Chiefs +3.5 (4.4* NFL POD) Battle 1st TD +500 (1* play) Love the Chiefs here the Chargers looked awful a week ago late in the game vs. the Jets defense and the Chiefs have the secondary to give the Chargers issues. The Chiefs have really turned it around and they are allowing 40 yards less per game at home than on the road and 26 yards less over their last 3 games. They lost 17-20 in San Diego last time out in a close game, but penalties and missed opportunities were the difference in that game. The Chiefs team really came together and Arrowhead is not an easy place to play. I think it will be rocking tonight on Halloween and the Chiefs will get a win to force a 3 way tie on top of the division.

Patriots -2.5 (5.5* NFL POD) Give Bill Belichick extra time to prepare and he rarely loses going 9-2 in his coaching career. Last year he beat the jets 45-3. Patriots should be hungry vs. the Steelers and Tom Brady is 6-1 in his career vs. the Steelers with 14 TD 3 INT and 286 yards/game. Steelers #2 ranking in total defense to me is not telling us the full story as the Steelers have faced just one offense all year in the Houston Texans. Brady and the Patriots have the #1 overall offense and they should be able to runt he ball against a suspect Steelers run defense that's not as good as years past. The Steelers have played the Titans, Jaguars and Cardinals the last 3 weeks and they also have wins vs. the Colts (barely) and the Seahawks. I don't see any playoff teams in that mix. Patriots are also off an ATS loss and are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 following an ATS loss. I thought the bye came at the right time for this team as their offense was scoring less and less points. Patriots should re discover themselves against a Steelers defense that's just not as good as years past and the Patriots are 46-22-3 ATS in their last 71 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Pats get Jered Mayo back on defense and should be able to get pressure on Big Ben as the offensive line for the Steelers is just awful and Big Ben loves holding onto the football and throwing it deep.

Mich State +4 (5.5* NCAAF POD) I love Mich State even after their big win last week. Mainly because Nebraska to me is not ready for Big Ten competition. For one Mich State beat Wisconsin and Nebraska was dominated by them and they also beat Ohio State who had Nebraska beat until Braxton Miller got hurt and they lost momentum in the 3rd quarter. Mich State forced a better QB that loves to run in Denard Robinson as Mich State won 28-14 in that game holding Denard to 9-24 passing and 18 rushes for just 42 yards. Michigan State is allowing just 2.91 yards per carry in conference play. Mich State has been dominant on 3rd down converstions allowed holding opponents to 27.5% in conference play. That will be a huge advantage Saturday when Mich State stops the running game early forcing Taylor Martinez to be a thrower which we are all well aware that's never a good thing and a reason why they can't win this game despite Mich State coming off a huge win. Nebraska is no Nebraska on defense they allow 4.66 yards per carry and they have just 9 sacks, just 1 per game in conference games. While Michigan State can stop the run and they have 19 sacks in 3 conference games. Kirk Cousins is a veteran and should have all day to throw and the running game continues to get better by the day. nebraska is just 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 as a home favorite and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 after scoring 40 points in previous game as they played Minnesota last week the Big Ten's worst team. Lastly Nebraska is allowing 80% of conference opponents red zone attempts to be touchdowns and Michigan State is scoring 90% of their red zone attempts in conference play as TD's. Michigan State has also allowed half as many red zone attempts as Nebraska's defense on the year so again I'm going with the defensive team that continues to get better at their weaknesses meanwhile Nebraska continues to show they can not have a balanced offensive attack.

BYU +14 -120 BUY

Miami -13.5 (4* NCAAF POD)
Yep I

Uconn + 10.5 4.4* NCAAF POD

Sure I

Troy +7.5 buy 1/2 -120 4.5* NCAAF POD
Troy is on revenge here returning 16 starters that remember their loss quite well to FIU at the end of last year 52-35. Part of that problem was stopping the run and turning the ball over as they were -3 in turnover margin in that game. I don

Ravens -4 & U45 6 POINT TEASER (4.4* NFL POD)
We saw a complete decrease of TD

Bears -1 (5.5* NFL POD) Love the Bears in London. Both teams are on the road and I'm confident in the Bears who continue to fly under the radar because of 3 losses, but as of right now they lost to the three best teams in the NFC in the Packers, Lions, and Saints. They are still the Bears and have better defense than the Bucs who rank in the the bottom of the league 25th in total defense. TB last road game had them losing 3-48 vs. the 49ers another physical defense. The loss before that on the road against the Redskins, a physical defense. I see a trend here I don't think the Bucs can match the physical intensity in this game. They are also without their starting C Jeff Faine which should be a big loss. On the Bears side I like the way J'Marcus Webb played vs. sack leader Jarred Allen. He should have the advantage vs. Clayborn I look for him to continue his progression. I also think he'll have an advantage as their will be more Bears fans in the stadium than Bucs this will be like a home game for them. Special Teams should play a critical role with both defenses dominating the game and that means Devin Hester. I believe Tampa will kick away from him, but that will lead to some mistakes and short punts. on the other side the Bears punter Podlesh is 7th in the league with 40.2 net yards per punt.

Northwestern +4.5 (5.5* NCAAF POD) Yes I'm backing Northwestern again. At 2-4 and with some easy games on the docket this team still has a chance to go bowling and have a positive season. This match up could not come at the right time as Penn State's passing game is among the worst in the country. Their QB's are completing 50.9% of their passes and are just not accurate. Northwestern has really struggled to get off the field the last 3 weeks allowing opponents to convert 60% of their 3rd downs, but those opponents were very good on 3rd downs two of the 3 were over 50% on the season and now they get a break with Penn State who is 39% for the season. On the other side of things Northwestern has too much offense for Penn State to win by more than a field goal. Dan Persa is the nation's most accurate passer the same was true last year and since his return this team is converting 54% of his passes. This is the same team that had Michigan and Illinois on the ropes in the 3rd quarter. Penn State barely won at Indiana and Indiana has been god awful and they've been worse on defense ranked 105th in total defense yet Penn State still only scored 16 points. The Penn State offense also lack a go to WR after losing top target Derek Moye again this is a great break for Northwestern that needs a win in the worst way. Home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and Penn State is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games while Northwestern is 24-8 ATS in their last 32 as a dog 3.5 to 10 points. The secret weapon that many don't know about and it's going to come through in this match up in a huge way is Kain Colter. He's a real weapon started the year at QB he can play WR and wild cat. He's a huge threat in the running game and he'll get touches at QB once again. Okay so many may think Penn State can just run all over Northwestern and keep Persa off the field, well that's not true their defense is holding opponents to 3.59 ypc over the last 3 games against some pretty good rushing offenses in Illinois and Michigan in particular. Penn State's ranked 7th in pass defense but, They have not faced a QB all season long. Please name one? Persa is arguably one of the best QB's in the league and the 7th ranked Penn State pass defense will be exposed. Don't forget Northwestern had a 21-0 lead before Penn State got a TD with 3 seconds left last year at home and that changed momentum of hte game as Penn State won 35-21 outscoring Northwestern 28-0 in the 2nd half. Don't think Northwestern doesn't remember that, and Colter is a big enough of a threat to keep Penn State from stopping Northwestern on 3rd down.

Rutgers +2 (4.4* NCAAF POD); Rutgers +8 U46 2.2* teaser
Love Rutgers tonight. Louisville has a very similar team in that their offense is not very good and their defense is very good, but Rutgers just has more weapons on offense and is building and improving each week. Their defense is also been great leading the nation in takeaways and 2nd in sacks two things that will hurt Louisville tonight as Rutgers avenges last year

Arizona -4 (4.4* NCAAF POD)
The coaching change of Mike Stoops could not have came at a better time.

Ark State -3 @ -108 (4.4* NCAAF POD)
This game comes down to Ryan Alpin in the loss against Florida International last year he threw for just 126 yards, but now it

Falcons -3 @ -120 (5.5* NFL POD) Take out the poor 2nd halfs this team has played in back to back weeks and they'd have this line at a TD. I think the line is a bit off especially since Matt Ryan has lost only 3 times as a starter at home and two of them against Aaron Rodgers. The Panthers are also playing everyone close but I think this is the game they lose by a TD or more and it's also the game the Falcons get back to doing what they do best which is running the ball. Panthers can't stop anyone they are ranked 27th vs. the run and they are giving up TD's not field goals. Luckily CAm Newton has kept them in every game, but the Falcons are a different defense at home and we saw that vs. the Packers for a good portion of that game. The Panthers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 as a road dog 3.5 - 10pts and the Falcons are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 following a SU loss. This team fights adversity well and they have some real leaders on both sides of the ball. The Falcons have started to rush the passer better and protect Matt Ryan better which are two ingredients to success. Lastly the Panthers are just 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 @ Atlanta.

Mich St -2 (5.5* NCAAF POD) Michigan again off to a fast start and now getting Top 10 considerations? I think that's a joke, but here they are now facing their in state rival on the road. Michigan is a classic team that dominates out of conference but in conference they struggle 5-23 ATS in their last 28 conf games. They are also 7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. a winning team and this line suggests they'd be favorites on a neutral field which I feel is a joke considering how well Mich State's defense has played. Mich State was +160 yards last year at Michigan and they foced Robinson into 3 interceptions that's going to be the key right there. Ya Mich State lost to Notre Dame and Michigan beat them, but Michigan had no business beating Notre Dame and really they were down double digits last week to an under rated Northwestern team. Denard Robinson had his way last week through the air but again he throws way too many turnovers and too many jump balls that he's gotten lucky with especially against Notre Dame. Robinson 9 interceptions on the year are among the worst in the nation and if he tries to take off and run Mich State is solid against the run ranked #3 nationally and they are tested a bit holding a very good Notre Dame running game to only 114 yards. Greg Jones is not a Spartan LB he's off playing in the NFL, but Mich St recruits well especially at LB and their defensive line will allow them to roam free. The standard run game won't work vs. Mich St not with Jerel Worthy anchoring a very good Dline. Now Michigan has been great in the red zone 22 of their 28 RZ tries have been TD's, but Michigan State has only allowed 3 TD in the red zone all year so they can force Michigan into field goal situations meanwhile I'm not sold on Michigan's alleged improved defense. For one they have gotten lucky forcing 12 fumbles. Well Mich State takes care of the ball just 2 fumbles and only 4 total turnovers on the year so you can bet they will win the turnover battle on Saturday. Next Michigan has 11 sacks, but Mich State has allowed just 5 on the year. Kirk Cousins is a very composed QB and experienced vs. Michigan. Dan Persa just threw for 336 yards and Nwestern running game was able elude tackles and get into the end zone. Mich State with an extra week to prepare should be able to get the running game going last year Edwin Baker had 22 carries and 147 yards and he's still there last I checked so is Le'Veon Bell who had 7 carries and 78 yards. Michigan's run defense stats look good but they haven't faced any teams that can run beside San Diego State and Notre Dame which had Wood and Hillman both over 100 yards and 6 yards per carry combined.

Hawaii -5 (4.4* NCAAF POD) This line has moved a little weird and normally I'd have to buy into a home dog in a national spot light playing a team traveling far for the game, but Hawaii comes into this game coming off a break. They have had extra time to prepare and with New Mexico State on deck there is no doubt in my mind they were not looking ahead at their schedule. The line is just 5 points because the last few match ups here have been decided by a TD, but Hawaii has not had a week off to plan. Also San Jose has looked good vs. BYU, UCLA, and Nevada, but all three of those teams don't throw the ball like Hawaii. Last time San Jose played a passing team they lost 57-3. The main issue here is San Jose does not get pressure they have just 3 sacks on the season. Hawaii was able to get a little more healthy on the offensive line that should allow Bryant Moniz time to throw. SJSU is -2 in turnover margin while Hawaii is +1 as Moniz takes care of the ball just 1 interception. Also SJSU is not scoring in the red zone, they have 18 trips with just 7 TD's and 6 FG's. Hawaii has been better on defense in years past and are allowing opponents to convert 37% of the time on 3rd downs which is about where the inconsistent SJSU is converting 38% of their opportunities. That's the difference in the game and the reason I like Hawaii here. Hawaii is 50% on 3rd down for the year and SJSU has allowed opponents to convert on 3rd downs 54% in their last 2 games. SJSU does not have the depth at RB to hold onto the ball nor do they have a consistent offense to keep up with Hawaii who is scoring 37.2 ppg while SJSU is allowing 31. Hawaii also has 19 sacks and are ranked 27th in total defense. That should be enough to give San Jose some issues especially with extra prep.

San Diego St +7.5 -115 buy 1/2 (4.5* NCAAF POD) SDST +250 1* BONUS Both teams on a short week and that normally means trouble for a team going up against the triple option, but the Aztecs are in Air Force division they are used to the triple option and more importantly they won at Army facing the triple option already this season which was a nice warm up to this game. First of all Air Force is really banged up with the possibility of 5 starters on defense missing this game they are already last in the nation in run defense and they gave up 9.2 yards per carry to Notre Dame and Ronnie Hillman ran for 191 yards vs. them last year. I think both teams come out and run the ball this will shorten the clock and that means a closer game. To me this game also comes down to turnovers and the Aztecs have 10 forced fumbles while the Falcons have -4 turnover margin they have the inability to force turnovers 10 less than the Aztecs and they continue to have problems fumbling the ball. They may run all over San Diego State and allow over 50% 3rd down conversions, but we have seen them do that before and still stay within a TD. I don't think Air Force is the team to blow any team out the way they hold onto the ball. They'd have to be nearly perfect in the red zone and they just haven't been this year. Their red Zone offense is 13 for 18 and I expect them to get stopped for FG like they did when they played TCU as they had 4 FG and 1 TD. On the other side San Diego State has a balanced attack and they have faced a much stronger schedule this year playing vs. Michigan in non conference while Air Force has mixed it up with Tenn St and South Dakota where they gave up nearly 400 yards to each team and over 4 yards per carry. Bottom line the under dog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in the match up and Air Force is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Lions -6.6 (4.4* NFL POD) This seems like a lot of points for an unproven Lions team. However, I'm buying in they've had 3 of their 4 games on the road and they've shown they can come back from any defecit, and they have made timely turnovers and put major pressure on QB's. IF they can stop the run early this game is going to be a disaster for Jay Cutler. Lions also get Nick Fairley to make his debut on an already deep defensive line that should help improve the run defense as well as get more pressure on Cutler which won't turn into anything positive. It's been a long time since Monday night game and the Lions are pointing to this game to show they are for real. I believe it's the reason they came out flat against the Cowboys before recovering and showing their true talent in the 2nd half. I don't care that they can't run the ball the Bears on the road are a different team than they are at home especially defensively as they'll be on a fast carpet rather than the torn up field of Chicago. Bears are 31st in total defense and they've been equally as bad vs. the run and pass. Look for the Lions not to mess around early in this game and for them to get up early. They are 7th in points allowed and the Bears have been ineffective in the red zone. Lions also have double revenge going here they lost twice including 24-20 at home but that was with Drew Stanton at QB and Cutler throwing 21-26 for a TD and 0 interceptions. I think Cutler will have a few mistakes tonight that will help cover our TD spread on Monday night leading to the Lions 5-0 start!

Bengals -1 (5.5* NFL POD) Yes I'm backing the Bengals on our play of the day once again. They've shown they can put points up on the road and as bad as Andy Dalton was last week int he 1st half he's a cool customer coming back in the 2nd half with 11/16 in leading his team back vs. the Bills. The Bengals have the #1 total defense and that defense is for real they are 7th in run defense and they'll have to keep Maurice Jones Drew in check in force the rookie Blaine Gabbert to beat them. Gabbert has not impressed me and he goes up against rookie Dalton who just has more weapons in the passing game with Greshem and Green. That was what we saw in the 2nd half and I think it continues on Sunday here. The 3rd option of Jerome Simpson or Andre Caldwell have potential too. Jaguars just do not have enough offense in this game and the Bengals should win this game as the Jaguars come off a game where they gave up 500+ yards to the Saints. Look for the Bengals to get their first interception today and for the running game to continue it's success as well.

Ohio State +11.5 (5.5* NCAAF POD); OSU +400 (1.5* PLAY) I remember this story isn't it so similar. A team with a solid defense loses at home and then goes on the road as a double digit favorite against a one dimensional offense? That was Texas losing to Oklahoma on their way to play Nebraska as a +10 dog. The result was a winner for us and an outright Texas victory 20-13, then Texas folded. I think Ohio State can have a similar result on Saturday night. First thing first Nebraska's offense is absolutely one dimensional and Ohio State has seen very similar type of approaches from Michigan and at least Denard Robinson is a threat to throw the ball. Taylor Martinez is absolutely not a threat throwing 5 interceptions and barely completing 50% of his passes. The public is pounding Nebraska after their terrible offensive performance vs. Michigan STate, but Mich State is quietly leading the nation in total defense and Ohio State now looks to start a new QB which could have a big impact on this game. It's also not like Nebraska's defense is the same they can be beat in the secondary with 3 new starters and that should open things up a bit for the running game of Ohio State, but it will be the defense that carries this team as they are 23rd vs. the run 13th in total offense and 11th in points allowed. I don't see what Nebraska has done to warrant being a double digit favorite as they lost at Wisconsin 17-48. I know Ohio State's offense has been awful, but they get an NFL caliber tackle back this week in Mike Adams and that should help. Despite all the issues Ohio State is still +4 turnover margin and they forced a very good experienced QB in Kirk Cousins into 3 turnovers. Ohio State has allowed just 10 possessions in the red zone this year that will mean that Nebraska gets there only twice in this game yet they are double digit favorites? I don't see it in a game they will be most likely negative in turnover margin and the clock should be ticking with both teams running the ball a lot. Ohio Sate is 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a winning team, 20-7-1 ATS following a SU loss, 38-15-1 ATS in their last 54 conference games. Nebraska got a nice welcome to the Big Ten last week vs. Wisconsin. Nebraska is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 as a favorite 10.5+ and is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of 10.5+ they don't want to play aggressively and score a ton of points when they get up they sit on that clock and that provides us nice value for a cover.

Oregon -23.5 (4.4* NCAAF POD)
I like Oregon here despite both teams having extra rest and time to prepare for each other.

Colts +10.5 (4* NFL POD) Not a huge play for us tonight, but it's the only one for me. Who are the Bucs to be laying double digit points anyway? They do not out score opponents the offense is ranked 22nd in the league and the defense is 24th. I think Curtis Painter will have a good enough night to keep his team in the game. After all this was the guy the team wanted and he's clearly more capable of running the offense than Kerry Collins. Josh Freeman is good, but he is very much like Ben Roethlisberger he waits for plays to develop and that will provide pass protection which is something they may not be able to do against Mathis and Freeney. I expect just an ugly game Freeman is the hot pick based on what they did last year and I think this line is just way too much. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games and they barely got by the Vikings, and struggled with a FAlcons team that has been terrible on the road to start the year. Colts are still believing they can make the playoffs especially since Peyton has yet to be ruled out for the year. Not saying he comes back, but this team is far from throwing in the towel which is what this line is suggesting.

Bengals +3.5 buy 1/2 -120 (5.5* NFL POD) Wow, shocker right I'm not backing the Bills like the rest of the world. Guess what the Bengals defense is pretty tough, and I think the difference here is their ability to be strong up front on defense. Bengals defensive line goes about 8 deep and they are good. This is the first defense the Bills will play as they faced 23rd, 28th, and 32nd ranked total defense in the first three weeks. Bengals lost to the Bills a year ago and I think they will be playing on revenge with a shot to win in the end. Bengals are allowing just 18ppg and 88 rush yards for a total of 276.3 yards total. They'll hold the Bills to field goals instead of TD's and I expect Andy Dalton to come back with a big performance today to keep his team in the game all day long. Bengals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 as a home dog where they always play solid defense and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as a dog of .5-3points. I can't really call the Bills lucky, but in reality that's what they've been the ball has bounced their way I don't expect that to take them to 4-0 today.

Colorado -2.5 (5.5* NCAAF POD) Washington State under their head man Wulff is 1-17 on the road. Colorado is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a home favorite and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 following a SU loss. Colorado has played some quality opponents in Hawaii, Cal and Ohio State while Wash State did not play anyone early then they faced their first team with a pulse in San Diego State and got beat giving up over 500 yards and they were sacked 4 times. San Diego State gave up a few weaknesses that Colorado can take advantage of at home in the high altitude. 1st thing is the running game as San Diego State RB Hillman ran for 191 yards. Rodney Stewart from Colorado has the skill to spark this offense. Actually this offense has clicked behind Stewart and QB Tyler Hansen the Sr. is quietly having a quality start to the season with 1150 yards 9 TD and 1 INT vs. some quality opponents. Washington State can not get pressure and they are weak up front which should favor Colorado which will have a balanced attack in this one. Look out for one of the best receivers in the Pac 12 in Paul Richardson for Colorado who has 22 receptions 398 yards. VS. California he had 11 for 284 and has been quiet the last two weeks. I expect him to get back to that success this week. Next advantage is Washington state's weakness up front on their offensive line and it really showed against San Diego State who sacked them 6 times. Colorado is strong up front they are 10th in the nation in sacks and they have gotten 3 or more in each game. This will be an advantage late in the 2nd half I think Colorado can end some late drives. Washington St had high hopes this year behind Jeff Tuel but he got hurt in the first game and although his back up is capable he's not nearly as good and Colorado's secondary is the weakness although it's been a strength so far givin up just 283.5 yards per game 26th nationally. I think that continues the line is low because Wash St is averaging 439.67 yards per game, but Colorado is the best defense they have faced all year by a mile and it's on the road in a conference game.

Utah State +8 -115 (4.5* NCAAF POD)I love Utah State as this is a great exposure game for their team and players in what their head coach has said he

U52 4.5* play, pit+8.5/U58 2.2* teaser bonus!
This game I lean towards Pittsburgh and being the home team as an under dog coming off two losses, but I

Cowboys -3 (4.4* NFL POD) I had the Redskins in both of their first two games, but now they go on the road and I know the injuries have been a big deal and a reason why the Cowboys are -3 favorites here instead of more, but I think the injuries are over rated at this point. Romo's injury got better not worse from how they were where he led his team on the road against the 49ers and he looked good. Romo usually turns up with a great game when people expect him to struggle. Dez Bryant and Jason Witten are still out there even though Austin is now out. It appears Bryant will play and if so I think this offense won't miss Austin a bit. Jason Witten had 10 receptions and a 140 yards in the home win with Jon Kitna at QB. Redskins defense just is not the same on the road as it is at home and I think they'll struggle stopping the Cowboys and on the other side I think we can expect a nightmare performance from Grossman. Though he's looked great first few games he'll have to win this game because the Cowboys are #2 in stopping the run. Cowboy get Terrence Newman back to help their secondary and I think that will help them concentrate on TE Fred Davis.

Dolphins +3 -125 buy 1/2 (5.5* MAX POD) Love the Dolphins and I'd take them straight up, but when your book has them at +2.5 there is no reason not to be smart and buy the half point in my opinion. First of all this Dolphins team is much better than they have played. Starting the season playing the AFC's two best offenses in the Texans and the Patriots was never going to produce good results especially after a shortened off season. Today the Dolphins begin their season. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 as a dog while the Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite. This will be a big game for Dolphins rookie Daniel Thomas. Right now the Browns can be run on they have the 24th run defense and they faced Benson and Addai from the Bengals and Colts. Those guys are good, but they are old news and I loved what I saw from Thomas a week ago 18 carries for 107 yards. I really believe he can be the next big thing in the league. Sprinkle in Reggie Bush and I think the Dolphins should have no trouble moving the ball. Dolphins struggled at home vs. the Browns a year ago in a 13-10 defeat, but Henne threw 3 interceptions and that number will clearly go down with a balanced attack and Brandon Marshall who did not play in that game. Also the Dolphins held Hillis in check in that game 18-57 yards 3.1 ypc. Hillis really has not looked good this year and I think we will continue to see more of Hardesty, but not today. Hillis will struggle on the year he has 3.4 ypc vs. the Colts/Bengals. Dolphins run defense is better and their overall defense which is suspect when you look at the numbers is inflated because they faced the Texans and Patriots. Expect the Dolphins to really come out and make a point in this game. Their offense has looked good and their defense won't have a problem with the Browns offense led by McCoy who dinks and dunks down the field behind a passing offense ranked 25th. His 56.9% completion percentage surprises me. I love the Dolphins to win this one.

LSU -5.5 (5.5* NCAAF POD) Don't miss out easily the game of the week and we are confident in LSU's ability to win on the road in hostile environments. This is a rematch of last years 20-14 home victory by LSU and one thing is for sure both teams are different than they are a year ago. In my opinion West Virginia has digressed with Dana Holgorsen so far as the defense just is not the same with this up tempo offense coming off the field much quicker. The defense is going to spend a lot of time on the field in this game because LSU's defense is special. LSU prepared all off season for a spread attack with a special running game and that was not for West Virginia but for Oregon and they dominated that game in a 40-27 victory. Oregon is far better than West Virginia on offense with an elite running game that LSU shut down. West Virginia can not muster any sort of a running game just 79 yards per game. LSU also shut down the prolific Miss St's rushing game last week which was very impressive. West Virginia will go to the passing game and Geno Smith was 14-29 last year vs. LSU and I don't think it will be any prettier despite how explosive the offense has looked because they've been inconsistent. This is the first time they are facing a dominant defense that can get into the backfield. LSU now has 30 tackles for loss already. They'll easily take away the running game and the offense WV is going to run is not built to beat this LSU defense which is littered with speed athleticism and next level talent including a duo in the secondary that is making many forget about Patrick Peterson in Mathieu/Claiborne. My favorite stat is West Virginia's once dominating defense they were 2nd in sacks last year and 2nd in run defense. What happened? They have 1 sack through 3 games and do not seem as dominant as years past and that's the extra time they have spent on the field that's killing them. LSU behind a physical and veteran offensive line are starting to build some rhythm behind Spencer Ware. Jarret Lee is QB this year and I think that's a huge difference. He does not turn the ball over and LSU bone head turnovers seem to be cut down. In the match up they had 3 turnovers and 12 penalties yet they salvaged a win. I'm buying into this LSU team this year I think it comes down to their match up vs. Alabama on whether or not they got to the national championship.

Under 44 4.4* pod
And ucf +3 -120 3* bonus
The only reason I

[b]Cincinnati -7 4.4* NCAAF POD[/b]
Revenge is a beautiful thing and that

Giants/Rams U44.5 (4.4* NFL POD) The stat on the board is the Rams inability to stop the run and the idea the Giants are going to come out and try to runt he ball. Yes they gave up 236 yards to the Eagles, but 97 came from Vick and they held them in check really through 3 quarters until the 4th. They can stop the run better than the pass and the Giants will try to run the ball early and fail and turn to the pass. I think that keeps this total under the mark tonight. Both teams have injuries that pretty much even out and both teams attack the QB and both teams struggled on 3rd down conversations last week they were last in the league in 3rd down conversions after week 1. That won't = points on the board and I think we will see a very ugly game tonight because of that. Eli Manning got sacked 4 times expect him to struggle yet again because Steve Spagnola knows this offense more than anyone when he was on the Giants staff. He'll be really agressive with the blitz packages and they were able to get to Vick pretty regularly and I expect them to be able to do that tonight ending a lot of drives for the Giants keeping this total under. Rams also get Robert Quinn to debut tonight. The Rookie has a lot of talent and should really help this team in the pass rush alongside of Chris Long and James Hall. On the other side expect the Rams to really struggle. Giants get Tuck back tonight and they have been able to stuff the run. Cadillac Williams will get most of the carries with Stephen Jackson's injury. I expect the Rams to attack the Giants in the air at first, but that will result in a lot of pressure on Bradford who I'm not so sure the Rams can protect long enough to find open men. At the end of the day I see a very sloppy game with turnovers not turning into points. I think the defenses will have advantages and I don't think the offenses will try to do too much.

Cowboys -2.5 (5.5* NFL POD) People need to get off Tony Romo's back. I liked what I heard from him he is a veteran that can forget bad performances at this point. In 4th quarter Romo over his career has 38 TD's to 18 interceptions only throwing an interception every 31 attempts in the 4th quarter so I think the story about him playing clutch is way over hyped. People forget they nearly beat one of the best teams on the road int he Jets. Romo was 23-36 342 yards and that's impressive vs. a very good Jets secondary. Dez Bryant is starting to be the clear #1 and I think he's up for a big day on Sunday. Jason Witten should cause some big match up advantages as well. For the Niners offense we haven't seen much as Ginn Jr took 2 returns back for touch downs that helped him win the game. I still don't trust Alex Smith and I think the Cowboys though they are banged up in the secondary should be able to get away with that with their pass rush as the Niners offensive line is a work in progress. They averaged just 2.7 ypc vs. the Seahawks and the Cowboys were solid at stopping the run against the Jets. Niners are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS win and 6-22-3 ATS in their last 31 following a win by more than 14 points.

Miami OH +5 (5.5* NCAAF POD)
Love Miami Ohio as they are coming off a bye after holding a very explosive Missouri Offense to 17 points. Mizzo then went on the road to score 30 points vs. a very fast and athletic AZ State defense. QB Franklin is a dual threat that Miami Ohio kept in line and I don't think they'll have any problem with Minnesota QB MarQueis Gray who is a little bigger, but still should have no issue as this defense is for real that led them to a MAC Championship a year ago led by CB Dayonne Nunley and LB's Wedge and Harris forming the best secondary and linebackers in the MAC.

Minnesota as I said is a mess they just lost at home to New Mexico State and now there may be reason to believe they can bounce back but I don't see that reason facing a tough defense that is coming off a bye week well prepared for this very game after they lost opening weekend. Minnesota's strength is in their run defense and Miami Oh does not like to run the ball QB Zac Dysert is very good and should use his usual short passes for the running game moving the ball up and down the field. If they can finish in the red zone they should win out right. Something they could not do at Missouri, but Minnesota is no Missouri on defense. Dysert also gets his best receiver back this week as Sophmore WR Nick Harwell was suspended for hte first game. He had 64 receptions for 871 yards a year ago. Minnesota can't get the QB and that's dangerous if you give Dysert time as Minnesota was last in sacks in 2010 and so far through two games they have 0 sacks that includes against New Mexico State.. Mia OH is actually 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a dog and last 4 vs. the Big Ten and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing home record while Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. I expect this game to be decided by a field goal. Miami Ohio's defense will keep this to a field goal game regardless.

Under 45 (4.4* NCAAF POD) Iowa State put up 44 but it was in OT vs. an Iowa team's defense that's in transition. This is the same team that struggled big time the week before against Northern Iowa. Uconn has had problems themselves on offense they do not know who their QB is and the running game is an obvious thing to stop for Iowa State that is allowing just 3.7 ypc. Uconn is big up front and Lyle McCombs comes in as the #12 rusher, but they have no balance the passing game has been awful and I expect an ugly game here tonight which will point to the under. Iowa State goes up against a very good Huskies defense that quietly had 7 sacks and 12 tackles for loss in their loss to Vanderbilt. Iowa State is under 19-7 in their last 26 overall and the Huskies under 22-8 in their last 30 after allowing less than 275 yards in previous game.

LSU/MISST U51 (4.4* NCAAF POD); LSU -2.5 -125 (3* BONUS) Love LSU and the under in tonight

Broncos -3 -120 (4.5* NFL POD) Broncos lost 59-14 last year at home in 1 of 2 games that the Raiders dominated them last year on a combined 98-37. I smell revenge here with the Broncos who were a pass happy team last year. That did not match up well when the Raiders were #2 in the league in getting to the QB and they had an elite secondary led by Nnamdi Asomugha. In the home loss Brandon Lloyd who led the league in receiving had just 3 targets as Asomugha just took him out of the game. While the Raiders safeties are solid the corners are a huge question mark with Chris Johnson (16 tackles, 2 INT) and raw rookies DeMarcus Van Dyke, and Chimdi Chekwa. This is going to have a few impacts on this game and this team this year. #1 I guarantee the Raiders will not be in the top 5 in pass defense or sacks like they were a year ago as they ranked #2 in both respectifully. Also look for Kyle Orton to test this team on the edges with speedy receivers. lastly Oakland was 29th vs. the run and the Raiders did not do anything to really change that. John Fox who takes over as the Broncos head coach is a run first type coach and I expect a much more balanced approach from the Broncos this year which should have an impact in week #1. Oakland was tops in 3rd down stops allowing just 34.8% without Asomugha this is going to change. Denver has the edge here and I think they also have the edge in the passing game which they did not a year ago.. Now how do they stop the Raiders on defense because they did give up 98 points a year ago. Enter Von Miller and immediately you improve your defense which was last in the league in sacks a year ago. I think you see him getting to Campbell early and often and playing a huge part in the Broncos win. Denver has won 16 of their last 22 week 1 games and are 11-0 in their last 11 home openers. Oakland has lost 11 straight on Monday night. Lastly Kevin Boss replaced Zach Miller and though Boss was productive he's a new player and not as good as Miller. It will take time for Boss and Campbell to get on the same page.

Falcons -1.5 (5.5* NFL POD) Two of the best teams from a year ago and I think it says a lot that the Falcons have moved to slight favorites here. Bears have disgruntled players two key players want a better contract in Forte and Briggs and while it won't have a huge impact they still won't be as hungry on Sunday's. Bottom line though the reason I'm on the Falcons so large is their offense and defense has improved for 2011. No question about it they were +52 yards compared to the Bears offense and they add Julio Jones who will be able to stretch the field a bit and remove the double team on Rhoddy White. I'm excited to see what this offense can do against a very good defense on the road. Falcons put up 200 points on the road a year ago and went 6-2 so I'm confident they should have no trouble scoring especially behind a returned offensive line which has been the key to the success of Ryan over the past 3 years. Too bad Cutler can not say the same. Bears offensive line is a mess they have a new center and Cutler was sacked an NFL worst 52 times a year ago. Now the Falcons added Ray Edwards from the Vikings to go on the other side of John Abraham and this pass rush is going to be one of the best in the league. There are also whispers that the Bears are not happy that Roy Williams is getting playing time and that could result in players quitting on a team. Overall I do not like the attitude on the Bears side vs. what is going on with Matt Ryant and the Falcons. I think Falcons role by a touch down.

Utah +9 (5* NCAAF POD) Utah 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 as a road dog and USC is 3-9 ATS after a straight up win which I was just not impressed. USC was held to 2.4 yards per carry which was not surprising because this offensive line is super thin they lost 5 veterans in the off season. Utah's defensive line is a real strength and they should dominate USC in the trenches, tackle Star Lotolelei and Shelby/Kruger on the outside getting pressure with the line backers behind them who play hard this defense should be able to keep their team in the game. USC does have Matt Barkley and Robert Woods who had 17 receptions a week ago, but they were scoreless in the 2nd half vs. Minnesota and were lucky to hold onto the game vs. the Gophers. Utah is heading into their first Pac -12 game and there is no doubt they are pointing to this game and it certainly showed vs. Montana State which their poor play I feel has a lot to do with this line that continues to come down towards to a touchdown. Utah did not show a lot I don't care what anyone says and they did that on purpose. Jordan Wynn is capable of opening things up and I think Norm Chow the old offensive coordinator for USC under Carson Palmer and Matt Leinert will allow him to on Saturday night. Utah still rushed the ball 38 times for 191 yards and the name most will need to remember after this game is John White IV as he is a real star and has real speed. The Juco transfer had a 150 yards rushing a week ago. USC was 109th in the nation in pass defense and have all 4 starters back which is not necessarily a good thing. Minnesota's two QB's although not efficient were 14-25 for 192 yards. This defense struggles to close games and does wear down and struggle on 3rd down defense and red zone defense and that's never a good thing when you are favored at home by more than a TD.

Saints/packers Over 47.5 (4.4* NFL POD); Saints +5 (3* play) I got to say that with the short pre season with teams getting in late it will have more of an impact on the defense. As always the offense knows where the ball is going the defense does not. Yes the Packer were ranked 2nd in points allowed and yes they were 5th in sacks, but that was last year. Sometimes returning the same players in this league does not guarantee you results in a new year. The Saints have been said to have a very organized off season and I love their three headed monster in the backfield with Sproles, Ingram and Thomas to help Brees out with balance which they will have. Brees also has a electrifying TE in his own Jimmy Graham who will out play Jermicah Finley tonight shocking everyone as these two teams go back and forth. The game will end up getting decided by a field goal or 4 points on a touchdown to win the game in my opinion. Saints put up 51 points in 2008 on this team and though it

Arizona +14 4.5* ncaaf pod
This one has all the talent and excitement you would want on a Thursday night game.

4** NCAAF POD
smu +15.5 (4* NCAAF POD) This is a much under rated SMU squad that's been to back to back bowl games and returns a ton of talent including QB Kyle Padron and C-USA leading rusher Zach Line. Sure Texas A&M is loaded with talent with Tannenhill and Fuller, but the defense lost their two best players. I think SMU can stay within striking distance and their defense is very under rated.

Georgia +3 -102 (5.5* NCAAF POD) I'll get to it right off the bat. Boise State has weaknesses this year. The right side of the offensive line (blind side) features two new sophmore starters. The key to disrupting Kellen Moore is pressure. Georgia also has a huge advantage in the secondary as they are deep and strong and the front 7 should be much better this year. Back to the secondary they go up against a Boise group that lost Titus Young and Austin Pettis who combined for more than 400 receptions and more almost 5,000 receiving yards 64 TD's in their careers. Georgia should be able to take advantage with their defense in this game especially if their athleticism up front gives Boise issues. Also Boise has inexperience in their secondary. Aarron Murray is ready after 24 TD's and just 8 interceptions a year ago with 61% completion rate. If Georgia can run the ball too they win this game but Boise is very strong against the run though they gave up 269 to Nevada and 250 to Utah State down the stretch so they can be run on and Georgia's offensive line is much bigger than the Dline of Boise... Look for this to be a key in the 2nd half. Lastly Georgia has the best special teams in the nation and it can be a huge advantage in what I think will be a lower than expected scoring game. They feature the best kicker in Blair Walsh and Georgia was also 19th in turnover margin something that led Boise to winning at Virginia Tech a year ago 33-30. Boise was really lucky to win that game and I expect Georgia to be a little more ready knowing how big this game is. Note Boise is 0-4 vs. the SEC. Their non-conference schedule is still weak looking back at previous 3 years and all the success. I mean they had Vtech and Oregon state out of the ACC and the Pac 10 and Oregon the year before, but overall those conferences are not the SEC. Boise always has a weak schedule we are just stating the fact and I think Boise will not be as good as last year's team with the 3 glarring weaknesses on the blind side of offensive line, the inexperience wide receivers (good Georgia secondary), and the inexperience in Boise's secondary (Aarron Murray accurate passer can take advantage).

Baylor +4 (4.4* NCAAF POD) Love Baylor here. TCU dominated them 45-10 in week 3 last year so this is a big revenge game for Baylor. Robert Griffith is a dark horse for the Heismann and he returns 4 of his top 5 receivers along with an offensive line that has been building to this point. TCU on the other hand lost 26 letterman including 3 of their top 4 receivers and QB and 4 of their 5 regulars on the defensive front. Baylor did not turn the ball over against TCU last year despite the loss and Grifftith threw 67% completion rate overall last year and I expect him to be able to move the ball a little bit on a rebuilding TCU team. While they held Baylor to 99 yards rushing a year ago I think Baylor may go through the air a little bit more early in this game. Defensively I think Baylor is going to have a better year because it could not get any worse. First things first they face a sophmore QB in Casey Pachall making his first start. Now he's supposed to be better than Dalton and I believe we'll see that before the year is out, but right now I think Baylor has the advantage despite the secondary being their weak link. The old TCU assistant takes over as defensive coordinator and put in a 4-2-5 scheme. Watch out for Baptise 335 lbs commanding double teams allowing the Baylor linebackers to come up and stop runs. Baylor looked like a completely different team at home and as home dogs on revenge I can't help but back them in this spot.

Idaho -6 (4.4* NCAAF POD)
It will be a repeat of the Humanitarian bowl won by Idaho in 2009 the only previous match up between these too. Bowling Green was in a rebuilding year last year but they still return one of the youngest rosters in college football with 54 freshmen or red shirt freshmen and 27 sophmores or red shirt sophomores. This team last year struggled big time on defense in both stopping the run and pass. They lack size and add in that they just were not very good on special teams and this team has nothing to do but improve, but I like Idaho out of the WAC. They had a disappointing year last year and gave up a bunch of sacks (main issue) with 45 sacks to QB

Packers -2.5 (5.5 Dime POD)
This game to me comes down to one thing.. Can the Steelers stop Aaron Rodgers? Forget all about the experience that the Steelers have because that is just over analyzed. These are professionals and they'll be ready regardless if they haven't played in the Super Bowl. To me seeing what Sanchez did to the Steelers int he 2nd half was a big indicator on how much trouble the Steelers will have stopping Rodgers and the dangerous receiving corp of Green Bay.

Green Bay won't have to run it at all and the loss of Pouncey at Center for the Steelers is too much to over come. They don't have a shut down corner and we saw what the Patriots did to this team as well when they spread the defense out. You may not be able to run on Pitt, but you sure can pass and that's why the Packers are favored in this game because they are one of the elite passing teams in the game. Perfect field conditions will make for a fast track for Green Bay and I still am not convinced Troy Polamalou is 100%. I mean did he even play against the Jets? I don't remember.

Packers -3 -120 buy

Seahawks +16/U49 (4.4 Dime Teaser POD); Seahawks +10.5 -120 buy 1/2 (3-Dimes)
I get it the Seahawks have a bad defense, but everyone is forgetting a few things and I'm happy to be one of the few on the Seahawks here today. Bears are 30th in total offense 28 passing, and 22nd running. They go up against a suspect defense that struggled on the road, but this is a good match up for them I believe. Cutler is not Brees and I expect lots of runs to Forte to keep the clock moving and a balanced attack. Brees had to throw basically all game to put up the numbers he did which was why the game was such a high scoring game.

Next, this game comes down to, do you trust Cutler? I don't time and time again I've seen him not live up to his name and make mistakes. This is his playoff debut and it's going to be cold he was sacked 6 times in week 6 vs. the Seahawks and was just 17-39. Hassleback had a good game against the Bears secondary which is 20th vs. the pass. Look for the Seahawks to spread it out and get the ball in the hands of Mike Williams who had 10 catches for 123 yards in the first match up. I just don't believe the Bears can be double digit favorites with a league's 30th ranked offense especially with the momentum that the Seahawks have carried into this game.

Packers +3 -120 buy half 5.5 dime pod
All six of packers losses have come buy 4 PTs or less they are playin their
Best football. Not only is the
Defense flying around but the offense is methodical an balanced with the emergence of Starks. I went back an watched the game and it could have gone either way in Atlanta during the regular season. Packers offense looked much better and I love Aaron Rodgers ability to scramble and pick up yards and avoid the sack. You can't blitz him he either finds the open guy or has awareness to move in the pocket and find an open lane to run or allow receivers more time to get open. There were plenty of bad play calls that lost the packers that game but overall I think they are the better team and I think they win out right!

Auburn -1.5 (5.5 Dime POD); Under 73.5 (3.3 Dime Bonus)
SEC is 6-0 in their last 6 BCS National Championships including 4 in a row! Of course that is not the only reason why I am going with Auburn here. One thing to consider is the size advantage and each aspect of the game in how Auburn matches up against Oregon and I think they hold some significant advantages most importantly the offensive line vs. the defensive line. Oregon has a very small team their interior line is just 272lbs where Newton at 250 and 6

[b]Boston College +8 (4-Dime play)[/b]
BC is a very physical football team they only give up 72 ypg on the ground and that's where Nevada does it's damage. I expect BC to stay in this game late especially with their physical defensive style of play. This team held a similar offense to just 19 points in Virginia Tech who can run the ball but managed just 2.7 yards per carry against them. Blessed with exceptional Linebackers BC will shock alot of people here tonight.

Packers +3 -120 buy 1/2 (5.5 Dime POD)
I'm going with the hotter team in this game and that would be the Packers and it's not because of their offense, but rather their defense. Their defense flies around and is exactly the kind that will give Vick troubles. Vick was sacked a bunch down the stretch and that's why he comes into the post season not playing since the Vikings game. I expect an overall close game, but I trust the Packers defense which is a top 5 defense they can stop the run up front with BJ Raji or get to your QB with creative blitz packages including Woodson and Clay Mathews. Look for this to be another entertaining game.

Seahawks +10 (4.4 Dime POD)
The Saints are just decimated with injuries probably the biggest one that nobody is talking about is Jimmy Graham who really came on at the end of the year in the red zone. Not having him along with the running back injuries. Seattle is one of the toughest places to go and play. More fall starts from road teams happen here than any other stadium in the league. There is also supposed to be some rain which could slow down Brees and the Saints just enough to have a chance in the 4th quarter.

Mtsu -2. 5dime pod
Middle Tenn has a great pass rush that will be the difference in this game. They had 33 sacks and 85 tackles for loss on the year they can do it with a 4 man rush which is why they are ranked 20th vs. the pass and that

Arkansas +3 (5.5 Dime POD); Arkansas +140 (2-Dime bonus)
I really like Ryan Mallet in this game he's had an excellent season and he can find any one guy. Expect DJ Williams, his TE to have the biggest game. I see Ohio State full of great players, but when it comes down to it they have struggled in bowl games. 1-3 in their last 4 and tonight they get to play a solid SEC team. SEC teams are 3-0 SU and ATS thus far and Big Ten is just 2-5. Normally I like the Big 10 just not against a top flight conference like the SEC. Auburn played the two best teams in America this season as far as I"m concerned and they lost to both. Alabama beat them 20-24 and they lost in a shoot out when Mallet went down with an injury to Auburn. This team is ready and I think they'll take this game out right.

Virginia Tech+3.5 (5.5 dime pod)
No surprise to me that Stanford is favorites in this spot. All the buz with Jim Harbough and Andrew Luck going to the NFL next year. What I

Texans -3 (5.5 Dime POD)No Garrard, no Jones-Drew. Texans on revenge for that hail mary play earlier this year. Jags know they don't have a prayer with the Colts facing the Titans and without their two big stars to make the playoffs. I expect Texans to come out with a purpose at home.

Wisconsin +3 (4.4 Dime POD)

Georgia -6.5 *4.4 Dime POD
Georgia is better than their 6-6 record suggests they closed the year 5-2 and Aaron Murray is clearly the future of hte program. I think he stays hot in this game and hooks up with AJ Green early and often. Georgia's offensive line played extremely well and has been healthy and it should neutralize Central Floridas strength and speed giving Murray plenty of time to operate and find his open targets. In the end Georgia scores too much and Central Florida and freshmen Godfrey's great season will come to an end.

Tenn +1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I still question whether or not TJ Yates can play in big games although he had a great year. They slowed down the stretch and Tenn comes into this game hot holding their last 4 opponents to 13ppg while averaging 37.5 ppg themselves. It was a complete 180 from a 2-6 start of the season and Tenn did it with the switch at QB from Matt Simms to Tyler Bray who threw 14 TD's and just 5 interceptions over his last 5 games. He had 354 yards passing against a good Kentucky secondary ranked 18th vs. the pass. He'll have to have another big game vs. a talented secondary of UNC.

Yates too will have to pick his poison because Tenn knows the team can't run with their two starters Elzy and White out and veteran Shaun Draughn is not the same he was a few years ago he's injury plagued and they have nobody really behind him so look for lots of passing in this one and Tenn has really improved the most in their secondary. IN their last 5 games they had 11 interceptions and gave up only 5 passing touchdowns. Watch out for big play maker Prentiss Waggner already drawing comparisons to Eric Berry. He had 5 interceptions and took back 3 to the house. OL is another issue for the Volunteers and it's not for lack of talent but the lack of experience. The extra time to prepare and the extra practices for a young Tenn team is huge. They gave Bray a lot more time down the stretch.

Wrapping up here both teams played LSU. Tenn played on the road and nearly had a win before LSU pushed the ball into the endzone with 0 seconds for a 14-16 win while North Carolina lost at home to open the season 24-30 as they trailed 30-10 at the half. Look for Yates to get some yards but also to make mistakes. There will be no run game so Tenn will have UNC figured out by half time as they have a lot of veteran leadership on defense including two srs up front and 3 linebackers that are sr's.

Okl St -4 (5-Dime POD); Okl St +2/Over60 (2.2 Dime Teaser)
Arizona closed the year with absolutely no momentum. They faced two similar offensive teams with balance down the stretch that can be compared to Oklahoma State in Stanford and Oregon and they gave up 48 and 44 points to both. I expect Oklahoma St to be well within that number as they have even more balance than both of of those programs with the #2 passing game and #29 running game for the #3 scoring offense. Arizona did not play well last year against a Big 12 opponent in their bowl game as they were shut out to Nebraska 33-0. Oklahoma State has been able to put up points on everyone and everyone thinks it's because of Justin Blackmon who had 102 catches for 18td's and 1,665 yards, but it all tartes with Kendall Hunter at tailback who had 1,516 yards rushing. He's also backed by Joseph Randle who is a nice back to make catches. They also have Josh Cooper at WR who is by far their best route runner and don't forget their kick returning specialist Justin Gilbert who is a budding star as a freshmen and provided 2 TD's on runbacks in last 3 games.

There is just too much to worry about here for Arizona. They'll get their points, but I don't think they can stop Oklahoma State int he end who is #1 red zone offense. Oklahoma State's defense struggled for most of the year and Arizona has a top flight offense, but the different will be Oklahoma State takes gambles. They had 16 interceptions and a +8 TO margin on the year. The extra time to prepare has made the young defense better in my opinion. When they had extra time against Texas AM they come up with 5 turnovers. LB Orie Lemon will be the key for them on defense and his 119 tackles on the year should prove that he'll be up to the task. Who I'm really more excited to watch is Big 12 defensive rookie of the year Shaun Lewis at LB. He has a chance to be the best player on defense for this team and again the extra practices only improve them more.

Lastly common opponents is what these two teams had in Washington State. Arizona got by 24-7 and was +53 yards, but Oklahoma State opened the season in a 65-17 runaway. They were +222 yards. It just goes to show you in my opinion that the Pac-10 is still down. The two top teams in Stanford and Oregon are dominating but the rest are so so and it'll show here tonight.

West Virginia -2.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
A healthy Noel Devine and an offense that really does not turn the ball over that much with the exception of two games this year and I love West Virginia. They clicked down the stretch to 37, 17, 35, and 35 point totals down the stretch. NC State is a team that had 24 take aways and that's how they win along with the arm of Russel Wilson who will be the biggest key in this game. Geno Smith threw just 6 int's on the year and with Devine back in the mix you can bet the fumbling issues (7 times at Uconn) won't be an issue here.

Now both these teams have two common opponents in Maryland and Cinci. West Virginia blasted Maryland at home 31-17 and racked up 260 more yards while NC State failed in their last game at Maryland 31-38 as they only were +25 yards. That game was a devastating blow it took them out of the ACC title game and I wonder how up they will be for this game. Then Cinci scores were pretty even as Nc State won 30-19 at home +108 yards and West Virginia won 37-10 +138 yards.

This is the best defense NC State will face all year and when Russel Wilson has thrown an INT in each of his last 9 games and has a one dimensional attack as they are ranked 93rd in running the ball the Mountaineers can concentrate on a pass rush they were 3rd in the nation in sacking the QB and forcing turnovers. This is one of the most talented secondaries in the nation one that features 3 all stars and they've only given up 5 TD passes in their last 9 games. The 3-3-5 scheme will really frustrate Wilson and is a perfect game plan against a pass happy team in my opinion. This is a dynamic defense and they are facing an offense that can put up points, but it all comes through the air I'll always take a dominant defense over a one dimensional offense. Look for Geno Smith to have a nice accurate game as he led the Big East in pass efficiency and for Noel Devine to make some noise in his last game in college.

Florida International +1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I like what Flint did this year there is no doubt that they had a more challenging schedule with games at 4 BCS schools to start the season in Rutgers, Pitt, Maryland and Texas A&M. Actually they lost to TX AM on the road just 20-27 and they were in a battle with Pitt before they gave up 28 4th quarter points in a 44-17 loss.

Toledo was wildly inconsistent and are also coming into this game as over achievers. This will be game #2 of the bowl season of MAC vs. Sun Belt and in the first game Troy waxed the MAC's Ohio team one that's really good. Florida International went on the road to Troy and gave them a beat down and rushed for 448 yards against a very talented defensive line. I believe they will be able to run the ball and control the clock on Toledo here today a team that does not have a great defense and they are inconsistent on offense. They won games by forcing turnovers this year with 30 in their 8 wins.

Florida International will not be turning the ball over and I think the Sun Belt player of the year TY Hilton will have a huge game. Many people have told this team they can't win they are in just their 6th year of the program. I think they love the under dog role and they'll wear it tonight in front of a national audience. Toledo closed the year giving up an average of 407.3 yards in their last 3 games and I don't think they can stop the 28th run game one that allows the fewest sacks and plays great pass defense with a better pass rush than what Toledo can offer. What does that mean? It means if Florida International can take a lead in this game I believe it'll be over. They can concentrate on running the ball limiting turnovers and finishing the game off with a win!

Giants +3.5 -120 buy 1/2 (5.5 Dime POD) Giants +150 (2-Dime Bonus)
What a collapse a week ago against the Eagles. All in all this defense still looks good and I'm not in love with Rodgers at home coming off a concussion against the best pass rush in the league. He's going to be under pressure and I'm not sure how he will react. I think he's going to show some rush especially when you come back to a game where you are facing a team that's going to pressure you.

Giants also have the leagues #2 pass defense which falls into the strength of what Green Bay does. I think the Giants can cover the Packers and on the other side I believe they'll run against the Pack who are 19th vs. the run. Giants when they are concentrating on their run game have maybe the NFC's best rushing attack behind Jacobs and Bradshaw. Manning has suffered by lots of tip picks and leads the league but it's not as bad as it looks on paper I still trust what Manning can do and he has arguably a top 5 WR to help him in Hakeem Nicks. Look for him to have a big game along Kevin Boss especially if the Pack try to stop the run. All in all I believe the Giants win this game. It's unfortunate because the Packers have a lot of talent and I'd love to see them in the playoffs, but still Rodgers though puts up huge numbers has not come close to living up to what Favre did.

Cardinals +7.5 beted (4.4 Dime POD)
Cardinals vs. Cowboys what another ugly game over the holidays as we had Pittsburgh and Carolina on Thursday where we gave you the Steelers. This time I'm playing the under dog role as Dallas should not be up for this game. Playing on Xmas on the road where they are 1-5 ATS as favorites in their last 6 against an under rated Cardinals team defense.

We know the story they struggle to find a QB and now they have the rookie out of Fordham starting. So what makes me think the Cardinals can cover the spread? Well they are 3-4 at home this year 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as home under dogs and their defense is playing their best ball of the season giving up just an average of 293 total yards over their last 3 games. That would put them #4 on the season in total yard allowed. This is a team that wins on defense at home they beat the Broncos by 30 points, they also beat a good Raiders team here as well as the Saints by 10 and lost to the Bucs by only 3 points. Cards are as bad as any team on the road but when they play at home they are competitive. That's all they will need to be against a Cowboys team that is 4-2 since Garrett took over, but Phillips who called the defense has been missed on that side of the ball where the Cowboys are now giving up 27.3 points per game since his departure. I expect a game played in the 20's with the Cardinals having a chance to win.

Tulsa +10 (4.4 Dime POD); Tulsa +310 (1-Dime bonus)
Tulsa Hawaii should be an exciting match up Christmas Eve. Lots of offense and I don't see Tulsa being beat by double digits here. They have played plenty of high octane offenses so their offense too is capable of putting up the points. A few teams come to mind that they have played that have nice offenses in Southern Miss, Houston, SMU and Oklahoma State. We already saw Boise struggle in their bowl and I'm not sold on the WAC and Hawaii just yet their non-conference schedule was not particularly hard and they lost bad to a bad Colorado team 31-13. Tulsa can score with the best of them and are much more balanced ranking in the top 15 in rush and passing offense and it comes from GJ Kinne their QB the offensive player of the year out of the conference. They have NFL talent including their receiving fullback Charles Clay. The all time leader in all purpose yards Demaris Johnson. He's just 5 foot 8 170 pounds but blazing fast and shifty. He can take it to the house at any point look for him to have a huge impact on tonight's game.

Vikings +7.5 -120 buy 1/2 (5-Dime) Vikings +13/U40.5 (2.2 Bonus Teaser)
Love the Vikings here it's not often you see a home dog more than a TD in the weather conditions they'll have tonight. It's going to be snowy and cold and you got a third string QB taking over for the Vikings in Joe Webb. We saw his big arm last game on one play to Sidney Rice and I'll be interested to see what he can do with his feet. I think he'll be able to do some decent things in this weather because he is a very mobile QB. I'm sure the game plan will be very vanilla for him. We already saw what the Bears offense could not do in snow vs. the Patriots in their own stadium. Well the Vikings defense is better than New England to be quite honest with you and they are still very under rated group. Expect lots of running in this game and for it to come down to a field goal.

Baltimore -2 (5.5 Dime POD); Bills +5.5 (3.3 Dime play); Lions +4.5 (3-Dime Play)

I'll talk about Baltimore here real quick as they are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 as a home favorite. The Sains are red hot, but a closer look you see wins against teams like Minnesota, San Francisco, Carolina (twice), Arizona, Cleveland, Seattle, St. Louis and Cincinnati. That's not real impressive to me. This will be their toughest road game of the year as the Ravens play excellent ball here.

Bills on the other hand have been in just about every game they have played in and they've played great teams and have been right in the thick of things on the road vs. Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers and a 3 point loss vs. the Bears. Fitzpatrick is an intelligent QB who doesn't force the ball and has turned one of his WR into a star. I believe Buffalo can pass on the Dolphins and the Dolphins right now can not put up points their offense is pretty bad and one dimensional.

Fresno State +1.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
Fresno and Northern Illinois both played Illinois this year so we do have something to gauge this game on. Fresno came up with the upset while Northern Illinois did not. However Fresno did play that game at home while Nill had to travel to play there game. Overall I don't put too much weight into that game. I do however look at the schedules and Fresno plays in a tougher conference one where they had to play Boise, Hawaii, and Nevada and they played a much tougher non-conference schedule that featured Illinois, Miss, and Cinci while Northern Illinois played Iowa State and bottom feeder Minnesota.

Northern Illinois comes into this game after a colossal gag in the MAC Championship game which they lost as 17 point favorites. Now they have to follow that up without their head coach Jerry Kill who took the job in Minnesota and interim coach Tom Matukewicz who has really nothing to coach for since the new coach is already hired. On the other side Fresno has plenty to play for and they are used to playing in bowl games. Fresno gets healthy with Andrew Jackson arguably the best blocker on the team returning as well as Robbie Rouse who could steal the show here. The key is to stop Northern Illinois running game and Chris Carter will help to do his best as he ledt he WAC with 11 sacks and 16.5 tackles for loss. Illinois ran all over Fresno but they still hung on to win. I think Robbie Rouse has the better running game between the two featured backs and I think Ryan Colburn will back up his performance that he had against Illinois.

Vikings +4.5 (3.3 Dime OE play); Ravens -3 (4.4 Dime POD)
I like the Vikings in the early game. I think Minny defense steps up as they have in recent weeks overall they have the #6 total defense and the Giants are still banged up on the offensive line with two starters out. Vikings have injury problems of their own, but I expect Favre to play and if he doesn't I think Jackson poses a lot of issues for the Giants anyway. IN the end this will be a low scoring and close game til the end.

Ravens play a bad defense in Houstonw ho is ranked 31st and not getting any better. I expect Houston to be stopped offensively as they struggle vs. physical defenses. Ravens will get the out right win in this spot as their offense will click as JOe Flaco throws over 300 yards with Mason and Boldin having huge days.

Army +7.5 (4.4 Dime POD); Under 53 (1.1 Dime Bonus)
Love Army here granted they have scored just 6 points in the last three match ups, but they have come along way this year and I feel Navy digressed a bit this year. Navy still has Ricky Dobbs who dominated this game last year with 30 carries at QB. Dobbs was a dark horse for Heisman this year, but he didn't put up the same kind of numbers early he was hurt and it hasn't been the same Navy offense as years past. It also hasn't been the same Navy defense and I feel Army can take advantage of that with Trent Steelman having another year of experience. Navy gives up more yards in the passing game on their defense and I think Steelman who was just 7-20 last year will have a better game with his limited throws.

This game will be close to the end and that's because Army's defense will keep them in. They really missed their leading tackler Stephen Anderson a year ago in the 17-3 loss but now he's back pair him with Stever Erzinger who made 11 tackles in last years match up and you have two guys that can sniff out the triple option. Navy loves to mix it up with runs up the middle but Army is strong up front with Josh McNary. All in all Dobbs and the Navy offense will move the ball but I see them being forced to settle for field goals. Same goes for Army I have seen them look very impressive against some good teams this year, but they have failed to put the ball in the end zone. Same happens today with each team trading field position and settling for field goals. This is too big for both teams and bigger for Army who has their best team in many years and they want to make a statement that they are no longer a push over.

Colts -3 (4.4 Dime POD)
Titans are the worst team right now just 6 points in their last 2 games combined! And no offensive TD's in their last 13 quarters. The Colts can at least still score points and if Peyton isn't turning the ball over they beat the Patriots and a hot Cowboys team. Now he faces a defense in the Titans that is banged up on the defensive line and has a 24th total defense and 23rd pass 22 rush. This is not a defense that is strong up front like in years past that have given the Colts issues. I expect Peyton to resort to a check down style game rather than his timing routes with receivers who he's unfamiliar with. Also expect a lot more running which will set up the play action. Kerry Collins has yet to look good just a 68.8 QB rating and Moss has 5 receptions for 0 TD's in 4 games with the Titans. NOw they do get Kenny Britt back, but how good will he be with Kerry Collins tonight? Indy is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games in a must win game I trust Peyton Manning to get a lead early and unleash their pass rush on a bad offense with an unmobile QB in Kerry Collins at the helm.

Redskins +7.5 buy 1/2 5-Dime POD' Lions +4.5 (3.3 Dime OE play)
Skins are 6-2-1 ats in their last 9 road games and they have played many opponents close on the road. Despite their rankings I still think their defense is under rated and the Giants are banged up on offensive line with a possible of 3 guys out of the line up on offensive line and two star WR out in Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks. McNabb has always played the Giants well and he's had a pretty good year passing the ball if he can avoid the interceptions the Skins can win out right.


Lions
Lions have played extremely well at home. The blow out loss at home vs. teh Patriots and the Bears win over the Eagles gives us a very big inflated line here in my opinion. First thing I think of was their first match up when Calvin Johnson caught the ball that would have given them the score, but if you saw that game you know what I'm talking about. That was on the road and the Lions are at home where their offense has clicked even against good defenses. Bears look like the old bears right now but I think they have a hang over against a hungry Lions team that is playing on extra rest!

Auburn -5.5 (5.5 Dime POD)
They say South Carolina has the #5th run defense in the country? Tell that to Auburn and Cameron Newton, Dyer, and McCalebb who only rushed for 334 yards in their earlier match up. Auburn has a premier rusher too in Lattimore, but in South Carolina

Arizona St +6 (4.4 Dime POD)
We have been hovering at .500 all season long and this is about the time last year where we just flat out dominated with 69% winners the rest of the year. Championship week this week and then the bowl games begin.

New QB for the Sun Devils as Threet suffered a concussion and he probably could play this game, but they are turning to the pre-season competition of Threet in Brock Osweiler. Osweiler is a beast at 6'8 242lbs and has a very accurate arm which is what you want in the spread offense. In the second half against UCLA Osweiler picked apart a UCLA secondary ranked 60th in pass defense. He finished the day with 27-36 for 380 yards and 4 TD's and 0 INT's (the key). Threet often got Arizona State out of contention this is a team that lost to STanford by only 4 3 to Oregon State gave Oregon their best game losing by 11 and lost on the road at Wisconsin by just 1 point as a missed extra point cost them a tie. Threet threw 16 interceptions on the year and lucky for the Sun Devils Arizona is among the worst in picking off passes with just 9 on the year. I expect a very close game in what is a huge rivalry game.

Arizona State still has a shot at a bowl game at 5-6 and I believe they finally get it done tonight! Arizona State is very fast on defense and athletic they are right behind Arizona in total defense in the Pac-10 and Nick Foles may struggle because DE Junior Onyeali is fast and get put pressure on Foles. Foles is careless under pressure. Arizona is also 112th in red zone offense with just 73% of their opportunities into scores. I expect Arizona State to possibly cause some turnovers that should give them the edge in possibly stealing this from an Arizona team that was ranked before their 3 straight losses by a combined score of 67-113 against Stanford, USC and Oregon. Arizona State against those three opponents also went 0-3 but the product was a lot closer 77 to 93 which gives me reason to believe they can pull an upset.

Arizona St has a lot to look forward to next year, but they lost this game 20-17 last year and you better believe they want it and will plan this game as their bowl game. The running game has picked up and they have weapons all over on this offense with RB's Deantre Lewis who can hurt you out of hte backfield or in the passing game he had 100+ rushing yards against each Oregon team while Sophmore Cam Russel had 147 yards in the win a week ago. They can spread it out on offense with not a single WR being the go to guy. There is a different guy each week and I like the rise of Jamal Miles who had a 99 yard return a week ago. He's fast and could go the distance.

Vikings -1.5 betonline (5.5 Dime POD);
Lesly Frazier takes over as the head coach and just like when the Cowboys got rid of Wade Phillips I think it's going to have a huge impact on the season. I expect the Vikings to come out and run the ball against a Redskins defense that gave up 260 and 151 yards in their last 2 games. Redskins are depleted with injuries they had 16 guys that could not practice this week and their coach even said it's hard to practice with that many guys out.

Vikings got to be hungry and I think they will play hard for Frazier who has been a top head coaching candidate for some time now. Expect a clean game from Favre as I think the game plan will be lots of running with AP and play action throws from Favre. If Favre plays mistake free and we all know that's a big IF this will be close, but if Favre can clean it up for his new coach then I think the Vikes come out and win by a TD or more. Again I expect lots of running and on the other side of the ball the Vikings are allowing almost 100 yards less than the Redskins last ranked total defense. Redskins can't do much on offense either as McNabb is in a completely new offense and he really hasn't been handed the keys yet. Vikings will take away the running game as they are one of the best in the league in stopping the run once again as Redskins start Keiland Williams as their two starting RB are out once again. Next McNabb would like to go to Chris Cooley but the Vikings have controlled most teams TE only allowing TE to catch 38 balls for 362 and 4 TD's that's among the best in the league.

USC -4 bookmaker (5.5 Dime NCAAF POD)
I love the Trojans at home here today. Their offense is big and explosive and that's something the Irish won't be able to contain especially on the road. This line is deflated because of how well the Irish have played of late, but they haven't played a team like USC in weeks so I expect them to get smacked around. They had to travel over the holiday out west and now they face a USC team that will be playing with a lot of confidence at home and nothing to lose. Notre Dame is now bowl eligible so they don't have that to play for and this is USC's Sr. Day.

I also love the fact that Notre Dame got beat at home by Stanford easily and USC went on the road and nearly beat Stanford 35-37. Expect USC to control this game from the start and finish.

Western Mich -6.5 buy 1/2 -120 (5.5 Dime POD)
This is a dangerous team fighting for a bowl game while Bowling Green has nothing to play for at 2-9. This is a young team with 44 of 85 scholarship players as redshirt fresh or true fresh. QB Matt Schilz has not been the same since he sprained his shoulder in September. This team has only averaged 14.5 points in their last 5 games against similar defensive rankings of 54, 55, 62 and 72 as Western Mich is ranked 60th in scoring defense.

My opinion would be different a few weeks ago, but Western Mich has now shown they can run the ball with freshmen Brian Fields and Tevin Drake who combined for 259 yards against Kent State a team that is ranked in the top 10 in run defense. This makes their offense way more dangerous as QB Alex Carder can take over a game with WR Jordan White who is about to take over the school record for receiving yards in a season. Western Mich pass rush is aggressive and I think they get to Schilz and cause him to make mistakes.

Texas +3.5 5dimes (4.4 Dime NCAAF POD)
I love this match up for a few reasons. One being that Texas finally has confidence again. Although they won for the first time in over a month over a lowly Florida Atlantic team. FAU still does some things well including ranking #22 in pass defense and 66th in scoring defense yet Texas put up their highest scoring game of the year with 51 points.

Now they can go to a bowl game again if they get a win at home against Texas A&M a team that is coming off a monster win against Nebraska at home. Not often that you would say let down when you face an in state rival like Texas, but A&M may be considering Texas has gotten beat up.

One final though here is that Texas A&M has struggled against good defenses. The two teams that are close to what Texas does in ranks of total yards, pass yards and rushing yards given up on defense are Arkansas 38/18/72 which A&M lost to Arkansas 17-24 at home. Against Nebraska 9/2/57 they squeeked out a victory 9-6 at home. Now they face Texas who is 8/11/31st very capable of shutting a team down in fact they held Nebraska to 13 poitns in a win. A&M will be at Texas where they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings playing a good defensive team fighting for their bowl streak on Sr. Day.

I expect a great day from DE Sam Acho who had his best game a week ago he'll be the key to disrupt Tannehill. A&M is beatable through the air as they rank 97th in the nation. Gilbert will be the key as he has been all year 15-21 263 yards 2 TD's against FAU gave him the confidence he needs to put together scoring drives on Thursday.

Lions +7 5dimes (5.5 Dime POD)
I love the Lions here this team has played very well as 5 of their 8 losses have been by 5 points or less. People really under value how hard it is to come on a short week after playing a tough team in the Colts and play on the road. The Lions have played extremely well at home and at 2-8 they are much better than their record suggests. They are 2-2 at home but every game has been close their two losses were to arguably the best teams in the NFL in the Eagles 32-35 and the Jets 20-23. Now they play the Patriots as a +7 under dog because they lost the Cowboys (a hot team) and they nearly covered that game and because the Patriots just beat two great teams out of the AFC in the Steelers and the Colts. Let me remind you that the STeelers are banged up and so are the Colts I'm not as impressed with those wins as the majority of the public and Vegas.

Lions strength is where New England struggles. Pass coverage. Expect the Lions to test this team early and often as Calvin Johnson, Nate Burlesson have advantages over the Pats secondary. I also think the Lions are better up front on defense than many give them credit for and that comes down to Ndamukong Suh who will go up against an under sized Koppen.

How do you beat Tom Brady? You pressure him and the Lions have an impressive 27 sacks. Expect them to really dial up a variety of blitzes on Thursday in what is their super bowl game. Overall the Lions will score their points as they have averaged 33.2 ppg at home this season. X-factor is Stefan Logan as he can take it back at any point in the game. If he can take one back the Lions won't only cover they will win out right!

Redskins +7 (5.5 Dime NFL POD)
I love taking a team a week after they got embarassed. I expect the Redskins to come out with a lot of fire especially on defense. Watching the tape must not have been fun and I've seen this defense play much better. I like how the corners tackle on the outside in DeAngelo Hall and Carlos Rogers making it difficult for Chris Johnson to do what he does. On the other side McNabb and the offense continues to get better and I think they'll have some success against the Titans who are 20th in total yards allowed and 25th vs. the pass. McNabb is #13 in passing offense and he gets the return of Clinton Portis on Sunday making the offense that much better. Look for Cooley to have a huge game for the Skins as the Titans struggle guarding TEs.

Wmich -3 (5.5 Dime POD) This was a play for us just two Fridays ago and Western Mich got robbed. I'm comfortable backing them again as they have two common games with Kent State with Akron and Toledo. Western Mich is +393 yards in those two games while Kent State is -55 yards. That should tell it all, but it doesn't. Kent State has gotten a lot of credit because of their run defense which was ranked #1 for a few weeks, but slowly moving backwards. What most people don't know is this team does not have an offense and against Western Mich a team that can force turnovers and has some speedy athletic guys on that side of the ball they should have issues. This team used 3 QB's vs. Army and that won't really help them this week against another good pass defense ranked #54 in the nation. Kent State has not run the ball and I doubt they'll take advantage of the Western Mich weakness. The #17 total defense is the best Western Mich has faced all year, but that number is flawed as they have faced an average 97th total offense. In fact Western Mich is the best offensive team they have faced year to date. Yes that includes Boston College and Penn State. Western Mich with the #10 passing attack behind Alex Carder and WR Jordan White and Juan Nunez are explosive. They balanced it out last week with an effective running game 27 for 169. They won't run on this defense, but they'll score their points as Army which has the same scoring offense in terms of national ranking put up 45 a week ago. The closest passing game to what Western Mich does was Miami Ohio and Kent State lost on the road 21-27. Western Mich is much more explosive and they see a bowl game in site. I think Carder and the offense keep ticking and they come home with a win.

Dolphins -2 (4-Dime OE play)
This line is off if the Dolphins QB situation was different they'd be -4 favorites in my opinion. The Dolphins have dominated the Bears division and I think Tyler Thigpen is more than capable of coming up with a big win. This team is better than many realize and they have struggled at home another reason why there is a weak line. However, the Bears are not that good and the Dolphins will prove it tonight. Expect the Dolphins to go back to their running game that they have seem to go away because they want to play with their new toy Brandon Marshall. Tonight it'll be all about the running game. Thigpen can run the ball too and if you don't know about him go back to 2 years ago and look up what he did as the Chiefs QB.

UCLA +115 5dimes (4-Dime POD)
Don't under estimate the Bruins and Coach Rick Neuheisal. This team just came off a big win against Oregon State and with extra prep they are excited to go towards going to a bowl game. They have quality wins this year one at Texas and have played well at times, but very inconsistent. They nearly won at Arizona the week prior and their replacement QB looks to be more capable of running the pistol than Kevin Prince was. Against three defenses better than Washington QB Richard Brehaut has been decent 42 of 69 for 514 yards in his last three games. That's against Oregon (20th total def), Arizona (23), and ORegon State (87). WAshington is 110th, and 118th vs. the run which will open up plenty of holes for Johnathan Franklin and Derrick Coleman. I understand it's Senior night and everyone will be pumped up Jake Locker returns from his injury but it doesn't sound like he's 100% so will he be the same guy that wants to take off and run? I don't think so and UCLA's defense is more than capable of coming up with a big game. Though the home team should have an edge in what appears to be a very even match up I'm not buying it and I'm buying into UCLA winning 2 of their 3 final games.

Ohio+8.5 visit 4-dime play
I like this play despite the likely concussion of boo Jackson ohios qb. Phillip bates is more than capable in a spread offense and though temple hasn't given up a td in three games they were off playing 105 120 112 ranked offenses. Ohio can score an bates was good enough to be recruited by Iowa state and has a 7.5 yard per carry average on the year for more than 400 yards. Temple has been suspect tothe running game ESP running games witha rb and qb zac dysert comes to mind. Ohio has owned the series and tho temple wants revenge it won't be
That easy giants a very good coach in frank solich who is 28-12-2 ats in conference games. The defense strength is against the run and Rhys what temple will do it'll be rainy and breezy so a low scoring game is more likely I give
Ohio a chance to win outright!

Redskins +3.5 4.4 dime NFL pod
I like the redskins as home dogs on Monday night off the bye where shanahan has a Lon history of good performances with extra preparation he'll be working hard to restore his relationship with mcnabb as the skins are right in the thick of things in the NFC east. The skins are still under rated and I see them having some big plays down field with all the injuries in the
Secondary for the eagles as they are pretty banged up. Either way I think it's a three point game though eagles are on revenge the skins have a huge benefit coming out of the bye. Philly has not played great on the road with a three point win in Detroit and San Fran and a blowout loss recently at Tennessee I think Vegas under estimated what the skins can do at home off a bye week under Monday night lights or then again maybe they just know the public will be all over the eagles for me I stay with my strategy of backing the redskins as under dogs!

Cowboys +14 -120 buy 1/2 (5-Dime POD);
I like the Cowboys new look and new attitude now that Wade Phillips is out and Jason Garrett is in. He'll be sure to have his team ready and I think this game will be much closer than many expect as it's an in divisional game. The public is just pouring in on the Giants at -13.5. Vegas is loving the action why wouldn't they move this to -14 to for 78% of the bettors who are on the Giants to have to win by more than 2 TD's. This Cowboys team still has plenty of talent and I expect it to be a close game that the Giants win late.

Rams +5.5 (3.3 Dime Oddsline Error Bonus)
The Rams are 0-3 on the road and haven't won on the road in quite some time, but a closer look and we some close games this year on the road. They are off the bye just like the Niners and I think this is a game decided by a field goal. Bradford is really growing up with 5 TD's and 0 INT's in his last 3 games. This just feels like a magic season for the Rams now all they have to do is win on the road and they go up against the #22 total offense and their defense should keep this game close they are under rated #10 in the league James Hall and Chris Long off the edge should give 49ers some issues.

Broncos +1 4.4 Dime OE PLAY
I like the Broncos here coming off the bye they have the #31 run defense which will have to step up against the Chiefs, but we saw the Raiders who struggle to stop the run able to stop the chiefs. That's because they are one dimensional. Cassel won't make mistakes, but he can't realy spread the field so I think the Broncos have an advantage with Kyle Orton and an offense that has clicked at home and has been tough to stop. Look for the Broncos to make one last stand before finishing the year in the basement of the division this will be a statement game for them here today.

Arizona St +5.5 bodog (5.5 Dime POD) Ariz ST +190 1-Dime
I love this play Arizona State is really really sneaky and Threat who does have 15 interceptions has gotten better each week and will pose a lot of issues for Stanford team that is riding high after a huge prime time win over Arizona. They are due for a let down here on Saturday. Arizona State is a desperate team that needs to win out to become bowl eligible. They are also a team that has lost 3of their games by 3 points or less and are 3-1 at home with their only loss to the hands of the #1 team in the country in Oregon.

The biggest challenge all year that ORegon had was against Arizona State and then next against Stanford. They won at Arizona State 42-31 but were -192 yards as Threet put up 597 yards on Oregon. They were down 28-24 at the half and went on to score just 1 TD in the 2nd half. Stanford too gave Oregon a hell of a fight, but they were -108 total yards. Arizona State's defense is one of the quickest in the Pac-10 and I don't think Andrew Luck will have as productive as a day as he has grown accustomed to as of late. Stanford's defense has played extremely well this season, but they are prone to play poorly against this type of offense.

Threet and company love to push the tempo witha fast paced spread offense. Sound familiar? Oregon did the same thing to beat this team. I think Stanford will be victimized by this type of offense because they won't be able to easily organize their blitz packages.

This is a game where I think Arizona should be +3 or less. Arizona State plays reallyw ell at home they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 at home and the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with STanford going 3-10 in Tempe in their last 10.

Falcons -1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I can not ignore the way the Falcons play at home. They are now 17-1 at home when Matt Ryan Starts which is an incredible number. Tonight I think they win a very tough game. I've seen the Ravens on the road and they have not been impressive offensively. I expect them to win a close game here tonight. They are scoring just 14.2 points per game on the road and are 2-2 but could easily be 0-4 with the 1 point win against the Jets to open the season which had more to do with the Jets and less to do with the Ravens. They also beat Pitt who was playing with their 3rd string QB. Both come off the short week which is tough as it is, but the road team traveling on 3 days rest is even tougher.

UAB -2 (4.4 Dime POD)
89% of the public is on a East Carolina team that gave up 75 points to a one dimensional Navy team? Well the public loves East Carolina tonight, but I'm on the other side. Other than the puzzling loss to Marshall on Saturday and it was puzzling, UAB has been in every game and has faced a stronger schedule in terms of defenses that they have faced and still have put up a balanced offensive attack with 43/43 for run and pass. They will tonight at home face the worst defense they have faced all year!

UAB is a team that put up some good numbers against some good defenses 27 points against UCF ranked 15thin scoring defense, 24 points on the road against MIss St ranked 9th in scoring defense Southern Miss they scored 50 points on the road. Let's just throw out the Marshall game and look at tonights match up because both teams played bad on Saturday. Now East Carolina can pass and Dominique Davis will definitely try for 300 yards and get it, but UAB has more balance and a better defense which is why I like them. East Carolina is now 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games and are 1-3 straight up this year. UAB has been impressive at times and should be able to run with Pat Shed and I expect Bryan Ellis to have a huge game and then bring in QB David Isabelle who has 72 caries for 395 yards a 5.5 ypc average. He'll be the x-factor tonight as I don't think East Carolina can stop UAB at home and I look for UAB to stop the one dimensional Pirates.

Toledo +11.5 sportsbetting (4.4 Dime POD)
The winner of this game may very well represent as one team in the MAC Championship game. This line is pretty high for a game of that magnitude and it's all based on a true freshmen QB starting in Terrence Owens, but Owens is pretty good including his 10-15 4TD 0 int performance vs. Eastern Mich (75th pass defense) in his first action. Granted this will be different, but the team overall matches up really well against Northern Illinois in my opinion.

Toledo is calling this the biggest game of the year and maybe their lives, said offensive lineman John Morookian. This team imposes an aggressive style defense that has produced 26 turnovers this year with 21 sacks 16 interceptions and 10 fumbles recovered. That is how they'll have to win and they'll try to do it with their 22nd ranked rushing defense in the nation. That defense has been tested in my opinion with Arizona, Ohio, Purdue, Boise State all on the schedule. They held Arizona to just 105 yards and a very similar Ohio team to 46 yards. Ohio is fairly similar to Northern Illinois when you look at both their offense as they are similar in pass and rushing offense at 99/34 national ranks where Northern Illinois is 97/11. Defense Ohio is a little bit better 32 overall and 65/21 on pass and rush defense while Northern Illinois is 41/59/ and 35. I like the strength of schedule Toledo has faced which is superior to Northern Illinois who really has only faced 3 maybe 4 bowl teams and Western Mich the common opponent they only won by 7 while Toledo won by 13. Toledo also beat Ohio on the road 20-13 and that is as I already mentioned as close to Northern Illinois as we can get on this schedule. Think 11 points is too much and I think Terrence Owens my be better than DAntin who turned the ball over too much. Toledo will put in a scare to Northern Illinois tonight.

Bengals +6 -110 (4.4 Dime POD)
This is the biggest game of the Bengals season and it's the style of game they love to play. I expect a very low scoring game for the Bengals Steelers and it'll be a hard fought game. Bengals will be trying to save their head coaches job and I think they pull out all the stops. The Steelers defense has been beatable in back to back weeks giving up 20 points in each. Brees showed the blueprint with a dink and dunk technique that Carson Palmer and his receiving weapons can surely duplicate. Pitt is giving up 68% pass completion to opposing QB's. Palmer should have a decent game and if he doesn't turn the ball over I expect the Bengals to be in position to win this game. On the other side Bengals defense is still under rated. Although they are beat up I don't think the Steelers will be able to run much on them and Bengals will finally put some pressure on a QB as the Steelers offensive line is suspect putting Big Ben in danger. At the end of the day I think it's a close game one that the Bengals have a chance to win and for that you have to go with the home dog.

Raiders pk (5.5 Dime POD)
I like the Raiders going into tomorrow. Chiefs are way too one dimensional and even though they have the best running game I believe the Raiders have the players to stack the box and let their corners play one on one on the outside. McFadden is the real deal finally getting a shot to play to his strengths which is on stretch plays and getting to the edge. Look for Cassell to finally throw some picks he's been pretty much dink and dunk and not a lot of the offense is coming from him. Sooner or later teams are going to catch up. Raiders last two weeks have been great offensively and I think it will be again.

Utah +5 -110 5dimes (5.5 Dime POD) Utah +180 1-Dime
This is the biggest game of the weekend right here as two top 5 programs meet from the Mountain West Conference. This is strength vs. strength and UTah is the home team as under dogs. Kyle Whittingham is part of my fondest memories as a handicapper and better. The head coach of Utah is under rated for preparing for big games. That memory was when they shocked Alabama in their bowl game in 2008 as under dogs of 10 points as they cruised to a 31-17 game. That's not why I'm taking Utah here on Saturday.

TCU is a legit defense but their loss of DT Kelly Griffin can not go unnoticed. He was a 4 year Sr. and a huge leader on the field. Taking up that spot are two 270lb DT's and that is where I think Utah can have some success because TCU is the fastest defense they have faced all year. So what you want to do is keep it up the middle where you can pick up yards quick and I think Eddie Wide and Matt Ariata are very good at that. Utah still must play defense however.

Andrew Dalton has struggled in these spot light games and it really makes me wonder about him and I just can't back him in this game. Boise State bowl game comes to mind last year and on the road and in neutral games this year he's just 58-100 with 5 TD's and 4 Ints. I expect him to make a few mistakes here this weekend as Utah can bring pressure they've got 23 sacks on the year while TCU has allowed 5 sacks. This will be another key that Utah can take advantage of with being at home.

Jordan Wynn made his firs tstart in last years loss to TCU but now he's ready to win this big spotlight game in my opinion. Utah has several other X-factors including the fastest man ont he field in REggie Dunn and Shaky Smithson who is leading the nation in punt return yardage and hurt TCU a year ago. I expect a wide open playbook for Wynn and co and TE Devonte Christopher who has some size advantage at 6'5 to have a couple of big plays.

Bobcats -1 (3.3 Dime POD); Houston +3 -125 betonline buy 1/2 (3.5 Dimes)
Bobcats line has moved from -1 Detroit to -1 Bobcats with just 28% of the public on the Bobcats. I'll take the Bobcats who play excellent defense on the road.

Houston is starting to put their offense together and their defense is better than years past. David Piland has come off two huge games without throwing any interceptions he'll have a test tonight at home against UCF the best defense they have faced up to this point. UCF also has not faced a team that passes like Houston and their offense may be better than years past as they can actually run the ball to with 20 rushing touchdowns and the 43rd rushing attack. These two always play close and this game will be close too. Houston gets revenge.

Western Mich +3.5 (4.4 Dime POD) Wmich +150 (2-Dime Bonus)
This is the best passing offense that Central Michigan has had to face all year and they are riding high after nearly coming up with a victory against Northern Illinois last week as Western Mich's Alex Carder threw for 300+ yards and 3 TD's including 14 receptions to Jordan White who has 180 yards. He's been unstoppable and I don't think Central Mich can cover him. Central Mich is 1-5 in the conference and they have had all sorts of problems with turnovers. Their QB has 15 interceptions and Western Mich can take the ball away as they have 20 forced turnovers on the year. They 9 interceptions which is good for #37 in the nation and they are tied for 7th in fumbles recovered. These two teams have had two common opponents Northern Illinois the favorite to win the MAC and Ball State the results couldn't be more different. Western Mich @ Ball State won 45-16 +132 total yards while Cmich lost at home 17-31 -65 yards. Northern Illinoisbeat Western Mich 28-21, but were only +20 yards where they beat up on Central Mich 33-7 +115 yards. Western Mich has more talent this year and will put some revenge on this huge rivalry game this year.

Georgia Tech +13 (4.4-Dime pod play)
Both teams come off a bye week and will be well prepared for this game I can tell you that. With that said I think it will be closer than many think because Georgia Tech has some time to put together a game plan for the rushing offense they are about to see and same goes for Virginia Tech. The last few match ups in this series have been close. Although Georgia Tech has not been the same as a year ago I still think they have similar talent on offense to give Virginia Tech troubles.

They Jacket secondary is the real deal led by Dominique Reese. This unit has allowed only 1 passing TD in their last 4 games. Virginia Tech will try to get it done on the ground which means a shortened game with the clock constantly ticking. Vtech had the bye at the wrong time in my opinion they were a hot team scoring at least 41 points in 5 of 6 games after starting the season with a surprising 0-2 start. Now they'll have to get back up to that gear after no facing anyone since NC State 4 games ago.

Virginia Tech faced Nc State and Boston college back to back and Georgia Tech has a very similar defense to both those teams in the top 55 in total defense. Georgia Tech better against the pass than both teams and similar to the run and scoring defense. Virginia Tech was held to 19 points against Boston College and although they beat NC State 41-30 they were in trouble for most of that game and Nc States defense is not as good as the paper shows, Georgia Tech's D is better.

Georgia Tech has faced this type of team before in North Carolina yes they are similar in defense and offense believe it or not and they went on the road and won 30-24. Now Virginia Tech is much better than North Carolina but I think Georgia Tech can put up some numbers tonight as the front seven for Virginia Tech is not as good as usual and will have trouble defending the triple option.

MTSU -1.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
I love the Blue Raiders tonight despite being under dogs as I think they match up very well with Arkansas pass happy team. MTSU is 35th in the league in pass defense and that's facing an average 60th attack so they have been tested and have passed particularly against two common opponents in ULLAF and ULMON who they both waxed as they controlled the game of two top 50 passing attacks. I look for MTSU to get this done with their conference leading pass rush. Jamari Lattimore might be the Sun Belt defensive player of the year with 8.5 sacks he's tied for third in the nation. MTSU also should be able to do a lot on offense as this may be the worst defense they have faced all year ranked 116th and can't seem to do anything well.

Many will say it's because they have faced a tough schedule with offensive teams like Louisville Indiana and Auburn on the schedule, but I still think Middle Tenn who can run and pass the ball with a dual threat QB as good as any in Dwight Dasher on the roster will give ARkansas State all sorts of problem. MTSU leads this series 9-2 and if they want to continue that they can't turn the ball over. That's something Dasher has done too often, but against a team that really doesn't force many turnovers except in their last game vs. Florida Atlantic (105th in total offense). This stat is over rated for MTSU they led their conference and were among the national leaders in turnover margin now they are one of the worst. Dasher has been inconsistent and when they got waxed last time on national TV vs. Troy he had gotten hurt and came back and that was his first game back after suspension. I think he redeems himself big time tonight against a bad defense and he gets the spot light win. QB Ryan Alpin is part of a one dimensional offense and has to face another team that can get to the QB and has a pass defense. Last week against Florida Atlantic who has a solid pass defense ranked 23rd similar to what MTSU offers they struggled through the first 3 quarters before scoring 28 in the final quarter. That won't happen this week against a MTSU defense that is fighting for bowl eligibility and possibly a split of the conference crown!

Texans +6 -120 buy 1/2 (4.5 Dime POD); hou/ind o45/+11.5 teaser
I like the Texans to take advantage of a Colts team that is pretty beat up. Both teams have key injuries despite coming off a bye, but again this has been a match up that has been close the past few years and I think it will again tonight. Look for Peyton Manning to pick up the pace because he doesn't have much of a running game with Mike Hart the third string the starter. I think to take advantage of a weaker offense he'll go no huddle a few times. On the other side look for Houston off the bye to look good offensively. I don't think Foster has another monster game as he did in week 1, but I think Schaub and the offense will continue clicking.