The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Penn State (392)
The Matchup: NEBRASKA (4 - 6) at PENN ST (8 - 2)

Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 4:00 PM

SIM grading:  10 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star amount using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

PSU has two losses by a combined 4 points and remains a very strong team overall and with excellent head coach leadership. Former NFL linebacker Jonathan Vilma, now an ESPN analyst, has said they are telegraphing their plays through their pre-snap alignment. Franklin said every team has telltale signs about what's coming, and doesn't believe it is a fatal flaw in Penn State's case.

"I still think we're averaging ... (37.7) points a game," he said. "And if everybody knew what they were doing on most of our plays, I would think we'd be scoring a lot less than that."  This is just one of countless statements Franklin has made to the media in support of his team and it has paid off big.

This is PSU last home game for the Seniors and on in particular. Despite his recent struggles, Barkley has rushed for 899 yards (5.4 per carry) and is second in the nation in all-purpose yards per game (184.6). He also leads the Big Ten with 16 touchdowns, and last week became PSU's all-time leader in all-purpose yardage (5,055).

Nebraska is a team in disarray and will more than likely be starting a freshman QB and could be looking for a new head coach in the off-season. That combination is just not good for team chemistry and having to go to the second largest stadium in the nation.

We value yards-per-point metrics highly and they often times point out glaring matchup advantages in a game. Using points-per-play for this illustration we know that PSU defense ranks second in the nation posting a 0.187 PPP ratio and the offense ranks 11th posting a very strong 0.544 PPP ratio. Nebraska ranks 83rd with a 0.35 offensive PPP ratio and a dismal 102nd with a 0.469 defensive PPP ratio. Any QB, let a lone a freshman QB, will struggle at PSU against their defense that allows just 5.7 yards-per-pass ranking 7th nationally.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 28-7 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,030 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (PENN ST).

Off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite.

And with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

PSU is 41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt.

PSU is  35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards.

PSU is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt.

PSU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

PSU is 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points since 1992.

PSU is 34-4 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they gain 500 to 550 total yards.

PSU is 49-6 ATS (+42.4 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

PSU is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards.

PSU is 60-14 ATS (+44.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2.5 to 3 yards/play.

Nebraska is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  Michigan (415)
The Matchup: MICHIGAN (8 - 2) at WISCONSIN (10 - 0)

Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Michigan using the line.

We also like the potential for Michigan to win the game outright sending Wisconsin their first loss of the season. So, an  alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on the line and  2 star amount using the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Michigan finally went to the youngster at quarterback two weeks ago and Peters has thrown for 4 touchdowns with no interceptions and has sparked the Michigan offense. This week Peters will be asked to manage the game and protect the ball, move the chains and let the defense rest a little. Both defenses have been really good this year as Wisconsin has only given up 13.4 points per game and Michigan gives up 16.4 points. Last year the final score was 14-7 Michigan in Ann Arbor and we look for another defensive struggle today. Wisconsin has basically worn down the opposing defenses and then finished off opponents in the fourth quarter. We feel Michigan can stand up for four quarters and will actually wear down the Wisconsin defense.. This is our favorite type of dog play as we feel the dog has a solid chance of winning this one outright. Statistically not much difference and Michigan has played a much tougher schedule and now Wisconsin adds the added pressure of being one of the top for teams in the National title playoff. Look for a dog fight at Camp Randle this afternoon and grab the points. Take Michigan plus the 7 ½ points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems

The following database system query has gone 44-16 ATS hitting 73.3% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

With a good scoring defense allowing 14 points or less per game.

After allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games.

Here is a second database system query that has cashed 67.8% and is plus $3,730 wagering $100 per play over the last 10 years.

Play against home favorites.

After allowing 17 points or less in two straight games.

And is now facing a team winning by 21 or more points in their last game.

Here is a Money Line DB query that has produced a record of 30-40 for only 43% winners, BUT has made $5,660 wagering just $100 per play averaging a whopping +322 DOG play since 2008.

Play on road underdogs using the money line.

After 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

And is now facing an opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Chryst is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of Wisconsin.

Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

Ryan’s BIG TEN ‘Upset Alert’ TItan

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Indiana (322)
The Matchup: RUTGERS (4 - 6) at INDIANA (4 - 6)

Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading:  7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on indiana using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 39-13 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,470 wagering $100 per game since 2008.

Play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games (INDIANA).

With a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Rutgers is just 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards.

Indiana is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points.

Indiana is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt.

Rutgers is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after gaining 75 or less passing yards in last game.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Texas (341)
The Matchup: TEXAS (5 - 5) at W VIRGINIA (7 - 3)

Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading:  7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Texas using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Texas needs a win today or over Texas Tech next week to become bowl eligible. WVU is not in a good spot at all despite a 7-3 record, they face Texas today and then Oklahoma next week to end the season.

Passing will be the difference in this game and will be the dominant reason Texas wins this game outright. Texas ranks 34th nationally averaging 274 passing yards per game and will have their way going against a Mountaineer passing defense that ranks 101st and allows 257 yards per game.

Texas defense is perhaps the best unit that WVU has faced so far this season. Texas ranks 8th nationally allowing just 3.2 rushing yards per attempt. They have a front 7 that can eliminate WVU ground attack and force them to pass into a solid zone coverage scheme. Texas wins the turnover battle and goes on to win the game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 29-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,240 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS).

off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.

with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Texas is a solid 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards.

Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons.

WVU is a money losing 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games.

Holgorsen is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of WVU.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 125 Michigan
The Matchup: Michigan at Maryland

Start Time: 11-11-2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Michigan using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Michigan comes into this conference game allowing 17 points per game on the season, while Maryland may be down to their 4th string quarterback for this one. Michigan finally went to the future at quarterback last week as Peters threw for 2 touchdowns with no interceptions last week against Minnesota. Michigan has started to get a ground game going led by Kiran Hingdon who is averaging 6.8 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns on the season. The last 2 years Michigan has won this game easily 28-0 and 59-3 and we see more of the same against a weak Maryland Defense allowing over 37 points per game. Michigan Defense is close to 200 yards per game better than Maryland so we look for a long afternoon for the Terrapins today. Take Michigan and lay the 16 ½.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

There are a cast of trends producing over 69% to 77% winners and supporting Michigan in this matchup.

This database system query has produced 69.3% winners going 61-27 ATS for plus 31.3 units since 1992.

Play on road favorites of 14.5 or more points.

Off 2 consecutive wins of 10 plus points or more.

And are now facing a conference opponent in second half of season.

This database system query has produced 77%winners the last 10 years going 37-11 ATS for plus 25 units.

Play on road favorites.

After allowing 14 or less points in their last 2 games.

And is now facing an opponent allowing 31 plus points in their last 2 games.

This database system query has produced 69.9% winners the last 10 years going 51-22 ATS for plus 26.8 units.

Play against home dogs.

After losing 5 or 6 of last 7 games.

And is now facing an opponent winning 3 of last 4 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Maryland is a miserable 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt.

Maryland is just  14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards.

Maryland is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150-200 yards

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Auburn (188)
The Matchup: GEORGIA (9 - 0) at AUBURN (7 - 2)

Start Time: Week 11 Saturday, 11/11/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Auburn using the line.

An alternative is to wager a 4 star amount on the line and a 3 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 23-6 using the Money Line hitting 79% winners and has made $3,210 wagering $100 per game since 1992. The system has also averaged an impressive 167 DOG wager.

Play on a home team using the money line (AUBURN).

The team is an excellent offensive team scoring more than 34 PPG.

And is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing 16 or fewer PPG.

After 7 regular season games have been played.

And after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Auburn is a solid 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) when their defense allows 100 to 150 net passing yards.

Auburn is a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game.

Auburn is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play: Stanford (122)
The Matchup:WASHINGTON (8 - 1) at STANFORD (6 - 3)

Start Time: Week 11 Friday, 11/10/2017 10:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 star grading

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Stanford using the line.

An alternative wager is to create a combination bet consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Stanford is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 37-13 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made $2,270 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play against road favorites (WASHINGTON).

With an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards-per-carry.

After gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Stanford is a solid 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) facing good passing defenses allowing 5.75 or less passing yards-per-attempt.

Stanford is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) facing excellent defensive teams allowing 4.25 or less yards-per-play.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Ohio University (110)
The Matchup: TOLEDO (8 - 1) at OHIO U (7 - 2)

Start Time: Week 11 Wednesday, 11/8/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 10 star MAC Conference Game of the Month

Recommended Strategy: 10 star wager amount on Ohio University plus the points.

An optional alternative wager is to play a 7.5 star amount using the line and a 2.5 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 51-20 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,980 wagering $100 per game since 2007.

Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U).

Quick starting offensive team scoring 16 or more PPG in the first half.

After scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Toledo is just 30-75 ATS (-52.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Toledo is just 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

Ohio U is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons.

Ohio U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

Ohio U is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992.

Ohio U is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: LSU (413)
The Matchup: LSU (6 - 2) at ALABAMA (8 - 0)

Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 8:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum

Recommended Strategy: Play LSU using the line for a 4 star amount. If you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $400 star play. If you wager $20 per star unit, then this is am $80 wager.

Round Table Discussion Points

I hear gasps that seem to be coming from afar and it must be due to people reading the opening title line of this selection. Seriously, though, this is one of those plays that has an extremely inflated line for many reasons. Public is all over ‘Bama due to the fact that they will be angry at getting the 2 slot in the first playoff ballot. Second is that ‘Bama is coming off of their BYE where they have been 8-3 ATS. This is just two major factors, but is a reason that we have this line priced at 6 points too many.

     As we know there is far more to our pick selections that just some simple data query like the BYE situation mentioned above. Our yards per point and YPP differentials confirm that LSU’s win over Auburn is no fluke and LSU has nothing to lose in this game. LSU is arguably the worst type of opponent that Alabama can face right now. An opponent that was embarassed by Troy at home and has significantly underperformed over a five game stretch, but a team that has loads of very talented elite players on its’ roster.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 30-5 ATS hitting 86% winners and has $2,450 wagering $100 per game wagered since 2013.

Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (LSU).

After having won 4 out of their last 5 games.

Team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80%.

Playing a team with a winning record.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and the team’s compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Texas (381)
The Matchup: TEXAS (4 - 4) at TCU (7 - 1)

Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 7:15 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Texas using the line.

An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database system query has gone 33-7 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,530 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play on a road team (TEXAS).

After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

And is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games.

This database system query has produced a 32-7 ASTS mark good for 82% winners since 1992.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU).

Off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more points.

In weeks 10 through 13.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Texas is a solid 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards.

Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards.

Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Wake Forest (393)
The Matchup: WAKE FOREST (5 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (7 - 1)

Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Wake Forest plus the points.

An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database system query has gone 73-33 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play on road underdogs (WAKE FOREST).

After gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.

With 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Wake Forest is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

Notre Dame is just 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.

Notre Dame is  0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 356 Georgia State
The Matchup: Units Georgia State -4 at Georgia Southern

Start Time: 4:00 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($700 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Georgia State.

We have a couple of trends from our database producing 70 to 81% winners in this Sunbelt contest.

Play against home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points.

Struggling offensive team scoring between 16.5 and 21 PPG.

And is now facing an average defensive team in conference games.

This DB system query has produced a record of 28-7 the last 5 years good for 80% winners.

Play on road team in conference games.

With 4 plus starters and an experienced Quarterback returning.

And is now facing a team starting a new Quarterback from last season.

This has produced a record of 91-40 hitting 69.5% winners and plus 47 units.

Play on road favorites.

After beating spread by 35 or more points in their last 5 games.

And with a winning record.

Playing an opponent with a losing record.

This has produced 72.2% winners and plus 38 units going 65-25 the last 5 years.

Georgia State is 4-3 on the season and sits one game behind conference leaders Troy and Arkansas State and Georgia Southern is still looking for its first win on the season.  The Panthers have won the last 2 games in this series and looking for a third straight. The Panthers also are returning 15 starters from last year’s team and bring a defense who allows over 100 yards less per game against the rush than their opponent today. The Panthers are led by senior Quarterback Connor Manning who has thrown for over 1700 yards, 9 touchdowns and completing 65% of his passes. Georgia Southern has struggled both offensively and defensively on the season scoring 17 points and giving up over 40 points per game. Look for the Panthers to get another win in this matchup this afternoon. Take Georgia State and lay the 4 Points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Florida Gators
The Matchup: FLORIDA (3 - 4) at MISSOURI (3 - 5)

Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($300 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Florida plus the points.

Round Table Discussion Points

We are expecting the Florida offense to put up a lot of points today. The Tigers are giving up 35.8 points per game on the season and Florida has numerous matchup advantages at the skill positions. We look for the firing of Jim McElwain this week to be a big boost for the Gator Football team the rest of this season. The Gators have announced that Malik Zaire will get the start. We have been stating all year this move would help the Florida offense as Zaire will bring the threat of the run to his very good passing game. This is a great match up for him in his first start against a soft Missouri defense. Florida has the much better defense and we believe the Gator offensive efficiency metrics will improve significantly. The Gators won 21-3 in their last visit to Columbia and easily won last year 40-14 in the swamp and from a personnel standpoint not much has changed. Missouri offense has been rolling the last couple of weeks, but it faces a much stricter test this week. Look for a hungry bunch of Gators this afternoon. Take Florida and grab the points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt since 1992.

FLORIDA is 128-49 ATS (+74.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992.

MISSOURI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Indiana Indiana (368)
The Matchup: WISCONSIN (8 - 0) at INDIANA (3 - 5)

Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy:  play a 7 star amount on Indiana plus the points.

An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database system query has gone 58-25 ATS hitting 70% ATS winners and has made $3,050 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WISCONSIN).

That is an excellent defensive team allowing fewer than 16 PPG.

And is now facing an average defensive team allowing 21 to 28 points.

After 7 or more games.

And after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: UCLA (321)
The Matchup: UCLA (4 - 4) at UTAH (4 - 4)

Start Time: Week 10 Friday, 11/3/2017 9:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play sa 7 star amount using the line on UCLA.

An alternative wager is to create a combination wager consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, UCLA is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” ( and also with combination wagers) and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 91-40 hitting 70% winners and has made $4,700 wagering just $100 per game since 2013.

Play on a road team (UCLA).

In conference games.

With 4 or more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with a new QB.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

UCLA is a solid 102-50 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992.

Whittingham is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: TCU (193)
The Matchup: TCU (7 - 0) at IOWA ST (5 - 2)

Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 10 stars out of 10 star maximum

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on TCU using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Kenny Hill has been having an outstanding season for TCU completing 70% of his passes with15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. The Horned Frog ground game has been producing scoring 13 Touchdowns and averaging over 5 yards per carry. They also bring a balanced passing game and the best defense in the conference. This defense was able to shut down Mason Rudolph and the high flying Oklahoma State offense earlier this year. Iowa State has played well all season and had the big comeback win against Oklahoma and the public has taken notice. TCU just takes care of business and is 7-0 on the season. We look for a big defensive effort in Ames this afternoon similar to what Texas did holding Iowa State offense in check and to 7 points. TCU should be well prepared for the Cyclone attack and has won the last 3 in this series handedly and we look for more of the same this afternoon. Take TCU and lay the 6 ½ Points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 25-2 ATS hitting 93% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per qualified play since 2007.

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU).

Off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’.

And with a good first half defense allowing 8 or less points per game.

Both teams are similar in all of the major metrics we create and interpret with TCU ranked higher in all of them. Iowa State is close to TCU in the majority of the rankings, but in not one are they ranked higher than TCU.

The one exception is 3rd down conversions where TCU ranks best in the nation converting 55% of those third down opportunities into first downs. ISU ranks 78th in the nation converting 37% of their third down conversions. Keeping the chains moving in drives by converting third downs is a monumental metric, to say the least. In addition, TCU runs the ball on 57% of their plays, which keeps the clock rolling and gives them an even greater advantage in TOP.  ISU may come out flying with tons of energy in the first quarter, but over the course of the game, TCU will wear them down.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Penn State
The Matchup: PENN ST (7 - 0) at OHIO ST (6 - 1)

Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum

Recommended Strategy: Play PSU for a 7 star amount on the line.

Alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on PSU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line. This combination wager exploits the expectation that PSU will win this game.

Round Table Discussion Points

Penn State has played a more difficult schedule to date than Ohio State. PSU is undefeated coming off a monumental destruction of Michigan that does have a strong team with a very good defense. OSU lost badly to Oklahoma at home earlier this year.

The Yards Per Point (YPP) metric is a valuable tool for sports handicappers and professional bettors. The offensive version of YPP (OYYP) reveals how efficient a team is scoring points. The lower the number the better as it takes fewer yards to score points. Conversely, the defensive measure of YPP (DYPP) reveals how stingy or soft any defensive unit is when facing any type of offense. The more points per point, the stronger the defense. Of course, then we can use the offensive and defensive differential to reveal team rankings and good solid drill-down to team valuation.

So if two teams are from the same conference, then there is a presumed equality of SOS implied. Let’s now take a quick look at Penn State versus Ohio State, which is essentially the BIG Ten matchup of the year. Penn State ranks 5th posting an 11.6 OYYP ratio while OSU ranks 12th in DYYP allowing one point for every 19.8 yards allowed. On the other side of the ball, we see that PSU ranks best in DYYP allowing one point for every 29.6 yards allowed and OSU ranks 18th scoring one point for every 12.2 yards gained.

Ohio State has been coming on since their horrid loss at home to Oklahoma earlier this season. Over their last three games, they have posted a 15.3 differential reflecting much improved performances on both sides of the ball. Penn State has performed at superior levels for the entire season and are actually getting better on defense. These observations are not being mentioned in the media and by itself offers you a betting advantage for this matchup.

Then there is McSorely, the heart and soul of the offense, who is scrappy at times, and will do whatever it takes to will his team to a win. This is how the entire team plays on both sides of the ball and special teams. This team had been behind at the half in nearly all of the big games last season. They have corrected that problem this year and will not be intimidated by the crowd noise of the importance of the game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has shown a 61-23 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2013. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $3,570.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST).

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

The following database query has shown a 44-16 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2007. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $2,640.

Play on road underdogs (PENN ST).

In a game involving two good rushing teams  with both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG.

And after 7 or more games have been played.

and  after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

PSU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points.

PSU is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play.

OSU is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att.

PSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 168 Colorado State
The Matchup: AIR FORCE (3 - 4) at COLORADO ST (6 - 2)

Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Colorado State using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Mike Bobo and the Colorado State Rams come into this one sitting on top of the MWC Mountain division one game ahead of Boise State. CSU Quarterback Nick Stevens is having a solid year for the Rams completing 63% of his passes, throwing 20 Touchdowns to only 6 interceptions on the season. Leading Receiver Michael Gallup already has a thousand yards on the season. The Rams also bring a solid running attack with both rushers averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Rams offense has been scoring 35 points per game and was able to move the ball against Alabama. The Rams will be looking to avenge a loss to their in state rivals last year and we look for more of what happened the last time these 2 teams met on this field where CSU one easily by 15 points  as a underdog. CSU faced an option attack last week and should be well prepared for the Air Force schemes this afternoon. Air Force has been allowing opponents to score 33 plus points per game this season and have been coming back from big deficits this season. The toll of the season is taking an effect on the Falcon defense and we do not feel that Colorado State will let up in this one. Look for a big home effort by the Rams this afternoon as they get the easy win and stay on top of the Conference standings. Take Colorado State and lay the 10 ½ points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners since 1992. Wagering $100 would have made a total profit of $3,000.

Play on home team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

And is now facing an opponent allowing 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

CSU is 9-2 ATS when they gain 9 or more passing yards per attempt the last 3 years.

CSU is 98-38 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1992.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Ball State (104)
The Matchup: TOLEDO (6 - 1) at BALL ST (2 - 5)

Start Time: Week 9 Thursday, 10/26/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10.

Recommended Strategy: Take Ball State and the points, with a line currently at +25.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 10-15 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,350 wagered since 2013.

Play on a home team (BALL ST).

After 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

And now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Toledo is just 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ball State.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 363 Wyoming
The Matchup: Wyoming at Boise State

Start Time: 10-21-2017 10:15 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7star amount using the line on Wyoming. Current line is in the +14 ½ range. We also highly recommend a 2.5* amount using the money line on Wyoming. This money line is at +440, which means if you wager $100 per star unit and Wyoming does pull off the upset, you will make $1,100 just from the 2.5 star money line wager.

Round Table Discussion Points

Here is a data query from our massive database of college and pro sports that has delivered a very strong 28-5 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 2013.

Take underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points.

After winning 4 of last 5 games.

And is now facing a good team with a winning record.

The Cowboys are currently tied with Boise just a game behind CSU in the conference. Josh Allen has been able to get the job done when the Cowboys have stepped down in class this season. Both Offenses have struggled to put points on the board, but both defenses have been good this year. Boise State had a big win last week at San Diego State, but this was mostly done by the defense and special teams and then they were able to force the Aztecs out of their game. We look for another slugfest and we like getting the points in a game we feel will be less than a TD. Take Wyoming and the points.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 321 SMU
The Matchup: SMU at Cincinnati

Start Time: 10-21-2017 4:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on SMU minus the points, which is currently at -7 ½ at the majority of books.

Round Table Discussion Points

Couple of systems delivering 76% plus winners on SMU for this Saturday afternoon matchup.

Cincinnati is 4-14 when allowing 28 points since 1992

Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS when rushing for 100 to 150 yards last 3 years.

Cincinnati is 4-24 ATS when allowing 35 to 41 points the last 3 years

SMU comes into this one scoring 43 plus points per game on the season and has a balanced  per plays offensive attack with 191 yards on the ground and over 316 yards through the air. The Bearcats offense comes into this one averaging 20 points per game and offense has struggled most of the season. SMU has also been opportunistic on defense and are a plus 8 turnovers on the season. Ben Hicks has been solid this season completing 59% of his passes for 15 Touchdowns and 5 interceptions on the season. The top 3 rushers are averaging over 5 yards per carry and the receivers led by Trey Quinn and Cortland Sutton have been productive against all defenses this year. We don’t see the Bearcats offense keeping up with the charging Ponies today. Take SMU and lay the 7 1\2 today

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Connecticut (318)
The Matchup: TULSA (2 - 5) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 4)

Start Time: Week 8 Saturday, 10/21/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy:  Wager a 7 star amount on Connecticut. The line opened with Tulsa installed as a seven point favorite. The line has slipped to 6 at the majority of books with a few now at 5 ½. This line movement is quite favorable given that 76% of the public wagers are on Tulsa, but the line is going down. This reflects that the large ‘mart money’ pros are betting on Connecticut.

So, an alternative strategy is to play a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query returns games that have gone 2-18 ATS hitting 10% winners and has made $1,580 per $100 wagered since 1980.

Play against a road favorite in a conference tilt.

Team is off a straight-up conference home win installed as a dog.

Team covered that home win by more than 10 points.

And is now facing a conference opponent.

And that foe is off a straight-up win installed as a DOG.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Tulsa is just 49-116 ATS (-78.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Tulsa is 23-57 ATS (-39.7 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt.

Tulsa is 24-60 ATS (-42.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Connecticut is 48-12 ATS (+34.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Connecticut is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Connecticut.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: LA-Lafayette (305)
The Matchup: LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2)

Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/19/2017 7:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on LA - Lafayette.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 18-11 hitting 62% winners and has made 29 units/unit wagered since2014. The system has also averaged an impressive +223 DOG play.

Play on a road team.

Using the money line (LA LAFAYETTE).

After going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

And with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LAL is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards.

LAL is  17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better.

LAL is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better.

Hudspeth is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of LAL.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board LA - Lafayette.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Navy (193)
The Matchup: NAVY (5 - 0) at MEMPHIS (4 - 1)

Start Time:

Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:45 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on the line with Nay. Line currently at +3 ½ .

Alternate wager is play a 5* amount on the line and then add a 2* play using the money line; as long as the money line is returning +135 or higher value.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 32-8 hitting 80% ATS winners and has made $2,320 per $100 wagered game since 2014.

Play against any team (MEMPHIS).

Is a good team outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game.

After allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Navy is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Navy is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards.

Navy is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.

Navy is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Memphis is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Navy Midshipmen.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Auburn (207)
The Matchup: AUBURN (5 - 1) at LSU (4 - 2)

Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play Auburn on the line for a 7 star amount. DSo, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $700 play.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 78-24 hitting 77% winners and has made $5,280 units wagering $100 per release since 2008. The system has also averaged an impressive .

Play on a road team using the money line (AUBURN).

That are excellent offensive teams gaining a minimum of 440 YPG.

Against a good offensive team allowing between 390 to 440 YPG.

And after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992.

The average score was LSU 38.6, OPPONENT 25.0

LSU is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992.

The average score was LSU 26.6, OPPONENT 23.7

LSU is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.

The average score was LSU 25.0, OPPONENT 10.0

LSU is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when they commit 2 turnovers since 1992.

The average score was LSU 24.0, OPPONENT 17.5

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Toledo (123)
The Matchup:Toledo (4-1) at Central Michigan (3-3)

Start Time:

Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Toledo.

Round Table Discussion Points

Toledo Senior WR, Cody  Thompson suffered a broken leg and it is expected to cost him the remainder of the season in last week’s win over Eastern Michigan. He led the team in receptions in 2016 and was leading the team again in 2017 with 28 receptions for 537 yards and 4 TD.

Toledo is a high -power offense type team and we fully expect the ‘Next Man Up’ to fill the gaps left by the season ending injury to Thompson. Toledo ranks 29th in the nation scoring 35.2 PPG, 15th gaining 492.5 YPG, 8th gaining 9.2 yards per pass. CMU defense ranks 71st allowing 30 PPG, 91st allowing 42% third-down conversions, and 101st allowing 207.6 RYPG.

On the other side of the ball the advantages that Toledo will enjoy in this matchup are clear. CMU ranks 100th scoring 22 PPG, 105th converting just 32% of their third down conversions, and 128th in red zone scoring.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Toledo is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points.

Toledo is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt.

Toledo is 96-40 ATS (+52.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

CMU is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CMU is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points.

CMU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Toledo.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Clemson (109)
The Matchup: Clemson (6-0) at Syracuse (3-3)

Start Time: Week 7 Friday, 10/13/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars (1 to 10 ranking scale)

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Clemson. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this would be a $700 play. In similar fashion, if you wager $10 per star unit, this is a $70 play. If you wager $500 per 7* graded play, then you wager $71.42 per star.

Round Table Discussion Points

The biggest question this week surrounding No. 2 Clemson as it prepared for tonight’s game at Syracuse is whether their starting quarterback Kelly Bryant will be healthy enough to return to the lineup after sustaining an ankle injury last week in the Tigers' 28-14 win against Wake Forest.

The answer is that it is highly probable that he will return to action tonight.

And it really doesn’t matter. If Bryant is unable to go, the starting nod is likely to fall to freshman Hunter Johnson, who was rated the nation's top prep quarterback in 2016 by ESPN. Johnson guided the Tigers for their final three offensive series last week and completed all five of his passes for 42 yards and a touchdown.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Syracuse is just 38-92 ATS (-63.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Syracuse is  9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points.

Syracuse is 21-49 ATS (-32.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards.

Syracuse is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points.

Syracuse is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clemson Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Texas A&M (410)
The Matchup: Alabama (5-0) at Texas A&M (4-1)

Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 7:15 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on Texas A&M using the line.

Optional strategy to is to add a 2* amount on Texas A&M using the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

How do you get in front of the Tide as they have been rolling in 2017? Alabama brings a stout defense and an opportunistic offense into this one and is the number one team in the land. The tide has also won 4 in a row in this series both straight up and against the spread. However, this will be the largest number in those 4 years and at this number would not have had one ATS win. Last year’s game was a dogfight until the Aggies wore down and the Alabama defense took over. This Aggies get this one in College Station which should help Freshman QB Kellen Mond, along with a bruising running game to help move the chains and provide some rest for the defense. Texas A&M defense is not Alabama, but has some big playmakers and is plus 8 in Turnovers on the year. We feel the line is too large and asking too much of Jalen Hurt and the Tide offense to cover on the road. Look for a competitive game again this year and for Texas A&M to easily cover this inflated number.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 27-6 ATS hitting 82% winners and has made $2,040 per $100 wagered since 1992.

Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points.

After 2 or more consecutive straight up wins.

And is winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season.

Saban is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) facing mistake free teams that have 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of Alabama.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Texas A&M.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: LSU
The Matchup: LSU (3-2) at Florida (3-1)

Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7* SIm Titan

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on LSU. If you wager $100 per ‘star’ unit, then this is a $700 wager.

An alternate strategy is to wager a 5* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 48-19 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,710 per $100 wager since 1992.

Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3.

After going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game.

In the first half of the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a solid 103-54 ATS (+43.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

LSU is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play.

LSU is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: TCU (388)
The Matchup: W VIRGINIA (3 - 1) at TCU (4 - 0)

Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 10* Titan

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10* amount on TCU minus the points. So, if you wager $100 per ‘star’ unit playm this would be a $700 wager.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

TCU is a solid 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

TCU is 110-44 ATS (+61.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

WVU is an imperfect  0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games facing excellent kickoff coverage teams, allowing 19 or fewer yards per return.

WVU is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. good offensive teams scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after a bye week.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board TCU.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 406 Auburn
The Matchup: Auburn  versus Mississippi

Start Time:  10-7-2017 12;00 PM

SIM grading: 7* wager

Recommended Strategy:

Round Table Discussion Points

Ole Miss travels back to the state of Alabama after getting taken out to the woodshed by Alabama and we look for a similar result here. The Rebel offense will face another top tier defense this week and the Auburn offense led by Jarred Stidham is starting to roll. Stidham is completing 72%of his passes and has a strong running game to keep the offense balanced. Auburn has put away its last 2 opponents early and we look for more of the same today. Take Auburn and lay the points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 40-14 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made 24.6units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points.

After 2 straight wins by 21 or more points.

Against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.

Defense Data Query

Play any team allowing 14 or less points the last 2 games.

Facing a team allowing 37 or more points the last game 65% winners last 10 years

Here is another data query that has gone 15-7 ATS and 21-1 SU in the SEC since 1984.

Play against team allowing 37 points last game.

Facing a team winning 2 straight games by 28 or more points.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Auburn is 8-1 when scoring 28 or more points the last 2 years

Malzahn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of Auburn.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Penn State (331)
The Matchup: PENN ST (5 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 2)
Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on Penn State on the line. For example, a $100 per ‘star’ player would make a $700 play on Penn State.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 60-24 ATS hitting 71.4% winners and has made $3,360 per $100 wager since 2008.

Play on road favorites in a conference matchup.

That are Excellent rushing team gaining at least 4.8 YPR.

And is now facing a poor rushing team gaining 3 to 3.5 YPR.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

PSU is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt.

PSU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is 35-9 ATS (+25.1 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points.

PSU is 59-13 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

PSU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

NWU is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 2 to 2.5 yards/play.

NWU is just  9-41 ATS (-36.1 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.

The Play and how to Play it:

168 Texas A&M -89-30-2017 7:30 PM

7 Units Texas A&M -8 versus South Carolina

Round Table Discussion Points

We feel South Carolina is not as good as their 3-1 record. The Gamecocks came from behind last week to beat Louisiana Tech 17-16 and have a struggling offense. Texas A7M did the same last week coming back to beat Arkansas by 7 in overtime. The Aggies did put up 50 points in that game. Kevin Sumlin needs to keep winning to keep the Alums happy and the offense led by Kellen Mond has been clicking and the Aggies have some big play capabilities on defense. South Carolina has had numerous injuries and lost their best offensive weapon Deebo Samuel last week for the season. This is an offense that struggles and we don’t see them keeping pace with the Aggies today. Texas A&M won the last 3 against South Carolina and we look for a fourth today. Take Texas A&M and lay the 8 points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

3 Strong Data Trends on the Aggies in this one.

Texas A&M is 107-58 when scoring 28 or more points since 1992.

South Carolina is 24-73 when allowing 28 points.

South Carolina is 5-17 when outgained by 100 to 150 yards since 1992.

South Carolina is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Texas A&M.

The Play and how to Play it:

190 Auburn -99-30-2017 6:00 PM

4 Units Auburn -9 Versus Mississippi State

Round Table Discussion Points

Mississippi State comes into this game taking a conference loss at Georgia last week 31-3 and now must face another strong defense again this week. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham is starting to get comfortable with Gus Malzahn’s playbook, Stidham is completing a little over 70% on his attempts and today gets to play a big game in front of the Tiger faithful. The Tigers defense is stout against both the run and pass. Last year Auburn went to Starkville and won 38-14 jumping out to a 35-0 lead before putting it in cruise control. The personnel is similar and now the Tigers get the Bulldogs at home. The Bulldogs offense struggled at Georgia last week and we look for more of the same this week. Big expectations for Auburn this year and the Tigers look to go 2-0 in conference play today. Take Auburn and lay the 9 points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Play on any team allowing 17 points or less in last 2 games versus opponent scoring 6 or less in last game. 16 -4 ATS last 5  years good for 80% winners.

The average cover has been by 13.7 PPG. The four losses show that only one lost the game SU.

Matching SIM data queries

Mississippi State is 28-47 ATS after scoring 14 or less in previous game since 1992

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers.

117 South Florida -23 9-30-2017 12:00 PM

7 Units South Florida -23 at East Carolina

Some strong data trends on South Florida in this one.

ECU is 2-11 when allowing 28 or more points the last 2 years

ECU is 0-6 against opponents scoring over 31 points per game the last 2 years.

Play on road teams off a home win with 4 or more starters and experience QB against team with new QB is 47-18 ATS last 5 years.

Round Table Discussion Points

Along with the strong trends we get a South Florida team who has their sights on an undefeated season and a big Bowl Game this year. Charlie Strong inherited a team with a top notch defense and an explosive QB in Quinton Flowers. The Bulls return 16 starters from last year’s 9-2 Bowl Team. Last year South Florida won 38-22 and the Bulls are much better while the Pirates are allowing 48 points per game. The Bulls only let up 17 points per game and the offense is balanced with both the run and pass and a very athletic QB. This is a team who can line up against any of the power-5 schools and we get them against a bad team today. Take South Florida -23 as the Bulls will be running today.

The Play and how to Play it:

10* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  PSU will win this game by more than 14 points.

Round Table Discussion Points

Sometimes the matchup is Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley trying to beat a loaded up box through the air, but this one is all about if the Hawkeyes can slow down or stop No. 26 in white. Even when holes haven’t there for Barkley he has simply burned team through the air, hauling in 11 catches for 241 yards and two touchdowns so far. Iowa will just not be able to contain all of the PSU offensive weapons for the entire game.

The PSU offensive line has been fantastic as well in all types of formations. If Iowa does load the box, look for Barkey to come out of the backfield and line up in the slot before the snap (late in the time clock). Iowa will have no choice, but to have a LB on him. Causing added confusion for Iowa, is if they want to use a safety to help to double Barkley, the middle of the field will be vast plain of open area for crossing routes with the TE and WR. As the metrics show, there is only a minimal chance that this Iowa defense could hold PSU to fewer than 28 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

PSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt.

PSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points over the last 3 seasons.

PSU is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

PSU 59-13 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

Iowa is just 19-64 ATS (-51.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Iowa is  3-24 ATS (-23.4 Units) when they allow 35 to 41.

Iowa is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when they gain 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Iowa is  5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt.

Iowa is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 rushing yards per attempt.

Iowa is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when they score 15 to 21 points.

Iowa is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

Iowa is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Iowa is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards.

Iowa is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 2 to 2.5 yards/play.

Iowa is 4-28 ATS (-26.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play.

PSU has scored 50+ points in 2 of their first three games and now find themselves installed as double digit favorites on the road against an undefeated host. Teams in this role are a perfect 13-0 and 10-3 ATS, and 9-4 ‘UNDER’ over the past 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Georgia (324) as they take on Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at  7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by at least 10 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 78-18 hitting 81% winners using the money line and has made  38 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play against road underdogs using the money line.

Off a home win by 17 points or more.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins.

M-State is coming off a huge epoch win destroying then ranked LSU as 8.5 point dogs. In SEC play, these types of emotional wins do not follow through into the next game, especially when it’s on the road. Teams in this role and installed as 3 point or more road warriors are just 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in SEC action.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs of Georgia.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Vanderbilt (380) as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by fewer than 17 points.

7* amount using the line, which is currently at 18.5 points.

2* using the money line, which is averaging about +825 at majority of books offering this opportunity.

This is 9* amount of risk, but it is well defined and disciplined. The combination of the two parts reflects an optimized ROI.

Round Table Discussion Points

Every season, there is that one game where my technology will identify a DOG of greater than 17 points and by some terrestrial act, they end up up pulling off the epoch upset. The problem is that I don’t believe there ever will be a technology that will be able to accurately identify these games. If there was, then why would we watch this game or any sporting event as it is the thrill of the unknown that brings such great passion to live sporting events. I am very confident, though, that Vanderbilt will give Alabama a true test.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Vanderbilt is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of data queries that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 39-10 hitting 80% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points.

After 2 or more consecutive straight up wins.

And has a winning record on the season.

Since the start of the 2013 season, this data query has produced a 7-2 ATS mark good for 78% winners with an average cover of 8.4 points. In 2016, it went 3-1 ATS with TWO straight up winners.

The upset alert dogs that pulled off the upset win last year was first Penn State, who had the miracle win over Ohio State installed as 18 point home dogs and won the game 24-21. The second game was when Houston hosted Louisville as 16 point dogs and destroyed them 36-10.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Vanderbilt.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Arizona as they take on in  action set to start at  PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  will win this game.

The recommended play is to wager a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 55-21 ATS hitting 72.4% winners and has made 32 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

In 2014, the query went 12-9 SU and a solid 16-5 ATS for 76.2% ATS winners and an average coverage of 8.2 points.

In 2015, the query produced a 11-15 SU mark and went 19-7 ATS good for 65.4% ATS winners with the average ATS coverage of 5.4 points.

In 2016, this query produced a SU mark of 7-13 and a very strong 15-5 ATS good for 75% ATS winners with an average coverage of of 3.7 points.

In all of PAC-12 action since 2012, the query has produced a 6-14 SU mark, but has been a money maker with a 15-5 ATS mark.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Arizona.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Wyoming (186) as they take on Oregon in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oregon will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and can possibly pull off the home upset.

The recommended strategy is to place a 7* amount on the line and then add a 2.5* amount using the money line. We also like playing ‘over’ the first half  total for a 3* amount. If you want to add more defined risk, then consider playing a reverse parlay with Wyoming on the money line and the ‘over’ and Wyoming plus the points and the ‘over’ for 1* each.

Round Table Discussion Points

The Wyoming Cowboys comes off an easy win against Gardner & Webb while the Oregon Ducks beat the Nebraska Cornhuskers in Eugene last week. The Ducks took a big lead into the locker room at halftime and did not show up in the second half, but still held on to beat the Cornhuskers. Wyoming played a tough road game to begin the season at Iowa and struggled against the physical Hawkeye defense. The Cowboys stop troops have played well this year and can limit the big play capabilities of the Oregon offense. Future pro QB Josh Allen should find the sledding a little easier against the Oregon defense. Big game in Laramie for the Cowboys and we look for Allen to make enough plays to keep this one close throughout. Take Wyoming and the generous amount of points.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

The games shown above are when Oregon has allowed their opponent to score 28 or more points since the 2015 season inclusive. In these games, they have gone just 4-8 SU and a miserable money burning 2-9-1 ATS. The ‘over’ has been a successful wager going 7-4-1. So, the Bayesian probability analyses overwhelmingly project that Wyoming will score 28 points and with potential to achieve that level before the end of the first half.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 23-11 using the Money Line hitting 68% winners and has made 22.4 units/unit wagered since 2013. The system has also averaged an impressive +145 dog play.

Play on a home team using the money line.

After allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game.

And is now facing an opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wyoming Cowboys.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on LSU (187) as they take on Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by at least 11 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 55-21 hitting 72.4% winners and has made 31.9 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on road favorites.

After allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games.

And facing an opponent where 60 total points or more were scored in their last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards.

LSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

LSU is 103-53 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

LSU is  24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

M-State is just 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points.

M-State is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

M-State is 7-32 ATS (-28.2 Units) when they allow 500 or more total yards.

M-State is  5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

M-State is 10-44 ATS (-38.4 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Temple (106) as they take on UMASS in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.

Make a straight 7* wager amount on Temple minus the points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 35-10 hitting 80% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points.

The team outscored opponents by 10 or more points/game

Current game is a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

UMASS is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

UMASS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards.

UMASS is a near imperfect  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they rush for 2 to 2.5 yards per attempt.

UMASS is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they gain less than 250 total yards.

UMASS is an imperfect 0-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards.

Temple is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Temple is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards.

Temple is  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Temple is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points.

Temple is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow less than 250 total yards over the last 3 seasons.

Temple is  15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Temple Owls.

The play and how to Play it:

10* graded play on Auburn (377) as they take on Clemson in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  Auburn will win this game.

We see current lines at Clemson installed as a five point favorite. 67% of the best wagered are on Clemson, but the large bettors are on the Tigers as evident by the line moving lower from the -6 opening level. The analytics clearly show a high probability that this line will move to 4.5.

The recommended strategy is to play a 5* amount on the line and a 2* play using the money line. The money line is currently at +170

Round Table Discussion Points

Auburn comes into this game off an easy 41-7 game against Georgia Southern while Clemson was beating up Kent State 36-3. The Clemson Tigers return 12 starters from last years National Championship team with 7 on the defensive side of the Ball. Auburn returns 15 starters from last years 8-5 Bowl team. Clemson QB Kelly Bryant went 16/22 for 236 yards with a TD and an interception in his first start taking over for the dynamic Deshaun Watson. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham struggled some in his first start for the Tigers after transferring from Baylor. Stidham went 14/24 for 185 yards with 2 TD’s and a pick. Both teams rushed the ball well last week and the defenses were stellar. Clemson beat Auburn by 6 last year at Auburn and we look for a very tight game again this year, but this time around there is no Deshaun Watson. This is a big early game for both teams and look for the offense minded Gus Malzahn to come up with a little more wrinkles to the offense and possibly even steal a game in Death Valley.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 40-11 hitting 78.4% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

Team that had a winning record last season.

This money line query has produced incredible results and underscores the probability that Auburn will win this game. It has produced a 19-7 mark and has made 25.8 units/unit wagered since 2013.  It has averaged a quite impressive +173 Dog play.

Play on a road team using the money line.

After allowing 2 or less rushing yards/attempt last game.

Facing an opponent that out rushed their last opponent by 200 or more yards.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Auburn is a solid 13-4 against the money line (+12.3 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt

Auburn is 39-8 against the money line (+36.4 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

Auburn is 95-9 against the money line (+103.2 Units) when they score 28 or more point.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Auburn with the 6 points in this tightly contested affair.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Michigan State (310) as they take on Western Michigan in NCAA action set to start at  3:30 PM ET.

Round Table Discussion Points

The Spartans come into this one easily beating Bowling Green 35-10 last week, while Western Michigan lost a hard fought game last week in the Coliseum to Southern Cal. Western Michigan  put up 31 points on USC rushing for 263 yards while giving 232 yards on the ground. Western Michigan QB Jon Wassink struggled in the passing game completing 50% of his passes for a mere 67 yards. Spartan QB Brian Lewerke went 22/33 for 250 yards and 3 Touchdowns. The Spartan defense held Bowling Green to 67 yards on the ground. This all brings us to the value in this pick as Western had a tough game last week and now go into East Lansing taking only a Touchdown. This line is based on records from last year as the wheels came off the bus for the Spartans after the Wisconsin Game while Western Michigan was having a special year going 13-1 and a major bowl game. This is now 2017 and the red faced Spartans will be hungry for this one and won't overlook the Broncos. Perfect set up here for Sparty.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 34-10 hitting 77% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

Facing an opponent in the first month of the season.

And the opponent closed out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

WMU is just 34-72 ATS (-45.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

WMU is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards.

MSU is a solid 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

MSU is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt.

MSU is  22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Spartans.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Louisville (323) as they take on North Carolina in NCAAF action set to start at  12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by more than 10 points. Play a 7* amount using the line.

UNC is off an embarrassing home loss to California in Week1 losing 35-30 as 13 point favorites. Team that have had this type of demoralizing week 1 loss are just 3-22 SU and 8-17 ATS in week 2 games installed as 6.5 point or more dogs. A bonus play based on this query is to take Idaho as they host UNLV.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 31-6 ATS hitting 84% winners and has made 24.4 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play against a home team.

In the first month of the season or first four weeks.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

And is now facing an opponent that was a bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Louisville 106-55 ATS (+45.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Louisville is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

UNC is a money burning 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when they allow 29 to 35 points.

UNC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt.

UNC is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards.

UNC is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Louisville Cardinal.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Tennessee (213) as they take on Georgia Tech in NCAAF action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.

Play a 7* amount on the line currently at - 3 1/2 .

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 30-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made 23.4 units/unit wagered since 1992. 60% of the games played have covered the spread by 7 or more points and underscores the high probability that Tennessee will win this game vt more than 10 points.

Play against any team in the first week of the season.

After closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers.

Team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%).

Playing a team that had a winning record.

The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research.

15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt.

36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt.

109-48 ATS (+56.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

23-4 ATS (+18.6 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points.

42-12 ATS (+28.8 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play.

G-Tech is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.

2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 550 or more total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Texas A&M (211) as they take on UCLA in NCAAF action set to start at 7:30 PM ET.

Play a 7* amount on the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 39-11 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made 26.9 units/unit wagered since 1992. 41% of the games played have covered the spread by 7 or more points and underscores the high probability that A&M will win this game SU.

Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

Team that had a winning record last season.

The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research.

UCLA is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards over the last 3 seasons.

A&M is a strong 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Aggies.

Favoring The UnderDawg.
From the machine learning results, we do like FSU (205) for a 7* play. We also recommend splitting the wager and create a combination wager using a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line.

Everyone loves a games where two goliaths of college football face-off. Alabama is statistically one of the best dynasties ever in NCAA History, if not the best. While Florida State is always assembles a solid squad year after year. In this match up, there is many variables. Alabama is returning only 11 starters and Florida State is relying on their strong defense to carry the team in this game and throughout the regular season.

Alabama and other major schools are accustomed to simply reloading and the return of starters is not that critical unless they are facing a team like FSU. Alabama does get positive marks returning most of the skill positions, in Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarbrough, and Calvin Ridley. Bama’s defense is predicted to be top 10, per usual. What might hurt them is team chemistry during the first month of the season.

Florida State features one of the best defenses in their school history and one that the offense can feed off of. The offensive success will rely mostly on the new O-line protecting Deondre Francois. This O-line can run block with the best and you will see them push the ‘Bama D-Line back on their heels on the majority of plays. This is the crucial situation that will allow FSU to open up the run game and then use play action pass to elite and very fast WR that will be in man coverages.

This is the first time that a No. 1 ranked team will play a No. 3 ranked team this early in the season. So, there is little history to learn from that have similar characteristics. Bama will have to learn how to work together rapidly, as they play a whole new half of a team. While going up against a team that will most likely win the ACC Conference. Clemson is realistically the only team in the Conference that will give FSU any sort of test.

For one of our top plays this weekend we go to South Bend Indiana and our taking the Fighting Irish laying 18 points to the Temple Owls. We loved the game at the opening line under 2 TD’s, but the betting public has pushed this up to 18 points. Although Notre Dame comes off a 4-8 season losing their top Quarterback and many experts predicting a close outcome along with Temple coming off a 10-4 season going 12-2 ATS, you may ask how could the Irish be our top play? Several factors come into play on this one but the first is the leadership and news coming out of South Bend. Basically no news last year's team started with suspensions and issues with the players and was void any real leadership, basically all things are quiet and the expectations down for the Irish. The next matter is the Irish are loaded with talent and some of that is up front in the trenches. Next we see a lot of similarities to the 2013 game where Matt Rhule the ex Temple coach started his career at Temple and the Irish jumped out early and easily covered a similar type of spread putting up over 500 yards of Offense. New Temple head coach Geoff Collins is facing a similar situation losing a lot of Seniors especially on the defense and losing QB PJ Walker. Now the talent that Matt Rhule left is better than what he inherited. We still feel this is not the ideal situation for a young QB. Although the Owls only gave up 283 yards and 18 points per game many of those players are gone. Brandon Wimbush takes over an Irish offense that put up 31 points per game and 418 yards of offense. Wimbush has plenty of offense weapons from Running Back Josh Adams and leading receiver Equanimous St. Brown along with a full stable of running backs and receivers. The Irish although not deep up front have a lot more playmakers on defense this year. The Irish have strong Special teams this year which will also aid in this one. For halftime betters look for a favorable first half line as Notre Dame usually starts with the football. Take the Irish and lay the points today as we like Notre Dame to take the fight to the Cherry and the White.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Oregon State (291) as they take on Colorado State in NCAAF action set to start at 2:30 PM ET.

The recommended strategy is to wager a 5* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line to exploit the significant probability of an SU Oregon State win.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research.

Oregon State is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

Oregon State is 91-31 ATS (+56.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Oregon State 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they gain 400 to 450 total yard.

Oregon State is 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Colorado State 37-90 ATS (-62.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Colorado State 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt.

Oregon State is  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Oregon State Beavers.

50* graded play on Clemson (151) as they take on Alabama (152) in the CFP National Championship set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1992.  Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Clemson is a solid 17-6 against the money line (+12.7 Units) in road games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards 

Clemson is 28-9 against the money line (+24.7 Units) when they gain 5 to 5.5 total yards per play

Alabama is just 16-22 against the money line (-20.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points

Clemson is 12-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. 

Clemson is a near-perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. 

Clemson is 11-1 against the money line (+10.7 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Clemson is 12-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Clemson is 16-10 against the money line (+22.3 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing =5.9 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. 

Clemson is 15-1 against the money line (+14.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. 

Swinney is 17-3 against the money line (+14.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of Clemson.

Swinney is 27-9 against the money line (+21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as the coach of Clemson.

Clemson installed as a road dog has won four straight games and is 27-11 L38 situations.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clemson Tigers.

Clemson shutout Ohio State in their last game, which was a monumental feat and one that the media has not emphasized nearly enough in this matchup. Alabama is ranked best defensive team in the nation, but Clemson has narrowed the gap. Clemson ranks 8th in scoring defense, 7th with a 0.257 opponent points per play ratio, 6th allowing 4.5 YPP, and 7th allowing just 5.9 YP pass. This last metric is the one that will win the game for Clemson tonight.

Alabama ranks 35th allowing 7.8 Yards per pass and have allowed a sack on 5.71% of pass plays. Clemson’s defense ranks 7th in the nation recording a sack on 9.36% of pas plays. It will be the elite speed and athleticism of the Clemson front seven that will pressure the Alabama OL and will get penetration and containment on that unit. This will contain Hurts and also reduce the amount of time he has to scan the field to make plays down field. Watson is bar none the most athletic and talented QB that the Alabama defense will face this season. You can be guaranteed that HC Swinney, with his track record outlined above, will have a tremendous game plan in place tonight. Last, I also think the dismissal of Kiffin, whether for good or bad reasons, has had an impact on the players. As a side show, it will be quite interesting to see how Sarkisian reacts to Saban’s verbal attacks on him after Bama goes a 3-and-out possession.

50* graded play on Auburn (281) as they take on Oklahoma (282) action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-43 mark for only 43% winners, BUT has made a whopping 52.5 units/unit wagered since 1992. This impressive system has averaged a +299 DOG and underscores the value of applying this system to future qualifying games. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that is a dominant team outgaining their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/play and after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Here is a second system that has gone 55-25 for 69% winners since 1992 and has made 33 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA) excellent rushing team gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR and after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. This system is a perfect 5-0 this season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Auburn 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

Auburn 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play

Oklahoma is just 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards since 1992.

Oklahoma is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

Fundamental Discussion Points

Auburn’s ground attack was stopped by Alabama’ defense in their last game, but they will not be stopped by the Sooner defensive edition. Auburn ranks 8th in the nation gaining 263 rushing yards per game and they run the ball 68% of all plays. Sooners rank 49th allowing 161 rushing yards per game and 69th allowing 4.6 YPR. The solid ground attack has opened up easy to complete pass plays in play action or using ball fakes in the read-option scheme. Auburn ranks 18th in the nation completing 63% of their passes and 30th throwing an INT on just 2% of their plays. We just do not see the Sooner defense holding up to this power attack. Take the Auburn Tigers.

25* graded play on Penn State (280) as they take on USC (279) in the Rose Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and have a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·      USC is 1-6 against the money line (-7.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. 

·      Penn State is a solid 42-19 against the money line (+19.0 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards

·      Penn State is 14-1 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt

·      Penn State is 8-1 against the money line (+7.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

·      Penn State is 39-4 against the money line (+32.1 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points

·      USC is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. 

·      USC is 9-30 ATS (-24.0 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points

·      USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. 

·      Penn State is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.

From Week 3 on to the end of the season, Penn State was definitely a contender for the Playoff Semifinals, but was hardly given the respect they deserved for that consideration. They rank 22nd in scoring offense, 13th in yards/point, 18th in yards/play, 10th in yards per pass play attempt, and third in interception percentage at just 1.38% of all pass plays run.

USC is also a hot team down the stretch having won 8 straight games and if the last week of the regular season in the Pac-12 would have played out their way, then it would have been arguably USC playing Alabama instead of Washington. The difference in this game will be the PSU ground attack and then the ability of QB McSorely to look to the deep vertical routes in play action. If USC takes those deep routes away, the TE #88 will have a huge day for the Lions. McSorely is very smart and rarely ever forces any throw. Take the Lions.

25* graded play on Ohio State (273) as they take on Clemson (274) in College Playoff action set to start at  7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game by at least 6 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Ohio State is 104-3 against the money line (+112.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992.

Clemson is just 24-56 against the money line (-59.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992.

Ohio State is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Clemson is just 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points 

Fundamental Discussion Points

Ohio State will score at least 28 points in this game and as the history lessons shown above indicate this is very good news for the Buckeyes. Ohio State has the second-best defense in the nation that ranks 3rd in scoring defense, third in opponent yards-per-game, 2nd with a 0.208 opponent-points-per-play ratio, and third allowing 4.2 yards-per-play. Clemson ranks 24th with a 0.477 points per play ratio and just 64th averaging 4.4 yards per rush. Ohio State can run the ball against the Clemson defense, and in so doing can control the pace of the game to detriment of Clemson’s wishes. Take Ohio State.

25* graded play on Washington as they take on Alabama in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl in the College Football playoff set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Washington is a solid 6-2 against the money line (+10.3 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons.

Washington is 7-1 against the money line (+12.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons.

Washington is 6-1 against the money line (+11.8 Units) in road games facing good offensive teams averaging greater than 5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Huskies.

No one is giving Washington even a glimmer of hope to defeat Alabama. Only 35% of all bets made, which exceeds 40,000 tickets, that we monitor at 7 different sportsbooks have been on Washington. This line opened at 14 ½ and based on the money flows, the line could be much higher. The fact that it isn’t is a key metric reflecting the larger so-called ‘Smart Money’ is on Washington.

Let’s not forget too, that Washington is an elite team. Period. They rank best in the nation posting a 0.645 points per play ratio, third in scoring offense, and 17th in yards-per-rush. No doubt that Alabama defense is the best in the nation, BUT that does not imply that Washington can’t move the ball successfully against them.

Washington defense ranks 10th in scoring defense, 8th in points per play allowed, and 5th allowing 4.5 opponent yards per play. We strongly believe that this game will be much tighter than any talking media head will lead you to believe and it just might be Washington winning the game.

25* graded play on LSU as they take on Louisville in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl set to start at 11:00 AM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by more than 10 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are quality teams outscoring opponents by seven or more points/game and after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

LSU is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play

Louisville is just 33-74 ATS (-48.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points

Louisville is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers

Fundamental Discussion Points

Louisville ranks best in scoring offense, but let’s face it, they have not played the most difficult schedule, especially when compared to LSU. Ohio State was ranked hardest in SOS and Louisville a rather distant 19th. The margin between them is significant and we believe it will quite evident in this matchup. The most glaring advantage for LSU is their defense that ranks 5th in scoring defense, 5th in points per play allowed, and 14th allowing opponents to convert just 33% of their third down conversions.

Lamar Jackson is the Heissman Trophy winner, but he was contained and confused by a Houston defense that ranks 39th in scoring defense allowed in the nation and 45th in opponent points per play. Take LSU.

25* graded play on Air Force as they take on South Alabama in the NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that AF will win this game by at least 20 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1992. Play on any team with an excellent rushing attack gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a terrible rushing defense allowing more than 4.8 YPR and after 7 or more games, and after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

South Alabama is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·      AF is a solid 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards.

·      AF is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.

·      South Alabama is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging more than 425 yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on TCU (257) as they take on Georgia (258) in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against all teams in a non-conference matchup where the line is +3 to -3 that is an average offensive team scoring between 21 and 28 PPG and is now facing a good offensive team scoring between 28 and 34 PPG after 7 or more games.in non-conference games 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·      TCU is a strong 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Georgia is just 21-64 ATS (-49.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

·      TCU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) facing excellent punt coverage teams that are allowing less than 7.5 yards per return over the last three seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

Both teams fell far short of expectations for this season. TCU is tied with Oklahoma in the Big-12 with a 29-9 overall record over the past three seasons, but won just 6 games this season. However, there are only 13 Seniors on this team, so this is the first audition, if you will, for the underclassman to make a statement to the coaching staff in this Bowl game. The spotlight will certainly be on Texas A&M transfer and Junior QB Kenny Hill. He massed 3,062 passing yards with 15 TDs, but three 13 INTs. He was without his NO. 1 receiver KaVontae Turpin, but that can longer be a reason for Hill not to take another big step forward in leading the offense into next season. So, we expect a huge game from him today that will spill over to the rest pf the team. Take TCU.

25* graded play on Oklahoma State (255) as they take on (256) Colorado in in the Valero Alamo Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-41 record for only 51% winners, But has made a whopping 45.3 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on neutral field underdogs using the money line that are off a road loss against a conference rival and with the current game taking place after November 30. The average play for this system has been a +200 dog, making it one of the most powerful money making systems.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Colorado is 44-97 ATS (-62.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992.

·       Colorado is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

·       OSU is a near-perfect 13-1 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cowboys tonight.

25* graded play on Kansas State as they take on Texas A&M in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one caveat is that we need to have a money line of at least 135. If it is not at that level or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the available line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-7 mark using the money line good for 84% winners and has made 29.6 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (KANSAS ST) after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after being outgained by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This system is 7-2 this season an 22-5 over the past three seasons.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·      K-State is a solid 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards

·      K-State is 33-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt 

·      A&M is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards

·      A&M is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt 

·      A&M is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games when they commit 2 turnovers

·      A&M is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards

·      A&M is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board K-State.

These teams are somewhat similar with a strong ground game that has overwhelmed many DLs this season. In this matchup, we believe it will be the K-State groud attack that proves to be the difference maker. K-State ranks 14th in the nation averaging 46.1 rushing plays per game and 12th running the ball on 62% of their plays. K-State had a season low of 110 rushing yards in their 38-17 loss at Oklahoma, but since have gained at least 237 rushing yards and averaged 290 rushing yards over those last 6 games. The A&M defense has been exposed to the ground game havig allowed 298 rushing yards in their last game against LSU and 365 rushing yards on 58 plays at Mississippi State, November 5. We strongly believe K-State OL and pounding run game that will also attack the perimeter will gradually wear down the A&M defense. Take K-State.

25* graded play on Temple as they take on Wake Forest in Military Bowl action set to start at  3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by 17 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Wake Forest is just 34-91 ATS (-66.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points

·       Wake Forest is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play

·       Temple is a solid 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points

·       Temple is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt

·       Temple is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 2 seasons.

·       Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

·       Temple is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play

Fundamental Discussion Points

Temple has had a fantastic season given that they had low expectations after losing 19 seniors from last year’s team. However, they have won 12 straight games ATS after losing ATS in Week 1 to Army and that by just one point. They have also won seven straight games and destroyed a then-ranked No. 20 Navy team in the Conference Championship 34-10 as 1.5 point dogs. Back in Week 3 they played Penn State and that game was special for both teams. PSU did not lose a game the rest of the way and Temple also began their 9-1 win streak. Temple also covered against Penn State losing 34-27. WF lost 5 of the last 6 games and the last three games. This team has a new interim coach as well, BUT a win this bowl game would make them the winniest team in Temple history. There is a great article in the Philadelphia Inquirer if you are interested to see how this team was built and how much they grew over the last four seasons. It is a great read. http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/colleges/temple/20161227_Jensen__Temple_is_beating_the_odds_from_start_to_finish.html

Take Temple.

R

25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Maryland in the Quick Lane Bowl set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BC will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, we have one mandate and that is the money line portion of the combination wager must be at a minimum of +135. If is not there, then simply wager the 25* amount on the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-44 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010.  Play against any team (MARYLAND) after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Maryland is a money burning 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt

Maryland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. 

Bowl favorites under the leadership of first year coaches are 5-16-1 ATS when facing an opponent off a ATS and SU win.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston College.

Maryland started off 4-0 and then won just more games against an injury riddled Michigan State team and lowly Rutgers. Boston College has a strong defense that is battled tested in the ACC. The Eagles rank 11th in the nation allowing 328 yards per game, 13th allowing opponents 33% third conversion success, and 11th allowing just 3.4 yards per rushing attempt. Maryland relies on the run and we feel strongly BC will dominate the LOS, get penetration, and stop the Maryland ground attack. Without play action and the weapons to attack the BC perimeter defense, it may prove to be a very long afternoon for Maryland. Take BC.

25* graded play on Hawaii (228) as they take on Middle Tennessee State (227) in the Hawaii Bowl set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Hawaii will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-21 mark using the money line for 58% winners and has made 37 units/unit wagered since 1992. This system has averaged an +200 DOG, which makes it a very powerful tool to use for qualifying games in the future.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Hawaii is a solid 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers

·       Hawaii is 97-42 ATS (+50.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points

·       Stockstill is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of MTST.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Hawaii. Strength of schedule is meaningful for this matchup with Hawaii playing a far more difficult schedule. MDST defense has not been all that good this season and has been largely inconsistent down the stretch. They rank 108th in scoring defense and 107th posting a 0.506 opponent points per play ratio. Hawaii defense ranks 48th posting a 5.4 opponent yards per play and 64th allowing opponents to convert 40% of third down situations. Conversely, MTST ranks a horrid 126th allowing opponents a 51% third down conversion percentage. Take Hawaii.

25* graded play on Arkansas State (207) as they take on UCF (208) in the Autonation Cure Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ARST will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-17 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS ST) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

ARST is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off a road win against a conference rival 

ARST is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

Arkansas State has had an excellent defense this season ranking 18th in scoring defense and 23rd in opponent pass completion percentage. Granted, their schedule was significantly easier than the one faced by UCF this season. However, ARST matches up very well against UCF and we see the winning this game outright. Of course, the SIM grading is what first identifies an opportunity, but then we dive deep into our databases and then apply fundamental matchup analyses to complete the vetting process of any game released. All systems are ‘GO’ on Arkansas State.

25* graded play on New Mexico as they take on UT-San Antonio in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl  set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will New Mexico win this game by more than 11 points. Lobos are projected to dominate the LOS and gain more than 350 rushing yards with total output over 500 yards.

Technical Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       UTSA is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Lobos are a solid 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards

·       Lobos are 73-32 ATS (+37.8 Units) when they score 28 or more point

·       Lobos are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points

·       Lobos are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons.

·       Lobos are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards

·       Lobos are also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points

The Roadrunners are playing their first bowl game in school history after going 6-6 an 5-3 in C-USA action. The Lobos are bowl eligible for the second straight season and gained a share of the Mountain West Mountain Division title. The Roadrunners feature a balanced attack with not only two rushers over 700 yards, but two receivers, Josh Stewart and Kerry Williams Jr., who have combined for 1,200 yards.

On defense, the Roadrunners hold their opponents to 152 yards, but we do not believe they can control the line and stop the Lobos on the ground. Lobos are ranked second in the nation gaining 6.6 yards per rush and third averaging 53.4 rushing plays per game. They rank best in the nation gaining 355 rushing yards per game. SOS is actually fairly equal for the season quotient, however, UTSA has not faced a dominant physical OL with power between the tackles and speed to attack the perimeter on any play.

25* graded play on ARMY as they take on Navy in NCAA football action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Army will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARMY) outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Army is a solid 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards since 1992; 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by =230 rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on Penn State(333) as they take on Wisconsin(334) in BIG 10 action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-52 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.3% winners and made a great 40.8 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games this season; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season; 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a poor 

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play on Idaho (322) as they take on Georgia State (321) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by more than a touchdown.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 84.4% winners and made 21.5 units/unit wagered. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IDAHO) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a solid 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

50* graded play on Oklahoma(318) as they take on Oklahoma State(317) in Bedlam Rivalry action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by more than 12 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-8 over the last 10 seasons good for 88.5% winners and made 24.2 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (OKLAHOMA ST) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OU is a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with Stoops as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. OK State is a poor 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 and they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Fundamental Discussion Points

In the game they call Bedlam we look for the Sooners and the Cowboys to put up lot of offense today. Oklahoma rushes for 230 yards a game and passes for over 320. Baker Mayfield completes over 70% of his passes with 35 TD Passes on the season. Joe Mixon and Samantha Perrine are a solid 1-2 running punch averaging over 7 yards per carry with 17 TD's on the year. Mason Rudolph and the Cowboys offense have been equally impressive this season averaging over 40 points per game. We do look for the Sooners to do what they are accustomed to do and control the Big 12 teams especially at home where the OU defense should be able to get more stops in this one. When I say Boomer, you say Sooner today!

25* graded play on Troy(313) as they take on Georgia Southern(314) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Troy will win this game by more than 8 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-10 over the last 5 seasons good for 80.8% winners and made a great 31 units/unit wagered. Play against a home team (GA SOUTHERN) - after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 38-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.6% winners and made 25.9 units/unit wagered. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GASO is an awful 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing their last game on the road this season; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Troy is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games; 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Michigan State in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 16 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is an amazing 112-37 ATS (+71.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. MSU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last two seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Lions.

25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Alabama in the IRON BOWL in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and actually has a shot to win this game. If you have access to a money line for this game, I would highly recommend adding a 3* play using that line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against a home team (ALABAMA) after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is just 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders.' Auburn is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points In the battle of the Iron Bowl we are taking the Auburn Tigers with the points at Alabama based first on the SIM Algorithm grading. There is also a volume of fundamental matchups we see as a neutralizing force against one of the ‘Bama teams in their school history. Auburn comes into the game with an 8-3 record and Alabama has yet to lose. The Tide has delivered in all the big games this year, and when the game was relatively close, they exerted their will and pulled away in the fourth quarter. Alabama QB position has been average through the air in these closer games but delivered running the football. The Auburn QB has been efficient all year with 11 TD's and only two picks completing close to 70% of his passes. The Tiger defense has also been stingy this year and has already faced an athletic QB in Deshaun Watson earlier this year. Auburn's defense, however, allowed only 15 touchdowns in 11 games, limited opponents to about 118 rushing yards per game, and allowed an average of 334.5 yards in total offense, which is 18th-best in the country and fifth in the SEC. The Tigers (8-3, 5-2) can also to put pressure on opposing passers (25 sacks, 82 quarterback hurries) and when they can't get to the quarterback, they have a knack for batting the ball down at the line of scrimmage. Defensive linemen Montravius Adams, Marlon Davidson, Dontavius Russell, Maurice Swain and Derrick Brown, have combined for ten pass breakups. Only two teams have scored in the mid 20 point range against the Tigers this year, and we are getting 17 plus points today. Also in this rivalry game, both teams and players know each other well, so there will be a few wrinkles in the offensive schemes. This is where Auburn, with an incredibly accurate QB, will be the offsetting difference. We believe strongly that his accuracy will eventually spread the Auburn defense and open up running lanes between the tackles. QB Sean White was not under center and got valuable rest after reinjuring his shoulder in the Georgia game. Johnson was under center last week against Alabama A&M and OC Rhett Lashlee said either could start and was intentionally very vague answering press questions yesterday. Gamesmanship? Of course, it is, but it does force ‘Bama staff to prepare for both QB  in varying down and distance situations. No Auburn players will be in awe of Alabama, and they have nothing to lose playing in Tuscaloosa.. Take Auburn and the points today. Go War Eagle!

25* graded play on USC as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA Gridiron action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by at least 21 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-17 ATS mark good for 73.4% winners since 1992. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. The SU record of this system is an incredible 61-4 and 48% of ALL plays made covered the spread by 7 or more points. So, 45 of the 67 ATS wins covered the spread by more than 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons; 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

Fundamental Discussion Points The red hot Trojans take on the Irish in the annual clash. Norte Dame has had some long days in the Colesium throughout its history and we look for another one today. USC QB Sam Darnold has been real good lately completing over 68% of his passes with 24 Touchdowns, and the Norte Dame secondary will struggle again against an athletic bunch of receivers. The Irish start strong and once adjustments are made the coaching staff does not have an answer. Look for Ju Ju Smith and the Trojan receivers to be running freely all day and the Norte Dame offense will struggle to keep pace today. USC will not want to let up in this one and will keep the pedal on the gas. Look for the Trojans to win this easily today. Fight On!

50* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Florida International in action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ODU will win this game by at least 17 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1992. Play against a road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog and is now facing an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FIU is just 21-58 ATS (-42.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt; 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; ODU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Old Dominion.

The Monarchs have been perfect in the win column and against the spread at home this year, and we look for more of the same today. ODU has a good offensive line and a strong running game with both Running Backs Larry and Cox averaging 6 yards per carry and 20 rushing TD's on the season. We look for the more of the same today as FIU gives up to close to 200 yards per game. The Monarchs control the line of scrimmage and game in this one.

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan in BIG TEN action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 10 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a nice and tidy 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play; 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams averaging >=230 rushing yards/game; 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry; 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play.

Fundamental Discussion Points Big game this week as this is an elimination game for the college playoff contenders. Two real good teams with great coaching in this one today. Losing Wilton Speight a couple of weeks ago will really hurt the Wolverine offense this week and the Horeshoe is not the place to go with backup O' Korn as the Quarterback. There was a reason he was a backup before transferring to Michigan and then a backup coming to Ann Arbor.The Buckeyes have experience at the QB position with JT Barrett and also have a strong running game and match up with Michigan in the trenches. Barrett completes over 63% of his passes including 24 TD's and can also hurt the defense equally in the running game. Should be a classic battle today, but the inexperience at QB will eventually hurt Michigan and Brutus will finally control this one as the game moves on. Take the Buckeyes as they look to claim one of the top four spots in the College playoffs today.

25* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arkansas will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-17 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) and is a struggling team winning between 25% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record, in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a stout 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Razorbacks.

We look for the physical and balanced Arkansas offense to put up some points today as the Tiger Defense has not recovered from the Florida and LSU back to back games earlier this year and have allowed for teams to control the ball and run at will as of late. The Tiger offense has been strong but can't keep up plugging the leaks by the Defense. Arkansas is looking to finish strong heading to a bowl game and we feel the Tigers want to get their disappointing season completed. Arkansas QB Allen has played well this year and the boys in the trenches favor the Hogs today. We look for a little Pig Sooey today as we will take Arkansas and lay the 8 points.

25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on Central Florida in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 4 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-10 ATS mark good for 79% winners since2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULSA) excellent offensive team averaging >=440 YPG and is now facing an average offensive team gaining between 330 to 390 YPG. Here is a Money Line system that has produced a 118-26 mark good for 82% winners and has made 60 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road favorites vs. the money line (TULSA) and is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The key metric is the Tulsa ground attack noting they are 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Golden Hurricanes come into this game after a tough loss to Navy and controlling the option game which most likely cost them any chance of playing for a conference championship. Both squads look similar against their opponents on the year, however Tulsa brings the better offense today averaging over 42 points per game compared to 31 for Central Florida. Tulsa has a big play offense and lots of speed at the skill positions. Top three rushers average over 5 yards per carry to go with a good quarterback completing 58% of his passes with some big play wide outs. Central Florida has competed well, but does struggle to throw the ball which we think they will need to do to keep up with the high-powered Tulsa offense. Look for another big output from the Tulsa offense today and to cover the small number on the road.

25* graded play on Colorado as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than 10 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington State is a money burning 48-94 ATS (-55.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt; Colorado is a stout 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards/attempt; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears.

Both of these teams can be considered surprise teams and could very possibly meet again in a couple of weeks to Determine the Pac 12 Champions. After losing their first two games Washington State has one eight in a row and sets up to play a game next week against Washington in the Apple Cup for a right to play in the Championship Game. If Colorado wins today the Buffaloes will also be going to the Pac 12 championship game. Colorado has two losses both on the road at Michigan and USC. The Buffaloes put up 35 points per game and have only allowed18. The Buffaloes have won both low and high scoring games this year. Colorado QB Liufau has been very efficient this year completing over 67% of his passes with 10 TD's with only 3 picks. The Buffaloes will need to contain one of this years best QB's no one mentions in Luke Falk who completes 74% of his passes and has thrown 33 passing TD's this year. Colorado's secondary has been good and the red zone defense has been strong this year. Colorado is at home and needs this game more today and we think that will be the big difference today.

25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-43 ATS mark good for 66% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (NORTHWESTERN) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Northwestern is a stout 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt.

Fundamental Discussion Points Minnesota has been in all close games this year but has lost in the big tests against Penn State, Nebraska, and Iowa. Minnesota QB Leitner has struggled this year and the Gophers rely on a power running game with play action passing to go with a fundamentally sound defense. Northwestern QB has heated up since the Wildcats went to an up-tempo offense. Most Big 10 teams don't see this offense and are not prepared for this type of attack. Northwestern becomes bowl eligible with this one and showed they could hold their own on the road going toe to toe with the Buckeyes in Columbus. We also feel Minnesota has a big game on deck with Wisconsin in Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers haven't had the Axe since 2003 and may have more focus on the next game than the Wildcats schemes today. Take the Wildcats and lay the small number today.

25* graded play on NC State as they take on Miami in ACC action set to start at  12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-26 ATS mark good for 72% ATS winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’, good offensive team scoring 31 or more points/game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by

50* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting No.4 Washington. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-9 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play on a road team (USC) that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 and 390 YPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG after 7+ games of the regular season, and after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Over the L3 season this system has gone an incredible 10-1 ATS. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is in good form noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games.

Here is a bonus money line system that is one you truly should archive and keep track of for future qualifying plays. It has gone 23-14 SU for 62% winners and has made 41 units/unit wagered averaging a +240 DOG play since 2010. Play on road underdogs vs. the money line (USC) in a game involving two good rushing teams both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Arguably the two best QB’s in the Conference and possibly the nation square off in this huge PAC-12 matchup. Jake Browning leads Washington with very impressive numbers that are worthy for the Heissman. He has throw for 2,273 yards with 34 TD, and 3 INT, but has yielded 11 sacks. USC has Darnold under center and he has been excellent in his own right passing for 1,874 yards with 20 TD and 4 INT. The key to this game, though is I fully expect the Trojan OL and DL to outperform Washington’s editions. Moreover, I expect USC DL to squash the run and force Browning into third down pass situations where USC has elite speed in either man coverage or zone schemes. USC OL will be strong enough to establish the run and then Darnold will have play action pass where he will have man coverage on the perimeter with highly skilled WR.

25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) excellent offensive team scoring 35 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SFU is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. Memphis is just 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards; 13-42 ATS (-33.2 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board South Florida.

South Florida -3.5 at Memphis

The South Florida Bulls hit the road to take on the Memphis Tigers at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. South Florida enters the game at 7-2 and Memphis enters at 6-3. The big factor in this game is Quinton Flowers, South Florida’s duel threat QB. Flowers has thrown for 1,900 yards and 19 TD’s as well as ran for 921 yards and 10 TD’s. The Bulls average 272 rushing yards per game and the Tigers give up 194 yards on the ground per game. Flowers is the key to the Bulls success offensively and the Tigers will have their hands full trying to just slow him down. The Tigers QB Riley Ferguson is quite the player himself throwing for 21 touchdowns this year. The Bulls secondary must be good in this one and their front 4 will need to get a pass rush on Ferguson. South Florida’s offense will be too much to handle for the Tigers in this one. Take South Florida as a favorite on the road.

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Indiana in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-11 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a stout 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt; 110-37 ATS (+69.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992.

Fundamental Discussion Points In this week’s Big Ten action between 10th ranked Penn State and Indiana, our SIM predict Penn State will emerge victorious once again and cover the spread. Following last week’s defeat of Iowa, many are confident Penn State will be able to win out the rest of their schedule, in the hopes of getting a top bowl game, and potentially playing in the Big Ten Championship. PSU running back Saquon Barkley is surging right now, and the PSU offense in turn is doing well because of him, as he makes a late season push for Heisman contention. He ran for 100 yards in the past 3 out of 4 games, and ran for over 200 in 2 out of those 3 games. The Penn State defense has been progressing throughout the past few games as well, allowing 314 yards per game against Purdue and then 234 yards per game against Iowa. The key for the defense this weekend is to shut down QB Richard Lagow and RB Devine Redding. Once they close down the running lanes and take advantage of mistakes made by Lagow (who is tied for most interceptions in Big Ten), the PSU defense will dominate. PSU has the edge in all of the aspects of this game, including team chemistry, and look for them to beat Indiana handily this Saturday.

25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by 17 or more points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; Tennessee is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers.

Tennessee -13.5 vs Kentucky

Kentucky (5-4) travels to Knoxville, Tennessee to play the Volunteers (6-3). In this one we look for Tennessee’s offense led by QB Joshua Dobbs to score some points against Kentucky’s defense who gives up 30.4 points per game. Dobbs has thrown for 1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. The key to Tennessee’s success defensively is to stop Kentucky’s running game. Kentucky averages 215 yards per game on the ground. If Tennessee can slow down their running game and keep the ball in Joshua Dobbs hands they should have no problem in this one. Take Tennessee as the home favorite.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Utah in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a strong 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992; 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a poor 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Whittingham is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Graham is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sun Devils are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Utes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

Fundamental Discussion Points ASU's sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins will be back after he missed two of the last four contests, and missed most of one of the other games due to injuries. Junior tailback Demario Richard has a team-best 532 rushing yards and is expected back after missing the last game because of injury. Never underestimate the starting QB and HB in football coming back from injuries to boost the team to a victory. Sun Devils senior K Zane Gonzalez is 20-of-21 on field goals this season and his 93 career field goals are the most in FBS history. Take Arizona State University Sun Devils.

50* graded play on LSU as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game and upset no.1 Alabama. Given this compelling projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 40* play on the line and a 10* play using the money line. We never know when these dogs will win the game. What we do know is that if you we play these dogs as combination wagers it serves to add another 11% in total return to overall profitability spanning an entire season. Every season for the past 8 seasons, we have had a dog of greater than 17 points win the game outright. This year we had Kansas at 28 ½ against TCU and TCU needed a last-minute score to come away with a 1-point win. Although LSU is not a 17-point dog, it is one that certainly qualifies for the combination wager.

The key part of this combination wager is that we MUST have a money line => +140 for the ROI to be validated. If ever, you cannot get that line, simply play the dog on the line only.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 1992. Road favorites (ALABAMA) with an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards/carry, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Here is a second system that supports LSU and has gone 26-6 ATS for 81% winners since 1992. Play on a home team (LSU) in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.

Now onto the technical that match the SIM projections for the outcome of this game.

·       Alabama is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points.

·       Alabama is just 13-39 ATS (-29.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

·       Alabama is just 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards.

·       LSU is a stout 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards.

·       LSU is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt.

·       LSU is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Alabama rolls into Baton Rouge as the top team in the nation again and takes on a hot LSU Tiger team. The Tigers are 5-2 with both losses being on the road by a total of 7 points against Wisconsin and Auburn with a late TD being pulled off the board against Auburn. This should be another classic Alabama and LSU slugfest. Alabama Quarterback has struggled some in big games throwing at least one pick in each of the big games this year, but the Defense has bailed the offense out and the Tide eventually wore down the opponent. Both teams come off a bye and should be fresh in this one. Leonard Fournette is heating up lately and the Tiger ground game has been rolling Fournette is averaging 8 yards per carry and this should keep the Tigers defense off the field and have some legs late in this one. If LSU can keep the Bama defense from scoring this one should be a dog fight all afternoon. Geaux Tigers today.

Titan).

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Nebraska in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by at least 21 points. It is rare that you get the public enamored with a DOG, but they are with Nebraska. At first glance, it is natural to think a strong team like Nebraska is getting far too many points and think it is a gift. Only 22% of bets have been on OSU, BUT the line has moved 4.5 points higher. This clearly reflects numerous large bets made on Ohio State that more than offset the public’s irrational exuberance on Nebraska.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a strong 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards over the last three seasons.; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last three seasons.; 132-44 ATS (+83.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play

Fundamental Discussion Points Ohio State -17 versus Nebraska

The Buckeyes come off a tough three-game stretch where they were in tight games each week; Nebraska took its first loss last week in Madison against the physical Badgers. We look for Nebraska to come into this one with a little hangover and the horseshoe is not the place for that. Look for the Buckeyes to get the train rolling again this week. JT Barrett comes into this one complete INC 64% of his passes for 272 yards per game, and we look for another strong effort from the Buckeye defense today. Nebraska has not had a signature win as of late, and we look for Tommy Armstrong and the Cornhusker Offense to struggle in Columbus today. Armstrong has 11 TD passes but seven picks to go with that. Ohio State has averaged over 42 points per game, and we look for more of the same as Brutus flexes his muscles today.

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG TEN action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is a money losing 19-61 ATS (-48.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; PSU is a stout 109-37 ATS (+68.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992.

Fundamental Discussion Points After PSU’s recent rankings, many in the college football community believe they were over ranked, and the Penn State football team has a lot to prove this weekend. Coming off of wins the past four weeks, the PSU squad has a ton of momentum going into this game. Trace McSorley (55.2% completion percent, 12 TD, 3 Int) and Saquon Barkley (888 rush yds, ten rush TD, 213 receiving yds, 1 receiving TD) have been carrying the offense for the team, and will likely be a force again this week against Iowa. Iowa’s offense has been largely inconsistent throughout the year, and might put up a struggle to the PSU defense, but will likely not be able to overpower them. Lastly, the chemistry of the Penn State team gives them an added edge – another white out game under the lights at Beaver Stadium and a team that is clicking on all cylinders with its coach is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Expect PSU to continue their winning streak in this Big Ten action this week versus Iowa.

25* graded play on Southern Cal as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play on home favorites (USC) after gaining 575 or more total yards/game over their last two games, with five defensive starters returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last three seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points As defined and graded by the SIM we are back with the Trojans taking on Oregon this week. USC has the ground game going lately, and the Duck stop units haven't been seen lately. Oregon is giving up over 42 points per game and the Trojans bring a solid running game, and the passing game has been good as Darnold has completed67.4 % of his passes and has thrown 18 touchdown passes with only three picks on the year. USC has one of the top OL in the nation ranking 19th in our S&P style metrics this season. Note too that when playing against the better offenses Oregon has given up over 50 points per game, and we see more of that today as the Trojans take out some frustrations on the Ducks while they are down. Fight On tonight.

25* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Navy in NCAA action set to start at 11:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Notre Dame will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Navy is just 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play; 47-21 ATS (+23.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. ND is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt.

Fundamental Discussion Points

This game will be played in Jacksonville and we look for more of what we seen from Navy last week as the Defense gave up 52 points. Notre Dame has too many skilled players and should move the ball with ease today. The strength of the Irish is the run defense which should help today and not put the pressure on the weak secondary. Navy throws for 147 per game but that requires the running game to help the passing game, ND secondary can match up against this class. ND typically wins this one with ease when laying the small number at neutral sites and struggles when laying the big numbers. Look for Deshone Keizer to have a big day with a lot of receivers running free today. The Irish should also be able to control the ground game in this one.

25* graded play on Colorado as they take on UCLA in Thursday PAC-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by at least 17 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season. UCLA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 2 seasons. MacIntyre is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of Colorado. Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bruins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Buffaloes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Fundamental Discussion Points UCLA's Fafaul is coming off a wild, up-and-down outing Oct. 22 against Utah in which he threw for 464 yards and five touchdowns while also tossing four interceptions and losing a fumble in a 52-45 home loss. Buffaloes have been particularly tough against opposing passers, notching 11 interceptions while allowing only eight aerial TDs behind a secondary featuring safety Tedric Thompson (Pac-12-most four interceptions) and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon (Pac-12-most 13 passes defensed). The Buffaloes are getting it done on both sides of the ball, joining Alabama, Ohio State and Louisville as the only teams to rank in the top-20 nationally in total offense and defense at 19th and 12th, respectively. With this all-around strong team against a struggling UCLA, Take Colorado Buffaloes.

25* graded play on Washington as they take on Utah in a critical PAC-12 matchup set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 14 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-3 ATS for an amazing 89% winners since 2005. Play against home underdogs (UTAH) after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 3 straight wins by 21 or more points.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Utah is a money losing 21-60 ATS (-45.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) when they allow 35 to 41.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Huskies come into this one at 7-0 averaging 43 points per game and only giving up 14. However, the Utes are 7-1 and will be the best team the Huskies have faced this year. Last week UCLA was able to put up a lot of points and exposed the Utah defense. We look for Jake Browning to do more of the same today with plenty of weapons in the skull positions. Browning comes into this game with 26 TD passes and only 2 interceptions. The Huskies also have balance in offense bringing a solid running game averaging 227 yards per game. Washington also can match Utah physically and we don't see Utah keeping pace today and eventually wearing down an the Huskies to control this one and make another statement in the PAC 12. Take the Huskies and lay the points.

50* graded play on Texas as they take on Baylor in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 42* play on the line and a 8* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Note that all of them are using the money line and reflect my strong belief that Texas wins SU. Baylor is just 25-79 against the money line (-71.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 7-13 against the money line (-13.1 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt; Texas is 31-3 against the money line (+31.7 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 30-4 against the money line (+26.4 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Baylor team has not really been tested this year, and this is a game that will show how great of a team that they really are. Also, Texas coach Charlie Strong is on the hot seat so far this season, so this is a perfect game for him to prove he can lead this team to victory. With both teams having a lot to prove, expect this game to be hard-fought and difficult. Texas seems to be doing well offensively this year, and expect a big performance from their running back D’onta Foreman this week. The Baylor defense has given up 200 rushing yards to Rice, Oklahoma State, and Iowa State so far this year, so definitely expect Foreman to have a great game. However, it would not be fair to not mention that Texas’ defense is also having trouble. They have allowed 200 rushing yards per game in 2/3 of the past games they have played, on top of struggling to defend the pass or come up with big turnovers. Despite their defensive struggles, I think Texas will capitalize on offense this week in a shootout with Baylor, and will ultimately emerge victorious.

25* graded play on Georgia as they take on Florida in SEC Cocktail action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 31-36 mark good for 46% winners and has made 57 units/unit wagered averaging a huge +300 DOG play since 1992. Play against neutral field favorites vs. the money line (FLORIDA) dominant team outgaining their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/play, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is a solid 18-5 against the money line (+12.4 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play.

Fundamental Discussion Points Going to the Cocktail Party today and using the Bulldogs of Georgia getting a little over a TD against Florida. Gators have controlled this one lately but we look for another slugfest in this one. Gators come into this one  at 5-1 and look to be headed to the SEC Championship game. The Gators bring a solid Defense into this game only allowing 12 points per game, but the offense has not been anything special. Georgia comes in with a 4-3 record with a strong running game and the best running back on the field with Nick Chubb. The Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart was brought here to win these type of games. After getting beat by Vandy at home the defensive minded Smart had two weeks to prepare for this one. Look for a lot of emotion from the Bulldogs today and keep this one a dogfight all day. In a dogfight we want UGA.

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Kentucky in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will win this game by at least 9 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is a money losing 44-96 ATS (-61.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 rushing yards per attempt; Missouri is a stout 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt; 105-33 ATS (+68.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 36-10 ATS (+25.0 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards;

Fundamental Discussion Points Kentucky comes into this game winning 3-of-4 and have covered all four ATS. Missouri has lost 3 straight and lost those games ATS as well. Kentucky’s rushing defense is not good period. Missouri runs the ball a ton. Tigers have gained 613 rushing yards in their last 2 games against Florida and Middle Tenn. State. Kentucky ranks 91st in the nation allowing 207 rushing yards per game. On the other side of the ball, we see that Kentucky, too, runs the ball and ranks 38th in the nation gaining 202 rushing yards per game. However, the Missouri defense is capable of containing that ground attack and forcing Kentucky to throw the ball to move the chains. Kentucky ranks a terrible 108th averaging 178 passing yards per game. Take the Missouri Tigers.

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Purdue in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by at least 20 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-25 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2010. Play on road favorites (PENN ST) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 108-37 ATS (+67.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points; Purdue is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt; 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when they allow 400 to 450 total yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points. Penn State is coming off an incredible victory against Ohio State last weekend at home, and last week Purdue lost 14-27 to Nebraska. Penn State clearly has the momentum going into this game. Though Penn State offense has been struggling recently, this week they will get reignited against one of the most defenses in the Big Ten, Purdue. Whether it is offensively, defensively, special teams, or coaching, Penn State should win on all fronts. Penn State’s offense will have a field day this Saturday, as Barkley and McSorley will team up against a defense that is allowing on average 441 yards per game. Also, PSU special teams have been excellent recently, and were the reason they were able to upset Ohio State last week. Lastly, last weeks win was definitely huge for Coach Franklin of PSU. Many thought him to be on the hot seat for a while, but this game was huge for building team confidence around him, and this will show throughout the rest of the season.

25* graded play on USC as they take on California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by 21 points or more.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-26 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (CALIFORNIA) with a poor first half defense allowing 16 or more points per game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored. Here is a second system that has produced a 44-17 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1992. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a stout 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards; 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt; 118-58 ATS (+54.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points; 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Based on the predictive algorithms, USC is a Top-20 team and is playing extremely well right now. They are riding a strong three game win streak and easily defeated Arizona last week. They also knocked off a ranked Colorado team the week before. Cal’s defense is poor ranking 120th allowing 41.3 PPG and 121st allowing 5.7 rushing yards per game. The matchup advantage for USC is pounding the ball on the ground where they rank 33rd gaining 4.9 yards per rush. They have rushed for 501 yards on 86 carries in their last two wins. This has not only worn down a defensive line, but also opened up play action pass plays where USC’s elite receivers have been in man coverage. The same again tonight.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will lose this game and may win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-11 ATS good for 75% winners since 2005. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA ST) that is a struggling team outgained by their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after gaining 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when their defense allows 400 or more net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points For this game we head out to the desert in Tempe, Arizona at Sun Devil Stadium where the Washington State Cougars take on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona St. comes into this game at 5-2 on the season and 4-0 at home where they average 46.5 points per game and average 463 yards of offense in those games. Meanwhile Washington St. sits at 4-2 but have won their last 4 games after starting the season 0-2. Washington St. averages 542 passing Yards per game and the Arizona State defense gives up an average of 385 yards through the air each week. We look for Washington St. to air the ball out on offense and score some points but Arizona State loves to play in front of their home crowd and they too can score some points. Look for this to be a more offensive type game with a decent amount of points being scored but Arizona St. should keep it close at home. Take Arizona State at home with the points.

50* graded play on UCLA as they take on Utah in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 10 points. The 50* play is the strongest possible play identified by the algorthims. Applying many machine learning and predictive modeling tools (Beyasian probabilities) to 30-years of historical results provide the most optimal forward looking predictive tools available right now. Unlike traditional probability, which uses a frequency to try to estimate probability, Bayesian probability is generally expressed as a percentage. In its most basic form, it is the measure of confidence, or belief, that a person holds in a proposition. Using Bayesian probability allows a researcher to judge the amount of confidence that they have in a particular result. As you readily see, these technologies are useful in many industries including insurance, banking, investment banking, human clinical trial analyses, biochemical based research, and of course sports predictive modeling.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Utah has been a money losing 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points; UCLA is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt; 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play. Betting consensus figures also show a rather rare situation where the public has reached ‘red flag’ levels on the DOG. As we know, the public loves betting the favorites, so when betting levels exceed 70% on a dog it only adds more support to the Algorithm projections. 71% of all best have been on Utah. However, the line has moved from UCLA -6 to UCLA -7 at most of the major books I monitor. This too is a positive, since it reflects the large ‘smart money’ is more than offsetting the public’s irrational exuberance for Utah.

Fundamental Discussion Points  UCLA has a very strong passing game that has not been held in check in any game this season. Utah has been pounded by the ground game in their last two games and I believe there will be ample running room for the Bruin RB. Although, not necessary, if UCLA does establish the run early in this game, it will put the Utah secondary in man coverage on the perimeter and will be greatly mismatched against faster, quicker, and bigger playmakers.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas A&M will lose this game by fewer than 17 points and has an outside shot a major upset of No. 1 Alabama.   If you get access to a money line, then simply add a 3* amount to the 25* play using the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners and has made 21 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play on road underdogs (TEXAS A&M) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams posting win percentages >= 80% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when the total is between 56.5 and 63; 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points Texas A&M +18 versus Alabama

The Aggies head to Tuscaloosa to take on the Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Aggies come into this game at 6-0 with quality wins over Auburn, Arkansas, and Tennessee. Texas A&M comes into this game averaging 274 rushing yards per game and 6.8 yards per carry. This powerful rushing game includes Trayveon Williams (5 TD’s) and also a very versatile QB in Trevor Knight who has 9 rushing touchdowns this season. Look for A&M’s power rushing to slow down this game and keep their defense off the field and well rested to match up against that Alabama offense that averages just over 500 yards of offense per game. Playing Alabama at home is never a small task but look for Texas A&M to give it all they got for this big SEC matchup in Tuscaloosa and for them to keep it close and give Alabama a fight at home. Take Texas A&M with the points.