MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Yesterday's game exploded late and ended up a 10-7 final in extra innings. The late game explosion is nothing new in games at Coors Field and I am expecting another wild game today on an unseasonably warm afternoon in Denver! Lauer has been great at home for the Brewers this season but he has a mediocre 4.03 ERA on the road and a 4.72 ERA in his day game starts this year. Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch and right now it is unseasonably warm in Denver too. So all signs point to the hitters ruling the afternoon here. As for Freeland, he has having a horrible run in home starts. He has allowed 19 earned runs in 20.1 innings over his 4 home starts. Brewers will take advantage and, prior to yesterday's 10-7 loss, were 6-4 last 10 games and they scored at least 6 runs in all 6 wins. Milwaukee has allowed an average of 6.5 runs in last 8 losses. The Rockies have been struggling but a lot of that was on the road. Before being held to 4 runs in Monday's home loss, Colorado had won 6 of 11 home games. The Rockies last 13 home games have averaged 13 runs per game. We get at least a dozen here in my opinion regardless of the starting pitchers. Take action on pitches and watch these lineups be as hot as the Denver weather! 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Yesterday's game was 6-3 in top of the 6th but ended up with only 10 runs by the end of the game. That is unusual for a Coors Field game and today will make up for it. Woodruff has been great at home for the Brewers this season but he has a mediocre 4.67 ERA on the road and Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch and right now it is unseasonably warm in Denver too. So all signs point to the hitters ruling the evening here. As for Kuhl, he has having a horrible run. He had an 8.71 ERA in his 5 July starts. He has been a little better in his last 2 starts since returning to the rotation but still struggling overall and his first August start was a disaster and so last 3 starts overall he has allowed 15 earned runs in 14.2 innings. Brewers will take advantage and are 6-4 last 10 games and have scored at least 6 runs in all 6 wins. Milwaukee has allowed an average of 6 runs in last 7 losses. The Rockies have been struggling but a lot of that was on the road. Before being held to 4 runs in yesterday's home loss, Colorado had won 6 of 11 home games. The Rockies last dozen home games have averaged about 13 runs per game. We get at least a dozen here in my opinion regardless of the starting pitchers. Take action on pitches and watch these lineups be as hot as the Denver weather! 10* OVER 11 in Colorado

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Both these teams got their lineups going yesterday and I am looking for more of the same today. The clubs played a double-header yesterday and combined for 22 runs on 43 hits. The Orioles got swept and will be looking for payback here and should have success against White. He is 0-5 with a 5.12 ERA in night action this season. The Blue Jays, and red hot Bichette, should stay hot here against Bradish. The Orioles right-hander is 0-4 with a 6.29 ERA in his 9 home starts this season. Regardless of the starting pitchers, each bullpen got some extra work because of the double header yesterday and I like the way both teams were swinging the bats yesterday. Take advantage of the low total here. Blue Jays appear to have snapped their recent hitting slump and Orioles known for hitting better at home. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 +100 vs Miami Marlins @ 6:45 ET - Action on pitchers. It is raining in Philly Tuesday but the rain during day that is expected is also to subside and become light showers by late afternoon. So the hope is we get baseball on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. Aaron Nola is off a rare bad start at Arizona where he got rocked. This followed him allowing 1 earned run or less in 4 of last 5 starts. Nola also has dominated the Marlins this season in a pair of starts against them. Miami starter Jesus Luzardo can be strong at times but this is still a guy who is 9-15 with a 5.32 ERA last two seasons combined. The big key here is Marlins do not hit well and Phillies ready to bounce back big at home after a tough series at San Francisco over the weekend. Philadelphia is 15-6 last 21 home games and 8 of last 9 victories overall by 2 or more runs. The Marlins are mired in an 8-26 slump and 11 of last 16 losses by at least a 2-run margin. Home blowout here. 10* PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -1.5 +100

MLB Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 +102 vs San Francisco Giants @ 10:10 ET - Giants off a dramatic walk-off win over the Phillies last night and had surprising success in that series after entering it on a rough run of mostly losing for two weeks. The Dodgers won big again yesterday and are simply an incredible machine. Los Angeles has not only won 70% of their games this season but, when they win, it is almost always by a multiple-run margin! 80 of their 92 wins this season by 2 or more runs. Regardless of pitchers here I like the Dodgers at home but I will mention them here. Webb got hammered by the Dodgers last time he faced them and he also has been shaky in 2 of his last 3 starts. Heaney has great numbers for the Dodgers and has been piling up strikeouts including when he faced SF with Webb on the hill 5 weeks ago. Webb allowed 6 earned runs in that one and Heaney allowed just 1 earned run in that one. More of the same here and again I like the Dodgers though regardless of pitchers. Play this one with ACTION. Los Angeles has won 47 of 64 home games this season! San Francisco is 9 games UNDER .500 in road games this season. 10* LOS ANGELES DODGERS Run Line -1.5 +102

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers. I know that Snell is a big name pitcher but that is also what is helping to keep this line low. His last two home starts have been a bit shaky, especially his most recent one was bad. The way the Diamondbacks have been hitting of late, I feel strongly they will get to him. Ditto for the Padres getting to Ryne Nelson as well. The right-hander is a rookie making his first start and is not striking out as many batters at the AAA level this season in this minors compared to his earlier seasons. He has been giving up a lot of homers and Padres have some decent long-ball hitters in addition to Machado that can take advantage even though, of course, they have missed Tatis this season. The key is NOT the pitchers in this match-up as my play is action for a reason. The key is that both these teams have been scoring runs quite well and both these teams have been consistently involved in high-scoring games. I am taking advantage of a low total here and it will be a warm late afternoon game in San Diego Monday. The Padres are 6-3 last 9 games and have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game during this stretch. 7 of their last 9 games have totaled at least 8 runs. In fact, NONE of their last TEN games have totaled less than 7 runs and the average score during this stretch has been 11.5 runs! The Diamondbacks have won 9 of 12 games! Arizona has averaged scoring 6.3 runs per game last dozen games. 10 of last 14 Dbacks games have totaled at least 8 runs and those 14 games averaged 11.7 runs per game totaled. This one should reach double digits and I love the value here. 10* OVER 8 in San Diego Padres

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in LA Angels vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Lot of extra bullpen arms used in last night's lengthy extra-inning affair that the Angels eventually won 2-1. We'll see a lot more scoring here. Action on pitchers as I like the fact Angels had been scoring better of late and Astros one of top teams in MLB and NOT facing Ohtani tonight! That said, lets talk about the pitchers first though they are not the most important factor. Davidson expected to start for Angels and he has a 7.16 ERA in his 4 home appearances this season and has had major command issues on the mound no matter where he pitches with far too many walks this year. As for the Astros Urquidy, he has a 4.24 ERA in road starts this season and the Angels seeing him for the 3rd time this season. That could help them have more success this time around and they have had Trout in the lineup lately and Urquidy has allowed 6 homers in his last 4 starts. This one flies over the total. The Angels have won 6 of 8 games and had averaged scoring 5 runs per game before yesterday's tight 2-1 win in 12 innings! Astros had won 8 of 10 games before yesterday's loss and Houston scored an average of 4.5 runs per game in those 8 victories. Houston on an 18-10 run last 28 games and scored 6.5 runs per game in those 18 wins and of course they are a sizable road favorite here for a reason. Look for a lot of runs in this one. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in LA Angels

Sunday MLB 8* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +115 @ San Francisco Giants @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Phillies off a 5-4 loss yesterday and are 4-1 / 80% L5 times off a loss in which they scored at least 3 runs. The Phillies had won 23 of 34 games before these B2B losses and should bounce back here. The Giants had lost 11 of 13 games before these B2B wins. Rodon is scheduled to start for San Francisco here and yet was priced nearly as low as a pick'em in this one at home. That looks like a trap line if I ever seen one and sure enough the Giants been getting a lot of attention in the markets. Note that the Phillies have Suarez going and he was part of a disastrous game for the Phillies last time out as bad defense behind him helped lead the way to blowing a 7-0 lead in an eventual ugly loss. That was the biggest Diamondbacks comeback win of all time to tell you just how improbable it was. Now I will tell you what is probable rather than improbable. Suarez ready to lead a bounce back win here and he has a 1.81 ERA his last 8 starts! Regardless of pitchers, I like this situation for the better team with the better bats to bounce back big. 8* PHILADELPHIA +115

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. I like this total no matter who pitches as it is on the low side due in part to the expected pitchers here and the fact Burnes generally is tough on the mound. The Brewers right-hander actually has given up 4 or more earned runs in 2 of last 3 road starts and struggled a bit overall in August with a 4.83 ERA. However, speaking of struggling, Bumgarner is off a winless August in which he went 0-3 with a 9.23 ERA in his 5 starts and opponents hit .373 against him. Brewers lost 2-1 yesterday and were shutout 5-0 the day before. However, prior to this, Milwaukee had won 4 of 5 and scored an average of 6.2 runs per game. The Brewers will get back on track after rare B2B ugly games at the plate. Milwaukee averaging 5.2 runs per game last 5 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses. The Diamondbacks are 8-2 last 10 games and in their last dozen games, even with only a 2-1 win yesterday, have averaged scoring 6.3 runs per game. You can see why I like this total with action on the pitchers. Great set up here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Arizona

MLB Saturday 8* OVER 8 in San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Giants bats woke up yesterday so that continues here regardless of Phillies pitcher but Syndergaard is the expected starter. He has been okay but not dominant but plus just allowed 9 hits in 5 innings versus a bad Pirates team. The Phillies bats should bounce back off the embarrassing loss. Philly should pound Junis as he had a rough August and Philadelphia has shown a knack for responding off ugly losses. Recently, the Phillies continue to get involved in crazy high-scoring games. Look for that to continue here. Just day after day of games getting to double digits in runs and I expect more of the same here no matter who is on the mound. Giants bats are awake again and confident. Phillies had scored average of 9 runs per game in 3 games prior to getting hammered yesterday and their bats will fare just fine here. 8* OVER 8 in San Francisco

MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -102 @ San Francisco Giants @ 10:15 ET - Action on pitchers. The Giants have lost 7 straight and 11 of 13 games. San Francisco has scored just 2.4 runs per game in 13 of last 14 games. Only one big offensive output during this 14-game stretch and you see the poor average they have in the 13 other games. Things are going much differently for Philly. The Phillies bounced back from B2B embarrassing losses by being on the right end of a blowout in an 18-2 win at Arizona Sunday. Unlike San Francisco, the Phillies have been scoring quite well and have won 23 of 34 games. Philadelphia has scored an average of 6.3 runs per game their last dozen games. Also, the Phillies have the pitching edge here. I like them no matter the starting pitchers here but will mention that Gibson is 6-3 in night games. Also, he went 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA in his 5 August starts. As for San Francisco's Cobb, he is 3-5 in night games this season and has been getting hit quite hard his last 4 starts. The Phillies are the hotter team and available at a great price here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -102

MLB Friday 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers @ 7:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rangers have lost 5 straight and 6 of 8 but continues to score plenty of runs. Texas averaging 6.5 runs scored in those 8 games. 6 of the 8 games totaled at least 13 runs. Look for another wild one here. I know Pivetta has pitched well at times recently for the Red Sox he still has a 4.83 ERA at home and has been hit 44 points higher at Fenway Park than on the road this season. Also, Keuchel has been incredibly bad this season. He is with his 3rd team already this season and got hammered again in most recent start and is 2-8 with a ridiculous 8.87 ERA in his 13 starts this season! Remember last season he got rocked too. Sad to see it ending like this but it sure looks like Keuchel is at the final stages of his career. The Red Sox will certainly show no mercy and tend to hit better at home than on the road. Boston has won 6 of last 7 at Fenway Park and 5 of those 7 games totaled at least 11 runs. In fact, the 5 games averaged 14.6 runs apiece. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -135 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 9:40 ET - The Diamondbacks are off an embarrassing 18-2 loss last night but this followed 5 straight wins and the average score of those wins was 9 to 4. In other words, Arizona has been rolling. I am going with action here because this is an overall a team-based and situational play. Another key to the situation here is Brewers are on the road. Yes, Milwaukee has been winning lately but being at home helped them. The Brewers actually have lost 10 of last 13 road games! I am grabbing the +1.5 here on the run line for added insurance as half of Milwaukee's dozen wins after the All Star break came by just one run. They have been winning bigger of late but again a lot of home games too. On the road here I expect them to struggle and note that Woodruff has an ERA two runs higher on the road compared to at home. As for Kelly, he has allowed a total of only 18 earned runs in his last 11 starts and, keep in mind, he went at least 6 innings in 10 of those 11 outings. Excellent home dog value. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 -135

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Washington Nationals vs Oakland A's @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. We get line value here because two bad teams are matched up and the A's are so often weak in terms of runs scored. Now we take advantage because Espino is the scheduled starter for the Nationals and he is 0-6 this season. Espino has particularly struggled as a starter and especially at home. In fact, in his last 5 home starts he has allowed at least 3 earned runs all 5 and in 2 of them he allowed 4 earned runs. Espino did not work deep in any of these outings. A's expected starter is Waldichuk and he is a rookie that struggled more when he made the jump from AA to AAA level of minors and now he jumps to the majors. Note that Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of last 13 home games and scored 5 or more runs in 7 of those 8. Washington is known for scoring better at home than on the road. Oakland had won 3 of 4 road games and scored an average of 6 runs per game prior to yesterday's 5-1 loss. This is why I like the over regardless of starting pitchers here and feel we have excellent line value with the low total here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Washington

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. These teams involved in high-scoring action thus far and I expect more of the same here regardless of starting pitchers but we'll start there. Falter has decent numbers of late for the Phillies but this is going to be one of the tougher road appearances he has made in awhile. When facing a good team, or a team surging like Dbacks sticks are right now, Falter has struggled on the road this season. As for the Diamondbacks Henry, he has had about as many walks as strikeouts other than one very strong start this season but that one was against Pirates. In other words, his ERA is a little lower than it should be as he has had some good fortune on balls put in play and I feel this is giving us some extra value here as a potent Philadelphia lineup can get to Henry early and often. No matter the pitchers, the Phillies had averaged nearly 6 runs per game last 9 games before the ugly loss last night. As for the Dbacks, they have averaged 7.3 runs per game last 9 games and are feeling extra confident at the plate right now as they are on 5-game winning streak and have reached double digits in runs in 3 of last 4 victories! 10* OVER 9 in Arizona

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 7.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees @ 9:38 ET - Action on pitchers. Angels Sandoval has been red hot in August and is the type of crafty lefty that can keep the Yankees free-swinging lineup off balance. Yankees Cole having another strong campaign, as is Sandoval, and the Yanks right-hander has been practically unhittable last couple road starts. Regardless of pitchers I like the under here as Angels, not including extra innings, entered this series being held to 3 or less runs scored in 12 of last 16 home games! So far in this series they have managed 4 runs in each of the first two games so they still are not exactly knocking the cover off the ball at home. As for the Yankees, they entered last night's game having been had only 2 big games at the plate last 19 games! In the other 17 games the past 3 weeks the Yankees scored an average of only 2 runs per game! Don't be surprised, given the above, if tonight ends up a 3-2 type game! 10* UNDER 7.5 in Los Angeles Angels

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -125 @ Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:40 ET - As you would expect, losing a game in which you score at least 7 runs does not happen very often. Prior to yesterday's 13-7 loss, a game the Phillies actually led 7-0, it had happened to Philadelphia just 3 times this season. Each time they bounced back with a win! Look for them to improve on that mark here and make it 4-0 / 100% YTD when in that situation. I am going action on pitchers here because I love this situation and fully expect a Phillies bounce back here. But I will touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Aaron Nola has been great with a 2.13 ERA on the road this season. Lately his "vintage Nola" breaking stuff has been phenomenal with curveballs looking like they are falling off the edge of a table when they arrive at the plate. Arizona's hitters do not have much familiarity with him and that will make their task even tougher here. The Phillies, on the other hand, pounded Zac Gallen earlier this season and he could not make it out of the 2nd inning. Trust me I know Gallen has been throwing very well and is a quality pitcher but the Phillies have some hitters that have had his number long-term not just this season. The Phillies have 6 hitters that are a combined 9 for 18 with 3 homers and 6 runs batted in versus Gallen. Regardless of the pitchers, note the 100% situation for the Phillies and the fact they are 43-23 against teams with a losing record on the season. Arizona still just 17-37 against teams with a winning record. Diamondbacks just had biggest comeback win in franchise history! Now the Phillies get some payback for that comeback! 10* PHILADELPHIA -125

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in LA Angels vs NY Yankees @ 9:38 ET - I know yesterday's game stayed under the total but the Angels have now won 4 straight games and scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. I know the Yankees have been slumping but the ball was carrying very well last night in Anaheim and there are a number of big hitters in these lineups. Regardless of the starting pitchers (take action) I like the over in this one. The Angels are expected to start Mayers and he is essentially an opener here. I look for the Yankees to get to him and then their bullpen. As for expected Yankees starter Taillon, he had a 2.30 ERA on the season after his first start in June. Since then, he has a 5.06 ERA. In other words, he has been far from dominant and this Angels lineup is feeling it right now. This one flies over the total regardless of starting pitchers. There were 5 homers in last night's game and there should have been more than 7 runs. Tonight there will be and I am expecting double digits. 10* OVER 8.5 in LA Angels

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 or 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Like the Phillies to bounce back off 6-0 shutout home loss yesterday. Also like the Diamondbacks sticks at home though too. Arizona has won 3 straight games and the Dbacks have scored an average of 6 runs per game last 7 games. Philadelphia, prior to ugly loss yesterday, had won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. You can see from these numbers why I like the over here. Now will touch on the pitchers but they are not the most important factor. Ranger Suarez had been red hot for the Phillies but then he faded in his most recent start as he got in trouble in the 6th inning. I feel he could be wearing down. Remember he just converted from a reliever to a starter during the season last year. This season he has now thrown more innings than ever before in his MLB career. As for Madison Bumgarner, he has solid numbers overall at home this season but, as of late, it has not matter where he has pitched. The southpaw has been struggling bad and the Phillies have the lumber to take advantage. Bumgarner is 1-4 with a 6.38 ERA since the All Star break and has been hit at over a .300 clip in his last 6 starts combined. He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. No matter the pitchers here, plenty of reason to believe in both lineups in this one as Dbacks get it done at home and a Phillies team that had been hot bounces right back at the plate after yesterday's shutout loss. 10* OVER 8.5 or 9 in Arizona

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers as I look for the Cardinals to ride the wave of momentum off last night's 6-3 win that came courtesy of a big 3-run homer in the bottom of the 8th. The Cardinals are 12-3 last 15 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch! The Reds are just 5-5 last 10 games but have scored an average of 5 runs per game during this stretch. Cincinnati has allowed an average of 6 runs per game last 7 losses and this one with St Louis looks like a slugfest in a hitters park regardless of pitchers. But will mention that Chase Anderson making his first start of this season and he struggled as a starter both in 2020 and 2021 with high ERAs above 6.50 each year. As of Cards starter Miles Mikolas, he has an ERA nearly 2 runs higher on the road compared to at home and this is nothing new for him. Road struggles and home successes have been the pattern for him throughout his recent seasons at the MLB level. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Cincinnati

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 or 8 in St Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:08 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the potency of these two lineups and like the over regardless of starting pitchers but will mention them here. Wainwright expected starter for Cardinals and historically he is very strong at home. However, if there is a game for him to get tripped up it is this one. He recently struggled at home versus Yankees this month and they got to him good. In another prior home start versus a high quality lineup, Dodgers, he had to work out of a lot of jams and was fortunate to avoid any damage in that one. Now Wainwright faces a strong Braves lineup and I expect some struggles. As for Atlanta starter Odorizzi, he has consistently shown throughout recent seasons that he struggles more in night games than day outings. It is a marked difference and has been consistent for year after year in recent seasons. That said, the St Louis lineup is a solid one particularly when at home and they can do some damage here. Again, regardless of starting pitchers I like the over here. That is in part because the Cardinals are 11-3 last 14 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch! As for Atlanta, they are 15-3 last 18 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch. Solid production from each of these lineups expected again tonight. 10* OVER 7.5 or 8 in St Louis

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 6 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 7 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-43 on the road and 18-41 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 43-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Contreras expected to get the call for Pirates and he has some solid numbers this season but does get hit harder on the road. In fact, in his last two road starts against NL playoff level teams like the Phillies - he got rocked by both the Braves and Cardinals. Syndergaard expected to start for Phillies and after a rough first start with Phillies he has pitched well in each of his last three starts with his new club. The right-hander has been settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 13 of 15. Also, 14 of Pittsburgh's last 16 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -145

MLB Saturday 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington @ 7:05 ET - Okay, I know these teams are not very good but neither are the expected starting pitchers here. I am going with action on the pitchers anyway but you are talking about two bad bullpens too and these teams combined for 10 runs in yesterday's game and now we have a total of 8.5 runs with expected starters of Cessa and Espino on the mound? I will take it. Cessa has a 5.67 ERA this season mostly working out of the bullpen but has struggled as a starter just like he did earlier in his career before moving to the bullpen. As for Espino, he is 0-4 with an ERA in the 6.00 range over his 9 starts in July and August. As for the lineups in this one, note that Cincinnati has seen 9 of last 13 games total at least 9 runs. The Reds have averaged scoring 5 runs per game last dozen games. The Nationals did not score well on their recent road trip but their last 8 home games have totaled an average of 10 runs per game. Don't be surprised if this one also gets to double digits in runs scored. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -135 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 6:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 5 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 6 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-42 on the road and 18-40 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 42-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Beede expected to get the call for Pirates and he is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA in his 4 starts this month. Gibson expected to start for Phillies and he just recently had a strong tough start versus Mets but has pitched well in each of his last three home starts before that. The right-hander has been settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 12 of 14. Also, 13 of Pittsburgh's last 15 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -135

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Not many will be looking over here because McCullers in on the mound for Astros. However, I am not looking so much at the pitchers here but we'll start there although this play is action. McCullers is making just his 3rd start this season so he is still trying to round into top form and having some command issues with his pitches. Walking too many has been an issue for him throughout his career and though he is still a strong pitcher he is still a little out of sorts since coming back from injury. As for Bradish, he is 1-5 with a 6.25 ERA and teams hitting .318 against him this season. So now the real key is this Orioles team is playing very motivated baseball, off another win yesterday, in the wild card race, and so the lineup has a ton of confidence at the plate right now. Speaking of confidence, of course the Astros remain a very strong hitting club at home as they continue to be one of the top teams in baseball. Houston has won 11 of 16 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch! Baltimore has won 4 of 6 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. The Orioles will do some damage at the plate here but Astros always tough at home and, as a result, this one flies over the rather low total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore

MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -132 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 4 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 5 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-41 on the road and 18-39 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 41-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Wilson expected to get the call for Pirates and he is 2-7 with a 5.74 ERA on the season. In the month of August he has allowed 7 homers and is allowing an average of 1 every 3 innings this month! Falter expected to start for Phillies and he just recently had a strong start at Pittsburgh and has pitched well in each of his last two starts including against a tough Mets lineup. The southpaw is settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 11 of 13. Also, 12 of Pittsburgh's last 14 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -132

MLB Thursday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -150 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as this is all about the better overall team and the current streaks involving each of these clubs. However, will mention the expected starting pitchers for for the Phillies is Aaron Nola and he is on a 37-17 run in home games since the start of the 2017 season. He has dominated in Philly and also enters this start off a rare tough one versus Mets after compiling a 1.35 ERA over his 3 prior starts. Cincinnati expected to start Justin Dunn here and he got hammered in his first two starts this month after joining the big club and then, though he had some success in most recent start, he still struggled with command walked too many and that was against a bad Pirates team. The pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough have now lost each of the first three games in this series. Also, those B2B Cincinnati wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 19 of 27 - including 5 of 6 versus Reds - after yesterday's win by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here as Reds 28-49 in night games and 10-20 against NL East foes and 58 of 74 losses by multi-run margin this season. Reds horrible on road and against teams with a winning record this season. Phillies 17-9 vs NL Central teams and 39-19 against teams with a losing record. Regardless of starting pitchers (our play here is action), the hosts roll big in this one. 8* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -150

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:05 ET - Yesterday's game stayed under the total despite the teams combining for 18 hits. The White Sox left 14 men on base. The Orioles went 0 for 5 with runners in scoring position. I like taking the over after games like this and I am going with action on pitchers here as per usual. I will mention that the expected starters are Lynn and Lyles. I know Lynn has been better of late including a solid start at Cleveland in his most recent outing. However, in his 5 road outings before facing the Guardians, Lynn struggled almost always. That is why, even including solid start at Cleveland, he is 0-3 with a 6.39 ERA and a .311 batting average against in his 6 road starts this season. Lyles has allowed 4 earned runs in B2B starts plus he is getting hit at a .326 clip this month and he gave up 4 earned runs in only start versus White Sox this season. Orioles have averaged 6 runs scored per game last 8 home games. Chicago has not been scoring that well but, prior to leaving 14 on base yesterday, they left 13 on base Tuesday! The point is that the White Sox have had their opportunities and I fully expect them to cash in more of those today coming off the confidence boost of a win yesterday. Regardless of starting pitchers here, look for plenty of runs. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Red Sox have averaged 5 runs scored per game last 7 games and 4 of last 6 games have totaled double digits in runs. Last 17 home games at Fenway Park have averaged 10 runs per game. Blue Jays had an 8-run 3rd inning yesterday and Toronto has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 11 road games. This is why I like the over here regardless of pitchers but I will mention that the expected starter for Toronto is Berrios and Red Sox expected to go with Bello. Note that Berrios has a 6.82 ERA in road games this season and opponents have hit over .300 against him in starts away from home. As for Boston's Bello, he has made 3 starts this season and allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of them despite lasting only 4 innings in each start! Red Sox bullpen not exactly stellar either and will be called upon early in this one most likely. It all sets up for a high-scoring slug-fest at hitter-friendly Fenway Park Wednesday. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as this is all about the better overall team and the fact we get line value because they are using an inexperienced hurler here so the line is kept more manageable. So don't care who the starters are but Phillies Sanchez should have success here if called upon. Cincinnati expected to start Zeuch here and he got hammered in his only two starts this season and that includes his most recent against the Phillies. As for Sanchez, he actually has enjoyed some success and proven tough to hit in his two starts this season. The pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough have now lost each of the first two games in this series. Also, those B2B Cincinnati wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 18 of 26 - including 4 of 5 versus Reds - after yesterday's win though it came by a one-run margin after Monday's victory was by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here as Reds 28-48 in night games and 10-19 against NL East foes and 57 of 73 losses by multi-run margin this season. Reds horrible on road and against teams with a winning record this season. Phillies 16-9 vs NL Central teams and 38-19 against teams with a losing record. Regardless of starting pitchers (our play here is action), the hosts roll big in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves @ 12:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Pirates are off B2B games in which they scored just 1 run. If you look at their season results, Pittsburgh scores quite well when off B2B games in which they were held to 1 run or less. Also, after facing a tough lefty yesterday in Fried, this lefty-laden Pirates lineup should have much more success against Wright. The scheduled starter for the Braves is a righty that has not enjoyed as much success against lefties in his career. Also, though Wright has great numbers this season, he has struggled more in day games where he is getting hit a .290 clip. The scheduled starter for the Pirates is Keller and he is 0-5 with a 4.80 ERA in home starts this season. Opponents are hitting .333 against him this month and he is facing a Braves team that has won 13 of 15 and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. You can see why, regardless of starting pitching match-up here, I am expecting both teams to score well in this one and sent it over the low total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Texas Rangers @ 8:40 ET -  Action on pitchers. The Rockies last 9 home games have averaged a dozen runs per game. The posted total on this one is currently an 11 and I am confident we'll top that here as Texas has won 7 of last 11 road games and averaged scoring 5 runs per game last 10 on the road and, of course, none of those 10 were here at hitter-friendly Coors. So you can see why I am expecting both teams to get to at least a half-dozen runs here and that puts this game at a 7-6 final at a minimum. Now, about those pitchers - again my play is action - the expected starters are Dunning and Marquez. Note that Rangers Dunning has been great at home but opponents hitting over .300 against him on the road where he is 0-5 with a 5.08 ERA. In other words, he is likely in big trouble at Coors Field. As for Marquez, he has been solid on the road but has been hit at over a .300 clip at home where he is 2-5 with a 5.85 ERA. This one, regardless of pitchers, should get crazy on a warm evening in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. I trust neither bullpen in this venue either. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Regardless of starting pitchers, I am expecting a lot of runs here. As for Royals hitters, they do tend to hit better at home. The last dozen home games for KC have averaged 10 runs per game and yesterday's reached the double digit mark in a 6-4 win over the White Sox. As for Diamondbacks hitters, they have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game last 20 games. They should get to 5 here given the Royals sub-par overall pitching staff including question marks in the pen. The expected starter for KC here is Heasley and he is 1-7 on the year and has a 6.35 ERA in home games. The expected starter for Arizona is Davies and he is 1-3 in his 10 road starts and has a 4.68 ERA away from home. No matter the pitchers here, this one is going to see plenty of runs as Kauffman Stadium continues to deliver a lot of high-scoring Royals games and I like the way the Diamondbacks have been swinging the bats. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -100 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as essentially yesterday was a bullpen game for the Reds as I expected even though they were not calling it that. Cincinnati expected to get a lot out of Luis Cessa there but he got hammered in his only start this season and has not pitched that great out of the bullpen this season either. Sure enough he got hammered and lasted just two innings so the pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. Will mention that Lodolo is the expected starter for Reds and he is winless with an 8.49 ERA in his 3 road starts this season. Suarez is the expected starter for Phillies and he has allowed a TOTAL of just 4 earned runs over his last 6 starts spanning 35 innings! The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough got hammered 4-1 yesterday. Also, the B2B wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 17 of 25 - including 3 of 4 versus Reds - after yesterday's win by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -100

MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as essentially this is a bullpen game for the Reds even though they are not calling it that. Cincinnati expects to get a lot out of Luis Cessa here but he got hammered in his only start this season and has not pitched that great out of the bullpen this season either. Also, prior to his lone start this season, he had not started a game since 2018. Now he faces an angry Phillies team as they just struggled against the Mets including losing the series finale despite scoring 9 runs in that game. Philadelphia the better team and at home and in a good situation given the loss yesterday. Look for payback here as they take on a lesser team. There is a concern about the weather in Philly this evening but as the night goes on they should get this game in and this is another reason I don't even care if Syndergaard starts or not either. Tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. Will mention that Syndergaard has been better in his last couple starts and is starting to show glimpses of being quite strong again as he is rounding into form as a Phillie now. The Reds are off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and winning streaks of 3 or more games have been very rare for Cincy this season. Also, the B2B wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies had won 16 of 23 - including 2 of 3 versus Reds - before yesterday's loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the over here regardless of starting pitchers but will mention the expected starters are Kopech and Lynch. Note that Kopech has a high ERA and much higher BAA in road games compared to at home. Also, he started this season fantastic the first two months but has since gone 3-8 with an ERA in the 4.50 range. As for Lynch, he has a 5.22 ERA in home games and is winless in his 6 day game starts this season. The White Sox, though they have not been scoring great do have some added confidence from winning 6 of last 9 prior to yesterday's rainout. They should be able to hit Lynch as though he has pitched well against them this season he got rocked by them last season. As for Royals hitters, they do tend to hit better at home. The last 11 home games for KC have averaged 10 runs per game. I look for another one to reach double digits here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies left 8 men on base in yesterday's low-scoring win. The Giants went 1 for 6 with runners in scoring position in the loss. I expect both lineups to be much better in this afternoon game at Coors Field Sunday. Colorado normally hits so well at home and San Francisco had averaged 6 runs per game in first 4 games here at Coors Field this season before yesterday's disappointing effort here. Bounce back time for both lineups here regardless of the pitchers. But I will mention them here as these are the expected starters. Jakob Junis has ERA north of 5.50 in his day starts this season. Up until this season he was in the AL with the Royals and I do believe this is his first ever start at Coors Field and, generally speaking, this is NOT a friendly place for road pitchers on their first visits here. As for Rockies Kyle Freeland, he is getting hit at a .313 clip in home start this season and has a 6.00 ERA at Coors Field. This one, regardless of starters, will get crazy and fly over the total on a warm afternoon in Denver. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -115 vs New York Mets @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Phillies at home and have won 16 of 23 games. Mets have lost 5 of last 9 road games. No matter the pitchers I like Phillies to build momentum off earning the split of yesterday's double-header. Butto is unproven rookie for Mets with unimpressive minor league stats. Gibson is 6-3 at home this season and has a 2.70 ERA so far this month. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants @ 8:10 ET - This match-up just missed going over the total yesterday as it stalled at 11 runs. Look for today's to make up for that. Action on pitchers. Regardless of pitchers, and hopefully we keep the rain away in this one, it should be a blowout winner on the over. Will mention the pitchers here briefly. Cobb has been great at home this season but has a 5.94 ERA in his 7 road starts and Coors Field the toughest venue in the league to pitch in. This is the 2nd straight year that his ERA is 3 full runs higher on the road than at home. As for Feltner, he is 2-5 with a 6.95 ERA and opponents hitting nearly .300 against him in his young MLB career. Look for him to get pounded here. The Giants allowing an average of 6 runs per game last 13 road games. The Rockies last 7 home games have averaged a dozen runs per game. This one gets to at least 12 as well. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers but we'll start there with the expected starters. The Red Sox are expected to start Michael Wacha here. I know he is off a great start but it was his first start back after a long layoff and sometimes when guys have an outing like that in first start back they suddenly struggle badly in the second one. They had a lot in the reserve in the first tart back but then have a little less in the reserve for the second start as they are still trying to get back in to their routine on the season. Baltimore expected to start Kyle Bradish here. The right-hander is winless with a 6.52 ERA and a .325 BAA in his 8 home outings. Yesterday's huge 15-10 Baltimore win followed an Orioles make-up game against the Cubs was squeezed into the schedule and was a tough scheduling spot for the Orioles and they did lose 3-2 at home. However, prior to that the O's won 8 of last 11 home games and each of last 4 games as a host had totaled at least 9 runs and I feel certain this one will too. The Red Sox last 8 road games have averaged 12.8 runs per game and only 1 of the 8 have totaled less than 9 runs and even that one got to 8. Day after day Boston seems to be involved in rather high-scoring games when on the road in recent weeks and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore

MLB Friday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -115 vs Miami Marlins @ 10:10 ET - Action on pitchers as I simply love a powerful Dodgers team to blast a Marlins team that so often struggles to score runs. I will mention the pitchers though here first. Tyler Anderson having a huge season including 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA in home outings this season. Jesus Luzardo can be dominant at times but he has struggled at times when facing tough lineups this season and the Dodgers certainly fit the bill in that regard. Also, this is still a guy that went 6-9 with a 6.61 ERA last season. He has been much better this season but still allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings against the Braves in his most recent start. Luzardo also recently allowed 4 earned runs in less than 3 innings at Arizona and now faces an even tougher road challenge here. The Dodgers are off a loss and are 11-2 the last 13 times when off a loss. Also, LA almost always wins their games by a multi-run margin. 89% of Dodgers wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Los Angeles has scored an average of 7 runs per victory in their 21 wins since the All Star break. The Marlins have lost 14 of 19 games and scored an average of only 2 runs per game last 18 games. You read that right...TWO runs average last 18 games. They are not hitting. Dodgers can and will! 10* LOS ANGELES DODGERS RUN LINE -1.5 -115

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers but we'll start there with the expected starters. The Red Sox are expected to start Kutter Crawford here. He has a 4.73 ERA in his MLB career. He gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his most recent road start. Crawford also struggled in his only appearance against Orioles this season and that was out of the pen earlier this season. Baltimore expected to start Jordan Lyles here. The right-hander has given up 13 hits in 10 innings in his last two starts. He has struggled in 2 of his last 3 home outings. Yesterday's make-up game against the Cubs was squeezed into the schedule and was a tough scheduling spot for the Orioles and they did lose 3-2 at home. However, prior to that the O's won 8 of last 11 home games and each of last 4 games as a host had totaled at least 9 runs and I feel certain this one will too. The Red Sox last 7 road games have averaged 11 runs per game and only 1 of the 7 have totaled less than 9 runs and even that one got to 8. Night after night Boston seems to be involved in rather high-scoring games when on the road in recent weeks and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The expectation here, as you can obviously tell from the side pricing in this game, is a Padres blowout. In fact, even the -1.5 on the run line pricing is too high for the risk in my mind. That said, -2.5 runs is currently available at -120. The point is that a SDG win by 3 or more runs would not be a shock to say the least. That said, I love the over in this match-up. Darvish is the expected starter for the Padres and he is not exactly setting the world on fire with his performances this month. He also just faced the Nationals last week when he was matched up with today's expected Nats pitcher, Sanchez. That said, love the over in this match-up because Sanchez is having another rough season and is 0-5 with a 7.20 ERA in his six starts this year. This game sets up for plenty of runs no matter who the pitchers are because Washington has allowed more runs than any team - even the Rockies! - in the majors this season. The Nationals have allowed 7.2 runs per game in their 17 defeats since the All Star break. The Padres last 10 games have totaled an average of 10.3 runs per game. Again, no matter the pitchers here, the bullpens should help our cause here as well and we can take advantage of a low total posted on this one. The low total makes sense because of Darvish being a big name pitcher but, again, you can see why this game has a great shot at setting plenty of runs per the above. 10* OVER 7.5 in San Diego

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees and Blue Jays both have two solid lineups. This is a very low total considering that fact and I like the over regardless of the starting pitchers. My play here is action on the pitchers. But I will mention that Berrios is notorious for struggling on the road and a number of Yankees batters have given him trouble. As for the Yankees Montas, he has struggled a bit in his first two starts in a Yankees uniform and now he has the added pressure of making this start in the Bronx. He is a veteran so is not that big of a deal for Montas but still is some added pressure. Also, the Blue Jays have a number of hitters that have given him trouble. This match-up has the perfect ingredients to be a solid over winner. Toronto's last 6 road games have featured 5 that reached double digits in runs scored. Yankees have been in a pattern of low-scoring games but yesterday's dramatic 8-7 win in extra innings courtesy of a walk-off grand slam from Donaldson is going to get the New York bats going. 7 of last 9 Yankees home games have totaled at least 9 runs. 10* OVER 8 in New York Yankees

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play St Louis Cardinals Run Line -1.5 -105 vs Colorado Rockies @ 1:15 ET - Action on pitchers as the fact is Rockies just so bad on road again this season and Cardinals so strong at home again this season. These are long-term trends too as year after year Colorado tends to struggle on the road while St Louis tends to be so tough at home. More of the same expected here but now I will touch on the starting pitchers but like this game regardless of starters. Wainwright is known for being so strong at home throughout his career and that has been the case again this season. This includes allowing 1 earned run or less in 5 of last 6 home starts. In fact, Wainwright has allowed a total of only 3 earned runs in the 37.1 innings spanning those 5 starts. Senzatela has had a very rough season for the Rockies and is 0-4 with a 5.50 ERA in his 7 road starts this season and he has a 5.28 ERA and has been hit a ridiculous .396 clip in his 6 day game starts this year. The home team rolls to big margin win here. 10* ST LOUIS -1.5 -105

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play San Francisco Giants Run Line -1.5 +105 vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:45 ET - You know Carlos Rodon wants this one and I expect him to pitch "lights out" in this one. He is 0-2 versus Arizona this season despite allowing only 8 hits in 11 innings while striking out 17 in his two starts against the Diamondbacks. Against the rest of the teams he is 11-4 with a 2.55 ERA this season! As for Arizona's Zach Davies, he has a 5.00 ERA in road games this season. Also, Davies ERA in night games is about a full run higher compared to day games. Regardless of starting pitchers, this one is a play for me. Take action on the pitchers. The Giants have won 8 of 10 games. The Dbacks have lost 23 of last 32 road games. Also, of the 11 wins that San Francisco has in Rodon's starts this season 10 of them (91%) have been by 2 or more runs. I am very comfortable with the run line here as, overall, 73% of Giants wins this season by 2 or more runs and we even get plus money here by laying the run line with the home team. 10* SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +105

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals @ 1:10 ET - Action on pitchers but will start there about this one. Daniel Lynch is a southpaw and he has struggled against right-handed hitters throughout his career. That said, he will be facing a righty-heavy lineup in facing the Twins this afternoon and I expect them to crush him. Lynch has a 6.00 ERA in his last two starts against Minnesota this season. As for the Twins Tyler Mahle, he gave up 3 homers in his first home start with Minny earlier this month. Then his next start he did pitch very well but it was against an Angels lineup that has recently been one of the worst in baseball. I do not trust that Mahle is back in top form just yet for sure as he struggles again here like he did in his first start this month. That said this seems like a very low total and I will take advantage. Note that KC had won 7 of 11 before B2B losses in this series. In those 11 games the Royals averaged 5.3 runs per game. As for the Twins, 26 of their last 33 games have totaled at least 8 runs and they are 7-2 last 9 games versus Royals and have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in last 9 games versus Kansas City. 10* OVER 8 in Minnesota

MLB Wednesday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -160 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 12:35 ET - Action on pitchers as I simply love this situational spot for the Phillies. But will touch on the pitchers here first. Suarez has been fantastic recently for the Phillies with a 1.27 ERA in his last 5 starts overall. Also, if you look at his last two road starts, he was practically unhittable. Suarez fully capable of dominating the Reds on the road in this one. As for Lodolo, the Reds big lefty has a 5.96 ERA and .309 BAA in his 5 day game starts this season. I look for the Phillies to pound him. Philadelphia got back on track with B2B wins Monday and then yesterday. The Phils have responded after entering this series off B2B losses following a red hot 13-2 run and Phillies have averaged 6 runs per game in their 16 victories since the All-Star break. The Reds off another loss yesterday (ugly 11-4 defeat) and have now lost 9 of 12 games. Also, Cincinnati - not including extra innings - has scored more than 3 runs just 3 times in their last 15 games! The Reds offense will again not be able keep up with the Phillies here and the visitors pull away for the win. Phillies roll to huge road win here but instead of run line (6 of last 12 Phillies wins before yesterday's 11-4 win had been by one run margin) I will reduce my rating to an 8* non-Top Play and lay the price on the money line. 8* PHILADELPHIA -160

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:40 ET - Action on pitchers but will start there about this one. Greinke has made 9 road starts this season and he is 0-5 with a 7.16 ERA. Throughout his career he has shown a strong tendency to pitch well at home and then struggle on the road. That has continued this season. As for the Twins Gray, he had a 5.92 ERA in his 5 July starts. Though he has a low ERA in his first two starts this month, he has a 1.55 WHIP so he doesn't seem to be back in top form just yet for sure. That said this seems like a very low total and I will take advantage. Note that KC had won 7 of 11 before yesterday's 4-2 loss. In those 11 games the Royals averaged 5.3 runs per game. As for the Twins, 25 of their last 32 games have totaled at least 8 runs and they are 6-2 last 8 games versus Royals and have scored an average of 6 runs per game in last 8 games versus Kansas City. 10* OVER 8 in Minnesota

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. Manoah just faced the Orioles and got hit hard in Baltimore and the damage could have been even worse. He might not be so fortunate in the rematch as Baltimore has been scoring very well and could cash even more opportunities this time around. As for the Orioles starter, Kremer has been absolutely crushed by Toronto hitters in his young career and I look for more of the same here in his first start versus the Blue Jays this season. Also these lineups just faced the relief pitchers they will be seeing throughout this series as well. In other words, this one sets up well to be a slugfest. Kremer has allowed 6 homers 10.1 innings in his last 3 starts versus the Blue Jays. I do like this play regardless of who the starters are because Baltimore entered the series off B2B low-scoring losses but already responded with 7 runs yesterday. Plus they had won 8 of 10 before those B2B losses and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game during that stretch. Also, Toronto has averaged 5.4 runs per game in their 7 games against Orioles this season. In fact, all 7 games went over the total and totaled at least 10 runs. More of the same here and I am going to test this match-up spot that is 7-0 / 100% this season! 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 6:40 ET - I lost with this play yesterday despite Phillies winning as they won by only 1 run. However, I will come right back with the run line here as a lot of signs point to another Philadelphia win here but this time by blowout margin. Action on pitchers as I simply love this situational spot for the Phillies. But will touch on the pitchers here first. Gibson has been fantastic recently for the Phillies in his last 3 starts overall. Also, if you look at his last two road starts, he was practically unhittable. Gibson is fully capable of dominating the Reds on the road in this one. As for Zeuch, the Reds big righty is 2-5 and has a 5.26 ERA in his MLB career. I look for the Phillies to pound him. Philadelphia got back on track with a win yesterday. The Phils were off B2B losses after a red hot 13-2 run and Phillies have averaged 6 runs per game in their 15 victories since the All-Star break. The Reds off another loss yesterday and have now lost 8 of 11 games. Also, Cincinnati - not including extra innings - has scored more than 3 runs just TWICE in their last 14 games! The Reds offense will not keep up with the Phillies here and the visitors pull away for the win by a multi-run margin. Prior to yesterday's one run defeat, each of Cincinnati's last 8 losses had come by 2 or more runs. Phillies roll to huge road win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. Kikuchi has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 innings in his two starts versus the Orioles this season. Bradish has allowed 8 earned runs in 9.2 innings in his two starts versus the Blue Jays this season. Also, these lineups just faced these pitchers. In other words, this one sets up well to be a slugfest even though both teams off losses in which they did not score well yesterday. Kikuchi has allowed 5 homers in his 2 starts versus the Orioles. I do like this play regardless of who the starters are because Baltimore is off B2B low-scoring losses but had won 8 of 10 before that and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game during that stretch. Also, Toronto has averaged nearly 6 runs per game in their half-dozen games against Orioles this season. In fact, all 6 games went over the total and totaled at least 11 runs. More of the same here and I am going to test this match-up spot that is 6-0 / 100% this season! 10* OVER 9 in Toronto

MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -110 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers as I simply love this situational spot for the Phillies. But will touch on the pitchers here first. Syndergaard was much better in his most recent start with his new team and he is fully capable of dominating the Reds on the road in this one. As for Minor, the Reds lefty is 1-9 and has a 6.24 ERA on the season. I look for the Phillies to pound him. Philadelphia off B2B losses after a red hot 13-2 run and Phillies have averaged 6 runs per game in their 14 victories since the All-Star break. The Reds off a win but this after losing 7 of 9 games. Also, prior to that win, Cincinnati - not including extra innings - had scored more than 3 runs just ONCE in their last DOZEN games! The Reds offense will not keep up with the Phillies here and the visitors pull away for the win by a multi-run margin. Each of Cincinnati's last 8 losses by 2 or more runs. Phillies roll to huge road win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins @ 4:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I will mention the pitchers here but this is more about the teams and lineups and current trending rather the starting pitchers. I know I keep going back to the well here but I really feel good about this one getting over the total to wrap up this series. So first off lets talk about the fact the Twins are on a crazy run in road games in which 17 of their last 19 road games have totaled at least 8 runs. By the way, only 2 landed on 8 runs but I know we need 9 here and most all landed on at least 9 runs during this 19-game stretch. Now you know why I am not too worried about who the pitchers are. Yes, I know the Angels have a tendency to not score very well but they are at home here and have averaged 4 runs per game last 14 games. I am fully expecting at least a 6-5 final in this one as I expect both teams to fare well at the plate with the most likely result being double digits in runs scored. The Twins Chris Archer is 0-4 with a 5.40 ERA in day games this season. As for the Angels Tucker Davidson, he is 1-3 with a 7.91 ERA this season and I feel strongly that the Twins are going to respond after letting yesterday's game get away from them plus a lot of hard hit balls in Friday's game and that one certainly should have seen more scoring than the 4-0 final. This one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 9 in LA Angels

MLB 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres @ 12:05 ET - Padres lost 4-3 yesterday as they blew a 3-0 lead and there were 18 hits in that game. Before that loss yesterday, San Diego had been rolling and scoring big runs and I expect them to resume the hot streak today. They should pound Espino as he had a 5.82 ERA last month and 6.00 ERA this month and he has been struggling badly. He is winless on the season. The Padres Snell has good numbers on the season but he is known for not pitching as well in day games. This is an ultra early start and I expect him to struggle here particularly with Nats having totaled 10 hits in yesterday's game. He has 6.91 ERA in day games this season and had a 6.75 ERA in day games last season. The struggles continue here and this one should fly over the total as both pitchers get hammered. San Diego had scored 10 runs per game and won 3 straight before yesterday's tight loss. 10* OVER 9 in Washington 

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins @ 9:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I will mention the pitchers here but this is more about the teams and lineups and current trending rather the starting pitchers. This is something that has worked for me many times in the past. I lose a big pick the day before and come right back with same thing the next day. The other thing that has worked well for me is "this doesn't look quite right for a reason" situation. The fact is that is usually when the sharpest people out there know something. This also works well and is the case here because Reed Detmers has been really strong for Angels but has a struggling lineup to rely on for his own run support yet this total is holding at an 8. So first off lets talk about the fact the Twins are on a crazy run in road games in which 16 of their last 18 road games have totaled at least 8 runs. By the way, only 1 landed on 8 runs (the current total of this game). So the fact is if you had played over 8 in each of Minnesota's last 18 road games you had a 15-2-1 record! Now you know why I am not too worried about who the pitchers are. Yes, I know the Angels have a tendency to not score very well but they are at home here and, prior to yesterday's game, had averaged 4 runs per game last dozen games. I am fully expecting at least a 5-4 final in this one as I expect both teams to fare well at the plate with the most likely result being double digits in runs scored. The Twins Dylan Bundy has a 6.33 ERA and a .301 BAA in road games this season. I know the Angels Detmers has great numbers this season and is off a start in which he did not allow many hits but there is something funny about this line and the fact it is holding at an 8 again. I definitely love the fact that there were a lot of hard hit balls yesterday and it certainly should have seen more scoring than the 4-0 final. This one should fly over the total. Note LA has averaged scoring 6 runs per game the last 8 times they were off a game in which they were held to 2 or less runs. 10* OVER 8 in LA Angels

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves @ 1:10 ET (Gm 1 of DH) - Yesterday's game featured a ton of scoring chances but the Marlins lost 4-3 because despite the two teams totaling 20 hits between them, Miami went 1 for 14 with runners in scoring position and left 13 men on base for the game! That is why I like the over here regardless of pitching match-up. I know what this Braves lineup is capable of and I also feel certain the Marlins will bounce back after wasting so many chances yesterday. Now, about those pitchers, Jesus Luzardo is off a great start and has been solid in his two starts since coming back. However, his only home start this season versus a playoff-level team like the Braves saw him get roughed up by the Cardinals. Also, he did struggle against Atlanta in a start last season. As for Braves starter Kyle Muller, he'll be looking to redeem himself for a bad start in his only MLB appearance this season but keep in mind he also struggled in finishing out last season at the big league level and it could be playing on his confidence level to say the least. With the way the Marlins piled up hits yesterday that could spell trouble today. 10* OVER 7 in Miami (Gm 1 of DH)

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins @ 9:38 ET - Action on pitchers. I will mention the pitchers here but this is more about the teams and lineups and current trending rather the starting pitchers. So first off lets talk about the fact the Twins are on a crazy run in road games in which 16 of their last 17 road games have totaled at least 8 runs. By the way, only 1 landed on 8 runs (the current total of this game). So the fact is if you had played over 8 in each of Minnesota's last 17 road games you had a 15-1-1 record! Now you know why I am not too worried about who the pitchers are. Yes, I know the Angels have a tendency to not score very well but they are at home here and have averaged 4 runs per game last dozen games. I am fully expecting at least a 5-4 final in this one as I expect both teams to fare well at the plate with the most likely result being double digits in runs scored. The Twins start recently acquired Mahle and he allowed 3 homers in his first start with Minnesota. Also, he has a 4.76 ERA in night games this season and has been hit 49 points higher under the lights compared to in day action. I know the Angels Sandoval has great numbers this season and is off a start in which he did not allow many hits but he did walk 4 plus hit a pair of batters. Keep in mind, all this after an 0-5 July in which he compiled a 6.20 ERA. This one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 8 in LA Angels

MLB Friday 8* Toronto Blue Jays Money Line -153 vs Cleveland Guardians @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the Blue Jays with the better overall lineup and home field edge here regardless of the starting pitchers. But I will begin the write-up there because the expected starters do give us extra value. It is all about the home/road dichotomy here. Quantrill is great at home and bad on the road and the same holds true for Berrios. The Guardians Quantrill is 2-5 with a 4.96 ERA and a .314 BAA in his 9 road outings this season. The Blue Jays Berrios is 6-0 with a 3.23 ERA and a .238 BAA in his 11 home starts this season. Toronto has struggled recently but was on the road. At home the Jays have won 9 of last 12. As for Cleveland, they have won 4 straight road games but had lost 12 of last 18 away from home prior to that. I see a lot of value here with fading a Guardians team that plays .500 road ball generally and grabbing a home team that is 34-21 as a host this season. Will reduce my rating to a non-top play here because we must lay some price but I still feel we have great line value here. 8* TORONTO -153

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians @ 1:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Tigers expected to start rookie Garrett Hill and he is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in day games this season. Also, Hill made his MLB debut against Guardians on July 4th and it was a strong outing for him. Now will be the first time ever at the MLB level that he is making a 2nd appearance against a team he already faced. Historically these 2nd outings trend toward being much tougher than the first! Hill is off a respectable start as well but in between these 1st and 6th starts he had a 7.20 ERA over 4 starts and none of them were quality outings. As for the Guardians Zach Plesac, he is 1-7 with a 5.31 ERA in road starts this season. Also, Plesac was 0-4 with a 5.84 ERA last month and then he began August by losing again and getting hammered for 4 earned runs in about 4 innings of work. Also, the Tigers are facing him for the 3rd time this season and hit him harder in the 2nd one than the 1st one and I look for even more damage to be done in the 3rd one. Regardless of starting pitchers, again my pick is action, the Tigers last 12 home games had averaged 10 runs apiece prior to the 3-2 loss to Cleveland yesterday. Love the fact that yesterday's game was 3-2 after 4 innings but then stayed that way the rest of the game. Today's game makes up for that and the Guardians are 9-6 last 15 road games and the 9 wins saw Cleveland score an average of 7 runs per game. The 6 losses saw the Guardians allow an average of 5 per game. This total is only an 8.5 and is offering great value. 10* OVER 8.5 in Detroit

MLB Thursday 8* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -160 vs Miami Marlins @ 1:05 ET - Action on pitchers. I know Edward Cabrera is the expected starter for the Marlins here and he is off a strong start. However, he is still rather inexperienced at the MLB level and he was winless with a 5.81 ERA in his 7 starts last season. Also, Kyle Gibson has been fantastic in 4 of his last 5 starts for the Phillies. He had one tough start but allowed just 4 earned runs on only 12 hits in 27 innings spanning the other 4 starts! That is dominance and this Miami team struggles to hit! The biggest key, and the reason this play is action for me, is the overall team strength and lineups. Simply put, Miami just can not score runs! The Marlins are currently mired in a 2-9 stretch and have scored an average of only 1.8 runs in those 11 games! In fact, Miami has 13 losses since the All Star break and scored a TOTAL of only 19 runs in those 13 defeats! As for Philadelphia, it has been a red hot run of late. The Phillies have won 12 of 13 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game! I do not like to lay big prices and this one is right at the upper limits of what I will normally lay. That is why this one gets a reduced rating for me but still love this spot. 8* PHILADELPHIA -160

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:10 ET - The Red Sox tend to hit much better at home. I look at their lineup and, yes, is not what it was in their heyday years of the past but it still has solid lumber in it for sure. That said, I like the over here with action on pitchers. The Braves continue to be one of the best teams in baseball and hit well. Boston tends to hit better when at home and should get the job done again here as well. Yesterday's game ended up a wild 9-7 extra-innings win for the Braves. The expected starting pitchers are Wright and Pivetta so I will touch on them here but they are not the key to the play. Wright allowed 6 earned runs in most recent start and Fenway Park is not an easy place to pitch. Pivetta has had a couple games recently where he has allowed less earned runs but still giving up quite a few hits. So looking at everything tells the full story and Pivetta has allowed 28 earned runs in 29 innings in last 6 starts. Also he has given up 46 hits in those 29 innings! The Red Sox have seen 5 straight games totaled at least 9 runs and the games have averaged 13 runs! The Braves have seen 16 of last 22 games total at least 9 runs. I realize this total is as high as a 9.5 but I still see double digits being attained in this game. The Braves favored for a reason and have scored an average of 7 runs per game in their 9 wins since the All Star break. Plus the Red Sox known for being dangerous hitting team at home. This should fly over the total. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 vs Miami Marlins @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. I know Alcantara is the expected starter for the Marlins here and he is having a huge season. I also know that Syndergaard is the expected starter for the Phillies here and he had some rough patches in his first start for his new team. However, I do expect Syndergaard to bounce back in better weather conditions for his 2nd start with his new club. Also, note that Alcantara will be making his 4th start against the Phillies this season. Familiarity oftentimes leads to success for the hitters. Case in point is that the Mets just faced him for a 4th time and got to him for 4 earned runs in 5 innings. In fact, that was part of a 3-start stretch, just prior to his most recent start, in which Alcantara allowed 8 earned runs over 19 innings. Perhaps he is wearing down a bit and we all know what Syndergaard is capable of on the mound and he is the fresher arm here. The biggest key, and the reason this play is action for me, is the overall team strength and lineups. Simply put, Miami just can not score runs! The Marlins are currently mired in a 2-8 stretch and have scored an average of only 1.7 runs in those 10 games! In fact, Miami has 12 losses since the All Star break and scored a TOTAL of only 16 runs in those 12 defeats! As for Philadelphia, it has been a red hot run of late. The Phillies have won 11 of 12 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game! 10* PHILADELPHIA -120

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 9:40 ET - This is a bit of a contrarian play because neither one of these teams known for being solid hitting clubs. However, I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers and would also not be surprised to see some 8.5 become available on this total which, of course, will give us even more value with this one. Either way, regardless of number and starting pitchers, I like the over here. Note that Pirates had averaged 5 runs per game and gone 4-2 last 6 games before being shutout yesterday. Pittsburgh scored an average of 6.5 runs in those 4 victories. As for the Diamondbacks, 5 of their last 6 games had totaled at least 9 runs before the 3-0 shutout win yesterday. Arizona has been solid at home for quite a stretch now and has won 8 of 10 home games since the All Star break plus scored an average of 5.6 runs per game last 20 games as a host overall. They can score plenty here and the Pirates are going go surprise some people with runs here. Will just touch on the starting pitchers here but Tommy Henry 8-10 with a 4.57 ERA in his minor league career and allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his first MLB start. Zach Thompson 1-6 with a 6.47 ERA in his night game starts this season and he has been absolutely destroyed overall in his last 3 starts. 10* OVER 9 in Arizona

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs St Louis Cardinals @ 8:40 ET - Like so many other pitchers, Miles Mikolas does not have a good career history at Coors Field. That said, I like the over a ton here. Even if Mikolas does not start here and were Ryan Feltner not to start for the Rockies, I still like the over in this match-up. Take action on the pitchers. The fact is that Colorado has scored an average of 5.6 runs per game at home this season and the Cardinals come into this game red hot. St Louis has won 9 of 10 games and scored an average of 5.7 runs per game during this hot stretch. The Cards had a 1-0 win in this stretch but have averaged 6.2 runs in the other 9 games. They are hot and Feltner is 1-4 with a 6.51 ERA in the 11 games (10 starts) in his MLB career. Mikolas has an ERA about a full run higher on the road than at home this season and each of the past two seasons before this his road ERA was at least 2 runs higher on the road than at home and the year before these it was a variance over 1.5 runs. The point is that he has always been better at home than on the road for many seasons now and pitching at Coors Field is tougher than any other venue in the bigs and this is particularly true on a warm late summer evening game. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, look for a slugfest in this one. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado

MLB Monday 10* Top Play New York Mets Run Line -1.5 -140 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:10 ET - Justin Dunn starts for Reds here. He makes his first MLB appearance of this season but at AAA level of the minors he went 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA in 7 starts while getting hard hard plus walking 16 in 26 innings. Chris Bassitt starts for the Mets here and he has a 3.06 ERA at home and deserves a better record than he has. He should get a W added to the win column here if he starts as he has allowed just 15 earned runs total in his last 8 starts and he has gone at least 6 innings in all those outings. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, I am making this bet with action, note that the Mets have won 12 of 14 games and are red hot with 11 of those 12 wins by at least a 2 run margin! I know the Reds have been winning lately too but they have not scored much with just 1 of those games being a strong game offensively out of last 7 and in the other 6 they averaged only 1.8 runs scored per game (not including extra innings). Cincinnati will not be able to keep up with potent Mets lineup here no matter who the pitchers are. 10* NEW YORK METS -1.5 -140

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - The Orioles are off an 8-1 loss but had won 5 straight games before that and scored an average of 5.6 runs per victory. The Blue Jays are 10-5 last 15 games since the All Star break and have averaged 6.1 runs per game. Regardless of starting pitchers here (action on this play) I like the fact that both teams have been hot and they each have extra confident batting lineups as a result. About the starting pitchers, I will mention that Jordan Lyles allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings against Toronto earlier this season. Also, Yusei Kikuchi allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings against Orioles this season and the damage could have been even worse in that one and that was in Toronto and he'll face an even bigger challenge at Baltimore. Kikuchi is 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in 9 road starts this season. Lyles also gave up 4 homers in 4 innings when he faced the Blue Jays last year too. So this is a problematic match-up for each starting pitcher but, regardless of starters, I look for both teams and therefore both lineups to stay hot in this one. 10* OVER 9.5 in Baltimore

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs San Francisco Giants @ 4:07 ET - These teams each reached double digits in hits in yesterday's 7-3 Giants win. Regardless of the pitchers today, I like the over. Action on pitchers here as the A's, prior to yesterday's 7-3 loss, had won 9 of 13 games and scored an average of 4.6 runs per game during this stretch. The Giants had lost 12 of 15 games before yesterday's win as SF had allowed 5.3 runs per game during that stretch. With the San Francisco bats waking up yesterday and the Oakland sticks enjoying more success in recent weeks, these teams will hit well again today. Now I will touch on the expected pitchers here. Logan Webb has allowed 10 earned runs in 11.1 innings in his last two starts and has a higher ERA in day games in comparison with night games. Adrian Martinez has struggled at the MLB level and that comes as no surprise as he struggled at the AAA level of the minors too. Martinez is 5-8 with a 5.44 ERA at the highest level of the minors and has a 6.52 ERA in his 4 MLB starts. More of the same likely here and the hitters are the story, regardless of who the starting pitchers here here, Sunday afternoon. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET - The ability to get an 8 here is an excellent value. Regardless of pitchers, I like the fact the Blue Jays have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game since the All Star Break and the Twins have seen 9 of their 13 games since the All Star Break total double digits in runs! So, action on pitchers, but if you take a closer look at them here, you will like what you see. Chris Archer is off a good start for the Twins but his prior two were ugly and this is a guy whom is 0-4 with a 5.68 ERA in his day game starts this season. As for Kevin Gausman, he is off a fantastic outing but he got hit at a .356 clip in the month of July plus he allowed 10 earned runs in less than 16 innings over his 3 starts prior to Tuesday's gem at Tampa Bay. Should be no such gem here against a Twins team that hammered him for 9 hits in a start that lasted less than 4 innings for Gausman in early June. Take advantage of the low total here as these are two solid lineups that absolutely can explode for big runs here and I love the way both teams have been trending in terms of runs scored as well. 10* OVER 8 in Minnesota

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Washington Nationals @ 1:35 ET - With a huge 11-5 blowout win yesterday after a 7-2 rout win Friday over the Nationals, Philly continues to build momentum. Before too much longer, Harper is expected back in the lineup for the Phillies and they have maintained a wild card spot even with him out of the lineup. This speaks volumes to the fact this Philly team has a solid clubhouse and is building momentum. Now they get a rock solid Aaron Nola on the mound (3-1 with 2.33 ERA and .185 BAA in his 6 day starts) and they continue to take on the NL East punching bag otherwise known as the Nationals. Cory Abbott has disastrous numbers at the AAA level and very little experience at the MLB level. Last year he was 5-6 with a 5.91 ERA at the AAA level. This season on the mound for AAA clubs for the Cubs first and now Washington he has gone a combined 0-5 with a 4.98 ERA. Regardless of the pitchers here, I am going with the home team run line in this one. The Nationals are 17-42 against teams with a winning record this season and also an incredibly poor 9-41 in divisional games this season. This one sets up well to be another home blowout as Philly has been hot and the Nats have remained ice cold. It is worth laying the price as the Phillies have won 9 of 10 overall plus have dominated the Nationals this season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -145

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:10 ET - Boston has won 4 of 6 and averaged scoring about 5 runs per game in the 4 victories. Kansas City has seen 6 of their last 8 games total at least 10 runs and those 6 have actually averaged a dozen runs per game. That is why, regardless of starting pitchers here, I do like the over in this match-up. The Red Sox are expected to start Nathan Eovaldi and he began August with a good start but this was after going 3 starts without a win in July and he had an 11.08 ERA for the month. Daniel Lynch the expected starter for KC here and the Royals lefty has gone 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA in his 6 home starts this season. He had a strong April but it has been all downhill for Lynch ever since. Regardless of the starters, the bats stay hot here in this game and it should fly over the total with favorable weather for an over also expected at Kaufmann Stadium for this one. 10* OVER 9 in Kansas City

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -125 vs Washington Nationals @ 6:05 ET - With a huge 7-2 blowout win yesterday over the Nationals, Philly continues to build momentum. Before too much longer, Harper is expected back in the lineup for the Phillies and they have maintained a wild card spot even with him out of the lineup. This speaks volumes to the fact this Philly team has a solid clubhouse and is building momentum. Now they get a red hot Ranger Suarez on the mound (0.00 ERA last 3 starts) and they continue to take on the NL East punching bag otherwise known as the Nationals. Corbin is having a disastrous season on the mound for Washington and has been particularly poor on the road this year. Regardless of the pitchers here, I am going with the home team run line in this one. The Nationals are 17-41 against teams with a winning record this season and also an incredibly poor 9-40 in divisional games this season. This one sets up well to be another home blowout as Philly has been hot and the Nats have remained ice cold. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -125

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -125 or 7 +105 in Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels @ 10:10 ET - We get a very low total here because of the fact neither one of these lineups is particularly impressive right now plus the fact that Sandoval and Ray each certainly carry solid reputations as starting pitchers in the betting markets. As we dive into this one you will see why I think we have fantastic line value here with this low total and I am going with a big play here as a result. Sandoval actually has allowed 38 hits in less than 30 innings over his last 6 starts! He went 0-5 with a 6.20 ERA in the month of July! As for Ray, he has been destroyed in each of his last two starts and one of those was at home too. Granted those outings were against Houston but I think the Angels can do plenty of damage against him here as well. Los Angeles is off an 8-7 yesterday and that was the 2nd time in 5 games they reach 7 runs scored. Also, the Angels are 3-1 in last 4 road games and scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in those 3 victories. The LA bullpen has had issues and that is part of the reason LA has allowed at least 7 runs in 6 of 13 games since the break! As for Seattle, they have averaged 7.5 runs in winning each of their past 2 games so they have momentum after the solid performance in the Bronx against the Yankees. 5 of their last 6 games have totaled at least 9 runs and I like the over in this Mariners games no matter who the pitchers are. 10* OVER 6.5 -125 or over 7 +105 in Seattle

MLB Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 8.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies @ 9:40 ET - The Diamondbacks Bumgarner has been rock solid at home this season. In fact, taking out the one tough home start he had (versus Dodgers), Bumgarner has allowed a total of only 16 earned runs in 10 starts at home this season. As for the Rockies Marquez, his numbers overall are inflated because of pitching at Coors Field for his home starts. On the road he is quite solid and also he has been rock solid against the Diamondbacks this season too. Just 9 hits allowed in 13 innings at Arizona for Marquez. Regardless of the pitchers here I do like the under as Colorado, yesterday at San Diego notwithstanding, normally does not score well on the road. The Rockies had scored an average of just 2.2 runs per game last 5 games prior to the win yesterday over the Padres. As for Arizona, they have lost 5 of 6 and scored an average of just 2.4 runs (not including extra innings run) in those 5 losses. 10* UNDER 8.5 in Arizona

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox @ 8:10 ET - The Royals are likely to pound Pivetta here. The Red Sox right-hander has just had a disastrous July in which he went winless in 5 starts and had a 9.38 ERA and he got hammered at a .371 clip. Boston also should have the sticks going tonight as Bubic starts for KC and is 1-4 with a 6.32 ERA in home games and 1-3 with a 6.30 ERA in night games this season. Bubic has been hit at around a .300 clip at home and in night games. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, note that Boston has gone 3-7 last 10 road games and allowed 6.2 runs per game during stretch. The Royals have allowed 6.5 runs per game last 6 games. So not exactly stellar bullpen work going on for either one of these clubs and the Royals now back home where they have gone 7-5 last dozen games and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game in those 7 victories. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -112 vs Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - With rallying for a 3-1 win yesterday over the Braves, Philly continues to build momentum. Before too much longer, Harper is expected back in the lineup for the Phillies and they have maintained a wild card spot even with him out of the lineup. This speaks volumes to the fact this Philly team has a solid clubhouse and is building momentum. Now they see newly acquired Syndergaard make his Phillies debut tonight and they can take on the NL East punching bag otherwise known as the Nationals. Espino has been rather unimpressive this season on the mound for Washington and, regardless of the pitchers here, I am going with the home team run line in this one. The Nationals are 17-39 against teams with a winning record this season and also an incredibly poor 9-38 in divisional games this season. This one sets up well to be a road rout as Philly has been hot and the Nats have remained cold. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -112

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 9:45 ET - Action on pitchers. This is a contrarian play because Julio Urias is on the mound for the Dodgers and he has solid numbers this season and has been strong against the Giants. What I like about San Francisco here is they have scored at least 4 runs in 4 of last 6 games. Similar to yesterday's 9-5 LA win I feel we will see plenty of runs scored here. The Giants last 6 games with the Dodgers have totaled an average of 10.3 runs per game. San Francisco has scored an average of 5 runs per game last dozen home games. The Dodgers have been swinging hot bats and averaging 6.5 runs per game last 19 games! That is why I don't care who the pitchers are here but I will mention that the Giants are expected to go with Alex Cobb. He has some good numbers recently but does struggle when facing more potent lineups. The Dodgers are a case in point as Cobb just allowed 4 earned runs in less than 6 innings in his most recent start against them. 10* OVER 7.5 in San Francisco

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers @ 1:10 ET - Decent winds in Minneapolis expected for this one and I feel that will help the ball carry a little better than usual too. Alexander the expected starter for the Tigers and he has not fared well as a starter, has struggled more on the road, and struggled in day games. It all adds up to a huge game at the plate for the Twins. As for Minnesota starter Ryan, the problem is that he just got destroyed and allowed 5 homers in his most recent start. Yes he was previously throwing quite well but I know that all the long balls just have to be in the back of his mind entering this one and the Tigers have been hitting decently of late. In fact, that is why I like the over here regardless of who the starting pitchers end up being. Detroit averaging 4.3 runs per game last 9 games but allowing 5 runs per game in going 3-8 last 11 games prior to yesterday's win. The Twins had seen 8 straight games total at least 9 runs prior to the last 3 games not reaching that number. Still 2 of those 3 got to 8 and I like this one to get to double digits as Minny has scored an average of 6.5 runs per game last 4 times they were off a loss in which they were held to 3 or less runs scored. 10* OVER 8.5 in Minnesota

MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +123 @ Atlanta Braves @ 12:20 ET - The Phillies got destroyed 13 to 1 yesterday. Now they hand the ball to staff ace Zack Wheeler who is 9-2 with a 2.05 ERA his last 16 starts after he began the season in early April with a rare rough patch. He has dominated practically ever since. As for Charlie Morton, the veteran has great long-term numbers but the Phillies have hit him hard this season and it continues here. Regardless of the pitchers, I like Philly here as they had won 5 straight before that loss yesterday and will bounce back off the destruction. 10* PHILADELPHIA +123

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:05 ET - Spencer Howard off a decent start for the Rangers but he entered that start with a 7.11 ERA and getting hit at a .306 clip on the season. Jordan Lyles got hammered in his most recent road start and that was the 5th time he has been hammered in his last 7 away from home. Lyles allowed 4 or more earned runs in 4 of last 6 away from home. Regardless of the pitching match-up here, I do like the over as the Orioles are off a 7-2 win yesterday and, other than a shutout loss to the Yankees, have averaged 4.6 runs per game in their other 10 games since returning from the break. Also, keep in mind, Baltimore had average 5.2 runs per game in going 11-2 in their final 13 games before the break as well. The Rangers had won 3 of 4 overall and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game before yesterday's ugly loss. Also, yesterday's 7-2 home loss was the 9th time last 12 home games that a Texas home game totaled at least 9 runs. The Rangers averaged 5.4 runs in their last 10 home games prior to scoring just 2 runs yesterday. Like the value with this low total no matter who is on the mound as I expect the high-scoring trends noted above to continue. 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line +1.5 -105 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - A lot of value here with Phillies +1.5 runs. Philadelphia is on a 34-18 run overall and plus 5 of their 10 most recent losses have been by just a single run! In fact, 21 of the Phillies last 26 games have been either outright wins or a loss by a single run. Good value here with the +1.5 as this is a match up of two hot teams but the Braves appear to be a little over-priced here. PHI has won 5 straight games and ATL has won 3 in a row. Philadelphia has averaged 5.4 runs per game last 7 games. Atlanta has averaged scoring just 3.4 runs per game last 7 games. I will challenge the hosts to win this game by more than a single run as I envision a tight battle all the way. The Phillies just faced Strider and should enjoy more success in the quick second look at him. Nelson has allowed only 1 earned run in the 6.1 innings spanning his last 3 road appearances for the Phillies. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -105

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected starers are Michael Kopech versus Brad Keller. More on them in a minute. What I like about this play is the fact the Royals last 13 road games have featured 9 that have totaled at least 9 runs. In fact, those 9 games averaged totaling 12.3 runs per game so it is not like they are just squeaking over the total. As for the White Sox, they are off B2B low-scoring wins over an A's team that is just not known for much scoring. However, prior to Chicago's last 2 games totaling just 5 runs apiece, the White Sox saw 9 of 11 games total at least 9 runs. In fact, those 9 games averaged 10.4 runs per game. You can see why multiple signs point to an over here regardless of the pitchers. The expected pitching match-up is Kopech versus Keller as noted above. Kopech has good overall numbers on the season but has been walking too many of late and this led to a 1.82 WHIP in July. Overall his last 7 starts have seen him go 2-4 and he has a 6.19 ERA last 3 home starts. As for Keller, he has also has been struggling with walks allowed in last 2 starts and, overall, has been hit hard in 3 of his last 4 starts. Keller is 3-7 with a 4.83 ERA in night starts this season. Both teams should have plenty of scoring opportunities in this one and, like so often of late with these clubs, look for a total of at least 9 runs in this one but really double digits quite likely. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox

MLB Monday 8* New York Mets Run Line -1.5 -140 @ Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as I am sure either Scherzer or Corbin will go and, of course, if either guy goes this is a great situation. Corbin has been nothing short of a disaster this season and enters this start having allowed 20 earned runs in less than 17 innings over his last 4 starts. Scherzer is a dominating starter and he is having another massive season plus facing his former team. He already dominated the Nationals the first time he faced them since leaving DC and now he gets another shot in DC and I am sure Scherzer will make the most of it. Regardless of who the starters are, I like the fact that the Mets are the much stronger team and have actually outscored the Nats by an incredible 53-12 in their 8 wins over Washington this season. That's right the average score was 6.6 to 1.5 in the 8 wins for an average margin of victory of 5 runs each. Look for New York to improve to 9-2 this season against the Nationals and win this game by 2 or more runs again. Mets enter on a 6-game winnings streak overall while Washington is on a run of 6-20 overall last 26 games. Each of Nats 7 losses by at least a 2-run margin. More of the same expected here. 8* NEW YORK METS -1.5 -140

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox -1.5 -125 vs Oakland A's @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers because the White Sox just so much better than the A's and I am comfortable backing Chicago no matter what here. However, the expected starting pitching match-up certainly does not hurt us! Dylan Cease and Adam Oller at different ends of the spectrum from sure. Cease has gone 6-1 with one no decision in his last 8 starts. Incredibly, Cease has allowed a TOTAL of ONLY 3 runs in these 8 starts and he went at least 5 innings in each start and averaged 6 innings per start. As for Oller, he has been okay out of the bullpen this season but has been back in the rotation again this month and the struggles have continued. Oller is 1-3 with a 9.75 ERA in his 6 starts this season! Better team, better lineup, home field edge, and the expected starting pitching match-up features two guys at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5 -125

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets @ 1:40 ET - Being a contrarian is something that has served me well through the years and I expect that to be the case again here. Action on pitchers. The expected pitchers are Walker and Lopez. No matter who pitches I like the over after the Marlins got shutout yesterday. The Marlins Lopez had trade rumors flying around him and certainly this could have taken a toll on him. Though off a quality start it was his first since early this month and he did get hammered by the Mets in mid-June. I know he had success against him since then in a start but New York enters this game having won 5 straight games and scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game. The Marlins have averaged 5 runs per game this season when off a shutout loss and they respond big here. Taijuan Walker has been solid for the Mets but he did allow 8 hits in 6 innings in his only start at Miami this season. More of the same here and, regardless of pitchers, Mets stay hot at the plate as they go for 6 straight wins and the Marlins respond off the home shutout. 10* OVER 7 in Miami

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Expected starters Hill and Berrios. Note that Hills is unproven at the MLB level and the inexperienced hurler has a 7.20 ERA last 3 starts. I know Berrios is a rock solid pitcher overall but he has allowed 28 hits in 23 innings in home starts in July. Also, Berrios has a 6.02 ERA in day games this season. The Tigers actually had 10 hits in yesterday's loss and have been swinging the bats better overall of late. The Blue Jays are a very dangerous lineup and this is particularly true at home. After some games falling just short of the over so far in this series look for this one to fly over the total. Toronto has a breakout game and the Tigers scratch more runs than many are expecting here. Detroit has scored an average of 5 runs per game last 6 games. 10* OVER 9 in Toronto

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Oakland A's @ 7:15 ET - The White Sox have seen 8 of last 9 games total at least 9 runs and that includes 6 of 7 since the All-Star break. The A's won yesterday's match-up 7-3 and have now won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game. Oakland has putrid numbers on offense for the season but they actually have been hitting better since even before the All-Star break when they won 3 of last 5 games before the break plus averaged scoring 5.5 runs per game the final 6 games before the break. That is why, regardless of the pitchers here, I like the over in this match-up. However, I will mention the expected starters are Cueto versus Blackburn. Note that Cueto has been solid overall but does have an ERA two runs higher at home compared to on the road this season. Also, Blackburn is enduring a very rough stretch with 6 of his last 7 starts being tough. Blackburn gave up 8 hits in 5.1 innings back in a mid-June start but was fortunate to escape major damage in that one. Since then though his poor form is reflecting in an ERA climb from a 2.26 on the season to a 4.35 ERA now with getting clobbered in 5 of last 6 starts. More of the same expected here but, again, action on pitchers here for me. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox

MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -130 vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:07 ET - The Tigers are off the big upset win of the Jays 4-2 yesterday. However, Detroit is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a win and every single loss in that run was by at least a 2-run margin. In fact, the combined score of those 5 games was 29 to 9. Look for the Tigers to again get blasted in that situation here as, prior to yesterday's win, Detroit was 4-13 last 17 games! The Blue Jays are 3-0 last 3 times when off a loss. Prior to yesterday's loss, Toronto was 10-2 last 12 games. Toronto so strong against bad teams while Tigers so bad on the road. Also, 50 of Detroit's 60 losses this season by 2 or more runs. The expected pitching match-up is Stripling (5-2 last 7 decisions) versus Hutchison (1-4 this season) but, no matter the pitchers, this is simply a case the home team should roll huge in a bounce back spot! Action on pitchers. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -130

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Coming right back with the same play I successfully used yesterday. As noted yesterday, the Dodgers bullpen has not been as strong as this season and the Rockies are known for hitting very well at home. After getting shutout at home yesterday, Colorado bounces back at the plate today while the Dodgers again pile up big runs like they did in yesterday's 13-0 outburst. At hitter friendly Coors Field, regardless of the pitching match-up here, the ball is going to be carrying well and both these teams can mash the ball. Colorado averaging about 6 runs per game at home this season. Dodgers averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road this season. Now, at Coors Field, the LA lineup delivers an especially huge road effort here. They got shutout by Chad Kuhl here at the end of last month. Now it is time for payback. Kuhl has been struggling badly ever since that start. Likewise, Julio Urias is off a surprisingly good start the last time he pitched at Coors Field but this followed a lot of struggles in recent starts at Coors Field including one this season and multiple ones last season. No matter the pitchers, the Dodgers bats stay hot and the Rockies bats bounce right back on their home field. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado

MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 7:20 ET - Action on pitchers because the key here is two hot lineups. Bumgarner has struggled all season on the road and now faces a red hot Braves lineup in this one. Wright has been pitching very well for the Braves but he has been hit harder in a number of starts the past 6 weeks as has been fortunate he got out of a number of jams. Wright had one start in his last 7 where he pitched more than 4 innings and allowed 3 or less hits. However, in his other 6 starts since mid-June, Wright has given up 46 hits in 34 and 1/3 innings. I feel we have good value here with this low total. The Braves have seen EACH of their last ELEVEN games total at least 9 runs so here we are testing a streak that is 11 in a row! The Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in going 5-1 in their 6 games since the All-Star break. The Braves have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 10 games. More of the same here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Atlanta

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 12 runs in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:40 ET - Someone knows something. You have, I am sure, heard that expression before and it definitely applies here. This total opened up at an 11.5 and is up to a solid 12 across the board. This is even though Urena has a 3.13 ERA for the Rockies and Anderson is 10-1 with a 2.79 ERA. In other words, don't let the numbers fool you. This game is going over the total. So, if you look deeper, Urena is fortunate to have that low ERA and starting to show signs he is about to get crushed and I am sure the potent Dodgers lineup can be the one to inflict the damage here. As for Anderson his only loss this season was at Coors Field and he gave up 4 earned runs in 6 innings in that one. The damage could have been worse for Anderson in that one as he got two double plays and one was a line drive double play. He got hit hard and I expect more of the same here and the Dodgers bullpen has not been as strong as this season and the Rockies are known for hitting very well at home. At hitter friendly Coors Field, regardless of the pitching match-up here, the ball is going to be carrying well and both these teams can mash the ball. Colorado averaging about 6 runs per game at home this season. Dodgers averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road this season. Now, at Coors Field, the LA lineup delivers an especially huge road effort here. 10* OVER 12 in Colorado 

MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers @ 7:07 ET - The Tigers Alexander is getting hit at over a .300 clip on the season in road games and has hardly started this season as he has mostly worked out of the pen. The Blue Jays Kikuchi has been hit at a .300 clip since late May as he just has not been right and I expect his struggles to continue here. The Tigers have seen 3 of last 4 road games total at least 9 runs. Detroit enters this game having scored an average of 6.7 runs last 3 games and, prior to a 4-3 win yesterday, the Tigers had seen 4 straight games total at least 10 runs. The Blue Jays had won 7 straight games before yesterday's 6-1 loss. Toronto has scored at least 6 runs in 6 of last 8 victories. More of the same on tap here and both teams score well regardless of the pitching match-up. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto

MLB Wednesday 8* Toronto Blue Jays Run Line -1.5 -115 vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I like this play regardless of the pitchers because the Blue Jays are red hot and have won all 4 games since the All Star break and are on an overall 7 game winning streak and have won 9 of 10. Note that 7 of the last 8 wins have been by 2+ runs and, the way the Blue Jays are swinging the bats right now, this should be a blowout. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have lost 9 of last 12 road games and often have struggled at the plate away from home. Speaking of road struggles, I will now touch on the pitchers in this one. St Louis is expected to start Adam Wainwright and he has a road ERA nearly 3 runs higher than his home ERA this season. Also, he has allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his last 4 road starts. Kevin Gausman expected to start for Blue Jays here and he has been hit a little harder this season but is working back from an injury most recently and sill has allowed only 7 earned runs in the 26 innings spanning his last 5 outings. Also, the Cardinals hitters that do have experience against him are a combined 10 for 64 for a combined .156 batting average. No matter the pitchers - but the expected starters are an added edge as you can see - this is a classic case of hot versus not and I will grab the run line in this one. 8* TORONTO -1.5 -115

MLB Wednesday 8* OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies entered yesterday 6-4 last 10 games and had averaged 6.3 runs per game prior to a low-scoring win at Milwaukee and yesterday's surprisingly low-scoring loss to the White Sox. Each team had 9 hits yesterday but could not get any clutch hitting. The teams should make up for that today. Colorado is known for hitting better at home and should dominate at the plate in this one. The issue is that Rockies pitchers are known for struggling at home too. Regardless of the pitchers I like the over here but will mention that the expected match-up is Senzatela versus Giolito. Note that opponents have hit a crazy .362 against Senzatela this season and it is truly shocking that his ERA is not much higher given those numbers. That is another reason we are getting some line value here. As for Giolito, he has been hit quite hard ever since June. Last month he got hit at a .336 clip and also enters this outing with 2 of his last 3 July starts having been tough ones with 5 or more earned runs allowed. Now he makes his first ever start at hitter-friendly Coors Field and this place has a reputation of being very tough on first-time starters here. No matter the pitchers, I also like the fact that White Sox had averaged 5.8 runs per game in going 6-4 last 10 games prior to yesterday's low-scoring win. Should see plenty of runs in this one. 8* OVER 11.5 in Colorado

MLB Wednesday 8* OVER 8.5 in Philadelphia vs Atlanta Braves @ 12:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Gibson has struggled at home with 12 earned runs allowed in just 2 starts there this month. Morton has been pitching very well for the Braves but he has been rocked by Phillies hitters and was fortunate in his most recent start against Philadelphia as he got out of a number of jams. The Braves have seen EACH of their last TEN games total at least 9 runs so the over 8.5 here is testing a streak that is 10 in a row! The Phillies have only scored an average of 4 runs per game in going 4-4 last 8 games but they should get at least that here and the Braves as well and that means this one gets to at least a 5-4 final. Philadelphia has allowed an average of 7 runs per game in the 5 games since the A/S break. More of the same here. 8* OVER 8.5 in Philadelphia

MLB 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies are 6-4 last 10 games and had averaged 6.3 runs per game prior to yesterday's low-scoring 2-0 win at Milwaukee. Colorado is known for hitting better at home and should dominate at the plate in this one. The issue is that Rockies pitchers are known for struggling at home too. Regardless of the pitchers I like the over here but will mention that the expected match-up is Marquez versus Kopech. Note that Marquez has a 6.63 ERA at home this season and opponents have hit .311 against him there. Kopech has a WHIP of nearly 2 baserunners per inning this month because he has been hit quite hard in his 3 starts plus he is walking too many guys. Now he makes his first ever start at hitter-friendly Coors Field and this place has a reputation of being very tough on first-time starters here. No matter the pitchers, I also like the fact that White Sox have averaged 5.8 runs per game in going 6-4 last 10 games. Should see plenty of runs in this one given the hot bats and confidence in each lineup. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Angels every once in awhile have breakout games at the plate and this looks like one of those spots. Action on pitchers because if Zerpa does not start for Royals it would be no one special in this spot. Zerpa is very inexperience and he was fortunate in his most recent start as he gave up a lot of hard hit balls that ended up being outs. That is helping to give us value here. As for the Angels Suarez is the expected starter and he has been struggling. Overall, the pitching does not matter that much for LA either because they continue to give up a lot of runs in almost every game. Angels have allowed 7 runs per game on average in the 8 losses in their current 2-8 run. If we can keep the rain away from KC long enough to get this one in, we should cash an easy ticket as the low total is a bargain considering no top starting pitchers are available to start this one for either team. So no matter who is on the mound, the hitters should enjoy success here. 10* OVER 8 in Kansas City 

MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +110 vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Philly has played Atlanta tough this season and it continued yesterday with rallying for the 6-4 win which gives them momentum entering this game. Braves have just a .500 record against teams with a winning record this season and have not been great on the road this season against winning teams. That said, I love the home dog value here regardless of the pitching match-up. However, will mention that the expected starters are Nola versus Strider. Phillies Nola known for being so strong at home through the years and he also is 2-0 this season versus Atlanta. The Braves Strider is off a tough start and, overall, he has not been as strong in his last two outings. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110

MLB Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Washington Naitonals @ 10:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -290 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at HALF that price today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 64 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 57 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Look for another win by a multi-run margin. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Gonsolin has been absolutely dominant including 11-0 on the season and a 1.13 ERA and a .130 BAA in home games. Nationals Espino starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season as he has been roughed up in 4 straight starts and hit quite hard in each of last 6 starts. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. Also, LA has won 8 straight while Washington had lost 17 of 19 before yesterday's win. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 -145

MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs Houston Astros @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Astros have won 5 straight games coming out of the All Star break and scored an average of 6 runs per game last 4 games. Oakland is known for having a decrepit offense but they erupted late in yesterday 11-8 loss to Texas and, overall, the Athletics have been scoring better recently. That is why I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers and I will note that the A's have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 4 games. Now, about those expected pitchers. Jake Odorizzi will be facing the A's for a 3rd straight start. That is never easy for a starter and he did get hit harder in the 2nd than the 1st. Also, in his start prior to these two he was rocked by Kansas City. That said, this is the right time to expect Odorizzi to again get hit hard. As for Adam Oller, he has been respectable out of the bullpen this season but struggled badly as a starter for Oakland this season. The A's right-hander is 0-3 with a 10.89 in his 5 starts this season. Two confident teams squaring off tonight - based on results since the break - and the lineups will key a solid over here in my strong opinion. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland