Louisville vs Notre Dame
2:20 PM EST, October 17, 2020

Scott Satterfield’s offense may not be very efficient, but it sure is explosive. The Cardinals are a top-12 team in passing and rushing explosiveness but rank in the bottom half of college football in Passing and Rushing Success Rate.

The inconsistencies on offense can really be boiled down to their offensive line play, as they’ve allowed 14 sacks and 40 tackles for loss in their first four games.

The Cards have done most of their damage through the air with quarterback Micale Cunningham, who is a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s regressed from last year. Last season, Cunningham averaged 11.2 yards per attempt, but this year, he’s dropped all the way down to 8.0. He’s also only completing 58.9% of his passes, so this is a game in which I see him, having a monster game.

Notre Dame is 1-12 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 or more points.

Here is a betting system that has earned a 38-11 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and requires us to bet on any team with 16 or more returning starters and has lost their last two games.

Auburn vs South Carolina
12:00 Noon EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Auburn Tigers

In the Tiger’s last trip to Columbia in 2011, the No 10 Gamecocks were upset by an unranked Tigers squad 16-13. The Tigers are 3-0 straight-up (SU) and 2-1 against-the-spread (ATS) in Columbia, 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS at home, and 3-1-1 SU and ATS in neutral site games facing the Gamecocks.

This college football betting system supports the Tigers and has earned an outstanding 77-34-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. More recently, the system has achieved a 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets over the previous three seasons.

There are three requirements for this system. The first is to bet on any team averaging 280 to 330 offensive YPG on the season. The second and third is the opponent gaining 390 to 440 YPG on the season and coming off a game gaining 7.25 or more yards-per-play. That is all there is to track this highly profitable betting system.

The Tigers are -3 points via Bet MGM. The machine learning models project that the Tigers will rush the ball for a minimum of 150 yards and score 28 points. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded this pair of performance measures has led them to a 74-5 SU mark for 94% wins and 53-23-3 ATS record and 70% winning bets that covered the number by an average of 7 points.

Taking the previous pair of performance measures and adding games in which the Tigers were a road favorite improves the results to a perfect 12-0 SU winning these games by an average of 21 points and 10-1-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the number by an average of 11.4 points.

Boston College vs Pittsburgh
4:00 PM EST, October 10, 2020

10-Star Titan on the Pitt Panthers

Here is a solid betting system that has earned a 100-50 ATS record gopod for 67% winning bets since 1990. The requirements are to bet on road teams, which is obviously Pittsburgh, in a game in which both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and is now facing a host that is coming off a close loss of 7 or fewer points to a conference rival.  BC lost 26-22 to UNC as 14.5-point dogs last week.

Pitt defense will be on display in this matchup and the machine learning models project that BC will gain less than 5 yards per play and not exceed 100 rushing yards. In past games in which Pitt met or exceeded these performance measures has led to an outstanding 33-7 SU mark and 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2006; 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS as a road favorite.

Texas Tech vs Iowa State
3:30 PM EST, October 10, 2020

7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Cyclones

Coming off its first win over Oklahoma in Ames, Iowa, since 1960, No. 24 Iowa State is looking to keep its focus against a visiting Texas Tech team that is trying to find a way to win. In the last two weeks, Texas Tech (1-2, 0-2 Big 12) dropped an overtime decision to then-No. 8 Texas and then squandered a fourth-quarter lead at Kansas State.

The machine learning models project that ISU will average a minimum of 9 yards-per-pass-attempt and will score at least 31 points. In past games in which the Cyclones met or exceeded these performance measures has earned a 15-3 SU record and 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets since 2006.

Florida vs Texas A&M
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Florida Gators.

This betting system has earned a 138-83 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the last 10 seasons and serves the active bettor well. It has produced a profit of $4,300 for the $100 bettor for a 19% return on investment (ROI). This betting system has four parameters that work together to produce consistent returns over the past 10 seasons.  The requirements are to bet against teams in the regular or postseason that were a bowl or playoff team from last year and are coming off a loss of 14 to 31 points as a ranked team.

The Aggies are coming off a loss as a ranked team to No 2 Alabama by the final score of 52-24 losing by 28 points and failing to cover the spread as 18-point road underdogs. The loss did not cause the Aggies much damage in the rankings this week as they find themselves positioned at No 14.

Tweaking this system produces a 17-7 SU record and 15-9 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets with a ranked team coming off a 14 to 31 point loss to a team ranked better than them, and is now facing another team ranked better than them in the current AP poll.

This awesome money line betting system has earned an outstanding 56-34 ATS record for 62% winning bets spanning the last 10 seasons and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $4,900. The requirements of this money line system are to bet on a home team using the money line off a blowout loss by 21 or more points to a conference rival that has five or more defensive returning starters than the current opponent.

This money line system has earned an 85-21 record for 80% winning bets since 2000. The requirements are to bet on a road team using the money line that is an excellent offensive team averaging 6.2 or more yards-per-play, after two consecutive games in which they gained 6.3 or more yards-per-play in each of them and is now facing an opponent with a struggling defense that is allowing at least 6.25 yards-per-play.

The machine learning models project that the Gators will score 28 or more points and average at least nine yards-per-pass attempt. In past games in which the Gators met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go on to earn a 40-1 SU record for 98% wins and a 32-5-2 ATS mark good for 87% winning bets that have covered by an average of 10.4 points.

When the Aggies have played games in which they allowed 28 or more points and more than 9 yards per pass attempt they have gone onto a miserable 5-27 SU record for 16% wins and 7-23-2 ATS record for 23% winning bets.

Virginia Tech vs UNC
12:00 PM EST, October 10, 2020

7-Star Play on the V-Tech Hokies

Let us start with a betting system that has earned a solid 76-35 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team that has a strong ground attack averaging a minimum of 4.8 yards-per-rush and are coming off a game in which they out rushed the opponent by a minimum of 150 yards and are now facing an average rusinmg team averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 yards-per-rush. Simply said, Tech has the better ground attach and will use that strength to control the clock and dominate time-of-possession.

The machine learning models project that the Hokies will gain at least 5 yards-per-rush and will have fewer turnovers than UNC. In past games in which the Hokies met or exceeded this pair of performance measures they have earned a 21-1 SU record and 19-3 ATS for 86.4% winning bets.

Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech
7:00 PM EST, October 9, 2020

7-Star Upset Alert on Georgia Tech

What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?

My Machine learning models project that G-Tech will average 5.5 or more rushing yards-per-attempt and score 28 or more points. In past games in which Tech met or exceeded this par of performance measures they have gone to a 37-7 SU record and 32-9-2 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets since 2011; in home conference games installed as a dog they have gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2011. Take Tech.

Virginia Cavaliers vs No 1 Clemson Tigers
Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
8:00 PM EST, October 3, 2020
Clemson -28 O/U: 55 points

The top-ranked Clemson Tigers, who are 2-0 overall and 1-0 in the ACC host the Virginia Cavaliers, who own a 1-0 overall and ACC Conference record. The two teams had not faced eachother for six consecutive seasons until last seasons’ ACC Championship game and now 10 months later face eachother again. The Tigers simply dominated the Cavaliers on both sides of the ball in their 62-17 ACC Championship win and covered the spread as 29.5-point favorites quite easily.

Virginia trailed only by 7 points at the end of a 14-7 first quarter, but from there on the game was controlled by the Tigers. Clemson returning QB Trevor Lawrence threw for 302 yards completing 16 of 22 passes including 4 touchdowns and zero interceptions. All combined, he earned a ridiculously high QB rating of 248. Overall, the Tigers outgained the Cavaliers by 232 offensive yards and forced three turnovers and did not turn the ball over.

I have found over my 26 years of sports data research, predictions, and picks that meaningful data points can be obtained from look at the previous game’s boxes score. Hence, the wording of What’s Next for a team coming off specific performance measures.

The Cavaliers are coming off a strong start to their 2020 season with a 30-20 win over Duke University and easily covered the spread as 3.5-point home favorites. They gained 185 rushing yards on 46 attempts for a 4.02 yards-per-rush ratio. QB Brennan Armstrong had an inconsistent game throwing for 269 yards but completing 53% of his 45 pass attempts for 24 completed passes. He averaged just 4.9 yards-per-pass-attempt including 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

So, what’s next for the Cavaliers coming off this game based on their performances. The Cavaliers as road double-digit underdogs are 6-33 straight-up (SU) for 15% wins. 19-18-2 against-the-spread (ATS) for 51.4% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ is 20-19 for 51% in games played following a game in which they averaged 4.2 or fewer rushing yards-per-attempt since 2006. Not much revealed one way or the other from just that alone. If we filter the data to include games over the last five seasons the Cavaliers are 0-12 SU, 7-5 ATS for 58% winning bets, and the ‘UNDER’ has earned a 7-5 winning record.

Combine Cavalier Rushing Yards and Turnover Margin

When combining rushing yards per attempt and turnover margin the brilliant College Football database reveals that the Cavaliers are 4-7 SU for 36% wins, 4-7 ATS, and 8-3 ‘OVER’ for 73% winning bets. So, now I have a possible lean to bet the ‘OVER’. But we have only just begun to drill the data.

The Tigers are 15-4 ATS when competing against a conference foe in games played spanning the last three seasons. They had half-time leads of 14 or more points in their last two games. The Tigers are 11-2 ATS after leading their previous two games by 14 or more points at the half in games played over the last three seasons.

The Tigers offense is looking quite good noting that they scored 20 or more points in the first half of each of the first two games this season. So, the Tigers are a 13-3 ATS following two straight games scoring 20 or more points in the first half in games played over the last three seasons.

So, here we get into a formidable team situation supporting a bet on the Tigers. Teams that ranked in the Top-5 and did not cover the spread in their last two games and are now favored by 20 or more points and facing an opponent off a SU win are an impressive 21-1 SU for 96% wins, 15-7 ATS for 68% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ 10-9-1 for 53% in games played since 2006.

What Does the Machine Learning Project for This Game?

The machine learning models predict a near certainty that the Tigers will score 28 or more points in this game. Teams ranked 5 or higher in the polls and score 28 points are 743-74 SU for 91% wins, 490-295-16 ATS for 62.4% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ has earned a solid 404-267-20 record in game splayed since 2006.  More specifically, when the Tigers are 47-1 SU for 98% wins, 32-14-1 ATS for a money-making 70% winning bets, and an even 23-23-1 record on the total in games played since 2016. 

Take the Clemson Tigers and lay the wood as a College Football Best Bet

No 7 Auburn Tigers vs No 4 Georgia Bulldogs
Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
7:30 PM EST, October 3, 2020
Georgia -6.5   o/u: 45

This is a matchup of nationally ranked SEC Conference Titans squaring off in Athens, GA Saturday Night with a lot on the line.  Speaking of the line, the Georgia Bulldogs are a 6.5-point home favorite, but the early betting flows sees the professionals backing the Auburn Tigers. The number of betting tickets is even at 50-50, but 75% of the money is on the Tigers and the line will move to a price of 6 points.

The Tigers are 21-17 straight-up for 55% wins, but a money-burning 14-23 ATS for 38% winning bets when coming off a game allowing 14 or fewer points. The news from the database queries improves to 12-8 SU for 60% winning bets and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets coming off a game where the offense averaged at least 5.5 yards-per-play, had 1 or zero turnovers and play on the road against a conference foe in games played since 2010.

This money line betting system has earned an 54-57 record for just 49% winners but has averaged a +220-dog wager in making the $100 bettor a profit of $4,930 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs between +150 and +300 in a game where both teams have returned five or fewer offensive starters. Since 1990, this simple betting system has made the $100 bettor a profit of $7,430. This system supports the Auburn Tigers.

The models project that the Tigers will force the Bulldogs into at least two turnovers, will have one or zero turnovers and will rush for 150 or more yards. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 29-1 SU record and a 21-8-1 ATS record producing 72.4% winning bets that have covered by an average of 9.3 points.

The Tigers are 3-0 SU and ATS when on the road installed as a dog and meeting or exceeded the previously mentioned performance measures. Further, the best of the best is the fact that when the Tigers meet the projections mentioned above while playing a conference foe they are a perfect 14-0 SU and 13-1 ATS for 93% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 16 points.

No 13 Texas A&M Aggies vs No 2 Alabama Crimson Tide
Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
3:30 PM EST, October 3, 2020
7-Star Titan on the Texas A&M Aggies

There are few matchups that are more enjoyable to watch then when two ranked teams out of the SEC Conference lock horns. This is one of them when No 13 Texas A&M Aggies travel to Tuscaloosa to face the No 2 Alabama Crimson Tide, who are favored by 17 points. Both teams are 1-0 overall and 1-0 in the SEC. The Tide got off to fast 28-3 start hosting the Missouri Tigers and coasted to the 38-19 win but failed to cover as 27.5-point favorites. The Aggies got off to unorthodox 7-5 half-time before getting control of the game in the second stanza against a determined Vanderbilt Commodores team to win 17-12 but failed to cover the spread as 25.5-point favorites.

Here is a College Football betting system that has earned a 75%-win percentage on a 39-13 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the last 10 seasons. The betting system requires us to bet on road teams that scored and allowed 17 or fewer points in their last game and are now facing a host, who led by 17 or more points at the half in their last game. Over the last three seasons this system has been a near-imperfect 10-1 ATS for 92% winning bets.

For a matchup of SEC teams, a posted total of 52-points is low scoring and does reflect the strength of both defenses in this matchup. So, the betting lines indicate a final score of 34-17 based on the Tide favored by 17 points and the posted total of 52-points. The projections call for the Aggies to hold the Tide to 28 or fewer points and not have more turnovers than the Tide.

In past games in which the Aggies met or exceeded these performance measures in SEC matchups they have earned an outstanding 24-3 SU record and a 22-3 ATS mark for 88% winning bets since 2006. When they achieved these performance measures in road SEC games, they are 12- SU and ATS covering the spread by an average of 12 points.

The Tide is 4-3 SU and an imperfect 0-7 ATS in home conference games when they have not scored more than 28 points and lost the turnover battle.

No 12 North Carolina Tarheels take to the road and to visit Chestnut Hill to take on the ACC rival Boston College Eagles. The Tarheels were ranked 18th in the 2020 preseason poll and are now ranked 12th after their dominating 31-6 win over conference rival Syracuse Orange. They were installed as 24-point home favorites and covered that spread by a single point. This is the highest ranking the Tarheels have enjoyed since being ranked 8th in Week 13 of the 2015 season.

The Tarheels are installed as 14.5-point road favorite with a posted total of 54 points. The betting public accounts for more than 70% of the bets placed on the Tarheels, but account for 48% of the total money bet on the game of the 20 sportsbooks that I track. Of the parlay bets made on this game 72% are betting the Tarheels and the ‘OVER’. So, this is a sign of irrational betting with so many obsessed with the Tarheels and provides a contrarian type of bet on Boston College.

The Tarheels have not played a game in three weeks after a non-conference game against Charlotte University was cancelled due to COVID-19 related illnesses to Charlotte’s offensive unit. The layoff will not have negative impact to their performance in this game. They have the best depth on the roster in many seasons and have a sophomore QB in Sam Howell that plays at a level far beyond his years. For the 2019 season he completed 259 of his 422 pass attempts for 61.4%, gaining 3,641 yards including 38 touchdown passes and just 7 interceptions.

The total was lined at 65 points in the Syracuse game, which implied a higher scoring game than what was the result. The Tarheels sputtered during the first half and held a 7-3 lead. It was not until the fourth quarter that they got things ignited and scored 21 unanswered points. Howell was the main reason for the offensive explosion and for the game completed 25 of 34 passes for 75% completions, 295 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Syracuse does have an elite-level defensive unit, so it is not concerning that Howell and the offense had some rust to get rid of.

The Tarheels ground attack was dominating in the fourth quarter and helped open the play action passing scheme. RB Javonte Williams had 57 rushing yards on 14 attempts including 3 touchdowns. RB Michael Carter had just 7 touches but gained 78 rushing yards for an 11.1 yards-per-rush average. WR Dyami Brown had a huge day catching 6 balls for 94 yards and a 15.7 yards-per-catch average.

The Tarheels and head coach Mack Brown have a luxury consisting of 10 of 11 returning starters on offense including their QB Howell and return 7 from last year’s defense. In this matchup the defense will get the accolades being matched against an Eagle offense that returns 6 offensive starters and 9 on defense. The Tarheel defense is vastly better than the Eagle defense and despite having 9 returning defensive starters I do not see the Eagles containing the Tarheel offense for all four quarters.

The Tarheels gained 160 rushing yards on 35 carries against one of the better defensive fronts seven in the ACC and will gain even more than that against the Eagle defense.

The 28-point scoring level is a pivotal one with many teams having much better results straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) when they score 28 or more points versus game sin which they do not. The machine learning models project that the Tarheels will score 28 or more points. In past games in which the Tarheels scored 28 or more points has earned a 175-36 SU record for 83% wins, 142-55 ATS record good for 72% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ winning the money 77% on a 64-19-4 record since 1980.

My highly intelligent database reveals that the Tarheels are 17-1 SU and winning these games by an average of 25 points, and 15-3 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 7.9 points in road games and favored by double-digits.

Take the North Carolina Tarheels and lay the wood as a College Football Best Bet

Florida State vs 12 Miami (FLA)
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
7:30 PM EST, September 26, 2020

This betting system has earned a losing 45-153 record for 23% SU wins and 117-75-6 ATS mark good for 61% winners over the past 15 seasons. The requirements for an active opportunity are to bet on unranked road teams facing a conference foe and installed as a 3.5 or greater underdog and facing a ranked team between game numbers 2 and 5 of the regular seasons.

Now, let us drill down through this data to determine a sub-set that has posted better results. Applying the data to only show games played in the ACC Conference produces a 5-18 SU record for 22% wins and a 15-8 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets since 2005.

One more drill down produces a subset that has earned a 7-12 SU record for 37% wins and a jaw-dropping 16-3 ATS mark good for 84% when the team (Seminoles) is coming off a road game installed as a favorite. 

The Hurricanes are coming off a terrific 47-34 win over the Louisville Cardinals in which the Hurricanes graduate transfer QB D’Eriq King completed 18 of 30 pass attempts for 325 yards and three touchdowns. The Hurricanes are a solid 5-1 ATS coming off a game throwing for 300 or more passing yards and rushing for at least 150 yards.

However, the news is not all good given that the Hurricane defense was dominated in allowing 209 rushing yards and 309 passing yards. Hurricanes are a terrible 1-7 ATS for 11% winning bets following a game in which their defense allowed a minimum of 180 rushing yards and 250 passing yards.

The machine learning models project that the Seminoles will gain 8.5 or more yards-per-play and will score 28 or more points. In past games in which the Seminoles met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn an outstanding 12-0 SU record and a 9-3 ATS mark for 75% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 11 points.

22 Army vs 14 Cincinnati

September 26, 2020, 3:30 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Cincinnati Bearcats

Army is off to a fast start winning and covering both games they have played. They defeated Middle Tenn State 42-0 as a 3.5-point home favorite and defeated LA-Monroe 37-7 as 24-point home favorites. The bad news for the Cadets is that they are 5-15 ATS after two consecutive games scoring at least 31 points in each and 11-27 ATS following two straight games in which they outrushed their opponents by 150 or more rushing yards in each game.

The machine learning models project that Cincinnati will score at least 28 points and allow less than 350 offensive yards. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 47-0 SU record and 34-10-1 ATS record good for 77% winning bets since 2006 and 7-1 ATS over the last three seasons.

8 Texas vs Texas Tech
Jones ATT Stadium, Lubbock, TX
3:30 PM EST, September 26, 2020

The machine learning models project that the Longhorns will gain at least 6.9 yards-per-play, score 28 or more points, and have fewer turnovers than Texas Tech. In past games in which the Longhorns have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets that have covered by an average of 13 points.

12:00 PM EST, September 26, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet on the Auburn Tigers

Bo Nix, son of the Auburn legend QB, set school freshman records of 2,542 passing yards and 16 touchdown passes and will be even better than that this season. For a freshman in the SEC, Nix certainly took care of the ball with just six interceptions. He enters the season with a school-record streak of 191 thrown passes without an interception, which is the second-best active streak nationally behind Clemson star Trevor Lawrence (276).

The Tigers (9-4, 5-3 SEC in 2019) also reached the 50-point mark four times during Nix's initial campaign. That ties for second in program history behind the six 50-point outings Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton put on the board during the school's 2010 national championship season.

The machine learning tools project that the Tigers will gain at least 150 rushing yards and score at least 27 points and average at least 9 yards-per-pass play. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 49-3 SU record and a 36-15-1 ATS mark for 71% winning bets since 2006 and 13-3 ATS over the last three seasons.

UAB vs South Alabama
Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
7:30 PM EST, September 24, 2020

On Thursday Night at Hancock Whitney Stadium the C-USA UAB Blazers will be the guests of the Sun Belt South Alabama Jaguars with both teams coming off losses. The Blazers were man-handled at Miami 31-14 and failed to cover the generous 15.5 point spread back on September 10. The Jaguars are coming off a tough 27-24 home loss to Tulane, but easily covered the spread as 11.5-point underdogs. The Blazers are 1-1 versus the total line while the Jaguars have seen both of their games go ‘UNDER’ the total line.

The Blazers head coach Bill Clark is excited about the season given that he has 18 of the 22 starters from last season returning to play this one. The Blazers return nine starters on offense including their quarterback and red shirt junior Tyler Johnston III, who has been their starter for the past three seasons. In 2019, he threw for 2,250 yards on 59% completions including 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Cutting down the number of interceptions and improving the touchdown-to-interception ratio were addressed during the off season. He was off to a vastly improved start to the season before injuring his shoulder and is out indefinitely.

The biggest asset on the team is the return of all five starting offensive linemen from last season. The OL unit is by far the most complex and most difficult for any group of five teammates to work together to make the most out of every possession. UAB has four red shirt Seniors and a red shirt Junior on the offensive line and their chemistry is extremely positive having the experience of playing together for many games. Having an experienced QB and OL has proven to reduce mistakes and execute game plans at a much higher level. So, backup sophomore QB Bryson Lucero will have added confidence because of the experienced OL.

Here is an impeccable betting system that has earned a 22-8 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons and 15-2 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets. The instructions required are to play on any team off an extremely tough loss of three or fewer points during the first four weeks of the regular season. An amazing 58% of these games covered the spready a minimum of 7 points.

I have previously discussed the importance of 28 points and the implications for NCAA football teams when they score or more or allow more than 28 points in a game. There are the high-powered offenses every year, like the LSU Tigers, in 2019 that will have a higher pivot point for points scored and allowed.  Overall, I have found the 28-point pivot to be identified by the machine learning models more often.

So, the projections call for the Jaguars to score 28 or more points, gain a minimum of 175 rushing yards, will have more rushing yards than the Blazers, and average at least 1.0 or more yards-per-play. In past games in which the Jaguars scored 28 or more points they have earned a solid 26-13 SU record and 23-15-1 ATS mark for 61% winning bets since 2012. The Blazers are a miserable 17-116 SU for 13% wins and 40-81-2 ATS for 33% winning bets since 2012. Worse yet is that the Blazers are 1-8 SU and ATS for 11.1% winners when installed as a road favorite and allowing the host to score 28 or more points.

The Jaguars are a robust money making 15-4 SU for 79% wins and 11-6-2 ATS for 65% winning bets when outgaining their opponent by at least 1.25 yards-per-play since 2012 and 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS spanning games played over the last three seasons.

Wake returns just three starters on offense but return eight starters on defense. Despite the lack of expereince on offense, they held up well against Clemson, who has a one of the best defensive units in the nation. They do return eight starters on defense that will match up quite well against a solid Wolfpack offensive unit.

Wake played many high-scoring games in 2019 and as a result the defense was spending too much time on the field and gave up too many fourth quarter scores. The offense is geared towards moving the chains and keeping the opposing offense off the field, which is the winning recipe facing the Wolfpack.

Here is a proven betting system that has earned a solid 57-22 ATS record since 1990 and instructs us to play on road teams in the first four weeks of the season that have a new starting QB and was a bowl team that lost the last two games of the season.

The projections call for Wake to score at least 28 points and throw for an average of at least 9 or more passing yards-per-attempt. In past games in which Wake has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 20-0 SU record and an amazing 18-1 ATS mark for 85% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 9.5 points.

Take the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as a Best Bet Upset Alert this Saturday.

7-Star Upset Alert Titan on the Miami Hurricanes

Last season, the Hurricanes destroyed the Cardinal 55-27 with Quarterback Jarren Williams throwing for a school-record six touchdowns. After that game, it appeared that the Hurricanes were on the national stage, but Williams never even came close to matching that performance over the remainder of the season. He transferred to Garden City Community College in Kansas to hopefully finish out his NCAA career.

The Hurricanes lost a lot of talent from last season’s team due to the NFL draft and players opting out of the season account of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, for those choosing to play has brough them great opportunities and the Hurricanes starting QB D’Eriq King, who is a graduate transfer from the University of Houston, is making the most of it. He has an active NCAA-record scoring streak of having at least one touchdown pass and one rushing touchdown in 16 consecutive games. So, the Hurricanes offense under new OC Rhett Lashlee, will look to play fast and optimize the duel threat athleticism of King.

The Louisville defense allowed three scoring touchdowns last week in their 35-21 win over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers last week. However, two of these scores involved drives of 1 and 4 yards, after failed special team plays. One of the turnovers was a dropped ball by the punter and then a blocked punt. So, taking those miscues into account, the Louisville defense may have allowed 10 or fewer points.

The defense also got a turnover on downs at the goal line and had 11 tackles-for-loss and reflects consistent gap discipline and penetration they attained. This unit will have to play even better against the Hurricane offense that suddenly has many weapons and King, who is even being mentioned in Heisman conversations.

The following team situational results are based on their games last week. The Hurricanes are 6-1 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) after a game in which they rushed for 300 or more yards since the 2011 season. Moreover, the Hurricanes are a stout 18-4 SU and 14-8 ATS for 64% winning bets when out rushing their previous opponent by 125 or more yards since 2011.

The Cardinal is just 18-28 ATS for 39% winning bets following a game where their defense forced no more than one turnover in games played since 2011. Moreover, they are 6-17 ATS for 26% winning bets when the next game has been at home and a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS when ranked in the Top-25 poll.

This money line betting system has earned an outstanding 41-31 record for 56% winning wagers and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $4,910 over the last 10 seasons. The betting system instructs us to bet on road team using the money line that are facing an opponent coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by at least 175 yards and has at least eight returning starters on offense during the first four weeks of the regular season.

The current lines showing Louisville favored by 2.5 points and total of 65 points implies a 34-31 Louisville win. However, the machine learning projections sees the final score favoring the Hurricanes if they can contain the Cardinal to fewer than 28 points. When the Hurricanes have been installed as a road dog and have held the host to fewer than 28 points has produced a 16-12 SU record and a jaw-dropping 23-5 ATS mark for 82% winning bets since 1990.

The Cardinal is just 10-4 SU and 1-13 ATS when they have been a home favorite and scored fewer than 28 points in games played since 2011. The ‘UNDER’ is a perfect 14-0 in these games.

14 University of Central Florida vs Georgia Tech­
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
3:30 PM EST, September 19, 2020
Coverage: ABC

The No 14 UCF Knights will take to the field for the first time in the 2020 season. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets went into Tallahassee as a 13-point underdog and upset the Florida State Seminoles 16-13. Their confidence will be high knowing they have another opportunity to upset a ranked opponent in the Knights. The Jackets find themselves installed as 7.5-point home underdogs with a over/under line of 63-points. These lines imply a final score of 35-28 with the Knights winning.

The Jackets return nine offensive and 10 defensive starters. The biggest story coming out of last week’s win is all about the superior play of freshman quarterback Curtis Sims, who became the first-ever freshman QB to win a season opener and is the first fresh to start at Georgia Tech since Reggie Ball did in the 2003 season. He performed more like an experienced senior throwing for 277 passing yards on 24 completions, which is the highest since 2003. So, with all five offensive linemen back Sims will get solid protection and run blocking from this experienced unit and that is a major advantage for the Jackets in this matchup.

The defense is an even bigger story for the Jackets having held the Seminoles to just 307 total yards and 3.8 yards-per-play. The unit also forced three turnovers with their aggressive hard-hitting play. Linebacker Quez Jackson had an interception and led the team with nine tackles including 7 solo tackles. One fumble was forced and recovered by LB David Curry, who also had seven total tackles including four solo ones. The second fumble was recovered by defensive lineman Djimon Brooks, who also had three total tackles. There were three additional fumbles forced, but the Seminoles managed to recover them. In case you wanted to know, the most fumbles the Seminoles have had in a game is 7 and fumbles lost is 4 in all games played since 1990.

The Jacket defense played with a disciplined focus and were never caught out of position throughout the entire game. Head Coach Geoff Collins knows this is a solid recipe to contain the UCF juggernaut offense.

This betting system has earned an amazing 59-25 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 76% winning tickets over the last 30 seasons. The system instructs us to be on home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are facing an opponent in the first four weeks of the season that won their last three games of the previous season.

The key to this game and for the Jackets to cover the spread is to keep UCF from scoring more than 28 points and not get into a shooting match with them. In past games, in which the Jacks and their opponent both score 27 or more points they have gone a dismal 1-9 ATS for 10% winning bets. The 28-point level is a pivot point for the majority of NCAAF teams and not just for this matchup.

So, the projections call for the Jackets to score 27 or more points and have at least 5 more first downs than the Knights. In games played in which the Jackets scored 27 or more points and had more than 5 first downs than their opponent has seen them go on to record a 49-4 SU record and 40-11 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 10.3 points.

Take the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets plus the points as a Best Bet Upset Alert.

Duke vs Boston College

September 19, 2020, 12:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Boston College

Here is a solid betting system that supports BC and has earned an 86-34 ATS record good for 71% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. The system instructs us to bet against any team after being outgained by 125 total yards in their previous game and with an inexperienced QB in the first four weeks of the regular season. If the play against team (Duke) is a home favorite the system improves to 36-11 for 77% ATS winning bets.

The machine learning models project that BC will rush for at least 250 rushing yards and average at least 5.0 yards-per-rush. In past games in which BC met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a 21-3 SU record and a 20-4 ATS record that covers the spread by an average of 10.3 points. If BC was installed as an underdog they have posted a 7-2 SU record and 9-0 ATS mark covering by an average of 16.3 points.

8:00 PM EST, September 12, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Coming off a dismal 3-8 SU 2018 season, the Hilltoppers had an impressive 9-4 SU campaign in 2019 and topped it off with a win over Western Michigan in the First Responders Bowl. Both teams have an abundance of returning starters this season. The Hilltoppers return 7 on offense and 9 on defense while the Louisville Cardinals return 8 on offense and 8 on defense. However, the difference maker in this game will be the Hilltopper defensive unit.

The Cardinals offense also has returning quarterback Micale Cunningham, who is a red-shirt junior and a duel run-pass threat. He has gained 979 rusing yards with 11 touchdowns and passed for 2,538 yards on 62% completions with 23 touchdowns, and 6 picks over his last two seasons. Despite these impressive stats, I see the offense struggling against a very fast and disciplined Hilltopper defensive unit. In order to contain a duel threat QB it is imperative for the defense to maintain their individual gap areas and not over react to Cunningham’s ball fakes – and the unit will do a great job.

From the machine learning tools and models the Hilltoppers are projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 yards per pass attempt and contain Louisville to fewer than 28 points. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 10 points. In 2018, they had Louisville on the ropes leading 14-6 starting the fourth quarter, before Louisville scored 14 points in the fourth to win 20-17. WKU was a 21 point underdog and they did exceed the performance measures mentioned above.

8:00 PM EST, September 5, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Memphis Tigers

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a 37-10 against-the-spread ATS record for 79% winning bets spanning the last 10 seasons. The system, which I commonly call a situational database query, instructs us to play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that was an outstanding offense averaging 6.4 or more yards-per-play last season and has their starting quarterback from last season returning this season.

I wrote about the immense value of returning starters on offense, especially when four or five of the previous season’s starting offensive line returns for this season. Memphis has this in place to start their season and it will pay them handsome dividends over the first four weeks of the season.

From the machine learning tools, Memphis is projected to average at least 9.0 yards-per-pass-play and out-gain Arkansas State by at least 200 yards. In past games in which Memphis met or exceeded these projections they have gone on to earn a 13-1 ATS record for 93% winning bets that has also covered the spread by an average of 20.5 points.

SMU Mustangs vs Texas State

September 5, 2020, 4:30 PM EST
7-Star Titan Best on the Texas State

From the machine learning tools and projections Texas State is projected to pass for 75 fewer yards than SMU will pass for and that SMU will NOT exceed 31 or more points. In past Texas State games where this pair of measures were met or exceeded they are 19-10 ATS for 66% winning bets; 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when installed as a double digit dog.

If you do like teasers, consider a 6-point teaser adding 6-points to the current total  and adding 6-points to the current line. This makes the total about 72.5/73 points playing ‘UNDER’ and the T-State a 29/30-poit underdog.

SMU has not done well in games expected to be high scoring and are 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 over the last three seasons.

The South Alabama Jaguars, who are members in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference will travel to take on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, who are members of the West Division of the 14-team Conference-USA. The Eagles find themselves installed as double-digit home favorites against the Jaguars, who won just two games last season.

The 2019 season saw the Jaguars go a horrid 2-10, but they did earn respectable 7-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Head Coach Steve Campbell is just 5-19 straight up and 13-11 ATS in his first two seasons but has a 13 returning starters with seven on offense including quarterback Desmond Trotter and six on defense. The defense is returning the top-5 tacklers and gives reason for the defensive unit to be significantly better in 2020.

The Jaguars ranked fifth in the Sun Belt Conference allowing an averaging of 409 offensive yards-per-game, sixth allowing 192 rushing yards-per-game, and fourth allowing 217 passing yards-per-game. Having the best defensive players returning that accounted for 65% of last season’s production is key as are the seven starters returning on offense that accounted for 73% of last season’s total production.

I key handicapping method is to track the percentage of wagers being made and the total amounts of money those betting tickets add up to. In this game 78% of all bets being made are on the Eagles resulting in 22% of bets in support of the Jaguars. The line for this game opened with the Eagles favored by 14 points and despite having a 3:1 margin in bets made on them, the line has dropped to 13.5 points. The half-point decline in the line is a mall amount, but it is far more meaningful when the overwhelming number of bets are on the dog. This implies that the large bettors, so-called Wise Guys, are on the Jaguars and their combined money of their bets is offsetting the small public bets.

As the season rolls on you will notices that there is a pivot point in scoring that when exceeded favors that team and works against their opponent. Such is the case in this matchup as the Eagles are 171-28-1 straight-up (SU) for 86% wins and 131-41-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets when they score 28 or more points in games played since 1980; 49-16 SU for 75% wins and 45-19-1 ATS for 70.3% winning bets since 2010; 16-2 SU for 89% wins and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The Jaguars are a money-burning 8-54 SU for 13% wins and 21-39-2 ATS for 35% winning bets when they have allowed 28 or more points since 2011; 3-23 SU for 12% wins and 10-15 ATS for 40% winning bets over the last three seasons.

There is more though, then just using 28 points as a pivot to determine a betting opportunity. The machine learning summary shows that the Jaguars are just 1-7 SU for 13% wins, but 7-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring at least 24 points and are installed as a double-digit road underdog. The Eagles are 9-9 SU for 50% wins and 4-14 ATS for just 22% winning bets installed as a double-digit home favorite and allowing that opponent to score at least 24 points.

 
 Ket us begin with a situational betting system that has earned a solid and consistent 105-58- 4 against-the-spread record good for 64.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on solid rushing teams averaging 4.8 rushing yards-per-attempt and are coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by at least 125 rushing yards and now facing a team that averages between 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards-per-attempt.

This betting system has earned a 20-11 STS record good for 64.5% winning bets in the 2019 season.

BC is 42-25 ATS when facing an opponent with a 75% or higher win percentage since 2000 including 16-2 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 12 points-per-game when scoring 28 or more points.

Baylor vs Georgia
Sugar Bowl., Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New Orleans, LA
8:45 PM EST

The bet is Georgia as a 7-Star Titan bet and the ‘UNDER’ for a 7-Star Bet. The optional plays for consideration are to bet a no more than a 3-Star amount using the reverse parlay strategy that pays 4:1. If you want the detailed info on how a reverse parlay works please contact me on Twitter at @johnRyanSports1. The other alternative is to bet a 7-Star amount on the 7-point teaser lines that would make Georgia a 3-point underdog and raise the total to 48 points – but both sides must win for the teaser bet to win.

The Georgia Bulldogs are a solid 33-17 against-the-spread (ATS) in road games when facing good rushing teams that are averaging at least 4.75 rushing yards-per-attempt; 11-2 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or zero turnovers in games played spanning the last three seasons.

Georgia head coach Rhule is 10-1 ‘UNDER’ when facing stromg ball control teams that are averaging at least 32 minutes-per-game in all games he has coached.

 
The Auburn Tigers had a great season under the leadership of highly critiqued head coach Gus Malzahn. Perhaps their signature win over state-rival Alabama will stop the unnecessary criticism of Malzahn moving forward, which would be nice to see for the program. The Tigers lost three games and all against top seven teams in the final coaches’ poll by a combined total of 21 points. They finished the regular season with a 48-45 victory over No. 9 Alabama in the Iron Bowl to reach nine wins, which was two more than they had earned in 2018.

Auburn freshman quarterback Bo Nix made incredible progress and learned the playbook quickly in his first season. His season stats are not that impressive, but he steadily improved each week. He did not throw an interception over his last four games and only one in the last six games since throwing three interceptions against Florida. The Tigers are a young team and will only be better next season. Sophomore wide receiver Seth Williams is the top target for Nix with 55 catches for 801 yards and eight touchdowns while sophomore JaTarvious Whitlow (739 yards, nine touchdowns) and freshman D.J. Williams (387, two) , who also leads the ground attack.

From the predictive side of things, the Tigers have a high probability of scoring 28 or more points in this matchup. The Tigers are 48-22-3 Against the spread (ATS) when they have scored 28 or more points since 2010; 10-2 ATS last two season; 8-3 ATS in Bowl Games.

The Gophers are just 21-35-2 ATS when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 2010; 3-6-1 ATS the last two seasons; 2-5 ATS in Bowl Games.

Plus, teams playing in bowl games that are favored by seven or more points and are ranked 10 or worse and facing an opponent that is ranked lower (greater than 10) are 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

10-Star Wager on the Kansas State Wildcats

The line for this game opened with the Kansas State Wildcats as a 2-point favorite on December 8. The ‘Pros and Joes’ immediately jumped on Navy and their bets pushed the line to ‘pick’ within the first 24 hours. Within the next day the line was moved another 2-points to its’ current price tag of Navy favored by 2.5 points on the NCAA Football odds board.

Every Bowl season there are few lines that are just not good ones that are put out by the lines makers and this was on eof them this year. The failure was incorrectly anticipating the public consensus for both teams. The betting public does not place bets on the armed forces teams when facing a Major

The books will lose money on this game. The smart money that got Navy as a 2-point dog are now buying back their bets getting the Wildcats as 2.5-point underdogs and giving them a juicy 4.5-point window to win both of their bets. The second problem for the books is that the betting consensus has now shifted in favor of the Wildcats with 53% of the bets on them and 47% on the Midshipmen. So, the books are holding most betting tickets being Navy between a 2-point dog and ‘pick’ and the Wildcats between ‘pick and 2.5 points underdogs.

The Wildcats have the edge over Navy with true freshman Joshua Youngblood, who earned Big-12 Special Teams Player of the Year and has had three returns for touchdowns in his last four games. There is a great chance he will do it again in this game so if you can fid a prop bet that he returns a kick for a touchdown bet on it.

The Wildcats defense is another game breaker as the rank best in the country in third down situations allowing opponent to convert just 25% of the third downs. The unit will look to keep Navy in third and long situations to put even more pressure on Perry to keep the chains moving.

·        The Wildcats head coach Klieman is 6-0 against-the-spread (ATS) after playing a home game.

·        The Midshipmen’s head coach Niumatalolo is 4-13 ATS after outgaining the previous opponent by 225 or more yards.

This money line system has earned a remarkable 77% winning record of 37-11 and has made the $1,000 bettor a huge $31,250 profit over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet against all teams after Week 7 with a money line of +135 to -155 (NAVY in this matchup) that are excellent rushing teams averaging 230 or more rushing-yards-per-game and is now facing an average rushing defense allowing between 140 and 190 rushing yards-per-game, and after outrushing opponent by at least 125 or more yards I their previous game.

Illinois vs California
4:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
7-Star bet on Illinois

This situational betting system has earned a solid 35-30 using the Money Line good for 50% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a robust profit of $4,120 over the last 10 seasons. The system requires us to bet on neutral field underdogs that are facing an opponent that has won two out of their last three games in a non-conference matchup. The betting system improves to  18-12 and making $3,380 for the $100 bettor when both teams are from the Power-5 Conferences.

From the predictive side of things, California is a momey-losing 9-24 straight-up (SU) and losing $3,000 per $100 bet when they have been held to between 300 and 350 total yards; 1-6 SU when they gained between 150 and 200 net passing yards  in game splayed over the last two seasons.

Iowa State vs Notre Dame
12:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Iowa State
 
This is an upset alert special situation. So, if you wager $100 per 7-Star bet that I release. I highly recommend betting $70 on the line and $30 on the money line.

The Cyclones are 9-1 against-the-spread (ATS) when the have played an elite level team sporting a win percentage at 75% or higher on the season in games played over the last three seasons; 12-3 ATS when facing a teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game on the season over the last three seasons.

Notre Dame has been a money-burning 8-20 ATS in road games after having won eight or more of their last 10 games in games played since 1992.

Cyclones head coach Campbell is a solid 15-3 ATS facing teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game.

No. 10 Penn State vs No. 17 Memphis
12:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Best bet on Penn State

Memphis had its’ best season in program history winning 12 games, but their success attracted the eyes of the Florida State program and lured head coach Mike Lovell away from Memphis. PSU had another solid season losing only two games and both on the road against then-undefeated teams.

PSU has felt spited as the Rose Bowl selected Wisconsin over PSU despite having three losses and two of them to Ohio State. So, the Nittany Lions will be playing with a purpose to finish the season in the Top-10 rankings and send a message to the Rose Bowl committee.

Here is a great betting system that has earned a solid 40-12 ‘Over’ record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. The instructions are to play ‘OVER’ after Week 7 of the regular season including bowl games and playoffs in a game between two teams that are not in the same conference and that are outgaining their opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 yards-per-play on the season.

Memphis quarterback White struggled in the AAC title game completing a season-low 45 percent of his passes. He has thrown five of his nine interceptions over the past four games and will be facing the toughest defense by far in the PSU Nittany Lions unit. Senior wide receiver Antonio Gibson, who caught the decisive TD pass in the last win, has been utilized more as a runner as the season progressed and rushed 11 times for 130 yards. Junior Damonte Coxie is White's favorite target with 68 catches for 1,144 yards, but will face the toughest corners by far and will have trouble getting separation from them.

The Lions defense is anchored by Parsons had a team-high 95 tackles and junior defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos, who declared for the NFL draft, but will suit up for the Cotton Bowl and had 8.5 sacks this season.

Lions are a perfect 7-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last two seasons.

From the predictive toolbox the Lions are expected to score at least 28 points and gain more than six yards-per-play. The Lions are 46-10-3 ATS in games in which they scored 28 or mor epoints and gained at least six yards-per-play over the last 10 seasons.

Washington State vs Air Force
Cheez-It Bowl – Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
10:15 PM EST, December 27, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Washington State
 
Washington State and No. 24 Air Force will meet in a battle of contrasting offensive schemes. The Cougars led the nation in passing offense (444.3) and their quarterback Anthony Gordon became the first Pac-12 quarterback to throw for over 5,000 yards in Mike Leach's Air Raid offensive system. The Air Force Falcons finished third nationally averaging 292.5 yards-per-game under Troy Calhoun's triple-option attack. The Cougars efficiency through the air was offset by a defense that se[pnt too many minutes on the field. This season the game plans did not translate into wins as they finished with their lowest amount of victories since 2014.

The Falcons ended the regular season with their third-highest win total in program history and a program that was largely ignored by the media this season.

The Cougar’s Gorden may have extra motivation after being selected to the ALL-PAC-12 second-team despite being the 16th NCAA quarterback to throw for over 5,000 passing yards, the sith-highest in NCAA history with 5,228 passing yards, and the first since some guy named Patrick Mahomes did it in 2016 at Texas Tech.

Both teams cannot replicate the other’s offensive scheme, but I think the Cougars Air-Raid attack scheme is far more difficult for any team to face than a team that runs the triple-option. So, I think the Cougars have a huge edge in that department and they have the superior athleticism with their playmakers over the Falcons defensive unit.

The ‘UNDER’ opened at 67 and the “Pros and Joes” have been steadily pushing the total up to higher levels with 70 points now appearing at several sportsbooks. However, I lean as a contrarian and would make a bet on the ‘UNDER’ at a price tag of 71-points. And if it hits that level I would recommend a bet of no higher than 3-star using the money line on Washington State and the ‘UNDER’ 71-points or higher.

The Falcons are 9-25 against-the-spread facing terrible defensive teams allowing 450 or more yards-per-game in the current season. Cougars are 9-1 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 in games played over the last three seasons; 11-2 ATS after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games over the last three seasons; 32-12 ATS 32-12 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game.

From the predictive side, the machine learning summaries calls for the Cougars to score 31 or more points. IN past games when they did score 31 or mor epoints they went 123-44-1 ATS for 74% winning bets and 38-19 ATS under head coach Mike Leach.

Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan
Quick Lane Bowl - Ford Field - Detroit, MI
8:00 PM EST, December 26, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on  the Pittsburgh Panthers
 
The Pittsburgh Panthers got the the offense rolling well in 2019 after relying on the ground attack the previous three seasons. Second-year starter Kenny Pickett threw for 2,737 passing yards including four 300-yard games. He somehow managed just 10 touchdown passes against nine interceptions spanning 430 attempts. His favorite target was Maurice French, a third-team All-ACC selection who averages 8.4 receptions per contest, which is tops in the ACC and third nationally. He needs just eight catches to catch (pun intended) Larry Fitzgerald's school-record of 92 receptions set in 2003.

The Panther’s scoring defense ranked 31stallowing an average of 21.8 points per game and is led by All-ACC first team performers defensive tackle Jaylen Twyman (10.5 sacks, most by a Pitt DT since Aaron Donald had 11 in 2013) and safety Paris Ford (team-high 86 tackles, three interceptions, 14 passes defensed and three forced fumbles).

Simply, Pittsburgh is the better team on both sides of the ball and the machine learning projections are looking for Pitt to win this game by at least 17 points.

Pittsburgh will score at least 28 points in this game and are 123-62-4 ATS when they have done so; 9-3-1 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. EMU is 63-135-4 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points; 3-10-1 ATS since the start of the 2017 season.

BYU Cougars vs Hawaii Warriors
8:00 PM EST, December 24, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on  the BYU Cougars
 
We took it on the chin Monday going 0-3 against-the-spread after posting a new 2019-high of just over $50,000 for the Dime bettor. Despite the terrible day, it has been a fantastic year and I am grateful for all of you – from the new clients having the trust to buy-in to my methodologies and for those that have stayed the course for more than 20 years. On Christmas Eve I want to wish all of you and your families a blessed Christmas and Holiday season.

It has been more than 20 years since these two teams were bitter rivals in the Western Athletic Conference (WAC) and this game marks the first time they have ever met in the postseason. The Rainbows had a great season where they reached the Mountain West Championship Game, but lost 31-10 to Boise State. BYU gave Boise State their only loss of this season.

The Cougars, who used three different starting quarterbacks this season due to injury, averaged 40 points-per-game during a five-game winning streak. However, that streak was snapped when they were limited to a season-low total in a 13-3 loss at San Diego State on Nov. 30. Zach Wilson, who committed three turnovers to offset a season-high 316 yards passing in the season finale, has three receivers with at least 40 receptions, with tight end Matt Bushman averaging 14.6 yards and scoring four times on 41 catches.

Linebacker Kavika Fonua has recorded a team-high 78 tackles for an opportunistic defense that tied for ninth in the nation with 15 interceptions and forced 22 turnovers to rank 18th overfall.

Looking at the numbers from our trusted database we notice that despite winning seven of their 12 games they covered the spread in just four of them. Teams playing in the post season that covered four or fewer games on the season and come into the game having not covered the spread in at least four of their previous games and coming off a straight-up (SU) loss have earned a solid 16-8 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Rainbows are a terrible 2-10 ATS when facing good passing teams that have completed 58% or more of their pass attempts in games played over the last three seasons; 0-6 ATS when facing teams that are averaging 250 or more passing-yards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons; 1-8 ATS facing offenses that have averaged at least 6.0 yards-per-play in game splayed over the last two seasons.

Take the BYU Cougars.

Boise State vs Washington
Mitsibishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl
7:30PM EST, December 21, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Washington
 
Boise State, which won its final six games, is playing in a bowl game for the 18th straight season - the fifth-longest active streak in the nation. Washington has its own impressive streak of 10 straight bowl appearances, best currently among Pac-12 programs. The schools met in the 2012 Las Vegas Bowl when Washington heaqd coach Peterson guided the Broncos to a 28-26 victory over the Huskies, then coached by Steve Sarkisian.

So, with Peterson leaving Washington and playing against the Broncos, which is the team he had previously coached qnd facing their head coach Bryan Harsin, whow worked for him for 10 seasons has its own storylines.

Junior quarterback Jacob Eason could opt for the NFL draft after the game and has passed for 2,922 yards, 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions during his first season as a college starter since 2016 at Georgia.  Senior offensive tackle Trey Adams and junior tight end Hunter Bryant are skipping the game to protect against injury Junior running back Salvon Ahmed has 1,000 yards on the ground and has produced four 100-yard outings. Junior free safety Elijah Molden has a team-best 70 tackles and his three interceptions are tied with freshman cornerback Cameron Williams for the team lead while sophomore outside linebacker Joe Tryon has racked up a team-high eight sacks.

Peterson is 14-5 ATS in road games when facing good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards-per-game. as the coach of Washington; 20-8 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better in all games he has coached in his career.

My Machine learning tools see a very high probability that Washington will score more than 28 points in this matchup. When they do they have gone 39--3 straight-up and 28-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons.

The Bahamas Bowl
Thomas Robinson Stadium, Nassau
2:00 PM EST, December 20, 2020

This is the first Bowl Game of the season and one that I expect to be entertaining and played well by these teams. This Bowl game started in 2014 and was called the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl, in which Western Kentucky defeated Central Michigan 49-48. The 49 points scored by Western Kentucky remains the Bowl record

The Charlotte 49ers play in the East Division of C-USA and earned a 7-5 record by winning their last five games of the regular season. The 49ers went an even 5-5 against the spread (ATS) and the ‘OVER’ won the money in eight of their 12 games. Their first-year head coach Will Healy absorbed the growing pains at the start of the season has them playing at their best right now and is a reason I like them as a Best Bet.

The 49ers had two huge wins during their five-game win streak. In Week 10 they shocked Middle Tennessee State 34-20 and were lined as 2.5-point home underdogs. In Week 13 they played their best game of the season in a 24-13 win over Marshall and were lined as 6.5-point home underdogs. As a home underdog they went a perfect 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS so they relish the role they find themselves in for this Bowl game.

In a twist of fate, I suppose we have two teams that at the Pro levels have the same team name with only the Buffalo Bulls missing the ‘I’ in Bills. The Bulls play as a member of the East Division in the MAC Conference and earned a 7-5 record this season. They rewarded their bettors with a 7-5 ATS record and the ‘OVER’ bet also went 8-4 on the season.

The Bulls had two huge wins this season in which they covered the spread by 28 points. In Week 4 they pounded Temple 38-22 and were 12-point home underdogs. In Week 10 they dominated Eastern Michigan 43-14 and were lined as a 1-point road favorite.

This NCAA football betting system has earned a 38-10 ATS record good for 79.2% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on underdogs of 3 to 10 points after having won four or more of their last six games SU and have a win percentage between 51% and 60% on the season.

This system will track teams that are on winning runs later in the season. A team cannot lose four of their first six games and have a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. The system aligns with the positive momentum I like to see a team have that I bet on in the early bowl games.

·        Bulls head coach Leipold is 0-6 ATS in road games after outrushing the previous opponent by 125 or more yards.

·        49ers are a solid 10-2 ATS after playing three consecutive conference games spanning the last three seasons of play.

ACC Championship

7:30 PM EST, December 8, 2019

7-Star Titan on the Clemson Tigers

THIS SITUATIONAL QUERY HAS EARNED A SOLID 35-12-3 ATS MARK GOOD FOR 75% WINNING PICKS SINCE 2000. THE REQUIREMENTS ARE TO PLAY ON FAVORITES OF 21.5 TO 31 POINTS THAT ARE AVERAGING 200 OR MORE RUSHING YARDS-PER-GAME ON THE SEASON AND HAVE ALLOWED 125 OR FEWER RUSHING YARDS IN THREE CONSECUTIVE GAMES. 

THE FOLLOWING PRECEDENTS MATCH THE PROJECTIONS FROM THE MACHINE LEARNING RESULTS.

•The  Tigers are a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

•The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.

•The Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

 Some quick Hitters:
Georgia is 11-1 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or less turnovers over the last three seasons; 9-1 ATS in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards-per-play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. Coach Smart is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of Georgia.

From the predictive side we learn that Georgia is 20-6 ATS over the last three seasons and 126-56 ATS over the last 25 seasons when scoring 28 or more points. LSU is just 18-60 ATS when allowing 28 or more points over the last 25 seasons.

Georgia is 47-25 ATS when gaining at least 135 RY and scoring 35 or more points and 145-7 ATS over the last three seasons. 

The betting system has earned 77% winning bets on a 36-11 ATS record and instructs us to play on Neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season.

The following precedents match the projections from the machine learning results.

·       The Sooners are 80-41 ATS when gaining at least nine yards-per-pass attempt.

o   58-24 ATS when they have gained a minimum of 10 yards-per-pas attempt.

o   Bears are a 12-39 ATS when allo1ing 10 or more passing yards-per-attempt.

·       The Sooners are 149-87 ATS when scoring 28 or more points.

o   Bears are just 61-123 ATS when allowing 28 or more points.

Let us get right to the meat and potatoes portion of this game.
This situational query has earned a solid 109-54 ATS mark good for 67% winning picks since 2010. The requirements are to play on any team that is a good solid rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RYPG after Week 7 and after allowing 100 or fewer RY in their last game and is now facing an opponent that is a decent rushing team that has averaged 140 to 190 rushing yards-per-game.

·        Utes are 7-0 ATS when facing below average passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse this season.

·        Utes are 30-15 ATS in road games facing excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better on the season.

·        Utes are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in four straight games this season.

·        Whittingham is 22-3 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games as the coach of UTAH.

Alabama vs Auburn
7-Star Bet on the Auburn Tigers
3:30 PM EST

This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-8-5 ATS record for 80 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on home teams from week 7 on that are averaging 190 to 230rushing yards per game and coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 RY and are facing an average rushing opponent that gains an average of 140 to 190 per game on the season.

A few more Extra Points:
Auburn is a solid 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or fewer points-per-game.
Alabama is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

These precedents all match the Machine learning projections.
Auburn is 10-0 SU when scoring 28 points and forcing the opponent into three or more opponents.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota

7-Star bet on the Wisconsin Badgers
3:30 PM EST, November 30, 2019

This is the Battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe, but there is heck of a lot more on the line than just the award. The winner will move on to play Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship. Jack Coan completed 15-of-19 passes for 203 yards and a pair of touchdowns to help the Badgers finish with 606 yards of offense, which is the most since amassing 627 against Nebraska in 2014. Jonathan Taylor racked up 222 yards on the ground to go along with a touchdown in the win over the Boilermakers to gain 200 or more rushing yards for the 12th time in his illustrious career. Further, he has gained 200 or more yards in three consecutive games.

Safety Collin Wilder will miss the first half against Minnesota after he was ejected for targeting against the Boilermakers. So, I am not concerned one bit about this fact and the Wisconsin defense will play well despite his absence.

These precedents match the projections form the summary Machine learning tools.

Badgers are 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.

Badgers under head coach Chryst is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of Wisconsin.

The machine learning tools show overwhelming results that the Badgers will score at least 28 points. They are 6-1 ATS this season, 18-7 ATS the last three seasons, and 127-51 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points.

Ohio State vs Michigan
7-Star Best Bet on Ohio State
12:00 PM EST, November 30, 2019

This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-8-5 ATS record for 80 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on home teams from week 7 on that are averaging 190 to 230rushing yards per game and coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 RY and are facing an average rushing opponent that gains an average of 140 to 190 per game on the season.

The talent gap between Ohio State and Michigan is reflected in the Buckeyes winning 16 of the last 18 against the Wolverines. Ohio State enters this year's game with a 17-game overall winning streak and a seven-game win streak against Michigan. By all indications, Jim Harbaugh will have a tough time beating Ohio State for the first time in his five seasons as Wolverines coach. Ohio State has crushed its opponents this year and handled its biggest challenge to date last week in a 28-17 victory over No. 12 Penn State.

From the machine learning projections:
Ohio State is 21-4 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 12 points when they have scored 28 or more points and the defense has forced the opponent into two or more turnovers in road games since 2006 including 7-0 ATS and covering by an average of 16 points over the last three seasons.

Holy Cross vs Monmouth
12:00 PM EST, November 30, 2019
7-Star on the Monmouth Hawks

These reports are shorter than normal only due to the amount time necessary to do the research behind these plays.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 44-22 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 5 to 11.5 points that are coming off a double digit conference win and facing an opponent that has won their last three consecutive conference games. The machine learning summary projections match the following precedents.

The Bonus plays are to bet ON WOFFORD and to Bet on Albany

Washington State vs Washington
4:00 PM EST, November 29, 2019
7-Star Bet on the Washington Huskies

This is the battle for the Apple Cup. Both teams had higher aspirations than this winning this state-rivalry game as both teams have underachieved preseason expectations of a PAC-12 crown. Yet, this will make the recruiting and state bragging rights even more powerful for the winner of this game.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 49-16 record betting the UNDER since 2015. The requirements are to bet UNDER with a home team and a total of at least 5.5 goals that are revenging a loss to the opponent and has a winning record on the season and with the game taking place in the first half of the season.

WSU is just 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points.
Washington under head coach Peterson is a solid 12-2 ATS facing poor rushing teams averaging 90 or fewer rushing yards-per-game.

Arizona State vs Oregon
7:30 PM EST, November 23, 2019
7-Star Bet is on Arizona State and consider adding a 2-Star amount on the money line.

This situational betting system has earned a 26-10 record using the money line for 72% SU winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play against a road team using the money line in a matchup of two excellent passing teams averaging 8.3 or more yards-per-pass and are coming off a game where they allowed 4.5 or fewer passing yards-per-attempt.

If the team is coming off a game where they allowed the opponent 5.3 or fewer yards-per-pass play provides more betting opportunities and a solid 77-43 record for 66% winning bets and has made $5,3560 per $100 bet over the last five seasons.

This situational query has earned a solid 54-18 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and is an outstanding 13-1 ATS this season. The requirements are to play on a home team after Week 7 that is a very good rushing team averaging 190 to 240 RYPG and is coming off a game where their defense allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards and is now facing an opponent that averages 140 to 190 RYPG on the season.

Georgia has already won the SEC East, but the Bulldogs must nevertheless avoid a stumble here before they play for the conference title against LSU. The Aggies, who still must take on LSU next week to close out their regular season schedule.

The Bulldogs dominated last week for three quarters but needed a final stop late in the game before winning at Auburn. QB Jake Fromm was able to make enough plays against the Tigers’ stingy defense. He figures to have an easier time this week, though top WR Lawrence Cager aggravated a shoulder injury and might be limited in today’s game. Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond and RB Isaiah Spiller might have their hands full against the Georgia defense, which finally allowed its first rushing TD of the season late last week but still knows how to control gaps.  

Georgia will dominate on both sides of this game and the machine learning projections call for a bug win here. Georgia is projected to score at least 28 points and are 125-56 ATS when doing so and 19-6 ATS over the last three seasons. They are 30-9 ATS when they have scored 35 to 42 points. A&M is 5-28 ATS when allowing 35 to 42 points in a game.

7-Star Penn State over Ohio State
12:00 PM EST, November 23, 2019

This is the 33rd meeting between these two storied programs and the 19th time both teams have been ranked with the Ohio State Buckeyes holding a 12-7 edge over the Penn State Nittany Lions. When both teams have been in the Top-10 the Buckeyes are 6-3.

The largest margin of victory ahs been 49 points with each team doing it once. The Lions won by 49 points on October 26, 2013 and the Buckeyes won by 49 points on October 29, 1994. In these games each team scored the most points in this matchup with 63 points.

The longest win streak by the Buckeyes has been four games and three games for the Lions.

The winner of this game will advance to the College Football Playoffs. I know I am one of the few and to be honest I feel lonely out here making such a bold statement that the Lions will win this game. To me, it is not that bold a statement.

I had thought that a line of 11 to 12 points is what the opening line would be. I was shocked to see it at 18 points and immediately realized that this was only reflecting public sentiment. The Buckeyes are 10-0 and have earned an 8-2 record against the spread (ATS). They failed to cover against the two weakest opponents they faced in Florida Atlantic in Week 1 and Big Ten foe Rutgers in Week 13. So, it is the normal betting behavior to jump on the team that is winning games and covering spreads.

The Lions offense is quite good and is led by sophomore quarterback Sean Clifford, who leads the Big Ten gaining 2.824 total yards. He is second in passing yards with 2,450 yards and trails Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan by only 18 passing yards for the top spot.

The Lions run defense is the best in the Big Ten and on eof the best – if not the best – in the nation allowing only 2.2 yards-per-attempt. By stopping the Buckeyes on first down and forcing them into second-and-long situations will allow the Lions pass rush to get put immense pressure on the offensive line. Shaka Toney has 6.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles-for-loss and Yeter Gross-Matos has 6.0 sacks and is the team-leader with 10 tackles-for-loss.

The Lions are 6-0 ATS when facing the absolute best rushing teams in the nation that Have averaged 230 or more yards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons.

The Lions are 7-0 ATS off a push or ATS loss when the team won the game as a favorite in game splayed over the last three seasons.

 Head Coach Franklin is 13-2 ATS off a push or ATS loss when the team won as a favorite including all games he has coached (Vanderbilt and Penn State).

Play an additional  2-Star amount on the money line! Just in case.

Illinois vs Iowa (Big Ten Football)
12:00 PM EST, November 23, 2019
7-Star on the Iowa Hawkeyes

These reports are shorter than normal only due to the amount time necessary to do the research behind these plays.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 32-12 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in a game between to average teams posting yards-per-play differentials between -0.6 and 0.6 YPP and are coming a game in which they were outgained by 125 or more yards.

The machine learning summary projections call for Iowa to score at least 30 points and gain a minimum of 450 total yards. In past games in which they met or exceeded these projections they have earned a remarkable 23-5 ATS for 82% winning bets and hav e covered the spread by an average of 12 points.

When Illinois has been the team that allowed these measures they have ended up a money-burning 10-29-1 ATS for just 25% winning bets.

Ohio University vs Bowling Green
7:30 PM EST, November 19, 2019
7-Star Bet is on Ohio University

This situational betting system has earned a 30-5 ATS record good for 86% winning NFL bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight-up losses and has a win percentage between 40 and 49% on the season.

Here is a second betting system that has earned a 41-19 ATS record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against home underdogs of 14.5 or more points after failing to cover the spread in four or five of their last six games in a game occurring in Weeks 10 to 13.

Ohio University is expected to easily score 28 or more points. They are 93-36 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points and 43-19-2 ATS as a home favorite.

UCLA vs Utah
8:00 PM EST, November 16, 2019
10-Star on Utah Utes

Utah head coach Whittingham is a stellar 19-3 ATS after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in three consecutive games; 9-1 ATS after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in four consecutive games.

From the machine learning projections, Utah will score at least 42 points. UCLA is 0-8 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-24 ATS over the last 25 seasons when they have allowed 42 or more points. Utes are 64-8 ATS over the last 25 seasons and 4-0 ATS the last three seasons when scoring 42 or more points.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 52-17-2 for 75% winning picks. The requirements are to play on a team that is a solid rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RYPG and are coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards, and are now facing an opponent that is averaging between 140 to 190 RYPG on the season.

7-Star on Navy as they take on host Notre Dame
2:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 16, 2019

This is the 93rd meeting between these two storied programs and the first time that both teams have been ranked in the top-25 since 1978.  A ‘too small to play NFL’ quarterback named Joe Montana led the Irish to a 27-7 that year.

The Midshipmen have won five consecutive games and covered the spread in four out of the five. Their last loss was at Memphis losing 35-22 and failed to cover the spread as 11-point road underdogs.

Notre Dame is 7-2 with the two losses against ranked teams in Georgia and Michigan, but their wins have been against mostly weak football programs. So, I do not believe the Irish are as good as their 7-2 record indicates. They have a higher strength-of-schedule than Navy, but that is mostly because they played and lost to Georgia and Michigan.

Navy runs the ball and then they run it more. The Irish allowed Michigan to gash them for 303 rushing yards on 57 attempts in 45-14 loss back on October 26. The Midshipmen are the best running team in the nation averaging 358.3 rushing yards-per-game on the season. So, I believe that Navy will run wild on a suspect Notre Dame run defense.

This situational query or betting system as some call them has earned a 40-13 against the spread (ATS) record good for 75% winning NCAAF picks over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in Weeks 10 through 13 that have covered three out of their last four games.

2-11 ATS in home games when facing offenses designed for the run (triple option) and average 125 or fewer passing yards-per-game.

This is an upset alert special situation in this matchup. Alabama knows they are going to need a lot of help to get to their sixth CFP. That help could come later today when Auburn takes on Georgia in a huge SEC game with major CFP implications. I believe this is a game where Alabama will be pushed to the limits just to get out of Starkville with a win.

This situational query has earned a solid 81-37 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and 23-10-3 ATS for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on a home team (MISSISSIPPI ST) after Week 7 that is a good rushing team averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards-per-game and after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game and are facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 and 190 rushing yards-per-game.

This betting system is 6-0 ATS this season and 16-4 ATS the past three seasons.

Whether you look at the CFP rankings that have LSU No. 2 and ‘Bama No. 3 or the AP poll that has LSU first and ‘Bama second, this is a Game of the Century and ranks right up there with the excitement of a Game-7.

My research shows that LSU has the potential to shred the Bama defense and score 35 or more points. LSU is43-18 ATS in games in which they passed for 10 or more yards-per-attempt; 31-11 ATS when they have gained 500 or more total yards; and 64-28 ATS when they have gained a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play.

Whether Tua plays or not it will not matter as LSU head Coach Orgeron is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS when facing an elite passing team that is averaging 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt.

Bama is just 14-45 ATS and 1-5 ATS the last three seasons when allowing 28 or more points; 9-26 ATS when both teams score 28 or more points, and 2-8 ATS when they have allowed 500 or more offensive yards.

This is the first of many plays that will be released very early Saturday morning so be sure to come back and get on board a 15-4 ATS winning run.

Boston College was on eof my three upset alerts that went 2-0-1 SATS last week. They throttled Syracuse, who I, like many others, thought the ‘Cuse was going to be a solid team and one that would contend for a New Years Day Bowl Game.

BC gained a school record 691 total yards of offense and gashed the ‘Cuse for 496 rushing yards. I have always looked for teams that are performing at unsustainable levels that are playing against a teamj desperate for a win. The ‘Noles are certainly desperate. So desperate that they departed ways with their head coach Willie Taggert, who also took $18 million with him in his departure. Man would I like that gig!  Even Steve Jobs didn’t get that kind of dismissal from Apple Computer and he was the founder.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 73-30-2 for 70% winning picks. The requirements are to play against home teams where the line is between a 3-point dog and a 3-point favorite, that has a struggling defense allowing 17 or more points in the first-half and after playing a game where 70 or more total points were scored.

No.5 Penn State over No. 13 Minnesota
12:00 PM EST, November 9, 2019

10-Star bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions

A High-Noon showdown between two of the three undefeated Big Ten Conference schools. 

Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan has been improving each week as the quarterback of the Gophers, but has not seen a pass rush like what PSU will bring to the table. The key though is not sacks or QB pressures by themselves, but containing RB Rodney Smith who has 5 consecutive 100+ rushing games. The Gophers are 15-1 SU when he rushes for 100+ yards in his career, which started in 2014.

PSU is second in scoring defense and first in the nation allowing just 2.2 rushing yards-per-game. No matter how you cut it, the Gophers offense will surprise the heck out of me, if they are able to sustain a long time-consuming scoring drive against the Lions defensive unit. The absence of a running game will turn the pass rush loose for the Lions making it immensely difficult to move the chains.

PSU head coach Franklin is 16-4 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals; 12-2 ATS off a road win; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better.

This situational query has earned a 72-34 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against any team after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record.

Last night we went 2-0 with Temple defeating USF 17-7 as a ‘pick-em’ or perhaps you got +1. The second win was the Oakland Raiders, who are now 5-4 on the season and steadily becoming a team to be reckoned with as the season moves in to the second-half.

This is an upset alert type of play. On appear it is a long shot to be sure that Tulsa could pull off the upset, but there is value in assuming that risk for this bet. Tulsa is +630 on the money line and many of the 35 sportsbooks I monitor.

So, consider betting a 5.5-star amount getting the 17 points and then bet 1.5-Stars on the money line – just in case they do pull off the shocking upset. I never know when these upsets will occur, but I do know I have at least one of them in each years over the past 10 seasons.

Tulsa may be just 2-7, but they have played a extremely difficult schedule. Tulsa has posted a 36 SOS for the season while UCF has a much weaker 25 SOS. Penn State, Alabama, LSU, and Ohio State all have had SOS ratings between 35 and 38 by way of comparison. So, Tulsa is battle-tested and I expect them to bring their best to this game tonight

This situational betting query has earned a 34-20-1 record for 63% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet against road favorites of 15 to 23 points that have out gained their opponents by at least 125 yards-per-game on the season and have averaged at least 525 total yards over their last two games.

New Mexico over Nevada
10:30 PM EST, November 2, 2019

10-Star bet on the New Mexico Lobos.

Lobos is a resilient 10-2 ATS in road games following a gem in which they trailed by 24 or more points at the half. Head Coach Davie is 13-2 ATS in road games when facing a struggling defensive unit that has allowed 31 or more PPG.

Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 42-12 record good for 78% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have a struggling defensive unit that is allowing an average of 6.1 yards-per-play and are coming off a solid offensive game in which they gained 475 or more total offensive yards.

Nevada may be 3-5 but is a highly questionable one when you see that they lost 77-6 to Oregon, 54-3 to Hawaii, 36-10 at Utah State, and 31-3 at Wyoming. Their four wins have been earned against Weber State 19-13, at UTEP 37-21, San Jose State 41-38. Based on the research I strongly believe that the Lobos offense will have no difficulty scoring 28 or more points in this contest and walk off the field a winner.

Lobos is a solid 19-6 ATS and 15-10 SU when on the road as an underdog of not more than 9.5 points and has scored 28 or more points.

Oregon over USC
November 2, 2019
7-Star play on the Oregon Ducks

This is a situational betting system that has made over $4,000 per $100 NCAAF pick (95-52 for 65% winning NCAAF picks) spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on all teams from week 7 on to the end of the regular season that are coming off a game where the defense allowed less than 100 rushing yards and is a solid offensive rushing team averaging between 180 and 220 rushing yards-per-game on the season.

Helton is 3-12 ATS after two consecutive game where they committed one or less turnovers as the coach of USC.

I do not see how USC will be able to contain Oregon’s offense to 27 or fewer points in this agme and the machine learning underscores that fact. In games in which Oregon has scored 28 or more points they have earned a 120-55 ATS 69% record since 2000. USC is just 14-59-1 ATS for 19% in games in which they allowed 28 or more points.

4:00 PM EST, November 2, 2019

Utah is on a four-game winning streak and have covered all of them against the spread. Utah has played better in each game on both sides of the ball and have yet to reach their peak performance levels. It is akin to watching Apple stock rise as it has in recent months to post all-time highs, but there are no signs of having peaked. This means that the stock will continue to move higher in price just as I expect Utah to continue playing better over the remainder of the season.

Utah has held six of their seven opponents to less than 100 rushing yards with the lone exception being Arizona State, who gained 111 rushing yards. The Utah pass defense was struggling in the first three games of the season and allowed a season-worst 368 yards to USC. Since that game, they have significantly improved in each game and most recently held their last two opponents to a combined total of just 85 passing yards (Arizona State 28 and California 60 passing yards).

Utah has held five of their seven opponents to season lows in points including three teams that failed to score 10 or more points. They have held four teams to season lows in rushing yards and four teams to season lows in passing yards. They held non-conference foe Northern Illinois and conference foe California to seasons lows in both rushing and passing yards.

Utah head coach Kyle Wittingham is a solid 9-1 SU winning these games by an average of 18 points and 7-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7 points when his defense allowed 275 or fewer yards in back-to-back games. He is also 18-3 ATS after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in three consecutive games.

Kansas is 6-0 ATS after having lost five or more of their last 7 games in games played over the last three seasons; 12-3 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games.

Kansas is projected to gain a minimum of six yards-per-rush and when they have achieved this measure in past games they have gone on to an outstanding 15-2 ATS record. They are also 16-3 ATS in games in which they gained an average of 6.5 to 7 yards-per-play.

Navy over UCONN
November 1, 2019
7-Star play on the Navy Midshipmen

This situational query has earned a 53-24-1 ATS record good for 69% winning bets since the start of the 2010 season. Play on road favorites of 14.5 points and greater after covering the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 seven games  and has a winning record on the season and is playing against a losing record team.

This system is also on Cincinnati when they square of against East Carolina Saturday.

Navy is a solid 21-7 ATS in road games when facing poor teams getting outscored by 10 or more points per game on the season.

UCONN is 0-7 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game.

Washington State vs Oregon
10:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019
7-Star Bet is on the Washington State Cougars plus the points (14)

The two-best quarterbacks in PAC-12 and two tat rank in the top-10 in many of the main statistical measures will be going head-to-head in this exciting matchup in Eugene, Oregon. The Duck’s quarterback Justin Herbert is having a fabulous season ranking ninth in the nation with 158 pass completions, 17th with a 68% passing completion percentage, 19th with 1,992 passing yards, 14th in adjust yards per pass attempt at 9.7, and sixth throwing 21 touchdown passes.

Despite the great season-to-date stats Herbert trails the Cougar’s quarterback Anthony Gordon by miles in the major flash stats. Gordon has completed a nation’s-best 246 passes, which is 58 more pass completions then second-best Hawaii’s Cole McDonald, who has 188. Despite throwing so many passes, he has completed 71% of them, which ranks seventh in the nation.

Gordon leads the nation with 2,981 passing yards, which is a ridiculous 497 more yards than second-best and Heisman Trophy candidate LSU’s Joe Burrow, who has passed for 2,484. He is tied for the top spot in the nation with Burrow throwing 21 touchdowns on the season.

Gordon has a huge edge in the passing game in this matchup.

The Ducks head coach Christobal is just 3-13 ATS in home games after his defense forced no more than one turnover in their previous game.

The Cougars head coach Mike Leach is 8-1 ATS in road games when facing elite passing teams that are averaging 275 or more passing yards per game. Leach has his Air Raid offensive attack, but he also knows how to coach in these matchups too. The Cougars are 7-1 ATS in games that have had a posted total between 63.5 and 70 over the last three seasons.

The summary from the machine learning tools indicates that the Cougars will score a minimum of 28 points. In past road games in which the Cougars scored 28 or more points has earned an outstanding 62-17-3 ATS record good for 79% wining bets including 12-3 ATS in games where the total ranged between 58 and 70 points since 2000.

7-STAR ON MICHIGAN AS THEY TAKE ON NOTRE DAME

7:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019

Projections and Precedents 

The Irish are just 7-24 ATS when they have been outgained by 50 to 100 yards and are 25-47 ATS when the rush for 100 to 150 yards. 

The Irish are just 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992. HC Kelly is a money-losing 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of the Irish.

John Ryan Sports

Virginia vs Louisville

3:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019

10-Star play on the UVA Cavaliers

The summary projections from the machine learning tool shed indicate that UVA defense will gain between 400 and 450 yards and will hold Louisville to under 400 yards and will win the turnover battle (turnover margin). In past road games in which UVA gained more than 400 and the host gained less than 400 has produced an 11-3 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets including 5-0 ATS covering the spread by 28 points when they won the turnover battle.

This situational query has earned a 37-12 record good for 76% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against teasm that possess excellent offenses that average a minimum of 440 yards-per-game on the season, after two consecutive games in which the team allowed the opponent a minimum of 6.25 yards-per-play abd are now facing a team that is a mediocre offense averaging 330 to 390 total offensive yards-per-game on the season. 54% of these bets covered the spread by more than 7 points.

Penn State vs Michigan State

3:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019

7-Star Bet is on the Penn State Nittany Lions

This situational query has earned an 87-44 record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against home underdogs after allowing 37 or more points in their previous game and is facing a team that allowed seven or fewer points in the first half in two straight games. 

The Lions defense is projected to allow a maximum of 2.5 yards-per-rush, score 28 or more points, and/or will gain a minimum of 8 passing yards-per-attempt. PSU is a solid 25-0 SU and 18-7 ATS for 72% winning bets. Michigan State is 13-34 SU and 14-33 ATS for 30% when they have allowed a team to pass for a minimum of 8 yards-per-attempt. 

Tulane vs Memphis

7:00 PM EST, October 19, 2019

7-Star play on Tulane plus the points (+3.5)

This situational betting system has earned a solid 31-9 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a matchup of teams that have outgained their opponent s by at least 100 yards-per-game on the season and after gaining a minimum of 475 yards in each of their last two games. 

In past road tilts in which Tulane gained over 200 rushing yards and scored 28 or more points they have earned a 10-1 SUATS record winning the games by an average of 14 points and covering the spread by a average of 18 points. 

No. 13 Utah vs No. 17 Arizona State

6:00 PM EST, October 19, 2019

7-Star Bet is on the Utah Utes minus the points (-14)

This situational betting system has earned a 44-10 record for 82% winning bets since 2010. Play on favorites of 10 to 12 points after gaining a minimum of 7.3 yards-per-play in their last game and have an experienced quarterback and now facing a team with a starting freshman quarterback. 

Utah has one of the best defenses in the nation and the best in the PAC-12 having held four opponents to season lows in offensive production. ASU is coming off a last second upset win over Washington State last week, as freshman QB Jayden Daniels put together a 10-play drive in the final two minutes and scored on a 17-yard scramble for the winning TD. However, they are just 5-12 ATS off an upset win. 

From the machine learning summary Utah will score at least 28 points, hold ASU to less than 100 rushing yards, and/or will outgain ASU by at least 140 yards. The Utes are an outstanding 24-0 SU and 18-5 ATS covering by an average of 12.7 points. 

OREGON STATE VS CALIFORNIA

2:30 PM EST, OCTOBER 19, 2019

7-STAR BET ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS

This situational query has earned an outstanding 32-9 ATS record over the last 10 seasons for 78% winning bets. The query instructs us to bet against road underdogs fo 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams that have posted yards-per-play differentials between -0.6 and 0.6 and after the road team was outgained by 125 or more total yards. 

The machine learning summary projects that the Cal will core a minimum of 28 points and force a minimum of three turnovers. In past home games in which they have achieved these measures they have gone on to post 20-7 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets and has covered the spread by an average eof 11.1 points. 

Auburn vs Arkansas

12:00 PM EST, October 19, 2019

7-Star Bet is on Auburn minus the points (-19)

This situational query has earned an incredible 61-24 ATS record good for 72% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on road favorites  of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three of their last four games and has a winning record on the season and is playing a losing record team. 

Auburn is projected to score at least 28 points and gain between 470 and 520 total yards in this game. They are an outstanding 5-0 ATS covering the spread by 12.5 points in past road games where they met or exceeded these projections. 

NO. 10 PENN STATE VS NO. 17 IOWA

7:30 PM EST, Friday October 12, 2019

Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA

The 10-Star Bet us on Penn State -4

Network: ABC

WHO IS THE BETTER TEAM?

I will not drag this on. Penn State is the vastly superior team on both sides of the line of scrimmage. By analogy searching for stocks in the capital markets that are flying under the radar of the public eye can offer attractive valuations and investment opportunities. The same can be said of making an investment on Penn State this week. 

The biggest concern prior to the start of the season was how were the Lions going to manage without hard-nosed Trace McSorely, who was the heart and soul of this team. The answer has been the remarkable play of Sean Clifford, who has passed for 1,443 yards on 67% passing (90-for-135), 12 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. 

Clifford Ranks fifth in the nation with an 11.8 adjusted passing yards per attempt (aPYPA) and is behind national leader Jalen Hurts of the Oklahoma Sooners (15.7 aPYPA), Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa (14.7 aPYPA), LSU’s Joe Burrow (13.4), Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan (12.4). The aPYPA is a formula that rewards touchdowns and penalizes interceptions by starting with total passing yards and adding total touchdowns multiplied by 20 and then subtracting total interceptions multiplied by 40. That sum is then divided by the total number of pass attempts. The metric reflects how efficient the quarterback is executing the offense instead of looking at only the ‘flash’ numbers. 

WHAT DOES THE MACHINE TELL US? 

Road favorites of -3 to -11 points that are allowing 12 or fewer points per game and have played three or more consecutive games where the UNDER won the money are an outstanding 15-4 ATS for 79% winning NCAA Football picks and have covered the spread by an average of 10.1 points.

The Lions are projected to score at least 30 points and will gain a minimum of 8.5 passing yards per attempt. IN past Lions games where they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone 40-3 SU winning the games by an average of 27 points and 34-8 ATS for 81% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 12.2 points. 

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars

3:30 PM EST, Saturday, October 12, 2019

7-Star Bet is on Cincinnati minus the points.

The machine learning summary projects that Cincinnati will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6 yards-per-play. In past road games where Cincinnati has scored 28 or more points and passed for an average of at least 8.0 YPPA they have earned an outstanding 15-5 SU record and 18-1-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 15 points. 

This situational query has earned a solid 155-91-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets since 2012 and Has not had a single losing season. Play on road favorites that are facing a host with a terrible defense allowing at least  31 points per game and with the host having played the last two previous games that had 60 or more total points scored in each. 

Washington State vs No. 18 Arizona State

3:30 PM EST, Friday, October 12, 2019

7-Star Bet is on WSU Cougars

This situational betting system has earned an 83-30-1 ATS record for 74% winning NCAAF bets since 1990 and has not had a single losing season. Play on road team that is coming off a blowout loss of at least 21 points to a conference foe and has a winning record with a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. And when the line is between -4 and +4 the results improve to an eye-opening 25-7-1 ATS for 78% winning bets and covering by an average of 7.1 points. 

From the machine learning predictive summary WSU is projected to score at least 28 points and average a minimum of 6.5 yards per play. When WSU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 32-5 SU record winning the games by an average of 22.6 points and 29-8 ATS for 78% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points.

Central Michigan vs New Mexico State

3:00 PM EST, Saturday, October 12, 2019

10-Star Bet is on CMU minus the points

The machine learning summary projects that CMU will score 28 or more points and will outgain NMEXST by 1.0 to 1.5 yards-per-play (YPP). In past games in which CMU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 8-1 SUATS record covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points. 

When NMEXST has allowed their opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 1-13 SU and 4-10 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 8.7 points. 

This situational query has earned an incredible 33-11 ATS record good for 75% ATS winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Play on home favorites that are off an upset home win of 14 or more points in weeks 5 through 9 of the regular season. 

John Ryan Sports

Georgia Vs Tennessee

7:00 PM EST, October 5, 2019

10-Star bet on Georgia minus the points

The machine learning summary projects that Georgia will score 28 or more points, will gain a minimum of nine passing yards per attempt, and will hold Tennessee to fewer than 250 total yards and/or Georgia will have fewer turnovers than Tennessee. In past games where Georgia scored 28 or more points, gained 9 or more [assing yards per attempt, and had fewer turnovers than their opponent they have earned a 24-5 ATS for 83% winning bets and has covered the spread by an average of 12.5 points. 

This situational query has earned an outstanding 99-51 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team after allowing 17 or fewer points in two straight games and is facing an opponent after a loss of 17 or more points. 

Arkansas State vs Georgia State

3:30 PM EST, Saturday, October 5, 2019

7-Star Bet is on Georgia plus the points 

This situational query has earned an incredible 30-5 ATS record good for 86% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 31 or more points in three consecutive games and facing an opponent that is coming off a game where they allowed 42 or more points. 

John Ryan Sports

Purdue vs Penn State
12:00 PM EST, Saturday, October 5, 2019
7-Star Bet is on PSU.

The machine learning summary projects that Penn State will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6.1 yards-per-play. In past home games where PSU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 21-1 SU record and 18-4 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points.

This situational query has earned a 64-27 ATS record good for 70% ATS winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points that is a dominant team out scoring their opponents by an average of 17 or more PPG and after scoring 50 or more points in the previous games.

John Ryan Sports

No. 15 UCF vs Cincinnati

Play on Cincinnati

8:00 PM EST, Friday, October 4, 2019

7-Star Bet is on the OVER

This situational query has earned an incredible 32-6 ATS record good for 84.2% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play OVER the posted total between 56.5 and 63 points in a conference matchup involving two strong defensive teasm allowing between 15 and 21 points-per-game on the season. 

Cincinnati is projected to score at least 28 points and in past games when they have, they have earned a 94-36 ATS record. 

John Ryan Sports

Arkansas State vs Troy
6:00 PM EST, Friday, September 28, 2019
7-Star Bet is on Arkansas State plus the points

The machine learning summary projects that Ark-State will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempts, and will gain at least 6.1 yards-per-play. In past road games where Ark-State has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 13-2 SU record and 11-4 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.1 points.

When Troy has been in a home game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 2-20 SU and 8-14 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 9.5 points.

This situational query has earned an incredible 32-5 ATS record good for 87% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play (YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more YPP in their previous game and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP.

John Ryan Sports

Wake Forest vs Boston College

3:30 PM EST, Saturday, September 28, 2019

7-Star Bet is on Wake Forest minus the points

The machine learning summary projects that Wake Forest will score 28 or more points and will outgain BC by at least 1.7 yards-per-play (YPP) and/or have over 500 yards in total offense. In past road games where Wake Forest has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 5-0 SU record and 5-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 28 points. 

When Boston College has been in a road game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 12.5 points. 

John Ryan Sports

Northwestern vs Wisconsin

12:00 PM EST, Saturday, September 28, 2019

7-Star Bet is on Wisconsin minus the points

The machine learning summary projects that Wisconsin will score 28 or more points and will outgain Northwestern by at least 2.0 yards-per-play (YPP). In past home games where Wisconsin has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 40-0 SU record and 27-13 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.8 points. 

When Northwestern has been in a road game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 18.7 points. 

This situational query has earned an incredible 22-3 ATS record good for 88% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on any team that has won three consecutive games by 21 or more points in each one and is facing an opponent coming off a loss of 17 or more points in their previous game. 

John Ryan Sports

No. 12 Penn State vs Maryland

8:00 PM EST, Friday, September 27, 2019

Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD

The Bet is on Penn State minus the points

The machine learning summary projects that PSU will score 28 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempts, and  will gain at least 6.1 yards-per-play. In past road games where PSU has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 8-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 16.4 points. 

When Maryland has been in a home game and allowed the opponent to meet or exceed these projections, they have been a college-fund draining 1-7 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average 14.3 points. 

10-STAR WAGER ON GEORGIA AS THEY HOIST NOTRE DAME SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST

The machine learning summary projects that Georgia will score at least 31 points and will gain a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-rush. In past home Georgia games where they met or exceeded these projections they have earned an outstanding 16-6 ATS mark and covered the spread by an average of 8.8 points.

This situational betting system has earned a 59-20 record for 75% winning bets since 1990. The query instructs us to play on home favorites that are excellent offensive teams averaging 440 or more total yards of offense and after two consecutive games where they gained 7.25 or more yards-per-play and are now facing an opponent that has an average defense allowing between 330 to 390 yards-per-game on the season. 

This situational query has earned a 32-9 ATS record for 78% winning bets since 1990. The query instructs us to play on home favorites between 10.5 and 21 points that are outrushing their opponents by more than 100 yards-per-game and after gaining six or more rushing yards per attempt in two consecutive games. 

7-STAR ON THE TEXAS LONGHORNS (376) AS THEY TAKE ON THE OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS IN BIG-12 CONFERENCE ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST.

The machine learning summary projects that the Longhorns will gain at least 150 rushing yards, score at least 28 points, and gain at least 500 total offensive yards. In past games where the Longhorns have scored a minimum of 28 points and rushed for a minimum of 150 rushing yards, and gained a minimum fo 500 total yards, they have gone on to earn a 23-2 SU record for 92% wins and 19-5-1 ATS for 79% winning bets and have covered the spread by an average of 7.4 points.

The Cowboys are 9-16 ATS for 36% wins in road games where they allowed 150 or more rushing yards and allowed at least 28 points. 

Texas head coach Herman is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS when facing an outstanding rushing team averaging a minimum of 5.25 yards-per-rushing attempt. 

This situational query has earned a solid 25-4 ATS for 86% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The query instructs us to play on home favorites after two consecutive games where they gained 450 or more total offensive yards and is game where both teams have five or fewer returning defensive starters. This query has covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points.

7-STAR WAGER ON THE LSU TIGERS (363) AS THEY TAKE TO THE ROAD TO PLAY VANDERBILT SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 31-8 ATS record over the last five seasons for 80% winning bets. The query instructs us to play against home underdogs of 14.5 or more points after allowing 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. This query has earned a 12-1 ATS record this season thorugh three weeks. 

This query has earned a 19-2 ATS record over the last three seasons.

The machine learning summary projects that LSU will score at least 35 points and will average 10 or more yards per pass attempt. IN past games where the Tigers have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a perfect 6-0 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 10.3 points. When Vandy has allowed these performance measures to a visitor they are 0-2 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 19 points. When Vandy has allowed a minimum of 9 yards-per-pass attempt and allowed 28 points to a visitor they are 1-9 ATS failing to cover the already by 10.8 points.

7-STAR WAGER ON SOUTH CAROLINA AS THEY TAKE ON ALABAMA IN SEC ACTION SET TO START AT 3:30 PM EST.

The machine learning summary projects that the Gamecocks will score 28 or more points, will gain at least 7.5 yards per pass attempt, and will gain an average of at least 6 yards per play overall. 

This is not good news for the Crimson as they are 13-43 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points, and 2-9-1 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points and 6.0 or more yards-per-play. They are just 8-25 ATS when they and their opponent both score 28 or more points. 

The Gamecocks are a solid 83-39-4 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points since 1992. 

10-STAR ON THE INDIANA HOOSIERS AS THEY TAKE ON THE (7) OHIO STATE BUCKEYES IN BIG TEN ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. 

The machine learning summary projects that the Hoosiers will have 25 or more rushing yards and will not be outgaied by more than 100 yards. Conference home dogs of 11 or more points that have met or exceeded these projectins have earned a 30-85 SU record for 26% outright wins and are 81-32-2 ATS for 72% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 9.5 points.

This situational query has earned a solid 26-6 record for 81% winning bets over the last 27 seasons. The query requirements to identify an active opportunity is to against road favorites that are excellent rushing teams gaining at least 230 rushing yards per game and are facing an excellent rushing defense allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards per game and after the false favorite is coming off two consecutive games outrushing their opponents by at least 125 rushing yards. 

If the road traveler is favored by 7.5 or more points they have covered in five of 12 games for 29%. 

7-STAR ON VANDERBILT (313) AS THEY TAKE ON THE PURDUE BOILMAKERS IN WEEK-2 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. 

From the Machine Learning summary, the Vanderbilt Commodores are projected to score between 28 and 35 points, will gain at least 200 rushing yards and average at least 5.7 yards-rush OR gain a minimum of 500 total offensive yards. 

Vanderbilt is 26-6 ATS for 81% winning bets an covering the spread by an average of 11 points when they score 28 or more points and gain 200 or more rushing yards since 2006; 12-1 SU for 92% and winning these games by an average of 24 points when they gain 500 or more total offensive yards and scores 28 or more points; 13-5 ATS when gaining an average of 5.7 or more rushing yards and scoring 28 or more points.

This situational query has earned a 63-28 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team that had a weak defense allowing an average of 400 or more yards per game, with just five returning starters on defense, and in the first two weeks of the season. 

7-STAR WAGER ON THE MISSOURI TIGERS (320) AS THEY TAKE ON THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST.

The Machine learning summary projects that the Tigers will gain at least 9 yards-per-pass attempt, and will score at least 28 points. In past games where the Tigers have achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 31-4 SU record for 89% winning the games by an average of 27 points and a 25-9 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 12 points. 

In games where the Tgers scored 35 or more points (85% probability for this game) and passed for 9 or more yards per pass attempt they have earned an outstanding 26-1 SU record and a 21-5 ATS record for 81% winning bets that covered by an average of 17 points.

7-STAR WAGER ON THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (312) AS THEY OST ARMY IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST.

The machine learning summary projects that the Wolverines will outgain Army by at least 2 yards-per-Play and will score 31 or more points. 

Wolverines are 131-4 SU for 97% and 96-37-1 ATS when they score 31 or more points in a home game; when installed as a home favorite of 20 to 28 points and scoring 31 or more points they are 30-0 SU and 23-6-1 ATS for 79% winning bets that covered by an average of 7 points; 36-0 SU and 27-9 ATS covering by an average of 9.4 points when scoring 31 or more points and outgaining their opponent by at least 2 yards-per-play. 

7-STAR WAGER ON THE WAKE FOREST DEAMON DEACONS AS THEY TAKE ON THE RICE OWLS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST, FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 6, 2019.

This situational run line query has earned a a solid 56-24 ATS record for 70% wins over the past 5 seasons and instructs us to play on road teasm  after allowing 7.25 or more yards-per-play in their previous game and has a returning starting quarterback and is now facing an opponent that has a new and inexperienced quarterback. 

The Machine learning summary projects that Wake Forest will gain at least 7.5 yards-per-pass attempt, and will score at least 27 points. In past games where Wake Forest has achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 10-1 SUATS winning the games by an average of 17.5 points and covering the spread by an average of 20.0 points. 

10-STAR ON THE OKLAHOMA SOONERS (216) AS THEY TAKE ON HOUSTON IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. 

From the Machine Learning summary the Sooners are projected to gain, will score 41 or more points, will outgain Houston by 150 to 225 offensive yards or will gain 500 or more total offensive yards, and will average 10 or more yards per pass attempt. 

The Sooners are 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets when they outgain their opponent by 150 to 200 yards in total offense and score 41 or more points; 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring between 35 and 49 points and outgaining their opponent by 150 to 200 total yards; 31-11 ATS for 74% winning bets when they have gained a minimum of 10 passing yards-per-attempt and scored 41 or more points; 40-5 ATS for 89% winning bets when they have outgained their opponent by a minimum of 3.5 yards-per-Play. 

Houston is 0-9 ATS when allowing an opponent to outgain them by a minimum of 3.5 yards-per-play and allowing 41 or more points. 

7-STAR ON NO.-16 AUBURN (208) AS THEY TAKE ON NO.-11 OREGON IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. 

From the Machine Learning summary the Tigers are projected to gain, will score 28 or more points, will gain a minimum of 450 total offense yards or will outgain Oregon by 100 to 150 offensive yards, in this game. 

The Tigers are 215-11 SU for 95% wins and winning the game by an average of 23 points and 149-56-4 ATS for 73% winning bets covering the spread by an average of 7.30 points when scoring 28 or more points since 1980 and 20-0 SU winning by 33.3 points and 15-4-1 ATS for 78% winning bets covering by an average of 12.8 points since 2016. 

The Ducks are 6-18 SU losing the games by an average of 10.3 point and 3-20-1 ATS for 13% failing to cover the spread by an average of 11.2 points when allowing 28 or more points in games played since 2016. When the Ducks defense has allowed 28 points and 450+ total yards they have gone 2-11 SUATS losing the games by an average of 16.7 points and failing to cover the spread by an average of 14.1 points since 2016. 

The Tigers are 16-0 winning by an average of 35 points and 13-3 ATS for 81.3% winning bets when they have scored 28 or more points and gained 450 or more total yards in games played since 2016. 

This situational query has earned a 25-15 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2007. The query instructs us to play on favorites of at least 3.5 points and a total of at least 55 points in a game between two teams ranked between 10th and 20th in the AP-top-25 poll. 

7-STAR WAGER ON DUKE (183) AS THEY TAKE ON NO.2 RANKED ALABAMA IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 3:30  PM EST.

The machine learning summary projects that Duke will pass for a minimum of 250 passing yards and will be outgained by 200 or fewer yards in this matchup against the Tide. So, large dogs of 28 or more points that are able to gain 250 or more passing yards and not be outgained by the superior opponent by more than 200 yards are 8-125 SU, but 109-24 ATS covering the spread by an average of 13 points in these games and are 4-30 SU, but 28-6 ATS for 82.4% wins covering by an average of 14 points since the 2016 season. 

7-STAR ON WISCONSIN (149) AS THEY TAKE ON THE SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:00 PM EST. 

From the Machine Learning summary the Wisconsin Badgers are projected to gain at least 300 rushing yards and/or will gain at least 6.0 rushing yards-per-attempt, and will score 28 or more points in this game. 

Wisconsin is 28-7 ATS for 80% winning bets  and covering the number by an average of 13.5 points when they have rushed for 300 or more yards in a game since 2006. The Badgers are 34-13 ATS for 72.3% winning bets when they have gained an average of at least 6.0 yards-per-carry in games played since 2006. When they have scored a minimum of 28 points the Badgers are 68-33 ATS for 67.3% covering by an average of 8 points in games played since 2006. 

When the Badgers have scored 28 or more points and have gained a minimum of 6.0 YPR they have earned a remarkable 41-1 SU record winning the games by an average of 30.4 points and 33-9 ATS for 79% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 10.6 points in games played since 2006. 

This situational query has earned a 26-6 ATS record for 81% winning bets and has made the Dime Player a profit of $19,400 over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that were an excellent rushing team averaging at least 5.25 yards-per rush last season.

10-STAR ON GEORGIA TECH (135) AS THEY TAKE ON THE REIGNING NATIONAL CHAMPIONS CLEMSON TIGERS IN WEEK-1 ACTION SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST. 

From the Machine Learning summary G-Tech is projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 passing yards per attempt and will win the turnover battle or commit just one turnover in this game. So, in past games where any team has achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 79-13 ATS record  for 86% wins since 2006 and 25-5 ATS mark for 83.3% ATS wins since the start of the of the 2016 season when installed as 24 or more point underdos.

This situational query has earned a 25-3 ATS record for 89% winning bets and has made the Dime Player a profit of $21,700 over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team in the first four weeks of the season that played in a bowl game and lost their last two games of the previous season and is returning five or fewer starters on offense including an inexperienced quarterback. 

7-STAR ON THE ARIZONA WILDCATS  (293) AS THEY TAKE ON THE HAWAII WARRIORS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST, SATURDAY AUGUST 24. 

The machine learning summary calls for the Wildcats to gain a minimum of 220 rushing yards, minimum of 280 passing yards, and will gain at least 7.0 yards-per-play and outgain the Warriors by at least 1.25 yards-per-play. IN oast games where Arizona gained 7.0 or more yards per play they have earned a 34-5 straight-up (SU) record and 25-12-2 against the spread (ATS) mark good for 68% winners. Slicing the data a bit deeper shows that Arizona is 10-3-1 ATS for 77% wins when gaining 6.5 or more yards per play and installed as a favorite between 10 and 27 points. Hawaii is 5-20 ATS for 20% when getting outgained by 1.0 to 1.5 yards-per-play. Arizona is 9-1 ATS when they have gained 6.5 or more yards per play over the last three seasons. 

This situational query has earned a 23-4 ATS record for 85% wins over the last 25 seasons. The query instructs us to play on road favorites installed as 10.5 to 21-point favorites that had a solid offensive gaining at least 5.8 yards-per-play and with seven or more defensive starters returning from last season. 

The Play and the Matchup

 Clemson (151)

CLEMSON (14 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 0)

Week 17 Monday, 1/7/2019 8:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are currently installed as 5.5-point dogs for this NCAA Championship game.

SIM Projections and Results

By many measures, these two teams are significantly better than any other teams in the nation. My ‘power ratings’ are calculated using machine learning techniques and are far more dynamic and predictive than traditional forms you may see on other wen sites. These rating have Alabama installed as a 2.5 point favorite against Clemson. To show how these two teams have separated themselves from everyone else, Alabama would be favored by 9 over Georgia, by 13 over Ohio State, by 17 over Mississippi State, 18 over Notre Dame, and 20 over Penn State. Clemson would be favored by 6 over Georgia, 11 over Michigan, 12 over Ohio State, and 17 over Penn State.

Weather could be an issue, but presently it looks like an precip will be minimal if at all and winds will be gentle and temps a bit on the cool side at 55 degrees for the fans, but football players will not notice the weather.

Clemson is the top rushing and rush defending team in the country. They gain 6.7 YPR and allow just 2.9 YPR. Further, they rank 4th in points-per-play with a 0.596 ratio and allow just 0.186 points-per-play, which ranks best in the nation. Alabama is fantastic in their own right allowing 3.3 YPR good for 10th best and gain 5.2 YPR good for 21st.

Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 35-10 ATS mark good for 78% over the last five seasons. Play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season. If the game is occurring after Week 11, which gathers up all bowl games and playoff games, the record is 25-12 ATS and has covered the spread by an average of 7 points.

Yards per point margin is a great metric that reveals the efficiencies of any teams’ offense and defense together. The higher the ratio the stronger the team is on BOTH sides of the ball. Clemson comes in best with a 9.1 ratio and Alabama second at 8.2, then it drops to App State at 6.6 and Auburn at 5.1 and Notre Dame at 5.0. So, a fairly significant advantage for Clemson in this matchup against Alabama.

Clemson's Trevor Lawrence would be the first starting freshman quarterback since Oklahoma's Jamelle Holieway in 1985 to lead his team to a national championship. Lawrence took over as the starter four games into the season and has thrown for 2,933 yards, 27 touchdowns and four interceptions.  Fundamentally, it stands to reason that Clemson will have their freshman QB executing medium length pass plays ( 3 step drop and ball is out in less than 2 seconds) initially to stave off the Alabama pass rush. Even more important, is for him to resist to the temptation to leave the pocket. With Alabama LB Christian Miller not anywhere close to 100% due to a hamstring, the middle of the field (between the hashes) will be the open for Lawrence to pick apart. There is so much more I could write about this exciting matchup on both sides of the ball, but due to time, its’ not possible. Be sure to get on Twitter and follow my analytics, especially at half time where I will release betting opportunities based on the box scores of the first half. @JohnRyanSports1

Thank you for a great season  - my 23rd – on the net and looking forward to a very profitable NFL post season and then March Madness.

Penn State (272)

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the PSU Nittany Lions, who are currently priced as 6.5-point favorites. Also, a 5-Star play on the OVER. Consider making an “Action Reverse” Parlay using the Lions and the OVER, which will pay 4:1 and is a much better risk/reward opportunity than the tradityion 13:5 two-team parlay.

PSU is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards and or gain a minimum of 7.8 yards per play. PSU is 12-0 SU winning the game by an average of 25.5 points and 11-1 ATS for 92% and covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 475 and 525 yards. When Kentucky as allowed these measures, the OVER is 16-3 for 84% and covering the total by an average of 12.7 points.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development.

Kentucky is a money burning 45-103-4 ATS for 30% and failing to cover the spread by 6.3 points when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 4-15 ATS for 21% since 2015.

The Play and the Matchup          

LSU (273)

LSU (9 - 3) vs. UCF (12 - 0)

Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 1:00 PM

FIESTA BOWL - State Farm Stadium - Phoenix, AZ

10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers, who are currently priced as 7-point favorites.  

SIM Projections and Results
The Tigers are projected to gain 250 or more rushing yards and score more than 28 points. In past games where they have met or exceeded these performance measures, the Tigers have earned a 27-2 SU record winning the game by an average of 28.9 points and 21-8 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points. And when they have been installed as 4.5 to 11.5-point favorites  in this situations they have gone on to earn an 8-2 SUATS mark winning the game by an average of 17.7 points and covering the spread by an average of 9.7 points.