTAN is 6-0 UNDER L/6 this season versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average score of 137.6 ppg going on the scoreboard.QUINNIPIAC is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games after scoring 80 points or more (which happened last time out vs Fairfield)

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My ow proprietary  programs suggest this total is slightly blaoted, and thus making an under bet makes for a viable investment options according to my own data. SIU EDWARDSVL is 15-8 UNDER  in all games this season.SIU EDWARDSVL is 15-7 UNDER as an underdog this season.SIU EDWARDSVL is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog which happened last time out.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more) are 185-119 on the under dating back 20 seasons, for a 60% conversion rate!

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

W MICHIGAN is 15-2 OVER  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5.W MICHIGAN is 8-0 OVER in all home games this season. W MICHIGAN is 10-0 OVER  in home games off a win against a conference rival, which happened lat time out. 

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These are two of the best teams in this conference and the front runners for a conference title. Im betting this will play out like a post season affair, and will be defensive and physical in nature, which will aid in a lower scoring tilt.

OAKLAND is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 143.7 ppg. VALPARAISO is 22-10 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 136 ppg. VALPARAISO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 as a road underdog or pick with a combined average o 120 ppg. OAKLAND is 6-0 UNDER  after scoring 80 points or more this season.

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Wyoming his hitting their stride offensively scoring 83,102, and 74 points in their L/3 and have done their best offensive work at home this season, averaging 81.1 ppg. Tonight Im betting they come out with firing on all cylinders, and will force Colorado State to keep up, which Im betting leads to a higher scoring game than many pundits expect. HC Eustachy of Colorado St is  11-1 OVER L/12 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season , with a combined average of 156.5 ppg going on the scoreboard . WYOMING is 9-1 OVER in February games dating back to last season with a combined average of 155.1 ppg going on the board. WYOMING is 12-4 OVER  when the total is 140 to 149.5 dating back to last season. 

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Toronto and Chicago are two teams struggling on defense at the moment, with the Raptors allowing 102+ ppg in  7 of their L/8 games, and the Bulls following suit allowing 9 straight opponents to eclipse the 100 point plateau. Considering both sides current form I expect both to eclipse the 100 point level again. When these teams played back on Jan 7 ,241 total points went on the board. TORONTO is 21-7 OVER L/28 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points dating back to last season, with a combined average of 208.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 18-5 OVER  where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

I know the Bulls are short handed tonight, with Wade and Butler missing  but I expect the backups who are far more healthy to be alot more cohesive than a couple of banged up players who are currently slowing this team down, and making them less cohesive.

CHICAGO is 9-1 OVER L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 216 ppg on the board and  is 18-8 OVER L/26 against Atlantic division opponents with a combined average of .  210.3 ppg getting registered. Bulls/Raptors have gone over 5 straight meetings in Chciago.

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Floridas defense has been dominant of late, allowing 52,54,66, 60, 62 points in their L/5 overall. Auburn has shown they can run and gun , but they will be hard pressed to score in cohesive fashion tonight, which I am betting will help keep this tilt on the low side of a slightly bloated total. HC White in his L/12 tilts  as a road favorite or pick has seen a combined average of 143.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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The Heat had their 13-game win streak which was  the longest in the NBA this season and the longest in league history for a sub-.500 team abruptly come to end on Saturday night in a loss at the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami's streak of 100 point games did stay intact however, and now stands at 13 games. Now ready for a bounce back effort and a higher energy performance I expect the Heat to be ready to put points up on the board in bunches vs a Orlando defense allowing a average of 109 ppg as visitors this season and that has allowed 113,128,112, and 112 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood. Tonight I expect the Heat to score at least 112+ points and for the Magic to be forced to keep up in what I am betting will be a combined score that eclipses the total. Note: ORLANDO is 22-2 OVER where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.  NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are a bankroll expanding 31-9 for over bettors dating back 21 seasons.

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Miami played last night so they are on tired legs going i to their 4th straight road tilt, and now go against a Philadelphia team missing offensive catalyst Joel Emblid ( knee injury).   Considering these factors, and a few more I will list, this game has value for bettors with a under wager. 

The Sixers rank 30th in offensive rating in the league, and a a average but not so bad 15th ranked defensive rating . Meanwhile, Miami ranks 22nd in pace, 26th in offensive rating, and a stellar 6th in defensive rating. The Heat have not allowed more than 99 points in 5 of their L/8 games and despite of their current hot hand , still base their successes and failures on playing a strong defensive brand of hoops. With that said, look for the Heat to be more direct and methodical in their approach tonight, and for the Sixers offense to be muted after a run a gun affair in their last trip to the hardwood. Sixers HC Brown is 14-3 UNDER L/17 in home games after scoring 110 points with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. (Philly beat Orlando last time out 112-111).

MIAMI is 23-10 UNDER L/33 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Total on this game according to my own numbers is off by 3 points, and closer to 150. Thus giving us value on the over.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (IOWA ST/OKLAHOMA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) have gone over 60 of the L/76 times, for a 79% conversion rate, dating back to the 2011 season. 

OKLAHOMA is 7-1 OVER  on Saturday games this season with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. IOWA ST is 6-0 OVER  on Saturday games this season, with a combined average of 168.1 ppg getting scored. 

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own line, suggests this total is exaggerated to the high side because of both sides explosive offenses,  and should be closer to 153.5. N KENTUCKY is 9-1 UNDER L/10 when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season and s 6-0 UNDER L/6 in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5.

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My own numbers suggest this contest has a rather weak Totals number attached to it. So from a strictly mathematical perspective we have value with an under wager. Another interesting trend that also shades me in this direction is the fact that 
HC of IUPUI Gardner is 10-0 UNDER after playing a game as a home underdog ,( which happened last time out,) has seen a combined average score 120.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 
I know Nebraska O has an explosive offense, but because of this their is a premium attached to this Total, and Im recommending we take the under.

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Buffalo enters this game having scored 90 plus points in their L/3 games are in a top tier offensive groove. I know N Illinois plays a slower pace game, but the way the Bulls are scoring , I believe that N.Illinois will have to up their pace or be blown off the floor in ugly fashion. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points like Buffalo - off an road win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season have gone 49-16 to the OVER for a 75%+ conversion rate for bettors. HC Oats Buffalo is 15-3 OVER L/18 when the total is 140 to 149.5 with a combined average of 155.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

  My own numbers and projections make this total out to be closer to 160, thus giving us value with an under wager. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (LA-LAFAYETTE/GA SOTHERN - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) have gone under 50 of the L/70 times for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors. 

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 With key Monmouth G Micah Seaborn injured or less than 100% for this game , his teams offensive flow will be effected, with other pertinent factors also  giving us value according to my own projections on the under.  RIDER is 20-9 UNDER L/29 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average score of 138.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. MONMOUTH is 11-1 UNDER  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 144.2 ppg getting scored. 

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 WOFFORD is 9-2 OVER L/11 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 OVER L/9 versus good offensive teams like E Tenn St - scoring 77+ points/game under the same game perimeters with a combined average of 169.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.  Wofford has scored 100 or more points twice in their L/13 games and have eclipsed the 88 point plateau 4 more times in that span and are more than capable of an explosive offensive performance, which will Im betting sees their opponent returning fire with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court which the linesmakers believe is not the case as the visitor is favored. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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This Totals investment option centers almost totally on past trends, and mathematical truths and both sides current form. 

Oklahoma City are ranked 7th in Defensive rating in the league and 18th in offensive rating. Chicago ranks 23 in offense and 5th in defense. With that said, I expect the Thunders under rated D, to hold the Bulls struggling offense, to a lower out put than expected, while the Bulls solid D, does the same to the Thunder. Im betting on a grinding physical affair.

CHICAGO is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.3 ppg going on the board.CHICAGO is 25-15 UNDER L/40 versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg and is 23-14 UNDER L/37 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER L/17 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 202.9 ppg getting put on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is also 8-0UNDER L/9 after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points this season with a combined average 

with a combined average of 196.2 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER L/11 after a combined score of 215 points or more this season with the following game seeing a combined sore of 196.6 ppg. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 UNDER L/31` in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.5 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after 4 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 203.6 ppg going on the scoreboard, 13-0 UNDER  after 3 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 201.1 ppg clicking in.

According to the data above, this tilt between Oklahoma City and Chicago favors a Total that should be closer to 202 to 204 , thus giving us value on this number being offered via a under bet.

Under is 10-3 in Bulls last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-7-2 in Bulls last 32 road games.Under is 23-9-1 in Thunder last 33 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

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The Lakers expect to have guard D'Angelo Russell the catalyst of their offense back on the floor tonight vs the visiting Denver Nuggets. His presence and flow will aid the Lakers into what Im betting will be a strong offensive showing vs a weak Nuggets defense ranked 28th in defensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, Denver is currently playing a top tier brand of basketball, that is producing a scorching offensive out put that has been highlighted with six 123+ point out explosions in their L/10 games .With that said I expect Nuggets have a big night again vs a Lakers D, .that is allowing an average of 110.1 ppg on the season and among the leagues bottom feeders and ranked 29th in defensive rating. DENVER is 21-4 OVER vs  lower tier defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams played in a 127-121 scorcher here back on Jan 17 and another back and forth affair is a high probability again. ( LAL ranks 7th in pace in the league- Denver ranks 5th in pace)

Over is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 29-11-2 in Lakers last 42 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Over is 13-2-1 in Nuggets last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Lakers- revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-19 L/66 OVER.

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Minnesota has scored 114,104,111,112,103, and 129 points on offense in their L/6 games , and at the same time, allowed 122,101, 108,111,109, and 109 points in back forth take no prisoners style games. Meanwhile, Orlando's porous D, has allowed 100 or more points in 16 of their L/17 games. Meanwhile, the Magic vs swiss cheese  defenses, can do damage as was the case vs the Raptors last time out when they put 114 points on the board, and will be primed to run and gun again in this spot with same season revenge on board. My own projections estimate that Minnesota will score 110 or more points. Which brings this trend into play. ORLANDO is 16-4 OVER  when they allow 110 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 224.9 ppg going on the board .ORLANDO is 12-4 OVER L/16 revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season ( Minnesota beat Orlando 127-107 back Nov 11.)

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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Milwaukee's enter this road game against the Celtics having  problems with their  defensive play.  The  Bucks after leading the league earlier this season are now  15th in FG D (48.9 percent) and are 11th in points allowed, giving up 104.5 per game.Meanwhile, the Celtics are running on cylinders offensively, scoring more than 106 points 19 straight times  and will make the Bucks run with them today , or be blown of the court. This scenario I am betting leads toa high scoring affair that eclipses the number.

BOSTON is 9-1 OVER  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average od 223.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 OVER L/12 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average score of 222.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. MILWAUKEE is 17-4 OVER after playing a road game this season.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northern Kentucky scored 101 points last time out and allowed 87 in a run and gun affair, and will now be in a run and gun state of mind entering this tilt. Meanwhile, Illinois Chicago was crushed by Valparaiso last time out, 96-65. After that ugly effort, I expect the Illinois Chicago will come out here in aggressive fashion looking for redemption, so a high octane outing becomes a strong possbility.   N KENTUCKY is 8-1 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.  

My own numbers suggest this total should be closer to 150, thus giving us value with an over wager in this spot. 

 CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points like N.Kentucky - after allowing 85 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 30 points or more are 30-6 to the OVER dating back 5 seasons.

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Charlotte enters this game having gone under in 7 straight games, thanks to some bloated Totals, and decent defensive efforts. Charlotte a team that ranks 16th in offense in the league enters this game off a hard fought loss to Golden State last time out 113-103, and could easily start a little slowly in an emotional let down state , which will impact their offensive output over the entire game. Meanwhile, the NY Knicks a side that ranks 15th in offensive output, have gone under the Total in 3 straight games, and last time out in Dallas put just 95 points on the board in exhausted looking fashion. Now still on tired legs, playing their 8th game in 12 days, I expect the Knicks offense to be muted again, for a Charlotte side that can play a strong brand of defensive ball. (Charlotte ranks 6th in the NBA in Defensive rating)

NEW YORK is 13-1 UNDER L/14 versus strong offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 200.7 ppg games.CHARLOTTE is 18-4 UNDER L/22 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average  of 200.4 ppg getting scored.

 From a league wide NBA data base, it must be noted that teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like NYK - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 50-16 under going back 5 seasons.

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TEMPLE is 6-0 OVER L/6  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of  151.4 ppg going on the scoreboard .

College Hoops teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points Memphis/Temple  - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or better) after 15+ games.  90-38 over. College Hoops teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEMPLE) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (32% or less) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher (42-14 over).

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Utah enters this home tilt vs Oklahoma City ranked first points allowed, and 30th in pace in the NBA, with a  defense first  and methodical physical system being their cornerstone to success or failure. Meanwhile, the Thunder despite of their reputation are ranked just 16th in offensive rating this season, and a decent 12th in defensive rating and play better defense than many give them credit for. With that said, I expect a lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect, based on their hard data. My own numbers suggest that  based on the above mentioned matchup variables t that we have value being under bettors in this spot, 

The Thunder enter this game going under in 11 straight games with rest, and have gone under in 11 of their L/13 with a line of 211 or less. Meanwhile,  the Jazz have gone under 6 straight times,  as favorites vs .550 opponents or less like the Thunder and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 vs Oklahoma City. Under is 8-1 in Thunder last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-4 in Thunder last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Thunder - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5  or lessTO's) are 35-11 UNDER dating back 21 seasons.  NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 liek the Jazz - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 22-4 UNDER dating back 5 seasons.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Brooklyn Nets upset the New Orleans Pelicans by putting 143 points on the board in their last trip to the hardwood, via  uptempo and downtown barrage of shots. BROOKLYN is 11-3 OVER  as an underdog of 10 or more points this season, with a combined average of 232.6 ppg going on the board. The Nets have allowed 101 or more points in 18 straight games, and recently have finally seen their fast take no prisoners style of offensive play, net them 113, 112, 109, an 143 points in their L/4, with the combined average score of those games ringing in at 244.7 ppg, thanks in part to a horrid defense.  Meanwhile, the Hornets offense averages 105.2 ppg this season, and their defense has allowed 103 ppg. Considering the Nets wide open transition game this tilt looks like it will once again be a wide open affair with plenty of points getting scored.  NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Hornets - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less have gone OVER in 33 o their L/40 games dating back 21 seasons.(The  Hornets did that to the Raptors last time out).

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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The Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors are two of the most explosive teams in the NBA. Thus this matchup has a totals premium attached to it, that makes it a viable wager for under bettors.

 On the flip side, it must also be noted that the Warriors are 1st in the league in defensive rating which is for for players and teams / points allowed per 100 posessions and they are even stingier on the road. With injuries starting to catchup to the Rockets , I dont expect them to be as consistent on offense tonight, and may resort to a more physical approach which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the number. The Rockets beat the Warriors 132-127 in Golden State , but in the past GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 UNDER L/11 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more over the last few seasons , with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-7 UNDER L/24 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 209.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.  HOUSTON is 21-7 UNDER L/28 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 196.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Warriors/Rockets - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, 30-6 under going back 5 seasons. 

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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Brooklyn visits Toronto tonight in a game that has seen a pretty hefty total attached to it. I know Brooklyns D, is bad, and that they play a attack orientated game , that shoots from down town on a consistent basis.  I also know the Raptors offense can light defenses up in  big way. But the difference maker comes via a Raptors D, than can slow the best of offenses  down , behind a 20th ranked pace. Add to that Nets wildly inconsistent offense ( Off rating), that ranks 29th in a 30 team league. ( Off rating is used- for players it is points produced per 100 posessions, while for teams it is points scored per 100 possessions. From a mathematical perspective , my own correlated numbers suggest the Total should be closer to 222 to 223.5, thus giving us value on the under.  

From a league wide trends data base it interesting to note that :  NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Raptors - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent  like Brooklyn after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 33-12 to the UNER for a impressive 73% conversion rate for under bettors. 

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points like Texas Arlington - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 42-16 to the under for a 72% conversion rate dating back 20 seasons.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.


College Hoops teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points in -like Ball State - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 35-11 on the under dating back 20 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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The San Antonio Spurs ranked 2nd in D  are off a rare bad defensive game against Milwaukee last time out allowing 109 points in home loss. With that said I expect the Spurs who rank 27th in pace to key on defense vs the young Lakers that rank 20th in offensive rating, behind a fully healthy starting lineup. I am also betting the Spurs will be be methodical in their approach. Meanwhile,  Lakers coach Luke Walton was displeased how his offense is playing, scoring just 87 points against offensively challenged Portland last time out and I feel hes going to very displeased after this tilt with his teams ability to score. These above mentioned situations will result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number.
 
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 UNDER L/17 in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 193.1 ppg going on the scoreboard and s 31-19 UNDER  offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game with a combined average of 201.6 ppg going on the board.

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  My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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  My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER 

The dangerous Golden State Warriors are off blowing a 24-point third-quarter lead in a 128-119 overtime loss to the Memphis Grizzlies last time out, and will now come in breathing fire when they face their Northern California rivals Sunday night the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Warriors who rank first in offense and 2nd in pace in the NBA , come out here with all guns blazing in a start to finish offensive fire works exhibition. Meanwhile, the Kings will have no choice to but reciprocate and chase with some offensive freworks of their own or be blown off the court , which will aid in this total combined score eclipsing the number.

Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Kings last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play UNDER 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

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Alot is made of how explosive offensively the Golden State Warriors are but, few recognize their defensive abilities, and 1st overall defensive rating in the NBA which is a system for players and teams and points allowed per 100 possessions. In tonight's matchup vs Portland, the lines-makers have put a high total on this matchup because of this , and of course the Portland Blazers run and gun style of basketball. However, Portland is expected to be without offensive catalyst, (injured ankle) Damian Lillard, which Im betting their offensive flow will be slowed, which effect their ability to run and gun, which will effect , their ability to keep up here today and put alot of points on the board, which in turn will effect the total combined average out put.  It must also be noted that the Blazers have only scored more than 95 points in 1 of their L/6 games and will need to be proactive on defense, and also try to slow this game down as much as possible.

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Blazers - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 56-19 on the under for a 75% conversion rate . 

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The San Antonio Spurs and the Toronto Raptors go head to head tonight  in battle between top tier teams. Both team leads their divisions. Both these sides can score in bunches, but both are also defensively gifted. The Raptors own the 12th best D in the league , and  are 19th in pace. Meanwhile, the Spurs rank 3rd in the league in points allowed and 27th in pace. When strong sides like this collide, and is not uncommon to see slower physical grinding affairs. in these types of tilts will more often than not result in a much lower scoring contest then lines-makers estimate based on their data.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 Spurs/Raptors - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG have seen the under go 62-20 L/82 for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Toronto in their L/40 road games where the total is greater than or equal to 200 have seen an average of 206.2 ppg scored which gives us value on this total. San Antonio in their L/21 with a total of 200 or more have seen an average of 207.1 ppg scored and in their L/56 as favs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg goin on the board. The last time these teams met last April a total of 197points went on the board and in their December meetings last season 191 total points were scored. I'm expecting a total combined score in the low 200s this time around.

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Phoenix is a team with alot of  defensive  defecincies, and despite of allowing their L/2 opponents under 100 points are still a disaster in transition and have allowed an average of 114.7 ppg on the road this season . The Suns had allowed 100 or more points in 15 straight games, dropping to a No. 29 defensive ranking before their two most recent outings. Meanwhile, the Clippers, are without some key players, but still capable of lighting it up offensively, and despite of their current 6 game losing streak must not be underestimated  in their ability to put points on the board. On the flipside the Clippers usually staunch D, has been porous of late, allowing 102 or more points in 11 of their L/13 overall, and will once again be tested tonight.  The Clippers beat the Suns 116-98 back on Oct 31 which sets up this current trend that shows that the Suns are 15-0 OVER L/15 revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season / Phoenix  is also 9-0 OVER L/9 after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog this season, which has just happened.

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FAIRFIELD is 11-0 UNDER L/11 in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  with a combined average of 125.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

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N TEXAS is 6-0 OVER L/6 in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots like Old Dominion  with a combined average of 146.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

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This line has moved up since opening , which gives us value on the under.  I know USC has an explosive offense, but the Ducks will be out to slow this game down, which will aid in this combined score staying on the low side of the number. OREGON is 25-11 UNDER L36 when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined  average  of 145 ppg going on the scoreboard. OREGON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games off a win against a conference rival, which ahppened last time out.. 

 College Hoops teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points like the Ducks/Trojans - playing with one or less days rest, in a game involving two top-level teams ( .800 or better teams)have gone under 19 of the L/23 times.

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DELAWARE ST is 11-1 UNDER L/12 when the total is 120 to 129.5  with a combined average of 114.1 ppg getting scored. HAWAII is 7-1 UNDER  in all home games this season.

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Two top tier teams the Golden State Warriors and the Toronto Raptors, go head to head in east /west battle this Wednesday night. Both teams can put points up in a hurry but, both must not be under rated when its comes to their abilities on defense. 

Toronto ranked 9th in points allowed and 20th in pace. Golden State is 1st in defensive rating, (teams  and players points allowed per 100 possessions) Also because of the Warriors take no prisoners offensive attack, their games almost always seem to have a totals premium attached to them , which has been evident by them going under the total in 9 of their L/10 games. My own numbers suggest this total is also slightly bloated when considering the matchup profiles of both teams and setting aside straight up mathematical data.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (Golden St/Toronto) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG 62-18 UNDER dating back five seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

GOLDEN STATE is 24-7 UNDER L/31 after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better, with a combined average of 211.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. Golden State HC Kerr Kerr is 23-11 UNDER L/34 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the board.

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Sacramento enters this game firing on all cylinders, and will I am betting dictate the pace of this game. However, because of this their transistion game , which has been a problem area for them all season,   the Kings  defense will be open to Philadelphia reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own. My own propiteary programs suggest both these teams will put more than 100 points on the board.

Over is 3-0-1 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 3-0-1 in 76ers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

NBA teams like the Kings  - off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less, first half of the season- 46-13 OVER dating back 21 seasons. 

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The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors renew their rivalry this Sunday in a Christmas Day battle that promises to be physical. Both teams have a boat load full of scoring talent, but both can play top tier defense when asked to, and in a game like this that is exactly what I am betting we will get DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENSE. From a long term NBA archive we have this trend: NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 Cavaliers/Warriors - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG the under has cashed 60 of 78 times for a powerful 77% conversion rate!

In the L/9 meetings only one game has seen todays numbers total eclipsed.

GOLDEN STATE is 45-28 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game with themselves and their opponents combining for a totlal of 209.8 ppg. Golden State in their 43 games  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts have seen a combined 215.9 ppg go on the scoreboard. CLEVELAND in their L/39 games  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts have seen a combined average o 205.1 ppg get scored. 

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The Blazers take on the Spurs tonight in a game that is an over bet for me. Portland atrocious D ranks in  the bottom six in the NBA in opposition scoring, opponents' field-goal percentage and opposition' 3-point percentage conversion rate. They have given up 120 points 10 times, including four of the last six games. The Blazers play a one  take no prisoners one way offensive game, ranking 6th in offensive rating, and dead last in defensive ratings. My won proprietary programs suggest both teams will score 100+ points tonight, which sets into play a trend that shows, PORTLAND is 20-2 OVER L/22 where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg getting scored. Using the same estimated perimeters San Anontio is 12-3 over where both teams score 98 points or more, with a combined average of 213.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER  vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 236.3 ppg getting scored. Six of the L/7 meetings in this series have eclipsed the total including the last three in Portland.

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GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 OVER L/15  in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season with a a combined average of 226.2 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard.GOLDEN STATE in their 27 games  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg go on the scoreboard and when they are off a 10 or more point road win like last time out, have seen a massive 231.8 ppg go on the board. I know Golden State has gone under in 9 straight, but now because of this the lines-makers are under compensating ( pardon the pun) which gives is value to the over .It must also be pointed out, that despite of Motwons propensity to play methodically,  they will have no choice but to pick up the pace as was the case in a recent game against Washington when they lost 122-108. Golden State  ranked first in offense with a 117.4 ppg I am betting dictates the speed of this game behind a 3rd ranked pace. 

Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Warriors  - a top-level team (75% or better) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in December games have gone over 39 of the L/53 times for a solid 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

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The Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic go head to head tonight in the battle of Florida. Both teams are not inspiring alot of pundits right now, and both struggle to put points up on the scoreboard.  Orlando ranks 28th in the league in offense, behind the 23rd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami ranks 27th in offense 97.3 ppg, and 25th in pace. Both teams saving grace , sort of speak, rests with their defenses. The Magic rank 9th in points allowed 101.9 ppg, while the Heat rank 7th allowing 100.4 ppg. Both these sides are off DD losses, and both had less than stellar offensive out puts with Orlando looking tired in a muted 79 point production and the Heat manufactured 95  points, staying below the 100 plateau in three straight.It must be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more like Orlando have gone under 50 of the L/67 times for a 79% conversion rate on under bets.

With Both teams playing a crap load full of games during the past 7 days, I expect a slower paced methodical game that remains on the low side of the number.

MIAMI is 22-11 UNDER L/33 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 191.5 ppg go on the board and 17-6 UNDER L/23 after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less with a combined average score of 193 ppg getting scored. MIAMI is 9-0 UNDER L/9 after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, with the combined average score of 182.9 ppg going on the score board.Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 7-2 in Magic last 9 road games.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

We have two very tired teams playing each other tonight Indiana and Detroit - with that said, a long term 61% ATS trend is in play. NBA teams  where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pistons  -  an extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days against opponent that is also a  tired team ( Indiana ) - playing 6 or more games in 10 days have seen the under go 265-173 dating back 5 seasons.

INDIANA is 26-6 UNDER L/32 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days  dating back to last season, with the total combined average score clicking in at 194.8 ppg. DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games this season with a combined average of 190 ppg getting scored. 

Previous to their L. game Motown did not allow more than 97 points in 7 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in 12 of their L/15 and I'm betting on another solid defensive performance here in methodical fashion. Van Gundys side will control the pace, vs a Indiana side trying to play a more solid two way game and that has only scored 89 and 95 points in their L/2 tilts.

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The Milwaukee Bucks ranked 12th in pae and 13th in defensive rating  and  Chicago Bulls who rank 21 in pace in the league and 8th in Defensive ratings,    prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday.  Because of the divisional rivalry, and the difficulty of playing two games into two nights against the same side, both coaches will not be inclined to run and gun. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown shots from beyond the arc, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping  3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. With that said, Im expecting a hard fought inside affair, that remains on the low side of the number.

CHICAGO is 14-4 UNDER L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) with the average combined score clicking in at 198.8 ppg and is is 18-6 UNDER L/24 in road games vs. division opponents with an average of 194.9 ppg getting scored.Under is 20-7-2 in Bulls last 29 road games.Under is 9-4 in Bucks last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

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The Warriors enter this game having gone under in 4 straight games, thanks to a more concerted effort on defense, and some fatigue taking its toll on the Dubs. With this being their 6th straight road game, Im betting the Warriors won;t be in the mood to run and gun. Meanwhile, New Orleans has scored 96 points or less in 4 of their L/8, and will be weary of trying to out gun their explosive opponents tonight, which will see them put forward a more methodical effort, which will in turn result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total . 

GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last few seasons, 201.1 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games, with a combined average of 209.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 UNDER L/28 after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better , which happened last time out. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like New Orleans - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as a road underdog is 59-22 on the under for a 73% conversion rate.

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My own numbers make this total 136.6 so according to that data with have value with an under bet. 
DENVER is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers per game with the average combined score clicking in at 121.6 ppg. 
All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DENVER) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 293-186 to the under for a longterm conversion rate of 61%. 

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The Golden State Warriors seem a little burned out of late, after playing at a high intensity level for a extended time. Their exhaustion has shown itslef in two of their L/3 games as they failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in two of those tilts. Now as they play a back to back tcontests against Minnesota on tired legs, I won;t be surprised by another muted effort .( The Dubs lost last night 110-89 at Memphis) I know the Wolves have struggled with D, this season, but because of Golden States take no prisoner style of offense, the totals are sometimes over exagerated by linesmakers playing to public bettors sentiments,  as is evident by a 66-38 under run in Warrior road games against lower tier defensive teams allowing 103 or more points per game, with the total combined score of 213.9 ppg on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, MINNESOTA is 18-8 UNDER L/26 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with the the average combined score ringing in at  204.9 ppg. MINNESOTA in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season have seen a combined average of 211.7 ppg get scored.GOLDEN STATE in their L/52 games off an upset loss as a road favorite, have seen a combined average of 215.1 ppg go on the scoreboard and in their L/54 as favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points have seen 218.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. 

Considering long term trends and current form and physical ineffecincies, and matchup descrepencies,  taking a low side stance on this Total makes for a solid bet in my humble opinion. 

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The Golden State Warriors lead the NBA in several offensive categories in road games, including points per game (115.2), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists (30.8) and I am betting on another offensive explosion here tonight. Meanwhile, Memphis has won 5 straight, and will have no choice but to reciprocate with some offense of their own, or be blown off the court  which  I am betting results in a total combined score that eclispes the number. It must be noted that the last time these teams met, only 199 total combined points were scored. But the caveat Im using here is based on a system, I implemented recently , that has had great results in beta form, and now its going live with this bet tonight. 

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to ( 209.5 - 210)  like the Grizzlies - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less have cashed to the OVER 30 of the L/36 times for a powerful 83% conversion rate. 

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LONG BEACH ST is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in Saturday games with a combined average of 133 ppg scored. TEXAS is 13-2 UNDER L/15 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with an average of 139.2 ppg get scored. College Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a lower tier team - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or better on the season, in December games are a bankroll expanding 30-9 to the UNDER dating back to the 2011 campaign for a massive 80% conversion rate. 

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Gonzaga has been dominant to this point in the season, and despite of showing an explosive offense, have also be stingy on  defense allowing 64.6 ppg and 62.5 ppg as hosts. Here on their own home floor I expect Gonzaga slows down an inconsistent Washington side in what Im betting is a physical affair.

GONZAGA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots like Washington and are 11-3 UNDER against a 500 or better side with the combined average of both trends well below this total.GONZAGA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 in non-conference games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg getting scored.

College Hoops Home teams against the total Gonzaga - after 8 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) like Washington have gone under  37 of the L/45 times for a 82% conversion rate for under bettors.

The LA Clippers pride themselves on being able to play a top tier defensive game especially at home. The Clippers own the leagues top defensive rating , ( Notates Defensive Rating for players and teams - points allowed per 100 posessions.

Tonight against the most explosive offensive team in the league you can bet the Clips will be out to slow down the Dubs and make this a more physical and methodical game than the Warriors prefer , which will result in a Total combined score that stays on the low side of the number. 

LA CLIPPERS are 56-34 UNDER L/90  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 with the average combined score clicking in at 214 ppg and are 20-8 UNDER L/28 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with the  total combined average of 202.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Clippers are also 12-2 on the under in home games against top tier sides with a win % of .700 or better with a combined average of just 202.2 ppg getting scored.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game dating back to last season with a combined average of 201.8 ppg getting scored. Golden State in their L/265 games, against a top tier team with a .700 or better record have seen a combined average of 205 ppg go on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games with an average of 2013.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Clippers/Warriors - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG the under is 58-18 dating back to the 2011 campaign.

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The Magic are 3-1 SU on their current five-game road trip, including Sunday's 98-92 victory at the Detroit Pistons.  Meanwhile, Washington is on tired legs as they ended a three game road trip last night, with a hard fought come from behind win vs Brooklyn. Washington struggles on D, on most nights and now exhausted won;t have a lot in the tank to slow down their young and motivated opponents. It must be noted that WASHINGTON is 14-4 OVER  after playing 2 consecutive road games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 215.8 ppg going on the scoreboard and is 17-7 OVER  when playing on back-to-back days with an average combined score of 208.9 ppg clicking on the the board. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of playing some lower scoring games of late , should be able to light up the scoreboard here tonight, in what could be a more wide open game than usual for the Magic.

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Atlanta's defense has been floundering of late, and a concern for the coaching staff,as the team does not have the guns to score in bunches ranking 27th in Off rating ,  as is evident by scoring more than 96 points only 3 times in their L/12 trips to the hardwood . Tonight , against a Thunder team that can run and gun with the best teams in the NBA, Im betting a concerted effort by the Hawks to play heads up transitional ball will be on the game plan agenda. It must also be noted that Oklahoma City also owns a stringent D, that ranks 7th in the league in Defensive rating, which registers players and teams points allowed per 100 posessions.  Everything points to this contest staying on the low side of the number.

ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls this season with an average of 193.4 combined points going on the scoreboard. Hawks HC Budenholzer is 21-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, with a combined average of 197.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Hawks - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games have gone under 35 of the L/46 times since the 2011 season. 

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