NFL Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
11-24-14 |
Baltimore Ravens v. New Orleans Saints -2.5 |
|
34-27 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units - Ravens return to the site of their Super Bowl win over the Niners, which marks the 2nd time in 15 days that both teams from SuperBowl XLVII have played here. Eleven straight home wins for the Saints, before the past 2 weeks, so now 11-of-13, with lossess to the Niners & Bengals. Baltimore lost its last road game by 21½ points ATS, and the home team is 19-7-1 ATS in Raven games. Saints did a job over the Packers, under the lights (44-23), so the 2 game losing streak ends tonight.
|
11-23-14 |
Dallas Cowboys -3 v. NY Giants |
|
31-28 |
Push |
0 |
28 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units THe Giants are 4-19 ATS in a home underdog role. The Cowboys come in rested following a bye, ready to roll out DeMarco Murray, who rushed for 128 yards in the Cowboys' 31-21 victory against the Giants in Week 7. Just two weeks ago, Seattle gashed the Giants for 350 rushing yards so Murray should be in line to pad his already considerable rushing-leading yardage.
|
11-23-14 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 v. Chicago Bears |
|
13-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Just 2 wins in their last 7 games for the Bears. However, in last week's win over Minnesota, they were impressive, by nearly doubling the Vikings yardage, 468-243. Before that one, they had a 17-29 points per game deficit at home and allowing 50+ points in previous 2 games, which hadn't happened since the Rochester Jeffersons in 1923. Bucs in off rare win, but the visitor is 9-1 ATS in Tampa games while the Bears are 1-12 ATS 2nd of 2 home games.
|
11-23-14 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans |
|
22-13 |
Loss |
-125 |
20 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Just when it appeared as if the Bengals were sinking, after home loss to Cleveland, with 3 picks from Dalton, they were resurrected. He had 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in 27-10 upset of the Saints, in the Superdome. They also had 152 rushing yards from Hill versus New Orleans. But the Texans flexed their muscles in rout of the Browns, holding Cleveland scoreless over the final 38:58. The favorite is now 7-2 ATS in Houston games, and the Texans are holding at 145 rushing yards per game. With 3 division games on deck, this is a must win for the Texans
|
11-23-14 |
Cleveland Browns +3 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
26-24 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This game is the Falcons' first true home game since Oct 12th (27-13 loss to the Bears). Atlanta, comes in 4-6, and the 31st-ranked defense but is tied for the NFC South with the sliding Saints, via a pair of wins over Tampa & Carolina. Browns' 3-game run was snapped in 213-76 rushing yard deficit loss to Houston, with Hoyer just 20-of-50. Still just ½ back of Cincinnati. If Hoyer is taken out, note Manziel's last college game was played here versus Duke, a 52-48 win, when he passed & ran for 455 yards and 5 touchdowns. Falcons are 2-10 ATS off 2 straight wins.
|
11-23-14 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts -13.5 |
Top |
3-23 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week This is one that the Colts just do not let get away, with 37-3, 30-10, & 44-17 wins, in their last 3 games with the Jaguars. You know they are extra focused following last week's annihilating loss to the Pats, in this building. A 244-19 rushing yard deficit in that one, as well. Despite last week, Indy is on a 30-17-2 ATS run, and has topped 32 points in 5 of its last 8 games. The Jags, of course, will be bent on revenge for earlier 44-17 pasting,but have topped 17 points in just 2 of their last 12 games. To cap it off, Pagano is 12-1 ATS off a loss.
|
11-16-14 |
New England Patriots +3 v. Indianapolis Colts |
|
42-20 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Patriots have been underdogs three times this season and have won all three in convincing fashion defeating the Bengals by 26 points, Bills by 15 and Broncos by 22. Under Bill Belichick, the Patriots have covered 66 percent of the time as underdogs going 42-21 ATS. The Patriots also are 5-2 ATS when playing on the road following a bye under Belichick.
|
11-16-14 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers -5 |
|
20-53 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Rogers had 6 touchdown passes in 55-14 blowoutwin over the Bears, all in the first half, tying an NFL record for most TD throws in a half. Rogers now has 25 touchdowns with 3 interceptions for the season. Foles is out and has been replaced by Mark Sanchez, who was a solid 15-of-22 with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions versus the Texans (190 rushing yards from McCoy). Eagles have averaged 30.3 points per game in their last 17 games, but are allowing 26.5 points per game in 6-of their last 7. Packers are 15-2 ATS as November home favortes versus a non-division opponent.
|
11-16-14 |
Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals |
|
6-14 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals comme into this one having their best start since they were the Chicago Cards in 1948. They are not only 8-1 to begin the season, but are 14-3, including the end of last season. They are also a money making 14-3-1 ATS, while averaging 26.6 points per game. Palmer's season is over, but Arizona answered with 3 touchdowns in less than a 4-minute span, for a 31-14 win over the Rams. The Lions welcomed Calvin Johnson back (7 catches for 113 yards in latest last 0:29 win: yet another Stafford winning throw). The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS at home versus the Lions. Make it 8-0!
|
11-16-14 |
Oakland Raiders +11.5 v. San Diego Chargers |
|
6-13 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Attrition is taking its toll on the Chargers, whose brilliant 5-1 SU & ATS start now stands at 5-4 SU & ATS. Minus 52½ points ATS in those 4, allowing 30.75 points per game. The Raiders have 15 straight losses, and seem to get worse by the week, scoring more than 14 points just twice so far. However, Oakland has 4 covers, including 7 and 8½ point payoffs versus the Pats & Seahawks. They have the worst run and total offense numbers, but they are 8-3 ATS versus San Diego, 7-1 ATS as a division road dog, and 14-2 ATS as a November road dog off 2 straight losses.
|
11-16-14 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. New Orleans Saints -7 |
Top |
27-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
52 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Saints haven't lost two in a row at home since 2009 after losing in overtime to the 49ers in the Superdome this past Sunday, snapping a 10-game home win streak. New Orleans is 19-2-1 ATS under Sean Payton at home. The Bengals haven't been the same since coming out of their bye in Week 5. They are 2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS since then. Three of those four losses have been by three touchdowns or more.Drew Brees has a 37-to-8 touchdown-to interception ratio at home since the start of last year. Mark Ingram has rushed for 392 yards in the last four games while tight end Jimmy Graham has hauled in 22 passes and scored four touchdowns in the last three games since recovering from a shoulder injury. The Saints have covered 80 percent as home favorites during the past 31 instances.
|
11-13-14 |
Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins -5.5 |
|
9-22 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 17 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Bills have to be the worst red-zone team in the NFL, constantly failing deep in opponent territory. They led Kansas City 13-3 in 4th, before losing 17-13, despite a 364-278 yard edge. The Bills have scored more than 17 points in only 2 of their last 7 games and now 2 in back of the Pats. The Dolphins came from a nice 10/1 turnover edge in their previous 3 games where they went 3-0 SU and ATS to a 1/2 turnover deficit in a 4 point loss to the Lions in the final 0:27. In this one they are back home where they covered their last home game by 35 points, in 37-0 drugging of the Chargers. In addition, Miami ranks 3rd best in the NFL on defense, while the Bills rank 24th on offense. Edge to the Dolphins
|
11-09-14 |
Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers -7 |
|
14-55 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Rogers had just 1 interception in his first 7 games, but suffered 2, along with 3 sacks in the 44-23 loss to the Saints, which snapped a 4-game Packer winning streak. Green Bay is still +38 points ATS in their last 58 games, and has a 37-17 points per game edge in Lambeau. Both teams are in off bye week, and Bears have a 78-37 point deficit in their last 2 games, losing 51-23 at New England. Chicago is 1-7 ATS in this series, and 1-6 ATS in division play. Packers are 8-0 off a bye.
|
11-09-14 |
St. Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals -6.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week Arizona comes in to this one with another 4-game run, both SU & ATS. The cards are currently on runs of 14-3 SU (2 of those 3 loses by a mere 4 & 3 pints) & 13-3-1 ATS. They're averaging 25.9 points per game in their last 17 games, with Palmer a solid 11 touchdown passes with only 2 interceptions on the season. This is the third straight road game for the Rams, who are 4-4 ATS, but who have allowed 34, 34, 34, 31, & 34 points in their 5 losses, and have yet to put back-to-back covers. Arizona is 7-1 ATS in division play, versus a team below .500 off a SU win. Arizona's 3rd-ranked defense should handle the Rams easily.
|
11-09-14 |
Denver Broncos -10.5 v. Oakland Raiders |
|
41-17 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Despite the blowout loss last week versus New England, the fact is that the Broncos are still averaging 33.1 points per game in their last 38 games, and are on a 25-14 ATS run. Manning set yet another NFL record last week, with at least 2 touchdown passes in 14 consecutive games. Last week Manning had2 touchdowns and 2 picks but has 24 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions for the year. Fourteen straight losses for Oakland, although they do have a 4-4 ATS mark, covering both double diget undog roles (by 7 & 8½ points). But Denver is a 7-1 ATS play on the road versusa team under .250 and are 7-0 ATS in the 2nd of 2 road games.
|
11-09-14 |
Tennessee Titans v. Baltimore Ravens -9.5 |
|
7-21 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Titans come into this one at -66½ points ATS in their last 9 games, &and that includes a 212-36 yard deficit in their last game where they loss 30-16 at home to the Texans. The Tennessee offense has topped 17 points just once in its last 7 games. The Ravens, are coming off losing a pair of division road games, both as 1½ point favorites. That puts the home team at 18-7-1 ATS in Baltimore games. The Ravens have a 27-12 ponts per game edge as the home team so far. The Titans covered their last road game by 4 points, but they won't repeat that here.
|
11-09-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 v. NY Jets |
|
13-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units New York comes into this one on an 8-game losing streak. A minus 15-TO standing for the year. Vick last week was a decent 21-of-28 with 1 touchdown and no interceptions. Rothlisberger comes in with an NFL-record 12 touchdown passes in his past 2 games with 862 passing yards and Pittsburgh has scored 41.3 points per game in their last 3 games.
|
11-09-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. New Orleans Saints -5 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Niners continue to struggle. THey were +117 points ATS through 17 games, but have gone -15, -12, 0, -1, +11, -18½, & -13 points ATS since. In off Kaepernick fumble at the Ram goal in the final 0:02, so are on a 2-4 SU run, as well as a 1-5-1 ATS. Colin was sacked 8 times in loss to St Louis, and the Niners have run for just 89, 62, & 80 yards in their last 3 games. Brees has hit 51-of-66 the past 2 weeks, including that 44-23 home rout of the Packers.
|
11-02-14 |
Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots +3.5 |
|
21-43 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 3 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Word was that Brady was getting a bit long in the tooth but he has just about put that notion to rest as he is coming off perhaps one of his best games going 30-of-35 for 354 yards with 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He now has 12 touchdown with 0 interceptions in his past 3 games and has 18 touchdowns with 2 interceptions for the season. Last week his offense had 32 first downs and 487 yards while scoring 51 points versus the Bears. No reason this doesn't go to final whistle.
|
11-02-14 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Cleveland Browns -7 |
|
17-22 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 14 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Clevenad has covered their last 3 home games by 19½, 23½, and 3 points. The Bucs are in off a 332-225 yard deficit hosting Minnesota. They rank 32nd and last on defense. Brown QB Hoyer came from 16-of-41 effort to 19-of-28, and he has 8 touchdowns with 2 interceptions for the year. Tampa Bay has been outgained in every game and have a minus-90 point differential. Cleveland is a gritty club. Mike Pettine seems to know how to get the best out of his team.
|
11-02-14 |
Arizona Cardinals +3 v. Dallas Cowboys |
|
28-17 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Cowboys' defense has been playing well above their talent level. The Cardinals have the offense to expose that. The Cowboys are 7-20 as a home favorite. Dallas has a short preparation week. The Cardinals are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. They've also beaten Dallas during their past three meetings.
|
11-02-14 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cincinnati Bengals -10 |
|
23-33 |
Push |
0 |
23 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Dalton has just 6 touchdowns with 4 interceptions for the season, but finally he is going to have a chance to play a bit looser, and put it to a team such as Jacksonville. Cincinnati clings to a ½ game edge over the Ravens and Steelers. Jacksonville had another 2 Bortles interceptions in their loss to Miami. He now had 6 touchdowns with a whopping 12 interceptions for the year, and Jacksonville ranks 27th or worse in 7-of-8 major stat columns. Jaguar HC Bradley is 3-13 ATS vs non-division opposition and Cincinnati is 12-0-1 SU, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
|
11-02-14 |
San Diego Chargers +2 v. Miami Dolphins |
Top |
0-37 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Chargers come into this one off 2 straight losses, after a 5-game SU run (4-1 ATS). However, they are +52½ points ATS in their last 7 games, with Rivers throwing for 20 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions for the season. The Dolphins come in on a 2-game run, for the first time all year. But those two wins have come versus the fast falling Bears and horrible Jacksonville. The Chargers are 7-1 ATS on the road, off a DD SU loss.
|
10-26-14 |
Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers |
|
34-51 |
Loss |
-130 |
19 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Indy has been simply spectacular winning their last 6 in a row. Last week they had their first shutout win in 11 years. They now have 8 takeaways and 16 sacks in their last 4 games, while holding Cincinnati to 135 yards and only 8 first downs. There is more to this team than Luck and that potent offense. They've had 31, 26, 27, & 27 first downs the past 4 weeks, and Andrew now has 19 touchdowns with 7 interceptions and 2,331 yards. The Steelers defense has gone soft, not nearly the dominant unit it once was. Troy Polamalu is past his prime and Ike Taylor, the Steelers' top cornerback, is out
|
10-26-14 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Arizona Cardinals |
|
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals really are 5-1 and leading the toughest division in football despite multiple injuries on defense, although Calais Campbell could return from his knee injury. If you go back into last season you'll find the Cardinals 12-3 in their last 15 games. The Eagles were idle last week but don't expect to have Darren Sproles back yet. Nick Foles has been much worse on the road this season completing just 52.5 percent of his throws with a 1-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Philadelphia has been outgained on the season
|
10-26-14 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals +3 |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Last week the Bengals got embarassed 27-0 at Indinapolis, and were on the short end of 27-8 first down, 171-32 rushing yard and 335-103 passing yard differentials. So, from 29 firstdowns to 8, and from 513 yards to 135. Dalton sacked 3 times, after only suffering 2 in Cincinnati's first 6 games. That one moved host edge in Bengal games to 19-5-1 ATS. Cincinnati is also 7-1 ATS as division host off scoring less than 10 points versus an opponent who is off a SU/ATS win
|
10-26-14 |
St. Louis Rams v. Kansas City Chiefs -7 |
|
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Things did not look good for the Chiefs early in the season as they started 0-2 with a 50-27 point deficit. But things have changed as they are on a 5-0 SU/ATS run (+68 points versus the number). In their last game they snapped the Chargers' 5-game winning streak. QB Smith now has 9 touchdowns with 4 intereptions and RB Charles is coming off a solid 95 rushing yard effort. The Rams come into this one off beating Seattle, 28-26. The Rams however are in a Seahawk/Niner sandwich.
|
10-26-14 |
Seattle Seahawks -5 v. Carolina Panthers |
Top |
13-9 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Carolina averaged 34 points per game 2 games prior to last week's 38-17 blowout at GreenBay (38-3 in 4th). But still a game up on New Orleans. Shock has set in for Seattle, with losing 2 straight, although they nearly came all the way back from a 21-3 deficit versus the Rams. In that game Wilson became the 1st QB in NFL history with a 300-yard passing and 100-yard rushing game. Seattle HC Carroll is 7-1 ATS off 2 straight losses, and the Seahawks are 9-0 ATS as favorites off a pair of SU losses.
|
10-26-14 |
Detroit Lions -3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
22-21 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta was 4-12 last year and are not better this season. The Falcons are 1-11 SU, 3-9 ATS in their past 12 matchups outside of Georgia Dome. Atlanta has lost it's last five away games by double digits. The Falcons are averaging 16.2 points in four road defeats this season. Favorites have covered six of the past seven times in London. The Lions have held five of their seven opponents to 17 points or less. Detroit ranks No. 2 in fewest points, total yards and rushing yards.
|
10-19-14 |
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 v. Denver Broncos |
|
17-42 |
Loss |
-130 |
24 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco is a good team to grab points with when not facing division rival Seattle. San Francisco has covered 11 of its last 13 road games and are 4-0 ATS as a regular season road underdog not counting its last two games at Seattle. Denver has lost and failed to cover in eight of its last 10 games versus NFC West teams and could be without injured linebacker Danny Trevathon.
|
10-19-14 |
NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys -6.5 |
|
21-31 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Cowboys are on a current 5-0 run (4-1 ATS), with Tony Romo throwing 11 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions in this streak. Last week Murray had 115 rushing yards (785 for the year), becoming the first rusher since Jim Brown to reach 100 rushing yards in the first 6 games of the season. Last week the Cowboys had a 23-9 first down and 401-206 yard edges at Seattle. The Giants, on the other hand, are in off 27-0 blowout loss at Philly, while Eli was sacked 6 times, and WR Cruz was lost for the year.
|
10-19-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs +4 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NLF Play of the Week Five straight wins for Chargers, with a 147-73 point edge. They trailed Oakland, 28-21, in 4th, before 31-28 win. Rivers had 3 touchdowns with 0 interceptions and now has 15 touchdown with only 2 interceptions for the year. He has 5 straight games with a 120 passing rating. Kansas City has a nice 92-51 point edge of its own in their last 3 contests and took San Diego into overtmie here last year.
|
10-19-14 |
Carolina Panthers +7 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
17-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Three straight wins for Green Bay, with Rodgers throwing for the winning touchdown in final 0:03 at Miami. Rogers comes in a stellar 15 touchdown with only 1 interceptions for the year. The Panthers come in off a 37-37 OT tie at Cincinnati and are a game up on the Saints, with Seattle, N'awlins, Philly on deck. The Panthers are 11-3 ATS off allowing 35+ points while the Packers have just one home cover since Oct 20th, of last year, and they rank last in the NFL in rushing defense.
|
10-19-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5 |
|
7-29 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Ravens have followed up their 2 losses this year, with 20 and 31 point SU wins (17½, 27½ point covers). Last week they scored in 6 straight possessions to start their 48-17 rout of the Bucs. Flacco threw for 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in that game and he now has 12 interceptions with only 3 interceptions for the year. Baltimore comes home now and have covered its last 2 home games by 17½ and 24½ points. The Falcons went from 93 points in their first 2 home games to 13 in loss to Chicago. They have a 98-61 point deficit in their last 3 games (-39 pts ATS).
|
10-19-14 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Indianapolis Colts -3 |
|
0-27 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Bengals missed a winning 37-yard field goal in overtime, but it wouldn't have effected the spread situation. QB Andy Dalton threw 2 touchdowns along with 2 interceptinos last week and now has just 6 touchdowns with 3 interceptions for the season. The Colts nearly let an early 24-0 lead over Texans get away, before the 33-28 final. Luck has 4 straight 300 passing yard games and has 17 touchdowns with 7 interceptions for the season. Indy is 10-2 ATS at home versus .650+ opponents and the Colts have a 138-75 point edge in their last 4 games. The home team is 18-5 ATS in Cincinnati games
|
10-16-14 |
NY Jets v. New England Patriots -9.5 |
|
25-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units After a tough start the Pats regained their normal spot atop AFC East, with 80-39 point edge over Bengals and Bills (covering by 39½ points). Brady looks to be back to form as he had 4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions versus Buffalo, and has 10 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions for the season. The Jets stayed with Denver last week, missing cover on pick-6 in final 0:15, despite a 138-31 rushing yard deficit. New York is at -58½ point ATS in their last 4 games. NE is 9-1 ATS off 2 SU and ATS wins versus and opponent who is off 2+ SU/ATS losses, and the Jets are 1-7 ATS in division play off 2+ SU/ATS losses. To cap it off the home team is 8-1 ATS in New England games
|
10-13-14 |
San Francisco 49ers -3 v. St. Louis Rams |
|
31-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Like Washington this past Monday, the Rams are a home dog I don't like. Young team that is mistake-prone has a bad quarterback situation along with an under-achieving defense with their best player Chris Long out. Arizona's win yesterday put them on top of the AFC West at 4-1. San Francisco comes into this one at 3-2 and already have a divisional loss to the Cardinals. The 49ers need this win or the rest of the season will be a struggle to make the playoffs. A year ago, the Rams were destroyed, 35-11, on this field by San Francisco
|
10-12-14 |
NY Giants +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
|
0-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
24 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Eagle offense comes into this one #3 in scoring but they just don't seem to be able to finish their games. Last week the Eagles led the Rams, 34-7, with just 0:05 left in the 3rd, only to hang on by a 34-28 score. the Eagles have posted no less than 5 touchdowns by special teams or its defense in their last 2 games. Giants are smoking hot going 3-0 SU/ATS as QB Eli has 8 touchdowns with only 1 interception. Philadelphis is 4-18 ATS versus winning division opponents off 2+ SU/ATS wins.
|
10-12-14 |
Washington Redskins v. Arizona Cardinals -3 |
|
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Arizona is on a 10-2-1 ATS run, as well as 10-3 SU, is at 25.8 points per game in their last 13 games and covered their last home game by 12 points. Redskins come in off a Monday Night game, as well as an Eagle, Giant, Seahawk sandwich. The Redskins have also allowed 82 points in their last 2 games (before Seattle). The Cards are 7-1 ATS as favoites of less than 14 points off a double digit spread loss, while HC Arians is 7-0 ATS off a non-division game.
|
10-12-14 |
Denver Broncos -9 v. NY Jets |
|
31-17 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Manning now has 12 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions for the season, and is in off a 4 touchdownd, 479 yard performance, in a 41-20 route of Arizona. Peyton at 508 touchdown passes now for his career. Receiver Demaryius Thomas, with a franchise-best 226 receiving yards. The Jets are on and 0-4 slide (31-0 at San Diego), and going with Vick
|
10-12-14 |
Detroit Lions v. Minnesota Vikings -1 |
|
17-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
16 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units QB Bridgewater is expected to start in this game and that is huge as far as the Vikes are concerned, as Ponder was a horrible 0 touchdowns with 2 interceptions in loss to GreenBay (42-0 after 3). The Lions have both Reggie & Calvin hurting as they had just 13 first downs at home versus Buffalo last week and a 14-0 lead ended up in a 17-14 loss, with no Detroit ppints over the final 43:44. The Lions are 0-9 ATS on the road, off an AFC opponent, while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS at home off giving up at least 35 points.
|
10-12-14 |
Carolina Panthers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 |
Top |
37-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day sThe home team is owns the win when Cincinnati takes the field, standing at 18-4-1 ATS. This is a Patriot/Colt sandwich for the Bengals, but Cincinnati is not about to be caught. The Panthers lost their last road game by 24½ points, and have a 75-29 point deficit versus the AFC North this year.
|
10-05-14 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints -10 |
|
31-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The continued success of the home team in Saint contests is an unbelievable 18-1-1 ATS in their last 20 games. Drew Brees has only 7 touchdowns this year but should get the kinks out versus Bucs who've been outscored 119-72, and are 1-6 SU & ATS their last 7 games.
|
10-05-14 |
Houston Texans v. Dallas Cowboys -6 |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-125 |
17 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Romo has 7 touchdowns with only 1 interception since the Cowboy's first game of the season with are now on a 3-0 SU and ATS run (+19½, +2, +24 points. RB Murray now has 524 yards rushing and leads the league by a wide margin. Texans impressive in early going versus then Washington and always floundering Raiders, but have a 47-40 deficit since, with just 1 offensive touchdown in win at Buffalo. Dallas is 12-2 ATS as October favorites off 2 SU/ATS wins.
|
10-05-14 |
Cleveland Browns +1.5 v. Tennessee Titans |
|
29-28 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Tennessee opened the season with a 19 point cover, only to follow that with 19½, 19, & 16½ point ATS losses, while compiling a 100-34 point deficit.They are now on a 1-8 ATS slide. The Browns go to the final gun with regularity, losing both games as the clock expired, with their only win coming in the final 0:03. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS versus less than 500 opponents who are off a pair of road games.
|
10-05-14 |
Buffalo Bills v. Detroit Lions -6.5 |
|
17-14 |
Loss |
-106 |
16 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Manuel only 21-of-44 versus Houston, with an interception return killing the Bills. They have only 4 touchdowns over their last 3 games. The Loins have won and covered their last 3 home games by 15, 14½, 9½ points. Calvin is limping, but Stafford still a nice 297 passing yard with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions versus the Jets. Bills are 0-5 ATS as NFC dogs of less than 7 points versus and opponent off a win
|
10-05-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -6 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
17-9 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day Jacksonville has lost all 4 games by at least 17 points, and now have a 152-58 point deficit, as well as -58 points ATS. Pittsburgh let one get away last week, after leading Tampa, 27-24 in the 4th, losing in the final 0:07, on a 15-yard pass. The Steelers did cover their last road game by 21 points. Pittsburgh took Carolina, 37-19, in last road trip.
|
09-29-14 |
New England Patriots v. Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 |
|
14-41 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The home team is a solid 13-4 ATS in Patriot games. In their first game of the year Kansas City had only 15 first downs and 54 rushing yards, however since then they have 51 first downs and 307 rushing yards the past 2 weeks. They covered in Denver and had a 23-point pasting of Miami. The Patriots come into this one still struggling on offense. Last week they had to rely on a late Wilfork interception to avoid a possible SU home loss to Oakland. So far this season Brady only has 3 touchdowns with 211 passing yards per game. In this one you have a Monday road chalk versus a hot opponent.
|
09-28-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys +3 |
|
17-38 |
Win
|
105 |
29 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The home team is an amazing 17-1-1 ATS in New Orleans contests. The Saints won by a mere ½ point ATS with dismal 20 points versus Minnesota. They has just 3 touchdowns. QB Brees a respectable 27-of-35 last week with 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions but scored only 20 points. New Oreans has just a 78-72 pint edge for the season. Dallas is currently a 3 point underdog. That makes Dallas the play here as the underdog is on a 41-16 ATS run in Cowboy games. The Cowboys overcame a 21-0 deficit at St Louis last week, winning 34-31. RB Murray now has 385 rushing yards on the year.
|
09-28-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Minnesota Vikings +3 |
|
28-41 |
Win
|
110 |
25 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Last week, at home Atlanta posted an amazing 56-0 lead after 3 quarters, versus Tampa, which ranks as the 2nd largest NFL shutout edge entering the final period. Atlanta had 27 points, 26 first downs and 568 yards in their 1st home game and 56 points, 26 first downs and 488 yards in their second home game. However, this week the Falcons take to the road and Minnesota is 9-0 ATS an underdog of less than 6½ points versus an opponent off a win
|
09-28-14 |
Detroit Lions v. NY Jets +2 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The early season tendencies of the Lions are apparent, covering by 15 points in 35-14 home rout of the Giants, then losing by 14½ points taking to the road versus the Panthers followed by a 9½ point cover while hosting the hated Packers. Detroit has lost and failed to cover in nine of its past 12 road match ups, including losing 24-7 at Carolina after an impressive opening week home victory against the Giants. Only three times since 2012 have the Lions won two in a row.
|
09-28-14 |
Buffalo Bills v. Houston Texans -3 |
|
17-23 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The home team is a stellar 15-6 ATS in Buffalo contests. However, Buffalo has had a single offensive touchdowns in each of their last 2 games of which both were at home. Buffalo comes into this one 0-7 ATS off 2 home games. E.J. Manuel, who is 1-4 in career road starts, been sacked 24 times and committed seven turnovers in these road outings. Opponents already have 26 more first downs than Buffalo.
|
09-28-14 |
Green Bay Packers -1 v. Chicago Bears |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Week The Packers are catching the Bears off their Monday Night game is a plus, as is the fact that Chicago stands a horrible 2-10 ATS versus a divisional opponent the past 2 year. The Packers won 33-28 here last year, to win their division, while the Bears are 1-6 ATS in the series including 0-4 at home. HC Trestman is 1-7 ATS at home.
|
09-22-14 |
Chicago Bears v. NY Jets -1 |
|
27-19 |
Loss |
-120 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Jets came awfully close to the Pack last week, as they hit on an 80-yard Rodgers-to-Nelson touchdown pass in the final 2:08. However, New York has a 358-105 rushing edge for the season and QB Geno was a productive 23-of-28 in his only home game this season. The Bears are coming off a big win that saw them turn a 20-7 deficit in the 4th quarter into a 28-20 win. AB Cutler had 4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions including 2 touchdowns in a 1:21 span of the 4th. However, Chicago comes into this one with 5 key defenders hurting. In addition, Jets HC Ryan is 6-0 ATS at home off a SU loss, versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win and 8-1 ATS as a favorite versus opponents who are off an upset win
|
09-21-14 |
Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 |
Top |
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week The last times these two teams met, the potent Broncos lost 43-8 in the Super Bowl. But, so far this season the Broncos nave no covers even though they are 2 SU. Manning is having a decent year with 6 touchdowns and no interceptions, but has only 269 and 242 passing yards in the first two games. The Broncos are 30-5 SU their L35 games and 21-12 ATS. However, Seattle is off an embarrassing showing last week where they ran just 38 plays and had only 14 first downs. The Seahawks come into this one on a perfect 9-0 ATS run versus .600+ opponents,are 9-1 ATS versus non-division opponents looking for revenge, are 7-1 as a home favorite versus the AFC, and are on a 38-13 ATS run. To top off all of this Peyton Manning is just 5-24 SU and 11-18 ATS in his NFL career as a dog of 4 or more points, including 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS when facing a sub .666 opponent. Just too much for the Broncos to handle
|
09-21-14 |
San Francisco 49ers -3 v. Arizona Cardinals |
|
14-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units There are two coaches we want off a loss. The first is Bill Belichick. The second is Jim Harbaugh. San Francisco is 10-3-1 ATS in its next game following a defeat under Harbaugh. The 49ers also have covered in nine of their last 11 road games and have beaten Arizona in nine of the past 10 meetings going 8-2 ATS
|
09-21-14 |
Indianapolis Colts -7 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
|
44-17 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Jacksonville comes into this one with a 75-10 point deficit in its last 6 quarters, since that 17-0 halftime lead it had in the first game of the season versus the Eagles. They had a 449-148 yard and 39:01-20:59 time deficits at Washington along with a 32-8 first down embarrassment. On the season they have a 336-89 rushing yard deficit. Indy HC Pagano is 9-2 ATS in division play and 12-4 ATS versus losing teams
|
09-21-14 |
Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints -10 |
|
9-20 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Vikings went from a 186-72 rushing yeard edge, to a 150-54 rushing yard deficit with no Peterson. Started with a 31½ point cover in their first game but had a 15 point ATS miss last week. In addition Cassel had 4 picks and was sacked 6 times in loss to the Pats. The Saints have lost in OT and in the last 0:03 thus far, but their defense went from allowing 568 yards, to 324. Plus the New Orleans offense has 56 first downs in their first 2 games. The home team is now on a 16-1-1 ATS run in Saint games and they've scored 30 points in 6-of their last-7 home games.
|
09-21-14 |
Baltimore Ravens -1 v. Cleveland Browns |
|
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This is an AFC North Division clash, but that doesn't erase the fact Baltimore is at least one tier above Cleveland. The Ravens have beaten the Browns in 11 of the past 12 meetings, going 8-4 ATS.
|
09-15-14 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Indianapolis Colts -3 |
|
30-27 |
Loss |
-106 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Luck had a big game versus Denver last week passing for 370 yards on 35-of-53 with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Indy covered last week and is now on a 24-14-2 ATS run, and is 6-1 ATS at home their last seven. The Eagles needed a half to get rolling and turn a 17-0 deficit at half time, into a 34-17 win over Jacksonville. Eagles QB Foles had 322 passing yards. However the Eagles are 0-5 ATS versus the Colts while Indy is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a Monday Night favorite of more than 2 points.
|
09-14-14 |
NY Jets v. Green Bay Packers -8 |
|
24-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
49 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Pack is caught in a Seattle/Detroit sandwich here but that won't matter. Green Bay is going to be out to prove that they are a quality football team after that loss in Seattle last week. Rodgers had only 1 touchdown and 1 interception versus Seattle, so he will be looking for a big improvement this week. New York never trailed in its 19-14 win over Oakland, and Geno was 23-of-28. New York out rushed the hapless Raiders 212-25. That really means nothing though as Green Bay is 9-1 ATS versus .500+ AFC opponents while New York is only 2-8 ATS as greater than 3 1/2 point underdog versus the NFC.
|
09-14-14 |
Seattle Seahawks -5 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
21-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Week The Seahawks demolished the Packers last week 36-16 and it shows that Seattle is hardly sitting its success last week. They had a 207-80 rushing yard edge while Wilson threw for 2 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Seattle now has a 310-87 point edge in its last 11 games and are 9-1-1 ATS. They are also on a 24-4 SU run and a 38-12 ATS run. Diego in off a Monday Nighter so don't have less rest and the clincher is the visitor is 16-8-1 ATS in Charger games.
|
09-14-14 |
New England Patriots -5.5 v. Minnesota Vikings |
|
30-7 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units
The Vikings are coming off an easy 34-6 win over the Rams where they had good offensive balance. They also had a 186-72 rushing yeard edge, behind Patterson & Peterson who combined for 177 yards. In the game Cassel went 17-of-25 with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. Minnesota came from allowing 29+ points in 9-of-15 games, to just 6 by St Louis last week and allowed zero touchdowns. But the Patriots always bounce back as they haven't lost back to back games in their L33 regular season contest. Plus they are a perfect 7-0 ATS off a division road game and facing a non-division opponent.
|
09-14-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Cincinnati Bengals -5 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units In Cincinnati games the home team is 15-4-1 ATS. In addition the Bengals are on an 18-8-1 ATS run, and are 6-1 ATS off a SU win as an underdog win versus an opponent who is off a SU win. Atlanta went 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS in outdoor games last year.
|
09-14-14 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Washington Redskins -6 |
|
10-41 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Redskins come into this one with a 272-137 point deficit in their last 9 games, as well as a 5-13 ATS mark. RG3 was 29-of-37 versus Houston, but no TD in 6-pt effort. Wash 0-8 ATS at home versus a less than .500 non-division opponent.
|
09-14-14 |
Miami Dolphins v. Buffalo Bills +1 |
|
10-29 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Bills were horrid in the preseason but last week had a 192-86 rushing yard edge over Chicago, behind Jackson, Dixon, & Spiller. No Buffalo touchdowns in the final 40:44, but that 17-7 halftime lead was cushion enough for the overtime win. The Dolphins turned 20-10 deficit at the half, into a 33-20 win over the Pats, with a 191-89 rushing yard edge with Moreno running for 134 yards. The home team is 14-5 ATS in Bill contests, and 29-16 ATS in Dolphin games.
|
09-11-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -1 |
|
6-26 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Steelers must still be reeling from blowing a 27-3 at halftime againts the Browns, before only winning 30-27 in the end. Big Ben had 365 passing yards but only 1 touchdown with 1 interception. In addition the Steelers allowed 183 rushing yard.Ravens come in off tough loss to the Bengals as erased a 15-0 deficit, only to give up the only touchdown of the game in the final 4:58. The home team is a stellar 12-5-1 ATS in Baltimore games and last week Flacco threw for for 345 yards.
|
09-07-14 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7.5 |
|
24-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
27 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Denver, along with NewEngland, is again a favorite to make it to the Super Bowl. Denver is sportin a much improved defense and has maybe the best offensive line in front of Manning. Last year they averaged a record setting 35 points per game and despite opening against the Colts, Chiefs, and Seahawks, I expect more of the same. The home team is a solid 7-1 ATS in Indy contests, and Denver is 8-0 ATS as non-division home favorite of less than 17½ points
|
09-07-14 |
Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-115 |
47 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Manziel isn't expected to start in this one as Hoyer must first lose the job. The issue is that Hoyer hasn't had any extended playing time in his career, as a torn ACL destroyed last year after just 3 weeks. In addition their WR Gordon has been suspended for the season. The Steelers were without Roethlisberger for the first 4 games last year and the Steeler went 0-4 SU and ATS. When he game back they finished on an 8-4 run as he threw for 28 touchdown and 4,261 yards. With that run they just barely missed the playoffs. Pittsburgh is on a 7-1 ATS run where they have outscored their opponents by 60 points. Cleveland is 1-6 ATS, allowing 29.9 points per game in its last 7 contests.
|
09-07-14 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Philadelphia Eagles -10 |
|
17-34 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Chip Kelly has made an immediate impact on the Eagles take them from a 4-12 year, to a 10-7 year and a playoff appearance. The Eagles have a well balanced offense, with a league-leading 155 rushing yards per game (RB McCoy had an NFL-best 1,607 yards. QB Foles has been surprising as he posted an unbelievable 27 TD's with only 2 INTs since he became the starter. Although the Eagles lost Jackson they are still loaded with talent. They have averaged 31.1 points per game in their last 9 games. Jacksonville snapped a 13 game losing streak while going 4-4 SU after that. Eagles currently just have too much firepower
|
09-07-14 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
34-37 |
Loss |
-105 |
41 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Saints swept Atlanta last season. Beating the Bears at Solider Field and the Eagles in cold weather in the playoffs is strong evidence the Saints can win on the road. It takes a physical team to beat the Saints. That's not the Falcons. They can't beat up the Saints, nor can they outscored them in a shootout.
|
09-04-14 |
Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks -6 |
|
16-36 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The defending champion Seahawks seem to be just getting started, behind the most intimating defense in recent years, ranking 1st in total, passing, and scoring. They did lose some linemen, but reloaded, and they are young. QB Wilson is a model of efficiency, while Lynch keeps defenses honest with the running game. They crushed Denver 43-8 in the SuperBowl. Seattle is on a 23-4 SU run, and 37-12 ATS their L49 game and own a 274-71 point edge in their last 10 games. Packers will challenge, with the return of Rodgers who had 39 TDs and 4,295 PYs in '12. However the Green Bay defense ranked 24th LY. In addition the defending Super Bowl champs are on a 9-2-2 run the L13 years on opening day!
|
02-02-14 |
Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos |
|
43-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units
Seattle has won 16 of its last 17 games at Century Link Field going 12-5 ATS. But under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have become a strong road team, too, winning nine of their last 12 away match ups while going 10-2 ATS in those games. The Seahawks were 6-2 SU and ATS this season away from Seattle. The Seahawks also are 16-3-1 (84 percent) in their last 20 games versus opponents with a winning record.
Seattle has a wild card up its sleeve that it might be ready to unleash - Percy Harvin. His game-breaking presence would be a huge plus because Denver
|
01-19-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -0.5 |
|
17-23 |
Win
|
111 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Kaepernick came from 98 RYs vs the depleted Packers (14.0 ypr) to just 15 vs the Panthers (1.9). However, he did lead scoring drives of 80, 77, & 73 yds vs that Carolina "D". But, can he do the same vs the impregnable "D" of the Seahawks, who have a 55- pt edge in their last 2 series hosting roles? Well, Wilson is in off a career-low 103 PYs (9-of-18) in Seattle's win over New Orleans, but Lynch posted his first 100-yd effort since week #10 (140 yds, 2 TDs). Note 3 of the 'Hawks' 5 scoring drives vs the Saints were a meager 20, 34, & 24 yds. Check also 25-13 FD & 409-277 yd deficits. But the Seahawks have won 16 of their last 17 home games, & altho the Niners have won 8 straight, we simply cannot buck such a dominating site
|
01-19-14 |
New England Patriots +5.5 v. Denver Broncos |
|
16-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Last week, the Pats posted 43 pts vs the Colts, with all 6 TDs coming overland, as the NFL's newest sensation, Blount, tacked on 4 TDs & 166 yds (6.9 ypr). So he has run for 355 yds in his last 2 games (36, 35, 73 yd TDs), staking the Patriots to 501 RYs in those 2. Thus, defending Tom & his overhead brilliance becomes even more of a daunting task for opposing defenses. With 6-of-7 Brady/Manning meetings being decided by 7 pts or less, no reason for this contest not to go down to the final gun.
|
01-12-14 |
San Diego Chargers +8 v. Denver Broncos |
|
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Manning has no peers: record-setting 55 TDs, with 5,477 PYs. Denver averaging 35.3 ppg in its last 27 outings, & seemingly invincible, at times. But Chargers are on a roll: 5 straight "do-or-die" wins (170 RYpg), & Rivers at 33/11 for 4,606 yds (NFL-best 69.5%). Visitor won both meetings this year, & SD owned time edges of 16:06 & 17:38. And SD's McCoy was Denver's OC last year. This to the wire.
|
01-12-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers +3 |
|
23-10 |
Loss |
-125 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers, of course, are the unrivaled NFC's surprise team of the year, altho they've been on a steady rise since the arrival of Newton, following '10's 2-14 record, improving to 6-10, to 7-9, to this year's splendid 12-4 mark. And that includes their brilliant 11-1 windup, with a 292-183 pt edge. Cam steady 24/13 for 3,379 yds. He was a pedestrian 16-of-31 (0/1) for 169 yds in first meeting with the Niners, but SanFran's Kaepernick was only 11-of-22 (0/1) for 91 yds (sacked 6 times). He cranked it up, overland, vs the Packers (98 yds), & he now has Crabtree. Stat similarities above are amazing, so home edge to Panthers
|
01-11-14 |
Indianapolis Colts v. New England Patriots -7 |
|
22-43 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units No Gronkowski, Welker, Hernandez, etc, but they still have Brady (25/11, 4,343 yds) & Belichick: only losses by just 7, 3, 4, 4 pts. Indy in off 2nd greatest comeback win in playoff history ('93 Bills), after trailing 38-10. And it was Colts first playoff win without Peyton since Jan 7, 1996. Luck: 443 PYs & 4 TDs. But host is on a 6-1 ATS run in Indy tilts & 10-2 ATS in Pat contests. Again
|
01-11-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -8.5 |
|
15-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans in off its first-ever road playoff win, with 26-17 FD, 185-80 RY, & 434-256 TY edges over Eagles, who ranked #1 in rushing. Brees just 1/2 in that one, but he is still at 40/14 & 5,412 PYs. But host is 14-2-1 ATS in Saint games, & they're at just 15.8 ppg in their last 5 guest shots. Seattle the supreme hoster (29-14 ppg edge), as well as on 35-12 ATS & 20-4 SU runs. And 'Hawks rank #1 in total "D".
|
01-05-14 |
San Francisco 49ers -3 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
23-20 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units 49ers are 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NFC, while the Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
|
01-05-14 |
San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 |
|
27-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati has won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games and they have also covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 home games when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.
|
01-04-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 |
|
26-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating; 2 Units Quite a turnaround for the Eagles, who've come from a 4-12 log to this year's solid 7-1 windup for coveted playoff host role. Foles has been magnificent, with 27/2 TD-to-INT ratio (37-of-50 past 2 wks). And McCoy: NFL-best 1,607 RYs. Philly is at 32 ppg in its last 8 gams. Saints rank #4, both on "O" & "D", with Brees a stellar 5,162 yds & 39/12. But N'awlins is 1-7 ATS away, & at 13.3 ppg in its last 4 RGs.
|
01-04-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts +2.5 |
|
44-45 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Just 2 wks ago, the Colts held the Chiefs scoreless over the final 56:05, in a 23-7 upset, turning the tables with a 4-0 TO edge. KC held its first 9 foes under 18 pts, but try a 30.7 ppg "D" 6-of-last-7. Indy has 77-27 pt edge in its last 3 HGs (+30
|
12-29-13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints -12 |
|
17-42 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Saints need this, & need it badly. Are currently tied with the Cards in Wild Card hunt, & have been pure dynamite at home. Their loss to Carolina (last 0:23) was especially excruciating, as they held 20-10 FD & 365-222 yd edges. But Drew: 2 picks & 6 sacks. Back home, where they excel (host is 13-1-1 ATS in N'awlin games this year).
|
12-29-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals +1 |
|
23-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Cardinals continue as the surprise team of the season. Their 7-1 SU run (7-0-1 ATS) (only loss by mere 3 pts) has them tied for the Wild Card lot with the Saints, so can't afford a slip. Note a 307-192 yd edge AT Seattle, while holding the 'Hawks to 10 pts & winning in the final 2:17 on a 31-yd Palmer TD toss, after he has thrown 4 picks. Cardinals are superb 9-0 ATS as Dec division hosts
|
12-29-13 |
Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 |
|
7-20 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Pittsburgh took Green Bay in final 1:25, while recording a season-high 151 RYs. Ben: 2/1 & a solid 27/12 for the season. And Pittsburgh is on a 6-1 ATS run by 48
|
12-29-13 |
Carolina Panthers -5.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
21-20 |
Loss |
-109 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Panthers have clinched their first playoff spot since '08, after taking the Saints on a Cam TD in final 0:23. Managed only 10 FDs in that win, but recorded 6 sacks & 2 picks vs Brees. A win here, & they take NFC South crown. Are on a 10-1 SU run, with a 271-163 pt edge. Revenge shot for Falcons, who went down to Carolina by a 34-10 score, with a 27-12 FD deficit. Matt: 3 picks, 1 of which was taken the distance. Cam hasn't won here since 56-17 rout of SoCaro in '10 SEC title match. That all changes with this one. Panthers are 9-1 ATS as division chalks vs <.500 foes.
|
12-29-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 |
|
17-34 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Bengals had averaged 44 ppg in their last 3 HGs. Well make it 43.5 ppg in last 4 such host setups, with 42-14 walloping of the Vikes. Have clinched AFC North & the host is a profitable 14-2-1 ATS in Cincy games. And check Dalton with 15 TD passes in his last 4 games.
|
12-22-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
|
11-54 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 58 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units After giving up 29.8 ppg in their first 6 games, they held their next 7 foes to 17.4, before LW's 48-30 setback at Minny, with McCoy coming from 217 RYs to 38. But Foles keeps on ticking: 3/1 for 428 PYs, & now at 23/2. Cutler is back for Bears, despite McCown a brilliant 13/1 as fill-in. Two early picks from Jay LW, but two 4th quarter TD passes in comeback win over Cleveland. Eagles' #1 rushing "O" vs Bears' 32nd & last run "D"
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12-22-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3 |
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13-17 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 26 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Tied with Saints for NFL South lead, so 2 wins & a division title. Note a 373-239 yd deficit in 1st meeting, with Brees blistering them for 304 PYs & 4 TDs. But LW, he tossed picks in his first 2 attempts, resulting in 14-0 deficit vs Rams, & eventural 27-16 loss. The host is now 12-1-1 ATS in N'awlin games, & the Panthers won 35-27 here LY.
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12-22-13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. St. Louis Rams -4 |
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13-23 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units A Niner/Saint sandwich for the Bucs, who were never in SanFran game, trailing 17-0 in 2nd (193-yd deficit, but note 133 RYs from Stacy). And QB Glennon continues on: 2/1 LW (now an efficient 17/8 for year). Bucs last 3 SU: -21 pts, +21 pts, -21 pts, so hardly dependable in either direction. Tampa is 1-7 ATS as a dog of 3+ pts vs a foe off a SU dog win, while Rams have 130-99 pt edge last 5 games, & +37 pts ATS last 2 HGs.
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12-22-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 |
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23-7 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units The Chiefs opened with 9 wins, dropped 3 straight, & have come storming back with routs of hapless 'Skins & Raiders (101-41 pt edge). Check Smith at 5/0 LW (now 23/6), & Charles matching a franchise-record with 5 TDs vs Oakland. And how about 7 takeaways. Now officially in playoffs, with strong possibility of facing these Colts in first round. Indy was methodical in rout of Houston, but note an 82-39 pt deficit in its last 2 RGs.
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12-22-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Cincinnati Bengals -8 |
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14-42 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 45 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units It hasn't been the wise thing to do to go against Cincinnati at home where the Bengals are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS. Going back to last season, Cincinnati has covered nine of its last 10 at Paul Brown Stadium. The Vikings could be without their two best runners, two top tight ends and three best cornerbacks.
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12-16-13 |
Baltimore Ravens +7 v. Detroit Lions |
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18-16 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Detroit went from a 241-24 RY edge, to a 299-80 RY deficit in a week! Forty pts vs GreenBay, but just 1 offensive TD vs Philly (2-of-3 TDs on 48-yd & 98-yd Ross kick returns). Covered last HG by 23
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12-15-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
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20-30 |
Win
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100 |
28 h 10 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Little or no rushing game for Pitt (have out rushed just 3 teams), but Ben is cooking: 9 TD passes & no picks last 4 games. Bengals got 3/0 from Dalton, after an iffy Nov, so in firm control of AFC North (2 up on Ravens), but note that while Cincy is averaging 44 ppg in its last 3 HGs, it is at 18 ppg in its last 3 RGs. Host stands at 12-2-1 ATS in Cincy contests, while Pitt is 10-1 ATS as division dog off loss.
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12-15-13 |
Arizona Cardinals -2.5 v. Tennessee Titans |
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37-34 |
Win
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100 |
24 h 59 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Tennessee has gone from a 3-1 start, to current 5-8 log. And not the best of homers, losing their last 4, while allowing 26, 31, 29, & 30 pts. Cards continue on pleasant surprise path, with Palmer a splendid 27-of-32 in 30-10 win over Rams. At 28.7 ppg over their last 6 games, & just a game back in WildCard chase. Ariens won here LY, 19-13 in OT
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12-15-13 |
NY Jets v. Carolina Panthers -10 |
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20-30 |
Push |
0 |
24 h 4 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units In its 8-game run, Carolina held a 211-99 pt edge (+85 pts ATS), & not about to chance downticking windup. Finally a win for the Jets, following that 3 game slide, in which they averaged 6.7 ppg. First TD pass for Smith since wk 7 (now 9/20). But NY lost its last 3 RGs by a combined score of 105-26.
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12-15-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs -5 v. Oakland Raiders |
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56-31 |
Win
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100 |
24 h 49 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Nice turnaround for the Chiefs, in 45-10 romper at Washington, after allowing 34.3 ppg in 3-game slide, which came directly off a 9-0 start, ceding just 12.3 ppg. Smith & Charles vs 'Skins: 2/0 & 151 RYs. Raiders are again struggling, allowing 31.2 ppg in their last 6 outings
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12-15-13 |
Seattle Seahawks -7 v. NY Giants |
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23-0 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 55 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Seattle comes into this one 1-game up in NFC race for home field throughout playoffs. In off losing to the Niners in final 0:26, but still a 125-56 pt edge in last 4 games, & on an 18-3 SU run. Wilson, Lynch, & that "D". Quite a combo. Giants are out of playoff picture, with Eli now at 16/20 (1/2 LW). Try a 36:56-23:04 time deficit at SanDiego. Seattle is 4-0 ATS as a non-division RF of >6 pts vs losing teams.
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12-08-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
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13-31 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Franchise-record 8 straight wins for Cam & Co (+85 pts ATS), as he has thrown for 13 TDs & run for 5 during this stretch. Check that 426-206 yd edge vs a smoking Tampa squad LW. And that Carolina "D" has been superb thru it all, allowing 12.4 ppg. The Saints, however, are another matter, not only behind Brees-led 3rd-ranked "O", but a "D" which has held 8 teams below 19 pts. N'awlins 7-1 ATS as a Dec fav vs foe off 2+ straight wins.
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