My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two different types of hoops systems are employed by these sides. Kenn state is very aggressive and efficient offensively as is evident by eclipsing the 81 plus  point  offensive plateau in 7 of their L/9 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Bellermaine is a D, first team. However, tonight against a very efficient offense , their slow down tactics could see them have to open up  or handily lose. HC Davenport  in 6  home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts as the coach of BELLARMINE has seen a combined average of 138 ppg go on the board. My projections also estimate a combined score of 137 points giving us a full 2 possession edge to the over on the current total  offering. 

KENNESAW ST is 6-0 OVER  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 155.4 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST is 12-1 OVER in February games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST in their L/28 games when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (KENNESAW ST) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-19 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense. 

ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering. 

 AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored. 

GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER  as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play over 

The Clippers enter this game playing alot of fairly high scoring affairs as their usually staunch defense fails them. Only 1 of their L/8 games has stayed on the low side of the total and they have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The clippers have gone over the set total in 18 of their 27 road games this season. The Clippers are coming off Sunday's 122-99 loss at Cleveland, which snapped a season-best five-game winning streak, but now Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack will highlight their bounce back effort, forcing Chicago into opening up in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this  offered totals number. 

My. projections estimate both sides will at least hit  114 points in production. Note: CHICAGO is 13-0 OVER   where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251.9 ppg scored.

LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 232.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 OVER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 235.7 ppg scored.

CHICAGO  L/  43  non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored with their L/5 non conference home games eclipsing the offered total. 

Play over

Atlanta continues to play one way run and gun basketball with a combined average 243.2 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the court. My projections estimate both Portland and Atlanta will eclipse a 114 team scoring plateau which gives credence to a over bet here as ATLANTA is 17-2 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 249 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 51-21 OVER L/26 seasons for 70% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Alabama State has the fourth-best scoring defense in the SWAC, allowing 66.4 PPG.

The Rattlers have one of the best defenses in the SWAC, allowing 64.5 PPG (2nd best).

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (ALABAMA STATE/FLORIDA A&M) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 32-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of 145 giving us a full 2 plus possession cushion  to the over on the offered number. 

ROBERT MORRIS is 7-0 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155 ppg scored.

OAKLAND is 32-18 OVER   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored.Kampe is 21-8 OVER   in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of OAKLAND.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ROBERT MORRIS) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 93-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Suns have played teams like the wreck-less Spurs with a tough defensive mind set and nothing will change tonight as the home side continues to try to play a more physical type of game which is bucking the new wide open trend in the league. the suns have held their L/2 opponents to under 100 points and have gone under in 4 straight tilts.  None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. PHOENIX is 11-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 37-18-1 in Suns last 56 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Pistons got involved in a consecutive high scoring games while scoring an astounding 130 points in both tilts and are now on tired legs and ready for immediate regression on offense. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect.   Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more are 36-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Play under 

Im betting on a hard fought affair between big apple rivals today in a game my projections estimate to go under the set total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering.

BROOKLYN is 9-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projection's make this total closer to 158 giving a 2 possession edge to the over. Queens is averaging just under 90 points per game on offense at home this season, and will attack again with wreck-less abandon at a fast pace, and force Stetson into opening up. This Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

QUEENS U - CHAR is 6-0 OVER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 169.2 ppg scored.

STETSON is 6-0 OVER  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (STETSON) - in a game involving two sub standard  defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 44-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.

Play on the over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both these teams have eclipsed the offered total in their L/4 games and Im betting on another higher scoring affair than the Totals number being offered. North Dakota State has allowed just under 77 points on the road this season while N.Dakota has averaged 77 points on offense in their home games, and Im betting that this aggregate average continues with the visitors doing more than enough damage offensively to get us over this number. 

Sather is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored.

Sather is 6-0 OVER  in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 151.3 ppg scored.

N DAKOTA ST in their L/7 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 32-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After  a successful defensive display by the Bucks  against Denver in a  107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive  formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under.

Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.

Play UNDER

Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights.  With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note:   Clippers in their  L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. 

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER   in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER  ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER   in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projections come in at 157 which gives us a two possession edge on this total being eclipsed. 

SE MISSOURI ST is 9-2 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 159.1 ppg going on the board.

TENNESSEE ST is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 29-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 164.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over  on the current offering.

Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER  in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER  with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.

Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. 

INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected 

Sampson is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

AIR FORCE is 8-2 OVER  after playing a game as an underdog this season with a combined average score of 139 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (AIR FORCE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SAN JOSE ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

DELAWARE ST is 13-4 UNDER L/17 vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored. 

S CAROLINA ST is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DELAWARE ST) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling  teams (20% or worse ) are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My projections suggest a combined score of 140 points which gives us a two possession advantage to the under.

CHICAGO ST is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 11-3 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 138.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 135.3 ppg scored.

Ellis is 22-11 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA with a combined average of 138.6 ppg going on the scoreboard in that 33 game sample size. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 25-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

After putting only 90 points on the board in a loss to Dallas last time out on the road, Im now betting on more aggressive Heat performance in the offensive end of the court. In a recent effort the Heat beat the Pelicans by a 123-99 count and Im expecting a similar output here today and for the Pelicans to have to open up to keep pace in a game I have projected to eclipse this total.

NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 OVER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 OVER   when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

Over is 8-3 in Pelicans last 11 road games.

Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up loss. Miami has gone over in 5 straight games at home in 1/1 rest situation  vs non-conference opposition. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 139 giving us a full one possession plus edge to the under.

C CONN ST is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128 ppg scored C CONN ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.3 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 10-1 UNDER  in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 130.2 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.4 ppg going on the board.

LONG ISLAND is 16-7 UNDER  when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons,

LONG ISLAND is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two terrible teams (20% or less) are 30-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Cavaliers crashed and burned last night as favorites as they their defense failed them. Im betting things wont get much better tonight, and in return the Cavs will have to open up against a foe that can put points on the board in hurry. Everything points to the Cavs tired legs not allowing them to be physical and for Milwaukee to push forward with extreme prejudice which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. 

CLEVELAND is 15-7 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 33-10 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN /ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score closer to 163 giving us a 2 full possession value to the under in what should be a fairly physical MAC clash. Both these sides are off huge offensive outputs last time out with Toledo hitting the 90 point plateau on top tier 3 point shooting while Buffalo smashed out 100 plus points. Now Im betting on offensive regression. Note: TOLEDO L/51 games  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better haver seen a combined average score of 142.3 ppg going on the board.

BUFFALO is 11-3 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (BUFFALO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 154.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER

After a hard fought affair in Boston last night the Warriors will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun vs a Cleveland side that will be primed to slow this game down to a pace they they can handle. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of this offering. note: Cleveland ranks 30th in pace in No.1 in ppg allowed in the league.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.8 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 9-1 UNDER  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 29-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CAL SAN DIEGO is 25-12 OVER  against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 143.2 ppg.

CAL POLY-SLO is 22-7 OVER in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses with a combined average of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (CAL SAN DIEGO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N DAKOTA is 16-6 OVER  L/22 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  after 15+ games  with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored.N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER  after playing a road game this season with a combined averageof 

MISSOURI-KC is 11-1 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 155.2 ppg scored.MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season with a combined average of 143.8 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. MISSOURI-KC is 16-3 OVER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average of 147.2 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSOURI-KC) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 32-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 133.1 ppg.

 The Clippers have gone  9-0 OVER L/9 on the road vs sub par .500 opposition like the Jazz  and have eclipsed the total in 10 of their L/12 with not  rest vs non-division  foes  like the Jazz.( clippers played Philly last night and will now be on tired legs and less prepared to play a defensive affair vs a run and gun opponent in Salt Lake city tonight.  Meanwhile,  Utah: 5-0 OVER home vs unrested opposition like the Clippers and  only 1 of their  L8 meetings vs the Clippers has failed to eclipse the total. 

Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

Over is 12-3-1 in Clippers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 overall.

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (76-79%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CINCINNATI is 14-4 OVER  after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival last time out which was the case in a very physical grinding affair vs SMU last time out in a 54-52 victory. Now Im expecting a more wide open style of game as that tilt will exhausting and natural on the road against a USF side that plays a more wide open style of hoops. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring tilt that the lines makers are estimating.

S FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 145.4 ppg. S FLORIDA is 7-1 OVER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 174.4 ppg.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with a combined average of 155.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 147 which gives us a full two possession advantage on this offering. 

BUCKNELL is 13-3 OVER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157 ppg.

BUCKNELL is 10-2 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored.BUCKNELL is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored.

 ARMY is 7-1 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with a combined average of 157 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (BUCKNELL) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 45-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 149.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Tennessee is off a hard fought physical affair and upset 63-56 loss vs Kentucky last time out and will now be primed for a rebound and redemption minded effort . I know that Miss state will try to slow this game down to a grind, but the Vols will be hell bent on playing more aggressive and a more wide open style of hoops in transition, and Mississippi State will have to open up or be blown of the court. It must be noted Tennessee popped 87 points on the board at home in these teams first meeting this season.

Barnes is 24-7 OVER  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored.

 TENNESSEE L/24 games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 140.5 ppg scored.

 CBB home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or worse) after 15+ games are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors wtht a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (TENNESSEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My rejections estimate a combined score of 144 or more giving us a full possession cushion this total with over position. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA ST) - poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) vs. a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 29-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My own projection makes this line closer to 160 giving us a two possession cushion on a under wager. 

Smart is 19-7 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 139 points per game going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (XAVIER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOLY CROSS/ LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg output ringing in at 113.8 ppg. 

Play UNDER

These teams have a recent history of playing physical defensive affairs here at the Staples Center as is evident by the under cashing in the Nuggets last 5 visits to LA to play the Clippers with a combined average score  (200.4 ppg)  going on the board. Denver has recently played a long series of home games (four on a row) and when this has happened recently the Nuggets have gone under in 8 of their L/9 tilts overall ( after 4 or more straight as hosts). Meanwhile, the Clippers have gone under in 11 of their L/12  in 2/1 rest situation and  have gone  under in  9 of their L/10  against  .600  or better  conf opposition. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered total.Also the  Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 36-13-2 in Nuggets last 51 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 22-5-1 in Clippers last 28 home games.

Play on the UNDER 

Back on Nov 14 the Spurs were clobbered by the Warriors by a 132-95 count. Im betting this time around the Spurs  HC Popovich will try to slow this game down in a redemption scenario. This will directly effect this score to the under. Yes, I know these teams Ds, do not look viable, but this number is still  slightly bloated according to my projections . 

Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER  L/52 in road games versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.  .

GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 UNDER  when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg . 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 47-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Tauer is 8-1 OVER   when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of ST THOMAS (MN) with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored.

MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.7 ppg scored. 

MISSOURI-KC is 10-1 OVER   versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored.

CBB  Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (ST THOMAS (MN)) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 144.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Im betting Boston and Brooklyn who are two top tier  heavy weight teams will conservatively and physically turn this into a grinding affair rather than a  run and gun battle which is not abnormal for matchups like this. The Celtics are ranked 9th in defensive efficiency and 16th in pace, while the Nets rank 5th in ppg allowed while ranking 21st in pace. Im betting on this being a rock fight and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the total. 

BROOKLYN is 17-2 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 220.7 ppg.  

BROOKLYN is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 216.3 ppg scored.

BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or more turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg.

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 222.2 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBAteams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (PRESBYTERIAN) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or less) after 15+ games are 41-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

Cleveland has seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored on the road this season in 19 games, and always seem to play at a more deliberate  pace away from home  while paying special attention to defense in transition. That will definitely be the game plan vs a run and gun opponent Utah. With my projections estimates coming in a 224 I feel we have a comfortable one possession plus cushion to the under. . 

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

 CLEVELAND is 27-13 UNDER   when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Utah with none of the games eclisping this current offering.

Play UNDER

Toronto and Charlotte both have  both struggled . Charlotte is ranked 27th in ppg defense, behind the 7th ranked pace, so when they  are hitting shots like they did against Milwaukee recently they poured down 139 points in a win.  I now expect the Hornets to once again do some damage tonight as Im also betting the Raptors pedestrian offense will hit above their season average as they are forced into opening up with this totals number being eclipsed.

Clifford is 12-1 OVER  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 241.7 ppg scored. 

Nurse is 23-11 OVER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game as the coach of TORONTO with a combined an average of 232.1 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bowling Green has scored  93, 102, 91, 88 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the hardwood, and Im betting they drag Akron into a run and gun affair here this evening. Akron has eclipsed the 80 point plateau in half of their L/8 games and can light it up offensively when pushed which will be the case tonight. 

BOWLING GREEN is 11-1 OVER L/12 after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games  with a combined average score of 155.7 ppg going on the board.

BOWLING GREEN is 12-2 OVER b when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 155.5 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOWLING GREEN) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 38-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 149.6 ppg going on the board. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Texas Southern has averaged 62.3 ppg on offense on the road this season while their hosts Miss Valley State have averaged 54.6 ppg on offense overall. 

Texas Southern HC Jones is 10-0 UNDER  off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. 

Miss Valley State HC Ivory is 9-0 UNDER  after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 125.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play on the UNDER

Clippers play a strong defensive brand of basketball at home as is evident by   16-3 UNDER record in home games this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER  in home games after playing a road game this season which is the case here tonight with the average combined score of 207.7 ppg scored. CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER  as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 207 ppg going on the board. I know Atlanta will push forward here, but the clippers will hold them back in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. 

LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 211.5 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-2 UNDER   in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  this season with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER  in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 155.9 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 150.5 ppg scored. 

 Play over 

Portland ihas become more defensively-oriented as time has progressed  . Meanwhile,  Toronto  plays a mugging style of physical basketball that features a strong defense and  less than explosive  offense.

The Trail Blazers have the 12th-best scoring defence in the NBA and are ranked just 20th-best points per game average. The Raptors rank 11th in point against  defence and 26th in offensive production and 27th in pace  .  Im betting on grinding affair lower scoring affair. 

PORTLAND is 8-1 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. 

PORTLAND is 32-19 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MARIST is 7-0 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MARIST) - off a home blowout loss by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

The Lakers played last night and captured a win, (130-114) and now on tired legs as they play. back to back affairs, Im betting their strategy will not be a run and gun program, but instead a more defensive minded game plan out of transition that will skew this totals offering to the low side of the lines-makers estimates. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

LA LAKERS in 7  division games  this season have seen a combined average of 227 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 overall.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Saturday games are 46-14 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 61-26 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Both these teams have played some wide open games of late, both are defensively deficient, but when sub par teams like San Antonio and Detroit go head to head there is a history of fairly low scoring events. One of  the key reasons for these lower scoring affairs is because they are usually more physical as both teams know they have a rare winnable game in their grasp, and the play becomes intense . 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO /DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 sub par teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 25-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 27-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this game Total closer to 147 thus giving us a almost 2 possession value on this offering. 

Baggett is 9-1 OVER off a close road loss by 3 points or less as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored. (Rider lost 61-59 on the road last time out)

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points /RIDER (QUINNIPIAC) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

analysis to follow thank you for your patience 

NBA team (ORLANDO) - playing on back-to-back days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 94-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The last three meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. 

WISCONSIN is 23-12 OVER  as a home favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those tilts at 136.5 ppg. 

MINNESOTA is 7-0 OVER  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135,6 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WISCONSIN) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 53-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

The Celtics' defense allowed the Nuggets to shoot 57 percent from the floor (45-for-79) and 56.7 percent from 3-point range (17-for-30) in a loss at Denver last time out, and will now be focused on playing much better D tonight vs the Oklahoma city Thunder. From a  offensive stand point, Celtics have have really been struggling from beyond the arc  and failed to eclipse the 35 percent  plateau in six of their last eight tilts and have shot below 30 percent from behind the arc in five of those games. Im betting on these two above mentioned expected defensive  modifications and trends to directly effect this combined score giving an edge to a  under wager cashing . 

Under is 9-4 in Thunder last 13 overall.

Under is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

BOSTON in their L/39 games  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 216.9 ppg going on the board.

BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

BOSTON is 30-18 UNDER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. 

NBA   teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 120 points or more are 52-20 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER

After an extended 7 game home stand going into the high altitudes of the  Mile High City is not an easy task, and Im betting that will hamper the Celtics ability to play all out back and forth  hoops and instead I expect their quality D ranked 7th in defensive efficiency , to stand tall here and for the visitor to play conservative minded in transition. I know Denvers weakness is on D, and the Celtics are explosive offensively, but like I said above the high altitudes after a long home stand will effect their ability to be as aggressive as usual which will directly effect this Total not being eclipsed. Note: The Celtics rank 16th in pace while the Nuggets rank 20th. 

BOSTON is 30-18 UNDER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 19-7 UNDER (+11.3 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons are with a combined average of 229.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Memphis is playing a top tier brand of defensive  basketball and Im betting they will dictate the pace and continue to operate with vigilance in transition. The Grizzlies rank 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency.  Meanwhile, after playing Philadelphia last night and capturing a win via a strong all out effort at home, Im betting on a letdown effort here and for their offense to be limited. MEMPHIS is 18-5 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better  of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. Green is 11-1 UNDER in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 208.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for 87% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Montana has has produced 80 plus point offensive performances in 4 straight and Im betting they we wont be slowed here today and be the catalysts in pushing this game over the offered total. 

IDAHO is 18-6 OVER   versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155.2 ppg scored. IDAHO is 10-2 OVER  versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 154.1 ppg scored. DAHO is 8-1 OVER  when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 156.8 ppg going on the board. 

MONTANA is 11-3 OVER   when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Road teams against the total (IDAHO) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%)are 51-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 148.2 ppg. 

Play on the OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 128 giving us substantial value with taking an over wager here. 

VIRGINIA is 8-1 OVER  in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored.

GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 OVER after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12 or less  turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 46-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.2 ppg scored. 

 Play OVER

Sacramento played a back forth game vs Denver day before yesterday and took a 127-126 victory. Im now betting they are in a letdown mode , and physically tired and not ready to run and gun here tonight vs a Jazz side off two straight upset defeats . Im now betting the Jazz will  be ready to play a better brand of disciplined defensive hoops. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 Friday games.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Kings last 9 games following a straight up win.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 116-52 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 80-40 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My projected total for this tilt featuring Atlanta and Brooklyn comes in at 229 which gives a two full possession value to the under on this offering. Brooklyn ranks 8th in ppg allowed and. operate at the 21st ranked pace in the NBA. Atlanta ranks in 14th in defensive efficiency. 

Under is 11-4 in Nets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 12-4 in Hawks last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

ATLANTA is 33-19 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg. 

BROOKLYN is 34-21 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg. BROOKLYN is 25-10 UNDER  after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Notre Dame has been playing soft hoops of late, even when they have a height advantage they seemed unmotivated to be as aggressive as need be. So I wont be surprised if Jacksonville gets alot of second chances in the offensive zone and score above their season average.  Additionally, during their last five games, the Irish have allowed teams to shoot 71.6% from the field and 53.2% in the paint. On the flipside Jacksonville has recorded field goal percentages of 49.3% FG and 67%, at the rim .   Notre Dame will push the action, because of being in desperation mode after losing 3 straight and should push past Jacksonvilles slower pace. This Im betting see a combined score that hints into the 130s or more.

NOTRE DAME is 6-0 OVER  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored.

NOTRE DAME is 10-1 OVER   off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win are 25-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 133.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The New Orleans Pelicans have been missing some of their best players, and  have stepped up and played quality ball.  This Pelicans team has taken part in a lot of back and forth offensive hoops , but it must be noted that they are ranked 6h in defensive efficiency in the league. Meanwhile, Indiana has also played well of late and its their defense that has been the catalyst . Because of added focus to paying attention to defense in transition, they have allowed 112, 108 points in two marquee wins vs Boston and Miami respectively and Im betting that will stick their winning game plan tonight  vs another top tier side and because of this Im betting the expected offensive output will not be eclipsed. 

Pacers are 8-3 UNDER L/11 overall. 

Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Pacers last 25 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 18-7-1 in Pelicans last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

INDIANA is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg.

NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 UNDER  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 100-49 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 86-35 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Lakers on the road- run and gun with wreck-less abandon and are usually punished defensively because their not focusing on their defensive responsibilities  in transition.  Overall they rank 2nd in pace in the league. They are scoring an average of 115.2 ppg game this season but rank 26th in in ppg allowed  and on the road allow a whopping 121.7 ppg on the campaign.  Dallas is the kind of team that  can- really roll up points in a hurry against this type of side behind super star Doncic. Im betting on a much quicker pace and a  more explosive offensive game than many might expect here on Christmas day. . 

LA LAKERS  in  8  road games where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 232 points per game scored.LA LAKERS are 36-22 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-3 OVER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.

Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 road games.Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-3 in Lakers last 12 overall.Over is 21-7 in Lakers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play over 

 The Thunder enter  Friday's game on a three-game winning streak, having garnered a win vs Portland 101-98  Wednesday to sweep back-to-back games against the Trail Blazers. It was their D, that showed up and played big and now against the run and gun Pelicans Im betting on them proverbially battening down the hatches again behind an improving D, that is now ranked 14th in the league in defensive efficiency. When these teams played on Nov 28 New Orleans took a 105-100 win and another physical battle Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 UNDER   as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a win against a division rival are 28-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (STANFORD) - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a good 3PT defense  32% or better ), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 28-10 over L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with 130 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 38-10 over L/ L/26 seasons witn a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Northern Illinois thanks to their D, has struggled lately, and the coaching staff has said, that their D needs to upgraded and attention must be focused on slowing down opponents out of transition . Thats fits into most teams thoughts when in this type of  downward momentum situation. Note: N ILLINOIS is 9-2 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 129.2 ppg scored. I expect N.Illinois to implement a more concerted effort on D, which will also limit their output offensively, helping us keep this game to the low side of the number.

INDIANA ST is 6-0 UNDER  in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (INDIANA ST) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 42-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC

Both these teams could really use a win, and Im betting that this will be a grueling affair and both will pay  significant attention to playing a strong defensive brand of hoops in transition and for alot of elbow action in the paint. My projections estimate a score closer to 149 which gives us a significant edge on this Totals  offering. 

CBB  Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points MICH/ (N CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

This total based on my own projections should be closer to 231 which gives us a 2 possession value with an under wager. 

5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games.

MEMPHIS is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season are 213.4 ppg scored.

DENVER is 14-4 UNDER  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Gonzaga is off a run and gun affair in their last game vs Alabama, with a combined score of 190 points going on the board. Im betting on immediate regression here vs a Montana side that has proven they can play strong defense when need be as is evident by allowing 59 or less points to their opponent in 5 of their L/11 games. 

GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER  in home games versus sub standard passing teams, averaging 12  or less assists/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 135.7 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONTANA) - red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 53%  or better of their shots are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Oklahoma City has only eclipsed the total in 1 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Portland in their 17 road games this season seen a combined average of 219.6 ppg go on the scoreboard. and rank 28th in the NBA in pace. with this being the Blazers 4th straight road game in the L/6 days Im betting they will hold to their usually methodical pace which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 

PORTLAND is 29-17 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a ATS win which was the case last time out.

 .NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 33-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Oakland is struggling to score and Im betting on Boise State shutting them down , while they themselves will have offensive regression after a big output last time out. 

BOISE ST is 8-2 UNDER  in all games this season. BOISE ST is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Rice is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games off a home win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of BOISE ST with a combined average score of 135.1 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. are 31-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Houstons D has been playing well lately, but the run and gun Damian Lilliard Blazers will test that prowess here tonight forcing the Rockets out of their recent comfort zone. I know the Blazers played last night in Dallas, but they are a well conditioned group and more than capable of finding their legs in a back to back situation. It must also be noted because Dallas took such a big lead last night in their win vs the Blazers the Lilliard only played 24 min. So the super star will be fresh tonight and ready to continue his offensive assault. The first meeting this season between these sides saw a combined 236 points go on the board.

Houston ranks 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency at 115.4 . My projections estimate that Portland eclipses that average and the chasing Rockets chase their output and help us cash an over ticket.  

PORTLAND is 7-0 OVER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 30-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projected combined score clicks in at 161 giving us top value with this Totals offering.

TOLEDO is 18-7 UNDER  in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season with a combined average of 139 ppg scored.

MARSHALL is 13-5 UNDER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored.  MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER ( after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (MARSHALL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Denver scored 141 points last time out and now Im betting on some major regression from an offensive output perspective. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Im betting his directly effects this total to the under here in this tilt vs LAK. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 101-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Portland has won three straight and five of its last six with Lillard leading the way. He is shooting 52.9 percent from the field and 50.7 percent from 3-point range since returning. Im betting he prompts Doncic and company in all out offensive slugfest. 

Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 overall.

PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. 

Over is 13-3 in Mavericks last 16 games following a straight up loss.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 season for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 148, which gives us value on the over . 

Oral Roberts has averaged 97.5 ppg at home this season and play a run and gun all out type of basketball that does not pay much attention to defense in transition. I know Missouri State will try to slow down this game, but its not an easy proposition to implement against this type of no prisoners hoops program.  

MISSOURI ST is 20-8 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored.

ORAL ROBERTS is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 175.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 150.7 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

Minnesota in a  recent defeat were bashed by a  133-112 count  on Monday when the Wolves saw their opponent shoot 45.7 percent (21 of 46) from 3-point range. The current form of their D, portrays a situation where the Clippers project to score above their  current offensive averages. This will aid in overall offensive output projections. Minnesota ranks 2nd in pace, and even without Townsend in the lineup are in all out attack mode which leaves them vulnerable in transition. MINNESOTA is 23-6 OVER  after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 29 games clicking in at 241.1 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average of 234 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 285-192 OVER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with the combined average of 227.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Amalie Arena - Tampa, FL

My projections make this Total closer to 140 giving us at least one or two full possession edge on this offering from the books.

OHIO U is 14-2 UNDER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.7 ppg scored. OHIO U is 11-2 UNDER  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA/OHIO U) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%) are 82-36 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this line closer to 148 which gives us a full two possession value on this offering. Advantage to the under. 

Boise has allowed 59.3 ppg at home this season, and Im betting New Orleans will be bogged down for much of this game aiding in our under cause.
BOISE ST is 17-5 UNDER  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wyoming has average 80.4 ppg in 5 home games this season so far and their opponents LA Tech have average 78.6 ppg on the road. 

LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 OVER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored.

LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.2 ppg scored in those 11 tilts. 

WYOMING is 7-0 OVER in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.8 ppg scored.WYOMING is 9-1 OVER in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WYOMING) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-11 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 153.5 ppg . 

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

VMI a team that has already eclipsed the 100 point plateau 3 times this season will push the pace here forcing Radford to open up to some extent, which will help us eclipse this totals offering. Radford has proved it can pour down points offensively with recent 80 and 86 point outputs in their last 2 trips to the hardwood. 

RADFORD is 8-1 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 144.9 ppg scored.

RADFORD is 21-8 OVER L/29 when the total is 140 to 149.5. 

VMI is 14-5 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155.9 ppg scored.

 CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VMI) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-11 OVER 26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 153.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Keatts is 13-5 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of NC STATE with a combined average of 139.7 ppg. 

Dixon is 24-12 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18  or less free throws/game as the coach of COPPIN ST with a combined average of 139.6 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (NC STATE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Tuesday nights are  28-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 130.5 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COPPIN ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 77-33 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Orlando has allowed an average of 116.1 ppg at home this season and rank 27th in the league in defensive efficiency  and Im betting the visiting Milwaukee Bucks  will breach that output here today and for the Magic in chasing fashion to put up enough points for us to cash an over ticket. 

MILWAUKEE in 25 road tilts    versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons a combined average score of 226.1 ppg have gone on the scoreboard.

Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 

Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 132 thus giving us value with an over wager here as we have a more than two possession edge based on my numbers.

NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 OVER L/10 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite with a combined average of 129 ppg scored.

MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.5 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12  or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Dickies Arena - Fort Worth, TX

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Houston can run and gun and play solid D. We know St.Marys will try to grind this game down to halt in order to be competitive, but Houston will dictate the pace and not allow the Gaels to get into a comfort zone forcing them to open up or be completely embarrassed. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring affair than the linesmkaers are expecting. 

HOUSTON in their L/11 as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 128.4 ppg .HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER  in road games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less since 1997 with a combined average of 143.5 ppg scored.

CBB  teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Two teams with capable run and gun offense go head to head here this Saturday. . 

UNC Ashville has averaged 83.5 ppg in 2 home tilts so far this season while Tenn Martin averages 81 points per game overall while allowing 78 ppg on the road.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENN-MARTIN) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 28-4 L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

With top player Cade Cunningham sidelined  due to a shin injury, the Pistons are finding it difficult to stay competitive, and tonight the Mavericks knowing how vulnerable their opponents are will be very aggressive especially on offense. This Im betting leads to a fairly wide open affair, that easily eclipses this total. Note: Detroit ranks 29th in the league in ppg allowed defense and 29th in defensive efficiency. 

Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

DETROIT is 13-4 OVER  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. Over is 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 home games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 130 points or more are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average score of 234.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG).are 72-34 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 230.4 ppg.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projection is 144 on this total thus giving us a full one possession edge on the number. 

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 15-4 OVER L/19 as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick with s combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-1 OVER  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 8-1 OVER  after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board. 

Over is 4-0 in Penguins last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Penguins last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Over is 5-1 in Norse last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 9-2 in Norse last 11 Thursday games.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NEW MEXICO is 6-0 OVER  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.5 ppg.  NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 199 with a combined average of 145.3 ppg. scored.

NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 1997 with a combined average of 140.1 ppg.  

CBB Road teams against the total (NEW MEXICO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages  116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing  115.5 (22nd of 30).  Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better  of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Capel III is 24-14 OVER off a home win as the coach of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 138.6 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 22-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.3 ppg scored.

teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 130 points going on the board.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR

My projections estimate a combined score of no more than 155 points which adds significant value to us taking an under stance here. This estimate is above long term trend factors and gives us cushion room, but is viable  with a 2 or more possession edge factor.  

XAVIER is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored.

GONZAGA L/19 games against Big East conference opponents since 1997 have seen a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Xavier/GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Leon Black Classic - Gregory Gymnasium - Austin, TX

TEXAS is 95-53 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored.

Under is 43-18 in Longhorns last 61 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 37-16 in Longhorns last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTRGV) - an excellent offensive team (76  or more PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more are 24-3 UNDERV L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - good defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of 42%, or less  hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots.91-51 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My own projections estimate a combined score of 230 . Thus we have value with taking the under in this public centric  Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

SACRAMENTO is 27-12 UNDER  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 UNDER  off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg . 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

NBA team (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 127-72 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.

Play on the UNDER