ROCKETMAN SPORTS • SEPTEMBER 30, 2026
Nations League Matchday 3 Betting Preview
Five international soccer matches to watch from October 1–3, and the questions to answer before placing a bet.
INTERNATIONAL SOCCER PREDICTIONS →
This Nations League Matchday 3 betting preview starts with what has actually happened. The first two rounds gave bettors a 1–1 Netherlands–Germany draw, two wins for Greece, two wins for Portugal, and contrasting results for Italy. Those scores inform the next handicap, but two matches are a small sample. Squad selection, rest, tactics and the available price still matter.
UEFA lists Matchday 3 across Thursday, October 1, through Saturday, October 3. The five games below are a watchlist, not official Rocketman Sports selections. No moneyline or total is recommended without checking current odds and confirmed team news.
1. Germany vs Serbia — Thursday, October 1
Germany drew 1–1 at the Netherlands and then lost 1–0 to Greece. Serbia lost 2–1 to Greece and 2–1 to the Netherlands. Neither side won its opening two matches, which makes this a useful test of how the market prices Germany’s home advantage against each team’s recent results.
Betting question: Does the spread or three-way moneyline leave enough value on Germany, or has the market already built a strong rebound into the price? Check the starting elevens and compare the price with the draw and goal-total markets before deciding.
2. Greece vs Netherlands — Thursday, October 1
Greece opened with a 2–1 win at Serbia and followed it with a 1–0 win at Germany. The Netherlands drew Germany 1–1, then beat Serbia 2–1 away. Both teams enter with reasons for bettors to take them seriously.
Betting question: Will Greece’s two away victories change the home price enough to remove the value? This is also a matchup where draw probability deserves attention. A prediction about the stronger team does not automatically settle a three-way moneyline bet.
3. Denmark vs Portugal — Thursday, October 1
Portugal has beaten Wales 1–0 and Norway 2–1. Denmark lost 3–2 at Norway before responding with a 2–0 win over Wales. The early results favor Portugal, but Denmark now plays at home after improving in its second match.
Betting question: How much of Portugal’s two-win start is reflected in the away moneyline? Compare the three-way price with draw-no-bet and Asian handicap options, and confirm whether either side rotates after a compact international schedule.
4. France vs Italy — Friday, October 2
France won its first two matches 1–0, away to Türkiye and Belgium. Italy began with a 2–0 home loss to Belgium, then answered with a 4–1 win at Türkiye. Those contrasting scorelines make it tempting to project a low-scoring France win, but Italy’s response shows why one result should not define a team.
Betting question: Do the confirmed lineups support the market’s goal total? France has conceded no goals through two matches, while Italy’s attacking output changed sharply from its opener. Check personnel and price before treating either trend as permanent.
5. Croatia vs England — Saturday, October 3
Croatia beat Czechia 2–1 and then lost 4–1 at Spain. England lost 3–2 to Spain before winning 2–0 at Czechia. Both teams have played the same two opponents, providing a useful comparison, although the matches occurred at different venues and unfolded differently.
Betting question: Is the market reacting too strongly to Croatia conceding four against Spain or to England’s bounce-back win? Compare the full-match line with goal totals and both-teams-to-score prices after the starting lineups are confirmed.
What to Check Before Buying an International Soccer Pick
- Confirm that the expert’s selection is for an upcoming match and that the listed package is still available.
- Compare the recommended odds with the price you can actually obtain.
- Review soccer-specific results and the size of the expert’s sample.
- Check squad news, starting elevens, rest and travel close to kickoff.
Soccer Expert to Check on Rocketman Sports
Steve Janus has a soccer selection listed on his Rocketman Sports profile along with a Thursday card that includes a soccer pick. Open his profile to confirm the current match, package terms and available price before purchasing. An expert’s selection should never be assumed to be a Nations League play merely because it appears during this international window.
Compare the Best Available Soccer Picks
Review documented soccer experts, then check the live board for an active release that fits the match and price you want to play.
More International Soccer Research
- International Soccer Predictions — the ongoing national-team betting guide.
- Soccer Predictions Today — current match analysis across soccer competitions.
- Free Sports Picks — the current free-pick board.
- UEFA Nations League fixtures and results — verify match status and scores at the source.
Results and fixtures checked September 30, 2026. Betting markets, team availability and prices can change. This article is analysis and a match watchlist, not five official wagers. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Please wager responsibly.