Valpo is 7-0 this season and are led by the trio of Tevonn Walker, Bakari Evelyn and Markus Golder who put up almost 40 points per game. They've got size with a pair of seven footers and play fantastic defense. Valpo has beaten all but one opponent by double digits and has held all but one to 40% shooting or less. In comes Utah State who is playing their fifth straight game away from home. They will not have Julion Pearre, Brock Miller and most likely Koby McEwen who continues to deal with an ankle injury. The Aggies have been close in their losses losing by four to Portland State, 13 at Gonzaga and 6 at Weber State. The Crusaders have covered all four games as a favorite this season. I think they do so again on Tuesday.

Brown has won two straight and four of their six games overall. They've played four road games, winning two of them with the others being by 3 at St. Francis-NY and by 13 at Stony Brook. They are led by Brandon Anderson, Desmond Cambridge and Zach Hunsaker who average nearly 50 points per game combined. It looks like Rhody will be without Cyril Langevine and E.C. Matthews for this one. They are coming off a 70-55 loss to Virginia. The Rams have a huge game vs. Providence and Alabama coming up. The last two times the Bears have kept this game close. URI has covered just 11 of their last 32 non-conference games. I think they struggle in this one too. 

Ohio is 3-2 on the season and is coming off back to back 96 point performances over Mt St Mary's and Indiana State. They've played well this season with the losses coming to Dayton and Clemson. Jordan Dartis, Teyvion Kirk and Mike Laster all put up over 14 points per game. Iona is having a rough season considering they have not played a home game yet. They've lost to Syracuse, Northern Kentucky and Coastal Carolina so far. The reason is a struggle on defense despite a solid offense. Rickey McGill and TK Edogi are the leading scorers for the Gaels. Last year this was a 79-75 game at Iona because both teams are good offensively. Iona has gone over in 18 of their last 28 road games. Give me the over. 

This might have been a better matchup with Deshaun Watson under center. Instead it's Tom Savage and an offense that has struggled mightily without their star signal caller. Baltimore's defense has been fantastic holding opponents to just 306 yards per game and 23 points over their last three contests. The Ravens have held their last three opponents to just 2.56 rushing yards per game. I'm betting they stack the box against Lamar Miller. Joe Flacco hasn't been that good this season so you know that Houston will try to stack the box themselves. This one is going to feature a lot of long drives potentially and not a lot of points. 

Oral Roberts has lost five straight and one can point to their lack of defense as a main reason why. They have allowed 80 points or more four times already this season and each of those teams shot 50% or more from the field. Oakland's road trip continues after already playing at Toledo, Syracuse and Kansas. They've lost all three games, but have shown offensive spunk putting up 87 and 85 already this season. They've had issues with defense too so I think this one is going over the total. ORU has gone over in 13 of their last 21 at home and 17 of their last 34 non-conference games. 

Tyus Battle is not 100% and is a gametime decision in this one. He's been the main scorer for a team that has had way too many stretches of no scoring at all which is a problem considering Maryland has depth, size and a decent shooter or two. The Orange has skated by beating up on mid majors while the Terps have tested themselves at least against Butler. I'll take a chance Battle's not at 100% and take this spread. 

UC Davis plays their fourth road game of the season as they take on Washington. The Aggies have road wins at Pacific and Northern Colorado this season. They are led by Chima Moneke's 22.8 points per game. Silas Schneider is one of their better three point shooters and they'll need him against the Huskies leaky 2-3 zone. Washington lost to Virginia Tech and Providence and have single digit home wins over Seattle and Belmont. Washington has covered just 16 of their last 34 home games. This one should be a bit close and probably high scoring.

Portland has struggled with the step up in competition in the PK80. The Pilots lost 102-78 to UNC and 93-71 to Oklahoma. The one thing that's been constant is that their offense is working. They've scored 70 points or more in every game so far this season and are doing it with balance. DePaul has just one win and it came against Delaware State. They've struggled mightily shooting the ball from long range, but have the athletic advantage in this one. DePaul has scored over 70 points three times this season while the defense has been leaky as well. I think this one goes over the total. 

Oregon State and Marist are both looking for their first win in this Advocare Tournament. The Beavers lost to St. John's and Long Beach State in games that showed their lack of defense. OSU has four double digit scorers and not much after them. Marist got smoked by Nebraska after a close loss to West Virginia. The Red Foxes have allowed 76 points or more in all five of their games. Their offense has been pretty good outside of the 59 points scored against Nebraska. OSU has gone over in 14 of their last 19 games when the total is in the 140s. This one is going to feature a lot of points.

It's a Big 5 battle as Temple takes on La Salle. The Owls have played just three games and have had some time off to prepare for this one. They are shooting 42.9% from the field and are cranking out the three pointers. Obi Enechionya and Quinton Rose are their leading scorers. The over has hit in 16 of their last 29 non-conference games. La Salle's offense has scuffled a bit other then BJ Johnson and Pookie Powell. The Explorers have been bad defensively especially during this recent losing stretch. Last year these two played a 97-92 game. It won't be that high scoring, but I think it goes over this lower total.

Last week we were on the Vikings, who exposed the Rams and this week I'm going to look at that same Los Angeles team to do the same to the Saints. New Orleans extended its streak to eight in a row after a come-from-behind victory at home over a banged-up Redskins squad. This Saints team saw their defense get beaten up and I think the Rams can do the same, especially with Todd Gurley leading the way on the ground. New Orleans hasn’t necessarily faced a potent offense, which skews the defense’s statistics a bit. Give Rams defensive coordinator Wade Phillips some time to prep and he'll have a good game plan to counter Drew Brees and the Saints’ running game. Los Angeles has won four of its last five and I expect Gurley to be even more involved moving forward. I think the Rams hold serve at home in this one.

You can't get any lower on the Broncos, which is why I'll take a chance on them Sunday. Paxton Lynch is getting the start and he might be the best of the three options when it comes to Trevor Siemian and Brock Osweiler. I saw a stat on Twitter that said quarterbacks have a 113.2 passer rating when facing the Raiders this season. Oakland's defense has been terrible. The offense also has been inconsistent, scoring fewer than 20 points in five of the past seven games. Yes, Denver's defense has had a bad couple of weeks, but I still believe in this unit, for some reason. The Broncos also have won 16 of their last 26 straight up in Oakland. I think there's a chance they can do it again.

Colorado hosts Air Force on Sunday afternoon. The Buffaloes are 5-0 and are shooting 49.1% from the field. They are putting up 78 points per game and are led by McKinley Wright and George King. The Buffs play some good defense, but have also been leaky as of late allowing 70 to Mercer and 81 to Drake. There's also a matchup with Colorado State on deck so focus could be an issue. Air Force is 3-1 and is playing their first road game of the season. They've had two good defensive games and two stinkers against Pacific and Canisius. Air Force's offense is inconsistent, but they have been playing with pace from time to time. The Falcons have gone over in 18 of their last 28 when the totals are in the 140s. These two played a 75-68 game on the road. I think we get a similar game this year.

Montana State took the title in the tournament they were in and are traveling to Fresno State. Tyler Hall has been part of a potent backcourt that has scored 80 points or more three times this season. The Bobcats have struggled on the road against the better teams losing at Utah State 81-73 and at Louisiana Tech 71-58. Fresno has scored 70 points or more in four of their five games. They've got a lot of weapons and their defense hasn't been that great either. MSU has gone over in 12 of their last 17 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one does too.

I'm going to go back to this well even though it didn't go well when the 49ers came to Philadelphia. The Eagles are coming off an emotional win in Dallas on Sunday night and are staring at a road trip that will take them to Seattle, LA and New York coming up. The problem with this is that the team is steamrolling the opposition on the scoreboard and against the spread. Chicago has lost three straight as the offense has bogged down with Mitchell Trubisky under center. He doesn't have weapons on the outside and teams are loading up against the run, which won't be an option against the Eagles. The Bears’ defense held New Orleans to 20 points on the road a couple of weeks ago. They've gone under in six of their nine games as an underdog.

The Titans beat the Colts 36-22 just over a month ago at home. In that game they relied on the run game and racked up nearly 500 yards of offense. That started a four-game winning streak that came to a rather sudden end last time out vs. the Steelers. Tennessee's defense doesn't exactly scare me so I think Indianapolis should be able to put up some points against the Titans especially if Jacoby Brissett plays. The Colts’ offense has scored 60 points over their last three games. They need to score as their defense has been leaky at times especially against the pass following the parting of ways with Vontae Davis, far and away the team’s top cornerback. Marcus Mariota is getting healthier and that makes the Tennessee offense more explosive. The Titans have gone over in three straight and four of their last five.

I'll take the bait and take the home team in this one. BYU is coming off an embarrassing 16-10 home loss to UMass in which the offense had four turnovers and the defense fell just a bit short. BYU's offense has shown a little bit of spunk at times, but they've also put forth five efforts of 17 points or less in their last seven games. Hawaii has lost four straight games and has not shown much defensive effort in any of those games. With this being a late game in Hawaii with a team who has nothing to play for, you could really see an unfocused effort. I just don't know how anyone can trust BYU at all, certainly as a favorite. They were a favorite at ECU and lost.

UTSA has played six straight unders and it's because of their fantastic defense which has allowed 95 points over that span. They are good against the run and the pass. The offense has been pretty bad as of late with just 35 points against FIU, UAB and Marshall. Louisiana Tech has the better offense, but the worse defense in this one. Still, I think we see a lot of running plays and that helps the pace of this one move along. The home team is playing for a potential bowl bid while the road team is playing for momentum. I think this is close and low scoring.

The Spiders have a quick turnaround from their three day stay in the Cayman Islands where they went 1-2. Georgetown comes to town and they figure to have some offensive success. Richmond has allowed all but one opponent to shoot 50% from the field. They allowed 75 points or more in each of those games. On the positive side, Khwan Fore is back so the team has another weapon for their own offense which has struggled. Jesse Govan leads a Georgetown team that has crushed each of their first three unlined opponents. They've played good defense in those games, but the teams weren't very good. To me, this is going to be a very physical game and I think it goes over the total. 

UNLV has won three of their last four entering the big rivalry game against Nevada. The Running Rebels have been rolling on the ground with two 300 yard efforts in the last month or so. Their defense isn't great, but they've made stops when they've had to. The last few weeks they've been better against the pass. Nevada has lost four of their last five and they've struggled with stopping anyone on defense. Since the end of September, five opponents have scored 40 points or more. UNLV has covered 11 of their last 17 road games winning five of those outright. I think they are the better team in this one. 

FAU has gone over in five of their last six and should do so here against a Charlotte team that can't stop the run. The Owls are averaging over 40 points per game during this current win streak. They are doing so with a lethal running attack. Charlotte just gave up 363 yards on the ground to Southern Miss in a 66-21 loss. The 49ers offense isn't very good, but they've managed 21 points in each of the last two weeks. Lane Kiffin doesn't let off the pedal either so I think that FAU gets a big lead and keeps pounding it. 

Well sadly I get only one more chance to fade UTEP as they play at UAB. The Miners have the worst offense statistically in the league and have not covered their last five games. They've lost by 35 at North Texas, 27 at MTSU, 24 at Southern Miss and 14 at Army. UAB has been one of the best stories in college football and have won three of their last four. In a similar situation we faded Rice at UAB and the Blazers rewarded us with a 52-21 win. I think they will want to get a huge win in front of their fans before the bowl game. UTEP has covered just two of their 11 games overall. I'll fade them one more time. 

This is a really odd line to me. Yes, Wake Forest has been impressive offensively, but they are extremely leaky as a defense. The Demon Deacons are allowing over 200 yards per game on the ground. They've given up 24 points or more in every game since Florida State in late September. The offense is clicking even without Greg Dortch who made a difference out wide. Duke snapped their losing streak last week in a big way beating Georgia Tech 43-20. In that game, they realized how effective the run game can be when you stick with it. The defense will be glad to face a passing team after two straight weeks of the option. Duke has covered 11 of their last 19 games as an underdog winning eight of them outright. The Demon Deacons are a lot better but this might be a bit of an overreaction. The road team could be a live dog in this one. 

Memphis is rolling having won six in a row as a team. They've put up 56, 66 and 70 during this win streak and they are playing for a lot here. The Tigers want to win their half of the AAC and ECU's defense is very giving. They are allowing over 50 points per game away from home and allowed 52 at Houston and 63 at UCF. The offense has shown some spunk too so I think they can contribute a lot to this total. Memphis has gone over in five of six home games and 13 of their last 19 there. This one should see a ton of points.

I think this is a bit of a lower total for two offenses who don't mind playing with some pace. Vandy was punked by UVA last game, but it was because the offense struggled to get on track. The Commodores have a lot of weapons offensively that they've shown several times already this season. So does Seton Hall who is averaging over 80 points per game. The Pirates are shooting 49.2% from the field. Since this one should be close, I think free throws will come into play at the end. 

Well folks, we made it to the end of the regular season and now it's rivalry time in the conference. You know the numbers so I don't need to rehash the streak and how things have gone for the Hoos. While the record is different, the two teams on the field aren't that different. Tech has better offensive numbers, but they also had an easier schedule. It's very hard for me to trust this side of the ball. They've scored just 76 points over their last four contests as Josh Jackson has been inconsistent. Last week, the Hokies won 20-14 at home against Pittsburgh and it was uninspiring. UVA gave me my lock of the year last week as we got an unfocused Miami team for long enough that they couldn't overcome the 19/20 point spread. I have a feeling that Kurt Benkert is going to play one of his better games against a Tech secondary that is very beatable. Tech may have won 20 of their last 25 in this series, but they've only covered 15 of those contests. The total is way too high for this one so I think the Under is worth a look and so is the home team. UVA has covered 17 of their last 27 games as an underdog. I don't know if we will even need the points because I think the Hoos can win outright. That said, as long as it stays at 7 or above, I love the Cavs. The other factor to consider is that it probably won't sound like Blacksburg as I'm assuming most UVA fans have kept their tickets for this one instead of selling them in disgust. 

Well folks, we made it to the end of the regular season and now it's rivalry time in the conference. You know the numbers so I don't need to rehash the streak and how things have gone for the Hoos. While the record is different, the two teams on the field aren't that different. Tech has better offensive numbers, but they also had an easier schedule. It's very hard for me to trust this side of the ball. They've scored just 76 points over their last four contests as Josh Jackson has been inconsistent. Last week, the Hokies won 20-14 at home against Pittsburgh and it was uninspiring. UVA gave me my lock of the year last week as we got an unfocused Miami team for long enough that they couldn't overcome the 19/20 point spread. I have a feeling that Kurt Benkert is going to play one of his better games against a Tech secondary that is very beatable. Tech may have won 20 of their last 25 in this series, but they've only covered 15 of those contests. The total is way too high for this one so I think the Under is worth a look and so is the home team. UVA has covered 17 of their last 27 games as an underdog. I don't know if we will even need the points because I think the Hoos can win outright. That said, as long as it stays at 7 or above, I love the Cavs. The other factor to consider is that it probably won't sound like Blacksburg as I'm assuming most UVA fans have kept their tickets for this one instead of selling them in disgust. 

EMU is 4-0 on the season, but they will get their first challenge of the season against Indiana. The Eagles have shot 50% from the field and held their opponents to just 64.5 points per game. They play a good zone which could stymie Indiana who is shooting just 30.1% from long range. Elijah Minnie, James Thompson IV, Paul Jackson and Tim Bond are their double digit scorers with Thompson averaging a double-double. The Hoosiers have Duke next and are coming off a game 48 hours ago so maybe we don't get the best effort here. I like the road team in this one.

Toledo hits the road to play a Cornell team that's horrendous on defense. The Big Red are allowing opponents to shoot 46.3% from the field while allowing 82.8 points per contest. They gave up 98 points to UMass-Lowell. Toledo has been very good on offense outside of the Syracuse game. They've scored 98, 87 and 72 in their three wins so far this season. Cornell has gone over in 10 of their last 17 home games. I think this one sees plenty of pace. 

Ohio's slim hopes to make the MAC title game went up in smoke last week. Now they head to Buffalo to play a Bulls team that needs a win to become bowl eligible. These two have combined for 13 overs in 22 games with eight of those coming from Ohio. Their offense is putting up over 40 points per game while the Buffalo defense has struggled at times. The UB offense has started to work as of late as they continue to feed Anthony Johnson who is one of the best WRs in the MAC. Buffalo has gone over in four of their five home contests. I think we get a looser Bobcat squad and a focused Bulls team who want to go bowling.

The Blue Devils begin their time in the PK80 against Portland State. The Blue Devils have wins over lesser teams by 29, 30, 17 and 29 already. They have a lot of talent and are still trying to work on their rotations and getting everyone enough minutes. Because of that, they should still add to their lead late when the bench is in. The Vikings have wins over Utah State, UC Riverside, Willamette and Portland so far. Clearly, they have not been tested yet this season. I think they will struggle to get a lot done against the Blue Devils. This is close in the first half with the underdog having a lot of the crowd but I think it becomes a blowout late. 

The Cowboys couldn't be much lower right now after they got crushed at home by the Eagles. They've lost two straight scoring just 16 points against Atlanta and Philly. The defense has been bad and the offense can't get much going. Tyron Smith is returning and it's important considering you can run on San Diego. The Chargers are one of the worst run defenses in the league despite the solid front line with Bosa and Ingram. Alfred Morris was able to find some holes against the Eagles. San Diego has to fly to Dallas on a short turn around and they've lost two of their last three. LA has been a terrible favorite failing to cover in 10 of their last 15 games as a favorite. I think Dallas can win this one outright, but I'll take the points. 

It's the PK80 and Portland vs. North Carolina is one of the earliest games. The Pilots have wins over Oregon Tech and Walla Walla to go with a loss to Portland State. The team wants to run it seems as they've scored 75 points or more in each contest. They'll have a small advantage in that this game will be close to home, but they have no shot vs. the Heels. North Carolina's offense has rolled so far with efforts of 86, 93 and 96. They have wins over Stanford, Bucknell and Northern Iowa. The defense has struggled at times so I think there will be some pace in this one. I think this goes over the total.

The Under has been a great play in the Lions/Vikings series with it hitting in four of their last five meetings. The two teams met in Minnesota back in October with the Lions winning 14-7. Both teams were horrendous on offense and that's seemingly been the tradition as both defenses has been strong. These two also played last Thanksgiving with Detroit winning 16-13 in a close low scoring affair. The Vikings are running it better right now and the Lions have struggled against the run the last two weeks. Minnesota's passing game might be better now too, but they managed just 197 yards through the air back in October. Minnesota has gone under in 26 of their last 43 games. I think this is a lower scoring game. 

It's been a rough week for Missouri who struggled to beat Emporia State on Monday and then lost their heralded freshman recruit for the season on Tuesday. The Tigers have wins over Iowa State and Wagner to go with an 18 point loss at Utah. One has to wonder what the team's mindset is after the rough news. Kevin Puryear and Kassius Robertson are the team's double digit scorers. Jeremiah Tilmon has been good at center, but he's had a lot of foul trouble. Long Beach State has lost their last two after beating San Francisco and San Francisco State. I like the 49ers talent and think they can keep things close in this one.

This seems like a get out your frustrations type game for Ole Miss who had a loss to Utah. Rice is 1-3 with the win coming against Northwestern State. The losses were by 27 to UNLV, 21 to Georgia State and by 1 to Eastern Kentucky. The Owls don't have the size or depth to keep up in this one. The Rebels are 3-1 with an 18 point win over ULL, 10 point victory over Eastern Kentucky and five against Georgia State. This one should be a relatively easy win for the much better team.

Detroit has had a heck of a time so far this season with their coach suspended indefinitely by the school. On the court they are 2-2 with wins over Houston Baptist and Michigan-Dearborn. They lost by 31 to Seattle and by 32 against Virginia Tech. This team wants to run and plays next to no defense as three opponents have put up over 100 points. The Billikens are 3-1 on the season with wins over the Hokies, Rockhurst and Seattle and the loss coming to Providence. They want to play controlled basketball and don't want to get into a track meet if they can prevent it. They did play two overs against Virginia Tech and Providence. I think this one goes over the total and could get quite ugly for the Titans if they continue their lack of defense.

Neutral court matchup between a pair of 2-1 teams looking for their first quality win. Sam Houston State has victories over Hardin Simmons and Texas-Tyler to go with a nine point loss at Idaho. The Bearkats are led by Christopher Galbreath Jr and John Dewey III. Central Michigan has victories over Eureka and Siena Heights to go with a seven point loss at Michigan. The Chips have five double digit scorers plus two other players who average eight points per contest. They've seemingly got more depth and more reliable scorers. I like them to get the win.

James Madison is firmly on the list as a fade team until they figure things out. App State is 3-2 on the season with wins over UTEP, Bridgewater and Toccoa Falls. The two losses were by 6 against Iowa State and by 19 against Western Michigan. Ronshad Shabazz and Justin Forrest are the two double digit scorers for the Mountaineers. JMU has lost four straight since their 30 point win over Bridgewater. They have a home loss by 16 to ODU to go with neutral court losses to UTSA, Weber State and Northern Kentucky. Should be noted that ASU's win over Bridgewater was by 38 points. It's an odd tipoff team so I'm not expecting much of an atmosphere. I think the road team wins this one.

Two of the best long range teams in the country play as Nevada hosts Davidson. The Wildcats are shooting 53.2% from the field and 45.3% from long range entering this one. They are averaging 109 points per contest and will need to bomb away if they hope to win this one. Nevada has gone over in all four of their games because they shoot just under 50% from the field. Nevada has gone over in 19 of their last 26 non-conference games. Defense will be at a premium in this one as each team threatens 100 points in a close contest. 

The Gauchos continued to make me money last night as they won at Pepperdine. With Marcus Jackson back the offense is pretty balanced. Now if they can fix their leaky defense, they could be Big West favorites. I'm loyal to a fault sometimes with my teams that I ride early. I will continue to take UCSB especially in an almost straight up situation.

Tennessee State has struggled against it's division one opponents especially on the defensive side where they allowed Kansas to shoot 60% in a 36 point loss and MTSU to shoot 50% in a 10 point loss at home. The offense has had it's issues too. Canisius has just one win, but they've also played some tough games at Air Force and Buffalo. The Golden Griffins have five double digit scorers and are coming off a 104-84 win over Youngstown State. Tennessee State has covered just seven of their last 19 home games. I think the road team is the better one.

Western Carolina has played three power five opponents and has been blown out in each of those games. They lost by 28 to Clemson, 51 to Cincinnati and 28 to Minnesota in contests that had them fail to get to 65 points. The one win came against a school named Hiwasse College. They aren't a very big team and that will be a struggle against the Minutemen and Rashaan Holloway who is a huge presence up front. UMass beat Niagara by 25 points last time out and will enjoy the homecourt advantage. WCU is 3-13 against the spread as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more. I think UMass wins this one easily.

Pittsburgh is one of the worst teams in the country and they don't really have the talent to keep up with anyone. If you are pretty much non-competitive against Penn State then you are going to struggle against Oklahoma State who now has Jeffrey Carroll back.

I've made some money with UCSB so far this season and it's because of their offensive ability. I've also lost with Pepperdine because their offense has not shown up and it's leaked over to the defensive side of the ball. Marcus Jackson joins Gabe Vincent and several others as potent options for the Gauchos. Neutral court for this one, but I think that UCSB is the better squad.

San Diego State is starting to play faster and looser now that Steve Fisher is gone. They'll take on EIU who is 1-2 so far this season. The Panthers lost 72-68 at Nebraska and 56-54 at Western Illinois. The team did play a shootout in an 80-79 victory over IUPUI. JaJuan Starks and Terrell Lewis lead the way for them. The coach said they will have to play quicker to counteract the Aztecs size. Malik Pope and Trey Kell lead the way. To me, it's about time they used their athleticism to their advantage. I think this one goes over the total. 

Long Beach State is playing another murderous stretch away from home that takes them to Morgantown. The 49ers are coming off a loss at Oregon State 89-81 two days ago in a contest that saw them allow the Beavers to shoot almost 56% from the field. They won at San Francisco 83-71 and have their usual myriad of transfers and talent. West Virginia is averaging over 90 points per game and is still working on their rotations. LBSU has some vulnerable point guards who will struggle against the press. Long Beach State has gone over in 23 of their last 33 road games and 25 of their last 34 as an underdog. I think this one is going to see a ton of points. 

The Golden Grizzlies hit the road to New York to play Syracuse. Oakland has wins over New Orleans and Fort Wayne with a tough loss two days ago at Toledo. The defense has struggled at times, but scoring shouldn't be an issue. Kendrick Nunn and Martez Walker are a very potent duo and will present problems for the zone. Syracuse is a young team so they'll struggle at times with putting away lesser teams. They didn't cover against Iona who is a similar type team. They also struggled at times with Texas Southern. I think this one is a closer game. Oakland has covered 39 of their last 62 games including 20 of their last 28 road games. 

Ball State loves to run and has gone over in 24 of their last 36 games against teams with a winning record. They allowed 108 points at Oklahoma and 78 at Dayton. This is a team with a bit of offensive firepower themselves. Oregon lost a lot of talent, but has put up over 100 points in their last two games as well. There will be plenty of pace in this one. I think it goes over the total. 

Tulane looks like a player early on in the season. Melvin Frazier and Cameron Reynolds are two of five double digit scorers. They are shooting great from the field and the offense is flowing easily so far. Fordham is on the opposite end of the spectrum. They lost by 24 to Florida State and by one to Miami-Ohio. They've struggled terribly to score easily and that could be an issue in this one. I think the Green Wave win easily. 

The Bills benched Tyrod Taylor for Nathan Peterman thinking that will be some magic elixir to fix their issues as of late. Taylor is not the reason that the defense has been gashed. The acquisition of Kelvin Benjamin helped, but the signal caller also needs more time to build chemistry with him. Los Angeles has lost two straight, but each were very close contests. They need to get Melvin Gordon going and I think it happens against this defense that has allowed over 450 yards on the ground the last two weeks. To me, this is a blowup spot for the home team who could take advantage of a Bills team wondering what the front office is doing.

The Chiefs are coming off their bye week and traveling to New York where the Giants continue to not show up week after week. The team seemingly has packed it in on Coach McAdoo who is not going anywhere. They allowed 31 points to an awful 49ers team last week after giving up 51 to the Rams at home. The good thing is that the Giants offense is showing a pulse as of late. KC's defense is vulnerable in certain areas. I think they spent the bye trying to figure out how Kareem Hunt will be used as he's tailed off big time since a hot start. The Giants have gone over in two straight and five of their last seven contests. I think this one is a bit higher scoring even if most of the points come from the Chiefs.

I'm a glutton for punishment for even looking at this game. This should have been the bye week for Miami and Tampa Bay, but the hurricane took care of that in week number one. Both teams have been a huge disappointment with Jameis Winston struggling for the Bucs. They won last week at home against the Jets because of a rare good effort by the defense. I don't know if that happens again against a Dolphins team that has the short week to prepare for this one. They lost 45-21 at Carolina last Monday Night and have now given up 72 points the last two weeks in primetime. Miami has hit the over in four straight while Tampa Bay has gone under in three straight. To me, this one is going to feature a lot of points as each team's defense has had issues stopping their opponent. Tampa Bay has gone over the total in seven of their last eight when the number is between 35.5 and 42

This is a huge matchup in the NFC as the Vikings host the Rams. Both teams have put up good defensive numbers while their offenses have been pleasant surprises. The Vikes are holding opponents to just 81.3 rushing yards per game which will be important in stopping Todd Gurley. Gurley's success has been able to help Jared Goff do well. Minnesota's run game has not failed as much as we thought when Dalvin Cook went down because Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon have picked up the slack. Case Keenum is playing good football, but there's also a chance we see Teddy Bridgewater who is healthy and ready in the wings. Minnesota has covered 17 of their last 22 home games and 29 of their last 42 overall. I guess it's weird to say considering they are 7-2, but I'm not sure if the Rams are for real. They've played a pretty easy schedule so far. I'll take the home team in this one.

The Redskins are a hard team to figure out. They went to Seattle two weeks ago and clamped down on the Seahawks holding them to just 14 points. Last week they scored 30 on a great Vikings defense, but allowed 38 in the process. I think we get a better effort from this defense who is healthier now. The offensive line is also pretty much intact helping them out in giving Kirk Cousins some time. The Saints current stretch of defensive success the last four weeks showed them shutting down the likes of Brett Hundley, Mitch Trubisky, Jameis Winston and Tyrod Taylor/Nathan Peterman. I think they get a step up here in quality and there will be some struggles. The Redskins can shut down the run and force Drew Brees to do a little more. Washington is 17-12 ATS the last three seasons as an underdog.

The 49ers are 2-0 on the season and are heading to Oregon State to play the Beavers. They have four double digit scorers led by Barry Ogalue and Bryan Alberts from Gonzaga. This is an offensive juggernaut who usually plays well on the road. Oregon State lost to Wyoming after beating up on Southern Utah. OSU has a pretty young team and they could struggle against Long Beach in this one. 

Nevada has been rolling so far this season with three impressive offensive wins over Santa Clara, Rhode Island and Idaho. In each game they scored 88 points or more and two of them featured the Pack shooting 50% or better. The defense was good for the most part except the URI game. Pacific has been underwhelming so far in two games falling to Stanford 89-80 and UC Davis 62-58. Pacific has 23 steals and 43 fouls so far this season so they are very aggressive. That works well when you have the over with the opponent either turning it over or getting to the free throw line quickly. To me, Nevada could reach 100 points if all breaks well.

Wake Forest is bowl eligible after a 64-43 win at Syracuse. They are home after a stretch of five of seven on the road so it should be nice for them. The offense has been rolling despite the fact that they lost Greg Dortch who was their best weapon. The defense has not been great though as they have allowed 28 points or more in five straight. NC State won in Chestnut Hill 17-14 last time out and now hits the road again before the rivalry contest against North Carolina. I'm tempted again to go with the home team like we did last week. The Deacs are playing good football right now. The question is if they can make the stops when necessary. Wake has covered nine of 12 at home in this series although NC State has won the last two outright. The Deacs are 21-13 ATS the last three seasons. NC State has covered just five of their last 14 as an underdog. I'll go with the home team although I'd like it more at 1.

Boston College takes on UConn on Saturday without starting quarterback Anthony Brown. The Eagles are coming off a 17-14 loss to NC State. Their offense has shown flashes but now they'll probably have to rely on AJ Dillon. UConn's defense is pretty terrible, but I think they can keep BC in check. Their offense is bad too and BC's defense has had success against the lesser offenses it's faced. The scene is not your typical football stadium either so there may be an adjustment period. Last year these two teams played a 30-0 game. I think this one is an under. BC has gone under in 10 of their last 12 as a favorite and 24 of their last 35 overall.

I like UTSA in this situation with more to play for and the better offense and defense. Meep Meep has lost two straight after winning two in a row. Dalton Sturm has had some poor numbers as of late, but I think it sets up nicely for him to succeed in this one. UTSA has a defense that's actually done pretty well in this conference. Marshall has lost two of their last three games and now this game is meaningless to them as a bowl bid has been locked in. The defense has been a bit leaky as of late. To me, the home team is the better play in this one.

Fort Wayne has been on a nice over kick as of late. The Mastodons are a potent offensive team who has scored 70 points or more in all three of their games so far this season. The problem comes in their defense which allowed 71 to Delaware State at home and 85 on the road at Oakland. Illinois-Chicago has played two higher scoring games the last two times out beating Delaware State 95-55 while falling to St. Joe's 86-82. They should win this game and don't mind running like IPFW wants to do. I'll take the over in this one. 

The situation here screams for a Duke victory with Georgia Tech coming off an emotional home win over Virginia Tech and a big one at home against Georgia next week. Duke is also facing their second straight triple option team with a bye week to prep for the first one. The problem with that is that Duke is awful offensively and probably can't take advantage of it. They've scored just 73 points over their current six game losing streak. The defense hasn't been that bad and that's what we are holding our head here for. Georgia Tech's triple option has had it's issues on the road at times scoring just 10 at Clemson and 24 at Miami. Duke has gone under in 15 of their last 18 at home. This series has seen seven unders in their last 11 meetings. To me, this one is a lower possession lower scoring game with Duke having a small shot to cover.

Texas State has played a lot better as of late with Damian Williams under center. They've scored 92 points the last three weeks and would have won some of those games if only their defense was better. The defense has been gashed terribly through the air which is how Arkansas State wants to beat you if they can. The team is coming off a 24-19 loss at South Alabama last time out. They've also not been home for around a month so you know ASU will be highly motivated. Their last two home games were 43-25 and 51-17 wins so the over has been a good play there. I think that these two teams put on a show and we go over the total. 

The Monarchs are trying to make a late push for a bowl spot as they host Rice on Saturday. ODU beat Charlotte and FIU the last two weeks and did so with timely offense and just enough defense to survive. Their freshman quarterback is getting good reps in and the run game has been rolling. In comes Rice who has one win and that was back in September. They don't do much offensively and the defense has been horrendous. They allowed 42 to La Tech, 52 to UAB and 43 to Southern Miss the last three weeks. I know this is a big spread, but I like ODU to win this one rather easily as I just don't think Rice is mentally in it anymore.

The Titans look to move to 2-1 as they take on Seattle in Nashville. They lost 111-79 to Virginia Tech in game one before bouncing back to beat Michigan Dearborn 105-82. Offense is not an issue with the likes of Kameron Chatman and Jermaine Jackson being two of five double digit scorers. Offense though has been an issue for their opponent who lost 62-46 to St. Louis and 75-59 to Washington State. Seattle does have a 121-70 win over Puget Sound. I'll take a Detroit team that can score over a Seattle team that's offensively challenged.

I'm going to fade James Madison as often as possible this season as I really don't think they are a good basketball team. Weber State is coming off a hard fought loss to Iona but also has a win over Utah State this season. The Wildcats are led by Jerrick Harding and have Utah transfer Brekott Chapman who has started a bit slow. I think this team still is better then the Dukes.

I've prided myself on not being like other handicappers out there who scream their phone numbers and yell at you over the radio or internet. I also don't throw around lock or "game of the month" often, but to me, this is the perfect setup for the Cavaliers to cover. There's no doubt how good Miami is, but you are asking them to give a crap about a noon game after playing Virginia Tech and Notre Dame in primetime the last two weeks. The U won by eight as an 18 point favorite at home against Syracuse and by five at UNC as a 21 point favorite so it's been shown that they can play down to their competition. In comes a UVA squad that has lost three of their last four and on a normal Saturday would probably be blown out in this one. The Cavs have covered five of their last six in Miami and the sleepiness factor makes me think it moves to 6-1 in their last seven. This is my favorite play of the ACC Football season.

Defense is optional in this one as two teams with a potent offense play in Memphis. The Tigers have won five straight scoring 30 points or more in all five of those games. They are passing for a ton of yards with Riley Ferguson under center. The problem with the Tigers is that their defense isn't very good. They can't stop the run or the pass which is what SMU does well. The Mustangs have scored 30 points or more in three of four and five of their last seven. These two have combined for 11 overs this season. Memphis has gone over in 12 of their last 18 home games. I think this one is a shootout.

It's an early tipoff in the Naismith Classic as Boston College takes on Texas Tech. The Eagles are 3-0 on the season beating up on Maine, South Carolina State and Sacred Heart. They've got a good backcourt in Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman. Deontae Hawkins is a solid forward along with Steffon Mitchell. This is an improved team from last year. Texas Tech has a balanced team led by Zhaire Smith and Keenan Evans. I think the Red Raiders struggle in this one and if they pull away it won't be until late. Early tip off will be tough for them as well.

Pepperdine is probably the more talented of the two teams in this one and their home. The Waves lost by 31 at Oklahoma State and beat Cal Lutheran 107-82. They are led by Kameron Edwards and Trae Berhow who are two of seven players putting up eight points per game or more. Northern Colorado's main threat is Andre Spight and his almost 20 points per contest. The Bears lost by 15 at Colorado and by 15 at home to UC Davis. Their offense has been pretty bad while the defense has been leaky. I think the home team is better in this one. 

The Bulldogs have been good so far this season and they've got six players who average nine points or more. Deshon and Jahmel Taylor are their best two scorers. They've got size, speed and athleticism to match an Arkansas team who has the same. The Razorbacks have won two games rather easily against solid mid majors Bucknell and Samford. They've averaged 98 points in the two contests and should not meet much resistance in a Fresno team that has allowed opponents to shoot just under 50% from the field. FSU has gone over in 18 of their last 28 games as an underdog. I think this one sails over the total. 

NKU starts out their time in this tournament against James Madison. The Norse have a 18 point win over East Tennessee State and a 28 point victory over a lot lesser of an opponent. Drew McDonald and Lavone Holland II are a great scoring duo who should be able to get whatever they want in this one. JMU has a 30 point win over lesser Bridgewater and a 16 point loss to Old Dominion. This is a really young team who doesn't have much in the way of leadership. I think NKU gets an easy win in this one over a very bad team. 

Michigan has gone over in 30 of their last 45 games as a favorite and 21 of their last 32 when the total is in the 130s. The Wolverines are led by Charles Matthews and Duncan Robinson along with Moritz Wagner who should play even though he got hurt last game. They beat Central Michigan 72-65 last time out allowing their second straight opponent to shoot better then 40% from the field. Southern Miss beat S. New Orleans 79-69 in their opener. There should be some improvement there this season, but not enough to win this game. I think this one should go over the total. 

Temple is one of the last teams to get under way and they get a defensive minded Old Dominion squad. The Monarchs are holding teams to 53.5 points per game and 33.3% field goal percentage through two games. The Owls have four starters back and Josh Brown at point guard. They also have a young core of freshmen, but there has to be a bit of an adjustment considering they've played just one exhibition game so far together. Temple's been a bad favorite covering just 12 of their last 30 games in that situation. To me, in a lower scoring game, I'll take the underdog who has played two contests already.

The Sycamores are flying high after a 90-69 win over Indiana in their first game of the season. They won't make as many threes as they did then in this one, but the offense is so balanced that you can't concentrate on one guy. Brenton Scott and Jordan Barnes were their leading scorers. Auburn is coming off a solid win over Norfolk State and are led by Bryce Brown and Horace Spencer. The Tigers are dealing with a lot off the court and continue to be without Daniel Purifoy and Austin Wiley who are suspended. It was size that gave the Sycamores issues and the Tigers are without it right now. Auburn is 18-22 ATS the last three seasons against teams with a winning record. I think ISU can win this one outright.

Nevada has been rolling offensively in two wins so far this season as they are averaging 88 points per game and that's with a contest against Rhode Island. The Wolf Pack is deep and they've got a ton of talent as well. The Martins are fantastic as well as Jordan Caroline. Santa Clara crushed it's Division III opponent 120-70 shooting 62.3% in the win. The Broncos have gone over in 26 of their last 37 games as an underdog. Nevada has gone over in 27 of their last 49 games as a favorite. This one should be played with some pace and go over the total. 

Butler and Maryland both are out to 2-0 records, but neither were really challenged. The Bulldogs and Terps both shot over 50% so far this season although Butler was challenged more defensively. In a hostile environment, give me Kelan Martin, Kamar Baldwin and Tyler Wideman though. They are 19-9 ATS the last three seasons out of conference. Maryland isnt as deep although Cowan and Jackson are good scorers. Give me the road team. 

 Niagara is trying for their second straight upset after knocking off St. Bonaventure on the road 77-75 last time out. The defense held the Bonnies to just 39.3% shooting from the field. Traditionally defense has been an issue for the Purple Eagles who can score, but rarely stop the opponent. Minnesota is coming off an 86-74 road win at Providence and already has a 92-77 win over USC Upstate as well. Jordan Murphy is off to a great start to his season. Minnesota has gone over in 20 of their last 33 home games. This one should go over the total. 

Why is Pittsburgh favored over anyone after losing to Navy and Montana to start their season. The Panthers lineup is horrendous and some people will point to them being in the ACC and having ACC talent which is not true. They are not playing well defensively and are just not scoring enough. The Gauchos won their first game at home against North Dakota State 85-66. They are led by Gabe Vincent and Ami Lakoju as well as Jalen Canty and Marcus Johnson if he's healthy. Pittsburgh is 12-21 at home against the spread the last three seasons. To me, I'll continue to fade them until they win. 

There should be plenty of pace and plenty of points in this one. Davidson made 26 three pointers in their first win of the season. Their defense is very subpar so they'll need shooting efforts like that in order to win ballgames. UNC Wilmington also wants to play with pace to hide their subpar defense. They beat UNC Wesleyan 105-81 in their season opener. 

VMI is going to be one of the worst teams in college basketball as they lost 102-67 at NC State on Friday. The Keydets allowed the Wolfpack to shoot 50.7% from the field in that one. Duquesne won their first game 80-70. They want to get out and run a bit because of their offensive limitations. Duquesne has gone over in 12 of their last 20 games as a favorite and 13 of their last 22 at home. I think this one is an over. 

Fresno State's got a potent offense and they showed it off in the 96-65 season opener win over UC Santa Cruz. Jaron Hopkins and Ray Bowles as well as the Taylors are some good scorers. Northridge is trying to rebuild themselves as several players left the program in the offseason. They beat Life Pacific 76-50 in their opener. Northridge has covered just six of their last 28 non-conference games. Fresno is 28-14 ATS the last three seasons against teams with a winning record. I think they roll in this one. 

Oral Roberts has won the Mayor's Cup three times over the last four years and have a shot to win this year too. Albert Owens is a stud and he's got some talent around him for the Golden Eagles. Emmanuel Nzekwesi is the conference reigning Freshman of the Year. Tulsa lost their first game of the season to Lamar and has not played very well the last season or so. I'm going to be fading the Golden Hurricane when I can. Don't like to do so at home, but ORU has the talent to keep up in this one. 

Nebraska beat EIU 72-68 last time out in a game where we pushed on the over. There's been talk of Coach Miles wanting to push the pace a little bit. He's got some returning talent in Glynn Watson to go along with intriguing talent in James Palmer from Miami. North Texas beat up on it's lesser opponent 122-65 last game. They want to run and get things going a bit because they have lesser talent and have quicker guards to play. North Texas has gone over in 26 of their last 39 games as an underdog. Nebraska has gone over in 18 of their last 28 games with a total in the 140s. Give me the over. 

Cincinnati has a little bit more talent this year and they want to play just a bit faster. They've gone over in 17 of their last 28 home games and should be able to get whatever they want against a WCU team that lost 85-57 last time out. The team returns all five starters so they might be able to contribute a little bit in terms of the total. Two years ago these two teams played in Cincy and the Bearcats won 97-72. Probably a little less points for the Catamounts this time but I think it goes over.

New England will be fresh and ready for Denver after its bye week. These two teams have played two unders in their last three meetings. Brock Osweiler and the Denver O did not look very good in Philadelphia last time out and figure to struggle against Matt Patricia's defense, which has had two weeks to prepare. Denver's D was embarrassed last week and won't play that badly again. New England has a four-game streak of scoring no more than 24. Tom Brady has not been his best the last few meetings against the Broncos. Denver has gone under in 13 of its last 22 at home. I think this one is an under.

The Bison head to Indiana to play the Hoosiers. Howard lost their last game 84-75 at George Washington allowing the Colonials to shoot 53.4% from the field. Indiana will be glad to find some scoring after they were blasted by Indiana State. The Hoosiers gave up 90 points to the Sycamores and only scored 69 themselves. I think this is a lower total then I expected. With some pace, this one goes over. 

It's almost like I’m calling this "Show Me Sunday" because I don't believe the Cowboys’ defense has suddenly turned the corner and is no longer a bad unit. Dallas held San Francisco, Washington and Kansas City all under 20 points over the last three weeks while registering double-digit victories against each. Dallas will go home to host NFC East leader Philadelphia as the first of the three straight home dates after this, so there's a shot we may not get a focused effort against a desperate Falcons team. Atlanta has lost four of its last five and just finished up a stretch of three straight on the road. Matt Ryan got Julio Jones involved more last time out, but it wasn't enough in a three-point loss at Carolina. The best part about locking this in now is that you may get the bonus of Ezekiel Elliott not playing if his latest appeal is denied later in the week

The Redskins had the most improbable win in football last week, beating the Seahawks on the road with a really banged-up squad. Washington is still pretty injured and now gets a Minnesota team that is rolling and fresh off of its bye. The Redskins’ defense is holding up for the most part. They held Seattle to 14 points on the road and are led by Josh Norman and Zach Brown. Minnesota's offense doesn't scare me much with a RB committee and a passing attack led by Case Keenum. The good thing for the Vikings is their defense has held six straight opponents to 17 points or fewer. Minnesota has gone under in 25 of its last 41 contests including 12 of the last 18 on the road. To me, this one is a field position game that will be close and low scoring.

The Chargers are heading to Florida fresh off of their bye week to try and solve Jacksonville. The Jaguars are holding their opponents to just 156.4 passing yards per game and 14.6 points per contest overall. Los Angeles is not exactly lighting up the scoreboard with 21 points or fewer in its last three games. Luckily for the Chargers, the defense has kept the team in games. These teams have each played three unders in their last four games. Jacksonville beat the Bengals 23-7 last week without Leonard Fournette, who was benched for a violation of team rules but will be back on Sunday. Los Angeles has gone under in 16 of its last 26 games as an underdog including four of six this season.

No one would have thought that the Jets would have had the better record at this point before the season began. New York has been a pleasant story with Josh McCown leading the offense and the defense doing work as well. The Jets have lost three of four but are coming off of a convincing victory over the Bills last Thursday. Tampa Bay has lost five straight and will be without Jameis Winston (injury) and Mike Evans (suspension). Yet, I still don't feel like I'm ready to back the Jets as a road favorite. Tampa Bay's defense has been awful, but may get cornerback Brent Grimes back. Ryan Fitzpatrick will be under center and still has DeSean Jackson out wide along with some decent running backs. I might be guilty of trying to stay with a bad team too long, but I think the Buccaneers are a live dog.

The Saints hit the road to play the Bills in a game that will feature temperatures around 40 degrees. New Orleans has won six straight after an 0-2 start. The Saints have been able to run the ball and take some pressure off of Drew Brees. A negative development is that the offense has started to turn the ball over with four straight games of at least two. The defense is putting up improved numbers, but I'm still not buying in. Over this span, the Saints really haven't seen too many good offenses with the likes of Tampa Bay, Green Bay (sans Aaron Rodgers) and Chicago the opponents. Buffalo lost 34-21 last Thursday to the Jets. Despite that the Bills have won four of their last six. LeSean McCoy should bounce back and this will be the first game for Kelvin Benjamin with this new team. Tight end Charles Clay also is working his back from injury, so it will be interesting to see this offense once all of the pieces are together. I'm not buying the Saints as a road team outside yet, especially in Upstate New York.

The Academy is hosting Wyoming after they lost 21-0 to Army at home. The Falcons had won three straight before then and get an enigmatic Wyoming team. The Cowboys have won five of their last six, but they are doing so without much work from Josh Allen who was one of the most highly touted QBs in the country. Air Force's triple option was temporarily stymied, but I have a feeling that will change this weekend. Wyoming's defensive tackle position is very banged up and that's important to stopping it. The Cowboys are 3-12  on the road straight up the last three years. I think they lose this one.

Eastern Illinois had trouble scoring last year but so far in the exhibition season, they've shown that they can light it up. EIU beat Illinois in an exhibition game, but then lost to a division II school a few days later. They've got four seniors and some intriguing pieces. Nebraska has plenty of scoring led by James Palmer from Miami. The Huskers have gone over in 18 of their last 28 games when the total is in the 140s. I think this one will be close too because EIU has some talent.

The Boilers have played four straight unders as the defense and offense are in good under shape. The once strong unit has lost a quarterback and has put up just 74 points over their last four. The defense is actually not getting enough credit for what they've been able to do holding five of their last seven opponents to 17 points or less. Northwestern has to be a bit fatigued winning three straight overtime contests. Their offense has shown some balance as of late and the defense has been really strong especially against the run. Northwestern has gone under in 14 of their last 19 home games and 20 of their last 35 overall. I think this one is an under.

I've enjoyed fading UTEP and Rice when the situation arises. UTEP has not won a game yet this season and the offense continues to be dismal. They've scored just 31 points over the last four weeks and are not putting up much of a fight. Ironically, the defense is actually not playing that badly, but they are on the field too much. North Texas is quite the opposite as they are putting up boatloads of points. The worry is the Mean Green defense which is a bit leaky, but everyone has extra motivation after they were smashed by UTEP on the road. The team swears they haven't forgotten it. I think this is a blowout. 

The Bobcats have shown a little fight as of late despite only picking up one win. Their offense has put up over 500 yards the last two contests with Damian Williams under center. The defense has even shown flashes of good play this season. In comes a Georgia State team who has won five of their last six, but is playing their last road game of the regular season. They've played some close contests as the offense has sputtered as of late. They have scored just 52 points over their last three and the defense has sprung some leaks from time to time. To me, the home team is going to be a live dog in a matchup that could feature a lot of points. 

The Blue Devils have lost five straight, but are coming off a bye week which will help them prepare for the Army triple option. Duke's offense is a little broken with just 57 points during this streak. They should be able to find some success against Army who has struggled against the power five schools on the schedule. They've won five straight games, but none of the opponents were that much of a challenge outside of Air Force. The extra time usually helps when prepping for Army. They've covered just five of their last 16 home games and two of their last 11 against teams with a losing record. Duke is 10-2 ATS the last three years in non-conference games. I think they get the win on Saturday. 

The Red Raiders have lost four straight and are heading to Arlington to face off against Baylor. The Bears picked up the win last week at Kansas 38-9. They may have found their quarterback and a bit of their offensive stride entering this one. The Red Raiders defense has allowed over 40 points five times this season and could do again Saturday. The good thing is that they should be able to move the ball on a bad Baylor defense. Playing indoors in Arlington will also help as the elements won't be involved. I think this one is a Big 12 shootout. 

How is NC State going to handle losing two straight to Notre Dame and Clemson? Now they head to Chestnut Hill where weird things happen. Boston College has won three straight including a win over Florida State last time out. The offense has scored 28 points or more in four of their last five games and is rested and ready to go. NC State is playing their third road game over their last four weeks and the once strong defense is letting them down. This is a spot where the home team is going to be a lot more motivated then the road team who much like Virginia Tech has to find motivation from somewhere. BC is 5-1 against the spread against the rest of the ACC while NC State has failed to cover in nine of their last 13 games as a road favorite of 3 points or less. I think the home team is a live dog in this one.