-Western Kentucky has just 10 returning starters; big class difference for their season opener
-the Hilltoppers offense was terrible last season while averaging just 25.5 points per game
-rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 170 rushing yards per game last season

-Wisconsin returns the 3rd most experienced team in the country from last year’s 13-1 team

-offense scored 59 points in their season opener last year at home; expect similar result tonight  
-Badgers defense allowed just 13 points per game on 227 yards per game at home last season

9* Play WISCONSIN (-).

-Philadelphia’s offense broke out in the NFC Championship; expect offensive efficiency in SB52  
-offense averages 28.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21.6 points per game

-Eagles defense was much worse on the road; gave up 6.2 points per game more (23.5-17.3)  

-New England has scored 23 points or more in 15 of their 18 games; expect more of the same
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.2 points per game 
-Patriots defense gives up 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play   

10* Play OVER the total.

-Minnesota comes in off a miraculous win, but ignore that; they led 17-0 late in the 3rd quarter
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22 points per game
-Vikings defense has only allowed 16.2 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season

-Philadelphia is the #1 seed yet they were home dogs to #6 seed Atlanta and here; line is telling
-offense has scored just 34 total points in their last three games; bad matchup vs. Vikings defense  
-Eagles defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.8 ppg this season; big step-up here

10* Play VIKINGS (-).

-Minnesota has scored 23 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games; expect more of the same 
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22 points per game 

-Vikings defense gives up 112.1 rushing yards per game on the road; Eagles average 130.1 rypg 

-Philadelphia’s offense has been terrible lately; need to be aggressive to have any chance to win
-offense did average 27.8 points per game under QB Wentz; total adjusted too low with him out 
-Eagles defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.8 ppg this season; big step-up here   

9* Play OVER the total.

-Jacksonville has scored 30 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games; in terrific current form  
-offense averages 28.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game

-Jaguars defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.9 ppg this season; big step-up here 

-New England has scored 21 points or more in every home game this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 30 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.5 points per game 
-Patriots defense gives up 6.1 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play   

9* Play OVER the total.

-New Orleans is a terrific home team inside the dome; big benefit playing inside a dome here
-offense is averaging 28.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.6 points per game
-Saints defense gives up just 18.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22 ppg

-Minnesota beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1, but Saints were just 20% (1-5) in the red zone   
-offense is only averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.5 yards per play    
-Vikings defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22 points per game; big step-up

10* Play SAINTS (+).

-Tennessee has scored 20 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games; need to score points here  
-offense averages 4.3 yards per rush; they’ll face a defense that allows 4.8 yards per rush at home

-Titans defense gives up 23.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.2 ppg 

-New England has scored 21 points or more in every home game this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 29.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.3 points per game 
-Patriots defense gives up 6.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play   

10* Play OVER the total.

-Alabama head coach Nick Saban will face former assistant Kirby Smart; assistants are 0-11 SU
-offense averaged 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.6 yards per play; 37.9 ppg
-Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.1 points per game on 3.9 yards per play this season 

-Georgia won a high-scoring shootout vs. Oklahoma in overtime; freshman QB regresses here
-offense needs to run the ball to have success; Alabama defense allows just 91.8 rypg on 2.7 ypr   

-Bulldogs defense allows 143.1 rushing yards per game on the road; Alabama runs for 255.8 ypg

10* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Carolina lost both regular season meetings against New Orleans, but expect a close game here
-offense is averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.4 points per game
-Panthers defense only allows 19.6 points per game on 5.4 yards per play on the road this season

-New Orleans lost 31-24 last week, and with 2 wins over Carolina already, expect tight play
-offense has to throw the ball to be successful, but Carolina gives up just 6.5 yppa; bad matchup  
-Saints defense is worse at home where they give up 22.5 points per game on 5.6 yards per play 

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-Buffalo is in a bad scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd straight road game off a must win effort
-offense is only averaging 17.6 points per game on 4.8 yards per play on the road this season
-Bills defense gives up 24.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that only average 21.4 ppg 

-Jacksonville returns home off back-to-back road losses; good spot for a big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 25.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 22.7 ppg    
-Jaguars defense gives up just 16.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season 

9* Play JAGUARS (-).

-Atlanta won a big game at home vs. Carolina last week, so expect momentum to carry here
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that only allow 5.6 yppl 
-Falcons defense is only giving up 19.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play this season

-Los Angeles rested their starters last week, but with a young QB and team, that was a bad idea
-offense needs to throw the ball to be successful, but Atlanta gives up just 6.2 yppa; bad matchup  
-Rams defense is worse at home where they give up 22.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play 

10* Play FALCONS (+).

-Tennessee is not in good current form at all; they’ve scored 68 total points in their last 4 games
-offense is averaging just 17.5 points per game on 4.9 yards per play on the road this season
-Titans defense allows 5.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.3 yards per play 

-Kansas City opened the season at 5-0, then they lost 6 of 7 games before closing on a 4-0 run 
-offense was worse at home; they averaged 1.8 points per game less and 0.6 yards per play less   

-Chiefs defense only gives up 16.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 21 ppg

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Alabama is 11-1 on the season, and off their first loss, expect a supreme performance here
-offense averaged 6.9 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.7 yards per play; 39.1 ppg
-Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.5 points per game on 4.0 yards per play this season 

-Clemson went 12-1 on the season; ugly loss came to Syracuse; will face top-rated defense
-offense averaged 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allowed 5.7 yards per play

-Tigers defense was worse away from home; gave up 5.4 ppg and 0.7 yppl more on the road 

9* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Georgia went 12-1 this season, and they scored 31 points or more in nine of their games   

-offense is averaging 34.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 25.7 points per game    

-Bulldogs defense gave up 40 points against Auburn; will face a similar spread offense here

-Oklahoma also went 12-1 this season, and they scored 31 points or more in 13 of their games 

-offense is averaging 44.9 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.9 points per game

-Sooners defense gave up 35, 41, and 52 points in three of their five true road games this season 

10* Play OVER the total.

-South Carolina comes in off a loss; their worst defensive game of the season; big bounce back
-offense averaged just 21.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that gave up 26.9 ppg
-Gamecocks defense allows just 20.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.8 ppg

-Michigan comes in off back-to-back loss in which they gave up 55 points; expect strong effort
-offense averaged just 4.9 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allowed 5.3 yppl

-Wolverines defense allows 18.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.6 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Oakland has lost 3 straight games, but they are still playing hard; lost 17-16 to Chargers earlier  
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.5 yards per play
-Raiders defense has held four of their last five opponents to 20 points or less; good current form

-Los Angeles returns home off back-to-back road games; they’ve gone just 1-3 ATS last 4 games
-offense is only averaging 21.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.4 points per game     
-Chargers defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

10* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Carolina has played their last three games at home, and now hit the road; bad scheduling spot 
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Panthers defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play 

-Atlanta returns home off an ugly 10-point loss in New Orleans; expect a big effort in a big game
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play
-Falcons defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game on 5.2 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play FALCONS (-).

-Green Bay has lost their last two games and seem to have quit on the season; in a bad spot here
-offense is only averaging 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play    
-Packers defense allows 26.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Detroit returns home off a road loss in Cincinnati, and off that ugly loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 25.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 20.7 ppg
-Lions defense has given up just 57 points in their last three games; in good current form  

9* Play LIONS (-).

-Wisconsin is 12-1 on the season, and their first loss came in their last game; expect bounce back
-offense is averaging 33.8 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 25 points per game

-Badgers defense is allowing just 4.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Miami FL went 10-2 after losing their final two games; easy early schedule caught up to them
-offense only scored 17 total points in their two losses; scoring trouble will continue in this game  
-Hurricanes defense gave up 62 points in their losses against run-based teams; face similar here

10* Play WISCONSIN (-).

-Washington scored 30 points or more in 10 of their 12 games this season; expect similar here
-offense averaged 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.9 yards per play; 36.9 ppg
-Huskies defense played a bad group of offenses that only averaged 5.4 yards per play; step-up

-Penn State scored 31 points or less in 10 of their 12 games; expect scoring ways to continue
-offense averaged 6.6 yards per play vs. defenses that allowed 5.4 yards per play; 41.6 ppg

-Nittany Lions defense gave up 39, 27, and 44 points to the 3 good offenses they faced this year

9* Play OVER the total.

-USC scored 27 points or more in 12 of their 13 games this season; expect similar here
-offense averaged 34.5 ppg on 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up just 5.8 yppl
-Trojans' defense gave up 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.8 yppl

-Ohio State scored 27 points or more in 11 of their 13 games; expect scoring ways to continue
-offense averaged 42.5 ppg on 7.0 yards per play vs. defenses that allowed 24.9 ppg on 5.4 yppl
-Buckeyes' defense gave up 31 and 38 points to Oklahoma and Penn State; USC similar offense

9* Play OVER the total.

-Utah State lost their season finale; 4-1 off a loss, so expect a supreme effort in this game
-offense was better on the road where they averaged 32 points per game on 6.0 yards per play 

-Aggies defense allows 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-New Mexico State may be the worst team to make a bowl game this season; 6-6 SU on the year
-offense averaged 29.6 points per game vs. defenses that gave up 29.9 points per game
-Aggies defense gave up 37.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road this season   

10* Play UTAH STATE (-).

-NC State went just 2-3 to close the season; Clemson and Notre Dame were 2 of their losses
-offense is averaging 30.6 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26 points per game

-Wolfpack defense is allowing just 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Arizona State went 7-5 this season; they gave up 30 points or more in all five of those losses
-offense only averaged 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.6 yards per play  
-Sun Devils defense gave up 32.8 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road this season 

9* Play NC STATE (-).

-Stanford lost 4 games this season, and all of them came away from home; more of the same here
-offense was much worse on the road where they averaged 4.9 points per game less (27.1-32)    

-Cardinal defense allows 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yppl; average unit  

-TCU is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Oklahoma in Big 12 title, expect big effort
-offense averaged 33.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play this season; scoring will continue
-Horned Frogs defense only gives up 17.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.2 ppg   

10* Play TCU (-).

-Virginia Tech went 9-3 during the regular season; Clemson and Miami were 2 of their losses
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26.8 points per game

-Hokies defense is allowing just 13.5 points per game on 4.8 yards per play this season 

-Oklahoma State also went 9-3 this season; they gave up 151 total points in their 3 losses
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 5.9 yppl; big step-up in class  
-Cowboys defense gives up 30.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 29.6 points per game  

9* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Missouri won their last 6 games of the season after a 1-5 start; long layoff bad for their rhythm
-offense put up big numbers vs. bad defenses that gave up 29.9 ppg on 6.1 yppl; step-up in class   

-Tigers defense was awful on the road; gave up 33.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play   

-Texas is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Texas Tech in their finale, expect big effort
-offense scored 93 points in their last 3 games; scoring ways will continue with extra prep time
-Longhorns defense allows 21.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.1 points per game   

9* Play TEXAS (+).

-Purdue got back on track late in the season as they closed on a 3-1 SU and ATS run; good form
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.3 yards per play

-Boilermakers defense allows 17.8 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road this season 

-Arizona closed the season by going 1-3 SU and ATS; opposite direction of their opponent 
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg; big step-up in class  
-Wildcats defense was terrible on the road; gave up 40.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play   

10* Play PURDUE (+).

-Boston College scored 23 points or less in 6 of their 12 games this season; expect similar here
-offense averaged just 5.1 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.3 yards per play
-Eagles defense allows just 22.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 30.1 points per game

-Iowa scored 19 points or less in 6 of their 12 games; expect low-scoring ways to continue
-offense averaged just 5.0 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allowed 5.2 yppl

-Hawkeyes defense allows 19.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.9 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Kansas State only went 7-5 this season, but they scored 30 points or more in 8 of their games   

-offense is averaging 32.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.5 points per game    

-Wildcats defense is giving up 29.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road

-UCLA went just 6-6 this season, but they also scored 30 points or more in 8 of their games 

-offense is averaging 33.7 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.8 points per game

-Bruins defense has given up 45.5 points per game on 7.2 yards per play on the road this season

10* Play OVER the total.

-Oakland hits the road after back-to-back losses; scored just 32 total points; expect bounce back
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Raiders defense has held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 20 points or less; good current form

-Philadelphia returns home off 3 straight draining road games; natural letdown spot here
-offense scored 34 points in backup QB Nick Foles’ first start this season; regression in this game  

-Eagles defense has given up 88 total points in their last three games; in bad current form

9* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Houston went 7-4 SU against an average schedule this season; 9 of their 11 games went Under
-offense averaged just 20.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg
-Cougars defense gave up just 23 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 32 points per game

-Fresno State went 9-4 SU against an average schedule this season; last 9 games went Under
-offense averaged just 19.7 points per game on 5.0 yards per play away from home this season

-Bulldogs defense gave up 17.2 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 25.2 points per game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Seattle is off back-to-back losses with their last being a blowout home loss; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Seahawks defense is giving up just 18 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road 

-Dallas has won 3 straight games, but with Ezekiel Elliott returning, their identity changes
-offense is only averaging 5.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Cowboys defense is giving up 24.1 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season  

10* Play SEAHAWKS (+).

-Los Angeles lost 30-13 in Kansas City last week, and off that ugly loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.5 yards per play
-Chargers defense is giving up 18.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 22 points per game  

-New York has lost their last two games by a combined score of 54-19; in terrible current form
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play    
-Jets defense allows 24.4 points per game vs. offenses that only average 21.6 points per game  

9* Play CHARGERS (-).

-Atlanta is off 3 straight close games with their last two being 3-point wins; back-to-back road 
-offense is only averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22 points per game     
-Falcons defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22.4 points per game; big step-up

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in their last 4 home games; expect more of the same 
-offense is averaging 31.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that only allow 21.9 ppg
-Saints defense gives up 5.5 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play SAINTS (-).

-Atlanta has scored just 53 total points in their last 3 games; need to trade points with the Saints 
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play 

-Falcons defense has given up 63 points to the Saints in their last two trips to New Orleans

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in four of their last five games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 31.1 points per game on 6.8 yards per play at home this season
-Saints defense is giving up 23.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.7 pg  

9* Play OVER the total.

-Minnesota is in a bad scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd road game in 4 weeks; 6th in 8 games
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per plat on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play 
-Vikings defense gives up 4.4 points per game more (21.7-17.3) on the road than overall average

-Green Bay returns home off a road loss in Carolina; 2nd home game in last 5 games; good spot
-offense has scored 24 points or more in each of their last four games; in excellent current form  
-Packers defense gives up just 20.9 points per game on 5.5 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play PACKERS (+).

-Appalachian State lost 4 games; 3 of those losses came by 7 points or less; Georgia lone big loss
-offense averaged 40.3 points per game in their last three wins; expect scoring ways to continue

-Mountaineers defense is giving up just 21.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.1 ppg

-Toledo went 11-2 SU against my 102nd rated schedule this season; both losses were blowouts 
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 30.7 ppg; big step-up in class  
-Rockets defense was poor on the road; gave up 29.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play   

10* Play APPALACHIAN STATE (+).

-Texas Tech scored just 30 total points in their last 2 games of the season; expect big effort here   
-offense is averaging 36.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30.2 ppg
-Red Raiders defense gave up 31.7 points per game on 5.7 yards per play this season 

-South Florida scored 31 points or more in 9 of their 11 games; expect more of the same here
-offense averaged a whopping 43.2 points per game on 7.1 yards per play on the road this season 

-Bulls defense gave up 30 points per game on the road vs. offenses that averaged 25.2 ppg

9* Play OVER the total.

-Central Michigan closed the season strong by going 5-0 over their last 5 games; cohesive team 
-offense was better on the road where they averaged 32.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play 

-Chippewas defense gave up just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

-Wyoming lost their last 2 games of the season; QB Josh Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury  
-offense averaged just 4.7 yards per play versus defenses that gave up 5.8 yards per play  
-Cowboys defense played a terrible slate of opposing offenses that averaged 24.7 ppg this season   

9* Play CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+).

-Temple closed the season strong by going 3-1 over their last four games; lone loss to UCF 
-offense averaged 37.3 points per game in those three wins; expect scoring ways to continue

-Owls defense is giving up just 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Florida International’s last two games of the season were their best; time off a negative here 
-offense much worse on the road; they averaged just 22.4 ppg vs. defenses that gave up 26.2 ppg 
-Golden Panthers defense awful on the road; gave up 37.4 points per game on 6.4 yards per play   

9* Play TEMPLE (-).

-Louisiana Tech went just 6-6 this season despite playing a terrible slate of opponents 

-offense was average while averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.7 yppl
-Bulldogs defense gave up 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.6 yppl  

-SMU went 1-3 down the stretch; those losses came to UCF, Navy and Memphis; step-down here
-offense is averaging 40.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.9 points per game    
-Mustangs defense played very strong offenses this season; big step-down in class for this game

9* Play SMU (-).

-Akron lost their final game of the season because they gave up 45 points; expect better effort
-offense averaged just 23.6 points per game vs. defenses that gave up 28.7 points per game
-Zips defense gave up just 26.3 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 28.2 ppg

-Florida Atlantic began the season at 1-3, but they won 9 straight games for a 10-3 SU record
-offense has terrific seasonal numbers, but they played a terrible slate of opposing defenses

-Owls defense only gave up 22.7 points per game on 5.1 yards per play at home this season

10* Play UNDER the total.

-Atlanta will be playing their first road game in a month; letdown spot after Saints and Vikings
-offense is averaging just 22.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 21.9 points per game  

-Falcons defense gives up 22.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.6 points per game

-Tampa Bay is playing their second straight home; good scheduling advantage here off a loss
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Buccaneers defense is giving up just 16.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play at home 

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

-Dallas has won their last two games after going on a 3-game losing streak; in good current form
-offense is averaging 25.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 22.8 ppg
-Cowboys defense gives up 22.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.7 points per game  

-Oakland returns home off a road loss in Kansas City where they scored 15 points; bounce back
-offense is averaging 23.1 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season 

-Raiders defense gives up 23.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game 

9* Play OVER the total.

-New England was in a terrible spot for their game on Monday night; expect big bounce back
-offense is averaging 28.3 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game
-Patriots defense is only giving up 15 points per game and 5.6 yards per play on the road

-Pittsburgh has won 8 straight games, but 6 of those wins came by 6 points or less; jump in class  
-offense is averaging 94.8 rushing yards per game at home vs. defenses that allow 112.4 rypg   
-Steelers defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 21.2 ppg on 5.3 yppl; big step-up

10* Play PATRIOTS (-).

-New England only scored 43 total points in their last two games; expect big performance here
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Patriots defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Pittsburgh has scored 112 total points over their last four games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 29 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 21.5 points per game

-Steelers defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 21.2 ppg; big step-up in class here 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Los Angeles lost 16-10 at home to Seattle earlier this season, and off a loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 30.5 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game 
-Rams defense is giving up 20.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.1 points per game  

-Seattle is 3-3 SU over their last 6 games; 2 of those 3 wins came against the 49ers and Cardinals 
-offense has scored 17 points or less in three of their last four meetings against the Rams defense   
-Seahawks defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

9* Play RAMS (+).

-Chicago is playing with legitimate revenge after blowing a 17-7 home lead to Detroit last month
-offense is averaging 124.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only give up 107.2 rypg  
-Bears defense is only giving up 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl

-Detroit is 2-2 SU over their last four games, but both of those wins came by exactly 3 points
-offense is only averaging 76.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 104.5 rypg   
-Lions defense is giving up 25.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game 

10* Play BEARS (+).

-Marshall closed the season on a terrible 1-4 run, but 3 of those losses came by a total of 8 points                       -offense averaged 7.3 yards per pass attempt on the road vs. defenses that gave up 7.1 yppa
-Thundering Herd defense only gives up 5.0 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yppl 

-Colorado State closed on a 1-3 SU slide, but their three losses came by a combined 27 points
-offense was much worse away from home this year; averaged 9.8 points per game less (24-33.8)       
-Rams defense gives up 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

9* Play MARSHALL (+).

-Georgia State bookended their season with 2 consecutive losses while scoring 30 total points
-offense averaged just 19.7 points per game vs. defenses that gave up 26.4 points per game
-Panthers defense gave up just 25.5 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 24.8 ppg

-Western Kentucky really struggled down the stretch, going just 1-4 SU in their last five games
-offense was terrible away from home this season; averaged just 19 points per game on 4.9 yppl 

-Hilltoppers defense gave up 5.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.3 yppl

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Denver will play their first game inside a dome on a fast track this season; breakout here
-offense has faced a tough slate of defenses that only give up 21.6 ppg; step-down in class
-Broncos defense gives up 30.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg  

-Indianapolis returns home off back-to-back road games with their last played in a blizzard 
-offense has faced a strong group of defenses that only give up 21.4 ppg; big step-down in class 

-Colts defense gives up 26.4 points per game vs. offenses that only average 21.7 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

-New England will be playing their 4th road game over the last five weeks; bad scheduling spot
-offense scored just 23 points in a bad spot last week; now in a worse spot, expect similar result

-Patriots defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play   

-Miami will be playing their 3rd home over the last four weeks; good scheduling advantage here
-offense is much better at home where they average 25.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play
-Dolphins defense is giving up just 5.1 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl 

10* Play DOLPHINS (+).

-Baltimore has scored 90 total points in their 3 games since they bye week; good current form
-offense is averaging 23.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22 points per game 
-Ravens defense has given up 57 total points to the Steelers offense in their last two meetings 

-Pittsburgh has scored 100 total points in their last three home games; scoring ways will continue 
-offense is averaging 27 points per game at home vs. defenses that are only giving up 21.6 ppg

-Steelers defense has given up 20 points or more to the Ravens in 8 of their last 9 meetings

9* Play OVER the total.

-Tennessee hits the road again off back-to-back wins; 3rd road game in 4 weeks; letdown here
-offense is only averaging 18.3 points per game on 5.0 yards per play on the road
-Titans defense is giving up 25.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 20.9 ppg  

-Arizona will be playing their third straight home game, and off a loss, expect a strong effort here 
-offense is scoring 3.8 points per game more at home than they are overall this season (22-18.2)
-Cardinals defense is giving up 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play 

9* Play CARDINALS (+).

-Minnesota is in a terrible scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd straight road game; 5th in 6 games
-offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per plat on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play 
-Vikings defense gives up 3.2 points per game more (20.2-17.0) on the road than overall

-Carolina returns home off a road loss in New Orleans; first home game in a month; great spot
-offense has scored 121 total points in their last four games; in excellent current form  
-Panthers defense gives up just 19.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 23 points per game 

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-Green Bay hits the road after back-to-back draining games; terrible situational spot here
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play
-Packers defense is giving up 27 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road

-Cleveland returns home off back-to-back road games; expect their best game of the season
-offense has faced a difficult slate of defenses that only give up 20.9 points per game; step-down
-Browns defense only gives up 20 points per game on 4.7 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play BROWNS (+).

-Army/Navy game has gone Under the total in 11 consecutive meetings; expect more of the same
-Black Knights offense averaged 2.6 points per game less away from home this season
-defense is giving up just 21.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.1 points per game 

-Army/Navy both know the triple-option offense well; median score of 38 ppg last 11 meetings
-Midshipmen offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per play away from home this season

-defense allows 25.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 34.1 points per game 

9* Play UNDER the total.

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in four of their last five games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 29.4 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 22 points per game  
-Saints defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

-Atlanta comes in off their 2nd worst offensive game of the season (9 points); big bounce back 
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 

-Falcons defense has given up 31 points or more to the Saints in three of their last four meetings

10* Play OVER the total.

-Pittsburgh hits the road after winning and scoring 71 total points in two home games; bad spot
-offense is much worse on the road; they are averaging 3 points per game less (20.5-23.5) 

-Steelers were 4-point home favorites over Cincinnati earlier this season; same price on the road 

-Cincinnati has won 2 straight games after going just 1-3 in their previous 4 games; good form
-offense is much better at home where they’ve scored 74 total points in their last three games
-Bengals defense is giving up just 17.6 points per game on 4.8 yards per play at home this season 

10* Play BENGALS (+).

-Philadelphia will be playing just their 3rd road game over the last 7 weeks; bad spot out West
-offense is due for major regression after scoring 31 points or more in their last five games 
-Eagles defense has given up just 12 total points in their last two games; expect a bad game here

-Seattle has lost their last two home games, so expect a big effort, especially in a spotlight game
-offense is averaging 28.8 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season  
-Seahawks defense is giving up 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play SEAHAWKS (+).

-Carolina is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 34-13 to the Saints at home in Week 3
-offense is averaging 23 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 22.6 ppg  
-Panthers defense is only giving up 18.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.9 ppg  

-New Orleans’s 8-game winning streak was snapped last week; overtime week before; bad spot 
-offense has faced terrible defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play; Panthers only give up 5.3 yppl 
-Saints defense is giving up 25.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.7 ppg  

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-New York will start Geno Smith at quarterback; lots of bad press, so expect big effort here
-offense has faced a strong group of defenses that only give up 22.2 ppg; big step-down in class
-Giants defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that only average 5.7 yppl 

-Oakland comes in off back-to-back poor offensive games; expect an explosive performance here
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play

-Raiders defense is giving up 24 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season  

9* Play OVER the total.

-New England will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks, including Mexico trip; bad spot
-offense has scored 33 points or more in three straight weeks; regression against a solid defense
-Patriots defense is giving up 6.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

-Buffalo returns home off two road games; blown out in previous home game; big effort here
-offense has been much better at home where they average 3.8 ppg and 0.4 yppl more per game    
-Bills defense is only giving up 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

9* Play BILLS (+).

-Ohio State has 10 wins on the season, and nine of those wins have come by 11 points or more 
-offense is averaging 43.7 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 26 points per game

-Buckeyes defense is giving up just 19.8 points per game on 4.4 yards per play this season

-Wisconsin is a perfect 12-0 SU on the season, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule
-offense will face the best defense they’ve seen this season; especially against the run (3.3 ypr)
-Badgers defense has faced offenses that only average 5.4 yards per play; big step-up in class  

10* Play OHIO STATE (-).

-Fresno State beat Boise State 28-17 as home underdogs last week, but don’t expect a repeat here 

-offense is only averaging 20.7 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road this season
-Bulldogs defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 24.6 ppg on 5.5 yards per play 

-Boise State returns home where they’ve won their last two games by a combined score of 85-33
-offense is averaging 33.3 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 24.9 points per game    
-Broncos defense is giving up just 19.3 points per game on 4.5 yards per play at home this season

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

-Memphis is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 40-13 at UCF back in Week 5  

-offense is averaging 47 points per game vs. defenses that give up 34.7 points per game 
-Tigers defense only gives up 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play  

-Central Florida comes in on a 1-4 ATS slide, so they haven’t dominated teams down the stretch
-offense has faced terrible defenses that give up 33.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play       
-Knights defense gives up 5.9 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

9* Play MEMPHIS (+).

-Stanford playing with legitimate revenge after losing 42-24 at USC back in Week 2  

-offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play
-Cardinal defense give up 20.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 30.5 points per game 

-USC comes into this game off a bye, and since they beat Stanford easily, that’s not a good thing
-offense has been worse on the road; averaging 3.4 points per game and 0.5 yards per play less     
-Trojans defense gives up 28 points per game on 5.9 yards per play away from home this season 

9* Play STANFORD (+).

-Washington hits the road after snapping their 2-game losing streak; momentum will carry here
-offense is averaging 23.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21 points per game 

-Redskins defense is giving up 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play  

-Dallas is in terrible form; they’ve lost 3 straight games; their offense scored 22 total points
-offense is only averaging 20.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.4 ppg
-Cowboys defense allows 25.8 points per game on 6.3 yards per play at home this season  

9* Play REDSKINS (-).

-Houston hits the road after snapping their 3-game losing streak; expect momentum to carry here
-offense scored 31 points last week; best game with QB Tom Savage at the helm (97.1 QB rate)
-Texans' defense is giving up just 92 rushing yards per game vs. offenses that average 107 rypg

-Baltimore returns home off misleading 23-0 shutout win in Green Bay last week (+4 turnover edge)
-offense is only averaging 4.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.3 yards per play this season
-Ravens' defense allows 136 rushing ypg at home vs. offenses that average only 107 rushing ypg

9* Play TEXANS (+).

-Green Bay was shutout at home last week, so expect a strong bounce back performance tonight
-offense played their best in their lone road game with Brett Hundley at QB; scored 23 points 
-Packers defense is giving up 26 points per game on 5.8 yards per play on the road this season 

-Pittsburgh is in terrific current form after winning five consecutive games; expect points here 
-offense is averaging 26 points per game at home vs. defenses that are only giving up 21.6 ppg

-Steelers defense has key injuries in the secondary, including Joe Haden; vulnerable to big plays

9* Play OVER the total.

-Tampa Bay comes in off back-to-back wins, so they’re playing with positive momentum
-offense has played much better on the road where they are averaging 23.4 ppg on 5.8 yppl 
-Bucs defense in good form; they’ve held three of their last four opponents to 20 points or less

-Atlanta returns home off their high-scoring 34-31 win in Seattle on Monday night; letdown here 
-offense is averaging just 23.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.4 points per game 
-Falcons defense is also an average unit; they give up 21 ppg vs. offenses that average 21.8 ppg

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

-Chicago has seven losses on the season, but five of those losses have come by 8 points or less
-offense is averaging 131.6 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only give up 104 rypg  
-Bears defense is only giving up 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl

-Philadelphia is 9-1, but off their spotlight win in Dallas on Sunday night, expect a letdown here
-offense is due for major regression after scoring 33 points or more in their last four games  
-Eagles defense has given up 23 points or more in three of their last five games

10* Play BEARS (+).

-Cleveland is winless, but in a revenge spot against their in-state rival, expect a big effort
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 21.1 points per game
-Browns defense is only giving up 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play 

-Cincinnati returns home off three straight road games with their last being a win; poor spot
-offense is averaging just 13.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.7 ppg  
-Bengals defense has given up an average of 23.2 points per game over their last five games

9* Play BROWNS (+).

-Notre Dame has scored just 32 total points in their last two games; expect breakout tonight

-offense is averaging 36.7 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 24.3 points per game    

-Irish defense in bad current form; they’ve given up 95 total points in their last three games

-Stanford comes in off their worst offensive game of the season; expect strong bounce back here

-offense is averaging 37.6 points per game on 7.1 yards per play at home this season

-Cardinal defense is giving up 6.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.9 yppl  

10* Play OVER the total.

-Clemson has won their last two games by a combined score of 92-17; excellent current form
-offense is averaging 35.3 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 28.1 points per game    
-Tigers defense is giving up just 13.9 points per game on 4.4 yards per play this season

-South Carolina has faced two terrible offenses in their last two games; big step-up in class here

-offense is only averaging 25.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 27.7 points per game
-Gamecocks defense is allowing 143.3 rushing yards per game; Clemson averages 217.7 rypg  

9* Play CLEMSON (-).

-Arizona played one of their worst offensive games of the season last week; expect bounce back 

-offense is averaging 42.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 32.9 points per game    

-Wildcats defense is giving up 39.8 points per game on 6.4 yards per play on the road

-Arizona State returns home off back-to-back road games; expect a strong performance here

-offense is averaging 31 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 28 points per game

-Sun Devils defense has given up 31.4 points per game on 6.3 yards per play this season

9* Play OVER the total.

-Virginia Tech has played three consecutive poor games; expect breakout performance tonight 
-offense is averaging 30.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 26.3 points per game

-Hokies defense is giving up just 14.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season

-Virginia is off three consecutive draining games with two of those on the road; expect flat effort
-offense is only averaging 4.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play
-Cavaliers defense has given up 31 points or more in five straight games; 38 ppg over that stretch  

10* Play VIRGINIA TECH (-).

-Miami comes into this game off back-to-back big wins; tough spot to lay points on the road
-offense is much worse on the road; averaging 7.4 points per game and 1.0 yards per play less     
-Hurricanes defense is giving up 187.3 rushing yards per game on the road; bad favorite profile 

-Pittsburgh returns home off back-to-back losses; big effort for their final game of the season 

-offense is averaging 28.3 points per game; 4.4 points per game more than their overall average
-Panthers defense is allowing 27.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 29 points per game 

9* Play PITTSBURGH (+).

-New York snapped their 3-game losing streak with a home overtime win last week; regress here
-offense is averaging just 16.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.1 points per game   
-Giants defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Washington comes into this game off back-to-back losses; expect strong performance tonight
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 5.5 yards per play
-Redskins defense allows just 5.2 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.9 yppl

9* Play REDSKINS (-).

-San Diego is off their best offensive game of the season (54 points); expect momentum to carry
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Chargers defense has given up 20 points or more in seven of their ten games so far this season 

-Dallas is off back-to-back terrible offensive games (16 total points); expect strong bounce back
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 23.2 points per game 

-Cowboys defense is giving up 25.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season

9* Play OVER the total.

-Minnesota is playing with same season revenge after losing 14-7 at home to Detroit in Week 4
-offense is averaging 24.1 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 21.6 points per game  
-Vikings defense is only giving up 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Detroit has won back-to-back games after overcoming double digit deficits; regression spot
-offense is only averaging 75.6 rushing ypg; the Vikings only allow 5.9 yards per pass attempt
-Lions defense is giving up 24.8 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season  

10* Play VIKINGS (-).

-Bowling Green has gone Over the total in six straight games; expect more of the same tonight

-offense is in good current form; they’ve scored 28 points or more in five of their last six games  

-Falcons defense is giving up 6.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.7 yards per play

-Eastern Michigan is 3-0-1 to the Over in their last 4 games; expect another high-scoring game

-offense has scored 113 points in their last three games, so expect their scoring ways to continue    

-Eagles defense is in terrible current form; they’ve given up 66 points in their last two games 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Atlanta has scored 69 points in their last 3 games; scored 41 points in their previous 3 games
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play 
-Falcons defense has given up 20 points or more in seven of their nine games this season  

-Seattle has scored 101 points in their four games since their bye week; in good current form 
-offense is averaging 28.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play at home this season

-Seahawks defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yppl

9* Play OVER the total.

-Philadelphia is 8-1 on the season, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule so far
-offense is averaging 5.6 points per game less on the road than they are overall on the season 
-Eagles defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play on the road versus offenses that average 5.5 yppl

-Dallas returns home off a 20-point road blowout loss in Atlanta; expect strong bounce back here
-offense is averaging 27 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season   
-Cowboys defense is giving up just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

9* Play COWBOYS (+).

-New England has scored 85 total points over their last three games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 30 points per game on 6.6 yards per play on the road this season 
-Patriots defense is giving up 6.7 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

-Oakland has gone Over the total in three of their last four games since QB Derek Carr returned
-offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play 

-Raiders defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.3 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

-Tampa Bay is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS on the road this season; four losses coming by 11.3 ppg
-offense is only averaging 19.2 points per game vs. offenses that allow 21.5 points per game
-Buccaneers defense is giving up 33 points per game on 7.0 yards per play on the road 

-Miami has lost three consecutive games, but that sets them up for a strong performance here
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 20.9 points per game  
-Dolphins defense is only giving up 21.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play at home

9* Play DOLPHINS (+).

-Los Angeles has scored 33 points or more in their last three games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Rams defense is allowing a below average 5.8 yards per play on the road this season

-Minnesota has scored 23 points or more in their last 4 games; 71 points in their last two games
-offense is averaging 24.1 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 21.9 points per game

-Vikings defense has faced a terrible group of offenses that only average 22 ppg; big step-up here 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Missouri has won four straight games by an average of 37.3 points per game
-offense is averaging 37.9 points per game on a whopping 7.4 yards per play this season

-Tigers defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Vanderbilt is 0-6 SU in SEC play; those six losses came by an average of 26 points per game
-offense is only averaging 20.3 points per game on 5.4 yards per play at home this season
-Commodores defense is giving up 30.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 26.3 ppg 

10* Play MISSOURI (-).

-Texas A&M played their best offensive game of the season last week; expect that to carry over

-offense is averaging 32.1 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 26.4 points per game    

-Aggies defense is giving up 35 points per game on 6.2 yards per play on the road

-Mississippi also played their best offensive game of the season last week; expect another one

-offense is averaging 43.3 points per game on 8.1 yards per play at home this season

-Rebels defense is giving up 35.6 ppg on 6.4 yppl vs. offenses that average 28.5 ppg on 5.8 yppl  

9* Play OVER the total.

-Navy has three losses this season, but all three of those losses have come by 10 points or less 

-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play
-Midshipmen defense is allowing just 26 points per game on 4.1 yards per rush on the road

-Notre Dame comes into this game off a crucial loss at Miami; tough spot to bounce back
-offense scored 8 points last week, and they only scored 27 points on Navy in loss last season    
-Irish defense is in bad current form after giving up 78 total points in their last two games 

9* Play NAVY (+).

-UNLV comes in off their worst offensive game of the season; expect strong bounce back tonight  

-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play   

-Runnin’ Rebels defense is giving up 30 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road  

-New Mexico returns home off a blowout road loss; expect a peak performance at home tonight

-offense is averaging 31.2 points per game on 6.7 yards per play at home this season

-Lobos defense is giving up 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

-Tennessee is off back-to-back close home wins since their bye; step-up in class and on the road
-offense is only averaging 18.2 points per game on 4.7 yards per play on the road this season
-Titans defense is giving up 23.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 20.4 ppg    

-Pittsburgh returns home off two road games; just their third home game over their last 8 games
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.4 yards per play  

-Steelers defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game on 4.7 yards per play at home this season

9* Play STEELERS (-).

-Toledo off their worst offensive game of the season; scored just 10 points; expect bounce back 

-offense is averaging 36.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 29.8 points per game     

-Rockets defense is giving up 28.2 points per game on 6.1 yards per play on the road this season 

-Bowling Green returns home off back-to-back road games; expect a peak performance tonight

-offense in good current form; they’ve scored 28 points or more in four of their last five games  

-Falcons defense is giving up 6.6 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Ohio is 8-2 SU on the season, and their offense comes into this game in excellent current form 

-offense is averaging 40.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 32.4 points per game     

-Bobcats defense is giving up 36 points per game on 5.7 yards per play on the road this season 

-Akron returns home off a terrible offensive game where they only scored 14 points at Miami 

-offense is averaging 29.5 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season   

-Zips defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Miami is off back-to-back losses in which they were out-scored 67-24; bad current form  
-offense is only averaging 4.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play
-Dolphins defense has given up 95 points in their last three games; 5.7 yards per play on the road   

-Carolina is just 2-2 SU at home, but those two losses came against the Eagles and Saints
-offense has faced a group of strong defenses that only give up 21.7 ppg; step-down in class here  

-Panthers defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.6 ppg 

9* Play PANTHERS (-).

-New England is off a few poor offensive performances; expect an outburst tonight
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Patriots defense is giving up a whopping 6.3 yards per play on the road this season   

-Denver returns home off three straight road blowout losses; expect a strong effort in this game
-offense has scored 92 points in four home games; they’ve scored just 58 points in 4 road games 

-Broncos defense has given up 124 points in their last four games; bad time to face New England 

9* Play OVER the total.

-New Orleans has won six straight games after opening the season 0-2; tough spot on the road
-offense is averaging 2.9 points per game less on the road than they are overall on the season
-Saints defense giving up 5.8 yards per play on the road versus offenses that average 5.4 yppl  

-Buffalo plays much better at home than on the road; extra prep off Thursday loss in New York
-offense is averaging 27.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play at home this season 
-Bills defense is giving up 18.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 19.8 points per game  

10* Play BILLS (+).

-New Orleans has scored 128 total points over their last four games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play 
-Saints defense giving up 5.8 yards per play on the road versus offenses that average 5.4 yppl  

-Buffalo has scored 64 total points in their last two home games; expect the scoring to continue
-offense is averaging 27.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play at home this season

-Bills defense has faced weak offenses that only average 19.8 points per game; step-up in class

9* Play OVER the total.

-Green Bay has lost three consecutive games, but that sets them up for a strong performance here
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 20.3 points per game  
-Packers defense held the Bears to just 14 points on 308 yards of total offense in their 35-14 win 

-Chicago’s three wins this season have come when they were underdogs; bad stats for a favorite
-offense is only averaging 4.9 yards per play versus defenses that allow 5.4 yards per play
-Bears defense has given up 20 points or more in six of their eight games; 1-5 SU in those games 

9* Play PACKERS (+).

-Kansas is 0-3 SU on the road with those three losses coming by a combined 100 points
-offense is only averaging 4.9 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Jayhawks defense is giving up 43.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road

-Texas returns home off a road loss at TCU where they scored just 7 points; big bounce back here
-offense is averaging 36.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play at home this season

-Longhorns defense is giving up just 21.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 32.9 ppg 

10* Play TEXAS (-).