My own projections make this Total closer to 216 to 217, thus giving us value on a UNDER wager in this pot play between the Suns and 76ers.

HC Triano of the Suns has turned his team around and are playing better ball of late, thanks to increased concentration on playing solid defensive ball. Tonight against a sometimes explosive 76ers group you bet this coach has a game plan that is centered on playing a slower brand of basketball. This I'm betting will directly effect the Total combined score of this tilt to the low side of the number. Note: Suns have failed to breach the 100 point plateau in 4 of their L/6 and 5 of their L/7 have remained on the low side the Total.

Under is 7-0 in Suns last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-4 in Suns last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

PHOENIX is 21-6 UNDER L/27 after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more with a combined average score of 199.3 ppg going on the board. Suns HC Triano is 12-1 UNDER    in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in all games in his career with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 23-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 35-9 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 40-14 UNDER L/21  seasons for a 74% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Both these teams can light the board up in a hurry, but Arkansas State is a viable defensive team as well, and have held 3 of their L/4 opponents to under 68 points or less. LA Lafayette is the more aggressive run and gun style team, and I'm expecting the home side to want to slow them down a bit here, which reflect in a more muted offensive output than the linesmakers expect ,  in a game that I am betting remains on the low side of the number.

ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 130.8 ppg going on the board  ARKANSAS ST is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game  with a combined average of 146.9 ppg going on the board. LA-LAFAYETTE is 8-0 UNDER  after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of with a combine average of 143.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (ARKANSAS ST) - after 2 straight games committing 8 or less turnovers have gone under 35 of the L/45 times for a 78% conversion rate dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the UNDER

The Spurs  are the  healthiest they have been for a  long time  and had their entire available roster ready to play for the first time all season on Tuesday when they beat Brooklyn 109-97. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 13-2 OVER L/15 in home games after a cover as a double digit favorite with a combined average of 206.2 ppg going on the board. This Spurs group despite of playing a defense first brand of hoops,  is now explosive and ready to run, and will be motivated to get into an offensive rhythm as a team.  This I'm betting will in turn lead to some faster paced outings for a while for the Spurs, including tonight against a  Knicks group  that when pushed can light the board up behind the likes of Porzingis .

These teams have gone over 6 straight times in San Antonio.Over is 9-4-1 in Spurs last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 8-3 in Knicks last 11 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-2 in Knicks last 8 road games.

SAN ANTONIO in their L/62 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season have seen a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in their L/46  games versus good shooting teams - making  46% or more  of their shots have seen a combined average score of 206.5 ppg scored.

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 38-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

Denver and Minnesota are two teams exhibiting upper tier offensive production and lower tier defensive numbers. The Wolves rank 5th in offensive efficiency (112.4) and 25th  in defensive efficiency (110.2).  Meanwhile, the Nuggets ranked 7th in offensive efficiency (110.1) and  a 17th ranked defensive  efficiency rating of (108.3 ) . This combination of numbers adjusted to each team system and head to head matchup comparisons, project and estimated combined score of somewhere in the vicinity of 217 to 219 , thus giving us value with an over bet according to my numbers. Note: The only game between these teams this season saw a combined 216 points go on the board. My own projections estimate both sides will score at least 106+ points tonight. DENVER is 13-0 OVER  L/13 where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combine average of 235.4 ppg clicking in on the board.MINNESOTA is 12-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 227 ppg scored.

Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Timberwolves last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

MINNESOTA is 13-5 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored.

DENVER is 31-11 OVER  versus lower tier  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the combined average of 228.4 ppg scored and is 30-13 OVER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 228 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 38-11 OVER L/5 seasons for 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Round 2 - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

Neutral court teams against the total (NEW MEXICO ST) - playing their 2nd game in 3 days, in December games are 106-54 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for Totals  bettors. Neutral court teams against the total (MIAMI/New Mexico State) - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in December games are 96-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NEW MEXICO ST is 8-0 UNDER  L/8 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season .MIAMI is 17-4 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.MIAMI is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 off a road win over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after 6 or more consecutive wins.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Chicago enters this game with offensive flow having eclipsed the 100 point plateau in 7 straight games but  have allowed more than 100 points in 15 of their L/18 overall. Now on tired legs after last nights rare strong defensive effort vs Orlando I'm betting they revert back to the norm and allow the explosive Cleveland Cavaliers to light them up for a boat load full of points tonight. Meanwhile, Cleveland has scored an average of over 111 ppg this season, ranking 4th in offense in the league, which includes a porous D, that has allowed 107.4 ppg ranked 23rd worst in the league. Tonight I'm betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this beat Total.

CLEVELAND in 16 games when playing against a team with a losing record this season have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg go on the board. CLEVELAND is 15-4 OVER    in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread with a combined average of 227.1 ppg go on the scoreboard.

Over is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 20-7 in Cavaliers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

The Chicago Bulls enter this game against Orlando , with the 28th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace. The Bulls have scored more consistently of late,  but I'm betting they will revert to the mean eventually and more importantly tonight , because of key system discrepancies  which I have pinpointed from a matchup system I have formulated  .  Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic, own the 13th ranked offense and 7 th ranked pace. The Magic have also failed to eclipse the 95 point plateau on offense in 4 of their L/7, and are struggling to stay offensively consistent and I'm betting their production problems will persist  in this spot.

Under is 6-0 in Magic last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 20-8 in Bulls last 28 home games.Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

CHICAGO is 21-8 UNDER L/29 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of 201.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 30-18 UNDER  L/48 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average score of 207.6 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 25-12 UNDER   as a favorite dating back to last season with a combined average 202.6 points per game on going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 38-11 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

RICE is 7-0 UNDER ( vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 7+/game with a combined average of 141 ppg going on the board. NEW MEXICO is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better. NEW MEXICO is 16-4 UNDER L/20 after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 134.1 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

GEORGIA is 6-0 OVER L/6 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) with a total combined score of 149.7 ppg scored.GEORGIA TECH is 11-1 OVER L/12  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days with a combined score of 150 ppg scored.

My projections call for 137 points or more to go on the  board.

Play on OVER

 My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NBA Home teams against the total (TEXAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams ( 32% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (17.5 TO's or more) are 60-23 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

The Jazz  played a physical game last night in the middle of a 6 game road trip and will now be exhausted  after beating the  Boston Celtics 107-95 on Friday. After last nights game they went out to the airport and  had to fly two hours to play a well  rested Cavaliers team  that has been home for almost a week. Needless to say their game plan tonight will be to survive via a slow paced effort which will effect the overall offensive output for both these teams.  It must also be noted that they Jazz  top big men got banged up last night as Favors (stitches above his eye)  and Gobert (left knee injury) if they play will be less than 100% which will also effect the Jazz offensive output in this spot. With that said, I'm betting on the Jazz third ranked D, and 24th ranked pace to be key elements in a stagnated combined offensive output vs an explosive opponent which will directly effect the combined score to fall below the posted Total.

UTAH is 38-19 UNDER  L/57  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game.  Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 7-2-1 in Cavaliers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (79% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are 28-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on UNDER

Charlotte enters this game having seen a combined average of 212.5 ppg go on the board in their home games this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers a have seen a combined average of 205 ppg get scored in their road tilts. My own numbers and matchup stats and projections put this total closer to 207, after considering both sides usual pace numbers, which gives us value to the over with this number we are betting into.

PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less which happened in their 95-88 win vs the Magic yesterday. the combined average score of those tilts was 220.3 ppg.
 

CHARLOTTE  in 7 games  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing  14 or less turnovers/game this season, have seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg go on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The  Utah Jazz despite of owning one of the lower pace numbers in the league  and  strong D , are taking part in some fairly high scoring games of late, with combined scores of 213, 217, 203 combined points going on the board in their L/3 trips to the court. The Jazz themselves have scored 100 or more points in 9 of their L/10, and have allowed 100 or more points in 7 of their L/10. with that said, and this being the Jazz's third straight road game , fatigue will play a major part in more defensive breakdowns in this spot and a wider open game.  Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics despite of being a solid defensive team as well, are on tired legs after a high scoring run and gun affair vs the Denver Nuggets last time out taking, a 124-118 win, and won't have the energy to play hardcore physical hoops tonight, which I'm betting will make this a higher scoring game than many pundits might anticipate.

Over is 10-4 in Celtics last 14 overall.Over is 25-10-1 in Celtics last 36 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-2 in Celtics last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.

BOSTON in their L/20 games when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 19-6 OVER  L/25 in home games after a combined score of 235 points with a combined average of 212.8 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (UTAH) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 32-5 OVER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

The Lakers enter this game having scored 100 or more points in 12 of their L/13 overall games, in mostly wide open run and gun affairs as they rank No.1 in pace in the league (102.4). On the season the Lakers defense has allowed 108.9 ppg and rank 24th in the league. Meanwhile, Cleveland the Lakers hosts tonight, are ranked 3rd in the league in offense (111 ppg) and are ranked 23rd in defense, in what has become a wide open high scoring entertaining circus. Tonight I expect the Lakers young legs to try to keep up with the senior/star laden Cavaliers lineup in a game that I expect to eclipse the number.

CLEVELAND is 25-12 OVER  L/37 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored.CLEVELAND in 7 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season have seen the combined average score click in at 224.4 ppg.

Over is 8-0 in Cavaliers last 8 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games are  44-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NORTHWESTERN is 12-2 UNDER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game per game with a combined average of 134.1 ppg going on the board. NORTHWESTERN is 12-3 UNDER  when the total is 140 to 149.VALPARAISO is 6-0 UNDER  after a loss by 6 points or less with a combined average of 115.2 ppg going on the board. ( Val lost Ball St 71-70 last time out)

 Play UNDER

The Rockets' exerted a lot of energy in a  130-123 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday night at Toyota Center , that will now have them on tired legs. Last night they had to come back ferociously with a small ball lineup after their defense was torched for the first three quarters, something that will concern the coaching staff , and will have the Rockets more vigilant in transition here this evening vs the Charlotte Hornets. Meanwhile, the Hornets will want to slow this game down, vs an explosive opponent, as their own offense has been very inconsistent this season,  ranking 20th in offensive rating (103.3) and rank in the bottom 5 in field-goal percentage (27th) and effective field-goal percentage (29th). Charlotte is  also 24th in 3-pointers made (nine) and attempted (25.3) per game. Needless to say, the slower the better, and after last nights run and gun affair, I'm betting the Rockets wont mind a slower paced affair either. Note: The two most recent meetings in this series this season have gone under the Total with 202 combined ppg going on the board in both tilts (Houston won both games).  I'm betting on a similar score tonight.

CHARLOTTE is 26-11 UNDER  L/37 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a road win are 24-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

DENVER is 27-9 UNDER L/36 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making  31% or less of their attempts.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (N COLORADO) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better against opponent after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 31-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Kings enter this game consistently showing slow starts to their games averaging only 23.0 points in the first 12 minutes and have been held below 20 nine times in their 26 first quarters. Meanwhile, the Suns are averaging nearly 24 points in the opening 12 minutes of their past five games, and that includes a 17-point opening quarter in the loss to San Antonio. With leading scorer Booker out, the Suns overall offensive production flow and energy should also be muted.  These  above mentioned kinds of starts can translate into lower scoring games than many might expect, and that's what I m betting on tonight.

SACRAMENTO is 23-12 UNDER  when the total is 210 to 219.5.Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 19-8 in Kings last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 19-7 in Kings last 26 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - lower tier team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 20-54 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

RUTGERS is 10-2 OVER L/12 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored.

Home teams against the total (RUTGERS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (32% or less ), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) against a good pressure defensive team (17.5 TO's or more ) are 59-25 OVER L/21 seasons.

Play  OVER

Florida International has been inconsistent on offense so far this season, but they have shown signs of life with their production putting 77 or more points on the board in 3 of their L/4. Meanwhile, South Florida has allowed 79   and  84 points in their L/2 games, and look susceptible to being lit up again and will have to speed up their pace here in this spot if they hope to get  the win. Everything points to a total combined score that eclipses this number.

S FLORIDA is 11-0 OVER   when the total is 129.5 or less. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 13-2 OVER  L/15  after playing a home game with a combined average of 146.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play on the OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Play UNDER

These teams have two of the top defenses in the league. Their numbers are obviously accumulated /calculated from playing all types of teams . However, when looking at a head on matchup, both can score consistently and offensive flow is something that just something that comes with matchups like this. The Celtics average more than 103 ppg on the road, while the Spurs average 106 + ppg at home. When these teams met earlier this season the Boston crew took out the men from San Antonio via a 108-94 ( 202 pts). Tonight I expect a little bit more scoring and a faster pace, as the home town team comes out looking for revenge. I'm betting the Spurs will come out here on fire, and for the Celtics to have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. Even if the game staggers into a proverbial physical battle, both teams ability to light things up in transition will have this tilt eclipse the beatable number.

Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 road games.Over is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 overall.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 13-4 in Spurs last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER L/18 versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 points/game or less with a combined average of 199.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.BOSTON is 14-4 OVER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points with a combined average of 204.7 ppg going on the board.




NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 46-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 45-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

A lot has been made of how explosive the Cavaliers have been offensively  since their 13 game win streak started. But it must be noted that the Cavaliers have not allowed 5 of their L/7 opponents to eclipse the 99 point plateau and their D is getting better and better as this season has progressed.  The Cavs are also ranked just 14th in pace so their not exactly a run and gun team either. Meanwhile, the Pacers their hosts tonight, have held their last two opponents under 100 points and will be ready to play a physical game here in attempt to derail their hot visitors. The above combination as well as my own analysis of both sides systems, and specific game factors, make this Total weak and I'm betting that combined score ends up on the low side of the number.

INDIANA is 19-4 UNDER L/23 in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 193.7 ppg going on the board.INDIANA is 19-6 l/25 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 204 ppg going on the board. INDIANA is 22-11 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 206.2 ppg clicking in. CLEVELAND is 35-19 UNDER L/54 in road games after 6 or more consecutive wins with a combined average of 193 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 Play UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Marshall is a offensive juggernaut averaging more than 93 ppg at home this season. Tonight they will attack as usual on all cylinders and Chatanooga will have no choice but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which either way will result in a total score that eclipses the total.  MARSHALL is 8-1 OVER  L/9 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season  with a combined average of 177.7 ppg getting scored.  Marshall in their L/6 non conference home games have seen a combined average of 166.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play OVER

Chicago does not have the offensive firepower to score a lot of points and keep track with a side like the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Bulls have only eclipsed the 100 point plateau 5 times in their L/18 games, and average just 92.8 ppg at home this season with a overall 30th ranked offensive efficiency in the league . Needless to say it won't be hard to imagine the Bulls wanting to slow this tilt down to a crawl or just make it physically grueling on a veteran side. All in all I expect the total combined output of this affair to fall short of the lines-makers projections because of these key factors.



CHICAGO is 17-5 UNDER L/22 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 194.1 ppg going on the board.

Under is 4-1-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 20-7 in Bulls last 27 home games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.




NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 35-11 UNDER  L/20 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

My own projections on this game based on power rankings and system matchups tells me of a high probability situation that favors the  OVER. The  Bucks have gone Over in 11-1 of their  last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record like the Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings have gone over in 5 of their L/6 , and from a divisional standpoint have cruised over the Total in 8 of their L/9 vs Central teams and have gone over in 6 of their L/8 on the road. both teams are playing decent ball at this time, and I'm betting they run at each other in a tilt that ends up being higher scoring than the lines-makers might anticipate.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.

MILWAUKEE in their L/27 games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or  more have seen a combined average score of 211.2 ppg get scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. The average combined score of those tilts was 206.5 ppg.

Play OVER

Memphis is desperate after losing 9 straight games. They know they have to up their tempo and get into an offensive flow. After going 6 straight games without breaching the 95 point plateau on offense a sense of urgency now permeates around the team. This is the second of back-to-back games against each other this  Friday night  at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn. The first meeting saw the Spurs grab a 104-95 win, which eclipsed the 194 point Total and similar score is not out of the question, and actually a high probability outcome according to my own numbers making this a viable OVER wager.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 OVER  L/9 in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points dating back to last season with a combined average of 206.6 ppg going on the board.

MEMPHIS in 17 games  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average score of 199.3 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 OVER  L/23 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points  with a combined average score of 201.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 37-12 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the OVER

Chicago enters this game vs Denver averaging just 94.8 ppg on offense (worst in the league), and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games, behind a 17th ranked pace, that should even slow down more tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High city vs a team that they know they can't run and gun with. Meanwhile, the Nuggets own the 14th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace, so their in the middle of the pack , as far as speed and offensive production goes. What I'm betting happens  tonight, is what most sides, with sluggish offenses do when they go into Denver, and that is play a conservative energy conserving style of basketball, that more often than not translates into a lower scoring game than many might anticipate.

Under is 12-4 in Bulls last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 home games.

CHICAGO is 45-20 UNDER  L/65 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less with a combined average score of 199.4 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO in 8  in non-conference games this season have seen a combined average score of 196.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-9 UNDER  L/32 after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season with the combined average score of 200.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (102 or less  PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are 35-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for 75% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - off a home loss against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

South Florida plays a defensive system, and their scores so far this season have been indicative of this as they average a lowly 62.1 ppg on offense while the defense is staunch allowing just  63.1 ppg. Meanwhile, Elon has shown some offensive explosiveness, this season, but  they have played overall very strong defense, especially as hosts as is evident by allowing just  63.5 ppg.

When these teams played last season the final score was Elon 74 S.Florida 61 ( 135) and now the linesmakers are setting the line based in part on last seasons meeting. My own projections make the output from both teams to be in a low to mid 60's which is a good indicator of this game going under the set total. ELON is 44-8 UNDER  when they allow 61 to 66 points with a combined average score of 129.9 ppg on average being scored.ELON in their L/57  versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game have seen a combined average score of 128.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

UNDER ARMOUR REUNION - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

I expect these two heavyweights to play a physical grueling defensive game that remains on the low side of the number. Texas Tech is  allowing  just 55.3 ppg on the season, while Seton Hall is allowing 64.7 ppg mostly in garbage time when using their fringe bench players.

SETON HALL is 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 127.1 ppg scored.TEXAS TECH is 9-2 UNDER L/11 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 132.9 ppg scored. TEXAS TECH is 9-1 UNDER  when playing on a neutral court with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored.
 

Neutral court teams against the total (TEXAS TECH) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game, in November games are 540-398 to the UNDER for a 58% conversion rate on the blind for bettors dating back 20 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Evansville is a defense first team, that averages just 66.2 ppg on the season on offense while allowing 58.2 ppg on defense. I'm not sure that is what HC Simmons had planned for this season, but watching this group is a good way to lull yourself to sleep. Meanwhile, New Mexico is team still trying to find its way under a run and gun system, that has stalled in recent games , scoring just 65, 67 points in their L/2 games. Tonight I'm betting in their usual methodical way that Evansville makes this into a slow grinding affair, and slows the flow of their opposition.

 NEW MEXICO is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 134.7 ppg going on the board . Evansville is is 8-1 UNDER L/9  in November games dating back to last season with a combined average of 128.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

HC Fizdale is no longer the coach of the Memphis Grizzlies after his team struggled for much of this season and on a current 8 game losing streak mostly because of offensive production problems . His firing came after he benched star forward Mac Gasol, which started the firestorm. Now with a lot to prove and 2 days rest  I expect the Grizzlies new  HC  J.B. Bickerstaff and company  to come out fired up tonight, and really push their pace up a few notches, in an effort to get a offensive flow going  which I'm betting results in a higher scored than expected by the lines-makers.  

Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO in their  L/22 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points have seen a  combined average of 202 ppg scored. Memphis in 9 games vs winning sides this season have seen a combined average of 197.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

Southern Miss is averaging 63 ppg on offense this season  on the road while allowing just 68.9 points per game is a team that is struggling a they try to continue to deal with sanctions from past regressions, that we don't need to get into here. But they have problems with their personell and continue to try fluidity. Meanwhile South Alabama is averaging 64 ppg on offense, while  allowing just 61.9 ppg overall, in a very slow paced methodical system. Considering both teams offensive issues and the systems that they play a lower scoring game must be expected, as the linesmakers suggest with their number.

  SOUTHERN MISS is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging  12 or less assists/game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board and is 8-1 UNDER  L/9  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots with a combined average of 115.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Under is 5-1 in Matadors last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Matadors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 29-15 UNDER  in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%). HC Theus is 15-4 UNDER L/19 after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.

CBB Road teams against the total (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - bad team from last season who won only 20% to 40% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are long term 125-77 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 61% conversion rate on the blind.

Play UNDER

My College  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Georgetown/Maine UNDER the set total

Two rebuilding teams go head to  head tonight when Phoenix visits the Chicago Bulls . With both teams defenses a big concern, I'm expecting both sides to play special attention to being stoppers and being physical, in a game I have pegged at staying under the total. Chicago is especially fragile as they rank last in the NBA scoring averaging just 94.3 ppg which makes them even more interested in turning this into a slow grinding affair.

CHICAGO is 33-17 UNDER  L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record  with a combined average of 202 ppg going on the board and 20-7 UNDER   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of  200.7 ppg going on the board and also 16-5 UNDER  /21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 201.9 ppg getting scored.CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER L/17  in home games in non-conference games . CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less) are 25-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Cavs, who beat the 76ers 113-91 on Monday night in Philadelphia, will play consecutive nights for the first time since Oct. 28-29 and now this veteran laden team  will  be on tired legs and ready to slow things down again.  Last night it was the Cavs ability to slow the flow of their younger opposition down, and come out of that game with a easy DD win. Tonight, I'm betting on the same tactics and game plan to make this into a conservative tilt, vs a Miami side that also practices a controlled style of defensive play behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. .Note: The Heat have held 4 of their L/5 opponents to under 98 points or less. While the Cavs have held 3 of their L/4 opponents, to 99 points or less.

Miami is ranked 21st in the pace in the league, 7th best ppg allowed in the NBA and rank 26th in offensive points production.

Cleveland ranks 12th in the league in pace.

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.MIAMI is 30-14 UNDER  L/44 as a road underdog of 6 points or less with a combined average score of 194 ppg going on the score board.

Under is 20-8 in Heat last 28 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing with  no rest.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 73-27 UNDER for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLORIDA ST is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making 63% or less  of their attempts .FLORIDA ST is 8-0 UNDER L/8  in road games after a combined score of 175 points or more which happened last time out in a 113-78 win vs Citadel.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA ST) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less on the season, hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 54-22 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER

The Rockets as we all know by now are an explosive offensive juggernaut,  but  their defensive 17.5 net rating is something that may be over looked by the average punter. Their ability to be stopper was on display last time out against the  Knicks who  scored  29 points over the first 7 1/2 minutes  of that game , only to fall short of that mark in  any of three following three quarters of action. Meanwhile, Brooklyn after struggling with D, of late, finally played the kind of game their coach wants from them more consistently holding the Memphis Grizzlies to 88 points in a win. Last night the Nets had success taking their time with their attack, and being selective with shots, and tonight I expect they will try to slow down the game via slower paced effort vs what they know is a dangerous run and gun opponent. I'm also betting on the Rockets D, showing us their under rated abilities as well in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. Note: Houston has held 4 of their L/7 opponents under 96 points or less.

Under is 9-4-3 in Nets last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1-1 in Nets last 6 road games.BROOKLYN in 7 games  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season have seen a average combined score of 218 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 57-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers and their home crowd are going to be wild tonight with excitement as their team continues to grow and show competitiveness. Bigger and better things are on the horizon for the Sixers.. But first they have to deal with the Cavaliers. QUOTE: "Cleveland is going to come in, and it's going to be amazing for the building," coach Brett Brown said. "This building is wild. How about our fans? Are you kidding me? I can't even talk to my coaching staff sometimes and they're a foot from me. It's fantastic. What a great thing for our city." END QUOTE But now irrational exuberance may get the best of the Sixers, as a veteran laden Cleveland Cavaliers come to town, looking to slow down any early momentum the home team has by playing methodical slow paced style hoops, while saving their best for last quarter and a half. This I'm betting will curtail both teams scoring out put making this a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect .

PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 UNDER  L/25  in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 185.2 ppg going on the board

.Under is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-2 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 25-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Moda Center - Portland, OR

These upper tier teams will do battle in test of wills . Both are deep and explosive but are also extremely capable on the defensive end. When two behemoth teams like this do battle its not uncommon for a conservative wait and  see approach from both opponents. This will see a the score much more muted than the linesmakers and the public might expect.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (DUKE/Florida ) - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 33-6 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Neutral court teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE/Florida) - playing their 2nd game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ).  are 27-3 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

WOODEN CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

CS Fullerton plays a Defensive slowed paced deliberate type of basketball, and can not be easily pushed into play run and gun ball. This I'm betting will result in a low scoring affair with their counterparts Harvard this evening.

HARVARD is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 130.8 ppg going on the board and is 24-9 UNDER  in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 126.7 ppg scored.

CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when playing only their 3rd game in a week with a combined average of with a combined average of 134.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Golden State Warriors and the Pelicans will be playing their second game in two nights. Each is coming off a win on Friday and both will be on tired legs, and not ready or capable to run and gun. These teams did partake in a 128-120 slugfest in their first meeting this season, at New Orleans that Golden State won, but this time around , I expect a more conservative approach from the Pelicans. It must be noted that new Orleans has held their last two opponents to 91 points or less. On the flipside I'm betting  Golden State underrated D , ranked 9th in the league in efficiency to stand tall and to slow down Pelicans stars Cousins and Davis . With the above scenarios playing out, I expect a score that does not eclipse the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 33-19 UNDER  L/51  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 207.1 ppg going on the board.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 UNDER L/27 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with a combined average of 213.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 47-12 L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 30-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 34-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

Memphis allowed 62 and 52 points in their L/2 games at home, and it looks very much like playing a strong brand of D along with conservative disciplined hoops will be the name of the game this year for the Tigers. Meanwhile, N.Kentucky has allowed 68 ppg on the season, and also have an aggressive offense.   What I'm betting on today is the Tigers knowing the offensive capabilities of N.Kentucky will be primed to play a tough defensive slow down type of basketball, in an effort to keep the visitors from flowing. This in turn , will make for a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.

 MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER    in home games on Saturday games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 131.4 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 6-0 UNDER L/6  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread which happened last time out.

Play on the UNDER

The Hornets and the Cavaliers meet again at Friday in Cleveland. both teams are on winning streaks. The last time these two sides played each other 222 combined points went on the board in a 115 -107 Cleveland win.  Controlling or at least slowing LeBron James is critical to holding down the explosiveness of the Cavaliers, and the Hornets I'm betting will focus their attention on him, and playing better overall defense on the whole especially here on the road behind the 12th ranked pace in the league .QUOTE: "His big, big nights, which he's had against us, it's going to be the fast-break baskets, the second-chance baskets and the cuts," Clifford said prior to Cleveland's 115-107 win over the Hornets on Nov. 15. "That's how he gets from, he's averaging 28, that's how he's going to get to 38. You know, if you do a good job on those, then you hope he gets 28. You control what you can control but again, the great, great ones, you've got to take those other easy ones away." END QUOTE: With that said, Cleveland has been playing fast and furious of late, but the old guys now will be on tired legs, as they play their 8th game in 13 days, and with Charlotte looking to slow this game down, I'm betting on point production output in this tilt to me more muted than what might expect.

CHARLOTTE is 25-11 UNDER  L/36 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like Charlotte - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), dominant rebounding team (+5.5 reb/game or more ) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 53-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 695 conversion rate for totals bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Charlotte - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for  81% conversion rare for bettors.

Play UNDER

BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Final Rnd - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau
My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

W KENTUCKY is 21-9 UNDER L/30  in road games in November games.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (W KENTUCKY) - off an upset win as an underdog, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 50-20 UNDER L/70 for a 72% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Round 2 - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

Neutral court teams against the total (SAM HOUSTON ST) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) are 80-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

The Sixers are in a down mood and on tired legs after blowing a 24-point lead over the Golden State Warriors with 38 seconds into the second half on Saturday night.   The  explosive defending NBA champions outscored them 63-21 over the next 17:48 on their way to a 124-116 victory. Now trying to deal with a lack of defensive responsibility and being exhausted and in a emotional letdown state , I expect the 76ers aggressiveness to be muted, which result in a more conservative effort than the linesmakers are expecting. Meanwhile, their opponents the Utah Jazz are playing the finale of a 4 game road  trip  and will also be on tired legs, and when called upon have been know to play hard core physical D, something I expect from them tonight. Note : The Jazz own the 5th best point allowed D in the league , the 24th ranked offensive rating, and the only 6 teams in the league play at a slower pace then they do. With that said, I'm recommending we take the under path tonight.

UTAH is 37-18 UNDER  L/54  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106 or more points/game with the combined average score of 200.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH   in their L/10 road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) have seen a combined average score of 207.2 ppg go on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 UNDER L/21 against Northwest division opponents with a combined average of 201.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like UTAH - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 46-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Two undefeated, high-scoring offenses square off as Creighton (3-0) faces No. 23 UCLA (3-0) in the first semifinal game of the 2017 CBE Hall of Fame Classic Monday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo. These are two heavy weights that can put points up on the board in a hurry, but as is usually the case when two big boys go head to head there is a wait see conservative period. With that look for both behemoths to be  vigilant and play disciplined defense first  basketball which I'm betting translates into a lower scoring game then the lines-makers estimate.

It must also be noted that  UCLA,  owns a whole new starting lineup five from last year. The top four scorers from last season are gone and the Bruins are still short-handed, as three top tier freshmen are suspended indefinitely following their arrest for shoplifting on a recent trip to China. In the Bruins only game vs decent basketball program they took part in a 63-60 physical affair. This one might not end up being played like that one , but I'm betting their won't be as many point going on the board as some might expect.

CREIGHTON is 12-3 UNDER L/15 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts with the combined average score clicking in at 150 ppg. HC Alford of UCLA  is 28-10 UNDER    in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with the combined average score of 146.5ppg going on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 47-17 UNDER the L/21 seasons for a74% conversion rate for bettors.Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games  are 24-5 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - in a tournament game, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 45-16 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.CBB Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - undefeated on the season, in November games are 36-12 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Purdue is a very strong Big 10 program with a lot of big athletic players in their ,lineup. Despite of having the guns to put down a boatload full of points, the Boilermaker HC Painter prides himself on being able to play shut down defense, and today against Fairfield I'm betting that will be the case. Meanwhile, Fairfield, is an easy team to slow down if you can control their super star Tyler Nelson ( 19.5 ppg last season), something I'm betting the Boliermakers will do. Also on the flipside, Fairfield owned the 2nd best D, in the MAAC last season behind St.Peters and according to my cross reference player personnel rankings will be even better this season.

FAIRFIELD is 14-4 UNDER   vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the board.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams against the total like Purdue - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 54-14 UNDER the L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics own the No. 1 defense  in the NBA  overall and won their 13 straight behind a deliberate pace that ranks them 21st in the league ( 96.6)  . It's been their staunch D, that has got them to this point and I'm betting they will be well prepared to try to slow down the explosive Golden State Warriors in this spot. Meanwhile, Golden State on a 7 game win streak, despite of their reputation for being scoring machines, are also a viable defensive team, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency and are more than capable of keeping the deliberate Celtics from hitting their selective shots consistently. Look for this two heavy weights to collide in  a physical slower paced game than the linesmakers and pundits expect.

Under is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 13-2-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

NBA team like Boston/Golden State- after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for under Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

 The Utah Jazz  enter into this game reeling, after losing three straight games. Their usually staunch D, has failed them, as the Jazz have  allowed opponents to score an average of  116.7 points  per game on 51.5 percent shooting during their losing streak. Tonight considering the Jazz defensive woes , I expect the Heat, a side that has shown some offensive explosiveness on occasion this season, as was the case last time out when they scored 115 points vs Golden State  , to now use the momentum of that run and gun effort to try to take advantage of a struggling opponent, which I'm betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. Note: (The Heat have averaged more than 102 ppg on the road this season).  I'm also betting that the Heats 4th straight road game will not have them capable of playing a physical style of game, which will allow the Jazzs struggling offense to finally score above their season home average  of 101.6 ppg.

Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 9-0 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Utah.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 25-4 L/29 OVER during the last 5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Golden State and Minnesota are both being looked at as offensive juggernauts and both enter this game on winning streaks. Both are explosive, but what is being over looked is both teams defenses.   The Warriors have  Green, the reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year, on their side, and his efficiency was on display in a recent   97-80 victory over Miami on Monday that allowed Golden State  to notch the win despite of  failing to score 100 points for the first time this season.QUOTE: "We can play defense with anybody," Warriors backup forward Omri Casspi said after the game. "Everybody should know that." END QUOTE:  Also Minnesota's D, must not be over looked either as they have not allowed any of their L/3 opponents, to breach the 99 point plateau, and must be respected in their ability to marginally slow down the potent attack of the Warriors. With that said, I'm betting on a total score that remains on the low side of the number.

Note: Minnesota owns the 17th ranked pace in the league, which puts them in the lower half of the league in this important category when betting on higher totals.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 198.6 ppg going on the board.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 UNDER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with a combined average of 194.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-4 to the UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals under bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins with the under going 35-9 dating back 5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for under totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA  and hitting on all cylinders, and are averaging more than 107 ppg  in their L/5 on offense and go against a Lakers defense that is allowing 107 + per game this season. Today I expect the Celtics who are ranked 13th in the league in offensive rating to eclipse that average, and notch according to my own projections a combined average of 112- 116 points, and for the Lakers who rank 3rd in pace (103.3)  in the league to chase in up beat fashion   and hit in around 98-103  points , which according to the linemakers spread corresponds to the 8.5 point spread.

Over is 11-5 in Lakers last 16 road games.Over is 16-5-1 in Celtics last 22 home games.Over is 22-7-1 in Celtics last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOSTON is 12-0 OVER L/12 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 25-9 OVER L/34  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game with a combined average of 217.1 ppg getting scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like Boston  - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more are 40-11 OVER dating back dating back 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Dallas will want to slow down vs the run and gun Wolves, and try to slow this game down into a crawl. Dallas is averaging 97.8 points, which makes it the third-worst scoring offense. The Mavericks also own a 41.5 field goal percentage, which is the second-worst in the league , so they will have no choice but to drag this into a physical conservative affair, even against a the Wolves sub par D.  I'm betting the combined score according to my projections will fall below this number.

Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

MINNESOTA is 21-9 UNDER  L/30 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 208.4 ppg. DALLAS is 36-18 UNDER  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%or more. with a combined average of 198 ppg going on the scoreboard. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when the total is 210 to 219.5 .

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 Dallas - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 34-9 L/43 under for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Orlando has shown the ability to play decent defense of late, allowing two of their L/3 opponents to 93 and 87 points respectively. Meanwhile, Charlotte has been playing a lot of physical basketball early in the season, and in between, struggling with their shooting and playing strong D, have seen their first 5 games of the season stay on the low side of the set Total. I'm betting both teams current trend of play continuing in this matchup.

CHARLOTTE is 20-5 UNDER L/25 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots with a combined average 199.6 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 17-3 UNDER L/20 in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 194.3 ppg. HC Clifford of the Hornets is 28-10 L/38 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 191.9 ppg going on the board. Orlando's HC Vogel in his L/28 games after an upset win as a home underdog has seen a combined average of 197.8 ppg go on the scoreboard. ( Magic upset Spurs last time out 114-87 as 5.5 point dogs)

Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 16-6 in Hornets last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Orlando- well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 31-6 UNDER dating back 24 seasons for 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Hawks in their L/5 games have looked stagnant  offensively scoring 93 or less points with a combined average of just 94.8 ppg getting scored. Tonight against a Bucks side that has wants to play more attention to sound defense Im betting on another muted offensive effort. Milwaukee has held their L/2 opponents to 94 and 96 points respectively. My own projections have  the Hawks having a similar type out put today. Note: ATLANTA is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 when they score 94 to 99 points with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 22-7 UNDER  L/29  when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game with a combined average of 195.3 ppg getting scored.

ATLANTA is 16-1 UNDER  L/17 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 197.8 ppg going on the board.ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER  L/22 after 3 or more consecutive unders with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the board.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The LA Lakers enter into this game well rested as they prepare to play only their 2nd game in 6 days and I'm betting that will allow them to keep up and slow down a run and gun Toronto squad defensively. Meanwhile, HC Casey of the Raptors seems to have a bit of different strategy on the road as he does at home,. The Raptors HC is just not as aggressive with his attacking options and with this being his teams 3rd straight west coast away game in 4 days, his less than deep bench may not be as fast paced as they usually are because of fatigue, which will I'm betting take a bite out their overall offensive point production in this spot. Note:Under is 21-7 in Raptors last 28 road games . It must also  be noted that Casey is 34-14 UNDER L/48 versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game like the Lakers, with a total combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 193 ppg game. 

TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14  in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 191.5 ppg going on the board . Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games.  These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall meetings. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Lakers - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 29-6 to the UNDER dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection

The Suns played a fast back and forth game last night losing to the Lakers 132-130 and are banged  playing mostly without center Alex Len (ankle) ( played last night 21 min), guard Davon Reed (knee) and forward Jared Dudley (toe).  This I expect will effect their tempo and with a need to pay more attention to defense, should partake according to my own estimates in more subdued type of defensive game plan tonight in LA vs a Clippers side that is still trying to acclimate to a lot of new faces and injuries to various players that are still not 100% healed. The roster was completely intact for the season-opening victory vs the Lakers, but Patrick Beverley (knee) and Austin Rivers (glute) had just returned and Danilo Gallinari (sprained left foot), Sam Dekker (strained left oblique), Sindarius Thornwell (sprained right shoulder) and Jamil Wilson (back spasms) returned earlier last week.

Overall team cohesiveness on both sides could easily be an issue this evening, and according to my own numbers the lines-makers have over done this Total to the high side considering the circumstances. It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the Suns - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers  off a loss last night will face   the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.  Now tonight the Sixers are a expected to rest  their young star(Joel Embiid)  and I am betting they will be more conservative in  their approach to this game from  offensive perspective. Their D, failed the young men from Philly last night , after leading Boston for more most of the previous evening and a more concerted effort to be stoppers vs what continues to a free wheeling Toronto group will become of paramount importance in this spot. With that said, and in contrarian fashion,  I'm betting instead of a run and gun shoot out like the linemakers are expecting a more subdued  type of affair will play out and the total combined score will end up on the low side of the Totals spectrum.

 Under is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in 76ers last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

PHILADELPHIA is 73-49 L/122 when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Toronto is their L/15 games against a lower tier team with a.250 win % or less  have seen a combined average of 206.6 ppg go on the board.

It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the like the 76ers - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics have added the offensive explosiveness of   Kyrie Irving to a strong overall  lineup  with a lot of depth. Irving  and the smoothness of inside/outside threat Gordon Hayward  ( if they can stay healthy) will be a dynamic duo. Also the addition rookie Jayson Tatum who is one of the very best players from this draft class is also going to surprise a lot of the pundits as he fits in perfectly with HC Brad Stevens system. Meanwhile, on D, the Celtics I'm betting may not be that staunch defensively as Horford and Baynes are undersized , and protecting the rim will be a key issue , especially tonight against a Cleveland team that can light it up in a big way from the inside thanks to some off season tinkering.  The Cavs are now more versatile than ever with the additions of Derrick Rose and Jose Calderon and  Turkish small forward Cedi Ozman on the wing and always remain offensively dangerous with the best player in the NBA ( James) on the floor .

I'm betting these teams come at each other full throttle tonight, in a tilt that I have pegged to go over  a total. Note  this Total has been beaten down by both sharps and the public from its orginal 214.5 opening and is now a viable investment opportunity.

CLEVELAND is 39-16 OVER  L/54 when the total is 210 to 219.5 dating back to last season and is 18-8 OVER  L/26  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5, with  the average combined score ringing in at 222.5 ppg.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 20-7-1 in Cavaliers last 28 home games.

Play OVER

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0

Golden State is a explosive team, that knows how to close out opponents, and tonight I expect they will come out with all guns blazing in attempt to finish off an exhausted and banged up opponent. The Spurs are a proud franchise, and will pull out all the stops to avoid at least being humiliated again in front o their own fans, and will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. This I am betting will lead to a higher scoring game than the linesmakers expect. The Warriors pounded the Blazers by a 128-103 count to end that opening round series, and than clobbered the Utah Jazz, by a 121-95 score in the second round. More of the same total  points production must be expected tonight, 

Golden State after 8 more consecutive winsspanning a 28 game sample size have seen a combined average score of 219.5 ppg go on the board and on the road after two more consecutive wins have seen a combined average of 220 ppg get scored spanning 33 games. Golden State has gone over in 4 straight games, and have scored 116.1 ppg this season, while allowing an average of 105.2 ppg in road games. Meanwhile, San Antonio has averaged 106.1 ppg at home this season, and despite of overall solid defensive numbers this season, have struggled on D of late , because of injuries, allowing 125, 107, 113, 136, 120 pts in 5 o their L/6 games.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

San Antonio knows that defense and physical play will be the key to slowing down the explosive Golden State Warriors. The Spurs behind the 27th ranked pace in the league and 2nd best points against numbers and the best defensive rating are well suited to grind and bang and make life difficult for the Warriors. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of their reputation, are a solid defensive team as well, and ranked 2nd in defensive rating in the league per 100 possessions. I am betting much more physical game than might be expected which will result in a final combined score that remains on the low side of the number.  The Spurs showed their defensive capabilities last time out, in a lopsided  114-75 win vs the Houston Rockets to advance to this round, which sets up a trend that show HC Popovich is 11-2 UNDER L/13 in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog with a combined average of 188.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

GOLDEN STATE is also 11-2 UNDER L/13 when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days over the last few seasons with an average of just 201 combined points going on the board. 

GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 UNDER L/25 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a total combined score of 207.7 ppg getting scored.SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 UNDER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 201 ppg going on the board

. NBA teams (GOLDEN STATE/SAN Antonio) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 53-15 to the under in the followup game. NBA  teams like the Spurs - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after scoring 105 points or more re 32-8 to the under for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-2

Both Washington and Boston are playing this series in a fast and furious manner, as both exhibit explosive offenses with neither team showing consistent defensive instincts. Four of the five game so far have eclipsed the number. The last two saw 223 and 224 points scored and the first two saw 240 and 235 scored, with the lone under seeing Washington win by pouring 121 ppg on the board ( 121-89) Everything once again points to this being a high scoring run and gun  affair.With the linesmakers refusing to bend on the total, I'm running with a recommended over investment on this game 6 battle.

WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER L/29 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 223.7 ppg getting scored.WASHINGTON is 15-4 OVER L/19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 233 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 13-4 OVER  after scoring 120 points or more with a combined average of 220.7 ppg clicking in!WASHINGTON in 23 games  against Atlantic division opponents this season, a combined average of 220.9 ppg were scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON/Washington) - in the second round of the playoffs are 92-42 to the OVER dating back 20 seasons and also NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Celtics  - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 52-27 OVER dating back 20 seasons. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The first two games in this series here in Boston easily eclipsed the number, and wide open offensive affairs, and I am betting on nothing changing tonight. (235 points were scored in game 1 and 248 combined points in game 2.)

WASHINGTON is 11-3 OVER L/14 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this seaso with na average of 233.6 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 228.4 ppg. HC Brooks of the Wizards  is 21-9 OVER  after 2 or more consecutive wins with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Boston/Washingtn - in the second round of the playoffs are 90-42 to the OVER dating back 21 seasons.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - 
Game 2 - CLE Leads 1-0


In game 1 of this series, the Cavaliers took a 111-106 victory, and I’m expecting more of the same explosive offensive action here tonight. My own numbers place this total closer to 216.5 , thus according to that projection we have value to the over. CLEVELAND is 16-7 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season, with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the board and 17-6 over when playing only their second game in 5 days, with a combined average of 220.5 ppg getting scored.

TORONTO is 13-3 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 220.1 ppg going on the board. CLEVELAND is 30-16 L/37 OVER versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. CLEVELAND is 22-7 OVER L/29 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots dating back to last season, with a combined average of 219.6 ppg getting scored.

All NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO/Cleveland ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 76-36 OVER dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

The Utah Jazz successes and failures are predicated on playing solid defensive basketball, as they own the leagues top D, allowing 96.8 ppg, behind the slowest pace in the league (91.6). The Jazz coaching staff know their only chance at victory vs an explosive Golden State team, will see them having to heavily focus around formulating a physical style of hoops, that concentrates on strong rebounding and physical interior play. The Jazz offense ranks 28th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Golden State may take some time to warm up offensively after being off for an extended period of time after sweeping a Portland side in the first round that plays a completely different style of play than Utah. It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their explosive offensive reputation can play solid D, as well, as is evident by their 4th ranked efficiency rating 99.8 ppg per 100 possessions. Considering, what I am betting  on  happening here in game 1 , a lower scoring game must be expected.

 UTAH L/128 play off games have seen an average of 189.7 ppg get scored. Under is 5-0-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-4 in Warriors last 15 home games. Under is 22-8-1 in Warriors last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in Golden State. Under is 23-7-2 in the last 32 meetings.

The Jazz advanced via a upset of the LA Clippers last time out which sets up this long term trend…NBA teams have gone  Under 40 of the L/51 times  where the total is 200 to 209.5 (JAZZ) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent  like Golden State off a road win by 10 points or more for a powerful 78% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs I am betting will be out to move the ball quickly into transition tonight, and not get caught up in a mucky physical affair, something that the Grizzlies would like to play on the road. The pace I am beting is set by the Spurs, after losing 2 straight on the road the need for urgency , and a game plan that favors the Spurs speed and superior offensive abilities will be in full effect tonight. With that said Memphis will have no choice but  to respond with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which will result in a total that eclipses the number.

NBA teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points like the Grizzlies  - off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 51-17 OVER dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Milwaukee really had some problems last time out against the Raptors in game 2 of this series losing by a 87-76 count and will now have to speed up their tempo to get back in a groove. The Bucks cannot play to the Raptors pace and they know this. With that said look for a much higher scoring two away affair tonight.

MILWAUKEE is 33-16 OVER  after a loss by 10 points or more with a combined average of 209.3 ppg going on the board and 10-1 L/11 to the over under the same loss peremiters, with combined average of 212.2 ppg.  TORONTO is 12-4 OVER  L/16 in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - CHI Leads 2-1

Boston has scored 100 or more points in 13 of their L/15 overall and allowed 100 or more points in 12 of those 15 tilts. Prior to their last trip the court, the Bulls had scored 102 or more ppg in 6 straight, and tonight I expect they will be more ready to run and gun than they were last time out. My own data chart suggests an upward pace trend in this game,  which will result in a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect.  

CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER  on Sunday games this season with an average of 212.4 ppg going on th scoreboard. Over is 7-2-1 in Celtics last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0

These teams are ready to run and gun here tonight in game 3 of this series. Portland had a muted effort in game 2 scoring just 81 points. However,  I now expect the Blazers will be ready to come out here firing on all cylinders  on their own home court, and Im betting on their extremely capable opponents the Golden State Warriors to answer back with some offensive fireworks of their own. Game one of this series saw the Warriors and Blazers partake and in a 121-109 affair, and a repeat type performance is a high probability outcome tonight. 

PORTLAND is 8-1 OVER  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this seasonPORTLAND is 13-4 OVER L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 227.1 ppg going on the scoreboard and 15-4 OVER  L/19 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) with an average of 222.7 ppg going on the board. Six of the L/8 games played here in Portland have eclipsed the number. 

Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Warriors  - off a home win, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record 31-11 L/42 for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection