The Denver broncos are 7-1, and lost their last game, and they were the worst offensive team in NFL history to start the season 7-0, as they rate out -0.6 yards from the line of scrimmage offensively, as Peyton Manning is a shell of his former self. The record says 7-1 for the broncos, but you could easily change a play or two a game and show them at 4-4, so the record is driving the line here. Andy Reid has been one of the league's best off a bye in his coaching career, and the Chiefs at one time were 1-5, and I looked like over and out, but they have won 2 straight games. Kansas City will be playing another tough game, already playing 4 teams with a combined record of 27-3, and this will make 5 teams with a combined record of 34-4. Despite the toughest schedule in the league so far, the Chiefs are breakeven at the line of scrimmage. The Chiefs 4 games vs teams that are 27-3 show they actually won the line of scrimmage in 3 of them, out-gaining 3 of the 4. Home favorites that were 3-0 or better before losing their first game are 16-29-2 ATS as a home favorite of -11 or less in their next game. Chiefs make a strong showing here, as Andy Reid is 16-3 SU and 14-5 ATS following a bye. Make the play on Kansas City.

The Carolina Panthers are now off to an 8-0 start on the season, and have also now won 12 straight regular season games, including 5 straight on the road. The defense is solid, but looks to be a bit less than what it really is. That is because they have taken big leads into the 4th quarter, as they have allowed 9 TD's in their 8 games prior to the 4th quarter. The offense is very balanced, and the Panthers are just one of 3 teams that have scored 20 or more points in all 8 games on the season. (Giants and Patriots the other 2). Carolina has run for 100 yards or more in 21 straight games. Marcus Mariota has done relatively well, but his only game vs an elite pass defense left him with a 68.4 passer rating. Carolina fits a situation that is 128-69 ATS, which is 9-2 ATS if the team is unbeaten. Make the play on Carolina.

Let me start by saying I am aware of the history here, and also say that so is the general public, and more importantly so are the odds makers. The Lions are 0-24 SU here in their last 24 visits to Cheeseland. They have covered just 4 times. That being said, let's take a look at these teams inside the numbers, not the 1-7 Lions vs the 6-2 Packers, and not the streaks, that is where the value is coming from. let's ask a reasonable question. How many points should a road team be getting if they are being out-gained through 8 games by 48 yards a game, against a home team that is being out-gained by 41 yards per game? Do you think it should be 11 points? Green Bay has many issues. No Jordy Nelson, and Randall Cobb is not the same receiver going against the best corner on any given team, as a secondary option last year he was great. Eddie Lacey is struggling, and can't gain anything, and Starks has been getting more time, but in either case, through 8 games, the running game is nowhere near what it was a year ago. Aaron Rodgers is getting knocked down, and sacked , and forced out of the pocket a lot as well. The offense through the last 5 games is averaging 21.4ppg, the lowest 5 game stretch in Aaron Rodgers career, by far. The last 3 games, the Packers have been burned for 1,471 passing yards, at 9.1 yards per attempt. Detroit is no bargain either, but they are not separated by 11 points in this game, as the Packers are extremely over-rated, and jut 7 yards a game separates these teams on the season from the line of scrimmage. Detroit is in situations that are 45-12,25-3,22-5,99-55, and 109-69 all ATS. Green Bay is in 1-48, 34-76, and 29-61 ATS situations, so I am aware of the history here, but the stats, and so many more indicators blow away the Packer trends for this game. Detroit is 13-4 ATS following a 20+ point loss, and all teams losing their last game by 35 or more points that also have a winning percentage of under .250, and are getting more than 9 points are 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 instances. Detroit gets the call.

This looks to be a survival match up, as both Cleveland and Pittsburgh are banged up. The Browns have dropped 4 straight games, and certainly don't appear to be much of a threat here, but remember, this is the NFL, where strange, contrarian things occur on a weekly basis. QB Landry Jones, and RB D'Angelo Williams have stepped up admirably for the Pittsburgh offense, which hasn't skipped a beat. QB Josh Mc Cown will likely get the start for Cleveland, and he has had an outstanding season thus far with a passer rating of 95.2. Pittsburgh hasn't exactly been dominating, as they have suffered 3 straight spread losses. teams that break a 2 game losing streak, but continue their failure to cover (3 straight ATS losses), are just 12-23 ATS since 2004. (5-13 ATS vs a team on a losing streak). So all the things that make Cleveland look like a bad choice, are actually reasons to play Cleveland here. Like most NFL teams, the Browns have been very good as a road dog off a road dog loss, as they are 8-1 ATS, the only loss by 2 points as a +1 dog. Make the play on Cleveland.

This game fits a totals situation which is 55-21 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 148-107 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 148-107 ATS, and the play is on the under.

Wyoming has some serious issues. They are a bad team, but also one that will be playing for an 11th straight week. They will have to do so on the road vs a red-hot, and improving San Diego St. team that has had a week of rest. San Diego St. started the season at 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS, but have grown into a vastly improved tem, and stands at 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5. They are 5-0 in the Mountain West for the 1st time in school history, and over their last 28 conference games the Aztecs own a 21-6-1 ATS mark. The Aztecs have dominated their 5 conference opponents, as they have out-gained them by 196 yards per contest, while Wyoming has been -83 yards in conference games. Wyoming is allowing 8.6 yards per pass attempt, and an above average Aztec passing game, will be piling it on here. Make the play on San Diego St.

The Oregon St. Beavers are falling apart, and they now must deal with an injury at QB, which is going to set the offense back even further. QB Seth Collins was not having such a great year, and has missed the last 2 weeks, but replacement Nick Mitchell has been even worse, completing less than 50% of his passes, throwing 1 TD to 4 INT's. The other issue is that Collins was the best ball carrier the beavers had producing 536 yards at 5.4 yards per carry and 5 TD's. Mitchell has 25 carries for 19 yards. The already struggling Oregon St. offense has scored 1 fourth quarter touchdown in 2 games. The defense has also had issues against strong offensive teams, such as Cal, as they have allowed 40+ in 4 games already. This is a tall task to stay within 3 TD's, and Cal needs a win to become Bowl eligible, and this is the best place for them to find it. Make the play on Cal.

New Mexico is 5-4 and just 1 win away from becoming Bowl eligible, but they won`t get that 6th win this week at Boise St. The Lobos are off a shocking 14-13 win at Utah St. as a 20.5 point under dog, and that sets them up for a mighty letdown this week. The Lobos are all about the run, and Boise St. is allowing 2.6 yards per carry on the season, one of the best run stop units in the country. meanwhile, the Broncos elite passing game will torch a poor New Mexico secondary, in a gigantic mismatch. Since 2000, Boise St. with 43 wins at home by 30 or more points has done so more than any other team in NCAA Football. The Broncos own the situations for this one which are 25-2 ATS, 89-43 ATS, 104-51 ATS, while New Mexico, in part because of their big dog upset win are in negative situations of 1-21 ATS, 31-72 ATS, and 44-101 ATS. Make the play on Boise St.

 This is a very good match up for North Carolina. The Heels have a very balanced offense, one that runs and passes well. Miami has favorable numbers defending the pass, but has been soft vs the run, and if they commit an extra man in the box to defend it the Tar Heels elite passing attack at 10.1 yards per attempt on the season will exploit them. defensively the Heels are slightly below average vs the run, but Miami is not a strong running attack, as their strength has been in the air, but the back 7 for Carolina has been equally good negating the advantage. Miami,FL has actually been out-gained by their opponents on the season, and North Carolina applies to 60-13 ATS, and 100-37 ATS situations. Make the play on North Carolina.

: The Miami, Ohio Red Hawks won their 2nd game of the season last week, at the expense of an Eastern Michigan team that has been one of the worst programs in NCAA Football over the past 2 decades. Miami has a very poor offense, and what complicates things further is they generate 1 point for every 20.4 yards gained, which doesn`t bode well for them here. Akron does not have a lot of offense, but the defense ranks amongst the best in the MAC allowing just 4.9 yards per play, and the Miami offense, in their last 6 losses has generated a grand total of 13.3ppg. Akron has been up to the challenge against some of the weaker teams on their schedule as they have scored 35 in 3 of their 4 wins. Make the play on Akron.

Army does not get the call very often as a home favorite, where they are 30-42 ATS since 1989. They will be in that role this week as they take on a Tulane team that lost an ugly game last week at home to Connecticut 7-3 in a driving rain storm. Tulane has a distinct advantage in this game, as they have already faced a triple option opponent in Navy this year. The Green Wave has a strong run defense, and held the Navy triple option to a season low 133 yards on 54 carries, at just a meager 2.5 yards per tote. The Green Wave won the battle at the line of scrimmage by almost 100 yards, but a -3 turnover margin did them in, although they still got the cover. Tulane averages less than 17ppg, but Army has struggled against such teams as they are 17-38 ATS when facing them, allowing 24.2ppg, and 2-11 ATS when Army has a winning percentage of less than .250, and 0-10 ATS from +9 to -10. Make the play on Tulane.

This is a horrible statistical match up for Purdue. The Boilermakers average just 4.7 yards per play and allow 6 yards per play, so they are almost always in a bad statistical spot. They will face a 7-2 Northwestern team that loves to pound the ball, as they run 62% of the time. That is problematic for a Purdue team that defends the pass reasonably well, but allows 5.1 yards per carry to a schedule of teams that average 4.2. That has shown up as 4 of their last 7 opponents gaining 237 yards or more against them on the ground. Teams that rush for 200 yards or more are a 68.1% chance of covering proposition, and Northwestern accomplished that last week vs a strong Penn St. defense, and I like their chances of doing so again here. Make the play on Northwestern.

NFL division games have long been considered the 6 most important games on the schedule, after all, winning the division is an automatic entry into the playoffs, and if you win the vast majority of the division games, a team does not have to worry about tie breakers. The toughest of those division games occur when division teams collide on Thursday, without the benefit of a full week to prepare, r add many new wrinkles. These are teams that see each other twice a year, and are all too familiar with each other, and typically when we have enough defense around to keep the total on the low to moderate side, we end up with a defensive struggle.  Today in the newsletter we will illustrate an example of those forces at work with the following parameters:

1)  Thursday division home favorite

2)  Total is greater than 36 and less than 44.5

These Thursday Night division games have played:

10-27 O/U

BUT....

If these teams are meeting from game 9 on we get:

3-18 O/U

Tonight, make the play on the NY Jets and Buffalo Bills on the under.

This will be Frank Beamer's last year coaching at Virginia Tech, as he announced his retirement at the beginning of the season. He has produced 22 straight Bowl seasons, and a winning record in each, but in his gun lap at coach this season his Hokies are just 4-5. The Hokies are 44-29-1 ATS as a road dog since 1980, and 22-9-1 ATS with revenge, as well as 15-4-1 ATS if the line is less than +13. Virginia Tech has had ample time to prepare for the option attack utilized by Georgia Tech, and have a strong history defending against it, as they have held the Yellow Jackets to 114 yards below their season average in the last 3 meetings. The Virginia Tech offense has gotten a boost with the emergence of Trevon McMillan, as he has galloped for 110 yards per game over the last 4, and with Georgia Tech losing arguably their best defender in DT Adam Gotsis to a season ending injury last game, the Jackets could be further exploited, as their already pedestrian run stop unit could be further weakened. Georgia Tech QB Justin Thomas has struggled without a supporting cast, and has generated 3.6 yards per carry, down from 5.7 a year ago, and he has completed just 43.6% of his passes on the season. meanwhile, Virginia Tech QB Michael Brewer returned from a broken collarbone to go 39-46 for 450 yards 4 TD's and 1 INT. This offense is better with brewer and the running of McMillan. The extra time to prepare, allows Frank beamer to usually come up with some type of surprise fake punt, onside kick, or gadget play, and don't be surprised to see something here if the timing is right. The Hokies 4 losses have come by 23 total points, despite being -2 in turnovers to Pitt a 4 point loss, and -4 vs Miami in a 10 point loss. tech is statistically better than their record, but the intangibles here favor Virginia Tech, as his team will fight hard to get Bowl eligible, knowing this is a must game, and with the emergence of a running game, and Brewer playing at a higher level, and the crafty Beamer with extra time, and the Georgia Tech loss of Gotsis, are all factors here. Make the play on Virginia Tech.

The Chicago Bears and the San Diego Chargers are both in need of a win. The Chargers 2-6 record may already be saying it is too late, and the Bears at 2-5, are desperate to avoid being 2-6 themselves. The Bears have been a great team in inter-conference games, sporting the best record of any NFC team, and when it comes to facing the AFC West they are 20-8-2 ATS. Their 2 wins this season, you guessed it, have come as an under dog of 3 points vs the Raiders, and 9 points vs the Chiefs. The Bears have lost 3 games this season by more than 4 points, but those were to Green Bay, Seattle, and Arizona, not anything like what they will face here. Phil Rivers continues to have success, but his team doesn't, as the Chargers have lost 4 straight games. His offensive line is in shambles, he has no running game, and while effectively moving the ball between the 20s, the points and yards don't add up. he now has to go without Keynan Allen who caught 77 balls for 783 yards and 4 TD's a year ago, and already had 67 for 725 and 4 TD through 7.5 games this year. The Bears go without Matt Forte, but Jeremy Langford was effective vs a stout Minnesota defense last week after the Forte injury, with 46 yards on 12 attempts, and vs a horrific Charger's run stop unit, he could have a breakout game. The Bears in their last 30 games vs the AFC West have seen an average of just 34.4ppg scored by both teams, and have been 21-9 to the under. Just 2 of the 30 games have topped 45 total points by both teams, and none of the 15 that have been played on the road. The fact is the 15 games have averaged just 31.7ppg, the lowest amount of points between any 2 teams in either league in 15 games at a non-conference opponent's site. Make the play on the under.

The Chicago Bears and the San Diego Chargers are both in need of a win. The Chargers 2-6 record may already be saying it is too late, and the Bears at 2-5, are desperate to avoid being 2-6 themselves. The Bears have been a great team in inter-conference games, sporting the best record of any NFC team, and when it comes to facing the AFC West they are 20-8-2 ATS. Their 2 wins this season, you guessed it, have come as an under dog of 3 points vs the Raiders, and 9 points vs the Chiefs. The Bears have lost 3 games this season by more than 4 points, but those were to Green Bay, Seattle, and Arizona, not anything like what they will face here. Phil Rivers continues to have success, but his team doesn`t, as the Chargers have lost 4 straight games. His offensive line is in shambles, he has no running game, and while effectively moving the ball between the 20s, the points and yards don`t add up. he now has to go without Keynan Allen who caught 77 balls for 783 yards and 4 TD`s a year ago, and already had 67 for 725 and 4 TD through 7.5 games this year. The Bears go without Matt Forte, but Jeremy Langford was effective vs a stout Minnesota defense last week after the Forte injury, with 46 yards on 12 attempts, and vs a horrific Charger`s run stop unit, he could have a breakout game. make the play on Chicago.

The Dallas Cowboys are not the same team without Tony Romo at QB, and by the time he returns, the damage will have been done, so the Cowboys playoff chances are gone. Dallas is 0-5 since Romo went down, and the lack of offense has impacted the defense, that is spending too much time on the field. Dallas has allowed 26 or more points in 4 of the 5 games, while the offens has generated 20 or less points in 4 straight games. Philadelphia applies to a very strong 47-12 ATS mark based in part on their extended rest. Make the play on Philadelphia.

The Indianapolis Colts are a mess. The offense is broken down, and the only time they seem to be able to move the ball is after a team gets a huge lead on them. QB Andrew Luck, and the Colts are now 1-5 in his 6 starts, where he has already thrown 12 INT's. His yards per attempt are at a career low, and the Denver defense is top in the league, and not a good spot for them to get healthy. The defense isn't helping matters either, as 6 of 8 opponents have run for over 100 yards, and they have allowed 239 yards or more in the air in 7 straight games. The Denver offense has averaged over 470 yards a game in their last 2. The Colts through 8 games have not out-gained a single opponent this season, while the Broncos have out-gained opponents in 6 of 7. Denver is 19-6 ATS in their last 25 after going for 500 or more in their last game. Kubiak has gone 7-0 ATS in his last 7 when his team pounded the rock for more than 150 yards in 2 straight games. Make the play on Denver.

It has become quite evident that the San Francisco 49ers have packed it in. It all started with the Harbaugh departure, retired stars, injuries, and a QB that has lost his way, and now Vernon Davis is traded away, and the offense is being turned over to Blaine Gabbert who has completed 3 passes in the NFL over the last 2 years. His last stint with Jacksonville in lasted all of 3 games, when he went 42-86 48.8% at 5.6 yards per attempt, 1 TD and 7 INT's with a 36 QB rating. Things are bad enough as the Niner offense has totaled 7 points or less in half their games this season, while allowing nearly 30ppg over their last 7. San Francisco over their last 2 games has generated a total of 331 yards on 101 plays at 3.3 yards per play. The Falcon offense has generated 378 yards or more in all 8 games, so do the math, this one is not even close. Make the play on Atlanta.

The NY Giants despite 2 losses in games they led into the 4th quarter, and last week's shootout loss 52-49 to New Orleans retain the lead at 4-4 in the NFC East. They will have to pick up the pieces of that tough loss, and travel to Tampa Bay and take on the Jameis Winston led Bucs, who are 3-4 on the season. The Bucs won a squeaker in Atlanta last week 23-20, despite being out-gained by over 200 yards. The Bucs won because of a +4 turnover margin in the game. The Bucs are 3-0 on the season averaging 3 opponent turnovers in the wins, but 0-4 when they get just 1 or less. The Giants have turned the ball over more than 1 time in just 1 game on the season. More importantly teams off a game that saw 82 or more points scored, and lost are 15-4 ATS in their next game, including 10-1 ATS if the line is less than -6. The Giants fit some extremely strong situations here of 41-4 ATS, 64-20 ATS, and 17-3 ATS. The Bucs have had just 1 winning ATS season at home in the last 11 years, and are just 7-22 ATS as a home dog since 2008, and 3-12 ATS if the line is less than +4. Make the play on New York.

When you have a QB like Aaron Rodgers, he makes everyone around him so much better, that is, if the talent around him is stable, healthy, and on the same page. Last year Jordy Nelson (out for the year), caught 98 balls for 1,519 yards, and 13 TD's. he drew so much attention that Randall Cobb had a breakout year, 91-1287 12 TD's, even DeVante Adams got in the mix 38-446 3 TD's, and Eddie Lacey was huge in the passing game at 42-427 4 TD's. Those 4 players accounted for over 3,500 passing yards, 32 TD's and 279 catches. This year that same group has 56-569 and 4 TD's. Those numbers are not even close, and on top of it Eddie lacey ran for 1139 yards, so far through 7 games, just 298. Aaron Rodgers is getting frustrated, and has had to run 31 times already, while doing so just 43 times all last season. The fact is, this is not a good offense at all, just the illusion of being one. The defense has surrendered over 500 yards the last 2 games. Green Bay, even when they have had potent offenses, never fare well on the road vs a team that is greater than .540, just 1-6 SU averaging 19.7ppg, on a meager 291 yards, while the opponent has generated 437.3 and 32.9ppg. Green Bay will get things figured out, but for now, they are not a good team on either side of the ball, and have not beaten even a .500 team all season. They certainly should not be favored against a 7-0 team on the road. Make the play on Carolina.

The Minnesota Vikings have turned things around and have become a bona fide playoff team, and a challenger to Green Bay in the NFC North. This game features Adrien Peterson and Todd Gurley, a pair of the top running backs in the NFL. These teams have a similar build, each coming up shy offensively, but strong on defense. Both these teams have not allowed 100 rushing yards in each of their last 3 games. I think this one comes down to the home field. The Vikings are 35-12 SU and 28-19 ATS when they play at home as a better than .700 team. The Rams have not had a winning season on the road since 2001, and have since gone 31-77 SU and 44-64 ATS. this game fits a 101-52 ATS situation, and the play is on Minnesota.

This is an interesting matchup pitting Adrien Peterson vs Todd Gurley. One considered the best RB in the NFL, the other a rookie, ready to be that guy. The Rams have changed offensively since Gurley came back and started in the backfield. They went from a team running the ball 39.1% of the time to a team running 56.1% of the time. Minnesota runs the ball a lot at home, as 63.2% of their plays at home have been running plays. This could be a very short game, with below average total plays. Vikings have been stout all season on defense and allow just 13.3ppg at home, while the Rams, over their last 67 road games have averaged a woeful 14.3ppg, and it has not gotten any better this year at 14.7ppg. St. Louis is 43-23-1 to the under in those 67 road games, including 23-5 to the under to a low total of less than 42.5, and if they are less than a 13 point favorite, that goes to 22-3 to the under. Make the play on the under.

The Oakland Raiders are starting to look like a decent team, especially after their big blowout win last week as a dog. That typically has sealed the fate of a team, as road dogs off a dog win of 14 or more points facing a team off a loss of less than 14 points are 8-33 ATS. The Raiders also fit in a highly negative 48-103 ATS situation. Make the play on Pittsburgh.

Cal opened the season at 5-0 and looked to be a team in the hunt for the Pac-12 Championship game, but the schedule stiffened, and the powerful offense led by future #1 NFL draft choice Jered Goff has sputtered. The Bears went for over 30 points per game in every one of their 5 wins, but over the last 3, all losses, they have failed to get to 30 in any of them. Goff has been picked off 11 times, including 9 in his 5 games vs Pac-12 opponents. Oregon is a much better team with a healthy Vernon Adams under center. The Ducks may not be as explosive as they have been over the past several years, but they have topped the 60 point mark 3 times on the season, and Cal had yielded 34.5ppg in their 4 road games on the season. Ducks fit a 55-22 ATS situation here as well. Make the play on Oregon.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have proven to be able to stop the mediocre offenses that they have faced this season. It remains to be seen if they can handle the potent Buckeye attack, even though they will be without QB J.T. Barrett. Minnesota has faced 5 teams that average 28ppg or less and held them to 91 points or 18.2ppg. However, the 2 offenses that average over 28ppg against they have allowed 38.5ppg against. Ohio St. is far and away better than either of those 2, and at the same time have an elite defense, while the Minnesota offensive attack is below average. This should lead to a huge advantage by Ohio St. on both sides of the ball. Buckeyes have a 56-19 ATS situation on their side, as well as a 29-4 ATS situation. Make the play on Ohio St.

The Naval Academy has had more success on the road than any other NCAA team in the country, and it is not even close. Since the start of the 1980 season, the Middies are 80-38-2 ATS on the road. That includes 28-11-1 ATS from game 8 on, and 14-2-1 ATS from +9 or less. Memphis is 8-0 on the season, and I don't think I ever remember an 8-0 team that has given up over 40 points in 3 of the games, as Memphis has done. Memphis has not faced a military team in 13 years, and has not faced Navy since at least 1980. Memphis has another problem, as next week they will play at Houston who is unbeaten, and that game is likely for a spot in the AAC Championship game. Make the play on Navy.

It is shaping up to be a showdown between LA Tech and S. Miss for the C-USA West crown, and they will meet in each team's final regular season game. The Bull Dogs have what should be their 5th blowout win of the season against a weak North Texas team at home this week. The Bull Dogs own 4 of their 6 wins to a margin of 25 points or better. When your playing in a mid-major conference, your going to be a very tough team when you fill the skill positions across the board with star talent. The Bull Dogs have RB Ken Dixon 128-741 11 TD's and 5.8ypc, WR Trent Taylor 72-1003 7 TD, and Florida transfer QB Jeff Driskel 2,729 passing yards at 8.6 yards per attempt 19 TD and just 4 INT's. The Bull Dogs have won 8 straight at home averaging 49.2ppg in the process, and have not been shy about running it up, with wins by 52, 49, 47, and 35 points. The Mean Green has had just 1 winning season in their last 11, and outside of that winning season they are 8-48 SU on the road since 2006 and have averaged 14ppg in their 4 road games this season. North Texas is in a dreadful historic situation this week, one that is 44-100 ATS. Make the play on LA Tech.

This is always a well anticipated game between Military Academies. That has not been too advantageous for the Black Knights however. Army is 25-44-1 ATS in their last 70 games vs the Army, or the Navy, and their last 17 visits to Air Force, they are 4-12-1 ATS (1-16 SU), including 1-7-1 ATS if they are a dog of more than +13. Overall, their games vs their Military rivals show a 20-40-1 ATS mark if they enter with a winning percentage of less than .650. bad teams tend to not benefit by a bye, in fact it appears to be a negative in the case of Army, who is now a woeful 8-33 ATS with rest of 12 to 14 days (essentially off a bye, including 1-11 ATS on the road. (That includes 0-6 ATS vs Air Force). Army is also 3-25 ATS off 12 to 14 days rest as a dog of 3 or more, including 2-19 ATS vs their military rivals. Make the play on Air Force.

This game fits a totals situation which is 106-62 ATS, and the play is on the under.

 The BYU Cougars have managed to sustain a high level of offense, despite losing their premier offensive players in Taysom Hill and Jamaal Williams. They have not played a competitive game for over 3 weeks, and the offense likes to play fast, but may find itself a bit rusty here. BYU is an average team on the ground, but above average in the air, and that has been the strength of the San Jose defense that allows just 5.8 yards per pass attempt on the season. The best part of this game is a situation which has been 68-27 ATS since 1980, and when the line has been 10 to 13.5 the under dog has gone 8-10 SU, well worth an equal play on the money line, which is currently at 423. Make the play on San Jose St.

Temple put up a valiant effort against Notre Dame at home last week, had the win in their grasp, but fell short by just 4 points. It was the Owls first defeat of the season, and they must now pick up the pieces and head to SMU, in a game that will be very difficult for them to get very excited about, and a huge letdown spot, especially with Memphis waiting in the wings in 2 weeks, and on a short week. SMU has just 1 win on the season, matching their total from a year ago, but they managed to produce 400 yards vs Houston, and 508 yards vs TCU, so they are capable of producing here, especially if Temple is flat as expected. The fact is the loss last week leaves Temple in a 21-49 ATS spot, as well as a 48-86 ATS situation. Make the play on SMU.