All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The stats point to this being an overs game and also the recent performances of these two teams indicates strongly that overs is the way to go.

Five of the last six Lions games have gone over and six of their last eight road games have gone the same way, add to those stats the fact that seven of the last nine Miami home games have also gone over and then you can see where this is going.

Additionally, the Lions have broken 24 points in four of their five games this season and Miami has broken 27 points in every one of their home games.

Take over 46.5 points

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huesca are rock bottom of La Liga, they have lost five of their last six league games, drawing the other one and that sequence includes an 8-2 drubbing at the hands of Barcelona, in fact, since their opening game of the season, which they won, they have picked up just two points from a possible 21, this is not a team in good form.

Espanyol are sixth and will go joint second with a win today, they have lost twice this season, to Real Madrid and league leaders Alaves which is no disgrace, however, their away form has not been good and has been their Achilles heel this season but they will not get many better opportunities to get their first away win of the season than today.

It is a clear win for Espanyol today for me, they are simply the better team, in better form and with a huge incentive.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Borussia Monchengladbach is well placed to collect all three points today at the expense of Mainz.

Monchengladbach enters this game in fifth place and can go second with the win so the incentive is certainly there, they have won all their home games in the league this season and their winning run at home now extends to six games.

Mainz is 10th and are on a four-game winless streak in the Bundesliga, they are also on a two-game losing run away from home, they are not in form and will definitely be up against it today.

All things considered, I am going for a home win and for Monchengladbach to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

St Etienne are having a great season and a win today could see them end the day in third spot, they have won three and drawn one at home this season and are looking to win in their own stadium for the third game in a row, they did lose away to Lille just before the international break but Lille is second in the league and that result and the loss away to PSG are St Etienne's only losses this season.

Rennes are a poor away side, they did beat Monaco last time away but right now everybody and their uncle is beating Monaco and prior to that win they had lost three and drawn one of their five away games this season. Rennes are actually not a bad side all things considered, but they are up against a team today that is flying at home and who have only lost to the very best.

St Etienne for me to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Everton to get the better of Crystal Palace today and register a home win.

Neither team is doing that great this season and at best both are inconsistent but Everton has shown me more and enter this game on a two-game winning run, whereas Palace enters this game having lost their last two Premier League games.

Palace is actually doing much better away than they are doing at home, they have collected six of their seven points this season from away games but that is where their inconsistency shows, they lose away to Watford and Bournemouth but win at Fulham and Huddersfield.

The same to some extent applies to Everton, especially when they lose at home to the likes of West Ham, however, they are improving and as I have already stated they are on a two-game winning run.

Based on what I have watched from these two this season and their current form I am going with an Everton win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Eibar looks good for the win today in front of their home fans.

The season started poorly for Eibar at home losing their opening home game, since then they won two on the bounce before losing last time at home to third-placed Sevilla and while they will struggle against the big teams when they visit, they will do much better against teams further down the table and that includes Atheltic Bilbao.

Bilbao is on a six-game winless streak, they did draw away at Barcelona last time they were on the road but then they went and lost at home 3-1 to Real Sociedad.

Backing Eibar is the value pick in this game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hertha Berlin is having a decent season, especially at home, they have won all three games in their own stadium since the season kicked off including a very impressive 2-0 win over Bayern Munich, they have lost just once in their last 8 games in the Bundesliga and enter this game full of confidence.

Freiburg have had a somewhat mixed season so far but their away form has not been good, they rarely win on the road, in fact, while they have won once on the road this season they did lose their other two away games this season comprehensively 3-1 and 4-1 and last season they ended the season with four straight away losses.

It is a home win for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is the early game of the day from London and I am going with the Chargers to register a comprehensive win over the stuttering Titans.

The Titans have gone bad over the last few weeks, they lost to the Bills, which they really should not have done and were then blown out by the Ravens, their quarterback Marcus Mariota cannot buy a TD having managed just two this season and as a whole the Titans have not scored an offensive touchdown in their last two games.

The Chargers, on the other hand, are flying, especially their quarterback Philips Rivers, they have won three on the bounce and they are improving each game they played and that started with their loss against the Rams and every game since then they have just got better and that is directly related to their confidence, which is also growing each game.

I just cannot see anything other than a Chargers win, they have the confidence, they have the momentum and they are in much better form.

Chargers -6.5 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Atalanta have been a huge disappointment for me this season, they are better than what they have shown and at some point they will bounce back to form and I feel that time is right now, they are fresh from an international break, that would have given them time energise and refocus and today's opponents are the exact sort of opponent that Atalanta can get a win over and really kick-start their season.

The Serie A table is a little misleading, Chievo are bottom but only because they have been punished, they would actually be second bottom on 5 points and not -1, however, that really does not matter that much, they are a poor team, they will probably be relegated, they have lost three of four games at home this season, drawing the other one and if Atalanta actually plays how I know they can then Chievo will lose today.

Take Atalanta -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The over in this game is quite high but if there are two teams that combined can beat a total of 235 points it is these two.

This game is all about star names that can rack up the points, you have to think the Rockets will bounce back from their opening game loss and the Lakers will be buzzing in front of the home crowd.

Expect a high scoring game tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Pistons will be going for a perfect 2-0 start tonight and against this weak Bulls side, I expect them to do just that.

The Bulls are all over the place at the moment in terms of trying to get fit all their pieces together and will probably need a few games before they can sort out a settled side, that does not apply to the Pistons.

All things considered, I fully expect the Pistons to win and by more than 5 points. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Miami will be on a high after a dramatic win against the Wizards and that will flow over into this game in front of their home fans.

The Hornets dispatched the Magic with considerable ease but they were distinctly second best to Miami last season and do not have the best records when playing back to back games.

With home advantage and statistics on their side, I am backing Miami to win by at least 4 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco has had a horrendous start to the season which has resulted in their manager being kicked into touch, they now have a new boss in legend Thierry Henry and I fully expect a positive reaction to his appointment from the players.

The international break will also have done Monaco the world of good, it will have given them the chance to refocus and recharge their batteries.

Strasbourg do have home advantage and come into this game on the back of two straight home wins and on form, they should be the favourites to win this game but the circumstances are such that on this occasion form does not tell the whole story.

Strasbourg are doing ok but they are far from being one of the top teams in France, Monaco is despite their terrible form and if Monaco reacts under their new manager, as I expect them to do, then Monaco will win, they are simply the better team.

Monaco won this fixture 3-1 last season and I am confident that we will see a repeat of that win today.

Take Monaco on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Draw specialists Valencia know that they have to start winning games, they cannot keep on drawing and this game today against Leganes gives them a fantastic opportunity to get a win under their belts.

Valencia has drawn six of their eight La Liga games this season, they did actually win a game away at Real Sociedad but then went and drew their next game, though in all fairness that was at home to Barcelona, so not that bad really.

Valencia are a good side, they are below the elite level in Spain but they are a Champions League team and are not that far off the elite status, they just need to find a way to convert draws into wins.

Leganes are woeful on the road, they have lost all four of their road games this season in La Liga, one of those losses was against Real Madrid but the other three losses were not against any of the top teams, this is not a team to be feared when they are away.

Leganes do have a decent home record, they did beat Barcelona after all but they are a totally different side when they travel and if Valencia cannot get a win against this outfit then maybe they are destined to draw their way through the season.

All things considered, I am backing Valencia to get a home win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After a brilliant start to the season, Watford has come crashing back to reality, they have picked up just one point from their last four Premier League games and are now on a four-game winless streak.

Wolves, on the other hand, continue to impress, they have won four and drawn one of their last five league games and that draw was away to Man Utd, they have conceded just the one goal in those five games and again, that was in the draw against United.

This is a game that pits one team going forward and one team going backwards and I am backing the team going forward and with home advantage to get the win.

Take Wolves -0.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper Newcastle is doing absolutely terrible, they are second bottom in the Premier League without a win all season long but that is not a fair reflection of where Newcastle are really at.

Their confidence has not dropped, they are still playing good football and have been unlucky, they dominated Man Utd at Old Trafford for 70 minutes and were unfortunate to lose that game 3-2 after going 2-0 up, they have also had to play five of the top six clubs in England in their eight games this season, a formidable set of games but when they have played teams outside the elite they have drawn twice and lost once, in better words they have had a rotten set of fixtures against the top teams and so their league position is a little misleading.

Brighton are doing better but when you drill down you will see that in their away games they have just picked up one point this season, they have had to play away at Liverpool and Man City in all fairness and did go up against Watford when they were flying but the point is that their record away is no better than Newcastle at home.

Newcastle is better than their results have suggested, they have been unlucky to some degree, they retain their morale and this game today gives them a great opportunity to finally get a win against a team that is not one of the better teams in the Premier League, certainly not when they play away.

With home advantage and all things being equal I am going with Newcastle to finally get a win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bayer Leverkusen have let me down a couple of times already this season but I am convinced they are better than some of their recent results suggest, they were touted as potential title challengers prior to the season starting and while they have shown glimpses of their potential they have generally been a great let down.

That said, I am still confident that they will get their act together and this game today against Hannover presents them with a fantastic chance to kick-start their stuttering season.

Hannover are a poor team, they have lost their last three away games and collected just the single point all season from their travels, they are third bottom in the Bundesliga and even though they did beat Stuttgart in the last league game they remain a very limited side that is poor on the road.

This is a brilliant opportunity for Bayer Leverkusen to collect three points in front of their home fans and I have faith in them to do just that.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund is in blistering form, they are top of the Bundesliga, they have won their last three Bundesliga games on the bounce including a 7-0 win over Nurnberg, they are unbeaten all season long and have also won both their Champions League games.

Stuttgart, on the other hand, are not doing so well, they are second bottom in the Bundesliga, they have just one win all season and while they are a lot better at home than they are away they are not in the same category as Dortmund on form.

Stuttgart have won one, drawn one and lost one at home but when they played Bayern Munich they were thrashed 3-0 and today they are playing a team on that level and it would not surprise me to see a similar result today.

Stuttgart did win this fixture last season, however, they lost 3-0 in Dortmund later in the season and that win last year was their only win in the last 15 meetings between these two sides going back eight years.

Dortmund to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Roma to get a comfortable home win over SPAL today.

Roma, currently sixth in Serie A, is one of the better Italian sides, they will be looking to finish in a Champions League spot this season and at the moment are doing all the right things.

After drawing their opening two home games this season Roma have found their feet in their own stadium and won their last two home games 4-0 and 3-1 respectively, they are on a three-game winning streak scoring 9 goals in that sequence and conceding 3, they are clearly in form and with home advantage are all set to make it four league wins in a row, it should also be noted that they also won in the Europa League at home 5-0 and so it is actually four winning games on the bounce in all competitions.

SPAL is not good on the road, they did win their opening away game away at Bologna, but since then have lost three straight against Torino, Fiorentina and Sampdoria, they are on a four-game losing streak in the league conceding 9 and scoring just the 2 goals in those four games.

The bottom line here is that we have two teams at different ends of the spectrum, Roma, with home advantage, are on fire and have won their last four games on the bounce in all competitions, whereas SPAL has lost their last four on the bounce.

I am going with Roma to win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these sides had bad losses in their opening games, especially the Grizzlies who missed shot after shot and a lot will depend on how each side bounces back from those losses.

It is hard to see the Grizzlies playing so bad for a second time but at the same time it is hard to see them magically improving leaps and bounds, they may well win this one but I have zero confidence that they will beat the spread.

The Hawks were rolled over with some ease against the Knicks but a lot of that had to do with a horrendous second quarter and they did win three of the four quarters and they did at least show a bit more ambition and character than what the Grizzlies did, they did not completely fold and with some minor adjustments should put up a better performance tonight.

All things considered, I see this being a fairly close game and with that in mind, the Hawks receiving +7.5 is the most sensible pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I simply cannot see anything other than a big win for the Pelicans tonight, not after the demolition job they did on the Rockets.

This Pelican outfit is a good side, they are back at home after that impressive win on the road against Houston and if they reproduce anything like that performance they will win this one with ease and I see no reason at all not to believe they can and will reproduce that performance.

The Kings lost their opening game against the Jazz in front of their home fans and now that they are on the road and facing the powerful Pelicans they are set for a 2-0 start to the season. 

I just cannot see the Kings staying with the Pelicans over four quarters and while the spread is high it is well within reach of the Pelicans who are simply the better side in almost every department.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game between these two and certainly one to watch and I am going with the Celtics on the spread in this one.

Boston is at full strength, they laid down a marker with a big win over the 76ers and are determined to beat the Raptors to the divisional title this season which they are favourites to do.

Toronto also got off to a good start dispatching Cleveland Cavaliers comfortably in their opening game and are not ready to roll over and allow the Celtics a free run this season.

A case can be made for both sides but I see this being a very tough close fought game and with the Celtics having three points on the spread they are my pick in this one.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Knicks showed that they can still be very effective without Porzingis with a comprehensive win over the Hawks in their opening game, they played fast and put that game to bed by halftime, a repeat of that today and they will go 2-0.

The Nets lost a tight game at the Pistons in their opening game and will be confident they can bounce back at home against the Knicks but they had their chances against Detroit and failed to take them which is what one has come to expect from the Nets, they have lost the last four games against the Knicks and I have not seen enough yet to believe that they can stop that losing sequence.

Getting three points on the spread is simply a gift and I am backing the Knicks today +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Orlando was impressive against Miami in their opening game, they showed character and a determination that has been missing, their confidence will have been boosted with that opening game win and in front of their home fans and I am confident they will have enough to win this one against the Hornets.

Charlotte just failed to get the win against the Bucks after rallying in the final quarter and a lot will depend on how they respond to such a loss, they will no doubt be disappointed and will be looking to bounce back but on the road against a team that is full of self-belief I cannot see them coming out on top.

Take Orlando +2

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The international break will have done Lyon the world of good, they had a disastrous final game before the international break losing 5-0 away at PSG, though in fairness that game was done in a manic 13-minute spell that saw Kylian Mbappe score four goals. They are much better than that result indicates, they beat Man City 2-1 in Manchester, they beat Marseille 4-2 and when they are in the mood they are a match for most teams, the international break will have given them time to refocus and get back to the sort of form that saw them get those impressive results.

Nimes is doing ok for a promoted side, they have ten points from their nine games in the league and are on target to retain their top-flight status if they continue to claim points, however, they are up against it in this game, they lost their last away league game 3-0 at Montpelier, they have not won for seven games now, though they have four draws in that sequence and 60% of their points came in the first two games of the season, since then it has been winless.

This is the perfect game for Lyon to have after the break, against a promoted team that cannot buy a win right now and with home advantage.

I expect Lyon to bounce back to form today and claim a comprehensive win over Nimes.

Take Lyon -1.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Club football is back in Germany after the International break and I am going with Eintracht Frankfurt to get the better of Fortuna Dusseldorf today.

Frankfurt sit 7th in the Bundesliga and are on a three-game winning run in competitive games, two wins in the league and one in the Europa League, they have improved at home since a bad start to the season and have now drawn against Leipzig, beaten Hannover 4-1 and Lazio 4-1 in their last three home games, they are on a roll and are highly motivated and confident.

Dusseldorf has won just once all season in the league, they are second bottom, they are on a three-game losing streak in the league and are finding life in the Bundesliga tough following promotion.

It is very difficult to make any case for Dusseldorf, they have had a break of course and that will have given them time to regroup but the fact is that they are a very limited side, they will be in the relegation fight at the end of the season.

Frankfurt has home advantage, they are on a winning streak and full of confidence, anything less than a good win today will be a surprise.

Take Frankfurt -0.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Real Salt Lake or they risk letting in LA Galaxy into the final playoff spot.

As things stand right now  it is totally in the hands of Real Salt Lake if they make the playoffs, all they have to do is win their remaining two games, that is it, but if they drop any points it then is out of their hands and they will want to avoid that at all costs.

The Revolution have nothing to play for but that does not mean they will roll over, far from it and if anything their recent form is no worse than Real Salt Lake but they simply do not have the same motivation or incentive and they are also the away side.

Even though Real Salt Lake have slipped recently including losing their last home game 4-1 against Portland they still have an overall good record, that loss to Portland was their first at home in 15 games and only their second home loss in their last 24 games.

New England on the hand are woeful on the road, they have won just three times in their last 35 away games in the MLS, this is not a good team when travelling.

All things considered, home advantage, a good home record, massive motivation and incentive playing against a team with nothing to play and terrible on the road it can only be a Real Salt Lake win.

Take Real Salt Lake -0.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to call this one and a case can be made for both sides.

Denver did well against the Rams at the weekend despite just losing but then they were at home, their two wins this season have been at the Mile High Stadium and even though they went close against the free-scoring Chiefs and Rams they did lose in their own stadium and when they are away they have been dispatched by double figures both times.

The Cardinals are certainly no better, they are 1-5 for a reason, they have lost all their home games and just like the Broncos, have significant issues all over the place.

Both teams clearly have quarterback issues, that is obvious, they have other issues they must contend with, as an example, Denver are useless against the run and the Cardinals are just as bad offensively and basically, this game is now a must win for either team and whichever team does get their act together tonight will win, it is just guesswork which one is likely to do that.

So, picking a winner is fraught with difficulties, as soon as you make a case for one or the other an issue pops up but that does not mean that there is not a pick to be had.

The over looks good to me and the reason is simple, both teams have zero choice but to take risks and go for the win, I know that neither offense fills one with confidence but there are signs there that an improvement is close, this was shown by the Broncos last week and the Falcons two games back against the 49ers and even in the loss against the Vikings they did get more points on the board than in almost all their games this season.

The bottom line for me is that I see both teams taking more risks than usual and both are showing signs of improvement in offense, albeit only slightly, but enough for me to go over 42.5 points.

Take over 42.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Never easy to pick a winner on the spreads at the start of the season, especially when one side has yet to play and the other has played just the once but there are some obvious signs that do make it a lot easier to identify which side has a significant advantage and that applies tonight for the Wizards over the Heat.

The Heat lost last night and have now had to travel to Washington, they have significant injuries and while it is silly to talk about fatigue at this stage it still takes a small toll on any team to play two nights running across different locations.

The Wizards are well geared up for this one, they have home court advantage, they have fewer injury concerns, they are more rested, basically, they have everything in their favour tonight and I expect them to take advantage and win and cover the spread.

Take Wizards -5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both teams at a critical point in the season.

Vancouver still retains hopes of making the playoffs and in front of their home fans, they know nothing less than a win will do.

Sporting will be looking to get the win and grab a final series spot simple as that, a loss or draw could be damaging considering how few games are left in the season.

So what we have here is two teams that simply must win, a draw or loss is no good to ether team and that means that both will be attack-minded once the game has settled down, there is nothing to gain playing negative football.

Vancouver broke a three-game losing run with a win at Toronto while Sporting has slipped slightly picking up just two points from a possible nine over their last three games.

So, neither team is in blistering form, Sporting have been the better over the season but Vancouver has home advantage so picking a winner is as difficult as it gets, but what is not difficult to grasp is that both want the win and only goals will get them a win and that leads me to believe that this game will feature goals and a good few at that.

I can easily see there being three or more goals, as soon as one team goes behind the other has to attack and that leads to an open game and be assured this will not be a goalless game.

Taking the overs is the best pick in this one.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Spurs have had the upper hand over the Wolves for some time now winning 13 of the last 14 meetings and I see that sequence being extended this evening.

This may be a new look Spurs but they are settled and in harmony, not something that can be said about the Wolves.

With home advantage and an opponent with issues, I am backing the Spurs to win and cover the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Rockets are the real deal and will be big contenders to dethrone the Warriors and in front of their home fans, I fully expect them to get off to a comfortable winning start.

The Pelicans will try to be competitive but the truth is that they will struggle to contain the formidable offense that the Rockets will bring.

In front of their home fans, it is the Rockets for me to cover the spread and win this one by at least 8 points. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have issues coming into this season opener, both are missing key players and a lot will come down to how fresh each team is and how certain players integrate.

I am going with the Knicks to have the edge in this one, they come across as the more prepared and of course have home court advantage.

All things considered, I am taking the Knicks to take advantage of being the more settled of the two sides, albeit not by much and for them to get the win in front of their home fans by at least 4 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A win for Seattle tonight and they will have confirmed their playoff spot and that is a huge incentive for them, they have won 11 of their last 13 MLS games and are on a two-match winning run that saw them knock in 8 goals and conceding just one, simply put, they are on fire right now.

Orlando, on the other hand, are in dire straits, they have not won over their last 12 MLS games and have just one win over their last 22 games, any way you dress that up it is bad.

Orlando will, of course, be playing for pride but they have been doing that for a while now without any positive signs that they will achieve anything, whereas Seattle has the form and the incentive and even with home advantage I cannot see Orlando getting anything from this game other than another loss.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

DC United have finally got into a playoff spot and the last thing they will want to do is squander it against a team that has absolutely nothing to play for other than pride.

DC have won nine of their last 11 home games, they are on a three-game winning streak at home scoring eight and conceding just one.

Toronto has nothing to play for, they are the away side and when they have played away this season they have been poor, they are on a two-game losing sequence on the road losing both games 2-0 and have not won in their last five away games, they have lost five of their last seven MLS games and the two they did not lose were home wins, in better words they are not a team in form, especially away.

I see DC going full out tonight to cement their play-off place and against a team with nothing to play for and in front of their home fans, I am confident that DC will win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hard to look beyond the Pacers in this season opener.

Indiana looks as strong as they did last year, whereas Memphis will struggle to improve on their 22 wins from last year, in fact, Indiana won more at home than what Memphis did in their entire season, that alone gives you an indication of the difference between these two.

I would have backed the Pacers giving up 10 points and so giving up just 6.5 is more than good enough for me.

Take Indiana -.6.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Orlando has home court advantage for this season opener, however, I do not believe that will be enough for them to overcome Miami.

Orlando simply does not look anywhere near prepared, whereas Miami looks very close to the same team from last year.

I just feel that the Miami offense will be the better on the night at this stage and will be strong enough for them to overcome Orlando.

Take Miami -.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Always tricky the first games of the season, however, there are enough stats available to edge towards the Celtics to get the win in front of their home fans.

That said, I lack the confidence to back Boston on the spreads, they may well be at full strength and viewed as the team to beat in the Eastern Conference but they are facing a Philadelphia side that is seen as a team on the rise and will be far from walkovers.

Both teams will be raring to go, the 76ers will be determined to send an early message of their potential while the Celtics will be just as determined to show that they are serious contenders this season. 

I do expect Boston to win but I am far more confident that both these teams will score enough to go over 211 points than I am backing the Celtics on the spread, or for that matter, the 76ers.

Over 211 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is one of those games where the spread is almost perfect and it amounts to guesswork whether one team or the other manages to cover it.

But there is a standout pick in this one for me and that is the totals.

I am very confident that this game will go over 46.5 points.

Three of the last four 49ers games have all gone over 50 points and the other one (their most recent game) was 46 points and even when they have lost in that sequence they managed to get at least 27 points. The point I am making is that even when the 49ers lose, which is rather regular, they still manage to put in a decent show and get points on the board.

Four of the five games involving the Packers this season have all gone over 46.5 points and against this 49ers the Packers will be confident they will break 30 points.

The 49ers are riddled with injuries and that will no doubt have an effect on their performance tonight but I am fairly confident they will get at least 20 points or very close to it.

All things considered, I see this game going over 50 points and so the totals at 46.5 points is a definite over for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Great game in prospect here and it could be a pivotal game for both teams.

A win for the Chiefs and their belief will go through the roof, a win for the Patriots and it will send a message to the rest of the teams that stories of their demise have been greatly exaggerated.

I expect this to be a tight game and both teams have positives, the Chiefs are unbeaten and the Patriots have shown that despite some uncharacteristic defeats that on their day they can still sweep teams away.

For me, I see these two teams like ships passing in the night, the Chiefs are going forward while the Patriots are starting to go backwards and that is how I see this game panning out tonight.

I am backing the Chiefs on the spreads, they are in the ascendency and I am confident they will prove to be too strong for Brady and the Patriots tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has all the hallmarks of a low scoring affair.

The last three Baltimore games have all ended under 42 points and even though they won two of those games they did not go too high in the scoring charts and their defence was able to hold their opponents to lowish scores in those wins.

The Titans have gone under 40 points in three of their last four games and to some degree, they have struggled in offense with their defence stepping up.

I see these two teams cancelling each other out for the most part and a game under 40 points looks on the cards for me.

Take under 43.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars have blown a little hot and cold this season but when they are in the mood they are a match for most teams, they are certainly more effective overall than the Cowboys.

The Cowboys have only broken 20 points twice this season with a season-high of 26 points, they are struggling in offense and the Jaguars defence will relish taking on the Cowboys today.

I just do not see the Cowboys offense getting too much joy from the Jags defence but I do see the Jags offense getting the better of the Cowboys defence and that is where the difference will be tonight.

The Jaguars are my pick of the day.

Jaguars -3

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Rams to win this one but was unsure on the spread, it could easily be a tightish game or a big Rams win, however, I am a lot more sure of a high scoring game.

The last three Rams games have gone for 64, 69 and 58 total points, it basically seems to me that they have the attitude of however many you score we will score more and that tells me two things, 1) their defence is vulnerable and their offense is formidable.

The Broncos are on a three-game losing streak and need a huge performance tonight and while I do not see them winning I do see them staying close, especially in the Mile High Stadium, their defence knows they have been the weak link this season and they will look to improve, it is just unfortunate for them they are facing a frightening offense.

All things considered, I see the Rams getting beyond 30 points tonight and the Broncos to get in excess of 24 points, how much higher either team goes is anyone's guess but the game will be beyond 50 points regardless of the final score.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is tricky to predict games with the Bills this season, they either get a thrashing or they produce a fantastic defensive performance and get the win.

Today I am of the opinion that they will not be thrashed, they may not win but I certainly believe they will be within 10 points of the Texans.

The Texans have won both their games this season by close margins and of course they have lost as many times as the Bills.

There is no doubt that this Bills outfit is poor, they are lacking in offense and their quarterback Josh Allen has really struggled but when the Buffalo defence is on its game then they all of a sudden become competitive.

Houston will probably win but I am confident we will see an effective performance from the Bills today and this game will be a lot closer than most people think.

Bills +10.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This one could go either way, the Jets are going for a second win in a row at home while the Colts are looking to break a 3 game losing streak.

I feel the spread is about right and I do slightly favour the Jets to get the win but would not be surprised if the Colts got the win, therefore I am not in the position to pick a winner either way, it is one of those games.

But what stands out for me is the total, I see this game going over 48 points, the Colts are capable of getting at least 24 points, they have done so in their last two losses and the Jets are more than good enough to do the same.

Both teams will be offensive minded today and will be confident they can break each other's defences, I do not see either team playing conservative football today and over 47 points is a low total for me.

Take over 47 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Steelers are having a stuttering season to date whereas the Bengals are on fire and in front of their home fans and on target for a third win in a row I am going with the Bengals to get win number five.

The spreads are all over the place ranging from 0 to -2 on the Bengals, in better words this is one of those games where most people, including the sportsbooks, just do not know how this game will go, however, I am clear on how I see this game going, a Bengals win.

Pittsburgh did very well against Atlanta last week for sure, but that is how they have been so far this season, one week they win easily then another week they lose, they have not been consistent all season and that inconsistency is running right through the team.

The Bengals have been consistent, they have won four and lost one, they have shown grit and determination all season long and they are the exact sort of team to unsettle the Steelers and when the Steelers get their feathers ruffled the mistakes creep in.

This will probably be a tight game but I am confident that the Bengals will prove to be too strong for the Steelers.

Bengals -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A very different Browns this season, they have already got two wins and a tie, they have been very competitive in all their games and with some luck, they could easily have been 5-0.

Teams can no longer turn up and assume that a win is guaranteed, they now know that they have to be on top of their game or they will get beat.

The Chargers will not be complacent, they know that they will have a battle on their hands today but they will also know that if they play how they have been playing this season they will win.

The Chargers have put in some great performances this season even in defeat, they are looking for a third win in a row and they look to me that they are getting better with each game as the win over the Raiders showed last week.

Chargers for me and by at least 3 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game I had the Bears winning by 7 and so I am happy to take -4 on the spreads.

The Bears are going for a fourth win on the bounce, their defence is getting stronger as each game passes, it took them a couple of games to get their rhythm but once they got into their groove they have been impressive, they dispatched the Bucs last time out and with the weeks rest they have enjoyed I see them coming out all guns blazing tonight.

The Dolphins are going backwards in my opinion, they have lost their last two games after going 3-0, they crumbled in the fourth quarter against the Bengals last week and that sort of collapse is hard to bounce back from, especially against a team like the Bears who are in a fearsome mood and full of confidence.

A Bears win for me and to cover the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Panthers irritate me, they are so inconsistent, they can be great one week and terrible the next, however, they are on a two-game winning streak, the win over the Giants and the manner of that win will have significantly boosted their morale and confidence and I expect that to show today.

The Redskins were swept aside by the Saints on Monday and even though that was an emotional historic game they should have put in a better performance, it was if they knew before the game started that they were destined to lose that game and that makes me question their mentality.

They have had a couple of good wins for sure, however, their losses have not been close, when they get beat it is fairly comfortable for their opposition and out of these two teams, it is the Panthers that have far more character and purpose.

Panthers on the spreads for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If there was ever a game destined to go over 60 points it is this one.

The total has been set fairly high at 57 but for very good reason and even that high total I feel is on the low side.

These two sides can score and concede in big numbers, The Falcons have conceded 41, 37 and 43 in their last three games, all losses, and when they beat the Panthers they scored 31 points.

The Bucs are no better, they have conceded 48, 30 and 40 in three of their last four games and in three of those four games the total scores have been 58, 57 and 88 points.

The bottom line for me is that I have zero confidence in either team's defence, they will both concede regularly today but at the same time, I do have confidence that their offenses can rack the points up, mainly because they are facing vulnerable defences.

All things considered, I am going over 57 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is being played in London and even though the Raiders are nominally the home team it is really a neutral game played in a neutral stadium with no team having the home field advantage.

This game will come down to who plays better on the day plain and simple.

I was tempted to go with the Raiders but I just cannot, the Seahawks are playing better football and the Raiders are lucky to be just 1-4 at this stage, it should be 0-5 and they are, on form, one of the weakest teams in the NFL right now.

The Seahawks, on paper, are not much better but their performance against the Rams last week was impressive even in defeat and if they reproduce that form they will win this game in a canter.

Oakland just seem to have something missing in almost every area, they just keep coming up short and against a rejuvenated Seahawks, who it must be remembered was going for a third straight win on the bounce before narrowly losing to the Rams, they will be punished every time they come up short.

Seahawks to cover the spread. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team has had a great season and as the season heads towards the end game neither of these two teams has anything to play other than pride, they will not be making the playoffs and for many of the players it is countdown time, however, that does not mean that this game is a total dead rubber.

It does seem that the Rapids players have more or less given up, they have lost seven games in a row, they have scored just once in that sequence and conceded 22, that is bad, really bad.

Additionally, the Rapids have won just twice on the road in their last 35 MLS games, that is a desperate statistic.

The bottom line for me where the Rapids are concerned is that they are basically useless on the road and their current form is as bad as it gets, this is a team that just wants the season to come to an end in double quick time.

Minnesota did lose 5-1 away to Philadephia last week, however, they had won two and drawn one in their three MLS games before that collapse and overall their home form is rather good, they have won six of their last seven home games in the MLS losing just the once and they do at least give the impression that they want to win, especially in front of their home fans.

I simply cannot see the Rapids getting anything from this game, they basically cannot buy a goal on the road at the moment and they are playing a team that does at least care.

Home win all day for me and I am confident that United will be strong enough to cover the spread against a very poor away team.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The starting point for me in this game is that the Eagles almost always beat the Giants, simple as that.

The last eight games between these two since 2014 has seen 7 wins for the Eagles and a single win for the Giants, that is telling.

The games have tended to be close with the odd exception but even all the close games have seen the Eagles win by more than 1 point.

Now, obviously circumstance and context need to be taken into consideration, the Eagles have not been good this season, they are on a two-game losing run and as things stand they will struggle to make the playoffs nevermind defend their title.

That said, the Eagles are knocking on the door, they have had close losses this season and are not that far away from getting back on track.

The Giants, on the other hand, are not making the playoffs, that you can take to the bank, they are not that good a team, they were unlucky against the Panthers for sure, but that and the win over Houston are as good as it has got and there is no guarantee that it will get any better.

For me the Eagles are the better team, they have the psychological edge over the Giants and in my opinion are the better team and if they click tonight they will win and it should not take too much for them to get their groove back.

The Giants will be motivated for sure, it is the Eagles after all that they are facing but they are a limited team with a few exceptions and I just cannot see them getting anything from this game.

Eagles -1 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than a comfortable Seattle victory tonight.

Houston are woeful on the road, they have just four wins in the MLS from their last 33 away games, they have not won on the road in their last nine MLS games and that includes 7 direct losses and just 2 draws, this is one team that is utterly useless on the road.

Seattle at home is a little different, they have won 6 of their last 7 MLS home games and in the last 6 meetings between these two teams with Seattle at home since 2012 Houston have not scored once, not a single goal and the last time this fixture was played with Seattle at home they beat Houston 3-0.

There s simply no case to be made for the Dynamo and I am backing the Sounders not just to win this game but to win it comprehensively.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I believe there are good reasons to believe that this game will go over 51 points.

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees is on the verge of breaking a couple of historic NFL records but he is professional enough not to prioritise that and instead focus on the win but he would not be human and neither would his teams if that was not in their thinking and how they approach this match.

Then you have Washington who will be looking to break their Monday night hoodoo and who are fresh from a bye week and will feel confident that they can win this game and why not, they have put in at least two good performances this season from their three games.

It should also be noted that New Orleans love a high scoring game, certainly this season and while the Redskins have not as many high scoring games this season they are more than capable of racking up the points as they showed against Green Bay.

All things considered, I am going over 51 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I had been waiting for the Texans to finally burst into life and they did last week when they registered their first win of the season over the Colts, albeit in overtime but it showed an improvement from recent unfortunate losses.

The Cowboys themselves needed a last-second field goal to overcome the Lions and will be boosted by that win as much as the Texans will have been with their win.

The difference for me between these two teams is that I believe there is more to come from the Texans than the Cowboys, it will be a tightish game, probably low scoring but the Texans in their own stadium have more to show and I am positive they will do tonight.

I expect the Texans to win this game by at least five points and really get their season into gear.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this game is just too low for me and I am happy to go over 40.5 points.

The reason for the low spread is the Cardinals inability to put points on the board but they will be hoping that changes against the 49ers who hardly have a solid defence.

By the same token the 49ers, even when they lose, have not had that much trouble putting points on the board, they have put up 27 points in each of their last three games.

The bottom line for me is that I can see the Cardinals finally getting beyond 20 points against this 49ers defence and I see the 49ers remaining consistent and also putting up a minimum of 20 points.

Take over 40.5 pts

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a very close affair, neither team is living up to their billing and it is difficult to pick an outright winner, but what I am confident is that win or lose, the Vikings will be within 3 points for the Eagles.

The Vikings have been very hot and cold this season, their loss to the Bills was inexplicable, they are much better than that, their defence was supposed to be solid but that has been far from the case but they did run the Rams close last week and that was far closer to their ability than some of their previous results this season.

Same to some extent with the Eagles, they are 2-2 on the season and have to improve, today against the Vikings is a huge test for them and will tell us a lot about how their season will progress.

All things considered, we have two inconsistent teams that have a lot to prove, I expect a cagey affair with very little between them and therefore I am taking the Vikings on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This to me is a mismatch, I expect nothing less than a comprehensive win for the Rams and have them beating the Seahawks by at least 10 points.

The Rams are 4-0 this season, they are firing on all cylinders, they have scored a minimum of 33 points in each of their games and the nearest any team has got to them is 7 points the Vikings last week, previous to that their winning margins were 12,34,20

Seattle has not broken 24 points in any game this season, they may well be on a two-game winning run but neither Arizona or Dallas can be compared to the Rams.

The only advantage fo Seattle is that they have home advantage but that is minor in my opinion, they will not be able to contain the Rams offense and I cannot see their offense penetrating the Rams defence too often.

Rams -7.5 for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My patience with the Raiders has run out, they may well have beaten the Browns last week but they were very very lucky getting a controversial call that kept them in the game, they should be 0-4 and after a while you have to take the position that they are simply not as good as you hoped they would be.

The Chargers are 2-2 so far this season, they lost to the free-scoring Rams and Chiefs but made amends with wins over the Bills and 49ers and that is how I see the Chargers, a team that can beat mediocrity but lose to the better sides and unfortunately for the Raiders they are firmly in the mediocrity category.

The Raiders are just too inconsistent for me, they clearly miss Khalil Mack and are paying the price for trading him, the offense simply does not compliment Carr and I see them being outscored in this game by at least 5 points.

Take the Chargers -4.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

The spread on this game is a bit high but the truth is that it is justified, while Lyon has played well this season and should be respected they are a class below PSG who are going for their ninth domestic league win in a row.

PSG are at home and in their last five home games in all competitions they have scored 20 and conceded 3 and beaten every opponent by at least two goals and I see a repeat of that today.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jets got their season off to a flyer amassing 48 points in their first game but since then they have lost three on the bounce with a combined total of just 41 points, they have lost their way significantly and quarterback Darnold does not appear to have what it takes yet to drag them out of this slump.

The Broncos have hardly been the most consistent team either and are on a two-game losing streak but their performances have been better even in defeat and out of the Jets and the Broncos I have far more confidence that it is the Broncos that can bounce back from consecutive defeats than what I have in the Jets.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Considering where they came from the Browns continue to impress but they remain a very average side and questions have to be asked about their ability to see a game out.

The Ravens have a brilliant record against the Browns and even though this is not the same Browns we have seen over the last few seasons they are not yet on the same level as the Ravens, not in my opinion anyway.

The Browns were unfortunate against the Raiders for sure but even in that game to concede 45 points is not good.

The Ravens have won their last two on the bounce, they showed great character against the Steelers and they will prove to be too strong against the Browns, especially their defence who I fear with ship a load of points against this Ravens offense.

Ravens to win and cover the spread comfortably. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Chiefs offense has been on fire but their defence is suspect and despite racking up a huge total over their last four games they have never quite run away with a game and as soon as they face a team who can contain their offense to some degree I can see them losing and one of the teams that can do that is the Jaguars.

The Jaguars have had a decent start themselves and apart from the forgettable loss to Tennesse they have been impressive, only the Patriots have got to 20 points against them this season and providing their defence does what I expect them to do today they will beat the Chiefs, of that I am certain.

If their defence does not stand tall then they will struggle I admit, but I am confident that they will contain the Chiefs today.

Take the Jaguars +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bills are woeful and apart from their stunning win over the Vikings they have been thoroughly thrashed and I simply have zero confidence in them reproducing their performance over the Vikings anytime soon, in fact, that win for the Bills had far more to do with how poor the Vikings were than how good the Bills were.

All the Titans games have been close but to assume that every game they play will be close would be folly, they will take a beating I am sure this season but they will also hand one out and the Bills are the perfect candidates for that beating.

I am happy with the spread, I am very confident that the Titans are good enough to overrun a very poor Bills outfit and win this one in comfort.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game can go either way, I would not be surprised if either of these two emerged victorious and I simply cannot make a case for backing either the Falcons or the Steelers on the spreads, it would be just guesswork.

But it is not guesswork to believe that there will be a ton of points on the board.

Both teams are more than capable of racking the points up and both are more than capable of conceding a load of points as well, just look at the last three Falcon games, they have totalled 73, 80 and 55 points respectively and then look at the last three Steelers games 40, 57 and 79 points.

Point is these two have issues in both defence and offense and that tends to leads to high scoring games and I see very little reason for that to be any different today, not based on the respective performances of these two this season.

Take over 57.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Miami finally got found out last week, they were thoroughly beaten by the Patriots and while that in itself is not a huge surprise, the manner of the loss in front of their home fans was and it confirmed to me that the early season form of Miami is a little deceiving.

The Bengals are also 3-1 for the season but their performance last week showed their character, they were coming back from a loss to the Panthers, they have scored over 30 points in each of their three wins, something the Dolphins have not managed at all this season, they simply are the stronger team in my opinion.

The Dolphins offense is not the most potent and I have far more confidence in the Bengals defence restricting the Dolphins offense then I do in the Dolphins defence stopping the Bengals offense.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a comfortable win for the Bengals in front of their own fans.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

I cannot see anything but a Leipzig win, they are at home in front of their home fans playing a team that lost their last away game 7-0, though that was probably a one off it still indicates that promoted Nurnberg will struggle on the road this season.

Leipzig is looking for their third consecutive Bundesliga home win and Nurnberg are not the team to stop them

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Atalanta has been poor this season and are a far better side than results have shown so far, though they have had some positives at home and are up against a Sampdoria that have struggled on the road apart from one big win.

Atalanta has a great chance here to finally kick-start their season and I expect them to do just that.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Fiorentina is having a good season so far but no thanks to their away form which has been poor collecting just a single point, however, their opponents have been of high calibre and that has to be recognised.

Lazio have won their last two home games on the bounce and I am confident that they will continue that winning run in front of their home fans today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Bayer Leverkusen is better than results have shown, they blew a two goals lead against Dortmund and will be kicking themselves for that, they will be des[erate to make amends and against Freiburg that is what I expect them to do.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me is all about the home form of Montreal Impact against the away form of Columbus Crew.

Montreal has won seven of their last 12 home games, they have lost just once in that sequence and that was against Eastern Conference leaders Atlanta, they did lose their last game 5-0 away at DC United but that sort of defeat, which was a one-off in terms of the magnitude of the loss, will drive them to bounce back and make amends.

Columbus has won just twice in their last 14 away games, their recent form at home and away has been mixed but their only real positives have been when they have been at home, they have the odd draw away from home but overall they are a poor away side and are playing against a team with a good home record.

All things considered, I am taking Montreal to bounce back from their last game away thrashing and to put a smile back on their fans at home against poor travellers Columbus.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Yesterday news broke that Man Utd manager Jose Mourinho will be sacked after this game no matter the result and when you hear that the first thing you think is I am not touching that game but then today the Man Utd board come out and make it absolutely clear that the manager will not be sacked and that his job is secure and that puts this game back in play from a betting point of view and for very good reason.

Newcastle United are joint bottom in the Premier League, they have just two points from seven games, they are winless and unless something changes and changes soon they will be in a relegation dogfight come the end of the season. Their only points have come from 0-0 draws against Crystal Palace and Cardiff City, this is not a team in any sort of good form.

Now, Man Utd are in a mini-crisis for sure but lets get some perspective, they drew 0-0 at home to Valencia, they should have won and their performance was lacklustre for sure but it was still the Champions League and it was Valencia, they drew 1-1 at home to Wolves, again, they should have won but Wolves are playing very well at the moment, they lost to Derby at home in the league cup, no excuses, that was bad and they lost 3-1 away to West Ham, again, that was poor but they were away and West Ham had hit form for that game, in fact, they just came off a 3-1 away win at Everton, 0-0 draw with Chelsea and an 8-0 league cup win, that was the form West Ham were in.

So, yes, Man Utd's recent results have not been good but they go through these stages, they lost 3-0 to Tottenham at home then won their next three games.

My point is this, United are a good team, yes they are in crisis but they are playing one of the worst teams in the Premier League, a team in  more of a crisis than what United are, they are at home and if there was ever a game they needed at this time, it is this game.

Take Man Utd on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huddersfield are a poor team and will be relegated and I can say that with confidence after just seven games, they are rock bottom and have yet to register a win and have just two points from a possible 21 points and it is not as if they have played all the top teams, they haven't. They have played Man City, Chelsea and Tottenham but they have also played Cardiff, Everton, Crystal Palace and Leicester City and having just two points from that set of teams tells you all you need to know about their prospects this season.

Burnley started off very poorly but they were definitely better than those results indicated, a lot of their poor early season form had to do with playing in the Europa League but they are out of that tournament now and the upside of that is starting to show and they are now on a two-game winning run having beaten Bournemouth (home) 4-0 and Cardiff (away) 2-1.

Burnley now has their confidence restored and at home, against a team that cannot buy a win, they are my pick to win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham lost at home midweek against Barcelona 4-2 and was second best throughout but they remained competitive until that last minute fourth goal went in and despite that loss, it shows the level that Tottenham is at, just below the very best in world football.

Cardiff, on the other hand, are poor, they are joint bottom on points in the Premier League, they have zero wins this season in the league and have lost two of their away games by at least two goals with the other game being a 0-0 draw against the only team worse than them in the league, Huddersfield Town.

Chelsea beat Cardiff 4-1, Man City beat them 5-0 and that tells you how they perform against a top-four team, they did lose 3-2 to Arsenal as well but that was at home and Arsenal are not the team they once were, point being that when Cardiff play a top team they lose heavily, especially away from home.

The loss to Barcelona will not affect the confidence of Tottenham, they bounce back easily and a loss to Barcelona will hardly make them question their own ability, if anything, they will think they did well and with some luck may have landed a draw.

Tottenham have a great opportunity here to get all three points and get a comfortable win against a very poor team.

Tottenham does have some crucial injuries but they had the same injuries against Barcelona and have the players that can easily step in.

Tottenham all day long to win and I am of the opinion they will win by at least two goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund is on fire at the moment, they are beating everyone in their path and not just beating them, thrashing them. Let's look at their last three results, they beat Monaco 3-0 in the Champions League, they beat Bayer Leverkusen away 4-2 and Bayer Leverkusen were considered potential title challengers and they beat Nurnberg 7-0, yes 7-0. This is a team on a roll.

Augsburg did win their last game 4-1 against Freiburg but that was their first win in five games, they are a mid-table team and will try their hardest today for sure but they are away, they are playing the league leaders and they are playing a team that has scored 14 goals in just three games.

The only question for me today was, will Dortmund win by at least two goals and my answer is a categorical yes, they have the form, they have home field advantage and that is no small thing when you consider they play in front of 70000 people and they have the momentum.

Take Dortmund to win on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis on this pick today.

Take Toulouse on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis on this pick today.

Take Werder Bremen to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Colts scored 34 points and still lost against the Texans and that is how I see this match up going this evening.

I expect the Patriots to win but feel they will need to put up at least 30 points to do so, they may well beat the Colts by ten points or more, but I do see the Colts getting at least 20-25 points this evening and that will put them within striking range of the Patriots unless they score in excess of 30 points.

I know the Patriots were very impressive last week against the Dolphins and their defence, on the whole, had a great game but it would be folly to ignore their previous two games, both losses.

The Colts have had their share of disappointing performances as well but I expect more from them tonight against a team that has scored at least 34 points against them in their last five meetings.

The bottom line for me is that I see the Patriots winning and scoring in excess of 30 points and the Colts to score between 20-25 points which tells me that the total score will be in excess of 50 points.

Take Over 49.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSV were torn apart by the brilliance of Lionel Messi in their first Champions League game of the season away to Barcelona, they can at least take comfort in the fact that they will not be facing a player of that calibre when Inter Milan visit the Phillips Stadion today.

PSV are top of the Dutch league with seven wins from seven and that loss to Barcelona is not a fair reflection of who they really are, they are a good side and a very different performance is expected from them against Inter Milan, they enter this game on the back of three straight wins scoring 9 goals and conceding no goals and that run includes a 3-0 win over Ajax who last night drew 1-1 away at Bayern Munich.

Inter Milan was very lucky to beat Tottenham in their opening Champions League game, they did not deserve to get anything from that game and only the naivety and complacency of Tottenham allowed the Italians to get two late goals and snatch an undeserved win. Inter are on a four-game unbeaten run but they are not in the same class as Barcelona and as Tottenham showed in Italy Inter are vulnerable and PSV have the players, as well as home field advantage, to hand the Italian side a defeat.

I am backing PSV on the spreads and the worse case scenario is an Inter win, a draw sees stakes returned and for me, the most likely outcome is a PSV win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am surprised that Liverpool are such big favourites for this game and am taking Napoli to register the win in front of their home fans.

In preseason Liverpool defeated Napoli 5-0 and that may have something to do with the odds being as they are but any sensible person that bets know to ignore friendly results, they never have a bearing on competitive games and this is as competitive as it gets.

Liverpool are on fire, they were Champions League runners-up last season, they sit at the top of the Premier League and are unbeaten in the league, they beat PSG at Anfield in their first Champions League game this season, have no doubts they are a real top quality side, but so are Napoli.

Napoli are second in Serie A, they have won 20 of their last 25 home league games, losing just twice and that was against Juventus and Roma, domestically their home ground is a fortress, that was not always the case in the Champions league but last season they won three of their four home games in the Champions League losing only to Man City in a game that flattered City and are slowly turning the Stadio San Paolo into a fortress in Europe as well.

This Napoli side is more than capable of beating Liverpool, it will not be easy for sure, Liverpool are one of the best sides in Europe but the Italians are in excellent form themselves, they did lose at the weekend to Juventus but they were reduced to 10 men and Juventus at home are almost unbeatable these days.

With home advantage, great self-belief and in excellent form I am taking Napoli to beat Liverpool today, it will not be easy but the odds are such that it would be madness to miss such an opportunity.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Barcelona are not as formidable this season as they have been in previous seasons, they have not won in their last three domestic games and their last win was in the Champions League at home against PSV when they won 4-0 four games ago.

Tottenham are a top quality side, on their day they can beat anyone, they beat Real Madrid and Dortmund at home last season and they beat them comfortably, they were unlucky to be eliminated against Juventus and will kick themselves for not taking advantage of their superiority against the Italians. Tottenham are one of the best teams in England and are competitive with the best teams in Europe and anyone that watches them will know that they should have beaten Inter Milan in their opening game in the Champions League last time out.

Barcelona remains a world-class team, they have arguably the best player in the world in Lionel Messi, but they are beatable, especially away from home and in Tottenham, they are playing a team that is more than capable of beating them and they will know that.

Tottenham may be missing some key players but in Harry Kane, they have a world class striker and their whole team, just like Barcelona, is full of top quality players. Tottenham plays beautiful passing football and will not be dominated by Barcelona in the same way Barcelona dominates most teams.

I am backing Tottenham on the spread with a half ball start so a draw or win and this pick comes in and on balance I am far more confident that we will see a Tottenham win or draw than a Barcelona win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon are a good thing here at great odds and a definite back to beat Shakhtar Donetsk today.

Shakhtar are doing remarkable well domestically, they are top of the Ukrainian league having won nine of their ten league games so far this season, however, they lost away to their biggest rivals Dynamo Kyiv and drew away at Hoffenheim in the Champions League. What this shows me is that the minute they face quality opposition they lose or draw and it is very debatable if Hoffenheim and Dynamo Kyiv are considered real quality.

Lyon showed what real quality is when they beat Man City in this competition last time out, that is a real achievement, very few teams ever go to City and win. Lyon have been a bit sketchy in Ligue 1 in France but the French league is a far stronger league than the Ukrainian league and they enter this game on the back of a four-match unbeaten run. Lyon have won nine of their last 11 league home games in Ligue 1 and the only reservation I have with them is that they have an appalling home record in the Champions League but they have a fantastic opportunity here to build on their win over Man City and I am certain they will not squander it.

All things considered, I am going for Lyon on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A lot has been made of the turmoil at United but I expect to see a very different United team tonight than what we saw against West Ham at the weekend.

This is the second time this season that there has been media hysteria over United, when Tottenham thrashed them 3-0 at Old Trafford everyone thought that manager Jose Mourinho days were numbered and that he had lost the team and so on, well, they then went on a three-game winning run, all away, including a 3-0 win at Young Boys in the Champions League. It really is a case of deja vu and just like last time United were supposedly in crisis, I expect them to come through it and they surely will with a nice win over Valencia tonight.

Valencia is hardly in great shape themselves, they registered their first league win of the season last weekend and sit 14th in La Liga after 7 games, they lost their opening Champions League match 2-0 to Juventus, on the face of that is not a disaster because it is Juventus but then you have take into consideration that Juventus were down to 10 men after Ronaldo got sent off and Valencia were the home team.

Basically, Valencia is having a worse season than United, they have just one win all season long domestically and in Europe and man for man are an inferior team to United.

United have home advantage, they have a world class manager and world-class players and while there is turmoil there, that cannot be ignored, they will be motivated for this game, it is Champions League after all and I cannot see anything other than a United win and probably by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Kansas City is on fire, prior to yesterdays games they were the top scorers in the NFL, in Patrick Mahomes they have a young record-breaking quarterback who is playing with maximum confidence, they have battered every defence they have come up against so far and there is every reason to think that will continue, however, if they do have one vulnerability it is their own defence.

The Broncos came down with a bump last week against the Ravens after winning their opening two games and their wins over Oakland and Seattle were a bit scrappy and fortunate, they will be looking to Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman to hurt the Chiefs defence and hope that quarterback Case Keenum will cut down on the interceptions.

There are too many questions about both the Broncos defence and offense to be answered and there would need to be a dramatic change on too many levels for me to have any confidence in backing the Broncos.

Kansas also have some questions to answer, especially with their defence, however, their offense is so potent that it masks a lot of their defences deficiencies and unlike the Broncos they have much less to get right to be at their best.

All things considered, I am going with the Chiefs to win and to beat the Broncos by at least four clear points and cover the spread. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sampdoria's home record this season is mixed with one win, one draw and one loss, however, their opposition has been quality and against opponents more on their level they do much better including against the likes of SPAL who they beat 2-0 last season in this corresponding fixture.

SPAL away record is not the most impressive with just four wins from 22 games since they got promoted to Serie A last season, they have had a share of draws for sure but 12 losses gives a very clear indication of their limitations when on the road.

SPAL has lost two in a row now and after an encouraging start reality is starting to hit home, Sampdoria have come down to earth a little since their impressive 3-0 win over Napoli but back at home, they will be confident of registering their first win in four games following two draws and a loss.

This is a game that Sampdoria needs to win if they want to finish in the top half of the table and with home advantage against a team with a poor away record I am very confident they will do just that.

Take Sampdoria to win outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Games between these two tend to be close and that may well be the case today and under that scenario, the Ravens are definitely worth taking on the spreads at +3.

That said, I actually feel that the Ravens will win this one outright but it makes more sense to take the safety first route and do the spreads.

The offenses for both sides are potent for sure and their defences are strong but the Steelers have seemed a little shaky so far this season, they scraped by the Bucs when they should have won it easier, they tied with the Browns and were lucky to do so and overall even when they have had a positive result they have not been convincing.

The Ravens have looked more steady, they lost to the Bengals but were awesome against the Bills and clinical against the Broncos.

All things considered, it is the Ravens +3 for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Sporting Kansas City to comfortably beat Real Salt Lake this evening.

Kansas has a very good home record, all things considered, they have won their last three home games without conceding a single goal in the MLS, they have lost just once in their last 13 home games and won seven of their last ten, by anyone's standards that is decent.

Compare that to the away record of Real Salt Lake who have registered just three wins in their last 19 away games and the last time they played Kansas at Kansas they lost 3-0.

I cannot see anything other than a home win here and the only question for me was how many goals would Kansas win by and I am of the opinion that they will win by at least two goals.

Take Sporting Kansas City -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am very surprised at how close the spread is between these two, I have the Saints as clear winners in this matchup and by as many as 10 points.

That may well seem extreme but the Giants are a poor side, they have almost no chance of getting close to the playoffs, they are a low scoring team and their defence is always vulnerable.

The same can be said about the Saints defence for sure but their offense is a lot more potent than the Giants and I cannot see the Giants defence keeping the Saints at bay.

For me, this is a one-sided match-up and I am all over the Saints on this one and they are my pick of the day. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders will know for sure they have serious issues if they fail to beat the Browns today.

I know the Browns finally got a win against the Jets and that they held the Steelers but let's not kid ourselves here they are a very poor team and are a long way from becoming competitive.

The Raiders have to some extent been unlucky but generally, they have been poor and this game represents the perfect opportunity for them to finally get a win and possibly give their season a boost.

 I expect the Browns to be competitive to a point but I cannot see anything but a Raiders win and by at least three points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Cardinals are winless so far but now that they will not start with Bradford and will be going with Josh Rosen at Quarterback I am confident we will see a very different offense to the seriously bad one we have seen so far.

The Seahawks have not been much better to be fair, they did win last week to get their first win of the season but they are hardly an inspiring outfit and are not exactly renowned for racking up the points.

I am not 100% confident in picking an outright winner between these two but with a 3.5 point start on the spreads, I am confident that the Cardinals will prove to be a winning pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When you first look at the names AC Milan and Sassuolo it is easy to draw the conclusion that Milan is a given, but that is not the case these days.

Sassuolo are third while AC Milan is 13th in the standings and the season may be just a few games old (6 games for Sassuolo, 5 for AC Milan) but it does give a clear indication of recent form for both teams.

Sassuolo has won all their home games this season including a 1-0 win over Inter Milan and they have lost just the once and that was against leaders Juventus.

AC Milan has drawn two and lost one of their three away games and overall have just the one win in five Serie A games so far this season.

So, it is clear that Sassuolo is the form team and with home advantage and the spread in their favour they are a must pick for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Lions will have been lifted massively by their impressive win over the Patriots last week and I expect that to flow into this game against an uninspiring Cowboys.

I was actually tempted to back the Lions outright but have decided to go safety first and back them receiving 3 on the spread.

The Lions did have a poor start but the win last week showed what they can do and unless they revert back to their early season form I expect another disciplined performance from them today.

The Cowboys just do not inspire me, they play like a team that already knows they will not be making the playoffs and when a team is like that it generally pays to oppose them.

For me, this will be a tight low scoring game with the Lions just edging it.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bills pulled off a stunning win last week over the Vikings, I thought they would get thrashed but they proved that they still have life in them after an appalling start to the season.

The Green Bays are in effect a one-man team, if Rodgers plays bad so do the Packers, that may be a bit too simple an analysis of them but it is factual and the stats back that up.

The Bills can get points against this Packers outfit and of course, Green Bay are more than capable of amassing a nice total against this Bills team and all that tells me that we will see a good chunk of points in this game.

I expect the Packers to win and even if they win by a wide margin I still see the Bills getting between 17 and 24 points and that will be more than enough to see the Total exceed 44 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has over written all over it.

My analysis in fact has this game going over 60 points and I have both teams clearing 30 points with the Falcons edging it.

It was a toss up for me between doing the Falcons on the spread but the better value and more sure pick is the over market.

Over their last two games the Falcons have really racked up the points and both those games easily cleared the over total and all three of the Bengals games this season have gone over.

Take over 53 points.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Colts have been very unlucky in their losses this season and will feel especially aggrieved at losing to the Eagles last week.

The Texans have also had their fair share of bad luck and they must be shaking their heads at losing the first three games of their season.

The problem for the Texans is that they start slow and keep giving up penalties and turnovers unnecessarily and it will take a significant turnaround from them to overcome all those issues in one single game.

Despite losing last week the Colts should take some belief from that loss to the Eagles, they lead for most of the game and know that if they play the same way this week with a little more concentration they will win.

I am taking the Colts +1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Dolphins are 3-0 while the Patriots are 1-2 and in all fairness that is a fair reflection of where the teams are at after three games.

The Patriots lost for the second time in a row after the loss to the Lions last week and they never ever looked like they would get anything from that game, they are a shadow of the team they were last season and until there is an improvement it is hard to back them with any confidence.

Of course, New England are at home and they have the players that can turn their season around but they are facing a Dolphins outfit with maximum confidence and even if they do manage to win I do not see them winning by more than six points.

All things considered, I am backing the Dolphins +6.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars all day long for me.

I have the Jags winning this by at least 10 points and am happy to take them -7.

The Jaguars did let themselves down badly against the Titans last week but they showed against the Patriots what they are really capable of and they remain genuine Superbowl contenders, you can expect them to bounce back significantly this week.

The Jets are not contenders for the Superbowl, that you can take to the bank, they have lost their last two on the bounce including to the Browns, I mean, who loses to the Browns? OK, that is cruel, the Browns are massively improved and it was just a matter of time before they won but we are still talking about one of the poorest sides out there.

The Jags should win this one with ease.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This has all the makings of a tight game between two good teams.

The Bears are unlucky not to be 3-0, their confidence is growing with each game and with Khalil Mack on board, they are frightening the hell out of every offense they face.

Tampa Bay has shown already this season that they are not a team to take lightly and deservedly have a 2-1 record and they are in the fortunate position of having two good quarterbacks available to choose from.

The Bears have the momentum but it would be a mistake to underestimate the Bucs, I see both teams scoring well today with both putting in excess of 20 points on the board, the only fly in the ointment is, of course, Mack but even with him in the side, the Bucs have the firepower to get a decent amount of points.

Take over 46 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Titans have put in two fantastic performances over their two games but I feel that the Eagles is just one team too far for them.

The Eagles have Wentz back and he shook the cobwebs off last week, I expect him to seriously get back into his groove today and be very effective.

The Titans have been a surprise so far and they can thank their defence for that, their performance against the Jaguars was impressive but if Wentz clicks today, as I expect him to, they will be under the hammer a lot.

Take the Wentz inspired Eagles to win by at least 3 today.

Stake - 2pts