All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is the second leg of the Europa League play-off in Holland and Heerenveen lead 4-3 from the first game.

Heerenveen really blew this, they had a 3-0 lead early on in the first leg and ended up needing a goal in the last five minutes to get the win, they will regret blowing such a lead.

Utrecht, even though they lost the first game, will come into this game the happier of the two sides, they know they have been given a second chance here and will confident that on their home turf that they will get the win.

Utrecht are on a 14 game unbeaten run at home and have turned their home stadium into a fortress with just one loss there all season long, they beat Heerenveen 3-1 earlier in the season at home and have won the last three meetings between these two sides when played in Utrecht.

I cannot see anything other than a home win here.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Middlesbrough to get a crucial home win in this Champions play-off semi-final first leg against Aston Villa,

Middlesbrough finished the season off in splendid form and at home have won seven of their last eight league games and that only home loss was against the champions Wolves.

Villa stumbled slightly as the season came to a close but not significantly but they did look tired and their away record has been patchy at best with three losses in their last five away games.

All things considered, I am confident that Middlesbrough will be too strong at home for the visitors, they have the better current form and their home record is superior to Villa's away record by some margin.

I have taken the safety first route in this game and backed Middlesbrough on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Brann looks like a good thing and while I would have prefered a higher price they still represent value.

Brann sits on top of the table with seven wins and one draw from their eight games to date, whereas Start sits rock bottom with just one win and one draw from their opening eight games.

Brann have won their last three away games on the bounce while Start has lost their last three home games conceding a mammoth 11 goals.

Unless there is a dramatic turnaround in form this looks like a win all day long for Brann.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My early day Saturday pick comes from Sweden and it is for Sundsvall to beat Brommapojkarna.

The season is still quite early in Sweden, however, a pattern is already developing with these two sides.

Sundsvall are unbeaten at home so far, they started off with two draws but have now won two on the bounce in front of their home fans.

Brommapojkarna have lost three straight on the road, conceding nine and scoring just twice and while those defeats have been against better sides a rut has still set in.

All things considered, a home win looks the logical pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolfsburg needs just a point to basically avoid relegation but with home advantage and against the bottom side Koln, who have already been relegated, I expect them to go full out for the win and a good win at that.

Koln have nothing at all to play for and while they will be competitive they are a poor side and with the atmosphere from the home fans today I cannot see them getting anything from this game at all.

All things considered, I am confident that Wolfsburg will win to ensure their Bundesliga presence for next season and to win comfortably. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is the first leg in the Championship play-off semi-finals and both sides will be looking to gain an edge ahead of the second leg.

The home advantage is with Derby, however, they did lose at home to Fulham just a couple of months ago and that will give a mental edge to Fulham and so in terms of advantage they are probably equal.

But I am going with Derby to win, they were in the middle of a very rough patch when they lost to Fulham and have since improved finishing off the season in fine form.

Fulham cannot be dismissed of course and do have a good chance but at this stage of the season and with the magnitude of this game I believe that home advantage is very important.

Derby to win

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Columbus in this one and see them winning by a couple of goals.

Philadelphia are not in good form, they have lost all three away games this season without scoring a single goal and conceding eight times, they have won just twice in the league from eight games, both home games.

Columbus have won three of their five home games, losing just once and they come into this game unbeaten in their last three games, albeit two were draws.

Considering the poor form of Philadelphia and the half decent home form of Columbus I do expect the home side to win and to win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am prepared to give Tottenham one more chance to show their quality.

They have wobbled in recent weeks but back at home, against a Newcastle team not in the best form, I do expect Spurs to win handily.

Tottenham won their last home game 2-0 against Watford in what can be best described a scrappy affair and in front of their own fans, I do expect them to perform better than they did in the 1-0 away loss to West Brom.

Newcastle have nothing to play for and are a limited team, whereas Tottenham has to win otherwise they run the risk of missing out on a top-four spot and with the new Stadium set to open next season missing out on Champions League football is unthinkable.

The spread is high but it is well within Tottenham's range as long as they play to form.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going for a draw in this Europa League semi-final first leg playoff.

This will be a cagey affair, Heerenveen will look to utilise their home advantage and get the win ahead of the return game in Utrecht but their recent home form does not fill one with confidence.

They have lost their last two games and at home, they have drawn two of their last four games.

Utrecht are not in the greatest of form either, they have recorded just the one win in their last seven games, though that win was in their last match, so at least they come into this game on the back of a win, they have also drawn two of their last four away games and will be happy if they come away from this game with at least a draw.

All things considered, I am of the opinion that the draw is the most likely outcome.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a huge game for both teams and could very well decide who is relegated and who stays in the Premier League.

A win for Southampton means they are basically safe because of their superior goal difference, a win for Swansea means that they will be three points ahead of Southampton with just one game to play, a draw leaves them both in a very precarious position for the final day of the season at the weekend, so you can see how important a win is for either team with a loss being nothing short of a disaster.

Nerves will play a part but you can still be certain that both teams will go for goals, they know how priceless a goal will be and as soon as one team scores I fully expect the opposition to go all out for an equaliser, this is not a game where either team will play for a draw and it is a game that will change dramatically once a goal is scored.

The statistics do make a case for a low scoring game but the circumstances of this game change everything and the stats can be ignored for the most part.

I cannot make a case for either team or a draw simply because it would be guesswork at this stage of the season, but the case for goals is very strong and I will be going for overs in a big way.

This is one of my biggest bets of the season and I have the safety net that if there are just two goals I get my stakes returned, but I am very confident that two goals is the absolute minimum I expect to see.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Rio Ave have absolutely nothing to play for, they cannot make Europe next season and will simply be going through the motions today.

They also are a very poor away team, they have lost their last seven away games in a row scoring just three times in those seven games and conceding 22.

Pacos are in deep trouble, they are just above the relegation zone on goal difference, however, they are fighting for their lives and at home they do not have such a bad record, they did lose 5-1 recently but just before that bad result they beat Porto 1-0 and overall their home record is far better than the away record of Rio Ave.

A win for Pacos will not guarantee them safety but it will give them a massive chance with just one game remaining after this one.

All things considered, I am going with Pacos to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

El Classico and no matter the circumstances this is always a huge game and there are good reasons to see this game being a high goal scoring affair.

Barcelona wants to be the first team in La Liga to go the entire season unbeaten and the only team that can stop them now, in reality, is Real Madrid.

By the same token Real Madrid do not want Barcelona going unbeaten through the entire league season and will be determined to stop them.

Barcelona does have home advantage, however, Real Madrid has tended to be better against the big teams this season when they have been away, just look at the results against Bayern Munich and Juventus in the Champions League.

I do actually think that Barcelona will win, however, the odds are too low and not for me but I also see there being goals, the mentality of both these teams when they play each other is to try and bury their opponents, they both love winning by decent margins and I expect Barcelona to take that view today.

I also expect Real Madrid to play extensive counter-attacking football and with the players they have are always capable of scoring a couple of goals against any team on the planet.

I see at least four goals in this game and would not be surprised to see something like 3-1 or 2-2 or 4-2 etc.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Very important game for both sides, if Chelsea loses then their chances of making next seasons top four are greatly reduced and probably over with.

If Liverpool were to lose then they themselves would run a huge risk of finishing outside the top four and while they do have a fallback position of being in the Champions League final they also could lose out on playing in next seasons Champions League.

Both teams do have a defensive vulnerability and with so much at stake, I am very confident that we will see a see-saw game with goals galore.

It should also be noted that in big games Liverpool tends to be involved in high scoring games as results against Roma, Man City, Tottenham etc have shown this season.

All things considered, I am backing over 2.3/4 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Interesting game this, Burnley would love to overhaul Arsenal for 6th place but at the same time their participation in Europe next season has been confirmed and so it must be questioned how strong their motivation really is.

Arsenal are playing their final home game under departing manager Arsene Wenger and the atmosphere with the crowd will be passionate and the players will want to send their manager off with a convincing win.

Arsenal are a lot better at home than away this season and while Burnley has done well they are far from being as strong on the road as they are at home.

Everything is in Arsenals favour to get a strong win today and that is what I expect to see happen.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Napoli has to win it is as simple as that if they do not then Juventus will be crowned champions of Italy.

Torino has nothing to play for at all, they are mid-table and cannot make Europe or be relegated.

You can forget last weeks result for Napoli when they lost 3-0, they lost a man to a red card early on and the result reflected that.

With home advantage, massive motivation and playing a team with nothing to play for then I am convinced that Napoli will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Tottenham win today.

West Brom will more than likely be relegated this weekend and even if they somehow won this game they could still be relegated and there is a reason they are in this situation, it is because they are a very poor team.

West Brom have won just twice at home all season and while they have improved recently with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last four games, home and away, they remain a poor side that are very vulnerable to a beating and against a team like Tottenham I see that happening today.

Tottenham themselves are vulnerable at the end of the season but they are playing to finish at least third in the table, they do not want to have to play a qualifying game in next seasons Champions League and they got back on track with a scrappy 2-0 win over Watford in their last game.

If Tottenham plays how they have been doing all season they will win this game, West Brom are simply not good enough to withstand them for 90 minutes and for me, it was just a question of how many goals they will win by.

If Tottenham score first, as I expect them to, then I can see West Brom folding like a pack of cards, they need to keep Tottenham at bay for as long as they can and hope to sneak a goal, if they try and attack Tottenham they will get punished, their best hope is to employ rope a dope but I just do not see that working for them, the gulf in quality between the two sides is just too big.

Take Tottenham -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Frankfurt are just one point behind Leipzig and must win to keep their hopes of making the Europa League next season alive.

Hamburg are second bottom and must win if they are to have any chance of avoiding relegation, a loss today means they are relegated.

So both teams have massive reasons for going al out for the win, if either team goes behind then they will throw caution to the wind and go all out attack.

The circumstances of this game scream goals and I am going over 2.5 goals for that very reason.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Early day pick

Critical game for both teams, especially Stoke City.

Stoke must win as simple as that if they do not then they will be relegated today, a draw would not do them any good either, there is no ifs or buts here, they simply must win and that will determine their mental approach to this game.

Palace are more or less save but and a win will make them mathematically safe.

This is a game that will see both teams go flat out for goals because of the circumstances, it will become like a cup fixture and I find it very difficult to see this game being a low scoring affair, if it was mid-season then yes, but it is not.

All things considered, I am going for over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Sevilla to get a positive result today in La Liga.

Sevilla recent form has dipped dramatically, however, they still have an outside chance of making the Europa League and their last two home games have seen credible results, including a 2-2 draw with Barcelona.

Real Sociedad have been in much better form, this is probably because they have no pressure on them, they cannot be relegated and they cannot make it into Europe, however, their away form has not been so great with just one win, against second-bottom Las Palmas, in their last 13 away games.

I would have felt better if Sevilla recent form had been better but they have the motivation and home advantage and I am confident that will be enough to drive them to victory.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool lead this game 5-2 from the first leg and that will play a huge part in the mentality of both teams.

Roma have zero choice but to attack and will be hoping for the same sort of performance that they put in when they defeated Barcelona in the previous round and Liverpool will be fully aware what Roma can do if allowed to dominate.

If Liverpool score just once then Roma would need to score four times, an unlikely scenario and that will be one of the major objectives for the Reds, to score at least once.

Liverpool know they will have to defend for a large part of the game, they will be happy to lose this game 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1 and so on and will not be looking for a win, they will be looking to avoid a big defeat.

Bottom line is that I do expect Roma to win but not to qualify.

Backing Roma at scratch is the most sensible option, I cannot see them losing but I want the safety net of a draw with stakes returned because of the danger of Liverpool counter-attacking.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Werder Bremen have absolutely nothing to play for, they cannot make Europe, they cannot be relegated, this is winding down time for these players with either the World Cup or holidays on the players minds, that does not mean they will not be up for this game but they will lack motivation for sure.

Dortmund, on the other hand, do have something to play for, they have a Champions League spot up for grabs, they are n pole position but a loss or even a draw could be harmful and even if they do manage to qualify they do not want to qualify in 4th spot and be forced to play a qualification game prior to the group stage next season.

Dortmund will be focused and motivated, they will go for the win and I struggle to find any decent reason why they will not collect all three points today and almost certainly ensure their Champions League spot for next season.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win, they will be absolutely focused on collecting all three points, yes, Fiorentina will be at home and still have hopes of making the Europa League places but they are up against a team going for the title who have huge momentum and who are in great form.

I would have liked a lower spread for sure but as I am starting from a point that I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win then it is just a case of how many will they win by.

If, as I fully expect, Napoli win then the worse case scenario is stakes returned but I am confident that Napoli will show their class and superiority today and win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper Man Utd should win this game, they have done very well at home against the top 6 sides, losing just the once and they certainly will be up for this game.

But it must be remembered that United lost at home to West Brom last week and have drawn against Burnley and Southampton this season on their own turf, point being is that they are not unbeatable at Old Trafford.

Arsenal have been very poor on the road this season and that is why we have such huge odds on the Gunners winning this game but they are still a top-class team, they are still more than capable of winning this game if they can get their act together, this is not a case of David v Goliath.

Additionally this is Arsene Wenger's last visit to United and the players are aware of that, there will be some emotion in this game and with the Europa League second leg coming up on Thursday there will be Arsenal players that will want to put in a good performance to further their chances of being played in that game.

Also, the Europa League game is not for 5 days and so there is no need for Wenger to play a weakened team.

United are clearly the favourites but the odds on Arsenal are ridiculous, they are far too high and the value is definitely with them, this is a game they can win, they have the motivation and from a value point of view, they simply cannot be ignored.

Based on the value I am going for Arsenal to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The stats for this game point to it being under 2.5 goals but the circumstances point to the exact opposite.

The bottom line is this, a draw is useless for both sides and a loss is a disaster.

These two teams are in the bottom three and facing relegation, a win and it would really boost their hopes of survival, it does not guarantee survival, far from it, but it would provide hope and momentum.

I expect both teams to go flat out for the win and as soon as a goal goes in the game will really open up, it will be cagey to start off with as nerves will lay a part but that will not last long and a free-flowing attacking game is what I fully expect to see.

The odds are decent on ver 2.5 goals and I will be taking advantage.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a game that both sides need points from, certainly Crotone and while I do expect a hesitant start from both teams I do expect the game to open up as the game progresses.

Crotone are just two points above the relegation zone and they will not get many better chances to get three points as the season comes to a close, they are at home and if they fail to take advantage of that today they could be in serious trouble.

Sassuolo are in a much better position, a win for them will almost certainly guarantee them safety and a draw will do them the world of good as well but a loss will make for a nervy end of season, they probably are safe but they will want to guarantee that and will play to avoid a loss as much as possible.

With Crotone almost certain to be attacking I am confident they will score, once they do the game will open up and that is when I expect to see goals.

Two goals guarantees stakes returned and I am very confident that will happen and in my opinion, it is highly likely that we will see at least three goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After their home loss against Napoli Juventus must win this game or they could see the title slip from their grasp, however, they face a tough Inter side who also have a huge prize to play for.

Inter have a great chance still of making next season Champions League, a loss or even a draw would seriously damage their chances and just as Juventus will go for a win, so will Inter.

A draw is acceptable but barely, both sides will want all three points and I have very good reason to be confident that Inter will emerge the winners.

For starters, Juventus have stumbled in recent weeks, losing at home to Napoli was huge and that came after the heartbreaking loss in the champions league away at Real Madrid, a win over Sampdoria and a very disappointing draw against Crotone.

Inter have the home advantage where they have lost just once all season and won four of their last five home games.

Inter are buoyant at the moment, they want champions league football and against a slightly damaged Juventus side and with home advantage I am going with Inter today to either win or at worst draw.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams still need points to achieve their end of season ambitions, however, the chances are that Brighton will not be relegated and that Burnley are almost certain to qualify for next seasons Europa League.

But until their respective positions are confirmed mathematically both teams will go full out for the points.

Burnley have done very well this season, they are quite decent at home and while they have lost more often on their home ground this season, it has tended to be against the best teams in the league.

Brighton have been very poor away this season and just because they are desperate for points does not mean that all of a sudden they will improve on the road.

I cannot see anything other than a Burnley win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massive game for both sides, if Burton does not win they may be relegated today if they win they would jump out of the relegation spots and be replaced by Bolton.

A draw would not be the end of the world but it would be better for Bolton, though if Barnsley wins then a draw would also see Bolton join Burton in the relegation zone.

It is all a little complicated but the bottom line is that both sides are desperate for the points, both are fighting for their Championship lives and both simply cannot lose.

With so much pressure and so much at stake and the regularity that these teams have drawn this season the most likely outcome is another draw in my judgement.

Back the draw.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams fighting for Bundesliga survival and it is Wolfsburg that have all the advantages coming into this game.

If Wolfsburg wins then Hamburg could be relegated this weekend depending on other results if Hamburg was to win then Wolfsburg could see themselves heading towards a relegation playoff at lightning speed.

Wolfsburg has home advantage, they know a win will make them more or less safe, though not quite mathematically and they also know that a draw may not be good enough.

Points are now at a premium and with so much at stake, I cannot see the home side throwing away this golden opportunity to take a huge step towards safety.

All things considered, I am going with a Wolfsburg win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Club Brugge are set to win the title have been the best team in Belgium this season but their recent away form has been poor and there is good reason to back Genk to get the win today.

Genk have won four of their last five home games and against quality opponents, whereas Brugge have won just once on the road from their last eight games, losing four and drawing three.

Both teams will want the points for differing reasons but I cannot ignore the disparity in recent home and away form respectively and am backing Genk to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and home advantage will be key to which team progresses to the Champions League final.

Both these teams are world class and it is a very fine line that separates them, however, based on what I have seen this season it is Bayern Munich that I feel is the better side and the most likely to reach the final.

I have high confidence that the German champions will win at home, Real Madrid have not had the best time on the road against top sides this season, yes, they did beat Juventus in Italy in the last round but we all saw what happened in Madrid in the return leg.

A lot will depend on how Ronaldo performs for sure and while he can still put in the occasional great performance, he does lack the consistency of old.

Real have had an average season by their very own high standards, they will not be winning the Spanish title and may even end up fourth, they are there for the taking and Bayern are more than good enough to hand them a defeat tonight.

All things considered, I am very confident that Bayern will win tonight. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolfsburg are in desperate trouble and need to win this game otherwise their chances of staying in the Bundesliga will be severely damaged.

Their opponents are also not safe but are in a slightly better position and would more than likely be happy with a point.

And that is how I see this game going, I expect Wolfsburg to come out all guns blazing in front of their home fans, while Augsburg will be looking to defend more than attack.

Neither team can look to recent form for encouragement, this is now about attitude and survival and with home advantage and in a more desperate position I expect Wolfsburg to put in the right performance and win.

Wolfsburg -0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Despite having an average season by their standards, Arsenal should still be able to take care of a very poor Southampton team.

Southampton are third bottom and in very real danger of being relegated, they have lost their last two away games 3-0 against mediocre opposition and they face yet another comprehensive defeat.

Arsenal have only really dropped points against their fellow top six sides at home this season, when it comes to teams near the bottom they tend to knock the goals in with relative ease.

We have two teams that are the polar opposite in terms of ability and I fully expect that Arsenal will win this game and win it by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Another huge Premier League game, however, that does not mean it will be close, not with Man City playing.

The gap between Man City and the rest of the clubs in England is huge, they are by far the best team and with home advantage, I cannot see anything other than a clear home win.

Chelsea, of course, is a class team but they are not in great form, they are a limited side and their record this season away from home against fellow top sides has been poor.

City to win this game and by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team is in great form and if I had to choose one of these teams as the one in the better form it would be Everton but only just.

Both sides are mid-table outfits and their results have shown that this season but both sides will be looking to get some momentum building and will see this game as the exact sort of game they can win and that is why I am going for over 2.5 goals.

Both sides will believe they will score and I agree with that and I also see one of them scoring at least twice.

I cannot pick a winner, it would be like a toss of the coin but I am very confident that we will see at least 3 goals, this game is all set up for just such a scenario.

Take over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Last time out Bournemouth got humbled 4-1 away to Huddersfield and Newcastle registered a fine 1-0 win over Man Utd and so it would be easy to look at Newcastle as the value pick here but I do not see it like that.

Bournemouth was in great form before that loss to Huddersfield and back at home, I expect them to bounce back from that defeat. Newcastle did well against United but the truth is that Man Utd did not perform at all that day and the result does flatter Newcastle somewhat.

I am backing Bournemouth at home against a poor away side

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Southampton has been in good form recently, whereas Burnley has not, however, I am backing Burnley to get back to winning ways at home today.

Burnley have lost at home regularly recently, however, those losses have been against the very best in the Premier League and last time out in front of their own fans they held Man City 1-1. The losses against Arsenal, Tottenham, Man Utd and Liverpool have been their only defeats in their last 12 home games.

Southampton has won just once in their last 10 away games and even though they are in good overall form it is still never easy to go to Burnley and take anything from the game unless you are a top side and Southampton are not a top side.

All things considered, I am convinced that Burnley at home will beat Southampton.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These two teams are in deep relegation trouble and both will be desperate for the points.

Troyes are conservative at home in terms of scoring goals but that is mainly because they are looking to defend most of the time, that will not be the case tonight.

Metz on the road tend to feature in games with goals in them, 4 of their last 5 away games have had at least 4 goals in them and their last away game had no less than 9 goals.

This game has all the ingredients for goals.

Take over 2,5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Montpellier to get the win tonight.

They have home advantage, they have lost just once in their last seven at home and have won their last two home games.

Guingamp have not been so bad away from home recently in Ligue 1, they have lost just once in their last five, but previous to that they had lost nine of ten and overall their form is not what you would regard as solid on the road.

Take Montpellier -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides and in the recent past this would have been a banker for Juventus, but not now, not against this Tottenham side.

This is the same Tottenham side that put both Dortmund and Real Madrid to the sword, the same Tottenham side that has just beaten Arsenal and Man Utd and drawn at Liverpool, this is a top class side that will not be overawed by a visit to Turin.

Juventus is, of course, a brilliant team and have home advantage but they are not as strong as they once were, they are not running away with Serie A like they have been doing and have suffered some surprising defeats this season and if they are not at their supreme best they will lose this game.

I am more confident that Tottenham will either draw or win than I am by a Juventus win and therefore I am taking Tottenham +0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Man City are probably the best club team in world soccer right now, only Barcelona and PSG can claim to be in the same category and with all due respect to Basel, they are not a top European team.

The spread on this game though is a little high, City will probably overcome it but I am not as confident as I am in City winning but Basel scoring.

City does let goals in, they did at home against Leicester City and their defence is their most vulnerable position and Basel do have home advantage.

The bottom line for me is that I do expect that there will be at least 3 goals and that would see stakes returned and the chances of there being more than 3 goals are higher than there being less.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon has a great chance to get all three points today, in their last 3 home games they have beaten both PSG and Marseille and have lost just the once in their last 13 home league games, they are in great form in front of their own fans and will be desperate to bounce back from two consecutive away losses.

Rennes are very average, they are bang in the middle of the table, they are inconsistent and while they do get some good away wins occasionally, they are always against teams below them in the standings.

If Lyon plays to form they will win and by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool are flying at the moment and scoring for fun but remain vulnerable at the back.

Southampton has finally found some form, they are unbeaten in their last four league games and have started to find their scoring boots.

This is a tricky game to call, Liverpool is the better side but Southampton has home advantage and is in good form.

Liverpool are deserved favourites but my confidence in them winning is not as strong as I would wish simply because Southampton is playing better than they have been.

I would not be surprised if we see a high scoring game and I do see there being at least 3 goals in this game, which would see stakes returned, however, I am far more confident that we will see at least 4 goals in this game then I am in picking an outright winner.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bournemouth is in good form at the moment and Huddersfield is not, however, Huddersfield does have home advantage and that will count for something today.

I struggle to see Huddersfield winning but at the same time, I am not overconfident that Bournemouth will win.

That said, I do see both teams scoring, I do not see this being a boring game, both sides will believe that they can get all three points and that is a recipe for an attacking game.

The market is set at Over 2 goals which makes this a very safe option as is reflected in the odds with 2 goals seeing stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Angers have won their last three home games in Ligue 1 but they were against side inferior to Monaco and I expect their home winning run to come to an end today.

Monaco have not been prolific on the road that is for sure but the 2-2 away draw at Marseille last time out will have done them the world of good and I see them kicking on from that result.

Class will tell and Moncao to win.

Monaco -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Anderlecht has been hit and miss this season but they are a top team in Belgium and have won five of their last seven away games.

Oostende is the third bottom team in the league has lost three of their last four home games and all things being equal are unlikely to get anything from this game.

Anderlecht -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Swansea is in form and with home advantage stand a very good chance of extending their recent unbeaten run.

The Swans last two home games saw them win over Liverpool and Arsenal and confidence must be high that they can extend that run today against a team that has not won in their last 6 away games.

Swansea is in frim and at home and Burnley are not in good form and that is the bottom line here.

Swansea win 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect a competitive game between these two sides today, both have been inconsistent recently, especially Everton and I simply cannot see both sides keeping clean sheets.

I have a feeling that Everton will win but would not be surprised if Palace nick the win either.

What I am certain of is that both sides will score at least once and that makes over 2.5 goals a high possibility and the odds make that the value pick for this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A tricky game this, Preston have been good on the road recently and are unbeaten in their last seven away games, they have beaten teams above and below them in the standings and come into this game full of confidence.

Brentford may have lost their last home game but they have lost just twice in their own backyard all season and will not be overcome easily.

Very difficult to pick a winner and an analysis of both these teams recent form points to goals in this game.

I see both sides scoring and would not be surprised if we end up with a 2-2 draw or something similar, in better words I expect both sides to score and at least one of them to score at least twice, if not both.

Over 2.5

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two sides in decent form but it is Derby I see emerging as the winners.

Norwich have been scrapping away wins recently but they are up against the team second in the league and I expect they will face a tough game today just to get the draw.

Derby has won four of their last six home games and are desperate to get momentum going so that they can remain in the second automatic promotion spot.

All things considered, I am going with Deby to scrape out the win.

Derby -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both sides have come back from the winter break in decent form, however, Frankfurt have home advantage and against the team at the bottom of the Bundesliga they should be winning this game and I fully expect them to do so.

Frankfurt -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Early morning pick and it is a huge one.

This is a top London derby between two very good teams, however, it is Tottenham that has the advantage and not just because they are playing at home.

Tottenham is in far better form than Arsenal, they come into this game on the back of two very good results, a win over Man Utd and a draw at Liverpool and confidence is very high.

Arsenal did bounce back to winning form but they are not as good as Tottenham these days and they are still bedding in new players.

Tottenham -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have backed the Eagles a lot this season and backed them to get to the Superbowl and I will not abandon them now.

New England, of course, are formidable and in Tom Brady, they have a living legend who is still very capable of brilliance but the Eagles are aware of this and I fully expect them to attempt to keep Brady on the sidelines for as long as possible throughout the game.

The Patriots may well win this but I believe it will be very close, I do not see them running away with it and I expect the Eagles to right there come the end of the game.

I would have prefered +6 but missed the boat on that line but am still happy to take +4.5

I will even go a little on an outright Eagles win but for this pick, it is Eagles +4.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides but it is Monaco I am backing to win.

Both teams are in great form but Lyon did lose their last game away at Bordeaux and Monaco do have home advantage and that is critical for me.

Lyon is strong away there is no hiding that fact but Monaco are formidable at home and only PSG have beaten them on their home turf.

This game will be great to watch but the edge has to be with Monaco.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have watched Charleroi recently and they are nowhere near as good as they were earlier in the season, they greatly disappointed me against both Eupen and Antwerp and neither of those sides is in the same class as Brugge.

Brugge beat Charleroi in the Belgium cup 5-1 just a couple of weeks back and while the league leaders have suffered two shocking defeats in their last 2 games they are now back at home and I expect them to bounce back to winning form and to win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game could go either way, both these sides are in great form and both have registered wins against fellow top sides, however, Tottenham does struggle against top 6 sides on the road but let's not forget the beating that they handed Liverpool earlier in the season.

If I had to pick a winner it would be Liverpool but Tottenham winning would not be a huge surprise either.

What I am confident in is that we will see goals, these two teams score at will when they are in the mood and they are both certainly in the mood at the moment.

Everything points to a goal feast and I am happy to go over 3 goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Palace has a great opportunity here to grab 3 points from fellow relegation fighters Newcastle United.

Palace have the better overall form recently and have been playing rather well at home losing just the once in their last 9 home Premier League games and that was 3-2 against Arsenal, they have beaten Chelsea and held Man City and it is going to be their home form that will be critical to their survival.

Newcastle have had 2 wins on the road recently but overall this season have been poor when travelling, they have had a hard run recently against top teams but before that, they were losing to mediocre sides and I see them struggling to get anything from this game today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Arsenal are at home and are favourites but recent results do not justify that clear favouritism, they have been playing very poorly and even though they bought well in the transfer window they did not buy were it was most needed, which is in defence.

Everton is getting better and in former Arsenal forward Theo Walcott they have a player that has hit the ground running and will be looking to get one over his old team.

Arsenal should win but I cannot see them winning easily and it would be a mistake to underestimate Everton.

Everton +1.5 is the value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There has been a mini-turnaround at Swansea with some very impressive results recently and while they are still very much in trouble confidence has grown and they look like a team that has finally found some belief.

Leicester have been plodding along nicely but they have some internal issues now and will obviously be without Mahrez today, which is significant.

The Foxes do have home advantage but I have more confidence in Swansea not losing than Leicester winning and so backing the Swans on the spread is the safest option.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bournemouth is in excellent form right now, they are unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League games and have beaten both Arsenal and Chelsea in that run and that win over Chelsea is as good as it gets, winning 3-0 at Chelsea.

Stoke City are very one dimensional and they are poor on the road, they have 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 5 away games and I cannot see them improving on that today.

Take Bournemouth to win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Derby County looks good to get a home win over Brentford today.

Derby are second in the table and they know they must do well at home if they are to maintain that position, they have drawn their last 2 home games and won 3 prior to that, they are strong at home and confidence will be high that they will get all 3 points today.

Brentford does present a danger but they are very inconsistent, especially on the road and their 11th position in the table shows that inconsistency.

If Derby play to form they will win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leeds are in poor form right now, they blow hot and cold and that is undermining their season, they can easily go on an unbeaten run but as is the case now they can just as easily go on a winless run.

But Leeds do have home advantage and they will look to get back to winning ways in front of their home fans but they remain vulnerable and Cardiff will be confident that they can get something from this game despite being the away side.

I see an open game with Leeds going for the win and Cardiff being just as attack mined, which all leads to a high chance of goals and over 2.5 goals looks a solid pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Aberdeen looks good for the win today and should have enough about them to score at least a couple of times, possibly even more.

Hamilton will not be walkovers though, I do expect them to lose but they are more than capable of finding the back of the net.

The value is going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A massive game between two bitter rivals and when Marseille play top teams at home they play well, however, Monaco is getting better since the dismantling of their team from last season.

Marseille is formidable at home but this Monaco side is far better now than they were earlier in the season and I am convinced they will put up a strong performance today.

Monaco may not win but I am confident that they will not lose either.

Take Monaco +0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 2.5 goals in this Dutch match.

7 of the last 9 Excelsior games have been over 2.5 goals and while Roda does not have the same sort of record they do play in a good percentage of games that go over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the clear value pick

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Vikings are very lucky to here, last week was simply unbelievable and truth be told they disappointed me, I had them to win and cover the spread and they did just that but even I accept that was very fortunate.

The Eagles are doing just fine with Nick Foles, they were underestimated last week and they have been again, mistakenly in my opinion.

I am happy to take the Eagles +3.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread should be much higher and even though Tom Brady has a cut hand I do not see it making much difference to the outcome of this game.

I would have backed the Patriots giving up 14 points against the Jaguars, to be honest, and so giving up just 7 points is a gift.

The Patriots are simply a better team by a long way and I do not see the Jags being able to contain them for 4 quarters.

This will be one-way traffic in favour of New England

New England -7

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Anderlecht is better than what they have shown so far this season, in fact, they had been getting back to form until their 5-0 humiliation at the hands of Brugge but they have had the winter break and their batteries will have been recharged and I expect a far better performance from them today.

Genk do have home advantage but they are a limited side and if Anderlecht comes back from the winter break in a better frame of mind then they are great value to get the win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham is a far better side than Southampton and if they play how they have been recently then they will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Southampton is in the relegation dogfight now and Tottenham is playing for a top-four spot, that alone tells you the current state of these two sides.

Southampton may well be at home but that has not done them any favours this season and not harmed Tottenham either when they are on the road.

Tottenham -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSV are the league leaders and even though they have stumbled a little on the road recently they are still a far better side than Heracles and if they are in the mood then they will win this game comfortably.

This game for me has nothing to do with the home side, it does not matter how well they play if PSV are on form and that is exactly what I expect to happen, PSV playing to form.

PSV -1.5

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has goals written all over it, both these teams play attacking football and whoever scores first you can rest assured that their opponents will go full out for an equaliser.

This game will unfold depending on how each team performs and one thing is for certain it will not be based on defence.

Over 3 goals

Stake - 3pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Three of the last five Reading home games have gone over 2.5 goals and four of the last five Brentford away games have also gone over 2.5 goals.

Add to this the fact that Reading is at home and Brentford are favoured to win and you have all the right ingredients for over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is perfectly set up for over 2.5 goals.

These are two evenly matched sides who both regularly participate in matches with over 2.5 goals.

Seven of Leicester's last eight games in the Premier League have gone over 2,5 goals and six of the last seven Watford Premier League matches have also gone over 2.5 goals.

Considering how evenly matched these two sides are and their habit of being involved in high scoring games then over 2.5 goals looks a good thing.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everton has hit the buffers recently but at home, their record and form is not that bad, certainly not over the most recent games. They did lose at home to Man Utd last time out but previous to that they held Chelsea to a 0-0 draw and won four in a row in front of their home fans.

West Brom are second bottom, they have won just once on the road all season, their very first away game in fact and have now gone ten away games without a win, which includes seven losses.

Everton -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leeds United are great value to beat a poor Millwall side.

Leeds are on a five-game unbeaten run at home, they have come back to form after a recent blip and retain high hopes of making the playoffs this season.

Millwall has not won once on the road this season, they have drawn six games but lost the other seven and have scored just six times in those 13 away games.

Leeds have the form and home advantage and are a solid pick for the win

Leeds -0.5

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 2,5 goals in this game.

West Ham are certainly playing better than they did prior to David Moyes taking over, they have built some momentum and will feel very confident that they can beat Bournemouth today.

That said, Bournemouth is also on a high, they beat Arsenal 2-1 recently and are on a four-game unbeaten run in the league.

Both sides have been involved in over 2.5 goals on a regular basis recently and all the signs are there that these two evenly matched sides will play an entertaining open game today.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Arsenal are going through a bit of a torrid time at the moment, they are in what can only be characterised as a mini-crisis, however, they remain a top side with high-quality players and I expect them to perform much better in front of their home fans today.

It really does not matter how well Palace play if Arsenal plays to form, the gulf in quality is clear and while Palace has been playing better they remain a limited side.

This game is all about Arsenal, if they play to their true ability they will win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Espanyol is in decent form at this moment in time, they beat Barcelona in the Spanish Cup midweek and are unbeaten over their last four La Liga games.

Sevilla are doing well in the Spanish Cup but their recent La Liga form has been woeful, they have not won over their last five league games losing four and drawing just once.

With home advantage, on a high after beating bitter local rivals Barcelona I am confident that Espanyol will not lose this game and will most likely win.

Espanyol +0

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Clippers are on fire at the moment, they have won five straight and in front of their home fans, I expect them to stretch that to six games.

The Nuggets will be competitive but the momentum is with the Clippers and they are my pick in this one.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These two regularly get involved in games that go under, especially the Bucks who have now gone under in their last six games and of course, the Sunday game between these two saw just 176 points scored.

I see no evidence that we will see a dramatic increase in points in this game and am happy to go under 202

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Last time these two met Golden State won by a massive 49 points and while this is now a very different Bulls outfit in terms of performance there remains a significant gulf in class.

The Bulls have improved since their appalling early season start but they are facing a team that has a habit of beating teams by decent margins and covering 8.5 points is definitely within Golden State capabilities.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these sides come into this game wanting to put recent losses behind them, especially the Pistons and neither can point to their defenses with huge confidence right now.

The bottom line for me is that both will be aggressive which will put pressure on the respective defenses and this is the perfect recipe for a high scoring game.

Clearing 212.5 is definitely the pick in this one and my NBA pick of the day.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Pelicans are on a decent run right now winning 4 of the last 5 and with the current form of Anthony Davis, they come into this game in very good shape.

The Hawks are inconsistent and even with home court advantage, I see them struggling to stay close to the Pelicans.

The Pelicans look a good thing -2

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is easy to see why Minnesota are favourites, they are on a 4 game unbeaten run while the Blazers are on a  2 game losing run and of course, they have home court advantage but it would be wrong to underestimate the Blazers who have not lost to the Wolves by 6 or more points in their last ten meetings, home or on the road. 

I am not saying that Minnesota will not win but I do not see them doing what they have failed to do over the last ten meetings spread over the last 3 years and beat the Blazers by 6 or more points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Indiana had a good comeback win against Cleveland on Friday and won 3 of their 4 home games but they are now on the road and their recent form on their travels has hardly been impressive.

Phoenix have been inconsistent and the stats are all over the place and it is difficult to pin them down with any real confidence but I am confident enough to back them with a 4 point spread, they are at home and playing against a side that is vulnerable on the road.

Difficult to pick an outright winner but I am convinced that whatever the result that the Suns will not lose by 4 or more points. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Vikings are on target to become the first NFL team to play a Superbowl at home and they are fully aware of this, I am of the belief that they are good enough to achieve that. They are strong at home having won five straight and when they do win, which has been very regular this season, they win by more than 4 points.

The Saints will be tough opponents but all the advantages are with the Vikings and I fully expect them to capitalise on those advantages.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It seems to me that the Knicks are expected to collapse in the same way they did last season at this time, I refuse to believe that will be the case this time around and the Pelicans are not exactly world beaters themselves.

That said, the Knicks are on a poor run at this time but they are a decent home side with a 15-8 record this season and I expect their game to improve back in front of their home fans despite recent losses.

The Pelicans have lost their last two road games and are more vulnerable on the road than they are at home. although not by much.

I would have backed the Knicks to win this game outright and am happy to accept +1.5 spread, I see that as a gift.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see the Steelers beating the Jaguars by 8 points or more, simply cannot see that happening.

The Steelers are clearly in great form, over their last ten games they have lost just once, to New England, they are without doubt formidable opponents and with home advantage deserve to be clear favourites but the Jags over their last ten games they have won seven times and just once lost by 8 points or more, they are more than capable of staying within 8 points of the Steelers, even if they end up losing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool is in great form at this time, not as good as what City have done to date but regardless, they are in great form and have one of the best chances of any team in England this season of being able to beat City.

Liverpool are at home and that is an advantage that cannot be underestimated, very few teams like to travel to Anfield.

It will be a tough game for sure but Liverpool is more than good enough to inflict the first domestic defeat on Man City this season.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sevilla are a better side than Alaves and if they play to form they will beat them, however, Alaves do have home advantage and Sevilla have been poor recently on the road but even so, the table shows the difference between the teams, 14pts and 12 places and this is a game that Sevilla must be looking at that will get them 3 points.

This game is all about Sevilla for me if they play how I know they can then they will win if they do not and they allow Alaves to get a foot in the game they will not, simple as that.

I am very confident that Sevilla will play to form and win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

That the Patriots should win is a fairly easy call but for me, it was far easier to call this game over 48 points than to pick whether the Patriots would cover the spread or not.

I expect New England to be very aggressive from the start but I also expect the same from the Titans, they may well end up losing comprehensively but I can see them getting close to 20 points at least and if that happens and the game goes as expected then we will see a game in excess of 50 points.

My initial analysis had this as over 53 points and so I am happy to take over 48 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This was always going to be a close one to call but I am confident that it will be the Pistons that will emerge the winners.

The Pistons are simply in better form right now than the Bulls who have lost 5 of their last 7 games and even though the Bulls have home court advantage I do not see them winning this one today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first looked at this game the total was set higher, it has since come down slightly and come down enough for me to go with the overs.

This will be a close game and that will drive both teams on, I do not see defence being dominant in this one and I expect both sides to get beyond 105 points each, enough to cover the overs total.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I know that Atlanta have been impressive in the last couple of games but I am still not convinced by them, they have never looked as fluent as they were last season and a lot of their recent wins has been more about the shortcomings of the opposition than anything outstanding from Atlanta.

The Eagles have gone off the boil slightly even when winning but I am far more confident that they can step it up when it matters than the Falcons and today it really matters.

I feel that the Eagles are the better side and will prove that today, I would have backed them outright but receiving +3 is a brilliant safety net and one I will gladly accept.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread has been set too high, in my opinion. The Mavericks may well win this one but I do not see them doing it by more than 5 points, I expect a close game and would not be at all surprised if the Lakers actually won.

The Lakers are doing a lot better these days and to just dismiss them out of hand is a mistake, they will do a lot better than expected.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Middlesbrough are in decent form at the moment, they have won 4 of their last 6 games and have slowly started to climb up the table and are now definite contenders for at least a playoff challenge this season.

Fulham are also in decent form, however, they are vulnerable on the road and the long distance journey to Boro is likely to be one of those games that they struggle to come away with any points from.

Take Boro -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Confidence is high at Bristol City at the moment, they did very well against Man City in the League Cup semi-final despite losing 2-1 and will have been lifted significantly by that result, they did lose their last home game against Championship leaders Wolves but won the three home games previous to that and currently sit fourth.

Norwich have struggled recently on the road, yes they got 4 points from their last two away games but that was against second and third bottom in the standings, prior to that they lost three on the bounce.

All things considered, I am going with a home win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Palace have definitely improved recently, they are in good form considering their early season results and confidence is a lot higher than it was just a few weeks earlier.

The form of Burnley has dipped in recent weeks, they have not won in five games now, albeit three of the games were against top 6 teams, but even so, it is always difficult to get momentum going in the Premier League when it has been lost and that is what has happened with Burnley.

Palace are going the right way at the moment and Burnley is not, Palace is the pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is perfectly set up for overs, we have two teams that are regularly involved in games that go over 2.5 goals.

Augsburg are not exactly setting the world alight, they are mid-table and inconsistent but they do get on the scoresheet in almost every game.

The same can be said of Hamburg, they are poor this season and terrible away but they generally find the back of the net, even in defeat.

Take over 2.5 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a game that really should go over 2.5 goals.

Werder Bremen are the poorer side but they have home advantage and that is important.

Hoffenheim have had a much better season so far than Werder but they are away and that has been their weakness recently.

No idea who will win, especially after the winter break but I am very confident that both teams will score and that one of them will score at least twice.

Stake - 3pts