NFL Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
12-08-13 |
St. Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals -5 |
|
10-30 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Four-game run of Cards snapped at Philly, with the TO (3) the main culprit (Palmer: 3/2), as 'Zona held a 350-307 yd edge. Just a game back in WildCard hunt, & note that the Cards covered their last HG by 26 pts. Rams came from 40 ppg in their prior 2 outings, to just 13 at SanFran, with their only TD coming in the final 0:18. Arizona is 8-0 ATS as a Dec division host. Unnoticed Card "D" ranks 8th best overall in the NFL, with 2nd best run "D". Revenge the name of the game.
|
12-08-13 |
Seattle Seahawks +3 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
17-19 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units the upstart Seahawks have had their way, covering the last 3, including that 29-3 rout in week 2 of this year. That one was greatly aided by 5 Niner TOs. SanFran is clicking on "D", but note just 151 yds, 196 yds, 304 yds, & 338 yds in its last 4 outings. Thus, that spectacular "O" down '12 stretch ranks 30th in the NFL. Unthinkable! Seahawks 7-1 ATS Dec dogs off DD win, & Carroll a solid 13-2 ATS off .500+ opponents
|
12-08-13 |
Oakland Raiders +3 v. NY Jets |
|
27-37 |
Loss |
-107 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Second trip to Met Life Stadium in less than a month for the Raiders, who lost to the Giants, 24-20, as 7-pt dogs on Nov 10th. Only 50 RYs for Oakland in Thanksgiving Day loss to Dallas, after entering at 141 RYpg. Blew a 21-7 lead in that one, but nailed the cover on a late Janikowski FG. Jets are the pits. Three straight losses (79-20 pt deficit), while managing just 12, 12, & 10 FDs. Haven't reached 100 RYs in last 8 gms.
|
12-08-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
|
20-34 |
Win
|
103 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Foles is now at 19/0 (3/0 LW), just 1 TD pass shy of Peyton's record 20/0 start. And he now owns Eagle record with 233 passes without a pick. So loss of Vick hasn't hurt Philly a bit. Two straight home wins for Eags, after dropping 10 straight. Lions finally did it up right in 40-10 annihilation of the Rodgers-less Pack, with 30-7 FD & 561-126 TY edges. Stafford, Bush, Bell, Johnson, etc. Now a game up in NFC North. But Detroit is 1-11 ATS off a DD SU/ATS win.
|
12-02-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -5.5 |
|
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Brees comes into this one with 3,647 passing yards, 28 touchdowns and only 8 interceptions. New Orleans at 27.7 points per game, but just 3 2nd half points at 2-9 Atlanta last week. The Seahawks come in with 13 straight home wins (franchise record), and an overall 16-2 SU run. QB Wilson has 4 touchdowns and no interceptions in his last 2 games, with 73% & 72% efforts. RB Lynch ranks 2nd in rushing (925 yards); and Percy Harvin has added a long-threat dimension. Until Seahawks' home dominance changes, it's the Hawks all the way.
|
12-01-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. San Diego Chargers |
|
17-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating; 2 Units The Chargers come into this one as one of six AFC team tied for a WildCard slot. Rivers an efficient 3/0 in comeback win over KC, leading a 78 yard drive to take it in final 0:24. He is now at a solid 22/8. Just 1 loss by more than a TD so far. Cincinnati is on 5-2 SU run, but Dalton just 21/15. The home team in Bengal games is 11-1-1 ATS while the Chargers are 6-0 ATS in December off allowing more than 27 points.
|
12-01-13 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Buffalo Bills -3 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Buffalo comes in rested and off a 31-14 win over the Jets, but their rushing yards production is diving: from 241, to 95, to 68, in their last 3 games. They have just 16 & 14 first downs the past 2 games. The Falcons have dropped 5 straight scoring less than 14 points in 4 of those 5, with Matt throwing only 5 touchdowns with 9 interceptions and have a rushing yard deficit of 1,193-552 over their last 7 outings. Plenty of negatives, but Atlanta's run is verging on debilitation
|
12-01-13 |
St. Louis Rams +8 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
13-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Rams have been a streaky team scoring 25.5 points per game their first 2; 9 points per game their next 2; 36 points per game their next 2; 12 points per game their next 2; & 34 points per game in their last 3. Austin has added a deadly element to St. Louis attack with 4 TDs of over 50 yards in their past 2 games: 80-29 pt edge (+59
|
12-01-13 |
Miami Dolphins +2.5 v. NY Jets |
|
23-3 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating; 2 Units The Jets come in off an anemic effort at Baltimore, in which they managed only a field goal. Just 12 first downs in each of their last 2 contests, while not reaching 100 rushing yards in their last 7 games. QB Geno has 8 touchdowns with 18 interceptions. The Dolphins are 2-2 since the scandal with highly similar 22-10 & 20-16 wins, along with 22-19, & 20-16 losses. Lost in last 0:43 to Carolina last week. they won 30-9 here last year.
|
12-01-13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers -7.5 |
|
6-27 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Three straight wins for Tampa, after an 0-8 start. Just the 2nd NFL team to accomplish such a change ('78 St Louis Cards). But it has been the takeaway (5 last game, & 8 the last 2 weeks) that has propelled the Bucs (25-10 FD deficit last week).
For Carolina, it's now 7 straight wins (+71
|
11-28-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
20-22 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units From an 0-4 start to present 5-6 record for Steelers, who are now tied in the WildCard chase. Ben a solid 6/0 the past 2 weeks. Ravens also tied with Pitt at 5-6, along with the Jets, Dolphins, Titans, & Chargers. Baltimore had dropped 4-of-5, before rout of Jets. Flacco still just 50/50: 14/14 to be exact, & Ravens have reached 100 rushing yards twice.
|
11-24-13 |
Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots +2.5 |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Patriots, behind Belichick & Brady, have excelled in such a setup. The Pats are on a 30-8 SU run. Denver is 10-2 ATS in first of 2 road games, but just 1-9 ATS as a favorite of less than 8
|
11-24-13 |
Dallas Cowboys +3 v. NY Giants |
|
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 18 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Cowboys have allowed an NFL record 4 opposing QBs to reach 400 PYs, & barely missed 5, when Brees left with 392 PYs. Check 40-9 FD & 625- 193 yd deficits in that total embarrassment (49-17 loss). Four straight wins for Giants, who are just a game back of Dallas (1
|
11-24-13 |
Tennessee Titans v. Oakland Raiders |
|
23-19 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Division road sandwich for Titans here, with the Raiders in 5th-of-7 consecutive non-division games. The Raiders have lost, both SU & ATS off their first 3 wins, by 16, 17, & 29 points SU. The visitor is 7-1-2 ATS in Titan games, & the Raiders are 0-8 ATS as non-division opponents off 2 losses.
|
11-24-13 |
Indianapolis Colts +3 v. Arizona Cardinals |
|
11-40 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Three straight wins for Cards for first time since 4-0 start last year. Indy has gotten off to slow starts of late, with a 35-0 deficit in the first quarter of Colts' last 3 games (2-1 SU). The Colts are now 16-5 SU, while Cards are 7-14. May seem wrong team is favored, thus a call for the more dependable Colts
|
11-24-13 |
NY Jets v. Baltimore Ravens -3 |
|
3-19 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Jets QB Smith a horrid 0 touchdowns and 3 interceptions at Buffalo, and equally horrible 8 touchdowns with 16 interceptions for the season. The Home team is 10-1-1 ATS in Baltimore games
|
11-18-13 |
New England Patriots +3 v. Carolina Panthers |
|
20-24 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
It was 10 years ago when these 2 met in the SuperBowl, with Fox HC of Panthers. The Panthers have staked their legitimacy with smothering of the Niners, holding SF to 10 first downs & 46 passing yards. So 5 straight wins for Carolina, with 604-369 RY edge. Cam: 1,103 passing yards in those 5
Rested Pats got season-best 432 passing yards & 4/0 from Tom Brady in 55-point outburst versus the Steelers who allowed their most ever points
Patriots are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 53-22-2 ATS in their last 77 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
|
11-17-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
|
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
24 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Brees & Co set an NFL record with last week with 40 first downs and a franchise record with 625 yards in 49-17 rout of Dallas. Drew was 34-of-41 for 392 yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions .
San Francisco looked bad versus the Panthers last week managing not a single touchdown in a 10-9 loss. The 49ers came from a 919-418 rushing yard edge in their previous 5 outings games (all wins) to a 111-105 deficit versus Carolina.
The Saints are 10-4 ATS versus SF, & 11-2 as favorite or dog >3 points off a DD win.
|
11-17-13 |
NY Jets v. Buffalo Bills +2 |
|
14-37 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
The Bills come into this one off of three straight losses, going from 470 yards versus the Chiefs, to just 227 at Pittsburgh. They went from 241 rushing yards versus KC to only 95 versus the Steelers. Manuel has returned, but just had 1 touchdown with 1 interception. However, the home team in Buffalo games is 10-2 ATS.
The Jets are in off their bye, but they've not wavered from their current trend, which is winning every other week, with their 9 game run matching '05 Pats' zig-zagging. Jets ATS last 6 games: -21
|
11-17-13 |
Cleveland Browns v. Cincinnati Bengals -6 |
|
20-41 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Browns had last week off, but before their bye, they managed to snap an 11-game losing streak to the Ravens. Won that one, 24-18, behind an efficient 3/0 from Campbell & led the entire game.
The Bengals must regroup off 2 consecutive OT road losses by 22-20 & 20-17 margins. And those on heels of a 49-9 win. Dalton just 2/6 in those losses, following 11/2 showing previous 3 games. However, the home team is 10-1-1 ATS in Cincinnati games while Cleveland is 0-5 ATS at avenging division opponents.
|
11-17-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Chicago Bears -3 |
|
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Cutler if finally back, but just 21-of-40 in his debut. Bears have allowed 344 rushing yards in their past 2 games, but Baltimore ranks just 29th in overland production, & Flacco a mere 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions for the year.
The Ravens snapped 3 game slide last week but this one is on the road, and the home team is 10-1 ATS in Baltimore games (+78
|
11-17-13 |
Arizona Cardinals -8 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
|
27-14 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Jags are no longer winless, taking Tennessee, with their largest outburst of the year of 29 points, which is 9 points higher than their previous high (20 points at St Louis). However, 4 turnovers led to 17 of those points, with Henne throwing for 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions & eventual 19-13 first down and 362-214 yard deficits.
Solid defense of Cardinals held Houston to 41 yards in 2nd half of last weeks 27-24 win so they should be able to bottle up Jacksonville's 32nd ranked offense. Even with the win last week the Jags are still on a 3-11 ATS run. .
|
11-10-13 |
Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers +7 |
|
28-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Yet another record for rested Peyton, notably a best-ever 2,919 passing yard thru 8 games to start the season with 29 interceptions and 6 interceptions. A bit of a glitch in overcoming that 21-7 deficit versus the 'Skins: 3 interceptions and a fumble, before getting it going with 38 unanswered points. The Chargers were stung for 500 yards at Washington, but came from 16.9 points per game in their previous 5 games, to 24 versus the 'Skins. Rivers a solid 17 touchdowns with 7 interceptions and San Diego covered its last 2 home games by 11 & 12 points. The Broncos have an 87-85 point deficit in last 2 road games. And the host is 6-1-1 ATS in Charger contests to date. Take the points
|
11-10-13 |
Houston Texans +3.5 v. Arizona Cardinals |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This is the third straight home game for rested Cards, who are 1-10 ATS off a double digit cover versus an opponent with a losing record. And note San Francisco and Seattle are on deck for Arizona.
|
11-10-13 |
Carolina Panthers +6 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
10-9 |
Win
|
110 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Two of the hottest teams in the NFL meet here, with the Niners on a 5-0 run, both SU & ATS, & the Panthers at 4-0 SU & ATS. SanFran is at 34.8 ppg in its current run, with a 919-418 RY edge (+75 pts ATS). Carolina is at 32.4 ppg in its 4 wins, with a 493-264 RY advantage, covering by 27, 8, 12
|
11-10-13 |
Buffalo Bills +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers |
|
10-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Bills rank 7th in the league at 145.8 yards per contest and EJ Manuel is expected back here which will only help things. Meanwhile, Pitt's offense is simply bad and not making strides. The Bills are 6-1 ATS following a loss. The Steelers are just 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 within the conference
|
11-10-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Chicago Bears |
|
21-19 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Lions are coming off a bye, with their opponent a short-timer, having played in the previous Monday Night game. In their last second win over the Cowboys the Lions has a 29-13 first down and 623-268 yard edges with WR Calvin, a near record 329 receiving yards. Stafford now at 2,617 yards and 16 touchdowns with 6 interceptions. The Bears have dropped 3-of-4 on the field, while on 0-4 and 2-9 ATS slides. Lions' 3rd ranked offense veresus Bears' 27th ranked defense.
|
11-10-13 |
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
33-10 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta comes into this one as a huge disappointment. Hurting at WR, with Ryan coming from 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions in his first 6 games to 2 touchdowns and 7 interceptions the past 2 weeks (61-23 combined point deficit). Atlanta is on 1-5 SU slide, while Seattle stands at 8-1. Atlanta is 0-13 ATS as a dog of >3 points off a pair of road games.
|
11-10-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals -1 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-103 |
15 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati comes into this one with four straight wins before OT loss to the Dolphins, on a safety. Dalton has thrown for a consistent 327, 372, 325, & 338 yards in his last 4 games. The Ravens on 0-3 & 1-4 SU slides, including their only loss off a bye, in Harbaugh's tenure. And Baltimore has reached 100 rushing yards just once.
|
11-04-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers -10 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Packers have been a team that has proven capable of winning division games by more than people expect as they are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 games vs. the NFC North, 4-1 ATS home vs. the Bears and 5-1 ATS in last six overall vs. the Bears. Chicago has not been a team that has proven capable of winning, division games by more than people expect as they are 0-5 ATS in last five vs. NFC North and 2-12 ATS in last 14 games vs. the NFC.
|
11-03-13 |
Indianapolis Colts -1 v. Houston Texans |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Houstons is on a 4-12 ATS slide, as well as its current 0-5 SU run and had a 32
|
11-03-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -6 |
|
31-55 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Stevan Ridley is playing better and giving the running game legs while Aqib Talib is playing the best football of his career and holding it down in the secondary, which ranks 11th in football with only 225.6 yards allowed per game. Except for 27 points to the Saints the Patriots have given up a mere 30 points in three home games. That kind of effort will be more than enough to keep it competitive against a dysfunctional Steelers offense that lacks identity and confidence. This squad hasn
|
11-03-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 v. Buffalo Bills |
|
23-13 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Buffalo could be hard-pressed to score more than 17 points against Kansas City with limited backup quarterback Thad Lewis and banged-up C.J. Spiller (check status). The Chiefs are giving up an NFL-low 12.2 points per game, rank in the top-five in pass defense and have 36 sacks
|
11-03-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Dallas Cowboys -9.5 |
|
23-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
The defensive secondary of Minnesota was already missing its best interceptor Harrison Smith, and now strong safety Jamarca Sanford could be out. The Cowboys, to the outside world, are in turmoil because they lost a close one and WR Dez Bryant is yelling at everyone. But the Vikings are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS.
|
11-03-13 |
Tennessee Titans -2.5 v. St. Louis Rams |
|
28-21 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
Losing Bradford turns the Rams into a run-first team now while cutting deeply into their psyche. Bradford was the guy the Rams were building around. The Titans are ground-oriented, too, and they have the superior runner in Chris Johnson. Tennessee can take advantage of a soft St. Louis run defense that entered Monday night's game against Seattle having yielded seven rushing touchdowns in seven games while surrendering the third most rushing yards. Jeff Fisher coached the Titans for 17 years until three seasons ago
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