*4 Star Big 12 Total* The Kansas State Wildcats offense has been a lot better than expected so far this year. They have a passing game that has seen quite a bit of success in recent weeks. Kansas State is a top ten ranked offense by advanced metrics. Oklahoma's air raid attack has been very successful this year except for their last game, a loss against Texas. Kansas State's defense is banged up, and they aren't as talented as they have been in recent years. Even in the past couple years when Oklahoma wasn't playing an uptempo offensive style, the game between these two teams has finished at 72 and 61 points. This one should be a close one all the way, and the chance of overtime is another benefit to the over. Take the over here. 

*3 Star Michigan State/Michigan MONEY* The Michigan Wolverines defense hasn't allowed a single point in their last three games. They have allowed a grand total of 14 points in their last five games! This defense is playing better than anyone else in the nation, and it isn't even close. Michigan State's defense is still solid, and their defensive line has a huge advantage over Michigan's offensive line. Look for the Spartans to get in the Wolverines backfield a lot in this game.

As good as Michigan's defense is, I believe their offense still has a lot to prove. Jake Rudock is nothing more than a game manager. Michigan State is going to try to make him beat them through the air. Connor Cook doesn't have enough weapons around him on offense this year. 

Both of these teams play very slowly. In fact, they are both in the bottom 20 in the nation in pace of play. A lot of running clock and solid defense throughout this one. Take the under. 

*4 Star MAC Totals TKO* The UMass Minutemen rank in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace of play. UMass is going to get snaps off quickly and look to put up a big number. Blake Frohnapfel is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He has a nice group of receivers led by Tajae Sharpe. UMass has an offense that should be able to score quite a few on almost every defense in the MAC. The UMass defense is one of the worst in the country. Kent State has struggled on offense this year, but they should look better in this one against a bad defense. Kent State is moving quicker on offense than last year as well. Take the over in this contest. 

*3 Star CFB Total VALUE* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a hard nosed team that battles on every down. They aren't the most talented team, but they'll work as hard as anyone. Nebraska has had several really tough losses so far this year. The Cornhuskers don't seem a like team that comes in with much confidence. Minnesota's offense hasn't been able to do much at all against quality opponents this year, and Nebraska should slow them down. On the other hand though, I see Minnesota's defense doing a good job slowing down Nebraska's mediocre offense as well. This line has been bet up during the week, which gave us enough value to play this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star Alabama/Texas A&M Totals CASH* The Texas A&M defense has been a lot better this year, but they still aren't an elite unit. Texas A&M's defense is extremely aggressive with blitz packages, and I have to think that Alabama is going to be ready with some screen passes and quick slants to beat that blitz. Coker has been playing better of late, and Alabama's running game is good. On the other side, Texas A&M has a tremendous amount of skill position talent. The Aggies receivers hold a big advantage over Alabama's defensive backs. I see Texas A&M putting up a real fight in this one, and I think they can create a bunch of big plays on this Crimson Tide secondary. A back and forth game. Take the over. 

*3 Star Big 10 Total Takedown* The Northwestern Wildcats have been a terrific under team for a long time now. Northwestern was absolutely crushed by Michigan last week, but the Wildcats should bounce back with a much better effort in this one. Pat Fitzgerald's defense is very good, and Iowa's offense isn't going to be able to run it down their throat all game long like they have with other opponents recently. These two teams are both stronger on the defensive end than they are on offense. 

The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is 23-6 in Northwestern's last 29 home games. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The South Florida Bulls and the UConn Huskies have a lot in common. Both teams have an offense that has struggled the majority of the year. USF's offense looked good last week against Syracuse and UConn's offense looked good last week against UCF. I think those performances last week got us some extra value on the under in this one. Both UCF and Syracuse are bad defensively right now, so these two offenses were able to take advantage. They'll face a much better defense here.

In addition, both of these teams play very slowly. They run the ball a lot and use up the play clock in between snaps. This can really shorten a game, and I look for this when looking to play an under. In the past 5 years, these teams have played five times and none of the games have finished with a total higher than 35 points. My number for this game was 38, which is much lower than this posted total.

The under is 3-0-1 in USF's last 4 after an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 rushing yards or less. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 24-0 angle. Take the under big! TOP Play of the Week.

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The BYU Cougars and East Carolina Pirates both play very quickly. That means we will see a lot of snaps in this one. While East Carolina's defense isn't as bad as it was a few years ago, it still isn't very good. BYU used to have a dominating defense, but they are only average on defense now. Tanner Mangum has been great in the BYU offense. East Carolina has a balanced attack and they have gotten good quarterback play this year as well. I think this game gets into the 60's.

The over is 4-0 in ECU's last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. an independent team. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more of total offense. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* This is a game where I believe Louisiana Tech's physical defense can slow down UTSA's offense. Neither team plays very fast, so this is a pretty high total in these circumstances. This line has moved down throughout the week and I had this number at 56, so at the current price I would have passed on this one. Take the under if this line is 58 points or higher. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arizona Wildcats get Anu Solomon back this weekend, and that will make a huge difference for the offense. Solomon is a great young quarterback and paired with Arizona's strong running game, he makes this offense tremendous. Oregon State has no answer for the Arizona offense. Scooby Wright is one of the nation's best defensive players, but he's out of the lineup for Arizona. The team's second best linebacker is also out of the lineup. Seth Collins is quickly improving in the Oregon State offense. Arizona's defense has looked really bad in recent weeks.

The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total DOMINATION* The Wisconsin Badgers offense is a mess right now. Wisconsin doesn't quite have the offensive line they have had in recent years. They had one star at running back in Corey Clement, but he is out with an injury. The Badgers depth in the backfield is far weaker than it has been in the past. Nebraska's defense is good enough to load the box and force Joel Stave to beat them. Stave isn't good, and Alex Erickson is currently listed as doubtful. Erickson is the team's only playmaker at wide receiver. The Wisconsin defense is tremendous and I don't see Nebraska scoring too many here. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play CFB Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have a tremendous defense this year. They are ranked in the top five in the nation in every major defensive category. Boston College had a bad offense to start with, and now they are playing without their starting quarterback as well as their starting running back. Wake Forest is developing into a very nice defense under the leadership of Dave Clawson. Wake Forest still has a bunch of problems on offense. Here is two teams that are light years better on defense than offense. This is certainly a low number, but I think this is a very sloppy game that stays under.

The under is 5-0 in Boston College's last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The under is 11-1 in Wake Forest's last 12 October games. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* Light up the scoreboard in a big way for this one. Two of the top ten fastest paced teams in the country meet here, and both of these quarterbacks should have a huge game. Matt Johnson and Blake Frohnpafel both have a lot of playmakers to work with, and both of these defenses are just awful. In last year's meeting Bowling Green won 47-42. The Falcons had 668 yards of offense and UMass had 638! That's truly amazing,  and I think we'll see something similar in this game. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected it. I would currently play it for a 3 star play. Thank you.* 

*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense racked up more than 700 yards in a loss to Middle Tennessee State last week. Western Kentucky's offense is led by senior quarterback Brandon Doughty. Doughty is the type of guy who spreads the ball around and gets rid of it quickly. They play an uptempo style and they'll keep the game moving here. MTSU has gotten great quarterback play from Stockstill as well, and this Western Kentucky defense still isn't good. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected this one earlier in the week. I would currently play this for 3 stars instead of 4. Thank you.*

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The UTEP Miners are an under team in my book right now. Aaron Jones was a great running back for the team, but he's out with an injury. They are also without their starting quaterback. FIU doesn't have much of an offense, but they do have a solid defense. I don't expect to see UTEP scoring much here. Also important in this one is the fact that both teams like to use a lot of play clock between snaps. A conservative game plan as well as some solid defense and bad offense makes this a big play on the under. *Note- this line has moved down since I selected it early in the week. At anything less than 45.5 would play for 4 stars, and 44.5 or lower I would play for 3 stars. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB Under the Radar Total* The UTEP Miners lost both their starting quarterback and running. UTSA returned 3 starters from last year's offense. These are two offenses in a lot of trouble right now. UTEP had a nice blueprint for winning games last year, and Sean Kugler has done a great job with this team. The problem is the blueprint was run the ball early and often with Aaron Jones, their running back, and now he is out for the year. No one else on the team is even close to as talented as him. UTEP will still try to run the ball, but they aren't likely to be nearly as successful. Both of these teams take a lot of time between plays which is important in a game with a relatively high total. Take the under. *Note this line has moved down a bit during the week. I would play this down to 56 points for 3 stars. Thank you*

*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff under center. Sonny Dykes' system is perfect for a guy like Goff who can get rid of the ball quickly and spread the ball around to a bunch of different receivers. Cal ranks in the top five in the nation in terms of pace. Washington State isn't the type of team that will slow a game down. Mike Leach's offense is all about airing it out and playing with pace. Washington State's defense is among the worst in the nation among Power 5 conference teams (it may be the worst). When these two met last year I had the over and the game finished 60-59. While it's hard to expect that high of a game, I do think this sails over. I have this line at 79 points and I think that is being conservative. Big play for me here. Take the over big! *Note- This line has moved since I played it early in the week. I would play this for 5 stars up to 73 points and 4 stars up to 76. Thank you.*

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense is tremendous. Brandon Doughty is definitely one of the best quarterbacks in the country. It helps him that he has a tremendous deep group of receivers as well. The Rice defense has been exposed all season long. Last week they gave up 70 points to Baylor. Now, I'm not going to pretend that Western Kentucky has an offense like Baylor's, but it is very good. Rice will move the ball and score a lot too though. The Owls have a good veteran quarterback and they are up against a Western Kentucky defense that has been horrible in each of the past two seasons. 

The over is 4-0 in W Kentucky's last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games after giving up 450 yards or more. The over is 8-1 in W Kentucky's last 9 after giving up 280 yards or more through the air. A 20-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have improved this year. Dave Clawson is a good coach, he just doesn't have much talent to work with in Winston Salem. Wake Forest will play hard though. The under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games. This is a team that can be very tough to score on, but Wake Forest has a very bad offense. Florida State's defense was disappointing last year, but they have been very good this season. The hurricane will be felt here with winds and heavy rain throughout the day. That should make for a very conservative game plan for both teams. Look for a lot of running the ball which keeps the clock ticking. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB MAC Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes have a terrible offense and a decent defense. Miami is just a bad team overall. Miami is playing three different quarterbacks, and none of them have been any good. The weather is going to be a problem in this game with 20 mph winds and rain expected at gametime. That means more running from two teams who aren't good at running the ball. Miami won't score many points on anyone on the road this year, and Kent State's offense isn't good enough to expect a big win from them. Low scoring games have been the norm in this series. Take the under. 

*The line has dropped here due to the weather, but at 45 points or higher I'd still take this for 4 stars. Below that, I make it a 3 star play. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* Here we have a battle between two teams who play very similar styles of football. They both like to run the football and win with time of possession and defense. Wisconsin's defense has been great since they were a little shaky in week one against Alabama. Iowa's defense has been very solid as well. Without Corey Clement, the Wisconsin running game certainly isn't as strong as it has been in the past. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback, and Iowa will try to make him beat them with his arm. Iowa is unlikely to have much offensive success here against a Wisconsin defense that always play very well at home. Both teams play slowly, so we'll slow a lot of long and slow drives. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Virginia Tech Hokies defense should be very solid this year. Kendall Fuller going down with an injury definitely hurt them, but the Hokies still have a good secondary. Pittsburgh is unlikely to be able to consistently move it through the air here. Pittsburgh's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi as their head coach.

Another big reason to like this play is the weather. With a hurricane not far away, wind and heavy rain is expected on Saturday afternoon in this game. Two teams that are quite conservative to start with will likely be running the football even more here. An ugly low scoring game is what I see for this contest. Take the under. 

*This line has dropped big in the last couple days due to bad weather in the area. I would play this for 3 stars at the current level. Thank you.*

*3 Star SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense has been a total disaster this year. On the other hand, Missouri still has a good defense. The Tigers will be playing with a new quarterback in this one as Mauk is suspended for the game. South Carolina has a freshman quarterback who has proven nothing playing on the road in a difficult environment here. Missouri's pass rush should make him very uncomfortable. There's no doubt that both offenses are worse than they have been in the past few years. Even in the last three years though, the total at the end of regulation was 41, 34, and 41 points. I don't think either team finds the end zone much here. Take the under. 

*3 Star West Virginia/Oklahoma Totals CASH* The Oklahoma Sooners chose to switch up their offense entirely in the offseason, and it has worked beautifully. The Air Raid system with Lincoln Riley as the offensive coordinator and Baker Mayfield at quarterback has been tremendous right away. Oklahoma is averaging 41.3 points per game. West Virginia is unbeaten as well coming into this one. I do like this West Virginia team, but I think their defensive numbers are being artificially propped up because of their extremely weak early season schedule. Maryland is the worst team in the Big Ten right now. Georgia Southern is a Sun Belt team. Liberty isn't even an FBS opponent. Oklahoma should score quite a few here. The Sooners put up 45 on West Virginia in Morgantown last year, and that was before their improved offense under the Air Raid.

West Virginia has a good balanced offense that should score on just about everyone they play this year. Oklahoma has a good defense, but they gave up 38 points against Tulsa, so they are definitely capable of getting beaten by the opposing offense. With both of these teams playing as fast as they do, a total of only 59 points is low. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves met at the end of last season in a bowl game. Toledo won that game 63-44. It's odd to see a total this much lower after a game like that. Toledo's defense is definitely better than it was last year, but Arkansas State has been able to move the ball against everyone they play this year. Blake Anderson's Arkansas State always pushes the tempo and Toledo is playing at a faster pace so far this year. There should be a bunch of snaps in this one, and both teams have a lot of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Take the over here. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Selection* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a way of making games very high scoring. I won my college football game of the year last weekend with the Western Kentucky over against Indiana. Brandon Doughty and this offense can throw at will against mediocre defenses, and Miami's defense is far worse than mediocre. Western Kentucky should be able to name their score here. At the same time, Miami found something on offense last week against Cincinnati, and this Western Kentucky has a way of making just about everyone's offense look good. Take the over. 

*4 Star Tennessee/Florida Total* The Florida Gators still have an elite defense. Florida is also still offensively challenged. They scored 14 points in a titanic struggle of a game against Kentucky last weekend. Of course, Florida only allowed 9 points in that one and they won the game. Tennessee played Western Carolina last week. The Volunteers need to prove they can bounce back from their disappointing home loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago. The Volunteers are improving defensively. I don't see either offense having consistent success throughout this game. Take the under.

*Note- this line has moved since I selected it early in the week. I would recommend this as a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play down to 46 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Golden Gophers could only muster 10 points against a terrible Kent State defense last week. Ohio is a much better team than Kent State. The Bobcats could give Minnesota a really tough time on Saturday. Minnesota's defense is scrappy, and I don't think Ohio will score many points here either. This is the type of game where viewers will likely be disappointed because of the sloppiness of the game, but under bettors should cash in. Look for a field goal battle and a game that finishes well below the posted total.

The under is 5-0 in Ohio's last 5 after gaining 280 yards through the air. The under is 8-1 in Ohio's last 9 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 8-1 in Minnesota's last 9 after allowing 170 or less yards through the air. A 21-2 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Wyoming Cowboys and the New Mexico Lobos have something in common: they both have an awful defense. Wyoming hasn't been able to stop anyone all year, and New Mexico's unique pistol/option offense will be a big challenge for them. Wyoming has a decent running game, and New Mexico is terrible at stopping the run. The last two years these teams have played to a 38-31 and 36-30 final.  Usually a lot of running is good for the under, but in this case I don't think it is since both run defenses are terrible. I expect this one to get into the 60's as well. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Art Briles hasn't been happy with the Baylor Bears play so far this year. Baylor hasn't had the same type of killer instinct they had in the last couple years. After a week off last week, I think there's a good chance they come out ready to play here. Rice has a bad defense that is especially weak in the secondary. Baylor has all the weapons to expose that problem. Baylor scored 59 points or more seven times in 2013 and four times last year. I think they have a good chance to do it here. Baylor's defense hasn't looked good so far this year, and Rice should be score to get on the board a few times in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Boston College Eagles offense wasn't good at all to start the season. Now, they have to play the rest of the year without their starting quarterback. Starter Darius Wade was lost for the season. Steve Addazio has said he hasn't decided who will start on Saturday. That usually isn't a good sign. Boston College has very little talent to work with on offense overall. At the same time, Addazio's teams always play some very good defense. Northern Illinois showed how good they can be on defense last week in Columbus against Ohio State. It's hard to imagine either team getting past 20 points or so here.

The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in BC's last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the MAC. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The South Carolina Gamecocks aren't even close to the same team they were a couple years ago. The exact same thing can be said of the UCF Knights. Both of these teams have been terrible so far this year. The primary problem for both of these teams is their offense. I expect that to continue this weekend. Both of these teams have good coaches and I think they'll work hard this weekend. The problem for these two is they have a major lack of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Look for a lot of long drawn out drives that fall short of the end zone.

The under is 7-0 in the Knights last 7 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the SEC. The under is 6-0 in S Carolina's last 6 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals Cash* The Pitt Panthers offense isn't nearly as good without Conner running it in the backfield. Tyler Boyd is the main playmaker now, but Iowa has some good shutdown corners. Pitt's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi running the show. Both of these teams take a very long time in between snaps. That means we won't see many possessions in this one, and with defenses that are strong against the run, I don't see many points here. Take the under.

*Note- the line has moved since I selected this one early in the week. I would play this for a 4 star rated play down to 48 and a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you*

*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Oregon State Beavers offense has 12 yards in the final three quarters against Michigan last weekend. Gary Andersen has very little to work with on offense. San Jose State's defense isn't great by any stretch, but they should look decent against Oregon State's offense. The Oregon State defense is bigger in the trenches than San Jose State is accustomed to playing against. San Jose State needs to be able to run the football to have any consistent success on offense. I don't see them being able to run the ball on Oregon State here.

The under is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 19-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has been awful this year. Maxwell Smith hasn't worked out as quarterback, and opponents are just stacking the box to stop Donnell Pumphrey and the running game. South Alabama lost nearly their entire team from last year, and they are going to have a long season. They will still play hard though, and this SD State offense only put up 7 points against a subpar Cal defense last week. San Diego State plays at a very slow pace, which certainly helps, and as much as they run the ball, the clock will be ticking. Both of these teams have been far better on defense than offense thus far.

The under is 6-0 in San Diego State's last 6 September games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Washington Huskies are much less talented this year, but Chris Petersen's team is still solid on the defensive end. Petersen's teams always play hard for the full game, and Utah State's offense hasn't shown anything this year. They didn't even score an offensive touchdown against Southern Utah in their season opener. Last week the Utah Utes defense shut them down. On the other hand, Washington's offense is ugly and the Utah State defense is extremely good. Utah State has terrific linebackers who serve as the leaders to this unit. This one should be close and low scoring all the way. Take the under. 

*The line has moved since I selected this one Monday. I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 43. Thank you.*

*6 Star Rated TOP Total of the YEAR* The Indiana Hoosiers and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are very similar teams. They both like to get off as many snaps as possible, and they both love to air it out early and often. Additionally, both of these teams play next to zero defense. These teams are both going to rank in the top 15 or 20 in the country in terms of pace, and they'll definitely both rank near the bottom of the country in defense. Brandon Doughty is the one of the best under the radar quarterbacks in football, and Indiana can't get any pressure on opposing quarterbacks. He'll have time to pick apart this secondary.

Western Kentucky scored 44.4 points per game last week. Western Kentucky allowed 40 points per game last week. Indiana has allowed 33 points per game or more in each of the last five seasons. The Hoosiers had no quarterback last year so their offensive numbers weren't good, but with Nate Sudfeld back under center this team is much better on offense. 

Huge play for me on this one.. I won't have a totals release stronger than this all year. Take the over big! 6* TOP Total of the Year *Please note- My line on this total is 85 points. I like this for a 6 star rated play all the way up to 75 points. Thank you*

*4 Star Ga Tech/Notre Dame Total* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the football on nearly every down. Notre Dame will likely be running the football more often than normal with a new quarterback under center. The clock should be ticking almost the entire game here. Georgia Tech always takes their time between snaps, and Notre Dame won't play fast with a new quarterback either. This Notre Dame defense should be very good against the run this year with an elite defensive line. Look for long drives that eat up the clock. Take the under. 

*Note- The line has moved since early in the week when I selected this play. I would play this for 4 stars down to 55.5. I would play this for 3 stars down to 54. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles are giving up an eye popping 6.66 yards per carry so far this year. The Ball State Cardinals have the single best offensive line in the Mid American Conference. Ball State is going to run for a bunch of yards in this game. Ball State's defense was torched by VMI in their season opener for more than 500 yards, so they have lots of defensive issues as well. In the past five years, these teams have played to the following final scores against each other: 41-38, 33-31, 37-26, 51-20, and last year 45-30. 

Eastern Michigan's backup quarterback looked better than their starter in last week's huge win at Wyoming. Don't be surprised if Ball State runs for 300 yards or more here. A lot of scoring. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Over* The Bowling Green Falcons and Memphis Tigers play football the same way. They both play uptempo and look to keep the defenses off guard. I expect both defenses to be winded and struggling late in the game here. Memphis was a good defense in recent years, but they returned only 3 starters on defense from last year. Bowling Green's defense has been awful since Dino Babers arrived at the school. Matt Johnson and Paxton Lynch are underrated quarterbacks who will have big days here. Take the over.

*Note- the line has moved significantly since I played this on Monday.My number in this one is 84 points. I would play for 5 stars to 77 points and for 4 stars to 79.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* I took the under in the FIU vs. UCF game last Thursday night and watched the entire game. The under cashed and UCF's offense looked absolutely awful. The Knights are now up against a much better Stanford defense. Stanford also comes into this game ticked off after being upset by Northwestern. The Cardinal are a team that slows the game down and runs the football a lot. UCF is the same way. Both of these teams have a bunch of question marks on offense, but they are very good defensively. 

The under is 5-0 in UCF's last 5 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 during September. The under is 17-5 in Stanford's last 22 overall. The under is 27-8-1 in UCF's last 36 September games. A 53-13 trend. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total Takedown* The Temple Owls had one game vs. an FBS foe go over this posted total last year. The Owls defense totally dominated Penn State last weekend. Cincinnati will have more success, but they shouldn't score a bunch like they will against most teams this year. Temple's offense still has a lot of question marks and they should run the ball often and use up the clock. The line move up made this one go into the play range for me. A game with a posted total of 55 where Temple is involved is almost always going to be an under bet for me. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Memphis Tigers are a different team than they have been in the past. Justin Fuente's team has been all about defense in the past, but they return only three starters on defense this year. Memphis does have a veteran offense though, and with superb quarterback play from Paxton Lynch, I expect Memphis' offense to be very good. The Tigers are pushing the pace a lot more this year. Kansas is a terrible team overall, but David Beaty is working on getting this team to play much faster. The Jayhawks are going to give up a bunch of points against everyone this year. They allowed 41 in a loss to South Dakota State last week. Both teams are playing fast and both teams have question marks on the defensive side. I've had this game circled since before the season started. Take the over big! CFB TOP Play of the Week. *Note- This one has moved a lot since I first posted it, but I did make this total 68, so I still like it as a 5 star play up to 63*

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Wyoming Cowboys lost 24-13 at home against North Dakota in week one. It will be a long year for the Cowboys. Eastern Michigan was beaten in week one by Old Dominion. Neither of these teams are going to be good this year, and both have tons of question marks on offense. Eastern Michigan's best player is their quarterback, and he is injured and questionable to play here. Even if he plays, I like this one, but I like it even better if he doesn't. Both teams play very slowly and run the football a bunch. This should be an ugly game that stays under the total. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB Hidden GEM TOP Total* The Washington State offense is known for their ability to throw it against anyone. Rutgers is now without five of their top six players in the secondary after suspensions and injuries. Falk is expected to start here at quarterback for Washington State and I expect him to have a field day against this Rutgers secondary. The Cougars will push the tempo as they always do. Rutgers should have no trouble moving the football here either. Washington State's defense is one of the very worst in the nation. Rutgers put up 41 points against them last year (a 41-38 final in Pullman, Washington). I think this one has a very good chance to top the 70 point mark, which is why I like this total so much. Take the over big! 

*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers had a dominant defense last year. They returned only three starters this year on defense, and this unit is way down from last season. On the offensive side, Clemson should be better this year with a healthy Deshaun Watson under center. Watson has a ton of talent and the Tigers will run a fast paced offense all year. Appalachian State has some playmakers on offense and I think they can move the football in this one. Clemson will let up late as they have a big game coming up on Thursday night and they'll want to rest. That should allow Appalachian State to score more late. I think this one gets into the 60's. Take the over. 

*5 Star NCAA FB Week One TOP Rated Play* The Wisconsin Badgers and Alabama Crimson Tide meet in Arlington for a week one huge clash. Wisconsin was thumped at the end of last year by Ohio State and then turned things around to upset Auburn in their bowl game. Alabama came up just a bit short against Ohio State in the playoffs. These are two teams who have a great tradition, and this game should be a good one.

When I look at these two teams, I see two teams who likely won't be able to throw the football much at all. Wisconsin won't even try to throw it much with a poor QB in Joel Stave and very few good receiving options. Alabama's QB situation isn't good at the start of the year either. Both teams have a strong offensive line though and good running backs. While Melvin Gordon Jr. is gone, Corey Clement will be good for the Badgers. Henry and Drake are two good runners for Alabama. 

Paul Chryst is the new top man at Wisconsin, and he will want to run it even more often than Gary Andersen did. Alabama has ranked in the bottom few teams in terms of pace of play for the last few years, and I think Wisconsin will this year as well. 

What does all this mean? It means that the clock will be running a lot thanks to constant running of the football. Neither team will be looking to snap it quickly at all. Both teams also have good defensive coordinators who know the opposition will be looking to run it all the time. I think we see a lot of long drives eating up a bunch of clock. This total is several points too high. I expect it to drop, which is why I'm taking this one early. Take the under big!  

*Note- This line has moved since I took this play more than a week ago. I would play for 5 stars down to 49 points and for 4 stars down to 48 points. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Oklahoma Sooners have changed their system in the offseason. No more traditional looks on offense for them. Oklahoma is now going to run the Air Raid offense and hurry to the line. Baker Mayfield should be a great fit since he has experience in the Air Raid from Texas Tech. Akron's defense will do well against MAC opponents, but they'll be overmatched by Oklahoma's skill here. The Sooners should be able to put up a big score. Akron's offense should be much improved this year, and with the amount of chances I expect them to get and the fact that this score should be pretty lopsided, I think Akron puts up plenty to get us past this total. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Auburn/Louisville Totals CRUSHER* The Auburn Tigers defense is going to be much better under the leadership of Will Muschamp this year. Muschamp might not have worked out well as a head coach, but he's proven he is a great defensive mind. Louisville's defense will be much stronger than it was a year ago. Devante Fields is now a Cardinal and he immediately becomes the team's best player (he was the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year at TCU). Louisville likely slows this game down a bit too, because I doubt they want a shootout with Auburn. The Tigers offense will be good in the long run, but it should take some time to get things squared away with new guys at the skill positions. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Old Dominion Monarchs lost their star quarterback, and they are undergoing some big changes this year. Old Dominion's coach has gone on the record to say they will be slowing the pace down bigtime this year. In the past, ODU has been an uptempo offenses that gets as many possessions as possible. Eastern Michigan's defense isn't good, but ODU is working in a new starter at QB, and they'll look to eat up the play clock every time. ODU's defense was terrible last year, but I expect them to be much better this year and Eastern Michigan's offense is really bad. The slower tempo and new skill position players on offense should keep this one lower scoring than expected. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Opening Night KNOCKOUT* The FIU Golden Panthers improved a lot last year. Sure, they were only 4-8, but they went 1-11 in the previous year. Ron Turner is known as a good defensive mind, and FIU was much better defensively last year. They allowed 24.8 points per game vs. allowing 37 points per game the previous year. FIU's offense isn't very good, and they rely very heavily on being able to run the ball. While UCF has all sorts of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, their defense will be very good again this year. With UCF and FIU both running the ball a lot, the clock should tick away quickly. Take the under in this one. 

*3 Star Florida State/Oregon Total DOMINATION* The Oregon Ducks and Florida State Seminoles meet in the first college football playoff game at 5 pm ET at the Rose Bowl. Oregon is going to continue their normal uptempo style of play, and Florida State's defensive flaws should continue to show as they have all year long.

Marcus Mariota won the Heisman Trophy this year, and he absolutely deserved it. I love his decision making and he has the talent around him to put up a lot of points here. Florida State's defense has given up big plays all year long. Oregon's defense ranks 83rd in the nation in total defense. The only way they have gotten by is by forcing so many turnovers and holding opponents to field goals. Florida State has been able to pile up the points when needed this year, and they should need a bunch here. Look for a spirited effort from Winston and the Seminoles offense who believe they aren't getting enough respect.

They should light up the scoreboard in Pasadena. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Fiesta Bowl MONEY* The Arizona Wildcats and Boise State Broncos are actually relatively similar teams this year. Arizona likes to get off as many snaps as possible and win with an uptempo offense. Boise State is absolutely the same way. In the past, Boise State has had a very good defense, but that isn't the case this season. The Broncos defense has been exposed by all of the top offenses they have faced this year. The Pac-12 has looked great in bowl season thus far, and I think Arizona will put up a big number here. Boise State can score too though with Ajayi and Hedrick leading the way. This one should be a shootout. Take the over. 

*3 Star Texas Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks meet in an intriguing Texas Bowl matchup on Monday night. The strength of both of these teams is their defense. The weakness of both teams is quarterback play. These teams are both going to try to establish the running game, but that also plays right into the strength of their opponent. Arkansas has improved so much this year largely because of their turnaround on the defensive side of the ball. The Razorbacks run defense has been amazing down the stretch. Texas has underperformed on the defensive line the last few years, but Charlie Strong is finally getting this group to realize their potential. 

The under is 4-0 in Arkansas' last 4 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 bowl games. The under is 5-0 in Texas' last 5 following a double digit loss at home. A 15-0 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oklahoma Sooners defense has been pretty consistent this year. Clemson's defense has arguably been the best defense in the nation this year. One of the biggest keys to this game is the fact that Deshaun Watson will not be playing here. Backup Cole Stoudt gets the start for Clemson. To say that Stoudt is a large drop off from Watson is a massive understatement. I have made a lot of money taking the under or fading Clemson when Stoudt is at quarterback this year. Clemson's offensive game plan will be very vanilla with Stoudt under center. The Sooners offense is at its best when running the football, but Clemson has the best defensive line in the nation. I don't expect Oklahoma to be able to establish the run game here. 

The under is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a Big 12 opponent. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 19-0 angle. Take the under big! 

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles and Penn State Nittany Lions both have had several very low scoring games this year. When these two teams collide on Saturday, I see a very low scoring game. Boston College's offense is all about the running game and Tyler Murphy is the key. Penn State has zero running game, and their offensive line isn't any good. Christian Hackenberg is a decent quarterback, but he won't have time to throw here, and he doesn't have many weapons at the skill positions. Both teams like to play at a slow tempo and use up a bunch of the play clock. The under has been the way to go in recent bowl seasons, and even though this number is very low, it's low for a reason. The under is 5-0 in Boston College's last 5 vs. the Big Ten. The under is 22-7 in Boston College's last 29 non-conference games. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB New Mexico Bowl Total* The Utah State Aggies have been great at stopping the run in recent years. The Aggies front seven has proven that they are the type of team that can stop the run even when the other team has a strong offensive line. The strength of the UTEP team is their offensive front. UTEP really can't throw the football, so they'll try to run here. I don't think they'll have all that much success. At the same time, Utah State is starting their third string quarterback here, and the Aggies offense hasn't had much success in recent weeks. UTEP will be highly motivated in this game, and both teams are going to do a lot of running. Take the under. *Note- This line continues to move down. I would play this for 3 stars at 46 or lower. Thank you*

*5 Star Army/Navy TOP Play CRUSHER* The Army and Navy game is always a lot of fun to watch. No matter the records of these two teams, you get everything in the tank from everyone on the field here. The emotions surrounding this game are amazing. The key to this play for me is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every single day in practice. That makes it a lot easier to be well-prepared to stop it this weekend. The primary reason the triple option is so tough to defend for most teams is the fact that they aren't used to seeing it. These teams don't need any special preparation for this week's game. They have gotten it all year long. While neither of these defenses have looked good overall this year, the past history between these two tells me the defenses should put up a spirited effort in this one. In the past eight years, the highest scoring game between these two finished at 48 points.

The under is a perfect 8-0 in the last 8 games between these two teams. The under is 9-0 in Army's last 9 games during the month of December. The under is 6-0 in Army's last 6 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 23-0 angle. Take the under big! 

*Note- The line here has moved down a few points since I picked this game early in the week. My number for this game was 51 points.  I would still make this a 5 Star TOP Play all the way down to 56 points. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The North Carolina Tar Heels offense has been great all year. The only reason the Tar Heels have been considered a disappointment this year has been their brutal defense. Just about everyone has done whatever they want against this defense. North Carolina State has a play maker at quarterback in Jacoby Brissett. The Wolfpack defense is going to struggle to get off the field here, but the offense should be able to pile up the points. This has been a highly competitive and high scoring series in the past few years. I think both of those trends continue this weekend. I made this total 75 points. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Boston College Eagles have surprised a lot of people this year. Steve Addazio deserves a ton of credit for that. Boston College has really bought into Addazio's system, and the Eagles have fought hard all season long. The defense is pretty good against both the run and the pass. Syracuse's offense is downright awful right now. They have virtually no running game, and the passing game is even worse. The Orange do have a solid defense that keeps them in most games. Boston College and Syracuse will both be doing a lot of running in this one, so we'll see the clock keep on ticking away.

The under is 5-0 in Syracuse's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the ACC. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. The under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Indiana Hoosiers and Purdue Boilermakers have a history of high scoring affairs against each other. Indiana's defense is one of the worst in the nation. Purdue is improved from last year, but the main place they have improved is on the offensive end. The Boilermakers defense gives up big plays very frequently, and I expect Tevin Coleman to have a big day here. Both of these teams like to snap the ball quickly, so we should see both teams get a lot of possessions in this one. The weather shouldn't be bad on Saturday in Indiana, and that helps the over as well. Close game here with both offenses seeing lots of success. Take the over. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play 100% CRUSHER* The UTSA Roadrunners and North Texas Mean Green have both been teams I have played the under on successfully all season. I've had this game circled for a while. These are two offensively challenged teams. When they get together, I expect a very low scoring game. In fact, I think there is a good chance the winner of this game won't top 20 points. UTSA has gotten awful quarterback play all year. It's likely that no team has had worse play from the quarterback position over the course of the season. North Texas' defense isn't particularly good, but they'll likely look good when going against this Roadrunners offense. North Texas can only run the ball, if they are forced to throw they are in real trouble. The UTSA defense is actually quite good, and they should do a good job stopping the run.

The under is 7-0 in UTSA's last 7 home games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 November games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 27-0 angle. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved down since I originally played it early in the week. I would play this for 5 stars down to 41 points and for 4 stars down to 39 points. Thank you.**

*4 Star CFB Friday FEAST* The Missouri Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks get together in an underrated showdown on Friday. This is a game I'm really looking forward to, and there is a lot on the line here. Missouri will represent the SEC East in the SEC title game with a win here. Arkansas has pitched two consecutive shutouts against LSU and Ole Miss at home. The Razorbacks defense is arguably the most improved in the nation this year. Maty Mauk and the Missouri offense have been a big disappointment. The Tigers are in this position because of a very good defense and a lot of timely turnovers. Arkansas runs the ball on nearly every down, and Missouri is running it most of the time as well. A lot of running clock in this game. I see a close game all the way and the defenses having the upper hand. Take the under here. 

*3 Star NCAA Friday Early Bird Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd were passed by the Boise State Broncos in the most recent Playoff rankings. Marshall is fighting to become the top ranked team outside the power five conferences. What does that mean Marshall needs to do? They need to pick up some major style points. Marshall absolutely needs to run up the score at any chance they can. Marshall gets a chance to do that this weekend against one of the worst defenses in the nation. Western Kentucky has allowed 42 points or more on six occasions already this year! The Hilltoppers are going to get gashed by this Marshall offense on the ground and Rakeem Cato will have a monster day through the air. The Hilltoppers do have a very good passing attack with Brandon Doughty at the helm. Doughty and the Hilltoppers have scored on nearly everyone, and I think they'll put up their fair share here too. 

The over is 4-0-1 in Western Kentucky's last 5 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air last game. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 after throwing for 280 yards or more last game. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Nevada Wolfpack offense has gradually gotten better throughout the course of the year. Cody Fajardo is a real star for Nevada, and he's playing in the final home game of his career here. Fresno State's defense hasn't slowed down anyone all year, and it's hard to see them slowing down Nevada's balanced attack here. While Nevada's defense appeared improved earlier this year, the Wolf Pack defense has been awful in recent weeks. Fresno State still has a lot of talent on the offensive end. The Bulldogs should be able to make some big plays on offense here. Look for a shootout in this rivalry game. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boise State Broncos offense has been tremendous this year, but their defense is way down from the level they have been at in recent years. Boise State's defense has given up at least 27 points in six straight games. Wyoming isn't particularly good on offense, but the Cowboys offense has been much better on their home field. Boise State has scored 50 points or more on offense in three of their last five games. They might not get there in this one, but if they get into the 40's we have a very good shot of cashing this play.

The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a straight up win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. The over is 4-0 in Wyoming's last 4 following a loss. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star USC/UCLA Top Play Total* The UCLA Bruins and USC Trojans are bitter rivals. Both of these teams have had this game circled for a very long time. USC has gotten some tremendous quarterback play from Cody Kessler this year. Kessler has thrown 29 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and he has completed 70.2% of his passes. Brett Hundley has been running the ball more often of late, and his dual threat ability makes this Bruins offense much better. Two very good quarterbacks should put on a show in this one. The UCLA defense has been a big disappointment this year, and I expect USC to put up a nice number against them. On the other hand, USC's secondary has had significant problems this year and Hundley is capable of making big plays with his arm as well. High scoring back and forth game here. Take the over big! 

*Note- The line has moved up here since I picked this on Tuesday evening- I would play this for 5 stars up to 63 points. 4 stars up to 65 points. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Arkansas Razorbacks defense is one of the most improved in the nation. Arkansas just shutout a pretty decent LSU team last weekend. Bret Bielema's group only allowed 14 points against the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. Ole Miss has been one of the top defenses in the nation all year long. The Rebels offense has let them down in some big games, and that is why they have lost twice. Arkansas loves to run the football, but I think they'll have a hard time running it against a Ole Miss defense that knows the run is coming. I don't trust Bo Wallace to make big plays for the Rebels, and I see this being a very close low scoring affair. Take the under. 

*3 Star ACC Total Takedown* The Pittsburgh Panthers have almost no passing game. The Syracuse Orange have virtually no passing game. Pittsburgh plays at one of the slowest paces of any team in the nation. The Panthers run the play clock all the way down and hand it off nearly every time. That definitely helps an under since it reduces the number of times each offense will get the ball. Syracuse's offense has been bad all year, but the Orange have a good defense. They should be able to at least slow down the Panthers running attack. Syracuse's play calling has been very conservative lately with young quarterbacks under center. This looks like a game where both teams keep it simple and it turns into an ugly low scoring game with a bunch of field goals. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under the Radar Total* The North Texas Mean Green have some major problems on offense. They have essentially zero success throwing the football, so if the running game isn't working they are done. FIU has a really bad offense, but they are much improved on defense. This is an FIU defense that definitely has shown they can stop the run, and I see them forcing North Texas to try to beat them through the air. North Texas is still decent on the defensive end, and this FIU team has gotten really bad quarterback play all year. This is going to be an extremely ugly game. I can't imagine anyone wanting to watch this one, but I do like both defenses to hold up their end and keep this game low scoring. Take the under big! 

*Note- This line has moved since I selected it on Tuesday- I would play it for 5 stars down to 48 and for 4 stars down to 46. Thank you.*

*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Colorado State Rams have quietly put together a really nice year. Jim McElwain is doing a great job with this team. He is a terrific offensive mind, and Colorado State has a nice balanced attack. I think this is one of the most underrated offenses in the nation. New Mexico has one of the very worst defenses in the country. The Lobos have given up 499 yards per game this year. New Mexico has allowed 277 yards per game on the ground alone. New Mexico is giving up 34.3 points per game. New Mexico allowed 60 points when they played Boise State this year.

While New Mexico is just brutal on defense, they have been able to run the football on nearly everyone. They are averaging 319 yards per game on the ground. Colorado State's defense is only mediocre. Last year when these two teams got together, the final was 66-42. Both teams had more than 500 yards of total offense in that one. Take the over big here! 

*Note- This line has moved since I first selected it on Tuesday evening. I would play this for 5 stars all the way up to 68.5 and for 4 stars up to 70 points. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Old Dominion Monarchs have a tremendous offense with Taylor Heinecke at quarterback. This Monarchs offense has been able to move the football against every single team they have played against this year. Why haven't they won more games? Old Dominion has an absolutely awful defense. The Monarchs defense is so bad that the head coach has started going for it on most fourth downs on offense because he knows they aren't going to stop the opponent enough times to win. The only way ODU has a chance is to outscore the opposition. Louisiana Tech has a good offense led by Sokol at quarterback and Dixon at running back. They should slice up the ODU defense.

The over is 4-0 in ODU's last 4 games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The over is 3-0-1 in LA Tech's last 4 following an ATS win. A 23-0 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The UTEP Miners have found a formula that is helping them excel. Sean Kugler realized that the team's old strategy of throwing it every down and trying to outscore the opposition was failing miserably, so he changed the way UTEP would play. The Miners now play at the single slowest tempo of any team in the country. They also run the ball a bunch. They attempt to shorten the game and take pressure off their defense. It has worked very well. North Texas has a miserable offense this year. Dan McCarney's team just doesn't have enough good skill position players. The Mean Green can hold their own on defense. Both teams should run the ball a lot here. I made this total 50 points, so I clearly see a lot of value in this one. North Texas should struggle to score very much, and UTEP will have some long methodical drives. Take the under big here! 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Utah State Aggies are playing with their string quarterback right now. He is doing a decent job holding things together for the team, but he certainly isn't as productive as someone like Keeton or Garretson would be under center. New Mexico has an excellent running game, but the Lobos are awful at throwing the football. The problem for them in this game is Utah State excels at stopping the run. The Aggies know that New Mexico can't throw it, and they will be ready to shut down this Lobos running game. Utah State should be content to kill the clock late after grabbing a nice lead early on here. A lot of moving clock in this one. This total is a few points too high. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Navy Midshipmen and the Georgia Southern Eagles both run the triple option. It is pretty rare to find a game with two triple option teams squaring off against each other, but that's what we have here. I love playing the under in situations like this because these defenses see the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the triple option is generally that the opposition never gets to see it so they struggle to prep for it in just a week or two. In this case the opposing defense sees it all the time and they should be much better at slowing it down than the average team. Having said that, both of those teams have very good quarterbacks who are going to make some big plays. There will be points scored here, but I don't think it gets into the 60's. With both teams running almost every play, the clock will tick away quickly. Expect very long drives that eat up a bunch of time. Take the under big in this one! 

*5 Star TOP Play Big Ten Total* The Indiana Hoosiers passing attack is non existent right now. Indiana had absolutely no depth at quarterback to start the season, and now they are starting their third string quarterback. Zander Diamont has completed less than than 50 percent of his passes, and he has thrown no touchdowns and two picks. Rutgers' defense isn't tremendous, but they have played much better at home. They know Indiana has to run here, so they'll stack up the box. The Rutgers offense has been struggling of late. Gary Nova isn't playing at 100 percent, and that is slowing things down. Indiana used to be a team that would push the tempo in a big way, but they don't do that nearly as much with a freshman third string quarterback under center. Rutgers plays very slowly and we should see a bunch of running clock here. Take the under big! 

*5 Star TOP Play CRUSHER* The Umass Minutemen really found a gem in quarterback Blake Frohnapfel. He tranferred in from Marshall, and he has been tremendous for the Minutemen. Frohnapfel has 23 touchdowns and has revived an offense that was dreadful the past couple years. UMass is averaging 31 points per game this year. The Minutemen still have one of the worst defenses in the nation though, so they often play in shootouts. UMass allows 35 points per game and their defense is rated number 100 or worse (out of 128) in every major defensive category. Ball State's offense is improved in the last few games with Milas at quarterback. The Cardinals defense has been getting hurt by big plays all year. Both of these teams like to play quickly, so I expect a lot of possessions for both teams. 

The over is 6-0-1 in UMass' last 7 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after running for 100 yards or less last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more of total offense last game. A 15-0 angle. Take the over big! *Note- This is a 5 Star TOP Play for me all the way up to 62 points. This is a 4 star play for me up to 65 points. It would be 3 stars at 65.5 or higher. Thank you.*

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The New Mexico State Aggies defense ranks dead last in the nation when it comes to stopping the run. New Mexico State is allowing an eye-popping 325 yards per game on the ground! That's just ridiculous, and the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns averaged 6.5 yards per carry last year in the meeting between these two. Lafayette should rumble all over them with their running game in this one as well. New Mexico State's offense put up 35 points last year against Lafayette, and while it might be hard for them to reach that number here, they should score plenty against a Lafayette defense that isn't good. Expect lots of big plays from both teams in this game.

The over is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The over is 7-0 in New Mexico State's last 7 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air last game. The over is 11-1 in their last 12 after allowing 170 yards passing or less last game. The over is 10-1 in the Aggies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. A 32-2 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Alabama/LSU Total DOMINATION* The Alabama Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers are similar teams in terms of style. Both teams like to play slowly and win with their strong defense. Alabama plays at a slower pace than any other power conference team in the entire nation. LSU's offense really can't throw the football much at all this year, and the Tigers are totally reliant on the running game. Alabama's rushing defense is ranked second in the nation when it comes to stopping the run allowing only 77.6 yards per game. LSU is going to have to run the football to score many points here, and I don't think they'll be able to do it. LSU's defense struggled early in the year, but the Tigers are very talented on the defensive end and they are playing much better of late. This shapes up to be a game where both teams look to run the ball often, which will keep the clock rolling. A low scoring hard hitting game. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Louisville Cardinals defense played a bad second half last week against Florida State, and that cost them an upset victory. Fortunately for them, they won't have to face an offense the caliber of Florida State this week. Louisville's defense is still one of the best in the country. The Boston College Eagles defense is playing really hard for Steve Addazio, and I think you have to be impressed with the job he is doing with this team. Both of these teams struggle throwing the ball. There should be a bunch of running in this game. The strength of both defenses is stopping the run. I had this one lined at 42 points, so I see several points of value on this play.

The under is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 November games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after throwing for 280 yards or more last game. A 14-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Big 10 Total DOMINATION* The Northwestern Wildcats offense has been pitiful of late. Michigan's offense has been awful all year long. Don't let Michigan's decent offensive performance last week fool you. That was against an Indiana defense that is among the worst in the nation. Northwestern's defense has been solid this year, and that's the only reason the Wildcats have been able to hang around in most of their games. Michigan's defense is ninth in the nation in total defense. That will probably surprise a lot of people to see that, but it just shows how poor their offense has been. The Wolverines defense is fine, but the offense is in lots of trouble. Last year when these two met, there were a grand total of 18 points scored in regulation (all field goals). Expect another ugly game here. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals Takedown* The Arizona State Sun Devils defense isn't very good. They have looked better in recent weeks, but that was against teams that don't have a good offense. It's one to slow down Utah (one-dimensional), Washington (were without their starting quarterback), and Stanford (poor offensively this year), but it's going to be a whole different thing to try to slow down the Notre Dame offense. Everett Golson has this offense moving well against everyone. I see no reason to believe Arizona State will slow them down. The Notre Dame defense looked good early in the year, but they have been exposed of late. In their past three games they have allowed 43, 31, and 39 points in their last three games. Taylor Kelly is getting healthier and the Sun Devils have plenty of weapons offensively. Last year's game finished 37-34, and I see a similar type of game here. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Syracuse Orange have been really bad on offense all year, and now they are going to have a third string quarterback starting in this one. I don't think that will help anything here. Duke is going to load up the box and force Syracuse to have to throw it, and they likely won't be able to. While the Syracuse offense is in a lot of trouble here, the Orange have been excellent on the defensive end. The strength of the Syracuse defense is their front seven, and that's very big for the under here since Duke is primarily a running team. Duke isn't as good as their record would indicate, and I don't think they'll run away with this one. I had this total set at 47 points. Take the under in this contest. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Golden Gophers overachieve every single year. Why are they able to do that so consistently? Jerry Kill is a really good coach, and the coaching staff around him is great at getting the most out of the talent they have. Iowa's defense seems to reload and be solid against the run every single year. The Minnesota Golden Gophers absolutely cannot throw the football, and Iowa's defensive coaches know that. They are going to load the box and make it really hard to run the ball. Iowa's physicality in the defensive front seven is going to be tough for Minnesota to match. Iowa's offense has looked better of late, but they haven't played all that well on the road in the past couple seasons. Minnesota's defense always plays hard. 

The under is 5-0 in the Hawkeyes last 5 games following a win by 20 points or more. The under is 5-0 in Minnesota's last 5 after giving up 170 yards or less in the passing game. The under is 4-0 in Minnesota's last 4 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in the Gophers last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 22-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Conference USA Total* The UTEP Miners have changed their stripes in a big way this year. What's different about this team? It's a team that used to have a ton of high scoring games because of a fast tempo and a horrible defense. Their defense still isn't very good, although they did pitch a shutout last week, but UTEP is now slowing the game down in a big way. UTEP is using up the play clock every single time. The Miners are playing at the slowest pace of any team in FBS right now. The oddsmakers are struggling to react to that change from a team that is off the radar of many. For a few more games we should be able to get value on the under. Southern Miss is a one-dimensional offense, and they won't be able to take advantage of UTEP's weak run defense. Take the under. 

*3 CFB Totals Takedown* The San Jose State Spartans defense looked really bad last weekend at Navy. San Jose State has played pretty well at home on defense, but this Colorado State offense is much better than the offenses they have been up against. It's one thing to slow down UNLV, but it's a whole different thing to stop the well-balanced Colorado State offense. The Rams can run it or throw it equally well, and they have an improved offensive line. San Jose State is getting solid production out of Gray, and Colorado State's defense has given up a lot of points in the second half of games this year. This number is set too low. I had this number at 59. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Totals Cash* The UNLV Rebels defense is one of the worst in the nation. In fact, they are 124th in the nation out of 128 in total defense. They are giving up 525 yards of total offense per game. Last year, New Mexico rolled up 581 yards of offense in a 56-42 loss to UNLV. The Lobos offense is great at running the football, and UNLV can't stop the run. The Lobos aren't able to throw it, but they won't need to against the Rebels. UNLV's offense has been inconsistent this year, but playing against a slow defense like New Mexico should allow UNLV's speedsters at the skill positions to have another big game. I made this line 65 points. Take the over.

*Note- This line has moved up significantly since I selected it on Tuesday. I would play this for 4 stars up to 59. I would play it for 3 stars up to 62. Thank you.*

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Idaho Vandals and Arkansas State Red Wolves both like to play fast. These are teams that want to get off as many snaps as possible. Arkansas State has moved the ball against just about everyone they have played, and they played a tough non-conference schedule. Idaho's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Vandals are unlikely to be able to slow down Kneighten and this Red Wolves attack. Linehan has done a good job for Idaho at quarterback and Arkansas State's defense isn't even close to as good as they have been in the past couple years. Look for lots of scoring opportunities for both teams. Take the over.

*Note- This line has moved up significantly since I posted this pick on Tuesday- I would play this for 4 stars up to 65 and for 3 stars up to 68 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The USC Trojans have a totally different team this year than they did last season. Steve Sarkisian has this team playing much faster on the offensive end. Cody Kessler is doing a great job for this team at the quarterback spot. In fact, I think Kessler has been one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country so far this year. Kessler is completing 70 percent of his passes, and he has thrown 20 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Washington State's defense is ranked 113th out of 128 FBS teams in pass defense. The Trojans are going to put up a lot of points. At the same time, the Washington State offense isn't the reason this team is 2-6. The Cougars are 7th in the nation in total offense and first in the nation in passing yards per game at 490 passing yards per contest. USC is a bit weaker in the secondary this year than normal. Both teams like to play fast and there will be a bunch of passes thrown in this game.

The over is 5-0 in the Cougars last 5 following a double digit home loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 total yards or more last game. The over is 6-0 in the Cougars last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in the Trojans last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two at Washington State. A 27-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense has been one of the most disappointing in the nation. Missouri simply can't get the passing game going, so opposing defenses are loading the box and making it tough for the Tigers to run the football. Kentucky's defense is much better than they have been in the past, and they have been able to handle most teams running games. The Wildcats offense looked good in the non-conference action, but against SEC defenses, and especially on the road, they have been poor. Missouri leads the SEC in sacks and the Kentucky offensive line will struggle to keep this group away from Towles. I don't expect to see much scoring here. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Total* The Georgia Bulldogs have really played well this year. They put up a poor performance in South Carolina and it cost them, but I've been really impressed with the way they have responded to that loss. Georgia has elevated their level of play in a big way on the defensive end. The Bulldogs stop the run well. Florida's offense is a total mess right now, and the only thing the Gators can do is run it. I don't think any of the Gators QB's can throw it effectively against Georgia. The Bulldogs offense is run heavy, and why wouldn't they be? Even without Gurley, Georgia has a ton of talented running backs and Chubb has been tremendous for them. Both teams will run the ball a bunch here. Florida's defense has been excellent in every game other than the Alabama game. This game means a lot to both teams. Look for a lot of defense in this one. Take the under big! 

*Note- This line has moved in a big way since I selected it on Tuesday. I would play this one for 5 Stars down to 50, for 4 stars down to 48, and for 3 stars down to 46. Thank you*

*3 Star CFB ACC Total Value* The Syracuse Orange have some major problems on offense right. That has overshadowed some really nice performances by the defense so far this year. Last week's 16-6 loss at Clemson was a good example of that. I played the under in that one and cashed in, and I'm going to take the under again. NC State's offense has been really inconsistent this year, and the Wolfpack defense is improved. I don't think either of these offenses have what it takes to put together consistent long drives in this game. Expect a sloppy low scoring game. Take the under.

*Note- This line has moved against me- I would play this one for 4 stars at 51 points or higher. Thank you.*

*5 Star TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The Utah Utes and USC Trojans meet in what should be a really good game Saturday night in Utah. One thing most people forget about the Utah Utes is they have a tremendous home field advantage thanks to the elevation they play at. USC's weakness is their lack of depth. I think the Trojans offense will be far less effective than they have been in recent weeks in the elevation here. Utah's offense has transformed in a way that means they run the ball nearly every down. The Utes have been getting such poor play from their quarterbacks that this team is just handing it off to Booker constantly. That helps the total in a couple ways. Number one it means the clock keeps rolling here. Number two it plays into the strength of the USC defense which is stopping the run. I think this game is much lower scoring than most expect.

The under is 3-0-1 in Utah's last 4 conference games. The under is 8-1-1 in USC's last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in Utah's last 4 overall. The under is 7-1-1 in Utah's last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-2 angle. Take the under big. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month* The Ohio State Buckeyes have scored at least 50 points in four straight games. I'm not sure the Buckeyes can get to 50 points against a decent Penn State defense, but I think they can get a lot closer than most believe. J.T. Barrett has been absolutely amazing quarterbacking this Ohio State team. The Buckeyes offense is having play makers step up around him as well. They have talent at the wide receiver position and they have two very good tight ends. The Buckeyes have found a very good runner in Ezekiel Elliot. Ohio State is going to make a lot of defenses look bad this year. The Buckeyes defense still has a long ways to go though. Hackenberg and the Nittany Lions should break some big plays against a secondary that still isn't very good. I expect Ohio State to jump out to a lead and keep their foot on the gas. The Nittany Lions score plenty to push this one over.

The over is 5-0 in the Buckeyes last 5 overall. The over is 6-0 in the Buckeyes last 6 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 20 points or less. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 40 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a win by 20 points or more. A 33-0 angle. Take the over big! TOP Total of the Month 

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Clemson Tigers offense isn't the same without DeShaun Watson under center. I really think Watson is going to be a tremendous player in this offense, but he's out with a broken hand now. Cole Stoudt is the man getting the start here, and Stoudt is dinged up himself. Behind Stoudt, the Clemson offense has struggled to get going. Syracuse isn't any good on offense, and the Clemson defense is one of the best in the country. Look for the Tigers defensive line to flex their muscles in this one. Clemson also lost their top running back last week, so the Tigers have some real issues on offense. I see a defensive struggle here.

The under is 4-0 in Clemson's last 4 games after giving up less than 20 points. The under is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 following a win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 275 yards or less. The under is 7-0 in Clemson's last 7 after gaining 125 yards or less on the ground in 2 straight games. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Total Value* This is the perfect combination of two teams who throw the ball nearly every play and two secondaries who are just dreadful when it comes to defending the pass. Doughty is having a tremendous season under Coach Brohm at Western Kentucky and this Old Dominion defense may be the worst he has faced all year. Heinecke is a star in the making for ODU and the NFL scouts really like him a lot. Both of these teams play very fast and there are going to be a bunch of possessions in this game. Look for this one to get into the 80's as both teams light up the scoreboard. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Toledo Rockets and UMass Minutemen both like to air it out early and often. Neither team is any good at defending the pass. The Minutemen have gotten a major boost from transfer quarterback Blake Frohnapfel who has been far better than most expected. UMass has been getting better and better offensively every week. This is a team that was awful offensively last year and the oddsmakers are having a hard time catching up to their new style of play. Toledo's offense is way too quick and athletic for a poor UMass defense. The Rockets had a week off before this game and their offense should be clicking with some key injured players getting back in the lineup. Bombs away in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Navy Midshipmen run the football nearly every down, and San Jose State likes to run the football as well. I like playing unders with teams that run it this often because the clock keeps ticking and there are far fewer plays. San Jose State's offense took a big hit when their best running back was suspended indefinitely this week. The Spartans defense has been pretty good against the run and they have played a triple option team a lot in recent years so this is more familiar to them. Navy's Keenan Reynolds is banged up and that is slowing down this Midshipmen offense. The under is 8-1 in Navy's last 9 after scoring 40 points or more. The under is 4-0 in SJ State's last 4 on turf. A 12-1 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Total DOMINATION* The Boise State Broncos and BYU Cougars both like to play at a quick tempo. That means we'll see plenty of snaps in this one, which is obviously a big boost for an over play. The posted total here comes in several points below where I expected it. These two teams combined for 967 yards of total offense when they met last year. Both defenses are significantly worse than they were last season. Grant Hedrick and the Boise State offense have put up 51 and 37 points in the last two games. Christian Stewart is doing a solid job at quarterback for BYU. The Cougars topped 600 yards in a 42-35 loss to Nevada last week. Both of these teams are turnover prone, and a defensive score or two here wouldn't be a big surprise. The public perception of these two teams as strong defenses is no longer the case. That's giving us value on the over. The over is 4-0 in BYU's last 4 games. The over is 6-2 in Boise State's last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the over big! 

*4 Star SEC Total Takedown* I was extremely impressed by the Georgia Bulldogs defense in their win last week over Missouri. Georgia's defense totally stonewalled a pretty decent Missouri offense led by Maty Mauk in that game. They pitched a shutout on the road in Columbia. Arkansas' defense gave up only 14 points against an Alabama offense with a bunch of weapons too. These are two teams that stop the run well. That's important here because that's pretty much all these two offenses do. That being said, I see a lot of running clock and solid work from both defenses in the front seven. A tight game here with the defenses controlling. Take the under.