All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me hangs on Parma having home advantage and the appallingly bad away record of Empoli.

Empoli has won just three away games from their last 30, that is very poor, they have lost four of their last five with just one draw and so far this season have lost two and drawn one on the road, they are 4th bottom and will be facing a fight against relegation.

Parma are not exactly world beaters, far from it but they are steady at home, so far this season they have one win, one draw and one loss at home but that loss was a narrow 2-1 defeat at the hands of Juventus and they did beat Inter Milan on the road.

This is a great opportunity for Parma to grab all three points at the hands of a very poor away side.

I am backing them on the spreads so only an outright loss will see a loss of stakes, whereas a draw will see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My only overs pick today and there are very good reasons to feel confident these two teams will deliver.

Three of the five Augsburg games this season have gone over 2.5 goals and one of those that did not was a 1-1 draw with Bayern Munich, a game that they spent 90% defending and on any other day would have conceded far more.

Three of the five Freiburg games this season in the Bundesliga have also gone over 2.5 goals including both their away games.

So, both teams are on 60% over 2.5 goals and this game last season between these two teams had six goals in it.

Overall I am far more confident in this game being over 2.5 goals than I am in either team winning or the game being below 2.5 goals.

Take over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Third-bottom Eintracht Frankfurt faces off against bottom side Hannover with both teams desperate for the win to kick-start their season.

Frankfurt has a clear edge over their opponents, they have beaten them the last five times they have met including 1-0 in this fixture last season.

Hannover has not won away in their last 15 Bundesliga road games, they have lost their last two away games and overall are very poor on the road.

Frankfurt have not done great at home so far this season but they have had to face Leipzig and Werder Bremen, two very difficult teams and managed just the one draw, however, their overall home record is quite solid, before this recent run of just one win in five at home they went ten games unbeaten at home registering seven wins, put it this way, their home record is far superior to Hannover's away record over the last 15 games in the Bundesliga.

Frankfurt on the spreads for me. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chievo are winless this season and are actually on minus points due to punishment from Serie A, they have lost four and drawn two games and only one of those draws were at home, they have failed to score in their last two home games and three of their last four games overall, though they did have an impressive 2-2 draw with Roma away.

Torino have drawn all three of their away games this season including draws at both Inter Milan and Atalanta, two teams far superior to Chievo. They have lost twice this season, to Napoli and Roma but they have had a very tough early season schedule and today's opponents are the easiest they have had to face to date.

Chievo are a poor side and will struggle against Relegation this season, Torino are a better side and will climb up the table and a win is well within their grasp today.

Take Torino on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have lost faith in Atalanta, they have cost me recently and are not the team they were last season, that is very evident from their performances so far this season.

Fiorentina has a mixed record but not at home, at home they are solid, they have won all three home games so far this season with a total of ten goals scored and just the one conceded, they carry on like that and their stadium will become a fortress.

Atalanta have the capability to be a top team but they just are not showing it consistently enough, they have not won in five away games now and even lost to SPAL 2-0, this is not a team to back on the road with any confidence.

Take Fiorentina to win on the spreads.

Stake - 12pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game this in Germany between two fairly matched teams but with home advantage, I am taking Bayer Leverkusen to win and at worse, not to lose this game.

Dortmund will go top today with a win and so the incentive is right there, they won 7-0 last time out in the Bundesliga and are in fine form but their away form in the league is not good, they have drawn both their away games this season and are now winless in their last 7 road games in the league stretching back to last season.

Bayer Leverkusen had a bad start this season but have bounced back into form nicely over the last couple of weeks, they are as much title contenders as what Dortmund are and enter this game with as much confidence as what their opponents do.

Considering Dortmund's poor away form and Bayer Leverkusen's recent form I am going with the home side on the spreads today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game this between first and third in the Premier League.

You can ignore the midweek cup result between these two teams, it will have no bearing on this game other than a possible phycological effect but even that will be minimal.

Home advantage is significant for me here because there is little to choose between these two, Liverpool have won every single league game and are in magnificent form but Chelsea are also unbeaten and have won five of their six league games and drawn the other, again, very little between the pair.

If Liverpool are to be found out it will be on the road and most likely against one of the top six side in the Premier League and Chelsea certainly fit the bill, they have quality players and in Eden Hazard a world class player, they can match Liverpool man to man.

This will be a tight game for sure and because both sides are so evenly matched it is the smallest of advantages that will make a difference and that is with Chelsea as the home side.

Take Chelsea on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham got back to winning ways last weekend and it was on the road against Brighton, a team that is very hard to beat on their home ground.

Huddersfield are winless this season and sit bottom of the table with just two points from a possible 18, they are in a slump right now and it is hard to see that changing against a very good Tottenham side.

Tottenham have been unlucky in front of the goal but even so, with the talent they have, they should beat Huddersfield today and probably by at least a couple of goals.

Take Tottenham -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves have been brilliant this season, they have lost just once in their six Premier League games this season, they have held both Man Utd and Man City to draws and been very impressive and not just with results but with the way they play.

Southampton have been their usual inconsistent selves, they have won just once all season and have played like the mediocre side that they are and having watched both Southampton and Wolves this season I am convinced that Wolves will not only win this game but will dominate their opponents totally.

A confident Wolves pick for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Werder Bremen to grab the win against a poor Stuttgart side.

Stuttgart are second bottom in the Bundesliga and have yet to register a win in five league games this season, their confidence is at rock bottom and it will be a dramatic shift in form if they were to win this one.

By contrast, Werder are in great shape, they have won both their road games this season and are unbeaten with three wins and two draws to their name so far.

I know that Stuttgart have home advantage but the respective home and away form of these teams shows that Werder have been performing much better and I am confident that will continue today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Interesting game.

Monaco are much better than their recent results have shown but until they improve it is very risky to back them with any confidence.

St Etienne are doing much better, they have lost just once this season in Ligue 1 in the 7 games played so far and that was against the best team in France, PSG.

So, on form you have to side with St Etienne but as stated earlier, Monaco is better than they have shown and it is just a matter of time before they improve.

I cannot really pick between the two teams because of the uncertainty that surrounds Monaco but what I am sure of is that there will be goals.

Two of the three St Etienne's home games this season have been over 2.75 goals and their last three Ligue 1 games have all been over 2.75 goals.

With regards to Monaco their overall record has not been great, however, their away record does show that on a regular basis their games go over 2.75 goals, 6 of their last 7 road games in the French league have all gone over 2.75 goals.

Considering that St Etienne are the home side and in form, I do expect them to find the net at least once, if not more and because Monaco is desperate for points and even more desperate for a win then I fully expect them to be attack-minded and to also go for goals.

Everything about this game says goals and that is my pick in this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Based on last week it should be a given that the Rams will hammer the Vikings and easily cover the spread but I see last week in isolation when it comes to the Vikings, they are so much better than the debacle on display against the Bills and I expect so much more from them this week.

The Rams are of course on fire, they are thrashing whoever they face, they are one formidable outfit and only a few teams are capable of taking them on and I believe that the Vikings are one of those teams, not the Viking team from last week but the Viking team I know that is capable of matching the Rams.

The Rams will be weakened defensively this week and while they will still be strong it does mean there will be some vulnerabilities and they did concede 23 points last week, so it is not impenetrable.

The Rams will probably win but I do not see them covering the spread, the Vikings will perform much better this week and the Rams will be weakened defensively and if the Vikings get their act together in defence they will contain the frightening Rams offense to some degree.

Take the Vikings +7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither of these two is doing great right now but Atalanta has shown signs that they are getting back to their best and their 2-2 draw at the weekend away to Milan is confirmation of that.

Atalanta did lose their last home game against Cagliari but they beat Frosinone 4-0 prior to that and at the end of last season took care of Torino 2-1.

Torino is a poor away said as 3 wins from their last 18 away games testifies, they do draw the odd one but overall they are not the most formidable visitors and if Atalanta plays as they did against Milan they will win.

Atalanta for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leipzig are a good side who have had a stuttering start to this campaign but they have the potential to improve significantly and a win today in front of their home fans will certainly boost their faltering season.

Stuttgart are also a decent side, they only finished 2 points behind Leipzig last season and like Leipzig are having a mixed start to this season but apart from a burst at end of last season they are generally a poor away side, they have picked up just the single point from their opening two away games this season and I do not see any signs that their away form is set to get better any time soon.

Leipzig are unbeaten so far this season, whereas Stuttgart are winless and with home advantage, I am backing Leipzig to collect all three points today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lazio is on fire right now, they lost their opening two Serie A games this season but have now won their last three on the bounce and those two early losses were against the two best teams in Italy, Juventus and Napoli.

Udinese is doing ok, they are just a point behind Lazio but their results have been mixed and their form over the last three games is nowhere near as good as Lazio, registering one win, one loss and one draw.

On current form, Lazio has the edge and even with home advantage, I cannot see Udinese stopping the Lazio steamroller right now.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bayer Leverkusen are finally starting to play to form after a horrendous start to the season, some pundits even had them as contenders for the title at the start of the season but their opening games have been a massive disappointment but they have now won their last two games, one in the Bundesliga and one in the Europa League and if they continue playing as they have done in those two games then we will see the real very dangerous Bayer Leverkusen and that will be bad news for Fortuna.

Promoted Fortuna have done ok considering their lack of quality, they have lost just the once, drawn twice and won once since being promoted from Bundesliga 2 but they are going to struggle all season, they are limited and while they are doing ok in context of their limited abilities they simply do not have the squad to avoid a relegation battle this season.

This game all depends on Bayer Leverkusen, if they play as they have done in their last two games then they will win, if they revert to their earlier form then they will not win. I am confident that now they have started playing to their true level that they will continue to do so and that they will beat Fortuna today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tampa for the win for me.

Pittsburgh are in a mess and have yet to register a win in their opening two games, whereas the Bucs are 2-0 and have a quarterback in excellent form.

I just cannot see enough of an improvement coming from the Steelers to get the win, their confidence is low and that is in stark contrast to Tampa who are flying on all levels right now.

Take Tampa +1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Patriots to bounce back from their humbling at the hands of the Jaguars and record a nice win against the Lions today.

The Lions have lost both their opening games and while they were close to the 49ers last week they were thoroughly trounced against the Jets and up against a New England side looking to bounce back I fear they could be on the end of another big beating today.

Taking the Patriots -6.5 is a no-brainer for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Basically what we have here is an Arizona Cardinals offense that is not firing and a Chicago Bears defence that is formidable.

I just cannot see the Cardinals getting any joy from their offense today, not against this Bears defence and that leads me to the simple conclusion that the Bears will win, the only question for me was will they cover the spread and the answer was yes.

Take the Bears -5.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This has low scoring game written all over it.

Both teams are poor and if it was not for the opposition consistently scoring high against the Seahawks there would always be low scores in their games while the Cowboys have regularly been featuring in low scoring games recently.

Neither of these two offenses fills me with confidence and I am happy to go with under 41 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Rams are something special and are genuine SuperBowl contenders and I have them winning this one by at least 10 points.

They have won both their opening games easily beating the spread both times and I see absolutely o reason why they will not do the same against the Chargers.

A case sort of can be made for the Chargers but the truth is that the Rams are simply a far better team and that will show today.

Rams -7 for me

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game for both sides and I am going with Lyon to scrape the win.

Lyon will be full of themselves after beating Man City in the Champions League in midweek, that was a tremendous performance and will set them up perfectly for this game.

Lyon, generally speaking, is a very good home side, they did lose to Nice at home last time out but previously to that they had won 8 in a row over this season and last season and had beaten both Marseille and PSG at home last season.

Marseille will not be walkovers and this will be a very tight game but with home advantage and confidence at a very high level, it is Lyon for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than an Eagles win but I do not see them winning by 7 or more points.

A lot will be made about the return of Wentz for the Eagles and if he is on his A game then maybe I would have gone with the Eagles -7 but I am not that sure about his sharpness and the Colts defence was impressive last week.

Eagles will probably win but not by 7 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bengals are on a roll and even with injuries starting to stack up I see them running the inconsistent Panthers team very close today and would not be at all surprised if they end up winning the game outright.

The spread is +3 for the Bengals and that for me is a gift and one I am more than happy to accept.

Take the Bengals +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars are very impressive and they showed last week that they are the real deal and they are more than deserved favourites for this game, however, I cannot see them winning by 10 points.

The Titans beat the spread easily last week and have been underestimated and while I fully expect the Jaguars to be convincing winners, 10 points is a stretch for me.

Take the Titans +10

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game the Falcons came out on top for me by 5 points and so the spread being available at -1.5 is a given for me.

The Saints were heavy favourites against the Browns and were lucky to win the game while the Falcons dispatched Carolina with some comfort.

Unless the Saints improve significantly then it is a Falcons win for me. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have this game going over 50 points and with the Totals being over 46.5 points then it did not need a rocket scientist to convince me that the best pick in this matchup was over 46.5 points.

Both teams are more than capable of racking up the points and their respective defences have shown some vulnerabilities.

All things considered, I am confident we will see a points fest.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders have been slightly unlucky so far this season and were very unfortunate last week to lose to Denver and I expect more from them this week.

The Dolphins have been punching above their weight in my opinion and it is just a matter of time before they are found wanting and for me that will be this game.

Take the Raiders +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have to be honest and say that for me, the Packers are basically a one-man team, not literally of course, they do have some quality players but if Rodgers underperforms so do they, it is as simple as that and with the injury he is still probably carrying then it remains up in the air what Packers team we will see today.

The Redskins do not impress me too much either but they are more than capable of getting points on the board against the Packers defence and with the Packers obviously being potent in offense with Rodgers then to me, over 45 points is a given.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Vikings will win this and win by a big score, the Bills are as poor as they come and the Vikings will have a field day today but I was not sure whether they would beat the huge spread but I am convinced that this game will go over 41 points.

I do see the Bills getting some points on the board and my analysis has them getting between 15 points and 20 and the Vikings between 30 and 35 points and so on balance over 41 points slightly edges the Vikings beating the spreads.

Take over 41 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing AC Milan to get the win today against Atalanta.

Both teams have had a stuttering start to the season but overall AC Milan are a much better home side than Atalanta are away, Milan beat Roma last time out on their own ground and overall there are signs that Milan is starting to return to a competitive state.

Atalanta is a decent team but they are vulnerable away from home and I see them struggling to get anything from this game against a team that is looking better than it has in a while.

Take Milan -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This looks like it could be a very exciting game and while the advantage is clearly with Arsenal I am of the opinion that it is a stretch to have them win by two goals.

Arsenal seems incapable of keeping a clean sheet and while that is the case they will struggle to win comfortably and will always be vulnerable to dropping points, they conceded 2 goals to a poor team in the Europa League (Vorskla) midweek and while they did win that game it is still a huge worry.

Everton was woeful against West Ham last week and I expect to see an improvement, I simply do not see them playing that bad again and at the very worse I see them losing by a maximum of 1 goal and a draw would not surprise me.

All things considered, I am backing Everton +1.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have had a terrible start to the season and they need to start picking up more points and quick and that will dictate how they approach this game.

I simply cannot see any sort of negative play today, both will attack and as soon as one goes ahead the other side will go all out to get back in the game, they simply cannot keep dropping points.

All things considered, I see goals and am confident we will see at least three goals in this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Roma win today.

They are the better team and even though Bologna has the home advantage I am of the opinion that will not be enough for them today.

Bologna have lost their last four home Serie A games this season and at end of last season and Roma have lost just once on the road since last December and that was against AC Milan last week.

Roma win for me all day long

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A bitter clash between two teams that despise each other and an intriguing game awaits us.

Chelsea has the form and the players to win this easily but that is not what happens in these sort of games.

Local derbies tend to throw form out of the window and when you consider that West Ham played very well away against Everton last week and have home advantage then it would be unwise to dismiss them out of hand.

This will be a passionate affair and anything can happen and the bottom line for me was, will Chelsea win by two goals and my answer is no, at best they will win by a single goal and there is a strong chance that this could end in a draw.

The safest pick is West Ham +1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The odds on Sampdoria winning are very wrong in my opinion and I am very happy to snap up the price on offer.

Inter were very lucky to win midweek against English side Tottenham and were outplayed on their home ground for 80 minutes, they are nowhere near as strong as they once were and are definitely beatable.

Sampdoria is not the best Italian side for sure but they are capabale of beating any team on their own ground, just ask Napoli and their recent league form has been impressive.

It will not be easy for Sampdoria for sure, but the odds are just crazy for a team that beat Napoli 3-0 and are well worth backing.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huddersfield are a poor team in my opinion, they will be in the relegation dogfight come the end of the season and a defeat today at Leicester City will confirm my worst suspicions about them.

Leicester have been somewhat inconsistent this season but in front of their own fans, I fully expect them to pick up all three points.

Home win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves are having a great start and their performance last week against Burnley really impressed me, they should have won by more and they will be a handful today for Man Utd.

United are obviously top quality, they appear to be back to form and will be looking to take all three points today and they may well do but I do not see them keeping a clean sheet and that is why I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Chances are United will win but it would not surprise me if Wolves shocked United either, but regardless, I see both teams scoring at least once and over 2.5 goals being the bare minimum today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Burnley are rock bottom and have had a dreadful start to the season, confidence is low but they are better than they have shown and I am confident that once they start winning they will drag themselves out of the relegation zone.

Bournemouth are doing very well and in direct contrast to Burnely their confidence is very high but the truth is that they are vulnerable away and are a limited side, they will gradually fall down the table and though I expect them to avoid relegation I cannot see them maintaining their form all season long.

Burnley are ridiculous odds with home advantage against an average team and I am going with the home side to get all three points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hard for me to see anything other than a Crystal Palace win today.

Newcastle have been unlucky that is true but you cannot avoid the fact that they are consistently dropping points even though they have had some very tough games so far, their confidence is low, whereas Palace's confidence is growing and with home advantage, they will be very confident they will pick up all three points.

It will not be a walkover for Palace and Newcastle will be competitive but they lack that cutting edge and I take Palace to scrape a narrow win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hoffenheim will not be easy to defeat, especially at home but Dortmund have the capabilities to do just that.

Dortmund will be title contenders this season and this is the exact sort of match they will need to win if their title challenge is to be credible, they have started the season decently and this competitive game is what they need right now to give them that belief that they can challenge Bayern Munich this season.

Dortmund win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Watford have lost just the once in the Premier League this season and that was against Man Utd, they have beaten Tottenham and currently sit 4th in the standings, in better words they have had a brilliant start to their campaign.

Fulham are not doing as well but they have been competitive apart from their humbling at the hands of Man City and will be far from walkovers, especially on their home ground.

Both these teams are evenly matched with Fulham being at home, if it was at Watford then I would plump for Watford but at Fulham, it is a lot more difficult to pick out a winner.

However, one thing that does stand out for me is that in the last four Premier League games for both sides the games have finished with at least 3 goals, that tells me they both know how to score but have vulnerable defences and having watched both teams this season what is clear is that neither side plays negative football and both will go for the win today.

All things considered, the best bet is to back over 2.75 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Browns have been extremely unlucky n their opening two games and it is just a matter of time before they break their 19 games winless streak. They are a far better outfit this season than last, they have a belief and determination that has previously been absent and have already proven this season that they will be a match for anyone.

The jury is still out on the Jets, they were impressive in their opening game but were found wanting against Miami, Sam Darnold is a rough diamond and despite some serious inexperience, he was still able to pull off some impressive plays and far more is to come from him and that will only benefit the Jets.

The stats point to under I admit but that is not taking into consideration that Cleveland is vastly improved and that the Jets could be anything under their young quarterback.

This game is set up to be a high scoring affair, if Darnold and the Jets click and the Browns continue with their improved form then this game will be closer to 50 points then 40 in my opinion.

I am confidently taking over 40.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This matchup between the Seahawks and Bears has all the hallmark of being a very close game.

Both teams had narrow losses last week with the Bears especially unlucky to lose to an Aaron Rodgers inspired comeback against the Green Bay Packers.

The Seahawks just could not hold on against the Broncos and will feel disappointed in the ending to that game.

I can understand why the totals are low with the likes of Khalil Mack on the field and no doubt he will play a pivotal role but the bottom line for me is that I see both teams getting over 20 points and if that happens then going over 42 points is nailed on.

I am not sure about the spread but I am sure that this game will result in over 42 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

This really does look like it will be a low scoring game, both teams do not inspire offensively and I just cannot see there being a load of TD's, not with these two teams and under 42.5 points looks a safe pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am backing the Jaguars to get their revenge against the Patriots and record an outright win today. It is not often I go outright on the NFL but on this occasion I feel it is justified, I do not feel that the Patriots are as strong as in previous seasons and they are there for the taking and with home advantage and huge motivation backing the Jaguars outright and not on the spreads at better odds is the sensible pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

The Raiders were a slight disappointment last week and Derek Carr is far better than what he showed in the loss to the Rams, I expect him to bounce back today and even though the Broncos are rightfully favourites and will most likely win, I think a 7 point spread is too high

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

The Rams are going to win this one but the spread was just too tricky for me, do I think they can win by 14 points? Yes, am I very confident they will? No, and that was the dilemma.

For me, there is much more chance of this game going over 44.5 points than a ridiculous high win for the Rams.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I cannot see anything other than a 49ers win and the only question for me was do I believe that they will beat the Lions by 6 points or more and the answer is yes, I actually think they will beat them by at least 10 points and so this pick is a solid one for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am very confident that the Chargers will beat the Bills in some comfort and cover the 7 point spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

This matchup has under written all over it and that is how I will be playing this game between the Panthers and Falcons.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I see this being a high scoring game with the Redskins probably running out the winners. I have both teams scoring highly in this game and over 48 points looks a good bet.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

For a whole host of reasons this game looks like it will be very tight and even on the outrights I leaned towards the Titans and so getting a 3.5 start they are a must back pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

It is the Jets for me, I was very impressed by Darnold last week, especially after a horrendous start, he showed maturity and some inexperience but came through with flying colors and he will get better with every game. The Dolphins will be competitive but I do not feel they have enough in the tank to be within 3 points of the Jets

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

Vikings all day long for me in this one even if Rodgers takes the field for the Packers, The Vikings are one of the teams I see having a great season whereas the Packers seem over-reliant on Rodgers and I expect that to show today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I know the stats back the Steelers but my confidence in them has taken a knock and while they may scrape the win today I do not see them covering the spread, I expect the Chiefs to be a lot closer to them than most people think and would not be surprised if they did actually win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

This was a tricky one for me, I was tempted to go with the Eagles but my confidence in them is not rock solid and I am much more confident that we will have a high scoring game, I can see both teams going above 20 points and one of them, if not both, going above 25 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I have to admit I was impressed by the Browns last week and I fully expect them to have a better season than most people think, they were unlucky to not record a win in a very long time last week and while they are probably not going to beat the Saints to make them 10 point underdogs is an insult.

The Browns +10 is my pick of the week.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am backing Real Valladolid to beat Alaves today

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am backing Everton to collect all three points against a weak West Ham United.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am going with Torino to win outright against Udinese today.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sampdoria will enter this game in a very positive mood, they thrashed Napoli 3-0 last time out and will use that win to kick-start their season and nothing less than a win against lowly Frosinone will be acceptable. The idea that they can beat Napoli and then lose to Frosinone will be unthinkable to them and rightfully so, this is a massive opportunity for them to make a statement and they will not want to waste it.

Frosinone do have home advantage and will not be walkovers but they are a poor side really, they will battle against relegation this season, they are a promoted side that only managed to gain that promotion via the playoffs and a very long tough season awaits them.

All things being equal Sampdoria really should leave this game with all three points and I am convinced that will be the case.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Valencia have had a poor start to the season collecting just 2 points from a possible 9, that is not what they expected and know they must do better, they had hopes of competing for a champions league spot this season and they have done themselves no favours with the start they have endured.

Real Betis enter this game on a high following their 1-0 home win over local rivals Sevilla but they are a limited side, they know that the best they can hope for this season is a mid-table finish and despite the win over Sevilla will be found wanting more often than not.

Valencia are at home, they are better than their recent results and the international break will have given them a chance to take stock and get their act together, they know that they should be beating Real Betis and will enter this game in a very determined mood. Real Betis will start confidently but as the game progresses I expect them to fall back defensively and that Valencia will be dominant for the vast majority of the game.

Take Valencia to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Under normal circumstances, I would go for a Man Utd win but these are not normal circumstances.

United have lost 2 of their opening 4 games this season, away to Brighton and at home to Tottenham conceding 3 goals in each of those losses, they did bounce back with a 2-0 away win against Burnley but huge question marks remain over manager Jose Mourinho and his players and Watford will provide sterner opposition than Burnley.

Watford have won all 4 of their games this season and last time out came from behind to beat Tottenham, their fans are manic and are really the 12th man.

Watford have all the confidence in the world right now, they feel they can beat anybody and will not be awed by United at all, if anything it will be United that is wary of playing Watford.

But, Man Utd are a top class team and Watford will have their hands full but with home advantage and confidence at a max, I am more confident that this game will result in either a Watford win or a draw.

Take Watford +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have been a little disappointed in Napoli this season, they made hard work beating AC Milan and were humbled 3-0 away at Sampdoria last time out, they are much better than their laboured performances have shown this season and it is just a matter of time before they click, get into their rhythm and show us all what they truly can do and with home advantage today and a shock to their system following that loss to Sampdoria I fully expect to see a determined and rejuvenated Napoli today.

Fiorentina have had a 100% start to the season registering 2 wins from 2 games but they are fairly limited and have yet to play top opposition, both their games so far have been at home and it was no surprise that they beat Chievo and Udinese, Napoli are a completely different proposition and I see them struggling to get anything at all from this game.

Napoli are more than capable of winning this game by a couple of goals and that is exactly what I see them doing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

8 of the last 9 Premier League games that Leicester City have played away have been over 2.5 goals and 10 of the last 13 home games for Bournemouth have been over 2.5 goals. The statistics certainly point to an overs game between these two sides.

But it is not just the statistics that has me convinced that this game will be over 2,5 goals it is the attitude of these two sides that leads me to believe we will see at least 3 goals in this game.

Both teams have a never say die spirit even when they are losing as Bournemouth showed against Everton and as Leicester showed against Southampton.

When one of these sides goes ahead you can be assured that the losing side will give absolutely everything right up to the last second to get back into this game and both sides are desperate to win as well, they will not play for a draw that is for sure, they will be playing for the win.

All things considered, I am going for over 2,5 goals in this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper you would have to back Arsenal, they have won their last two games while Newcastle have picked up just a single point in their opening four games but not everything is as clear as it looks on paper.

Arsenal's defence is very suspect, they were very fortunate against Cardiff City last time out and conceded twice against a team that had yet to score this season, they also made very hard work beating a very poor West Ham and did lose their opening two games, albeit that was against Man City and Chelsea. Point is that Arsenal is very vulnerable in defence and will concede in this game.

Newcastle may have lost 3 of their last 4 games but they were against elite opposition in Tottenham, Man City and Chelsea and in each of those games they scored and lost by a single goal, they were competitive to the end, though against Man City they were thoroughly outplayed.

This Arsenal side is not as good as the teams that have beaten Newcastle this season and with home advantage, Newcastle will feel they can get at least a point from this game and I am of that opinion as well.

Arsenal does not dominate teams anymore and because of that their defence is put under pressure and that hands teams like Newcastle the opportunity to take advantage.

A draw is a very real possibility and I am far more confident that this game will be either a home win or a draw than I am in an away win for Arsenal and that is why I am backing Newcastle +0.5.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both sides have had a stuttering start to their Bundesliga campaign but it is still early and both teams will soon settle into their rhythm.

Hannover are a poor away side, they have won just 3 road games in their last 25 away matches in the Bundesliga and you have to go all the way back to October last year for their last away win.

Leipzig finished 6th last season despite selling some of their better players, they have a half decent home record and beat Hannover 2-1 in this fixture last season and simply put, are the better team.

If Leipzig plays to their abilities they will win, they have home advantage and will see this game as the exact sort of game that can kick-start their season.

Take Leipzig to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These are two of the most exciting teams in the Premier League and both are considered genuine title challengers and a win for either side will be a massive boost even this early in the season.

Tottenham came unstuck in their last Premier League game against Watford, they really should have won but ended up losing 2-1 and will be looking to bounce back from that away defeat.

Liverpool remains unbeaten and have yet to drop any points and are sitting pretty at the top of the table but the truth is that they have not yet played any of the top teams and are yet to be tested.

Tottenham will provide that test and with home advantage I cannot see them losing, I do think they will probably win this game, they have home advantage and would have been shaken by the shock loss at Watford, they showed their true capabilities with the way they dismantled Man Utd 3-0 at Old Trafford and if they reproduce that form, which I believe they will, then I cannot see Liverpool winning.

A draw or win will see a profit backing Tottenham on the spreads and the only way this pick can lose is if Liverpool wins, something I am not confident in despite the Reds impressive start to the season.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams had a great start to their regular seasons but it is the Ravens that I am backing to continue winning.

The Ravens are dismissing any notion of revenge in this game but they did that last week and look at the drubbing they gave the Bills, they are a team on a mission to right what went wrong last season and they will be determined to inflict a beating on the Bengals.

The Bengals upset the odds last week and come into this game full of confidence, they have home advantage and will be hopeful of beating the Ravens but I just cannot see their defence holding off the Ravens consistently and while their offense was effective last week they will not have it so easy against the Ravens defence who were very good against the Bills.

Ravens for me, they are a team driven and will be too much for the Bengals to handle.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders are definitely weakened with the loss of Khalil Mack and it will probably show this season starting with the game against the Rams, however, they do have Derek Carr to at least compensate for the defensive weakness they have and hope that he will be as clinical in offense as he has been in previous seasons.

A lot will depend on whether the Raiders can somehow cover the loss of Mack and it could well be that they are simply forced to accept they will concede more often and hope that their offense will get them out of trouble.

The Rams are deserved favourites but whether they can cover the spread is open to question.

The bottom line for me is that while the Raiders will concede a fair amount tonight I also see them scoring a few as well and that the overs is the value pick here.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I think the Jets are being underestimated here and a big reason for that is their decision to go with Sam Darnold as their starter.

The Jets appear to have immense confidence in the 21-year-old and I am prepared to give them the benefit of the doubt until such a time that it goes pear-shaped.

The Lions are justified favourites but by 7 points? I am doubtful.

I am expecting big things from Darnold and I am of the opinion that this game will be a lot closer than most people think.

Jets +7 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am fully on the Packers to beat the Bears and cover the spread.

There have been some significant changes with the Bears but I am doubtful that it is enough to close the gap between these two teams, especially with Rodgers facing them.

The Bears will be looking to Khalil Mack to prove his worth and he will be a titan in defence I am sure, but their offence is nothing special and if the Bears defence do not contain the Packers offence this could be a rout.

The Packers are a far better side when Rodgers plays and that will be the case tonight.

A lot is taken on faith at this stage but it is justified faith and I am going with Rodgers and the Packers to grab a comfortable win tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 42 points in this game between the Cowboys and Panthers.

The Panthers are one of the most frustrating sides in the NFL, on their day they can be devastating but those days are not so often, they are very consistent at being inconsistent but when they click they really can rack the points up.

The Cowboys are a different team to last season and the jury is out on whether they will improve but just like the Panthers, when they are in the mood they can rack the points up.

I would back the Panthers to win but not with any great confidence but I can see this game going over 50 points and so getting total at 42 really is a gift

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Redskins all day long for me in this one.

The difference in this one for me is the quarterbacks, I rate the Redskins Alex Smith he was excellent for the Kansas City Chiefs and I fully expect him to bring his full game for the Redskins.

Sam Bradford just does not do it for me and I am of the opinion that the Cardinals will realise that sooner rather than later, I know he has had injury issues but I just do not see him on the same level as Smith.

I expect a comprehensive win for the Redskins despite the spread.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I really like the look of over 48 points in this one.

The Chiefs defence is not exactly watertight but the thing with them is that while they concede points they are more than capable of racking up points as well.

The Chargers defence is fairly solid and their offense can be effective though at times they are susceptible to errors and with this being the first game of the season I do see some errors sneaking in.

Point is this, while the Chargers defence is strong they are liable to errors in offense and the Chiefs defence is not the best but they can be effective in offense and that is the ingredients required for a high scoring game.

Over 48 points for me

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There is hope in Cleveland that this season will be a turning point for them and to some degree, that hope is justified with them coming from such a low point, I mean, it is not like they can actually be any worse than they have over the last two seasons.

The Browns have had a huge shakeup in their playing roster there are no doubts about that and they may well get some wins this season but my confidence in them is at rock bottom and until I see hard evidence that this set up is better than what we have seen in the last two seasons I simply cannot back them.

The question for me was not whether the Steelers would win but by how many and the spread should be higher, the reason that it is not is because of the belief that the Browns will be better this season and also because of the internal issue surrounding the Steelers.

All these factors and the fact that the Browns are at home have driven the spread down which plays into my hands because even with all these factors coming into play I see have the Steelers to win by at least 5 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A tale of two quarterbacks this one with an aged Tom Brady leading the Patriots against a Houston Texans lead by Deshaun Watson who is 19 years younger than the legendary Brady.

My judgement on this game is that the Patriots will just scrape the win, they tend to win at home but I no longer see it as being a given anymore and the Texans will run the Patriots close.

I could not confidently predict what I thought the spread would be though if forced would have gone with the Texans to cover, however, I am much more confident that we will see at least 50 points in this matchup.

I have the Patriots getting close to 30 points and the Texans not far behind and I would probably have gone as high as +53 points on the totals in this one and so +49.5 is a gift.

Take over 49.5 pts

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky one this one though I do lean towards the Vikings to get the win but regardless of who emerges the victor I do not see this being a high scoring game and am happy to go under 46 points.

The Vikings have invested heavily in Kirk Cousins and will be hoping for a winning start under their new quarterback but the 49ers finished last season with five straight wins and will enter this campaign in a confident frame of mind, it may not be enough to get the win but it will make them competitive.

The Vikings defence is solid and will not give up too many points and it really comes down to will the 49ers disrupt Cousins and the Vikings to minimise their effectiveness and I think they will.

Probably a Viking win but in a low scoring game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Ravens suffered heartbreak last season missing out on the playoffs which saw the Bills progress at their expense and while it was not the Bills directly that cost them their playoff berth it was the Bills that benefitted and the Ravens will be looking to give them a bloody nose today.

But the Bills will not just roll over, yes they are quite big underdogs and will probably end up losing but I do not see it being a procession and believe they will stay close on the Raven's heels for most of the game. 

Whether the Ravens will win by 7 or more points I am not sure but I do see both teams breaking 20 points and that means the over 39 points total is the value bet here.

The game may not go much over 39 points but for me, the totals are too low and I intend to take advantage.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I saw the totals on this matchup I was a little surprised, I just do not see this game going over 45 points and will certainly be going under.

There were only 26 points in the matchup last season and while there have been significant changes to the respective teams there are still players very prone to mistakes on both sides and I fully expect there to be a good number of errors from both sides, especially considering it is the first game of the regular season and some early season nerves should be expected.

All things considered, I am confident this will be a low scoring game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of the Bengals in this one and am happy to take them +2 to get their campaign off to a winning start.

I am not sure about Andrew Luck for the Colts, he may have had a decent pre-season but until I see him to a consistent job in the regular season I will withhold judgement on him, you just cannot ignore his injury record.

The Bengals defense could be their biggest asset this season and this game opener could be the perfect opportunity for them to shine, especially against a quarterback with question marks over him.

The Bengals for me in a close game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I watched Newcastle host Chelsea last week and that was one of the most one-sided games I have seen in a very long time, Chelsea absolutely dominated Newcastle and the result should have been a lot worse, the goal Newcastle scored was literally their first attack and they deserved to get beat and on any other day would have lost 3 or 4 nil and they were at home.

Man City are far more clinical than Chelsea and I cannot see anything other than one way traffic from beginning to end and if City gets their finishing right then this could be a big thrashing and remember, City are looking to bounce back after drawing last week.

Man City all day long and even with such a high handicap, I have no hesitation in backing them to hand out a severe beating to a very weak Newcastle side.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Celta Vigo are draw specialists at home and do have a decent home record in terms of not losing but they are playing a very top team in Atletico Madrid and while this game will probably be close I see Diego Simeone's men emerging the winners.

For me Atletico are one of the favourites for the title, I see them being right up there come the end of the season and so games like this, against tricky opposition with a good home record, are the exact sort of the game they need to win and I am confident they will do.

They drew against Valencia in their only away game this season and will not want to drop points again and I expect them to take the game to Celta, they have a frightening front line, brilliant midfield and strong defence, it will take some doing to beat them this season.

Celta do have home advantage and they have used that well but they lost this fixture 1-0 last season and I see that sort of score again today, they will struggle to both score and keep the Atletico strikers at bay for the whole 90 minutes.

Atletico Madrid win for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have watched both these sides this season and Palace have impressed me more and with home advantage I see them winning this game against a very mediocre Southampton.

I thought Palace were unlucky against both Watford and Liverpool, they wasted a lot of chances and with better finishing would have collected some points from those two defeats. They are better than their recent results show.

Southampton have not impressed me, I cannot put their defeats all down to bad luck though the last minute loss to Leicester was a cruel blow and they did deserve better but overall they seem to me to be lacking in most departments and I see a season of struggle ahead for them.

Overall I just find Palace the better side and with home advantage, I am taking them to win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two fairly evenly matched teams, Fulham have played some great football this season so far but Brighton are at home and on their home ground they are proving to be a difficult team to beat.

In 4 of their last 6 home games Brighton has beaten Man Utd twice, beaten Arsenal and drawn with Tottenham, they have a lot more confidence when in front of their home fans and it will take a very good team to beat them in their own backyard.

Fulham lost away at Tottenham in their only away game this season and until they have shown that they are better on the road then they are worth opposing, they are a promoted team and did do well on their own ground last game but travelling away in the Premier League is a whole different ball game.

All things considered, I am backing Brighton to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to kick Saturday off with however there is a clear bet to have in this particular game.

Liverpool have started the season off in blistering form and it is easy to predict goals every time they take to the field but the statistics do not back that up when Liverpool are away.

For this pick to lose there needs to be at least 3 goals in this game and that has happened on five occasions in the last 10 Liverpool away games in the Premier League.

Leicester in the Premier League when they play at home has had three games with at least 3 goals in their last 10 Premier League games.

So it is far from nailed on that there will be at least three goals in this game, the stats say otherwise and if there are three goals then the pick loses half its stake, to lose the whole stake there have to be at least four goals and for both teams over their last 10 Premier League games when Leicester is at home and Liverpool is away that has happened just once for each team.

But it is not just about stakes and statistics, most teams play defensively these days when Liverpool visit as was shown when they played Crystal Palace in their last away game when the result was 2-0 to Liverpool and that involved a last minute goal as well.

I expect Leicester to play very defensively today and Liverpool to take a patient strategy to the game they are the away side after all, there will be goals but I cannot see there being a bucket load of goals.

All things considered, I am going for under 2.75 goals in this game

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sevilla has high hopes for this season and have got off to a very good start. They have won their five Europa League qualifiers to date, they were very unlucky to lose to Barcelona in the Super Cup and won their opening La Liga game 4-1. This is a team in high confidence and good form.

Villarreal lost their opening game at home against Real Sociedad and won just once in their last four pre-season friendly games, they are not as match fit as Sevilla, they are the away side and their form is not good right now.

All things considered, I am going with Sevilla to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to call but I am going with Udinese because they have a slight advantage over their opponents.

Udinese drew their opening game and have that match fitness advantage over Sampdoria who were unable to play their first game due to the bridge disaster in Genoa, their home city.

Add to that the fact that Udinese are at home and the advantage is clearly with the home side.

Udinese won this fixture 4-0 last season and while I do not expect a repeat of that I do expect them to sneak the win come the end of the game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Espanyol for this one.

Both sides started the season with draws, Valencia drew at home with Atletico Madrid, a very good result and Espanyol collected a point away at Celta Vigo.

Both sides are optimistic of a good season and as things stand right now there is no reason why they should not be.

Espanyol are not a bad side at home in La Liga, they have lost just twice in their last 11 home games in the league and have beaten both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid and drawn with Barcelona in that period, that is impressive.

Valencia are not the strongest away side as five wins from their last 13 away games can testify to.

This will be a close game but I am going with Espanyol to sneak it and at worse get a draw and see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bordeaux may have home advantage but that has not helped them in recent seasons against Monaco, they have lost the last two league games on their home turf against Monaco 2-0 and 4-0 respectively and I see no reason why there will be any different result today.

Bordeaux have lost their opening two games conceding four goals and only scoring once and they sit second bottom and while the season is very early it is still a very poor start.

Monaco has collected four points so far from their two games and won their opening away game against Nantes 3-1, a result like that will not surprise me today.

All things considered, I am going with a Monaco win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have started the season quite well, especially Watford, both are full of confidence and that will lead to an open free-flowing attacking game.

Palace may well have lost to Liverpool but they were a little unlucky and throughout that game they showed attacking intent and Watford have been in an attack-minded mode since the season started.

Having watched both teams this season and how they have approached their games I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult for me to see anything other than a Napoli win.

For starters, Napoli have played a competitive game already this season beating Lazio away last weekend, whereas Milan did not play and lack that crucial match fitness that Napoli now has.

Secondly, Napoli is actually the better team, they have proven this winning 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two and drawing once, they are simply superior.

Thirdly, Napoli has home advantage.

Those are three solid reasons why Napoli will win, they have a match fitness advantage, they have home advantage and they have proven to be the better side for a while now.

Back Napoli -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams lost their first two games of the season but there is a huge difference in the manner of the defeats.

West Ham got thrashed at Liverpool and lost at home to Bournemouth while Arsenal lost at home to Man City and away at Chelsea in a thriller.

Arsenal was competitive for most of the game with City and with some luck could have got back into the game and against Chelsea, they could easily have scored as many as 5 in the first half and showed character to come back to 2-2 before succumbing to a late goal.

Arsenal is at home for this game and their opening game performances tell me that they are ready to hand out a beating to a lesser team and West Ham fit that profile perfectly.

I simply cannot see West Ham getting anything from this game, they looked poor in both their games this season and have shown me no reason to believe that they can all of a sudden improve for this game.

Arsenal all day for me and by at least 2 goals. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have had great starts to the season, I was particularly impressed with Everton in their opening game draw against Wolves, they were down to 10 men and were the better team away from home, a huge improvement from last season.

Bournemouth are no world beaters but they are organised and very difficult to beat, especially on their own ground but they are limited and Everton just look the more accomplished team of the two.

On balance I have more confidence that Everton will win or draw than I am in a Bournemouth win and backing Everton at level ball is the value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Mixed starts for both teams with Leicester probably playing with slightly more confidence but Southampton do have home advantage and it is never easy to play them on their own turf.

It is very difficult to separate these two teams, if this game was at Leicester then I would plump for a Leicester win but at Southampton, it does even it up a lot more.

When it is hard to split two teams, when their form is similar and there is no real reason to oppose one or the other the chances are that the game is headed for a draw and that is my opinion having watched both these teams this season.

The draw looks the value pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The early Premier League game this Saturday and I am going for goals.

We all know how prolific Man City are and if they are in the mood they will score a bundle of goals, they did last week against Huddersfield Town and in their opening game of the season went to Arsenal and scored twice and Wolves are no Arsenal.

Wolves are vulnerable in defence, they showed that in their opening two games conceding twice in both games and I see absolutely no reason why Man City cannot do the same and more.

Wolves are at home and there is always a chance they will score, Huddersfield did against City and they were away and being thrashed 6-1.

Bottom line for me is that I do see City scoring a few goals, the exact amount I do not know but I am more confident they will score 3 or more than I am that they will score 2 or less and with there being a chance that Wolves will score then the over 3 goals looks a fairly safe bet.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Real Sociedad for this match.

The season is only one game old in La Liga but I am confident that Sociedad will have a half decent finish, whereas Leganes look like they may struggle to avoid relegation.

Sociedad won their first game last week away at Villarreal while Leganes lost and it is very possible that those results are a good indication of how the season will pan out for both sides.

All things considered and based on the strength of both teams and the opening week results I am going for Sociedad to get the win today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Strasbourg have started the season off with 1 win and 1 draw and they were not bad results, Lyon, on the other hand, have had a slightly disappointing start winning once at home and losing away at Reims, however, do not be mislead by the respective starts from these two teams, Lyon are far superior.

Lyon won this game 4-0 last season and over their last six home games, the last five of last season and their only home game this season, they have won by at least two goals on five occasions.

Strasbourg did win away last week but are rather poor on the road and while they do not get thrashed every time they are away they do tend to get beaten convincingly by the top teams with Monaco, PSG and Lyon (the top 3 last season) all winning by at least 2 goals.

All things considered, I am going with Lyon to win by at least 2 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the draw in this one.

There is very little to separate these two, though with all things being equal I would probably go with the Red Bulls but everything is not equal, for starters City have home advantage and they have beaten the Red Bulls the last three times at home.

That said, the Red Bulls are in good form, they have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 5 away games in the MLS and have won 7 of their last 10 MLS games home and away.

City are a little sketchy right now having won just once in their last 4 MLS games but prior to that they were on fire.

The bottom line is that a case can be made for both teams and when that happens a draw tends to be the value bet and that is how I am approaching the game tonight.

Stake - 1pt