Rating: 2 Units

In this one, we have the top-rated defense of the Cards against the NFL's 2nd-worst offense. So what shall I do? Well, for starters, there is the Niner revenge hammer for 33-21 home loss last month. But that's about it. Cards took them here last year by a 47-7 score, and are seething off a 141-24 rushing yard deficit in loss to the Panthers. San Francisco is on an 0-7 SU/ATS run, with a 139-260 point deficit, while allowing 33 or more points in 6 of those 7. Arizona is a profitable 9-1 ATS vs an opponent off a doule digit ATS loss, while Niners are 1-9 ATS off 2 SU/ATS losses and facing a less than .500 opponent. Not much denting on the Arizona defense.

Rating: 2 Units

Originally I was looking in the Bucs direction, with extra 3 days to prepare, off Thursday loss to Falcons. However, Winston ailing a bit, and Tampa's only wins since opener have come hosting 3-5 Rams, and at the 1-7 Niners. Bucs are giving up 29.5 points per game in their last 11 games, and are -64 points ATS in their last 6 home games. Not only that, but the visitor is 26-13 ATS in Tampa games, while Bucs are 2-10 ATS at home vs less than .333 opponents. Fox is 15-5 ATS off a division game amd vs an opponent off a pair of SU losses. Cutler is back. Chicago!

Rating: 2 Units

Despite last week's bye, Texans are lost on the road. As a matter of fact, they've lost their 3 travelers this year by 27, 28, & 18 points SU. Sure, those came vs the likes of the Patriots, Vikings, and Broncos, who are not in the same league as this week's opponent, the Jaguars. However, take note that Jacksonville is in off total domination of the Chiefs, despite the tight loss result. Check 25-10 first down and 449-231 yard edges, as well as season high 205 rushing yards. Right, another 4/0 turn over deficit, and now -12 TOs for the year. Four covers for Jags so far, by 1,3, 2, & 2½. So I'll string along with division home team

Rating: 2 Units

Not quite the norm here, as the Raiders have been in the underdog role in 9 of their previous 10 matches (lost that single favorite designation, 38-24 SU). But no question that the Raiders are much improved, especially offensively, with 28, 34, 33, and 30 point outputs in 4 of their previous 5 outings, and have covered 4-of-6 of late. Those 2 misses crucial, as they both came as division hosts, with the champion Broncos #3. Carr and Co surely move it, with little accompanying defense. The Bronco defense has corralled many an explosive offense Keep in mind that the visitor 14-0 ATS in Raider games.

Rating: 2 Units

Well, that Ram offense is on the rise, now occupying the 3rd-worst slot in the NFL, after weeks at #32. But, regardless, they have been in every game but a couple, and are miles ahead of their opening day debacle: 28-0 loss at San Francisco (30½ point ATS setback). When I last wrote of the Rams, I praised Keenum's brilliant 84% with 3 touchdowns and 1 interception in late loss to the Lions, but check his London appearance: 4 INTs in 17-10 loss to the Giants, despite a 345-232 yard edge. Panthers snapped 4-game slide with their rout of the Cards, leading 30-7 in 3rd, but note only 19 first downs. Rams play best vs best.

Rating: 2 Units

I knew that the Dolphins had themselves a prize, when they grabbed RB Ajayi in the fifth round of the '15 draft, although there were concerns about his knees. But after a rookie year plagued by injuries, has he ever blossomed. Check 418 rushing yards the past 2 games, joining O.J. Simpson, Earl Campbell, and Ricky Williams, as the only other NFL RBs with back-to-back 200 rushing yard games. Thus, Miami has covered those 2 by 28 points (Steelers and Bills). Dolphins 0-5 ATS vs NY, but that was then. Jets have a 154-91 point deficit over their last 4 games (-46½ points ATS). Miami is 6-1 ATS in AFC play, after pulling an upset.

Rating: 2 Units

The Cowboys came in for me big time, with that epic 6-point OT win over Philly, as a 5-point favorite, after overcoming 10-point deficit late in the 3rd. Prescott and Elliott again shined, with Dak tying it on a 22-yard pass to Dez in the final 3:04, and winning it on a 5-yard TD pass to Witten in the extra stanza, after winning the all-important toss. Prescott now stands at 9 touchdowns with 2 interceptions for the year, matching Troy Aikman's rookie record. And Elliott is at 133 rushing yards per game over the last 5 games, obviously leading the NFL with 799 yards. The Browns are off to their worst start since 1975, and have 11 straight losses since tail end of '15.

Rating: 2 Units

As I have noted over the recent weeks, the Chiefs, under Reid, are the ultimate streak squad, and having won their last 3 games (2-0-1 ATS), no other way to go when they take the field. And, no, I haven't forgotten the fact that the visitor is 37-12 ATS in Kansas City contests, as I've often times taken full advantage of that edge, and with QB Smith hurting (concussion), that road record may seem even more inviting. But note that the Chiefs are averaging 28 points per game in their last 3 outings, with an 83-45 point edge. Kansas City, under Reid, is 9-2 ATS as a non-divison favorite of 8 or more points, while Bradley is 1-7 ATS off pair of SU losses vs opponent off a double digit cover.

Rating: 2 Units

Has the Viking bubble burst, or is that loss to the Eagles just a bump in the road? Well, note a 282-239 yard edge for Minnesota, vs that explosive Philly offense. That's what is expected when your defense is the NFL's top-ranked unit. So the Vikings are now on 19-3 and 27-6 ATS runs. The Bears are an enigma, ranking 7th in total offense, but 31st in scoring. And now they've lost Hoyer, who had recently pumped that offense. So Barkley last week: 0 touchdowns with 2 interceptions. The Monday Night Home Division Dog no longer holds and the Bears are 2-11 ATS at home vs opponent off a SU loss. Minnesota gets back on track quickly.

Rating: 2 Units

The 4-2 Eagles ended the Vikings' ATS dominance, with that 21-10 upset. Only one offensive TD for Philly in that one, and Wentz just had 1 touchdown with 2 interceptions (8/3 this year), but an important win. Eagles now only 1 game back in NFC East race. The team that they're chasing? None other than the smoking Cowboys, who've won and covered 5 straight games (+53½ points ATS), with a 113-64 point edge in their L4 games. Elliott and Prescott have been brilliant. The former with 140, 138, 134, & 157 rushing yards L4 games, and the latter at 69% with 7 touchdowns and only 1 interception. Cowboys keep it going.

Rating: 2 Units

This is the 2nd time that these 2 have met in just a 3-week span, with the Chargers pulling the 21-13 upset in their Thursday Night encounter, with Siemian throwing it 50 times. San Diego has covered 3 straight, and is only 11 points from a 5-0 SU run, finally seeming to shake the curse of a triad of unbelievable setbacks. Rivers comes in with13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and Chargers in off turning 27-10 deficit, into that 33-30 upset win over the Falcons. The visitor is on a 15-4 ATS run in San Diego games, as well as an equally impressive 16-5 ATS run in Denver contests and the underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in Bronco games.

Rating: 2 Units

I loved that 18-point cover in Oakland's 33-16 win at Jacksonville, in which they played their most complete game of the year. And that just reinforced the awesome edge of the visitor in Raider contests, which now stands at an amazing 13-0 ATS. And that win over the Jags went against the rule in Oakland games, as 9 of their previous 10 contests were decided by a TD or less SU. The visitor in Tampa Bay games is on a 24-13 ATS run, with Tampa -47 points ATS in its last 4 home games. So I'll ride it again

Rating: 2 Units

No other way to go here, as the Pats not only have Brady back: 1,004 passing yards with 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in just 3 weeks (20, 18, 11 point SU wins), but New England has the revenge factor, as well, as the Bills pitched a 16-0 shutout over the Patriots, just 4 weeks ago. That's all Buffalo needs to hear, especially with their ace RB McCoy nursing a hurting hamstring. Check a 356-67 rushing yard deficit at Miami, without him, just a week after posting a 312-133 rushing yard edge, with him. But even with that setback, the Bills, over their last 5 games, have gone +19½, +19½, +12, +20, -6 points ATS. Taylor is a more than efficient with 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. But Pats are 8-1 ATS with revenge vs division opponent who is off a SU favorite loss.

Rating: 2 Units

Brock Osweiler returns to Denver, which wouldn't have won last year's Super Bowl without him (4-2 record as Broncos' starting QB). No Kubiak at San Diego, with migraine condition, so may be close to hanging 'em up. In off holding Chargers to 265 yards, but 50 Siemian passes can't get the job done. However, Texans (Gary's former squad), who staged superior comeback win hosting Indy, are another team when taking to the road, standing at -29½ points ATS as the visitor this season. And the favorite is 26-12 ATS in Houston games

Rating: 2 Units

The Red hot Falcons were held to just 86 yards in first half at Seattle, but finished with 362, wiping out 17-3 deficit, with 3 Ryan TD passes in 3rd, for a 24-17 lead, only to lose on field goal in final 1:57. So 4-game  SU run snapped, but yet another cover (5 straight), and Matt at 15 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions. Top offense in NFL. However, note that the underdog is 9-0 ATS (+103 points) in Falcon games. So now a favorite, thus a Charger play. And with visitor 14-4 ATS in San Diego games, it is reinforced. Falcon HC Quinn is 1-9 ATS as the favorite, so an upset in making.

Rating: 2 Units

Brees is in off his NFL-record 15th career 400-yard game, snapping a tie with Peyton. He just goes on-&-on, with 1,734 passing yards for the year, with 14 TD passes (4 picks). So 523 yards vs Carolina, but needed a 52-yard field goal in final 0:11 for the mild upset. Chiefs came from a 43-14 loss to Pittsburgh (-25½ points ATS), to 26-10 win at Oakland (+17 points ATS), with Smith a steady 19-of-22 (86.4%). First home game for Kansas City in a month (covered last home game by 18 points). Reid is 11-1 ATS off a SU/ATS win vs an opponent off a SU division win as and underdog.

Rating: 2 Units

First of back-to-back Florida road games for the Raiders, who came in nicely for me last week with their 26-10 home loss to the Chiefs (183-65 rushing yard deficit). And they were held without a TD over the final 56:58, after jumping to a quick 7-0 start. That 16-point loss marked the 1st time in Raiders' last 10 games that the final margin exceeded 7 points. Jags on 2-game run (3 and 1 point wins), but note that 2 of their 3 losses have come by 4 and 2 points. The underdog in Raider games continues to win (12-0 ATS).

Rating: 2 Units

The Bills now on their first 4-game run since the start of '08 season, and not only winning, but covering the four games by 19½, 19½, 12, and 20 points. Check an NFL strange 312 rushing yards in rout off the Niners, with another 140 yards from McCoy (7.4 yards per rush, 3 TDs), and that on top of his 150 rushing yards last week. The Dolphins flexed their muscles in wipe out win over the crippled Steelers, with Ajayi rushing for 204 yards (8.2 yards per rush). And note 2 defensive interceptions, their 1st since opening day. Keeps the spot down nicely. Bills

Rating: 2 Units

Sure, Oakland's 4-1 start has to be respected, with Carr and mates more confident by the week. However also can't ignore that it "don't come easy" (Ringo), as their wins by scores of 31-30, 17-10, 28-27, and 34-31. And, as always, the success of the visitor in Raider games just goes on-&-on, with current 11-0 ATS log. Sure, spread minuscule, but still a hammer for a Chief team that had an extra week to prepare, off 43-14 loss at Pittsburgh. Kansas City won by 2 touchdowns here last year.

Rating: 2 Units

Buffalo comes into this one with three straight wins (+50½ ATS). A 23-15 first down deficit at Los Angeles, but note another 193 rushing yards (McCoy: 150), and now at 535 the past 3 weeks. This should continue versus the Niners' 32nd ranked (last) rushing defense. The host is 8-3 ATS in Buffalo games. The Niner's turn overs cost them 17 points in last week's 33-21 loss to the Cards, but they are allowing 34.8 points per game in their last 4 games, after an opening week 28-0 rout. I can't see an abrupt turnaround. Go Bills

Rating: 2 Units

Until things change, there is no other way to go, than with the Steelers, under the guiding hand of Roethlisberger, who has been absolutely near perfect the past 2 weeks, following Pitt's throttling at the hands of the Eagles. Try a combined 74-27 point edge the past 2 weeks, with Ben completing 56-of-74 (76%) for 680 yards and 9 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. The Steelers +115½ points ATS in 8-of-9 games (Philly). The Dolphins, the opposite. In off 23-8 first down, 398-200 yard, 235-51 rushing yard deficits, and are on slides of 3-12 and 5-19 ATS. In addition, Miami -7 in the important turn over column. Lay the TD.

Rating: 2 Units

Well, perfect season of Eagles is by the board, with 1-point loss at Detroit, as their formerly perfect turn over rate cost them dearly. But Philly is still +63½ points ATS for the year, while Wentz has a solid 7 touchdowns with only 1 interception. And note in their loss to the Lions, the Eagles held a 346-244 yard edge, which is something else versus Detroit's always potent offense. The Redskins' scoring defense is better by the week, and in off holding Baltimore to just a single touchdown. But containing this offense is another matter. In addition the visitor is 7-1 ATS in Washington contests

Rating: 2 Units

A year ago, these 2 met here, and it was a barn burner, with the Panthers (-6) winning, 41-38. But Carolina is now hurting (Cam), and just 5-7 ATS since the tail end of '15 (-73½ pts ATS in L5). The Saints still have plenty of firepower, whenever Brees is under center. He has 10 touchdown with 3 interceptions in the early going, with New Orleans finally in the win column, thanks to a miracle windup at San Diego, before its bye week. The Underdog is 11-2 ATS in Saint contests, and always worth a look as a home dog. Carolina is 1-7 ATS before its bye

Rating: 2 Units

Well, try a couple of squads which have absolutely excelled in the underdog role, of late. As the underdog is on a 7-0-1 ATS run in Ram games. Check 5 takeaways, a 65-yard TD pass, and a 47-yard punt return in their 17-13 upset of the Cards. Likewise, the Bills, who have quickly turned their season around with upsets of both Arizona and New England (19 and 19½ point covers) with a combined 6 Take Aways in those 2. Taylor: steady 27-of-39 versus Pats. Rams are 1-6 ATS off a SU underdog win versus an opponent off a SU/ATS win.

Rating: 2 Units

No question as to where I go in this one. The Raiders have been a pleasant surprise, with 3-1 start, and in off 4-TD passes from Carr (3 to Crabtree), taking the Ravens in the final 2:12. Just the opposite for the snakebit Chargers, whose 3 losses have all come late, and that includes last weeks 35-34 loss to the Saints in the last 1:57, with 2 fumbles leading to New Orleans TDs in the final 4:50. Oakland is 4-17 ATS as a home favorite versus an opponent with less than a .500 record who is off a SU loss. The visitor is 10-0 ATS in Raider games, while the road team is 13-3 ATS in San Diego contests. Simply put: the dog in this series is 13-1 ATS.

Rating: 2 Units

No Watts for Texans (back surgery) after starting all 83 games since his draft in 2011. But Houston took the Titans on a 67-yard Fuller punt return in the final 0:56. So an early 2-game lead in the AFC South. Game site seems the key, as the host has won and covered all 4 of Texan outings. So a trip to Minnesota may not be the best of setups, as the favorite is on a 25-12 ATS run in Houston games. Vikings again fully focused with bye next week, and are on a 25-5 ATS run, and 24-5 ATS versus non-division opponents. Minnesota is also 11-2 ATS vs an opponent off a SU win.

Rating: 2 Units

Rested Eagles have been something else, with perfect 3-0 start (+68 points ATS), covering their last road game by 18 points. And try a 34-7 lambasting of the Steelers, with a 425-251 yard edge. Wentz has 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and hitting 65% of his passes. Three straight losses for Lions, and in off losing to formerly winless Bears, with 2 late Stafford Interceptions deep in Chicago territory. Detroit is 1-10 ATS as an underdog of less than 10 points versus an opponent with revenge, while Philly owns a 92-27 point edge in the early going.

Rating: 2 Units

Embarrassing 34-3 loss to Philly for Steelers, with 25-15 first down and 426-25 yard deficits. Ben: with no touchdowns and 1 interceptions, after entering with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, while Pittsburgh came from a 136-51 rushing yards per game edge to a 125-29 rushing yard deficit. Bell is expected back, after serving his suspension, which can only be a help, and the Steelers are still +45½ points ATS in their last 7 games, including last weeks 37½ point failure. Visitor is on a 35-11 ATS run in Chief tilts, but it was 35-9, before last 2 weeks. Pitt is 13-0 ATS with revenge vs an opponent off a SU win. Bounceback

Rating: 2 Units

Yes, I know that the Rams have been decent plays in division matchups, but not in this case. They finally put a touchdown on the board in last weeks 37-32 upset of Tampa (took them nearly 10 quarters to punch that score across, despite 30-18 first down, and 472-320 total yard deficits. Cards in off a 5 turnover display in losing badly to the Bills, 33-18 (208-88 rushing yard shortage), and hardly a first down with only 2 yards in their first 5 possessions, so should be in same place as in their 1st rebound setup (40-7 win over the Bucs). I am calling for a repeat

Rating: 2 Unit

It seems rare when the defending champions are on mission, but that is exactly what is happening with these Broncos, who have carried over from their Super Bowl upset of the Panthers, with a perfect SU/ATS record, covering by 4, 7, and 15 points. Most pleasant surprise is the play of rookie QB Siemian: 4 touchdowns in his first road start, versus that Cincinnati defense, no less. Bucs are a comer, to be sure, with 31 and 32 point games, so far, but were routed, 40-7, by their only true elite opponent, Arizona. In adition, the visitor is a solid 14-4 ATS in Denver game and Broncos are 8-1 ATS off SU/ATS win versus

Rating: 2 Units

Hard to believe that Pete Carroll once coached the Jets. Seattle returns to site of its Super Bowl win, and finally got the offense moving, in 37-18 win over San Francisco, with a 418-254 yard edge, but note that QB Wilson didn't play the final 1½ quarters of that one. The Jets gave away the store in loss to Kansas City, with no less than 8 turnovers, their most since a 1976 loss to the Patriots, with QB Fitzpatrick doing his part, namely 6 picks. So a 24-3 loss to the Chiefs, but check allowing only 1 offensive touchdown. The embarrassed Jets are 9-1 ATS as underdogs of gerater than 1 point off scoring less than 8 points

Rating: 2 Units

Well, it's Thursday Night and I don't think that anyone thought we'd be looking at a pair of 1-2 squads. Cincinnati yet to cover, off of last years 12-3-2 spread log, but still +56 points ATS in last 19 games. And Bengals enter off a 143-52 rushing yard edge over mighty Broncos. The Dolphins avoided an 0-3 start when Cleveland missed final play 46-yard field goal, and check 7 turnovers in the past 2 weeks. Tannehill at 892 passing yard, but running game a question. Miami is on 6-16 and 4-9 ATS runs, with a 313-234 point deficit in their last 12 games. Defensively, the Bengals rank 15th in the early going, while the Dolphins rank 30th. Their escape versus Cleveland last week is the determinant in my mind.

Rating: 2 Units

Steelers keep on doing it, behind Roethlisberger, and running back of the day. Ben has thrown for 559 yards and 6 TDs in the early going, while DeAngelo has 237 rushing yards, while awaiting the return of Bell (out for first 3 games). Pittsburgh's defense was stung for 412 yards by Cincinnati last week, but only 16 points, so a 62-32 point edge so far, and check a 19½ point cover in Steelers' only road game (Washington). The Eagles are improved, but note allowing 27+ points in 8 of their last 11 contests.

Rating: 2 Units

Last week Chargers' Rivers tossed for 4 TDs in the first 3 quarters in the walloping of Jacksonville (led 35-0). That one went against the super spread runs of the visitor in San Diego games, with the road team now on 12-2 and 19-5 runs. But make no mistake, the Chargers can move it overhead and overland (305-152 rushing edge this year). Third straight 0-2 start for Colts, who've allowed 848 yards, 73 points, and 52 first dows, with Luck coming from 385 passing yards to 197. San Dego is 13-0-1 ATS versus AFC South, and Indianapolis is 1-7 ATS versus San Diego

Rating: 2 Units

No letup for either team. Kansas City needed OT to take Chargers, and suffered 3 first half lost fumbles in 19-12 road loss to Houston. Not their style. Smith just 2 touchdowns with 1 interception so far, but 64%. The Jets own a 50-34 first down edge, with Forte at 196 rushing yards, and Fitzpatrick at 563 passing yards and 3 touchdowns with 1 interception (was 24-of-34 for 374 yards versus the Bills). The visitor is on a 35-10 ATS run in KC games, while KC is possibly the top streak squad in the NFL (0-5, 6-0, 2-6 ATS runs last year).

Rating: 2 Units

Quite a turnaround for Winston, who came from 4 touchdown passes in 31-24 win, to 4 interceptions in 40-7 loss. And that Buc defense has allowed 30.5 points per game in its last 6 games. Not only that but the visitor is 21-13 ATS in Tampa games. However, the Rams have managed exactly No TDs in their 2 games, with a 28-0 loss in their first road game (30½ point spread loss). So a 4.5 point per game average, and 2.7 yards per rush (65, 64 rushing yards). Season home opener for Tampa, with chance to move past .500. Rams simply don't have horses to match points here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bears' 9 point loss at Houston went against the norm, as the underdog was on a nice 9-1-1 ATS run in Chicago games, to end the 2015 season. Tight games are the rule, as 10 of the Bears' final 12 games were decided by 5 points or less. In off allowing 10 unanswered points down the stretch of loss to Texans. The Eagles had a 403-288 yard and 39:20-20:40 time edges in win over Cleveland, with Wentz a solid 278 yards with 2 touchdown and 0 interceptions. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS on Monday, when off a SU win, while the Bears are 0-6 ATS at home off an AFC contest.

Rating: 2 Units

The Champs won't approach the fever pitch of expectation as they did in opening thriller vs Panthers. But theColts are hardly slouches, with the return of Luck who had 385 passing yards with 3 touchdownd and 0 interceptions last week. Indy trailed all but 33 seconds of that one, losing to Detroit in the final 0:04. That one was all offense, which won't be the case here, as Broncos have no peers, defensively. However, the dog is now 12-2-1 ATS when Denver is at home, while Pagano is 10-1 ATS off SU loss. Broncs 0-9 ATS vs Colts, and Indy 6-1 ATS vs AFC West.

Rating: 2 Units

Improved Raiders pulled 35-34 upset of the Saints due to Carr TD pass and Carr 2-point conversion pass in final 0:47 last week. So 319 passing yards but just 1 TD pass - the big one. The underdog is now 9-5 ATS in Oakland games (2-4 LA), which coincides with fact that the Raiders were installed as a favorite 4 times last year, covering just once, by 2 points. Atlanta's loss to Tampa moved the success of the underdog to 11-2 in Falcon contests of late. Ryan LW had 334 passing yards so he still can move the ball, with Atlanta once again in the fray. OT wouldn't surprise me in this one.

Rating; 2 Units

If the Panthers don't come roaring back following their tough loss to the Broncos, I will be surprised.  Just 3 points for Carolina in the 2nd half of their loss. Sure, this is a Denver/Minny sandwich for the Panthers, but note that last years only regular season loss was followed with a 38-10 crushing of the Bucs. Carolina is 6-1 ATS hosting the Niners, and are on a 15-8-1 ATS run, with 7 of those 8 losses by

Rating: 2 Units

Second of back-to-back brutal road games to start the season for Dolphins, nearly beating the Seahawks, before losing 12-10 in the final 0:31, although that one wasn't as tight as actual margin, with Miami on the short end of 21-11 first down and 352-214 yard margins. Also a 254-173 point deficit for the Fish in their last 10 games, as well as a 5-16 ATS slide. The Pats keep on doing it. Garoppolo for Brady (264 passing yards with 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, with no Gronk, along with 3 starting linemen. Patriots are 13-1 ATS off a SU non-division dog win. This seems to be a reasonable spread

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 squads were 1 win away from meeting in SuperBowl 50. Missed extra point put Pats behind "8 ball" the entire game in 20-18 loss to Denver, while Cards were crushed, 49-15 in seven turn over effort versus the Panthers. No Brady for Pats until game #5, so Garoppolo gets the call, opening versus the league's 7th-ranked defense. However, remember the fine job that Cassel did, in filling in for Tom in '08, as Belichick simply adjusts to the situation. This one should go to the wire, so take the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Browns welcome back Hue Jackson to the head coaching but they need all the help they can get, as they're on 1-10 SU & 2-8 ATS runs. How about a 275-137 point deficit in their last 10 games (-68 points ATS), while topping 13 points in just 3 of those games. RG3 has taken a lot of hits from detractors, but he was a true force when healthy. Eagles have said goodbye to Kelly, finishing the preseason unscathed, with Wentz getting the QB call. Eagle "D" a disaster last year, but should flex their muscles in opener.

Rating: 2 Units

The Chiefs are again figured among sure-fire playoff contenders, as well they should be, as Kansas City has made the postseason in 2-of-3 years, under Reid (11-5 during both the '13 & '15 regular seasons). But remember last year, when they opened at 1-5, both SU & ATS, before taking their next 11 on the field. Thus a solid TD favorite versus an underrated division opponent, San Diego, which has held the Chiefs to10 &19 points in their last 2 trips to Kansas City. The visitor is a profitable play in this one, as the road team is 18-4 & 34-9 ATS in Charger & Chief games respectively

Rating: 2 Units

Loss of Bridgewater could take more than a year (torn ACL & dislocated knee). Minnesota has a bolstered offensive line, which should really help Peterson. Minnesota is on ATS runs of 22-5 overall, 14-3 last season, and an awesome 11-2 on the road. Titans calling on Mularkey as possible savior, following 3-13 campaign, which featured an 0-6-1 ATS windup, while scoring only 11.3 poinst per game in 10-of-last-12 games.

Rating: 2 Units

What a way to start the season with the last Super Bowl rematch on the 1st Thursday of season is unheard of. No more Manning, so untested Siemian gets the call versus this very good team, which has had to live with that loss for 7 months. In their last meeting the Bronco "D" forced 4 TOs, and had 7 sacks of Cam, 1 defensive TD and another score on 4-yard drive. So an automatic Panther call, right?, as they're on 15-7 ATS run, and at 32.5 points per game over their L10 games. But that Denver "D" seems made to contain this machine. Grab the defending champs as home dogs

Rating: 2 Units

Denver is a perfect 5-0 against the spread as an underdog, winning four of those games straight-up beating the Chiefs, Packers and Patriots twice. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last eight Super Bowls grading last year’s Seahawks-Patriots matchup as a pick. This game isn’t likely to be pretty. They’ve won an NFL-record 11 regular-season and postseason games by seven points or fewer.  Manning has gone from all-time great to being just a glorified game manager. But run-oriented Denver coach Gary Kubiak was astute enough to grasp that concept. Pride trumps ego. Manning wants to go out a winner in what sure looks to be his final rodeo. He’s smart enough to make it work by setting up his defense – not the other way around. That’s the Broncos’ winning formula.

Rating: 2 Units

Despite a 16-1 record, the likely MVP in Cam Newton, the best cornerback in football, Josh Norman, and six others who were selected either first or second team Pro Bowl, the Panthers draw no respect. Maybe the oddsmaker and marketplace got spooked by the Panthers only beating Seattle, 31-24, after leading 31-0 at halftime this past Sunday. But the Panthers are better than a field goal against the Cardinals at Bank of America Stadium where they have won 12 in a row. It should be kept in mind that the Panthers’ second-half goal against the Seahawks was running time off the clock rather than running up a score. It was the second time in two meetings the Panthers defeated the Seahawks, a team that destroyed the Cardinals, 30-6, at Arizona just three weeks ago.

Rating: 2 Units

The Broncos were 5-4 SU and ATS in Manning’s nine starts. Manning failed to produce any old magic against the Steelers either making his first start since Nov. 15 with a quarterback rating of 74.4. Manning struggled to put up a touchdown against the Steelers until capitalizing on a late fumble in Denver’s 23-16 victory. Even in his prime, Manning has a terrible playoff track record, including a 1-5 postseason record in sub-40 degree temperature, including a 24-13 home playoff loss to the Colts last season when he was in much better physical condition. The Patriots had their key linebackers, Dont’a Hightower (knee), Jamie Collins (back) and Jerod Mayo (shoulder) banged up against the Chiefs. So keep an eye on their status, but Bill Belichick has solid replacements and always has versatile defenders. The Broncos are forced to be a run-first team, although lacking a star runner. So they are not difficult to defend. New England ranks ninth in run defense. Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven playoff games.

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 are no strangers when it comes to the post-season. They've battled in '77, '78, '84, '89, '97, '05, & '11. QBs in those games were Morton, Bradshaw, Elway, Plummer, Kordell Stewart, Tebow, Manning, Big Ben. And only 2 of those 7 came in Pittsburgh. So more of the same here, with rested Broncos still smarting from blowing a 27-13 to Pittsburgh 3 weeks ago, failing to contain Roethlisberger, who threw for 380 yards, with Brown the recipient of 16 catches for 189 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Pittsburgh is here, due to gift field goal following 2 personal foul calls on Cincinnati. But Ben, Brown, and running back Williams are all hurting. Without their 328 passing yards per game QB at 100%, the Steelers are up against it.

Rating: 2 Units

This was Newton’s finest season of his five-year NFL career. He’s facing an elite disciplined stop unit, though, that knows him well. While the Seahawks still might be without enigmatic Marshawn Lynch, Carolina has been without its best running back, Jonathan Stewart. The Panthers’ defense has shown signs of leakage surrendering 35 points to the Giants in Week 15 and and 38 to to New Orleans in Week 13. The Panthers rate among the top defenses in the major categories, but have surrendered 23 or more points in seven of their 15 victories. Wilson can exploit a Panthers secondary whose two starting cornerbacks weren’t even on the roster on Thanksgiving. Carolina had to coax past-his-prime Cortland Finnegan out of retirement and sign Robert McClain to replace veteran Charles Tillman – one of the NFL’s all-time best at coming up with takeaways – and Bene’ Benwikere. Both suffered season-ending injuries. Seattle’s defense has no holes. Wilson is a proven big-game commodity. The Seahawks know how to win big road games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Cardinals  are bolstered by the aggressive play-calling of Bruce Arians, unlike the Packers who have been stymied by questionable play-calling from their coaching staff. Mike McCarthy is a terrible underdog coach. Green Bay is 4-11-1 ATS the past 16 times getting points. Rodgers is going to have to keep pace with Palmer riding a passing game that hasn’t clicked much of the season, with slow receivers who can’t create individual matchups they can win and with a rushing attack that has been disappointing nearly the entire season. The Redskins were just the right opponent for Green Bay. The Cardinals are exactly the wrong opponent for the Packers.

Rating: 2 Units

Kansas City is likely to be without its best wide receiver as Jeremy Maclin suffered an ankle injury in the Chiefs’ dominant 30-0 victory against Houston this past Saturday. The Chiefs are far from dynamic on offense. But Alex Smith rarely beats himself, the Chiefs have running back depth and Travis Kelce is a top tight end. The Patriots gave up an average of 136.5 yards rushing in losses to the Dolphins, Jets, Eagles and Broncos. The Patriots could be missing one of their best defensive players in linebacker Dont’a Hightower, who sat out the Dolphins game because of a lingering knee injury. The Patriots don’t have the firepower anymore to cover this spread given their injuries. The Patriots are just a mediocre 5-5 ATS since 2009 hosting playoff games winning by more than four points only four of the 10 times

Rating: 2 Units

Vikings reaped quite a reward for their upset of the Packers, namely hosting the best team in the NFL. Minnesota is just superb, with its current 21-5 ATS run, 22-5 ATS versus non-division opponents. But Peterson and team will find the going a bit tougher versus the Seahawks, who hold a 224-98 point edge in their last 7 games, with Wilson at 24 touchdowns and only 1 interception over that span, as well as 1,038-401 rushing yard advantage. Teddy and Co are up against it in this one, even with the weather projected to be well below zero.

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 have had similar seasons, with the Texans opening at 2-5, before finishing with a 7-2 mark, thanks mainly to Watt-led defense, which finished 3rd in the NFL. And they held 7 of their final 9 opponents to 8.1 points per game. And note a 64-12 point edge in their last 2 games (Tennessee and Jacksonville). Just their 3rd playoff game ever, and 1st since '12. Chiefs wound up with 10-0 SU run, on heels of 5-game slide (never been done before). Visitor is 33-9 ATS in KC tilts, & the chalk is 22-11 ATS in Houston games. The Texans don’t have enough talent and a decent enough quarterback to beat the hottest team in football. .

Rating: 2 Units

This is for the NFC North crown, with the Packers already assured of a playoff spot. Green Bay suddenly reeling, as 753-471 yard deficit over the past 2 weeks aptly demonstrates. Check Rodgers being sacked 8 times in wipeout loss to Arizona. But he is still brilliant 30 touchdowns wih 7 interceptions for the year and 60.4%. This is a revenge shot for Minnesota, who were taken to the woodshed in earlier 30-13 loss, despite a 342-320 yard edge. Minnesota is a splendid 20-5 ATS currently, and 10-2 ATS away. Zimmer 9-1 ATS as an underdog versus an opponent with an over .500 record.

Rating: 2 Units

The fortunes of the Broncos has changed a bit, as their seemingly smooth waltz into the playoffs has suddenly swerved, with onrushing Chiefs and Jets, along with blowing that 27-10 lead at Pittsburgh, as Osweiler's 2nd half performance was polar opposite of his opening half. The dog is 8-2 ATS when Denver is host, which meshes nicely with the fact that the visitor is on 11-1and 17-4 ATS runs in San Diego games. Rivers: 4,504 passying yards and 66.5%, but no rushing offense. Chargers are 7-1 ATS when visiting Denver.

Rating: 2 Units

Nine straight wins for the Chiefs, who need a win here, for playoff host role. Got by Cleveland last week, despite a 368-258 yard deficit (232-136 overland shortage). So a 7-2 ATS run (+103 points ATS), but staring at revenge here, as they were outgained by 129 yards in earlier 34-20 win over the Raiders. And note the visitor on a 32-9 ATS run in Kansas City games. Oakland: shot at 8-8 season, with Carr now at 31 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. The division visitor 5-0 ATS in Chief games this year and 5-0 ATS in Raider games as well.

Rating: 2 Untis

You think the Bills' fans might miss Doug Marrone a bit? Need this for a non-losing campaign, which isn't exactly what Ryan promised. Another 236 rushing yards for the league's top overland squad, and Taylor now with 20 touchdowns and 6 interceptions (64%). But the won/loss column a disappointment. A win in this, and the Jets secure a Wild Card slot. Five straight wins, with a 626-302 rushing yard edge, and Fitzpatrick  with 13 touchdowns and only 1 interception. New York is 7-1 ATS in division play, although its last 2 road games have been decided by ½ & 0 points ATS. Also the Jets are 8-0 ATS in December off a SU underdog win, versus an opponent off a home game. And the Bills are 1-6 ATS in 2nd of 2 home games

Rating: 2 Units

From worst to first for the Redskins, who have clinched the NFC East with 3 straight wins, coupled with demise of the rest of this sorry division. Check Washinton QB Cousins with 8 touchdowns and no inteceptions the past 2 weeks. That one pushed the underdog edge to 5-0 ATS (+38 points) in Washington games. The Cowboys are 1-10 SU without Romo, having been held below 20 points in their last 5 games. Washington is 12-2 ATS in December, off a pair of SU/ATS wins, and 6-1 ATS off 3 covers, as well as 7-0 ATS on the road off a double digit division cover

Rating: 2 Units

Texan defense back on track, holding horrible Indianapolis offense to 10 points, 14 first downs and 190 yards, after allowing 57 points in their previous 2 games. So the NFL's 7th-ranked defense, but have topped 24 points in just 2 of their last 15 contests. Weeden for Yates for Hoyer at QB, so a fluid situation, although in off first win at Indy in 13 years. Sole leader in AFC South so obviously fully focused. Titans may go it without Mariotta (knee). Tennessee averaging 11.9 points per game in 7-of-10 games, and Houston 12-1 ATS versus less than .500 division opponent off a road game. In addition, Tennessee is 2-13 SU, 3-10-2 ATS in its past 15 home contests.

Rating: 2 Units

The Browns and Johnny Manziel couldn’t cover as two-touchdown road underdogs last Sunday against Seattle. Now they get to try being double-digit underdogs against even a hotter team as Kansas City has won eight straight while going 7-1 ATS. The Chiefs are 24-2 SU, 18-8 ATS when favored by more than a touchdown. Kansas City is more opportunistic than good with a plus 15 takeaway ratio. Mike Pettine is dead man walking. Pettine would best be served letting Manziel get out of the pocket and try to work his old college magic. But Pettine is too old school and narrow-minded to do that. Cleveland has dropped 13 of its last 14 games in December

Rating: 2 Units

Dallas has done a great job of proving it can’t win without Tony Romo going 1-9 in his absence. Yet the Cowboys keep things close with six of their losses coming by seven points or less. Dallas has covered 79 percent of the time, too, the past 24 times as an underdog of more than three points. Expect Kellen Moore to get the start, which should provide a spark from stale and washed-up Matt Cassel. Revitalized  Darren McFadden has put together five 100-yard rushing games, while Buffalo may be without its best running back, LeSean McCoy, who suffered a knee injury this past Sunday. The unmotivated Bills have dropped four in a row, surrendering an average of 27.2 points during this span. They will be missing the playoffs for the 16th straight season, longest streak in the NFL. Rex Ryan has proven to be more quip than sizzle. He’s turned a strong defense into an inept one.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Quick revenge shot for Falcons, who were taken apart, 38-0, just 2 weeks ago, along with a 424-230 yard deficit. At least Atlanta save some face, by snapping 0-6 SU and 0-9 ATS slides (1st cover since Oct 4) in 23-17 win over Jags. Still -79 points ATS last 10 games, and 0-5 ATS in division play. Panther magic continues, although blowing 35-28 lead in 3rd was a bit scary. Cam simply superb: 5 touchdown passes in 3-of-5 tilts (19 in those 3). Now 18 straight regular season wins. Falcs 1-15 ATS as underdogs of greater than 3 points off 2 road games

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

- It has all fallen apart for the Ravens, who got off to that horrid 0-3 and 1-6 start. At least they've been competitive at home, with first 5 games decided by 4 points or less SU. That is until the last 2 weeks, namely 35-6 and 34-14 losses to smoking Seahawks and Chiefs. First time in their 20-year history, that the Ravens have dropped 5 home games. And it hardly gets any easier, as Pittsburgh not only finished last weeks game with Denver on a 24-0 run, but has topped 29 points in its last 6 games. Ben is now at 337 passing yards per game. No stopping the Steelers now.

Rating: 2 Units

Detroit is 4-18 ATS in games played during December and later and are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 regular season road match ups. Drew Brees has 18 touchdown throws in six home games compared to six touchdown passes in an equal number of road games

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

Seven straight wins for the Cards, who were saved when vet Freeney forced Minny fumble in final 0:05. No question that Arizona plays its best ball on the road (32-19 points per game edge), and not about to go into late swoon after last years disastrous finish (without Palmer, who is now at 4,003 yards and 31 touchdowns with only 9 interceptions). Eagles 6-2 SU when Bradford starts and finishes, but no Philly touchdowns in final 40:38 versus Buffalo. Kelly is 2-10 ATS off 2 wins, and 1-8 ATS versus the NFC West. And Eagles are 0-9 ATS off 2 SU/ATS wins versus non-division.

Rating: 2 Units

Finally. Has Manziel come into his own, with 21-of-13 showing as Browns snapped 7-game losing streak, in 24-10 rout of San Francisco, with 230-71 rushing yard edge? Entered that one with 190-75 point deficit in prior 7 contests. Well, the joy is short-lived, as truly mighty Seahawks are now on another level. Four straight wins and covers (73-13 point edge past 2 weeks and 141-61 past 4), with Wilson a brilliant 16 touchdown with 0 interceptions over that span, accompanied by a 651-176 rushing yard edge. Seahawks 9-1 ATS off double digit non-division cover.

Rating: 2 Units

The Packers handily defeated both the Vikings and Chiefs. Rodgers can exploit Oakland’s defense that ranked 25th in both yards and points allowed through this past Sunday. The Raiders rate among the bottom five teams in pass defense. Oakland is improved under Jack Del Rio, but is at least a year away from serious playoff contention. The Packers have made the playoffs six consecutive years. It’s a long trip to the West Coast for Green Bay, but the focus and professionalism should be there. The Packers know they can’t afford to slip since they play the Cardinals on the road next week before closing the regular season against the Vikings

Rating: 2 Units

Twenty-four years ago, these 2 met in SuperBowl XXVI. A pair of 6-7 squads, with the Bills in dire straits in Wild Card chase (2 back), while the Redskins are tied atop the NFC East. Washington in off its 1st road win of the season (had dropped 7 straight away), and allowed just 14, 14, and 19 points in L3 home games. Bills' held Philadekphia without a touchdown over final 40:38 last week, and Taylor a fine 18 touchdowns with 5 interceptions. Buffalo is 6-0 ATS versus Washington, and 6-1-1 in 2nd of 2 road games

Rating: 2 Units

Truly a spectacular season for the perfect Panthers, who waltzed through their latest rout versus hapless Falcons, 38-0, with another 3 toudhdowns and 0 interceptions from Cam and 5 sacks of Ryan. Thus far, they've outrushed 12-of-13 opponents. So now on an 18-0 regular season SU run, topping 26 points in their last 11 games. Hopeful Giants in Carolina, Minny, Philly windup, but taking on this squad off a Monday Night affair not the best of setups. Ten years ago, Carolina came in here, and destroyed the Giants, 23-0, in the playoffs. Ditto

Rating: 2 Units

Sixteen years ago, these 2 met for the NFL Title. Five-game slide of Rams is now history, taking the iffy Lions behind another 140 Gurley rushing yard (8.8 yards per rush), and 203 rushing yards overall. Quite a difference from failing to top 94 rushing yards the previous 4 games, and being held below 14 points on 7 occasions this year. Despite loss to Saints, note the Bucs with 676-167 rushing yard edge in their last 4 games (Martin: 1,241 yards). Doug Martin ranks second in the league with 1,214 rushing yards and third in the NFC with 1,413 yards from scrimmage. The 26-year-old has recorded six touchdowns in his last 10 games, including five on the ground. Winston is the third rookie quarterback in league history to eclipse the 3,000-yard mark. The visitor is 19-10 ATS in Tampa games, while the Rams are just 1-7 ATS Thursdays.

Rating: 3 Units

Pats on their first 2-game losing streak since '12. Hardly seems possible. Tom just 3 touchdowns with 2 interceptions in loss to Philladelphia (has 31 touchdowns with 6 interceptions for the season), which saw New England allow 35 unanswered points, including TDs on blocked punt, 99-yard Interception return, and 83-yard punt return. But 27-15 first down and 427-248 yard edges over the Eagles, so still dynamite. Texans' 4-game run ended late at Buffalo.  The Patriots are going to get their points because they have the leaders to put them in the right situations. The Texans have just a lone playmaker on offense, DeAndre Hopkins. Their ground attack is pedestrian at best and Hoyer is incapable of trading points with Brady. The Patriots defense received a huge boost with the return of linebacker Jamie Collins, who was leading the team in tackles before missing four games due to illness

Rating: 2 Units

The Rams might be missing star cornerback Janoris Jenkins, who suffered a concussion last Sunday. Before falling to Green Bay, Detroit had reeled off three consecutive victories beating the Packers, Raiders and Eagles. The Rams are 1-7 out of division. St. Louis’ pass rush has tailed off recording only six sacks in its last five games. Robert Quinn has been out. The Lions’ run defense has stiffened holding foes to less than 60 yards on the ground during the last four weeks. That’s key because of the Rams’ heavy reliance on Todd Gurley. Detroit has one of the sharper defensive coordinators in Teryl Austin. The Lions are used to playing indoors, too.

Rating: 2 Units

Eagles snapped 3-game slide last week versus Pats despite 27-15 first down and 427-248 yard deficits. Touchdowns on blocked punt, 99-yard pick-6, and 83-yard punt return. Nice work, if you can get it. But can't ignore a defense which has allowed 39.3 points per game the last 3 weeks, and 27+ points 5-of-last-6 games, as well as Pat/Card sandwich. Bills' Taylor keeping it going (3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions versus Houston, and now 17 touchdowns 4 interceptions for the year), with 40-yard touchdown pass in final 1:53 versus smoking Texans. And check another 112 rushing yards from McCoy. Dog is 9-4-2 ATS in Buffalo games, and I feel the wrong team is favored.

Ratng: 2 Units

Titans in off snapping 11-game home losing streak, in narrow 42-39 win over the Jags, with 2 touchdowns in a 0:44 stretch of the 4th (87-yard Mariotta run and a fumble return). Tennessee not the most consistent of squads, being held below 15 points on 7 occasions, but at 34.4 points per game in their other 5. In revenge/Patriot sandwich here, and Jets a team on the rise, following listless 5-game stretch. Two straight wins, behind Fitzpatrick's 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, along with leagues' 3rd best defense. New York is 7-2 ATS versus Tennessee, and Titans 0-11 ATS off scoring at least 28 points.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

The perfect Panthers stand at 12-0 SU this year, and 16-0 SU in regular season play, behind 2nd best defense in the league, and Newton's leadership (5 touchdowns with 1 interception last week and now 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this year). Missed spread last week via pair of botched PATs and 2-point runback off failed 2-point try (497-334 yard edge) versus Saints. For Falcons, it all continues. Five straight losses (last 1:39 at Tampa), and now at 6-6 SU, after 5-0 start, and a horrid 0-8 ATS run (-58 points).

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 may very well see each other in January. Would you believe that the mighty Cards haven't covered at home since Sept? No questioning their worth, ranking 1st and 4th in total offense and defense, and in off 29-9 first down, 524-212 total yards pasting of Rams. Six straight wins, but just 3-3 ATS. Palmer now at 29 touchdowns with 9 interceptions and 3,693 yards. Minnesota in off worst home loss since '84 (433-125 yard deficit in 38-7 setback to Seahawks). Arizona 10-1 ATS in December versus opponents off a double digit SU loss.

Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Month

Talk about opposite directions! The Saints are in off their 1st no-TD showing in 155 games, with Brees TDless for first time in 46 games. New Orleans on 0-3-1 ATS slide (-61½ points), and 6-12-1 ATS since '14. Panthers, of course, are perfect: 11-0 SU, 9-2 ATS TY, & 11-3 since last year, with their only misses by 3½, 3½, 2½ points. Have topped 26 points in their last 9 games, are +16 turn overs. That defebse is superb, while Cam and mates should feast on Saints horrid stop unit (NFL's worst). And Carolina 11-3 ATS as series visitor

Rating: 2 Units

Finally. Chargers snapped 6-game slide, with upset of 4-7 Jacksonville, as Rivers a perfect 4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions (now with 23 touchdwns and8 inteceptions, with 3,511 passing yards). But San Diego has outrushed just one team since its opener, and certainly won't do much versus Bronco defense, which game up 39 rushing yards in comeback win over previously unbeaten Patriots. No Manning for Denver, but Oswelier 3 touchdowns with 1 interception since taking over, overcoming 21-7 deficit in 4th last week (Anderson: 113 rushing yards). Started with Tebow, but Denver is 14-0 SU on division road, and San Diego 2-12 ATS as division host.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Talk about streaky. Chiefs came from 9-1 ATS run, to 3-9, to current 5-0 (+89 pts). Five straight wins, with 761 rushing yards, and a 14/0 turnover advantage. They have a 62-16 point edge in their 2 division road games so far, with vastly improved Raiders victim #3. The dog is 7-3 ATS in Oakland games, with the only misses by a mere 1½, 4, & 2 points. Carr's touchdown pass in final 1:21 versus Titans snapped 3-game Oakland slide, but note the Raiders losing their last home game by 19 points ATS. Chiefs 9-3 ATS as series guests

Rating: 2 Units

No question, as to which of these 2 has the better squad, as the high-flying Cards have huge edges in all categories, most noteworthy their 1st-rated offense, with the Rams coming in at 31st, behind only the Niners. Five straight Arizona wins, and 4 straight St. Louis losses. Ariens 7-2 ATS off SU win versus a less than .500 opponent.

Ratings: 2 Units

Jets came from 17 and 17 point offensive showings, to 38, in rout of Miami, with 137-12 rushing yard edge. Fitzpatrick with a nice 4 and 0 interception effort, his most touchdown passes since joining this outfit, and he is now 20 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. The Giants nearly overcame a 20-0 4th quarter deficit in their eventual 20-14 loss at Washington, there by enabling Washington to share the NFC East lead with an impressive 5-6 mark. Eli just 2 touchdowns with 3 interceptions, and now 23 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, and note only 33 rushing yards in that loss. Giants are 0-7 ATS as December hosts off a SU/ATS loss.

Rating: 2 Units

Three straight wins for the Texans, sharing the top rung of the AFC South with the Colts. Yates for Hoyer is paying dividends. Two TD tosses vs the Jets, with the defense snagging a late pair of interceptions to preserve latest win. Check allowing only 9.7 points per game in Texans' L3 games, and that includes putting the clamps on the Bengals, who are at 29 points per game. Saint is nearing invisibility, allowing 43.3 points per game in their L3 games, which more than offsets any Brees efforts. New Orleans is 0-6 ATS 2nd of 2 road games. That won't change

Rating: 2 Units

A pair of slumping squads meet here, with the Jets's 4-1 start evolving into today's 5-5 mark (0-4 ATS, by 38 points), and with the Dolphins posting a 112-58 point deficit in their last 4 games. A 22-9 first down deficit in Miami's 24-14 home loss, nd check a eye-popping 181-63 point deficit in Dolphins' last 6 division road games. Fitzpatrick still not up to par for Jets, tossing a pair of late picks in loss to Houston. But that New York defense still ranks among the best (#4), and 1st versus the run. Revenge play for Fish, but 0-6 ATS away in that role

Rating: 2 Units

Perhaps it’s a leap of faith to put the Titans in this preferred category. They have dropped 10 in a row at home. Realize, though, only one of those home defeats occurred under new coach Mike Malarkey’s watch. Both of these teams are improved with extremely promising young quarterbacks. The Raiders, however, have too much against them. Oakland is 1-17 SU, 7-11 ATS the last 18 times playing the Eastern Time Zone. The Raiders are further hindered by an early start time. This marks their second straight road game and third in four weeks. The Titans have extra rest since they last played on Thursday. Oakland is 6-21 ATS as a favorite.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Current Falcon futility continues. Opened at 4-0 (+42 points ATS), but just the reverse since, going 2-4 SU and 0-6 versus the points (-43½ pts). And Ryan, who has been remarkably steady, was responsible for 3 of Atlanta's 4 second half turnovers in blowing a pair of 14-point leads versus the Colts. The Vikings had their confidence shaken a bit with 30-13 loss to the Packers, but are still +44½ points ATS in their last 9 games. Minny is 7-1 ATS off a division game, and a superb 19-4 ATS versus non-division opponents. I'll grab this dog

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

Now that's what I call a statement. Tampa Bay QB Winston tied a rookie record with 5 touchdown passes in 45-17 rout of a decent Philly squad, with Martin contributing 235 rushing yards just for good measure. Indianapolis is going it without Luck, with Hasselbeck leading a 17-0 windup versus the Falcons. So a field goal favorite here. Well, the underdog has covered ALL TEN Colt games this season, and Tampa is 13-0 ATS as a road underdog off reaching 28+ points. Underdog call here!

Rating: 2 Units

The Patriots have owned the Bills defeating them 22 of the last 24 times, including 40-32 in Week 2. That game wasn’t nearly as close as the final score with the Patriots coasting after building a 37-13 lead. Tom Brady threw for 466 yards and three scores against the Bills in the first meeting. Injuries, schminjuries. Edelman gets replaced by Amendola, the Patriots pick off the Bills’ defensive backs, LeGarrette Blount gashes the Buffalo defensive front, and the Patriots – laying only single digits in a place where they hardly ever lose.

Rating: 2 Units

The line would be higher with Blaine Gabbert starting if the 49ers didn’t pull off an upset of the Falcons in their previous game. So laying double-digits doesn’t bother us. Seattle has owned San Francisco the past nine games going 8-0-1 ATS. The 49ers haven’t broken the 20-point barrier once during these games. The Seahawks have held San Francisco to an average of 10.8 points during this span. The 49ers have managed a total of 13 points in their last three meetings with Seattle. Seattle totally dominated San Francisco in Week 7 winning, 20-3, while holding the 49ers to 142 yards of total offense. That was the fewest yards the 49ers gained in nine years. San Francisco has just eight touchdowns on offense in its last seven games.

Rating: 2 Units

Andy Reid hasn’t allowed the Chiefs to quit as they’ve won three in a row beating the Steelers, Lions and Broncos by a combined margin of 97-36. San Diego entered its bye last week down three offensive line starters, key members of their defense and star wide receiver Keenan Allen. The mental hurt is rough, too, as the Chargers have lost five consecutive games. San Diego’s only victories have been against the Lions and Browns – combined record of 4-15 - by a total of eight points.

Rating: 2 Units

Yet another 4 turn overs for Baltimore, in last 0:00 loss to Jacksonville (53-yard field goal off personal foul penalty). Now minus 11 for the season, in that all important category. Note that 7 of the Ravens' last 8 games have been decided by less than 6 points SU. Rams came from an 870-464 rushing yard edge in previous 5 games, to 153-94 yard deficit in 31-point ATS loss to Chicago. Streaky, so Baltimore call.

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

Fox takes on team he led to 4 straight AFC West titles. Absolutely sad watching a gimpy Peyton trying to recapture golden years. In off the worst performance of his career, managing just 5-of-20 passes for 35 yards, with 4 picks and 2 sacks. Now a horrid 9 touchdowns with 17 interceptions for the season. So 2 straight losses for the Broncos, on the heels of that brilliant throttling of the Packers. The Bears are suddenly a force, with Cutler tossing for 603 yards with 5 touchdowns and only 1 interception in upsets of Chargers and Rams (+38 points ATS). And note Jay tossing an 87-yard toucdown pass versus St. Louis, the longest Bear touchdown pass since 1960. Yet another upset for the taking.

Rating: 2 Units

Second straight road game in Florida for the Cowboys, and 2nd consecutive NFC East game for the Dolphins. Romo has been given the green light, and that can only be a huge plus for this struggling squad which has dropped 7 straight, their most since '89. However, 5 of those 7 losses have come by a touchdown or less, so won't need complete overhaul to compete, and note Cassel 44-of-68 the past 2 weeks. Dolphin defense stepped to the fore in 20-19 win over Philly, despite a 33-19 first down deficit, along with a 436-289 yard shortage Dallas hasn't reached 30 poits in its last 10 games, but that'll change

Rating: 2 Units

The outcome of this one could go a long way in determining the true power in the NFC West and you know that the Cards have been waiting for this all year. No question that that Seahawk defense is fast approaching its stellar heights, allowing only 15 points, 22 first downs, and 362 yards combined in its L2 games. But Wilson is just 9 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, with 31 sacks. Not the case with Palmer, who is at 20 touchdoens and 6 interceptions for the season, with 11 sacks. The Cardinals rank 10th, 4th, 2nd and 3rd in run, pass, scoring and total offense, as well as 5th, 5th, 6th, and 4th, in run, pass, scoring and total defense.  Arizona is 6-2, including 3-1 on the road. The Cardinals have covered in 12 of their last 17 road matchups

Rating: 2 Units

Well, this one is just a matter of mathematics, as the Ravens have won just 2 games, both by 3 points (in OT and on the final play), and they are favored here by about 5. Just 2 Baltimore covers so far, by ½ and 1 point, while the underdog is a profitable 13-2-1 when the Ravens take the field. Thirteen straight road losses for the Jags, who covered at the Jets in the final 2:16, despite a 4-0 turn over deficit. But note holding New York to just 14 first downs and 29 rushing yeards, and Bortles a highly respectable 17 touchdowns with 10 interceptions for the season. No, the Jaguars are not about to snap their road miseries, but have been very competitive recently.

Rating: 2 Units

Quite a change for the Dolphins in their 4 games under Campbell. In their first 2, they held an 82-36 point edge, with a 428-134 rushing yard advantage. But in their 2 games since that fabulous start, they are on the wrong of a 69-24 point margin, with a 361-121 rushing yard deficit. Contrast that with the Eagles' 172.5 rushing yards per game in their last 4 games. The underdog has come from a 9-0 ATS run in Philly games, to 0-4, and with this being its first home game since Oct 19, I can't see any change in that recent trend. Miami -34½ points ATS in its L2 road games.

Rating: 2 Units

The return of Marcus Mariota and new coach Mike Mularkey breathed life into the moribund Titans as they upset the Saints on the road. Ending Carolina’s 12-game regular season winning streak is a whole different matter. The Panthers are a perfect example of the sum being greater than their parts. Cam Newton has taken the offense on his back on pace to throw for 3,640 yards, rush for 686 yards and produce 38 total touchdowns. He should be in the talk for MVP. Even with their victory against New Orleans, the Titans are 2-16 SU in their last 18 games. They were averaging nine points during their past four games before knocking off the Saints.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Redskins in middle of Patriot, Saint, Panther, Giant run, so it doesn't get any easier for 3-5 outfit, which ranks 25th on offense. That 210-yard deficit at New England was fully expected in light of the unrelenting machine that the Pats represent. But note a 748-172 Redskin rushing yard deficit over their last 4 games. Ripe for the plucking. Saints in off OT loss, despite another 387 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 interceptions from Drew who now has 898 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions the past 2 weeks. They have amassed 66 first downs in those 2 games.  Blowouts have become a near norm for the Redskins. They’ve lost 10 games by 17 or more points during the last two and one-half seasons. Historically November is a brutal month for Washington. The Redskins have dropped 20 of their last 27 games during the month, including going 0-4 last November.

Rating: 2 Units

No love lost between Jay Cutler and Phillip Rivers, back when Cutler was at Denver. Fox faces his former offensive coordinator at Denver, in McCoy, so plenty of sidebars for this meeting. The Chargers are an underachieving lot, as they rank 1st in the NFL on offense, but have dropped 4 straight on the field, as well as 5-of-7 ATS, with their 2 covers by just 3½ and ½ pt. As a matter of fact, their only other cover came by 2½ points. Chicago's last 4 games have been decided by 2, 1, 3, 3 points SU, and the Chargers have a 107-72 first down deficit in their last 4 games (-32½ ATS).