50* NL Central Total of the Month (Pirates/Reds UNDER 8.5)

This won't look like a big time pitching matchup to a lot of people, but these are two young studs that will be big names for years to come. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan is one of the few bright spots on this roster and he was excellent in his first start at home against the Phillies, giving up just 1 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 shutout innings. He's faced these Pirates three times in his career already and has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings of work (2.03 ERA). Pittsburgh will send out rookie Tyler Glasnow, who has ace-like stuff. PNC Park is a pitchers park and these are two average offenses. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

40* MLB Big Money Total Crusher (OVER 7.5)

Not a lot of offense in the first two games of this series. Both teams have scored exactly 5 runs in the first two games combined. I believe there's a decent chance both teams could eclipse the 5 run mark in this one. The first two games of this series featured big time pitching matchups with Lester vs Martinez and Arrieta vs Wainwright. I see a significant drop off here in terms of the starting pitching matchup with Lackey vs Lynn. These are two elite offenses that can produce up and down the order. Conditions here are also supporting a high-scoring game, as the wind will be blowing out strong to right. Give me the OVER 7.5!

40* MLB Late Night Total Crusher (UNDER 7.5)

This total has jumped from 7 to 7.5 and I just think there's too much value to pass up. The Dodgers exploded for 14 runs in their opener and the expectation is they are going to keep putting up big numbers. The ball just doesn't travel well at night at Dodgers Stadium. I also think the Padres could struggle to score more than a couple runs here against the likes of Rich Hill. San Diego gives the ball to Cahill and he's better than he gets credit for and won't be intimidated by the Dodgers lineup. UNDER is 13-3 in Hill's 16 night starts over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 in his last 13 starts as a favorite. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 211.5)

I look for the Bulls and Cavaliers to have no problem eclipsing this total tonight. Cleveland comes in off an absolutely miserable offensive performance, scoring just 74 points in a 29-point loss at San Antonio on Monday. There were a lot of factors that played into that awful showing, including the Spurs being an elite defensive team and the Cavs just being tired from a brutal schedule. Prior to that game Cleveland had scored at least 112 points in 4 straight games. Note that they lost 78-108 at Los Angeles (Clippers) and the next game combined for 145 points with the Lakers. Chicago's scored 107 or more in 4 straight and should be able to keep that streak going, pushing us well over the mark here. Give me the OVER 211.5!

50* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year (UNDER 201)

I expect the intensity to be very similar to that of a playoff game tonight, as these two teams are both fighting for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. Miami currently holds that spot, but they have a mere 1-game lead on the Bulls and 1.5-game lead on the Pistons. Neither team can really afford to lose this game. I believe it's going to lead to max effort on the defensive side of the ball and this one finishing well below the mark. Note that Detroit hasn't scored more than 96 points in each of their last 4 games and aren't expected to have Reggie Jackson for this game. Miami's offense simply isn't the same without Waiters and it doesn't help that Dragic is playing at less than 100%. Both teams are also playing with tired legs. the Pistons are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after a 4-game road trip and Miami is playing their 2nd straight on the road in a span of just 3 days. Give me the UNDER 201!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 200)

I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere here with these two teams. Utah is holding on to a slim 1-game lead for the 4th spot in the west with just 9 games left to play, while New Orleans is clinging onto hope of sneaking in as the No. 8 seed, though they need to make up 4 games with just 9 to play. Unlikely, but with them coming off a 25-point blowout win at Denver yesterday, they aren't giving up just yet. Utah is a dominant defensive team and the Pelicans have been playing really good defense overall of late. I look for this to finish close to 190 than 200. Give me the UNDER 200!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 202.5)

I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere in LA this afternoon, as the Jazz and Clippers meet for the final time. This game is huge for both sides, as Utah currently has a 1.5-game lead over LA for the No. 4 spot in the west. A win for Utah and they have a 2.5-game with less than 10 to play. The Clippers can not only pull within a 1/2-game, but they would also earn the tie-breaker with a victory, as they have already won 2 of the first 3 meetings this season. These two combined for 122 recently, but had failed to eclipse 165 in the previous two. Given the circumstances, I look for this to well below the total. Give me the UNDER 202.5!

40* Late Night Sweet 16 Total No Brainer (UNDER 145)

This Arizona team is the real deal and I believe their defense is going to be the deciding factor in this one. The Wildcats held a potent St. Mary's team to just 60 points in their last game and I look for them to slow down the Musketeers. Xavier has shot lights out in their first two tournament games, but this Arizona defense is by far the best they have seen. Musketeers are no slouches on defense either, as they have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 66 or less. It's also worth pointing out that neither of these teams like to play at a fast pace, which only adds that much more value here. Give me the UNDER 145!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 203.5)

I'm expecting a low-scoring affair tonight. The Hawks are just going through the motions right now and are going to be without two key pieces to the rotation in Millsap and Bazemore. Not to mention Atlanta has scored less than 100 points in each of their last 3 games and just shot a mere 36.4% from the field in their last contest. Charlotte is fighting for their playoff lives and will be locked in defensively at home in this one. Hornets have held each of their last two opponents under 100 points. UNDER is also 15-2 in Charlotte's last 17 home games against a division opponent and 8-1 in the Hawks last 9 road games when revenging a straight up loss. Give me the UNDER 203.5!

40* NCAA Tournament Total No Brainer (UNDER 153.5)

UCLA and their high-powered offense leaves the books no choice but to lay a big number on the total, but I think the matchup here with Cincinnati is going to be a lot more lower scoring than most people think. The Bearcats know they can't win this game by trying to trade blows offensively with UCLA in transition offense. Their only chance is to ugly up the game and slow the tempo way down and really bring the intensity on defense. That's the stretch of this Cincinnati team and I think it's going to take the Bruins some time to figure out how to attack the Bearcats defense. Keep in mind this is a Cincinnati team that went on the road and held the likes of Iowa State's high-powered offense to just 54 points. Give me the UNDER 153.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 162)

I think the smart play here is to take the UNDER. I know UCLA comes in averaging 90.4 ppg, but Kent State is not a team that wants to run with them. In fact, they want to limit the number of possessions and to do that they have to grind it out each time they have the ball and make sure they avoid letting UCLA get out in transition. Easier said than done, but you also have to factor in that the Bruins could come out a bit flat here like a lot of the top seeds have so far in the tournament. There's also much bigger games looming for UCLA, so if they get up big, they aren't going to be looking to run up the score. I also think we are getting an inflated number here with how much the public likes to back the over in UCLA games. Give me the UNDER 162!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 152) 

This one should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Oregon can light up the scoreboard, as they come in averaging 79.1 ppg. They will be facing an Iona defense that is awful. Keep in mind they allowed 90+ to both FSU and Nevada early in the year and 80+ in 4 of their last 8 overall, including 103 points to Rider at home on 2/19. The key here is that while the Ducks will be soaring up and down the court, Iona is capable of keeping pace. The Gaels average 80.5 ppg and will be facing an Oregon defense that is minus one of the better defenders in Chris Boucher, who averaged an impressive 2.5 blocks per game. Give me the OVER 152!

40* NBA Late Night Total Bailout (OVER 219)

It hasn't been pretty for the Warriors of late, as they come in having lost 3 straight and 5 of 7 overall. Three times during this stretch Golden State has failed to score at least 90 points. The big thing to keep in mind is that most of these games came on the road and the scheduling/rest was brutal. Not to mention they were adjusting to life without Durant. They rested their top 4 guys in Saturday's blowout loss to the Spurs and that means all 4 have had a full 3 days to rest up. I see this as a statement game for the Warriors and I just don't think the 76ers will be able to do anything to keep Golden State's offense from putting up 120+ here. Note this is Philadelphia's 4th and final game of a west coast trip that has spanned just 6 days. 76ers give up 110 ppg on the road and the Warriors average 120.3 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 219!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (Over 205)

I like to look towards the OVER later in the season when you get two bad teams that are out of the playoff race. Especially when it's a non-conference matchup and there's no real bad blood or reason for either team to get motivated. I believe that's exactly what we have here with the Kings and Magic. On the plus side, we are getting a favorable number here due to both offenses not being very good, but it's the defense that matters. Neither team has been playing much of it. Magic are allowing 109.5 ppg on the road this season and have allowed 110 or more in 4 of their last 5. Sacramento gives up 106.6 ppg at home and have allowed 100+ in 7 straight. Each of their last 4 opponents have shot 47% or better from the field. Give me the OVER!

50* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month (UNDER 201.5)

This is a huge game. Utah currently holds the No. 4 seed in the west, but are just 1-game ahead of the Clippers at No. 5. All signs point to this being a 1st round matchup. Getting the No. 4 seed and homecourt in that series is huge. I expect both teams to treat this like a playoff game and that means high intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Note that these two teams have played twice already and both have been extremely low-scoring. The two combined for 163 in a game at LA back in October and 160 at Utah back in February. I don't think it's going to be that low-scoring, but we got 30+ points to work with. Give me the UNDER!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (Under 214.5)

I'm not expecting a lot of energy at all from Washington int this one. The Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, 5th in the last 7 and all 5 will be on the road. They are coming off back-to-back overtime games on Friday and Saturday. This is a team that likes to get out and run. I just don't see them being up to it tonight. Minnesota has been playing well and a big part of that is their improvement on the defensive side of the ball. The Timberwolves are allowing just 94.4 ppg over their last 5 and have held 9 of their last 11 opponents to 102 or fewer points. I look for Minnesota to dictate the tempo and keep this well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 214.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (OVER 164)

I look for these two teams to have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Creighton comes in averaging 84.3 ppg at home and will be facing a St. John's defense that gives up 82.1 ppg on the road. The key here is that while the Red Storm can't stop anybody, they are capable of putting up big numbers offensively, as they average a respectable 77.6 ppg. The OVER is 11-4 in St. John's 15 games away from home and a perfect 6-0 after playing a game as a home favorite and 16-3 in Creighton's last 19 home games off 2 straight conference losses. Give me the OVER 164!

40* NBA No Doubt Total Knockout (UNDER 204.5)

Utah has finally got all their key pieces healthy and have been locking down on teams on the defensive side of the ball. Utah has held each of their last 4 opponents to 95 or fewer points and that includes games against some high-powered offensive teams in the Clippers, Blazers and Wizards. The last two coming on the road, where they are tonight. OKC comes in having scored 110 or more in each of their last 3, but it's come against the Knicks, Lakers and Pelicans. All really bad defensive teams. I think they have a hard time adjusting here to the stingy defense of the Jazz. OKC beat Utah on the road and that's worth noting, as the UNDER is 7-0 when the Jazz are revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me the UNDER 204.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 142.5)

I just don't think there's too much value here on the OVER to pass up. Yes, these two teams combined for just 119 points earlier this season at Iowa State. The thing is, it was about as bad ad both teams could have played offensively. Texas Tech shot 38.6% from the field and 28.6% from behind the 3-point line. Iowa State was 39.6% from the field and 28.6% from long-distance. ISU averages 80.7 ppg and Tech is at 75.4 (80.2 ppg at home). I expect a lot more flow this time around. The Cyclones are limited defensively and come in giving up 76.8 ppg on the road. Texas Tech only gives up 65.4 ppg at home, but I just don't see them locking down on defense playing on just 1-day rest after a crushing double-overtime loss at West Virginia. Five different Red Raiders logged 32+ minutes and only 7 players played more than 6 minutes. OVER is 6-1 in Cyclones last 7 road games and 24-9 in their last 33 as a dog of 6.5 or less. OVER is also 8-3 in Red Raiders last 11 home games and 7-3 in their last 10 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Give me the OVER 142.5!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (UNDER 200)

These two teams combined for just 180 points in an earlier meeting this season and I'm expecting another low-scoring game in the rematch. Neither of these two teams like to push the tempo, as both rank in the bottom 7 in pace. They also both rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency and Top 20 in defensive efficiency. Detroit's gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 and the UNDER is 13-3 in the Pistons last 16 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER 200!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 216)

These two teams have played twice this season already. They only combined for 192 points in the first meeting at Sacramento back on 11/10 and then 208 at Sacramento on 12/12. That might lead some to want to take the UNDER here as the total for this game is at 216. Not me. Neither of these teams were playing well offensively in the previous matchups. That's not the case this time. The Lakers come in having scored 100+ points in 6 straight games and have topped 120 in 3 of those games. Kings have scored 100+ in 6 straight and 11 of 12 overall. We also have two teams that don't exactly like to play defense and with the all-star break looming I don't expect much of any to be played tonight. Give me the OVER 216!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 210)

A lot of people think of Memphis as a defensive juggernaut and that was the case in year's past, but not so much this season, at least on the road. The Grizzlies are giving up 99.6 ppg on the season, but allowing 104.0 ppg on the road, which has translated into the OVER going 20-8 in their 28 road games this season. Brooklyn is a perfect team for a high-scoring game, as they like to push the pace and play little to no defense. The Nets average 105.1 ppg and give up an average of 114.0 ppg. With both teams playing on fresh legs (2 days rest each) I look for this to be a very fast paced game that easily eclipses the total. Give me the OVER 210!

50* NCAAB Big 12 Play of the Month (OVER 127)

These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 126 points with a total of 130.5. I believe that low-scoring game has forced the oddsmakers to over-adjust the total for this contest. That first meeting saw both teams struggle from the field. Texas Tech only hit 41.4% of their attempts and Baylor was a miserable 35.4% from the field. That's uncharacteristic for both teams, as the Red Raiders are hitting 48.3% from the field on the season (51.3% at home) and the Bears are at 47.9% on the season (47.1% on the road). OVER is also 6-0 in Texas Tech's last 6 after playing their previous game as a home dog (hosted Kansas on Saturday). Give me the OVER 127!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 227.5)

These two teams have gone under the total in each of the first two meetings this season, but both of those came at Golden State and it wasn't the Warriors fault that it didn't go over. Golden State had 122 in the first meeting and 121 in the second. It was the Thunder that couldn't get their offense on track. I believe that changes at home, where OKC is averaging 109.7 ppg. Godlen State's offense travels to any gym and I think we are in store for an epic back and forth game here. Note the Warriors don't figure to be 100% locked in defensively playing on no rest and this also being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the OVER 227.5!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Crusher (OVER 218.5)

I'm taking the OVER here tonight between the Lakers and Bucks. This game doesn't figure to have a whole lot of defense being played on either side and these two teams are capable of putting up a big number. The Lakers haven't played defense all season, as they are giving up 110.5 ppg on the year. It's been even worse than that of late, allowing 114.6 ppg over their last 5. Milwaukee puts up 108.7 ppg at home and could easily hit 120 here. I could see LA reaching that as well, pushing this one well past the posted number. Give me the OVER 218.5!

40* NCAAB Late Night Total Crusher (OVER 148.5)

I'm expecting a much higher-scoring game than what the books are anticipating with this total. The average combined score in Arizona State's 11 home games this season is 171.5, as the Sun Devils are scoring 90.0 ppg and allowing 81.5 ppg. No surprise the OVER is 8-2-1 in those 11 games. Cal is a strong defensive team, allowing just 63.1 ppg on the season, but aren't nearly as strong on the road, where they give up just under 70 ppg. Cal should have no problem scoring 75+ here against the Bears, in fact, I think both teams eclipse that mark, which puts us over the total. OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams at Arizona State. OVER is also 9-2 in the Sun Devils' 11 conference games and 10-3 this season when listed as a dog. Give me the OVER 148.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 216)

I'm expecting a lower-scoring game here between the Pacers and Cavs. For starters, we have two division rivals and that normally leads to a little more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana has certainly been locked in on that side of the ball, as they are giving up just 92.0 ppg over their last 5 and held OKC to a mere 90 points last time out. Cleveland comes in off a ridiculous high-scoring overtime game against the Wizards, where the two combined for 175 points. That type of game will be tough to bounce back from and I think we get a flat Cavaliers team tonight. Note that the UNDER is 9-3 in Cleveland's last 12 after allowing more than 125 points. UNDER is also 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 after 3 straight covers as a favorite and 15-4 in the Pacers last 19 home games after covering 2 of their last 3 games. Take the UNDER!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 204)

I still think the books are treating the total here like it's the Heat team that started out 11-30 and not the one that enters this game having won 10 straight. Miami has scored 100+ in 9 of those 10 wins, eclipsing 116 or more in 3 of their last 4. They should keep trend going against the Timberwolves, who come in having allowed 100 or more points in 10 straight games. Minnesota's averaging 105.6 ppg at home and Miami's defense isn't nearly as good on the road and it's not like we need them to go crazy. I look for both teams to score 100+ and that should have this one finishing closer than 215 than 205. Give me the OVER!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 212)

I like the UNDER here on the total in the Thunder/Pacers matchup. Indiana has been playing really well of late and are locking down on defense the past few games. The Pacers have allowed 88, 97 and 84 over their last 3 and will be catching a tired OKC team that just played yesterday and are not nearly as potent offensive on the road, which is why the UNDER is 18-8-1 in their 27 road games this season. UNDER is 13-4 in the Thunder's last 17 road games off a home win and 12-4 in their last 16 as a road dog. UNDER is also 21-8 in the Pacers last 29 home games after playing a game at home and 30-9 in their last 39 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 216)

I think we are going to see a much lower scoring game than you might think. Toronto will once again be without DeRozan and Kyle Lowry is playing despite leaving yesterday's practice with an illness. Hard to imagine Lowry being at full strength here and I don't see him pushing the tempo either. This is a key game for the Raptors who have really struggled of late, but I just think they do just enough here to get a win. Hard to imagine Brooklyn being all that interested here and the early start time only adds more value to a sloppy game. Give me the UNDER 216!

40* NBA Late Night Total Crusher (Over 217)

I'm not expecting much defense to be played in this one, which should have these two flying over the total posted here. Phoenix has given up 120 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games and 100+ in each of their last 12 overall. Sacramento had scored 109 or more in 5 straight before a 83-point showing at Houston in their last game. That poor showing against the Rockets was no surprise, as they were playing their 4th game in 5 nights all on the road. Kings have had two days off, so the offense should be back on track, but I don't see much effort on the defensive side of the ball with a much bigger game against the Warriors on tap for tomorrow. Give me the OVER 217!

50* NCAAB West Coast Game of the Month (Under 161)

There's a lot of bad defensive teams in the WCC and I think it has the offensive numbers a bit inflated for both of these teams, which in turn has created some great value here on the UNDER with this total in the 160's. These two teams aren't big fans of each other and both will bring the defensive intensity in a nationally televised game on ESPN2. Gonzaga is only giving up 61.4 ppg and BYU is allowing a modest 72.7 ppg. SO while both teams average 80+ ppg, I think this one stays in the low 150s. Give me the UNDER 161!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (Under 213)

I think the books have created some great value here on the UNDER in this one. San Antonio is a very workman like team and while the 76ers have been playing better of late this is a horrible spot for them. Not only will Philadelphia being playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this will be their 4th game in the last 5 days. On top of that, they are without their best player in Joel Embiid and another key contributor in Robert Covington. San Antonio is only giving up 97.8 ppg at home and I think given this spot, the 76ers could struggle to score 90. Spurs will also be resting Aldridge. Give me the UNDER 213!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 212)

I'm expecting a high-scoring affair that cruises past the total set here between the Magic and Pacers. Indiana is starting to turn the corner and play like the team everyone expected and a big part of it is the offense is clicking. The Pacers are averaging 109.4 ppg over their last 5. The problem with Indiana is their struggles on the road, and most of that is their defense, which is allowing 110.9 ppg away from home. The Magic are just as bad defensively, allowing 105.6 ppg on the season and are giving up 114.0 ppg over their last 5. I think both teams score 100+ easy in this one, which should have it finishing in the 220's. Give me the OVER 212!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 205)

These two teams played in Sacramento on 12/26 and the two teams combined for just 202 points with a total of 206. We get a slightly smaller number here in the rematch, but I think we also are going to see a much lower-scoring game. Both of these teams are in awful scheduling spots. The Kings are playing their 7th straight away from home on a 8-game road trip, in a span of just 11 days. Philadelphia is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and are also playing their 7th game in 11 days. The 76ers have given up 120+ in their last two, but have been playing much better defensively of late and I expect a big effort here at home. Give me the UNDER 205!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator (OVER 215)

I think we are getting some value here on this total and a big reason for that is the Nets come in off an awful offensive showing in a 86-112 loss at home to the Spurs. That was the game where San Antonio rested just about all their key players and that clearly had a negative impact on the motivation for the Nets. I expect a big bounce back performance from Brooklyn offensively, as they had scored 105 or more in each of their previous 5 games. I also expect the defense to continue to struggle, as they have allowed 100+ in 20 straight games. Miami is one of the better defensive teams, but I don't see them having a ton of energy on that side of the ball after their huge upset win at home over the Warriors. Give me the OVER 215!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (UNDER 205.5)

I'm expecting a high-scoring game here between the Bulls and Magic. Orlando comes in allowing 114.2 ppg over their last 5 and the Bulls aren't exactly locking down teams, especially bad teams on the road. Chicago can play good defense, but only when they want to. I don't see the Magic bringing out the best in the Bulls on that side of the ball. I look for both teams to be able to get up and down the floor and fly over this number. Give me the OVER 205.5!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 204)

I think the UNDER is worth a look tonight when the Thunder visit the Jazz. Utah is one of the elite defensive teams in the NBA, allowing just 95.3 ppg (only giving up 93.3 ppg at home). I think the Jazz are going to take some pride here in shutting down Westbrook and OKC. It wouldn't be the first time this season, as Utah won 109-89 at home against the Thunder back on 12/14. That was the 5th straight game in the series that's been played at Utah and gone under the total. Give me the UNDER 204!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 215.5)

I cashed in on the Rockets/Warriors UNDER last night and I think there's value once again with the UNDER as Houston travels to Memphis on no rest and playing their 4th game in 5 nights. Not to mention the emotional letdown of how poorly they played in last night's blowout loss to the Warriors. Houston will still try to get up and down the floor, it just won't be at the same pace and tired legs are a bad thing for a team that loves to take as many 3-pointers as Houston. Memphis got back to playing stingy defense in their last game, holding the Kings to just 91 points. Grizzlies aren't a team that loves to run and will also be playing on no rest. Give me the UNDER 215.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 142)

The books have missed the mark on the total for this one. I'm expecting to see a lot of scoring here this afternoon when the Buffaloes take on the Cougars. Both of these teams are capable of putting up a big number offensively, but the real key is how these two struggle on the defensive side of the ball. Colorado is giving up 74.9 ppg on the road. Washington State is allowing 74.0 ppg. Last year the two regular season meetings both were high scoring, including a 169 points in a 88-81 Colorado win on 2/11/16. Give me the OVER 142!

50* Eastern Conference Total of the Month (OVER 204)

I'm backing the OVER tonight when the Bulls and Hawks square off for the second time this season. In the first meeting this season, these two teams combined for 122 points in a 115-107 win for the Hawks at home. I see this one playing out about the same. Chicago's finally back to full strength and when they have had all their pieces, they have been a strong offensive team. We should also see Chicago pushing the pace here, as they come in off a full 2 days of rest. Atlanta didn't shoot well at all in their last game at Detroit, but the Hawks have been rolling offensively of late, scoring 100+ in 8 of their last 11 and 5 straight at home. OVER is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 against at team with a losing record and 6-1-1 in their last 8 off a game where they didn't cover. Give me the OVER 204! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 237.5)

I'm backing the UNDER in tonight's big showdown between the Warriors and Rockets. These two teams played in Golden State back on 12/1 and combined for 159 points with a total of just 232.5. I believe that result has played into this number being even higher. What is getting overlooked, is that was a double-overtime game, where 33 of the points scored came after regulation. The two combined for just 126 in regulation. As good as these two teams are offensively, both can get after it defensively and I expect both to be locked in on that side of the ball tonight. Give me the UNDER 237.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt Total Crusher (Over 220)

I'm expecting a lot of scoring to take place tonight between the Knicks and Celtics. Boston has been a scoring machine here of late. The Celtics have scored 100+ points in 15 straight games and I see no way that streak coming to an end at home against a Knicks team that is giving up 110.8 ppg on the road. The key here is that Boston has also been allowing a lot of points during this stretch, as they haven't allowed fewer than 98 in their last 14 and are giving up 105.4 ppg in their last 5. New York can score and are putting up 104.4 ppg on the road and come in having scored 100+ in 3 straight. These two last played on Christmas Day and combined for 233 points. Give me the OVER 220!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 211.5)

I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks tonight, as two of the leagues elite point guards square off in Chris Paul and Russell Westbrook. The Clippers come in clicking offensively and are averaging 108.2 ppg at home on the season. They should be able to eclipse that, as the Thunder are giving up 107.8 ppg on the road and don't figure to have a whole lot of energy in the tank on defense playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set and 3rd road game in the last 4 days. Offensively, as long as Westbrook is playing this team is going to look to push the pace. OKC has scored 103 or more in 6 of their last 7 games and are averaging 106.7 ppg on the season. OVER is 9-1 in the Clippers last 10 off a win by 10 or more. Give me the OVER 211.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 214.5)

I think we are seeing some value here with this total tonight between the Magic and Blazers. I think this total is a lot lower than it should be given Portland's last two games. The Blazers held the Lakers to 87 points on Tuesday, but that was more of LA just not shooting well (Lakers scored 30 points in the 2nd half after scoring 57 in the 1st half). They then held the Cavs to 86 with Cleveland shooting a mere 34.1% from the field. I believe it's more of bad shooting by their opponents than the Blazers figuring it out defensively, as this is a team that allows 110.3 ppg. I also don't think we get the same effort from Portland against a bad Magic team after the big win over the Cavs. OVER is 7-0 in Blazers last 7 after covering 2 or more consecutive games and 12-4 in their last 16 after a win by 10 or more points. Give me the OVER 214.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Over/Under Total Crusher (OVER 217.5)

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, I don't expect to see a whole lot of effort on the defensive side of the ball. That should have this one going well past the posted number here. Boston comes in averaging 106.8 ppg, while the Wizards are scoring 105.3 ppg. Washington is allowing 107.5 ppg on the road and the Celtics are giving up 109.2 ppg over their last 5. OVER is 21-7 in the Wizards last 28 games when playing on 0 days rest and 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 when paying on 0 days rest. Give me the OVER 217.5! 

50* Clemson/Alabama Vegas Sharp Money Total Top Play (OVER 50.5)

I think everyone is falling into a similar trap to last year's title game, where there's so much talk about how dominant Alabama's defense is and Clemson coming off a dominant performance in their Semifinals matchup. Last year they beat Oklahoma 37-17, keeping an explosive Sooners offense in check. I just don't see this being a defensive battle. Clemson's defense has had their fair share of games where the defense struggled, giving up 36 to Louisville, 34 to Florida State and 42 to Pitt. Let's also not forget that Alabama has scored 30+ in 12 of their 14 games. The offense didn't look good against Washington, but Kiffin wasn't on his game. I just think there's too much talent on offense on both sides for this to stay under the total here. Give me the OVER 50.5!

40* NFL Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 44.5)

I think the perception here is that Green Bay's defense struggling with injuries and Aaron Rodgers playing out of his mind, that this game is going to be high-scoring and fly over the total posted here of 44.5. I don't think that's going to be the case at all. The Packers late season surge has come with them playing a favorable schedule, either against teams who haven't been good defensively or teams that just weren't the same defensively in the 2nd half (Seattle/Minnesota). The last real good defense they played was the Texans and they managed just 21 points. This Giants defense is just as good and has familiarity with Green Bay having played in the regular season. While I don't love Green Bay's defense, the Giants offense isn't anything special. They can't run the ball and Eli Manning isn't as good as he gets credit for. With the game in Green Bay and conditions not great, I think this is going to be a defensive showdown. Give me the UNDER 44.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 204.5)

I think we are seeing some great value here on the UNDER, which I feel is a bit high after the Mavs combined for 118 points in their last game against the Wizards at home. The Mavs are a team that likes to play at a much slower pace than the average (29th on the season) and rely on their defense. Phoenix is a team that is perceived as one that likes to run up and down the floor, focusing on offense and playing little defense. That was the case to start the year, but they come in having scored fewer than 100 points in 5 straight games and are have allowed 100 or less in 3 of their last 4. With the Suns playing for the 3rd time in 4 nights on the road, I don't see them changing it up and pushing the pace. Give me the UNDER 204.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt Total Annihilator (UNDER 200)

I think we are going to see a low-scoring game here as we have two teams that can play solid defense and both in a spot where they don't figure to be pushing the pace. Utah is one of the better defensive teams in the league, giving up just 95.1 ppg and will have a little extra focus on that side of the ball after giving up 115 at Boston last time out. Utah has allowed 100+ in back-to-back games just two times since the start of December. This will also be the Jazz's 3rd road game in 4 nights, so they will be looking to slow down the pace. Toronto also doesn't figure to have a ton of energy on the offensive side of the ball, as they figure to come out flat after a 6-game road trip. These two played in Utah back on 12/23 and the Raptors won 104-98, which sets up a great spot to back the UNDER, which is 8-1 in Utah's last 9 when revenging a home loss. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 200.5)

I think the total here is way too high for this matchup. Dallas ranks dead last in the league in pace, as they don't have the offensive weapons to keep pace with most teams, so they look to rely on their defense to keep them in games. Key here is that the Wizards are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and all 5 starters logged at least 33 minutes last night. Not only is Dallas going to try and keep Washington from getting out in transition, the tired legs of the Wizards will keep them from pushing the pace here. It's also worth noting the UNDER is 9-5 in the Mavs home games this season, as they are scoring just 95.7 ppg and allowing 97.9 ppg at home. UNDER is also 7-2 in Dallas' last 9 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games (Wizards 3-11 on the road). Give me the UNDER 200.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 211)

I'm going to to the UNDER in tonight's matchup between the Wolves/Thunder. We are getting some great value here with this big total, as the books don't adjust these totals as much as they should for these Christmas games. It's a big honor to be a part of one of these games and players lay it all on the line knowing everyone is watching. We get a max defensive effort from both sides. UNDER is also 6-2-1 in OKC's last 9 against a team with a losing record and 4-1 in the Timberwolves last 5 against a team with a winning record. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NFL Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 53.5)

No reason to overthink this one. This game has a high-scoring game written all over. On one side we have the Colts 11th ranked offense going up against the Raiders 30th ranked defense. On the other side we have Oakland's 6th ranked offense facing off against Indianapolis' 27th ranked defense. The OVER is a 5-1 in the Raiders 6 home games this season, as they are scoring 29.2 ppg at home and giving up 28.0 ppg. The Colts are averaging 30.0 ppg on the road and have scored 30+ in their last 4 on the road against the Titans, Packers, Jets and Vikings. OVER is 15-5 in the Raiders 20 home games over the last 3 seasons and 8-1 in their last 9 off a road win. OVER is also 8-1 in the Colts last 9 road games with a total of 45.5 or more and 9-2 in their last 11 road games against AFC opponents. Give me the OVER 53.5!

40* NBA Situational Total Knockout (UNDER 206.5)

I'll gladly take the UNDER at this price with the Kings and Wolves tonight. Both teams are playing well at the moment and that should have both coming out with a lot of energy defensively in this one. Over recent years the Kings have been a high-scoring team that doesn't play a lot of defense, but that's starting to change. Sacramento has only topped 100-points once in their last 5 games and that was at home against an awful Portland defense. They have held 4 of their last 6 under 100 points. Minnesota is starting to figure things out under Thibodeau and just went into Atlanta and held the Hawks to 84 points. Neither of these teams like to play at a fast pace (both rank in bottom 10). Give me the UNDER 206.5!

40* Armed Forces Bowl Total Crusher (OVER 67.5)

I think we are going to see a lot of points on the scoreboard Friday afternoon when Navy takes on Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs haven't faced a triple-option team in years and I expect a much better Midshipmen offense now that they have had time to get their new quarterback adjusted to the offense. If not for Navy struggling offensively in their last 2 games, I believe this total would be pushing 80 points. Louisiana Tech has scored at least 44 points in 7 of their last 8 games, the only time they didn't was a meaningless game against Southern Miss, where they had nothing to play for having already secured a spot in the C-USA title game. If they simply get to 44, we only need 24 from Navy and I think they the Midshipmen will be in the 30s. I also wouldn't be shocked if La Tech put up 50+ in this one. Give me the OVER!

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 42.5)

I think we are going to see an offensive struggle tonight between the Giants and Eagles. New York's defense has been playing lights out of late and should have no problem keeping this slumping Philadelphia offense in check. New York's offense looks good on paper with Manning and Beckham, but they are only scoring 19.4 ppg on the season and just 17.3 ppg on the road. I know the Eagles are out of the playoff race, but I think they show up here at home in a prime time game on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 42.5!

50* NFL -Panthers/Redskins Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 50.5)

I believe we are going to see a lot of scoring take place on Monday Night Football. Washington's got an explosive offense that comes in averaging 27.5 ppg at home. This is also an ideal matchup for the Redskins pass-happy attack. Washington has the 2nd ranked passing attack in the league and will be facing a Panthers defense that is 30th versus the pass. Carolina also isn't a good defensive team on the road, giving up 32.5 ppg. On the flip side of this, the Panthers have a strong offense and will be facing a very suspect Redskins defense that ranks 22nd against the run and 24th against he pass. Give me the OVER 50.5!

40* NBA -Pistons/Bulls- No Doubt Total Annihilator (Under 196)

This has the feeling of a must-win game for these two Central Division rivals, as both come in off some ugly performances. The Pistons have lost 108-122 at Washington and 90-105 at home to the Pacers in their last 2 games, while Chicago has dropped 3 straight, the last two by double-digits and the most recent being a 69-95 embarrassing loss at home to the Bucks. I look for both of these teams to come out extremely motivated on the defensive side of the ball and both are very good on that side of the ball. Each ranks in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency and bottom 10 in pace. Give me the UNDER 196!

40* NCAAF -Beach Bowl- Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 69.5)

This game has a high-scoring shootout written all over it. Tulsa is the heavy favorite and should have no problem dictating the tempo, which is key here. The Golden Hurricane like to play fast and have a dynamic offense. I just don't see the Chippewas being able to slow them down and that's really the key here. Tulsa doesn't play a lot of defense and while Central Michigan's offense struggled in MAC play, they should be able to put up a big number here. The Chippewas have a above-average signal caller, who should have a field day here. Give me the OVER 69.5!

40* NFL -Packers/Bears- Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 38.5)

The books have set a very low total here for good reason. The conditions for this game are going to be absolutely miserable. Temperatures are expected to be right around 0 degrees with windchill approaching -15 below. Not to mention winds are going to be 15-20 mph, making matters only worse for scoring. This is going to make it very hard on the Packers to sustain drives, as they really struggle to run the ball. Chicago's offense is being guided by Matt Barkley and will be looking to grind out possessions to keep Green Bay's offense off the field. I just don't see either offense doing much of anything here. Give me the UNDER 38.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 203.5)

I look for a low-scoring game tonight in this Southeast Division showdown between the Hawks and Magic. Both teams are going to be motivated in this one. Orlando will be looking to snap a 3-game losing streak, while the Hawks are trying to get things going back in the right direction after a miserable 1-10 stretch, which they have followed up with 2 straight wins coming into this one. The key here is that we have two teams that rank in the Top 11 in defensive efficiency and bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. UNDER is 6-0 in the Magic's last 6 road games against a team with a winning record and 8-3 in their last 11 against the Eastern Conference. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Hawks last 5 home games, 11-4 in their last 15 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 against a division opponent. Take the UNDER!

40* NFL Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 45.5)

There's a lot to like about a low-scoring game here with the Bills and Steelers. For starters, Pittsburgh's offense isn't nearly as good on the road as they are at home. In fact the Steelers come in averaging around 30 ppg at home, compared to just 20 ppg on the road. Pittsburgh's high-powered passing attack also plays right into the strength of the Bills, defense which ranks 8th against the pass. As for Buffalo, they are 1st in rushing and dead last in passing. The Steelers counter that well, as they have the 6th ranked run defense. On top of all this, the conditions will be brutal (very similar to Chiefs/Raiders on TNF), winds will be close to 10 mph and the windchill will be in teens. Give me the UNDER 45.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 211)

This is a clear flat spot for Golden State off that big game against the Clippers, but I don't feel good about backing the Jazz given their injury problems. Where I think the letdown is going to really show up is on the defensive side of the ball, as the Warriors went all out on that side of the ball in their last game. As for the offense, I think Golden State can't wait to get back on the floor. Steph Curry was just 7-16 from the field and 0-8 from 3-pt rang, Klay Thompson shot just 8-18 and Durant was a mere 5-17. I look for these 3 to go off tonight against a Jazz team that has allowed 100+ in 5 of their last 6. With the defensive intensity likely not there, at least like it was last night, Utah should be able to do enough damage here to push this total over the mark, as the Jazz have scored 100+ in 6 straight. Give me the OVER 211!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 200.5)

If you like offense, you are going to want to stay away from tonight's game between the Heat and Hawks. Both of these teams rank in the Top 15 in defensive efficiency with Atlanta sitting at #2 and Miami at #13. We should see a max effort here defensively from the Hawks, who are desperate to end a 7-game losing streak. They should have no problem doing just that against a depleted Heat team that will be without several key players here. Miami's only chance of keeping this game close is to slow this game way down and rely on their effort on the defensive side. Give me the UNDER 200.5!

40* NFL Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 41) 

Whenever the Ravens are involved there's typically going to be value on the UNDER and I think we are getting some here with Sunday's game at home against the Dolphins. Baltimore comes in ranked 2nd in total defense, allowing a mere 297.8 ypg. They are 2nd against the run (74.9 ypg) and 6th against the pass (222.9 ypg). We saw Miami's offense struggle in their last road game against the Rams, who are nearly as good as the Ravens. While Baltimore figures to keep Miami's offense in check, the Dolphins defense should be in store for a good game here. The Ravens are just limited offensively, as they can't get anything going on the ground and Flacco just isn't getting it done through the air. Baltimore has scored 21 or fewer points in 4 of their last 5 games and the only exception during this stretch was a 28-point outburst against the awful Browns. Points are going to be a premium in this one Give me the UNDER 41! 

40*  NCAAF Vegas Line Mistake (UNDER 47)

It's no secret that Wisconsin has one of the best defenses in the country. In terms of Big Ten defenses, it's right on par with Michigan, which held Penn State to just 10 points and 191 yards of total offense. Right behind those two defenses is Ohio State. While the Nittany Lions pulled off the upset against the Buckeyes, they only had 276 yards of total offense and keep in mind they were sitting on 7-points going into the 4th quarter of that game. They ended up scoring 24, but they blocked a punt setting up a field goal and blocked an OSU field goal and returned it for a touchdown. The key here is the Nittany Lions have got a lot better defensively and Wisconsin is average at best offensively. Not to mention, the Badgers want to run the football and control the clock. I just don't see enough offense here for these two to flirt with going over this total. Give me the UNDER!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 195)

This has all the makings of a low-scoring game. Utah is clicking on the defensive end, having held the Nuggets to 83 points and the Hawks to 68 points in their last 2 games. The Jazz come in ranked 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and dead last in pace. Minnesota also ranks in the bottom half of the league in pace and don't figure to be running up and down the floor here playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Timberwolves come in giving up 103.5 ppg on the season, but have held 3 of their last 5 opponents under 100 points. Utah has only scored 100+ points in 3 of their last 9 games and each of the last 5 in this series have seen fewer than 194 points. Give me the UNDER!

50* AFC North Total of the Month (Under 40.5)

This has all the makings of a low-scoring AFC North defensive showdown. The Ravens only come in scoring 19.9 ppg and will struggle to score here against the Bengals. Cincinnati's season is on the line here and I expect an all out effort here from the defense, as the know they have to play well for them to have a chance in this game. That's because the offense is going to have a tough time moving the ball. Cincinnati will be without star wide out A.J. Green, who is the one player this offense couldn't afford to lose and it's clear Dalton is not the same QB without him on the field. They also lost running back Giovani Bernard, who has been a big weapon for Dalton out of the backfield when he's under pressure. Even with those two, this offense figured to be in for a long day, as they are going up against an elite Ravens defense. Give me the UNDER 40.5!

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 47.5)

Offense will be hard to come by in this one. Both of these teams are built offensively around their running games and are going to run the football no matter what defense they are up against. Both will have a difficult time getting anything going, as these are two of the best run defenses in the country. Alabama leads the nation, giving up just 68.9 ypg on the ground and Auburn is 19th, allowing just 117.7 ypg. I think this has the makings of a very similar type of game we saw a couple weeks ago when Alabama faced off against LSU. Give me the UNDER 47.5!

40* NCAAF Situational Total No Brainer (Under 45.5)

These are two of the best defenses in the country facing off in arguably the biggest game of the weekend. Ohio State ranks 4th in the country in total defense, allowing just 279.8 ypg and Michigan leads the nation in total defense, allowing just 245.6 ypg. The Wolverines are limited offensively and will have a horrible time scoring here against the Buckeyes. I look for them to really try and control the clock and keep the Ohio State offense off the field and more importantly keep their defense fresh. Touchdowns will be hard to come by and i just don't see either team getting to 20 points, making this an easy play for me. Give me the UNDER 45.5!

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 48) 

I just think we are getting too much value here to pass up on the UNDER with the total sitting at 48. The Colts are going to struggle to do much of anything offensively without Luck under center. Their only chance of keeping this game competitive is to try and get something going in the running game to control the time possession and keep Roethlisberger and the Steelers offense off the field. I also don't think people realize that Pittsburgh's offense isn't nearly as effective on the road as it is at home. The Steelers are only averaging 18.8 ppg on the road this season. The Colts defense knows they have to play well here and playing at home in a prime time game should have them a notch or two better than what we would normally see on a given Sunday. Give me the UNDER 48!

40* NFL Over/Under Total Crusher (Under 52)

I know it's only Week 11, but this has the feeling of a playoff game between these two division rivals. A loss for either team really puts them in a bad spot to make the playoffs, especially for the home team Panthers. I know these two combined for 79 points in the first meeting at New Orleans, but each of the last 3 games in the series at Carolina have all finished with fewer than 50 points. Both of these defenses have improved since the last time these two teams played. Saints are allowing just 22.7 ppg over their last 3 and the Panthers are giving up just 16.7 ppg in their last 3. Each team will be without their starting left tackle, which is going to slow down both offenses. I also think the Panthers are going to try to play ball control to keep the ball out of the hands of Brees and the Saints offense. Give me the UNDER 52!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 201.5)

I think the value here is clearly on the UNDER. Dallas is limited offensively when they are healthy and even more so with the injuries to Nowitzki and Williams. The Mavericks have scored fewer than 90 points (3 times) more than they have eclipsed the 100-point mark (2 times). I know Boston comes in allowing 101.3 ppg, but the defense has been much better of late, as they are only giving up 97.3 ppg. I look for a strong effort here defensively after the defense cost them in a 105-106 loss at New Orleans last time out. It's also worth pointing out that Dallas is going to try and slow this game way down, as they come in ranked 29th in pace. The other key here is while the Mavs have struggled offensively, they are ranked 11th in defensive efficiency. UNDER is 6-1 in Dallas' last 7 against the east and 8-2 in Boston's last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the UNDER 201.5!

40* NBA No Doubt Total Crusher (Under 203)

Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in defensive efficiency and bottom 10 in offensive efficiency. Both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, so both figure to play at a slower pace than normal. Key here is the game is being played in Detroit and the Pistons are coming in off a day off. They should be able to control the pace more and are in the bottom 10 in pace. It's also worth pointing out that OKC is not the same offensive team on the road, as they are only averaging 94.7 ppg away from home. Detroit is even stronger defensively at home, where they are only giving up 85.0 ppg. I think there's a great chance neither team breaks 100 in this one, making this an easy play for me. Give me the UNDER 203!

40* NCAAF Friday Night Total Crusher (Under 47.5)

I don't see either team doing a lot offensively in this one. While Florida State's defense hasn't been great and the numbers aren't good, they have played a brutal schedule that has featured a number of really good offenses. The one FBS opponent they faced that was anywhere close to as bad as BC offensively was Wake Forest and they limited them to just 6 points and 252 yards of total offense. While the Eagles will struggle to score, their defense should be able to hold their own against the Seminoles. Boston College features one of the best defenses in the country and have had a lot of success slowing down Florida State in recent meetings. Holding them to 20 or less in each of the last two. Give me the UNDER 47.5!

40* Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 202)

I think the books have set the bar too high for this one. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league. Toronto is ranks 3rd in scoring defense and 7th in defensive efficiency, while Oklahoma City is 7th in scoring defense and 3rd in defensive efficiency. Toronto's not the same offensive team on the road as they are at home and the Thunder rank in the bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. UNDER is 8-2 dating back to last season in the Raptors last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-1 in OKC's 7 games this season. Give me the UNDER 202!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 196.5)

*Analysis Coming*

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 54.5)

I believe we have a perfect recipe for a high-scoring game here, as we get two of the better quarterbacks in the league in Andrew Luck and Aaron Rodgers and neither has much of a running game they can rely on. Both come in throwing it about 62% of the time. That's going to keep the clock from running constantly and should lead to some big plays and quick scores. No real need to discuss how bad the Colts defense is, as it's clear they don't have the talent on that side of the ball and it's almost a given they struggle on the road, as they come in giving up 28.7 ppg and over 400 ypg. The key here is the Packers defense is built more for stopping the run and has struggled against the pass. They are giving up a 63% completion rate and 7.4 yards per pass attempt. They also remain thin in the secondary, corners Sam Shields and Damarious Randall are both out, while corners Quinten Rollins, and Demetri Goodson are both questionable. Let's also not forget that Luck and the Colts just got a big weapon back last week in Donte Moncrief. Give me the OVER 54.5!

50* NCAAF Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 76)

Anytime Cal is involved in a game, you have to be thinking OVER. They are 8th in the country in total offense, with the 4th ranked passing attack at (365.6 ypg). They are also 124th in total defense. They are averaging 41.2 ppg and giving up 41.7 ppg. They also play at a fast tempo, so there's a lot of possessions for both sides. Washington has a good defense, which I think is keeping this total lower than it should be. The way Cal plays, it can go one of two ways here in my opinion. We know Washington is going to score against this Cal defense, they are even better offensively than Cal at 46.1 ppg and put up 70 on a similarly bad Oregon defense earlier this year. Cal's offense has success and scores with them or they struggle, get down big, and put up garbage points late. I think it's the former. This is the best offense Washington has seen all season, by far the best quarterback they have faced and the defense could be a step slow here after a very physical game last week at Utah. Give me the OVER 76! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 206)

The books have set the bar too high, as we have an early season rematch here between the Hawks and Wizards, who opened the season against each other in Atlanta. Adding even more value here is that this is a big game for both teams. Washington is fighting to avoid starting the season 0-3 and playing with revenge after letting one get away against the Hawks in the opener. Atlanta on the other hand will be motivated off an ugly home loss to the Lakers, where they only have themselves to blame with the effort they gave defensively in the 2nd half of that contest. Give me the UNDER 206!

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Total Knockout (Over 61)

I think the books have set the bar way too low for this one. Western Michigan comes into this game having scored 41 or more points in each of their last 5 games and should have no problem reaching that mark against the Cardinals. The key here is that Ball State has the offensive fire power to keep pace with the Broncos, especially with this game being played on their home field. Keep in mind these two teams combined for 51 points 61 points last year and that was with Ball State only contributing 7-points. 4 of the last 5 in the series have gone OVER when played at Ball State and the trend continues, as I think these two combine for 70+. Give me the OVER 61!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 205.5) 

I believe we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in this one. Both of these teams have a renewed focus on the defensive side of the ball, but this number is more reflective of how they played on that side of the ball a year ago. Sacramento brought in Dave Joerger, who made a name for himself with Memphis and their tough defense and their play on defense got the attention of Greg Popovich when they hosted the Spurs on Thursday. Minnesota added Tom Thibodeau as their new head coach and he's considered one of the best defensive minds in the game. He wasn't happy with the Wolves play on that side of the ball in their opener and I expect a full out effort here from both teams, as they look to avoid losing two straight. Give me the UNDER 205.5! 

50* NCAAF AAC Total of the Month (Over 73) 

I'm expecting a shootout in Memphis this Saturday, as the Tigers take on the Golden Hurricane. The only team that's been able to contain Tulsa's offense this season is Ohio State, where they managed just 3-points and 189 yards of total offense. The Hurricane have scored at least 31 in every other game and 40+ in 5 of the 6 not against Ohio State. If you take out the game against the Buckeyes, Tulsa is averaging 45.8 ppg and 534.3 ypg. Memphis' defense isn't as good as the 22.6 ppg average they have. They are allowing 39.0 ppg to teams not named SE Missouri St, Kansas, Bowling Green and Tulane. Not only should Tulsa put up a big number, but the Tigers figure to do their fair share of scoring as well. The Golden Hurricane have allowed 38+ points in 4 games and the only teams they have held in check are San Jose St, North Carolina A&T and Tulane. Memphis has scored at least 24 in every game and are averaging 38.4 ppg. Give me the OVER 73! 

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Bookie Total Crusher (Over 65) 

I think we are going to see a lot of points on the scoreboard tonight. USF didn't play well at all last week at Temple and still put up 30 points. That was their lowest offensive output this season, as they come in averaging 42.4 ppg. Navy's defense comes in having allowed 28 or more in each of their last 3, including 40 points against Houston, who I think offensively is very close to what USF brings to the table. The key here is the Midshipmen should be able to put up some points of their own, as USF's run defense isn't great. I see a lot of big plays on both sides that lead to quick scores and more possessions than you would typically see in a Navy game. Give me the OVER 65! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 44) 

I believe we are going to see a sloppy low-scoring game on Thursday Night Football, as the Titans host the Jaguars. Both of these offenses are struggling to consistently put up points. Tennessee comes into this game 20.9 ppg and Jacksonville is even worse at 19.5 ppg. What a lot of people don't realize with these two teams is they are solid on the defensive side of the ball. The Titans are 10th in total defense and the Jaguars are 9th. Unless we get a lot of turnovers and short fields, I think this one stays well under the mark. Note that 4 of the last 5 in the series have seen a combined score of 36 or less. Give me the UNDER 44! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 199.5)

I think the books have set the total too high here for this one. The addition of Thibodeau is going to do wonders for Minnesota's play on defense, something that kept them from being a serious threat last year. He's definitely got the talent to make that defense one of the better units in the league. The Timberwolves showed some of that new defensive mentality in the preseason and it's only going to intensify in the regular season. Memphis wasn't a great defensive team last year, but injuries had a lot to do with that. I look for them to get back to their bread and butter and try and grind out wins. The offense could be better once Parsons is back from injury, but it doesn't figure to be good out of the gates. Give me the UNDER 199.5! 

40* NBA Over/Under Total Crusher (Under 194.5) 

I like the value here with the Bucks/Hornets to go under the total set by the books. Charlotte returns their nucleus from last year, plus bring in Roy Hibbert and get back Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, who are both strong on the defensive side of the ball. Milwaukee had to trade for Tony Snell to fill the void of shooting guard Khris Middleton, last year's leading scorer. Snell is limited offensively, but he is an above average defender. I just don't think these teams are going to struggle offensively more times than not, especially the Bucks early on until Middleton returns. With the defensive intensity that comes with the season opener, I think we are going to see a low-scoring game here. Give me the UNDER 194.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Total Crusher (Under 204.5) 

I think the total here has been set way too high by the books. The Knicks were not a good defensive team last year, but should be much improved on that side of the ball with the additions of Noah and Lee. Cleveland's offense also figures to be a bit sluggish in their first game, as their primary focus is on getting their rings and seeing the banner dropped. LeBron's teams also have a history of starting out slow. With that said, I think Cleveland is going to bring the defensive intensity in this one and the Knicks offense doesn't figure to be great early, as they are still trying to figure out how to play with each other. There's also a chance this game turns into a blowout in favor of the Cavs, which should also lead to a lower-scoring game. Give me the UNDER 204.5! 

50* MNF Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 40.5) 

I think both of these offenses are going to have a horrible time trying to sustain drives and finish them off with points. The Broncos are going to make life absolutely miserable for Brock Osweiler and I expect Houston to try and counter that by running Lamar Miller as much as possible. As for the Denver offense, I think they too could find it hard here. The Broncos could be without both starting offensive tackles and without those two the offensive line is in really bad shape. Even if they play, I think both could struggle to contain Houston's solid pass rushing duo of Whitney Mercilus and Jadeveon Clowney. Like the Texans, Denver is going to look to run the ball early and often. It won't quite be the defensive battle that we saw last night with Seattle and Arizona, but I don't think it's too far behind. Give me the UNDER 40.5! 

50* SNF Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 44)

I'm expecting an old-school defensive battle on Sunday Night Football between the Seahawks and Cardinals. This is a huge game for both teams. Seattle knows they can take complete control of the NFC West with a win here and winning the division and getting home field in the playoffs is critical for this team. Arizona on the other hand has to have this game to keep their hopes alive of defending as division champs. Both offenses have been hit or miss this season, but defensively both have been sharp. Seattle is ranked No. 1 in total defense, ranking in the top 5 against both the run and the pass. Arizona is 4th in total defense. While they are 17th against the run, they come in at No. 3 against the pass, which is key here against Seattle. A lot of people think the Seahawks are more of a run team than they are. Seattle is 24th in rushing compared to 9th in passing, so this is clearly a good matchup for the Cardinals. Give me the UNDER 44! 

50* NCAAF PAC-12 Total of the Month (OVER 63.5)

I'm expecting a shootout in Tempe Saturday night. I believe we are seeing a much lower total than we should be, due to Washington State's defense holding Stanford to just 16 points and UCLA to only 21 in their last 2 games. The Cardinal offense is limited and are more of a run-first team, while the Bruins were minus their star quarterback Josh Rosen. Arizona State was just held to 16 points at Colorado, but they clearly didn't show up for that game and the Buffaloes have a better defense than people realize. With this game being played at Arizona State, I look for the Sun Devils offense to put up a big number. At the same time, I think Arizona State's defense will be exposed by the Cougars. Both these teams like to play at a fast pace and would much rather attack defenses through the air than on the ground. That's going to lead to some extra possessions for both sides and should have this one finishing closer to 75 than 65. Give me the OVER 63! 

50* NCAAF Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 53) 

This is basically an elimination game in the Coastal, plus both are coming off a bad loss in their last game. I don't think there's any doubt that we are going to get the very best both teams have to offer. I believe that it's going to result in a low-scoring defensive battle. Both of these teams are legit on the defensive side of the ball. Miami hasn't allowed more than 21 points all season and have played FSU and UNC. I know the Hokies just allowed 31 last week at Syracuse, but prior to that they had allowed 20 points in their previous 3 games combined. It's also worth pointing out that Miami's offense isn't great and has struggled against some pretty average defenses in their last two games in the Seminoles and Tar Heels. Hokies should also get a boost defensively playing at home in a nationally televised weekday game. UNDER is 9-2 in Hokies last 11 conference games and 16-5 in Miami's last 21 when playing on Thursday. Give me the UNDER 53! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 8.5) 

After watching just 5 total runs scored in the first 2 games of the series, most are going to be looking to jump on the UNDER again in Game 3. Not me. With the series shifting to Toronto, I'm expecting to see a lot more offense, especially with the pitching matchup we have here. Cleveland gives the rock to Trevor Bauer who wasn't sharp in his first postseason start, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits in 4 2/3 innings, including 2 home runs. Toronto counters with Marcus Stroman, who has been prone to some tough outings at home, where he's got a 4.50 ERA over 17 starts. OVER is 12-2 in Toronto's last 14 home games after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

50* NFL *AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR* (Over 47.5) 

I believe we just got a glimpse of what this Patriots offense is capable of doing in last week's game against the Browns. Had it not been the Browns, who aren't believed to be a good defensive team, this total would be much higher. Last time these two teams played, Brady and the Patriots put up 43 points on the Bengals back in 2014 and Cincinnati's defense is no where near as talented right now as it was two years ago. I know Cincinnati's offense hasn't been great, but I think they are going to have some success moving the ball here. New England's defense has put up solid numbers, but it's helped that 4 of their 5 games have come against the Dolphins, Texans, Bills and Browns. The Bengals have the most talented offense they have faced since the Cardinals in Week 1 and they allowed 21 in that game. I think this one easily gets past 50 points. Give me the OVER 47.5! 

40* NCAAF No Doubt Total Blowout (OVER 62)

I think we are catching some big time value on the total here. These two teams love offense and with Arizona State getting back starting quarterback Manny Wilkins, I see no reason why we won't see more than 62 points in this game. Colorado has scored 40+ points in 4 of their 6 games. They are however, coming off a 17-point effort at USC, which is part of the low total we are seeing. The defense has played well at times, but have also allowed 45 to Michigan and 38 to Oregon. With Wilkins this Arizona State team scored 44, 68, 32 and 51 points in their first 4 games. They are going to need to score, because their defense has no shot here against Colorado's offense. Sun Devils have allowed 40+ on 3 different occasions. Whenever ASU is playing a good offensive team, the game tends to be very high-scoring. The OVER is 11-3 in their last 14 games against teams who are averaging 425 or more total yards per game and the average score in these games is 80.9. As you can see, we are getting a ton of value. Give me the OVER 62! 

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 62.5)

I believe this total would be 70+ if it wasn't for UMass being perceived as such a bad team that can't score. While the Minutemen are averaging just 18.3 ppg, they have played 3 teams who are currently ranked in the Top 15 in the country in total defense. They showed what they are capable of when they put up 35 points and over 400 yards of offense against Mississippi State. Louisiana Tech's offense is more in line with the Bulldogs. They just allowed 52 last week to WKU and gave up 59 earlier this season against Texas Tech. That's a pretty good sign this UMass team can score in that 24-30 range. That should be plenty to push this well past the mark. Louisiana Tech has an explosive offense and UMass is not good defensively. The Minutemen rank 90th in the country in total defense and are 100th against the run. They have allowed 200+ rushing yards in each of their last 3 games and in those games have allowed 47, 31 and 36 points. The Bulldogs are averaging 39.2 ppg and I see no reason why they don't eclipse 40 points. Give me the OVER 62.5! 

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 56)

I believe the fact that Mississippi State scored just 14-points in their loss to Auburn last week, combined with BYU only giving up 14 points to Michigan State, is providing us with some excellent value here on the OVER, as I think these two teams are going to combine for 60+ and may even get into the 70's. BYU's offense has really gained some steam of late and have scored 30+ in their last 3. Mississippi State has allowed 30+ in each of their last 2 and that includes their game at UMass, where they let the Minutemen put up 35 points and over 400 yards of offense. The key here is that BYU's defense has struggled against teams that run the spread offense and that's exactly what the Bulldogs do. Keep in mind just a couple weeks ago the Cougars played a game at home against Toledo on a Friday and that game ended 55-53 with a ridiculous 1,278 total yards combined between the two. Give me the OVER 56! 

50* ALCS Vegas Total of the Month (Under 7.5) 

It's no secret that the Blue Jays have a great offense, but the Indians have a great counter to those big bats in Game 1 with former Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who thrived in the pressure of postseason baseball in his first start of the playoffs. Kluber held the potent Red Sox offense to just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings at home. On the other side of this is Toronto's Marco Estrada, who also stepped up to the challenge of pitching in the playoffs, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits at Texas, improving him to 7-2 with a 3.19 ERA over 15 road starts. Keep in mind both offenses have been sitting around waiting for this series to start and that's not a good thing as it throws off the timing. I think both offenses struggle to get anything going in this one. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 44) 

My money is on the UNDER in tonight's AFC West showdown between the Chargers and Broncos. It's no secret that Denver's defense is legit and we know they are going to show up after a not so great showing last week at home against the Falcons. The Chargers defense hasn't looked great, but I think playing at home in this spot is going to bring out the best of them. I also think Denver's offense is a bit limited. Even more so tonight, without head coach Gary Kubiak, who is an excellent playcaller. The offensive line has also not been great of late and starting quarterback Trevor Siemian is playing hurt. You also have to take into account the last two meetings in San Diego have been low-scoring, both games finishing with 32 or less points. UNDER is also 10-2 in the Chargers last 12 home games after the first month of the season and 16-4 in their last 20 after gaining 350 or more passing yards in their previous game. Take the UNDER 44! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 7) 

My money is on the UNDER in Game 5 tonight between the Dodgers and Nationals. Both starters in this one didn't have their best stuff when they pitched earlier in the series, but both have been excellent for the most part this season. Rich Hill for the Dodgers has a 2.35 ERA and 1.029 WHIP in 21 starts and has been outstanding on the road, going 8-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 11 road starts. Max Scherzer for the Nationals is one of the elite pitchers in the game today. He's 20-8 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 35 starts and has a 2.75 ERA in 16 home starts. Not only do we have two strong starters, but conditions are ideal for a low-scoring game. Both teams are going to be feeling the pressure of Game 5 and wind will be blowing in from left field around 10-15 mph, which will help both these starters keep the ball in the park. Give me the UDNER 7!