All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was torn in this game, at first I was tempted to back the Broncos at home but the form of the Texans and the inconsistent form of Broncos QB Case Keenum has undermined my belief in the Broncos winning this one.

By the same token, I worry about the Texans visiting Denver and coming away with the win, just too many variables in play here.

However, what I am sure of is that both teams will score and score in excess of 20 points each and in combination I have them breaking 50 points and so getting over 45.5 is more than acceptable.

Take over 45.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A case can be made for either team, both are in good form and both are capable of getting the win, but I am not as convinced by the Seahawks as I am the Chargers, Seattle for me are more brittle and less explosive but they have home advantage which evens things out a little.

But I do like the look of over 48 points in this game.

Seattle has scored 28.27 and 31 points in their last three games and at least 20 points in their last five games.

The Chargers have scored 38.26 and 29 points in three of their last four games and at least 20 points in every game this season.

I am convinced that both teams will break 24 points in this game and will, in combination, get over 50 points and so over 48 points is an easy pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bucks are the better team in my opinion and will most likely win this one but by 10 points? Not for me.

The Kings are playing well, they have won five on the bounce and you have to respect that form whatever the calibre of the opponent they have beaten in that sequence.

I know that results can be misleading and the Bucks have the better record this season and will be looking to bounce back from their defeat against the Celtics and have home advantage but 10 points just seems too much to me.

Take the Kings +10

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I just cannot see anything other than a comprehensive Chicago win today.

The Bills know how to give up points and against this Bears defence, I cannot see them getting too many points themselves.

The Bills will be playing Nathan Peterman as the quarterback today and let's be honest, he loves to throw interceptions and with the Bears defence ripping their way towards him non stop I just do not have any confidence in him doing anything today.

Bears -10

Stake - 12pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Redskins giving up just 2 points is a gift in my book.

I have Washington 7 point favourites for this one and I fully expect them to make this their fourth winning game in a row.

I know that the Falcons have registered back to back wins themselves but both were hard-fought wins against teams in decline and they conceded 20 and 29 points respectively in those games and overall their defence is just not up to it this season.

I see the Redskins offense getting a lot of joy out of the Falcons defence today and a clear win for Washington is the only logical outcome I can see happening.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Vikings to get back to winning ways against the visiting Lions.

Minnesota was disappointing against New Orleans last week and they know that, they will be looking to bounce back today and I am confident they will do so.

The Lions also lost last week and having watched both games the manner of the Detroit loss was worrying, they lacked spark and vision, they looked like a team that knew they were beaten and that was against the mediocre Seahawks.

The Vikings can be frustrating but if they get the basics right today they will beat a Lions team that is starting to look very average to me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was tempted to back the Steelers outright in this one but am happy to take a cautious approach and back them +2.

The difference for me in this game is that I cannot see the Ravens offense being nearly as effective against the Steelers defence as I can see the Steelers offense being against the Ravens defence.

Baltimore has just too many issues in offense and their defence is struggling to protect Flacco who is not at his best anyway.

All things considered, it is a Steelers win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chiefs all day long for me and by double digits.

Kansas a very good team and in great shape, not something that one can say about the Browns who clearly have issues off the field.

The Chiefs score for fun and QB Mahomes has knocked in four TD's per game for the last three games and against this poor Browns defence, the chances are he will extend that to four games.

The Chiefs defence is suspect but they are not up against an offense in form today and should be able to keep the points down.

Kansas -7.5 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Werder Bremen have a great opportunity today to record another away win and I am backing them to do just that.

Bremen have won three of their four away games this season in the Bundesliga and even though they lost their last game at home 6-2 to Bayer Leverkusen I am confident they will not allow that freak result to affect them, it was a one-off and will not be repeated, they are sixth and a win today will take them joint second with Bayern Munich.

Mainz, of course, have home advantage but they are not in good form, they have not won at home in three games now and have not won in their last six games overall and enter this game on a two-game losing streak, they are simply in a depression and are the perfect opponents for Werder Bremen today.

Take Werder to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

St Etienne have stumbled a little in recent weeks picking up just 2 points from a possible 9 but they remain a strong home team and even in their three-game winless streak, they have just lost the once.

Angers have been no better having picked up just 2 points from a possible 12 but they have surprisingly done well on the road but the task ahead of them today is a tough one against a team as strong at home as what St Etienne are.

I am backing St Etienne to get the win, they will simply be too strong for Angers today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams in very different form and I am backing Levante on the spreads to continue their fantastic form.

I know that Villarreal is at home and are considered a good team but their form and results do not back that up, they are playing poor football right now, they have lost three and drawn one of their last four league games and are fourth bottom.

Levante, on the other hand, are in brilliant form, they have won their last four La Liga games in a row and are in eight spot, a win today would take them above Real Madrid and just a single point behind second-placed Atletico Madrid, they beat Real Madrid recently in Madrid and are red hot right now.

For this pick to lose Villarreal would have to win by two goals and I do not see that happening and there is far more chance of either a Levante win or draw than anything else and that would make this a winning pick.

Back Levante +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am getting this one out early.

The situation is not great at the Lakers right now, they are playing well to some degree but simply not getting enough wins and a lot of that has to do with their poor record with 3 pointers and that is backed up from the stats in the game between these two at the start of the season.

By contrast, the Blazers are hitting the three-pointers regularly and when you have two teams so different with their accuracy at the three-pointer then it is always going to be the team with the far better record that will win.

But it is more than that, there is turmoil behind the scenes with the Lakers, all is not rosy and even though they beat Dallas last time out, it was a hard fought narrow win against a team with a record of 2-7 and it was based mainly on a one-sided third quarter, it was hardly a turning point.

Portland is at home, they are 6-2 for the season and on a three-game winning streak and I am backing them to win and cover the spread.

Take Portland -3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Houston are so much better than they have shown so far and there are now signs that they are getting their act together, they had a decent win over the Nets and will be going for a two-timer this evening.

The Bulls are a team in transition and will get better but they are not at a stage yet that they can compete with this Rocket side if the Rockets play how we all know they can.

I am putting my faith in the Rockets tonight and expect them to win and cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this game is just about right for me to back the Hornets, if it was over 10 I may have had some second thoughts but anything below 10 and it simply had to be the Hornets.

This is more about how poor the Cavs are, there are so many areas that need attention that even if the Cavs got some of their issues ironed out it would still be not enough.

The Hornets may not be world beaters but they have enough about them to beat this Cavs side and cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Tottenham to get an important and crucial away win against Wolves today.

Wolves were on a very good run but the wheels have come off slightly losing their last two games against Watford and Brighton and today they face one of the best teams in English football.

Tottenham have been grinding out wins in the Premier League, they did lose against league leaders Man City last week but so do most teams these days but against almost every other calibre of team in the Premier League, home or away, Tottenham win, they have won five of their six away games this season and enter this game on a three-game winning streak on the road.

Tottenham is the better side and if they play as they should do then they will win.

Take Tottenham -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massive game and I see Liverpool emerging the victors.

A lot has been made of Arsenal's 13 game unbeaten run but any analysis of that run will show that their opposition has been weak, very weak for the most part and that the Gunners have been very fortunate with their fixtures.

As an example, the highest placed team they have faced in the Premier League was 7th placed Watford and that was when Watford had hit a bad patch and was their fourth game without a win in a sequence of five winless games.

Arsenal have played cup games in that run and apart from the half decent away win over Sporting Lisbon they have faced teams that are barely known or in lower divisions, the point is this, they have simply not played a team anywhere near the calibre of Liverpool in that 13 games unbeaten run.

It should also be noted that when Arsenal have played a team in the same category as Liverpool, they lost, to Man City and Chelsea.

Liverpool are flying, they have won 8 and drawn 2 in the Premier League, they have beaten Tottenham away, drawn away to Chelsea and held Man City at home, they have beaten PSG in the Champions League and PSG are a world-class team, they have played better teams and shown that they are the real deal, Arsenal have not shown that at all.

All things considered, I am backing Liverpool to get the win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game will be emotional following the tragic death of Leicester City's owner last Saturday and the players have stated publicly that they will do him proud. you can take it to the bank they will play their heart out to honour his memory as best as they can.

Cardiff City has home advantage and will be very professional, they will not allow the events of the last week to interfere with how they approach this game and will be determined to win as well.

With both teams determined to win and with 60% of Cardiff City's games this season being over 2.25 goals and 70% of Leicester City's games also going over 2.25 goals I am convinced we will see goals.

I cannot pick a winner between these two under the circumstances, you just do not know how the emotions will play out but based on the stats, public statements and the context I am certain both teams will find the net and that one of them will score at least twice.

Take over 2.25 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I just cannot oppose the Warriors at home even giving up 11 points.

The Wolves are fairly decent on offense but their defence is simply not strong enough to contain this Warrior outfit for four quarters.

I expect the Warrior to continue to show their dominance and wear down the Wolves defence and win this game by at least 12 points.

Take the Warriors -11

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I actually expect the Mavericks to win this one but not to cover the spread.

The Knicks have a good record ATS against the Mavs and that cannot be ignored, it also cannot be ignored that Dallas is not doing any better than NY this season.

I expect the Knicks to stay close in this game and while they may not win I do not see them being rolled over.

Take the Knicks +6

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Napoli have frustrated me recently, however, this is one game that they will win and win comfortably.

The spread is high but at home Napoli are more than good enough to beat Empoli by at least two goals.

Empoli have drawn two and lost four of their six away games this season, they have lost just the once by two goals in that sequence but they are facing their toughest opponents to date on the road and there is simply no case to be made for them getting anything from this game, it is just a case of how many goals they will lose by.

Napoli have won four and drawn one at home and on two occasions won by at least two goals, the times they have not have been against good opponents with the worst placed of those teams being Roma who are eight in the standing.

Napoli are playing a side way down in 18th spot and when they play that calibre of team on their own ground they win and win well and that is exactly what I see happening tonight.

Take Napoli -1.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Three of the last four Stuttgart home games have had at least three goals in them and three of the last four Frankfurt away games have had at least three goals in them, the stats certainly point to this game having at least three goals in it.

Eight of the last nine games between these two have had at least three goals in them with the last meeting between the pair being the only game in that sequence that did not see at least three goals.

Stuttgart are bottom of the table with just the solitary win all season, they were stuffed 4-0 in their last two games and 3-1 before that, their defence is leaking goals all over the place and even with home advantage that is unlikely to change, their confidence is shot, however, they will be looking to at least stabilise the ship today and I think they will to some degree by at least scoring a goal or two.

Frankfurt is 7th, they have won three of their last four games, drawing the other, they are in good form and in good spirits, they have notched up a 7-1 win and a 4-1 win in that sequence and four of their last five Bundesliga games have all had at least three goals in them.

I was tempted to back Frankfurt but they are not an elite team and they are away and that always carries a risk, even against a team in such wretched form as what Stuttgart are in and on this occasion I have more confidence in the overs market than I am in an away win.

Take over 2.75 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A huge game for both teams, not because it means anything for their respective seasons, it does not, but because of local bragging rights and that can never be underestimated.

These two teams have had poor seasons, both have just one win all season long, their respective performances have been woeful and it is really difficult to make a case for either team, they are just that bad.

That said, there is still a cast iron pick here and that is the over 45.5 market.

I see this game going over 50, to be honest, both teams have awful defences, just look at the stats but they can score points with their respective offences and with the defences like sieves you have to think that this is the perfect game for both offenses to rack up some points.

Put it this way, this game will not be about the defences, it will be about which offense can take advantage of the opposing weak defence and in my opinion, I see both teams doing just that.

Take over 45.5pts

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the 76ers to get the win and cover the spread this evening.

Philadelphia is a tale of two teams, on the road they lose and at home they win and of course, they are at home tonight.

It is ridiculous to suggest that the 76ers will win every home game, you have to take into consideration the opponents and circumstances and in this case, it does point to another home win.

The Clippers had a nightmare third quarter against Oklahoma in their last game, they have lost two of their three road games and they enter this game with very shaky confidence following that third quarter against the Thunder.

All things considered, we have the 76ers with a brilliant home record and the better team playing a team that has just one win on the road this season coming off a terrible loss.

Take 76ers -5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Warriors will not win every game by a huge margin but right now they are in hot form and while they are like this and at home and facing a team with some injury issues then now is the time to back the Warriors to cover such a spread.

Warriors -9.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Pacers for me in this one and to cover the spread.

The Pacers have had a day off since their last game and will be looking to bounce back from the loss to Portland, they were on a two-game winning streak before that loss, both road wins, and I expect them to get back to business tonight.

The Knicks are coming off a win but they were on a five-game losing streak before they beat the Nets and that win has masked the glaring deficiencies in the Knicks outfit.

The Pacers to get back to winning and cover the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I would have taken the Pistons -1 in this one and so receiving 3 points is a gift and one I will be taking.

The Pistons took care of the Nets in the season opener and I see no reason why they will not do so again, out of these two teams the Pistons are the ones progressing overall while the Nets are backtracking.

Pistons+3 for me

Stake - 3pts

Due to time constraints, I will not be providing a full written analysis of this game today, however, you can be assured that this pick has been fully researched and carries maximum confidence.

Selection

This game has over 222 points written all over it, in fact, my analysis has this game going in excess of 230 and so over 222 is a gift.

Stake 2pts

Due to time constraints, I will not be providing a full written analysis of this game today, however, you can be assured that this pick has been fully researched and carries maximum confidence.

Selection

I am backing the Thunder to win and cover the small spread and would have taken them as high as -5, so I am happy with this spread.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, I will not be providing a full written analysis of this game today, however, you can be assured that this pick has been fully researched and carries maximum confidence.

Selection

I am going with the Grizzlies to get the better of the Wizards today and to cover the spread with a bit to spare.

Stake 2pts

Due to time constraints, I will not be providing a full written analysis of this game today, however, you can be assured that this pick has been fully researched and carries maximum confidence.

Selection

I am backing the Hawks to be within five points of the Cavs and to cover the spread.

Stake 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Patriots to get a comprehensive win and cover the spread.

The spread is a bit high but then we are talking about two teams at the end of the spectrum, the Patriots are a very good team and genuine Superbowl contenders, the Bills are useless and very susceptible to a severe beating, something that has occurred more than once this season.

All things considered and based on form and stats this will be an easy win for the Patriots by at least two TD's, probably more.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This one could be a classic and I am backing both teams to put points on the board.

The Saints have won five in a row and are bouncing, they will also be looking for revenge against the Vikings following last years dramatic playoff match between these two. They have scored an average of 34 points per game and I can see them getting close to that tonight.

The Vikings may not be as prolific but they have averaged 24 points a game this season and remember that includes a measly 6 points in their freaky loss to the Bills and if you look over the last four games they have averaged 29.5 points a game.

Both teams have top quality quarterbacks that can create points almost regularly and over 54 points looks well within the reach of these two.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Rams to win this one, they are the best team in football right now but I also expect the Packers to keep it fairly close.

The Rams were not so dominant in two of their last three wins beating Denver by just three points and the Seahawks by only two points, now, those games were on the road but it does show that the Rams cannot expect to blow teams out of the water week in week out.

If there is a quarterback that can cause the Rams problems it is Rodgers, he will know were the Rams are vulnerable, in the secondary as an example and will try and take advantage.

The Rams will most likely win but I am backing the Packers to keep it within seven points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams that have had terrible seasons but of these two by far the worst is Oakland, it has just been awful for them and to make matters worse they will enter this game with their offense decimated even more with the loss of Marshawn Lynch (injured) and Amari Cooper (traded).

The thing about the Colts is that even when they lose they still score big, the same cannot be said about the Raiders who appear like a team content with their season and are happy to just use this season to build draft picks.

It is a Colts win for me today and probably by double digits and so -3 is easy for me to take.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win today and by at least a couple of goals.

Roma was so poor at home against SPAL in their last league game that I was left speechless, their frontline is very average and while they are still a good team they are not in the same class as Napoli.

Napoli had a brilliant away result midweek against PSG and was unfortunate not to win that game and deserved more than a draw and PSG are a world class side, Napoli is second in Serie A and are Juventus only real viable title challengers and have been for a few years now.

Napoli beat Liverpool at home, they have won every single home game this season and in all competitions have not conceded at home in their last four games, this is a very good side.

Napoli -1 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Alaves is having a brilliant season, they are fourth at the time of writing this and could end up top of La Liga by the end of the day depending on results, they have beaten Real Madrid and enter this game on a two-game winning streak, they are unbeaten at home this season and are full of momentum right now.

Villarreal is fourth bottom, they have won just twice all season in La Liga, their overall form has been poor, they are winless in three games now and are there for the taking.

That said, Villarreal actually has a decent away record this season collecting seven of their nine points this season on the road but they are up against a team full of confidence and playing out of their skin and with home advantage, it has to be Alaves on the spread.

Take Alaves +0.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have lost all confidence in Bayer Leverkusen, they are not the team they were portrayed to be before the season started, they were extremely lucky to get a draw last week against 10 man Hannover and they have won just once in their last five competitive games.

Werder Bremen are fourth in the standings, they are unbeaten at home, they have won four of their last five league games, simply put, they are in much better form and have home advantage.

Werder Brem to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has the look of under 44 points to me.

Four of Baltimore last five games have all gone under 44 points and their defence has conceded an average of 12.8 points in those five games.

The Panthers defence has conceded an average of just 21.8 points this season and today we have five of the top 6 players in career tackles playing.

All things considered, I am going under 44 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread is quite big in this one but if there is a team that can beat the Broncos by double digits Kansas City is certainly one.

Kansas have home advantage and their home wins this season have been by 35,16 and 11 points, when they are at home they win and win well.

Denver did win comprehensively against the Falcons last week by 35 points but the Falcons were very poor in that game and prior to that game the Broncos had lost four straight and their previous two road games were losses by 18 and 13 points.

Kansas for me and by double digits.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bengals slipped up in their last two games and will be looking to bounce back quickly with a win in front of their home fans, those losses were against top quality opposition for sure but they were still disappointing results and nothing less than a win will do today.

The Bucs ended a three-game losing streak with an overtime win over the Browns and that tells you their level, they did start the season well but since their opening two games, it has more or less been backwards all the way and the win over the Browns just masks their deficiencies.

With home advantage and simply the better team I am going with the Bengals to bounce back and beat the Bucs and cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Redskins win today in New York.

The Giants are poor this season, they are 1-6 for a reason, they are just not that good, Manning is having an awful season and cannot be relied upon, they have lost all their home games this season and I cannot see that being any different today.

The Redskins are on a two-game winning streak, they are 4-2 and have definite playoff hopes and this is the exact sort of game they will have to win if they are to maintain those playoff hopes, put it this way, if they cannot beat this New York Giants side then they probably do not deserve to make the playoffs.

Take the Redskins -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I fully expect the Steelers to win this one by double digits.

The Browns have been very unlucky this season but that has been said too often, the bottom line is they just do not have what it takes to see games out and they are facing a very different Steelers than they did in week one.

The Steelers are going for a third win in a row and cement their position at the top of the AFC North, they appear to have ironed out a lot of their issues and while they have not necessarily beaten top opposition recently they are playing a team in the same category as teams they have beaten and beaten well.

With home advantage and momentum I am confident that the Steelers will win this one by double digits.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I fancy the Bears to win this one but was unsure if they would beat the spread, however, even if I did believe they would beat the spread I am far more confident in this game going over 42 points.

So much has been made of the Bears defence but it was not exactly impressive in their last two games and in 50% of their games they have conceded at least 24 points this season and even with home advantage I am doubtful that they will keep the Jets below 20 points.

The Jets bounced back from a three-game losing streak to record two impressive wins before being humbled by the Vikings and the best you can say about the Jets is that they are inconsistent but when they are in the mood they can put points on the board.

All things considered, I expect the Bears to win but that the Jets will get to at least 20 points and that means over 42 points is a given.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lions all day long for me in this one.

The Lions have won three of their last four including two at home against New England and Green Bay and their offense is finally starting to click.

The Seahawks are also on a bit of a roll, they have won three of their last four games but their opposition has not been the same quality that the Lions have faced and their road record is not as good as it actually appears, beating the Falcons is not the hardest task and their other winning road game was in London, not really a road game is it? The other two road games they lost.

All things considered, I am taking the Lions with home advantage and a vastly improved offense to overcome the Seahawks and cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Man Utd to record a home win against an average Everton side.

I know United have had their issues but they are more than capable of beating Everton, especially at Old Trafford, they will be looking to bounce back from their midweek loss to Juventus in the Champions League and they are facing an Everton side that overall has a poor away record.

Take Man Utd -0.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and the first time in a decade that this game has had neither Ronaldo or Messi playing.

I am confident that Barcelona will prove the better team on the day, both teams have not been playing that well, especially Real Madrid but with home advantage and the better form, it has to be a win for Barcelona.

Barcelona -0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Leipzig all day long on this one, they are in great form at the moment, they are on a seven-game unbeaten run and have won five of those games. They have also won their last three at home with an aggregate score of 11-2.

Schalke are fourth bottom, they have failed to win their last two competitive games and away in the league, they have three losses and one win, albeit that away win was their last away game.

The bottom line for me is that Leipzig have superior form and are on fire right now and a home win looks in the bag.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Cagliari has a good home record, whereas Chievo cannot buy a win on the road and therein lies the difference between these two teams.

Cagliari has held Milan and Sampdoria to draws at home and beaten Bologna, Chievo has lost three and drawn one away this season, the form of Cagliari is better and wit home advantage I cannot see anything other than a home win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

SPAL are not exactly world beaters but compared to Frosinone they are.

SPAL is a limited side and at home have two wins and two losses but those wins were against Atalanta and Parma, teams far superior to today's opponents.

Frosinone, of course, has lost all their away games by a combined score of 12-2, they are not a good team.

All things considered, I am going with SPAL to win outright.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Genoa lost their last home game but prior to that won three straight and their record this season at home is those 3 wins and just the one loss, they may not be world beaters but at home, they have been strong this season.

Udinese are already 5 points behind Genoa and have played a game more, they have just one away win this season, losing two and drawing the other, they have lost four straight in the league and are just above the relegation zone, this is not a team in form.

Take Genoa to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Eagles to win this game in London and cover the spread.

The Eagles threw away victory last week against the Panthers losing a 17 point lead going into the fourth quarter, they will be determined to put that right.

The Jaguars are on an awful run right now with three consecutive losses and bad losses at that, their confidence appears shot and their quarterback Blake Bortles is really in a rut, the signs do not look good for them to turn this around at this moment in time.

Putting the fourth quarter last week to one side Cason Wentz is getting better each week and I do not see what happened last week affecting him for this game but being benched will have affected Bortles and with the Jags offense already struggling I am not sure he is the man to rally them.

The Jags have won three in a row in London but I do not read too much into that and am happy to take the Eagles -3.5.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to oppose Arsenal today, they are on an 11 match winning streak in all competitions, they are simply on fire and beating everyone that is put in front of them home or away and Palace is not an elite team that is capable of stopping this Arsenal team.

Take Arsenal -0.75

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chelsea really should have enough to beat this Burnley side by a couple of goals.

Burnley have been woeful this season, they got hammered 5-0last week away at Man City and Chelsea are unbeaten all season long.

Take Chelsea -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I can understand why a lot of people are going crazy over Damian Lillard and because of him the Trailblazers are seen as a real force but they do have their vulnerabilities.

The Heat will need to be on their game defensively this evening and they will have to up their offensive game as well and I believe they will do just that, they know what they face tonight and will match the Trailblazers throughout.

Miami was unfortunate in their first home game of the season to lose by 1 against the Hornets but they were excellent against New York and I am confident they will make it two home wins in a row.

Miami -1.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Cavaliers have had a horrendous start to the season and it is easy to make a case for the Pacers to get the win here but I saw positives in their last loss at Detroit and the signs are that it is just a matter of time before they get a win and kick-start their season.

The Pacers have hardly been consistent, they win and then they lose and their last game was a win and while that does not mean they will lose this game based on their inconsistent pattern this season it certainly does not mean they will win either.

Chances are the Pacers will actually win this and register their first two timer for the season but I do not see them covering the spread, I believe the Cavs will be a lot closer as they continue to slowly improve.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This may well be the game that the Pistons 100% winning record comes close to ending, however, even if that does happen I am of the opinion that the Celtics will not cover the spread.

The Celtics have been disappointing to some degree while the Pistons have exceeded expectations and until that is reversed it is risky to back the Celtics to beat the Pistons by 4 or more points, especially with Detroit being the home team.

Pistons +4 for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Torino have hit a rich vein of form recently, they are now four games unbeaten and enter this game full of confidence.

Fiorentina have just one win in their last four games and their away record is pretty bad with three losses and one draw this season, though in all fairness their opponents have been difficult.

Torino have the form and the momentum and I am backing them to register a home win over a team struggling on the road.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco finally got a result this week, albeit a draw away in the Champions League against Bruge, but it is not a loss and it will have done a lot for the morale of the Monaco players who have been really struggling this season.

Dijon is the perfect opponents for Monaco, they are in just as bad a shape as Monaco, their form is terrible and they are playing away.

Monaco are simply too good for this bad form to continue and the signs are that it will not continue and back in front of their home fans and under a new manager on the back of a decent midweek performance I am backing Monaco to get the win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking Leicester City to get the better of West Ham United today.

Having watched both teams this season Leicester look the more organised and settled side.

Both teams enter this game on the back of two straight losses and will be looking to bounce back but with home advantage and it is Leicester for me that will get the win against a team with a generally poor away record.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Stuttgart are in awful form and I see that continuing today.

Hoffenheim are not exactly flying at the moment but they have better recent form than Stuttgart and do have home advantage and that is significant.

Stuttgart lost their last game to high flying Dortmund 4-0 at home while Hoffenheim won away at Nurnberg 3-1 and it is almost a certainty that Hoffenheim will enter this game in far better confidence.

All things considered, I am going with a home win and for Hoffenheim to cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Levante are in brilliant form right now, they have won their last three games on the bounce culminating in a 2-1 win away at Real Madrid.

Leganes are winless in their last two La Liga games and their away record this season is poor with four losses and a draw and that draw was at Valencia who basically draw with everybody.

Levante has the form and home advantage and against a team with a terrible away record this season I am backing the home team to get the win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Watford finally got back to winning ways with a good away win at Wolves and remember Wolves had been on fire this season, it was a good result.

Huddersfield remains winless and second bottom and even though they have tightened up defensively they remain a poor team that will be relegated.

Watford, back winning and with home advantage to win this.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The odds on Fulham are very good value and I am backing them to get a home win over Bournemouth today.

Fulham have struggled this season for sure, they have just one win all season and have lost their last three on the bounce, they desperately need a win.

Bournemouth is doing very well so far this season and has had some great results, their recent form is superior to Fulham, however, they are susceptible to the occasional beating, especially against teams more or less on their level as the 4-0 loss to Burnley showed.

Fulham have been unlucky to some degree, they have an exciting team and it is only a matter of time before they get it together and I feel today is that day.

The value is definitely backing Fulham at home and that is what I will be doing.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Hannover to beat Augsburg at decent odds today.

Hannover have halted a run of bad results and are now two games unbeaten coming into this game and their performance away at Bayer Leverkusen in their last game was very impressive, they were down to 10 men for most of the second half and only a last minute goal from Leverkusen stopped Hannover from registering a brilliant away win.

Augsburg did well to hold Leipzig to a 0-0 draw but they were the home team and they are now two games without a win and on the road, they have lost two and drawn one of their last three games away.

Hannover have momentum now and with home advantage, I am backing them to get the win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This looks like a one-sided affair to me and I have the Pelicans being double-digit winners in this game.

Look at the stats, the Pelicans are averaging 132 points per game, their winning margins so far have been 7, 20 and 19, they are unbeaten and they are at home, everything is simply in their favour.

The Nets did well to hold the Cavaliers to just 86 points on Wednesday but that is not the norm for them, their defence is not that good and in the face of the Pelican offense I see them crumbling.

Pelicans -9 for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I just cannot see anything other than a comprehensive double-digit Warriors win tonight in New York.

The Knicks have been fortunate to beat the spread in their two home games this season and I just do not see that luck extending itself this evening, they are up against a Warrior side that has found its feet and Stephen Curry has hit excellent form just at the right time.

I know the Warriors have shown some vulnerabilities so far this season on the road but that will not continue and tonight, I am sure, we will see the Warriors play as they did against the Wizards and blow this Knicks outfit away.

Warriors -12

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There is definitely a case to make for the Hornets to get very quick revenge over the Bulls and win this one but it is a stretch for me to have them win by 10 or more points.

Chicago is a poor team for sure but they got their first win of the season on Wednesday against Charlotte and at the very least that will have given them belief that they can repeat that feat despite this game being on the road.

Of course, the Hornets will be looking for revenge and will go for the blow out here but the Bulls will be prepared for that and you cannot underestimate the phycological effects of Wednesday's game.

Charlotte to win but Chicago to cover the spread

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Borussia Monchengladbach wins this game they will go joint top of the Bundesliga so the incentive is definitely there for them, however, Freiburg will be no walkovers, they lost their first home game of the season but have since gone three home games unbeaten and over the last six Bundesliga games have lost just once.

I was tempted to back Borussia Monchengladbach but have hesitated because of Freiburg's current form and have instead decided that the best pick is to go over 2.75 goals.

Three of the last four games between these two have had at least three goals in them, seven of the eight Bundesliga games Borussia Monchengladbach have played this season have had at least three goals in them and four of Freiburg's eight Bundesliga games have gone over three goals.

Because of the stats and because Borussia Monchengladbach will go for the win despite being away from home and because Freiburg simply do not lie down at home I am very confident that this game will go over 2.75 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Texans have now gone four straight wins after losing their opening three games of the season and will attempt to make that five wins on the trot against the Dolphins.

Houston are clear favourites and it is hard to see them losing, however, I am not sure they will beat the spread despite having home advantage.

I am expecting a big game from the Miami quarterback Brock Osweiler, he had a disastrous time with the Texans and has a big point to prove and he will be absolutely determined to do just that and that is why I am not sure the Texans will cover the spread.

I feel the over is far more likely, Miami will put points up on the board and I see them getting at least 20 points and at the same time I do see the Texans winning and that makes me confident that the combined score will be in excess of 44 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking the Celtics to get the better of the Thunder this evening.

Oklahoma City Thunder has home advantage and Russell Westbrook but that will not be enough for them to stop Boston, they simply are not shooting well enough and defensively they have been distinctly average.

Boston needs to bounce back from their defeat to the Magic and the Thunder is the perfect candidate for them to do just that, I simply do not see them having such a poor game twice, not against this sort of opposition.

Take the Celtics -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A massive game between two great teams in good form and I am going with Dortmund to scrape the win.

Dortmund just keep on winning at the moment, they have won five in a row now and some of those wins have been by large margins including their very latest game 4-0 away to Stuttgart, they play in front of huge crowds and tonight they will enter this game full of confidence in an electric atmosphere.

Atletico Madrid are a brilliant side, they have world class players throughout their team and can match any team on the planet home or away, they have slipped up recently with the odd draw and loss but generally speaking are in good form and enter this game on the back of an eight-game unbeaten run.

The difference for me in this one is the home advantage and the slightly better form of Dortmund, it will make a difference, both sides are evenly matched but Dortmund is just playing a little better right now.

Take Dortmund for a close win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams having very different seasons domestically with Galatasaray top of the Turkish league while Schalke languishes 16th in the Bundesliga.

Schalke are one point ahead of Galatasaray in the standings in group D in the Champions League however they are facing a team almost unbeatable at home in competitive football and that for me is the difference between these teams tonight.

Galatasaray beat Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 last time they were at home in this competition and while I do not see a repeat of that today I do see them beating Schalke who are simply not in the best form right now,

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSG are on fire, their only loss this season was away at Liverpool and they have a 100% record in France, they have world class players throughout and I just cannot see Napoli staying with them till the end.

Napoli are doing ok in Italy, they are in their customary second spot behind Juventus, they are on a three-game winning run in all competitions and will enter this game in good confidence but the brutal truth is that away to PSG is just one game too big for them, in fact, I struggle to think of any team in world football that will win at PSG.

I fully expect PSG to win this game by a couple of goals, they are just too good, their form is excellent and they are at home.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is very unlikely either of these two will be qualifying for the next stage but for either of them to have any hope they will need to get the win today which will dictate how they approach this game tonight.

Monaco are in awful form and despite getting a new manager things do not appear to have changed too much though there are some excuses for Thierry Henry first game in charge ending in a defeat.

Bruge are second in the league in Belgium and so domestically are doing much better than Monaco but their most recent form has not been great.

Bruge have home advantage, Monaco has the better players, Bruge are doing better domestically and so the respective advantages sort of cancel each other out.

Because of the nature of this game and the desperation for a win for both sides I see there being goals and see there being at least 3 in this game.

Take over 2.75 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Tottenham and I am confident that they will emerge the winners today.

PSV are great domestically, they have won 9 from 9 in the Dutch league, their only defeats this season have been in the Champions League.

Tottenham are playing well at the moment though nowhere near as good as they have been, they have been scraping wins and do have some injury issues, however, they are still a top side, they were very unlucky to lose against Inter Milan in their opening champions league game and while they did deserve to lose to Barcelona they were competitive and were undone by a beautiful performance from a single player, Lionel Messi.

The bottom line here is that Tottenham are a better team than PSV and as long as they play to their level they will win, I believe they will be determined and while PSV will be as well the fact is that quality will tell come the end of the game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Pelicans have started the season in imperious form, they are hot right now, their offense is firing on all cylinders and in front of their home fans, I see them winning this one and covering the spread.

The Clippers have won two straight right now but they will really struggle to make that three wins tonight, they simply do not have the quality to contain the Pelicans and slowly but surely they will crumble in the face of the Pelicans offense.

Take the Pelicans -6.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking the 76ers to get the better of the Pistons tonight.

This will be a close run thing, the Pistons are flying right now but the 76ers have been the better side for the last two seasons and overall have the slightly better team which will be enough for them to overcome the Pistons even with home advantage,

Take Philadelphia -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and even though United have struggled at times this season they do tend to raise their game against top opposition as they showed at the weekend against Chelsea.

Juventus dominate Italian football and are an elite team, however, the Italian league is not as strong as the other top leagues in my opinion, this was shown last season when Juventus were fortuante to scrape past Tottenham in this competition.

Of course, Juventus are quality and one of the best teams in Europe but they are beatable and they are up against a team that is capable of matching them, as long as United are in the mood that is.

I fully expect Jose Mourinho to have his team primed for this game and to have a real go at Juventus and with home advantage, they are definitely the value pick on the spread.

Take United +0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After Lyon beat Man City I thought they would really kick on but they have not, in fact, they have been a great disappointment and I see them losing this game against Hoffenheim today.

Hoffenheim did go through a sticky patch losing three straight at home but in fairness that was against Man City, Leipzig and Frankfurt and City and Leipzig are top teams in their respective leagues and Frankfurt are above Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga but disappointing results nonetheless.

Hoffenheim, however, has bounced back just in time for this game and do enter this clash with their confidence somewhat restored.

The same can be said of Lyon, they won their last game and that came after a 5-0 humbling at PSG but overall they have been poor over the last month, drawing at home to Shakhtar and Nantes prior to that PSG defeat.

Having watched both these teams this season and in recent weeks I have far more confidence that the home side will win, their defence looks more organised and that could easily be the difference tonight.

Take Hoffenheim -0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking Young Boys not to lose this game and cover the spread.

I was tempted to back the Swiss side outright but have decided to take the far less risky option of backing them +0.25.

Young Boys top the Swiss league, they lost their last home game against Luzerne but prior to that had gone 21 games unbeaten at home in the Super League, however, they were humbled by Man Utd 3-0 but that as a unique performance from United, they actually played well.

Recent Young Boys home results have included 7-1. 5-2. 4-0 wins and that is just within the last few weeks, the bottom line is that Young Boys are very solid at home.

Valencia just draw, that is basically all they do, they lost to Juventus in this competition and then went to Man Utd and drew, in La Liga they have drawn an incredible 7 of 9 games, they basically struggle to win games and in both the League and in Europe they have a single win to their name all season.

All things considered, I am taking Young Boys on the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I really struggle to make any sort of case for the Giants and will be backing the Falcons to get the win and cover the spread.

The Giants are 1-5 for a reason, they are not that good, four of those losses have been by 5 points or more and confidence in Eli Manning is at a low and that is not just from the fans but also his teammates.

New York was hammered against the Eagles and the truth is that result was not a huge surprise, they seem unable to defend at the moment having conceded over 30 points in their last three games.

The Falcons have their own issues for sure, they have injuries, they have also been conceding points at will, however, their offense has at least put up some effort scoring over 30 points in four of their last five games.

The Falcons offense will relish playing this Giants defence and if they can tighten up defensively they will win this one comfortably.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big test for the Pacers to transfer their home performance into a winning road performance and I am backing them to do just that.

Indiana took a beating against the Bucks the last time they were on the road but bounced back in style on their home court beating the Nets 132-112 and if they can reproduce that against the Wolves they will go very close to an outright win.

The Wolves are hit and miss right now and they will be looking to bounce back from their defeat to Dallas, they have undoubted potential but are lacking that cutting edge right now and I see them coming up short against the Pacers tonight. 

Pacers +2.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This has all the hallmarks of a high scoring game and I am confident we will see over 224 points in this one.

The Raptors are deserved favourites, they are 3-0 and on fire, but whether they will cover the spread I am not sure but I do see them racking up the points.

The Hornets are on a two-game winning streak and have scored a minimum of 112 points in every game this season and if they continue scoring to that degree then they will easily contribute to the total tonight going over 224 points.

Take over 224 points

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Arsenal is on a nine-game unbeaten run in all competition, they are absolutely flying at the moment and a win tonight will see them go back into the top four.

The Gunners started the season off losing two games on the bounce against Man City and Chelsea, however, since then they have been irrepressible, the opposition may not have been the best but all they can do is beat what is put in front of them and Leicester City certainly fall into the category of team that Arsenal have been beating.

Leicester City has been fairly pedestrian this season and are now firmly a mid-table team, they are competitive to some degree and have had a couple of away wins but when it comes to the bigger teams these days, they lose and I see that happening this evening.

With the Arsenal frontline on fire, I am confident they will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sassuolo have been fairly decent this term, they are eighth in the standings just one point behind fifth-placed Sampdoria but the wheels have come off slightly with two consecutive losses against Napoli and AC Milan and they are not the best team on the road, though they have had some challenging games already this season against the better sides in Italy.

Sampdoria have a mixed home record this season, they have won twice, drawn one and lost one, though that loss was against third-placed Inter Milan, they did beat Napoli 3-0 and generally speaking are a hard team to get the better of when at home.

This will be a tight game but I expect Sampdoria to come out on top, they do have home advantage, they have won their last two games on the bounce, they have the momentum and confidence is high.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Rockets to win for the second game in a row in Los Angeles.

This will be a close game but the Rockets were boosted with their impressive win over the Lakers and showed us what they really are capable of. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

You have to think that the loss against the Patriots last week and the toughness of that game will have had an impact on the Chiefs, especially their defence and that may well give the Bengals more opportunities than usual.

The Bengals are no walkovers, they are deservedly 4-2 and will be looking to bounce back with immediate effect from their loss to the Steelers last week, they are more than capable of scoring well against the Chiefs.

The Chiefs will probably win, they have home field advantage but I just was not sure on the spreads as I do see the Bengals getting a few TD's themselves and this game just screams high score to me due to the background and context of this matchup.

All things considered, I am going for a high scoring game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This Warriors team is something special, they showed that against the Jazz and despite the fact that the Nuggets have home advantage and will be competitive I just cannot see them being within 5 points of this Warriors team tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one is too big for me, I do expect the Thunder to win but not by double digits and therefore I am backing the Kings +10.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dallas absolutely mauled Jacksonville last week and will be looking to register two wins on the bounce for the first time this season and I am confident they will do just that.

The Cowboys have been inconsistent, they win, they lose, they win, they lose, that has to stop and on the back of such a comprehensive win last week they must be confident they can beat that win lose cycle.

The Redskins are exactly the same, winning then losing and they had a decent win over Carolina last week but that win was not nearly as impressive as the Dallas win and I see them struggling to contain the resurgent Dallas offense tonight.

Dallas -1 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I just cannot see the 49ers being able to stop the Rams offense and expect them to lose by at least 10 tonight.

The Rams are formidable, they are the best team in the NFL right now and they are going up against a team that does not possess nearly a good enough defence.

The 49ers are on a four-game losing run and in each of those games they have allowed 28 points or more and none of those games was against an offense like what the Rams will field tonight, the Chiefs apart, and in that game, they conceded 38 points and lost by 11.

One way traffic for me and a comfortable Rams win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have the Saints winning this one outright and so getting +3 on the spreads is too good an opportunity to pass on.

This is a clash between the Saints offense and the Ravens defence more than anything else and while the Ravens defence is as good as it gets at the moment I am confident that the Saints will get some joy this evening.

Drew Brees is playing extremely well, the whole Saints outfit is full of confidence and they are deservedly one of the Superbowl contenders.

The Ravens will be competitive of course, they have home advantage and are looking towards a playoff spot themselves but they are over-reliant on their defence and that will not be enough if their offense does not produce.

The Saints for me on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Real Betis are in decent form, especially at home, they did lose their first home game this season but have since won twice and drawn in front of their home fans, they lost last time out away at Atletico Madrid but before that had gone six games unbeaten.

Real Valladolid are doing good as well, they are on a three-game winning streak and unbeaten in their last four games overall, they are unbeaten away and have drawn three of their last four away games.

All things considered, the draw looks the best value here and would probably suit both teams.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game in Milan today and I am going with Inter Milan to get the win against their bitter local rivals.

Both teams are in good form, Inter Milan have won four in a row in Serie A, they are third in the standings and will close to within two points of Napoli in second place with a win.

AC Milan has played one game less than Inter and sit four points behind their opponents, they have won their last two games on the bounce and since their opening game loss away at Napoli they have gone unbeaten.

So, there you have it, two teams in good form, both have momentum and both are highly confident and it must be noted that while Inter is nominally the home team both these sides play in the same stadium and so to some extent that home advantage is negated.

It is hard to split these two teams and therefore I am happy to go with the draw as the most likely outcome.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Despite getting a couple of wins the Bills are a poor side and their offense, in particular, is awful and while the Colts are 1-5 and actually have a worse record than the Bills they are the better side and I expect that to show Sunday.

The Colts have been a little unlucky and are better than their record suggests and even though they are struggling to get a win their offense is superior to that of the Bills.

This game is all about the respective offenses for me and I just cannot see the Bills being competitive.

Take the Colts -7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two inconsistent teams that on their day can match almost any other team and by the same token can also lose to any team, to say they both are frustrating is an understatement.

The difference in this game for me is that the Panthers are not a good road team this season losing to both Washington and Atlanta and I see a repeat of that today.

The Eagles have been slightly unlucky this season and with Wentz getting better and better I expect them to win this one by at least 6 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars were so poor last week it left me speechless and I have lost all confidence in them at this moment in time.

Houston, on the other hand, is on fire right now, they are going for their fourth straight win in a row and even though the Jaguars have the home advantage I am taking the Texans to win this one outright and so receiving 4 points on the spreads in simply a gift.

Take Houston +4

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This one could go either way as both teams are more than capable of racking up the points.

Both quarterbacks are having good seasons within the context of their positions and while the Jets are suffering some crucial injuries right now they do have home advantage which to some degree will even this game out a little.

I was tempted to back the Vikings but the Over market is far more appealing as I do see both teams getting excess of 20 points comfortably.

Take over 45 points

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Patriots have lost both their road games this season and not just lost them, been thoroughly outplayed, however, they are starting to get into their rhythm now and the idea that they will lose every road game is simply folly, they will not and even though the Bears have been having a good season themselves they will have to be at their very best if they are to stop the Patriots today.

I expect to see a vastly improved road performance from the Patriots and following their massive confidence-boosting win over the Chiefs I see them winning this one by at least 5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Browns are massively improved this season, they could easily be 5-1 and the loss last week against the Chargers is no disgrace considering the form that the Chargers are in.

The Bucs have gone backwards, they are now on a three-game losing streak after opening the season with two brilliant wins and confidence seems to be an issue.

I expect a close game and with the Browns receiving +3.5 they are the value pick.

Stake - 1pt