Taking the PIRATES here. Have to grab Nova at this price. Guy has been great so far this year. A 1.50 ERA so far including a .198 BA Against a WHIP of .75. He has been even better in road starts posting numbers of 1.06 ERA, .140 BAA and .47 WHIP in 2 complete games, 1 shutout. After last nights 7-2 loss, I expect the Pirates to generate some offense off of Tim Adleman. He has already given up 5 HRs in his 15 innings of work this season. 4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES

Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Just like Stroman more than CC. Haven't been on him all year, so I won't back him over the Jays. Especially with his 9.28 ERA in last 2 starts. Stroman is 5-2 2.17 ERA career vs NYY. 4* Money Maker

Taking the ROCKIES here. This is all about 'road' Chatwood. Guy is totally different pitcher on the road. Already in 2017, a 7+ ERA at home, 2.40 on the road. Last year, 4-8 6.12 ERA at home, 8-1 1.69 ERA on the road. Colorado 12-4 in Chatwood's last 16 on the road. Rockies 4-1 in his last 5 here in San Diego. This line is screaming to me to take SD with the Chatwood splits. But at such a small price, I will have to take the overall better team at this number. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES

Taking the INDIANS here. Have to grab Kluber at this price. Prior to last night, Tribe had won 8 of the last 10 in Detroit. Tigers are 1-9 in Verlander's last 10 starts vs the Indians, including 1-4 in his last 5 home starts. Cleveland has won 5 straight Kluber starts and is on a 20-9 run in the series overall. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS

Taking the BRAVES here. We backed Teheran in his rainout start, and will come to him at home. I will be totally honest. You give up 25 runs in a game, and you should be very pissed off. Part of me wants to unload on the Mets for that display yesterday. And albeit giving up 25 is obscene, this NY bunch has been under-performing through out the start of the season. Teheran has the numbers vs the Mets. And even if this line is a little short in my eyes, will have to lay it. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES

Have to say, I really don't like anything on the card today. Last night, 5 games, today, not so much. And truth be told on days like this, I would prefer a total pass. But a lot of you out there on my packages, even when I don't have something very strong, still want to here my thoughts on the day. Well, here they are -Thought about NYY on the RL with that terrible O's bullpen costing us a win. But not much of a return. Thought about Nova who has been pitching great. But I don't like backing teams when they steamroll an opponent the night before. And 12-2 is a true beating. Red Sox were a winner for us last night, and thought about an Over play in that match-up. Wright has been bad, and the Cubs hitters should work him over. 

But I have to settle on the PHILLIES and Zach Eflin tonight as an opinion play. Right off the bat, how in the heck is Brandon McCarthy a fave like this? Eflin has been solid in his 2 starts. 12 innings, 6 hits, 3 earned. Not getting hit around. And this Dodgers team has underachieved so far this year. As I am doing this write-up, the Phillies, who are on an 8-2 run their last 10, are up 2-0 in the 3rd. LA is 4-7 their last 11. No way I trust them laying this, so I'll just have to take a shot at the big pay-day. PHILLIES as a small opinion 1* selection 

Taking the ANGELS here. Part of me wants to take the home dogs for sure. I mean, Texas is 4-1 last 5 vs the Halos. They seem to win every series vs the Angels. We have LAA coming in off a night game flying across time zones. But then I see this line. We have a 3-8 road team favored, over a team with a winning home record. hmm. Now, most of you know that I would most certainly take a home dog over a small road fave. Heck. We are doing that with another premium pick tonight by not taking the Cubs and Jake Arrieta! Again though. I stick to something's that have proven to make me money year after year. And teams with losing road records, being favored, well, lets just say I really don't have to think twice. 4* Money Maker LAA ANGELS 

Taking the RED SOX here. Coming off b2b losses to the Yanks, Boston will look to take out some frustration the Cubbies and their old boss Theo Epstein. Look. I see this line and shake my head. Arrieta -Jake Arrieta - Cy Young, No-Hitter having 1.77 ERA in 2015, 18-8 last year, 426 strikeouts Jake Arrieta is a -120 fave over Drew Pomeranz? Drew Pomeranz who has 2, 2!! Winning seasons in his life 2-1 his rookie year 2011 with 4 games (4 starts) and 5-4 in 2014 with 20 games (10 starts). And yet we have this line. Maybe it's too good to be true. Cubs win 11-3. But odds-makers aren't into giving money away. Sign me up for the home dog. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX 

Taking the ORIOLES here. Have to fade the Yanks off their 2-game sweep of the BoSox. Let's be honest here people. New York./Boston is a huge series for both clubs. They don't like each other. I see a bit of let down for NY. Also. You know I am down on CC this year. He is going to implode. Orioles have plenty of bats in the lineup. Let's also not forgot Gausman. 6-3 2.24 career vs the Yanks. New York 2-8 in CC's last 10 starts vs Baltimore. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES 

Taking the MARLINS here. Tough to get in front of a Philly train that has won 5 straight. They are playing very good right now. Just feel that Volquez has a big bounce-back this afternoon. Also I am seeing the Philly opened as a near -130 fave and are now small dogs even with Hellickson really dealing right now. Sometimes we have to buck a trend. Might be worth a small sprinkle of RL +145/150 on Miami here. 4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

Taking the INDIANS here. I know it is tough backing teams that are in a funk. And Cleveland, having lost 5 of the last 6 at home fits that bill. Especially since Houston has run off 10 of 12 in the opposite direction. But have some nice numbers working in our favor. One, we have McCullers on the hill for the visitors. The guys splits work in our favor. Just 3-8 with 5+ ERA on the road in his career. While for the Tribe, Trevor Bauer has been fantastic vs the Astros. 5 starts, 5 wins an ERA of 1.97 with 38Ks in 32 innings. Houston just 5-11 last 16 here in Cleveland. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS

Taking the ROCKIES here. I really wanted to pull the trigger with Colorado as a big Game of the Week. This is a great scheduling spot for them. They are off a sweep of the Giants. They are sitting at home, comfy in their beds. And they are watching the Nationals play the Sunday Night game on TV. At best, Washington will be leaving NY by midnight. Flying cross-country, to face a red hot team that has reeled off 6 wins in their last 7 games. Nats, as I write this, up 4-3 over their hated rivals, Top 4. This could be an extra inning affair the way things are going. Give me the ever so small home pups. 5* Best Bet COLORADO ROCKIES

Taking the DIAMONDBACKS here. Tough to lay with Wood. I am not a fan of backing guys off injury plagued seasons. And frankly, LAD hasn't been all that good to start the year anyway. Arizona has played well at home (6-1) and I'll grab them as a small dog. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS 

Taking the GIANTS here. Don't get me wrong, we are big fans of Tyler Chatwood. Just, we like to back him away from Coors Field. The guys splits are crazy. But he has been true to form to start the year. 0-1 at home with a 6.75 ERA and 1-1 2.40 on the road. Last year, 8-1 1.69 ERA 14 starts away, 4-8 6.12 ERA 14 starts home. Cueto has success vs the Rockies going 8-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 13 starts, including, 4-1 2.43 ERA at Coors Field. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS 

Taking the RANGERS here. I do like Duffy. I think he is very good. And part of me would like to back him as a very short road fave. But it is very hard to win every game 2-0. KC off a nice win over MadBum. And I lost with them the night before 2-1 in extra innings. They are simply not producing any offense. As good as Duffy has been, he has had problems with Texas. (5.30 ERA 4 starts) This is not a play on Cashner by any stretch. Just think that until the Royals offense starts to come around, I will have to fade. Especially on the road where they are 2-4 to start the year. Rangers have won 4 straight here in Texas vs KC, and 6 straight overall in the series. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the RAYS here. Nearly pulled the trigger on the +170 RL with them. Ramirez pitched well at home last 2 years, and has continued to do so in his early 2017. He normally comes in out of the pen for TB, but has over 60 starts under his belt. Rays playing well at home at 6-2. I know its hard to sweep a team, but that was a brutal loss last night for the Tigers. Sign me up for more home team magic. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS 

Taking the REDS here. Like this youngster Garrett. Has 2 solid road starts under his belt. Still not a lot of tape on him. Should be able to mix things up vs the O's. And speaking of Baltimore, they wheel out Ubaldo Jimenez with his bloated 10+ ERA. He has averaged barely 4+ innings of work while getting battered around with a .385 BA Against and WHIP over 2. Give me the home team at nearly a PK'em 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS 

Taking the ROCKIES here. Dodgers are looking up at the division leading Rockies. Look. Ryu the better pitcher. You won't get any arguments out of me. But LAD has had their problems with lefties. At this price, we have to grab the dog. Ryu has been banged up the last 2 years. He is not 100% at all. Colorado has that old chip that rests firmly on their shoulder as LAD has won 6 of the last 8. Time for some payback. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES 

Taking the PIRATES tonight. Lost with these guys yesterday, but am coming back to the table for seconds. We also have under here since both teams aren't really tearing things up a the plate. I just still think that this STL team is playing some sloppy ball and getting zero bullpen help over the last week. Kuhl 2.56 road ERA in his 9 career road starts. Mike Leake does not impress me. The guy is barely hitting 88 on the gun. I know he has been amazing, but there is a big regression on the horizon. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH PIRATES 

Taking the ROYALS here. There are just some guys I refuse to back. Hello Matt Cain! Hammel is not any type of stud pitcher. You got me. But as I have said to start the year, Matt Cain is done. Send in the clowns. SF is sitting in the basement of the NL West. They have to fly to Kansas City for a 2 game set vs the AL Central? Then go Colorado to face the Rockies who they just lost 2 outta 3 to. Are they really 100% into this game or series? KC has won 4 straight. They have the old pep in their step, rally caps on, whatever you want to call it. As much as I dislike Cain, Hammel has been bad this year. But I think the KC offense carries the load for us tonight. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS 

Taking the BREWERS here. How can we not take this team right now? Cubs will be fine. They are winning 90+ games. But right now, they are pressing or whatever you want to say. No way that you will find me laying -180 because a good team is 'due.' The good team right now is in the visitors dugout. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Taking the TIGERS here. Like me some Fulmer. Kid was a nice guy to back last year. Tigers 20-6 in his starts. Against the Rays last year, 14 innings 21Ks and 1 earned. Not too shabby. He is looking to build off last year an is sporting a .92 WHIP in his first 2 starts. Andriese had a Spring to forget with an ERA approaching 7, 11 runs in 10.1 innings with 6 walks and 17 hits. That has carried over to his first 2 starts as teams are hitting him at a .292 clip. Detroit has won five straight at Tampa, and I expect more of the same tonight. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS 

Taking the PIRATES here. And how can we not? You can say, hey, they just swept the Cubbies. No way they win today. Well, why wouldn't they? These guys are playing great right now. And for me, trends like this are huge on the bases. I had STL with C-Mart. He was a strikeout machine, but also a walk machine. Toss in some errors and it's a bad day all around. But this Cardinals team has looked terrible in the field the entire Yankees series. Losers of 3 straight, 8 of 10, 9 of 12. Nova had a very good spring and has looked solid so far in his 2 starts of 2017. Lynn has a 4.74 ERA vs Pitt for his career. (5-5 19 games, 17 starts). STL has just one regular hitting over .250. Can't back a team in a slump like this. 4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES 

Taking the MARLINS this afternoon. Not a big fan of Harvey here. Clearly not the same pitcher. Straily hasn't been sharp so far, but had a nice stretch in 2016. Miami 5-1 last 6 vs Harvey. 4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

Taking the GIANTS here. This is what Chatwood has done his last 2 starts. Nearly identical numbers in both games. So we should expect 6 innings 7 hits 4 earned 2 HRs, 2BBs and 6Ks. - Last year, the guy was Dr Jekyl and Mr Hyde with is splits. 4-8 6.12 ERA at home 8-1 1.69 on the road. That is why we are looking at a near Pk here people.  Well Moore has a bit of that in him as well. He is on a tidy 5-0 run his last 5 at AT&T posting a 1.59 ERA going back to last year. He went 8 giving up just 3 hits to the DBacks on Monday. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS 

Taking the CARDINALS here. Clearly, CC has seen better days. If you had the big lefty with a 1.64 ERA in his first 2 starts, well take a bow. He gave the Yanks 4 really good years going 74-27 with an ERA around 3.20. Even year 5 at 14-13 4.78 211 innings wasn't horrible. Now the time has come to pay the piper on this contract. 3-4 5.28 (injuried) 6-10 4.73 29 starts, 9-12 3.91 30 starts. 2015 and 2016 couldn't get to 200 innings. Looking at this 1.64 ERA he has been lucky. In his 11 innings, 9 hits and 6 walks. That is what I call getting a bounce or 2. Sign me up on C-Mart. Last year on the road, 9-2 2.45 ERA (15 starts) - 2015 8-3 2.54 ERA (14 starts 15games). It is tough to fade NYY who have won 5 straight. But I just like this starter better. 4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS 

Taking the ROYALS here. Ok. This is more of a fade of JC Ramirez. Guy hasn't started a game ever in the majors, and last started in the minors in 2011. He isn't a huge strike out guy. I can't see him going more than 5 innings tonight. KC has limped out of the gate with limited hitting. But I think this Angels starter is a good remedy. Short price with the home team behind the lefty who had decent numbers (7-0 with a 3.57 ERA in 22 games  -15 starts) at home last year. 4*  Money Maker KC ROYALS  

Taking the ROYALS here. Yikes. Oakland has now won 8 straight vs KC including putting up a combined score off 55-13 last 6 here at Kauffman! But we have Jason Vargas - Off a gem first start striking out 6 over 6 against the Astros. Jesse Hahn last year posted an ERA over 13 in 4 road starts. Can't say he was sharp in Spring. He only had a 8.80 ERA 1.96 WHIP and a .352 BA against. I think the Royals snap out of their losing streak with a big home win tonight to avoid the sweep. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS 

Taking the BREWERS here. Maybe this is the year Jimmy Nelson has the big breakout. Don't be fooled by that 4+ spring ERA. .182 BA against and .92 WHIP shows me he had good stuff. He looked pretty good in his first start striking out 8 in 6 innings. You know I don't have faith in Bronson Arroyo. 4 innings 6 hits, 5 earned, 2 HRs, 3 BBs. Wow. Talk about filling up the stat line. You do know that Arroyo hadn't pitched since June of 2014 right! I know the Brewers aren't some juggernaught. But Nelson was one of the top arms in their system and is entering that breakout 27 age. Milwaukee being a small road fave tells me my line of thinking is correct. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS 

Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Ok. So I was thinking there is no way I can take the Jays. How can I grab a team on a 5 game losing streak, even if a small fave like this. Normally, against my better judgement. But I have to throw our hat into the ring here based on 1 thing. Kevin Gausman. Yes, he took a no-decision against these same Blue Jays on April 3rd. 5+ innings, 5 Hits 4 Ks 4 BBs and 2 earned. He skirted trouble. Which is easy when the lineup you face has 1 guy hitting over .250 - He has 7 walks in 10 innings this year. That is a recipe for disaster putting guys on base with really any MLB lineup. But I look at the road splits and have to fade the O's. Baltimore 8-22 in Gausman's last 30 road starts. 3-10 last year in 18 road starts. 1-6 the year before. At home, yeah, he's a playable option since he won't be laying a heavy number. On the road, fade train. Liriano comes in with an ERA of 135 and hitters are raking to a .750 clip! Ok, skewed numbers from a game where he lasted just a third of an inning with 3 hits and 4 walks 5 earned runs allowed. He pitched pretty good here in his 5 starts last season. 33Ks in 29 innings. A .200 BAA and 1.09 WHIP are respectable. So Toronto in off being shut out. Could be the worse offense in the AL right now. Pitcher off a nightmare start. What's not to like? 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS 

Taking ARIZONA here. Just like these guys right now. Winning 3-0 as I am writing this. Can't have faith in Cain, I said in his Game 1 write up. The guys workload has caught up with him. Injuries the last couple years. Shelby Miller was decent striking out 7 in 5+ after a terrible 2015. Sign me up with the small dogs. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

Will grab the ORIOLES at this price. Have to like what we saw out of Bundy in his first start. But to be honest, this is about having zero faith in Drew Pomeranz. Guy just never looked comfortable here last year. 6.43 ERA in 7 games, 6 starts with a .293 BA against. I did like his stuff in Oakland, and thought after putting up decent numbers in SD, it would translate with this Boston line-up. i just have hard time taking guys, especially when they are faves, in their first games back from injury. Stem cell injections in his elbow over the fall? Triceps strain after poor spring outings? Now facing a Orioles lineup that can crush it? I'll take a stab on the dogs here. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES 

Taking the DIAMONDBACKS here. I do like Matt Moore. Thought this was a nice addition to SF. But I can't fade this Arizona club right now. 6-1. Who saw that coming? They are really raking now and it's not like they are face a dominate arm that is going to hold them down. They are going to score at least 4-5 runs tonight. Walker was OK in his first start, 4 runs in 6 innings 7 hits and 7Ks. This is the same match-up from last week where Moore gave up 6 runs, but only 3 earned. Again. We know there will be plenty of scoring opportunities. Have to take the dog and the better team at this point. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS 

Taking the RAYS here. Had these guys to start the year vs NY, and will gladly take them as small dogs again. How the heck can you back Pineda? Guy hasn't won a game since last August! So maybe you have to take him based on the fact he's 'due' and that Tampa rocked him for 8 hits in 4+ innings on Wednesday. So maybe you think hey, how can a guy who pitches like Dr Jekyl and Mr Hyde be favored. Well, I will gladly fade that sort of thinking. Cobb had 2 pretty good years before getting injured. He didn't look to shabby out-dueling Pineda going 5+ and giving up only 4 hits. As I said for that game. Rays hit Pineda. Last year Rays belted him for a 7.30 ERA. And already hit this season. Cobb with a 2.63 in 4 career starts at NY. Clearly he will keep us in the game. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS 

Taking OAKLAND here. Will grab Graveman at this price. He didn't do too bad last year in back to back September starts vs the Rangers. He left in the 6th inning up 6-4 and the bullpen blew the game. A week later he had a perfect game through 6 innings. 4 hits including a Beltre 2-run HR later and he is on the receiving end of a 3-0 loss. Now on the flip side of that is Yu Darvish. He has fared terribly vs the A's. 3-9 in 14 career starts. A 4.64 ERA. Rangers are 1-7 in Yu's last 8 home starts vs Oakland and 3-10 last 13. The A's tagged him in this stadium for 7 runs on 7 hits in 5 innings last September. Dogs are worth a shot at this price. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's 

Taking the ROYALS here. KC finally in the winners circle after last night's win. Now, to be honest, I think KC will be selling off their veterans come July. But tonight, I think Duffy is worth a shot at this price. This kid is a tough lefty and I am expecting a break-out year from him. I think he is nasty enough to shut down this very good Astros team. He doesn't have to be perfect. That's because as good as Keuchel was opening day, can we completely trust that is back to 2015 form? KC raked him for 10 hits in 6+ last June. Tough to gauge that since Houston blasted Edison Volquez for 12 runs in an inning + of work. That being said, KC is just one of those teams that I will back early when getting a line like this. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS  

Taking the PIRATES here. We had a couple nice RL games on Thursday night, and I nearly pulled another +160 on Pittsburgh tonight. First, the Braves. They just lost red-hot Matt Kemp. That is a something this lineup will feel for sure. And then their is RA Dickey. Yes, we cashed with another old-timer, Bartolo Colon the other night. But I don't have that kind of faith in the old knuckle-baller. 21 runs in 23 spring training innings. I get that you are 42 and really have nothing to prove. But come on RA! Pirated counter with a youngster who I really like in Kuhl. His .185 BA Against and 1.02 WHIP were pretty solid in spring ball. His walks alarm me a bit. But I think the Pirates offense can offset him giving up a couple runs here. 4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES 

Taking the PADRES here. This is a straight up fade train on Matt Cain. The guy hasn't been good in 5 years. 2012 ended a great run for him. Let's forget for a second his horrible spring (7.82 ERA .343 BA Against). At 28, he finished up a string of 8 straight 200+ innings. That was bookend by 190 and 184. Is it shocked that at 30 he had chips removed from his elbow? Or that he hurt his forearm? Or his hammy has been DLing him? Why now after 3 years of injury is he going to pitch like it's 2013? Yes. It is ugly taking Perdomo and his 5+ ERA from last year. And, yes, like you, I look at the SD lineup and say, Who? But the youngster was sharp this spring. For whatever it's worth. Padres have been beating SF of late. 8 of 10 overall and 5 of the last 7 here at home. Both teams off losses as LA hammered SD early 10-2 (we cashed on the over), while Arizona (another winner we played) took care of the Giants late 9-3. Sign me up for the small home pups. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES 

Taking the DIAMONDBACKS here. Nearly just went +185 on the RL. This Giants team gets a lot of love. I get MadBum and Cueto at the top of a rotation will bring joy to many fans. But it is a drop-off after that. Enter Samardzija. For all his hype, he had a career high 12 wins last year. 12! Guy is an average pitcher at best. He gets shelled every spring. Now. I am a bit biased since I do like me some Robbie Ray. Kid is young, and can strike people out. Obviously got into trouble with the walks last year. Just think this Arizona team can hit a bit more than SF. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS 

Taking the REDS here. This is my standard fade Buchholz. Guys best days are clearly behind him. Was shelled for a 6+ ERA this spring. Sprinkle some ML +190 here also. Both of these guys are rebuilding. But I think the Reds have a little more pop to do some damage this afternoon. Philly 3-13 last 16 here. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS 

Taking the RAYS, again. Obviously not sold on these NYY starters. Pineda no different. He had an ERA near 5 on the road last year. Rays beat him up pretty good to the tune of 0-3 7.30 ERA last season. Cobb had a pair of nice sub 3 ERA season before getting hurt and missing 2015. He was shelled by NY in his 2nd to last start in September last year. But I think that had more to do with fatigue. He had pitched 3 solid games coming off that TJ surgery. A full off-season of work should have him rounding into form. 4* Money Maker TB RAYS 

Taking the BRAVES here. Now. I think these 2 teams will be in total opposite directions this year. And these pitchers are in 2 totally different spots of their careers. But something tells me Colon is ready for his old club tonight. I think deGrom is a legit Cy Young threat. Again though. This game just screams to me that the teacher beats the student. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES

Taking the MARLINS. Had these guys on Monday and they blew an early lead. Up 2-1 heading to the 7th and our pen couldn't hold on. I like this Straily kid. He was solid for me last year, especially when he took off in the 2nd half (10-2). Now Roark had a huge breakout year. Plus, a superb spring. But Miami hit him last year. Roark was 2-4 in 6 starts vs the Marlins with a 4.46 ERA. 4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

Taking the ROYALS here. Kennedy and KC are 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs Twins. I didn't think Minny would be very good this year, and they scored an opening day win on Monday busting out against the bullpen. I think the bullpen does not implode this afternoon. Kennedy will never be that 21-4 2.88 ERA guy he was in 2011. But the guy K's a man an inning. He had a very nice spring. At this price, worth the shot. Royals to me, are the better team. Can't see them getting stymied again (3 hits). Hector Santiago gives up hits, and walks guys. Everyone at 1-1 by the 4pm. KC 12-4 last 16 in Minny. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS 

Taking the CUBS here. Had STL on Sunday night, and we did get a bit of a scare. But a win is a win. Tonight we flip the script and take the road fave. Just a lot more confident in Arrieta than I am in Wainwright. Guy has had a great career, but last year he clearly showed he wasn't 100% back. And if spring is any indication, things will look tough here in 2017. 7.78 ERA - .338 BA against and 1.73 WHIP. Yikes. Cubs will muster runs tonight. Arrieta went 11-3 on the road last year. Add in 3-1 2.38 ERA in his 4 starts vs Cards last year. Think we have a winner. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS 

Taking TAMPA here. Almost want to pull the trigger on the +170 RL. We cashes on Sunday with the Rays, and will come back again tonight. CC had his 3 straight terrible spring. His 3.91 ERA was his lowest in 4 years. The guy has a ton of innings on him. He will be a 5+ innings guy and someone I will look to fade, especially at home when he will be a favorite. Odorizzi had a great 2nd half last year going 7-1 2.71 ERA after the All-Star break. He went 2-1 2.29 ERA .71 WHIP vs NY last season. Rays have gone 8-3 vs CC in his last 11 starts here at Tampa. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS 

Taking the ASTROS here. 2 years ago, Keuchel was a key cog in my fantasy baseball run to the top. He fell off a cliff last year trying to find the magic again. I think he puts these guys on top of the West this season. As for Seattle. They had some upgrades in the off-season. But let's be honest. King Felix is on the tail-end of a HOF career. He was pounded last year by these Houston bats. Everything about him is pointing to a downward trend. Give me the home faves. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS 

Taking the ROCKIES here. Sometimes early on, you have to jump on an opportunity. And that is what I think we have year. I think Milwaukee will be a bad team this year. I think the Rockies have talent and can at least be a .500 club. Guerra came out of nowhere to post a 2.81 (9-3) ERA last year. But his spring has been awful. And he is no spring-chicken as he is 32 after finally getting to the show. 25 y.o Gray is looking to build off a solid campaign. And he has a nice offense behind him. Story, CarGo, Blackmon, Arenado. I think we should up at least a 5 spot here. And our revamped pen should seal the deal. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO ROCKIES 

Taking the PIRATES here. Cole was banged up last year, but looks healthy and back to his 19 win form from 2015. I can't knock Porcello at all. Guy went 22-4 last year, 13-1 at home. But I like this Pirates team. I think they will be a wild-card team, and if the Cubs slip, might get past the World Series champs. A nice under the radar club for us to move on early in the season. 4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES 

Taking the MARLINS here. Have to grab Volquez at this price, are you kidding me? Strasburg was nothing special this spring. A 6.61 ERA with hitters clipping him to nearly a .300 average. I know it's only spring training. But he was injured last August. He is now pitching from the stretch all the time. Marlins have some hitters. At nearly 2-1, we have to grab the dogs here. 4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS 

Taking the CARDINALS here. Have to fade the World Series champs out of the gate for one. And 2, you know I love me some C-Mart. He is coming off a great spring. Lester not so much. 12 hits in 11 innings contribute to a 5+ERA. Will ride the hotter hand here. 4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS 

Taking the RAYS here. Both pitchers with nice ERAs vs the batters. Both had great springs. I just look at this line and it screams that they want everyone on NY here. 4* Money Maker TB RAYS

Opinion MIAMI MARLINS 

Opinion NY Yankees 

Opinion Astros 

opinion DETROIT TIGERS

opinion Red Sox

Taking the INDIANS here. How can I not take Kluber in this spot. Guy has a .89 ERA this postseason in his 5 starts. Truly one of the best performances on record. Can't say anything bad about Hendricks and his 1.31 post-season ERA. He has been almost as good as Kluber. I think the final piece for me getting on the Tribe here is the bullpen. We have a fresh Miller who has been terrific. Cody Allen hasn't given up a run. We can easily see these guys for 2 innings each. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the INDIANS here. Have to grab the home dogs here. I mean, they have defied all odds since the start of the playoffs. It's November. I expect the cold weather to limit the batters here, as you can see by our play on the under. Both bullpens have been great. Tomlin already has nearly 5 scoreless World Series under his belt. He has a 1.76 ERA this post-season. 9 hits in 15+ innings with 11 Ks. We know Arrieta won't get shelled, but can give up a couple runs on the road (3.59 road ERA). 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the INDIANS here. Have had these guys multiple times all post-season long. Won't shy away from them getting 2-1. Pressure all on the Cubs. They can act or say how they aren't feeling any pressure or whatever. Come on. Indians have been the underdogs since the start here. They are missing 2 starting pitchers. Their bullpen has been awesome. I can't knock Lester or the Cubs. Just at this price, how can we not take this Cleveland club? 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS

Taking the INDIANS here. Can't knock on Lester or the Cubbies here. MLB league lead in wins. He has a nice post-season career 8-6  2.50 ERA 19 games  (17 starts). The Indians had themselves a nice little season as well. And I will gladly grab Cory Kluber here at home. His first post-season coming along nicely as he is 3-0 .98 ERA with 20Ks in 18 innings. Indians haven't won the World Series since 1948. Now they would have some pressure to win it, but that won't be the case as the Cubs have a curse like nobodies business. So they pressure is on. Indians playing with house money. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the CUBBIES here. I know. I know. I said on my podcast I would probably be on Kershaw here. He has had a good postseason. But, I have to say this. The Chicago bats have totally surprised me the last 2 games. So that being said, I have to ride the bats in a match-up of these two pitchers tonight. Kyle Hendricks has been absolutely great at home. A 9-2 1.32 regular season here at Wrigley with a .86 WHIP. How can we not take him as a home dog when his hitters have erupted for 18 runs the last 2 games! 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS 

4* Money Maker LA DODGERS

4* Money Maker LA DODGERS

4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS

Taking the CUBS here. I am going to be honest. Part of me wants to take LA here. Chicago is really getting little production from the middle of their lineup. But at this price, I can't back Hill. Just not enough value there. Arrieta had another solid year, but it failed up to last years epic season. Again. This time of year I am looking for value with starters. And this a great price for one of the best in the game. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS 

Taking the INDIANS here. Had them last night, will grab them again to close things out. Not really much we can say here. Cleveland is just in that zone right now. Kluber is a nice solid arm to give us much needed innings today. But Tito worked the bullpen well yesterday and let's be honest here. If this is a close game in the 8th, they 'pen will step up. Just feel as if all the energy is out of the Jays here. A dog with an ace on the hill up 3-0? Sign me up. I should really be upping or wagering here since teams rarely come back from 3-0 holes. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the INDIANS here. Tough to not take a team that hasn't lost this postseason and getting this kind of number. We know we own the late innings. Stroman has pedestrian at best numbers at home with a 4.59 ERA. Bauer has a 3.67 road ERA this year. I'll take a shot with the big dogs. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

4* Money Maker LOS ANGELS DODGERS

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Taking the NATIONALS here. Now. Have to be honest. Part of me wanted to pull the trigger on LAD here. But I have a lot of faith in Mad Max. The guy is strikeout machine. We did fade him in Game 1 in part because he gives up HRs like crazy now. 2 in game 1! But I expect an adjust here. I have always taken a pitcher the next start against a team. Especially when it one of those series where they see each other a week later. Well. It is 4 games later for all the marbles to head to the NLCS. Every time this guy goes out you can see something special. I would be shocked if he didn't get a CG tonight. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS 

Taking the GIANTS here. Have to say, thought I was sitting pretty with the Cubs last night on our free pick video. That being said, who would have thought the Cubs would be the blowing late games? Didn't see that one coming. But I think that San Fran evens things up tonight. I know Lackey has a very good post-season pedigree. The numbers don't lie. They are what they are in the playoffs. But I am more concerned with his road splits. Pedestrian at best this year on the road. 4-4 in 13 starts and a 4.37 ERA. A far cry from the 2.32 ERA and .99 WHIP he put up at home. Moore comes in a winner in 4 of his last 5 starts. Noted, the Dodgers crushed him for 6 runs in an inning back on the 21st, but he rebounded a week later against them 1 run ball over 8. In those 4 other starts, he went 27.2 innings giving up 6 earned striking out 30 with 5 walks. We will be getting a Game 5. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 

Same as yesterday - Taking the INDIANS here. Had these guys Friday, and will look for them to take a commanding 3-0 lead. It is all about fading Buchholz. Which I have done on multiple occasions this season. Home split that sports a 5.60 ERA 2-7 record and .276 BAA. This is not where the Sox thought they would be and I think the youngsters might feel a little pressure. Tomlin will give up runs, but I think the way he has pitched his last 4 starts (25+ innings 20 hits) gives us an edge. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS

Taking the RANGERS here. Look. I can't knock the Jays as they steamrolled in Games 1&2. They send out Aaron Sanchez who went 15-2 3.00 ERA on the year. He had a higher ERA at home, 3.74, than on the road 2.48. I think that helps a bit. But to be honest, this a play on Texas. You don't win 95 games on a fluke. This is a good team. At this price, we have to take a shot on them. Colby Lewis has a 2.38 ERA in 9 post season games, 8 of which were starts. He also has a 2.75 road ERA in 9 starts with a .93 WHIP and .198 BA against. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the DODGERS here. I know that Kershaw doesn't have the best post season numbers. In fact, they are pretty bad overall. 2-6 4.59 ERA in 13 games, 10 starts. Maybe he is just worn down by the time October comes around. He was on the shelf and has a minimum of 10 starts off his arm. That can only help here. He gave up 2 earned in 21 innings in September after coming off the DL. Scherzer also with pedestrian numbers in post-season. 4-3 3.73 ERA in 12 games, 10 starts. I can't say you go wrong grabbing him as a dog. The guy struck out 284 hitters with a .97 WHIP and .199 BA against. But he has gives up HRs and that could be costly here. Nats will be without Ramos, and that is a .307 hitter with 22HRs out of the lineup. Harper I think is injured, or at least has nagging issues the entire season. Daniel Murphy and his .347 average is hampered with an upper leg injury. I think facing Kershaw, and this LA staff in general, you want your best as close to healthy as possible. Seager, Turner, Pederson, Grandal all hit more than 25HRs so I won't be shocked if one, or 2 go yard tonight. I think LA wins this series and has a good shot at a World Series appearance. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS

4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the GIANTS here. Ok. Have to grab Bumgarner at this price. I like Thor. I have said it on my podcasts and in my write ups. Terry Collins did a hellavu job getting this team to the wild card. I am not going to list their starting P's who went down. Or every position player that turned up on the DL. He did a great job. The Giants haven't played well the 2nd half of the year in my eyes. I was really waiting for them to take off. They are in the hunt though. I am not worried about their poor bullpen since Bumgarner will most likely go the distance if he is winning. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 

Taking the ORIOLES here. Stroman has a 7.04 ERA vs Baltimore in 4 starts this season. Tillman quietly went 16-6 doing absolutely nothing sexy. But he sports a great road split of 8-3 2.97 ERA in 14 starts with a respectable .219 BA against and 1.13 WHIP. We know that both teams possess deep HR power lineups. We will probably see some runs, but in the end, the O's bullpen will be the difference maker. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE ORIOLES 

4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH PIRATES

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES

4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH PIRATES

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Taking the WHITE SOX here. Sox streaking, Rays free falling. Tampa has dropped 6 straight, 9 of 10 and 10 of 12. Archer looking to avoid 20 losses on the year, but brings a 5.54 road ERA to the hill tonight. He has pitched better in September, but at this price, I will still fade him. Sox will want to get to .500 and avoid a losing season. Jose Quintana gives us a great shot tonight. You can nearly set in stone his games. The guy is good for 200+ innings and a low 3 ERA. We will get about 7 from him tonight with limited run damage. His home splits are very good as he has gone 7-4 2.76 ERA with a .93 WHIP. Chicago 5-2 last 7 in the series and get the sweep tonight. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS 

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES