Wade Miley is making his third start of the season and his first since 5/8 on Thursday. Miley has allowed one run and four hits in his six plus innings of work. The Pirates have won three of their last four and are now 24-24 at home. Milwaukee's bullpen is very strong so that is a worry. Jameson Taillon has allowed just eight earned runs and 16 hits over his last three starts. The righty has pitched away against the Brewers this season holding them to four runs and 13 hits over 10 innings. The Brewers are hitting just .216 in divisional games this season. Their lineup is hot and cold and probably the better of the two in the matchup. I don't love Pittsburgh's bullpen but I don't think Miley will be that good coming off the DL. 

Jose Berrios is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA in nine home starts. He's coming off a decent outing in Milwaukee although the righty did allow three homers. The Royals have one of the worst offenses in baseball hitting just .233 on the road where they've gone under in 25 of 43 contests. Danny Duffy has allowed seven runs and 15 hits over his last three starts. The southpaw is 5-1 with a 2.62 ERA in 14 career starts against the Twins with eight of them going under the total. Duffy held the Twins to one run and four hits over six innings back in May. Minnesota is hitting .227 against left-handed starters going under in 13 of 24 games against them. Neither bullpen is that good, but the starters could go deep enough to mitigate that. 

Sean Newcomb is 8-3 with a 3.10 ERA in 17 starts for Atlanta. He's coming off a rough outing in New York against the Yankees, but also has a 3.21 ERA away from home. Milwaukee is hitting .230 against left-handed starters and .224 in day games. They've gone under in 23 of 37 day games. Atlanta's bullpen has some solid arms who should all be available for this one. Junior Guerra is 5-5 with a 2.87 ERA in 16 starts with 11 unders. He's allowed three runs or more just once since May 9th. He's backed by a fantastic bullpen that has Josh Hader, Jeremy Jeffress and Corey Knebel fresh and ready. Atlanta's lineup is putting up good numbers, but I think they could struggle on Sunday. To me, this one is another under in this series. 

Michael Fulmer is 3-7 with a 4.22 ERA in 17 starts with 11 of them going under the total. He's pitching to get away from Detroit at the trade deadline. The righty has 85 strikeouts to just 33 walks. Fulmer's three previous starts against the Rangers were in Arlington where it's tougher to pitch so it's hard to use his poor numbers there. The Rangers are hitting around .227 on the road and have gone under in 24 of 43 games. The Tigers bullpen has some decent arms so hopefully Fulmer goes deep enough so they can use them. Austin Bibens-Dirkx has allowed five runs and 14 hits in two starts outside of Texas. The Tigers have a mediocre lineup. They are hitting .235 against right-handed starters with 41 unders in 67 games. Texas has a bad bullpen too which is why this total is higher. I'm hoping the starters do a lot of the leg work and keep the pens out. I think this one goes under.

Deck McGuire is starting for the home team and he doesn't have major league stuff. In his only start, the righty allowed five runs and five hits in just over three innings to the Orioles. McGuire pitched long relief already this season and struggled there too. The Dodgers lineup should feast on the mediocre group of pitchers they'll see. On the other side, you have Ross Stripling who has allowed eight runs and 24 hits over his last 17 innings. The Angels lineup has Shohei Ohtani back so that should help. They've struggled a bit as of late, but they figure to be behind and could see the lesser bullpen arms in a blowout game. I think this one goes over the total. 

A pair of solid lefties take the mound in New York. Steven Matz is 4-5 with a 3.46 ERA in 16 starts with 11 of them going under the total. He's allowed just eight earned runs over his last 18 innings. Tampa's hitting just 247 against left-handed starters with 18 of 28 games going under. They are hitting around .227 in interleague play. Blake Snell has a 0.84 ERA over his last three starts and a 2.24 ERA overall. He's going deeper and striking out more batters. The one thing he has to watch is the walks which were a problem before. The Mets are hitting .229 against left-handed starters and around .215 at home where they've gone under in 25 of 41 contests. Tampa's bullpen isn't that bad. I think these two offenses struggle.

Freddy Peralta is coming off his first loss of the season. Still, the righty has been sensational allowing seven runs and 12 hits in just over 27 innings of work. Peralta has 40 strikeouts and just 12 walks. Atlanta's lineup is very strong, but I think they could struggle with this live arm. Milwaukee's bullpen is fantastic and has a lot of good arms to throw at the Braves. Mike Foltynewicz has a 0.87 ERA over his last nine starts. He's 4-3 with a 1.85 ERA in eight road starts. Folty has held the Brewers to just one earned run allowed in each of his last three starts against them. Milwaukee is hitting around .233 over their last eight games. Atlanta's bullpen has pretty good numbers. This one figures to be close and low scoring. 

Jose Berrios has been good for the most part this season. He's coming off a rough outing in Chicago against the Cubs where he gave up six runs in just over four innings. For the most part though, he's been absolutely stellar. Berrios is facing a Milwaukee offense that is struggling a bit and has gone under in 20 of their 34 day games. He should be able to go deep enough to keep the bad bullpen's effect to a minimal nature. Chase Anderson is 6-6 with a 4.18 ERA. He's held the last two opponents to just one run each. Minnesota's offense is struggling big time. They are hitting around .235 away from home and will have to give a spot to the pitcher as well. It's a concern that Josh Hader threw three innings on Tuesday, but the rest of the group is still pretty good in the bullpen. I think this one goes under the total. 

Aaron Nola is an absolute stud. He's 7-0 with a 1.77 ERA in eight starts at home with five of those going under the total. He's striking out a ton of batters and keeping runners off the basepaths. Baltimore's offense has been terrible all season long and is hitting around .214 against right-handed starters. It's a concern that Seranthony Dominguez was used a little longer on Tuesday, but still their bullpen isn't bad. Yefry Ramirez starts for the road team. He's made one start this season throwing five scoreless innings against Seattle. He's got an ERA under three on the season and should be able to keep the Phillies in check. Their offense is hitting around .220 in their last eight games with seven of them going under the total. I think this one goes under too.

Zach Eflin is 3-1 with a 2.59 ERA in four starts at home. The righty allowed three runs and 13 hits over his last three starts against the Yankees, Nats and Brewers. Baltimore's hitting .222 on the road and .214 against right-handed starters. The Phillies bullpen is a little tired, but will enjoy the day off. The unit is 9-3 with a 3.46 ERA at home and 16 saves in 21 chances. Alex Cobb has had a rough season so far, but has shown flashes of what he can do. He held the Braves to one run and four hits in seven innings on the road two starts ago. The Phillies are hitting .217 over their last seven games going under in six of those. Baltimore's bullpen has a great history, but hasn't been good this year. Still, I think 9 is too much. 

Shane Bieber has allowed two runs over his last three starts. The righty is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA in four starts for Cleveland striking out 27 while walking only four. He'll face a Royals lineup that is pretty bad and is hitting around .235 as a group. Cleveland's bullpen is getting a little bit better. Danny Duffy is in better form as of late. He's allowed one run and seven hits in two road starts against tough Milwaukee and Houston. Duffy has a rough history against the Indians, but I think he can pitch pretty well in this spot. Cleveland is hitting around .228 on the road. The Royals bullpen isn't very good either, but maybe it'll be a close low scoring game and we get the good arms. Give me the under.

Dallas Keuchel is 4-8 with a 4.22 ERA in 17 starts with eight of them going over the total. He's coming off a start where he gave up six runs in just over five innings to the Blue Jays. Keuchel has allowed nine runs and 20 hits in just over 10 innings in Texas this season. The Rangers are hitting .261 against left-handed starters and have gone over in 15 of 27 games. The lineup has performed well as of late despite the fact that it's not a great group. Austin Bibens-Dirkx is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in four starts. He's facing Houston for the first time in his career as a starter. The Astros lineup is not at it's best right now as it deals with injuries. The Rangers aren't a great team but I think this is a good price to take a shot with them at home. 

Brian Johnson is making his third start for Boston. Johnson has allowed two runs and nine hits in 10 innings so far this season. He'll face a Washington team that is hitting .214 against left-handed starters and don't have a great record at home. I'd like to have the better Sox arms available out of the pen in case they have to cover more innings. Tanner Roark posted a 6.08 ERA in six June appearances. I just don't like Roark at all and think he has very mediocre stuff. Boston is hitting around .286 over their last eight games. The Red Sox are putting up over five runs per game. The Nats bullpen can be beaten as well. I think there's some value with the road team

Junior Guerra is 1-3 with a 2.94 ERA in nine home starts. Guerra is striking out more batters as of late and continues to be an underrated pitcher despite being 4-5. He saw these Twins in Minnesota back on 5/20 giving up one run and four hits in just over four innings. The Twins lineup doesn't scare me very much and they have to start a pitcher in the lineup. Jake Odorizzi had a 5.96 ERA in five June starts. He's very mediocre as a starter especially against tougher lineups. Milwaukee's lineup is pretty strong and is averaging over 4 runs per game. The Twins bullpen has a ton of losses and blown saves. I think the home team is worth a look here.

Tyson Ross is 5-5 with a 3.41 ERA in 16 starts with 11 of them going under the total. He's allowed six runs and 12 hits over his last three starts. Ross faced the Pirates in Pittsburgh back on 5/18 giving up two runs and five hits in six innings. Pittsburgh's lineup is in a lull right now hitting around .216 in their last eight games. Their lineup doesn't really scare me right now. Neither does San Diego's especially against Jameson Taillon. The righty has given up seven runs in his last three starts. Taillon has gone under in five of his eight road starts. Both bullpens are just alright, but these starters can go deep enough to mitigate that weakness. I think this one goes under the total. 

Mike Foltynewicz is 5-4 with a 2.14 ERA in 15 starts. The righty has allowed just three runs and eight hits over his last 15 innings of work. Folty will face a lineup that is struggling right now to get much going. Atlanta's bullpen has just two road blown saves this season. John Gant has a 4.09 ERA in four starts this season. He's coming off a great outing against the Indians, but I don't think he's that good. Atlanta is 24-17 on the road where they are averaging over five runs per game. The team is 18-9 in day games and is hitting .263 in those contests. I think there's some good value with the road team in this one. 

Dan Straily is having a rough season for the Marlins although he's coming off a decent home start against the Diamondbacks. Straily held the Mets to one run and four hits in six innings over a month ago. New York's offense is still pretty pathetic. They are hitting around .225 in divisional games and the same average in their last eight games. Miami's bullpen is pretty bad, but maybe Straily can go 7. Steven Matz has allowed 15 runs and 32 hits over his seven road starts. Matz has not allowed a run to the Fish in his last two starts on the road. This lineup is performing well right now, but still doesn't scare me. The Mets pen isn't great either, but maybe we get their good arms in a close low scoring game. I think this one goes under the total.

The Yankees getting a decent price at home means I'll take the runline even with Chris Sale on the mound. New York is 19-5 against left-handed starters hitting .265 in those games. The team is averaging nearly six runs per contest at home and have had some success against the lefty. Sale has lost two of his last three starts against the Yanks and this year's lineup is better then it was last year. I'm not thrilled with backing Sonny Gray right now, but he's pitched well enough as of late. The righty has held the Rays and Nats to 10 runs and 19 hits over his last three outings. Boston is hitting .245 on the road which is pretty much the only bad number I can find with them. I'm going to hold my nose with Gray and hope the Yankees can get to Sale with this one.

I'm going to take a shot with Vince Velasquez today after the Nats pounded the Phillies on Friday. Velasquez has lights out stuff but has trouble harnessing it. He's allowed eight runs and eight hits over his last 19 innings of work against the Yankees, Cardinals and Rockies. He beat Washington at their place back on 5/5 holding them to one hit in five innings. If the team can get a lead, they'll use a good bullpen on Washington that has had their problems offensively for the most part this season. Jeremy Hellickson is coming off the disabled list so who knows how much he can give the Nats. He doesn't strike a ton of guys out and is pretty mediocre as a pitcher. The Phillies lineup can be hot and cold as well, but I'm not scared of the pitcher's they will be facing. Give me the home team in this one.

Paul Blackburn has allowed 17 runs and 23 hits over his four starts this season. Blackburn doesn't strike out a lot of guys. He'll face an Indians team that is hitting .269 over their last seven games as the lineup continues to improve. Oakland's bullpen is pretty good, but they could be asked to cover a lot of innings if Blackburn struggles. Trevor Bauer is 7-5 with a 2.44 ERA in 16 starts. Bauer has lost his last two starts in Oakland and last year he didn't even complete an inning against them. The A's offense is putting up nearly five runs per game this season. Cleveland's bullpen has an ERA over five. To me, this one should see a lot of runs. 

Pat Corbin is 6-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 16 starts. The southpaw has 129 strikeouts to just 27 walks. Corbin has already seen the Giants three times giving up four runs and 10 hits in just over 20 innings against them. San Francisco is 16-16 against left-handed starters hitting .236 against them. They are struggling offensively right now and Arizona's bullpen should be able to hold a late lead. Andrew Suarez is 1-2 with a 6.18 ERA in six road outings. He's pitched better as of late, but against the Marlins and Padres. Suarez lost to Arizona back on April 11th at home. Arizona is 23-16 at home averaging nearly 4.5 runs per contest there. The Giants bullpen picked up their 11th loss and 13th blown save on Thursday. I think they lose this one on Friday. 

The Cubs are back home after splitting four games in LA against the Dodgers. Mike Montgomery takes the mound. He's 2-1 with a 2.02 ERA in six starts for Chicago. He's facing a Minnesota team that is hitting .213 against left-handed starters and .229 on the road. The Twins are severely underperforming and don't have a good lineup. Chicago's bullpen has just one loss and three blown saves at home. Jose Berrios is on a good run right now for the road team. He's allowed just two runs over his last three starts although two of those came against light hitting Texas and Detroit. Chicago provides more of a challenge in this one. Minnesota's bullpen is horrible so the Cubs could get some late runs if they need them. I like the Cubs in this one. 

The Royals offense has been absolutely pathetic lately. They didn't manage to do much once again on Tuesday. KC has scored less then four runs in seven straight. Brent Suter has allowed just six runs and 12 hits over his last three starts which have spanned 19 innings. KC is hitting .242 against left-handed starters going under in 17 of their 26 games against them. They are hitting less then .200 in interleague play. Danny Duffy has had a rough year, but he's pitched well in his last two road starts. Duffy held the Astros to two hits in six innings in Houston last time out. He also beat the A's in Oakland back on 6/9. Milwaukee is hitting .227 against left-handed starters and around .230 in day games. They've gone under in 20 of 31 contests when the sun is out. Both teams are traveling so maybe we'll get weaker lineups too. I think this one goes under the total. Milwaukee's bullpen is very good. 

Matt Harvey makes his second trip to Atlanta this season although this time with the Reds. Harvey gave up six runs and eight hits in six innings back in April with the Mets. The righty is 0-4 with a 6.29 ERA in seven road starts. He's really inconsistent and even though he's coming off a good start, I still think he'll struggle here. Atlanta's offense is hitting around .270 in their last eight games. This is an over ballpark. Anibal Sanchez is putting up good numbers with a 2.75 ERA in seven starts. The righty is facing a smoking hot Cincy offense scoring five runs or more in the majority of their games as of late. The Braves bullpen has it's questions. I think this one should see plenty of runs. 

Cole Hamels is 4-6 with a 3.41 ERA in 15 starts with 11 of them going under the total. He's in good form right now having allowed six earned runs over his last three starts. San Diego is hitting just .215 against left-handed starters this season and around .220 in their last eight contests overall. The team has gone under in 27 of their 41 road games. He'll be opposed by Joey Lucchesi who is 3-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 10 starts. The southpaw has an interesting motion that takes some time to get used to. He's making his second start off the DL so things should be better then they were last time out. Texas is hitting around .238 at home as the lineup can be very hot and cold. The back end of the Padres bullpen isn't too shabby so if it's close late, we should see the better arms. I think this one is an under despite Arlington being a tough place for these to occur. 

This is a pretty good price to get the Mets and Jacob deGrom. He's arguably been the best pitcher in baseball as of late although it doesn't show up in his record. The righty is only 5-2 with a 1.51 ERA despite allowing two earned runs or less in each of his last 10 starts. I know how awesome Clayton Kershaw is and how bad the Mets are against lefties but they are limiting his innings today with Caleb Ferguson backing him up out of the pen. Ferguson is not very good and depending upon how many innings the starters go, we may have many opportunities for runs later on in the contest. deGrom will go deep too which means hopefully he can go 8 and hand it off to the closer. I'll take the better pitcher RIGHT NOW at home with 1.5 runs.

A pair of offenses struggling right now play in Atlanta. Dylan Bundy has allowed four runs and 11 hits over his last 21 innings striking out 17 while walking only seven. He'll face an ATL squad that is hitting around .230 in their last eight games. Bundy can go deep in games to help the bullpen although the unit has improved a little with Darren O'Day and Zach Britton healthy. Julio Teheran has allowed six runs and 10 hits over his last three starts. He's allowed just two runs and five hits in his last 13 innings at home. Baltimore is hitting .215 against right-handed starters. They have gone under in 16 of their 28 day games. I think both of these teams struggle offensively. 

Clayton Richard has struggled with the Giants this season. He has allowed 11 runs and 15 hits in nine innings against the Giants with one of his worst outings coming in San Fran. The Giants are hitting over .270 at home and are averaging four runs against left-handed starters. Chris Stratton has allowed seven runs and 14 hits in his last three outings. He beat the Dodgers last time out giving up one unearned run and three hits in six innings. The Padres are hitting around .227 on the road. I think they are the worse team of the two and I don't believe in Richard's recent turnaround.

The Twins are 18-17 at home as they begin a series with the Rangers on Friday. Fernando Romero is 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA in four home starts. He's pitched well there with good outings against the Angels and White Sox over his last three. Texas is hitting .228 on the road and .226 against right-handed starters. It does scare me that the Twins bullpen is pretty bad, but maybe they'll be able to hold a lead. Mike Minor is 1-2 with an 8.14 ERA in five road starts. Minor has a 5.35 ERA in 13 starts overall and is facing a Twins team that has won four of their last six. I think the home team is worth a look here. 

Ryan Stanek is the bullpen starter du jour for Tampa as they begin a series against the Yankees. He's got a 2.00 ERA in nine innings as a starter. The Yankees are averaging over five runs per game and are hitting around .266 over their last eight games. They should be able to crack through against the Rays mediocre pitching group. CC Sabathia just saw Tampa and allowed three runs and 10 hits to them at home. He's got a 4.13 ER in five road starts. The Rays are struggling terribly offensively, but with an extra at-bat in a blowout game, I think we can get a run or two from them to contribute to the total. They are hitting .255 at home where they are scoring four runs per game. I think this one goes over the total. 

Pardon me if I don't believe in Ivan Nova's latest resurgence. The righty has won both of his starts since coming off the disabled list beating the Reds and the Cubs. Nova is 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA in 13 starts with seven of them going over the total. Arizona's lineup is getting better and has gone over in more then half of their road games. Pittsburgh's bullpen is very mediocre and has blown double digit saves this season. Pat Corbin isn't in great form right now having allowed 11 runs and 18 hits over his last three starts. One of those came against these Pirates at home when he allowed five runs and six hits in just over five innings. Pittsburgh is hitting .259 against left-handed starters averaging nearly five runs per game in those contests. These two should be able to put some runs up on Friday. 

Jose Berrios is 5-2 with a 3.60 ERA in seven home starts. He's picked up 24 strikeouts and two walks over his last 21 innings of work and is in good form. Boston is hitting .236 in their last seven games and has an offense that is capable of struggling a little bit. Minnesota's bullpen is a disaster so I've got to hope that Berrios can go deep. Chris Sale is 6-4 with a 2.75 ERA for Boston. Sale has a 4.47 ERA in 18 career starts against Minnesota. The Twins are 16-16 at home and are hitting .250 there. The offense has some talent that could get to Sale. Boston's bullpen has six losses and five blown saves. I'm playing this because of the runline price and the fact that Berrios can throw a gem himself.

Jameson Taillon is in good form right now having allowed five runs and 17 hits over his last 20 innings of work. The righty held Milwaukee to one run and six hits in five innings back on May 5th. He has gone under in six of his seven starts against the Brewers. Milwaukee has gone under in 19 of their 30 games against the rest of the division. Their lineup is banged up and Ryan Braun is not acting right. Freddy Peralta is 6-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 12 AAA starts. He has 84 strikeouts to just 27 walks over 59 innings. Peralta struck out 13 Rockies in his MLB debut back on 5/13, but then struggled to the tune of four runs in four innings at Minnesota. Pittsburgh has gone under in three of their last four games. Milwaukee's bullpen has been fantastic this season and should hold a lead if they have one late. These two have gone under in 27 of their last 42 meetings including 13 of their last 20 in Pittsburgh. I think this one does as well. 

Domingo German is hard to figure out. He's 1-3 with a 5.77 ERA in seven starts for the Yankees. The righty has strikeout stuff, but struggles from time to time. He's allowed 10 runs and 17 hits over his last three starts and is now facing a Seattle team that is 21-12 on the road averaging nearly five runs per game. They are hitting .291 over their last seven games and have the edge in the bullpen. Marco Gonzales is 7-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 14 starts for Seattle. He has allowed six runs and 17 hits over his last 19 innings. The Yankees are coming off a pseudo doubleheader and are hitting around .220 over their last nine games or so. I think there's some value with the road team's runline in this one. 

Jaime Garcia is 2-5 with a 6.02 ERA in 12 starts for Toronto. He does not scare me in the least as he puts a lot of runners on and doesn't strike out enough guys. Atlanta is 13-11 against left-handed starters hitting .261 against them while averaging over five runs per game. He'll be opposed by Mike Soroka who is coming back to Canada. He's allowed 10 runs and 22 hits in 21 innings of work. The righty struck out 19 while walking only five. Toronto is coming off a sweep of the Nationals, but they are still hitting .235 on the season and don't have too many great hitters. I like the Braves bullpen which has just six losses and two blown saves on the road. I think the road team is worth a look. 

I know I may regret this later, but I'm going to take the chance with the under in Coors Field. Tyler Anderson has held his last two opponents to three runs and 11 hits over 14 innings. Anderson is facing a Mets team hitting around .211 against left-handed starters and .182 over their last eight games. Now Colorado could revive the Mets lineup, but I'll take the chance it doesnt. Jacob deGrom is 4-2 with a 1.55 ERA in 14 starts. He's been rolling lately with a 1.02 ERA over his last 53 innings. deGrom is 3-0 with a 0.99 ERA in five career starts vs. the Rockies. Colorado has gone under in 17 of their 30 home games and are hitting around .248 against right-handed starters. If we can get both starters to go deep into the game, then the mediocre to poor bullpens won't come into play. These two have played five unders in their last six Coors meetings. I'll hold my nose and take the under.

Joe Musgrove is 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA in four starts for Pittsburgh. He's cut down on the walks with just five in 25 innings. Cincinnati's offense has been hot and cold and has gone under in five straight games. Outside of one or two hitters, their lineup isn't that scary. Anthony DeSclafani has not gotten on track yet completely. He has split his two starts but has allowed 16 hits in 10 innings. He has strikeout stuff and has had some success against the Pirates in his career. Pittsburgh's offense was hitting .229 over a seven game span before Saturday. They have gone under in 17 of their 31 day games. Cincinnati's bullpen has just one blown save on the road. They are an underrated unit. I think this one goes under the total.

Dylan Bundy has allowed three runs and 17 hits over his last three starts including outings against the Red Sox and Nationals. The Marlins lineup won't scare too many opponents. They are hitting .218 in day games and around .225 over their last eight games. Bundy can go deeper in games so the bullpen doesn't become a factor. Trevor Richards has not pitched bad as of late. He's allowed four runs and 10 hits over his last 15 innings and change. He's got strikeout stuff and is facing a Baltimore team that is terrible offensively. The Orioles have scored 20 runs during this current nine game losing streak. The Marlins bullpen is terrible, but they won't be challenged too much by the home team. I think this one is another under which is seemingly hitting a lot in Baltimore games as of late. 

The Mets offense continues to scuffle terribly. They are hitting .207 against left-handed starters and around .150 over their last eight games. Patrick Corbin is 4-2 with a 3.33 ERA in eight starts at home. He has a 3.10 ERA in 14 starts. Corbin held the Mets to two runs and four hits in just over five innings just under a month ago. He'll be opposed by Steven Matz who has allowed five runs and 11 hits over his last 16 innings. Matz has a 1.61 ERA in five starts away from home. Arizona is hitting around .227 at home and .240 against left-handed starters. Both bullpens scare me, but the offenses don't right now so I think the under is worth a look.

The Phillies are scuffling big time right now and continue their series in Milwaukee on Saturday. Zach Eflin just faced the Brewers at home. Last time out he held them to two runs and three hits in six innings, striking out nine in the process. The Brewers are 21-12 at home and are averaging over five runs per game in their last eight contests. Philly's bullpen has an ERA near five on the road and has blown more saves then converted. Junior Guerra is 3-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 starts for Milwaukee. He has allowed just four runs over his last 18 innings. The Phillies lineup has a lot of poor hitters in it and the Brewers have one of the best bullpens in baseball. I think this is a cheap price for the better team at home. 

Mike Minor is 4-4 with a 5.65 ERA in 12 starts for Texas. He's allowed 12 runs and 19 hits over his last three starts and is not really fooling anyone. Colorado's bats broke out in a big way against the Rangers last night and should be able to once again. They are 23-16 on the road and have the lineup edge. Kyle Freeland is 6-6 with a 3.68 ERA in 13 starts. He's got good numbers away from home and is facing a really weak Rangers lineup. Texas is 8-15 against left-handed starters and 13-24 at home. The Rangers bullpen is pretty bad too. I think Colorado gets the win on Saturday. 

Jon Lester is 7-2 with a 2.22 ERA in 13 starts with eight of them going under the total. He's allowed four runs and 11 hits over his last 20 innings and has had success against the Cardinals. Lester has a 2.10 ERA in 19 career starts against STL and has allowed three runs and eight hits in just over 11 innings. The Cards are hitting .222 against left-handed starters this season. The Cubs bullpen has a 1.82 ERA on the road. Michael Wacha is 5-0 with a 1.85 ERA in eight starts at home. He's allowed three runs and seven hits in his last three starts. Wacha has ugly career numbers against Chicago but he held them to two runs and six hits in just over five innings last month. The Cubs are hitting .197 over their last seven games with six of those going under the total. They've gone under in 20 of their 30 divisional games. These two have gone under in 13 of their last 22 in St. Louis including two of three this season. I think this one continues that trend. 

The White Sox have won three of five and six of their last 10. Their offense has been pretty ugly, but the pitching is carrying them a bit right now.  Reynaldo Lopez has held the Tigers to three runs and seven hits in 14 innings. Detroit has offensive issues without Miguel Cabrera in the lineup. Detroit is hitting around .230 in their last eight games. The Chicago bullpen isn't great but Lopez is going deeper in games so the better arms could come into play. Michael Fiers is hot right now, but he's still a pretty mediocre pitcher. He's 2-2 with a 4.79 ERA in five road starts. The Tigers can't hit and have a bad bullpen so I like the home team. 

Yohander Mendez makes his first start in the majors for the Rangers on Friday. Mendez went 0-6 with a 5.26 ERA in 10 starts in AAA giving up 35 runs and 59 hits in 51.1 innings. He has 40 strikeouts to just 23 walks and gave up 10 HR. While there right handed hitters were hitting .300 against him. Colorado's lineup is producing runs, but no victories. I think they go to town on Mendez and a mediocre bullpen. Chad Bettis has pitched alright for Colorado. Texas has lost six straight and is struggling to put up runs. Outside of Adrian Beltre, there's not much to scare me there. The Rockies bullpen is pretty bad, but I think they'll have a nice lead to protect against this bad team. I'll take the Rockies.

Clayton Richard has won two straight starts, but I don't see a third one coming. He's 3-3 with a 5.24 ERA in six road starts. Richard held the Braves to three runs and six hits in seven innings at home earlier this month. He's 1-6 with a 6.45 ERA and a WHIP of 1.832 in seven career starts against Atlanta. The Braves are hitting .267 against left-handed starters and are averaging over five runs per game against them. Brandon McCarthy goes for the home team and he's got some ugly numbers going 5-3 with a 5.03 ERA. He has allowed opponents to hit .333 over his last seven starts. He also has struggled with an extra day of rest. I think both offenses should be able to score against these mediocre pitchers.

The Mets are in a horrible tailspin right now and I think the under continues to be the play in their games. New York has scored just 15 runs since May 31st. They have gone under in seven of their last eight games. Matt Koch is 4-3 with a 4.35 ERA in 10 starts with six of those going under the total. Arizona's bullpen has been pretty solid for the most part this season. Jason Vargas gets the call for New York and he's been terrible this season. He's got an ERA over 10 on the road and a 7.71 ERA overall. Arizona is 16-8 against left-handed pitching and have the better lineup.  I think until New York shows any sort of offensive presence, I'm going to continue to fade them.

After losing this bet yesterday, I'm going to try it again with Jacob deGrom on the mound. He's allowed one run and 11 hits in 18 innings against the Braves this season. Overall he has a 1.84 ERA and a WHIP of 1.057 in 14 career starts against Atlanta. He'll make sure to go deep in the game so the awful New York bullpen comes into play. Mike Soroka is coming off the disabled list to face the awful Mets. He held them to one run and six hits in six innings back on 5/1. New York has scored just 19 runs since 5/30 and has been horrific offensively. Atlanta's bullpen has some decent arms. We also may get some backups in with the early start time. I think this one is an under. 

The DIamondbacks entered Monday night having gone over in seven of their last 10 games as the team has turned things around from their offensive doldrums of the past. Trevor Williams has allowed 13 runs and 20 hits over his last 12 innings and has been struggling since his hot start. He'll be opposed by Clay Buchholz who is off to a good start with Arizona. He's putting up good numbers, but I really don't think he is that good. His last three outings were against the Giants, Marlins and A's who aren't that great. Pittsburgh is averaging over four runs per game on the season and is capable of putting up some runs themselves. I think this one goes over the total.

Mike Foltynewicz is 5-4 with a 2.31 ERA in 13 starts with eight of them going under the total. He's allowed just three runs and 10 hits over his last 21 innings of work. Folty has a 0.97 ERA over his last six starts overall. The Mets are hitting .143 over their last seven games and .230 overall. They've gone under in eight of their last 10 and are making roster moves to try and fix that. Atlanta's bullpen has a 3.26 ERA at home. Zack Wheeler has allowed six runs and 16 hits over his last 19 innings. Atlanta's offense has put up good numbers this season. The Braves did struggle scoring runs towards the end of their west coast trip though. I think this one should go under the total.

The Phillies are hitting just .199 over their last seven games and .229 against right-handed starters. They will face Jon Gray who is 6-6 with a 5.53 ERA in 13 starts. The righty is coming off a winning effort in Cincy where he allowed three runs and seven hits in five innings. Colorado's bullpen has just four losses and five blown saves on the road. Aaron Nola is 5-0 with a 1.94 ERA and a WHIP of 0.960 in six home starts with four of them going under. He's given up three runs or more just once this season. Colorado is hitting .222 on the road and .246 overall. Philly's bullpen is 5-2 with a 2.86 ERA at home converting 11 of their 14 save chances. I think this one goes under the total. 

The Yankees are hitting .197 over their last seven games entering a brief two game series with the Nats. Tanner Roark has a 3.35 ERA in 12 starts and 2.88 ERA over six road outings. He's got 65 strikeouts to just 25 walks in 78 innings. CC Sabathia is the opposition and he's allowed 14 runs and 17 hits over his last three starts. The southpaw is facing a Washington team that is 21-11 on the road and are hitting .277 in five AL games. I think the Nats lineup is too good not to keep this thing close so I'll take the Washington runline.

Junior Guerra is 3-4 with a 2.83 ERA in 11 starts with eight of them going under the total. He's allowed five runs over his last 18 innings of work. Guerra faced the Cubs in April giving up one run and three hits in six innings. He's 1-1 with a 1.61 ERA in four career starts against Chicago. The Cubs have gone under in 18 of their 30 road games. Milwaukee's bullpen is 11-1 with a 2.54 ERA at home this season. Jose Quintana is 4-1 with a 0.63 ERA in six career starts against Milwaukee with all of them going under the total. In two starts against them this season, he held them to five hits and three walks in 13 innings. Milwaukee is hitting .233 against left-handed starters and .221 in divisional games. They have gone under in 17 of their 29 home games. Chicago's bullpen has a 1.99 ERA on the road. These two have played seven unders in their eight meetings. I think this one will as well. 

The Rockies have gone over in 10 straight and there's no reason to think this couldn't continue on Sunday. They have given up double digit runs in four of those games and have a bullpen that has been disgustingly bad since Adam Ottovino went on the DL. The Snakes are hitting around .270 in their last eight games and are hitting the ball well. These two have gone over in 14 of their last 21 meetings in Coors Field. Zack Godley is 5-5 with a 5.12 ERA in 12 starts. He's allowed 17 runs and 18 hits over his last three starts as he's experienced control issues. Colorado is hitting around .285 in their last eight games and should be able to tee off the mediocre starter. Coors Field is beginning to become an over park after a lean to the under early on. Give me the over in this one. 

Zach Eflin has allowed 12 runs and 24 hits over his last three starts. The starter is backed by a bullpen that has been roughed up as of late. He'll also face a Milwaukee team that has put up double digit runs in the first two games of this series. The Phillies offense has gone bone dry, but they could bounce back against Brandon Woodruff. The starter has allowed 11 runs and 14 hits in just over 11 innings. He's struck out 10 while walking seven and is not going deep in games either. Milwaukee does have a really good bullpen, but they may have to cover a lot of innings. I think this one goes over the total on Sunday. 

Jose Urena is looking for his first win at home this season. He did win his first start last time out in St. Louis despite giving up four runs and 10 hits in five innings. Urena did pretty well against San Diego back on 5/30 holding them to one run and three hits in six innings. The Padres are hitting around .222 on the road and .226 in day games. They don't scare me very much. Fading Clayton Richard on the road has been a decent wager throughout his career. The southpaw has a 6.26 ERA in five road outings. He held the Marlins to two runs and four hits in seven innings at home back on 5/30. Miami's starting to hit a little better despite the fact that their lineup doesn't have a ton of talent. I'll take them at home though. 

Tampa Bay has lost eight straight entering this one on Saturday afternoon. They have gone under in eight of their last 11 games as the offense has gone bone dry. They've scored three runs or less seven times during this losing streak. King Felix held them to one run and five hits in eight innings last time out. He's had a rough season, but should find some success against this meandering lineup. Seattle has a fantastic bullpen as they've won 20 one run games. Blake Snell got the no decision in that game against Felix and he held Seattle to two hits while striking out 12 over six innings. He has allowed just one run and seven hits over his last three starts. Seattle is hitting .244 in day games and has gone under in five of their last eight. Tampa's bullpen isn't bad either when used properly. I think this one is an under.

Lance Lynn is 4-4 with a 5.46 ERA in 11 starts with eight of those going over the total. Lynn is in good form right now, but he's also faced three straight decent to mediocre offenses in Cleveland, KC and Detroit. The Angels are hitting .275 on the road and are averaging over five runs per game on the road. They are hitting .261 in their last seven contests. Minnesota's bullpen has 14 losses and 10 blown saves. Garrett Richards is 4-4 with a 3.25 ERA in 12 starts. He gave up three runs and five hits in just over five innings to the Twins at home about a month ago. Minnesota is hitting around .270 over their last eight games. The offense is starting to come into form. The Angels bullpen has nine losses and 11 blown saves. I think these two score some runs on Friday night. 

It's getaway day for both the Dodgers and Pirates meaning we could get very lucky with the lineups. Dennis Santana makes his first start after giving up five runs and six hits in Coors Field out of the bullpen. Santana went 1-3 with a 2.54 ERA in 10 starts between AA and AAA. He allowed 36 hits in 49.2 innings striking out 65 to just 16 walks. The Pirates offense broke out on Wednesday, but I still don't like that group. They had gone under in five of their last eight games. Jameson Taillon is 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 starts with seven of them going under the total. He's got a 3.82 ERA in six home starts. The Dodgers lineup has been great, but I'm partially banking on some subs. They are hitting .239 in day games. Both bullpens aren't good, but I'm hoping that the starters go long and we don't have to worry. Give me the under. 

This is a getaway day for the Rockies while the Reds have struggled at times on offense. Tyler Anderson has some ugly numbers on the season, but he held Cincy to three runs and six hits in six innings back on 5/26 at home. The Reds are hitting .241 against left-handed starters and around .231 at home. Tyler Mahle is 4-6 with a 4.38 ERA in 12 starts with eight of them going under the total. He gave up four runs and six hits in five innings in Coors Field. Mahle pitched well in his last start and is in decent form right now. Colorado is hitting around .219 on the road and may sit someone in a day game after a night game. Once again, I hope for the starters to go deep and keep the poor bullpens out. I think this one is an early afternoon under. 

Sal Romano is 3-6 with a 5.85 ERA in 12 starts with seven of them going over the total. The righty has allowed 18 runs and 21 hits over his last 15 innings and change. One of those outings came in Colorado where he gave up five runs and eight hits. The Rockies continued their offensive onslaught on Tuesday extending their streak to 10 straight games with four runs or more. Jon Gray has an ERA over five himself. He has allowed 13 runs and 21 hits over his last 13 innings. He saw these Reds on 5/25 giving up four runs and six hits in six innings at home. Cincinnati is hitting .253 against right-handed starters and should be able to score some runs themselves. Both bullpens can be a bit leaky so we could get runs there too. I think this one goes over the total. 

Caleb Ferguson gets the call for Wednesday's game. He's 3-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 starts between AA and AAA. The southpaw has allowed 14 runs and 37 hits over 47 innings striking out 52 while walking just 17. Lefties and righties have struggled against him over his time in the minors. LA has scored 38 runs over their last four games and are starting to play like the team projected to win the division. Pittsburgh has scored just six runs over their last four games and the offense has gone bone dry. Trevor Williams is 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 12 starts for Pittsburgh. He started out hot, but allowed 5, 4, 4, 0 and 4 over his last five starts. LA's offense is hot right now. I think they are worth a look in this one. 

Joe Musgrove has pitched well for the Pirates. In two starts this season he's allowed just one run and 12 hits over 14 innings. He has 12 strikeouts to just four walks. The Dodgers are in good form right now, but that's because they feasted on bad pitching in Coors Field. LA is still hitting .240 over the season. Ross Stripling has allowed three runs and 14 hits over his last three outings. The righty has 42 strikeouts to just five walks and has won three straight starts. Pittsburgh is hitting just .229 over their last seven games with five of those going under the total. I'm not a believer in their offense at all. Neither bullpen is all that great, but both starters have shown they can go 6 or 7 meaning we'll get two sets of good arms for the later innings. I'll take the under. 

Anthony DeSclafani is making his first start since September of 2016 for the Reds on Tuesday. He made four rehab starts in AA and AAA giving up 11 runs and 20 hits over 19.1 innings. The righty had 22 strikeouts to just three walks. Colorado is hitting .318 over their last seven games and are 19-13 on the road. The lineup is improved with DJ LeMahieu atop it. Cincy's bullpen isn't terrible although they have a 4.62 ERA at home. Kyle Freeland is 5-5 with a 3.43 ERA in 11 starts for Colorado. He'll face a Reds team hitting .229 against left-handed starters. Cincy doesn't have a ton of threats in their lineup. The Rox bullpen is 6-3 with a 3.95 ERA on the road converting 15 of 19 save chances. I think the road team is worth a look in this one. 

Jake Arrieta is 5-2 with a 2.16 ERA in 10 starts. He's allowed just four runs over his last three starts and had an ERA under 1 in May. Arrieta has a 2.08 ERA and a WHIP of 1.000 in eight career starts against the Giants. San Francisco's lineup has some talent, but some of it could be sitting on Sunday in the day game after a night game. Philly's bullpen is improved especially if Seranthony Dominguez is available. Dereck Rodriguez is getting his first career start on Sunday. He allowed one earned run and five hits in three innings and change in Colorado on Tuesday. The Phillies are hitting around .222 in their last eight games and .215 in day contests. The Giants bullpen as a group will get some work in this one and it's not a bad unit. I think I'll take the under in this one. 

We are still getting decent prices for the Rockies whose lineup is due to breakout eventually especially at home. They are hitting around .320 in their last eight contests and get to face Alex Wood fresh off him allowing five runs and six hits to the Padres at home. Wood has been dealing with reduced velocity and some cramps as well as of late. He has a 5.44 career ERA against the Rockies. Chad Bettis held the Dodgers to two runs and three hits in five innings a couple of weeks ago in LA. The Dodgers lineup is not as deep as it used to be and I don't know if Vegas is pricing them like that. LA has the slight bullpen edge in this matchup, but I'll take the home team who can outslug anyone especially since the runline price is juicy.

Michael Wacha is 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA in seven starts at home with four of those going under the total. Wacha has allowed five runs and 11 hits over his last three starts. He's had a decent history against the Pirates going 6-3 with a 3.75 ERA and a WHIP of 1.190 in 15 starts. I'm not as much a believer in Pittsburgh's offense and they've gone under in four of their last seven. Nick Kingham has not pitched as well since his career debut against these Cardinals where he allowed one hit. He is striking batters out though and not walking anyone so that's a positive. The Cards have gone under in 17 of their 29 home games as their offense is hit-or-miss too. The problem here are the team's bullpens which aren't very good. I'll take my chances though and hope the starters go deep and we get a lower scoring game.

Marco Gonzales has not allowed an earned run over his last three starts. Gonzales has a 2.73 ERA in five starts at home and is backed by a bullpen that is really hot right now. Tampa's offense is putting up good numbers, but I really think they are overrated. Chris Archer is in very good form himself making it hard to fade him right now.  Opposing hitters are hitting just .204 against him over his last six starts. Seattle's lineup has a few threats, but doesn't scare me either on the whole. Tampa's bullpen has it's alright pieces. To me, if we can get two solid outings from the starters, the bullpen will do it's job in the end. This one is a solid bet at 8....not as much at 7.5. 

The Tigers are roping left-handed starters hitting .294 in those games. The lineup got Miguel Cabrera back so they will be improved. JA Happ is the opponent and he's got a 3.84 ERA in 11 starts this season. Happ has lost his last start in Detroit although it came in 2016. He'll be opposed by Matt Boyd who is 3-1 with a 1.84 ERA in five starts at home. Boyd has been good at keeping runners off base allowing just 41 hits and 20 walks in 57 innings of work. Toronto just put Josh Donaldson on the DL and is hitting around .210 in their last eight games. This is not a fierce lineup so I think Boyd can have some success. There's some value with the home team's runline.

Gio Gonzalez is 6-2 with a 1.97 ERA in 10 starts with seven of them going under the total. The southpaw has allowed two earned runs or less in 10 of his 11 starts this season. He's been a mixed bag against Atlanta who likes facing left-handed starters. Gonzalez is backed by a pretty good bullpen. Brandon McCarthy has pitched well in two of his last three starts and has already seen Washington this season. He held the Nats to one run and four hits in five innings in DC back on April 11th. Washington is hitting .233 in day games and has a nice under trend going right now. Atlanta's bullpen actually has decent numbers. I think this one should go under the total. 

Hector Santiago is awful. He's 0-2 with a 10.61 ERA in two home starts. The southpaw doesn't go deep in games and puts too many runners on base. Milwaukee is hitting .282 in their last seven games averaging nearly six runs per game over that span. With the AL lineups, they get to put another solid hitter into the lineup. The White Sox bullpen has 12 losses and nine blown saves. Chase Anderson has allowed 12 runs and 15 hits over his last 15 innings. He's got a 4.42 ERA in 10 starts this season. The White Sox are not great offensively, but they are home where they are hitting .246. I don't need them to do too much heavy lifting, but just contribute a run or two. To me, this one goes over the total.

Stephen Strasburg is 4-1 with a 1.97 ERA in five road starts. He has allowed four runs and 13 hits over his last three outings. Strasburg beat the Braves in April holding them to three hits and two walks in eight innings. He'll be opposed by Mike Foltynewicz who is seeing Washington for the third time this season. He has allowed four runs and nine hits in those two games. Folty is in game form right now. He's allowed three runs and 12 hits over his last three starts against the Red Sox, Phillies and Cubs. Both offenses have decent to good numbers offensively. I think they struggle with these starters. It's rare to see an 8 with good starting pitchers on the mound so I'll take it. 

Two horrible pitchers are on the mound in this one and I think there will be plenty of runs in this one. Sonny Gray is 3-4 with a 5.98 ERA in 10 starts with seven of those going over the total. He gave up three runs and four hits in six innings against the Orioles at home back in April. Baltimore's lineup is struggling terribly so this could be an issue, but I think they could get runners on and make things interesting. Andrew Cashner is 2-6 with a 5.07 ERA in 11 starts this season. He has not won in six outings at home. Cashner beat the Yankees in New York back on April 5th holding them to one run and two hits in six innings. New York's lineup is way too good for that to happen again. They have gone over in 22 of their 34 games against right-handed starters. These two have gone over in 27 of their last 42 meetings including three of four this year. I think that trend continues.

The Cubs take their hot offense into New York to face the Mets on Thursday. Before Wednesday, Chicago had a stretch of five straight games where they scored four runs or more. Seth Lugo is charged with slowing them down as he makes his first start of the season. Lugo has been money out of the bullpen, but who knows his pitch count. New York's bullpen has been dreadful this season with 13 losses and 10 blown saves. Their offense has been hit-or-miss too. They are hitting just .226 against left-handed starters, but are averaging over four runs per game overall. Jose Quintana has allowed 10 runs and 15 hits over his last three starts. He's very capable of having a poor outing in this one. I think this one should go over the total. Seven of their last 13 meetings have gone over the total including four of their last seven in New York. 

It's a rematch of a May 2nd meeting between these two teams in which the Yankees won 4-0. Luis Severino threw a complete game shutout in that one holding the Astros to just five hits and one walk while striking out 10. Dallas Keuchel took the loss in that one giving up three runs and six hits in seven innings. The southpaw is 6-4 with a 1.82 ERA and a WHIP of 0.851 in 10 career starts vs. the Bronx Bombers with eight of them going under the total. Severino has a 1.64 ERA at home and has allowed just five runs over his last 18 innings. Keuchel is 2-3 with a 2.84 ERA on the road. The two offenses these two will be facing are very good so of course this number is scary. Still, i'll take the chance that both lineups struggle with the starters and the bullpens hold down a late lead.

Corey Kluber is 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA in five home starts this season. He's been incredible as of late allowing just four runs over his last three outings with 21 strikeouts to no walks. Kluber is 9-4 with a 3.21 ERA in 19 career starts against Chicago with 12 of those going under the total. The White Sox offense is pretty pathetic as a group averaging less then four runs per game against right-handed starters. Reynaldo Lopez is 1-3 with a 2.93 ERA in 10 starts this season. He has allowed two runs or less in six of his last nine starts and has given up four hits or less six times. Lopez faced the Indians once last September giving up one run and six hits in six innings. Both bullpens scare me so I hope for longer outings and lesser lineups in the afternoon. Still, I think this one should go under the total.

Kyle Freeland is 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA in three home starts. The southpaw has allowed four runs and 15 hits over his last three outings. Freeland beat the Giants in San Fran just over 10 days ago holding them to one run and five hits in just over six innings. San Francisco's offense is really inconsistent and has stretches where they struggle. Jeff Samardzija is 1-3 with a 6.23 ERA in seven starts. He's walking too many hitters and putting too many batters on base. The Shark got rocked last year in his last Coors Field start and gave up three runs and five hits at home against the Rockies. Colorado's offense is starting to heat up and has the talent to make his life miserable. I think this is a good price for the better offense and starter at home. 

Boston is putting up over six runs per game at home and are hitting around .282 as well. They should tee off on Marco Estrada who has lost his first two outings against the Sox. Over 11 innings, he's given up nine runs and 15 hits and has a 4.50 career ERA against them. Rick Porcello isn't in great form either right now. He's allowed 14 runs and 23 hits over his last three starts. Porcello's ERA is near five against the Jays. He held them to three runs and three hits in seven innings over a month ago. Toronto's lineup is putting up ugly numbers but they are averaging around 4.5 runs per game. I think this one should go over the total. 

The Nats have won four straight and six of their last seven. Jeremy Hellickson has allowed just two runs and 10 hits over his last 17 innings. He's done well against the Padres and Diamondbacks over that span. The Orioles have been dreadful this year offensively. They are hitting .218 against right-handed starters and don't have a ton of threats. The Washington bullpen got some rest on Monday and should have their better arms available. Dylan Bundy is 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA in six home starts. Washington is 18-8 on the road where they average over five runs per game. Baltimore's bullpen has been pretty bad as well. I think the road team is worth a look in this one. 

The Phillies just lost a series to the Blue Jays and now start a west coast swing. Philly is 10-12 on the road hitting .220 in those games. They are hitting around .200 over their last eight. Brock Stewart gave up two runs and five hits in four innings to the Rockies last time out. He'll be opposed by Vince Velasquez who has allowed five runs and 16 hits over his last three starts. He's striking out hitters with 64 of them in just over 51 innings. The Dodgers are hitting around .220 at home and around .209 over their last nine contests. Both teams have mediocre to decent bullpens. I think this one should go under the total. 

Chad Bettis is 4-1 with a 3.30 ERA in 10 starts for the Rockies. Much like the rest of the rotation, he has ugly numbers at home with a 6.89 ERA. He's 3-3 with a 4.24 ERA in eight career starts against San Fran. Already this season he took a no decision earlier this month in SF allowing three runs and five hits in six innings. The Giants are playing Sunday Night Baseball against the Cubs before this so they won't get into Colorado until later. I like to fade traveling teams in this situation. Andrew Suarez has allowed 15 runs and 22 hits over his last three starts. He's 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA on the road and has not started in Colorado in his career. The Rockies aren't putting up great numbers at home, but have a very good lineup. To me, I think this is a good price to back the home team at. 

Jakob Junis is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA in 10 starts for KC. Junis has allowed four runs and 12 hits over his last two starts against the Cardinals and Yankees. Minnesota has lost five of their last eight and are hitting around .200 over that span. The lineup continues to struggle to put things together. Lance Lynn is 1-2 with an 8.13 ERA in five road starts. He's walking too many batters and is allowing too many hits as well. The Royals are starting to turn things around a little although they still aren't a good team. Minnesota's bullpen doesn't scare me much so I think that runs could be had in the later innings. Give me the home team in this one.

JA Happ is 6-3 with a 3.97 ERA this season. The southpaw has gone seven innings in each of his last two starts allowing just two runs and five hits over that span. He's striking out a lot more batters and that's helping him out. By going deeper in games, Happ is preventing a mediocre bullpen from coming in and blowing it. Nick Pivetta is 4-2 with a 3.23 ERA. He has allowed just one run over his last three starts and has 25 strikeouts over that span as well. Toronto's lineup doesn't scare me especially with the starting pitcher in there. Philly's bullpen is actually getting better as a unit. There's also the chance a star or two sits for the afternoon game. I think this one's an under. 

Sergio Romo gets the "start" for the Rays who will go to a bullpen affair once again. Romo had a short stay on Friday on the mound giving up one run and two hits in less then an inning. I'm stunned at the awful numbers that the Orioles offense is putting up. There are some decent threats with Machado, Jones and the like. One of these series' they are going to break out like they should. Kevin Gausman is 3-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 10 starts. The righty has 58 strikeouts to just 15 walks in 62 innings. He's 5-5 with a 3.25 ERA in 13 career outings against the Rays. Just two weeks ago he beat Tampa Bay at home despite allowing 11 hits in just over seven innings. Gausman's last two starts in Tampa he allowed one run and 11 hits in 13 innings. Tampa's lineup doesn't scare me very much at all. They are hitting around .240 in their last eight games. Hold your nose for this one but I think the Orioles are worth a look. 

Garrett Richards is 0-4 with an 8.46 ERA in five starts against the Yankees. Back home on April 28th he allowed nine runs in just over an inning to them. New York's lineup is hard to keep down and pretty much intact for this Sunday afternoon. Masahiro Tanaka is 5-2 with a 5.08 ERA in nine starts with seven of them going over the total. He's allowed 11 runs and 16 hits over his last 16 innings and change. The Angels are hitting .282 on the road this season and are in pretty good offensive form themselves. I don't understand the line move down on the total, but I'll take the over and hope these offenses are true to form. 

Chris Paul's injury and Andre Iguodala coming back meaning this should be a blowout in favor of the Warriors. James Harden is not shooting well and the Warriors seemed to preach that they liked what they saw despite the loss. To me, this seems like your typical Oracle beatdown and we head to Houston for game 7. Role players play better at home and that means less Ariza, Tucker and Gordon potentially.

Francisco Liriano is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA in nine starts. He has not lost in four outings at home. Liriano beat the White Sox the last time he faced them back in 2015. Chicago is 3-8 against left-handed starters hitting .233 in those games. Hector Santiago is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA in four starts. He's walking too many hitters and allowing too many runs. Santiago is 3-6 with a 3.80 ERA in 12 career starts against the Tigers. Detroit is hitting .288 against left-handed starters. The lineup is 14-11 in day games averaging nearly five runs per game. Chicago's bullpen is not very good and has a save conversion percentage around 50%. I think the White Sox fall in this one. 

Jack Flaherty and Trevor Williams face off for the second time. Back on April 28th in Pittsburgh, the Pirates won 6-2. Williams held the Cards to two runs and four hits in six innings. Flaherty wasn't that bad with three runs and four hits allowed in five innings. The Cards pitcher has allowed six runs and 17 hits in four starts this season with 27 strikeouts to just seven walks. The Pirates offense is putting up good numbers, but I'm just not convinced they are that good. Trevor Williams is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts at home. He's in good form right now for the most part. St. Louis is a mediocre offense hitting around .238 as a team this season. Both bullpens scare me a lot, but I think the starters can go deeper. I like the under in this one.

Fernando Romero has not lost in four starts for the Twins. Romero has allowed five runs and 14 hits in just over 21 innings. He's got 22 strikeouts to just 11 walks. Seattle is just 12-10 at home and are hitting around .200 in their last eight games. James Paxton has been very good as of late, but he's also facing weak opponents like Toronto and Detroit. Paxton faced the Twins back on April 5th giving up two runs and four hits in five innings. Minnesota is hitting .241 against left-handed starters and have enough threats to keep this one close. I think it's worth a look to take the runline in this one. 

Fading the Yankees at times could give us some good prices especially with a team as good as the Angels. Andrew Heaney is 2-3 with a 3.35 ERA in seven starts. He's allowed just three earned runs and 12 hits over his last 20 innings. Heaney faced the Yankees at home about a month ago giving up two runs and five hits in five innings striking out nine in the process. He'll be opposed by Luis Severino who gave up three runs and five hits in seven innings in that game. The Angels are 16-5 on the road averaging nearly six runs per game. They have a good bullpen and a pretty good lineup so i'll take the chance with the runline in this one and hope they hit the Yankees ace. 

Zach Eflin has allowed five runs and 10 hits in just over 17 innings so far this season. He's picked up 17 strikeouts to just six walks. Toronto is hitting .228 on the road and has a poor lineup as a whole. They are hitting around .230 in their last eight games. Philly's bullpen is improving with just two losses and two blown saves as a group. Sam Gaviglio gets the call for the Jays. He's making his second start after keeping Oakland off the scoreboard for just over five innings. The Phillies are 18-7 at home where they are scoring over five runs per game. They have not lost in four interleague games either. Toronto's bullpen doesn't scare me much despite the fact the group hasn't lost on the road. I think this is a good price for the home team. 

Two shaky starters will try and turn things around in Cincinnati. Luis Castillo is 3-4 with a 5.61 ERA in 10 starts this season. He's allowed six runs and 13 hits over his last three starts. Pittsburgh is hitting around .240 on the road and doesn't exactly have a great lineup as it is. With the early start time we're not guaranteed to see starters either. Ivan Nova has bounced back a little after a rough outing in Chicago. Last time out he held the Padres to three runs and six hits in six innings. Cincy entered Wednesday night hitting .186 over their last seven games. They are hitting .204 in day games as well. Both teams have mediocre bullpens, but on a getaway day I feel like we don't see a ton of runs and this one goes under the total.