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College Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
10-18-14	Cincinnati v. SMU OVER 61.5		41-3	Loss	-110	94 h 21 m	Show
4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total The SMU Mustangs are a really bad football team. They did show a little bit of hope on the offensive end in their last game against East Carolina though. As bad as the SMU offense is, they should be able to score several times on Cincinnati who is among the worst defenses in the nation. The Bearcats secondary has been absolutely torn up by everyone this year. SMU's defense is awful, and Gunner Kiel and the Bearcats passing game is excellent. Cincinnati could throw for 500 plus yards in this game and it wouldn't surprise me one bit. I expect Cincinnati to score at least 40 points in this one. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 overall. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 October games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 40 plus points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after losing by 20 points or more. The over is 10-1 in their last 11 following a loss. A 33-1 angle. Take the over.
10-18-14	Clemson v. Boston College UNDER 48.5		17-13	Win	100	94 h 21 m	Show
4 Star ACC Total Value The Clemson Tigers aren't the same team without DeShaun Watson at quarterback. Watson broke his hand last week in the team's narrow victory over Louisville. The Tigers offense was a mess after Watson left. Cole Stoudt has experience, but he just isn't all that good. Stoudt is also playing slightly dinged up, so Clemson's playbook will probably look a little different this week. Look for more running from Clemson and not quite as quick of a tempo. Boston College will play to force Stoudt to beat them through the air and I don't think he can do it. The Eagles slow the game down and like to run the ball a bunch, so the clock should keep ticking away in this one. I think this one is a real defensive battle. Take the under.
10-18-14	Ball State v. Central Michigan OVER 55		32-29	Win	100	85 h 6 m	Show
4 Star CFB MAC Total Takedown The Central Michigan Chippewas have a couple great offensive players in Titus Davis and Thomas Rawls. Both of these guys missed time earlier this year, and the Chippewas offense struggled. Rawls has carried it 40 times in both of the team's last two games. He has quickly become the best running back in the MAC. Davis was great last year and he's getting cranked up again now that he's healthy. He's the best receiver in the MAC, and no one from this Ball State secondary can match his athleticism. Ball State plays quickly and they have found a better quarterback the last couple weeks who helps them move the ball. The Chippewas defense is no better than mediocre. This posted total is a few points too low. Take the over.
10-18-14	Eastern Michigan v. UMass OVER 61.5		14-36	Loss	-110	86 h 49 m	Show
4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER The UMass Minutemen are a team that have made me a lot of money with the 'over' so far this year. UMass has had tons of trouble scoring the past few seasons, but they got a new quarterback this year and he has sparked the team in a big way. Blake Frohnapfel was stuck behind Rakeem Cato at Marshall the last couple years, but now he is thriving at UMass. With him at the helm, the Minutemen are killing teams through the air. Eastern Michigan's defense is absolutely atrocious, and UMass will likely put up 40 points or more. Eastern Michigan's offense got a spark from a freshman quarterback last week, and UMass' defense is really bad. This number isn't terribly high, and I see the potential for huge plays back and forth all the way through this one. Really bad defenses and improving offenses. The over is 4-0 in E. Michigan's last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. The over is 5-0-1 in UMass' last 6 games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 on turf. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 30-0 angle. Take the over.
10-18-14	Western Michigan v. Bowling Green OVER 68		26-14	Loss	-110	93 h 48 m	Show
4 Star CFB MAC Total The Bowling Green Falcons have a new offensive system under Coach Dino Babers this year. The Falcons are doing great on offense even without starting quarterback Matt Johnson. Why have they been disappointing overall? Bowling Green went from having the best defense in the MAC, to having one of the worst defenses in the entire nation. Western Michigan has a good young quarterback and a good young running back. The Broncos have scored 34 points or more in four of their six games so far this year. Western Michigan has tons of defensive issues, so Bowling Green should put up a bunch. A back and forth high scoring affair. Take the over.
10-18-14	Tulane v. Central Florida UNDER 45.5		13-20	Win	100	90 h 15 m	Show
3 Star CFB Early Bird Special The UCF Knights and Tulane Green Wave are two teams with some severe issues on the offensive end. UCF has an inconsistent quarterback in Justin Holman. Tulane will likely start Nick Montana for a second straight week with starting quarterback Tanner Lee injured. In their last two games, Tulane has put up 6 points and 12 points. The Tulane defense is the reason this team was so improved last year, and they are still solid this year. UCF's defense is always underrated under Coach O'Leary. Neither of these teams like to play fast, so I don't expect very many possessions in this game. This total is set rather low, but it should be even lower. The under is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 after gaining 170 passing yards or less last game. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their last game. The under is 4-0 in UCF's last 4 conference games. The under is 4-0 in the Knights last 4 after giving up 170 yards or less through the air last game. A 16-0 angle. Take the under.
10-18-14	Baylor v. West Virginia OVER 79.5		27-41	Loss	-110	56 h 0 m	Show
3 Star Big 12 Total Value The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears have scored 115 and 133 points the last two years when they have squared off. They might not score that many points this time around, but I think they'll score a bunch. Both teams air it out early and often, and Clint Trickett is playing some amazing football right now. We know Bryce Petty and the Bears offense can score in a hurry, but so can West Virginia. I think both teams have a good chance to put up 40 plus points here. A back and forth game with lots of quick scores. The total is high, but not high enough. Take the over.
10-17-14	Temple v. Houston OVER 48.5		10-31	Loss	-110	54 h 4 m	Show
3 Star CFB TGIF Total DOMINATION The Houston Cougars and Temple Owls meet Friday night in Houston. On paper, both of these defenses look solid, but when you look at who they have played you'll see the whole story. Temple's opponents have been Vanderbilt, Navy, Delaware State, Tulsa, and UConn. Only Navy has a decent offense, and that is a triple option attack. Houston's opponents have been UTSA, Grambling, BYU, UNLV, UCF, and Memphis. Only BYU and Memphis have decent offenses there, and those two put up 33 and 24 points on the Cougars. P.J. Walker is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the nation and I see him making plays in this one against an overrated Houston defense. The Cougars will probably play two quarterbacks here (Ward and O'Korn) and the Cougars like to play fast and keep the tempo moving. The over is the play at this low level. I had this line set at 55 points myself. Take the over.
10-11-14	Colorado State v. Nevada UNDER 64.5		31-24	Win	100	47 h 26 m	Show
3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT The Nevada Wolf Pack played in a very high scoring game last week. The fact that they played an abnormally high scoring game last week sets up a lot of value on the under in this game. I suspect this line would have been in the upper 50's or about 60 before last weekend. Both Nevada and Colorado State take their time between snaps, so there won't be much hurry up offense in this game. The Wolf Pack defense is much improved from last year. Both teams will keep it on the ground quite a bit here as well. This number is several points too high. The under is 8-0 in Nevada's last 8 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 280 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 200 yards or more on the ground. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 280 passing yards or more on offense last game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 37-0 angle. Take the under.
10-11-14	Florida International v. Texas-San Antonio UNDER 45		13-16	Win	100	98 h 34 m	Show
4 Star CFB Total Value These are two teams that are a total mess on the offensive side of the ball. Neither one is able to put together a consistent drive, and they both have tons of quarterback problems. FIU is starting to get more respectable as a team because their defense is playing well. Larry Coker always puts a solid defense on the field. This sets up as one of those really ugly games that no one wants to watch. The winner here might finish in the teens. Take the under. Note- I would play the under for 4 stars down to 41 and 3 stars if the number is lower than that. Thank you.
10-11-14	Oregon v. UCLA OVER 68		42-30	Win	100	94 h 7 m	Show
3 Star Oregon/UCLA Total DOMINATION Both Oregon and UCLA were upset at home as double digit favorites last week. This game would have been even bigger had they won last week, but since the playoff system is in place now both teams still have a chance if they win out. These are two fast-paced offenses that do it with big plays. Big plays equal a lot of quick scores and that can lead to some real shootouts. These defenses are both far worse than they were a year ago. Marcus Mariota and Brett Hundley should have some big numbers in this contest. High scoring tight game here. Take the over.
10-11-14	TCU v. Baylor OVER 66		58-61	Win	100	72 h 25 m	Show
4 Star Baylor/TCU Total CASH The TCU Horned Frogs are known for their defense, but they are unbeaten right now because of their offense. The defense is still solid, but TCU's offense is no longer a liability. Even with their offense being weak last year, TCU lost 41-38 against Baylor in a back and forth game. Baylor kept things under wraps last week against Texas, but the Bears offense will be high-octane again Saturday. TCU has gotten a huge boost from Trevone Boykin's improved play. TCU is also playing at a much faster tempo this year than they have in the past. Both teams should get the ball plenty of times here. Lots of scoring chances. The over is 5-0 in TCU's last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 12-1 in Baylor's last 13 games after giving up 20 points or less last game. A 17-1 angle. Take the over.
10-11-14	Boston College v. NC State OVER 56		30-14	Loss	-110	72 h 51 m	Show
3 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total The NC State Wolfpack offense was tremendous a couple weeks ago against Florida State, but they were shut out and completely embarrassed last week in a loss to Clemson. They'll find things much easier going in this one against a mediocre Boston College defense. The Eagles offense has gotten a major spark from Tyler Murphy and the running game. NC State's defense isn't any good, and they've been routinely allowing 40 plus points. It's a battle of two former Florida quarterbacks (the Gators probably want them back now), and I expect both quarterbacks to play well here. The over is 5-0 in BC's last 5 games following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 conference games. The over is 7-0 in NC State's last 7 following an ATS loss. A 16-0 angle. Take the over.
10-11-14	Rice v. Army UNDER 60.5		41-21	Loss	-106	35 h 51 m	Show
3 Star CFB Totals TKO The Army Black Knights and Rice Owls meet in a game between two teams that love to run the football. Army virtually never throws the ball, and Rice only throws it occasionally. While I do expect both teams to gain quite a few yards in this one, with the clock ticking away constantly it will be hard for them to get into the 60's. I made this total 55 points, so I see several points worth of value. Without quick scores, a total in the 60's is typically not attainable. Look for long drives that eat up a bunch of time to make it difficult for these two to reach this lofty number. Take the under here.
10-10-14	San Diego State v. New Mexico OVER 46		24-14	Loss	-106	76 h 43 m	Show
4 Star CFB Friday Night Lights CASH The New Mexico Lobos have one of the worst defenses in the nation. That's why when I saw a total of 46 points in this game, I jumped on the over immediately. San Diego State has a freshman quarterback starting here, and I know he didn't play well in his first start, but he should look better against this New Mexico defense. Also, Pumphrey and company should rack up a bunch of yards on the ground against New Mexico. On the other side, the Lobos are improving as an offense. This is a team that gives defenses fits because of their option and pistol looks on offense. Bob Davie's team can run the football effectively against most squads. The final last year was 35-30 when these two met. It might be lower this time around, but I think this game still tops 50 points. The over is 11-5 in New Mexico's last 16 games overall. Take the over. Added note- This line has moved all over the place throughout the week after I selected it early in the week. I would suggest this as a 4 star play up to 50 points and a 3 star play up to 52 points. Thank you.
10-09-14	BYU v. Central Florida UNDER 48.5	Top	24-31	Loss	-110	50 h 53 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB Thursday TOP Play The UCF Knights lost a lot when Blake Bortles and Storm Johnson went pro after last season. Not surprisingly, their offensive numbers have suffered in a big way. They still haven't found a reliable option at either quarterback or running back. UCF does continue to play terrific defense though, and they slow the game down by running the ball a lot and bleeding the clock in between plays. BYU is a totally different team without Taysom Hill at quarterback. Hill is out for the year with after suffering a leg injury last week. I expect that to make the BYU offense much more conservative. I also don't believe BYU will play as fast without their leader under center. UCF has played in several sloppy low scoring games already this year, and BYU is very capable of doing the same without their star offensive player. I had this total projected at 42 points, so I'm seeing a good amount of value here. Look for a defensive battle all the way. The under is 5-0 in BYU's last 5 Thursday games. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Take the under big! Note- This line has moved in a big way since I selected it. I recommend this as a 5 star play down to 45.5 and as a 4 star play down to 44, I would play for 3 stars down to 43. Thank you.
10-04-14	California v. Washington State OVER 76		60-59	Win	100	43 h 18 m	Show
3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT When Washington State and Cal meet there are two things that are going to happen: there are going to be a ton of passing plays, and they are going to be a bunch of points. I don't like taking totals that are this high, but I do think this one should be even higher. I made this total 82 points. Jared Goff is a very underrated quarterback, and this Cal offense is among the best in the nation. Connor Halliday can air it out with the best of them, and this Cal defense is awful against the pass. Last year's game finished at 66 points, and that was with Cal blowing a ton of scoring opportunities. Cal is much better this year, and this game should be a close one. Watch the scoreboard light up in this contest. The over is 3-0-1 in Washington State's last 4 October games. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more. The over is 4-0 in Washington State's last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 16-0 angle. Take the over.
10-04-14	South Carolina v. Kentucky UNDER 56		38-45	Loss	-104	30 h 49 m	Show
3 Star CFB SEC Total The Kentucky Wildcats defense has impressed me this year. Kentucky did a great job defensively against an improving Florida offense, and they didn't allow Vanderbilt to score an offensive point last weekend. South Carolina's defense is much improved in recent weeks, and Kentucky still has a lot of room for improvement on offense. Another key factor in this game will be the weather. Wind gusts of 25 mph are expected during this game, which should lead to problems for the passing games. Expect a lot more running plays which means the clock will just keep ticking. The under is 10-3 in Kentucky's last 13 home games. Take the under.
10-04-14	Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 47		24-26	Loss	-106	88 h 29 m	Show
4 Star Big 10 Total The Rutgers Scarlet Knights running game isn't very good now without Paul James. He was their star running back and he's out with an injury. Michigan's defense hasn't been the reason for their problems this year. In fact, Michigan ranks ninth in the nation in total defense. Rutgers has a strong defensive front seven, and Michigan has no passing game to take advantage of Rutgers' weakness in the secondary. The weather here is expected to be rainy and windy, which is a big boost for the under. I expect a very sloppy low scoring game Saturday night. Take the under.
10-04-14	Stanford v. Notre Dame UNDER 45.5		14-17	Win	100	36 h 11 m	Show
3 Star Stanford/Notre Dame Total The Stanford Cardinal have the number one ranked defense in the nation. They are first in the nation at defending the pass. Notre Dame's offense is totally reliant on throwing the football right now. The Fighting Irish have no running game and they won't be able to run it against Stanford. The Stanford offense has taken a definite step backward without any elite running back in their stable this year. Notre Dame's defense has been very solid this year. This game will be played in windy conditions that make it tougher to throw which helps the under a lot here. Take the under in this one.
10-04-14	Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 51	Top	17-23	Win	100	93 h 24 m	Show
5 Star Alabama/Ole Miss TOP Total The Alabama Crimson Tide defense is still elite. Alabama has totally dominated against the Ole Miss offense in recent years, and I think they'll fare very well against them again in this one. Bo Wallace is far too turnover prone, and he makes way too many bad decisions against a swarming defense like Alabama. The Rebels have scored a grand total of 21 points in their last three games against Alabama. Last year, Alabama pitched a shutout against Ole Miss. The Rebels defense is tremendous this year as well. While Blake Sims has been very good so far this year, this will be his toughest test thus far. The Rebels secondary hits hard and flies around the field. I see a low scoring game all the way here as both defenses flex their muscles. Take the under big!
10-04-14	Navy v. Air Force UNDER 56	Top	21-30	Win	100	59 h 12 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month The Air Force Falcons and Navy Midshipmen both run the triple option. What does that mean? It means that both of these teams practice against the triple option on defense every single day. That's a huge advantage for the defenses in this game. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and the familiarity with the offense is absolutely the reason why. The main advantage of running a triple option offense is that most defenses aren't well prepared to defend it. That is not the case this weekend. Both teams will run it almost every down, which keeps the clock ticking away. I made the total on this game 48 points, so more than a touchdown lower than this line. The under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. The under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 after throwing for 170 yards or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 games between these teams. A 23-0 angle. Take the under big!
10-04-14	UMass v. Miami (OH) OVER 55		41-42	Win	100	92 h 24 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are a much better team than they were a year ago. Miami has the nation's longest losing streak at 21 games, but they have a real shot to snap that losing streak on Saturday. UMass' secondary is atrocious, and Miami's Andrew Hendrix is a quality quarterback. Chuck Martin is the new coach at Miami and he brings a much better offensive philosophy. UMass' defense is still terrible, but their passing game has been good this year as well. They have put up 38 points or more twice this year. I think this one gets into the 60's. The over is 4-0 in UMass' last 4. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after running for 100 yards or less last game. A 17-0 angle. Take the over.
10-04-14	Eastern Michigan v. Akron UNDER 49.5		6-31	Win	100	92 h 28 m	Show
4 Star MAC Total Value The Akron Zips and Eastern Michigan Eagles meet Saturday in Akron. The weather will be a factor here as showers and strong winds are expected in Akron on Saturday afternoon. Eastern Michigan's offense is dreadfully terrible. The Eagles "passing attack" is averaging just barely more than 3 yards per passing attempt this year, which is downright awful. Akron's defense has shown some major improvement this year, and the Eagles should struggle to score. Terry Bowden has never been one to run it up a great deal, so I think Akron is happy with a comfortable win here. I had this number at 45 points. Take the under.
09-27-14	Duke v. Miami (Fla) OVER 60.5		10-22	Loss	-110	26 h 37 m	Show
4 Star Duke/Miami Total The Miami Hurricanes and Duke Blue Devils have had tons of offensive fireworks the last two times they have played each other, and I see no reason to expect anything different this time. Duke's offense isn't missing a beat this year with Boone and Sirk at quarterback. They are improved in the backfield as well. Miami's defense has some serious problems and that certainly showed up last week when they allowed 41 points against a one-dimensional Nebraska offense. Miami has a freshman quarterback, but he's able to have some pretty solid success thanks to the parts around him. The Hurricanes have a star in Duke Johnson at running back, and the play makers at wide receiver are among the best in the nation. I set this total at 68 points. Take the over.
09-27-14	Missouri v. South Carolina OVER 62		21-20	Loss	-110	26 h 23 m	Show
3 Star Missouri/South Carolina Total DOMINATION The South Carolina Gamecocks secondary has some major problems this year. We saw that not only against Texas A&M, but also against East Carolina and even Vanderbilt at times. Maty Mauk is a far better player than most believe, and he should be able to lead this Tigers offense up and down the field. South Carolina's offensive line will have a big advantage here, and the Gamecocks should run right up and down the field against a Missouri defense that was torched by Indiana last week and struggled against Toledo earlier this year. I also expect this to be a very close game, and there is always a chance we get helped by overtime. The over is 7-0 in Missouri's last 7 games following a game where they had zero turnovers. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass. An 11-0 angle. Take the over.
09-27-14	Texas-San Antonio v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 48.5		37-41	Loss	-110	96 h 36 m	Show
3 Star CFB Under Radar Total The UTSA Roadrunners play tremendous defense under the leadership of Larry Coker. Coker is one of the most underrated coaches in the nation. This team totally shut down a very good Houston offense in week one. They were overmatched last game against Oklahoma State, but they'll matchup just fine against Florida Atlantic. The Owls defense is the strength of their team as well. Both of these teams like to play slowly and limit possessions, which is a big help when betting the under. I see very few big plays in this one. Look for long drives and field goals throughout this contest. Take the under.
09-27-14	South Alabama v. Idaho OVER 56.5		34-10	Loss	-110	96 h 36 m	Show
4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total The Idaho Vandals are quietly becoming a pretty good offensive team. Paul Petrino is a good offensive mind, and he has a solid freshman quarterback in Linehan. Idaho should be able to score points on everyone on their schedule this year, but their issues are on the defensive side of the football. The Vandals defense is shredded to pieces on a weekly basis. South Alabama's offense has had a hard time in their last couple games, but a matchup with the Idaho defense should help fix their problems in a hurry. Idaho hasn't allowed less than 36 points in a game yet this year. Plenty of points to go around in this one. The over is 4-0 in Idaho's last 4 home games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 on turf. The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 conference games. A 17-0 angle. Take the over.
09-27-14	Louisiana Tech v. Auburn OVER 61		17-45	Win	100	38 h 60 m	Show
4 Star CFB Mismatch Total The Auburn Tigers like to play fast, and everyone knows that. Auburn will relish the opportunity to fix some of their offensive problems from their last game against Kansas State. Coach Malzahn is an offensive guru, and I know he had to be frustrated by the Tigers lack of efficiency on offense that game. Louisiana Tech's defense will be totally outclassed, and Auburn isn't going to let off the gas early in this one. Auburn could certainly put up 50 points by themselves in this one and it wouldn't be a surprise to me. Louisiana Tech's offense is much improved with Sokol at QB and lots of depth at running back. I expect them to be able to score some on an average Tigers defense. I lined this one at 68 points. Take the over.
09-27-14	Miami (OH) v. Buffalo OVER 56		27-35	Win	100	62 h 31 m	Show
3 Star CFB Totals Takedown The Buffalo Bulls lost Khalil Mack after last year. He might have been the single most dominant defensive player in the nation last year. Not surprisingly, the Bulls defense has taken a major step backward this year. Miami (OH) didn't win a game last year, and they haven't won this year so far. Still, the Redhawks are clearly a much better team this year. The reason they have gotten much better is their offensive improvements. Hendrix is their quarterback and he used to be at Notre Dame. Chuck Martin is the new head coach and he worked with Hendrix in the past. Miami has been moving the ball much better so far this year. I made this line 62 points. Take the over.
09-27-14	Bowling Green v. UMass OVER 64.5		47-42	Win	100	94 h 37 m	Show
4 Star MAC Total The Bowling Green Falcons are a team I've done well with for 'over' plays this season. Dino Babers has implemented a new system for Bowling Green. The Falcons are playing extremely fast and scoring tons of points. The problem for them is they are also giving up loads of points. I never expected the Bowling Green defense to be this bad after being a strong unit in the past couple years, but for the purpose of playing overs that is an added benefit. UMass is a bad team in general, and they have given up tons of points to poor offenses already this year (Colorado, Vanderbilt, etc). Bowling Green likely puts up a really big number here. UMass is better on offense this year, and everyone has moved the ball easily on BG's defense. Take the over. Please note this line has moved in a big way since I selected this game on Tuesday- I would play the over for 4 stars up to 66 points and for 3 stars up to 71 points. Thank you.
09-27-14	Maryland v. Indiana OVER 69		37-15	Loss	-110	92 h 23 m	Show
4 Star Big 10 Totals TKO The Indiana Hoosiers picked up a stunning road win at Missouri last week. That win certainly shocked me, and I think the Hoosiers played Missouri at the right time since they caught the Tigers looking ahead to South Carolina. Indiana's defense is among the worst in the nation. They were ripped for 39 first downs in a loss to Bowling Green. The Falcons had a backup quarterback playing in that game. Maryland's defense has been really disappointing this year as well, and injuries are costing them in a big way. Look for Diggs and the rest of the Terrapins wide receivers to have a field day against Indiana's pass defense. Indiana has play makers at RB and WR and they'll have a big day too. I think this game gets to the mid 70's. Take the over.
09-27-14	Tulane v. Rutgers UNDER 54		6-31	Win	100	91 h 34 m	Show
3 Star CFB Rutgers/Tulane Total The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have their top two running backs injured right now. Gary Nova isn't a very good quarterback, and without James or Huggins in the backfield at tailback this offense isn't any good. Rutgers does have a strong front seven on defense though, and I think they'll make it really tough for Tulane to move the football. Tulane's defense is better than most believe, and the Green Wave have played in a lot of low scoring games in the past two seasons. My numbers made this total 49 points, so I see solid value on this game. Look for a sloppy performance from the two offenses. Take the under.
09-20-14	New Mexico v. New Mexico State OVER 64		38-35	Win	100	99 h 45 m	Show
4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total New Mexico vs. New Mexico State is a solid intrastate rivalry game. These two teams have one thing in common: neither of them are good at all defensively. Both teams give up huge chunks of yardage on a consistent basis. New Mexico rolled up 66 points and 608 yards of offense last year. New Mexico State didn't cash in nearly as often with 17 points, but they did have 451 yards. The Aggies offense looks significantly better so far this year. It's hard to imagine either defense getting many stops in this game. Look for the scoreboard to light up in a big way here. The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 September games. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The over is 5-0 in New Mexico State's last 5 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after rushing for 100 yards or less. A 27-1 angle. Take the over.
09-20-14	Texas State v. Illinois OVER 61.5		35-42	Win	100	23 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Illinois Fighting Illini defense allowed 35.4 points per game last year, and they aren't any better this year. Texas State has an underrated quarterback in Tyler Jones. The Bobcats will be able to move the football consistently in this game. On the other side, Illinois' offense has improved with Wes Lunt under center. The Texas State defense is much weaker this year, and I think Illinois' strong offensive front will dominate in the trenches. The Fighting Illini offense has been good this year, and I see them putting up a big number in this game. The Fighting Illini will play fast and put pressure on Texas State right from the start. Take the over in this one.
09-20-14	Virginia v. BYU UNDER 50		33-41	Loss	-110	94 h 17 m	Show
4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION The BYU Cougars and Virginia Cavs both have terrific defenses. In their matchup last year, neither team was able to get out of the teens. A similar game wouldn't surprise me at all on Saturday afternoon. This Virginia defense has shown how good they are against both UCLA and Louisville this season. BYU's defense is very talented, and the Cougars are always very tough to score against on their home field. The defense is the strength of both teams. Look for Virginia's defense to slow down Taysom Hill, and Virginia's offense is too one-dimensional to be able to have much success against a high quality offense. Take the under.
09-20-14	Florida v. Alabama UNDER 51.5	Top	21-42	Loss	-110	94 h 15 m	Show
5 Star Florida/Alabama TOP Play Total The Florida Gators offense should be better under Kurt Roper this year, but I'm not convinced they'll be far better right away against elite defenses. Alabama's defense didn't look great in their season opener against West Virginia, but they were missing leader Trey DePriest at the linebacker spot. In addition, Alabama didn't seem to be terribly interested in that season opener. It was as if they overlooked West Virginia. They aren't going to overlook Florida. This Alabama defense is one of the top five defenses in the country, and I don't see Florida having much success. Florida's defense was solid all of last year despite their horrible record. The Gators defense is very good again this year. Alabama has plenty of question marks at the quarterback spot, and the Gators are going to load up the box in this one. Nick Saban's teams always use up the clock and play slowly. The defenses should have the advantage all the way here. Take the under big!
09-18-14	Auburn v. Kansas State UNDER 66		20-14	Win	100	50 h 20 m	Show
4 Star Auburn/Kansas State Totals CASH Bill Snyder is a very smart man. Snyder is one of the best coaches in the country, and he absolutely knows that it wouldn't be wise for his Kansas State team to get into an up and down affair with Auburn. The Tigers have far more playmakers and are much more likely to win if it is a high scoring game. Just like they did last year against Baylor, I look for Kansas State to try to milk the clock as much as they can and keep the ball away from Nick Marshall and company. The Auburn defense is a little better than they were a year ago, and Kansas State's offense hasn't impressed me thus far. This is a total that is set too high. I think this one should be set in the high 50's, so plenty of value on this line for me. Take the under.
09-13-14	Nevada v. Arizona OVER 63		28-35	Push	0	50 h 58 m	Show
3 Star CFB Totals TKO The Arizona Wildcats and Nevada Wolfpack both like to get a lot of snaps off. There will be plenty of plays for each offense in this one, and Arizona's backfield combination of Solomon and Wilson. Nevada has a solid secondary, but their front seven isn't any good against the run game. Arizona is going to run it early and often here, and I think they'll have a lot of success. Cody Fajardo is an underrated quarterback and I expect him to find openings in the Arizona secondary that is very inexperienced. Look for both offenses to have little trouble moving the football in this contest. Take the over.
09-13-14	Arizona State v. Colorado OVER 68		38-24	Loss	-110	100 h 3 m	Show
3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT The Colorado Buffaloes have some major defensive problems. They allowed 38 points against a dreadful UMass offense last week. Last year they allowed 54 points against Arizona State. To put that into context though, you need to understand that Arizona State had 47 points at halftime and 54 points midway through the 3rd quarter before completely calling off the dogs. The Sun Devils defense was elite last year. This year Arizona State has some major problems on defense, so Colorado should put more on the board. Arizona State will probably still get their 45-50 points on Colorado too. A high scoring affair in Boulder on Saturday night. The over is 5-0 in Arizona State's last 5 September games. The over is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. A 17-1 angle. Take the over.
09-13-14	USC v. Boston College UNDER 55.5		31-37	Loss	-109	48 h 38 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Television Total The Boston College Eagles host USC Saturday night. While Boston College isn't a talented team, they do play very hard for Coach Steve Addazio. The Eagles defense is likely to slow down USC a little more than most expect. Remember that USC is in a very bad spot here, because USC just won at Stanford and is in a letdown situation. Boston College's offense is terrible, and I would be surprised to see them put up anything more than 14 points in this game. Last year's game between these two was 35-7, and a total in the 40's sounds about right to me again this year. Too much value on the under for me to pass this one up. Take the under.
09-13-14	Western Michigan v. Idaho OVER 59.5		45-33	Win	100	45 h 54 m	Show
4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total The Idaho Vandals are quietly getting a much better offense. Idaho's quarterback is Mike Linehan (son of Scott Linehan from the NFL) and he is really impressing in this offense. Paul Petrino is getting this Idaho offense moving with a quick tempo offense and a lot of short passes that give their playmakers at wide receiver a chance to work in the open field. Western Michigan's defense was torched by Purdue, and Purdue's offense isn't any good. The Broncos offense is improving though, and Idaho regularly allows 40 points or more in a game. It's hard to imagine either team coming up with many stops in this one. This number is set too low. The over is 5-0 in Idaho's last 5 on turf. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. The over is 5-1 in W. Michigan's last 6 road games. A 24-3 angle. Take the over.
09-13-14	Illinois v. Washington OVER 65	Top	19-44	Loss	-110	94 h 20 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total of the MONTH The Washington Huskies defense has taken a major step backward this year, especially in the secondary. Washington was torched for 52 points and 573 yards of total offense by Eastern Washington last week. The most amazing statistic is that Eastern Washington threw for 475 yards in that game. Wes Lunt gives Illinois a quality quarterback who can move their offense. The Fighting Illini have had defensive problems for many years, and they aren't fixed this year. They allowed 34 points last week against Western Kentucky. Washington's top cornerback is out for this game, which should make things even tougher for the Huskies defense. Both offenses like to play very quickly, so they'll get lots of chances here. I had this total at 75 points, so this is a very big play for me. TOP Total of the Month on Washington/Illinois Over.
09-13-14	Iowa State v. Iowa UNDER 49		20-17	Win	100	94 h 33 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Battle for Iowa Total Iowa and Iowa State have played some highly physical games against each other the past few years. These games are generally relatively close, and the defenses usually have the edge. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Iowa couldn't get any offense going last weekend against Ball State, and the Hawkeyes are without star OL Scherff. The Cyclones defense appears better this year, and they have fared well against Iowa in recent seasons. Iowa's defense is tough in the trenches, and they should manhandle an Iowa State OL that is very weak. Very little offense from either side in this one. Take the under.
09-13-14	Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 49		21-23	Win	100	57 h 51 m	Show
4 Star CFB Early Bird Special The Louisville Cardinals are transitioning to a totally different offense, and it always takes a while to get things right during that period. Virginia's offense simply can't throw the football, so they rely on the run almost exclusively. Louisville's front seven is good against the run, and I see Virginia struggling to score here. At the same time, Virginia's defense showed me a lot in their loss to UCLA earlier this year. Virginia didn't let UCLA do much of anything in that game, and that is a very good Bruins offense. Louisville's offense is going to have a rough time getting going here. Look for a lot of three and outs in this game, and if teams do get in the red zone I expect plenty of settling for field goals. The under is 4-0 in Louisville's last 4 games on grass. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a win by 20 points or more. An 11-0 angle. Take the under.
09-13-14	UMass v. Vanderbilt OVER 45		31-34	Win	100	90 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Value The Vanderbilt Commodores and the UMass Minutemen are two absolutely horrible teams. These aren't teams I would ever want to back as an ATS selection, but I'll take the value play on the over here thanks to their terrible defenses. Vandy's defense has been strong in the past couple years, but they aren't this year. UMass has such a horrible defense that they allowed 41 points to an awful Colorado offense last week. It won't be pretty in this one, but I expect the offenses to get enough on the board. Also, defensive or special teams TD's are very likely in a sloppy game like this one. Take the over.
09-12-14	Baylor v. Buffalo OVER 68.5		63-21	Win	100	18 h 56 m	Show
3 Star ESPN CFB 100% Angle Total The Baylor Bears and Buffalo Bulls meet in non-conference game in Buffalo Friday night on ESPN. Baylor's Bryce Petty is expected to start in this one. Petty was dinged up in the opener, but he will be ready to go here and his Heisman campaign will be on display on national television. Art Briles and this team have made it clear by their comments that they want to give Petty a boost in the Heisman race. In my opinion, that means keeping the foot on the gas and piling up the points. There's little doubt that Baylor can hang a huge number on a Buffalo defense that isn't even close to as good as they were a year ago. Remember, they scored 70 points on Buffalo last year and now they are facing a weakened defense. The Bulls should be able to put up some points on a weakened Baylor defense too. Buffalo has a good passing game, and that should help them keep the chains moving. The over is 8-0 in Baylor's last 8 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games. The over is 7-0 in Buffalo's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 200 yards or more rushing. A 42-0 angle. Take the over.
09-12-14	Toledo v. Cincinnati UNDER 59.5		34-58	Loss	-110	73 h 1 m	Show
4 Star CFB Totals TKO The Toledo Rockets will have a new quarterback for this game. Phillip Ely won the starting job, but he is injured and out for the year now. Without Ely, I look for the Rockets offense to take some time to get used to Woodside as the new starter. Cincinnati's offense is good, but I don't see the Bearcats being able to dominate on the front line against a high quality Toledo defensive line. Toledo was beaten badly by Missouri last week, and I fully expect a much better defensive effort from the Rockets in this one. Cincinnati hasn't played a game all year thus far, which is a very strange scheduling situation. As it is though, the Bearcats offense will likely need a little time to work out the kinks. I see this being a close game between two underrated defenses. Take the under.
09-06-14	Texas Tech v. UTEP OVER 63	Top	30-26	Loss	-112	69 h 60 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT The UTEP Miners and Texas Tech Raiders meet Saturday night in a game where I expect the scoreboard to be lighting up. Texas Tech is top five in the nation in terms of pace. The Red Raiders are going to put up a bunch of points against a UTEP defense that was among the worst in the nation last year. UTEP's secondary is particularly weak, and Davis Webb and company will chew them up. Texas Tech's defense struggled last week against Central Arkansas, and I expect UTEP's offense to be better this year behind quarterback Jamiell Showers. UTEP might initially want to slow this game down, but once they get behind they'll be unable to do that. I made this total 71 points, so I see a ton of value on the over. The over is 4-0 in Texas Tech's last 4 following a win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 40 points or more last game. An 11-1 angle. Take the over big!
09-06-14	Michigan State v. Oregon OVER 55.5		27-46	Win	100	39 h 23 m	Show
4 Star CFB Oregon/Michigan State Totals CASH The Oregon Ducks and Michigan State Spartans meet in what is the biggest game of the year so far in college football. Oregon's fast-paced and high flying offense against Michigan State's strong defense in a matchup that has college football fans salivating. I highly respect Pat Narduzzi (DC at Michigan State), but I'm afraid this Spartans defense has has to replace too many stars. With this being only the second game of the year, there's no way this unit will be as good right now as the Spartans defense was late last year. I think the oddsmakers have lined this total as if it were a game played at the end of last year. Oregon's fast pace should bother Michigan State. Indiana runs a similar fast paced offense with far less talent, and the Hoosiers scored 28 points on Michigan State last year. Connor Cook is playing great at quarterback, and I think he'll find holes in the Oregon secondary to led the Spartans to plenty of points as well. This total is set too low. Take the over here.
09-06-14	Old Dominion v. NC State OVER 65		34-46	Win	100	28 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO NC State's offense should be much better this year with Jacoby Brissett under center. Brissett was a very highly touted prospect in high school, and I think he has the potential to put up big numbers against the ACC this year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful in recent years. They gave up 80 points to North Carolina last year. Hampton's offense had no trouble moving the ball against them last week. NC State's defense is nothing special at all, and Old Dominion's offense is very good with star quarterback Taylor Heinicke running the show. Both of these teams ranked in the top 37 in the nation in terms of pace last year, so I expect plenty of snaps in this one. Take the over.
08-30-14	UTEP v. New Mexico OVER 63.5		31-24	Loss	-105	24 h 53 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The New Mexico Lobos and the UTEP Miners have two of the worst defenses in the nation. New Mexico allowed 6.2 yards per carry and 42.8 points per game last year. UTEP allowd 6.2 yards per carry and 39.3 points per game. These teams met last year and the final score was 42-35. Jamiell Showers and the UTEP offense should be much better this year with Showers getting a lot more reps in this system. UTEP has a couple good RB's as well. New Mexico's option attack (pistol) has been really successful and Bob Davie's team should score a lot of points on teams that can't stop the run this year. UTEP definitely fits right into that mold. I expect a very high scoring game. Take the over.
08-29-14	Bowling Green v. Western Kentucky OVER 56	Top	31-59	Win	100	316 h 40 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total Bowling Green has a bunch of returning starters on offense, and they are the key guys that will make this offense thrive in 2014. Matt Johnson is the best quarterback in the Mid American Conference. Travis Greene is the best running back in the MAC. Even more importantly though, Bowling Green has a new head coach in Dino Babers. Who is Dino Babers? Babers used to work under Art Briles at Baylor and he helped install Baylor's current fast-paced high octane offense. Babers used that at Eastern Illinois the past two years, and Eastern Illinois scored more than 40 points per game last year. It's all about playing fast and getting off tons of snaps. Western Kentucky lost most of their defense from last year, and I expect Bowling Green to move the ball at will here. It won't surprise me to see massive yardage totals from the Falcons. Western Kentucky has a veteran quarterback and some solid offensive weapons. The Hilltoppers should be able to put some on the board as well. Tons of possessions in this game and a total of only 56. I love the value here. Take the over big! This line has quickly risen. My numbers had this game at 70 points, so I still suggest a play on this one, but I would rate it 4 stars instead of 5 at the current level. Thank you
08-28-14	Tulane v. Tulsa UNDER 47		31-38	Loss	-106	24 h 14 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Opening Night Total DOMINATION The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had a very disappointing season last year. They got horrible quarterback play and had an inexperienced defense. Tulsa is used to winning and I do expect them to be better this year. Still, Tulsa has major concerns at quarterback and running back this year, and they shouldn't be too dynamic. On the other hand, Tulane isn't used to winning and they had a great season and got to a bowl game a year ago. The Green Wave are due to regress a bit this year, but I think they'll still be competitive. The Tulsa defense returns 10 starters (as many as any team in the nation) and I expect them to be much better defensively than they were last season. Tulane's defense is what led the way last season. The matchup between these two last year finished at 14-7 Tulane. This one will be higher scoring than that, but I don't see it reaching this total. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
01-06-14	Auburn v. Florida State OVER 65.5		31-34	Loss	-106	671 h 26 m	Show
3 Star BCS Title Game Total DOMINATION The Auburn Tigers and Florida State Seminoles will meet for the BCS Championship on Monday January 6 at the Rose Bowl. We won't need to worry about bad weather with the game being played in southern California. Auburn's offense is a well-oiled machine at this point. The Tigers is so hard to stop because they can do so many different things from the same offensive set. Florida State's defense is very good, but they haven't had to play against an offense even close to the caliber of Auburn. Look for Auburn's rushing attack to have more success than most people expect. On the other side, Auburn's defense has been gashed by quite a few opponents this season. The Tigers defense looked terrible against Missouri in the SEC title game, and they'll face a much better offense in Florida State here. Look for Heisman winner Jameis Winston to run more often in this one, and he can do a lot with his feet. Auburn's defense will be overmatched. This is a defense that allowed 424 yards per game this season. These offenses should pile up the points. The over is 6-0 in Auburn's last 6 games on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a straight up win. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over for the BCS title game.
01-05-14	Arkansas State v. Ball State OVER 64.5		23-20	Loss	-110	73 h 26 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB GoDaddy Total DOMINATION The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Ball State Cardinals both like to keep the game moving quickly. Lots of quick snaps in this one should lead to a bunch of possessions for both teams. Arkansas State has the 25th best rushing attack in the nation, and Ball State's weakness on defense is their rushing defense. Ball State's offense is prolific, and Keith Wenning is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Ball State has scored at least 44 points in 4 of their last 6 games. The Cardinals average 40.1 points per game for the season. Both offenses should have lots of success in this one. The over is 4-0 in Arkansas State's last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in Ball State's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. A 14-0 angle. Take the over.
01-01-14	Michigan State v. Stanford UNDER 43		24-20	Loss	-110	16 h 12 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Rose Bowl Total DOMINATION The Michigan State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal will battle for the Rose Bowl in Pasadena on New Year's Day. These two teams do it the same way. Both of them like to win the battle in the trenches and win with defense. A posted total of 43 is certainly very low, but I had this one projected at 40 points. Neither team will be hurrying things up here. Both teams will run the football very frequently to keep the clock moving. Neither quarterback has proven capable of airing it out successfully all that often. The under is 6-0 in Stanford's last 6 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Michigan State's last 5 after gaining at least 280 passing yards last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the under.
01-01-14	Iowa v. LSU UNDER 49		14-21	Win	100	12 h 4 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Outback Total Takedown The LSU Tigers offense has been very good this year, but they'll be without star quarterback Zach Mettenberger here. Iowa's strength is their defense. Without the threat of airing it out deep with Mettenberger, I expect Iowa to be able to key in on the LSU running game here. Iowa's offense isn't very good, and they try to bully the opposition. LSU has a strong defensive front, and I don't expect them to get pushed around by a Big Ten team. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 following a SU win of 20 points or more. The under is 6-1 in Iowa's last 7 at a neutral site. A 14-2 angle. Take the under.
01-01-14	Wisconsin v. South Carolina UNDER 51		24-34	Loss	-106	12 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Capital One CASH The Wisconsin Badgers and South Carolina Gamecocks will do battle in what should be a terrific Capital One Bowl Clash. Wisconsin's defense ranks in the top ten in the nation in every major category. South Carolina's defense has struggled against great passing attacks, but Wisconsin is a running team. Lots of strength in the trenches on both sides here. I expect to see lots of running the football, which makes the clock will keep on ticking. The under is 5-1 in Wisconsin's last 6 January games. The under is 5-1 in S. Carolina's last 6 overall. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in S. Carolina's last 4 following an ATS win. An 18-3 angle. Take the under.
12-31-13	Mississippi State v. Rice UNDER 51		44-7	Push	0	14 h 25 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Liberty Bowl CASH The Mississippi State Bulldogs played one of the toughest schedules in the nation this year. The Bulldogs only went 6-6, but playing in the SEC and playing a solid non-conference slate, this team saw tons of very good opponents. Mississippi State's defense was very good, especially late in the year. The Bulldogs held Alabama to 20 points, and they held Ole Miss to 10 points in the season finale. Rice is a much improved team, and they can thank their defensive improvement for that. The Owls pass defense is top notch. I don't see either team putting up very many points in this game. The under is 5-0 in the Rice's last 5 at a neutral site. The under is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last 4 at a neutral site. The under is 6-1 in the Bulldogs last 7 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the under.
12-30-13	Texas Tech v. Arizona State OVER 71		37-23	Loss	-110	24 h 57 m	Show
4 Star Holiday Bowl Total DOMINATION Sometimes you just can't overthink a game. The posted total of 71 is definitely high, but this total is extremely high for good reason. When Texas Tech and Arizona State get together, there are going to be a bunch of plays run and both teams will air it out a bunch here. Texas Tech can throw it against anyone, and Arizona State's offense is well-balanced and should score at least 45 points here. The over is 6-0 in the Red Raiders last 6 bowl games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in the Sun Devils last 5 games at a neutral site. The over is 10-1 in Texas Tech's last 11 at a neutral site. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. A 30-1 angle here. Take the over.
12-30-13	Middle Tenn State v. Navy OVER 56.5		6-24	Loss	-108	13 h 33 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Bowl Special The MTSU Blue Raiders and Navy Midshipmen will kick off the bowl slate on December 30 with a game starting before noon EST. MTSU averages 31 points per game. The Blue Raiders have a balanced offense with veterans and they should be able to get their points against a Navy defense that isn't very good against the pass. Navy's option attack should be very successful against MTSU's poor front seven. Reynolds makes good decisions as the MTSU quarterback, and he should find plenty of running room in this matchup. The over is 7-0 in MTSU's last 7 after gaining 280 yards passing last game. The over is 6-2 in Navy's lats 8 bowl games. Take the over.
12-27-13	Syracuse v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5		21-17	Win	100	143 h 45 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Texas Bowl Total TAKEDOWN The Syracuse Orange and Minnesota Golden Gophers are very similar teams. Both of them struggle offensively, but their defense has gotten much better in the past couple years. The strong defenses are the reason these two teams are in this spot. Phillip Nelson is questionable for Minnesota in this one. The Golden Gophers really have no passing attack. Hunt has been disappointing at quarterback for Syracuse. The Orange and Golden Gophers have both been in a bunch of very low scoring games this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if both teams fail to make it out of teens in this one. A lot of value on the under in this contest. Take the under.
12-24-13	Oregon State v. Boise State OVER 63.5		38-23	Loss	-115	123 h 55 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Hawaii Bowl Christmas Eve CASH The Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos both like to play quickly on offense. There should be a lot of snaps in this game. Oregon State and Boise State have both struggled against the pass this year. Both of these offenses have been great passing the ball. Sean Mannion and Brandin Cooks is one of the best QB to WR combination's in the country for Oregon State. The Beavers defense allowed 105 points in their last two games. Two bad secondaries and two teams who will air it out all game long equals a lot of points here. The over is 4-0 in Boise's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 games on a neutral field. The over is 4-1 in Oregon State's last 5 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Boise's last 5 neutral site games. A 16-2 angle. Take the over.
12-21-13	UL-Lafayette v. Tulane UNDER 49.5		24-21	Win	100	51 h 25 m	Show
3 Star New Orleans Bowl Total DOMINATION The Tulane Green Wave had a remarkable turnaround this year, and the main reason they were able to be so much better this year was their defense. Tulane's defense ranks 26th in the nation in total defense and they are giving up only 21.2 points per game. The strength of their defense is the front seven. La. Lafayette isn't a defensive juggernaut, but Tulane's offense has been bad all year. Tulane won games with defense. The Green Wave rank 118th in the nation in total offense. Terrance Broadway will either miss this game or be ineffective due to an injury. Look for a low scoring game all the way in this one. The under is 5-0-1 in Tulane's last 6 following a loss. The under is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7 after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in their last game. Take the under.
12-14-13	Army v. Navy UNDER 55		7-34	Win	100	134 h 24 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Army/Navy Cold Hard CASH The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet this Saturday in another installment of their epic rivalry. These might not be two of the best teams in college football, but watch this game and you'll see how much this game means to both teams. It's a really special rivalry game. Both of these teams run the triple option and they run on almost every single play from scrimmage. The single best angle to handicapping the total in this game is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the option typically is that defenses aren't prepared, but in this game the defenses are very well prepared. I've cashed in on the under in the Army/Navy game in their last three meetings, and I'm going back to the well. The under is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games in December. The under is 10-0 in Navy's last 10 games following a bye week under coach Ken Niumatalolo. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Navy's last 7 after throwing for 75 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games between each other with Navy as the home team. A 36-0 angle. Take the under.
12-07-13	South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 47	Top	6-31	Win	100	48 h 57 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game. The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big!
12-07-13	Texas v. Baylor OVER 71.5		10-30	Loss	-106	44 h 57 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.
11-30-13	Texas A&M v. Missouri OVER 69.5		21-28	Loss	-110	105 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Tex A&M/Missouri Total The Texas A&M Aggies offense was slowed down last week by LSU in a way that we haven't seen in a long time. Johnny Manziel didn't look good, but I have a feeling that will be different this week. Manziel is still the most electrifying player in the nation, and Missouri's pass defense is a glaring weakness. The entire Texas A&M defense is a complete mess. The Aggies have been unable to stop anyone all year long. Look for both teams to pile up the points in this one. Take the over. Note- I would play this for 4 stars if you can get the over at 66.5 or lower. 3 Stars up to 71. Thank you.
11-30-13	Louisiana Monroe v. UL-Lafayette OVER 57.5		31-28	Win	100	104 h 47 m	Show
3 NCAA FB Instate Rivalry Total LA Monroe and LA Lafayette don't like each other one bit. This is a rivalry that doesn't get attention on a national scale, but locally this game is a really big deal. Kolton Browning and the Warhawks offense haven't been good the last two weeks, but I expect a much better effort from them in this one. Lafayette's running offense is the best in the conference and LA Monroe is very unlikely to be able to do anything about slowing them down at all. I had this one projected at 61 points. Take the over in this matchup.
11-30-13	Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 51	Top	31-34	Loss	-110	100 h 19 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION The Boston College Eagles and Syracuse Orange meet up in what should be a very competitive game in Syracuse on Saturday. The defense is the strength of both of these teams. Syracuse's offense is a mess, and the Orange rarely can put together long scoring drives. Boston College has an elite runner, but the Syracuse defense excels at stopping the run. This is one of those games where both defenses should be able to rise up and force a lot of field goal attempts if the offenses do get into the red zone. I had this one lined at 44.5, so I see a ton of value here. Take the under big!
11-30-13	Idaho v. New Mexico State OVER 68.5	Top	16-24	Loss	-100	100 h 16 m	Show
5 Star NCAA TOP Play of Week The Idaho Vandals gave up 80 points in a drubbing at the hands of Florida State last week. Idaho's defense has been giving up huge totals all year. The Vandals defense is allowing an FBS worst 48.8 points per game this year. What about New Mexico State's defense? Not much better. They are allowing 47.2 points per game, which is second worst in the FBS. These are the two worst defenses in the nation up against each other. Expect lots of points from two offenses that are improving quite a bit. I lined this one at 80 points, so I'm very surprised the line dropped the way it has. The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 40 points or more. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss of 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 6 November games. In all, a 37-0 angle. Take the over big!
11-30-13	BYU v. Nevada OVER 58.5		28-23	Loss	-110	100 h 49 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The BYU Cougars are a completely different team than they were last year. This BYU team is looking to snap the ball as quick as possible and get off as many offensive plays as they can. That should work really well against a Nevada defense that is among the worst in the nation. Nevada's offense has plenty of fight, and Cody Fajardo is capable of leading this team to several scores here. Don't be surprised if BYU puts up a big number here. Take the over. Note- The line has moved up in a big way since the opener when I took this. I would play this up to 61 for 4 stars and up to 66 for 3 stars, but above 66 I would pass. Thank you.
11-30-13	Duke v. North Carolina OVER 58		27-25	Loss	-110	97 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB ACC Rivalry Total The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. North Carolina has been putting the pieces together on offense of late after Bryn Renner went down with an injury. Most thought the UNC offense wouldn't be any good the rest of the year, but Marquise Williams has been very good at QB for them. In the last 3 weeks, UNC has scored 45, 34, and 80 points. The Tar Heels defense isn't consistent though, and Duke's offense has improved a ton since the beginning of the year. I had this total set at 64 points. Take the over.
11-30-13	Rutgers v. Connecticut UNDER 50.5		17-28	Win	100	97 h 50 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and UConn Huskies are both ready for this season to be over. Rutgers was expected to be pretty good this year, but they've been a big disappointment. UConn won last week, but that was their first win of the season. The Huskies have been abysmal on offense all year long. UConn has absolutely no running game, and their passing attack isn't good either. The Huskies defense has shown some fight at home, and I expect more of that in this one. I had this number projected at 46 points. This should be an ugly game. Take the under.
11-29-13	Miami (Florida) v. Pittsburgh UNDER 55		41-31	Loss	-110	76 h 2 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Miami Hurricanes and Pitt Panthers both have offenses that have struggled to get going of late. The Hurricanes aren't the same team without Duke Johnson. Stephen Morris has been very disappointing of late at QB as well. Pitt lacks weapons on the offensive end. The Panthers have been playing some very low scoring games, and I've been backing the under with them for quite a while now. I'm not going to jump off the train just yet. Look for this one to stay close all game, and there should be a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the under.
11-29-13	Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 51	Top	24-7	Win	100	74 h 22 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Hidden GEM The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet in a key MAC matchup Friday. Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the site for this one. Bowling Green has the number one pass defense in the nation and they have a top 10 defense in every category. Buffalo's defense has been great against MAC opponents. Neither of these teams has an elite offense. Last year when they got together the final score was just 21-7. This one might be a little higher, but I think the line should have been around 45 points. Look for a tight defensive battle all the way. Take the under big!
11-29-13	East Carolina v. Marshall OVER 67.5	Top	28-59	Win	100	73 h 35 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB Feast TOP PLAY The East Carolina Pirates and Marshall Thundering Herd meet in a very important game for both teams Friday. The winner of this game will play in the Conference USA title game next week. East Carolina and Marshall both have a high octane passing attack, and I think that means a very high scoring game here. Both teams like to move quickly, so there will be lots of plays. I projected this one at 73 points. The over is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 28-0 angle. Take the over big!
11-23-13	Missouri v. Ole Miss OVER 56		24-10	Loss	-113	104 h 30 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet in what should be a great SEC clash. Missouri is still in the national title race if they win out and Mississippi has proven capable of beating big name teams at home this year. The strength of both of these teams is their offense. Missouri's glaring weakness is their secondary and I expect Bo Wallace and Mississippi to exploit that. Missouri's offense hasn't been stopped by anyone this year when James Franklin is healthy and he'll be back for this one. The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in Ole Miss' last 5 November games. The over is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 12-2 in Ole Miss' last 14 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game. A 28-2 angle backs this. Take the over.
11-23-13	Louisiana Monroe v. South Alabama OVER 56	Top	14-36	Loss	-110	103 h 57 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks offense looked bad most of the year, but that was without star quarterback Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. Everything for this offense, and he is back and healthy now. They put up 49 points two games ago against Troy. The oddsmakers haven't yet caught up to Monroe's much better offense with Browning on the field. South Alabama's offense should be able to move it against a Monroe defense that isn't very good against either the run or the pass. The South Alabama defense played pretty well earlier this year, but they have a lot of injuries and are struggling of late. I had this line projected at 63 points, so this one has a ton of value. Take the over in a big way here!
11-23-13	Indiana v. Ohio State OVER 79.5		14-42	Loss	-115	99 h 29 m	Show
3 NCAA FB Big 10 Total The Ohio State Buckeyes won 60-35 last week in Illinois, but the Buckeyes weren't very impressive in that win. At this point in the season, Ohio State not only needs to win games, but they need to be very impressive when winning them. Urban Meyer knows the Buckeyes need style points. Indiana has the worst defense in the Big 10. The Hoosiers are allowing an eye-popping 535 yards per game. Opponents have scored at least 42 points against Indiana in 4 of their last 5 games. Ohio State will be the best offense they have faced yet. The Buckeyes could easily score 60 points by themselves. Indiana's offense put up 49 points on Ohio State last year, and they should score several here. This number is very high for a reason. Look for a very high scoring game. Take the over.
11-23-13	BYU v. Notre Dame UNDER 54		13-23	Win	100	21 h 60 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB BYU/Notre Dame Total The BYU Cougars and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both tough defenses to run the football on when they know the run is coming. Last year these teams played to a 17-14 final score. A huge factor in this game will be the weather. There is snow expected during this game as well as 25 mph winds. Both of these passing games will have serious problems getting going. A ton of runs means a predictable offense for both teams as well as a clock that keeps running the entire game. Look for another low scoring contest here. Take the under.
11-23-13	Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 49.5		17-16	Win	100	96 h 20 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Pitt Panthers and Syracuse Orange are two teams that I have bet on the under with successfully several times already this year. Pitt has an offense that isn't very good at either throwing or running it, and Syracuse's offense has been a complete disaster of late. On the other side of the ball, both of these defenses have improved a great deal through the year. Syracuse has lots of team speed on defense, and Pittsburgh has a dominating defensive line. Look for field goals instead of touchdowns here. Take the under in this one.
11-16-13	San Diego State v. Hawaii OVER 57.5	Top	28-21	Loss	-110	106 h 47 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total The San Diego State Aztecs have been good to me on overs so far this year. The Aztecs are good at stopping the run, but their secondary is weak. Hawaii can't run the ball, but they can definitely air it out. Hawaii should put up a lot more points here than most expect. On the other side, Hawaii's defense is dreadful. They are giving up 37.3 points per game for the year. The Hawaii offense has steadily improved as the season has progressed. The over is 6-0 in Hawaii's last 6 games overall. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards last game. A 22-0 angle. Take the over big!
11-16-13	Oregon State v. Arizona State OVER 63.5		17-30	Loss	-111	44 h 15 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Oregon State Beavers and Arizona State Sun Devils both like to air it out early and often. Don't expect many rushing attempts in this game. The weakness of both of these defenses is their secondary. Arizona State has been piling up the points at home all year. The Sun Devils have scored 62, 54, and 53 points in their last three home games. Oregon State has mismatches against AZ State's secondary and they'll get their points too. The over is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5 games on grass. The over is 6-0 in AZ State's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 275 total yards. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.
11-16-13	Florida International v. UTEP UNDER 51.5		10-33	Win	100	104 h 36 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO When FIU and UTEP meet, I expect an absolutely horrible football game. Don't even try to watch, listen, or follow this game. There will be nothing exciting about this game. That being said, the game doesn't have to be exciting for me to see an opportunity to make money. FIU is dead last in the nation in points per game, and UTEP's offense is short-handed right now. These defenses aren't very good, but they'll probably look good on Saturday night. This number has moved throughout the week. I would make this a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play as low as 47 points. Take the under.
11-16-13	Texas State v. Arkansas State UNDER 51.5		21-38	Loss	-110	103 h 46 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total The Texas State Bobcats had two weeks to prepare for this one, and I think that means their defense will be very well-prepared. Texas State's defense has been able to slow down some very good teams this year. Arkansas State's defense is also one of the best in the Sun Belt. Both of these offenses have really struggled with consistency so far this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see a tight game here where both teams struggle to get into the end zone. I made this line 45, so I like the value on this one. Take the under here.
11-16-13	Michigan State v. Nebraska UNDER 42.5		41-28	Loss	-110	38 h 47 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total The Michigan State Spartans have the best defense in the nation. They are allowing just 43 rushing yards per game. Michigan State's defense flies to the football. I don't see this defense giving up a big number against anyone. Without Taylor Martinez, Nebraska's offense isn't as dynamic. The Huskers are going to struggle to score in this one. Michigan State's stacked on defense, but their offense isn't very good. The Huskers defense stepped up in a big way last weekend at Michigan. Look for both D's to be very good here. Take the under. I would play this game as low as 41 points, but not lower.
11-16-13	UL-Lafayette v. Georgia State OVER 59.5		35-21	Loss	-106	37 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns have won 7 straight games. Their offense has put up 35 points or more in 6 of those 7 wins. They have scored 41 or more in 4 of the 7 games. Georgia State's defense is so bad that Lafayette may get to 50 in this one. Georgia State's offense is slowly improving and you have to think that Lafayette will let them score some late in the game here. The over is 7-0 in Lafayette's last 7 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 3-0-1 in Lafayette's last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in GA State's last 4 following a double digit home loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games at home. A 23-0 angle. Take the over.
11-09-13	San Diego State v. San Jose State OVER 56	Top	34-30	Win	100	105 h 24 m	Show
5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month The San Diego State Aztecs and San Jose Spartans have a nice little rivalry going on. San Jose State has an NFL-caliber quarterback in David Fales. San Diego State has a balanced offense with two good runners and a quickly improving quarterback. My numbers had this game at 64 points, so this line is more than a touchdown away, which rarely happens. The Spartans are 24th in the nation in total offense, and Fales should pick apart a suspect San Diego State secondary. At the same time, San Jose State is 93rd in the nation in total defense, and San Diego State will get plenty of opportunities to score as well. The over is 6-1-1 in the Spartans last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in SD State's last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game. The over is 8-2 in San Diego State's last 10 after an ATS loss. An 18-3 angle backs this play. Take the over big here!
11-09-13	Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh UNDER 51		21-28	Win	100	103 h 56 m	Show
3 Star Notre Dame/Pitt Total Domination The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense hasn't been as good as expected so far this year, but it is still the strength of the team. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled the majority of the year, and I think they'll struggle up front against Notre Dame's front four. The Panthers defense is much improved and their defensive front is becoming a major strength for the team. Notre Dame doesn't have a consistent passing game, so I don't think they can beat this Pitt defense consistently. Look for both defenses to play well in this matchup. The under is 5-0 in Pitt's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Pitt's last 7 November games. A 19-1 angle. Take the under.
11-09-13	Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 55	Top	20-3	Win	100	99 h 60 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB ACC TOP Total The Syracuse Orange won 13-0 over Wake Forest in a game that I played the 'under' in last week. That was a great play from start to finish. Syracuse has lots of offensive issues right now. Their quarterback play has been shaky at best, and Maryland has a talented defense. The Terrapins are once again having problems with the injury bug this season. Syracuse has a quality defense that does a good job keeping their opponents from getting those big plays. I had this game lined at 48 points. Expect both teams defenses to bring their A game here. This one stays low scoring all the way. Take the under big!
11-09-13	Nevada v. Colorado State OVER 63	Top	17-38	Loss	-110	99 h 60 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Hidden GEM Total The Nevada Wolfpack have a very good quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo is a dual-threat quarterback who is a weapon in every aspect of the game. He'll be up against a Colorado State defense that has been susceptible against mobile quarterbacks the past couple years. Nevada's defense is among the worst in the nation. The Wolfpack are allowing an astonishing 513 yards per game so far this season. Colorado State's offense has come to life of late, and I expect a big number from Colorado State here. Back and forth with both offenses lighting it up in this one. The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 after allowing 200 rushing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in CSU's last 5 games. The over is 3-0-1 in CSU's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Colorado State's last 5 after gaining 450 yards in their last contest. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!
11-09-13	Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 58		32-35	Win	100	60 h 47 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total The Eastern Michigan Eagles may have the worst defense in the nation. These guys just haven't been able to stop anyone this year. How bad are they? Eastern Michigan has given up 45.6 points per game so far in 2013. They have allowed at least 50 points in each of their last 4 games. Western Michigan's offense got going in their last game against UMass, and the Broncos should have plenty of success offensively here. At the same time, Western Michigan is giving up 37 points per game as well. Two horrible teams that can't play any defense. The over is the play. The over is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 after allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over.
11-09-13	UAB v. Marshall OVER 65.5		14-56	Win	100	96 h 31 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the best quarterbacks in the country. Rakeem Cato can air it out with the best of them and it's hard to imagine UAB's pathetic defense slowing down Marshall at all here. UAB's defense is allowing 38.4 points per game so far this year, and Marshall will be one of the best offenses they have faced all year. Marshall's defense is fully capable of giving up a lot of points, and UAB's offense is improving over the last few weeks. I had this one lined at 71 points. Look for a high scoring affair all the way. Take the over.
11-09-13	Western Kentucky v. Army OVER 57		21-17	Loss	-110	22 h 38 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a high quality offense under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is one of the best running backs in the nation. Andrews has almost 1300 yards on the ground already this year. Army runs the football extremely well. In fact, Army has more rushing yards than any other team in the country. Western Kentucky's rushing defense has struggled all year, and the Hilltoppers are dinged up on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are going to have lots of room to run in this one. I think this game comfortably tops 60 points. Take the over.
11-09-13	SMU v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5		25-28	Loss	-106	22 h 38 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Cincinnati Bearcats wins over FBS opponents this year have come against teams with a combined record of 3-36. While Cincinnati's defensive numbers look great, I don't think this defense is very good. SMU has been on fire offensively of late as Garrett Gilbert has come into his own of late. Look for the Mustangs to burn Cincinnati through the air early and often. SMU's defense is giving up 42 points per game, and Cincinnati should be able to move the ball at will. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 after giving up more than 40 points in their last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. A 21-0 angle here. Take the over.
11-08-13	Air Force v. New Mexico OVER 59		37-45	Win	100	52 h 18 m	Show
4 Star NCAA FB Friday Night MONEYMAKER The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos are both teams that run the ball on nearly every play. The assumption then is that a game between these two teams would finish under the total, but a closer look tells us the value is clearly on the over in this game. Air Force is 113th in the nation and allows 221 rushing yards per game. New Mexico is 122nd in the nation and allows 252.6 yards per game on the ground. These two ground games are both very good. The Falcons are gaining 279 rushing yards per game. The Lobos are averaging 314 yards per game on the ground. Both teams are going to be running wild in this one. The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground in the previous game. A 19-0 angle here. Take the over.
11-02-13	San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 66		34-24	Loss	-108	27 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total The San Jose State Spartans have one of the most underrated quarterback in the country in David Fales. Fales is adept at picking apart subpar secondaries, and that is exactly what he'll be up against this week at UNLV. The Rebels secondary struggled badly against Hawaii and Fresno State's aerial attack. San Jose State should put up big points here. At the same time, UNLV's offense is light years better than it was last year. Caleb Herring and the Rebels offense should have a lot of success against a Spartans defense that ranks 100th in the nation in total defense. The scoreboard will light up in Las Vegas on Saturday afternoon. Take the over.
11-02-13	Kent State v. Akron OVER 53		7-16	Loss	-110	99 h 30 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION The Kent State Golden Flashes are a long ways removed from their Cinderella season last year. The Golden Flashes are a mess defensively right now. With Reardon healthy at quarterback and Dri Archer back healthy in the backfield, the Golden Flashes offense is much better than it was a few weeks ago. Akron isn't the punching bag they were a year ago. The Zips have a quality quarterback who should move it through the air against a poor Kent State secondary. This game should be very close, which puts overtime into play as well. I think this has a good chance of reaching the upper 50's or even 60 points. Take the over.

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