All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool are on fire, they have started this season off how the ended last season in free-flowing goalscoring mode and no matter the result tonight I just cannot see them not scoring and most likely at least a couple of goals.

Palace will be no walkovers simply because they are more than capable of finding the back of the net as well, they did brilliantly at the end of last season to avoid relegation and have also carried on this season in the same vein winning their opening game 2-0 away from home.

This goal screams goals and a high scoring draw would not be a huge surprise, but regardless, I am convinced we will see at least 3 goals in this game and probably more.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than an Atletico Madrid win.

I know that Valencia at home will be no pushovers but this is not the Valencia of old, they are fairly average these days and simply do not have the quality of player that Atletico has.

Atletico beat Real Madrid last week and at the very least will enter this game in good spirits, they have a formidable frontline, a creative midfield and very strong defence, they are genuine title challengers and it is exactly this sort of game that they will have to win if they are to dethrone Barcelona and I believe they will.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game I came to the conclusion that Inter should win but that Sassuolo would give them a very tough game and the more I analysed it the less confident I came about an Inter win but still thought they would emerge the winners or at worst draw, I struggled to find a good reason to back Sassuolo.

Sassuolo actually beat Inter in this fixture last season but that was really a one off and not something I see repeated today, a lot depends on how well Inter play to be honest, if they play to form they will win but the problem with Inter is they are great at inconsistency and you just never know what Inter team will turn up.

The way I see this game playing out is that it will probably be an Inter win and that Sassuolo will score at least once, so the most logical pick is to go over 2.5 goals and that is exactly the play I am making in this game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

SPAL barely survived relegation last season and Bologna only finished one point ahead of them, these are two mediocre Serie A teams that are fairly evenly matched and it is not an easy task to pick out a result for this game, it really could go either way or even end in a draw.

What has surprised me a little is the fact that the overs is low at just 2 goals.

16 of SPAL's 19 away games last season had at least 2 goals in them and 18 of Bologna's 19 home games also had at least 2 goals in them.

That tells me that there really should be at least 2 goals in this game and if there are only 2 goals you at least get your stake returned.

There were 3 goals in this game last season when Bologna was at home and I do see a repeat of that again today.

All things considered, the best bet in this game is over 2 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Man Utd are serious about competing for the title this is the exact sort of game they must be winning, an away game against tough opposition.

United do have a decent away record over the last season, it could have been better and there were some bad results for them and they did lose to Brighton, however, that was at the end of the season and the result reflected the fact that United had slowed down.

Brighton did draw a lot at home last season, they did not win that much to be fair but they ground out results when they needed to.

The bottom line for me is that if United play to form they will win, it all depends on if Jose Mourinho has got his team where he wants them, he has been moaning a lot recently but I am confident his team will be fully wound up and will be just too good for plucky Brighton.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Opening day game for both sides and you can forget the preseason friendly games these two played, they are not a great guide and were very mixed anyway.

Lazio are at home and that is an advantage but they did not have the greatest of home records last season and they lost 4-1 to Napoli in this fixture last year.

Napoli had a flying start to the season last year and I see no reason why that would be any different this year, they are genuine contenders for the title and probably the biggest challengers to Juventus.

Lazio were inconsistent at home last season, they simply dropped far too many points and the truth is that they are not one of the better teams in Serie A, they tend to lose to the bigger sides, home and away and finishing 19 points behind Napoli last season gives a clear indication of the difference between these two teams.

I am confident that Napoli will do what they did last season and that is beat Lazio in their own backyard and get off to a flyer.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides, a game that could well end up being a classic and I am going with Arsenal to get at least a draw.

Chelsea beat Huddersfield comfortably but with all respect to Huddersfield, they are not exactly an elite team.

Arsenal lost at home to Man City but City are an elite team, probably one of the top three teams in world football and not many teams will get anything against the Champions this season, so for Arsenal to lose at home in their first game of the season against Man City is not a shock or the end of the world.

Chelsea and Arsenal are no longer top four teams and the chances are both will fall outside the top four this season, they are fairly evenly matched and it is more a question of which team turns up on the day.

I am confident that Arsenal will improve from last weekend, they certainly have top quality players and if the likes of Ozil and Aubameyang play to their true ability they will give Chelsea a hard time.

Chelsea do have home advantage and in Eden Hazard a genuine world class player but they also have players that need to step up their game, players like Morata as an example and if there is one cause for concern at Chelsea it is their forward line, it is not what one would call formidable, excluding Hazard of course.

All things being equal I am more confident that this game will end in a draw or even an Arsenal win as opposed to Chelsea winning

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was quite impressed with Everton last weekend, I actually thought they would lose to Wolves but they ended up getting a draw after going down to 10 men and looked the more likely winners, they showed a lot more character than last season and were very good on the ball and with their passing.

Southampton played out a goaless draw with Burnley and played how I expected them to, I do see them struggling this season, I am not sure they have the forward line to frighten too many teams and they lack creativity.

Based on the opening day games and the fact that Everton is at home I am backing them to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves disappointed me last weekend, they had a huge advantage over Everton and just could not get the win, in fact, they looked more like they would lose than win and that was when they were playing against 10 men and had home advantage.

Of course that was the first game of the season and they may well improve but they played like a team that has not yet gelled together with all the new signings and that will take time, certainly more than a week anyway.

Leicester were not shamed losing 2-1 at Man Utd and will have taken encouragement from that game despite losing, they are now at home and are generally a settled side, they have always been a tough team to beat at home and they will be as confident as me that they can get all three points against a promoted team still finding their feet in the big league.

Take Leicester City to grab the win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

West Ham was truly humbled at Liverpool last weekend but to me, that is an isolated game, Liverpool are capable of beating any team in the world on their own ground and while West Ham was feeble, Liverpool was imperious and I expect West Ham to be a lot-lot better today.

Bournemouth got off to a great start against Promoted Cardiff and I cannot fault them but they were at home and were not playing one of the top sides, they should have won really and they did, today is an altogether different proposition.

This will be a tough game for sure but I see massive improvement today from West Ham and expect them to emerge the winners in a hard played game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game between two big sides and apart from a betting point of view this is a game worth watching just for the spectacle.

City are class and romped to the title last season and will take some stopping this campaign, they battered Arsenal last season and they are deserved favourites again today, however, there are very good reasons why it is worth backing Arsenal on the spreads today.

For starters, this is a season opener and anything can happen, teams take time to settle, especially after a world cup and there is no guarantee that City is better tuned for this game than Arsenal.

Secondly, this is a different Arsenal team from last year, they have a new manager and some new players, they had a good pre-season and they are at home.

It is not often you can back Arsenal +0.5 at home, they are usually big favourites but it is understandable they are underdogs against Man City.

It would still be a huge effort for City to beat Arsenal at the Emirate stadium, Arsenal are a top quality side and City were vulnerable on the road last season and because of all the circumstances including new manager, home advantage, first game of the season, new players etc it is well worth backing the Gunners with a half ball start.

Back Arsenal +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Burnley to get at least a draw in this season-opening game against Southampton.

Match fitness is always important at the start of the season, this showed yesterday when Tottenham got very leggy at the end of their game against Newcastle, it is one thing being fit from friendly games and a whole different situation being fit from competitive matches and that is where Burnley have the advantage.

Burnley have been playing competitive football in the Europa League and that will give them an edge today, Southampton does have home advantage but that only gives you so much, whereas match fitness is far more significant.

Because Southampton do have home advantage it makes sense to back Burnley on the spreads with a half ball start 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams have bought very well in the transfer window and West Ham has a new manager so this is a game that cannot be judged based on last seasons form.

That said, Liverpool are clearly the better team, they are seen as the main competitor to Man City for the title this season, they are at home and ooze class throughout but this is a season opener and with new players, it does take time to adjust.

That, of course, applies to West Ham as well but the difference is that while Liverpool has the core of their team from last season and the same manager West Ham are completely changed and the room for improvement for West Ham is far greater than it is for Liverpool.

Liverpool should win but for this pick to lose Liverpool would have to win by three goals and I just do not see that, this is a very different West Ham from last season, they have far better players than they did last season, players like Anderson, Wilshere and Perez are a massive upgrade.

Backing West Ham +2 is without a doubt the most sensible bet.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There is a lot of excitement surrounding this Wolves side, they won promotion easily last year and have since strengthened the squad with some astute buys, they have a decent pre-season and are full of confidence.

Everton have had a poor preseason, they won a game 22-0 but then lost five on a trot, they have bought some big names in on the final day of the transfer window but the chances are that only one of those new signings, Mina, will play today and there are a ton of question marks over the payers that are still there from last season.

Everton may end up having a decent season but the jury is out at this time and their new players will need time to bed in, Wolves have already bedded in their new players for the most part and they simply look the more confident side right this minute.

Wolves to win outright in front of their home fans.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Of all the Premier League games today this was the one that I saw goals in.

Promoted Fulham have bought well and as long as the new additions gel they will be mid-table this season and not among the relegation strugglers.

Palace had a fantastic run at the end of last season and will enter this new season on a high, they will certainly not want to get off to a poor start like they did last year and like Fulham I expect them to be a mid-table team this season.

Both teams have open expansive type of players, these are not teams that will sit back and defend, especially against each other, they play positive football and not negative football and I expect that to be reflected in the scoreline.

Take over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky opening fixture for Tottenham but they should have enough to beat Newcastle United today.

Tottenham are one of the best sides in English football, they are at a slight disadvantage because so many of their players featured in the last four of the world cup and have come back to training later than usual but they will still field a very strong team against Newcastle and have a very good away record generally speaking.

Newcastle have not really strengthened a weak squad and that will tell, they may have home advantage but against one of the best away teams in the league that home advantage will be minimal.

Opening day games are never easy to predict but the gulf between these two teams is rather big and the class of Tottenham should be the difference.

Take Tottenham to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

First games of the season are always tricky affairs, however, there are good reasons to back Man Utd to get their season off to a winning start.

A lot has been made of the lack of United signings, the mood of manager Jose Mourinho and so on but the bottom line is that he is one of the best managers in world football, United are at home, they have world class players and the team is fairly settled.

Leicester City is a mid-table team these days, their new signings will need time to bed in, they have lost Mahrez, which is significant and all things being equalled are playing a far superior team.

This game is more about judgement than form and in my judgement, United will have too much for Leicester over the 90 minutes.

Take United to win and to win by 2 clear goals at home and a one-goal win will see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game between these "local rivals" and I am going with the Galaxy to come away from this match with at least a draw.

Los Angeles FC has never lost at home in their very short history in the MLS, a run of 9 games, however, it is almost written that the first team that would break that record would be their local rivals.

Galaxy has put a very decent unbeaten run together on the road, they have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away games and enter this match in good confidence.

Of course, FC will also be high in confidence with their home record and they may well not lose but I am far more confident that Galaxy will win or draw than I am with FC winning.

The most sensible pick here is to back Galaxy on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When New York play at home they tend to win, when they play away they do not as just 3 wins from their last 15 road trips shows, that is just awin0% wn record in that period.

Now, Orlando is not that much better at home, they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home matches, however, that does just to 5 wins from 8 at home, so not as bad as it first looks.

The bottom line for me is that I have more confidence in Orlando winning or at worse, drawing than I am in New York coming away with the win.

Back Orlando on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team can afford to lose this game and a draw for both teams would probably be satisfactory.

San Jose has not won in the last seven games at home, they have however drawn their last two home games.

Seattle has won just three times in their last 17 road game, they have drawn their last two away game though and so are starting to string some positive away results together.

All things considered, a draw looks the best bet here. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of this game for over 3 goals.

Four of Houston last seven MLS home games have had at least four goals and five of their last seven MLS home games have had at least three goals in them.

Three of the last five Philadelphia MLS road game have had at least four goals in them and a pattern is starting to develop.

Goals are definitely a feature with both these teams and with three goals guaranteeing your stake returned and four goals a win then overs is the best bet available.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Minnesota is a far better home side than an away side and I can see them getting a result against Los Angeles this evening.

United have won their last three home games in the MLS and four of their last five, they may not be as strong as LA but they are quite formidable at home at this moment.

LA is a good side on form but their away record is letting them down a little, they have won just once in their last four away games, though they have won one and drawn one of their last two games so they are starting to sort themselves out on the road.

But even so, Minnesota is in great form at home and until that changes, I am backing them to continue their winning ways in front of their own fans.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

France are favourites but some perspective is required.

They have never really got into top gear and to assume they will do so in the final is to ignore all previous games, they did beat Belgium but did so with 10 men behind the ball for long periods of the game, they did beat Argentina but we are talking about a very poor Argentina and to concede three goals against them is quite an achievement considering, especially when Croatia beat them 3-0.

My point is that France is still a team of parts and not a whole team like Croatia, yes they have some brilliant players but they never seem to gel into a perfect unit.

Croatia are what you call a whole team, they also have world class players, especially Modric, they have character, a never say die spirit and no matter what hurdles have been put in their way they have overcome them.

France lost in the Euro 2016 final when at home to a far inferior team and their manager Deschamps is always one step away from a big mistake.

I have a strong feeling that this is the World Cup of the underdog and with their fantastic midfield, I am of the opinion that Croatia will spring a huge surprise today and win the World Cup.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The game between England and Belgium for third place is rather meaningless, yes there is a medal for the team that wins the game but it is not the world cup final and a lot of very downhearted players will take the field today.

That said, there is a history of these games having goals in them, in fact, the last 10 third-place game has had a minimum of three goals in it with six of them at least four goals.

There are numerous reasons for this, lack of pressure, players that never featured too much finally able to play, pride and so on but the bottom line is that this game is a game that historically has goals and there is no reason to think this match will be any different.

Add in the fact that Lukaku and Kane are still chasing the golden boot and everything is set up for goals.

Take over 3 goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Very little to separate these two teams, however, I am going with England to get the win.

Croatia are a very good team, they have a brilliant midfield but they do lack a plan B, they have grinded results out and had to get to this stage with two consecutive penalty wins, they are a nervy team and despite getting to this stage I do not sense that they have that inner belief that they can win the tournament.

The same cannot be said of England, their confidence and inner belief have grown round after round, they may lack the all-round quality of Croatia but they play like a real team, they have developed an inner steel that has been previously lacking and in Harry Kane they have a truly world-class player.

It will be tight but I see England sneaking the win and getting one step closer to taking football home.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is far too close to pick out a winner, it could go either way.

Both these teams are full of world class players, Belgium have De Bruyne, Hazard and Lukaku while France has Pogba, Mbappe and Griezmann.

Both are attack-minded teams and an open free flowing game is expected, they will of course, start off cagey, nerves will play a part but once they settle down I expect the match to open up and goals to come.

I am more confident that we will see at least 3 goals than I am in picking a winner, there is as much chance of a draw or France or Belgium win it is that close but goals is something I am convinced we will see.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper, Croatia should win but as this World Cup has proven having the better players is no guarantee of a win.

Russia showed massive character against Spain, they defended extremely well and with home advantage, they will feel that they can win this game.

Croatia struggled against Denmark, in fact, they got lucky, they were not as fluent as they have been previously in this tournament, they looked nervous and played as such. The Croats are vulnerable and if this game turns into a battle of attrition they will lose.

I see a very tight game with Russia defending for the most part and while I think Croatia will probably win I am confident that it will not be in 90 minutes and that the game will go into extra time at the least.

Draw in 90 minutes for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing England to win and progress to the semi-finals for the first time in 28 years.

Sweden will play for a draw and hope to hit England on the counter-attack and the reason for that is simple, they know they are not as good as England and that this will be the only way they can get something from this match.

I do not see Sweden holding out for 90 minutes though, I think they will be too preoccupied with Kane and that will allow the other forwards and attacking midfielders the freedom to cause havoc.

Both teams have belief for sure but England youngsters came through a mental test against Colombia and that weakness they once had, inexperience and history, has now gone.

All things considered, I am going with England to win a tight game.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This could be a classic but that all depends on what Brazil or Belgium teams turn up.

Everything is about opinions and it is my opinion that Belgium has the better players, Brazil flatter to deceive a lot in my opinion, they never win comfortably when you consider the players they do have.

Belgium are a team full of awesome players and if they click today I can see them beating Brazil by more than a single goal, that is how confident I am, they have the stronger defence, more combative midfield and I prefer Lukaku up front to Neymar, simple as that.

Belgium wins for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a weird match with two very different footballing cultures facing off, the very defensive Uruguay against the attack-minded France.

What this match came down to for me was which teams defence will do better against the opponents forward line and I am very confident that Uruguay's defence will better contain France forward line than the French defence will against the Uruguayan attack.

France did well against Argentina but so did Uruguay against Portugal and it will be small margins that separate these two.

All things considered, those small margins will be defensive for me and it is Uruguay that I am going to back.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Strange game this, especially for England as their group games did not really tell us too much because of the quality of the opposition and circumstances of their final group game.

Colombia will most likely be without their best player Rodriguez and that is significant, they do have some players with a point to prove but that in itself is telling, it shows that some of their better players have been found wanting on a regular basis.

England seem a different team than in past world cups, they have less baggage and a genuine world-class player in Harry Kane, they have a belief and calmness about them that has been sorely missing in the past.

This is the first real test for England and I am confident they will pass it and win within 90 minutes.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult to separate these two teams, they are both fairly negative sides and nerves will definitely play a role today.

The Swiss are probably slightly the better side but it is marginal and this game has all the signs of a battle of attrition.

A case can be made for both sides but when I do that they cancel each other out and my best conclusion is that this will be a draw at 90 minutes with extra time the most likely outcome.

Take the draw

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 2.5 goals in this World Cup last 16 clash between Mexico and Brazil.

Brazil are not as prolific scorers as their reputation indicates but circumstances of this game, a knockout, means that the dynamics of the game depends on who scores and when, games open up far more in this type of match.

Mexico will not be pushovers and will defend deep but they are capable of quick counter attacks and can play open football when it is required and I suspect that will be the case today.

Brazil will be on the attack from the start and Mexico will defend and that will either lead to goals or counter attacks and if the Brazilian are vulnerable in one area it is in defence.

This will be an exciting game that will ebb and flow and I see at least one of these teams scoring twice and both teams scoring at least once. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Croatia have been very impressive so far and their win over Argentina was beautiful to watch but to a large extent that had more to do with how poorly Argentina have played in this competition and the circumstances of the game, that is not say that Croatia was not brilliant on the day, they were, but some reality and perspective is required.

Croatia are a good team but so are Denmark but in a very different style, the Danes are far more compact than any of the opposition Croatia has faced so far, they will not be as susceptible to the counter-attack and will defend far better than the likes of Nigeria or Argentina did.

This will be a cagey game, Croatia will probably dominate possession but the Danes will get their chances and in Ericksen they have a world class talent more than capable of changing the game.

Croatia have the likes of Modric and Rakatic and will pose a danger throughout and while they are deserved favourites this game will be very difficult for them.

I can see the Danes holding the Croatians for 90 minutes and may even attempt to go for penalties as their ultimate goal and a draw looks the value pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult to see anything other than a Spain win today.

Russia will be backed by 80,000 fans in the stadium and will run like mad all afternoon long but they lack the quality that Spain possesses and it will show.

Russia was the worst European team before the competition started but two great wins got their campaign off to a good start and that masked their limitation, however, those limitations were cruelly exposed against Uruguay and they were already 2-0 down when they went down to 10 men so the sending off of Smolnikov cannot be used as an excuse, they were simply not good enough.

Spain has made progress hard work so far it must be said but it is not unusual for a team like Spain, a world-class team, to grow and they will as the tournament progresses, they are the favourites to lift the World Cup and rightfully so and that will be very evident today.

I am more confident that Spain will win by at least two goals than I am them losing or drawing and even if they win by just a single goal, stakes will be returned, this is a win-win.

Spain -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Uruguay win.

Uruguay has excellent defenders lead by Godin, a solid midfield and a potent front line in Suarez and Cavani, they are genuine World Cup contenders, they have won all their games so far, not conceded a single goal and if there is one defence that can stop Ronaldo it is Uruguay.

And that is the key, stop Ronaldo and you stop Portugal, they really are a one-man team who become very average if Ronaldo does not perform at his best.

But even if Ronaldo does play at his best I am still very confident that Uruguay will win, they are simply the much better team.

That said, the Portuguese will employ massive gamesmanship and play an extremely dirty and spoiling game and in Uruguay they have an opponent that will match them stud for stud, kick for kick and push for push.

If that happens then the Portuguese could stop Uruguay from playing the better football and force the game into a battle of attrition, if that happens they may sneak a win but I doubt it.

I am confident that Uruguay will not fall into the trap that Portugal will set them and that the South Americans will win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither of these teams can claim to have covered themselves in glory in this World Cup and we are now at a stage where there are no second chances.

This is a game about which team will turn up on the day and which team will improve enough from their group games to win and progress to the last 8.

For me, that can only be one team and that is France, I am not convinced that Argentina will get any better, they have a great forward line but their midfield and defence is average at best, they are a team that is not united and in disarray.

France has far more potential to improve, their only weak link is their manager and that is why they will not win the World Cup but they really should have enough to be able to overcome an unbalanced Argentina side.

All things considered, I am taking France to emerge the winners.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Having watched these two teams in both their games I cannot help but conclude that Tunisia is the better side.

Both teams will be playing for pride, especially Panama who celebrated their single goals against England like they won the world cup but even so, Tunisia are a far more accomplished side than Panama, their defence is more organised and their attack more potent.

Whatever way I look at this it is Tunisia for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There has been a lot of talk about these two teams playing for second spot, forget it, they will not.

Both teams will make changes for sure but that makes little difference for me when considering the outcome of the game.

For starters we are talking about a bunch of players that will want to make their mark on the game for a variety of reasons, the biggest one being they want to put a marker down and be considered for selection later in the tournament,

Secondly, we are talking a lot of Premier League players playing against each other and they will want to beat their club teammates if at all possible.

You have Harry Kane going for the Golden boot, you have England manager Gareth Southgate saying they want to win the game and maintain momentum and I just cannot see the Belgium players rolling over and allowing England to win.

Forget all the pre-match talk, both teams will go for the win and for me that means goals.

Take the overs.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Colombia to beat Senegal today and qualify for the next round of the World Cup.

Colombia are a good side, they had a hiccup in their first game having a man sent off, however, they came good against Poland and showed exactly what they are capable of.

Senegal is a good team going forward but watching them live last game I always felt they would concede against Japan every time they went in front, their defence is very vulnerable and against Colombia, they will be exposed time and again.

Colombia for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Poland have been awful this tournament and I can see no reason, now that they are out, why that would change in this game.

They will just want to get this game over with and go home, they have nothing to play for, not even pride and for me, they will just be going through the motions today.

Japan have a lot to play for, a lot will depend on the other game in the group but I cannot see them playing for a draw, they will have to play for the win.

The Japanese have shown they have character when twice falling behind to Senegal, they tend to get stronger in games and with the weather supposedly going to be extremely hot today I see them finishing the game much better than the Poles.

Japan for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Serbia must get something from this game to have any chance of progressing to the next round but they are a limited side, they barely beat Costa Rica and collapsed against Switzerland, they are an emotional team and while they could pull off a shock win against Brazil they are also very capable of losing by two or three.

Brazil must also get something from this game if they were to lose they would be in serious trouble and they have hardly set the world alight so far but they have so much talent and pedigree that it is hard to see them not winning.

All things considered, I see Brazil winning and probably by more than one goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Switzerland only need a point to progress, it probably makes no difference to them if they finish top or second, in fact, they more than likely already assume that Brazil will finish top and will approach this game with only one thing in mind, not to lose.

That does not mean they will defend throughout, far from it, they will attack as much as often as they can but they will not take risks and they are fully aware of the danger that Costa Rica pose.

The Costa Ricans are out but they will not roll over, it took Brazil until the 90th minute to break them down and Serbia scored just once as well, they will be playing for pride that is for sure.

Both teams would be happy with a draw, that would mean that Switzerland qualifies and Costa Rica do not finish on zero points and considering how well organised both defences are and that Switzerland will take no chances then it is a draw I am going for.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

South Korea still has an outside chance of qualification but it is a mountain they have to climb and with a rejuvenated Germany as their opposition, it is very likely their time is up.

Germany will have gotten a huge boost from their last-minute winner against Sweden, it will have given them momentum and sent confidence skyrocketing, however, they are not the force they once were and losing to Mexico and struggling to beat Sweden does not bode well for their future in this tournament.

Germany should win but for this pick to lose they would have to beat South Korea by three goals and I just do not see that happening.

Take South Korea +2

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Mexico sit top of the group, they beat Germany and South Korea but I feel too much has been made of those wins and that they are not as good as is suggested.

Mexico are a limited side and while they did beat South Korea there were moments in that game that they were exposed and against a team like Sweden, that knows how to defend well they will struggle to score.

Sweden is good at defending for sure, they do need to do better up front, they will be very down after the loss against Germany but they know they must win to have any chance of qualifying and that is how they will approach this game.

Sweden for me in a tight game. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Difficult to see anything other than a Croatia win in this one.

There is always the risk with Croatia having already qualified that they will sit back but I do not believe they will play like that this evening, they will want to get maximum points and hit the last 16 with full momentum, especially knowing that they will be playing Denmark.

Iceland will go for the win, they have to, but I just do not think they have what it takes, they are limited, Nigeria showed that and I can see Croatia picking them off on the counter.

Croatia for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I see no justification in backing Argentina just because they have Messi, Aguero etc, they have been woeful, they were not that great in qualifying, it is not like their poor form has been confined to this tournament.

Argentina is an unbalanced side, extraordinary talent up front, though that is often wasted in the pursuit of always trying to give the ball to Messi, their midfield is poor and their defence even worse.

Nigeria came to life in their last game after a disappointing first game against Croatia, they are a good side, they have electric speed, they are good in the air and against this Argentine defence, they will get chances, a lot of them.

It is clear Argentina will attack non stop, they have to and I can see Nigeria counter-attacking at will throughout the game.

The odds are huge but I am going with Nigeria to win this one and qualify for the next stage.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Peru will be playing for pride and Austrailia will be playing for maximum points to give themselves some hope of qualifying and that for me means a game full of open play and chances both ends.

I am confident we will see a hatful of goals in this game and I am not sure it will be Austrailia that wins.

Peru is better than their 0 points suggest, while Austrailia did improve significantly from their game against France to their game against Denmark.

All things considered, I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I refuse to believe that these two teams will deliberately play out a draw, certainly not for the first 75 minutes.

Sure, a draw means France finish top and Denmark qualify, a result that suits both teams and it may well end up that way but that will not be the attitude when the game kicks off.

In Christian Ericksen Denmark have a player that can score anytime and France have a bunch of players that can score and for a large part of this game that is what I expect both teams to attempt to achieve.

If it is a draw come 75 minutes then do expect both teams to begin playing much more negative football, but 75 minutes is a lot of time and anything can happen in that time frame.

I am confident that we will see goals early on and that both teams will go for it and am happy to go over 2 goals at decent odds considering the talent on the field.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both can qualify for the last 16 with Portugal holding a point advantage over Iran which gives them a significant advantage.

Of course, Portugal on paper are the better side but it has been costly to underestimate the so-called inferior teams in this competition and Iran will believe they can win this and qualify for the last 16.

I find it hard to believe that Portugal will hold out for the draw, they will want to win the group and therefore will go for it, the same applies to Iran, they must also go for it as a draw or loss means they are eliminated.

Portugal is vulnerable in defence and it would not surprise me if Iran score, neither would it surprise me if Portugal wins 3-0 simply because of the circumstances of this match.

If Portugal takes the lead then Iran will have zero choice but to go all out to get back in the game and with Ronaldo on the field Portugal could easily wipe Iran out on counter-attacks. If Iran score first then Portugal will lay siege to the goal.

Over 2.5 goals looks a solid pick here and the bet I am going with.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Spain has not been at their best so far, they have so much more to offer, they have shown in glimpses what they are capable of and it is just a matter of time before they click and punish an opposition big time.

Morroco is out, they will be motivated because they are playing Spain but if they fall behind first I can see them crumbling. Spain will also want to finish top and will set out to win this game in style and in comfort.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a win for Spain and I am very confident that they will win by at least a couple of goals against a deflated Morocco.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team will want to finish bottom and while Egypt does have the advantage when it comes to goal difference I do not see them playing for a draw.

It will, of course, be hard for both sides to raise themselves following the disappointment of losing both their games but I expect pride to kick in and that both sides will play to the best of their abilities and if that happens then it is Egypt I expect to win.

Take Egypt to win outright.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Russia currently sits top of the group with the better goal difference and will want to finish off the group stages with a win in front of their home fans and maintain the momentum they have built up.

The same applies to Uruguay, they will not want to enter the last 16 on the back of a loss.

Neither team knows what finishing top or second will mean in terms of who they play in the next round or what their route will be and so that should not play any part in their thinking when it comes to how they approach this game.

I have been surprised by Russia but this is their first real test and I am not convinced that they have the quality to beat a team like Uruguay, by the same token you cannot ignore their impressive start.

A draw is a good possibility but Uruguay look the better prospect for a win and with the safety net of stakes return in the event of a draw then it is the South Americans for me on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams lost their opening games but for very different reasons, Colombia lost because they were unfortunate to lose a man after just three minutes, Poland lost because they were poor, plain and simple.

Colombia was also missing their best player, James Rodriguez, who came on as a sub in the 2nd half and was not match fit and he is expected to start today.

Poland had their best player on the pitch and was still poor, they lacked imagination and a plan B and even though they should improve I am of the opinion it will not be enough.

I am backing Colombia to win this game, they have the better players, they look the more settled side and simply look in a better more stable shape than the Poles.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Japan may have beaten Colombia but they were very fortunate, they were playing 10 men from the third minute onwards and at times looked more likely to lose than win, they only managed to grab the win when Colombia ran out of steam, which was to be expected considering the circumstances.

Senegal was very impressive against Poland, yes, Poland was poor but they were made to look poor by the Senegalese, they play exciting vibrant football and are full of confidence, they have some quality players and will be too much for the Japanese to handle over 90 minutes.

All things considered, Senegal to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a young exciting England team full of confidence, it is a stretch to think they will win the tournament but they will go further than what was expected prior to the competition starting.

With a little luck and more clinical finishing they could easily have beaten Tunisia by a lot more than a single goal and against a very limited Panama side, I expect them to win this game and win it comfortably by at least a couple of goals.

Panama have to win, they cannot just sit back and defend and hope to sneak a goal, they are not good enough to be able to do that, they will have to go forward and that will play right into England's hands.

Based on first game performances, confidence, talent and momentum I am backing England to win this game with ease.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Germany loses they are out and that would be a huge shock but it is now a real possibility and unless they improve significantly from the first game they will be in serious trouble.

Sweden know how to defend, just ask the Italians, they will be very defensive throughout, they will look to frustrate the Germans and will have two sets of four defending their goal line.

The Germans will have to find the back of the net and they do not have what you would call a world class striker, they are not the team they were four years ago, they are vulnerable and a win is far from certain.

The Swedes will pose a danger to the Germans for sure but this will be a game of attack and defend one way and it all comes down to whether the Germans can break the Swedish defence.

All things considered, I am confident that if Germany wins it will not be by more than a single goal and that there is a very real chance that the Swedes can scrape at least a point from this game.

Take Sweden +1

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

South Korea was poor against Sweden and must get something from this game or they are out and that will dictate their approach to this game today.

Mexico knows they win and they are probably through to the last 16, though if Germany do beat Sweden that would mix things up slightly.

The Mexicans played beautifully against Germany but they were most effective on the counter-attack and I would not be surprised if they play that sort of game against South Korea as well.

The Mexicans will be highly confident but the South Koreans will also be very focused, this is a very important game for both sides and I expect a free-flowing game from both sides with goals determining how they approach the game.

I am confident that both teams will score and that there will be at least three goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Belgium is clearly a better side than Tunisia but that has not made much difference so far in this world cup, if there is one thing that has become clear is that there is not much difference between the teams.

If Belgium win they qualify and Tunisia are more or less out if they lose and so both teams will enter this game with specific targets in mind.

I expect Tunisia to defend throughout and hope to snatch a goal through either a set piece or counter attack.

Belgium will dominate possession but will find it difficult to break down Tunisia, it took England until injury time, the Tunisians are well organised and will make life difficult.

Belgium will most likely win but I am very confident they will not win by more than the single goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This will more than likely be a low scoring affair with a single goal to separate the sides and I am confident that it will be Serbia and not Switzerland that will get the win.

The Serbs dominated Costa Rica but did struggle to break them down but they were never in danger and were always comfortable, it will not be so easy against Switzerland but I do see the same pattern developing.

Switzerland did well drawing with Brazil but was fortunate and for me, they simply do not have the same attacking mentality as the Serbs and I expect them to defend for the most part and I am not sure that will be good enough against Serbia.

All things considered, I am going with Serbia on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a tight game, the Nigerians are better than what they showed in their first game and it seems now that losing 2-0 to Croatia is not that big a surprise, just ask Argentina.

Iceland continues to show they are a good side, very difficult to break down and they take their chances in front of the goal when they are presented to them.

I am of the opinion that there is more chance of an Iceland win or draw than there is Nigeria winning and so I am taking Iceland on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Costa Rica was quite poor in their first game loss to Serbia, by the same account Brazil was just as poor against Switzerland and both teams will have to improve, which I do expect.

The so-called minor nations are doing better than expected, even when they lose, few are being thrashed and some, like Mexico and Croatia, are actually winning.

So, it is not a given that Costa Rica will be run over and it would not be a huge surprise if they breach the Brazilian defence and get a goal.

That said, I do think Brazil will win and score a minimum of two goals, from that point onwards it is a question of will they score more or will Costa Rica score and I think one of those two will happen, as an example I see either a scoreline of 2-1 to Brazil or 3-0, something in that region.

Take over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was impressed with Croatia in their opening game, they played open expansive football and were very fluent and clinical when it was needed. The same cannot be said about Argentina, who simply must get a result from this game after a lacklustre performance against Iceland.

A win for Croatia and they qualify for the next stage, a loss would put that in danger, especially if Iceland win against Nigeria.

Both teams are more than capable of knocking the goals in, both play an attacking form of soccer and I do expect that both sides will score at least once.

All things considered, the best pick is over 2.25 goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

France was underwhelming against Australia, they did win but their entire performance was sluggish, they found it difficult to break down a determined Aussie side who really only wanted to defend, the French must do better going forward and I am confident they will do so. 

Peru was disappointing against Denmark, they struggled to get through the Danish defence and like France must do better, in fact, if they lose this game they will be eliminated if Denmark gets at least a point against Australia.

Of the two teams, it is France I expect to improve more, they have the players to win this game comfortably and while the bigger teams have struggled this tournament they do still manage to get the result they need.

The question for me was would France win by more than a single goal? I think there is more chance of that than there is of them losing or drawing and therefore backing the French -1 is the most logical selection.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Australia need to win this game or they will face being eliminated and that means they will have to go for goals, they simply have no choice in the matter.

Denmark can afford to drop points but they also know a win puts them into the last 16 and that is for sure what they will be focussed on today.

Neither team is prolific in front of the goal but the circumstances of this game and their respective status within the groups means that defending will take a back seat to attacking.

I see goals in this game and am confident that we will see over 2.5 goals. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Even though they conceded three goals Spain was impressive nonetheless against Portugal, they were unfortunate in part and you have to remember it took brilliance from one of the best players on the planet to score against them.

Spain should have beaten Portugal, they were the better team and I fully expect them to be sharper and more focussed against Iran.

Iran did well to beat Morocco but they really are up against it today and I just cannot make a case for them getting anything from this game, they are playing one of the best sides in the World Cup, if not the best, and will basically defend throughout the game, however, it will take some doing to keep Spain at bay for the whole game.

All things considered, Spain will win and by more than a single goal.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Uruguay win and a comfortable one at that.

The Saudis were humbled against Russia and are a poor team and they are up against better opposition than the Russians today.

Uruguay was lucky against Egypt with a 89th minute and was overall poor, especially Luis Suarez and you have to think they will improve and if they do I see them running up a high score against the hapless Saudi's

Take Uruguay -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams need the win, especially Morocco as a defeat and a win by Spain would see them eliminated.

If Morocco can somehow nullify Ronaldo then they stand a chance of getting something from this game but it is a long shot, Ronaldo will run havoc I am sure.

I am not a great fan of Portugal and they are vulnerable in defence and I can see Morocco scoring, however, the chances are that Portugal will win, either way, I am confident that we will see more than two goals in this game.

Put it this way, Morocco must go for a goal which leaves the counter-attack open and with the likes of Ronaldo you just know that it is very risky for the Moroccans. Portugal must also score, they will not want to face Iran behind on points and a draw or loss would ensure that.

Take over 2.25 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Even though Russia won 5-0 in their opening game I was not impressed with them, that result is not a true reflection of their quality.

The Saudis basically folded and the final result flattered the Russians, yes, the Russians did deserve the win but the brutal truth is that Saudi Arabia is not that good, Russia had home advantage and it took them ages to break down a very poor opposition.

Egypt is in a different class to Saudi Arabia, they have to get something from this game otherwise they are probably eliminated and while I am of the opinion that this group of African teams is weaker than in previous World Cups that is negated by the fact that Russia is the weakest European side in this tournament and if they had not qualified as hosts they would not be in the tournament.

Take Egypt +0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Poland to get the win in their opening World Cup match against Senegal today.

The African teams have been a little disappointing so far in this world cup and the overall general feeling is that this current batch of African nations is not as good as in previous World Cups and that is showing on the field of play.

Senegal has done ok in the build-up to the tournament and qualified comfortably but their opposition was very limited and they will not have faced a team with the quality of Poland.

Poland eased through their group winning eight from ten games, they have some quality players and in Robert Lewandowski have a world class striker.

I cannot see Senegal getting anything from this game and expect Poland to emerge the winners.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with overs on this one.

Both teams play open expansive soccer when required and while they will both be cagey at the start I fully expect the game to open up when a goal goes in and I do see a goal going in at some point.

Take over 2 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

For a change England enter a tournament with low expectations and that will help them, the less pressure the better they will perform.

Let there be no doubt that England do have some top quality players in the likes of Kane, Sterling, Alli and so on, they are young and raring to go and I really do believe that they will be looking to lay down a marker today.

Tunisia will not be walkovers, they will be defensive and will look to attack as much as possible but they are a limited side, African teams have been poor so far in this World Cup and Tunisia are not the best of the bunch but of course, they are playing a famous European side and will feel they can get something from this game, especially considering the results so far.

I cannot see anything other than an England win and if this England team clicks from word go they could do better than what a lot of people think and to do that they need to win and win comfortably today, which I fully expect them to do.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Belgium are genuine contenders for the World Cup, especially in light of the so-called big teams all failing to win so far, they have an opportunity here to show their credentials and that is what I fully expect them to do.

Belgium does suffer as a team of fantastic individuals that struggle to harmonise as a team but the signs are good that they are overcoming that hurdle and against minnows Panama they really should win and win easily.

This World Cup has been full of shocks, however, it would be seismic if Panama got anything from this game, they simply are not in the same class as Belgium, they do not have anywhere near the same quality of talent and the reality is that only Belgium can stop Belgium from winning this game handily.

Panama will be defensive, they will look for the counter-attack and try to emulate Mexico win over Germany, I just do not see a repeat of that result.

Belgium to win by at least two goals, probably more.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

European teams, apart from Germany, have done quite well so far in this World Cup and I expect Sweden to continue that pattern today against an underwhelming South Korea.

Sweden had to overcome Italy in the playoffs to reach the finals and are a far better side in competitive games than they are in friendlies, this will not be an easy game and I suspect it will be a low scoring affair and I see the Swedes winning this by a single goal, they defend well and are good at set pieces.

South Korea does not enter these finals in good form, though in all fairness we are talking about their friendly results but even so, confidence is important and I am not sure that the Koreans have that in abundance right now.

But, even if the Koreans were full of confidence and had momentum I still feel they are not as good a side as the Swedes and that will show today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Brazil are a top team and on their day are capable of beating any team but Switzerland are no walkovers and this will be a tight game.

Brazil are deserved favourites, they are on a great run of wins and come into this tournament on a high, it will not be a surprise if they win but there are good reasons to back Switzerland on the spreads.

The Swiss are a good team, they have lost just once in their last 17 matches, a 2-0 loss to Portugal, they have held Spain in a friendly and won nine of ten qualifying group games finishing on the same points as table toppers Portugal.

The Swiss will frustrate Brazil today and they are more than capable of nicking a goal and while Brazil will probably win I do not see them winning by more than a single goal and a draw is also a possibility.

Back Switzerland +1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Mexico won their qualification losing just once and while their opposition is not as difficult as in some of the European groups they did end up winning by a clear five points and are a hard team to beat, they did lose some friendly games but drew 3-3 with Belgium and while I doubt they will get anything from this game I am confident they will score at least once.

The world champions have not had the best pre world cup journey, a couple of their players have been booed, some top names were left behind and reports are that all is not well in the German camp, but they are one of the best teams on the planet and I would be surprised if they did not win.

There was zero value in backing Germany outright and the spreads were tricky, but because I believe Germany will win and Mexico will score then over 2.5 goals is the most logical pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has all the hallmarks of a very close match.

Neither side has had the best set of friendly games prior to this tournament, Serbia did win 5-1 against Bolivia in their last game but they also lost to Chile and Morocco and drew with Korea, they did well in qualification otherwise they would not be here but they were far from convincing.

Costa Rica has had a poor set of friendly results but in competitive games they are specialists are being hard to beat with quite a few draws, they drew four of their ten games and lost just twice.

This is the first game for both sides and of course, both sides will want the win but they will be more determined not to lose and I am of the opinion that a draw is the most likely outcome.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Nigeria is a good side, they got to the final of the African Nations before being humbled 4-0 by Morocco, they had a disappointing friendly build up to this world cup but they are an electrifying side when they are in the mood and with this being their first game of this World Cup I expect them to come out all guns blazing.

Croatia is a bit of an enigma, they can be humbled easily and yet can play some sublime football, regardless of the opposition, as an example, they stuffed Greece 4-1 in the playoffs but finished behind Iceland in their group.

We have two teams here more than capable of finding the back of the net, they are not negative sides and my confidence is high that between them we will see at least three goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Denmark is quite a negative side and that is why the overs are low, however, on their day, especially if Christian Ericksen is in the mood they can run the goals in as they did against Ireland (5-1) but those sort of performances are rare but this is the World Cup and I cannot see them keeping Peru out for the entire 90 minutes which means they will have to score if they are to get anything from this game.

Peru is not that bad, they are unbeaten in their last 15 international games, they did have to qualify against New Zealand but they twice held Argentina in qualification and beat Uruguay also, they are not as negative as Denmark and I do see them scoring at least once, which will definitely drive the Danes on as well.

I am confident we will see at least two goals and a high chance of at least three and overs is definitely the pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me is all about the Argentinians if they play to their talent level they will win by a handful of goals, if they play to their frustrating level they will struggle to win, it is as simple as that.

Iceland did beat a very poor England side a couple of years ago but in their next match they got thrashed by France and even though they have qualified, it was hardly the hardest group and their friendly run-in has been very poor.

Iceland will have to frustrate  Argentina and defend for their lives and hope to get a sucker punch goal but that is all they have, hope. Argentina should win this game easily, they have stunning talent all the way through the team and are one of my favourites to win this tournament outright and the only thing that can stop them today is themselves.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is not one of the strongest Australian teams I have seen in recent years, I watched them struggle to overcome Syria and while they did well in the playoff against Honduras and in recent friendly games I am not convinced that they have all of a sudden turned into a good team, they are mediocre and will be found out at this level.

France are a bit hit and miss, on their day they can beat anyone, they have a team brimming with world-class talent but they have an average manager who lacks a plan B and makes some very strange tactical decisions.

That said, there is a clear gulf between these sides and if France, as I expect, play to their full unquestioned ability then they will have enough to dispatch the Aussies by at least a couple of goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The biggest game so far in this world cup and it is Spain I am going to back for the win.

A lot has been made of the sacking of the Spain manager just a couple of days ago but I am confident that this Spain side is good enough to put that aside, they are highly experienced and ooze talent throughout the team, they are unbeaten in their last 20 games and recently beat Argentina 6-1, albeit in a friendly.

Portugal are European Champions but they were hardly convincing and while they have had a decent run of results the opposition they have beaten has been mediocre and when they do go up against the better sides they invariably do not win.

I simply do not rate Portugal that highly, they are over-reliant on the ageing Ronaldo and play negative football. I expect them to get found out against arch-rivals Spain today and to lose and probably by a couple of goals. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is my best pick of the day.

Morocco are African Champions, they thrashed Nigeria 4-0 in the final, they are unbeaten in their 18 games in all competitions, they have beaten some good teams including Serbia and Slovakia in recent friendlies and they are as well prepared as any team entering into this tournament.

Iran are also well prepared and have been on a decent run but the quality of opposition as not been as strong as what Morocco has faced and when they have gone up against half decent teams, even in friendlies, they have lost, Tunisia and Turkey as examples.

Of course, friendlies are not reliable indicators, but the overall form of Morocco in both competitive matches and friendlies is superior to that of Iran and I am highly confident that Morocco will have too much today for the Iranians to contend with. 

Morocco to win

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Egypt is one of the better teams in Africa but I do not see them getting anything from this game against Uruguay today.

At the time of writing this, it is still unknown if Salah will play, however, even if he does I do not see it making much difference, I doubt he would be fully recovered from injury anyway and his teammates are fairly limited in comparison to the Uruguayans.

Uruguay was in mixed form but they have gained some momentum recently and should be well prepared for this game.

Overall Uruguay have the better recent form and better preparations and it has to be said, the better squad and as long as they play to form they will win.

My only concern is the spread, I would have prefered -3/4 spread but -1 is still fine and if Uruguay win by the single goal then stakes are returned and I am confident that they have more chance of winning by two goals as opposed to drawing or even losing.

All things considered Uruguay -1 is the pick

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The opening game of the 2018 World Cup pits the host nation Russia against minnows Saudi Arabia and it is difficult to see anything less than a Russian win.

There was a myth that opening games tend to end in draws, however, that is a myth, certainly in recent years apart from 2010 in South Africa and apart from France losing to Senegal in 2002 the favourites tend to win.

That said, Russia's recent record has been awful but in all fairness, their games have been non-competitive, they have had no qualifying games and that has clearly affected their results.

The Saudi's have an appalling record away to European teams and this is an away game for them despite it being a World Cup because Russia is the host nation, this is not a neutral location and despite the poor recent Russian performances I simply cannot make a case for the Saudi's to get anything from this game.

The spread is -1 which means that Russia would have to win by two clear goals, which they are more than capable of doing considering their opposition, however, even if they win by just the single goal your stakes would be returned.

All things considered, the best bet is Russia -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Game 4 in the NBA finals and I stick to my prediction prior to game 3 that the Warriors will win 4-0, however, I expect this game to be very close and am not confident that Golden State will cover the spread but by the same token I am not that confident that the Cavaliers will either.

But what I am confident of is that there will be at least 216 points in total and my reasoning is based on the circumstances of this particular game.

This is a do or die game for the Cavs, they simply have to go for it which will mean racking up the points, the problem for them is that the Warriors will do the same in order to wrap up the Finals.

This will not be a defensive dominated game, in my opinion, the crowd will give all they got to lift their team and an open exciting game will unfold.

I do expect the Warriors to scrape it and I expect them to get at least 110 points and that means at least 216 points in total.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Golden State win, I now expect them to sweep the Cavaliers 4-0.

The Cavs look a beaten side, I know they have made their comebacks before but this time their whole body language looks that of a team that knows they are not going to win.

Cleveland may well have home court advantage and have an excellent recent home record but I just cannot see them bouncing back this time.

I am backing the Warriors to beat the spread and go 3-0 up.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with a high scoring game in the opening game between the Cavs and Golden State.

I expect Golden State to win and to clear 110 points in the process and I expect Cleveland to clear 105 points, however, I am not convinced that the Warriors will cover the spread. 

The spread is just too tricky for me to call, The Warriors may well win by 11 or more but I am of the opinion that Cleveland will put up a hell of a fight and will not be run over and could be closer than what most people think but I am not confident enough to back them to be within 11 points of Golden State.

What I am confident of is that the combined scores will be over 217 and that is my pick for this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Warriors to win and cover the spread.

The Rockets had their chance and have blown it and with home court advantage and the experience of this sort of situation all with the Warriors then I cannot see anything other than a Golden State win.

The only question for me was will they beat the spread and I believe they will, they have the momentum now and I fully expect them to beat the Rockets with a bit in hand tonight.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is potentially the biggest game of the season for both teams.

This is the bottom line, Lazio needs to avoid a loss to make the Champions League next season and Inter must win to overhaul Lazio for that final top four spot.

Both sides have shown significant nerves in recent weeks with some stunningly bad results and recent form is not something that is reliable for this game, even home advantage for Lazio is of little advantage in this scenario, this is basically a cup final.

I cannot hand on heart say which team will win because I simply do not see a winner, their mentalities will be different, Lazio will be happy with a draw while Inter must win and will play as such.

I am confident however that Lazio will not lose and that is why the draw is the value for me, certainly, I have more confidence in that result than an Inter win and the way the game will be played is how I expect that t unfold.

If Inter take a lead then Lazio will go all out for an equaliser, if they get that equaliser they will then sit back and I see them doing that almost from the start.

The most likely outcome for me is the draw and the odds are good for that outcome.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Ths is the final game of the season and a game that Milan has to win, if they do not they run a significant risk of missing out on sixth place and a place in Europe next season.

Milan has not had the best of seasons, especially after the money they have spent but they can finish it off on a high note with a win in front of their own fans.

Fiorentina have nothing to play for and some of their players will have their eye on holidays or the World Cup for their respective nations., well, the nations that have qualified, Italy not being one of them.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a Milan win, they have their fate in their own hands and I do not see them blowing it.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides, Atalanta need the win to have any hope of making Europe next season and Cagliari needs a win to avoid relegation.

There are permutations involving the draw and other teams results but a win for either team is the most basic requirement and I fully expect both sides to go full out for that win.

Cagliari has home advantage but they are playing a better team but in these sort of situations that tends to go out the window and it will all come down to the performance on the day.

I expect both teams to score, I expect both to be attack minded and I do not see either team's defences putting in memorable performances.

All that leads to goals and that is what I fully expect to happen.

I am going with a minimum of three goals and am confident we will see even more.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am expecting a tight game between these two and a draw looks the value pick.

After eight games there is just one point separating these two teams and a deeper look into their results shows a pattern developing.

Two of the four Stromgodset home games this season have ended in draws and two of the three away games that Sarpsborg have played this season has finished in draws.

Add to those results the fact that both games between these two last season finished in a draw as well as the tightness in the league this season between their respective positions and it becomes apparent that a draw is the value pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Just one point separates these two in Serie A with AC Milan occupying the final Europa League position, however, a win for Atalanta today and they will replace Milan for that Europa League qualification spot.

Atalanta is on a six-game unbeaten run and has lost just once in their last nine Serie A games, they have won their last two home games and have the momentum just at the right time.

Milan have won their last two games but they are the only wins in their last eight league games, they have been very inconsistent this season and have beaten Atalanta just once in their last eight meetings.

Considering how crucial this game is and with home advantage I am backing Atalanta to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is really quite simple, Liverpool need at least a point to ensure champions league qualification, whereas Brighton has nothing to play for.

I cannot see Liverpool playing for a draw, not at home and they certainly will not want this game going into the final few minutes without the game in the bag.

If Liverpool loses and Chelsea win then the Reds will miss out on qualification via the league, though they would qualify automatically if they win the final against Real Madrid.

Liverpool tend to win convincingly at home, they did draw their last home game 0-0 against Stoke City but their previous four games saw them win by at least two goals every time.

Brighton has not won in their last 12 away games and against the top six, they have lost by at least 2 goals against four of them with only Man Utd failing to beat them by more than one goal.

Liverpool have something to play for and Brighton does not and with home advantage and players playing for a place in the champions league final I fully expect to see Liverpool put on a dominant performance today and to win this game by a significant margin.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game comes from the Swedish Allsvenskan and I am confident that there will be goals in this game.

In 5 of the 7 games that Dalkurd have played this season have all gone over 2.5 goals, usually with the opposition scoring the more goals.

Djurgarden games this season have not seen as many goals, however, they have lost their last 3 games and will be desperate to get back to winning ways, they are at home and against a team that is very beatable, they will come into this game with an attacking mentality.

I was tempted to back Djurgarden outright, however, their recent form has dented my confidence in them and the over 2.5 goals bet looks the better option.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has goals written all over it and over 2.5 goals is the pick.

Goteborg has had over 2.5 goals in 5 of their 7 games so far this season and has won their last two home games after losing their first one of the season in front of their home fans.

Norrkoping has featured in 4 games that have gone over 2.5 goals from their 7 games this season and currently sit 4th.

This is a big game early on in the season for both sides and both will go for the win, any other result and a gap will start to open up with the top two. 

I expect a game that will flow back and forth with both teams scoring and a very high chance that at least one of them will score at least twice.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a very crucial game for both teams, Lazio needs to win to maintain their champions league qualification hopes and Crotone needs the win to stay above the relegation zone.

Both teams have good recent home and away records respectively, Crotone have won two and drawn one of their last three home games and that draw was against Juventus.

Lazio has won their last three away games on the bounce and is on a nine-game unbeaten run, whereas Crotone lost their last game and have recorded just four wins in their last 17 league games.

Crotone will be hard to break down at home and are fighting for their Serie A lives but I expect the quality of Lazio to come to the fore and to emerge the winners. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon has to win this game if they want to qualify for next seasons Champions League.

Lyon are one point ahead of Monaco and Marseille with just two games in the season remaining and so they have their destiny in their own hands but a draw or loss could be disastrous for them and they will know that.

Strasbourg themselves are fighting for their lives, they are in a relegation battle and need points desperately but they are where they are for a reason and that is that they are not that good a team at this level.

Strasbourg will put up a fight for sure but the quality of Lyon will shine through and I expect them to win this game.

I am not too happy about the spread but Lyon should have enough about them to emerge the winners by a couple of goals come the final whistle.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Montreal to inflict yet another away defeat on the hapless Philadelphia Union.

Philadelphia has not won away in their last 20 road games in all competitions, that is an appaling record and so far this season, they have lost all four away games conceding nine and scoring none.

Montreal is just the one spot above Philadelphia in the standings but their home record this season is not bad with two wins and one loss and while they are not one of the better teams in the league they certainly are more than capable of beating a team with such a poor away record that Philadelphia has.

Stake - 2pts