John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Iowa (269)

IOWA (8 - 4) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4)

Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 12:00 PM

Outback Bowl - Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hawkeyes, who are priced as 7-point dogs.

SIM Projections and Results

The Hawkeyes are projected to gain 350 to 400 total offensive yards. The Hawkeyes are 4-3 SU and 5-1 ATS for 83% when they have scored between 23 and 28 points and gained between 350 and 400 total yards.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.

Missouri (263)

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are currently priced as 9-point favorites.

Missouri is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards, and gain a minimum of 6.8 yards per play. The Tigers are 19-3 SU winning the game by an average of 16.7 points and 15-6-21 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 474 and 525 yards. When meeting or exceeding these performance measures and installed as a favorite of 3 to 13 points, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 23 points and covering the spread by an average of 15.9 points.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 36-14 record for 72% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an incredible offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by previous opponent by 125 or more total yards.

Here is a second supporting query that has earned a solid 49-24 SATS mark good for 67% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Virginia Tech (253)

VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (10 - 2)

Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 12:00 PM

MILITARY BOWL - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hokies, who are priced as 6.5-point dogs.

SIM Projections and Results

The Hokies are projected to gain 150 rushing yards and 400 total offensive yards. Cincinnati is just 13-28-2 ATS when allowing these performance measures since 2008 and 5-12-1 ATS for 29% failing to cover the spread by an average of 6 points since 2015.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.

Oklahoma (253)

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Oklahoma, who are priced as 14-point dogs. Also, consider playing an extra 2-Star amount on the money line, which is priced at a very juicy +600.

 A bit of history here for you. It was January 2, 2014 and Oklahoma installed as a 16.5 point dog to Alabama and the Sooners won the game outright 45-31. It is a LOCK that the Sooner coaching staff brought up this epic Sooner win quite a bit over the last several weeks.

The following precedents match the projections for this game.

Oklahoma is 11-1 against the money line (+9.6 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons; 25-7 against the money line (+13.5 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 11-2 against the money line (+8.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt; 34-6 against the money line (+23.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt; 22-3 against the money line (+21.3 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points; 23-2 against the money line (+22.1 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards; 11-1 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 total yards per play.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Clemson (256)

NOTRE DAME (12 - 0) vs. CLEMSON (13 - 0)

Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PM

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are installed as 13-point favorites.

SIM Projections and Results

Clemson is projected to contain the Irish passing attack to 6.3 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Clemson has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 12-1 SU winning the game by an average of 25 points and 10-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points. 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

When Clemson has scored a minimum of 24 points and has outrushed their opponent by more than 100 yards, they have earned a perfect 24-0 mark winning the game by an average of 24.8 points and 20-4 SATS for 83% and covering the spread by an average of 14.3 points.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Florida (249)

Florida (9 - 3) vs. Michigan (10 - 2)

Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 12:00 PM

PEACH BOWL - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gators, who are installed as 6-point dogs. Also, consider the alternative wager consisting of a 5.5-Star play using the line and a 1.5-Star play using the Money Line, which is currently priced at +195. If you are wagering $100 per Star, the 1.5-Star Money line wager returns $292.50 ($150*1.95) should Florida win the game outright.

SIM Projections and Results

Florida is projected to contain the Michigan passing attack to 8 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Florida has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 18-2 SUATS winning the game by an average of 18.3 points and covering the spread by an average of 9.2 points.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 24-5 ATS mark for 83% since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss against a conference rival and is a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games and playing a team having won 60% to 80% of their games.

Here is the second DB system query that has produced a 22-12 record using the money line averaging a +213 DOG over the last 10 seasons. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

Syracuse (243)

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Syracuse, who are priced as 2.5-point favorites.

Syracuse has had a fantastic season and they almost knocked off Clemson in Death Valley earlier this season. They put up one bad game, which was at Notre Dame scoring 3 points, but overall they averaged more than 40 points per game and were getting better as the season evolved. WVU is a team in disarray led by the unbelievable decision of their QB Will Grier to sit out this bowl game and not risk injury. That’s one way to become a disconnected team member and it certainly bring sto light the lack of coaching leadership. They lost their last two games tro Oklahoma State and then in an epoch game against Oklahoma at home 59-56.

     So, the SIM summary projections call for Syracuse to score at least 30 points and that their stout defense will force a minimum of 2 turnovers with the potential to force 4 or more. In past games when the Orange have scored 30 or more points and forced 2 turnovers exact they have earned a 16-2 SU mark winning by an average of 14.3 points and a 14-4 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12.6 points; when the opponent has turned it over by 3 turnovers, the Orange are then 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.1 points; when the TO have been 4, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average eof 16.7. Overall, when they score 30 or more points and force an opponent into 2 or more turnovers, the Orange are 31-3 SU winning by an average of 17.7 points and 28-6 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 40-14 ATS mark since 1992. Play against any team with an excellent offensive team scoring at least 34 PPG after a loss by 3 or less points and is now facing an average defensive team allowing an average of 21 to 28 PPG and with the current game taking place after Week 6.

Here is a second DB query that has recorded a 26-9 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2014. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win and is a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Auburn (241)

AUBURN (7 - 5) vs. PURDUE (6 - 6)

Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 1:30 PM

MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are installed as 3.5-point favorites.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain over 200 rushing yards and average at least 6.3 yards per play. When the Tigers have gained 200 or more RY and scored 28 or more points, they have had a near-perfect 61-1 SU mark winning the game by an average of 26 points and a 43-19 ATS mark good for 70% and covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points. 

When they have rushed for 250 yards and scored 28 or more points, they have gone 49-1 SU winning by 26 points and 35-12-1 ATS for 75% covering the spread by an average of 8 points.

Purdue is just 3-28 SU losing by 22 points on average and 7-24 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 12 points when they have allowed 28 or more points and 250 or more rushing yards.

When Auburn has been installed as a slight favorite between -1 and -4.5, scoring 28 and gaining at least 250 RY, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 13 points and covering the spread by an average of 10 points

Vanderbilt (110)

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Vanderbilt, who are priced as 3.5-point favorites.

Vanderbilt is projected to score a minimum of 28 points. When Vanderbilt has scored 28 or more points, they have earned an 13-4 ATS mark covering by an average of 8.7 points over the past three seasons and 81-28 ATS for 74% dating back to the start of the 1980 season. By contrast, Baylor is just 55-146-5 ATS for 27.4% failing to cover by an average of 8.7 points when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 1980; 2-13 SU losing by an average of 16.5 points since last season.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 73-36 ATS mark since 2013. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Wisconsin (238)

MIAMI (7 - 5) vs. WISCONSIN (7 - 5)

Week 16 Thursday, 12/27/2018 5:15 PM

PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Badgers, who are installed as 2.5-point dogs.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Badgers to gain over 250 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Badgers have gained 250 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 31-0 SU mark winning the game by an average of 31.5 points and a 23-7 ATS mark good for 77% and covering the spread by an average of 11.2 points. 

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 34-10 ATS mark since 2014. Play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season.

The Play and the Matchup          

California Golden Bears (234)

TCU (6 - 6) vs. CALIFORNIA (7 - 5)

Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 9:00 PM

CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Golden Bears, who are currently priced as 1-point favorites.  

SIM Projections and Results
The defenses of both of these teams are fully capable of controlling the line of scrimmage and forcing each other’s offense into long down situations that have a significantly less chance of moving the chains with a first down. Cal has the better defense and rank 14th in the nation allowing only 32% of 3-down plays to be converted into first downs.

CAL Has earned a 28-1 SU and 25-3 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12 points when they have gained 50 or more RY than the opponent and averaged 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Minnesota Gophers (231)

MINNESOTA (6 - 6) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5)

Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 5:15 PM

QUICK LANE BOWL - Ford Field - Detroit, MI

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gophers. who are installed as 6-point home dogs.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Gophers to gain over 200 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Gophers have been installed as a dogs and then gained 200 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark winning the game by an Average of 12.6 points and covering the spread by 18.7 points.

Our vast NCAAB and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 19-11 mark using the money line since 2009. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. This is essentially a Bowl Game with the exception of the Week 1 marquee matchups.

Army (213)

Houston (8 - 4) vs. Army (10 - 2)

Week 16 Saturday, 12/22/2018 3:30 PM

Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX.

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 6-point favorites for this bowl game.

Army has had a historic season winning 10 games and most of all defeating Navy in their last game.  Army ranks first in time of possession (TOP) keeping the ball for an average of 39.15 minutes per game and Houston dead last of the 130 programs averaging just 24.80 minutes per game. Moreover, Houston ranks 128th with opponents averaging 48 rushing plays per game and 100th allowing 210 RYPG. Army ranks first averaging 65 rushes per game and second averaging 298.1 RYPG.

Army is projected to gain 350 rushing yards on a minimum of 70 rushing plays. In past games where they have met this pair of standards they are 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.8 points.

Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 35-14 ATS mark since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game (YPG), after being outgained by their previous opponent by 125 or more total yards.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

Utah State (202)

NORTH TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. UTAH ST (10 - 2)

Week 16 Saturday, 12/15/2018 2:00 PM

New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Utah State, who are priced as 7.5-point home favorites for this Bowl game matchup.

Utah State is projected to score at least 28 points and gain an average of 6 yards-per-play. In past games, when they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a solid 39-10-2 ATS mark for 80% and covering by an average of 10.9 points; 10-3 ATS for 77% covering by an average of 11.5 points since 2016; 5-0-1 ATS covering by 15.6 points this season.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

ARMY (104)

NAVY (3 - 9) vs. ARMY (9 - 2)          

Week 15 Saturday, 12/8/2018 3:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 7-point favorites for this matchup.

SIM Projections and Results

Army is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards-per-attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards

Further, Army is a stout 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

Here is a query result that has gone 57-8 for 88% using the money line and supports Army. Play against neutral field underdogs using the money line (NAVY) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread and when playing on a Saturday. We could do this query by identifying games in December and January since the large majority of neutral field venues are related to bowl and playoff games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Northwestern  (321)

Northwestern (8 - 4) Vs. Ohio St (11 - 1)

Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 8:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Wildcats who are priced as 15-point neutral field dogs in this BIG-10 Championship game.

SIM Projections and Results

Playing on larger dogs in specific matchups has paid-off quite well over the years and the following DB query exhibits those results with a 37-88 record for JUST 30%, BUT has made 117.5 units or $11,750 per $100 wager averaging an incredible +555 dog wager. Play on underdogs of +315 or higher using the money line off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and is a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record.

In 2016, Ohio State went to Happy Valley installed as 18-point favorites in this situation and lost the game 24-21. In 2013, Texas was a 12.5-point dog facing the Sooners in the BIG-12 Championship and the Sooners lost 36-20. These are just 2 of many of these major upsets that have occurred 30% of the time under the DB query parameters and in 88% of these games, the betting consensus was largely betting the favorite and giving the DOG no chance to even cover the spread.

This DB query has attained a 61-26 ATS record good for 70% playing on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games and has won 80% or more of their games and now facing a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Texas (311)

TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1)

Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 12:30 PM

BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Texas, who are priced as an 8-point neutral field dog.

Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 300, which implies a 3:1 return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 6-Stars or $600 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,600. If they cover, but fail to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1600 is 60% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows:

The SIM projections show that Texas will gain an average of 7.3 to 8.7 yards per pass play and hold Oklahoma to less than 9.5 yards per pass play. Texas is 6-1 ATS for 85% covering by an average of 9.4 points when gaining 7.3 to 8.2 YPP since start of 2016 season. Sooners are 4-7 ATS when not gaining more than 9.5 YPP since start of 2016 season.

     Texas is expected to gain 170 to 235 rushing yards and in past games when they did accomplish this range of RY they are a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.1 points. Both teams are projected to score 31 or more points. Sooners are just 5-10 ATS in this situation. Texas will have fewer turnovers and in games where noth teams score 31 or more and the Sooners lose the turnover margin, they are just 1-5 ATS failing to cover by an average of 12.6 points. Then, if the Sooners are favored by 4 or more points in this situation, their results have been an imperfect 0-10 ATS losing to the number by an average of 16.7 points since the start of the 2011 season.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Washington Huskies (306)

UTAH (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON (9 - 3)

Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 8:00 PM

PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, CA

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Huskies who are priced as 5-point favorites in this PAC-12 Championship game.

SIM Projections and Results

In the 8-year PAC-12 Championship history, the participants have been prolific offenses and the results have been track meet types of games. This one features the tow best defenses in the PAC-12 and two of the best defenses in the nation. Washington leads the PAC-12 in scoring defense at 16.6 PPG and ranks 10th nationally. Utah ranks second-best in the PAC-12 allowing 19.3 PPG and ranks 18th nationally in scoring defense. So, this will be a game of field position that Washington will gain the upper hand by dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage.

For the season, the Utes have averaged a conference-leading 205 RYPG, but over their last 4 games they have averaged 192 RY. Washington has improved their ground attack over the last 4-weeks averaging 200 RY as compared to a season average of 189 RY. More important is how the Washington defense has significantly improved down the stretch of the L4 games limiting opponents to just 97 RYPG while Utah has allowed 139 RY compared with a season average of 100 RYPG.

In games where Washington has had 50 or more rushing yards than the opponent and had a lower (better) rank than the opponent and both teams were ranked, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 18 points and winning the game outright by an average of 29 points.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Northern Illinois (303)

Northern Illinois (7 - 5) vs. Buffalo (10 - 2)

Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 7:00 PM

MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Ford Field - Detroit, MI

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Northern Illinois, who are priced as 3.5-point neutral field dog.

Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 150, which implies a 3:2return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 3-Stars or $300 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,200. If they cover, but fails to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1200 is 20% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. Not steering your thoughts in this combination direction as a straight 10-Star wager using the line is a smart play as well.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows:

The SIM projections show that Northern Illinois will have less than 150 net passing yards. This reflects their success running the ball and the lack of need to throw the ball to the move the chains or to mount a comeback from a 2 or more scoring deficit. Buffalo is just 6-15 SU for 29% winners when allowing an opponent 150 or less net passing yards. NI is a solid 8-3 SU when gaining 150 or fewer net passing yards over the L2 seasons.

Interesting too is the fact that Buffalo is 0-10 SU and just 3-7 ATS losing to the number by an average of 8.2 points when facing NI.

NI is 40-19 against the money line (+21.2 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Auburn (227)

Auburn (7 - 4) at Alabama (11 - 0)

Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers which the market has priced as 24.5-point road dogs. An added recommended play is to take a 1-Star wager and get Auburn on the money line, if available through your book(s).

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Alabama to gain 8 or fewer yards-per-pass and when installed as 17.5-point favorites and higher are 10-17 ATS. When combined with games where Alabama has scored 28 or fewer points, the result has been a imperfect 0-8 ATS failing to cover by 10.6 PPG, but they have won 7 of the 8 games SU.

Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 24-5 ATS result for 83% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (AUBURN) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins.

A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 25-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners since 2008. Play on a road team after game 7 that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game

And is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Ohio State  (105)

Michigan (10 - 1) at Ohio St (10 - 1)

Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Buckeyes, who are priced as 5-point home dogs.  Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +190. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Buckeyes pull off the upset returns ($380). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows:

Michigan is 22-61 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 50 or fewer yards. OSU is a solid 142-54 ATS (+82.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. OSU is 34-0 SU and 23-9-2 ATS, and 21-12 ‘OVER’ in home games scoring 28 ro more points and passing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempt.

Not since October 29, 2011 has OSU been installed as a home dog. On they date, they played Wisconsin installed as 7.5-point home dogs and won the game 33-29. Dating back to 1980, our DB shows that OSU has been a home dog on 16 occasions and have gone 7-8-1 SU and 10-5-1 ATS. The last time Michigan came to Columbus as a favorite was November 20, 2004 and they were throttled 37-21. Interesting that the line for this game showed Michigan priced as a 5-point favorite just as they are for today’s game.

The following database query has produced a 37-12 ATS mark good for 76% over the past 5 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST)  in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.

This DB query is based on the money line and is remarkable in its’ own right sporting a 28-19 SU record and making 42.6 stars per Star unit wager since 1992. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OHIO ST) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams scoring 34  or more PPG and after scoring 42 points or more last game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Florida State (200)

Florida (8 - 3) at Florida St (5 - 6)

Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seminoles, who are priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +240. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Seminoles pull off the upset returns ($480). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score a minimum 24 points and gain at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt. In FSU home games where they have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 30-3 SU record and 22-11-1 ATS mark; since the start of the 2013 season, they are 17-2 SU and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 6.3 PPG.

This database situation query that has produced a 25-6 ATS record good for 81% winners since the start of the 1992 season. Play against road favorites (FLORIDA) that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 YPP after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and are now facing an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after 7 or more games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup          

Boston College  (160)

Syracuse (8 - 3) At Boston College (7 - 4)

Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on BC, which the market has priced them as 7-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary and precedents are as follows:

Syracuse is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when they allow 29 to 35 points since 1992; 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992; 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play.

BC is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points.

The following database system query has produced a solid 35-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners over the past five seasons.  Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SYRACUSE) with an elite offense  averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by the previous opponent by 125 or more total yards.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

The South Florida Bulls (105)

UCF (10 - 0) at South Florida (7 - 4)

Week 13 Friday, 11/23/2018 4:15 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bulls, who are priced as 14.5-point home dogs.  Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 8-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +500. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Bulls pull off the upset returns 10-Stars ($1,000).

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows:

Both teams are projected to score 28 or more points. Home dogs of 10 to 17.5 points scoring 28 or more points and their guests matching that output have produced a 240-83-10 ATS mark good for 74% covering by an average of 6.3 points. Drilling the data set a bit further to include conference games returns a 198-61-8 ATS record good for 76.4% covering by an average of 6.7 points. Finally, if the visitor ranks in the Top-10, the home dog takes real meaning with a 25-4-1 SATS record and 86% covering by an average of 8.7 points.

The following database query has produced a 31-10 ATS mark good for 76% since 1992. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a good team with a 60 to 80 win percentage.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Maryland University (350)

Ohio St (9 - 1) at Maryland (5 - 5)

Week 12 Saturday, 11/17/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on Maryland which the market has priced as 14.5-point home dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Maryland to gain a minimum of 200 rushing yards and will score at least 28 points. Ohio State is just 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Maryland is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Combined RY greater than 200 yards and scoring 28 or more points, the Terrapins are 17-3 SU sinning by an average of 25 points.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

SMU 181)

Memphis (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5)

Week 12 Friday, 11/16/2018 9:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the SMU Mustangs, who are priced as 7.5-point home dogs.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Mustangs to attain a 12.5 yards-per-point ratio or lower and that their YPPT ratio will be less (more efficient offense) than the Memphis Tigers. When installed as home dogs, SMU is a perfect 8-0 ATS covering by an average of 20 PPG when meeting or exceeded these performance measures.

This database situation query that has produced a 34-8 ATS record good for 81% winners spanning the last 25 seasons.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SMU) after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Ohio University (513)

Buffalo (9 - 1) at Ohio U (6 - 4)

Week 12 Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Ohio University, who is currently priced as a 2.5-point home favorite

SIM Projections and Results

Projections call for Ohio to score at least 28 points, have at least 200 rushing yards, and gain a minimum of 6.5 YPPL. Since 2006, Ohio is a solid 47-6 SU winning by 18.7 PPG and 40-10-2 ATS covering the spread by 8.9 PPG when scoring 28 points and gaining 200 or more rushing yards. When attaining these performance measures in home games they are 21-4-2 ATS for 84% covering by 9 PPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Ball State (273)
W Michigan (6 - 4) at Ball St (3 - 7)   
Week 12 Tuesday, 11/13/2018 6:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Ball State who are priced as 9-point home dogs. 

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Ball State to score a minimum of 28 points and WMCH is 0-6 ATS failing to cover by an average of 17.4 PPG this season. Ball State is 2-0 ATS when scoring 28 or more points in 2018 and covered by an 18 PPG. Since 2013, Ball State is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS covering by 10.3 PPG when scoring 28 or more points.
Teams that are home dogs and score 28 or more points and gain more passing yards-per-pass attempt and gain more rushing yards per rush attempt are a solid 16-3 ATS covering by18.9 PPG for 84% winners and are a stout 14-6 SU covewirng by an average of 12.4 PPG.

This database situational query has produced a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALL ST) that are solid good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG) and is now facing a team with a poor defense allowing between 390 and 440 YPG) after 7or more games have been completed and after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game.

The Play and the Matchup
Boston College (513)
Clemson (9 - 0) at Boston College (7 - 2)   
Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 8:00 PM   

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Boston College, who is currently priced as a 20-point home dog. If you are able to get a money line wager, consider placing an 8.5-Star amount using the line and a 1.5-Star amount using the money line. The money line will be the range about 900, which means a $900 win for every $100 dollar wager or in this example a return of $1,350 just on the money line portion.
SIM Projections and Results
This sets up as a very dangerous game for Clemson and reminds us of the 10-Star winner we had on Syracuse earlier this season when they were in Death Valley and nearly shocked the NCAAF world. This is a road game for Clemson in conditions they are not accustomed with that will be very windy and quite cold with wind chills in the 20’s. I normally do not comment on weather conditions, but it is another variable that can only help BC.
     Projections are for Clemson to have less than 200 rushing yards and that BC will gain more passing yards than Clemson. In past road games installed as a favorite, the Tigers are just 1-6 ATS and failing to cover the number by an average of 11.6 PPG.
     There is a high probability, NOT certainty’ that Clemson will have more turnovers than BC. If that occurs and BC gains more passing yards, the Tigers are 0-3 ATS losing to the number by an average of 20.1 PPG.

This database situational query has produced an impeccable 24-3 ATS record covering by an average of 8.8 PPG and spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, with a winning record on the season.

This database situational query works against Clemson and has produced a 31-9 ATS  mark for 77.5% winners spanning the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team sporting a win percentage of at least 80% and now playing a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games.


Take Boston College

The Play and the Matchup
Auburn (177)
Auburn (6 - 3) at Georgia (8 - 1)   
Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 7:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Auburn Tigers which the market has them priced as 14-point road dogs. Also, consider an optional wager betting an 8-Star amount on the line and a 2-Star on the money line.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Tigers to force 2 Georgia turnovers and not get outgained by more than 125 total yards. The Tigers are 28-2 SU achieving these performance measures and when the opponent has 2 or more turnovers, the Tigers are 59-5 SU. When installed as a road dog, they are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.8 PPG.

The following database situation query provides a solid record of 25-6 ATS for 81% since the start of the 2013 season. Play against a home team after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 2 or less rushing yards-per-attempt in their last game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Mississippi State (181)
Mississippi St (6 - 3) at Alabama (9 - 0)  
Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Mississippi State, who are priced as 23.5-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Mississippi State to gain a minimum of 250 rushing yards. This has not happened to Alabama very often, but when it has, they are 1-4 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.4 PPG. Even when the RY is 200 or more Alabama is 4-8 ATS.

This database situation query that has produced a 26-8 ATS record good for 77% winners spanning the last 10 seasons.  Play on road underdogs that are excellent rushing teams gaining at least 230 RY-game and is now facing a good rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RY-game, after gaining 6 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in their last game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Penn State (180)
Wisconsin (6 - 3) at Penn St (6 - 3)   
Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the PSU Nittany Lions who are priced as 8.5-point home favorites. 

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Lions to gain at least 7 YPPL (Yards-per-play) and will outgain Wisconsin by a minimum of 1.5 YPPL. Moreover, PSU in home games installed as favorites between 6 and 10 points and outgaining their opponent by a minimum of 1.5 YPPL are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average of 14.6 PPG.

Take Penn State

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup 
TCU (137) 
TCU (4 - 5) at West Virginia (7 - 1) 
Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on TCU, which the market has priced them as 11.5-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for TCU to gain 50 or more rushing yards and more total yards than West Virginia. WVU is 4-13 ATS when being outrushed by 50 or more yards and having fewer total yards than the opponent.

The following database system query has produced a solid 36-10 ATS for 78% spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on any team after 5 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. One of these features a perfect 6-0 ATS situation that has covered by 14.5 PPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Louisville (513)
Louisville (2 - 7) At Syracuse (7 - 2)   
Week 11 Friday, 11/9/2018 7:00 PM   

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Louisville, who is currently priced as a 21-point road dog.
SIM Projections and Results

This database situational query has produced an impeccable 22-4 ATS record covering by an average of 8.8 PPG and spanning the last 10 seasons. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

This database situational query supports Louisville and has produced a 89-42 ATS mark for 68% winners since 2013. Play ON any team after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.


Take Louisville

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
NC State (513)
Wake Forest (4 - 5) at NC State (6 - 2)   
Week 11 Thursday, 11/8/2018 7:30 PM   

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on NC State, who is currently priced as an 18-point home favorite.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Wolfpack to outgain the Demon Deacons by a minimum of 1.9 yards-per-play. IN past games where NC State has achieved this single specific performance measure, they have gone 20-3 SY winning by an average of 27.2 PPG and 19-4 ATS for 82.6% winners and covering by an average of 11.15 PPG.

Wake Forest is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 total yards per play and NC State a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 3 seasons.

Take North Carolina State

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup   
Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM
Missouri (337)
Missouri (4 - 4) at Florida (6 - 2)   
Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 4:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers, which the market has them priced as 6-point road dogs in this SEC matchup.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score between 31 and 42 points and gain between 430 and 480 total yards. The Tigers are 27-8 ATS in road games when they score between 31 to 42 points and Gators are just 4-19 ATS when they allow an opponent to score between 31 and 42 points in a home tilt failing to cover by an average of 12.8 PPG.

The following database system query has produced a solid 39-21 record using the money line and good for 65% winners over the past 5 seasons. Play on a road team via the money line that is a quick starting team outscoring opponents by 7 or more  PPG in the first half and after a loss by 6 or less points.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Penn State (405)
PENN ST (6 - 2) at MICHIGAN (7 - 1)   
Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 3:45 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the PSU which the market has priced as 12-point road dogs

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Lions to score between 28 and 38 points and will average a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-pass play. When the Lions have achieved these measures in a road game they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 15.4 PPG. When Michigan has allowed the aforementioned measures in a home game, they are just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8 PPG.

The following database situation query provides a solid record playing the ‘UNDER’ of 42-15 for 74% since the start of the 1992 season. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MICHIGAN)with an excellent rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing yards-per-game, after allowing 1 or less rushing yards-per-attempt last game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Georgia Southern (377)
Ga Southern (7 - 1) at La Monroe (4 - 4) 
Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 3:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Georgia Southern, who are priced as 7.5-point road favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Georgia Southern to gain a minimum of 5.5 rushing yards per attempt, score 31 or more points, and have at least 3 times as many running plays than passing plays. In past games where GS met these measures they went an impressive 19-5-1 ATS for 79% covering by an average 12 PPG.

Here is a database situation query that has produced a 27-6 ATS record good for 81.8% winners spanning the last 5 seasons.  Play against a home team after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 10 through 13.

This DB situational query has produced a 33-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners spanning the last 25 seasons.  Play on road teams (GA SOUTHERN) that possess a solid defense allowing between 16- and 21 PPG and after a win by 17 or more points and is facing a struggling defensive team allowing a minimum of 34 PPG and after 7 or more games have been played.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Auburn (390)
Texas A&M (5 - 3) at Auburn (5 - 3)   
Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 12:00 PM   

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Auburn Tigers, who are priced as 3-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain a minimum of 8.5 passing yards per attempt, and gain a minimum of 6 yards-per-play. So, when Auburn has played a game where they met or exceeded these performance ratios, they have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS winning by an average of 13 PPG and covering the spread by 11.57 PPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Nebraska (333)
Nebraska (1 - 6) at Ohio St (7 - 1)  
Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who are priced as 19-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Nebraska to gain 5.0 to 6.0 rushing yards per attempt and score 31 or more points. Nebraska is a perfect 13-0 ATS when scoring 31 or more points and rushing for 5.0 or more yards-per-carry in road tilts since 2013 covering by an average of 14 PPG.

Here is a database situation query that has produced a 27-6 ATS record good for 81.8% winners spanning the last 5 seasons.  Play against a home team after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 10 through 13.

This DB situational query has produced a 74-31 ATS mark good for 71% winners spanning the last five seasons.  Play on road underdogs with a struggling defense allowing 5.8 or more yards-per-play and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup   
Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM
Colorado (319)
Colorado (5 - 3) at Arizona (4 - 5)   
Week 10 Friday, 11/2/2018 10:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Buffalos, which the market has them priced as 3-point road dogs in this PAC-12 matchup.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Buffalos to score between 28 and 35 points and gain between 450 and 500 total yards. The Buffalos are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points and Arizona is just 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards.

The following database system query has produced a solid 55-22 ATS record good for 71.4% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on a road team with an offense that is averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 Yards-per-Play and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
UCF (314)
Temple (5 - 3) at UCF (7 - 0)   
Week 10 Thursday, 11/1/2018 7:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Central Florida Knights, which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Knights to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. The Knights are a perfect 10-0 SUATS winning by an average of 32.8 PPG and covering by an average of 16 PPG when gaining 250 or more rushing yards and averaging 7 or more yards-per-pass.

Teams that have won 6 or more straight games ATS and give up the measures to an opponent mentioned above have one 0-6 ATS failing to cover by an average of 18 PPG. When a ranked team is playing at home against a foe, who has won six straight games ATS and not favored by more than 11 points have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering the number by an average of 16.5 PPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Miami (Ohio) 301
Miami Ohio (3 - 5) at Buffalo (7 - 1)   
Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Red Hawks, which the market has them priced as 7-point road dogs in this MAC matchup.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Red Hawks to control game tempo and have at least 30 minutes of TOP and will contain Buffalo’s offense to less than 28 points. When the Red Hawks have been on the road and have met or exceeded these performance measures they have produced a 14-5-2 ATS mark. Under the same projections and being installed as a dog, the record improves to 12-3-1 for 80% ATS. Of note, is that the UNDER has gone 13-3 in these same games.

The following database system query has produced a solid 55-22 ATS record good for 71.4% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) in a game involving two rushing teams gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR after 7 games have been completed.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Oklahoma State (180)
Texas (6 - 1) at Oklahoma St. (4 - 3)

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Cowboys using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Longhorns. When the Cowboys have been a host and installed as a dog and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 3-1 SUATS record winning by an average of 20 PPG against the spread and by 14.75 points SU. When at home against a conference foe they have gone 22-2 SU and 17-6-1 ATS covering by an average of 9.7 PPG

The following DB situational query has gone 18-7 using the money line for 58% winners and has made $3,010 per $100 wager since 2006. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) and is a solid team that is outscoring opponents by 7 or more PPG and after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Georgia (167)
Georgia (6 - 1) versus Florida (6 - 1)   
Week 9 Friday, 10/26/2018 10:30 PM
Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Georgia using the line, which currently prices them as 6.5-point favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Georgia will gain a minimum of 5.5 yards-per-rush and a minimum of 250 total rushing yards. They will also score 28 or more points. In past games, where Georgia met each of these performance measures they have produced a 43-16 ATS mark when scoring 28 or more points and installed as a ‘road’ favorite covering by an average of 9.33 PPG. When they have gained 250 or more rushing yards as ‘road’ favorites they have gone 6-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.7 PPG since 2009; 7-3 ATS when gaining 225 or more RY. When Florida has been installed as a dog and yielded 5.5 RYPA, they have been 0-3 ATS failing to cover by an average of 15 PPG. When allowing 28 or more points and dressed in the DOG, they are a miserable 10-38-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.33 PPG.

The following database query has produced a stout 60-23 mark good for 72% since 2014. Play against any team (FLORIDA) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games and is a top-level team having won a minimum of 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. And when we look at only conference games, the record improves to 52-18 ATS for 74% and is a perfect 5-0 ATS in 2018.Ryan’s 10-Star PAC-12 Friday Night Titan; 92.3% situation

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Utah (119)
UTAH (5 - 2) at UCLA (2 - 5)   
Week 9 Friday, 10/26/2018 10:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Utes using the line, which currently prices them as 10.5-point road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Utes to score at least 28 points and outgain UCLA by at least 200 yards. Utah is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992.
     The following database system query has produced a solid 24-2 ATS record for 92.3% winners since 2008. Play on road favorites (UTAH) after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games and is now facing an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. These results covered the spread by an average of 10.11 PPG and underscores the projections that Utah wins this game by at least 20 points.

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

Baylor University Bears (

Baylor (4 - 3) at W Virginia (5 - 1)       

Week 9 Thursday, 10/25/2018 7:00 PM

SIM grading

7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy

Place a 7-star wager on Baylor using the money line, which currently shows them installed as a 13.5-point road dog.

SIM Matching Game Situations

The summary projections call for both teams to score 18 or more points.  In past Baylor road games where they were installed as dogs of 10 to 17 points and both teams did score 28 or more points, Baylor has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering by an average of 11 points per game.  Looks like WVU will need a last minute FG to win this one – or maybe not. 

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Troy University (101)
Troy (5 - 2) at S Alabama (2 - 5)   
Week 9 Tuesday, 10/23/2018 8:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on Troy using the line, which currently has them priced as 10.5-point road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
The Troy Trojans are projected to gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards and average at least 4.5 yards-per-rush. IN past games, where the Jaguars have allowed these performance measures, they have gone just 1-6 ATS for 14%.
This DB situational query has produced a 51-18 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2013. Play against home underdogs (S ALABAMA) after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Purdue (334)
OHIO ST (7 - 0) at PURDUE (3 - 3)   
Week 8 Saturday, 10/20/2018 7:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 10-star wager on the Purdue Boilermakers. Consider placing a 5-Star amount on the money line and a 5-Star play on the line to exploit the significant likelihood that Purdue can win this game outright.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Purdue’s defense to hold Ohio State to 28 or fewer points and the Boilermaker offense will gain a minimum of 6.5 yards-per-play. So, in past games where these performance measures have been attained by any home team against a Top-10 opponent have gone 33-1 ATS. So, this is a play that is certainly deserving of the money line play as well.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Clemson (390)
NC State (5 - 0) at Clemson (6 - 0)   
Week 8 Saturday, 10/20/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 10-star wager on Clemson using the line, which currently has them priced as 17.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Clemson is projected to gain more than 250 rushing yards and average more than 6.0 rushing yards-per-carry and score 35 or more points. When doing so the Tigers precedent is a stout 21-0 SU winning by an average of 34 PPG and 16-5 ATS covering by an average of 11.93 PPG
In case you wanted to know: When two undefeated teams have played and the home team is the higher ranked team and installed as a favorite of at least 14.5-points, are a very strong 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS for 73% covering by an average of 7 points and ion the 11 wins covering by an average of 13.4 PPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Boise State (308)
Colorado St (3 - 4) at Boise St (4 - 2)   
Week 8 Friday, 10/19/2018 9:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on Boise State using the line, which currently has them priced as 23.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Boise State is projected to hold CSU to less than 200 passing yards and between 50 and 100 rushing yards and in past games where they have achieved these defensive measures they have produced a 12-0 SU mark and a 8-3-1 ATS mark. Moreover, they are projected to gain at least 550 totla offensive yards and are 24-6-1 ATS for 80% when doing so.

Here is a strong DB System Query that has gone 40-17 ATS for 70% winners. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite and with 4 or more total starters returning than the opponent.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Stanford (305)
Stanford (4 - 2) at Arizona State (3 - 3)   
Week 8 Thursday, 10/18/2018 9:00 PM
SIM grading
10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy
Place a 10-star wager on the Stanford Cardinal using the line, which is currently priced at -2.5-points.

SIM Projections and Results
The Cardinal is projected to gain more than 300 passing yards and average better than 10-yards-per-pass play. In past games where the Cardinal have achieved this performance level they have gone an exceptional 11-32 SU and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% and covered by an average of 8.46 PPG. When ASU has allowed these measures and installed as a dog, they have gone a money burning 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS for 33%. 
     Stanford is also projected to score 28 points and when they do installed as a road favorite, they have produced a 44-12-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. When scoring 28 or more points as a road favorite in a conference showdown, the Cardinal has gone 30-7-3 ATS for 81% covering by an average of 9.24 PPG.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Penn State (202)
Michigan State (3 - 2) at Penn State (4 - 1)   
Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Penn State Nittany Lions, which the market has them priced as 13-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Lions to contain the MSU ground attack to between 100 and 150 yards and force them into more third down situations than themselves. So, PSU is 8-1 ATS when holding an opponent to between 100 and 150 RY over the L3 seasons. The Lions are also expected to gain 1.1 or more yards-per-play (not necessarily run more plays, but far more efficient than MSU) and are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when installed as a home favorite between 7 and 14 points in this role.
     Of the overall 1.1 YPPL advantage it is all in the passing game with the Lions expected to enjoy at least a 1.5 yards-per-pass advantage over MSU. IN games where the Lions have attained or exceeded this measure, they have gone 40-0 SU and 30-8-2 ATS for 79% winning wagers.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Georgia (197)
Georgia (6-0) at LSU (5-1)
Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM   


SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Georgia Bulldogs, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Dawgs to control game tempo and both sides of the ball. The number 28, as in points scored or allowed, is the biggest pivot number in NCAA football, and especially the SEC with their high scoring offenses. Georgia is projected to score 28 points rather easily and will most likely have 35 or more in this road game. Georgia is 56-3 SU and 43-16 ATS for 73% winning wagers when scoring 28 or more points installed as a road favorite. When scoring 28 or more points in SEC conference action, the Dawgs are 44-2 SU and 34-12 for 74% covering the number by an average of 9.47 PPG. Now, when LSU has allowed an opponent 28 or more points in home tilts they have struggled to a horrid 11-36 SU and 3-43-1 ATS record dating back to 1983. Since the start of the 2011 season, they are 0-4 ATS. Tigers are a money burning 2-13 SY and 3-12 ATS for 20% when allowing 28 points installed as a home dog in SEC action since 1980.
    

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Oregon (160)
Washington (5 - 1) at Oregon (4 - 1)   
Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Oregon Ducks, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point home dogs. We like making this a combination wager placing a 2.5-Star amount on the money line at +145 and a 5.5-Star amount on the line to take advantage of the expected Duck’s SU upset win.

SIM Projections and Results
Oregon is projected to score a minimum of 31 points and will run at least 10 more plays than Washington. When playing at home and achieving these KPI, the Ducks have gone 22-2 SU and 16-7 ATS for 70%. When achieving these KPI against a conference foe, the record improves to 14-1 SU winning by an average of 29.8 points per game and 12-3 ATS for 80% covering the number by an average of 9.33 PPG.

Here is a DB Situation Query that has produced a 36-9 ATS mark good for 75%. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 1.2 or more yards-per-play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Vanderbilt (192)   
Florida (5 - 1) At Vanderbilt (3 - 3)   
Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Vanderbilt using the line, which currently prices them as 7.5-point home dogs.
Consider this alternative wager strategy combining the money line and the line to exploit the significant chance that Vanderbilt wins this game. The combination wager consists of a 7-Star wager on the line and a 3-Star wager on the money line. The money line is currently priced at 240, which for a $100 wager returns $240 plus the $100 wager for $340. So, the 3-star wager at a $100 per star returns $720 if Vanderbilt wins. If Vanderbilt loses by less than 7 points, then the line bet wins for $700 net profit and the money line wager loses for a net loss of $300. Overall, still making a nice $400 net profit in the final margin is between Florida winning by 1 and less than 8-points.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Commodores to post greater yards per play in both the ground and passing attacks. So, for any home dog, who attains these measures of offensive advantages over a visiting opponent has made tons of money in the form of a 267-90 SU record winning by an average of 10.2 PPG and a 315-33-9 ATS 90.5% record covering the number by an average of 16 PPG. Slicing the data set to include just games played in the SEC Conference reveals a remarkable 30-0 ATS record covering by an average of 16.57 PPG and a 26-4 SU record winning outright by 10.93 PPG.
     The following database system query has produced a solid 22-3 ATS record for 88% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and now facing an opponent off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Virginia Tech (350)

NOTRE DAME (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1)          

Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 8:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Hokies which the market has them priced as 7-point home dogs in this marquee matchup.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Hokies to control game tempo with a time of possession advantage of at least 5 minutes, will gain a minimum of 4.5 yards per rush, and will outgain the Irish by 50 to 100 total yards. Hokies are a perfect 5-0 SUATS when averaging at least 4.5 RYPC and enjoying a minimum of 5 minutes advantage in TOP. 

 Here is a solid database system query that has produced a solid 44-14 record good for 76% winners over the past 25 seasons.  Play against road favorites good offensive team averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 4.8 to 5.6 YPP.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Auburn (391)

AUBURN (4 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2)    

Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 7:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Auburn Tigers which the market has them priced as 3-point road favorites in this SEC show down.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Tigers to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage.  Tigers are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when passing for at least 7.5 passing yards per attempt and gaining more than 200 passing yards in road games.  When allowing these performance measures to an opponent installed as a home dog Miss. State is just 5-9 ATS. 

    State is coming off back-to-back horrid offensive games losing at Kentucky 28-7 and losing at home to Florida 13-6.  Traveling ranked teams in the top-25 playing a team that scored 10 or less points in two straight games are 26-8 ASYS for 77% winners and 33-1 SU. 

Here is a great database system query that has produced a 29-5 record good for 85% winners since 1992. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game. 

ohn Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Pittsburgh (324)
Syracuse (4-1) at Pittsburgh 2-3)
Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:20 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Pittsburgh, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Pittsburgh to gain 1.4 or more yards play than he Orange will gain. In past home games where Pitt has attained or exceeded this YPPL metric, they have gone 26-1 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76%.
Pitt is projected to score at least 28 points and are 12-6 ATS when installed as a home dog.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Kansas (375)
Kansas (2 - 3) at West Virginia (4 - 0)  
Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Jayhawks, which the market has them priced as 28.5-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Mountaineers to out gain Kansas, but by less than 2.0 yards-per-play. When they have been installed as home favorites of 27.5 or more points and have not outgained their opponent by more than 2 YPPL they are just 1-5 ATS.


Here is a nice DB System query that has produced a solid 96-49 record good for 66.2% winners and has made $4,210 per $100 wagered since 1992. Play on road underdogs of 21.5 or more points after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, and has a current win percentage of 25% to 40% and is now facing a team with a winning record.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Michigan State (374)
Northwestern (1 - 3) at Michigan St (3 - 1) 
Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:00 PM
Friday, 10/5/2018 4:15 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Spartans which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites in this BIG_TEN show down.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Spartans to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. Spartans are 25-1 SU and 18-9 ATS when passing for at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt in home games. Spartans are 32-1 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% when holding an opponent to fewer than 4 yards per play in home games.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Utah State (311)
Utah State (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 2)   
Week 6 Friday, 10/5/2018 9:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Utah State, which the market has them priced as 3-point road dogs.
The Algoroithm also came up with a 5-Star graded play on the OVER. So, place a 5-Star wager on the OVER, which is currently priced at 53.5-points.
Also, consider adding a reverse parlay not to exceed a 3-start amount using Utah State plus the points and the OVER.
A reverse bet is similar to a parlay bet but is actually a set of if bets where action goes in both forward and reverse order. For example, we are looking at the Utah State game on the board and see Utah Stat installed as 3-point dog and the total at 53.5-points. We decide we want to bet UTST +3 and also want to bet the ‘OVER’ If we did so in a $100 2-team parlay we’ll be paid $264.64 if both plays win, and we will lose our full $100 stake if we go 1-1 or 0-2. If we instead made a reverse bet our wager would be:

    Bet #1 UTST +3 -110 $50 to win $45.4545.
    If win, push, tie, or cancelled –Then: OVER 53.5 -110 $50 to win $45.4545
    Bet #2 OVER 53.5 -110 $50 to win $45.4545.
    If win, push, tie, or cancelled – Then: UTST +3 -110 $50 to win $45.4545

The two bets above are placed together on the same ticket using the reverse bet wagering option of an online bookmaker. As you can see this is a “double if bet” using the same selections. Bet $50 on UTST and if they win, push, tie or cancel rebet my $50 stake on the ‘OVER’. Also bet $50 on the ‘OVER’ and if that wins, push, tie or cancel rebet my $50 stake on the UTST +3.

The potential outcomes for a $50 reverse action wager:

    If both teams lose your $100 stake is lost= -$100
    If both teams win you win $45.4545 four times = +$181.82
    If one team wins and the other loses you win $45.45, but you moved your $50 return of stake to the team that lost which you had another $50 stake on that also lost. So (+$45.45)+(-$50)+(-$50)= -$54.55.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Utah State to gain 1.1 or more yards play than the BYU Cougars will gain. In past road games where Utah State has attained or exceeded this YPPL metric, they have gone 14-5 SU and 13-6 ATS for 68.4%. And when installed as a road dog, Utah State is a quite strong 5-1 ATS and 5-0-1 OVER.

Utah State is projected to score at least 28 points and are 9-1 ATS when they do score 28 points over the last 2 seasons.

Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 113-59 record for 65.7% winners over the past five seasons. Play on road underdogs after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Penn State (162)
OHIO ST (4 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 0)   
Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 7:30 PM   
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 10-star wager on the Penn State Nittany Lions using the line, which currently prices the them as 3.5 home dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
     Projection summary calls for the Lions to have at least 30 more rushing yards than the Buckeyes, score at least 32 points, and average at least 7.5 yards per pass attempt or a minimum of 6.5 yards per play.
     In past games where two teams ranked in the Top-10 have met on the lesser ranked teams’ home venue and the home team was installed as a dog and is coming of two straight games scoring 42 or more points have gone an impressive 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS with the average margin of victory 3.75 points and average ATS margin 8.75 points. Slicing the data bit further to show only those games where the home dog scored 32 or more points produces a perfect 14-0 ATS result and an average margin of victory of 14 points and ATS margin of 19 points.

     Following is a database situational query where playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games has produced an exceptional mark of 40-11 ATS for 78.4% winners.
Here is a second database situational query where playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games has produced a 35-11 over the last 5 seasons for 76.1%, +2290 per $100 wagered.

This game is at Happy Valley and it will be a White Out event held at night on National TV with close to 111,000 in attendance and 110,500 PSU fans. They had the White Out last year when they played Michigan in what was a complete blowout and home field advantage, especially at the PSU student end zone was significant. The crowd noise will be a factor whenever OSU gets into the red zone at that end of the field. Tailgating at PSU is arguably the best in the nation and covers more than 200 acres of rolling farmland and will start Thursday morning.

The Penn State defense has made its’ share of mistakes in the young season and it starts with only 3 returning starters from last year’s unit. However, the depth chart released Monday morning reflects just how deep and talented the defense has become. The promotion of freshman Jonathan Sutherland is noteworthy as he is now listed as the backup to starter Nick Scott. Sutherland had eight tackles and had a TFL in the 63-24 win over Illinois.

Although young, the PSU wideouts are excellent route runners with elite athleticism. In watching game films, they can blow by corners near effortlessly and appear to be cruising downfield for wide open receptions. The duo of KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson lead the receiving corps. Hamler is the team leader in yards (170) and TDs (three) while Johnson has 12 catches for 141 yards and one score. Hamler has emerged as the big play machine and he certainly will have a significant impact in this game.

PSU has a great running back in 24 Miles Sanders (5-11, 215, Jr./Jr.), who has the quickness of his mentor Barkley, but doesn’t have the physical size. However, he has yet to be showcased in any game, especially out of the backfield. Last year, Barkley would get short high percentage receptions in space where he then could make the first defender miss. Sanders will be a nightmare for OSU linebackers to cover in space and he will have be targeted far more often in this game.

All of this then sets up the play action ‘read option’ plays sending the speedsters in vertical routes where QB McSorley elite arm strength will be on display. At only 6-0 and 201 pounds, he is the heart and soul of this year’s team and is a ferocious competitor when the games are on the line.

Ohio State is an elite team too and there is absolutely no debating that point. The Lions have a huge advantage playing a home Nationally televised night game that will go along way to determining the Big-10 Champion and also a potential spot in the playoffs. At the end of the day, it is always the data and what the results of the neural net metrics inform us with that is the dominant reason for this play to be made with the winning confidence of a 10-Star.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Pittsburgh (139)
PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at UCF (3 - 0) 
Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Pittsburgh, which the market has them priced as 13.5 point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Panthers to have a better (higher value) defensive yards per point allowed ratio by a margin of 1.5 yards allowed per point. In past games where the Panthers have achieved this KPI, they have gone 60-9 SU and 52-13-3 ASTS covering by an average of 9.10 PPG.

The following DB situation underscores the strength of this play and the potential for Pitt to attain a major upset victory. Play on road underdogs in a game involving two excellent rushing teams averaging 4.8 or more YPR and after gaining 6 or more rushing yards-per-attempt last game.
56-23 over the last 5 seasons for 70.9%, +3070 per $100 wagered.

The Play and the Matchup
Syracuse (129)
SYRACUSE (4 - 0) at CLEMSON (4 - 0)   
Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 12:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Orange of Syracuse, which the market has them priced as 25.5-point road dogs. Our metrics indicate that this game could be a very close one that is decided late in the fourth quarter, so if you are able to get a money line, take Syracuse as an added 2-Star amount.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Orange defense to keep Clemson to less than 7 yards per pass play and that they will score at least 21 points. In previous road tilts where Syracuse has met these measures, they have gone a perfect 11-0 ATS covering by an average of 14 points.

Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on a road team that is an excellent offensive team gaining 6.2 more yards-per-play after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing team with an excellent defense allowing 4.2 or fewer yards-per-play.
34-9 over the last 10 seasons for 79.1%, +2410 per $100 wagered

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Texas Tech (184)
W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (3 - 1)  
Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Red Raiders, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Red Raiders to have more efficient, lower offensive yards-per-point ratio than WVU and the margin will be at least 1.5 yards per point in this game. IN past home tilts when the Red Raiders have accomplished this performance level they have produced a 47-11-1 ATS record for 81%.

DB Situational Query
The following query goes like this. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining their respective opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
28-6 over the last 5 seasons for 82.4%, +2140 per $100 wagered

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

Be sure to get on board Ryan’s 10-Star NCAA Upset Alert Game of the Year that goes Saturday. The 10-Star play has gone 3-1 ATS in NCAAF this season and in 2017 they hit 77% ATS NFL+NCAA combined.

The Play and the Matchup
Tulane (106)
MEMPHIS (3 - 1) at TULANE (1 - 3)   
Week 5 Friday, 9/28/2018 8:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on the Tigers on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Tulane Green Wave using the line, which currently prices them as 15-point home dogs. I also like the idea of a combination wager placing a 5-star wager on the line and a 2-Star amount on the money line. The money line is priced at 500, which simply means a 1-star play of $100 would return $500 if Tulane pulls off the magical upset. So, in the recommended combination wager, it would return $1,000 and then add in the 6-Star or $600 winner using the line and you get a total return of $1600.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Wave to gain at least 9 yards per pass attempt and score 28 or more points. In past home Wave games where they have attained these KPI, they have gone a resounding 12-2 ATS for 78% covering the number by an average of 7 PPG. They are 14-4 SATS in home games when they pass for 9 or more yards per attempt by itself.

In road Memphis games when they have allowed 28 or more points and an opponent to pass for at least 9 yards per attempt they have been a money burning 3-15-3 ATS for just 17% winners.

Here is a DB situational query that has done quite well and supports the SIM grading for this play. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that has been dominating opponents outgaining them by 125 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards per game over their last 2 games.
46-14 over the last 10 seasons for 76.7%, +3060 per $100 wagered.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Kansas (385)
KANSAS (2 - 1) at BAYLOR (2 - 1)   
Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 3:30 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Kansas Jayhawks, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point road dogs. You recall the 10-Star monster winner last week as Kansas smoked Rutgers and covered by 42 points. Kansas is known for the basketball program but this team is building towards a very special season and arguably the best of he last two decades.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Jayhawks to have a minimum of 175 rushing yards and will have fewer turnovers than Baylor. In past road games, where Kansas has met these KPIs, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS.

Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road underdogs using the money line that is a solid rushing team gaining between 190 to 230 RY-per-game and is facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 to 190 RY-per-game, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 25-19 over the last 10 seasons for 56.8%, +5240 per $100 wager and averaging a 285 dog wager.

And another one using the line supports the fantastic team chemistry Kansas possesses this season. Play on road underdogs after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.

The Play and the Matchup
Georgia (403)
GEORGIA (3 - 0) at MISSOURI (3 - 0) 
Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Georgia Bulldogs, who are priced currently as 14-point road favorites in this SEC matchup. Georgia is ranked number one overall by are machine learning programs and we just don’t see how Missouri can sustain competitive equality for all four quarters. Georgia’ OL will wear down the Tigers over the course of the game and open up big play opportunities in both ground and passing games.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Georgia to have a minimum of 9 yards per pass attempt, gain a minimum of 6.5 yards per play, and will outgain Missouri by at least 0.5 yards-per-play. Georgia is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards-per-attempt and 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Moreover, they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Missouri on the other hand is a money losing 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards-per-play and 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.

Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road favorites after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game. 36-11 over the last 5 seasons for 76.6%, +2390 units

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Florida Atlantic (305)
FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 1) at UCF (2 - 0)   
Week 4 Friday, 9/21/2018 7:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on the Tigers on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on FAU using the line, which currently prices them 14-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for FAU to score 28 or more points and have a minimum of 500 total offensive yards. In past games where the FAU has met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone  8-2 ATS and when installed as 10 or more point road dogs they are 5-1 ATS. When CFU has allowed an opponent the aforementioned projections, they are 1-4 ATS. When CFU has allowed 28 or more points and were installed as double digit favorites they are an imperfect 0-5 ATS.

Here is a supporting DB situational query. Play on road underdogs with a struggling defense allowing 6.1 or more yards-per-play, after gaining 525 or more total offensive yards in their previous game.
52-16 over the last 5 seasons and 76.5%, $3,440.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
TULSA (1 - 2) at TEMPLE (1 - 2)   
Week 4 Thursday, 9/20/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Tulsa using the line, which is currently prices them as 7.5-point road dogs.
Consider a combination wager consisting of a 4.5-Star amount on the line and a 2.4-Star amount on the money line.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Tulsa to have 50 or more rushing yards than Temple and will gain a total of 3250 or more rushing yards. In addition, Tulsa is projected to have the same number or fewer turnovers. In previous away games installed as a DOG and where Tulsa has met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS for 82%.
In home games where Temple has been outrushed by 50 or more yards and were installed as 3.5-point favorites or more, they have gone a dismal 1-5 ATS for just 17%.

Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning)
If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning  and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
   

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
TCU(204)
OHIO ST (2 - 0) at TCU (2 - 0)   
Week 3 Saturday, 9/15/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on TCU, which the market has them riced as 11.5-point home dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for TCU to win the turnover battle and to have more time of possession (TOP) than OSU. In past games, where they have met these performance measures they have gone 26-1 for 96% and 21-5 ATS covering by an average of 10 points for 81%. When they have been installed as home dogs in this projected situation, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS.

DB Situational Query
Play on a home team after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points and is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games.
30-8 since 1992 for 78.9%, +2120 per $100 wagered.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Kansas (132)
RUTGERS (1 - 1) at KANSAS (1 - 1)   
Week 3 Saturday, 9/15/2018 12:00 PM
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 10-star wager on Kansas, which is currently priced as 2.5-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Jayhawks defense to play very well and hold Rutgers to less than 250 yards. The offense is projected to have at least 100 rushing yards. In past home games where they have accomplished these KPIs, Kansas is 7-1 SU and 5-2 ATS for 71.4% winners. Rutgers is 0-4 ATS when gaining 250 or less total yards. The key is the Kansas ground attack and when they have gained 4.5 YPR or better., they have gone 21-9 ATS for 70%.

After 46 straight road defeats, the Jayhawks dominated Central Michigan and finally won a road game 31-7. This Kansas team has 19 returning starters with 10 of them on defense and it sowed against CMU. The chemistry is the best in many seasons and they are motivated as a unit to end some of the ‘doormat’ reputations that previous editions have earned. This game would mean a ton to them to defeat a Big Ten school and would also place them in great position for a 6 or 7 win season and a BOWL game.
Rutgers was hammered again by Ohio State last week 51-3 and it could have been far worse. Rutgers has been outscored 271-27 by the Buckeyes since joining the Big
Ten, including 166-3 under head coach Chris Ash, who was a former OSU assistant. They know they are a bad team once again and that drubbing carries over to this game too.

DB Situational query using the Money Line
Play against a road team using the money line that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG,
36-2 since 1992 for 94.7%, +3420 per $100 wagered.
The average scoring margin has been 18 points.

Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning)
If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning  and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
   
The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season.
NFL and NCAAF 10-Stars 77% ATS in 2017
NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71% in 2017
NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73% in 2017.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
LSU (218)
MIAMI (0-0) vs. LSU (0-0)   
Week 1 Sunday, 9/2/2018 7:30 PM
AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX     
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home neutral field dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score a minimum of 27 points, rush the ball for more than 175 yards and average 5.5 to 6.0 yards-per-play. In past LSU games, where they have met or exceeded these measures, they have gone 4-0 ATS since 2006 covering the number by 10 points on average. Now if we slice the data to show YPP>=5.5, then LSU is 50-2 SU and 35-15-2 ATS for 70% and covering by an average of 7.77 points per game. Overall they are 62-4 when scoring 27 or more points and gaining at least 175 rushing yards.


Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning)
If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances n predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
   
The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season.
NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%.
NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%

Active Sports
MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager.
MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310
MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305
MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00
CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800
NFLX 7-Star plays 6-3 ATS $1,890
NFLX 3-0 ATS 10-Stars $3,000
NCAAF 5-Star plays 1-0 $500.00
NCAAF 7-Star plays 2-2 $-140
NCAAF 10-Star 0-0

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Auburn (194)
WASHINGTON (10 - 3) vs. AUBURN (10 - 4) 
Week 1 Saturday, 9/1/2018 3:30 PM   
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Tigers using the line, which currently prices them as 2-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Tigers to gain at least 200 rushing yards and will contain Washington to less than 28 points and have at least 33 minutes in time of possession. Tigers are 11-3 ATS for 79% winners covering by an average of 11 points.

Methodologies and Subscriptions
If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
 
The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season.
College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners.
NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%.
NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4%
14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans.

NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%.
NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%.
NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%.

Active Sports
MLB 10-Star plays 10-6 or $4,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager.
MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310
MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305
MLB Overall 2018 $11,486.00
CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800

NFLX
6-3 ATS 7-Stars and $1,890
3-0 ATS 10-Stars and $3,000
2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Oklahoma (152)
FLA ATLANTIC (11 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (12 - 2)   
Week 1 Saturday, 9/1/2018 12:00 PM   
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Sooners using the line, which currently prices them as 20-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Oklahoma is projected to cover by 7 or more points, 10 or more net passing yards per attempt, more than 6.8 yards per rushing attempt, outgain FAU by a minimum of 200 yards, and score a minimum of 34 points. IN past games where the Sooners have met or exceeded these performance measures, they are 32-1 SU, 28-4-1 ATS for 88% winners and covering by an average of 14 points.
Database System Query
Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that were excellent rushing teams from last season that averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards-per-carry.
53-21 over the last 10 seasons for 71.6%, +2990 per $100 wagered.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

New Mexico State (137)

NEW MEXICO ST (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7)         

Week 1 Thursday, 8/30/2018 7:00 PM          

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies using the line, which currently prices them as 20.5-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Aggies to allow less than 27 points and allow no more than 150 rushing yards. When the Aggies have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS and covering (ATS margin) by an average of 10 points. In road games installed as a minimum dog of 14.5 points and allowing 27 or fewer points, they are a perfect 9-0 ATS.

NMST had one of the most improved defenses in the nation last year having been one of the worst in 2016 allowing 497 yards per game. In 2017, they improved to allowing 401 and allowed just 336 over their last three games in 2017. They also return 9 of the 11 defensive starters. Teams in this position entering the next season are almost always undervalued by the betting public and this is reflected in this game where the line opened at 17.5 and now is at 20.5. So, teams that improved their defenses by 90 or more yards per game and had more wins last season than the season prior are a solid 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the past 25 seasons.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.

The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season.

College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners.

NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%.

NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4%

14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans.

NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%.

NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%.

NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%.

Active Sports

MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager.

MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310

MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305

MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00

CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800

NFLX

4-2 ATS 7-Stars and $1,260

2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Georgia (152)

The Matchup: ALABAMA (12 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (13 - 1)

Start Time: Week 17 Monday, 1/8/2018 8:45 PM

SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on Georgia using the line.

An alternative wager is to place a 7.5 star amount on the line and then add a 2.5 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 170 to 190.

There will be alternative lines for this Championship game. An optional wager strategy is to place an additional 3 star amount on the Georgia -3 ½ line, which we believe will be lined at +250 and perhaps even higher. Check our Twitter account for updates to this line as Monday approaches @JohnRyanSports1.

Game Intelligence Analytics

Two great teams with great defenses featuring speed and power will be displayed in this All-SEC Championship game between Alabama and Georgia. The SIM Algorithms all reveal a line that is closer to pick-em than the current 4 ½ line.

Alabama has the best scoring defense in the national allowing just 12.0 PPG. However, Georgia is not far behind them ranking 4th allowing 15.8 PPG. Alabama ranks 13th in offensive scoring at 36.4 PPG while Georgia ranks 15th scoring 35.8 PPG. Both teams lone loss was to Auburn, which also has a great defense and plays a similar type game plan that both of these teams play.

This game well might come down to Georgia’s better efficiency at converting third-down situations than Alabama. Georgia holds the edge and they also have a stronger points-per-play ratio. Alabama does rank best in the nation with a 9.5 yards per point margin (YPPM) while Georgia ranks 8th best with a 6.2 ratio. However, over the last three games, Alabama has only a 0.8 ratio while Georgia sports a 4.6 ratio. This reflects that the elevation of opponent class has revealed potential weaknesses inherent in the Alabama game plans. As we had believed would happen in the semifinal game, Georgia will look to be very physical right from the start of this game and will look to wear down the Alabama defense, particularly the LB part. In time, this will open up the play action plays just as it did in the semifinal game leading to big plays down the middle of the field.

The SIM projection calls for Georgia to win this game by 10 points.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Money Line Matches

Alabama is 13-42 against the money line (-79.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Alabama is 4-18 against the money line (-35.8 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points.

Georgia is 7-1 against the money line (+6.4 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards over the last 3 seasons.

Georgia is 12-1 against the money line (+11.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Georgia is 42-14 against the money line (+22.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points.

Georgia is 22-4 against the money line (+23.5 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

ATS Matches

Alabama is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Alabama is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points.

Georgia is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

Georgia is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards.

Georgia is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

DataBase Query

Play on neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA).

That are excellent rushing teams averaging 225 or more rushing yards per game.

And after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games.

23-3 ATS since 1992 good for 88.5% and $1,970 per $100 wagered.

Since 2014, it has gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS with an average ATS margin of 16.8 points.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid and consistent 46-24 ATS 65.7% record in 2017.

    So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Georgia (271)

The Matchup: GEORGIA (12 - 1) vs. OKLAHOMA (12 - 1)

Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 5:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Georgia using the line.

Game Intelligence Analytics

Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA).

Is an excellent offensive team scoring 34 or more PPG.

And is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 21 to 28 PPG.

And after a win by 21 or more points.

84-41 since 1992 for 67.2% and has made $3,890 per $100 wager.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Georgia is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons.

Georgia is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

Georgia is 27-8 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points.

Georgia is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.

Oklahoma is just 20-77 ATS (-64.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Oklahoma is  4-30 ATS (-29.0 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points.

Oklahoma is just  2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards.

Oklahoma is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

Oklahoma is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards.

Oklahoma is 2-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-22 ATS record good for 68% winners in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Auburn (268) 10 star Bowl Game of the Year

The Matchup: UCF (12 - 0) vs. AUBURN (10 - 3)

Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 12:30 PM

SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Game Intelligence Analytics

Extremely high probability that Auburn will score 28 or ore points and this simple fact leads to many more conclusions that Auburn will win this game by at least 20 points. Auburn has played a vastly more difficult schedule than UCF ad has one of the top defenses in the nation - if  not the best based on SOS- that will cause massive problems for UCF. Auburn defeated TWO number-1 ranked teams this season and held both to season lows in offensive output. On November 11, the Tigers held Georgia to just 46 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Then on November 25, they held Alabama passing attack to just 103 yards on 13-23 passing.

Auburn ranks 9th in scoring defense allowing just 17.9 PPG. Auburn had the toughest schedule in the nation, followed by Oklahoma, Ohio State, Clemson, Penn State, Alabama, and Georgia. UCF ranked 54th in the nation.

Auburn ranks 26th averaging 449.3 YPG while UCF ranks 92nd allowing 435.5 YPG. Auburn will pound the ball between the tackles and wear down the UCF DL before the end of the half and we fully expect a big lead at the half that will then continue throughout the second half.

SIM Matching Game Situations

UCF is just 28-64 ATS (-42.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

UCF is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards per attempt.

Auburn is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards per attempt.

Auburn is  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons.

Auburn is  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they rush for 250 to 300 yards.

Auburn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons..

Auburn is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points.

Auburn is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards.

UCF is just 6-21 ATS when opponent scores 35 or more points over the past 10 seasons.

UCF is 0-5 ATS when playing a team ranked in the Top-25 since 2014.

Aub is 28-0 SU and 20-6 ATS when out gaining opponent by more than 200 yards.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Iowa State (259)

The Matchup: IOWA ST (7 - 5) at MEMPHIS (10 - 2)

Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/30/2017 12:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Iowa State using the line.

An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 180 to 200. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.

Despite the easier schedule, memphis ranks 101st in scoring defense allowing 33.6 PPG, 121st allowing 484 YPG, and 111th allowing opponents a 45% third-down conversion rate. Memphis is best in scoring offense at 48 PPG, but ISU ranks 24th in scoring defense allowing 20.7 PPG, and 27th allowing just 3.6 YPR.

Game Intelligence Analytics

This is a home game for Memphis, but Iowa State has played a vastly more difficult schedule this season and that alone offsets the home field advantage. ISU is the ONLY  team that defeated Oklahoma and TCU this season.

SIM Matching Game Situations

ISU is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards.

ISU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

ISU is 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points.

ISU is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points.

ISU is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

Memphis is just 33-98 ATS (-74.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Memphis is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

Memphis is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: USC (255)

The Matchup: USC (11 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 2)

Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/29/2017 8:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Southern Cal using the line.

An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 545 to 560 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.

Game Intelligence Analytics

This game pivots around the number 28 and that is 28 points being scored for USC. They Trojans are a solid 166-77-4 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1980. Further, when they score 31 or more points and gain 175 or more rushing yards they are 50-3 SU. Ohio State is 3-10 SU and 4-8 ATS when playing against a ranked team in the top-10 and not scoring 28 or more points. They are 3-8 ATS when playing against an opponent ranked in the top-10 and scores 28 or more points  against them.

SIM Matching Game Situations

USC is a solid  35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games.

USC is 7-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons.

USC is 25-12 against the money line (+14.7 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Washington State (278)

The Matchup:  MICHIGAN ST (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON ST (9 - 3)

Start Time:  Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 9:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Washington State using the line.

Game Intelligence Analytics

WSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Further, WSU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

SIM Matching Game Situations

MSU is just 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards.

MSU is 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards.

WSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.

WSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

WSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards over the last 3 seasons.

WSU is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Virginia Tech (243)

The Matchup: VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 3)

Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 5:15 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Virginia Tech using the line.

Game Intelligence Analytics

The line opened at Ok State installed as a 6 ½ point favorite at the majority of the 50 books we look at for any given game. The line has drifted to minus-6 at most places. Despite the public betting on Ok State with more than 77% of the placed bets, the line has not changed or as mentioned drifted a half-point lower. This is because Va-Tech is getting 54% of the total money bet indicating that the ‘smart’ money or large bettors are on Va Tech. This analytic serves to support the SIM grading on Tech.

This is a matchup of one of the best offenses in the nation in the Cowboys going against one of the best defenses in the nation with the Hokies. The Cowboys rank 3rd scoring 46.2 PPG and Tech ranks 5th allowing 14.7 PPG. The single best way to contain an explosive offense is by playing great defense and then having an offense that can grind out long time consuming drives. This keeps the defense fresh and the opponents offense off the field and preventing them from having scoring opportunities. Tech ranks 12th in time of possession while Ok State ranks 96th.

Ok State is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when facing a dominant ball control team averaging 32 or more minutes TOP and 21 or more FD's per game. Moreover, Tech head coach Fuente is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Texas (240)

The Matchup: MISSOURI (7 - 5) vs. TEXAS (6 - 6)

Start Time: Week 16 Wednesday, 12/27/2017 9:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

I do provide half-time and LIVE game betting from my Twitter feed which is @JohnRyanSports1.

Game Intelligence Analytics

The dominant key to this game and winning the money is on Texas scoring 28 or more points in this matchup against former Big-12 member Missouri. Texas also has the much better defense that will force Missouri to throw the ball even more than they normally do. Texas is 49-18-1 ATS for 72.1% winners when holding an opponent to fewer than 175 rushing yards and scoring 28 or more points. Texas will control the clock and is projected to run at least 20 or more plays from scrimmage. When that projection is added, Texas has been 10-1 ATS since 2006 and a perfect 2-0 ATS in 2017.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Missouri is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards.

Texas is 132-62 ATS (+63.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid 42-24 ATS record in 2017. Plus, the Bowl Games are off to a 5-1 ATS start and have hit 64% ATS over the past three seasons.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: UCLA (234)

The Matchup: KANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. UCLA (6 - 6)

Start Time: Week 16 Tuesday, 12/26/2017 9:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on UCLA using the line.

An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 210 to 235 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.

Game Intelligence Analytics

Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA).

That are off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’.

And with a horrible scoring defense allowing 35 or more points-per-game.

This DB query has produced a 75-42 ATS record good for a solid 64% winners and has made $2,880 per $100 wager since 2007.

Now, media talking heads are bring your attention to the fact that K-State is off two impressive wins against Oklahoma State and Iowa State and are coached by a legend in Bill Snyder. However, the following data set query shows you otherwise with these teams.

Play against neutral field favorites using the money line (KANSAS ST).

After having won 2 out of their last 3 games.

in non-conference games.

39-29 over the past 10 seasons for 57.4% winners and profits of $4,530 per $100 wager placed.

SIM Matching Game Situations

UCLA is 16-5 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards.

UCLA is 32-6 against the money line (+25.8 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 41-22 ATS record in 2017. Plus, a 4-0 ATS start to the College Bowls.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Utah (229)

The Matchup:  UTAH (6 - 6) vs. W VIRGINIA (7 - 5)

Start Time: Dec. 26, 1:30 p.m., ESPN, Cotton Bowl, Dallas

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on  using the line.

Game Intelligence Analytics

The biggest matchup advantage for Utah is that they have the superior defense. Utah has one of the best DL in the nation led by Lotulelei and Mokofisi. We expect that the Utah DL will control the LOS and the WVU ground attack. Moreover, WVU QB Will Grier has an injured finger on the throwing hand and may not even take a snap in this bowl game.

    Utah ranks 37th in the nation allowing 364 yards per game while WVU ranks a dismal 114th allowing 466 yards per game. WVU pass attack is quite good and ranks 11th in the nation averaging 329 yards per game. Here gain, we believe that the Utah DL will dominate as they rank 17th allowing 6.3 yards per pass and 49th allowing 216 passing yards.

So, here is a query from our vast database that has produced a 26-4 ATS result good for 87% winners since 2013.

Play against any team (W VIRGINIA).

That is a good rushing team gaining between 4.3 to 4.8 YPR.

And is now facing an average rushing team gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR.

And after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.

We added the filter to show just bowl and playoff games going back to the 2000 season and it returned a 1-5 ATS record.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Utah is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt.

Utah is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards.

Utah is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

WVU is just  2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

WVU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

WVU is 6-28 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play.

Take Utah!

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Appalachian State (225)

Bowl Game: Dollar General Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama

The Matchup: APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 4) vs. TOLEDO (11 - 2)

Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Appalachian State using the line.

An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 200 to 220 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.

Game Intelligence Analytics

This database query has produced a 64-26 ATS record good for 71% winners and has made $3,540 wagering $100 per play since 2013.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TOLEDO).

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

Now, if we add in the fact that the SIM projects that App State will score 28 or more points, the results are an astounding 6-42 ATS and 21-28 SU. So, that is playing against Toledo.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Appalachian State is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points.

Toledo is 31-77 ATS (-53.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Ohio University (218)

The Matchup: UAB (8 - 4) vs. OHIO U (8 - 4)

Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/22/2017 12:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Ohio University using the line.

Game Intelligence Analytics

The SIM projects that Ohio will gain 50 more rushing yards and average better than 4.5 YPR and will score more than 28 points. When these three metrics have been attained in past games, Ohio is 38-9-3 ATS for 81% winners.

SIM Matching Game Situations

UAB is 37-70 ATS (-40.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

UAB is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt.

UAB is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

OU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt.

OU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

OU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

OU is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

OU is 17-1 ATS (+15.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Temple (215)
The Matchup: TEMPLE (6 - 6) vs. FLA INTERNATIONAL (8 - 4)

Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/21/2017 8:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Temple using the line.

Game Intelligence Analytics

SIM projections show that Temple will score more than 28 points, gain more than 50 more rushing yards, and will average 4.5 YPR. IN past games, Temple is an outstanding 85-20-1 ATS for 81% winners when they score 28 or more points and 35-6 ATS when scoring 35 or more points. When out rushing their opponents by 50 or more yards and averaging 4.5 YPR, Temple is a very strong 41-14-1 ATS for 75% winners. Add in scoring 28 or more points and the Temple Owls are an amazing 31-4 ATS for 89% winners.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Temple is a solid  12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

Temple is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Temple is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Temple is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Temple is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992.

Temple is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-18 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Boise State (324)
The Matchup: FRESNO ST (9 - 3) at BOISE ST (9 - 3)

MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 7:45 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Boise State using the line

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

Fresno State (FSU) has a solid defense that has played well all season, but not they face an offense that ranks very high in nationally rankings in some of the offensive metrics. First, Boise State ranks 15th with q 64.4% pass completion percentage, 24th with a 0.475 points-per-play ratio, and 9th converting 47% of their third downs. FSU ranks 15th allowing 18.8 PPG, 17th allowing 333 yards per game, 17th posting a 0.277 opponent points per play ratio. However, they rank 95th allowing 62% pass completions, and 99th getting an interception on only 1.97% of plays run.

These two teams played each other just last week with Fresno State winning and putting the bow on an incredible turnaround season under first year coach Telford. You may remember his success with the Cal Golden Bears throughout the 2000s, Tedford's 11-season tenure in Berkeley ended in 2012 after the Golden Bears finished below .500 two out of three seasons. Tedford spent time in the NFL with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the CFL with the BC Lions before returning to college football last season as an assistant to Chris Petersen with the Washington Huskies. So, he does have the experience and knowledge that makes this turnaround from a 1-11 season in 2016 sustainable into next season too.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Boise is 5-1 ATS when gaining 150 or more rushing yards this season.  

Boise is 6-2 ATS when gaining more rushing yards than opponent this season.

Boise is 54-21 for 72% when they gain more rushing yards and passing yards than the opponent.

Boise is 15-4 ATS when the out gain their opponents by 150 yards since the 2014 season.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: TCU (333)
The Matchup: TCU (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1)

Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 12:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.

Recommended Strategy: place a 7 star wager amount on TCU using the line.

Consider an alternative wager placing a 5 star amount on TCU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, TCU is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ database systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 64-24 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $3,760 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA).

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

SIM Matching Game Situations

TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt.

TCU is 111-46 ATS (+60.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Oklahoma is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus good rushing defenses allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing yards per carry.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Stanford (303)
The Matchup: STANFORD (9 - 3) vs. USC (10 - 2)

Start Time: Week 14 Friday, 12/1/2017 8:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 grading scale

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Stanford using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Key fact is that Stanford does not turn the ball over and make mental mistakes. They average just 0.8 turnovers per game ranking 4th best in the nation while USC ranks 108th averaging 1.8 turnovers per game. USC does well ranking 12th in takeaways averaging 2.0 per game. Stanford also ranks 12th in that category.

Stanford also has the better ground attack and can control the LOS far better than they did in the second half in the first meeting against USC this season. Stanford ranks 6th nationally averaging 6.2 YPR and this will also be a dominant reason they can win this game.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Stanford is an outstanding  31-8 ATS (+22.2 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better.

USC is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.

Stanford is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins.

Stanford is  13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games.

Stanford is a solid 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards.

Stanford is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

Stanford is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt.

Stanford is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

USC is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

USC is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.  

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017.

So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  Washington (184)
The Matchup: WASHINGTON ST (9 - 2) at WASHINGTON (9 - 2)

Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 8:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the lie.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 49-24 hitting 67% winners and has made $2,260 wagering $100 per game since 2008.

Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WASHINGTON).

After a game where they forced 1 or zero  turnovers.

And is now facing an opponent after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Wash State is just 48-99 ATS (-60.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Wash State is 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points.

Washington is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Washington is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they commit 1 less turnover than their opponents.

Wash State is 15-38 ATS (-26.8 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  South Carolina (198)
The Matchup: CLEMSON (10 - 1) at S CAROLINA (8 - 3)

Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 7:30 PM

SIM grading: 10 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on South Carolina and add a 3 star amount using the money line. With a money line of plus 425 this is a very attractive investment. If you wager $100 per star unit, for example, the money line portion returns $1275 dollars. If SC covers but does not pull off the upset, you will make $400 for the play. Over the course of the season, these combination wagers will increase the total rate of return (ROI).

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 33-6 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (S CAROLINA).

After having won 4 out of their last 5 games.

And is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games.

And now facing a team with a winning record.

SIM Matching Game Situations

SC is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams averaging 425 or more yards-per-game.

SC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.

SC is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.

SC is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after a win by 21 or more points.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  Auburn (226)
The Matchup: ALABAMA (11 - 0) at AUBURN (9 - 2)

Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Auburn using the line.

An alternative wager is to play a 5.5 star amount using the line and a 1.5 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 63-24 ATS for 73% winners and has made $3,660 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA).

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

The following database system query has gone 53-21 ATS for 72% winners and has made $2,990 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) .

In a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG.

And after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Alabama is just 10-30 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points.

Alabama is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt.

Alabama is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards.

Auburn is a near-perfect 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams.

Auburn is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games who give up 14 or less points/game.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 26-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  Indiana (151)
The Matchup: INDIANA (5 - 6) at PURDUE (5 - 6)

Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Indiana using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 84-43 ATS hitting 66% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2007.

Play on road teams  in conference games.

Where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA).

And is a good passing team averaging 230 to 275  per game.

And is now facing an average passing defense allowing between 175 and 230 yards per game.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Indiana is a solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 26-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  Miami (FLA) (131)
The Matchup: MIAMI (10 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 7)

Start Time: Week 13 Friday, 11/24/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Miami using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

Miami is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when playing as a road favorite since the start of the 2016 season. The market has not kept pace with the significant week-to-week performance increase that the Hurricanes have accomplished this season. With one game remaining before the showdown with Clemson for the ACC Championship, we believe that there will not be any letdown or look ahead by the Hurricanes. Actually, we think it is absurd that the media talking heads are even mentioning that and that having to travel from the warm comfortable confines of Miami to the ‘frigid’ Northeast is a huge task. Miami has players from all over the country and all of them have played in difficult conditions at some point in their football lives. The weather is not an issue with forecasts for blue skies, little wind, and just a perfect Fall day for football.

Pittsburgh’s bowl hopes were lost last week when they could not punch it in from a yard out in four tries in the closing seconds in a 20-14 loss to Virginia Tech. That is the type of loss that really sticks with a losing record team, especially in a short week.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Miami is a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards.

Miami is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Miami is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards.

Miami is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.

Pittsburgh is just 27-95 ATS (-77.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Pittsburgh is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41.

Pittsburgh is 14-48 ATS (-38.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Teams like Miami that are ranked in the TOP-5, are on the road, scored 38 or more points in their last game, and have a season turnover margin of at least 1.6 are a very strong 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS for 74% ATS winners.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play:  Houston (130)
The Matchup: NAVY (6 - 4) at HOUSTON (6 - 4)

Start Time: Week 13 Friday, 11/24/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars based on 3 to 10 star grading

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Houston using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 26-8 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,820 wagering $100 per game since 2007.

Play on a home team using the money line (HOUSTON).

After having won 2 out of their last 3 games.

And is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games.

And now playing a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%.

SIM Matching Game Situations

Houston is 47-22 ATS (+22.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards.

Navy is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Houston is  105-57 ATS (+42.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Arizona (365)
The Matchup: ARIZONA (7 - 3) at OREGON (5 - 5)

Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Arizona using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics

The following database system query has gone 25-6 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,840 wagering $100 per game since 2008.

Play against a home team (OREGON).

After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games.

The following database system query has gone 31-8 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,220 wagering $100 per game since 2008.

Play on road underdogs (ARIZONA).

Excellent offensive team gaining 440 YPG or more.

And is now facing a good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG.

And after outgaining opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.

Arizona is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Arizona is 92-49 ATS (+38.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points this season.

Oregon is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards.

Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons.

Methodologies and Subscriptions

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.