All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everything points to a Ravens win today and a convincing win at that.

The bottom line is that the Browns have nothing to play for, sure, they will be professional and go for the win and so on but when you have one team with something to play for and one team that does not it has an effect.

The Ravens are back in decent form, they have the motivation and belief and they are at home.

Home win for me and Ravens by at least 7.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This will be a great game and I am going with the Chargers to get the win and cover the spread.

Chargers still have a lot to play for despite making the playoffs, they will want to be top seeds and have home advantage in the postseason and the only way that will happen is if they keep on winning.

The Ravens also have a lot to play for and they know that now is not the time to be losing.

For me, the difference is that the Chargers are the slightly better team overall and have home advantage, they have massive belief and know what a win will mean for them today.

All things considered, I am going with the Chargers -3.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Vikings to win but not by 9 points, that is just too much, the Dolphins showed their competitive nature last week and they are still in the playoff hunt, they will give a good account of themselves today.

The Vikings have home advantage and should win but they will be happy with a narrow win just as much as they would with a big win, I doubt they will take too many risks today.

Dolphons +9 for me

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Bengals to halt their losing run and finally claim a win against the hapless Raiders.

I know the Raiders have had a couple of good results recently but they remain a team in chaos, both on and off the field and they are there for the taking providing the Bengals can lift themselves and I think they will.

It's the Bengals -3 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My analysis has this game going over 50 points and so getting over 45.5 points is a gift.

The circumstances of this game mean that the Ravens have to go for it and the Bucs have shown that they can run the points up when they are in the mood, I expect an open game today with both teams racking up the points.

Take over 45.5 points

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Cowboys to get their sixth win on the bounce today and certainly cover the spread.

The Cowboys are in hot form right now and that sequence includes a win over the Saints, the Colts, on the other hand, won narrowly against the Texans last week after going pointless against the Jags and the calibre of the teams they have beaten recently has not exactly been the strongest.

All things considered, it is the Cowboys +3 for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I do expect this to be a fairly low scoring game but I am of the opinion that we will see more than 40 points between these two.

The Bills have been a little surprising, when the season started I expected them to be the victims of a turkey shoot every game but if they win this game today their season will be on par with the Lions and I did not see that happening.

The Bills are more than capable of getting in excess of 20 points, they have shown that in three of their last four games, the Lions have gone backwards and have found scoring difficult but they will be confident they can get in excess of 20 points against the Bills.

I see both teams getting over 20 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bears are deservedly favourites and their defence is proving itself week in week out now and any team will struggle to beat the Chicago defence back but Aaron Rodgers can, providing he gets a semblance of protection.

The Bears, at home, will be looking to clinch the NFC North and they may well do but not by more than 5 points in my opinion, I expect the Packers to kick on from their win over Atlanta and be very competitive and it would not surprise me if just a field goal separates these two at the end.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I actually find it hard to separate these two teams, both have been playing better recently, especially the Giants and this game could go either way.

I also believe that both teams will continue to put points on the board, the Giants knocked up 40 points last week and 30 the week before against the Bears, the Titans have scored 30 and 26 in their last two games, in better words the offense for both teams is in form right now.

All things considered, I am going over 43 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I know that the Redskins are in freefall right now and they were humiliated last week against the Giants but I do expect a better performance today.

The Jags are hardly setting the world on fire either, they have just one win in eight and while they are playing a team in a meltdown that does not automatically translate to a win for this Jags outfit.

The bottom line is I do expect the Jags to win but not by more than seven points.

Stake - 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Rams just keep on winning and while the Bears have done very well recently they did lose last week and even though they have the home advantage I still see them losing by more than three points tonight.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I know the Raiders have home advantage but the Steelers really should be too strong tonight and I expect them to run out double-digit winners.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I am backing the Cardinals to win this one outright, their win over the Packers will have lifted them significantly and the Lions have hardly been setting the world on fire.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

This has all the signs that this will be a close game which is recognised by the spread, the Cowboys do have home advantage but whenever you count the Eagles out they come up smelling like roses. they are on a two-game winning run and so confidence is restored, the Cowboys are on a four-game winning run and have home advantage but it is still the Eagles for me all things considered.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I like the look of over 46 points in this one, my analysis has the game getting to 50 points with there being more chance that it goes over 50 than staying below.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

I fully expect the Chargers to win this one but not by 17 points even with home advantage. The Bengals are not in good shape but I expect them to be more competitive than the spread indicates.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

Based on my analysis I am going with the Chiefs to win this one by at least 7 points.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Colts are vulnerable and the Texans have more than enough about them to win this game and by at least 5 points.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Panthers are just too inconsistent for my liking and the Browns are improving, albeit slowly and have home advantage.

The Browns +1 for me.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

This game has all the hallmarks of going well over 50 points and that is my pick in this game.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

This could be a turkey shoot for the Saints, however, I feel that the Bucs will have a say, especially with home advantage and in combination I see the points total going beyond 55 points.

Stake 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The stats do point to a low scoring game but the Bills are capable of putting points on the bard and Ia am confident that the Jets will be competitive and in combination, they will surpass 40 points.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Patriots should win this one but I am not at all confident they will do by 10 points, I am confident that the Dolphins will put up a good show and stay in contention for large parts of this game.

Stake 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully researched and analysed and comes with total confidence.

The Giants are limited, they have a couple of outstanding players but not enough to make them consistent. The Redskins are not much better but with home advantage, I see them actually winning this one at great odds.

Stake 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham bounced back from their loss last weekend to Arsenal with a 3-1 win midweek over Southampton and will enter this game with their confidence restored.

Tottenham remains on top of their game, when they lose it tends to be against the elite, they have a great away record, they will dominate this game and as per usual it all depends on them taking their chances.

Leicester are in decent form, they are now unbeaten in six in the Premier League but they have lost the four games they have played against the top six this season and are not at the level that Tottenham is.

If Tottenham converts their chances today they will win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chelsea may well have the home advantage but that will not be enough today against the best team in England and possibly Europe.

Chelsea have dropped in form, they lost midweek against Wolves and have won just once in their last four Premier League matches, they are not playing like a team on the same level as Man City because they are not on the same level.

Man City have already won away at Tottenham and Arsenal this campaign, they have won 13 and drawn 2 of their 15 games this season and there is no reason to think they will all of a sudden lose their form.

All things considered, I am taking Man City to win this one.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Titans to get the win and cover the spread.

The Jags finally won against the Colts with a fantastic defensive display but that win was on the back of seven straight losses, they only scored six points themselves against the Colts and the chances of their defence putting such a display again is very unlikely.

The Titans are not world beaters, they have a very mixed record but it is certainly better than the Jags recently, they are 4-1 at home and they have to think they can do a better job in offense than what the Colts did.

For me, the Jags win over the Colts is a one-off, they are poor on the road and their offense is hardly inspiring, the Titans are decent at home, they also won last time out and will see this game as a perfect opportunity to gain momentum as the season enters the final straight.

Stake - 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

It is not often I go for the outright win but I feel in this instance it is justified, for me, the Chargers are the better team and if they can quieten the crowd down then I am very confident they will win this one and I do see them quieting the crowd down with their offense being the more dominant.

Chargers win 

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The spread is slightly high but the Seahawks, at home, will have the measure of the 49ers and for me, it was always a case of how many would they win by and I see it being by at least 10 points, probably more.

Seahawks -9.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The Patriots always show their class at home against the better teams and I fully expect that to be the case today, The Vikings will be competitive but the Patriots will grind them down and I see them winning by 7 points in the end.

Patriots -4.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

This game for me will be a Turkey shoot, it is arguable that we are seeing the best v the worst in the NFL today and the score will reflect that.

Chiefs -13.5

Stakes 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

It is the Colts for me, the Jags season has fallen apart, they are bereft of confidence and the Colts are flying right now.

Colts -4

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I fully expect the Packers to win but am not convinced with the spread and my analysis of this game has it going over 42 points so I am happy to accept over 40.5pts

Over 40.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The Texans are on fire right now and will probably win but the Browns are no pushovers anymore, they showed that last week and I am of the opinion they will be within 6 points of Houston today.

Browns +6

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The spread is too high for me and even though I expect the Rams to win I do not see them doing it by more than 10 points, the Lions are a far better home team than a road team,

Lions +10

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I have the Falcons winning this one, it will be a close game but the edge for me rests with Atlanta, the recent wins for the Ravens were against poor opposition and all does not seem harmonious in the Ravens camp.

Falcons -2.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I have the Bears strong favorites today, they are on a five-game winning run and the Giants will be very down after the loss to the Eagles, that will have had an impact on confidence.

Bears -4

Stakes 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

The Bills have certainly improved and the Dolphins are their usual inconsistent selves and either team can win, I see both teams getting in excess of 20 points and from then onwards it is a shootout on who actually wins the game.

Over 39.5

Stakes 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

It is Denver all day long for me, the Bengals have been poor in recent games and their season is in freefall right now, the Broncos are getting better and this game is a case of two teams going in opposite directions.

Broncos -4

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I cannot see anything other than a Panthers win, they are a frustrating team and inconsistent but the Bucs seem only to be able to beat the poor sides at this time and I cannot see them living with the Panthers today

Panthers -3

Stakes 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Newcastle United for this one, they have finally started to turn their season around, they had a horrible run of fixtures early on and were unlucky, however, they have stuck with their plan, their confidence never dropped and now they have registered three wins in a row, they are unbeaten in four overall and have picked up 10 points from a maximum 12, they must be feeling on top of the world and their confidence is sky high.

West Ham have won just one of their last six Premier League games and have won just once on the road this season, they did draw their last two away games but they are facing a team on fire right now and I just do not see them having enough about them to withstand the Newcastle juggernaut today.

Newcastle are at home, they have the confidence and the form and I am going with them to win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hertha Berlin has struggled on the road recently, however, they have drawn three of their last five Bundesliga games and so it is not all doom and gloom.

Hannover are having a poor season, they are third bottom and eight points behind their opponents but at home, they are at least competitive and have collected seven of their nine points this season in front of their home fans.

Hertha is doing better but has a poor away record, Hannover is simply poor but does pick up points at home and a draw looks the best bet in this game.

Take the draw + 250

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Stuttgart is bottom of the standings in Germany and Augsburg are not that further up the table sitting five points and six positions higher than their opponents today.

The recent form for each team is not encouraging ether and it is difficult to make a decent case for either team and this game could really be any result, however, that does not that there is not a good bet to have.

Four of Stuttgart's last five home games have all gone over 2.5 goals and five of Augsburg six away games this season have gone the same way.

Now, just because previous results have, for the most part, gone overs it does not mean every game will but the circumstances of this game also indicate goals as both teams desperately need to kick-start their seasons and start picking up wins.

All things considered, I am going over 2,5 goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Saints to record their 11th straight win and also cover the spread at Dallas today.

I feel there is more chance of the Saints halting the likes of Ezekiel Elliott than there is of the Cowboys stopping Drew Brees.

The Saints has the top-ranked rush defence, whereas the Cowboys will be under immense strain against the free throwing Brees and that is where the difference is for me.

The Saints offense will be more effective against the Cowboys defence than what the Cowboys offense will be against the Saints defence.

Take the Saints -7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massively important game for both sides, especially the Packers who know this is one game they simply cannot afford to lose.

When these two met last time out it ended in a tie with 58 points shared between them and I see a repeat of that today, not in terms of a tie but in terms of how many points are scored.

I simply do not see this game being dominated by defence, both teams must be attack orientated, they need the win and only points on the board will do that.

All things considered, the circumstances of this game and what is at stake leads me to believe we will see roughly 60 points and so going over 47.5 points is a no-brainer.

Take over 47.5 points.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Colts are on a four-game winning streak and I fully expect them to make that five wins in a row today in front of their own fans.

They have faced fairly average opponents but they can do no more than beat what is in front of them and they have done it in style, they are scoring regularly, confidence is high, they have momentum and massive incentive to continue winning.

The Dolphins are very hit and miss, they have won just twice in their last seven games and their defence has generally been leaking like a sieve.

The spread is fairly high but with the way the Colts are scoring and the Dolphins concede when they are losing then I am confident the Cots will cover the spread.

Take the Colts -8.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game will probably be one-way traffic but the spread was just too close for me to make a call either way, however, I am confident that over 43.5 points will be achieved.

The Chargers had been flying until losing to Denver and I expect them to bounce back in style today, their offense is potent and they will be looking to take advantage of a very poor Cardinals side.

The Falcons are so bad that they even lost to the Raiders and the question for me was how many points they would score not if they would win, that I cannot see.

I expect the Chargers to get at least 30 points today which would mean that in the event that the Chargers only score 30, which I see as an absolute minimum, then the Cardinals would need to score at least 14 and I do see that happening and so the overs, even if the Chargers are not firing on all cylinders, will be reached.

Take over 34.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A win for either team will go a long way to cementing their playoff hopes while a loss would be a blow for sure and that will determine how these two approaches this game.

The last two games that Seattle have featured in have been high scoring games and three of the last four Panther games have been the same.

The Panthers will be looking to break a two game losing run while the Seahawks will look to build on their win over Green Bay.

Basically, both teams have something to play for, both have incentives and both know a loss is just unacceptable and that means to me that risks will be taken, mistakes will be made and points will be scored.

Take over 46 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Eagles took an absolute mauling at the hands of the Saints and you can be absolutely certain they will want to put that right and the Giants are the perfect opponents for that.

The Eagles will be up for this game, as will the Giants but the loss against the Saints and the manner of it needs to be put into the history basket and a win over the Giants will do just that.

The Giants do come into this game on the back of a two-game winning run but that just masks their vulnerabilities and the Eagles still retain enough to beat them and beat them by at least 5 points.

Take the Eagles -4.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams in a bad situation for sure, both have won just one game in their last eight but the Bucs just come across as the more dangerous team between these two, their offense is certainly stronger and that will be the difference for me today.

The Bucs defence is poor but they are not facing prolific scorers today and the 49ers defence is hardly watertight and they are facing a stronger offense.

Weighing up the differences between these two comes down to which defence will do better and which offense will do better and in both cases, I come down on the side of the Bucs and on top of all that they have home advantage.

Bucs -2 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When you look at the respective situations for these two teams you could be forgiven for thinking that there is not much between them and on the face of it there is not, they are both 3-7 after all, however, that for me is misleading.

The Jags, in my opinion, are the better team, significantly better, this Bills side is very poor and how they have managed three wins this season I do not know, by the same token I am surprised that the Jags have managed just three wins.

I know that the Bills have home advantage but that has hardly served them well this season and I am confident that the Jags will be good enough today to get the win and cover the spread. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have the Bengals winning this by at least 7 points and so to get them +1 is like an early Christmas gift.

I know the Bengals have stuttered recently and that the Browns won last time out over the Falcons but I still have the Bengals as the far better team.

The Bengals know that if they are to have any chance of making the playoffs they simply cannot lose this game and while the Browns continue to be competitive they do not have the same incentive and remain a poor side overall.

If the Bengals play to their level today they will win and that is exactly what I expect them to do in front of their home fans.

Take the Bengals +1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge difference between these two teams, Borussia Monchengladbach are third from the top and a win today takes them second, Hannover is third bottom a cool 14 points behind today's opponents and that is after just 11 games.

Add to that the respective home and away form of these two teams, Borussia have won all five home games this season and four of those have been by at least two goals.

Hannover have four away losses and two draws and remain winless on the road and three of those four losses were by at least two goals.

Hannover did win their last game at home but that pales in comparison to the recent form of Borussia who have won four of their last five games and those four wins have all been by over two goals including a 3-0 away win at Bayern Munich.

Home win for me and by at least two goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves have hit a bit of a slump but they are still playing well and certainly, is the better of these two teams and with home advantage I fully expect them to get back to winning ways against a poor Huddersfield team.

Wolves have lost the last two games they have played at home but they showed immense character against Tottenham to come back from a 3-0 position to get to 2-3 and they will build on that and they showed that by then travelling to Arsenal and getting a 1-1 draw, a game they actually deserved to win.

Huddersfield has not won a single away game this season in the league, losing three and drawing two, they have stabilised the ship in the last two games in the league picking up a win and draw, but they were both home games and were against Fulham and West Ham, hardly world beaters.

I cannot see anything other than a Wolves win and I have more confidence in them winning by at least two goals than them not winning.

Take Wolves -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Five if the last six Werder Bremen away games have gone over 2.5 goals and three of the last five Freiburg home games have also gone over 2.5 goals.

Werder Bremen is having the better season but Freiburg have the far better recent form and an open game is fully expected between these two teams.

Bremen have lost their last three Bundesliga games on the bounce and will be desperately looking to get back to winning ways and Freiburg have just one win in the six Bundesliga games they have played and they also will be looking to get the win, especially in front of their home fans.

All things considered, I am going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Getafe are playing slightly better than Athletico this season but not by much and that advantage is equalised with Athletico is playing at home.

60% of the last five Athletico home games in the league have been draws and 60% of the last five Getafe away games have been draws and that reflects the basic levels of these two teams.

I cannot make a case for either team to win this game and when that happens that tells me that there is almost nothing between the respective teams and that a draw is the most likely outcome.

Take the draw

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A massive game in Spain between two of the best teams in European football.

Barcelona are slightly the better team but Atletico have home advantage and that is a great leveller for me.

Only one point separates these two in La Liga and I see that being reflected in this game today with very little to between them.

Barcelona should dominate possession but the Atletico Madrid defence knows how to neutralise the Barcelona forward line.

Three of the last six games between these two have ended in draws and wins have been by just a single goal and I see another close game today.

All things considered, I am going with the draw. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game this and I take Tottenham to emerge the winners.

For me, Tottenham is the better team, they also have home advantage and even though it is Wembley it is still home and has been for a while now.

Chelsea may well be unbeaten this season but it is just a matter of time before they stumble, they are no Man City, they struggle more than the results have suggested and have had a large slice of luck this season.

Tottenham will dominate possession and the outcome of this game will depend on whether Tottenham can turn their dominance into goals, I believe they will do, though I freely admit that on too many occasions they do not do that.

Chelsea are clearly a huge danger but this game will be decided by the finishing of Tottenham, if they get that right they will win, if they do not then Chelsea will win, that is the reality of this game.

Take Tottenham to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team is having a great season and only three points separate these two teams in the Premier League.

The stats really struggle to make a case for Southampton on the road and Fulham at home but four of Fulhams five points this season have come from playing at home and if they are going to kickstart their season it will be at home.

Southampton has got four of their eight points on the road but anyone watching them play this season, as I have done, will see that they do struggle on the road and come the end of the season I do not see them having gained too many points when they are away.

Home advantage does make a difference and it is enough for me to go with a Fulham win today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am confident that Man Utd will win this game but just was not sure if they would cover the spread because I do see Palace scoring at least once.

United do have defensive vulnerabilities and Palace does have a speedy attack which I feel will be effective to some degree on the break.

United will dominate and I do see them winning but cannot see them keeping a clean sheet and because of that, the best value pick here is the overs.

Take over 2.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool have stuttered slightly but they remain one of the best teams in England and even though Watford are punching above their weight this season I cannot see them keeping the Reds at bay for the whole 90 minutes.

Watford will be competitive, they are at home and they did beat Spurs at Vicarage road, however, they are a limited side and they will spend the vast majority of this game on the back foot.

I expect Liverpool's superiority to tell here and for them to win, the question is by how many and I feel there is more chance of them winning by a couple of goals than by just a single goal and even if that happened, stakes would be returned.

Take Liverpool -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

West Ham may well have home advantage but that is about the only thing going for them today and even that will not be enough to stop the Man City steamroller.

This Man City side are brilliant, they are top of the league and it is very difficult to see them not winning the title, they are simply the best team in England, they look better than last season when they won the league by 19 points and it will take a special team to stop them and West Ham are no special team.

I just cannot make a case for West Ham at all, but I can easily make a case for City to win this game convincingly and anyone looking at their results this season and how they play will see that all things being as they have been this season that they will win and win by at least two or more goals.

Take Man City -1.75

Stake - 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no extensive analysis today, however, this pick has been fully analysed and researched and carries maximum confidence.

New Orleans are flying right now and are scoring for fun and it is difficult to see anything other than a win for them, however, I do believe that the Falcons will play their part today and not be totally rolled over by Drew Brees and the Saints.

60.5 points is quite high but the way the Saints are scoring and my belief that the Falcons will put up a respectable show I am confident that between these two teams we will see in excess of 60.5 points.

Take over 60.5 points

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully analysed and researched and carries maximum confidence.

I am taking the Redskins to be within 7 points of the Cowboys today.

The Redskins have stuttered slightly recently and the Cowboys are starting to find some rhythm but I just do not see Dallas being 7 points better than Washington.

Take Redskins +7

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The overs market is set quite high but if there are two teams that can beat 63 points, it is these two.

Offense wise these two teams are impressive, they score regularly and they score quick and both defences have shown that they give up points on a regular basis as well.

Not every game that involves these two go high but when they face teams on their level then the points roll, just look at the Rams game against the Saints and the Chiefs game against the Patriots.

All things considered, I am very confident that we will see in excess of 63 points and wuld not be at all surprised to see this game go beyond 70 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A lot is being made of the Packers inability to win on the road so far this season but all that means to me is that the odds on a Green Bay win are higher than they should be.

It is not good to have a 0-4 road record but it is not as if the Packers have been playing poor teams on the road, they have not, they comfortably got beat by New England I admit but they ran the Rams very close and a repeat of that performance will see them get their first road win in my opinion.

Seattle is not easy to beat but they have hardly been world beaters themselves, they are 4-5 for a reason, they are inconsistent and while the two losses recently to the Rams can be forgiven they have not beaten any top team as of yet this season.

The Packers have been better than what I thought they would be, I put them down as a one-man team but they are not and they are getting better in key areas, the Seahawks feel to me to be a team just below the top level and that has been born out by their results.

All things considered, I believe that the Packers are slightly the better team, they know they have to start winning on the road and in Seattle they face a team that just cannot find a way to beat the better teams, which Green Bay are.

Take Green Bay to win outright at excellent odds.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A big part of this game is about the respective QB situation for both teams and will help define how this game turns out.

The difference for me is that San Francisco was forced into changing their QB and it worked out for them against the Raiders, New York continues to refuse to remove Eli Manning and they keep on losing, it is as simple as that.

Manning is having a shocking season, he seems unable to consistently connect with his offense and there is no reason why today will be any difference.

Nick Mullens plays his second game for the 49ers tonight following his tremendous start against the Raiders and there is every reason to believe that he will be in high confidence and raring to go and there is every chance, certainly more than there is with Manning right now, that he will produce another stellar performance.

San Francisco has home advantage and they look the more positive side now that they have changed the QB and that for me that gives them a significant advantage over New York.

Take San Francisco -3 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team has been impressive this season and yet both somehow are still with a chance in the NFC East, though the Cowboys are running out of time fast.

Both defences are vulnerable, however, there are good reasons to feel that the respective offenses can rack the points up.

Wentz is impressing for the Eagles and he now has Golden Tate to aim for and of course, the Cowboys have added Amari Cooper and he will have come on following his first game.

With both offenses reinforced and their defences suspect there is a real chance of a high scoring game between these two tonight and that is how I will be betting this game.

Take over 45.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking the Packers to bounce back from their defeat to New England and record a handsome win over the Dolphins.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Rams are deserved favourites and will probably win but I feel a 10 point spread over the improving Seahawks.

There were just two points between these two earlier in the season and since then I believe the Seahawks have got stronger the Rams vulnerabilities exposed somewhat.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The draw looks the value pick in this massive game between Juventus and AC Milan.

Juventus are the better team, they are top of the table and the reigning Italian Champions but they are the away side, they did lose midweek in the Champions League at home to Man Utd and they are playing a much improved AC Milan side.

AC Milan at home have proven hard to beat, they have won four and drawn one of their five home games this season scoring at least twice in each game, in front of their own fans they are a strong team.

Juventus are, well, Juventus, they win, they have won all five away games this season but none of those games were against the top teams and right this minute they are vulnerable, they are smarting from the loss to Man Utd and only a couple of weeks ago drew at home to Genoa.

All things considered, I do not see Juve losing but neither do I see AC Milan losing at home and so the draw is the most logical bet here.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Saints are on a roll and should have enough in the tank to beat the Bengals and cover the spread.

Over the last five games New Orleans beat the Rams by 10, the Vikings by 10, the Redskins by 24 and the Giants by 15, only the Ravens managed to stay with them getting to within 1 point.

The Bengals have had mixed results and have been competitive but I cannot see their defence containing this New Orleans offense and a heavy defeat looks likely.

Take the Saints -6 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one is far too low and the Falcons really should beat the Browns by double digits.

The Falcons have found their form, they are now on a three-game winning streak, they thrashed the Redskins last time out and the momentum they are developing will take some stopping.

The Browns are slowly going backwards, they are now on a four-game losing streak, they lost three of those games by 16. 15 and 24 points and I see no signs that they will be able to reverse their current form.

Take the Falcons -5.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win for the Lions and I expect them to take more risks today and be more adventurous, they simply cannot afford not to and when they have had a real go at it and been more effective with their offense they have put the points on the board and five times this season they have managed to put at least 24 points on the board.

The Bears have home advantage and in seven of their eight games this season have scored at least 23 points, they top the NFC North and will see this as a game that they can cement that position, however, I am not sure they will cover the spread.

What I am sure is that both teams will score in excess of 20 points respectively and in combination beat the total of 44 points, the stats are there to indicate that will happen.

Take over 44 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one for the Patriots is too low in my opinion.

New England are in their rhythm now, they have won six on the bounce, they have won five of those games by 16, 19, 7, 14 and 25 points, only the Chiefs have stayed close and the Titans are no Chiefs.

The Titans beat a poor Dallas to snap a three-game losing streak which included a loss to the Bills and that defeat of the Cowboys is just a temporary mask of their frailties.

As long as the Patriots maintain their high standards they will win this game and by at least 7 points.

Patriots -7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If there is a game that Ryan Fitzpatrick can find his mojo again it is against the Bucs.

Tampa Bay are terrible in defence, they have conceded 34 points on average per game this season and their offense is not helping and even though the Redskins are struggling with their own offense at this time they really should be able to get some joy facing this Bucs defence.

For me, this game will come down to which offense has the better game and which offense can penetrate their opponent's defence the better and on both of those it is the Redskins for me.

Take the Redskins +3.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is almost impossible to make a case for the Bills, this is a team that has scored a high of 13 points in their last six games, they have an average of just 13.7 points a game and there is no reason to believe that will dramatically change on the road against the Jets.

The Jets are in a rut right now, they have lost three on the bounce and have hardly been competitive but they have a great opportunity to snap their current losing streak against one of the poorest teams in football right now.

With home advantage and simply being the better team, I am confident the Jets will win this one and beat the awful Bills by double digits.

It should also be noted that the Jets are without Darmold for this one and after last week that may well be a bonus.

Jets -7.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one is crazy high but the thing is that the Chiefs are capable of covering it, however, there is also a strong chance they may not and if there is one game on the spreads that I am leaving alone it is this one.

The Chiefs are flying, they are scoring at will and the Cardinals are struggling offensively big time, so a big win is expected but by how much and how many will each team score.

My analysis has the Chiefs scoring roughly 35 points in this one and the Cardinals between 17 and 20 points and that makes the over 49 points total a given.

Take over 49 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams that have been in good recent form, however, the home form of Frankfurt has improved significantly and Schalke remains vulnerable when on the road and that is the difference between these two teams today.

Schalke have picked up four points from their last two away games but that is the total of their points from their five away games this season, whereas Frankfurt has won their last two home games 7-1 and 4-1 and have finally found their feet in front of their own fans following a stuttering start to the season.

Take Frankfurt to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund finally lost midweek to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League but they are unbeaten in the Bundesliga, they top the table and are in generally great form, at home they have won four of five and would have made it five from five if they did not concede a last-minute equaliser last game.

Bayern are having a poor season by their standards, they have bounced back in recent weeks and are now on a three-game unbeaten run in the league but they are not the team they were last year and against a Dortmund side flying right now I am confident they will lose this game.

Take Dortmund to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a clear Tottenham win today.

Tottenham are a far better team, they dominate most games, they will have been hugely lifted with their come from behind win against PSV in the Champions League midweek, they are fourth in the standings, they have won six of their seven away games this season and will be highly motivated to make it eight away wins from nine.

Palace have not won at home this season in the league, they have drawn three and lost two, they have lost four of their last five league games drawing the other and enter this game lacking in confidence with low morale.

Tottenham wins and to cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Watford is more than capable of bouncing back from their loss to Newcastle last week and against a very poor Southampton side, I take them to do just that.

Southampton has home advantage but it has not served them well this season drawing three and losing twice from their five home games and only last week they lost 6-1 away to Man City.

Watford has a mixed away record this season, however, apart from the loss last week at Newcastle they previously lost only away to Arsenal and generally have been in far better form than Southampton this season.

Watford wins for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Newcastle finally won last week and will be desperate to make it two wins on the bounce but they remain a poor side and one win in six at home with five losses is not encouraging at all.

Bournemouth are playing out of their skin, they were very unfortunate to lose to Man Utd last week and overall have been having a blistering season, they are sixth in the table and full of momentum and just as much as Newcastle will be eager to record two wins on the bounce, Bournemouth will be just as eager to get back to winning ways.

Bournemouth is in much better form and I take them to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Freiburg are quite decent at home, whereas Mainz is weak on the road.

Freiburg has been scraping results against better teams including a 1-1 draw last week against Bayern Munich.

Take Freiburg to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Very little to choose between these teams overall, especially based on their respective home and away results and a draw looks to best value pick here.

Borussia has not lost in 60% of their away games drawing two of the five they have played and Werder has also drawn two of their five home games, losing just the once.

Take the draw.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Nurnberg look the value pick here, they may be 4th from bottom but they have lost just once at home this season and are on a three-game unbeaten run in all competitions.

Stuttgart is rock bottom, they have drawn once and lost four of their five away games and enter this game on a four-game losing streak in the Bundesliga. 

Take Nurnberg to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hertha Berlin looks good for the win today.

Dusseldorf has a terrible home record so far this season with one draw and four losses, they are on a six-game losing streak in the league and in that sequence have lost 3-0 three times and incredibly 7-1 to Frankfurt.

Hertha was on a six-game unbeaten run before losing last week and overall are in far superior form to Dusseldorf and will be looking to bounce back today.

Take Hertha Berlin to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Carolina Panthers Cam Newton is playing out of his skin right now when it matters, he may not be the most consistent QB and his team may not be the most reliable, but over the last three games Newton and the Panthers have come through when it matters, they are scoring healthily and I expect them to put points on the board again tonight.

The Steelers are also scoring well, they are on a four-game winning streak and in front of their home fans will be looking to make it five in a row and cement their position at the top of the AFC North.

The spread is probably about right, however, when the Panthers are in this mood they can be anything, they can just as easily win this game as be humbled and it takes a leap of faith that I do not have in them to back them on the spreads and by the same token, to oppose them.

But the over 51 points market does look very tasty, I am certain that these two will both clock up more than 25 points apiece and therefore the over market is the pick for me today.

Take over 51 points.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSV were very lucky to get away with a draw in the first game between these two and unless they get another big slice of luck they will get beat comfortably today.

Tottenham do have some injuries but they will welcome back Dele Alli in some part and have such talent in their squad that missing players like Dembele and Lloris will not impact them too much, they have home advantage even though it is at Wembley and the state of the pitch will not affect them any more than it would PSV.

PSV have as much to play for as Tottenham but they are not in the same bracket as Tottenham and all things being equal they will lose.

Take Tottenham -1.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Inter Milan are lucky to be in the position they are, they were very fortunate against Tottenham and the draw in Holland between PSV and Tottenham has put Inter in pole position to qualify from this Champions League group, most probably in second spot behind their opponents today.

Inter are not among the European elite at this time, they are one of the also-rans in Italian football, they are well behind Juventus and are definitely beatable on their home ground by a good team and Barcelona are a good team.

Barcelona will go for the win, they know they are a better team than Inter and will dominate possession, they would probably be happy for a draw but I do not see that happening, they have far too much talent for Inter to handle and I do expect them to come away with the win today.

Take Barcelona to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSG simply cannot afford to lose this game, if they did then they would be facing elimination which would be unthinkable, they would of course still be in the competition with a loss but being 4 points behind Napoli with just two games to play would be a nightmare scenario for the French Champions.

Napoli are a good side, they showed that beating Liverpool and drawing in Paris but they are not on the level of PSG and if the French side turns up in the right frame of mind then I cannot see anything other than an away win.

PSG have the potential to win this competition and are one of the best sides in world football, they have let themselves down in this competition so far and are much better than results have shown.

If PSG plays how I know they can then they will win and I am confident we will see the right PSG turn up today.

PSG win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Cowboys to go all out this evening and to beat the Titans and cover the spread.

For starters, the Cowboys win at home, they have a perfect 3-0 record to date and the Titans are poor on the road as their 1-3 record shows and with these two teams being fairly evenly matched then having home advantage against a team weak on the road is a significant advantage.

The Titans are also in a bit of a rut right now, they have lost three straight and this season have found scoring a big issue, their stats are quite poor averaging just 15 points a game, whereas the Cowboys have averaged 20 points per game.

Then there is defence, the Titans have conceded an average of 18 points per game whereas the Cowboys have conceded 17.5 on average per game, so both in offense and defence the Cowboys have the better record and if you look over the last three games the difference is even starker.

The Titans are in a bad spot right now, they are struggling in offense and are on the road where they are poor, the Cowboys are in much better shape, they are much stronger on offense and have a huge advantage playing at home and therefore I am going with the Cowboys -4.5. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Espanyol has a 100% win record at home in La Liga this season and will be looking to make it five wins in a row today and move to second in the standings.

Athletico has a 100% draw record on the road this season, however, they are fourth bottom in the standings, they have won just once all season and parking the bus every time they play away will not work long term.

Espanyol is in much better form, they are formidable at home and have the incentive of moving into second and because of all those factors I am backing them to win outright today.

Take Espanyol to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two sets of stats here that contradict each other.

Huddersfield at home has been involved in just one game from their five home games that have gone over 2.25 goals, however, Fulham on the road have seen all their five games go over 2.25 goals.

There is, however, some context required for this game tonight, these two occupy the bottom two spots in the standing and a win is imperative, a draw is basically useless for both teams and so they will attack as both teams will see this as a game they can win.

Huddersfield have really tightened up in defence but have found scoring a serious problem but on occasions, they do get overrun in defence like the 3-0 away loss to Watford last time out showed and they simply must transition from a team focussed on defence to one that is more attack-minded if they are to drag themselves off the bottom.

Fulham is not doing so bad in the scoring department, the problem is that they leak goals almost every game as the 15 conceded in their last four games shows.

Point is this, both teams must attack, Fulhams defence is weak and Huddersfield's defence may have been tightened up but it is still weak and Fulham can penetrate, especially if Huddersfield are more attack-minded, as I expect them to be.

All things considered, I am going for over 2.25 goals in this one.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A lot is being made of the matchup between Brady and Rodgers in this one but what is being ignored is the simple fact that the Patriots are the better team and by quite a bit.

No doubt Rodgers and Brady will do their bit to justify the hype of this game but the truth is that Green Bay is far more of a one-man team than what the Patriots are, just look at the results over the season for confirmation of that fact.

I know that Green Bay ran the Rams very close last week and it was an excellent performance but they are not playing like that week in week out and the reason for that is they cannot maintain that sort of performance on a regular basis, the Patriots can and do.

With home advantage, which is significant and the better all round team, I am going with the Patriots to win this one by double digits and easily cover the spread of -5 and ask yourself this, if this game had not been hyped up about the matchup between Rodgers and Brady would the Patriots really be available at -5?

Easy decision, Patriots -5

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was expecting the spread to be higher on this one and happy to take the Grizzlies -3.5 points.

The Grizzlies have won three on the bounce and only one team has hit 100 points against them in their last five games.

The Suns are poor in offense, they have scored less than 100 points in three of their last four games and are on a seven-game losing streak.

Unless two things happen today, which is the Grizzlies defence to all of a sudden collapse and the Suns offense to finally get their act together then this is a clear win for Memphis and by more than 3.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When the Spurs have faced teams in poor form recently they have handed them a beating and that is all set to happen again today.

The Magic are in bad shape, they are really struggling in offense and are the only team now averaging less than 100 points a game, they have lost three of their last four games by double digits and the other one by eight points, they really are not in any sort of good form.

The Spurs, on the other hand, have won four on the bounce and the last two games by 14 points and 30 points respectively, they are on fire and love playing teams with similar records to that of the Magic.

One-sided game for me and I am taking the Spurs -8

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game will be a lot closer than most people think, the Knicks are not playing that bad, they have certainly improved over their last three games registering two wins in that period and are starting to look like a team that is more organised, not something you can say about the Wizards.

Washington are playing terribly, they were booed by their own fans on Friday, they have lost five on the bounce and it is clear they have huge issues they need to get to grips with, especially in defence.

Knicks +7.5 looks like a gift to me all things considered and one I will gladly accept.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hard to see anything other than a win for Philadelphia today.

I know that the Sixers are struggling on the road but that will not continue and they enter this game after a successful stint at home winning both games fairly comfortably.

It really is only a matter of time before they transfer their brilliant home form to the road and the Nets present a perfect opportunity for them to achieve that today.

The Nets are not world beaters and at home have a 2-2 record and have just lost to Houston in front of their own fans.

Philadelphia -4.5 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and one I cannot wait to watch and I am backing the Saints to inflict the first defeat on the Rams this season.

Both teams are red hot right now but in recent games, the Rams have looked vulnerable and have not been registering wins as convincingly as they had in recent weeks, they have had narrow wins over Green Bay, Denver and Seattle and have a fair share of luck, their defence is starting to look suspect and I do not see them going unbeaten all season long, but it will take a special team to beat them and the Saints certainly fit that criteria.

New Orleans look formidable right now and the manner of their wins has been more convincing than that of the Rams recently, they have home advantage and will not be overawed at facing the Rams, they enter this game full of confidence and will relish this game today.

With a 2 points start it has to be the Saints on the spread.

Stake - 3pts