*5 Star CFB TOP Play Over* The East Carolina Pirates are playing quickly still, and their defense is very weak. UCF has changed the way they play with Scott Frost as head coach. He has termed the team "UCFast". Here is another chance for them to play very quickly against an opponent who wants to do the same.

These offenses aren't the most efficient ever, but at a number of only 57.5 I have to go with a big play on the over. My projected number here was 65. 

With this many possessions for each team, I expect there to be enough big plays to get us past the posted total.

Take the over big. 

*Note- this line has moved since I sent it out to clients early this week- but I still like the play at current levels for a top rated selection*

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal Golden Bears play extremely fast, and they play absolutely zero defense. Arizona State plays almost as fast, and their defense isn't good either. It was 48-46 last time these two met and I see another shootout here. I projected this total at 89 points, so I'm glad to get this number. 

Cal's Webb is a great fit at quarterback, and he has some nice playmakers around him. The Arizona State secondary is a major weakness. Look at what happened when they played Texas Tech earlier this year. 

Tons of tempo and the offenses with the edge all night. Shootout on the West Coast here. I certainly don't like to make a habit of taking overs at this kind of number, but it wouldn't surprise me if this game got to 100 points combined with the kind of tackling I've seen out of these two defenses so far this year.

Take the over big. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Memphis Tigers are still playing at a pretty quick pace this year. They use the spread offense. Bowling Green is playing at the ninth fastest pace of any team in the country. Bowling Green's offensive numbers this year don't look impressive, but I think that is at least somewhat understandable.

Bowling Green faced a great Ohio State defense in week one. Last week, they played against MTSU in a monsoon, where the field was tearing up and the offenses were stalling out late in the game. The Falcons should still be able to score quite a few in the long term. At the same time, the Bowling Green defense is among the worst in football, and they'll give up a lot of quick scores throughout the year.

Take the over.  

*3 Star Play Over* The MTSU Blue Raiders offense is going to score a lot of points this year. Tony Franklin is their new offensive coordinator and he is looking to push the tempo at every opportunity. Brent Stockstill is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country, and Franklin is great at coaching up quarterbacks. I see huge things ahead for Stockstill. 

Louisiana Tech's defense lost just about everything from a year ago. The Bulldogs allowed 24 points against lowly South Carolina State two weeks ago, and then Texas Tech put up 59 points on them last weekend. I'm not suggesting MTSU will score 59, but they should score a lot.

At the same time, MTSU has been gashed in the running game two weeks in a row. Vanderbilt ran for 231 yards two weeks ago. Bowling Green, who had been bad running the football prior to last week, ran for a whopping 304 yards against MTSU last weekend. Craft is averaging better than 7 yards per carry for LA Tech and the Bulldogs have a long history of producing good running backs. LA Tech should score a lot here as well.

Nice weather and two high powered offenses. Take the over. 

*5 Star CFB Hidden GEM TOP Total* The Fresno State Bulldogs aren't any good this year, but they want to play quickly. That plays right into the hands of the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Tulsa has played some pretty good defenses this year, and that has kept their numbers down. That gives us line value to take the over here. 

The Fresno State defense will rank among the bottom 10 or 20 in the nation at the end of the year, and this is a defense that Tulsa's run and shoot offense should carve up. Look for Dane Evans and Keevan Lucas to have huge days. I think the Fresno State defense will be particularly vulnerable to teams who can spread them out and that is what Tulsa is great at on the offensive end. 

Tulsa gave up the second most points in the country last year at almost 40 points per game. Fresno State should be able to put up enough to get us there. Virgil is a guy who many believe can turn into a solid quarterback in time, and he is up against a weak defense.

Take the over big. 

*3 Star Play Over* The North Carolina Tar Heels always like to play quickly. I don't expect that to change in this one. North Carolina's Mitch Trubisky will improve in this offense as the season moves along. He has plenty of weapons around him, and in this one he is up against a really weak Pittsburgh secondary.

Pittsburgh's problem on defense is they are having to send blitzes to get pressure on the quarterback, and they simply don't have enough talent in the secondary to constantly send blitzes. Still, Pat Narduzzi's style is to be aggressive on defense. North Carolina should be able to beat them over the top some as both Penn State and Oklahoma State did in recent weeks. The Cowboys Mason Rudolph threw for a ridiculous 372 yards in the first half alone last weekend.

Pitt's offense is improved this year. They have a new system that is taking more chances, and I like what I've seen from this group. North Carolina's defensive line isn't very good against the run, and Pitt can do damage there. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* Both of these offenses are better than they were a year ago. In last year's game, the final was 36-31. UTSA's Dalton Sturm is a much improved quarterback, and against a team like ODU he should have plenty of ability to extend plays as he is so good at doing. The Roadrunners have a new offensive system which I believe suits their skillsets better than last year's.

Old Dominion has the best offensive line they have had in years. The Monarchs have a very solid group of running backs, and I see them having a big day here. Old Dominion saw their last 7 games last season go over this posted total. 

In last year's contest between these two, there were almost 1,000 yards. The weather is forecasted to be nice for this one. I have to side with the over in this one. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Virginia Tech Hokies are a different team this year. They are spreading things out and playing much faster. Justin Fuente had a ton of success with this style of play at Memphis, and now he is implementing it here. The Hokies have been pretty good so far this year. They put up 49 points against a good Boston College defense last week. They also scored 24 on a good Tennessee defense the week before.

East Carolina beat Virginia Tech 35-28 last year. The Pirates will get Virginia Tech's best effort here. East Carolina has been better than I expected this year, mainly because they have a top ten passing attack in the country. East Carolina is looking to play quickly, and that should give them opportunities here.

East Carolina's secondary is a weak spot, and I think Virginia Tech can exploit it. The Hokies don't have a dominating defense this year, and ECU should score plenty as well.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Can Kent score here? Kent State hasn't been able to do anything on offense all year. They can barely score on FCS teams. I'll be surprised if the Golden Flashes put up more than 7 points here. Alabama has no real reason to drive Kent State into the ground here. Rather, it would make far more sense for the Crimson Tide to take care of business, stay healthy, and move onto the next week.

Look for a sloppy game where the under cashes in because Alabama is unmotivated. Remember, they are coming off a game where they got their revenge against Ole Miss. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Purdue Boilermakers are trying to play at a quicker tempo this year. Purdue does have the ability to get yards this year. In fact, they moved up and down the field against a pretty good Cincinnati defense. They just turned it over five times. If they can avoid the turnover, they should be able to score quite a few on a weak Nevada defense.

Nevada runs the spread offense, and they have a veteran (Stewart) at quarterback who should pick apart this soft Purdue defense.

My numbers made this total 62.5, so I see plenty of value. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Saturday Late Night BAILOUT* The Arizona Wildcats offense hasn't been able to get going so far this year, but I think they have found the perfect tonic for their problems: the Hawaii defense. Hawaii gave up 51 points to Cal. They allowed 63 points at Michigan. They allowed 36 points to Tennessee Martin (an FCS team). 

Arizona's Anu Solomon is questionable for this game, but I feel confident in either Solomon or backup Brandon Dawkins in this one. In fact, Dawkins is one of the most highly touted quarterback recruits to go to Arizona. Nick Wilson should be able to have a big day here. Hawaii allowed more than 200 rushing yards to Tennessee Martin, and that tells you a lot. 

The Hawaii offense is definitely improved this year with new coach Nick Rolovich. Woolsey is a decent quarterback who can spread the ball around. This Arizona defense allowed 35.8 points per game last year. I do believe they are some better this year, but they are still going to allow plenty of yards and points.

This total has gotten too low based on Arizona's initial problems on offense this year. I'll take the value on the over. 

*5 Star SEC TOP Total CRUSHER* The Missouri Tigers are playing much faster this year. There is no question about that. The part that I question is whether their offense is efficient enough for totals to be going this high against a good defense. The posted total here opened at 45 points. It' now sits at 56 points. Now, I wouldn't have played the under at 45 points, but I definitely have to play it at 56 points. 

Missouri is 25th in the nation in tempo, so they are playing quickly. However, Missouri ranks in the bottom 25 teams in the country in terms of offensive efficiency. Drew Lock is only a mediocre quarterback and the Tigers offensive line and running game aren't very good.

The Georgia Bulldogs have a defensive minded coach in Kirby Smart. I don't expect to see Georgia get carved up by this faster paced Missouri offense here.

Georgia is a very slow paced team. The Bulldogs offensive coordinator came from Pittsburgh, and the Panthers ranked among the ten slowest paced teams in the country last year. The Bulldogs have all sorts of question marks on their offense right now. 

Georgia doesn't know who to play at quarterback, and that's always a problem. The offensive line wasn't expected to be a problem, but they have been bad so far this year. They didn't even average 4 yards per carry against Nicholls State. Missouri's strength is their defensive line, and I see them being able to slow down this Georgia offense.

I know these teams are different this year, but the final was 9-6 last year when they played and it was 34-0 two years ago. I don't see this game blowing up and being really high scoring. My number is 49 points here.

The under is 4-0 in Georgia's last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing less than 275 total yards last game. The under is 11-0 in their last 11 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 games following a straight up win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win by 20 points or more. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these two. A 33-0 angle. 

Take the under big. 

*3 Star Play Over* The UCF Knights are looking to play a very fast tempo this year. UCF has Scott Frost as their new head coach and he's been at Oregon in the past. UCF gets a good chance to play much faster in this one as they take on a Maryland team who wants to play much quicker this year as well with D.J. Durkin at the helm.

Maryland put up 41 points against FIU last week, and FIU is a team that slows the game down. UCF won't slow things down, and the UCF defense isn't what it was a couple years ago. With their quicker pace, I expect UCF's defensive numbers to be poor this year.

Justin Holman is questionable at quarterback for UCF, so I've kept this down to a 3 star play instead of something bigger, but I believe UCF can score some here regardless of who plays. Maryland's defense is nothing better than mediocre.

Tempo is the key in this one. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The Navy Midshipmen and Tulane Green Wave both want to run the ball nearly every play. That much running of the football means the clock will be rolling almost all the time. Tulane runs the option now with new coach Willie Fritz and Navy has a ton of experience running and defending the option obviously. Tulane has slowed Navy down better than the average team in the past couple tries (last year they actually outgained Navy in a 31-14 loss), and their experience defending the option this year can do nothing but help. 

I had this one lined at 42 points, so I see significant value. Take the under big. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Week* The Georgia Southern Eagles have one of the top three rushing attacks in the country. Georgia Southern's Matt Breida is a monster in the backfield, and he's going to rack up at least 1,500 yards again this year. Both Upshaw and Ellison are excellent at the quarterback spot. This is a potent running attack that can break huge plays against weak defenses.

Louisiana Monroe is one of the worst teams in all of college football. Their single biggest weakness is stopping the run. This is a recipe for disaster for them. Monroe's defense is at least as bad as a year ago, and Georgia Southern rolled up 503 yards of offense and 51 points when playing at LA Monroe last season. It won't surprise me if Georgia Southern gets around 50 again here. 

Louisiana Monroe plays a much different style on offense this year than they did last season. Last year, they were one of the slowest paced teams in the country. New Coach Matt Viator has them spreading out things and looking to play quickly this year. Sophomore quarterback Garrett Smith is a pretty solid quarterback, and I expect him to have some pretty good numbers in this system.

Georgia Southern's biggest weakness is their secondary, where they had to replace everyone from a year ago. The Eagles haven't been tested in the secondary so far this year, but I think LA Monroe can get some plays down the field in this one. 

Last year's game was 51-31 with both teams playing slowly. The defenses are worse on the whole this year, and the tempo will be quicker. 

The over is 30-13-1 in LA Monroe's last 44 games vs. a team with a winning record.

Take the over big. 

*3 Star Play Under* The weather forecast here is pretty ugly. Showers throughout this game and even more importantly wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph. That should slow things down in this game. Colorado relies heavily on the passing game, and I don't see them having much success throwing the ball in these conditions. Michigan's front seven on defense are too good for Colorado's offensive line. The Buffaloes are unlikely to be able to run the ball here.

Michigan plays at one of the slowest paces in the country. Because they have seen 9 straight games go over the posted total at home, the total has been inflated by the oddsmakers on this game. Without the weather, I would have passed here. With the bad weather, I think this one is worth a play on the under. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play Over* The Syracuse defense looked about as hapless as you could look in last week's loss to Louisville. If it weren't for Louisville turning it over in key situations, they would have scored 70 points or more against this Cuse defense. South Florida's Quinten Flowers is a very underrated quarterback, and he plays a lot like Lamar Jackson from Louisville. He isn't quite as good, but he can do similar things. He'll have a field day against this Syracuse defense that is thin up front and is now missing two cornerbacks due to injuries.

Syracuse's offense should just improve over time as Dino Babers has proven to be a great offensive minded coach. Dungey fits the system well. 

USF put up 48 on Northern Illinois last week, and I think they score that many or more here as well. Syracuse should be able to score enough to get us well past the total. Take the over big. 

*I had this one projected at 80 points, so even with the line move during the week I still like the over in this game. Thank you*

*5 Star TOP Play Over* The MTSU Blue Raiders are playing much quicker with Tony Franklin as their offensive coordinator and Brent Stockstill is a great guy to have under center in this type of offense. MTSU should move the ball at will against this terrible Bowling Green defense. MTSU moved it easily against Vanderbilt last week and then had turnovers and penalties. This week, they play a much worse defense.

Bowling Green hasn't been able to get the offense rolling this year, but I think they do this week. MTSU is weak on the defensive front and the Falcons play a tremendous uptempo style of offense. 

There will be a ton of possessions in this game. Take the over big. 

*3 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Iowa Hawkeyes and Iowa State Cyclones are obviously rivals. When these two meet, there is a long history of low scoring games. The last four games between these two have stayed under the total. None of them have gone higher than 48 points. In fact, the game that went over the total five years ago was a triple overtime game where the score was at 48 points at the end of regulation.

Generally, in a rivalry game you see the defenses pick up their level of play. The two teams know each other very well, so there are generally less big plays. I see that type of game here. Iowa State will want to run it a lot with Warren. New Coach Matt Campbell has been all about the running game in his career. I think it continues at Iowa State. 

The Iowa Hawkeyes always prefer to run the ball, and they always play at one the slowest tempos in all of the country. There should be some long drives that take a bunch of time off the clock here.

I will look for this one to stay in the 40's. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Georgia Southern Eagles have the best running game in the country. Matt Breida is one of the most underrated running backs in college football. He will put up some huge numbers this season. 

Georgia Southern ran for 489 yards last year against South Alabama. The Eagles scored 55 points in that game. They probably won't put up that kind of number here, but I do think they'll score a lot. South Alabama's big weakness is their rushing defense, and that is a very bad problem to have against this Georgia Southern offense. Ellison and Upshaw are tremendous QB's for the system, Breida is a great RB, and they have a very good offensive line.

South Alabama did find a much better quarterback this year in Davis. He has some mobility and a strong arm. Georgia Southern returns zero starters in the secondary, and I expect them to get beat deep quite a bit this year. The Eagles are playing a new defensive scheme, and it often takes time to get accustomed to these changes.

I see both teams putting up a solid amount of points here. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Tulsa Golden Hurricane played at the second fastest tempo of any team in the nation last year. Their goal is to play even faster this year. They have senior quarterback Dane Evans at the helm, and he knows this offense very well now. Keevan Lucas is back from an injury last year, and he is one of the most underrated receivers in the country. 

Ohio State decided to pick up the tempo on offense this year. Urban Meyer really likes JT Barrett in a fast paced system. The Buckeyes hung 77 points on Bowling Green last week. I'm certainly not going to suggest they'll score that this weekend, but Ohio State should put up a very big number in this contest. Tulsa's defense allowed about 40 points per game last year, and the Golden Hurricane won't face a team with more offensive talent than Ohio State. The Buckeyes have far too many weapons for Tulsa, and Ohio State scoring less than 55 here would surprise me. 

The Buckeyes defense is clearly down from a year ago, and the area where they are most down is likely in the secondary. Tulsa should be able to make some plays throughout this game. 

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish offense was tremendous last week. Especially when Kizer was at quarterback. Notre Dame should be able to do whatever they want against this Nevada defense. The Wolf Pack lost a bunch of guys from last year, and they will be totally outclassed.

Nevada is looking to push the tempo more this year, and that's a big reason for this selection. The Wolf Pack have a good ground game and a veteran quarterback. Notre Dame's defense is better than they showed last week against Texas, but they are down quite a bit from a year ago. 

I see Notre Dame giving up some points late here as they will likely rest the starters for next week's big matchup vs. Michigan State. If Notre Dame puts the 2nd stringers in on offense, I still think they keep scoring against this Nevada team. 

I expect a 45-21 type game here. Take the over. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Week* Navy's offense worked like a well-oiled machine with Keenan Reynolds at the helm. Reynolds graduated with all sorts of records at the school. Navy's offense was going to be down a good amount this year because they lost him, but now they took another big hit when new starting quarterback Tago Smith went down with a season-ending knee injury in week one. 

Will Worth now takes over the job and he is a step down from Smith and a huge step down from Reynolds. Navy is up against one of the best defenses they will play this year this weekend. The UConn Huskies have turned into a really good defense under Bob Diaco. Navy only put up 343 yards (they averaged 425) last year against UConn. The Huskies held Army's option attack to 265 yards and 9 first downs last year. This is a defense that appears ready for the triple option.

UConn's offense struggled to get going all season last year. They struggled badly against Maine (FCS) last weekend also. The Huskies have no clear identity on offense, and I don't see them scoring very many here.

A big key to this game is the tempo that both teams play at. Navy always ranks in the bottom ten in tempo, and UConn is in the slowest quarter of teams in the country. Expect a bunch of running and long drives that eat up the clock. 

Take the under big. TOP Total of the Week. 

*3 Star Play Under* The BYU Cougars are completely changing up the way they play this year. BYU is going to go from a no huddle offense to an offense that huddles up after every play and uses pro style sets. Ty Detmer's offense is going to look to run the ball much more often and use the tight ends. Expect some long drives from the Cougars that use a lot of clock.

Arizona will continue to play fast, but I do think the BYU defense is plenty good enough to slow down Arizona better than most teams. This Cougars defense is better than it was a year ago, and Arizona has a bunch of question marks at wide receiver.

On defense, I expect Arizona to be better this year. Their new defensive coordinator comes from Boise State where he did a tremendous job. He will make the necessary adjustments to help Arizona slow down BYU here.

This game is totaled too high considering BYU's changes, so I'll grab the value on the under here. Take the under. 

*4 Star USC/Alabama Total DOMINATION* The Alabama Crimson Tide certainly lost a lot on defense, but I fully expect them to be one of the best defenses in the country again. Several key players actually turned down the NFL. Strong safety Eddie Jackson surprised in coming back, and I expect a huge season out of him. Reuben Foster is set to be a star at the linebacker spot. Alabama is always strong on the defensive front, and this year will be no different. 

Alabama's offense has a question mark at quarterback. I don't think they have anyone who will play as well as Coker did for them last year. The running backs are very talented here, but they are inexperienced. Alabama's offense plays at a slow pace, and I think they will slow things down a bit more for the new starter in game one.

USC has a new starting quarterback as well. Browne has talent, but he isn't likely to have a good game against this strong Crimson Tide defense. The Trojans have a strong offensive line, and I expect their game plan to be to try to run the ball early and often. Running the ball that often takes a lot of time off the clock. The Trojans may have limited success running it, but I don't see them running it well consistently against this defensive front. 

I think this total should have been 49 or 50, so I see plenty of value in this one. Take the under here. 

*4 Star CFB Under Radar Total* The North Texas Mean Green brought in Seth Littrell as their new head coach. They definitely needed something new after a really ugly season a year ago. Littrell wants to totally change the way the Mean Green play, and he has brought in Graham Harrell to run the offense here. Harrell was previously a quarterback in the Texas Tech system, and he is implementing the Air Raid offense at North Texas. Alec Morris is an Alabama transfer, and he'll run this offense this year.

North Texas allowed 41.3 points per game last year. They return 8 starters here, but is that really a good thing when they were this bad? The Mean Green look weak on every level again this season.

SMU Coach Chad Morris looked back at the tape last year and decided he simply didn't like the way SMU failed to push the tempo. He said they played it too cautious last year and things will be different in the year ahead. He said in the offseason, "We tried slowing down last year, and we didn't like it: it's not us." Morris wants the team to be blazing fast this season. How fast? He said, "If the official spotting the ball sets his feet before the ball snaps, we're going too slow." SMU will push the tempo this year.

The Mustangs have a very good quarterback in Matt Davis, and I expect big things from him this year. The receivers are much better this year, and SMU should score easily against North Texas.

SMU allowed a whopping 45.7 points per game last year, and that was before they pushed the tempo. The defense is more experienced, but there will be more possessions this year, and this stop unit is still terrible.

Look for a fast paced high scoring game. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Total Value Play* The Georgia Bulldogs are going to be all about the running game this year. Nick Chubb is expected to play here, and reports are that he has looked very good in practice. The Georgia offensive line is one of the best in the SEC once again this year, and they'll be able to run the football against most teams. 

North Carolina gave up 5.2 yards per carry last year and 5.1 yards per carry this year. The Tar Heels have had trouble stopping much lesser running attacks than this Georgia one, and I see them getting gashed here. 

North Carolina has one of the best offensive lines in the country. The Tar Heels lost Marquise Williams and many will expect their offense to be down, but I see this offense being excellent once again. Don't be surprised if they come close to last year's numbers (they averaged more than 40 points per game). The Tar Heels have a great running back in Elijah Hood, and running behind that experienced offensive front, he should have a huge season. Mitch Trubisky was great as a backup last year, and he knows Larry Fedora's system well. This will be the same high-octane offense we saw last year. 

With North Carolina pushing the tempo and Georgia breaking big runs on the ground, I see a back and forth game that goes over the posted total. Take the over here. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The Arkansas Razorbacks defense returns a ton of talent, and I expect their numbers to be much more like what they were two years ago than last year. Arkansas loses a ton from their offensive line, and the Razorbacks don't have the depth at running back they have had in the past. They also have a new quarterback who will be much weaker than Brandon Allen.

Louisiana Tech has historically had one of the better defenses in their conference. They lost Jeff Driskel and Kenneth Dixon (their star QB and RB) from last year and this offense will be significantly weaker. Now, their projected starter has gotten in trouble with the law and won't start this game. 

The Arkansas offense always moves at a very slow tempo, and that should be the case again this year. Louisiana Tech will likely play slower on offense with Driskel gone as well, especially with a backfield that needs more reps.

This total is several points too high. Take the under big. TOP Rated Play. 

*3 Star Play Under* The UCLA Bruins will change it up and run a pro style offense this year. Josh Rosen and this offense are expected to play a little slower (they were 13th fastest in the nation in tempo last year. With Paul Perkins gone, the Bruins have less of a running game to lean on as well. Three UCLA offensive lineman from last year are gone. UCLA lost their top two receivers from a year ago. Rosen is good, but the pieces around him aren't as good this year. 

The Bruins defense should be better than a year ago. Eddie Vanderdoes is an excellent defensive tackle and he missed nearly the whole season last year. The same goes for cornerback Fabian Moreau, who should have a big season this year. UCLA returns nine starters and I expect their defensive numbers to be better.

Texas A&M picked up Trevor Knight to run their offense at QB. Knight isn't a guy that I trust just yet. He is learning a totally new offense, and he'll be up against a good defense. The Aggies primary weakness is their offensive line, and that's important here. 

John Chavis did a great job with this Texas A&M defense a year ago. The Aggies defense should be even better this year. Texas A&M's only question mark on defense is the linebacker spot. The d-line and the secondary both look strong. The Aggies allowed only 22.0 points per game and 380 yards per game last year. 

This number has risen to a point where I believe the under is a value. We'll take the under in this season opener. 

*3 Star Play Over* This number actually opened at 56 and has gone down to 51.5. It's pretty rare that I go against a line move like this, but there's too much value on the over for me to pass on this total. 

Western Michigan's offense is absolutely loaded this year. With Terrell at quarterback they can expect very solid play. Their running backs are better than most backs at the biggest schools in the country, and they have a star at wide receiver in Davis. The offensive front is pretty good as well.

Northwestern's defense was excellent last year. The Wildcats lost a lot up front though, and I see their defensive line being down quite a bit from last year. Western Michigan is going to be one of the better offenses Northwestern plays all year.

Northwestern's offense was very weak last year, but I expect far better production from them here. The Wildcats have a great back in Jackson, and he should have a lot of room to run against a weak Western Michigan front seven. The Broncos allowed 5.1 yards per carry last year. 

This should be a close game throughout, and overtime is certainly a possibility as well. I think a 31-28 type final score here should be expected. 

This number was set too low based on Northwestern being an under machine last year. Things change from year to year and Northwestern is a different team now.  In Western Michigan's last 16 games only 3 of them have gone below this total.

Take the over. 

*5 Star College Football Friday TOP Total* The Colorado Buffaloes offense averaged 24.5 points per game last year, but I expect that number to go up in the year ahead. Colorado brought in a new offensive coordinator from Texas Tech and he is expected to get this team playing at a quicker tempo. Sefo Liufau is healthy, and I see him being a pretty good fit for this offense. The Buffaloes have good depth at both RB and WR, so the tools are there for this offense to work well.

Colorado State lost their entire defensive line and their defensive coordinator from last year. I expect this Rams defense to be down several notches from last year. The Rams are going to give up tons of yards on the ground, and they'll have almost no pass rush. The secondary is a bit weaker, and their numbers should be much worse overall thanks to the very weak pass rush. 

In last year's game, Colorado State gained 500 yards but turned it over in scoring situations. Colorado State's offense also looks to play at a quicker tempo in the second year of Mike Bobo's system. 

Both teams should get a lot of possessions because of the quicker tempo, and 54 isn't a high total at all. I don't think the tempo changes are being accounted for by the oddsmakers in this total. Look for a close game where both quarterbacks play well.

Take the over big. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Louisville Cardinals offense will be much more dynamic this year. Lamar Jackson is the answer at quarterback, and I loved the way he closed out the year for the Cardinals last year. Louisville scored 34 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games last year. They return nine starters on offense this year, and I think this is the year things start to click for them.

Bobby Petrino's teams have usually had explosive offenses in the past. In his third year back, and now with the players to fit his system, there should be a big difference. In this particular game, it should be easy for Louisville to break all kinds of explosive plays (gains of 20 yards or more). Charlotte's defense will rank among the worst in the country this year. The 49ers defensive line is going to be totally overmatched here. 

Charlotte finished last year with the tenth fastest pace of play in the country last year. They are expected to push the tempo again this year. Why are they pushing the pace? I'm not really sure. It doesn't make much sense for a bad team to try to allow their opponent to get more possessions, but that is what they do. 

Charlotte's offense will definitely be better with Kevin Olsen at quarterback. He was very highly touted coming out of high school, and he is the younger brother of Panthers star Greg Olsen. 

The Cardinals defense is good, but they are less experienced than last year, and in a blowout they should give up some points. 

I look for Louisville to top 50 points here, and that makes me like the over. Take the over in this one. 

*Note- Trevone Boykin was suspended a few hours after I made this selection. I would NOT recommend the over now with him out of the game. This game would be a pass for me. Boykin means too much to that team.* 

*3 Star Sugar Bowl 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oklahoma State Cowboys have a way of making just about every game high scoring. Oklahoma State ranks 95th in the nation in total defense. That's really bad when you consider there are only 128 teams and so many of them at the bottom are terrible teams.

The Cowboys are giving up 42.8 points per game in their last five games. Oklahoma State's defense will be tested by Mississippi's speed on the outside. The Rebels have a lot of big playmakers starting with Laquon Treadwell. I expect a bunch of explosive plays from Ole Miss here.

Oklahoma State's offense ranks eighth in the nation in passing yards. Ole Miss has been strong on the front seven this year, but their secondary is way down from a year ago. The Rebels have four guys injured or suspended on their defensive front, so they will be thin there.

Both teams play with a bunch of pace, so I expect a lot of possessions. 

The over is 6-0 in Oklahoma State's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. A 15-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Rose Bowl Red Hot CASH* The Stanford Cardinal and Iowa Hawkeyes meet in what should be a very physical game in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. Stanford's Christian McCaffrey finished second in the Heisman Trophy race, and he'll get the ball a bunch here. Stanford runs the ball a bunch, and they take their time between plays as well. Stanford's pace of play ranks at 122nd out of 128 teams in the country, so they definitely take a lot of time on their drives.

Iowa has played a much weaker schedule, but thus far this year Iowa has been very good against the run. The Hawkeyes defensive front is good. On offense, Iowa rarely creates big plays. This is a Hawkeyes team that runs the ball and methodically moves the ball down the field.

This is the type of game where I see both teams having long drives that take away 7 or 8 minutes at a time. If they are forced to settle for a field goal a few times on those, as I believe they will, then the under becomes a nice value play.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Notre Dame/Ohio State Total DOMINATION* The Ohio State Buckeyes offense didn't play up to expectations this year. First of all, the Buckeyes started the wrong quarterback for a very long time this year. Cardale Jones has a big arm, but he isn't the best fit for this system. J.T. Barrett gives the team a better runner and a more accurate passer. 

For the majority of the season, Ohio State couldn't pour on the points as expected, but they seem to have found something in their last game at Michigan. Ohio State played with much more uptempo looks and it helped them wear down the Wolverines defensive front. 

That's important here because Notre Dame's defense wasn't good against the run this year. Notre Dame gave up 4.52 yards per carry. Ezekiel Elliot and this Buckeyes ground game should have big day.

Notre Dame's offense has been underrated by many. I like their big play ability, and Ohio State hasn't faced teams with as many weapons as the Fighting Irish. The Buckeyes defense is very good, but with Notre Dame should break several big plays here.

The over is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following a loss. Take the over. 

*4 Star Michigan State/Bama MONEYMAKER* The Alabama Crimson Tide and Michigan State Spartans play a similar style of football. That should mean a lot of excitement in the Cotton Bowl on Thursday night, especially if you like hard hitting football. I expect both of the defenses to bring their best effort in this one.

Michigan State needs this game to be low scoring, and they are going to bleed the clock on offense as much as possible. Michigan State ranks in the bottom 15 in the nation in terms of tempo. Alabama is also slower than the average pace in college football. With both teams expected to run the ball a lot, that is important because it means the clock will be ticking throughout much of this game.

Michigan State's defense has been amazing in the past four games. They have allowed 12.5 points per game against some quality competition during that time. Included was their domination against the Ohio State Buckeyes offense that is very talented. Alabama will be able to move the ball here, but I don't think it will come easy, and I think they'll have to settle for some field goals.

Michigan State's offense has been really inconsistent this year, and this Alabama defense has been the best in the nation all year long. I don't think Michigan State will be able to score many in this one.

Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Orange Bowl Bookie BASHER* The Clemson Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners both have explosive offenses. Clemson and Oklahoma both play very quickly as well. Clemson plays at the 29th quickest pace in the country and Oklahoma plays at the 40th quickest tempo (out of 128 teams). With these quick tempo teams on the field together, we should see a lot of snaps and plenty of opportunities for big plays.

Oklahoma's Baker Mayfield has been great in the air raid system. I don't think Perine gets enough credit for how good he is at running back though. Since Oklahoma started being more balanced with Perine touching the ball more often, this offense has been much better. Oklahoma has scored 44 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. 

Clemson has scored 33 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Tigers have the best player on the field in Deshaun Watson as well. The Clemson running game is solid, and I really like Jordan Leggett at tight end for Clemson.

The Clemson defense is giving up 27.17 points per game in their last six games. Oklahoma's defense has also given up a lot of big plays down the stretch. The offenses should have the upper hand.

The over is 20-8-1 in Oklahoma's last 29 games. The over is 7-2 in Clemson's last 9 games. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Holiday Bowl HEATER* The USC Trojans have transformed themselves into a team that primarily runs the football here late in the season. USC has slowed the tempo down as well. Early in the season they ranked in the top 20 in terms of tempo. Now, they are right in the middle of the pack at #61. 

Wisconsin is a team that runs the ball almost every play. They have to because Joel Stave is not a good quarterback. The Badgers running game has been much less productive this year than they have been in recent years.

With both teams running the ball constantly, the clock will be ticking throughout in this one. Both defenses are much better against the run than the pass. Wisconsin is only giving up 13.1 points per game on the year. I see a low scoring close game. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Saturday Night MONEY* The UCLA Bruins have a good young quarterback in Josh Rosen, and they go up against a Nebraska secondary that has struggled all year long. Nebraska ranks 122nd in the nation out of 128 teams against the pass. Look for Rosen to beat this secondary consistently with the pass. 

At the same time, Nebraska's offense has been very good down the stretch. The Cornhuskers have averaged 34 points per game in their last four contests. Armstrong and his receivers are getting more accustomed to Mike Riley's new offense. The Cornhuskers prefer to play quickly, and they like to use the no huddle package quite a bit. UCLA ranks as the 8th fastest paced team in the country as well.

UCLA's defense has been hit hard by the injury bug this year. Their two best players will miss this game. I see both offenses having a lot of scoring chances throughout. Take the over.  

*3 Star CFB Pinstripe Bowl Power Play* The Duke Blue Devils offense was up and down this year, but Duke plays at the ninth fastest tempo of anyone in the country. Indiana plays at the single fastest tempo of anyone in the country. There will be a bunch of snaps in this one, and the more snaps there are the more scoring opportunities come up. 

The Indiana defense is dreadful. How bad are they? Indiana's pass defense ranks dead last in the country. Opponents are throwing for more than 326 yards per game against them. Duke's passing game should look a lot better than usual against this Indiana defense. 

The Duke defense will be without star safety Jeremy Cash. Cash is the team's best defensive player, and he's a big loss. Indiana's offense is one of the most balanced in the country, and star running back Jordan Howard returning from an injury, Indiana is going to be even more dangerous. 

The over is 38-15-1 in Indiana's last 54 games. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Sun Bowl SMASHER* This is a matchup of two very good quarterbacks. I'm high on both Brad Kaaya and Luke Falk. They play in different systems, but both guys have done a really nice job progressing over the course of their careers.

Miami's offense has been pretty good since their blowout loss to Clemson. The Hurricanes finished the season strong, and they have a speed advantage on the outside here. Washington State's secondary should have trouble staying with these wideouts. 

Washington State's offense has all sorts of playmakers at the wide receiver spots. Luke Falk is the perfect quarterback for Mike Leach's system. Falk spreads the ball around and doesn't lock in on any one guy. The Cougars always like to play quickly in the Leach offense, and that won't change here.

Washington State's defense has certainly improved this year, but I'm still not convinced they are good. Miami's defense will be without two starters who were suspended for this game. 

Both offenses have a lot of big play ability. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Marshall Thundering Herd were a high powered offense in the past, but they aren't that anymore. Marshall took a huge step backward when Rakeem Cato graduated. Marshall ranks 64th in the nation in total offense. I think the perception is still out there that Marshall is a good offense because of what they did in the past, and that gives us value on the under.

UConn's defense has gotten so much better under Bob Diaco. The Huskies are giving up only 19.8 points per game. This is a unit that has been consistently very good all season long. Marshall's defense is only allowing 18.4 points per game. I think both offenses will have a difficult time getting things going in this one.

The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 31-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet on Saturday night in New Orleans. Louisiana Tech has a really good offense with Jeff Driskel (Florida transfer) and Kenneth Dixon at quarterback and running back. Driskel was a disappointment at Florida, but he's been great at Louisiana Tech. Arkansas State's Fredi Knighten and Michael Gordon are a really nice quarterback and running back combination too. Both of these teams have big play ability on offense.

When you look at the schedules these two teams played, they didn't play very many dynamic offenses, and when they did, they gave up a bunch of points. Louisiana Tech just gave up 58 points against Southern Miss in their last game. Arkansas State allowed 31 points or more five times this year, and this will be the second most talented offense they have faced this year. Both offenses in this game prefer to play at a quick tempo.

The over is 5-0 in Arkansas State's last 5 games after gaining more than 450 yards last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 40 points or more last game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star BYU/Utah Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and the Utah Utes absolutely hate each other. This is one of the meanest rivalries in college football today. Both teams should be plenty motivated here. We are going to see some very hard hitting action. 

Utah's offense is really banged up right now. The Utes are expected to be without star running back Devontae Booker here. Booker carries a massive load for this offense. He's averaged nearly 5 yards per carry in his career, and he is a workhorse. Britain Covey, Utah's best receiver and best kick returner is also doubtful for this one. That means there will be a lot more pressure on Travis Wilson. Wilson isn't a guy I trust very much, especially when he doesn't have enough weapons at the skill positions around him.

BYU's offense hasn't been able to run this year, and Utah presents a major challenge for the Cougars offense. Utah has a tremendous pass rush and the Utes also have a very good secondary. 

I see both offenses struggling in a close game throughout. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Bowl Season Kickoff CASH* The New Mexico Lobos have the home field advantage in this one, but they are at a significant talent disadvantage. Rather than get involved on the side in this game, I'm going with the over. New Mexico and Arizona are two rushing attacks that both make a bunch of explosive plays. I think we'll see a lot of long runs in this game.

Arizona ranks 4th in the nation in pace of play. The Wildcats are going to look to get off as many plays as they can quickly, and that's obviously very helpful for an over. New Mexico's defense has improved quite a bit this year, but they haven't faced many offenses with the type of talent Arizona has.

Arizona's defense is giving up 4.42 yards per carry this year. The Wildcats haven't allowed less than 30 points in a single game in their last six contests. They allowed 45 points or more five times this year.

The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. A 15-1 angle. Take the over.  

*5 Star Army/Navy TOP Play SMASHER* The Army Cadets and the Navy Midshipmen renew their tremendous rivalry this Saturday. This one will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Navy Midshipmen had a great season in their first year in the American Athletic Conference. Army has struggled once again to a 2-9 record. 

Navy and Army have a long history of playing low scoring games against each other. It really makes a lot of sense. The single biggest advantage of running a triple option offense is that opposing defenses typically aren't accustomed to seeing it. That obviously isn't the case when these two teams play each other. The defenses work against triple option attacks every single day in practice.

Earlier this year, both of these teams played Air Force and both teams saw their games go under against Air Force. Army's game with Air Force was particularly telling. It was a 20-3 game that never got even close to the posted total. While Army's defense was bad overall this year, they did well against Air Force.

In the past nine years, there hasn't been a single game between these two finish with a higher total than 48 points.

The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. The under is 10-1 in Army's last 11 games in December. The under is 10-1 in Navy's last 11 games in December. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 neutral site games. The under is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 on grass. A 40-3 angle. Take the under big.  This line is dropping through the week. I would play this for a top rated play down to 49 points. *TOP Rated Play*

*4 Star Pac 12 Title MONEY Total* The Stanford Cardinal and USC Trojans meet in the Pac 12 title game this Saturday night. USC's defense has been a big disappointment this year. USC ranks number 70 in the nation in total defense this year. They are giving up 400 yards per game. USC gave up more than 40 points three times this year, including their first meeting this year with Stanford.

Stanford's defense isn't very good either. They are 50th in the nation in total defense. Stanford has allowed more than 30 points four times this year. USC has an improved running game since their first meeting with Stanford, and I think their improved balance as an offense will help them find success against Stanford's mediocre defense.

Christian McCaffrey is one of the best game breakers in the nation, and USC gives up a bunch of big plays. Kevin Hogan is a winner who makes big plays when needed. USC has plenty of offensive playmakers. The over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB MAC MONEYMAKER* The Bowling Green offense is as dynamic as they come, so this isn't an easy bet to make, but there are several reasons I like this one. Bowling Green's rushing defense has improved over the course of the season, and Northern Illinois has a very inexperienced quarterback under center. While I think Northern Illinois will still get plenty of yards on the ground, I think their inability to move it through the air will bog things down a bit in the red zone. Look for Bowling Green's defense to force Northern Illinois into some field goals.

In addition, Northern Illinois has a good coach and I'm going to assume that they know they need to slow the tempo of the game down. The Huskies aren't likely to be able to win a shootout here. They will likely look to run the ball a bunch and use up a lot of clock. 

One final key factor, the public is betting the over here in a big way (75-80%) and yet the total has edged down throughout the week. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Temple Owls defense held a very good Memphis offense to only four field goals last weekend. Temple has struggle with offenses that have a good runner at quarterback, but UConn doesn't have that. In fact, UConn's starting QB is listed as questionable here. Even with him, the team is averaging less than 20 points per game against a relatively weak schedule. UConn has been much more competitive this year thanks to their ability to shut down the running game. Temple's offense isn't dynamic, and UConn should be able to slow them down. Both defenses have a clear advantage. Take the under. *Note- This has moved down since I picked it earlier this week- I would play this for 3 stars at anything below 42. Thank you.*

*3 Star Play Over* The Arkansas State Red Wolves rushed for nearly 500 yards against New Mexico State last year! That's video game type numbers, and I won't be surprised if they come close to reaching it again. New Mexico State ranks third worst in the country in run defense and they are allowing more than six yards per carry. The Red Wolves offense likes to play fast and they have a good runner at QB in Knighten and two good RB's. New Mexico State's offense has been much better in recent weeks, and Arkansas State isn't very good defensively. Expect a shootout. Take the over. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Vanderbilt Commodores have been a great team for under bettors this year. Vanderbilt hasn't been able to get an offense going all year, but the defense is much better than it was a year ago. Coach Mason has a strong defensive background and the team has taken to that identity this year. Tennessee has played well in recent weeks. I had the under in their game last week against Missouri and the Volunteers did all they needed to do to win against a bad offense. I expect the same from them in this one.

The Volunteers clearly have the much more talented team, and I expect them to win. Having said that, these rivalry games can be closer than expected, and Vanderbilt's defensive numbers are impressive. The Volunteers may well be needing to kick field goals and win in an ugly contest. Vanderbilt isn't going to be able to get much of anything going offensively. 

The under is 7-0 in Vanderbilt's last 7 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 275 yards or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after throwing for 170 yards or less last game. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Volunteers last 4 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 3-0 in the last 3 between these teams. 

Take the under big! CFB Top Play of the Week 

*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Illinois Fighting Illini and Northwestern Wildcats are pretty similar teams in that they both struggle on offense and are much improved on defense. Northwestern obviously has the much better record, but the line here indicates Las Vegas expects a close game throughout. The forecast calls for 20-25 mph winds through the game, which will likely mean even more running than there would have been. A running clock with a bunch of running plays is great news for under bettors. Both defensive lines are strong. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Syracuse Orange offense has been a mess all year. The Boston College offense is an absolute disaster. While Syracuse's defense isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, they don't really need to be to hold down Boston College. Boston College hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game vs. an FBS opponent all year. There's no reason to expect it here either. At the same time, Syracuse is so bad that Boston College is the favorite in this game. There are plenty of reasons to expect a really sloppy game where neither team can get going. 

The under is 4-0 in Boston College's last 4 November games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The under is 10-1 in Boston College's last 11 following a loss. A 20-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Georgia Bulldogs defense has been very good this year. They have given up 6 points or less on three occasions. They've allowed 14 points or less in six games this year. Georgia Tech's offense has been really struggling to score touchdowns this year. The Yellow Jackets confidence is extremely low right now, and Georgia's defense is likely to make it tough for them here. On the other side, Georgia has no passing game. The Bulldogs have a good running game, but when you are completely one-dimensional it makes you much easier to defend. In rivalry games like this one, we typically see lower scoring games.

The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 20 points or less. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after giving up 170 yards or less through the air last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 rushing yards. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Pac 12 Total* The Washington State Cougars offense is a well-oiled machine with Luke Falk at quarterback. He's the perfect fit for a Mike Leach offense. Washington State doesn't run the ball because they don't need to. Colorado's secondary has been picked apart all year, and it should happen again here. Falk has a bunch of great wide receivers, and Colorado doesn't have the secondary to keep them in check.

Washington State's defense has been giving up a ton of yards, and Colorado's backup quarterback is a guy the team is very high on. He'll start here and I think he has a good opportunity to do well for the Buffaloes against a mediocre at best defense. Take the over. 

*5 Star College Football TOP Play of Week* The Boston College Eagles have the number one ranked defense in the nation. Why do they have such a bad record? Because their offense is awful. 

Boston College is giving up only 2.12 yards per carry this year, which is truly an amazing number. The Eagles defense has allowed 14 points or less in 6 of their 10 games this season. Steve Addazio's team works extremely hard on the defensive end.

Boston College has one of the worst offenses in the country. How bad are they? Well they have scored 10 points or less in 5 of their 8 games this year against FBS opponents. They haven't scored more than 17 points against an FBS opponent this year! 

Notre Dame's defense isn't great, but they should look great against Boston College's offense. The Fighting Irish and the Eagles both play at a slow tempo. We should see the game clock moving most of the time with a lot of running the football here. 

The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The under is 9-1 in Boston College's last 10 following a loss. A 15-1 angle. Take the under big! NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Missouri Tigers defense has been great all year and their offense has been awful all year. For some reason, Missouri's offensive coaches have decided to continue to try to throw the ball with Drew Lock at quarterback despite him having next to no success all year. The running game doesn't get enough carries. Tennessee's defense is pretty good against the run, and Missouri will struggle to score.

Tennessee's offense has been very inconsistent this year. The Volunteers are likely to face a very spirited Missouri defense though in what is Gary Pinkel's last home game coaching the Missouri Tigers. This defense has been nasty at home.

The weather here looks like it could be helpful too. The wind will gust to 25 miles per hour, which definitely hurts the offense.

The under is 3-0-1 in the Volunteers last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 SEC games. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Oregon State Beavers starting quarterback is out. Their second string quarterback has struggled and he is dinged up. He will either play hurt or they'll be on their third string quarterback. Washington's defense has impressed me all year. The Huskies stop unit is unlikely to give up much of anything against this Oregon State offense. I'll be very surprised if Oregon tops 14 points. 

Washington's offense has been really inconsistent this year, and traditionally Oregon State's defense plays much better at home. The Beavers have spoken about their poor performances against Washington of late and they want to make amends for those showings. The defense should show improvement in this game.

The under is 7-0 in the Huskies last 7 road games. The under is 7-0 in Washington's last 7 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 2-0 in Oregon State's last 2 home games. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Old Dominion Monarchs have steadily improved their offensive production for the year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful all year. They are allowing 34 points per game. Southern Miss' offense averages 38.6 per contest, and the Golden Eagles are one of the most improved teams in the nation this year. They average 5.22 yards per carry, and Mullens is a very good quarterback in this system. Look for a lot of big plays from both offenses. Take the over in this one. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Utah Utes defense has been elite against the run, but they have given up a lot of big plays in the passing game. Josh Rosen and the UCLA wideouts should be able to take advantage of that. Utah's offense has big play ability, and I think this UCLA defense has been one of the most overrated units in the country this season. They are now without their best two players in the front seven, and Utah should move the ball a lot in this one. Weather won't be an issue here and I'll take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The North Carolina Tar Heels are playing some tremendous football of late. I don't think they have gotten the credit they deserve. North Carolina has always had a great offense, but this year their defense has stepped up in a big way. The Tar Heels secondary has turned into one of the best in the country. Gene Chizik is doing great work with this unit. 

Virginia Tech's defense has had a lot of injuries this year, but they are still a solid unit, especially against the pass. Bud Foster will dial up some unique blitz packages to confuse the Tar Heels offense here. Virginia Tech is playing their final home game, which means this is Frank Beamer's last game in Blacksburg. Expect a spirited effort from the Hokies defense.

The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at Virginia Tech. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings overall. A 12-1 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star College Football TOP Play of the MONTH* The UCLA Bruins defense is missing their top three players, and it has shown on multiple occasions this year. Stanford put up 56 points in three quarters against them. Colorado lit them up for 31 points and a whopping 554 yards. Colorado had 312 passing yards in that game. In their home loss to Arizona State, UCLA allowed 465 yards of total offense.

Washington State's offense is great with Luke Falk at the quarterback spot. Falk is the perfect quarterback for Mike Leach's system. Falk is a tall quarterback who sees over the defense. He gets rid of the ball quickly, and he spreads the ball around to all of Washington State's talented receivers. The Cougars wide receivers have a definite advantage over UCLA's banged up secondary.

UCLA's offense should move the ball with ease as well. As usual, Washington State doesn't have much at all in the way of defense. The Cougars defense is giving up 30.1 points per game. They have allowed at least 30 points in 5 of their last 6 games. Josh Rosen looks great at quarterback, and Paul Perkins is underrated as running back at UCLA.

Both teams move the ball well here. This line is far too low. Take the over big! College Football TOP Play of the Month. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Cincinnati Bearcats have an excellent quarterback in Gunner Kiel. Kiel threw for more than 500 yards last week at Houston. He could put up those kinds of numbers once again here. Tulsa has a very weak secondary that should be exploited by the combination of Kiel and Cincinnati's very good wide receivers. 

Tulsa plays at the single fastest pace of any team in the country. The Golden Hurricane will be working against a Cincinnati defense that has struggled both last year and this year. With weather conditions looking good for Saturday's game, I see a shootout in this one. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Houston Cougars and Memphis Tigers can both put up points in a hurry. Houston is a really well balanced offense that hasn't been stopped very effectively by anyone this year. Memphis has Paxton Lynch, an excellent quarterback, and the Tigers should be able to move the ball through the air effectively. Houston's defense allowed more than 500 yards passing last week against Cincinnati. The Memphis defense was just torched by Navy last weekend. Memphis' defense is likely to be hurting a little extra, because the blocking schemes that Navy runs are noted as being tough to bounce back from right away. Both teams push the tempo and I'll take the over here. 

*4 Star Play Over* This Texas State defense is among the worst in the nation, and Georgia State's is barely any better. In fact, they both rank in the bottom 15 out of 128 teams in the nation in terms of total defense. Both offense play at a quick pace, so we should see a lot of snaps in this one. With these two defenses on the field a lot, I think there will be a lot of big plays from both teams. I think this game gets into the 70's in a close game where both offenses put up points easily. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores defense has put together some really impressive performances this year. Vanderbilt gave up only 14 points to an amazing Western Kentucky offense earlier this year. They allowed only 9 points last week at Florida. They have allowed 14 points or less in six of their nine games so far this year. Kentucky's offense has been a mess this year. Vanderbilt's offense is a disaster right now. For as good as the defense is, the offense is that bad. They were shutout by Houston and then scored only 7 at Florida. Western Kentucky's awful defense allowed only 12 points against Vanderbilt. This total is low for a reason.

The under is 5-0 in Vandy's last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 yards rushing or less. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 170 yards passing or less. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 on turf. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 3-0 in the last 3 games between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Alabama/Mississippi State MONEY* The Alabama Crimson Tide defense is outstanding. The show that defensive front put on against LSU and Leonard Fournette. Holding him to 31 yards rushing is an amazing accomplishment. Mississippi State isn't nearly the dynamic offense they were last year. The Bulldogs have an exceptional quarterback in Dak Prescott, but he has little help around him. Prescott is accustomed to running the football a lot, but I can't imagine Alabama's defensive front letting him get much running room here.

Mississippi State's defense has been excellent this year as well. Alabama has a good ground game, but the passing attack is questionable at best. The Bulldogs defense has been great at home in recent years, and they have stopped Alabama well in the past. 

The under is 8-1 in the Bulldogs last 9 SEC games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Starkville. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Tulane Green Wave did a really nice job defending the triple option when they played Navy a few weeks ago. Navy won that game, but it wasn't nearly as easy as expected for the Midshipmen. Tulane's defense should be able to defend the Army triple option well again here. Navy runs the triple option more effectively than Army does. 

Army moves at the slowest pace of any team in the country. That means we'll see a lot of running clock and the play clock rolling down to a couple seconds before snapping it. The Tulane offense has been woeful all year. Army's defense isn't very good, but they should be able to contain Tulane's offense enough. Take the under here. *Note- This line has moved a few points- I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 42.5.*

*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal Golden Bears have come undone in recent weeks after starting the season red hot. Cal's passing attack hasn't been as good lately. They should look a lot better in this one against an Oregon secondary that has been blasted by every decent quarterback they have gone up against. Goff has a bounce back game here. 

Vernon Adams makes this Oregon Ducks offense so much better. He was injured earlier this year, and the team just couldn't get going like normal. He's now healthy, and he's the playmaker the team was missing. Adams makes something out of nothing on a consistent basis.

It's expected to be rainy for this one, but importantly wind isn't expected to be a factor. Rain itself doesn't necessarily hurt scoring because there can actually be more turnovers that lead to easy points or special teams touchdowns. Wind is a negative for the over, but wind isn't going to hurt here.

Look for a high scoring game. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The Washington Huskies defense has been tremendous this year. Washington wasn't expected to do much of anything this year, and the fact that they have tells me Chris Petersen is doing a great job here. The Huskies offense still needs a lot of work, but their defense has been amazing in their last few contests.

Utah's defensive line is the best in the Pac 12. Look for them to make life very difficult on Browning and the Huskies offensive front. Devontae Booker is the Utes main weapon on offense and they have to give him the ball a bunch here. Washington has been great against the run though.

The weather is important here as well with rain and winds of 15 to 20 mph possible during the game. That weather is favorable for the under. Take the under big. 

*Note- This line has moved significantly since I played it early in the week- I would currently play the under for 3 stars. Thank you*

*4 Star Play Under* The Navy Midshipmen know they don't want a high scoring affair against a Memphis team that can put up the points in a hurry. What will they do? They'll look to play keep away with Keenan Reynolds and their tremendous triple option attack. Look for Navy to slowly drive the ball down the field and hold a big time of possession advantage in this game. I think both teams will score on a lot of drives here, but I don't think there will be enough possessions for them to get past this very high total.

It's very rare to see this high of a total in a Navy game because of their methodical style of play. I see it as a good chance to take the value on the under. Look for this one to stay in the 50's. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* These two teams are a lot like each other. Both of them have a defense that plays hard and rallies to the ball. They both also have a terrible offense that has struggled to put together consistent drives against anyone. Last year when these teams met the final score was 12-3! I'm not necessarily saying this one will be that low, but I do think it will be another game with a lot of field goals. This one has sloppy game written all over it.

Both of these teams run the ball a lot, and both defenses are solid against the run. Tulane's defense really impressed me a couple weeks ago when they played Navy. UConn's defense has gotten better quickly under Bob Diaco. Neither team is designed in a way where they will make big plays very often. We'll look for a lot of running clock and strong defense from both teams throughout.

The under is 9-0 in Tulane's last 9 games after gaining 170 yards or less through the air last game. The under is 6-0 in UConn's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in the Huskies last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing last game. A 19-0 angle. Take the under big! 

*4 Star CFB Rivalry Total* The Air Force Falcons and Army Cadets both run the triple option all the time. I've had a lot of success playing unders in these situations before. Air Force and Army both defend the triple option on a daily basis, and that gives their defense a huge advantage over other teams who aren't accustomed to playing against this defense. 

Since both teams will be running the ball almost every single down, the clock will be ticking a lot in this one. That's really important when you bet an under. Additionally, Army's tempo is the slowest in the country so far this year, so they really milk the clock. 

The familiarity with the triple option should lead to a lower than expected game. Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Over* Here's a game between two defenses that are regressing and two offenses that are improving on a weekly basis. Washington State's offense has the perfect signal caller in Luke Falk. Falk spreads the ball around to the many talented wide receivers for the Cougars. There hasn't been a defense that has been able to stop them yet this year.

Arizona State is good against the run, but Washington State doesn't even attempt to run the football. The Cougars are going to be airing it out. Washington State's defense has been unable to stop anyone this year. Arizona State has been a lot better in recent weeks on offense.

This number is a few points too low. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Michigan Wolverines defense didn't look quite as good last week in their close win over Rutgers. They should look a whole lot better here against a Rutgers offense that is a disaster right now.

Rutgers scored 7 points on Ohio State two weeks ago and that was a touchdown with 30 seconds left against the Buckeyes second and third team defensive players. Last week, Rutgers scored only 3 points on offense against Wisconsin. It wouldn't surprise me to see them shutout or very close to it in this one.

Michigan's offense is a run first attack and they move very slowly. They aren't going to pile up a bunch of points on many people. The wind is expected to be 20 to 25 mph during this game, which means both passing attacks should struggle. 

The under is 6-0 in the Wolverines last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. I think they make it 7 straight unders. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers had a big lead last year when they played at Florida Atlantic. They blew that lead and suffered a stunning loss. They'll be out for revenge here. Western Kentucky's offense is dynamic with Brandon Doughty spreading the ball around to a bunch of wide receivers. Now Anthony Wales has turned into a game breaker at the running back spot as well. This offense is scary good, and Florida Atlantic's defense hasn't been good against even subpar offenses. Western Kentucky is going to put up a big number here. 

The Hilltoppers still have a weak defense as evidenced by Old Dominion scoring a bunch on them last week. Florida Atlantic should be able to get in the end zone several times as well.

*Note- This line has moved up since I picked earlier in the week. I would play this for 4 stars up to 66 and for 3 stars up to 70 points. Thank you*

*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Missouri Tigers haven't seen a single game this year go over the posted total. Missouri has the perfect combination of a terrible offense and a great defense. Missouri has virtually no passing game, and the running game is slowed down by quality defenses because they stack the box. Mississippi State has been great against the run this year, and I can't imagine the Bulldogs are going to let Missouri bet them on the ground here.

Dak Prescott is a really good quarterback for Mississippi State, but he clearly has less weapons around him than he did last year. Prescott is likely to have a difficult time against this Missouri defense. The Tigers defensive line is great at getting into the backfield and sacking the quarterback or stuffing a run behind the line.

This line has surprisingly climbed so far this week. I'm glad to take the under in this spot because my number for this one was 39 points. 

The under is 8-0 in the Bulldogs last 8 SEC games. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 after giving up 20 points or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 SEC games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 games overall. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB SEC Total* The Kentucky Wildcats defense has really shown signs of wearing down the last couple weeks. Auburn's very weak offense was able to move the ball consistently against them, and then last week Dak Prescott and Mississippi State did whatever they wanted against this Kentucky defense. Tennessee had a rough time offensively against Alabama, but this Volunteers offense has been very good against lesser defenses, and that's what Kentucky is this year. Tennessee's defense has been mediocre at best. These are two teams that play at a pretty quick tempo. Take the over.

*The line has moved since I selected this earlier this week. I would play this one up to 58 points. Thank you*

*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Georgia State Panthers have a similar strategy on offense when it comes to getting off a bunch of plays. Both teams look to hustle to the line and get the snap off quickly. That's a big benefit for over bettors because it creates more plays and more chances to score. Arkansas State's defense has regressed this year, and they have been giving up a lot of big plays. Georgia State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Panthers should get absolutely torched by Arkansas State's elite ground game. Both Knighten and Gordon have game breaking ability in the backfield. This total dropped throughout the week, which gives us a nice value play.

The over is 6-0 in Georgia State's last 6 following an ATS cover. The over is 7-0 in Arkansas State's last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. An 18-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Florida Gators defense is still one of the best in the country. Florida's offense will likely have a difficult time making big plays without Will Grier. At the same time, I see Georgia having a ton of trouble on offense in this game. Georgia's Greyson Lambert hasn't played a good game against a top defense yet, and I don't think this will be one either. Florida is going to dare Georgia to beat them through the air here. Look for Florida to stack the box and do a nice job slowing down the Bulldogs running game. This should be a hard fought game where both defenses have the upper hand. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been a scoring machine this year. Mahomes has proven to be an upgrade at the quarterback spot and that has made this Red Raiders offense much more dangerous than they were last year. Mahomes does a good job getting rid of the ball quickly, and he spreads it around to all their talented receivers. 

Oklahoma State's offense has feasted on the Texas Tech defense for years now, and I don't see why it would be any different this year. Oklahoma State's quarterback play has been better recently, and Texas Tech's secondary has been making everyone look good this year.

Both of these teams love to play an uptempo style and we will see a ton of big plays throughout this game. The combination of a quick pace and explosive plays is great for the over. This number is high, but it's high for good reason. 

The over is 7-0 in Texas Tech's last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 40 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record on the road. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star ACC Total* The Boston College Eagles offense is just horrendous. How bad were they last week? Boston College had 4 first downs and 79 total yards of offense against a Louisville defense that is decent, but not amazing. Wow. Boston College is routinely scoring less than 10 points in games. Virginia Tech's offense is once again underperforming this year, but the defense is solid with a great coordinator in Bud Foster. Look for both teams to struggle to get anything going offensively in this game. While this total is posted extremely low, it's low for a reason. I made this total 34 points, and with the way both of these offenses have looked lately, I'm taking the under. 

*4 Star CFB Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers have been a very good under team this year. It makes sense because Wisconsin has one of the top five defenses in the country. In the past, the Badgers have had one of the best ground games in the country, but they don't this year. Wisconsin's offensive line has struggled throughout the year, and the running back situation hasn't been nearly as good thanks to injury issues. Rutgers has been pretty good at slowing down the running attack this year, so I think they can hold their own for the most part. Rutgers' Leonte Caroo is questionable with an injury this weekend and he's a huge deal to this offense. The Scarlet Knights offense has virtually no passing game without him. Last week, Ohio State held Rutgers scoreless until Rutgers scored with a few seconds left in the game on a garbage touchdown. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Pittsburgh Panthers are playing at the second slowest tempo of any team in the country. Pittsburgh is a team that is going to run the ball early and often, and they are going to use the clock. In their final drive against Syracuse last week, they ran off nearly 10 minutes of clock and kicked a field goal. Those are the kind of things that under bettors have to love. It doesn't hurt that the Panthers have a strong defense either.

North Carolina is known for their offense, but Gene Chizik has done a really nice job with this team's defense this year. This defense was a laughing stock a year ago, and now they have been pretty good this season.

Another important factor here is the weather. There are expected to be wind gusts of 30 mph at times throughout this game. What does that mean? Well it means their should be a lot more running, and running the football means a running clock. It also usually means less explosive plays. 

The under is 6-0 in North Carolina's last 6 Thursday games. Take the under in this one. 

*Surprisingly- this line has moved up. I would take the under for a 4 star play at 59 points or higher. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Mississippi State Bulldogs offense is far worse than it was a year ago. Dak Prescott is still a great playmaker at quarterback, but he has very little help around him. The Bulldogs have been able to put up points in bunches against non-conference opponents, but they haven't been very good against SEC foes. Kentucky's defensive improvement is the main reason this team has been far more competitive in the last couple seasons. I made this total 51.5, so I see enough value to make a play.

The under is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 conference games. The under is 3-0-1 in Kentucky's last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0-1 in Kentucky's last 6 after throwing for 280 yards or more last game. A 15-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Utah/USC Total DOMINATION* The USC Trojans put forth a good effort last weekend in Notre Dame, but they came home with a loss. USC's offensive line has had issues this year, and the Trojans are playing against the best defensive front in the conference in Utah. The Utes will be pressuring Cody Kessler all night on Saturday. The USC offense has been very inconsistent this year, and in recent years they have had trouble moving the ball against Utah. While Utah's defense and special teams are tremendous, the Utes are too one dimensional on offense. Booker is a great runner, but they have no other playmakers on offense. A total of 60 is too high with these two teams. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The UTEP Miners offense is totally lost without their starting quarterback and starting running back. Aaron Jones was the team's leading rusher last year, and they were counting on him to be the star again this year, but he is injured and likely out for the season. Without him at running back, this team is a mess. UTEP's pace of play is one of the 5 slowest in the country. Florida Atlantic's defense is better than their offense. The defense isn't special, but they shouldn't need to be to slow down this UTEP offense. This one should be ugly all the way, but ugly is usually a good thing for under bettors. The line has shifted down a bit since I bet this one early in the week, but it's still a 5 star play for me. My number for this game was only 45 points.

The under is 5-1 in FAU's last 6 on turf. The under is 4-0 in UTEP's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 13-1 angle. Take the under big! 

*3 Star Play Over* The Idaho Vandals defense is one of the five worst in the country. Anytime I see an Idaho posted total this low, the over is worth a look. Louisiana Monroe had a solid defense in the past, but this year they have been much weaker. Both of these teams play quickly and there should be a lot of possessions for both offenses. The total was hit down in the market which made this one get into the play range for me. Look for a back and forth game that goes over the total. Last year, the final was 38-31 when these two played. This one gets to the 60's too. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats rank second in the nation in terms of pace per play. They love to play uptempo. Mike Leach has always been an uptempo guy, and he has a great quarterback in Luke Falk. Falk threw 6 touchdowns in the first half last weekend! Arizona's defense has been torched on a consistent basis this year, and I think Washington State will do the same to them here. Arizona's defense wasn't great to start with, and now they are banged up. Washington State's defense is bad once again this year, and Rich Rod's team has lots of speed and weapons on offense. 

The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more passing. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after running for 200 yards or more last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. A 29-1 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The South Florida Bulls and the SMU Mustangs both rank in the bottom 25 in terms of pace in the nation. With a high total and two teams that take a lot of time in between plays, there is value on the under. South Florida's defense is the best unit on the field here, and SMU should have trouble scoring. While USF might be capable of winning this one big, I don't see them running up the score in a spot where they would likely be better to rest their players and be happy with a comfortable win. Take the under. *Note- This line has moved since I selected it on Monday. I would play this one down to 58.5 points which is available at most books now late in the week. Thank you*

*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Wisconsin Badgers have become a really good under team. The Badgers defense is as strong as ever. They are good against both the run and the pass. The Wisconsin offense though is much weaker than they have been in recent years. Corey Clement is hurt and the backups aren't getting the job done in the running game. The offensive line is far less dominating than they have been in recent years. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback either. Illinois has slowed down their tempo and they have played some low scoring games this year. The weather is important here too. Winds of 20 mph with showers are expected during the game. That's good news for under bettors.

The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 275 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in Illinois' last 4 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Mac Total* The Ohio Bobcats defense is one of the best in the MAC. They didn't show it last week. Frank Solich is a great coach, and I expect he will have this Ohio defense ready to go this week. The Bobcats are a team that runs the ball a lot on offense and uses up the clock and so is Buffalo. Buffalo's star running back is Anthone Taylor. He is listed as questionable here, and even if he does play he won't be 100 percent. This should be a close game all the way, but I think it will be low scoring. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Pittsburgh Panthers defense has been amazing this year led by new head coach Pat Narduzzi. Narduzzi was awesome as Michigan State's defensive coordinator, and now the Panthers defense has immediately gotten better in a big way. Pitt only allowed 100 total yards of offense a couple weeks ago at Virginia Tech. The Panthers defensive line will have a huge advantage over Syracuse's offensive front. The Orange are starting a quarterback who simply isn't very good. He started the year as the fifth quarterback option for the team. Pittsburgh will run the ball and use up clock. Look for Pitt to win a low scoring game. Take the under. 

*This line has moved since I first selected it- I recommend playing this for 4 stars down to 49 and it would be a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you*

*4 Star Play Over* The Charlotte 49ers are a team that doesn't make much sense to me. There's no question they are at a big talent disadvantage against just about everyone on their schedule (Southern Miss included), but they continue to play as fast as possible. Charlotte ranks 10th in the nation in pace. It is crushing their defense. The 49ers defense is giving up 32.3 points per game (that figure will likely continue to rise) and they have been torched by anyone that has a decent passing game. Southern Miss' offense is much improved this year. Southern Miss puts up a big number and Charlotte does enough. Take the over.

*This line has moved significantly since I picked it late on Monday. I would play this for 4 stars up to 62 and for 3 stars up to 65.5. Thank you*

*4 Star UCLA/Cal Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff at the helm. Goff can shred up most secondaries, and UCLA's defense is much weaker now that they have lost Moreau (best CB) Jack (best LB) and Vanderdoes (best DL). The Bruins defense has been really bad in recent weeks, and I think they give up a bunch of points here too. At the same time, Cal's defense isn't impressive. While they are a little better than they have been in the past couple years, they are still weak. Josh Rosen is a very good freshman, and the UCLA ground game is impressive with Paul Perkins leading the way. I think this game gets into the 70's. Take the over. 

*Note- This line has gone up  since I selected this Monday. I would make this play all the way up to 71 points. Thank you*

*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Georgia Southern Eagles take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers in what should be a really interesting game. Georgia Southern's triple option attack is really good, but they meet an Appalachian State team that has the best defense in the Sun Belt. Appalachian State hosts here, and this is a huge game for both teams. Appalachian State essentially never gets to host a television game, but that's what they have here. Expect a really good home field advantage for them. Appalachian State's offense and Georgia Southern's offense have something in common: they both move very slowly and run it almost every down. 

With almost no passing going on, it will be tough to reach this high of a posted total. The clock will keep running throughout this game. The last two meetings between these two have stayed well under the posted total. The under is 5-1 in App State's last 6 games overall. I think Appalachian State's defense defends the triple option well and this game stays under the total. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Tuesday Night Total DOMINATION* The Arkansas State Red Wolves have a high powered offense led by Fredi Knighten. Knighten is the team's star quarterback. He missed a few games earlier this year, and the team suffered, but he came back last week and the offense looked great in a 49-27 win. Arkansas State lost 55-40 despite gaining 595 yards last year when these two teams met. Louisiana Lafayette isn't the team they were last year, but they should get scoring chances against an Arkansas State defense that isn't very good. This is a conference where high scoring games is the norm, and I think we'll see another one of them on Tuesday night. 

The over is 6-0 in Arkansas State's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games in October. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 14-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Pac 12 Total* The Arizona Wildcats are playing at the second fastest tempo of any team in the country. Who's the fastest? The Baylor Bears. Anu Solomon is back and healthy, and with he and Wilson in the backfield Arizona is going to be able to score a lot against Colorado. The Buffaloes defense isn't good, and they have been worn down in the second half in several contests. The Colorado offense should get a lot more scoring opportunities than they normally do. Arizona's defense is badly banged up, and their linebackers aren't good at all without Wright and Ippolito. Colorado also plays at a fast tempo, and other than last week, Arizona's defense has been getting shredded by everyone. I think this gets into the 70's. Take the over. 

*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Florida Gators season took a big hit when Will Grier was suspended for a year after testing positive for PED's. While the Florida offense will likely look more vanilla this weekend, it is important to remember that Florida's defense is elite. LSU has absolutely no passing game right now. In a recent game, LSU completed 4 out of 14 passes against lowly Eastern Michigan. LSU is going to have to run it nearly every down here. While Leonard Fournette is a beast, this Florida defense is good and they'll be stacking the box up every time. 

On the other side, LSU's defense hasn't been quite as good so far this year as expected, but they should bring their best effort in this one. Florida's Treon Harris isn't a particularly good passer, and LSU has a great secondary. Florida is likely to be one-dimensional as well.

With a running clock throughout the game and two offenses that have very little passing game, I expected a lower total than this. I like this value. Take the under.