50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 45.5) 

The fact that Cam Newton isn't playing is going to have a lot of people looking to take the UNDER in this game, but I'm focusing more on what these two defenses will look like. Carolina let one of their starting corners go and the other is hurt. Jameis Winston and his weapons in the passing game are going to be able to pick up some big plays down the field. As for Tampa Bay's defense they are expected to be without both starting defensive tackles Gerald McCoy and Clinton McDonald and potentially starting defensive end Robert Ayers (questionable). Keep in mind they are already minus three other defensive ends who were expected to contribute in Noah Spence, George Johnson and Jacquies Smith. Not only do I think both offenses have success here, but I think we also get a few turnovers that lead to quick scores and push this past the mark set by the books. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

40* NCAAF Late Night Total No Brainer (Over 71) 

You typically aren't going to be looking to play the OVER at 70+ points with Oregon State involved, but that just speaks volumes to how bad the Cal defense is. The Golden Bears have already allowed 30+ points 4 times in their first 5 games and that includes a game against an awful Hawaii team. With Oregon State playing at home and Cal likely not taking this one as serious as they should, I think the Beavers are going to make it 5 of 6 at 30 or more against the Bears defense. On the flip side of this, Cal is going to have zero problems moving the ball against this Oregon State defense, which comes in allowing 427 ypg. The Golden Bears could easily score 50+ in this one (already put up 50+ twice), which means we would need around just 21 points from the Beavers to push over the mark. As stated, I think the Beavers top 30 in this one. Wouldn't be surprised if we had this ticket cashed by the end of the 3rd or early 4th. Give me the OVER 71! 

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Total No Brainer (WKU/La Tech OVER) 

This game has all the makings of a shootout. Both teams are efficient in the passing game and are pass-first teams. Each will be going up against defenses who have struggled big time at stopping the pass. WKU is allowing 258 ypg through the air and it's even worse than that, as they have played two horrible passing teams in Rice and Houston Baptist. They allowed Alabama to throw for 351, Miami (OH) to throw for 339 and Vanderbilt of all teams to throw for 279. Louisiana Tech is allowing 373 passing yards per game over their last 3. I'm expecting a lot of big plays here and this one to cruise past 70 points. Give me the OVER 68!  

50* NCAAF Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 54) 

I think the books have completely missed the mark here on the total in tonight's Sun Belt game between Georgia Southern and Arkansas State. The Eagles come in allowing just 19.7 ppg and the Red Wolves are averaging just 16.7 ppg, which is a big part of why we are seeing such a low total. However, Georgia Southern's defensive numbers are greatly aided by a soft schedule. The 4 teams they are playing are only averaging 23.2 ppg. Arkansas State on the other hand has played some pretty good defenses, as their opponents are only giving up 21.1 ppg. I think both offenses are going to thrive in this game. The Red Wolves do have some serious problems on defense and are going to struggle against a talented Eagles offense. As for the Arkansas State offense, they recently switched to Justice Hansen at quarterback, who has shown the ability to throw the ball deep. That's how you attack this Georgia Southern defense and it should lead to some big plays and more importantly quick scores. Give me the OVER 54! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 43) 

This game has a defense battle written all over it. Minnesota is 3-0 due in large part to the play of their defense. They come in averaging 21.3 ppg, but part of that is a result of some defensive scores. Offensively they are averaging just 265 yards/play. With that limited offense and great defense, Minnesota wants to grind out possessions and limit the opponents chances. The Giants defense didn't perform well last week against Washington, high-powered passing attack, but in their two previous games played really well. I see New York's stop unit playing really well against the limited Vikings offense. As long we don't get a bunch of turnovers that lead to immediate scores, I just don't see enough offense here to eclipse this total. Give me the UNDER 43! 

40* NFL Chiefs/Steelers SNF No Brainer (Over 47)

I think the books have missed the mark in this one. Pittsburgh's offense is no where near as bad as they looked last week against the Eagles on the road and the Chiefs defense is no where as good as they looked at home last week against the Jets, at least not until Justin Houston returns from injury. Pittsburgh simply didn't show up coming off the emotional letdown after that big win over division rival Cincinnati. I look for their offense to come to life at home in primetime, especially with the return of Le'Veon Bell to the lineup. New York actually moved the ball well against Kansas City's defense last week, but just had a turnover meltdown. Let's also not forget Week 1, when Philip Rivers carved up the Chiefs defense until his star wide out Keenan Allen went down with an injury. As for Kansas City's offense it has yet to play up to it's potential and should have no problem moving the chains against Pittsburgh's defense, which is basically just dropping everyone in coverage and forcing teams to drive the field with short underneath passes. Exactly what this Chiefs offense is built to do with Alex Smith. Give me the OVER! 

40* NCAAF No Doubt Total Dominator (UNC/FSU OVER 70) 

I think we are going to see touchdowns left and right on Saturday when the Seminoles host the Tar Heels. Both of these teams like to play at a fast pace and have special playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Both of these teams are having a horrible time against the run. UNC is giving up 5 yards/carry and FSU is allowing 5.5 yards/carry. Both offenses are going to stay ahead of the chains and that's going to allow them to take some shots deep and finish off drives with points. It's also worth noting that while these are conference opponents, they play on opposite sides and haven't faced each other since 2010, so neither will be all that well prepared for what they are going to see in this one. Both teams are averaging 40+ ppg and each is giving up 30 or more on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the OVER 70! 

40* NCAAF Sharp Money Total Crusher (UCF/ECU OVER 61) 

I think the books have completely missed the mark on the total in Saturday's AAC clash between UCF and East Carolina. The Pirates have scored just 15 and 17 points in their last two games, but both of those came on the road against Power 5 opponents in South Carolina and Virginia Tech. Despite not putting many points on the scoreboard, they had over 400 yards of total offense in both of those games. They should have no problem here putting up 30+ at home against the Knights, who are playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. On the flip side of things, the Pirates defense isn't very good and UCF is one of the most improved teams offensively in the country. The Knights are averaging 32.2 ppg after hanging 53 at FIU last week. Keep in mind this a team that averaged just 13.9 ppg last year. It's a result of the new uptempo offense installed by new head coach Scott Frost, who previously was the OC at Oregon. I see a lot of big plays from both teams and this one eclipsing the mark early in the 2nd half. Give me the OVER 61! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 45) 

Two desperate teams take the field on Thursday, as the Bengals and Dolphins are both going to play their hearts out to avoid starting the season 1-3. Both teams have plenty of reason to still believe they can turn things around after their 1-2 starts. Miami's two losses have come against the Seahawks and Patriots, while Cincinnati's two defeats have come to Pittsburgh and Denver. Bengals defense hasn't been great the first 3 weeks, but they get back the heart and soul of their defense in linebacker Vontaze Burfict, who was suspended the first 3 games. We also have both teams missing key players offensively. Cincinnati remains without tight end Tyler Eifert. Miami is minus starting running back Arian Foster and tight end Jordan Cameron, not mention are banged up on the offensive line. Bengals offensive line has also struggled early on, as they are only averaging 82 ypg on the ground and have seen Dalton sacked 12 times in 3 games. Miami comes in having recorded 9 sacks in 3 games, which is tied for 7th in the league. Give me the UNDER 45! 

50* AL Central Total of the Month (Under 8.5)

The books have set the bar too high for Wednesday's total between the Twins and Royals. Kauffman Stadium is more of a pitchers park and even more so in spots like tonight when the wind will be blowing in over 10 mph from left field. More than anything, we have two starters on the mound who are throwing the ball well. Minnesota gives the rock to Ervin Santana, who has a 1.50 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Vargas has allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innings over his last 2 starts. While Vargas doesn't figure to go deep into this game, KC has an excellent bullpen. On top of that, the Twins offense has been in a funk for quite some time. Minnesota has scored 3 or fewer runs in 10 straight games. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 53.5) 

I'm expecting a lot of fireworks offensively for both teams, which should have this one going well over the total here. Both of these teams are expected to finish in the Top 10 in total offense. Atlanta is definitely on their way, as they are averaging 29.5 ppg and 451 ypg over their first two contests. They go up against a Saints defense that isn't anything to write home about. New Orleans did manage to score just 13 points last week at the Giants, but that's just what they do. The Saints score a ton of points at home and struggle to generate offense on the road. They should have no problem getting the offense going, as the Falcons are getting torched through the air so far this season, playing right into the hands of the Saints high-powered passing attack. Atlanta is giving up 7.4 yards/pass attempt and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 73.1% of their attempts. Give me the OVER 53.5! 

40* NFL Situational Total No Brainer (Over 47.5) 

All we are hearing about is how much the Packers offense is struggling and I believe that has created some value here on the total in Sunday's NFC North clash with the Lions. We have already seen Detroit's defense exposed by Andrew Luck and the Colts struggling offense in Week 1 and I look for Rodgers and company to do the same here. Keep in mind that Green Bay has played each of their first two on the road. The first against an inspired Jaguars team in some serious heat in Jacksonville and last week against the Vikings elite stop unit in their home opener in a new stadium on Sunday Night Football. I think Green Bay scores 30+ in this one and the Lions are more than capable of putting up some points of their own to push this over the mark. OVER is 41-22 in the Packers last 63 after scoring 14 or less and 16-5 in their last 21 off a road loss by 3 points or less. Give me the OVER 47.5! 

40* NCAAF Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 46.5) 

I'm expecting a defensive battle here between the Utes and Trojans on Friday night. Everyone is throwing USC under the bus after their two ugly losses to Alabama and Stanford and I think they are going to come out inspired because of it. As for Utah, there's no question they are going to come to play at home in the spotlight of a nationally televised night game. USC might not be equipped to slowdown Alabama or Stanford, but I think they can give Utah a lot of problems. The Utes are only averaging 26.0 ppg and have played two of their games against Southern Utah and San Jose State. In their lone game against someone not named Alabama or Stanford, USC's defense held Utah State to just 253 yards of total offense. I see a lot of long drives that will lead to more field goals than touchdowns, as both teams figure to try an establish the running game. Give me the UNDER 46.5! 

40* NCAAF Thursday Night Total No Brainer (Under 58) 

I think the value here is on the total and this one finishing under the mark of 58 set by the books. Clemson put up 59 points last week, but that was against an awful South Carolina State team. Prior to that they struggled in games against Auburn and Troy. I think this is going to prove to be a tough spot for them to put up a big number. Georgia Tech is a run-first team that wants to control the time of possession and limit their opponents chances. They are going to have to work for everything they get, as Clemson has an outstanding run defense and has had success in the past stopping the triple-option. Georgia Tech has had an easy schedule, but the defense has looked good. They should benefit here from playing at home in front of what will be a rowdy crowd. Each of the last 6 times these two have played each other in Atlanta, they have failed to score more than 57 points and I look for that trend to continue. Give me the UNDER 58! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals/Marlins Under 7.5) 

The books have set the bar too high for Wednesday's NL East matchup between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out their ace Max Scherzer, who has been on his game for almost a month now. Scherzer hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in 5 straight starts and during this stretch has allowed a total of just 6 runs. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who has a solid 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed just 4 runs in 3 starts against the Nationals this season. Koehler is also catching Washington at a good time, as they Nats were just shutout yesterday and have scored 3 or less in 4 straight and 8 of their last 10. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Tigers/Twins UNDER 9.5)

The books have set the total too high for tonight's AL Central clash between the Twins and Tigers. We are seeing an inflated line here, due to the fact that OVER has gone 50-23 in Minnesota's home games this season. I see plenty of reason to go against that trend with today's starting pitching matchup. The Twins give the ball to Hector Santiago, who has been throwing as well as anyone of late. Santiago has a 2.41 ERA and 1.285 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has allowed a total of 5 runs over his last 4 starts. Detroit counters with Matt Boyd, who did just give up 7 runs in 3 2/3 innigns at home to the Twins in his last start, but I'm not reading into one bad start. Prior to that outing, Boyd had given up 3 or fewer earned runs in each of his previous 10 starts, which included two starts against Minnesota. He's also facing a Twins offense that is struggling coming into this series, as they managed just 4 runs in their 3-game series against the Mets over the weekend. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

40* NFL Over/Under Total Dominator (Jaguars/Chargers Over 47) 

I look for a lot of points to be scored on Sunday between the Jaguars and Chargers. This is a tough spot for Jacksonville's defense, after they laid it all on the line at home last week against the Packers. Not to mention they had to travel across the country. Even without Keenan Allen, San Diego's offense is capable of putting up a big number. As for Jacksonville's offense, I believe it's the real deal and will be one of the higher scoring teams this season. I think these two easily combine for 50 or more on Sunday. Give me the OVER 47! 

40* NCAAF Friday Night Bookie Beatdown (Baylor/Rice OVER 65) 

I'm not interested in the spread on this one, but I really like the value here on the OVER at 65. Baylor only scored 6 points in the first half last week against SMU, but got things going with a 34-point explosion in the 2nd half. Art Briles might be gone, but the Bears are still running his uptempo offense that can score in the matter of seconds. I think Baylor is going to come out looking to put on a show in the national spotlight of this weekday game on ESPN and I don't think Rice is going to be able to stop them. The Owls have already given up 46 to WKU and 31 to Rice. With that said, I do expect Rice to be better offensively in their home opener. I also don't see Baylor being 100% locked in on defense with this game coming on short rest and their conference opener on deck. I think we get a 51-24 type of game with the potential for more. Give me the OVER 65! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) 

I'll gladly lay a little extra juice here to back the UNDER at 9 for Thursday's AL East showdown between the Yankees and Red Sox. Both of these teams were shutout on Wednesday and I don't see the offenses coming to life in the series opener. Boston will give the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who is in prime form with a 3.26 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's had all kinds of success against the Yankees this season. He's faced them twice an allowed 2 runs on 7 hits in 14 innings. New York counters with Masahiro Tanaka, who has been a rock all season for the Yankees. Tanaka is 13-4 with a 3.09 in 29 starts overall, has a 2.27 ERA in 14 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Hi too has pitched some of his best baseball in this series. In his two starts against the Red Sox this season, he's allowed 3 runs on 9 hits in 12 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* NFL No Doubt Over/Under Knockout (Giants/Cowboys Over 46)

I want to take Dallas here, but I feel the real value is with the over on the total. All the talk now is about how Dak Prescott isn't going to be able to match his success in the preseason. I know you can't overreact to what you see in the preseason, but how many other quarterbacks put up numbers similar to what he did against those vanilla defenses. I love the confidence Prescott plays with and his mobility in the pocket. He's got the best offensive line in the league in front of him and I believe opposing teams are going to have to load the box to try and stop their rushing attack. I know the Giants spent a lot of money on defense, but that doesn't mean they are going to be an elite unit. It's hard to play great defense when you can't get to the quarterback. On the flip side of things, Dallas' defense has no one that can put pressure on the quarterback and that's going to lead to a huge day for Eli Manning and the Giants offense. I see a shootout at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. Give me the OVER 46! 

40* NFL Blockbuster Total No Brainer (Raiders/Saints Over 51.5) 

I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks in this one. I think we have two of the better offenses in the league going up against one another and I don't see either defense putting up much resistance. There's been plenty of talk about how Oakland is improved on defense, but I still have my concerns. Plus, better defenses have went into the Superdome and failed miserably trying to slow down Drew Brees and the Saints high-powered offense. As for the New Orleans defense, it looks to be every bit as bad as it was a year ago. The Saints aren't going to let their foot off the gas and that should lead to a shootout. Give me the OVER 51.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Knockout (Dodgers/Marlins Under 7.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Saturday's NL showdown between the Dodgers and Marlins. This one has a pitchers duel written all over it. Los Angeles will give the rock to Rich Hill, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball when he's healthy enough to toe the rubber. Hill is 11-3 with a 1.94 ERA in 16 starts and is a perfect 7-0 with a 1.41 ERA in 7 road starts. He's yet to allow a run since being traded to the Dodgers. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who a more than capable starter. He comes in off a dominant outing at Cleveland, holding the Indians to just 3 hits over 6 shutout innings. More importantly, he's owned the Dodgers in his career with a 2.94 ERA in 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* NCAAF Vegas Insider Top Play (Louisville/Syracuse OVER 68)

I don't hate Syracuse and the points, but I feel the real value here is on the total and it going over the mark of 68. Both of these teams have strong quarterbacks, playmakers at the skill positions and like to play at a fast pace. I know the opener was against Charlotte, but not many teams could hang 56 points in the 1st half against, let alone score that many in an entire game. Keep in mind that was a Charlotte team that had 16 returning starters and in the 4th year under head coach Brad Lambert. I believe Louisville is one of the best offensive teams in the country and are going to have no problem moving the ball against the Orange. Let's not forget they played late last season and the Cardinals scored 41 points on 579 yards of offense. That was with Syracuse playing a grind it out style offensively. That's no longer the case under new head coach Dino Babers, who is bringing his uptempo offense that he learned at Baylor to the Orange. Syracuse's new style offensively is going to give Louisville some problems, especially with this being played at the Carrier Dome, plus it's going to create more possessions for the Cardinals offense. I think these two eclipse 70 without much problem. Give me the OVER 68! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Panthers/Broncos Under 41.5) 

These two teams combined for just 34 points when they faced off in last year's Super Bowl and I think they were fortunate to get there. Denver's 24-points came primarily off turnovers. They had a fumbled returned for a touchdown and another fumble recovery that resulted in a 3 play 4-yard drive (2-pt conversion. When forced to actually put a drive together the Broncos managed just two field goals. Carolina's offense only put up 10 points, as they simply had no answer for Denver's pass rush. Given that the Panthers didn't do anything to improve the tackle position, I don't see that being any different in this one. If anything it's going to be even harder with the game being played in Denver. I see a low-scoring defensive battle that comes down to the wire. Give me the UNDER 41.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) 

The books have set the total too high for tonight's NL matchup between the Reds and Mets. I know that Great American Ballpark is a great hitters park, but we have two pitchers who are more than capable of shutting down the opposing offenses in this one. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan has been lights out of late, posting a 1.80 ERA and 0.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch Finnegan has racked up an impressive 29 strikeouts in 20 innings. Mets will counter with Rafael Montero, who despite some control problems, threw 5 scoreless innings in 2016 debut last week. Montero should be able to keep the Reds in check. Cincinnati has scored 2 or less runs in 2 straight and 6 of their last 8. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB Over/Under Total Destroyer (Cardinals/Reds UNDER 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for tonight's NL Central matchup between the Reds and Cardinals. Cincinnati will send out one of the most underrated starters in the game in Anthony DeSclafani, who is 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA in 15 starts. He was absolutely dominant in his last outing, allowing just 4 hits in a complete game shutout at Arizona, which is no easy place to pitch. Now he faces a slumping Cardinals offense that has scored just 3 runs on 10 hits in their last two games combined. I also don't see the Reds doing a lot of scoring in this one. St Louis sends out 22-year-old prospect Alex Reyes, who has the makings of a future ace. He made his MLB debut last week in Oakland and looked the part. He did have some control problems with 4 walks, but only allowed 2 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work. Cincinnati's offense has scored 2 or less runs in 4 straight games, so they clearly aren't clicking at the plate right now. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* National League Total of the Month (Under 8) 

The books have set the bar too high for Monday's matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers. St Louis will send out Carlos Martinez, who has a 2.14 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 7-1 with a 2.36 ERA in 11 road starts and 3-1 with a 1.67 ERA in 6 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers counter with Zach Davies, who has a strong 3.70 ERA in 15 home starts and is coming off a gem at home against the Rockies last time out, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Davies has faced the Cardinals once in his career, that coming earlier this season. He was dominant in that outing, giving up just 3 hits over 8 shutout innings. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8) 

The books have set the total too high, creating great value here on the UNDER in today's game between the Red Sox and Royals. This game means a lot to both teams and we have two of the better AL starters on the mound. Boston will send out David Price, who has been lights out of late with a 1.63 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Kansas City counters with Danny Duffy, who has been even better in his last 3 starts, posting a 1.16 ERA and 0.943 WHIP. Duffy is also 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA in 8 road starts. It's also worth noting that the wind will be blowing in from right field, so that should neglect any cheap home runs. UNDER is 10-1 in Duffy's last 11 starts as a road underdog and 15-3 in Prices last 18 home starts against an NL Central opponent. Take the UNDER! 

40* NFLX Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 44)

*No Analysis on Preseason Games*

40* NFLX No Doubt Bookie Crusher (Under 43)

*No Analysis*

50* MLB Situational Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5)

The books have set the bar too high for Sunday's contest between the Rays and Rangers. Today's starters are Martin Perez and Drew Smyly. Both don't have great overall numbers for the season, but each comes into this matchup in prime form. Perez has given up just 2 earned runs in his last 2 starts, which has spanned 12 1/3 innings. Smyly has been even better, allowing only 5 earned runs in his last 3 starts, which covers 20 innings. The Rays offense hasn't been great at home and the Rangers are nearly as potent at the plate on the road. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Friday's NL East showdown between the Nationals and Braves. We have two starters who are both rolling at the moment. Washington's Tanner Roark has a 1.77 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Atlanta's Julio Teheran has a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Roark owns a 1.77 ERA in 9 career starts against the Braves, while Teheran hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in 6 career home starts against the Nationals. UNDER is 22-9 in Washington's last 31 road games with a hot bullpen that as a WHIP under 1.000 in their last 5 games and 11-3 in Teheran's last 14 starts after a loss. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (UNDER 8.5)

The books have set the total too high for Thursday's matchup between the Orioles and Astros. Houston will send out youngster Joe Musgrove, who has been sensational in his first two starts. Musgrove allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings at home against the Rangers and then allowed a mere 2 runs in 7 innings at Toronto. I'll take my chances on him shutting down another AL power tonight. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman. While he's 3-10 with a 4.04 ERA in 21 starts, he's been a completely different pitcher at home, where he's 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in 8 starts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 in Gausman's 8 starts this season with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in the Orioles last 16 after scoring 1 run or less in their previous game. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's AL Central showdown between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit comes in struggling at the plate, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .241 as a team over their last 7 games. KC on the other hand is hitting just .248 as a team on the road this season. The Tigers will send out Anibal Sanchez. While he's coming off an ugly start at Texas, he was dominant in his previous two starts at home, giving up just 2 runs in 14 innings of work. Most importantly, he's got a 2.76 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals. KC counters with the red-hot Yordano Ventura, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Ventura has also pitched very well against Detroit, posting a 3.28 ERA in 8 career starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB AL East Game of the Month (OVER 9.5) 

The books have set the mark to low for today's total between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Both offenses should have no problem putting up a big number in this one. New York sends out Chad Green, who has a 7.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 3 starts. Toronto counters with R.A. Dickey, who has a 4.48 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 24 starts. Dickey has also been torched in his last two outings at Yankees Stadium, giving up 9 runs on 12 hits and 4 walks in 14 1/3 innings. OVER is 4-0 in Green's last 4 starts and 4-1 in Dickey's last 5 starts. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 9.5)

The books have set the total too low for today's showdown between the Royals and Twins. Both of these teams are poised for a big day at the plate given the starting pitching matchup. Kansas City will send out Dillon Gee, who has a 6.07 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in 8 start. Minnesota counters with Tyler Duffey, who has a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts and has an ugly 7.22 ERA in 10 starts at home. OVER is 15-3 in the Twins 18 home games this season when listed as a favorite of -110 or more, 12-2 in their last 14 with a tired bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings in the last 3 games and 17-2 in their last 19 after playing 5 or more games at home. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5)

The books have set the total too high here for Friday's series matchup between the Indians and Angels. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who has a strong 3.17 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 2.05 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Angels and is coming in off a strong outing in his last start. LA counters here with Tyler Skaggs, who has pitched well in his 3 starts since joining the rotation, giving up just 4 runs over 17 2/3 innings of work. UNDER is 11-3 in the Angels last 14 after playing 6 or more straight games on the road and 4-0 in Carrasco's last 4 starts against the AL West. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8)

The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Cardinals and Reds. This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Cincinnati will send out talented youngster Anthony Desclafani, who is 6-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Desclafani has owned the Cardinals, going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 3 career starts. St Louis will counter here with Jamie Garcia, who has pitched his best at home this season and is coming off a great start at home against the Braves, allowing just 3 hits with 11 strikeouts in 8 shutout innings. UNDNER is 14-4 Garcia's last 18 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 an 12-2 in his last 14 home starts as a favorite of -150 or more. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9.5)

The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's series finale between the White Sox and Orioles. Baltimore will send out talented youngster Dylan Bundy, who has been getting better and better with each start. In his last outing, Bundy gave up just 1 hit in 7 innings. Chicago counters with veteran James Shields. He wasn't sharp in his last outing, but has been throwing the ball really well of late. Shields has given up 2 or less earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

50* MLB AL West Total of the Month (Under 8) 

The books have set to the total too high for tonight's matchup between the A's and Angels. The ball doesn't carry near as well at night in LA and we have two red-hot pitchers facing off in this one. Oakland's Sean Manaea has a 1.25 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while the Angel's Matt Shoemaker has a 2.91 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Shoemaker has also owned the A's in two starts against them this year, giving up just 1 earned run on 7 hits in 12 innings of work. Both of these teams have struggled offensively against right-handed starters. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER) 

The books have set the mark too high for Monday's showdown between the Padres and Brewers. The starting pitching matchup might not look like much on paper, but you have to keep in mind of where the game is being played. PETCO is one of the strongest pitcher parks int he big leagues and the wind will be blowing in from left. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson is more than capable of throwing a gem against this San Diego team that has been as active as any team during the trade deadline. Padres starter Jared Cosart came over in the Miami deal and this is a great chance for him to prove himself after spending most of the season in Triple A. He's facing a Milwaukee team that I could easily see not showing up for this game. The Brewers just played 10 straight at home, which they capped off with a 3-game sweep of division rival Pittsburgh. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for today's showdown between the Angels and Red Sox. Each of the first two games in this series have gone UNDER the mark set by the books and I expect that trend to continue. Boston will send out knuckleballer Steven Wright, who is 12-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts. He did have a poor showing last time out, but that's going to happen for a knuckleballer. He's got a 2.13 ERA in 9 road starts and is primed for a bounce back outing. Angels will counter with Tyler Skaggs, who was dominant in his first start of the season, allowing just 3 hits and walking only 1 in 7 shutout innings against the Royals. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB AL Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5) 

The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's total between the Red Sox and Angels. Boston will send out the underrated Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 19 starts, as well as a 2.32 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 9 road starts. After struggling in his first start with the Red Sox, Pomeranz was dominant in his last outing against Detroit. The Angels counter with Hector Santiago, who is on quite a roll at the moment. Santiago has a 2.60 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed a mere 5 runs total in his last 5 outings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) 

The books have made a huge mistake here and set the total way too high for Friday's series opener between the Pirates and Brewers. We have two young starters on the mound in this one that are more than capable of shutting down the opposition. Milwaukee's Junior Guerra continues to be way undervalued due to pitching on a bad team. Guerra is 6-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 15 starts and has an even better 2.42 ERA in 8 home starts. Pittsburgh counters with Steven Brault, who was sharp in his brief debut at St Louis, allowing just 1 earned run on 4 hits in 4 innings. While he might not go deep in this game, Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 2.92 ERA in 48 road games and will be rested after having yesterday off. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 7.5) 

The books have made a mistake here and set the bar too low for today's total between the Phillies and Braves. Both of these teams are coming off a strong showing at the plate yesterday. While Philadelphia only scored 1 run, they put up double-digit hits. Atlanta on the other hand scored 9 runs on 16 hits against the Twins. The key here is the pitching matchup. Neither starter is any good and both come in having struggled of late. Phillies send out Aaron Nola, who is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA in 19 starts and has a 6.60 ERA in his last 3 outings. Braves counter with Matt Wisler, who is 4-10 with a 4.97 ERA in 19 starts and has a 9.98 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 9)

Two future aces take the mound in Wednesday's contest between the Rockies and Orioles. Colorado will send out Jon Gray, who has been lights out of late, posting a 1.33 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Baltimore counters with former top 5 pick Dylan Bundy, who is coming off a dominant outing in his home debut, allowing 0 earned runs on 5 hits and no walks in 5 innings of a 5-1 win over the Indians. UNDER is 31-19 in the Rockies last 50 road games and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts. UNDER is also 8-0 in the Orioles last 8 against a team with a losing record and 7-0 in their last 7 home games. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9)

I think we are getting big time value here on the UNDER at 9 runs in Tuesday's matchup between the Cubs and White Sox. We have two under the radar starters taking the mound in this one. The Cubs' Kyle Hendricks owns a sensational 2.23 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 18 starts and has not given up an earned run in 3 straight outings. White Sox's James Shields is 4-12 with a ugly 4.99 ERA in 20 starts, but has been throwing like an ace of late. Shields has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has given up 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 outings. UNDER is 20-8 in Hendrick's last 28 starts in night games and 15-3 in the White Sox last 18 home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

I'll gladly back the UNDER here with the total sitting at 8 runs in Sunday's matchup between the Pirates and Phillies. We have two future aces facing off in this one, as Philadelphia sends out Vincent Velasquez against Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon. Both come into this game in great form. Velasquez has a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 starts and Taillon has allowed just 1 run in each of his last two starts. UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 following a loss. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (Under 9)

I really like the value here with the UNDER on tonight's high total of 9 between the Indians and Orioles. This is a much better pitching matchup than the books are giving credit for. Cleveland will send out Josh Tomlin, who continues to get no respect. Tomlin is now 10-2 with a 3.34 ERA in 17 starts and has a 2.44 ERA in 9 road starts. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman, who has pitched much better than his 1-7 record would indicate, especially at home, where he has a 2.79 ERA in 6 starts. In his last two home starts, Gausman has allowed 1 run on 11 hits in 13 2/3 innings of work. Indian's offense not near as potent on the road and are coming off a poor showing last night, scoring just 1 run. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) 

We have two NL playoff contenders facing off tonight with the Dodgers and Cardinals and I look for a low scoring affair in this one. LA will give the ball to Brandon McCarthy, who has been lights out since joining the rotation earlier this month. In 3 starts, he's posted a 1.69 ERA and 0.750 WHIP. All 3 of those starts have seen the game go UNDER the total and I like the chances of that streak continuing here. St Louis counters with Michael Wacha, who is poised for a strong outing. Wacha hasn't been great, but at the same time he's not allowed more than 3 earned runs in 7 straight starts. He's also got a really strong 2.08 ERA in 5 career starts against the Dodgers. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

The books have set the total too high for Sunday's showdown between the Blue Jays and A's. Two strong starters are one the mound in Oakland, as the A's send out Rich Hill against Toronto's J.A. Happ. Hill is 9-3 with a 2.25 ERA in 13 starts and Happ is 12-3 with a 3.36 ERA in 18 starts. UNDER is 12-1 in Hill's last 13 starts in July and 18-9 in the Blue Jays last 27 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Give me the UNDER 8!

50* AL East Game of the Month (Under 8.5) 

The books have set the total too high for Saturday's contest between the Orioles and Rays. We have two strong starters on the mound who both were in prime form going into the All-Star break. Baltimore's Chris Tillman is 12-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 19 starts and has a 2.89 ERA over his last 3 outings. Tampa Bay will send out Matt Moore, who has a strong 3.57 ERA in 11 home starts and a 1.83 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 11-1 this season when the Rays are listed as a home underdog of +100 to +125. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) 

The books have set the total way too high for Friday's matchup between the Indians and Twins. Both of these teams will send out starters who were straight dealing going into the All-Star break. Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco posted a 1.59 ERA and 1.059 WHIP over his last 3 starts and has a 1.81 ERA in 6 road outings this season. Minnesota's Ervin Santana had a 1.33 ERA and 0.787 WHIP in his last 3 starts, including a complete game shutout in his last outing at home against the A's. Santana has also allowed just 2 runs total in his last two starts against the Indians. Take the UNDER! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5)

Love the value here we are getting with the total for Saturday's matchup between the Dodgers and Padres sitting at 8.5. Los Angeles will send out Brandon McCarthy, who was sensational in his first outing of the season, giving up just 2 hits and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts over 5 shutout innings. Even if he doesn't pitch deep into the game, the Dodgers back him up with a bullpen that has a 2.24 ERA at home on the season. The Padres will send out Luis Perdomo, who is poised for a strong outing. Perdomo has a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts, but those have come in 3 hitters parks against the Orioles, Reds and Diamondbacks. This will be the first time the Dodgers have seen him as a starter and that should work to his advantage. Padres hitting just .234 against right-handed starters and LA hitting just .234 at home. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* NL West Play of the Month (Under 7.5) 

Giants' AT&T Park is considered a pitchers park, but the hitters figure to do some damage in this one. The wind will be blowing straight out to right center and we have two starters who are struggling heading into the All-Star break. San Francisco's Jeff Samardzija has a 8.82 ERA and 1.592 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Arizona's Pat Corbin has a 5.63 ERA and 1.876 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Adding even more value here is the fact that the hitters for both teams just saw both of these starters this past Saturday. It's also worth noting that the OVER is 5-1 in Samardzija's 6 home starts. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) 

I believe we are getting a great number here to back the UNDER in today's matchup between the Astros and A's. Houston will send out Doug Fister, who is coming off a couple of poor starts, but has owned Oakland this season. He's faced them twice and allowed a total of 1 run on 11 hits in 12 2/3 innings of work. Fister is also facing an A's team that was just shutout yesterday and hitting a mere .217 over their last 7 games. Oakland counters with Rich Hill, who didn't miss a beat in his first start after coming back from the DL. Hill is 8-3 with a 2.31 ERA in 12 starts and has a dominant 1.40 ERA in 6 road starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

Love the value here with the total going under the posted mark of 8 for today's afternoon matchup between the Astros and White Sox. Chicago will have their ace Chris Sale on the mound, who is 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA in 8 road starts and 4-1 with a 0.66 ERA over 5 career starts against the Astros. Houston will send out underrated starter Doug Fister, who has a 3.36 ERA in 15 starts. Both teams have struggled offensively in day games. Houston is hitting just .235 as a team and the White Sox are hitting just .243. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NL Total of the Month (UNDER 9) 

I believe we are catching an inflated total here. Cincinnati and Washington combined for 17 runs yesterday with the Nationals doing the heavy lifting with 13 runs of their own. I don't think Washington is going to have as easy time scoring runs here against the Reds Anthony Desclafani. He's quietly posted a 1.52 ERA in 4 starts and is coming off his best outing, allowing just 5 hits over 8 scoreless innings against the Padres at home. I don't see Cincinnati doing a whole lot offensively either. The Nationals send out underrated starter Tanner Roark, who has a 2.96 ERA in 16 starts overall and a 2.25 ERA in 7 starts at home. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) 

I really like the value here on the total in today's matchup between the Dodgers and Brewers. This is a getaway game for both teams, as LA will be headed back home after a 7-game road trip and Milwaukee is heading to St Louis after playing their previous 6 at home. I don't look for either team to be all that focused on the game today and even if they were runs figure to be hard to come by. Dodgers will send out Kenta Maeda, who has a 2.91 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 15 starts, including a 2.79 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 7 road starts. Brewers will counter with Zach Davies, who has a 3.11 ERA at home and 2.00 ERA over his last 3 outings. It's also worth noting that today's umpire is Tom Hallion. He's been behind the plate 14 times this season and 11 of those have gone UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5)

Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5 runs for today's matchup between the Nationals and Mets. Both of these teams are really struggling offensively at the moment. The Mets are averaging 2.9 runs/game and hitting a mere 1.94 as a team over their last 7 games. Washington isn't much better. They too are averaging just 2.9 runs/game and hitting only .248 as a team over their last 7. Both teams will send out quality starters. New York gives the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 8-2 with a 2.10 ERA in 14 starts. The Nationals counter with Joe Ross, who is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA in 14 starts. Syndergaard has a 1.33 ERA in 4 career starts against Washington and Ross has a 2.84 ERA in 2 starts against the Mets. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8)

Oddsmakers have simply set the total too high for Sunday's game between the Tigers and Indians. Detroit will send out Justin Verlander, who has been sensation after a rocky start to the year. Verlander has a 3.05 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's pitching into the 7th of each of his last 9 starts, in which he allowed 3 or less runs 7 times. Cleveland will counter with Josh Tomlin, who continues to be undervalued. Tomlin is 8-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 13 starts. He's been at his best at home, where his ERA is just 2.63. He's faced the Tigers twice already this season and was dominant in both outings. Both teams are going to struggle to score runs in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB Early Bird Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 6.5) 

I've got no problem playing the Under with the low total of 6.5 in today's afternoon matchup between the Royals and Mets. Both of these offenses come in struggling at the plate. The Royals have scored just 3 runs in their last 2 games and the Mets have scored just 2 in their last 2. It's hard to imagine either offense getting on track with the starting pitching matchup we have going in this one. New York will give the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 7-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 13 starts. He allowed 2 or less runs in 8 straight starts. KC will counter with Danny Duffy, who has a solid 3.25 ERA in 7 starts, including a 1.08 ERA in 3 starts on the road and a 0.00 ERA in 3 day starts. Give me the UNDER 6.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 208)

The last two games have gone OVER the total and I believe it's created some great value here on the UNDER in Game 7. These do or die games are typically lower-scoring than people expect, as there's a tremendous amount of pressure on both teams and the defensive intensity is at an all-time high. Cleveland did put up 108 in Game 5 at Golden State, but keep in mind that was with Green sidelined. James and Irving also played out of their minds, scoring 41 a piece and shooting over 60% from the field. I don't see those two matching that in Game 7. While the Cavs offense doesn't figure to be as good, their defense has been great over the last 4 games and I don't see that changing in this one. Give me the UNDER 208! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I really like the UNDER in today's series finale between the Reds and Astros. Cincinnati will be sending out Brandon Finnegan, who has been lights out of late. Finnegan has a 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts and also owns a 2.98 ERA in 7 road starts. Houston counters with Michael Fiers, who is also in good form with a 3.44 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Fiers has also been at his best at home, where he has a 3.67 ERA in 7 starts (4.78 ERA overall). UNDER is 9-1 in Houston's last 10 overall and 10-4 in their last 14 interleague home games against a left-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) 

I really like the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5 in today's showdown between Chris Archer of the Rays and Jeff Samardzija of the Giants. Archer has had a disappointing overall season so far in 2016, as he's just 4-8 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 starts. However, he's been dominant at home, where his ERA is just 2.33. In his last start, at home, he held the Astros to just 3 runs on 6 hits with 8 strikeouts in 7 2/3 innings of work. Samardzija was able to bounce back from a couple of poor outings with a solid showing in his last start against the Dodgers and comes in with a respectable 3.36 ERA in 13 starts. I'll take my chances on him keeping a Tampa Bay offense that is scoring just 3.5 runs/game and hitting .224 as a team at home in check. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 207.5) 

I wasn't the least bit surprised to see Game 5 go over the total, as the loss of Draymond Green was going to tough for the Warriors to overcome on the defensive side of the ball. It definitely played a big role in James and Irving going off for a combined 82 points. I look for things to come a lot harder for Cleveland's 1-2 punch and the Cavs should play some pretty solid defense of their own at home. I see a very similar type of pace to Game 4 in Cleveland, which went under the same total of 207.5. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5)

The UNDER is worth a look here in Thursday's matchup between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit's Justin Verlander has been pitching like an ace over his last 7 starts. During this stretch, he's only given up a mere 30 hits with 57 strikeouts in 51 1/3 innings. He's enjoyed facing KC over his career, as he's 20-8 with a 3.21 ERA in 38 career starts against them. The Royals will send out Danny Duffy, who has a 2.45 ERA and 0.982 WHIP over his last 3 starts and was dominant in his last outing, giving up just 3 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 scoreless innings. Duffy has a 2.95 ERA in 11 career starts against the Tigers. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 204.5)

I know that each of the first two games in Golden State finished below the total set and 3 of the 4 have gone UNDER in the series, but without Draymond Green in the lineup for the Warriors in Game 5, I'm expecting a spark in scoring. Even without Green the Warriors have enough weapons offensively to score 100+. It's his defensive presence, most notably on James, that will hurt them. I Cleveland also seemed to figure out some things at home that are working on the offensive end. Give me the OVER 204.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7) 

Washington will have their ace Max Scherzer on the mound, while the Cubs send out one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Kyle Hendricks. In fact, most would be surprised to see that Hendricks has the better overall numbers in this matchup. He's got a 2.77 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in 11 starts. Scherzer has a 3.57 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 13 starts. However, Scherzer has been throwing like a Cy Young candidate of late, posting a 2.86 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I look for both offenses to struggle to score in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 207) 

After going well below the total in the first two games, the Cavs and Warriors eclipsed the mark set of 206 in Game 3 with a 210 points. That was with Cleveland scoring 120 points. Golden State simply didn't show up to play and basically threw in the towel in the 2nd half of that contest. I look for a completely different Warriors team to take the floor after getting embarrassed by 30-points. Keep in mind they held Cleveland to just 89 points on 38.1% shooting in Game 1 and 77 points on 35.4% shooting in Game 2. The defensive intensity is going to be there for both teams tonight and I wouldn't be shocked if we saw the lowest scoring game of the series so far. Either way the total is too high. Give me the UNDER 207! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (OVER 205)

Each of the first two games in this series have gone well below the total. As a result, oddsmakers have adjusted. The total for game 1 was 211.5 points, now it's just 205. The key here is we are getting a change of scenery with the series shifting to Cleveland. The Cavaliers were pathetic on offense in Golden State, but I look for them to come to life at home. Golden State's offense travels well and the defensive intensity for the Warriors isn't going to be as strong on the road, especially with a 2-0 lead in the series. Forget who will cover the spread. Give me the OVER 205! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

I'm expecting a pitchers duel in the nightcap of today's double-header between the Mets and Pirates. New York will give the ball to Jacob deGrom, who has a 2.62 ERA in 9 starts and is in good form with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Pirates counter with Juan Nicasio. He's got a less than impressive 4.25 ERA overall, but has a dominant 2.54 ERA in 5 home starts. Look for both teams to rest some regulars in this one, making it that much easier on these two starters. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 218) 

The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's highly anticipated Game 7 between the Thunder and Warriors. So far the UNDER has cashed in 4 of the 6 games. These two teams are very familiar with one another buy now and we know we are going to get a max effort here defensively. Golden State has adjusted and started playing a bigger lineup, which takes away from their offense. Add in the pressure of a Game 7 and the potential for Golden State to turn this into a blowout and I see big time value here with this high total. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* MLB Late Night Total Annihilator (OVER 7.5) 

I really like the OVER in tonight's contest between the Astros and Angels. Houston's Michael Fiers comes in with a solid 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts, but all 3 of those outings came at home. He's not been so good on the road, where he has a 5.25 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 2 starts. LA will send out Matt Shoemaker, who is coming off a rare good start last time out against the Orioles. Even after throwing 7 scoreless innings against Baltimore, Shoemaker still has an awful 8.31 ERA and 1.731 WHIP at home. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Dominator (OVER 196.5) 

Typically when we get this deep in a series the value is with the UNDER, but I don't believe that's the case at all in Game 6 tonight between the Raptors and Cavaliers. I know Cleveland struggled offensively in their two previous games in Toronto, but when locked in they have picked apart the Raptors defense. I look for the Cavs to have no problem eclipsing the 100-point mark in this one and Toronto should provide enough here offensively playing at home to push this well over the mark set. Give me the OVER 196.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 222)

I was on the OVER when it cashed in Game 3, but the value is now with the UNDER. This is arguably the biggest game of the series for both teams and that's going to lead to an all out effort on the defensive side of the floor. If the Warriors win, they take back control of the series. If the Thunder win, they have a commanding 3-1 lead, needing just 1 more win to advance to the Finals. Golden State isn't going to let OKC go off like they did in Game 3 and this one should be on line with Game 1 and 2, which saw 210 and 209 combined points. Give me the UNDER 222!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 220.5) 

Each of the first two games in the series have gone under the mark and we have seen the total drop considerably since Game 1 closed at 225. I believe that's created some value here on the OVER in Game 3, as the series shifts to OKC. The Warriors are going to get there's offensively and the Thunder should have a much easier time keeping pace on their home floor, where they are averaging 109.0 ppg on the season. OVER is 19-4 in the Warriors last 23 off a home win by 20 or more points and 8-2 in the Thunders last 10 after failing to cover their last game. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

The UNDER is worth a look here, as we should have a low-scoring game this afternoon between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out Max Scherzer, who is looking more and more like his old self with each start. Scherzer followed up his 20 strikeout performance with another great outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits with 10 K's in 6 1/3 innings at New York. Miami will counter with Adam Conley, who has a respectable 3.40 ERA in 8 starts and a 2.94 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 9-1-2 in Scherzer's last 12 starts during game 3 of a series and 16-5 in Washington's last 21 road games against a team with a losing home record. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 198.5) 

Game 2 was fortunate to go UNDER the total and that's going to have most looking to take the OVER in Game 3, but I think this will be the lowest scoring game of the series. With Toronto down 0-2 and returning home for the first time in the series, we can expect the Raptors to lay everything on the line and that means all out defensive effort. Cleveland is due for a bad showing offensively and with complete control in the series, I look for the Cavs offense to stumble a bit here. At the same time, Cleveland seems to be locked in defensively in the postseason and I expect another strong effort from them on that side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 198.5! 

50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) 

I really like the value we are getting with this total between the Rays and A's on Sunday. Oakland will have their ace Sonny Gray on the mound, who is coming off back-to-back bad outings. That is definitely playing a part in this high total, but I believe he poised for a big bounce back performance. He's definitely got the stuff and he's pitched well against the Rays in his career, posting a 2.81 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 5 starts. Tampa Bay will give the ball to Matt Moore, who has pitched well for the most part this season. Moore has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his 7 starts. UNDER is 12-1 in the Rays 13 games this season after a win, 16-4 in their last 20 against a right-handed starter and 14-5 in their last 19 at home. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 8) 

I'm taking the UNDER in Thursday's total between the Padres and Brewers. The books have simply set the mark too high for today's pitching matchup. San Diego will send out their ace James Shields, who despite a 1-5 record has a 3.60 ERA with 5 quality starts in 7 appearances. Milwaukee will give the ball to their ace in Jimmy Nelson, who has been especially tough to score on at home. Nelson is 7-2 with a 2.90 ERA in his last 12 outings at Miller Park. It's also worth pointing out that the UNDER is 10-1 in the Padres last 11 after playing 2 or more consecutive games on the road. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB Over/Under Total Dominator (UNDER 7) 

Today's matchup between the Rays and Mariners has a pitchers duel written all over it. Tampa Bay will send out their ace Chris Archer, who has been lights out of late. Archer has a 0.96 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Seattle's Taijuan Walker has been dominant in the early goings of 2016. Walker owns a 1.97 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 6 starts. Walker has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in an outing this year. UNDER is 15-3 in the Rays' 18 games this season against a right-handed starter and 5-0-1 in Walker's last 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7! 

40* MLB Late Night Total No Brainer (Mets/Dodgers UNDER 7.5) 

The books have set the total too high for tonight's matchup between the Dodgers and Mets. New York will send out one of their talented youngsters in Jacob deGrom, who has a 1.99 ERA in 4 starts. The Dodgers will give the ball to Alex Wood, who is keeping this total higher than it should be. Wood has a 5.18 ERA and 1.485 WHIP overall in 6 starts, but owns a 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his 2 starts at home. The Mets are also scoring just 2.2 runs/game against left-handed starters this season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (UNDER 199.5) 

The Cavaliers exploded for 123 points in Game 2, pushing the combined total well over the mark of  196. I believe that has created some great value here on the UNDER in Game, as the series shifts to Atlanta. Cleveland simply couldn't miss from the outside in Game 2, as they hit a NBA Playoff record 25 3-pointers. Over half the Cavs shots (45 of 87) were from long-distance and that's simply not a recipe for success, especially on the road. You also have to factor in that Atlanta is going to lay everything they have on the line defensively to avoid falling behind 0-3 in the series. I don't think Cleveland's defensive intensity will be lacking either. The Cavs are a team on a mission in the postseason. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 198.5) 

Game 1 of the Hawks/Cavs series went UNDER the total, as the two teams combined for 197 points. I expect an even lower scoring game in Game 2, as the Hawks know they have to slow down the tempo to have any chance of evening up the series at 1-1. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league when they want to be and now that they have an understand of what the other team wants to do offensively, I look for both offenses to struggle even more than they did in the series opener. UNDER is 10-1 in Cleveland's last 11 when playing only their 5th game in 14 or less days, 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 off a SU loss and 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 100+ points. Give me the UNDER 198.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (Red Sox/White Sox UNDER 8) 

Two of baseballs most efficient starters will face off on Tuesday in Chicago and my money is on this one going UNDER the mark set by the books. Boston's Steven Wright has a 1.37 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 4 starts, while the White Sox's Jose Quintana has a 1.47 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 5 starts. Quintana has yet to allow a run at home this season and has given up zero runs in his last 2 starts overall. UNDER is 25-9 in Chicago's last 34 home games after a win and 14-2 in Quintana's last 16 starts after 2 or more wins. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 8) 

The fact that this game is being played at Toronto's Rogers Centre has created some great value here on the total, as the books have inflated this line because of where the game is being played. What matters is the starting pitching matchup and we have a good one here with Jose Quintana going up against Marco Estrada. Quintana has a 1.82 ERA and 1.094 WHIP over 4 starts and Estrada enters with a 2.50 ERA in 3 starts and has yet to allow a run at home. UNDER is 12-3 in Estrada's last 15 starts after a loss and 13-2 in Quintana's last 15 starts after 2 or more wins. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 9) 

There's a reason the books have set a big number here on the total in the series finale between the Orioles and Royals. The wind is expected to be blowing out to left at around 20 mph. Normal pop flies are going to turn into home runs and I look for both teams to put big numbers on the scoreboard. It certainly helps that we have two offenses that are more than capable of scoring runs in bunches. Baltimore comes in averaging 6.0 runs/game on the road and have power hitters littered throughout their lineup. The Royals on the other hand should be able to take advantage of the Orioles' Mike Wright, who comes in with a 5.73 ERA and 1.364 WHIP. Wright has made one career start against KC and allowed 4 runs in just 5 innings of work. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 201.5) 

These two teams combined for just 171 points in Game 2 and I look for a similar low scoring contest in Game 3. The loss of Avery Bradley is big on the defensive end, but it's even bigger on the offensive end. Boston has shot 36.3% and 31.8% from the field in the first two games. Atlanta hasn't been much better at 40.7% and 39.0%. I look for the Celtics offensive woes to continue and with them down 0-2 in the series we can expect a max effort on the defensive side of the floor. Give me the UNDER 201.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 8) 

I really like the value here with the total in Tuesday's series opener between the Royals and Tigers. Detroit's Shane Greene was sharp in his first outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits with 7 strikeouts in 6 innings at Pittsburgh and has a 0.69 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City will send out Yordano Ventura, who has a 2.45 ERA in 2 starts, allowing just 3 runs on 6 hits in 11 innings of work. In Ventura's last two starts against Detroit, he's allowed just 1 run on 7 hits with 19 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 199.5)

I'm expecting a very low scoring game here between the Hornets and Heat in Game 1 of this opening round series. Both of these teams rank inside the Top 10 in defensive efficiency and are each in the bottom half of the league in pace. With the way teams turn up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball in the playoffs, points are going to be hard to come by for both teams. It's also worth noting that 3 of the 4 meetings between these two teams resulted in a combined score of 198 or less. Give me the UNDER 199.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 7.5) 

While this isn't a high-profile pitching matchup, I don't expect a lot of runs to be scored in this one. The Phillies will be sending out Jerad Eickhoff, who didn't have his best stuff and still only gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Keep in mind Eickhoff allowed just 3 earned runs over his final 4 starts of 2015 and pitched at least 7 innings in all 4 outings. He takes on a San Diego offense that has already been shutout 4 times this season. The Padres give the ball to Colin Rea, who was tagged for 5 runs on 6 hits and 4 walks in his first start, but that came at Coors Field against the Rockies. I look for a big bounce back performance here from Rea against the soft-hitting Phillies. Philadelphia has scored 3 runs or less in 6 of their first 8 games and are hitting just .224 as a team. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 7) 

I look for a low scoring game here between the Rangers and Angels. Both teams will send out their aces in this one. Both pitched well in their first start, but the real key here is how they have dominated the opposing team in this series. Cole Hamels has a 2.81 ERA and 0.688 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Angels, while Garrett Richards has a 2.98 ERA and 1.237 WHIP over 14 starts against the Rangers. Give me the UNDER 7! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 207.5) 

I'm expecting both teams to come out extremely motivated, as this is a statement game for both teams. There's a good chance that these two teams meet in the playoffs, so each will be looking to send the other a message. When Cleveland decides it wants to play, they can be a dominant defensive team and Atlanta has been playing exceptional on the defensive end for quite an extended stretch. The Hawks have held 5 straight opponents to 45% or worse from the field and are only giving up 97.6 ppg at home. UNDER is 17-7 in Cavs last 24 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Atlanta's last 9 at home and 4-0 in their last 4 at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the UNDER 207.5!

40* NBA No-Doubt Total Annihilator (UNDER 202)

I'm not expecting either team to crack 100-points in this one, making this any easy play on the UNDER with the total sitting over 200. New York is really struggling on the offensive end right now, as they have scored 93, 91 and 89 over their last 3 games. That doesn't figure to get any better with Kristaps Porzingis not expected to play. New York may also be without point guard Jose Calderon. Brooklyn will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights, so the legs simply aren't going to be there on the jump shots and should also have them looking to slow down the pace. New York doesn't like to push the pace either, so possessions will be limited. Give me the UDNER 202! 

50* NBA Sharp Money Vegas Top Play (UNDER 209)

The books have set the bar way too high for tonight's matchup between the Pelicans and Nuggets. It's well known that New Orleans is missing basically their entire starting lineup and then some due to injuries. That's had a huge impact on their offensive production, as they are averaging a mere 93.0 ppg over their last 5, well below their season average of 102.6. Denver isn't a great defensive team, but I do expect them to play hard, as they continue to cling on to the slim hope that they can make the playoffs. At the same time, Denver figures to play at a much slower tempo than normal. The Nuggets are not only playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this will be their 4th game in the last 5 days. I know this total has dropped quite a bit, but I still recommend the UNDER at the current line of 206.5 and will continue to recommend it unless noted here. Give me the UNDER 209! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 211) 

Both the Raptors and Thunder have been playing well on the defensive side of the ball coming into this game. Oklahoma City is allowing just 99.6 ppg over their last 5, while the Raptors are only giving up 97.0 ppg in their last 5. Both teams should bring the defensive intensity, given this is a big time matchup between two of the top teams in the league. UNDER is 15-5 in OKC's last 20 after scoring 110+ points in 3 straight games and 19-9 in their last 28 against the east. UNDER is 12-2 in the Raptors last 14 after a combined score of 105 or more in 2 straight games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games after 2 straight games where they made 9 or more 3-point shots. Give me the UNDER 211! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 214)

I don't see either team bringing the defensive intensity in this one. Washington comes in giving up 105.0 ppg on the road. I look for them to come out flat after a 2-day break and having to travel across the country for this matchup. Portland on the other hand will be returning home after a 6-game road trip and have a huge game on deck at Golden State. The Blazers have allowed 100+ in 10 of their last 12, including 116 or more in each of their last 3. OVER is 21-7 in the Wizards last 28 games when playing with 2 days of rest and 11-5 in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record. OVER is also 10-4 in the Blazers last 14 after a SU loss, 8-1 in their last 9 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 214! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 210) 

Portland scored just 93 points at Boston last time out and I look for the offensive struggles to continue. The Trail Blazers simply don't have any gas left in the tank, which is going to force them to play at a slower tempo than normal. Portland will be playing their 5th road game in the last 7 days. Keep in mind Toronto only gives up 96.6 ppg at home. I look for the intensity defensively to be there for both teams, which should have this going well below the mark. UNDER is 36-16 in the Raptors last 52 home ames with a total of 210 or more and 8-3 in the Blazers last 11 against the Eastern Conference. Give me the UNDER 210! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (UNDER 204) 

These two teams just played on 2/10, which the Hornets won 117-95 to send the game over the posted total of 201.5. Keep in mind that was the final game before the All-Star break for both teams and defense wasn't a priority with the long layoff on deck. Prior to giving up 114 in a loss to the Cavaliers last time out, Charlotte was allowing just 94.8 ppg over their previous 8 games. Indiana is a more than capable team defensively when they want to be and I'm confident the Pacers bring the intensity in this one. The average combined score in the Pacers last 93 games when revenging a home loss of 10 or more is 190.6. Give me the UNDER 204!