Boise State is locked into their seed in the Mountain West tourney and has lost six straight contests including two of them at home against Colorado State and Utah State. This team is not playing any defense and the few times that they do, they don't actually score. Their only win since the start of February came against San Jose State and everyone is beating them. Air Force held serve at home 74-60 against the Broncos as they flashed some defense and shot over 50% from the field. The Falcons have won three of their last four and are coming off a solid effort in a 90-79 loss at home to Nevada. This team has actually won two road games as of late at Wyoming and Fresno State. This is a rather large number and I think the Falcons can cover it. They had a stretch in January where they covered four straight and five of six. Give me the road team to make things close. 

Western Illinois has lost two straight and seven of their last eight overall as they look to close out their season. They get the Jackrabbits who will essentially have the homecourt advantage in South Dakota. This team has two wins in this series by scores of 86-66 and 100-58. WIU has five straight losses by double digits and it's because they can't score and they don't stop anyone on defense. The team did have a couple of close losses at home, but this will not feel like home. South Dakota State has Mike Daum and a lot more talent then their opponents in this conference most nights. I think they win this one rather easily.

It's a quick turnaround for Drake who may not have Nick McGlynn out there and he's the leading scorer and rebounder. UNI is really hot right now as they have gotten back to their stingy defense that they've been known for in the past. These two teams each won on their own homecourt earlier in the regular season. The Bulldogs were able to get around the injury on Friday night, but even if McGlynn plays, he clearly won't be 100%. I think in a quick turnaround situation like this, it's hard to change a ton of things without your leading scorer. Keep your eyes on the twitter wire to see if McGlynn plays or not. Right now I'll take the underdog. 

Samford snapped their four game losing streak in round one of the tourney beating the Citadel 100-71. This is a Bulldogs team that has some offensive talent, but their lack of defense has been a killer. Over that losing skid, they gave up 85, 90, 87 and 65 points to some of the better squads in the league. These two met twice with UNCG winning 83-75 and 75-67. This is a Samford team that wants to get up and down and has some talent to execute that. The Spartans have won four straight after a brief two game losing streak. UNCG has a lot of veteran talent and a group that plays some good defense for the most part. They did allow 76 to lowly Western Carolina, 81 to Mercer and 96 at the Citadel. I think this one is played with a little bit of pace and I think that it goes over the total. 

UL Monroe has lost two straight and four of their last six entering this one. They beat Little Rock at home 97-84 way back on January 3rd in a game that saw both teams shoot over 55% from the court. This is a Warhawks team who prefers the game a little slower but has allowed 75 points or more in three of four and nine of their last 11 overall. Little Rock is a team that has a capable offense but is coming off a recent stretch of four straight where they didn't crack 70 points. Their problems come on the defensive end from time to time. At home they allowed 84 to Arkansas State, 77 to App State, 72 to Coastal Carolina and 77 to Lafayette. I think there's a chance they could win this game and I think they push the pace to do so. 

Normally I don't take road teams, but there's something about this one that I like. ODU won in UAB back on February 7th 70-59 in a game that saw them come back in the second half. The Monarchs laid a massive egg last time out losing 59-52 at home to Southern Miss as a six point favorite. I think this got this team to focus a bit. Yes, they have nothing to play for with everything locked up, but they need some momentum to get them into their tourney next week. This team has won at UTSA, UAB, UTEP, Charlotte and Middle Tennesee among others. UAB has lost two straight and six of their last nine. The Blazers have lost four straight at home in conference and their defense has been bad there somewhat. They lost to Charlotte there as a 10.5 point favorite awhile ago. I think we get a really good Monarch effort and an outright win. 

The Chanticleers have won two straight and three of their last four after a four game losing streak. Coastal Carolina has been very hot and cold with five straight wins in the middle of January to early February. They have an awesome balance led by Zac Cuthbertson who puts up nearly a double-double per contest. They've put up 92 and 97 the last two games and scored 95 at home against Georgia State. This team has a 13 point win at Troy back on January 3rd shooting over 50% from the court. They have five double digit home victories in conference. Troy has lost six straight and 10 of their last 11. The Trojans have lost their last few games by 8, 13, 14, 16, 25 and 14. Ever since losing Jordon Varnado to suspension, this team has taken a massive nosedive. I think Coastal keeps that going and wins easily on Saturday. 

The Eagles have won six of their last eight as they travel to Toledo. One of those wins came over the Rockets at home 76-69 back on February 19th. In that one they made shots when they had to and made just enough stops. EMU has road wins at NIU, Ohio, Western Michigan and Ball State. I think more was expected from this team and now they are finally realizing their potential. Toledo has won four in a row and nine of their last 11. The Rockets are very tough at home although they did beat NIU by only three and Central Michigan by only 4. If EMU can limit their explosiveness, they can certainly keep this one close. Last year Toledo won by 1 in the tourney, lost by 2 at home to EMU and by six on the road. I think this is a tough matchup for the home team. 

Western Michigan has gone over in nine of their 13 home games where they are better as an offense. This team is no good by any stretch, but they do have some talent led by the Dugan kid on the inside. The Broncos have allowed 79 to Miami-Ohio, 82 to Kent State, 74 to NIU, 85 to Bowling Green and 93 to Eastern Michigan at home. Their offense has gone dry as of late which is a worry, but CMU's defense isn't exactly stellar either. The Chips are coming off a three point loss at home to NIU. They have had a little bit of a struggle at times on the road but their defense has allowed 79 at Bowling Green, 90 at Buffalo and 76 at Toledo. I think this one is played with some pace and I think it goes over the total. 

Kent State has lost three of their last five as they host Akron on Friday night. The Golden Flashes have hit the rough part of their schedule with four of five and seven of their last 10 away from home. This is a real solid home team who has only lost to Liberty, Bowling Green and Buffalo there. Jaylin Walker is a primetime scorer and he's got help from several other options. This team needs to tighten up defensively, because things will not come easily against Akron's D. They lost at Akron 72-53 a month ago in a contest that saw them struggle to shoot. Akron has lost five of their last seven and has won just once away from home at lowly Ohio. They fell by 13 at Buffalo, by 4 at Bowling Green and by 11 at Toledo. The Zips offense has struggled terribly at times especially away from home. This is a tight number because they cover a lot of games as of late. Still, I think Kent flexes their muscles and wins this one.

I'll take Pepperdine in their game against Pacific on Thursday. These two teams played in Pepperdine just a few days ago with Pacific getting the road win 73-72. Pacific shot the ball for a rare time this season. They've shot better then 40% just twice over their last six games. This squad scored 32 at home against St. Mary's and 56 against Loyola Marymount. Even without Kameron Edwards, Pepperdine still has Colbey Ross, Eric Cooper Jr and Kessler Edwards along with a couple of other solid options. They have lost four of their last five and one can point to a lack of defense which is the reason why. Pacific won the home matchup between the two 66-59 back on February 2nd. I'll use the cliche it's hard to beat a team three times in one season, but I also think that Pepperdine is the better team so give me them. 

NJIT is on the road once again and for the fourth time in their last five as they take on Lipscomb. These two played at Lipscomb back on February 25th with the home team winning 81-77. The Highlanders have had four different leading scorers in four straight contests. They are coming off an 83-78 win at Florida Gulf Coast. I'm a little concerned about them being road weary and think the letdown occurs on defense. This team also has played high scoring games at North Florida (76-72) and at Jacksonville (77-73). Lipscomb has won three straight and four of their last five as the team's offense has been humming. They've scored 86, 87 and 81 in their last three games and have been held less then 75 just twice the last month and a half and neither of those games were home. I think we see plenty of points in this one. 

The records may look different, but the team with the worse one is the one i'm looking at on Thursday. It's been a rough year for UConn sitting at 14-15, having lost six of their last seven contests. They are coming off a tough two point win at home over USF in front of a solid crowd and a good homecourt advantage. The Huskies are close to putting it together with a two point loss at Wichita and a four point home loss to Cincy. This team lost 81-63 at Temple in a game where they basically allowed the Owls to do whatever they wanted. Yes, Jalen Adams is out but Alterique Gilbert is back and he's been playing well. Temple is a tough team to figure. They have road wins at Wichita State and South Florida, but also played poorly in road losses to Tulsa and Memphis. Alston and Rose are the best backcourt in the AAC, but they are really inconsistent. This team sleepwalked through an 80-69 win at home against Tulane. They also host UCF this weekend. I just don't love Temple right now despite them being in the mix for an NCAA Tourney bid. 

Wazzu has lost three straight and four of their last seven entering this one. The Cougars are led by Robert Franks who is an underappreciated scorer. This team plays a lot better at home where they've scored 70 or more in four straight and five of their last seven in conference. Their defense has been an issue though as they've allowed 70 or more in five straight and 11 of their last 12. This team has some high totals which is why they don't hit the over as much as they should. Oregon's offense isn't great, but they've scored 70 or more in three straight. They've definitely laid some eggs on the road scoring only 49 at USC and 57 at Oregon State, but I think they don't do that in Pullman. These two played in Eugene back on January 27th with the Ducks winning 78-58. Both teams shot over 50% from the court. I think we should see plenty of points and the over in this one. 

UTSA returns to Western Kentucky where they lost 96-88 in overtime to the Hilltoppers. Jhivvan Jackson had a monster game that should have been won outright by the road team, but they folded down the stretch in regulation and WKU banked in a couple of threes. UTSA saw their three game losing streak snapped last time out in their 6 point win over UAB. This team has lost by 5 at La Tech, by 7 at Southern Miss, by 8 at WKU and by 3 at MTSU. They also have a road win at Marshall as well. The Toppers are the more talented team, but they are prone to lapses where they struggle with lesser talent. This team has played seven straight single digit games with that stretch going even farther back in their schedule. I think they win this one, but the Roadrunners can keep it close.

It's been a long year for UMass as they host Richmond. The team has lost four of their last five and continue to deal with plenty of injuries. The Minutemen will be without Curtis Cobb and Khalea Turner-Morris and potentially Samba Diallo as well. The good news is that it looks like Luwane Pipkins will play but who knows how effective he will be with the hamstring injury. They have lost to Dayton, Fordham, St. Bonaventure, George Mason and La Salle at home in conference. Richmond has lost two straight, but before then they had won five of seven contests. This team has road wins at La Salle, St. Louis and GW this season and have one of the better offenses when they get things going. This team has shot 55% or more four times since January 30th. They should be able to get whatever they want offensively. I think the Spiders are the better team and although that's been no guarantee for them this season, I think they pull out the win here. 

UMass and Richmond aren't exactly great on defense. The Spiders have an efficient offense that should be able to get whatever they want. If Luwane Pipkins plays, which it looks like he will, he will spark the offense that has laid some eggs at times. In a dead atmosphere at the Mullins Center, I think there will be plenty of scoring. 

Utah State has won six straight and is coming off the highly emotional 81-76 win over Nevada. The Aggies offense has scored 70 points or more in every game during this win streak with two of those going over and two others pushing. The Aggies defense has been not as good on the road allowing 71 at Boise State, 68 at San Diego State, 81 at Fresno State and 72 at Nevada. They've only lost three games in conference with two of those on the road. These two teams played a 87-72 game in Utah back on January 19th. Colorado State has won three of their last four and have been pretty good offensively at home against some opponents. They put up 83 on Wyoming, 82 on Nevada, 74 on Fresno State and 91 on New Mexico. There's some talent on this team, but there's also a lack of defense on this team. I just don't think we'll get a focused effort from the Aggies and the letdown will occur on defense. Give me the over. 

This is a bad matchup for Virginia Tech who continues to be without Justin Robinson. Buzz Williams has done great things with the lineup without him and the team has had a week to soak up the win over Duke. Tech's two road wins without Robinson came at Notre Dame and Pittsburgh. They lost at Clemson 59-51 without him as well. Kerry Blackshear is going to find it hard to stay out of foul trouble with so many bigs to worry about for FSU. Florida State has won 10 of their last 11 entering this one. They have so much size and so much depth that it will be hard for Tech to keep up I think. FSU won in Blacksburg last year 91-82, out-rebounding them by 12 and shooting around 53% in the win. It's just a bad matchup stylistically especially without Robinson. 

Toledo hosts Western Michigan on Tuesday night. The Broncos have lost three straight after a brief stretch of two wins in three contests. Their defense on the road has been leaky to say the least especially in conference where they've allowed 70, 77, 79, 85, 81, 79 and 88. The team's offense definitely could improve but there's some decent talent there. They did manage to score 77 at home in an 85-77 loss to the Rockets back on January 12th. Toledo's offense has scored 80 or more in three of their last five. They do play a little bit better defense at home so that's a concern, but they've also gone over in four of their last six overall. I can see the Rockets pouring it on as they continue to look for victories. This is a pretty nice mismatch. Give me the over. 

NIU has lost seven of their last eight entering this one against Central Michigan. The Huskies haven't won a conference road game since January. Their offense has been very inconsistent as you can see in early February. They alternated scoring efforts of 55, 71, 49, 74, 67, 54 in consecutive games last month. The Chips have won four of their last five and are coming off a tough 12 point home loss to Toledo. CMU's offense is very explosive and Shawn Roundtree is back. They've been a covering machine failing to do so just twice since January 19th. I'm not quite understanding this line because CMU is that much better. They won by nine at NIU back on January 15th so this line is a bit odd. I'll take the bait though and will back the home team. 

NJIT and Florida Gulf Coast have split their two meetings with each team winning at home. The Highlanders took their home contest 66-54 while Dunk City won 57-55. NJIT has lost six of their last eight and have struggled at times on the road this season. FGCU is tightening up on the long range defense with just one of their last seven opponents shooting better then 32% from long range. The Eagles have won six of their last eight with the losses being on the road at Liberty and Stetson. They have beaten Lipscomb at home already this season and are in a good place offensively. They also have had four different leading scorers over the last month or so. I think the home team is worth a look here at this tight number. 

Two teams going in different directions play on Sunday as North Texas hosts Marshall. Marshall lost this game just under a month ago 78-51 in a game that saw them stymied from the floor and getting crushed on the boards by 25. Since then, the Mean Green have lost five in a row failing to eclipse 60 points on offense in any of those games. They were also favored in four of those contests and just weren't able to do much. Yes, they are getting players back in the lineup, but is that helping them if they aren't quite 100%. Marshall has won two straight since a four game losing streak including an 11 point victory at Louisiana Tech. The extra time off has helped them get healthy and get some time to rest their legs. They have regained some offensive form putting up 98 in a win over MTSU and 90 in a victory in Ruston. I think there's some value with the road team in this one. 

The Shockers have won six of their last eight and have gone over in four of those over that span with another being a push. The reason for that is an improved offense and a defense that has struggled at times to slow down the opponent. These two teams played an 85-83 game at Wichita back in January in which both teams shot the ball very well from long range. SMU has lost six of their last seven because they are playing next to no defense and have struggled a bit offensively. They allowed 95 at UCF, 82 at Temple, 85 at Wichita and 75 at home to Tulane. The over has hit in six of their last eight. I think this number is a little low for a game that will be played with some pace. 

San Jose State saw a long losing streak get snapped last time out as they beat New Mexico 89-82 at home as a 10.5 point underdog. On the road, the Spartans are a different story. They've lost by 14 at Air Force, by 32 at New Mexico, by 48 at Boise State, by 30 at Utah State, by 13 at Wyoming, by 38 at UNLV and by 39 at Nevada in conference. This team plays no defense allowing 90 or more six times this season. San Diego State is coming off a 16 point loss at Utah State. They've been very good at home this season for the most part and have beaten up the bad teams that have come there. The Aztecs have a 30 point win over Wyoming. There's some concern they could be looking ahead to Fresno State next, but I think even with an unfocused effort, there will be a rout. 

It's meeting #2 between Colorado and Utah on Saturday in Colorado. These two played in Utah about a month and a half ago with the Utes winning 78-69. It was a huge blowout at halftime with the home team winning 41-19. Neither team shot all that well from long range which I think will benefit us in this one. At home Colorado averages 80.3 points per game while shooting nearly 50% from the court. Their defense holds opponents to just under 70. Utah's defense has disappeared as they've allowed over 80 points per contest over their last five games and 77 points per contest on the road. This team should be able to score themselves with their various weapons. They've gone over in 17 of their 27 lined contests. I think this one will as well.

There figures to be plenty of points as Oakland hosts IUPUI. Oakland has gone over in three straight after a long stretch of unders for the Grizzlies. Their last three games were 86-72, 95-75 and 89-73 wins. Oakland's been able to put up some points at home this season scoring 86, 95, 83, 74, 90 over their last five in-conference. IUPUI doesn't play good defense especially on the road where they've allowed 87, 89 and 75 in their last three contests away from home. This team has gone over in five of their last eight overall. I think there will be some good pace in this one and we'll see plenty of points. 

Purdue has won four straight since the loss at Maryland last month. The Boilermakers are steamrolling teams at home with wins of 17, 12, 19, 10, 10, 15 and 35 in their last seven conference games. The team has size, speed, scoring and defense which should be a deadly competition. Ohio State has lost three of their last five and will be without Kaleb Wesson who got suspended for this one. Wesson is the team's leading scorer and who knows how much this will affect the roster. They lost by 10 at Maryland, by 18 at Michigan State, by 16 at Michigan and by 10 at Iowa. They lost 79-67 at home to Purdue in a game that saw Wesson do very little. This one should be ugly for the road team.

This one should see plenty of points on Saturday as Samford looks to extend their Saturday over streak. These two teams played a tremendous game at Wofford 107-106 in which Samford shot 66.7% and lost while Wofford checked in at 55.4% and won. Samford has gone over in four of five and eight of their last 11. They've got a pretty good offense and a mighty leaky defense that allows over 70 pretty regularly to teams who have good offenses. Wofford is explosive and has to continue to win games by healthy margins so they can look good for the committee. This one should see plenty of points.

The Panthers have won four of five and six of their last nine overall entering this one against Little Rock. Georgia State has taken care of business at home in conference winning by 16, 9, 14, 9, 6, 1 and 13. They do have a home loss to Texas State, but Little Rock isn't near them in terms of talent. This offense is smoking hot right now as they have five double digit scorers led by D'Marcus Simonds. Little Rock has treated me well this season, but they've lost eight of their last 11. They have fallen by 15 at Georgia Southern, by 7 at Arkansas State, by 9 at Arlington and by 18 at Texas State with two other big losses on the road. UALR plays very little defense and lost by 9 and 30 in their two meetings with the Panthers in 2018. I think the home team gets the easy win. 

The Jaguars have lost three of four since a three game win streak. South Alabama has a very good backcourt and plays with a decent pace. They've gone over in four of their last seven in conference and have the offense to be able to do some of the heavy lifting. They also have the requisite lack of defense that could help as well. Texas Arlington has lost three of four since they had a stretch of eight wins over nine contests. This team has greatly improved since a horrible non-conference start. Their defense has been bad and they've gone over in four of their seven conference contests including three of their last four. Their offense can contribute as well. I think this one should go over this somewhat lower total. 

Wofford is on the road at Chattanooga and are looking for style points as they continue to impress the committee. Wofford beat the Mocs 80-69 at home back on January 26th in a game that saw them outrebound their opponent by 15 including eight on the offensive boards. The Terriers are averaging over 80 points per game in conference play. They are also coming off two straight games against the upper level of the conference in Furman and Greensboro. On the road Wofford has scored 72, 78, 99, 76, 90, 72 and 74. Chattanooga has lost three of four and seven of their last nine. They have struggled to score a bit and would love to get Kevin Easley back from injury. Their defense hasn't been very good giving up 78 at home to Greensboro as well as 105 at home to Western Carolina. I think this one should go over the total as Wofford has to keep their foot on the pedal. 

Mason is a fade on team for me right now. They lost to Richmond at the Robins Center back on February 6th in a game that saw the Spiders shoot nearly 57% from the court. They won the game despite being outrebounded but they also forced 20 Mason turnovers. Richmond won in Fairfax last year 93-79 and shot 62.7% in that one. They've won five of their last seven and it's because their offense is smoking hot right now. They have road wins at La Salle and St. Louis already. Mason has lost four of their last six including a home game against Duquesne in which they coughed up a huge lead. They are without Jaire Grayer and Goanar Mar and could continue to be without Greg Calixte who has missed contests due to a concussion. This team has actually only covered two of their last nine games overall. I just think there is something wrong with this team and Richmond is in a good place right now to get the win.

UMass has gone over in three straight and four of their last five as they host Dayton. These two teams played in Ohio back on January 13th with the Minutemen losing 72-67. UMass has some decent scorers, but more importantly, they have an awful defense. They allowed 79 at GW on 2/20 and 85 at home to lowly Fordham. Luwane Pipkins is healthy right now so that helps along with Holloway inside. Dayton has gone over in three straight and four of their last five as well. The Flyers have scored 74 at Davidson, 77 at Rhode Island, 75 at Fordham, 89 at St. Bonaventure and 71 at VCU. Common thread is that their offense travels. I think it will once again in Amherst where we will see a higher scoring game. 

Ohio had a six game losing streak snapped last time out when they beat Bowling Green at home 92-87. That's a rare offensive output for this team that has scored 70 or less nine times this year. They are a brutal team on the road losing by 47 at Buffalo, by 7 at CMU, by 20 at Miami-Ohio, by 11 at NIU, by 23 at Toledo and by 19 at Bowling Green. These two teams played at Ohio back on 1/15 with the Flashes winning 66-52. KSU is going to be rather angry after losing by 33 points combined at Buffalo and CMU. This team has three double digit home victories in conference and a lot more talent then the Bobcats. I think this one gets rather ugly and the home team wins easily.

This first meeting went to North Alabama 91-88 on the road way back towards the start of conference play. It was part of a four game win streak way back in early January. Since then, the Lions have gone 2-7 with the wins coming over Kennesaw State. North Alabama's offense is very hot and cold especially at home although they did manage to score 70 there against tightly defensed Liberty. They've played scores at home of 76-71, 82-73 and 80-70 their last three contests there. Jacksonville wants to play a quicker game with guys like Notae, Hogan and Davis playing well. They've allowed 70, 86, 73, 86, 77, 69 and 70 on the road in conference play. Their offense can be very potent themselves so I think this one could see a ton of points. Overall, Jacksonville has played games with scores of 77-73, 80-73, 93-70, 86-77 and 82-73 in their last five. This one should go over. 

Montana is rolling right now having won 10 straight entering this one against Northern Colorado. The Grizzlies started this win streak with a win over the Bears back on January 12th beating them 88-64 in their gym. Montana has gone over in six of their last eight as their offense has scored 75 or more in all eight and nine of their last 10. They are without Jamar Akoh who is their beast in the middle which means Montana is playing a bit faster with Ahmaad Rorie and Sayeed Pridgett playing a lot better. Defensively, there's still some leaks as they've allowed 70 or more in three of their last four. Northern Colorado has gone under in nine of their last 10 or so as they've played some very good defense. The problem is that none of those offenses were as strong as tonight's opponent. They allowed 88 at Eastern Washington last time out. This team also gave up 78 at Weber State as well. I think this one is played with an over pace.

These two played in Tennessee just over a month ago with Greensboro winning 75-68 on the road in a game that had a similar 141 total. The Spartans have a very potent duo in Francis Alonso and Isaiah Miller to go along with four others who average between seven and 10 points per game. At home this team has scored 79, 75, 93, 88, 83, 89, 43 and 85 in conference play. They have been leaky at times on defense too giving up 76 to lowly Western Carolina and 81 to Mercer as well. ETSU has gone over in five straight and nine of their last 11. They have been a very potent team as of late and want to play with a quicker pace. This team is very hot and cold when it comes to defense allowing 70 and 82 to lowly VMI as well as 91 at Furman. To me, this one should be pretty close and played with some pace even though Greensboro prefers it a little slower. I think the over is the way to go on this one. 

I think we are getting a good price on the home team in this one. Northridge has lost four straight and five of their last six. They've been an underdog in each game and has played teams close losing by two at Long Beach State and by seven at home to Fullerton. Lamine Diane and Terrell Gomez average almost 43 points per game and will be a lot to handle. They'll have to be because behind them isn't a ton of talent. UC Davis had their five game win streak snapped by a four point loss at Fullerton. They played without TJ Shorts II who is their leading scorer. Usually teams play okay in their first game without a star, but then reality hits a little bit later and they start to struggle. Siler Schneider and Joe Mooney are the guys who have to pick up the slack although there is a little more depth for the road team. Still, I think the home team wins this one.

This is a far cry from what MTSU used to be as they host Charlotte on Saturday. Antonio Green, Reggie Scurry and Donovan Sims are the team's big three scorers. This team beat Charlotte 71-53 at home just a couple of weeks ago in a contest that saw them shoot nearly 50% while holding the 49ers to 39.2%. MTSU has been tough at home with wins over UAB, Charlotte, UTEP and UTSA while losing by only five to ODU. Charlotte is playing their fourth straight on the road and they've lost by 13 at ODU, by 18 at MTSU and by 45 at UTSA. Outside of Jon Davis, this team doesn't have a ton of scoring threats to stress anyone. They've scored less then 70 in every conference road game. I just don't think they have enough to keep this one close. 

Toledo is back home as they host NIU on Saturday night. The Rockets have lost two straight after a five game win streak. This team has plenty of fire power to score on offense especially at home where they average almost 80 points per game. The Rockets have a ton of talent and a ton of depth. The problem for them has been defense especially as of late. In MAC play, they are allowing 72.4 points per contest. On the other end you have an NIU squad that has had the bottom fall out losing five straight. They are doing so because the offense has been miserable lately. The defense has been very hot and cold although they are coming off allowing 87 points at home against Bowling Green. These two played at NIU back on February 2nd with the Rockets winning 69-55. Toledo has scored 69, 97, 82 and 88 in their last four games in this series. I think they get their frustrations out in an easy win on Saturday that goes over the total.

SD State has won 11 of their last 12 entering this home stretch against South Dakota. Meeting one went to the Jackrabbits 79-61 on the road in a game that saw them clamp down tremendously on defense. At home, they steamroll opponents winning by 12, 19, 18, 10, 25 and nine which came against Fort Wayne. Mike Daum is the guy everyone knows, but there's plenty of other talent around him. South Dakota had lost six of seven before this two game win streak against the bottom of the conference. They lost by 14 at home to Oral Roberts as a 7 point favorite and have a loss by 31 at Fort Wayne to go along with some other ugly losses. There's some talent there, but I don't want to get in front of the steamroller right now. Give me the home team in an easy win.

Duquesne has gone over in six of their last nine as they take on George Mason in Fairfax. This young team has to have a bunch of confidence right now as they have scored 70 points or more in three straight and nine of their last 11 games. They have some solid inside and outside shooters. Greg Calixte is questionable for the Patriots with the concussion and that would be big if he couldn't play again. Mason has lost three of their last five with all those coming on the road. They have gone over in five straight and six of their last eight as their offense has clicked at home with their defense being hot and cold. I think this one goes over the total as Duquesne stresses the home team.

This one screams situational play as Florida State heads to Chapel Hill. FSU has won eight straight and is doing so with an offense that comes at you in a lot of different ways and a defense that can be very tough to crack. They held Syracuse to 62 on the road, Georgia Tech to 47 and Clemson to 64 away from home. This is a really deep squad who won't be intimidated. FSU won this game at home last year 81-80 in a game that saw them nearly blow a double digit lead. I'm not a huge Leonard Hamilton guy so that worries me in this matchup. UNC is coming off their best performance of the year at Duke in which they won 88-72 stealing the headlines away from Duke. They've got two straight at home and I think we could see a slightly unfocused effort. If you want to compare it to something, look at the three point OT win over Miami before they lost by eight to Virginia. Situational play here with the road team.

Longwood has lost five of their last seven as they host Campbell on Saturday. The Lancers played the Camels back on February 2nd losing 83-62 in that one. Since that game, this team has played contests with scores of 89-88, 62-59, 83-79 and 86-66. They have not collapsed offensively with the loss of their leading scorer. Instead, guys like Shawbooty Phillips have taken over. The problems come on defense where they don't slow too many teams down. Both of these teams play modestly paced offenses. Chris Clemons is smoking hot for Campbell right now scoring 23 points or more in seven straight games. They've played some high and low scoring games. The team lost 76-71 at Presbyterian in their last road game. I think this one is an over too on Senior Day for Longwood.

The Spiders are road underdogs, but they have some pieces that can help them win this road game. The Explorers are 8-17 on the season and are shooting just 40.6% from the court. This team has lost three of their last four after a four game win streak. La Salle has three home losses in conference play and don't exactly much of an advantage in Philly. They did win at Richmond 66-58, but that was because of 11 offensive rebounds and a comeback late when Richmond collapsed. The Spiders have a nice trio with Jacob Gilyard, Nathan Cayo and Grant Golden. Golden in particular has to stay out of foul trouble. They have road wins at St. Louis and GW along with a close loss at St. Joe. There's been a lot swirling around this program lately so I think they keep that stuff out and focus in on this one.

Evansville has lost five straight and nine of their last 10. A lot of it is because of their poor defense that has allowed six opponents to shoot 50% or better. The Purple Aces have been hot and cold offensively scoring 58, 73, 62, 74 and 66 in their last five road games. They want to play faster under Walter McCarty, but don't have the weapons to do so. On the opposite side, you have a Bradley team that has been known for their defense, but the offense is coming around. They scored 96 at home against Indiana State just a few weeks ago. They beat Evansville 81-73 on the road back on January 30th. This team is a slower squad, but doesn't mind pushing the pace a little when they get the chance. I think this total is a little low and this one should go over the total.

These two played an 82-80 game in Auburn with the Wildcats getting the road win. They were able to shoot well and hold down Auburn in a few key areas. It'll be interesting to see what happens without Reid Travis. Could we see Kentucky go really small and crank up the pace a little bit? They'll have to keep up with a very potent Auburn backcourt. Then again, a faster game benefits the road team. Auburn has gone over in eight of their 10 games when the total is in the 140s. The Wildcats are averaging 80 points per game at home and allowing around 62. I just think there will be some decent pace to this one and with it being close at the end, then I think FTs come into play. Give me the over.

There is something about Tulsa that has confused Temple the past couple of years. The Golden Hurricane beat the Owls 76-58 at home earlier this month in a game that I had pegged as Temple shot just 30.6% from the court. The Golden Hurricane lost by one at Temple last year in a game that saw the Owls struggle to score once again. Going back to 2017, the Owls lost by two at home to Tulsa as they outscored them. I think we're getting some value here because Tulsa is coming off a bad 21 point loss at home to Wichita. They have road wins at Tulane and East Carolina to go along with a two point loss at UCF. Tulsa is not as strong on the road, but Temple's homecourt advantage is negligible. The Owls have won three of their last four and have had the week off since an overtime victory at USF. They need to keep winning to stay in the tournament hunt. Rose and Alston is the best backcourt in the AAC and should have the advantage. Still, this team has laid some eggs at home. I think this is way too many points.

I think Pacific is a live underdog in this one as they come off a three game road trip in which they lost to St. Mary's 78-66. In that game, the team shot 50% from the field, but allowed the Gaels to shoot better then that. Both teams were on point from long range and the home team also outrebounded the Tigers. Pacific is a different team at home where they have won two straight and has played several others close. St. Mary's has lost at BYU, Pepperdine and Gonzaga in conference and had 11 point wins at Loyola Marymount and Santa Clara. Pacific has covered the last five meetings in this series. I think they can extend that to six on Thursday. 

ETSU has gone over in four straight and 10 of their last 13 as they play at VMI. They've got a bigger game coming up this weekend at UNC Greensboro so focus could be a bit of an issue as they play at sleepy Lexington. These two played an 85-82 game in Tennessee back in January. This is an offense that is very potent and the defense has been a little leaky as of late too. They allowed 91 at Furman, 83 to the Citadel and 78 to Wofford in a few of the past games. VMI has lost seven straight and their defense has allowed 96, 95, 84, 71, 93, 84 and 88 over that stretch. Their offense should be able to add to this total, but I also think that this game could be closer. Give me the over as both teams light up the scoreboard. 

William and Mary hosts Charleston on Thursday night. Whenever you talk about Charleston, you go right to the backcourt of Brantley and Riller which is absolutely fantastic. This team goes as they go and lately the other thing that's gone is their defense. Charleston has gone over in four straight with scores of 83-75, 86-84, 99-95 and 88-79. The team had a stretch where they held four straight opponents to 60 points or less, but now that has abandoned them. The Tribe have gone over in three of their last four as the offense has returned. They've scored 80 or more four times in their last seven games. Nathan Knight is a handful for anyone to have to cover especially one-on-one. Last year, these two played a 114-104 game in Williamsburg. I think this one goes over too. 

San Jose State has been an underdog 20 times this season and has gone over in 14 of those. The Spartans have allowed nearly 80 points per game at home and 87.6 points per contest over their last five. This offense is atrocious so we're really going to need Colorado State to do a lot of the legwork. CSU's offense is no great shakes, but their defense is brutal too. They allowed 74 at lowly Wyoming, 100 at Nevada, 87 at Utah State and 78 at Fresno and UNLV. SJSU has scored 70 points or more just nine times this season. I think this one will be played with a nice pace and both teams should be able to score against the other's leaky defense. 

Butler has lost four of their last seven entering this one. One of those was a 76-58 home loss to this Marquette team in a game that saw the road team shoot 56.9% from the field while the Bulldogs managed just a 32.8%. Butler's offense has scored 70 or more in every game since then. Their defense has also been mighty leaky allowing 70 or more in six of their last eight. Butler does a terrible job of guarding shooters which is not how you attack Marquette. The Golden Eagles are a very good shooting team especially at home. They've scored 66, 69, 79, 79, 70 and 70 at home in conference play. The team's defense is good, but not great. I think we could see a better effort from Kamar Baldwin and Butler in this one. Marquette should be able to get whatever they want offensively. I could see them winning this one rather easily. They have 11 double digit home wins this season.

I like to back Tulsa at home this season where they are a lot better team. The Golden Hurricane are 12-2 there covering just seven of those games. They are shooting over 50% in their last five games and are holding opponents to just 36.7% from the court. Their defense has some interesting wrinkles to it and they really have some solid depth. Wichita State is 3-9 on the road where they are averaging under 65 points per game. These two played just a few weeks ago with Wichita winning 79-68 at home. Last year when the Shockers were a lot better, they only won by three points in Oklahoma. The Golden Hurricane have home wins in conference already over Temple, Memphis, UConn and USF. Wichita lost by 10 at Cincinnati and has also lost at UConn, USF, Houston and Memphis in conference. I think Tulsa wins a tight game between the two. 

Denver has been absolutely brutal on defense as of late. The Pioneers have allowed 90 or more in three of their last five contests with the other two teams scoring 81 and 78 against them. This is a slower paced team, but they managed to put up 81 last time out on Fort Wayne and 82 on South Dakota State. Denver has three double digit scorers who will stress a defense. South Dakota has lost four of their last five and their defense has also had some issues this season as they allowed over 100 points to Nebraska Omaha and Fort Wayne. These two played back on January 2nd with South Dakota winning 71-70. In that one both teams shot pretty well with Denver going 50% from the court. South Dakota has gone over in four straight and eight of their last 12. I think we should see plenty of points in this one. 

Two of the lesser teams in the A-Sun play on Wednesday night as Kennesaw State hosts North Alabama. The Owls have won two of their last six at home over North Florida and NJIT. This team doesn't have a ton of talent although the Hooker kid is a very good scorer. At home KSU has allowed 83, 62, 64, 72, 62 and 90. They just don't play a ton of defense, but do have some flashes of offense. They did lose 76-71 at North Alabama back on January 24th. North Alabama has lost five straight after a five win in six game stretch. The Lions have allowed 80, 82, 71, 102 and 76 during this current losing streak. Their lowest point total allowed on the road this season in conference was 71 to Florida Gulf Coast. Once again, offense is a concern here as well, but I think they can do their part in what will presumably be a closer game. Give me the over in this one. 

It's been quite the month of February for Louisville so far as they've lost three of their last five. The Cardinals blew a huge lead against Duke and then nearly did it once again against Clemson. This team has road wins at Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and North Carolina. Watch out for Enoch and McMahon as zone breakers while the rest of the team works it around the outside. Syracuse is a really hard team to figure out. Their offense has so much talent, but they really can't shoot well. With Brissett, Battle and Hughes, they should be doing so much better, but they've also scored less then 70 in five of their last six. This team lost at home to FSU, Georgia Tech, Old Dominion and Buffalo this season. The Cuse won in Louisville last year in their only meeting, but this Cardinals team has the right personnel to make Syracuse pay. I think the road team wins this one. 

Baylor has lost three of four entering the beehive that is Ames Iowa. King McClure and Makai Mason are both questionable for this one and they are needed for this offense that has struggled as of late. The Bears scored 61 at Texas Tech in a 25 point loss on the road over the weekend. This offense has so much potential even if one of them return. Baylor has gone over in four of five and 10 of their last 14 as well. The defense has been troublesome on the road allowing 84 at Texas, 73 at West Virginia and 85 at TCU. Iowa State has gone over in three straight and six of their last seven. They have scored 83, 65, 93 and 72 in their last four home contests. The offense has a lot of balance, but not a ton of depth. They have scored 70 or more in seven of their last eight. The defense can be exploited a bit so that will help the over. The first meeting was a 73-70 game in Waco. I think we could see something similar in this one. 

Clemson is back home where they are 11-2 on the season. The Tigers have lost two straight one point games falling at Louisville and Miami. This came after a four game win streak including three contests at home against Virginia Tech, Wake Forest and Pittsburgh. The defense is on fire right now having held five straight opponents to under 40% shooting from the field. They played Florida State back on January 22nd losing 77-68 down in Florida. FSU was down 41-35 at half in that one. Clemson beat them by 13 at home last year after losing by two in Tallahassee in 2018. Florida State is not quite the same team on the road and they've got a big one at North Carolina next so maybe they'll have one eye ahead to that one. I think the Tigers defend home court. 

Tennessee is going to be quite angry after losing by 17 at home to Kentucky. The Volunteers had not lost since November 23rd when they fell to Kansas. Before the loss, they had six straight double digit wins and they will be focused after needing overtime to beat Vandy at their place. Tennessee won 88-83 in a game that saw the Commodores shooting 50% from the field and nearly that much from long range as well. Vandy has not won in 2019 with eight of those being by 10 points or more. They just don't play very good defense and have struggled to score too. There will be some who think they will look ahead to LSU this weekend. That could be true, but I also think that they will pound Vandy into submission before then. 

UNI was known for being a slow team that played good defense. Well now, you could consider them to be offensive juggernauts with what they've accomplished as of late. The Panthers have scored 77, 77, 71 in their last three games and have gone over the total in eight of their last nine. UNI's defense has been very porous on the road allowing 70 or more to four of their last five MVC opponents. These two teams played at UNI back on January 26th with the Panthers winning 81-74 at home. Evansville wants to run under Walter McCarty but the offense has gotten stale at times. They have scored 70 or more just six times in conference so far. Luckily for the over, their defense can be beaten as well. To me, this one should go over the total unless UNI returns to their tight defensive ways. 

It's been a brutal year for Wyoming who has lost nine of their last 11 games. The Cowboys don't have a ton of players and certainly don't have a ton of talent on the team. At home, they've played a little bit better with wins over Colorado State and San Jose State. The Cowboys have allowed 75 points or more in four of five and six of their last nine. Nevada has gone over in four of five and five of their last seven as they have cranked up the tempo. They have scored 90 or more in four of those contests and it seems like their depth and talent are wearing teams down. The Wolf Pack should be able to get anything that they want. I think they could get 80 or 90 points and that should be enough for us to get the over.

South Florida doesn't get enough publicity for being a 17-7 team on the season. The Bulls play fantastic defense holding opponents to 66.1 points per game. USF lost by 2 to the Owls in Philly in a game that saw them miss 25 FT's and force 22 turnovers. Coach Gregory is doing good things for this team as they've got a decent backcourt and some size inside. USF's only two home losses were to Houston and The Citadel. Temple's just not the same team on the road as they've laid an egg at Tulsa just recently and have also lost at Houston and Central Florida. Outside of Alston and Rose, there's not a lot to trust on this Owls team. I just don't think they have enough to win on the road right now. They need to tighten up on D which their opponent can already do. 

San Jose State's defense is one of the worst in the country. Over their last four games, they've allowed 92, 105, 67 and 103 points. These two teams played in Vegas back on January 19th with the Rebels scoring 94 in a 94-56 win. I wish I could say that San Jose State's offense will do it's part, but I think UNLV's lack of defense will help facilitate things. The Rebels have allowed 70 or more in six straight and seven of their last nine. The offense should be able to get whatever they want too. They allowed 82 at Utah State and 106 at Air Force. Give me the over in this one.

Virginia Tech is just not the same team without Justin Robinson who figures to be out for this one. Since the point guard left this team has scored just 47, 64, 51 and 76 points. The Hokies defense struggled in their two home games against Georgia Tech and Louisville. The offense just doesn't have enough bodies and Nickeil Alexander-Walker isn't the same without someone setting him up. This team only beat GT by three down in Atlanta back on 1/9 with Robinson in the lineup. Pittsburgh has lost eight straight although each of the last four were single digit losses. They played NC State and Syracuse tough at home and have beaten FSU and Louisville there. The Panthers offense has actually been decent this year and Jeff Capel is doing good things with the program. I think this is way too many points to be laying for the home dog. 

It's round two between these two teams. Lipscomb won 86-57 back on January 21st. Kennesaw State is one of the worst teams in the country. The Owls have played a little bit of defense at home holding three of their last four opponents to 65 points or less. The problem is that none of them were really that potent. This squad struggles against anyone really with offensive talent. The Bisons are going to be quite ornery after losing 74-66 at home to Liberty. That snapped a streak of seven straight games scoring 75 or more. Lipscomb wants to get up and down and I don't think they'll have much of an issue doing it. Even against some of the lesser teams in the conference, their defense has allowed some points. This one should be really ugly and will go over the total. 

Mercer had a stretch of 11 of 12 overs, but has gone under in their last four. The Bears have scored 74, 81, 93, 70, 74 and 58 on the road in conference and lost by four 72-68 at home to East Tennessee State. The Bears have four double digit scorers for teams to worry about led by Ross Cummings and Ethan Stair. ETSU has gone over in three straight, seven of nine and nine of their last 12. This team is very tough at home although they've lost two of their last three there falling to Wofford and UNC Greensboro. Seven different players average eight points per game or more. Their defense has been a little shaky as of late, but had been a strength a lot of the year. To me, this one is going to be played in the 70s which goes over the total. 

I tried Charleston last time out and they fell short against Hofstra. The Cougars offense got a lot of Grant Riller and Jarrell Brantley, but it couldn't slow down the Pride. Now they've got a Northeastern team that may or may not have Vasa Pusica and Shawn Occeus. Now, Pusica is only dealing with an illness and he's played just 18 games. Jordan Roland, Donnell Gresham and Bolden Brace are the other big time options for the Huskies who are hot, but they've also struggled at times on the road against quality competition. Northeastern has gone over in every conference road game except the Hofstra one and that was falling three points short. Both teams can play good defense, but they've also allowed more points against quality competition. The 69-60 Huskies win back about a month ago saw Northeastern shoot well and make some stops. With the venue changing, I expect more points.

Southern Miss has gone over in four straight and five of their last seven as they host UTEP. The Golden Eagles offense has scored 70 or more in five straight as the offense has caught fire. They've got plenty of weapons to throw at UTEP. At home, this team hasn't had much of an issue in conference outside of the 63 scored against Western Kentucky. The Miners aren't that good of a basketball team. They've scored less then 65 points several times in conference, but they've also been pretty bad on defense away from home. Louisiana Tech put up 71, Marshall 91 and Western Kentucky 76. The least they've allowed on the road was that La Tech game. The pace may not be to our liking, but I think USM can make things happen in this one. Give me the over. 

South Carolina Upstate is 6-21 on the season and they've won just once this calendar year. The team has struggled on defense on the road giving up 82 at Campbell, 71 at UNC Asheville, 88 at Hampton and 71 at High Point. Their offense isn't very good, but there are still some decent options. Malik Moore and Deion Holmes are the dynamic duo for the road squad. Longwood wants to get up and down a little bit at home. They've played games of 89-88, 96-83, 55-51, 72-59, 101-91 and 67-62 at home. The Lancers lost at SC Upstate 80-63 back on January 26th, but they had leading scorer Isaiah Walton then. Now they are led by Shabooty Phillips and JaShaun Smith. I think this one should over the lower total.

UVA has been off since Monday as they host Notre Dame on Saturday. The Fighting Irish has lost six of their last eight entering this one as the offense has gotten absolutely stale. They have shot 37% or worse from the field in two straight and five of their last six. This team scored 47 at Miami and the Hurricanes have nowhere near as good defense. These two met back on January 26th in South Bend with UVA coming away with a 82-55 victory. The Wahoos have failed to cover in three of their last four, but that came after a stretch of 10 straight covers. I understand that the Hokies game is next on Monday night, but I don't see this team succumbing to looking ahead to that one. They are just so much better and deeper then ND that they will get the cover easily.

Texas Arlington had an absolutely awful non-conference schedule, but has won eight of their last nine in Sun Belt play. They've done so with an offense that is smoking hot scoring 70 or more in six straight. Their defense has deserted them a bit on the road allowing 77 at Texas State and Georgia State and 67 at Georgia Southern as well. The Trojans have won two straight after a five game losing streak. They've gone over in nine of their last 13 contests and do so with an offense that has been fantastic and diverse. They've got several double digit scorers and would be better if not for a very leaky defense. These two played in Texas on January 19th with the home team winning 82-73. I can see a similar score as UALR wants to push the pace. Give me the over.

The Buckeyes have reeled off three wins and four of their last five as they host Illinois on Thursday night. It's a lazy game at home before a big road trip to Michigan State to play a Spartans team they lost by nine to at home. Ohio State has gone over in two of their last three games and either they or their opponent has scored 70 points or more in every home game. This team has gone back and forth between good offense and good defense. Illinois has gone over in three of their last four as they build some confidence at home in wins over Rutgers, Michigan State and Nebraska. The Illini want to play with a quicker pace, but have also had some defensive issues. They've allowed 86 at Minnesota, 95 at Iowa, 73 at Indiana and 68 at Northwestern in conference play. The offense has scored 70 or more in five straight and seven of their last eight. I think we could get a slightly unfocused OSU which means more points by the road team. 

Charleston is back home where they are 11-1 on the season and holding opponents to just 63.1 points per contest. They got blasted by Hofstra at their place 86-72 back on January 19th in a game that saw the home team shoot 62% from the field. It's not that Charleston did that bad in that game, but they couldn't slow down the Pride. Charleston beat them twice last year including a six point victory at home. Hofstra is only 7-4 on the road this season and are scoring 7 points less then they average there. Riller and Brantley vs. Wright-Foreman will be the biggest matchup. In games like this, I think the role players play better at home so I think Charleston gets the win. 

I've made some money fading VMI this year as they continue to struggle horribly away from home. On the road the Keydets have lost by 20 points or more six times this season. They just don't score enough and they play no defense whatsoever. Greensboro was able to score 93 at home, Mercer put up 88 while Samford had 96. Wofford at home in conference play has been very good at beating the bad teams and covering the big spreads as of late. They've covered four straight after failing to do so in four straight. Earlier this year Wofford won 90-76 in Lexington. The Terriers beat the Keydets by 17 on the road and by 39 at home in 2018. I think this one could get really ugly on Thursday. 

New Mexico has lost seven of their last nine since beating Nevada. The Lobos problem has been on the defensive side where they have allowed 80 or more five times since that win. Their offense has been good at home for the most part scoring 80 or more in three contests in conference play. They should be rather pissed off after losing by nearly 30 at Nevada. San Jose State is atrocious as a team. They've lost their last two road games 105-57 at Boise State and 103-73 at Utah State. Their offense isn't great, but the lack of defense is going to benefit us. The over has hit in three of four and seven of their last nine. Go back even farther and they've hit the over in nine of their last 12. I think the Lobos could crack 100 themselves in this one. 

It's been a rough stretch for the Crusaders as they've lost five of six and six of their last eight. The roster should be as close to whole as possible though with Ryan Fazekas returning from an ankle injury. Fazekas is the team's leading scorer and now their top four are all in the lineup. When they were healthier, this team took care of business at home winning six of seven at the end of December and early January. Indiana State has lost six of their last eight and have been blasted on the road as of late. They lost by 29 at Bradley, 15 at SIU, 14 at Illinois State and by five at UNI in conference play. This team is absolutely hideous on the road both on offense and defense. Allowing 96 at Bradley is practically illegal considering how awful they are offensively as well. Valpo needs the wins and will get an easy one at home in this one. 

Temple has gone under in four straight games after a stretch of eight straight overs. The Owls have had some problems on defense especially at home where they allowed 76 to Memphis, 77 to Penn and 80 to South Florida. Their offense should get a lot better though as they have no problems scoring there. They need to keep winning after a horrible 18 point loss at Tulsa. Rose and Alston are the best backcourt in the AAC and they've got some solid side pieces as well. SMU has lost four straight and six of their last seven. They've gone over in four of their last five after seven straight unders. This team is a lot like Temple in that their offense is very hit or miss and their defense has issues. They allowed 73 at Cincy, 85 at Wichita State and 81 at Memphis. These two have played a bunch of unders as of late, but I think that trend stops on Wednesday. 

North Florida tries to start a win streak as they build off an 82-73 win at North Alabama. The Ospreys want to get up and down the court and at home they've had some success doing so. Since the beginning of the year, they've scored 104, 96, 87, 72, 81 and 55 points at home. This team's defense was what let them down during the skid. They've allowed 70 or more in eight straight including giving up 81 to Kennesaw State at their place just a few weeks ago. Kennesaw State wants a little bit of a slower game, but on the road they've allowed 82, 92, 76, 86 and 72 in conference. The offense could be an issue here, but I think North Florida exercises some frustrations and wins this one easily. I think this one is an over. 

VCU and Richmond is a big time rivalry and the Spiders took both games against the Rams last season. Richmond has feasted on offense the last five games shooting 52.7% from the field. They've even improved a little bit on defense although some of that is the garbage that they've faced. Jacob Gilyard, Grant Golden and Nathan Cayo are a very good trio. It's a bit of a concern that this team could be rattled by the atmosphere at the Siegel Center. Not too many of their players have more then a year's experience. VCU plays some incredible defense allowing just 62.6 points per game with teams shooting just 37.6% from the court. VCU's offense is very hot and cold so there's a chance they could come out and struggle a bit against their rival. I think this one is a lower scoring game potentially so if you are giving me a competent offense plus double digit points then I'm good. 

UNLV has lost four of their last five as the defense has been absolutely hideous. The Runnin Rebels have allowed 83, 72, 82, 87 and 94 in their last five games. Two of those came at home against Nevada and Fresno State. UNLV got wrecked at Air Force 106-88 back on January 16th as the Falcons shot nearly 60% in the win. The worry for this play is AFA away from home isn't as strong. They scored just 51 at San Diego State a game after putting up 73 at San Jose State. It's a little harder for this team to get their slower pace on the road. They have allowed 70 or more in three conference road games. Last year these two played a 97-90 game and a 81-73 contest in Vegas. I'll take the over once again. 

We hit the over in this game when it was in Drake and we're going to try it once again in this one. SIU has gone over in five of their last six with part of that being because of lower totals, but this offense is starting to come alive. In four of their last six, they have scored 70 or more points. There's some solid balance in this offense and the defense has been a little leaky. They allowed 73 at home to Evansville last time out and 73 to Indiana State back on January 30th and that's a team that can't shoot. Drake has gone over in two straight games. Their offense has been very hot and cold scoring 83 against UNI last time out, but before then putting up less then 70 in three straight. Their defense has been struggling a bit as well. I think this lower number gives us a chance to hit the over with a Salukis team that should be able to score. 

Boston College has gone over in 28 of their last 38 home games and 33 of their last 50 ACC contests as well. The Eagles continue to struggle on defense especially at home. They allowed 79 to Notre Dame, 77 to Syracuse, 82 to Florida State and 83 to Virginia at home. The offense is more then capable of scoring even without Wynton Tabbs. They put up 70 or better in every game outside of UVA. The Panthers have gone over in three of four and six of their last 10. Pitt has put up 76 in each of their last two games against NC State and Wake. I think this one is played with some pace and I think it's going to go over the total. 

NIU will be without Eugene German for this one after he was suspended. This means that Levi Bradley and Dante Thorpe will have to shoulder more of the load, because this team doesn't have a ton of scorers. The Huskies have lost three straight including one as a favorite at home against Ball State. Going back farther, this team has lost six of their last eight as the offense and defense have taken turns struggling. Western Michigan has been horrible and has not won in 2019. At home this year they've faced the best teams in Bowling Green, Buffalo and Toledo as well as Eastern Michigan. WMU is led by Michael Flowers, Seth Dugan and Josh Davis. I don't know how the suspension of German will go over with the team, but I like the Broncos in this one. 

UConn is without Jalen Adams and Alterique Gilbert which are two important pieces to their backcourt. The Huskies looked lost against Temple at times on the road last time out and just don't have the guards to keep up with Memphis. The Tigers have lost three of their last four and are coming off a home loss to Cincinnati. That's just their second loss there to go along with the game against Tennessee. In the team's home wins, they have beaten everyone but three opponents by double digits. The Tigers have the edge in a lot of areas other then coaching. I think Memphis wins this one rather easily. 

San Diego State is fantastic at home offensively for the most part. Before scoring only 66 against Air Force, they put up 94 on UNLV, 97 on New Mexico and 84 on Wyoming. The Aztecs defense has been a struggle against their better opponents. They have allowed 70 or more to New Mexico, UNLV and Boise State. Utah State has gone over in six of their last nine and it's because of an offense that has scored 80 or more in three straight and five of their last six. The defense has had their rough moments on the road, but the offense is capable of carrying this total. I think this is a close game as well. That should help us get the over.

UVA nearly knocked off Duke in Durham just a few weeks ago. They return home where they are 39-5 the last three seasons. The Cavaliers are beasts when it comes to covering the spread as they have done so in 15 of their 20 contests as a favorite. Ty Jerome's back injury looms large over this one, but I really think he will play. JPJ is a really tough gym and that'll represent the biggest challenge for the Blue Devils who rarely leave the comforts of home. I have to think the week off will give Tony Bennett a chance to make some adjustments to RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson. Yes, Tre Jones is back and will make a difference. These two have played some very tight games with the road team winning two of their last three. I'll take the Cavs at home whenever I can as essentially a pick'em favorite.

Drexel is back home where they average nearly 80 points per game. Offense hasn't been an issue for the Dragons this season, but defense is where they struggle. They allow almost 77 points per contest in conference play. Drexel beat Charleston at their place 79-78 in a game that was 49-41 at halftime. Charleston has Riller and Brantley as a great duo who should be able to get whatever they want. This team is coming off an 83-75 win at Delaware. They also played a 86-72 contest at Hofstra as well. They want to play defense and slow things down, but it's a little harder on the road. I think this one is going to be an over especially since it's going to be close.

Hofstra is 13-0 at home where they are outscoring teams 88.2 - 68.3 while shooting over 50% from the court. They are coming off an absolute pasting of Elon in which they put up 102 points. Justin Wright-Foreman is incredible as a scorer and William and Mary struggles to play defense on the road. They have allowed 72, 74, 93, 66 and 58 on the road in conference. These two played back on January 10th with Hofstra winning 93-90. William and Mary's offense should be able to put up some points here too. I think this one is an over.

These two teams played back on January 30th with the Orange winning 77-71. Syracuse is a really hard team to peg as they look great some times and others they can't throw the ball into the ocean. In their win in Chestnut Hill, they shot 55.8% from the court and held the Eagles to just nine three's. BC is 5-1 against the spread away from home losing by 10 at Louisville, by 3 at Notre Dame and by 11 at Virginia Tech. They have wins at Wake Forest and DePaul already this season and have Ky Bowman who can take over a game. It's very tough betting on Orange games, but I think they could struggle to cover the big number.

TCU has lost two of their last three and has not won a road game since beating SMU at their place back in December. The Horned Frogs have allowed 90, 84, 65, 76 and 77 in conference away from Fort Worth. Their offense has been in a bit of a lull as of late scoring 70 or less in six straight. They are capable of putting up some points though. Iowa State has won four straight and six of their last seven. They've got a ton of weapons on offense and have scored 70 or more in five of their last six. Their defense has been very hot and cold as the over has hit in four of their last five. Last year these two played a 89-83 game and a 96-73 one as well. Each squad is a little bit better defensively so I don't expect that but I do like the over. 

These two played a crazy game last year in Olean with the Rams winning in OT after sending it there via a technical free throw because the Bonnies stormed the court with 0.4 ticks left in the game. I'm higher on them then others are considering their 9-13 record. Courtney Stockard and Kyle Lofton are good players and this is a solid homecourt advantage. Last year a better Bonnies team went to VCU and won 68-63. The Rams play incredible defense, but their offense is so hot and cold and that's tough to rely on on the road. Marcus Santos Silva is a load inside and Marcus Evans and Isaac Vann are solid guards. I just think they could struggle in this road trip on Saturday.

The Panthers have lost six straight after a solid start to their year. Part of this streak has been because they've played four games on the road over that span. At home, they hung in there with Syracuse and lost by 15 to Duke. This is a team that beat FSU and Louisville at home already this season. They are limited offensively, but I like some of their pieces up front. NC State has lost three straight and four of their last five. The Wolfpack played no defense in a loss at Chapel Hill as they gave up 113, but the game before that they scored just 24 against Virginia Tech. NC State is uber talented, but has to wonder how their mindset is right now. They lost at Louisville and Wake Forest already this season. I'll take a shot with the upset here.

Clemson hosts Virginia Tech who is playing their third game without Justin Robinson. The Tigers are 10-2 at home and 14-8 overall. They have a mediocre offense with Marcquise Reed, Elijah Thomas and Shelton Mitchell leading the way. They'll have the advantage inside against Tech who relies on Kerry Blackshear to do the dirty work. The Hokies offense struggled in their two games against NC State and Louisville. At times it was Nickeil Alexander-Walker doing a lot of the work and others failing to match up. Buzz Williams has had a little bit more time to install some offense after two games in 48 hours last week. The Tigers are a desperate bunch who are bouncing back after a slow start to conference play. I think the home team holds serve and beats Tech.

Temple is heading to Tulsa on Saturday afternoon. The Owls have lost all three meetings with the Golden Hurricane at their place and have had some close contests with them overall. Temple fell to Tulsa last year 76-58 on the road and only beat them 59-58 at home. Tulsa has lost six of their last eight and seven of their last 10 overall. The wins over that span came at home against USF, UConn and Memphis with home losses to Houston and Cincy although each of those were close for certain portions. Temple is a team that is hard to figure out as they've won at Tulane, ECU, Wichita State, St. Joe and Missouri but they also have lost at UCF and Houston to go along with an odd 7 point loss at home to Penn. Temple has the more talented players with Alston and Rose in the backcourt, but I like Tulsa's team a little better. I think getting points here is a fantastic spot. 

I don't get this line so I'll bite on the home team. Butler has lost three of their last four and have a road win at DePaul in conference. They lost by 14 at Creighton, by 1 at Xavier and Seton Hall as well. The Bulldogs have been off all week so the hope I guess is that will help a team that's not great defensively and has had some inconsistencies on the offensive end as well. Georgetown is really young, but they are playing with some confidence having won three of their last four. They are scoring the ball and playing just enough defense. The Hoyas have a lot of balance and Jesse Govan who is a beast inside. They beat Butler at their place back on January 2nd 84-76 in a game that saw them shot over 50% from the court. This line seems like a trap but I'll take them. 

The Jaguars have won two straight after a five game losing streak. South Alabama has gone over in all but two of their conference games with one of those coming against Arkansas State on the road in a game where they lost 66-65. The Jags have fantastic guards and have scored 80 or more in three of their last four. They are clearly more comfortable at home this season. The Red Wolves have won two of their last three and have gone over in six of their last nine contests. They do it a little differently with Ty Cockfield doing a lot of the heavy lifting. ASU has allowed 83, 77, 68, 85 and 83 on the road in Sun Belt play. To me, this one should be played with some pace and should go over the total. 

I'll take a shot on the over here. Youngstown State has gone over in five of their seven home games. This team just doesn't care about defense too much. They have allowed 70 or more in seven straight and 11 of their last 12. The offense has been pretty good itself with five of their last six scoring 70 or more. Youngstown put forth one of their better defensive efforts at Milwaukee beating them 76-51. I don't expect that to occur once again. This is the Panthers fourth straight road game. They are a very hot and cold team offensively with three efforts of 65 points or less in their last four game, but sandwiched around that are solid offensive efforts. I realize that this could be a lower scoring game, but I'll take a shot that both defenses are leaky and this one gets played in the 70s. 

Two of the better teams in the conference play as ETSU hosts Wofford. These two played at Wofford with the Terriers winning 79-62 in a game that saw them shoot 50.9% from the field and ETSU miss 11 free throws. The scene shifts where ETSU is 10-1 averaging 86.1 points per game. They are also playing a lot better defense there. The team has gone over in seven of those contests as you'd expect. Wofford is 7-3 on the road and has not lost in conference. The team is shooting 51% from the field in those games while averaging over 84 points per contest. ETSU has gone over in 23 of their last 33 home games including six of eight this season. I think this one goes over the total as well.