40* NBA Blockbuster Total CRUSHER (Nets/Suns OVER 208)

Both the Nets and Suns are simply playing out the season at this point, as the two combined have an overall record of 29-85. There's ZERO motivation here for either team to exert themselves on the defensive end and that should have this game flying over the total. Brooklyn comes in allowing 103.6 ppg and the Suns are even worse, giving up 107.4 ppg. Key here is both offenses are playing well at the moment. Nets are averaging 100.8 ppg over their last 5 and Phoenix is averaging 101.0 ppg over their last 5. Give me the OVER 208! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Pacers/Heat U 199) 

I think we are seeing a big overreaction with the total here. Both teams have scored 100+ points in each of their first two games back from the All-Star break and not one of their games saw a combined score less than the 199 total we see here. These two teams combined for 203 points in the  most recent meeting, but that game went into overtime. The total for that game was just 193.5 and was also played in Miami and keep in mind that both teams shot under 40% from the field. With both teams playing their 3rd game in 4 days and the Heat potentially without Dwayne Wade (already missing Chis Bosh), I look for both offenses to struggle and this game to turn into a defensive showdown. UNDER is 38-15-1 in the Heat's last 54 when facing an opponent who scored 100+ points in their previous game and 35-15-1 in their last 51 after they scored 100+ in their last game. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA --Late Night TNT Total Crusher-- (UNDER 214) 

I think we are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that the Rockets have gone OVER the total in 6 straight games and this figuring to be a highly bet game in the second matchup of tonight's TNT double-header. Phoenix isn't exactly an opponent to get excited about playing and I just don't see the Rockets being all that motivated in this one. At the same time, the Suns are a limited offensive team right now with Bledsoe and Knight both out and know they can't get into a shootout with the Rockets. I look for Phoenix to bring the defensive intensity in a rare primetime home game on TNT. Keep in mind Phoenix has scored 100 or less in 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. Also, only 1 of those 9 games finished with more than the total set here and that was 216 points on the road against the 76ers. Give me the UNDER 214! 

50* NBA --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Pistons/Nets UNDER 202) 

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total. Detroit is coming off back-to-back high-scoring games against the Cavaliers (106-114) and Raptors (107-111), both of which resulted in losses. I look for the Pistons to come out with a different mentality on the defensive end in this one and they should have no problem keeping a mediocre at best Brooklyn offense in check. The Nets scored 103 against the Pelicans last time out, but that's only the 5th time in their last 15 games they have eclipsed the century mark (scored just 79 the previous game against Dallas). UNDEr is 18-4 in the Nets last 22 off a loss by 6 or less and 20-9 in the Pistons last 29 road games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (Under 205) 

The Celtics and Magic just played in Boston on Friday and the two teams combined for 207 points, barely eclipsing the total of 205.5. Now they meet again in Orlando with a similar total of 205, which I feel is a big mistake by the books. I don't see the Celtics being as interested in this game after just beating Orlando, while I look for the Magic to come out as motivated as we have seen them all season. Both teams understand what the other is trying to do offensively and the more familiar an opponent is with a team the bigger the advantage for the defense. UNDER is 9-1 in the Magic's last 10 home games after going over the total in their last game and 15-5 in their last 20 when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Give me the UNDER 205! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (Magic/Bucks UNDER 196.5) 

Orlando is a team that has continued to play hard despite their poor stretch here of late and are coming into this game off back-to-back heartbreaking overtime losses to the Hornets on Friday and Grizzlies last night. The Magic are a team that doesn't like to play fast as it is and simply won't have a choice but to slow the tempo way down given their tired legs. At the same time, I look for Milwaukee to come out with a strong defensive intensity at home after back-to-back losses on the road, but they too are limited offensively and like to play at a slow pace. UNDER is 23-9 in the Magic's last 32 road games after allowing 105 points. Give me the UNDER 196.5! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 206.5) 

The books have set the bar too high for today's total between the Nets and Thunder. Oklahoma City will be playing their 6th game in 10 days, so the energy isn't going to be there when it comes to pushing the pace. Brooklyn also isn't a team that gets opposing teams excited to play. I look for the Nets to come out motivated off an ugly 22-point home loss to the Jazz. Key here is that even with Brooklyn coming to play, they still have little to no chance of keeping this game close and simply don't have the offensive fire-power for this one to end up being a shootout. Give me the UNDER 206.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Panthers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5) 

So much attention is being paid to Cam Newtown and Carson Palmer with these two high-powered offenses, but I believe it will be the defenses that take over this game. Keep in mind these are two of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Arizona ranks 7th in scoring defense (19.6 ppg) and 5th in total defense (321.7) ypg). Carolina is 6th in scoring defense (19.3 ppg) and 6th in total defense (322.9 ypg). The pressure of knowing that a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line will likely have both offenses a bit jittery early in this one and keep in mind that conditions are going to be less than ideal. UNDER is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 47.5! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (Clippers/Knicks UNDER 205) 

I believe we are seeing an inflated total here in tonight's matchup between the Knicks and Clippers due to recent results. The Clippers have seen 3 straight games go well over 210 points and each of the Knicks last 2 have eclipsed 225. I just don't see that kind of pace being their for both teams. LA will be playing their 2nd straight on the road after last night's big game at Cleveland and New York has played 3 overtime periods in their last two games. This is a game both teams want to win. LA wants to rebound from a loss and the Knicks want to extend a 6-game home winning streak. It's also important to note that 6 of the last 7 meetings in this series have ended with 191 or fewer points. Give me the UNDER 205! 

40* NFL --Playoffs Situational Total Crusher-- (UNDER 44)

These are two of the best defenses in the league. Seattle finished the season 1st in scoring defense, allowing just 17.3 ppg and Carolina was 6th at 19.3 ppg. You also have to factor that the Seahawks defense was better on the road (14.6 ppg), while the Panthers defense was better at home (17.0 ppg). I know these two teams combined for 50-points in their regular season game, but neither could stop the opposing tight end. This time around Seattle is without Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks will have Bobby Wagner (didn't play in earlier meeting), who is their top linebacker at covering tight ends. Points are going to be hard to come by for both teams and it wouldn't surprise me at all if these two combined to score 20 or less. Give me the UNDER 44! 

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (UNDER 203)

The Cavaliers played a huge game last night at San Antonio, which they lost 95-99. They now must go on the road to face the Rockets on no rest. It's a very similar scenario from a few weeks back when Cleveland had to play on no rest at Portland after playing the previous day at Golden State. That game against the Trail Blazers saw a combined 181 points in a 76-105 loss. I'm expecting a similar type of outcome tonight, as the Cavs simply won't have the energy needed to put up a big number offensively. It's also worth mentioning the Rockets have been playing better defense of late, allowing just 96.6 ppg over their last 5, compared to the 105.0 ppg they are giving up for the season. UNDER is 20-9 in Cleveland's last 29 as an underdog, 21-9 in their last 30 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and a perfect 11-0 after playing their previous contest against a Western Conference team. Give me the UNDER 203! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 200.5)

The Jazz have seen each of their last 3 games finish UNDER the total, including last night's game at Portland where the two teams combined for just 184 points with a total of 193. Utah's held each of their last 3 opponents under 100 points and a big reason for that is the return of star defensive center Rudy Gobert. I look for Utah to come out motivated off a loss on their home floor and the Kings to also bring the intensity off back-to-back losses. Utah is going to slow the pace way down and both teams aren't going to be looking to run playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. UNDER is 10-2 in Kings last 12 with a line of +3 to -3 and 4-1-1 in their last 6 off a double-digit loss. UNDER is also 22-8 in Utah's last 30 home games against a team with a losing road record and 10-4 in their last 14 after failing to cover the spread. Give me the UNDER 200.5! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 50.5)

I don't see a ton of value with the spread, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total that presents some great value on the UNDER. Both of these teams took advantage of great matchups in the semifinals. Oklahoma couldn't stop Clemson's ground attack and Alabama took advantage of a weak Michigan State secondary. That clearly won't be the case in this matchup and I look for both offenses to struggle to sustain drives and finish off the ones they do put together with touchdowns. UNDER is 33-14 in Crimson Tide's last 57 against strong rushing teams that average 200+ yards/game on the ground and 16-6 in Clemson's last 22 against strong run defenses that allow 2.75 or less yards/carry. Give me the UNDER 50.5! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 193.5)

Memphis comes into this game scoring 92.4 ppg and allowing just 91.2 ppg over their last 5. While I expect the defensive intensity to be there, the offense figures to struggle more than normal with both Mike Conley and Courtney Lee both out with injury. Boston is a strong offensive team, but are struggling of late. Celtics have lost 4 of 5 overall which is a good sign that we can expect max effort on the defensive end to get back in the win column. Give me the UNDER 193.5!

40* NBA --Situational Total Crusher-- (Over 206.5)

It's taken a little longer than some expected, but the Bulls are finally starting to look like the offensive juggernaut that many expected to see when Holberg took over as the head coach. Chicago has scored 100+ points in 9 straight games. The first time that has happened since 1995. I don't see the streak coming to an end against the Hawks, who are allowing 104.8 ppg over their last 5 and 100.5 ppg on the season. Key here is the Bulls aren't the same defensive team on the road as they are at home. Chicago is allowing 103.8 ppg on the road and will be facing a very capable Atlanta offense that averages 102.5 ppg. Give me the OVER 206.5! 

50* NBA --Guaranteed Hardwood Top Play-- (Pacers/Heat UNDER 193.5)

With this game being played on NBA TV, I'm expecting both teams to bring the defensive intensity. Anytime Miami is playing at home you have to be thinking UNDER, as the Heat only score 97.2 ppg and allow just 95.4 ppg on the road. Indiana is a strong offensive team, but figure to struggle to reach their season average of 102.5 ppg. Big key here is the Pacers are getting after it defensively right now, allowing just 95.8 ppg over their last 5. These two teams have played twice already this season and combined for 177 and 179. Give me the UNDER 193.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Over 204.5)

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game this afternoon between the Celtics and Nets. Each of the last 2 games in the series have seen a combined score of 112 or more. Brooklyn has allowed 100+ in 10 straight games and the Celtics have scored 100+ in 6 of their last 7. Brooklyn also comes in averaging 104.6 ppg over their last 5. Over is (58-28) 67% over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more, where you have a team off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off a home loss. Give me the OVER 204.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 194.5)

I really like the value we are getting here with this total. Cleveland is one of the better defensive teams in the NBA and will rely on their defense in this one. The Cavaliers are a tired team and will be playing their 4th straight on the road and 4th game overall in the last 5 days. Denver's offense will struggle here, as they are expected to be without leading scorer Danilo Gallinari and point guard Emmanuel Mudiay. I don't see either offense going off in this one. Give me the UNDER 194.5! 

40* NFL --Situational Total Crusher-- (OVER 42) 

With both of these teams out of the playoff picture and just playing out the season, I look for this to be a high scoring game that easily goes over the total posted here. I was really impressed with what I saw last week from Kellen Moore against a stingy Jets defense and look for the Cowboys offense to get going against a Bills defense that has struggled of late. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 points in 5 straight games and I expect that trend to continue. Dallas' defense played hard last week against New York, but the Cowboys still had an outside shot at the NFC East division. With Dallas no longer in the mix, I think the Bills are going to have their way with Dallas' defense. Buffalo has been moving the ball well the last few weeks. They have had at least 390 total yards in 3 straight games with over 400 in each of the last 2. OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the Cowboys last 6 non-conference games and 5-0 in the Bills' last 5 following a SU loss. Give me the OVER 42! 

50* NBA --Cavs/Warriors NBA Guaranteed Top Play-- (UNDER 210)

This has been arguably the most anticipated game of the regular season and I'm expecting both of these teams to bring the defensive intensity in this one. All 6 games in the Finals last year finished with 208 or fewer points. We are simply seeing an inflated total here due to this being such a big game and the books inflated the total knowing the public will be all over the OVER. Both teams are also well-rested and that's been a strong indicator for both of these teams to go UNDER. In fact, the UNDER is 15-5 in Cleveland's last 20 road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. UNDER is also 14-3 in Golden State's last 17 when playing 5 or less games in 14 days. Give me the UNDER 210!

40* NFL --Thursday Night Total Crusher-- (Over 46)

Normally I like to look to take the UNDER in division games, as they tend to be lower scoring than expected. However, I don't think that's going to be the case tonight. Both of these teams are out of playoff contention and can't exactly be thrilled about having to play on Christmas Eve. To top it off, they have had a short week of rest to work with. I don't see the intensity being there on the defensive side of the ball in meaningless game, and these two offenses are more than capable of putting up points. Chargers have struggled to score of late, but this is a good matchup with Philip Rivers going up against a horrible Oakland secondary. Keep in mind these two teams combined for 66 points  and over 800 combined yards of offense earlier this season. Give me the OVER 46! 

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (Under 203)

Portland is expected to be without their top two scorers in this game, as Damian Lillard has been ruled out and C.J. McCollum is doubtful. These two combine for over 44 ppg, which is nearly half of the Blazers entire offensive output (101.4 ppg). I just don't see them being able to do enough offensively for this game to be high-enough scoring to eclipse this total. New Orleans should be able to jump out to an early lead and they will be more than happy to coast down the stretch of this game with a road game against Miami on Christmas coming up. Give me the UNDER 203! 

40* NCAAF --GoDaddy Bowl Total Crusher-- (Over 64)

With both teams having lost their head coaches prior to this matchup, I look for the offenses to reign supreme in a game that features to dynamic offensive teams. Bowling Green averages 43.4 ppg and Georgia Southern isn't too far behind at 34.7 ppg. I don't see the intensity being there defensively without their head coaches patrolling the sidelines and even if that wasn't the case, I don't think these two defenses would be having much success against the opposing offense. Bowling Green has a dynamic passing attack that averages 376 ypg and will be facing an Eagles defense that allows 7.3 yards pass attempt. On the other side, Georgia Southern has the nations best rushing attack at 356 ypg and will be facing a Falcons defense that allows 4.0 yards/carry. Give me the OVER 64! 

40* NFL --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 51.5)

Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to take away from of the edge defensively for both teams. At the same time, it should have both teams taking a lot more chances than they normally would, would should lead to a lot of big plays. The Saints last 4 home games have been extremely high scoring, with all 4 seeing 52 or more combined points, including a 79 point outburst against the Panthers and 101 points against the Giants. Look for a lot of offensive fire-works in this one, as the OVER is 18-6 in the Saints last 24 home games against teams who struggle to run the ball (90 or less yards/game). Give me the OVER 51.5! 

40* NFL --TNF Over/Under Winner-- (Under 41)

I don't see a lot of offensive fire works taking place in this one. Tampa Bay has scored 23 or less in 6 of their last 7 games and the Rams are only giving up 19.0 ppg at home. On the flip side of this, St Louis' offense is dreadful right now. The Rams had scored 18 or fewer in 6 straight before scoring 21 last week agains the Lions and 7 of those points came on a defensive touchdown. On the season St Louis is scoring just 16.2 ppg and will struggle to move the ball here with Tampa Bay being stout against the run and the Rams not having any threat of a passing attack. UNDER is 10-1 in St Louis' last 11 games in December and 12-3 in the Bucs' last 15 in the 2nd half of the season. Give me the UNDER 41! 

50* NBA --Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 196)

Whenever a quality team is coming off a blowout loss in their last game, more times than not that leads to an inspired defensive effort in their next contest. It just so happens that we have two teams facing off against each other in this spot. Toronto lost 90-106 at Indiana in their last contest, while the Hornets got embarrassed 98-113 at Orlando last time out. Look for both of these teams to bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball tonight and their season numbers definitely support this play. The Raptors are only giving up 95.9 ppg on the road and the Hornets are allowing just 96.4 ppg at home. Give me the UNDER 196! 

50* NBA -Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 202)

The Cavaliers turned in one of their best defensive efforts of the season in their last game, as they held the Magic to 76 points or 38.9% shooting. No surprise that this performance came in the return of defensive specialist Iman Shumpert. With Cleveland having had 3 full days of rest before this game and Boston off 2 days of rest, I look for both teams to bring the defensive intensity in a game that will be televised on NBATV. Keep in mind that 7 of the last 11 in the series have gone UNDER the total. We also find a strong system in play, as the UNDER is 39-14 (74%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more with a team off an upset win as underdog against an opponent off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NFL -- MNF Over/Under Winner-- (Over 47)

I'm expecting a high-scoring game tonight between these two teams. As we have two defenses that are struggling. The Dolphins are giving up 26.0 ppg at home, while New York is allowing 25.7 ppg on the road. We are simply seeing some good value here due to the fact that the Giants have gone under the total in 2 straight, while the under is 3-1 in Miami's last 4. OVER is 29-14 in Giants last 43 road games off 2 or more consecutive unders, 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record and 5-2 in Miami's last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 47! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (OVER 45.5)

Arizona has one of the most well-rounded offenses in the NFL. The Cardinals lead the league in both total offense (419.5 ypg) and scoring offense (31.8 ppg). I look for Arizona to put up a big number here against a Vikings defense that has been hit hard with injuries. Minnesota won't have starting defensive tackle Linval Joseph, linebacker Anthony Barr and safeties Harrison Smith and Antone Exum. They also are without backup safety Andrew Sendejo and backup safety Robert Blanton is questionable. Inexperience in the defensive backfield is going to result in a lot of big plays for Arizona and I see no reason why they don't eclipse their season average in this one. Vikings should be able to score enough (may not be till garbage time) to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 202)

I think we are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that the Clippers come into this game having scored 100+ in 5 of their last 6. The key thing to keep in mind with this stretch is 5 of those 6 games came at home and the lone road game came against a poor defensive team in the Timberwolves. Milwaukee has won 4 straight at home and during this stretch have allowed 88, 74, 91 and 88 points. The Bucks only average 95.5 ppg offensively and know they can't get into a shootout with the Clippers, so look for them to slow this game way down. You also have to factor in that LA has a nationally televised game against the Bulls on TNT tomorrow, so they aren't going to want to waste their energy against a team like Milwaukee. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 198)

Orlando comes into this game off a 101-103 loss at the Clippers, which snapped a streak of 5 straight games where they had allowed 95 or fewer points. The Nuggets have won 2 straight with a 106-105 win at Toronto and 108-105 win at Philadelphia. Prior to those two games Denver had allowed 99 or fewer in 4 straight and scored 94 or less in 5 consecutive games. I believe we are seeing an inflated total based on the recent performances of these two teams. UNDER is 10-1 in the Magic's last 11 road games off a close loss by 3-points or less and 24-9 in the Nuggets last 33 games in the month of December. Give me the UNDER 198! 

40* NFL --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (OVER 43.5)

These two teams combined for 46 points in Cleveland a few weeks back and that was with Manziel starting at quarterback for the Browns. This time it will be Austin Davis under center and I think it's a big upgrade for Cleveland and give them a chance to keep this game competitive. Davis came in for McCown against the Ravens and completed 7 of 10 for 77 yards with a touchdown. He should be able to lead at least a few scoring drives and get the Browns right around the 20 point mark. On the flip side of this, Cincinnati's offense should have it's way once again against Cleveland, especially playing at home, where they are averaging 28.4 ppg. The Browns give up an average of 26.8 ppg on the road and have allowed 30+ in each of their last 4 games. Give me the OVER 43.5. 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 67)

I don't think either defense is going to be able to do much from keeping the opposing offense from racking up yards and finishing drives with touchdowns. Clemson is averaging 37.9 ppg and 502 ypg against teams that only allow on average 25.1 ppg and 371 ppg. North Carolina has put up similar type numbers, as they average 41.2 ppg and 496 ypg against teams that allow 29.4 ppg and 397 ypg. The key thing here is that the defensive numbers of both of these teams are drastically inflated due to the cupcake offense that make up the ACC. I think both teams eclipse 35 points and wouldn't be surprised if we saw a final somewhere around the 41-38 range. Give me the OVER 67! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 193)

I'm expecting a very low-scoring matchup tonight between these two Central Division rivals. The Bucks come into this game off an ugly 70-95 loss at San Antonio. That should have Milwaukee highly motivated to bounce back and that's now 3 straight games where they have allowed 95 or fewer points. Detroit is coming in off a 127-122 overtime win at home against the Suns, which followed a 116-105 win at home against the Rockets. Those two results are a big reason we are seeing a total as high as we are. Even with those outcomes, Detroit is only giving up 97.9 ppg and scoring 98.2 ppg. The Bucks only average 95.3 ppg and just 90.5 ppg on the road. UNDER is 19-7 in Pistons last 26 home games after playing 2 straight games where both teams scored 100+ points. Average final score in these games have been 189.8. Give me the UNDER 193! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 202.5)

The Pistons are coming off a 116-105 home win over the Rockets in their last game and I believe that has the total inflated here. Even with Detroit allowing 105 to Houston, they are still giving up just 93.9 ppg at home. I look for their defense to be on point tonight against the Suns, who are coming in off a 91-point effort last night at Brooklyn. Phoenix won't be looking to push the tempo like normal playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. It's also worth noting that these two teams combined for just 192 points in Phoenix back on 11/6 and that was with a 58-52 second half surge. UNDER is 13-4 in the Suns last 17 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 and 8-1 in the Pistons last 9 with a total set at 200 to 209.5. Give me the UNDER 202.5! 

50* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 190)

The Spurs have seen the under go 11-5-1 in their 17 games so far this season and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The Bulls have seen the under go 11-3 in their 14 games with each of the last 6 finishing under the mark. San Antonio is allowing just 89.7 ppg and have not given up more than 90 points in 5 straight. The Bulls are allowing just 95.7 ppg at home and really seem to pick up their intensity at home when facing a quality opponent. Their 3 biggest home games to day have been against the Cavs, Thunder and Pacers, all 3 of which finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 190! 

50* NCAAF --PAC-12 Total of the Year-- (Over 69.5)

Oregon won't be playing in the Pac-12 Championship Game and aren't a factor for the college football playoff, but I strongly believe that this is one of the best teams in the country right now. Since Adams has returned to the lineup at full strength, Oregon's offense has looked like the offense we have grown so accustomed to seeing the previous years. They put up 65 on Arizona State, 44 on Cal, 38 on Stanford and 48 last week against USC. All 4 of those games finished with a combined score of at least 72 points. Last week Oregon State gave up 52 points at home to Washington, who is one of the more limited offensive teams in the Pac-12 the previous week they gave up 54 to Cal and the week prior 41 at home to UCLA. I'm confident the Ducks will eclipse 50 points in this game and wouldn't be shocked if they scored well into the 60's. The key here is that while Oregon's offense is dynamic and poised for a huge game, the Ducks defense is average at best. Given this being a rivalry game and Oregon State having nothing to lose at 2-9, I look for the Beavers to pull out all the tricks they can think of to try and put points on the scoreboard. This one should fly over the total. Give me the OVER 69.5! 

40* NCAAF --Black Friday Total Crusher-- (Under 45.5)

Missouri will be playing with a lot of emotion in this game. The Tigers need to pull off the upset to become bowl eligible and this will also be the last regular season game, potentially the last game ever, for head coach Gary Pinkel. The Tigers will give everything they have in this game and I look for their defense to keep Arkansas in check. Missouri is 23rd against the run and 11th against the pass and have allowed more than 21 points just once all season. On the flip side of this, I don't expect Missouri's offense to do much of anything. The Tigers are 125th in the country in total offense and Arkansas comes in with the 19th ranked run defense. Razorbacks should be motivated off a heartbreaking loss to Mississippi State in their home finale, as they can secure their first winning record inside SEC play since 2011. Also, conditions aren't expected to be great for this game (99% chance of rain throughout the game). Give me the UNDER 45.5! 

40* NCAAF --Thanksgiving Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 73)

Rivalry games tend to be a lot lower scoring than the statistic would suggest. That's definitely been the case in this series, as each of the last 3 and 5 of the last 6 have finished UNDER the total. I think we are going to see that trend continue. The Longhorns are better defensively than they get credit for and have not allowed more than 24 points in 6 straight meetings against Texas Tech. It's not so much that Texas will shutdown the Red Raiders offense, but keep them off the field. The Longhorns don't have a great offense and are fairly one dimensional with the running game. I look for a lot of long methodical drives that eat up clock and there's no guarantee they come away with points. Give me the UNDER 73! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 196)

I think we are going to see a very low-scoring game here between the Knicks and Magic. Neither of these teams shoot well from the field. Orlando comes in at 42.7% on the season and the Knicks are even worse at 41.5%. I also look for both teams to come out motivated defensively after a blowout loss. New York lost 78-95 at Miami in their last game, while the Magic fell 103-117 at Cleveland. Out of the 4 meetings last year, 3 finished with 182 or less points, with the highest output in Orlando being 172. UNDER is 47-18 (72%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 190 to 199.5 where the home team is off a loss by 10 or more points and road team off a loss by 15 or more. Give me the UNDER 196! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 201.5)

The Bulls come into this game averaging 100.5 ppg with an even better 103.7 clip on the road. While Chicago's offense has put up more points away from home, so has their defense. The Bulls are giving up 103.2 ppg on the road and will be facing a Portland team that averages 103.8 ppg at home and gives up 102.5 ppg. Both these teams like to play with a lot of tempo and the Bulls will be full go after a much-needed 3-day break. OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Portland and 11-4-1 in the last 16 overall. OVER is 6-2 in Blazers last 8 vs the Eastern Conference and 7-3 in their last 10 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Give me the OVER 201.5! 

50* NFL --SNF Total of the Month-- (UNDER 44.5)

I don't see a whole lot of value here with the spread, but I absolutely love the value we are getting with this total set at 44.5. I think there's a ton of value here with the UNDER. While Seattle's offense has struggled, their defense has been very good since Kam Chancellor returned to the lineup. I expect the Seahawks stop unit to deliver a big time performance here at home in a nationally televised game. At the same time, I don't think Seattle's offense snaps out of their funk against the Cardinals. These two division rivals have a history of low-scoring games when playing in Seattle. In fact, 6 of the last 7 have gone UNDER the total and the last two have seen combined scores of 27 and 22 points. It only adds value here that both teams are coming off a bye. Give me the UNDER 44.5! 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Under 51.5)

These two teams have a history of playing low-scoring games. In fact, you have to go back to 1997 to find the last time these two teams combined for more than 50 points. That's 17 straight with a combined score of 50 or less and I see the streak continuing here. Alabama is clearly one of the best defensive teams in the country, but the key here is that we have an underrated Mississippi State defense playing at home in a night game in a huge revenge spot. Bulldogs are only giving up 3.9 yards/carry agains teams that average 4.5 an Alabama's offense needs to have success on the ground to get their offense going. They only managed 19 points against Tennessee with 117 rushing yards and 27 against Arkansas with 134. Last year they held the Tide to just 124 yards on the ground. I think both teams struggle to sustain drives and settle for field goals in the red zone. Give me the UNDER 51.5! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 52.5)

I think we are going to see a low scoring game here between the Hokies and Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is fighting for their season, as they have to win out make a bowl, while Virginia Tech also comes in highly motivated knowing that this is Beamer's last run. While the Hokies are familiar with the Yellow Jackets and their triple-option attack, they get the added bonus here of coming off their bye. UNDER is 21-8 in Georgia Tech's last 29 games played on Thursday and 13-4 in their last 17 home games with a total of 52.5 to 56 points. UNDER is also 26-13 in Virginia Tech's last 39 with a line of +3 to -3 and 6-0 in their last 6 conference road games. Give me the UNDER 52.5! 

40* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (UNDER 74)

These two teams only combined for 40 points last year at Bowling Green with a total of 67.5. While both offenses look capable of going off here, I think we are going to see both defenses play well. Western Michigan is only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 56% of their attempts and it's no secret the passing game is the strength of the Falcons. The Broncos have a balanced attack but want to be able to run the ball (avg 40 attempts a game). Bowling Green is only giving up 141 rushing yards/game inside MAC play. Key here is we are expecting heavy winds, which is going to force both teams to pass less, which is going to keep the clock moving. This game also means a lot for both teams. Bowling Green playing with revenge and Western Michigan trying to hold on to their slim lead in the West. Give me the UNDER 74! 

50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5)

This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! 

40* NBA --No Doubt Total Crusher-- (Over 214)

I have no problem backing the over with this high total in tonight's game between the Rockets and Kings. Both Houston and Sacramento have been awful defensively to start the season. The Rockets are giving up 112.0 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 50.4% from the field, while the Kings are giving up 109.0 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 48.7% from the field. The fewest points either of these teams have allowed this season 103. Adding value is the OVER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Over 51)

This all comes down to the situation. Temple is well known for their defense, but we aren't going to see their best effort on that side of the ball in this spot. The Owls put everything they had into last week's game against Notre Dame and simply aren't going to be able to bounce back with that same kind of effort on the road against a SMU team that likes to play fast. If we simply get 20 points here from the Mustangs at home, we would need just 32 from Temple to cash the over. Considering SMU has allowed at least 38 in 6 straight, that should be a problem. Give me the OVER 51! 

50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5)

The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

50* NBA --No Doubt Total Top Play-- (OVER 202)

The Celtics are coming off a game against the Spurs where the two teams combined for just 182 points and the Pacers playing last night against the Pistons in a game where 176 points were scored, which raises a big red-flag when you see a total for this matchup at 202. The books are basically telling you that this will be a much-higher scoring game than expected an I agree with them. Indiana's defense wasn't very good in their first 3 games and they really got after it last night to get their first win of the season. I look for them to relax on that side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back set. Boston had scored 100+ in each of their first two before shooting 35.7% against San Antonio. They come in off 2 days rest and will be looking to push the tempo. Give me the OVER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Dominator-- (Over 207.5)

Neither of these are any good and I just don't see either side playing with much energy on the defensive side of the ball. Denver is dealing with some key injuries inside that will limit their defense and the Lakers are a team that can score the basketball, as they come in averaging 106.0 ppg, despite only shooting 40.1% from the field. At the same time, Los Angeles is vulnerable on defense, as they are allowing 115.7 ppg and opposing teams are making 48.0% of their attempts. Denver's offense is poised for a big showing here and I see both teams eclipsing the century mark without much problem. Give me the OVER 207.5! 

40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Knockout-- (Under 44)

These two teams combined for just 33 points last year at New York and I'm expecting another low-scoring game here with both teams coming off big division road games. The Jets defense has played exceptional well outside of last week's game against the Patriots and matchup well with the Raiders offense, which relies on it's passing game. New York ranks 4th in the league against the pass, allowing just 211.7 ypg. The Jets offensively need their running game to be effective and that plays into the strength of the Raiders defense, which ranks 3rd in the league against the run, allowing 84.3 ypg. Both offenses will be taken out of their comfort zone and this should lead to a lot of empty possessions and struggles when they do find the redone. Give me the UNDER 44! 

50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49)

I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! 

40* NFL --No Doubt Total Dominator-- (Over 48)

These two teams combined for just 44 points in their last meeting, but that came in Week 17 last year with both teams dealing with some nagging injuries on offense. In the previous meeting that season they combined for 63 points and the time before that they combined for 50. With Roethlisberger back from injury, I look for Pittsburgh to have their way with an overrated Cincinnati defense that is giving up 4.9 yards/carry and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.6% of their pass attempts. At the same time, I look for the Bengals to have a lot of success offensively in this one. Cincinnati's offense is the real deal and they will be well prepared for this game coming off their bye. Give me the OVER 48 in a what should be an AFC North shootout! 

40* NCAAF --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 57)

This total has jumped from 53 to 57 and for good reason. While we missed out on the better number, I'm still extremely confident this once eclipses the mark. Tennessee's offensive has feasted on lesser defenses this season and Kentucky is certainly no juggernaut on that side of the ball. The Wildcats struggled to do anything good defensively last week against dual-threat quarterback Dak Prescott, as they gave up 42 points and over 580 yards of offense to an average Bulldogs offense. Tennessee has a pretty good dual-threat of their own in Josh Dobbs, so plenty of reason to expect the Volunteers to put up a big number. Key here is Tennessee isn't great defensively and I certainly don't expect max effort on that side of the ball after laying it all on the line last week against Alabama. Give me the OVER 57! 

50* NCAAF --Gridiron Total of the Month-- (UNDER 51)

This may seem like a low total given Clemson just hung 58 on the road last week at Miami, but I think this game has a defensive battle written all over it. Clemson is 4th in the country in total defense and NC State is 3rd. Wolfpack offensively were held to 13 points in their only two games against a legit opponent in Louisville and Virginia Tech, so don't expect much from them. The key is I think their defense will keep Watson and the Tigers in check. We saw Clemson only score 20 on the road against a good Louisville defense and NC State seems to play above their potential on this side of the ball when hosting a ranked opponent. Give me the UNDER 51! 

40* NCAAF --Gridiron Total Crusher-- (Over 61)

We have seen this total drop from 67 down to 61 and I believe now is the time to strike on the OVER at the low mark. Louisiana Tech has a dynamic offense that comes in averaging 37.7 ppg and 481 yards of total offense. The Bulldogs will be going up against a Rice defense that is allowing 36.9 ppg and 446 yards/game. It's also worth noting the Owls are allowing a staggering 7.2 yards/play, which means we should see a lot of big plays from the Bulldogs. Rice is averaging 30.6 ppg and 436 yards/game. Louisiana Tech is allowing 39.0 ppg and 421 ypg on the road, while allowing 6 yards/play. These two combined for 107 points last year in the Bulldogs 76-31 win and it was the 3rd time in the last 3 years these two teams combined for at least 66 points (at least 1 team has scored 50+ in all 3). I see no reason why both teams don't reach at least 30 points. Give me the OVER 61! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Over 197.5)

The Hawks lost a huge part of their defense when Carroll left in free agency to sign with the Raptors and right out of the gate we see this team allow an uncharacteristic 106 points at home in a 94-106 loss to the Pistons. Atlanta managed 94 points despite an awful shooting night from behind the 3-point line. This is still a very talented Hawks offense and one that will be ready to go off that loss. The Knicks are a much-improved team, especially offensively. They are playing at a much faster pace and it showed with their 122-points on 93 attempts in a blowout win at Milwaukee last night. Atlanta will gladly turn this into a shootout and the pace here should have this one finishing well over the mark set. Give me the OVER 197.5! 

50* NCAAF --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (Under 55)

First place in the ACC Coastal division will be up for grabs (Pitt currently sits at 4-0 in ACC with Duke and UNC both at 3-0) tonight when the Tar Heels visit the No. 23 ranked Panthers. I don't see much value in the line at basically a pick'em, but I do think we are seeing an inflated total based on previous matchups. No surprise that these two teams have been great defensively in 2015. Pitt brought in former Michigan State defensive coordinator Pat Nartduzzi as their new head coach, while the Tar Heels landed Gene Chizek as their new defensive coordinator. The Panthers come in ranked 16th in total defense (308.3 ypg) and North Carolina is 36th (349.9 ypg). The impressive thing with Pitt's defensive numbers is they have played 5 of their first 7 on the road. Their defense should be even better at home, especially in this big time environment of a nationally televised game. The Tar Heels on the other hand have allowed 17 or less points in all but one game, the exception being against Georgia Tech and their triple-option attack. Both offenses like to run the football and I see this one being a defensive battle all the way. Give me the UNDER 55! 

50* MLB --World Series Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (UNDER 7)

I think the best value here in Game 1 is to the total and for this one to finish under 7 combined runs. This has a pitcher's duel written all over it with Matt Harvey taking the mound for New York and the Royals countering with Edison Volguez. Harvey has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his postseason starts and will have an advantage here with this being the first time he's gone up against Kansas City. Volquez hasn't been great in 2 road starts during the postseason, but was lights out in his only home start against the Blue Jays, allowing just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. With both offenses having not faced live pitching in at least 3 days, I look for Harvey and Volquez to have the upper hand in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! 

50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5)

I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5!

50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46)

These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46!

40* NCAAF --SEC Total Crusher-- (Over 52)

Since giving up 43 points to Ole Miss at home, Alabama has allowed 0, 10, 14 and 23 points over their last 4 games. I believe it's created some great value here with the over for their game against Tennessee. The Volunteers have a lot of talent on offense and we have already seen them score 27-points on the road against a dominant Florida defense. Last year Tennessee scored 20 on the Crimson Tide and they are a much stronger offensive unit in 2015. On the flip side of this, for as much negative talk that goes on with Alabama and their offense, the Crimson Tide come into this game averaging a solid 35.6 ppg against teams that are only giving up 23.8 on average. Alabama should have no problem moving the ball here against a Tennessee defense that ranks 87th in the country in total defense and giving up 4.6 yards/carry. Alabama could potentially cover this number on their own, but I'm expecting both teams to score here. I think this total is a good 5-7 points lower than it should be. Give me the OVER 52!

50* NCAAF --ACC Total of the Month-- (Over 55)

The books have set a low total here due to the perception that Clemson has a dominant defense. While I'm not saying the Tigers aren't a good defensive team, they have benefited from a soft schedule in terms of teams they have had to face who can spread you out and beat you with both the run and the pass. The only legit offense they have faced is Notre Dame and they gave up 437 yards, including 321 through the air. Miami has a ton of speed and one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country in Kaaya. At the same time, the Hurricanes aren't going to offer up much resistance defensively. I think both teams score into the 30's here. Give me the OVER 55!

40* MLB --Playoffs Total Crusher-- (UNDER 7.5)

This will be starting pitching rematch of Game 2, which the Royals won 6-3. While that game finished with 9 runs, more than the total set here, it was a 3-0 game going into the bottom of the 7th inning before David Price allowed 5 runs after giving up 1 run in the first 6 innings. With the series moving back to KC, where they will play in pitcher-friendly Kauffman Staduium, I don't see either team putting up a lot of runs in a crucial Game 6. UNDER is 22-9-3 in the Royals last 34 home games against a team with a winning record. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42)

In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42!

40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Broncos/Browns U42.5)

I don't see a lot of points being scored in this one. Denver's offense hasn't looked good at all this season. Their 5-0 start is a direct result of their defense. I expect more of the same here from the Broncos with the defense carrying them on the road against the Browns. Cleveland's defense hasn't been great, but they matchup well with Denver's offense, which can't run the ball. The Browns offense looked good last week against the Ravens, but I don't see that carrying over against this Denver defense. Give me the UNDER 42.5!

40* NCAAF --SEC Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Alabama/Texas A&M O52.5)

While I think Texas A&M is worth a look on the spread, I think the real value in this game is on the OVER. It's well known that the Crimson Tide struggle defensively against spread offenses and that's exactly what they will face here with the Aggies. Alabama's only game so far against a spread offense was their loss 31-41 loss at home to Ole Miss, where they gave up over 430 yards of total offense to the Rebels. I think Texas A&M is just as good, if not better, offensively than Ole Miss. Alabama's offense is also better than it gets credit for. Last week's game against Arkansas was the first time this season they scored fewer than 34 points, as they finished with 27. Texas A&M's defense is improved, but I don't see them keeping the Tide from putting up a big number. I think this game goes well past 60 points, as we should see a lot of big plays that lead to quick scores from both teams. Give me the OVER 52.5!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8)

While these two teams have combined for 8 or more runs in 3 of the first 4 games of this series, I just think there's too much value here on the UNDER 8 to pass up. Cole Hamels and Marcus Stroman will be facing off in Game 5, which is a rematch from Game 2 in Toronto. Only 5 earned runs were scored in regulation of that game, but 3 unearned runs and 2 more in extra innings pushed the final score to 10. Both Hamels and Stroman pitched well in that game, which is no surprise given how they finished the season. With all the pressure that comes in a deciding Game 5, I'm not expecting a ton of offense in this one. Give me the UNDER 8!

50* NFL -MNF Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 46)

The Steelers are trying to make do offensively with Michael Vick right now. While he's capable of keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff hunt, this will not be the same explosive high-powered offense that it was with Roethlisberger. The Steelers are going to rely more on their running game and defense to win games until Big Ben is back and have been playing much better defensively than they get credit for. They should have no problem keeping a injury-deplete San Diego offense in check. This is simply too many points given the circumstances both offenses are facing. Give me the Under 46!

40* NCAAF --No Doubt Total Blowout-- (EC/BYU Over 58)

When East Carolina is playing anything close to a capable offense the over is typically the way to go, especially when they aren't going up against an elite defense. That's exactly the scenario we have here with this game. BYU comes in with the 78th ranked offense at 388.2 ypg, but are actually better than that number. If you take out the game against Michigan, where they were shutout and only had 105 total yards, they are averaging 30.3 ppg and 459.0 ypg. Defensively they come in just 61st in total defense and aren't great at stopping the run (160.4, 69th) or the pass (216.8, 67th). East Carolina is averaging 31.4 ppg against teams allowing just 25.8 ppg and have played some tough defenses. They put up 24 on Florida and 35 on Virginia Tech. Both teams rely more on the pass than the run, which should lead to a lot of big plays and a bunch of possessions for both sides. Give me the OVER 58!

50* NCAAF --Over/Under Total of the Month-- (Navy/ND Over 56)

Notre Dame laid it all on the line last week against Clemson and simply won't have the same energy when they take the field against Navy. Similar to what we saw with them allowing 27 points to UMass after that big game against Georgia Tech. Navy has proven they can move the ball against the Irish, scoring at least 34 points each of the last 2 years. Midshipmen look to be even strong offensively in 2015, which isn't a big surprise with senior quarterback Keenan Reynolds calling the shots. While I don't expect a great showing from the defense, the offense will be highly motivated to put up points after scoring only 22 last week against Clemson when they should have had a lot more. Notre Dame had 437 yards of total offense, but turned it over 4 times (only had 3 turnovers first 4 games combined). Like each of the last two years, I expect both offenses to score into the 30's, making this an easy play for me. Give me the OVER 56!

50* NFL --Colts/Texans Total No Brainer-- (Over 40.5)

It's been made official that Luck will not be playing against the Texans and as a result the total has dropped 3-points, I believe it's created some great value here on the OVER, as I still think the Colts offense will be able to move the ball against the Texans. Houston's defense hasn't been very good and Indy has a savy veteran backup in Matt Hasselbeck, who showed he still has something left in the tank. Hasselbeck went 30 of 47 for 282 yards against the Jaguars. Houston's offense hasn't been great to start the year, but that's a direct result of the injury to star running back Arian Foster. He returned last week and should get a much bigger workload here. Colts defense is decimated with injuries and just gave up 431 yards last week to a below average Jacksonville offense. These two teams also have a history of high-scoring games when they face off in Houston, with each of the last 10 meetings seeing at least 41 points. Give me the OVER 40.5!

50* --NFL Total of the Month-- (Over 43)

The perception here is that these are two dominant defensive teams, which has created some exceptional value here with total at just 43 points. Arizona's 3-0 start is more a result of their offense than their defense at the same time, I don't think the Rams are as strong defensively as it looks on paper. St Louis has a lot of talent up front, but the secondary isn't great. Carson Palmer will be able to expose the Rams secondary and should be able to put up at least 27 points here. I believe the Rams can give us at least 17 if not more, as I see there offense only improving with Gurley getting more and more carries. These two combined for 45 in Arizona last year and the OVER is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 43!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 7.5)

Both of these teams have been struggling offensively down the stretch. The Royals have scored a total of 5 runs over their last 3 games and haven't registered double-digit hits in 5 straight. Hard to seem them getting back on track against the red-hot Jose Quintana, who has a 1.35 ERA and 1.050 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Chicago's offense is only averaging 2.6 runs and are hitting .213 as a team over their last 7 games and will be going up against a starter they have really struggled against. Kansas City's Edinson Volquez has a 1.67 ERA in 4 starts against the White Sox this season. UNDER is 9-1 in White Sox last 10 home games after hitting .225 or worse over a 10 game stretch. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

40* MLB -Total Crusher-- (Under 8.5)

This is a great spot and price to back the under in Monday's matchup between the Tigers and Rangers. Detroit's Justin Verlander has been back to his old ways. He's got a 3.49 ERA and sensational 1.080 WHIP over 18 starts. He's been much better of late and comes in with a 2.70 ERA and 0.980 WHIP over 7 road starts. Texas will give the ball to Colby Lewis, who has a 1.71 ERA and 0.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts. I just don't see either offense putting up a big number and with this high total I'll take my chances. Give me the Under 8.5!

50* NFL ---Total of the Month--- (Over 45.5)

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total at 45.5 points, largely due to both of these offenses struggling last week. The Colts scored just 7 points at home against the Jets, while the Titans were held to a mere 14-points at Cleveland. Indianapolis has too much talent offensively and too good of a quarterback to not get this turned around. I believe their struggles were largely due to playing 2 really good defenses in Buffalo and New York. The Titans will be playing at home for the first time this season and I look for Mariota to have a big day here against a banged up Colts secondary and will likely have to throw early and often to keep pace with Luck and the Colts. Give me the Over 45.5!

40* NCAAF ---Gridiron Total Crusher-- (Over 59)

Couple of weeks ago there's no way I would have been even considering the over in this game, but the Longhorns have finally found themselves a quarterback. Red-Shirt freshman Jerrod Heard completed 20 of 31 attempts for 364 yards and rushed for another 163 yards and 3 scores in last weeks' game against Cal. Heard was pushing to start in the spring and was highly recruited out of high school. While it's too early to call him the next Longhorn superstar, it sure looks that way. Dual threat quarterbacks are extremely difficult to prepare for and Oklahoma State doesn't really know what to expect here. The big key is that Texas' defense still stinks. They gave up 548 yards to Cal last week. I think both teams score into the 30's. Give me the Over 59!

50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Dominator-- (Under 47.5)

This total has been set too high for this matchup. Boston College features about as run heavy of an offense you will find that's not based strictly off the triple-option. The Eagles have attempted 49, 40 and 43 rush attempts in their first 3 games and totaled just 347 passing yards in their first 3 games combined. N. Illinois is only giving up 3.5 yards/carry against teams averaging 4.1, so I expect them to at worst make BC use a lot of plays to sustain a drive and put points on the scoreboard. Northern Illinois' offense is pretty average and will struggle to get much going on the road against a BC defense that is allowing 1.4 yards/carry and only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 44.6% of their attempts. I see a lot of empty drives and field goals when they get in opposing territory. Give me the UNDER 47.5!

50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Under 49)

I think the books have set too high of a total here for tonight's prime time matchup between Boise State and Virginia. Both of these teams are strong defensively and that should have these two average offenses struggling to sustain drives and finish them off with touchdowns. Boise State will be without starting quarterback Ryan Finley, which means they are going to have an inexperienced signal caller making his first start on the road, a situation that doesn't figure to end well. Virginia's offense is limited and the Broncos are more than capable of keeping them in check. The energy and intensity that comes with playing in front of a national audience only adds to the value here with this total. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 20 points. Give me the UNDER 49!

50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8)

This has a pitchers duel written all over it and we are getting a great number here to back the under. Cleveland's Danny Salazar has a 3.47 ERA and 1.117 WHIP over 27 starts and was dominant last time out against the Tigers, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. He's faced the Twins twice this season and allowed just 3 runs in 13 innings with 21 strikeouts. Minnesota's Ervin Santana enters with a sizzling 2.05 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over his last 3 starts, allowing just 5 runs on 16 hits with 22 strikeouts in 22 innings. UNDER is 30-19 in the Indians 49 road night games this season and 38-17-1 in their last 56 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 8!

40* NFL --Smart Money Total Crusher-- (Over 46)

I think we are going to see a lot of offense in this one. Arizona has a stingy defense, but it's not nearly as good on the road as it is at home. Offensively the Cardinals are underrated, as this team has one of the better offenses in the league when Carson Palmer is healthy at quarterback. Chicago's defense is still adjusting to the transition from a 4-3 to a 3-4 and will continue to struggle. They allowed Aaron Rodgers to complete 18 of 28 attempts and gave up 4.1 yards/carry. As for the Bears' offense, I was impressed with them against Green Bay, as they put up over 400 yards of offense. They may not have Alshon Jeffery, but I still think there's enough here for Cutler to get them in the endzone. Plus, with Arizona's strong run defense, Cutler will be forced to throw a lot, which will likely lead to at least a couple turnovers and quick scores for the Arizona defense. Give me the OVER 46!

50* NCAAF *SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH* (Under 53)

I don't see any value on the spread in this one, but I absolutely love the UNDER. Alabama does not have the same offensive explosion as last year, but are improved defensively. For Ole Miss, all the talk has been about the offense, but I've been more impressed with the defense. I think we are going to see two of the best defenses in the country, potentially the best two, go to battle. I think we could see a similar type battle to Alabama's 2011 home game against LSU, where the game ended with a final of 6-9. Even if there's a little more offense than that, I don't see it getting into the 50's. Give me the UNDER 53!

40* NCAAF *SMART MONEY TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 55.5)

Notre Dame has lost their starting quarterback and running back in their first two games. While I was impressed with backup quarterback DeShone Kizer, I don't think the Irish offense will be as explosive with him as the starter. While the offense might take a step back, Notre Dame still has a very good defense and one that is well equipped to slow down Justin Thomas and the Georgia Tech triple-option attack. Keep in mind they play Navy every year, so their familiar with the triple-option scheme. Defense is also going to get an emotional boost here from the home crowd. They were dominant at home against Texas. Georgia Tech also has a very good defense. While they have played two cupcake opponents, they have dominated on the defensive side of the ball and should be able to keep Kizer and the rest of the offense in check. Give me the UNDER 55.5!

50* NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 65)

This may seem like a low total given these two teams combined for 81 points in Arizona State's 58-23 blowout win at New Mexico last year, but I actually think the value is on the UNDER. Both teams bring a lot back defensively. Sun Devils returned 9 defensive starters and the Lobos brought back 7. Both will have a much better understanding of what the other team is looking to do offensively. New Mexico likes to run the football and that's going to eat up some clock and I don't see the Sun Devils trying to run up the score late with two huge games on deck against USC at home and UCLA on the road. These prime time games also tend to bring out the best defensively and I think ASU could make life extremely difficult on New Mexico, who scored just 21 points last week against Tulsa at home. Under is 13-4 in Arizona State's last 17 home games with a total set at 63 or more points. ROLL THE UNDER 65!

40* MLB *TOTAL KNOCKOUT* (Under 7.5)

Tyler Wilson vs Drew Smyly might not seem like a pitchers duel, but that's exactly what I'm expecting in this one. Wilson has made 2 starts and allowed just 2 runs in each outing. Smyly is a known commodity and looks to be back in form after missing a big chunk of the season with an injury. In his last outing, which was at home against a strong Red Sox offense, he tossed 6 scoreless innings, allowing just 4 hits and racking up 11 strikeouts. Under is 13-3 in Rays last 16 games off a 1-run loss to a division rival and 13-4 in Orioles last 17 road games with OBP of .260 or worse over their last 3. ROLL THE UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* (UNDER 9)

I believe the books have made a big mistake here with this total, as it's been slightly inflated due to the fact that both starters are coming off a poor showing. Even with the bad outings, both have thrown the ball extremely well of late. Houston's McHugh has a 3.26 ERA and 1.190 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Texas' Derek Holland has a 2.25 ERA and 0.792 WHIP over his last 3 starts. McHugh is 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA over 3 starts against the Rangers and Holland has allowed just 7 runs in 22 1/3 innings over 4 home starts. ROLL THE UNDER 9!

40* NCAAF *COLLEGE GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER* (OVER 63)

I expect both offenses to score at will in this one. Arizona has big time playmakers on offense in sophomore quarterback Anu Solomon and sophomore running back Nick Wilson. The Wildcats have averaged over 30+ ppg in each of Rich Rodriguez's first 3 years on the job. They put up 42 points against UTSA in the opener and I see them flirting with 40 again. That's because their offense will have to continue to push to score, as their defense figures to give up a lot. Wildcats allowed 32 points and 525 yards to a UTSA team that only returned 2 offensive starters. Nevada has a more than capable offense and will score more than enough to push this well over the mark. ROLL THE OVER 63!

50* NFL *PRO GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER*

The public is all over the OVER in this one, as the perception here is that we have two high-powered offenses. The bookmakers know that the majority of the action was going to come in on the OVER and I believe they have inflated this total, creating some great value here on the UNDER. Pittsburgh is without several key pieces offensively in running back Le'Veon Bell, wide out Martavis Bryant and center Maurkice Pouncey. As for New England, I don't think there offense is going to be in sync out of the gate with all the distractions surrounding Brady and Deflategate, plus they are without running back LeGarrette Blount and wide out Brandon LaFell. Starting center Bryan Stork is doubtful and wide out Julian Edelman will be playing on a bum ankle. Too many key pieces missing for this one to be a shootout. Roll the UNDER 51.5!

40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (Ohio State/Virginia Tech OVER 53)

Instead of worrying about whether or not Ohio State covers the 2 touchdowns spread, I think the smart play here is on the total over 53. The Buckeyes proved at the end of last year that their offense can put up points on anyone and I don't expect it to be any different against Virginia Tech. At the same time, I think the Hokies offense will be much improved and will definitely benefit here from Ohio State missing star linebacker Joey Bosa. These two teams combined for 56 points last year with both offenses working behind an inexperienced quarterback in a new system. Ohio State also saw at least 55 combined points in each of their final 14 games of 2014. ROLL THE OVER 53!

40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 49.5)

I don't expect to see a whole lot of offense in this one. There's nothing tricky about Wisconsin's offense, as they are going to line up and try and run it right at you. That plays right into the strength of this Alabama defense, as they tend to struggle a lot more with mobile quarterbacks who run a spread offense. On the flip side of this, Alabama loses a lot offensively, as they have just 3 starters back. They will be sending out an inexperienced quarterback and are going to lean on the run. Wisconsin will be in the 1st year under head coach Paul Chryst, but they retained defensive coordinator Dave Aranda. I see both teams focusing on the ground game, which is going to eat up the clock and have this one finishing under the mark. Roll the UNDER 49.5!

40* NCAAF *OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT* (Over 57.5)

There's no question that bringing in Will Muschamp to be the defensive coordinator is going to help Auburn improve on that side of the ball, but it's going to take some time. Louisville on the other hand has just 4 starters back on defense. Both head coaches are well known for their offenses and I believe both will be on full display inside the Georgia Dome today. Roll the OVER 57.5!

40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (UNDER 55.5)

I think this is way to high a total for this matchup. Washington's offense is going to be awful this year. Last year's starting quarterback Cyler Miles left the team in the offseason and he was a huge loss (completed 67%, 2,397 yards, 17-4 TD-INT). The Huskies also have just 1 starter back on the offensive line. Boise State loses underrated starting quarterback Grant Hedrick (completed 71% of his attempts)  to graduation, as well as leading rusher Jay Ajayi (1,800 yards 28 TDs). Both offenses figure to struggle to sustain drives. As long as we don't see a ton of turnovers that lead to quick scores, this should fly under the total. Roll the UNDER 55.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Really like the value we are getting here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Not only do we have two strong starters on the mound in Chris Archer and Wei-Yen Chen, but both offenses are struggling at the moment. The Rays have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5, while the Orioles are averaging just 2.9 runs/game over their last 7. Archer is poised for a bounce back start after giving up 4 runs in his last outing at home against the Twins (complete game shutout prior to that start) and Chen enters with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 21-9 in Chen's last 30 home starts and 13-3 in the Rays last 16 road games after going 5 straight games with fewer than 10 hits. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

40* NFLX *TOTAL CRUSHER*

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Should be all kinds of offense in this one, as both teams will be sending out starters who have really struggled of late. Cincinnati will give the rock to Keyvius Sampson, who has a 8.03 ERA and 2.433 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza and his 7.56 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in his last 3 outings. It's not just recent form where both of these guys have struggled. Sampson has a 5.79 ERA and 1.757 WHIP overall and Garza has a 5.52 ERA and 1.522 WHIP overall. OVER is 6-1 in Cincinnati's last 7 against a team with a losing record and 9-1-1 in Garza's last 11 home starts against a team with a losing record. Roll the OVER 8.5!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

Love the value here with this total set at 7.5. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney is coming off an ugly showing at home against the Blue Jays, but Toronto's offense is simply that good. Heaney has been rock-solid otherwise, as he owns a 3.39 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 11 starts. A big key here is the fact that he has a 2.13 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 4 road starts. Cleveland will send out Danny Salazar, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 22-12 in LA's last 34 after a win by 2 runs or less and 20-10 in the Indians last 30 against the AL West. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR*

Love the value here with this total and more than willing to pay a little extra juice to get 7. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer is coming off a complete game shutout in his last outing and is 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA and 0.781 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Twins. Minnesota will send out Tyler Duffey, who has looked sharp in his last 2 after giving up 6 runs in 2 innings at Toronto in his MLB debut. Duffey has allowed just 2 runs in his last 2 starts (13 2/3 innings) with 15 strikeouts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 over L2 seasons in Rays 8 games after a contest where 17 or more combined runs were scored (avg score in these games has been 5.1)! Roll the UNDER 7!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I really like the UNDER here in this matchup. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney might not have the most overpowering stuff, but he's been very effective since joining the rotation. He's got a 2.43 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 10 starts. He's more than capable of keeping this high-powered Blue Jays offense in check at home. Toronto will send out Marco Estrada, who has been straight dealing of late with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in 19 starts. UNDER is 14-4 in Blue Jays last 18 after scoring 9 or more runs and 15-5-2 in Angels last 22 home games when listed as an underdog. Roll the UNDER 8!

50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY*

I really like the value we are getting with this total at 8 runs. Houston's Michael Fiers has a dominant 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts, while the Dodgers' Brett Anderson is 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA over his last 5 road starts. LA is only scoring 3.8 runs/game and hitting .235 as a team in interleague play, while the Astros are scoring just 3.0 runs and hitting a mere .221 as a team over their last 7. UNDER is 15-5 in Dodgers last 20 road games after scoring 2 runs or less and 19-9 in the Astros last 28 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in their last game. Roll the UNDER 8!