All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am expecting a hatful of goals in this game between two sides that play open attacking soccer.

The last 4 Bristol City games have had at least 3 goals in them and the same applies to 7 of their last 9 Championship games.

Forest last two games had a ton of goals in them, 11 in fact and 5 of their last 8 Championship games have had at least 3 goals.

These two have dodgy defences and exciting attackers, all the ingredients for goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper, you would have to say this game has all the signs of being under 2.5 goals, but that is to ignore the context of this game.

Stoke are being booed by their fans, they are desperate to get back to winning ways, they have just one win in their last seven Premier League games and the only way to release the pressure is to get a win and they will go for that elusive win today, of that I am certain.

Problem is that West Ham is no longer cannon fodder, they have just beaten Chelsea and held Arsenal, they have turned the corner somewhat and will see this as a game they can now win.

I see this as a game that both sides will go out and try to win, neither will settle for the draw and I do expect to see a winner emerge, just not sure who, but I do see both teams scoring and the over 2.5 goals market is definite value.

Take over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Watford win today.

Watford have stuttered a little recently but they remain a good competent side and back at home they must feel very confident they will get back to winning ways today, they held Tottenham 1-1 last time they were at home and have beaten Arsenal and drawn with Liverpool as well on their home ground.

Huddersfield cannot win away but that is not their only problem, they cannot score either. They scored 3 against Palace on their first away game this season but since then have gone seven away games without scoring once, they have lost their last five away games on the bounce and conceded 16 goals in those 5 games.

Unless there is a monumental turnaround in form from Huddersfield it is a home win all day long.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I saw Augsburg live against Schalke and I was impressed, they showed character to come back from 2-0 down and they were unfortunate to lose in the end, they were playing Schalke away and remember that Schalke is second in the Bundesliga.

Freiburg have hit a rich vein of form and they did win away last time out but they remain a poor away side having lost 5 of their 7 away games in the league this season, they are a limited side and will struggle to get anything at Augsburg today.

Take Augsburg -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My top over 2.5 pick today.

Both these sides are struggling big time and sit 4th and 2nd bottom of the Bundesliga.

Both regularly feature in games with goals and both will believe deep won that they can win this game.

I expect an open attacking game with both sides going for goals, they both need the win desperately and will be motivated to go for goal considering their precarious positions within the league.

Over 2.5 goals looks nailed on 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am not convinced by Schalke at all, they disappointed me midweek despite beating Augsburg 3-2, they allowed a 2 goal lead to slip and were in danger of losing the game and even though I backed them in that game I was not impressed by them at all and that is not the first time I felt like that about Schalke this season.

They are not rock solid away and Frankfurt has every reason to feel they can get something from this game.

Put it this way, I am far more confident in Frankfurt not losing than I am in Schalke winning and the draw sees stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Following 2 defeats at home, Aberdeen has since won two on the bounce on the road and will hope to maintain that momentum when they return to their own stadium and put those recent home losses behind them.

Hibs lost at home to Rangers midweek and has won just once in their last 5 games, they have a decent away record but they are stuttering slightly and preference is with Aberdeen today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leicester has finally got momentum, they are flying right now, they beat Southampton easily midweek and that was their fourth win on the bounce and they have lost just once in their last 12 games and that was against Man City, the best team in the league.

Palace was very lucky midweek to get a 2-1 win and while they are starting to perform better they are still a long way from being on the same level as what Leicester are right now.

Leicester are a confident home win

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sheff Weds are strong at home recently and Wolves are starting to look a little weary despite their current form.

The price on Sheff Weds is simply too big to resist when you consider that they have just as good a chance of winning this game as what Wolves have.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco has a good chance of winning this game but they remain vulnerable on the road as their last league outing showed.

St Etienne will be as competitive as they can be and I am confident they will score at least once.

Monaco will probably win but the home side should score and so over 2.5 goals is the pick

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a comfortable win today for Borrusia Monchengladbach today.

The home side has mixed form at home but it is a lot better than the away form of Hamburg.

Hamburg are woeful on the road and Borussia should be more than capable of winning this game by a couple of goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is set up for over 2.5 goals.

Both sides regularly feature in games with goals in them and their current position in the standings, 11th and 12th respectively, means that they will both view this game as winnable and both will go for the win.

Neither side has great defences and so this game is set up for goals as long as the respective offenses take advantage.

Over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this game has been set well, I really could not decide if the spread would be covered by either side but I did come to the conclusion that the Total would be covered.

My thinking is simple, I do expect the Raptors to win and I see them getting to 120 or more points. I see the Suns not being too far away and even if they are it would not be by more than 15 points, so the logical pick has to be over 221 points.

Over 221

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Boston have stuttered over the last few games but that was on the road, they are back in front of their home fans tonight and I expect them to put on a show and win this game convincingly, they are the better team and my analysis has them winning this one by more than 6, possibly by more than 10.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Pacers are going for their fifth win on the bounce and not just that, their fifth win in a row at home, they have the momentum and they will be very hard to beat this evening.

The Thunder are actually the favourites to win this game, I can see some reasons behind that but I also see other reasons why they should not be, their road record for starters.

The Pacers have momentum, they have home court advantage and are up an inconsistent team with a poor away record and add to that the Pacers getting 1.5 points then it is an Indiana win for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everton is finally improving, the appointment of Sam Allardyce has worked wonders to date and 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 games, including that 1-1 draw at free-scoring Liverpool, is a testament to their improved form.

Newcastle is going the other way, they are now winless in their last 7 games, losing 6 of them, they are in free fall at the moment and well worth opposing.

Take Everton at even ball on the spreads

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Rangers are looking to consolidate second place in the Scottish Premiership and there is good reason to think they can do just that with a win over Hibs today.

Rangers have lost just once on the road in 8 Premiership away games this season and won 6 of those 8 games, they are a very strong away side.

Hibs are inconsistent at home, they have won just 3 of their 8 home games and despite being just 3 points behind Rangers are an inferior side overall.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On their day Southampton can be competitive, they showed that against Arsenal at the weekend, but at the same time they can also be very frustrating and lose games they should not.

Leicester is improving, they have won their last 3 games and once they get momentum it is hard to stop them.

I am unable to pick an outright winner but I see an open game with both sides scoring and one of them going on to get at least two goals.

Over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Schalke have an excellent chance to move into second place in the Bundesliga and in front of their home fans will be determined to collect all 3 points.

Schale is strong at home, they have lost just once this season on their home ground and that was against runaway leaders Bayern Munich.

Augsburg is not that bad actually, they are only 3 points behind Schalke and have a decent away record but I do not feel they have the same quality in depth that Schalke have and in front of a passionate home crowd I do see them losing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hoffenheim look good for the win today, they have been inconsistent in the early part of the season but a lot of that is down to European commitments, which are now at an end. In their last home game they beat second-placed Leipzig 4-0 and while I do not see a similar scoreline today I do see them winning comfortably.

Stuttgart is a very poor away side, they have lost 7 of their 8 away games, drawing the other one and there is no reason to feel that they can get anything from this game.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The 76ers have lost the last four on the bounce and they do not look like they will emerge from this current slide too soon, not the way they been playing.

Minnesota, on the other hand, has won 3 of the last 4 and looking for their third win on the bounce tonight, they know this is a great opportunity to extend their lead in the division and I do see them covering the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Spurs are flying at the moment, they are looking for their fifth win in a row, they have momentum and should have more than enough in the tank to take care of their opponents tonight.

Dallas is on the verge of a slump and truth be told they have been poor for the majority of the season and there is little evidence that it will get any better any time soon.

I actually have The Spurs winning this by close to 10 points and so giving up 5.5 is well within range.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Knicks look good to win this and cover the spread, they have been inconsistent of late but they had a nice win on Saturday and in front of their home fans have some momentum coming into this game.

The Lakers have won the last two on the bounce but they remain vulnerable to me, they can easily start losing again.

Having watched both these teams recently it is the Knicks that fill me with more confidence.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Palace has been improving and was unlucky not to win at the weekend following a last-minute penalty miss, they have finally started to find the goal, especially at home where they have scored at least twice in their last 5 games.

Watford are an inconsistent away side, they have won just once in their last 5 road games and have lost 3 of their last 4 but only once all season, last weekend, have they failed to score away.

With Palace scoring freely at home and Watford scoring at least the once in almost all their away games the over 2.5 market looks the best play in this match.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two competitive sides but it is AZ that I will be backing today.

AZ is in fine form, they sit 2nd which is impressive with the likes of Ajax and Feyenoord below them, they have won 5 of their last 6 road games and their last 7 home or away.

PEC is decent and definitely shooting above their weight but they have fallen against the better sides this season and their best result was a 0-0 draw away to Feyenoord, however, they lost 3-0 to Ajax and 1-0 to PSV and AZ are in that category this season.

AZ to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Burnley are a strong home side, they lost their first home game of the season but since then have lost just the once in front of their home fans and that was against Arsenal, they beat Watford at the weekend at home and will feel confident they can maintain that today.

Stoke took a hammering against Tottenham at the weekend, they have won just once away all season and have won just once in their last 6 Premier League games home or away.

Burnley -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

4 of the last 6 games involving Freiburg have finished over 2,5 goals and 5 of the last 7 involving Borussia Monchengladbach have gone the same way.

Borussia is the better side but they are also the away side and that often leads to goals by both teams.

The last 2 matches between these two have also been over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the value pick

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leipzig has struggled away this season, however, they have been consumed with Champions League football and now that is over they can get back to the bread and butter of the Bundesliga, they still have some issues on the road but they sit 2nd in the league and on their day can beat almost anyone, if they play to their true ability today they will win.

Wolfsburg have lost just once at home all season but they have only won twice as well, they have drawn an incredible 5 times at home from 8 home games, it is just a matter of time before their resilience crumbles because they are not really that good as a side.

Leipzig at even ball on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than  Golden State win, however, I am not convinced they will cover the spread, that said, it would not surprise me if they did cover the spread and so it was best to leave that pick alone.

However, I do see the totals being beat, I expect the Blazers to clear 100 points and if they do that then the chances are high that the total of 216 will be beaten.

Over 216

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am confident this game will surpass 50 points.

New England does not get it easy travelling to face the Dolphins, they have lost 3 of their last 4 visits to Miami and are facing a team that will be desperate for the win to maintain their own hopes of making the playoffs.

The last 3 games between these 2 have gone 49 points or higher and I see that happening again tonight.

I am confident that Miami will get to 20 points or more and that New England will get to 30 or more, I am not so confident that New England will beat the spread and so doing the totals is the most sensible pick.

Over 48 points

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Heat to beat the Grizzlies in this one.

The stats give a confusing message and this pick comes down to the performances of the two sides over recent matches and while Memphis has shown signs of improvement they just do not seem to be able to hold it together for the entire game, they just seem to run out of steam or ideas.

Miami is not in blistering form but they are at least a little more consistent.

Miami +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Another game in which the over 2.5 goals market has been set at 2 with poor odds, which is very disappointing.

However, I am convinced there will be at least two goals in this game and that will mean the worst case scenario is that stakes are returned and to be honest either team can win this game and the likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals is far higher for me than less than 2 goals.

Over 2 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Cardiff City sits 2nd in the English Championship and a win today will take them within 2 points of leaders Wolves, a loss will leave them 5 points adrift and being dragged back into the playoff picture.

Reading sit 16th, they are not so strong at home winning just 3 times in 10 home games which does not compare well with Cardiff 6 away wins in 10 road games.

I was tempted to back Cardiff outright but the safety net of returned stakes in the event of a draw is the safer option

Cardiff even spread

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am looking forward to this one, I see points and a lot of them, I know the stats say this will be below 50 but I am convinced this game will pass the 50 point mark.

Baltimore can be explosive and when in the mood they can score for fun, they have won 4 of their last 5 and on two of those occasions have hit 40 points and in all those 5 games have gone over 20 or more, I see them doing just that today.

Pittsburg are fighters, they do not give up, they have tremendous character and they will not allow Baltimore to get too far ahead, they will match them throughout the game at the very worst, if they do go ahead then they will fight like dogs to keep Baltimore at bay.

I see a tight game with both sides clearing 20 points and combined clearing 50 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am confident that the Pacers will have enough to beat the Nuggets by more than 5. The stats support a win for the Pacers and my own analysis has them at least 7 pt winners.

Pacers -5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was impressed with the Seahawks against the Eagles, I expected them to get turned over and it is just the sort of win against a great team that can really lift you and I expect them to consolidate for the rest of the season. 

The Jaguars are obviously a good team, they have home advantage but they do show vulnerabilities at times and if they are not on top form today they will lose and even if they are on top form they will not win easy.

Taking the Seahawks o the spread is the safe and value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I know the Eagles lost time out and for me, that was a surprise but in some ways, it will help them, it will make them refocus and take every game from now on far more seriously, they cannot always just turn up and win.

LA is a good side, of course they are and they are the home side, a small advantage for sure, but based on what I have seen all season I am convinced that the Eagles are the better side and will scrape the win this evening, maybe if the Eagles did not lose last week I may have thought differently but I am positive that loss will help the Eagles. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have the Celtics bouncing back to winning form against a strong Pistons, but Boston should have too much firepower overall.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raptors are far superior to the Kings, even -8 is probably on the low side and a double-digit win for Toronto is expected.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dallas finally got back to winning ways against Washington with a tremendous display and if they are anywhere near that level today they will win this game easily.

New York are a mess, so much off-field issues and so many on-field problems have combined to totally undermine them and truth be told, they are simply not that good.

I cannot see anything other than a comprehensive Dallas win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I really like the Vikings, they have impressed me consistently this season, their defence is awe-inspiring and they have to be considered genuine Superbowl contenders.

Carolina are frustrating, they are so inconsistent, they can be explosive and exciting and then be dreary and error-prone, I just have no confidence in them to be able to overcome the Minnesota defence consistently tonight.

I expect the Vikings to win this game and by a lot more than 2.5.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this game is just far too low, should be a lot higher but I will not complain.

Green Bay may well have QB issues right now but they finally got back to winning ways against Tampa and that will have reinvigorated them.

What can you say about the Browns, they are utter rubbish, they really are, you can make a case for them based on some performances but at some point, you have to recognize rubbish for what it is.

This one is a gift at just -2.5 and is my pick of the day.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with under 48.5 on this one simply because I trust neither side.

On their day both sides can score at will but they rarely have those sorts of days anymore, both sides are error-prone, they are just unreliable in offense.

Kansas really are in a mess now, they are so unorganized and lacking in discipline that it is frightening and Oakland blow hot and cold, yes they can be exciting but more often than not these days they just stutter.

If they wanted to these two sides could easily get 30 points apiece but for me, that would be an exception and it is far more likely neither side will get to 30 points and most likely struggle to get beyond 20.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am very disappointed that I am only able to do over 2 goals on here, the odds are much better on over 2.5 goals but even so, I am convinced we will see goals and if it has to be 2 or more then so be it.

4 of Athletico last 5 games have all had at least 3 goals in them and 3 of the last 5 Levante home games have had at least 3 goals in it.

Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the league and will see this game as a good opportunity to collect all 3 points and I expect both to employee attacking mentalities.

Not sure who will win but I am sure we will see, at worst, 2 goals and most likely more.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There have been two surprises in Belgium soccer this season, 1) Charleroi are doing far better than expected and 2) Anderlecht are doing worse than expected.

But, these two teams are on the same points and with European soccer over I expect to see Anderlecht kick on and concentrate solely on their league performance.

Charleroi is still in form for sure but it is a tall order for them to go to Anderlecht and win and I am of the opinion that the home side will begin their resurgence with a win today and probably by a couple of goals, they have a point to prove now.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has the potential to be over 2.5 goals and the odds on it are quite decent.

Hertha has improved away from home, in their last 5 road games they have lost just once, a massive improvement on their previous away form and scored in 4 of those 5 games.

Augsburg is the favourites and always score at home, they have done so the last 15 games on the bounce and see that happening today.

For me, both teams will score and it is likely that one of them will get the win and therefore over 2.5 goals is the value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Despite the fact that United are the home team they will be far more defensive than City in this game.

City is probably the best side in club football in the world at the moment, they are running away with the Premier League and are playing some of the best soccer seen anywhere in many years, they really are a fantastic team.

United will be without Pogba and that is significant, their manager will employ defensive tactics throughout, that is his style when he puts out a team against superior opposition and for the most part it works, but parking the bus against City will not work.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Houston are on fire, they have won their last 8 on the bounce and in 6 of those 8 wins they have gone 117 or higher and I expect them to be around about that figure today, probably higher.

The Blazers are on a 3 game losing streak, however, they did score 116 against New Orleans and 6 of their last 10 games they have passed 100.

I was not sure how many Houston would win by but I am sure the combined scores of both teams will surpass 216

Over 216

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like San Antonio in this one, they have won 7 of their last 8 and the last 3 on the bounce, they have beaten the spread last 2 games and only failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 10.

The Suns have beaten the spread 50% of their last 10 games and won just 3 times in their last 10 games, they are also on a 2 game losing streak.

I am confident that the Spurs will cover the spread

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bulls are a poor side and even though they won last time out that just masks how poor they are, the stats definitely back up a Knicks win.

That the Bulls won their last game does not mean we will see a different Bulls team going forward if anything it will mean the Knicks will not take them lightly or be complacent.

The Knicks are hardly anything special themselves but they really should have enough to beat the Bulls by more than 3.5 pts.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

3rd placed Schalke travel to 5th placed Borussia Monchengladbach and I see goals.

5 of the last 6 games at Borussia in the league have had over 2.5 goals and Schalke have found their scoring boots knocking in 6 goals in their last 2 games.

Both teams want to maintain their push into a top 4 spot and the winners of this game could go second behind Bayern Munich.

This game is set up for goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Newcastle is going through a dreadful run of form and the reason for that is that they are not that good and the only reason they will avoid relegation is because there are some teams a lot poorer than them.

Leicester is in good form, they have beaten Tottenham and Burnley in their last 2 games and are on a roll now,  they have only lost on the road to Man Utd and Arsenal this season and while they have drawn a lot, that was before they started getting the winning habit once again.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Oostende have seen an upsurge in form, they have won 4 and drawn 2 of their last 6 league games, form that sees them have the third-best record in the league over the last 6 games.

Mechelen on the other cannot buy a win away from home, they have picked up just 3 points from a possible 24 on the road and have won just twice in their last 20 league games on the road.

This is a game that has a team in form hosting a team incapable of winning away.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My only pick from the English League one today and it is over 2.5 goals between Blackpool and Rotherham.

Both teams regularly feature in games with over 2.5 goals, the last 5 home games for Blackpool have gone over 2.5 on 4 occasions and 3 times out of the last 5 for away games for Rotherham.

Both are mid-table and in desperate need of the points and an attacking game is on the cards.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Aston Villa wants to get promotion this season then this is the sort of game they must win, they are strong at home, they have lost just once all season on their home turf and have won 5 of their last 6 home games.

Millwall are a poor away side, they have not won on the road this season and in fact, they have not won away from home over the last 18 games, that really is poor.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

While Fulham are not exactly a great team they are nowhere near as poor as Birmingham, I cannot stress how poor a team Birmingham is, I watched them this week and what I witnessed is a team incapable of making chances, they have failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches and scored just twice in that sequence. 

Fulham has scored in 16 of their 20 games this season, home and away and I see them winning by at least 2 goals today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Chelsea win today.

West Ham is a poor side, they hate playing at their new stadium, there is no real atmosphere there and the size of the pitch will suit Chelsea.

Chelsea are no longer distracted by European football for the next few months and now is the time to consolidate their league position, they will tear into West Ham today and win handsomely.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Toronto has won four in a row, they are up and down on the spreads but when they get it right they get it right and they stand a great chance tonight of a comprehensive win.

Memphis has won just once in their last 10, they are in a terrible rut and have beaten the spread just twice in their last 10 games, everything points to another beating tonight.

Raptors -6

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Warriors keep on winning, they have beat the spread last 4 games, they are averaging over 117 a game and it is likely they will get close to that score tonight.

The Pistons are on a 4 game losing streak and at best are inconsistent, they are averaging just over 104 per game which is close to what the Warriors give up and while I do not see the Warriors winning by double figures I do see them winning by more than 5.5.

Warriors -5.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Nuggets are struggling to beat the spread recently, they have lost their last 2 games and are showing signs of being a hot and cold team.

The Magic are not doing any better consistency wise but they are doing well on the spreads and will have had a confidence boost with the OT win over Atlanta.

Magic -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sheff Utd sit 4th on 37 points, the same as their opponents today, they have had a sticky patch recently and 4 of their last 5 games have had at least 3 goals in them.

Third-placed Bristol City is in slightly better form than their opponents and just like Sheffield Utd they have featured in 4 games over 2.5 goals out of their last 5 games.

The context of this game is that both sides are attack-minded, do allow goals on a regular basis and goals does look on the agenda today.

Over 2.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Stuttgart may be struggling slightly in the Bundesliga but they have been very strong at home recently winning 5 and drawing 1 of their last 6 home games and remain unbeaten on their home ground this season in the league.

Bayer has been fairly solid on the road recently but they have won just the twice on the road in their 7 away games this season.

Stuttgart are good value to back on the spreads and for this pick to lose Bayer must win, a draw sees stakes returned.

Stuttgart on the spread

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Gornik Zabrze sit top of the Polish league, they are unbeaten at home this season, in fact you have to go back to the beginning of March last year for the last time they lost at home, they have won 4 of their last 6 home games and will be looking to extend their impressive home record today.

Lechia are a poor away side, they have just 3 wins this season on the road from 9 games and won just 4 games away all last season.

Gornik is consistently underestimated because they are a promoted side, but that are top for a reason and it is to our advantage that they are so underestimated.

Gornik -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Houston is on fire at the moment, they are racking up the points scoring an average just over 118 points per game over the last 10 games and they stand every chance of getting close to that tonight.

Utah was a little unlucky against Oklahoma, prior to that they went six wins in a row and only twice in their last 10 games have they failed to get 106 or more points.

Over 209 looks an easy target for this game.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Thunder were a little flattered by their win over Utah and a lot of that was down to fatigue on the part of the Jazz and they have not covered the spread over recent games.

The Nets showed character to bounce back against Atlanta and they have covered the spread 8 from their last 10 games, they will be competitive tonight and will take the Thunder down to the wire.

Nets +6

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Washington remains without Wall but they did just fine last night and bounced back from that ugly Utah loss, They will remain focused and their recent trend is to beat the spread.

Phoenix is without Booker and for them that is significant, Washington can handle the loss of Wall, I am not sure that Phoenix can do the same without Booker.

Wizards -7

Stake - 2pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

New Orleans is in great form, they have won just once in their last 10 and they bounced straight back from that defeat with a comfortable win over Carolina and they have beaten the spread in 8 of the last 10 games.

Atlanta was on a nice winning streak of 3 games before their loss to Minnesota and despite the low scoring they did themselves credit, but they tend to lose against the better teams and only their win over Seattle is what I would consider a win against a top team.

The Saints have the better stats overall and while this will be a close game I am solidly behind New Orleans to get the win.

New Orleans +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Istanbul must win if they are to have any hope of qualifying for the next round, they narrowly lost against Braga earlier in this group and currently sit top of the Turkish league.

Braga has already qualified for the next round, they do not have the same incentive as Istanbul and very few teams relish playing a critical game in Turkey.

Istanbul -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Copenhagen, if they win they go above Sheriff and will qualify for the next round, a draw or loss and they are out, they held Sheriff 0-0 earlier in the competition and in front of their home fans will feel very confident they can get the win they desperately crave.

Sheriff has only ever won once away in the Europa League and that was in their last game against Lokomotiv Moscow, their first win in 18 attempts, they are poor travellers in Europe and a journey to freezing cold Denmark will be a very tough ask.

Copenhagen -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everton is out of this competition, this is a game they could have done without, they have absolutely nothing to play for and their manager Sam Allardyce has already announced that he will not be fielding his best players.

Apollon is also out, however, they do have something to play for, they are in front of their home fans playing a Premier League side, they would love to beat a team from one of Europe's elite leagues, it would be a historic moment for them and they will feel confident they can get the win after holding Everton to a 2-2 draw in England.

Apollon -0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Slavia need to avoid defeat to be certain of qualifying for the next round, they are in good form and of course have home advantage, they drew 1-1 with Astana in the first game between these two and will feel they can get the win but they are also aware that their opponents must win.

Astana are out unless they win, this will dictate how they play, they will have to press forward, that leaves them open to the counter-attack and if they did score first then Slavia would be on the attack, the circumstances of this game means that one team must always be on the attack and so goals is very likely throughout the game.

Over 2.5 goals

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Boston is one of the best sides in NBA, some will say the very best and they will take some stopping, a lot of the stats points to them winning this one comfortably and why not, they are formidable at home, they are on a winning streak and it will be a huge surprise if they fail to win tonight.

Dallas is weak on the road but are on a two-game winning streak and will give a good account of themselves this evening and while they will very likely lose I am doubtful that they will be given a thrashing.

The over/under has been set too low for me at 201 and I have more confidence in that being beaten than backing the Celtics -8 

Over 201

Stake - 2pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Feyenoord has nothing to play for, they are struggling by their own standards domestically and have lost both their home games in the champions league including a 4-0 loss to Man City.

Napoli must collect all three points and hope that Man City beat Shakhtar to qualify for the knockout stages, they have no choice but to win and will be attack-minded throughout.

Napoli -1.5

Stake - 1.5 pts

I am very confident that Celtic will get the win today and qualify for the Europa League.

Celtic beat Anderlecht 3-0 in Belgium and will have 60000 screaming fans behind them today, I can see no reason why there will be a different result at Celtic Park.

Anderlecht is 3rd in the league in their own country and are not the team they were last year, Celtic are breaking all records in Scotland, the difference between the pair is glaring.

All things considered, I just cannot see anything other than a clear home win.

This game is far from a dead rubber and both sides have something to play for and so goals is on the agenda.

Atletico Madrid needs Roma to slip up in the other game and get the win at Chelsea in order to qualify and Chelsea needs to win to ensure they finish top of the group and get an easier next game in the knockout stages.

The first game in Madrid finished over 2.5 goals and both these teams have featured in games over 2.5 goals 60% of their last 5 games.

All things considered, overs 2.5 goals

This game will be a lot closer than the last time these two met and while the Steelers may still prevail, I do not see them doing it by more than 5.5 points.

The line on this game has reduced steadily, it was +6.5 for the Bengals and in most places is now just +4.5, which may have made me hesitate but with +6 being available in places I am happy to take that.

The difference for me between this game and the last time these sides met is Andy Dalton, he took a beating last time but since that game he has improved, he has zero interceptions since then and thrown nine TD's.

No doubt the Steelers will target him but it is clear that Dalton has the bit between his teeth and will be prepared.

There is a lot of good about the Steelers, the statistics show that, but Ben Roethlisberger, while still playing great, is more vulnerable to turnovers than ever before and as long as the Bengals target him in the same way the Steelers will target Dalton then they will get results.

The Bengals also come into this game on the back of two wins, albeit against poor opposition, but even so, their confidence is far from being low.

All things considered, I am positive that this will be a close win and am backing the Bengals +6

On paper, this should be an easy win for Wolves but there are good reasons to oppose such a scenario.

Wolves are top of the table with 44 points, Birmingham is 22nd on just 16 points, the difference is quite glaring, however not all is as it seems.

For starters this is a Birmingham derby, these two teams are bitter rivals and as in most derbies, form and statistics tend to be thrown out of the window.

Birmingham is not actually that bad at home considering their league position, they have won 3 of their last 5 home games, including a win over Cardiff who sits second in the table, they also drew 0-0 with another Birmingham based side Aston Villa, who like Wolves were the better team on paper.

Wolves may sit at the top but they have lost twice in the last five away games they have played, they do not sweep all before them on the road, they can and do get beat when they travel.

This game will have passion, the atmosphere will be electric and I am of the opinion that Birmingham will not lose, they may not win but that makes no difference to me, the only way this pick loses is if Birmingham loses and I am confident that they will do enough in front of their home fans to deny their hated rivals.

Take Birmingham -0.5

I know that the Seahawks are a good team, they can beat almost any team on their day and cannot be dismissed, however, this Eagles outfit are good, really good and I just cannot see anything other than a win for the Eagles.

The question for me was how many will the Eagles win by and I have them as 7 point favourites, Carson Wentz is simply irresistible at the moment and the way the Eagles have been winning so convincingly recently convinces me they will do the same today, albeit probably not by double figures.

A win secures the NFC East top spot and that is the incentive that will drive Wentz and his team forward.

Take the Eagles -4

I cannot see the Raiders not winning this but I was unable to have confidence in them beating the spread simply because I do see the Giants getting some points on the board.

I can see the Raiders getting 25 or more points, especially if they are in the mood, however, too often their defence has been found wanting, in 4 of their last 5 games they have allowed in excess of 20 points and while those opponents, for the most part, have been better than the Giants, it is still a pattern.

The Giants can of course score low, they do so regularly, however, they do score points just as regularly, as an example on 5 of their last 10 matches they have scored at least 20 points.

Point being is that Oakland should win but they can also allow a good few points and combined I do see there being more than 41.5 points.

Take over 41.5 points

I am confident that Villarreal will emerge the winners once the final whistle has been blown.

After a stuttering start to the season on the road Villarreal has finally started to click away. they have lost just once in their last 5 road games, they have drawn away at Atletico Madrid recently, they should have beaten Sevilla last weekend when they blew a 2 goal lead and overall are in good current form with just that one loss in their last 7 league games.

Leganes are a very mediocre side by La Liga standards, they do grind out the odd decent result but overall are below average, they have lost their last 4 games on the bounce in the league scoring just once in the process, all in all, they are not playing well.

All things considered, it has to be a Villarreal win

I am going with over 2.5 goals in this La Liga clash between Getafe and Valencia.

Getafe at home are no walkovers, they have lost 3 times, against Barcelona, Sevilla and Real Madrid, all by the single goal, their other 3 home games have seen convincing wins and only once this season has a Getafe home game not had at least 3 goals in it.

Valencia is on fire away from home, they are unbeaten so far and that includes drawing 2-2 at Real Madrid, they have won their last four away games and 3 of those were over 2.5 goals.

So, we have two teams in form home and away respectively that regularly feature in games with at least 2.5 goals, all the ingredients required for a game with at least 3 goals in it.

Take over 2.5 goals

The Chiefs season has really fallen apart, however, this is the exact sort of game that can help them kickstart their playoff ambitions once again.

The Jets have been poor this season, they have lost 5 of their last 6 games and while they have not exactly been humiliated, they never seem to have enough to just get the better of their opponents.

Kansas, in my opinion, can turn things around, I do not see that with the Jets and therein lies the difference between these two.

I have the Chiefs winning this one by 6 and so am happy with -3

Take Kansas -3

Green Bay did very well against the Steelers, they showed immense character and that they still have something to offer, a repeat of that performance will be enough to see them beat Tampa today.

Green Bay QB Brett Hundley had a great game against The Steelers and that will have lifted him massively, he will surely kick on now and while he is no Rodgers, he is starting to look like a good stand-in after a faltering start.

The Bucs are clearly limited, they are 4-7 for a reason, however, they will be competitive and despite Hundley's heroics last week they will see the Packers as vulnerable.

But all said and done, the Packers should be good enough to see of the Bucs by at least 3 points.

Take Green Bay -2.5

This has all the makings of a great game and I see there being a ton of points, in excess of 50.

The Vikings are on a brilliant winning run at the moment, they are scoring freely and 3 of their last 4 games have them scoring 30 or more points, I can see them getting very close to that total again today.

The Falcons themselves are on a 3 game winning run with the last two seeing them score 34 points, they may not get to that total again today but they will not be far off.

Two explosive teams today and that means points, I cannot say who will win with confidence, I have a feeling for the Falcons but not with any overwhelming confidence, but I am very confident that there will be at least 50 points.

Take over 47 points.

Two poor teams that are more than capable of allowing a load of points, which also means they have the potential to score a load of points and given their records that may seem a little strange.

The thing is this, I can see both sides feeling confident of picking up the win today and that will see positive play from both of them.

I have a sneaky feeling that the 49ers will get their second win of the season, but I would not pick them, I simply cannot justify it, but the same applies to the Bears.

The question for me was simply will this game be over or under and the more I looked at this game the more I am convinced that we will see points on the board because of the attitudes that both teams will employ, an attitude of we can actually win this game.

Take over 41 points.

I am taking Borussia Monchengladbach to get the win today against Wolfsburg.

Wolfsburg are not actually a bad home side, they have lost just the once all season on their home ground, the first game of the season against Dortmund, however, they rarely win at home, they have drawn 5 of their 7 home games and that is one of the reasons they are at the wrong end of the table.

Monchengladbach do win away, they have won their last 3 road games on the bounce on their travels, they have lost just once away all season and that was also against Dortmund, they are 4th in the Bundesliga and a win will see them go second. a huge incentive.

Wolfsburg are the home side and do know how to shut up shop, but Monchengladbach is in great form and should have too much for Wolfsburg to handle.

Take Monchengladbach on the even spread

A south coast derby in the English Premiership between Bournemouth and Southampton and I have a strong feeling we will see goals in this game.

I expect both teams to score, that is my starting point, neither team is defending well this season and both sides are desperate for points.

I see this game being a very open game with both sides attacking throughout the game, plus there is also local pride at stake here, neither team will want to lose to the other.

The stats are mixed but I have put the stats aside for this game because of the context of the game.

I am unable to pick a winner with any real confidence, though if I had to choose it would be Bournemouth, however, I am far more confident in goals.

All things considered, it is at least 3 goals for me.

Take over 2,5 goals.

I really like the look of over 2.5 goals in this Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Rangers.

For starters these two sides play open attacking soccer and considering their current league positions, 2nd and 4th, I fully expect another open attacking game.

Secondly, both these sides are consistently involved in games that feature at least 3 goals, the last 6 Aberdeen games have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of them and 4 of the last 5 Rangers games have had at least 2.5 goals.

Finally, the last 5 games between these two have had at least 2.5 goals in them.

All this adds up to a game that will have an abundance of goals.

Take over 2.5 goals

A win here today for AZ and they will go second in the Dutch Eredivisie and I am backing them to do just that.

AZ are in great form at the moment, they have won their last 5 league games on the bounce, they have won 4 of their last 5 away games with the other one being a draw, based on the form over the last 5 games they are one of the best sides in the league.

Venlo are 12th, 13 points behind AZ, they have not won in their last 6 games, although they have drawn their last 3 and at home, they have won just once all season, their first home game of the season.

The current form difference between these sides is significant and I simply cannot see any evidence that Venlo will stop AZ winning today.

Take AZ -0.5

I saw Chaves live in midweek and I liked what I saw, yes they are a mediocre side in Portuguese football but then so is Boavista.

Chaves have started to get it right at home recently and Boavista are no great side on the road.

As long as Chaves play like they did midweek then I cannot see any other result than a home win.

Take Chaves -0.5

I really fancy Bristol City at home against a one dimensional Middlesbrough.

Both teams are doing well this season, both are in form but it is City that is doing the better, albeit not by much.

Middlesbrough does not excite me and I think they will struggle against The City offence today.

With home advantage as well I am strong on Bristol City today.

Take Bristol City outright

I am going with Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Liverpool on paper are justified favourites but Brighton have proven a hard nut to crack on their home ground and I do see them doing well today.

I expect both sides to score with Liverpool probably emerging as winners, but either way, I am convinced we will see at least three goals in this game.

Take over 2.5 goals

Everton have finally found some form and they should start to kick on now, they have the players to do so and if their confidence has returned then we will see a very different Everton from now on.

Huddersfield are no walkovers but chances are they will find Everton too strong today, which is unfortunate for them as any time previously they would have seen this game as an opportunity to get points.

All things considered and the change around in Everton form is enough for me to back the Toffees today.

Take Everton -0.5

Leicester got a brilliant result against Tottenham midweek and I see no reason why they cannot get a repeat win today.

Burnley are not so solid on the road, they did beat Bournemouth midweek I admit and their away form this season is certainly better than last but they remain a limited side on the road and with Leicester improving all the time and with home advantage then it has to be the Foxes for me.

Take Leicester City outright

These two teams tend to feature in games that have at least three goals in them and I see that being the case today.

Four of the last five games that Malaga have played at home there have seen at least three goals, there is now a pattern developing when they play at home and unless they have done something dramatic on the training pitch I see no reason why this game will not go the same way.

Levante is a little less likely to have goals in their games when away but even so, five of their last eight away games have had at least three goals in them, though they have been getting tighter in defence recently on the road.

That said, both teams are near the bottom of the table and both will see this game as winnable, I doubt either will be defensive in this fixture.

All things considered, this game has goals written all over it.

Take over 2.5 goals.

I am backing Cardiff to beat Norwich City in the English Championship today.

Cardiff are second in the standings, they have won their last three games on the bounce, they have won six and drawn three at home this season without a loss, they are clearly in great form.

Norwich are inconsistent, they have lost their last two away games and overall have not won in their last six championship games.

This game has a very strong home side in form against a weak away side out of form and it is the home side I am backing for the win.

Take Cardiff to win.

I am going with Charleroi to get the win against Oostende.

The home side are second in the table and welcome 12th placed Oostende and will be confident of getting the win, they have won the last two at home and overall have a good home record with the only loss against the league leaders.

Oostende are not as bad as they seem away, they have actually won twice on the road this season, but overall they are vulnerable away and should be no match for Charleroi.

All things considered, the home side to win.

Take Charleroi to win.

Hamburg has finally started winning at home, however away they are terrible, they have lost their last five Bundesliga games on the bounce and in most of those games, the losses have been convincing.

Freiburg is not that bad at home, they have only lost once at home in the league since last April, they beat Mainz last time out in front of their home fans and will be confident they can take care of Hamburg today.

I accept that Hamburg won last time out at home but I am not convinced they have turned the corner yet and do see them struggling in this game.

All things considered, I am backing Freiburg to maintain their solid home form.

Take Freiburg to win

I am going to take a chance on Dallas this evening to halt their losing run and get back to winning ways.

We all know the issues that the Cowboys have, especially with Ezekiel Elliott out and their failure to surpass ten points in their last three games, an unwanted record, however, that cannot continue, they are better than that, their last three games are as bad as it gets and the only way they can go now is up.

Washington did beat the NY Giants but that was expected and they were hardly clinical, in fact, I was disappointed with them even though they got the win.

I am not at all confident in the Redskins, they are flaky to me and while it is easy to go against the Cowboys I am very convinced they will improve.

The bottom line for me is that I can see the Cowboys getting better, I do not see that with the Redskins.

All things considered, I am taking the Cowboys +2

I am going with West Brom to beat Newcastle United.

A quick look at West Brom recent form and you would not be impressed but some context is required.

For starters, they drew 1-1 away at Tottenham at the weekend, not even Real Madrid could achieve that and while they have lost their last four on the bounce 2 of those losses were against Chelsea and Man City and the other 2 were away games.

West Brom at home against non-top 3 sides are unbeaten, albeit they have drawn 3 of those games.

Point being is that West Brom is better than the bare results suggest.

Newcastle are falling like a rock in water, they are above West Brom in the standings, however, they are in a terrible run of form, they have lost the last four games on the bounce and at the weekend got stuffed 3-0 at home.

Considering the weekend results and a proper analysis of recent results then it is West Brom for me.

West Brom 0.5