North Alabama vs Charleston Southern
8-Unit Bet on CSU +5.5 points and consider a sprinkle on the money line. Also, consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to get 1.5 more units at +9.5 points during the first half of action only.

Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that has seen their last five games play Over the total by 33 or more points in total and is a matchup modestly losing record teams with win percentages between 40 and 50% on the season has earned a 64-48-5 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets and if our dog has an assists to turnover ratio of at least 1.1 they improve to a 15-8 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Marshall vs Toledo
8-Unit Bet on Marshall plus the 8.5 points. Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to get 1.5 units on Marshall at 12.5 points during the first half of action.

Marshall is 18-7 ATS when playing their second game in the past seven days. Marshall head coach D’Antoni is 19-7 ATS when facing a team with a poor defense allowing 787 or more points per game and 45-27-1 ATS when facing a solid offensive team scoring 77 or more points per game. Toledo is scoring 80 points per game and allowing 77.

LA Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit Best bet on the Dallas Mavericks +4.5 points and is good if they remain the dog.

Betting on winning record road teams that are facing a winning record guest that has covered the spread in the last three games in which they were priced as the favorite has earned a 79-50 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If the game takes place in the first half of the season our dogs have gone 37-17 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2019.

Let’s bet the Mavericks. Consider betting 6.5 Units preflop and the look to get the Mavericks at +9.5 points during the first half of action only.

New Orleans vs San Francisco
8-Unit Best Bet on New Orleans plus 20 or more points

Betting on losing record road underdogs of 20 or more points and facing a host that has covered the spread in 6 or7 of their last eight games and has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 53-21 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and is 18-9 ATS for 67% winners since 2014.

Green Bay Packers vs NY Giants

10-Unit Bet on the Giants plus the 6-points.

Consider betting this game by placing a 7.5-unit amount preflop at +6 and then look in game and bet the remaining 2.5 units if the Packers score a TD first or score a TD to go up 10-0 or if they retake the lead at any point during the first half of action only.

Betting on teams that are facing a foe that has won their last three games priced as a dog has produced a highly profitable 26-20 SU (57%) and 28-18 ATS for 61% winning bets since 1990. If our team is playing at home they improve modestly to 16-8 SU and 15-9 ATS for 63% including a 17-6-1 Under mark for 74% winning bets. If our team is the dog or priced at pick-em they have gone to produce a highly profitable 13-11 SU mark and 18-6 ATS for 75% winning bets. If the game takes place from Week 9 on out, they soar to an incredible 8-7 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets.

Betting on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are slow starting ones being outscored by 5 or more PPG in the first half of action and after scoring 14 or fewer points in their previous game has earned a highly profitable 24-33 SU and 40-15-2 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks
8-Unit Best Bet on the Bulls if they are a double-digit underdog

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record has earned a 28-99 SU mark and 77-48-2 ATS for 62%. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 71-39-2 ATS for 65% winning bets.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
8-Unit bet on the Heat minus the four points and is good up to 5.5 points.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 or more points coming off two straight games in which they allowed 100 or more points in each game and now facing a foe that is coming off a narrow by three or fewer points has earned a 102-34 SU record and 81-52-3 ATS for 61% winning bets. If the total is 225 or fewer points, this algorithm has gone 85-25 SU and 71-37-2 ATS for 65.7% winning bets.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys
8-Unit bet on the Eagles plus the 3.5 points and is valid to 2.5 points.

Betting on road teams priced between 3- and 7-point underdogs that have two or fewer losses that defeated a divisional foe, who has three or more losses in the previous meeting have gone 17-13 SU and 20-10 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Eagles are 7-0 ATS when on the road and following a game in which they allowed 30 or more points; 31-14-1 ATS following two straight games in which 50 or more points were scored. Cowboys are 16-38-2 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.  

Eagles have played a much more difficult schedule to date than the Cowboys, who have yet defeat a team with a winning record. From my predictive models, we are expecting the Eagles to score 27 or more points and have an edge in time of possession. In past games when meeting these projections and also facing a divisional foe has seen them go 54-2 SU and 48-6-2 and since 2017 they have gone 12-0 SU as a dog.
Let’s bet the Eagles plus the points and should the Cowboys score a TD first in this game or get to 10-0 or 10-3 lead during the first half, then the money line for pizza money sized bet is a great opportunity.

Bills vs. Chiefs
4:25 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Bills at pick-em or a dog price.  If they do move to a favorite bet 50% of your bet size on the Bills, then look for any underdog price of 3.5 or more points for the Bills during the first half of action.

Buffalo is off the BYE and the Chiefs have not been playing well of late. Over a three stretch that began 5 games ago, they did not score a single point in the second half. Buffalo is healthier than they have been since the start of the season and are in desperation mode at 6-6 and truly playing with their season on the line.

The following betting algorithm has done quite well.

·      Bet on road teams facing a conference foe.

·      The road team has failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last four games.

·      The game occurs in December.

·       

51-47 SU  (52%)| 67-30-1 ATS (69%) last 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between pick and 7.5 points has seen our road team go 31-12 ATS (72%) and supports a bet on the Bills

Bills are 11-2-1 ATS in roads games following a game in which both teams scored 24 or more points; 22-7-1 ATS after allowing 35 or more points. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Bills to score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. When they have met these performance measures in road games they have gone 49-5 SU and ATS and 15-4 SUATS for 79% over the past 10 seasons.

Lions vs. Bears

8-Unit Bet on the Bears plus the 3.5 points and is a valid bet if they remain the underdog.

Betting against favorites of not more than 4.5 points that are playing in week 14 and later and are coming off a road win and have a winning record on the season have gone 14-21 SU and 11-22-2 for 33% winning bets since 1989. If that false favorite defeated a divisional foe in a previous meeting, they underperform even more going 5-10 SU and 3-11-1 ATS for a miserable 21% winning bets. This all supports a best bet opportunity on the Chicago Bears.

Colts vs. Bengals
1:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on the Colts plus 2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on teams coming off an ATS win in which they won the game outright by a single score , completed 30 or more passes in that win and now find themselves priced as a home favorite have gone 24-30 SU and 20-34 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 30 seasons.  If the total is 44 or more points in these games, our road warrior has gone 22-14 SU and 26-10 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 30 seasons.

Rams vs. Ravens
1:00 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the Rams plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points and sprinkle the money line if the Ravens score a TD first in this game.

Betting on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that have allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in each of their last three games have gone 16-19 SU and 29-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018. If the total in these games is 40 or more points, these road dogs have gone 13-18 SU and 25-6 ATS for 81% winning bets since 2018.

Pacific vs Fresno State
7 ET
8-Unit best bet on Pacific plus the 14 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog. 

Bet on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are outscored by eight or more PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last two games has earned a 155-96-2 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Milwaukee vs Cal Davis
5:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on Milwaukee plus 9.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

Towson State vs UMBC
1:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on UMBC plus the points and is a valid bet if they remain the underdog.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers
8:20 ET | Prime
8-UNIT Best Bet on the Patriots +6 points.

I was holding my nose tightly given the stickiness of this road dog, who has won just two games this season. However, as we saw on Monday, which was not the first time, teams that look to have minimal chance of being competitive let alone have a chance to win the game outright, somehow find a way to shock NFL fans. I do believe this is one of those games.

Betting on road underdogs that have allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in each of their previous three games have gone 21-33 SU and 37-16-1 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2019. If our road underdog is priced between 3 and 9 points they have done even better posting a 20-5 ATS mark good for 80% winning bets and if the game occurs from Week 13 on out, these dogs with a serious case of fleas and badly needed bath are a perfect 10-0 ATS and 5-5 SU since 2019.

Betting on terrible teams that are priced between 3.5 and 10-point dogs and averaging 14 or fewer PPG on the season and scored fewer than 10 points in each of their last two games have gone 36-18 for 67% winning bets since 1990. If the game is occurring from Week 9 on out, these dogs have gone 12-15 SU and 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets.

Nebraska vs Minnesota

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Nebraska -2 or fewer points.

Betting on road favorites including pick-em following a game in which they lost to the spread by 18 or more points and facing a host that has seen total play OVER by 24 or more points over their previous three games has earned a highly profitable 27-15 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road favorite show less than 40% from the field in their previous game, they have then gone 17-7 SUATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Cincinnati vs. Jacksonville
EverBank Stadium
8:15 ET | ABC/ESPN
8-Unit best Bet on Jacksonville minus the 10 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop on the Jaguars and then look to add 30% more at 6.5 or fewer points during the first half of action only.

Betting on home favorites from -5 to -12 points in a game with a total of 40 or fewer points that have covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and has won 60 to 75% of their games and facing a losing record team has earned a solid 31-6 SU (84%) and 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Betting on home teams that are facing a poor defensive team that is allowing 6 or more YPPL and was outgained by 150 or more total yards in their previous game has earned a highly profitable 29-13-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

The Bengals defense ranks dead last in the NFL allowing 6.41 yards per play.

I have been hearing and more importantly seeing that the offensive play calls are now being called by Doug Pederson and since this ‘rumor’ began to circle around the Jaguars offense has been quite good. In the past two weeks, the Jaguars have scored 58 points, they have won and covered 7 of their last 8 games with the only loss and failed cover to the 49ers, who are destroying everyone on their schedule since the BYE week three weeks ago. The Bengals have lost and failed to cover the spread in their last three games. Their ground game has all but disappeared and gained just 25 yards on 11 rushes in their 16-10 loss to divisional foe Pittsburgh. The Bengals D has allowed 153, 157, and 188 rushing yards in each of their last three games.

Pederson is 7-0 ATS after covering the spread in three of his last four games as the HC of the Jaguars; 10-1 ATS in home games when facing a foe that averages less than 1 turnover per game for his career.

From the predictive models we are looking for the Jaguars to have 100 or more total yards and have the same or fewer turnovers. In previous home games in which the Jaguars met or exceeded these projections they have gone on to a 173-5 SU record and 146-28-4 ATS mark good for 84% winning bets since 2019.

Kansas City vs Green Bay Packers
Lambeau Field
8:20 ET | NBC
8-Unit bet on the Packers plus the 6 points and is good to 5.5 points.

Betting on dogs that are coming off two consecutive wins priced as the underdog in each one and has won between 40 and 49% of their 8 or more games played on the season has earned a solid 28-10-2. ATS for 74% winners over the past 30 seasons and is 6-0 ATS and 4-2 SU since 2019.

Chiefs are 1-7 ATS when coming off an ATS win and facing a foe also coming of an ATS win.

Chiefs are 0-6 ATS coming off a win in which that opponent had a double-digit lead.

Chiefs are 1-10 ATS coming off a double-digit win.

From the predictive model, the Packers are 29-2 SU and 27-4 ATS (87%) when scoring 21 or more points and forcing 2 or more opponent turnovers in home games since 2014.

Longwood vs Morgan State
8-Unit On Longwood minus the 10 points and is valid up to 11.5 points.

From the predictive model, we learn that Longwood is 10-2 Ats when scoring 75 to 80 points and MS is just 1-8 ASTS when allowing 75 to 80 points over the last three seasons.

Betting on favorites between -4.5 and -11.5 points that have won each of their last three games by double-digits and facing a foe that has trailed in each of their last three games at the half by 5 or more points has produced a 21-2 SU record and 16-6-1 ATS mark for 73% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints
Caesars Superdome
1:00 ET | FOX
Lions -4.5 | 47.5-point total

Betting on teams that have won 60% or more of their games after having played at least 8 games and is coming off a home loss have gone 63-28 SU and 61-28-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Lions defense has been getting better each week with the exception of the Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers. However, winning teams at this point of the season refocus after a humiliating home loss and get back on track. The Lions defense ranks 11th in the NFL having allowed 1038 yards after the catch or 94 yards per game this season.

On offense the Lions have been outstanding in the passing game ranking 6th with 1,411 yards gained after the catch. I do not see the Saints being able to contain the Lions ariel attack and see the Lions winning this one fairly easily.

Iowa vs Michigan
8:00 EST | FOX
Big Ten Championship
8-Unit best Bet on Iowa as long as they are 20 or more-point underdogs.
A small sprinkle with pizza money using the money line is worth it.

I also like betting over the Iowa Team Total for 5-Units.

Iowa is on a 6-0 ATS win streak when away from home and having allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards in their previous game; 18-7 on the road and when coming off a win by 6 or fewer points. Iowa head coach Ferentz is 38-19 ATS in games with a posted total of 42 or fewer points; 40-18 ATS when facing an elite passing team averaging 8 or more YPPA. Iowa is 20-23 SU and 26-14-3 ATS when playing with triple revenge and 16-9-3 ATS when taking on a conference foe and 8-2 ATS since 2014.

Back in 2016 on November 12, Iowa as priced as a 24-point underdog to Michigan, and they defeated them 14-13 and the score at the half was 10-8 Michigan. Michigan got out to a 10-0 lead, then Iowa scored on a safety and added a TD, but failed to convert the 2-pointer. In the second half Iowa added a FG to take a 11-10 lead. Michigan followed q with a FG with 9 minutes left in the game and then place kicker Duncan hit a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game to win it. Think history repeats?

It is a long shot for Iowa to pull off the upset and there is defense will have to play their best game yet this season. The four defenses in the nation based on my power ratings are in the Big Ten and Iowa is one of them. Iowa ranks 4th in scoring defense allowing 12.2 PPG, tops with a 0.171 opponent points per play ratio, second allowing just 3.9 yards per play, second allowing 5.0 yards per pass. They play smart and rank third averaging 3.3 penalties per game. Michigan is also a great defense, but if Iowa can force Michigan into second and third and long yardage situations, they are going to keep the game close and get into the fourth quarter with a single score margin. At that point, who knows what could happen. Iowa may not need their offense to be productive if they generate turnovers and perhaps even get a pick six. That is a lot to ask for if the game was priced at pick-em, but it’s not and we are getting 22 points to assume the risk.

SMU vs Tulane
American Athletic Championship
4:00 ET | ABC
8-Unit bet on Tulane minus the three points and is good up to 4.5 points, but that is unlikely to occur.

Betting on a team that has covered the spread by 50 or more points over their past 5 games both teams have won 80% or more of their games and the total of the game is 45 or more points has earned a 54-25-3 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015.

From the predictive model, we learn that Tulane is 62-14 SU and 57-19 ATS for 75% winning bets when scoring 24 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. SMU is 16-94 SU and 27-83 ATS for 24.5% winning bets when allowing 24 or more points and having the same or more turnovers.

Iowa vs Michigan
8:00 EST | FOX
Big Ten Championship
8-Unit best Bet on Iowa as long as they are 20 or more-point underdogs.
A small sprinkle with pizza money using the money line is worth it.

I also like betting over the Iowa Team Total for 5-Units.

Iowa is on a 6-0 ATS win streak when away from home and having allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards in their previous game; 18-7 on the road and when coming off a win by 6 or fewer points. Iowa head coach Ferentz is 38-19 ATS in games with a posted total of 42 or fewer points; 40-18 ATS when facing an elite passing team averaging 8 or more YPPA. Iowa is 20-23 SU and 26-14-3 ATS when playing with triple revenge and 16-9-3 ATS when taking on a conference foe and 8-2 ATS since 2014.

Back in 2016 on November 12, Iowa as priced as a 24-point underdog to Michigan, and they defeated them 14-13 and the score at the half was 10-8 Michigan. Michigan got out to a 10-0 lead, then Iowa scored on a safety and added a TD, but failed to convert the 2-pointer. In the second half Iowa added a FG to take a 11-10 lead. Michigan followed q with a FG with 9 minutes left in the game and then place kicker Duncan hit a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game to win it. Think history repeats?

It is a long shot for Iowa to pull off the upset and there is defense will have to play their best game yet this season. The four defenses in the nation based on my power ratings are in the Big Ten and Iowa is one of them. Iowa ranks 4th in scoring defense allowing 12.2 PPG, tops with a 0.171 opponent points per play ratio, second allowing just 3.9 yards per play, second allowing 5.0 yards per pass. They play smart and rank third averaging 3.3 penalties per game. Michigan is also a great defense, but if Iowa can force Michigan into second and third and long yardage situations, they are going to keep the game close and get into the fourth quarter with a single score margin. At that point, who knows what could happen. Iowa may not need their offense to be productive if they generate turnovers and perhaps even get a pick six. That is a lot to ask for if the game was priced at pick-em, but it’s not and we are getting 22 points to assume the risk.

Louisville vs FSU
ACC Championship
8 ET | 8-Unit Best Bet on FSU minus the point.

FSU is not a team based on a star quarterback. They are a complete team and no one talks about their defense that ranks 8th nationally allowing 17.1 PPG and 7th posting a 0.252 points per play allowed ratio. They are the BEST passing defense in the nation allowing 47% completions and 8th with a 9.08% sack percentage. It will be the defense that will get the job done and limit Louisville’s offensive production.

FSU is 8-1 when facing an above average passing team completing 64% or more of their passes.

[QB] Tate Rodemaker (Head) - Doubtful () [12/01/2023] => Rodemaker is tending to a head injury, and it is unlikely that he will take on Louisville in the ACC Championship game. So, Brock Glenn is likely to start under center for the Seminoles and he is an outstanding talent and athlete with size at 6-3 and 220 pounds and a huge arm. Four-star prospect ranked as No. 13 quarterback nationally and No. 7 overall prospect in Tennessee by 247Sports…rated as country’s 15th-highest quarterback prospect by Rivals, 17th by ESPN and 25th by On3…made Elite 11 Finals in summer of 2022…accounted for more than 4,500 yards of total offense and 68 touchdowns during prep career…passed for 3,928 yards and 57 touchdowns with only 13 interceptions and added 654 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns…led Lausanne to eight wins and advanced to quarterfinal round of Tennessee High School Division II Class AA playoffs his senior season…was 74-of-126 passing for 1,413 yards and 18 touchdowns and added 443 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while averaging 9.8 yards per carry…led Lynx to semifinal round of state playoffs and nine wins in 2021…completed 97 of 155 passes for 1,576 yards and 23 touchdowns…also rushed for 161 yards and three touchdowns on 31 carries…played six games his sophomore year, passing for 912 yards and 15 touchdowns and rushing for 28 yards on 12 carries…was 1-of-1 passing for 27 yards and rushed for 22 yards in one appearance as a freshman.

Illinois vs Rutgers
8-Unit bet on Rutgers using the money line if the spread is less than 2.5 point favorite.

Betting on teams priced between the 3’s that have led at the half by six or more points in each of their past three games and facing a foe that scored 75 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 78-47-3 ATS record for 62.4% winners since 2015.

Detroit vs Cleveland State
8-Unit bet on winless Detroit getting 12 points and is valid as long as they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are getting outscored by 12 or more points per game and is coming off a game in which there was 115 or fewer combined points scored has earned an 84-37 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Washington vs. Oregon
8-Unit Best Bet on the Oregon Ducks minus the 10 points and this line may drop to 9.5 or fewer points as kickoff approaches.

Betting on teams that are gaining 5.8 or more RYPA and coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than 100 yards and now facing a foe that gaining between 4.3 and 4.8 RYPA has earned a solid 125-70 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive mode, we learn that Oregon is 122-4 SU and 87-3% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and having the same or fewer interceptions thrown. If they have scored 41 or more points and did not throw an interception has produced a 71-1 SU record and 54-15-2 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced as 6.5-point underdogs.

Betting on teams revenging a loss to the current opponent and is coming off an upset loss has gone 67-41 SU and 69-37-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets. If we drill down into the data a bit deeper we find out that if the game is a divisional matchup and our dog is priced more than 7 points, they have gone 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

New Mexico State vs Liberty
C-USA Championship
8-Unit Best Bet on the Liberty Flames -10.5 points and is valid up to -12 points.

Undefeated teams facing a foe with three or more losses in their Conference Championship game are 41-7 SU and 13-17 ATS for 65% winners since 1996. If our team si favored they are 41-5 SU and 31-15 ATS for 67.4% winners. If a double-digit favorite they have gone 34-3 SU and 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets.

From the predictive models we learn that Liberty is 41-8 SU and 36-10-1 ATS in games in which they have scored 31 or more points since 2018. Plus, if they score28 or more -points and gain 450 or more yards has produced a 32-3 SU mark and 26-8-1 ATS record good for 77 % winning bets.

Houston vs Xavier
8-Unit best bet on Houston minus the points, currently priced at 8.5 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has gone 76-20 SU and 56-38-2 ATS for 60% winning bets. If our team made three or more three pointers than their foe did in the previous game, their record soars to a highly profitable 33-5 SU and 27-9-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Seahawks vs Cowboys
Thursday | Prime
8-Unit Best Bet on the Seahawks +7.5 points
5-Unit Best Bet on the Over.

Betting on road teams in a non-divisional clash that are coming off a divisional game and after this game they will take on a divisional foe (Sandwich) on the road has gone 16-9 ATS for 64% winning bets and the OVER is 16-8-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Cowboys have looked like Super Bowl Champions in their wins, but then have struggled against losing record teams such as the Arizona Cardinals, for instance. This is a ‘sandwich’ game for both teams and serious regression spot for the Cowboys.

Betting on teams that have failed to covered the spread by 33 or more points spanning their last five games and taking on a foe that has seen the OVER go 33 or more points spanning their last five games has produced a 34-33 SU record and 47-19-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2010.

So, consider an in game pizza money parlay if you can get the Seahawks at 10 or more points and the total at 43.5 or fewer points during the first half of action.

Portland Trailblazers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
8-Unit best bet on the Trail Blazers plus the 11.5 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned a 78-45-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our double-digit dog has gone 26-10 for 72% winning bets.

Texas Tech vs Butler
8-Unit bet on Texas Tech using the money line.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Akron vs UNLV
8-Unit bet on Akron plus the 3.5 points and is valid down to 2.5 points.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Miami vs Kentucky
8-Unit Bet on Kentucky minus the 6 points and is goo up to 7.5

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by 10 or more PPG and led at the half by 20 or more points in their previous game has produced a solid 147-112 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets since 2015. If the game has a total of 160 or more points our favorites have gone 55-22 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model we learn that when Kentucky has scored 81 or more points they have gone an impressive 19-0 SU and 15-4 ATS over the past five seasons. Miami is just 2-16 SU and 3-15 ATS when allowing 81 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings
8:15 ET
8-Unit Bet on the Chicago Bears plus the 3 points and is good down to 2.5 points.

Betting on road teams priced between a 3.5-point underdog and favorite that is coming off a road loss but covered the spread and with the game taking place in November has earned an outstanding 21-11 SU (66%) and 24-8 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 1989.

I only like betting the money line in-game if the Vikings score a TD first or go up 10-0 in the first half of action. So, making the 8-Unit bet preflop and then add pizza money sized wager if the Vikings do get off to a solid start.

The Vikings are just 17-23 SU and 11-28-1 ASTS fort 28% winning bets when coming off back-to-back games allowing less than 75 rushing yards in each game. The Vikings allowed 46 rushing yards on 15 attempts top the Broncos last week and 65 rushing yards on 15 attempts to the Saints the week prior to that one. They have also covered the spread in their last six games. Home favorites that are on a five or more-game ats win streak and facing a divisional foe that has won less than 40% of their games have gone just 4-10 ATS for 29% winning bets.

Let’s bet on the Chicago Bears and get the 3 points.

Sun vs Knicks

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Knicks minus the 3-points.

Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in their last three games priced as a favorite has produced a 89-48 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2015 and if priced as a favorite has produced a 41-19 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets. Let’s bet on the Knicks

LA Rams vs Arizona Cardinals
4:05 ET Sunday | FOX
8-UNIT BEST BET on the Rams at pick-em (money line) and use the money line on the Rams whether the market moves to price them as a favorite or underdog.

Betting on a team that has failed to cover the spread in each of their last games and facing a foe that has covered the spread in two consecutive games and in a game priced between the 3’s has gone 31-14-3 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015. If the game is a divisional showdown, our team, the Rams, have gone 16-4-1 ATS for 80% winning bets.

Yale vs Rhode Island
8-Unit bet on Rhode Island plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

The betting flows are favoring more action on Yale and the line could get to 6.5 points later today ahead of the tip.

Betting on home teams as an underdog including pick-em that is shooting 48% or better from the field and is out rebounding their foes by at least 7 per game has gone 28-6 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons and is an amazing 15-1 ATS over the past three seasons for 94% winners.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Pelicans using the money line and they must not be favored.

Betting on away dogs that are playing with revenge from previous loss of three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a 43-18 ATS record good for 71% winners since 2016 and our dog is priced at 4.5 or fewer points they soar to a 15-5 ATS mark for 75% winners.

Clemson vs South Carolina
7:30 ET | Saturday
Williams Brice Stadium, Atlanta
8-Unit Best bet on South Carolina plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on home underdogs between 3.5 and 12.5 points that are riding a three or more-game win streak and facing a foe that has won at least their previous game and with a total of 50 or more points has gone 44-21-1 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system has not had a losing season spanning this 10-season slice of games.

SC is 5-6 and needs the win to be bowl eligible and that is far more motivation that what Clemson has to grab a hold of as they conclude their very disappointing season already with four losses. Clemson is 0-7 ATS failing to cover by an average of 13.6 PPG after allowing seven or fewer points in the first half of each of their last two games.

Alabama vs Auburn
Iron Bowl | 3:30 ET
8-Unit bet on Auburn +13 points and is good down to 11.5 points.

Auburn head coach Freeze is a solid 31-14 ATS when priced as the dog for his career and 16-4-1 ATS when facing a strong passing attack that is completing 62% or more of their passes.

Betting on home underdogs that are allowing an average of 5.2 to 6.2 YPPL and facing a foe that is an elite offense gaining 6.2 or more YPPL and is coming off two consecutive games gaining an average of 6.2 or more YPPL in each game has earned an outstanding 90-42-2 ATS for 68% winning bets. Not a single unprofitable season over the past 10 seasons.

NJIT vs Wagner
8-Unit bet on NJIT plus the points, currently priced as 8.5 point dogs.

Betting on road dogs of three or more points that average between 65 and 75 PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last three games and facing a foe is averaging 64 or fewer PPG has earned a solid 28-16-1 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Ohio State vs Michigan
Noon EST, Saturday
10-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State plus the 3 points

Since 1980, there have been 34 games pitting 10 or more-win teams against each other and the DOGS have gone 13-21, but 20-12-2 ATS for 63% winning bets. If both teams have 10 wins exact, the dog has gone 8-8 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% and there have been just three matchups featuring 11-0 teams and the DOG is 3-0 SUATS.

Bet Over OSU points total of 20.5 points -115

Highest scoring half being the second +115

First Half three-way on OSU +150 to be leading at the half.
Note: OSU and Michigan have only been tied three times at the half since 1980 and the three-way line for a tie is only +600, which is horrid value. In those three games that were tied at the half OSU won all three games.

In a matchup of undefeated teams in weeks 12 or 13, the dog has gone 8-10 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets since 1987. If the dog is priced at single-digits, they have gone 7-5 SU and 9-3 ATS for 75% winners.

I absolutely love the OSU defense right now and that is the part of this team no one is talking about. Since allowing 17 points in a 37-17 win over Maryland they have allowed an average of 8.5 PPG over their last six games. They have allowed more than 200 passing yards just one this season and that was back in Week 3 action where they won 63-10 over Western Kentucky and second and third stringers were in the game. So, overall OSU ranks 2nd in scoring defense allowing 9.5 PPG and second to Michigan, who is #1 allowing 9 PPG, but have played a much easier schedule. OSU ranks best nationally with a 0.145 points per play ratio, best allowing 3.9 YPPL, second-best allowing 27% third down conversions, best allowing 4.7 YPPA, and #2 allowing 145 PYPG.

Michigan is not a good passing team ranking 61st averaging 228 YPG so they are going to struggle mightily to move the chains on any third and long situation.

This game could come down a field goal and that is not good news for Michigan, who ranks 124th of 137 D1 programs making just 56% of their attempts this season. OSU ranks 15th converting 88% of their field goal attempts.

From the model we are expecting OSU to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games OSI when in this role have gone 145-5 SU and 106-40-4 ATS for 73% winners and when priced as the road dog, they are 9-1 ATS for 90% winners.

Alabama vs Ohio State
8-Unit Best bet on Alabama minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to 7.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

UTSA vs Tulane
3:30 ET | ABC
Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
10-UNIT BEST BET on UTSA plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Betting on road underdogs that are scoring between 28 and 34 PPG, facing a foe with a defense allowing an average between 16 and 21 PPG, after week 6 of the regular season and is coming off a game in which they scored 24 or more points in the first half has earned a highly profitable 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team also scored 42 or more points in their previous game, the improve to a stellar 15-6 ATS for 71.4% winners.

Betting on road teams facing a foe that has lost to the spread by 49 or more total points over their last 5 games with the game occurring in weeks 10 through 13 has earned a solid 60-28-1 ASTS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road team has three or fewer losses on the season, they soar to a 23-9-1 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

UTSA is 14-1 SU when facing a defense allowing 58% or higher completion percentage over the past two seasons; 11-1 SU when facing an elite offense that is gaining 5.9 or more yards per play over the past three seasons.

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic
2:30 PM EST NBA TV Friday

8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 6 points and is valid up to and including 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are revenging a previous loss to the current foe, who scored 100 or more points in that loss, the foe is also coming off a home win where they scored 115 or more points has earned a solid 47-25-3 ATS for 65% winning bets.

UNCA vs Lipscome
8-Unit best Bet on UNCA minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State
7:30 PM EST Thanksgiving Day
8-UNIT Best Bet on Mississippi State plus the 10 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too.

Ole Miss is on a 2-9 ATS streak following a game in which forced no more than a single turnover. Betting on home underdogs between +155 and +325 on the money line that are coming of a game in which they did not commit a turnovers and now facing a foe that has committed no more than a single turnover in each of their two previous games has gone 23-17 SU averaging a +198 money line wager and earning a highly profitable 92% ROI.

Miss State needs the qin to become bowl eligible and there are 8 returning starters on that offense that will want to do just that especially against their state rival Ole Miss squad. I think that motivating factor for State is significant and may be the edge that gets them within single digits and a possible win.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
12:30 PM ET | FOX
8-Unit Best Bet on the Lions minus the 7.5 points and is valid up to -9, but that is unlikely to happen.

Betting on favorites of 3 or more points and facing a divisional foe, are coming off a win, the last two games went OVER the total, and the last three games have seen the total lower than the previous game has gone 26-13-1 ATS for 67% winning bets. This total is priced at 47 points, last week the total was 48 points and week prior to that one the total was 48.5 points.

We were on the Chicago Bears as a 7.5-point dog and they were leading by 6 points entering the fourth quarter against the Lions, who came from behind and won the game. Teams that have exceeded their team scoring total line by more than 10 points over their last two games and are favored by four or more points against a divisional foe and are coming off a come from behind win in which they were trailing by 6 or more points at the start of the fourth quarter have gone 17-9-1 ATS for 65.4% winning bets.

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Lakers
10:30 PM EST

8-Unit Bet on Dallas minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to 3.5 points.

Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 49-25 ATS record good for 66.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If a conference matchup these favorites soar to 33-12 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic
7 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Nuggets minus the 3.5 points

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 95 points that are revenging loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has earned a 47-24-3 ATS or 66% winners.

Cavaliers vs 76ers
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers -7.5 points and is valid up to 9.5 points

Betting on favorites between 6.5 and 9.5 points that are coming off back-to-back double-digit win and are outscoring their opponents by 8 or more PPG and with a win percentage at least 10 percentages higher than the current foe has produced a 41-7 SU record and 33-16-1 ATS for 67.3% winning bets since 2016.

Teams that are coming off a 20+ point win and are outscoring their foes by 9 or more PPG and are priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-ppoint favorite has gone 128-76 ATS since 1996.

Eagles vs Chiefs
8:15 ET | ESPN
Arrowhead Stadium
8-Unit Best Bet on the Eagles plus the 2.5 points.

The Chiefs have had 23 games – most in the NFL - among 49 played since 2021 that they and their opponent both had 7 or more-point leads in the same game. So, this lends itself to multiple lead changes for this game against the Eagles. They are both the best team currently in the NFL and do think there will be lead changes during the first half of action. So, let the scoring volatility work for you and consider betting 70% on the Eagles preflop and then if KC scores the first TD of the game and it occurs during the first half of action then add the 30% remaining balance on the Eagles.

Betting on road underdogs that have gained 7 or more yards per pass in each of their last two games and facing a host that allowed 5.5 or fewer yards per pass in their previous game has earned highly profitable 53-25-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between 2 and 7.5 points, they have gone on to a 38-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Player Props
Under Travis Kelce 7.5 receptions -135
Over Mahomes passing attempts 37.5 -118 at FanDuel

Over Swift rushing and passing yards 77.5 at FanDuel.

Vikings vs Broncos

8:20 PM EST Sunday Night FB

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver

10-Unit best Bet on the Denver Broncos -2.5 points and is good up to and including -4.5 points.

Betting on losing record teams from Week 9 on out that are facing a foe that has won 50 to 60% of their games and coming off an upset home win have produced a remarkable 18-13 SU record and 25-5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If our team is playing at home, their record has been 15-7 SU and 17-4-1 ATS for 81% winning bets. If the game has a total of 45 or fewer points, our team regardless of home or away situation have gone 14-11 SU and 21-3-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.

Betting on home teams using the money line that are on a 3 or more-game Under streak, is scoring between 17.5 and 23 points per game and facing a foe that is allowing 17.5 to 23 PPG from Week 9 on has earned a highly profitable 32-13 SU and 31-13-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

76ers vs Nets
8-Unit best bet on the Nets +3.5 points and is good down to 2.5 points. Betting on teams in a game pricing them between a 4-point dog to 4-point favorite that is facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 7.5 PPG and with that foe seeing their last three games have at least 220 points scored in each one has earned a 27-12 ATS record for 69% winning bets since 2018.

Cardinals vs Texans
1:00 ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston
8-Unit Bet on the Cardinals plus the 6 points

The following betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 28-16-2 ATS record for 64% winners over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points

·      Game is taking place from Week 9 on to the end of the regular season.

·      Our dog is facing a foe has a winning record in the current season.

·      That foe is coming off an upset win.

·      That foe won six or fewer games in their previous season.

If we drill down a bit further int the database and include games that had a posted total of 42.5 or more points has earned a highly profitable 16-7-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Cardinals vs Texans
1:00 ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston
8-Unit Bet on the Cardinals plus the 6 points

The following betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 28-16-2 ATS record for 64% winners over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points

·      Game is taking place from Week 9 on to the end of the regular season.

·      Our dog is facing a foe has a winning record in the current season.

·      That foe is coming off an upset win.

·      That foe won six or fewer games in their previous season.

If we drill down a bit further int the database and include games that had a posted total of 42.5 or more points has earned a highly profitable 16-7-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Syracuse vs Georgia Tech
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta
8:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on Syracuse plus the 6.5 points

Consider betting the Orange with 60% of your normal betting amount for an 8-Unit Titan. Then if the first score of the game is a TD by GT add 30% on the LIVE in-game line. Next, add the remaining 10% if GT earns the first two scores of the game by two TDs or a TD followed by a FG or even a safety. The next scenario for either the 30% or the 10% is to bet Syracuse if they lose the lead during the first half of action.

Betting on teams that allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that is coming off a loss by 17 or more points has earned a 345-86 SU record and a 249-175-7 ATS mark good for 59% winning bets since 2009. If we drill down and filter that our team is on the road, their record improves to 163-47 (78%) and 138-70-2 ATS for 66% winning bets. If then add in only those games with a total between 50 and 54.5 points their record soars to a remarkable 48-10 SU (83%) and 43-15 ATS mark for 74% winning tickets. If our team is a dog of 2.5 or more points, they have gone 9-1 ATS for 90% winners.

Both teams need the win to be bowl eligible and Syracuse does have a winnable game against Wake Forest in their finale. G-Tech has No. 1 Georgia on deck and no chance to win that game so there is a lot on the line for both programs. I like what I saw out of the Orange offense last week in their 28-13 road win over Pittsburgh scoring 21 points in the second half and hold Pitt scoreless. Granted, it was on a neutral field, but nevertheless the Orange looked solid on both sides of the ball, and I see that positive development carrying over to this game as well.

Oregon vs Arizona State
4:00 PM EST
Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
8-Unit best Bet on ASU plus the 24.5 points

•        23-10 ATS for 70% winning tickets since 2006.

•       If our team is playing at home

4-3 SU | 6-1 ATS (86%) since 2015

LIVE in-game strategy is to bet 80% preflop at +24.5 and then look for Oregon to score a touchdown and look to get the remaining 20% at 27.5 or more points during the first half of action.

No.3 Michigan vs Maryland
SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
12:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on Maryland plus the 18.5 points and sprinkle the money line.

Undefeated teams play on the road as a conference favorite and facing a host that Has won 60% or more of their games from Week 10 on out have gone 46-61-1 ATS for 57% winners and if the host is coming off a conference win and covered the spread by 7 or fewer points has earned a 5-10 ATS mark for 33% winners. So, fading these undefeated teams is the way to go late in the regular season.

From the predictive model, we learn that Maryland has gone 8-2 ATS as a home dog when they have had fewer turnovers than the guest and 12-6 ATS when having the same or fewer turnovers.

Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz

10:00 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Suns minus the 5.5 points and is valid up to 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between -3.5 and -9.5 points that saw their previous game play over the total by 18 or more points and has seen their last 10 games play over by a combined 48 or more points has earned a 56-15 SU record and 45-25-1 ATS for 64.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the host is playing on two days of rest exact, our road favorites have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS.

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Suns to score at least 117 points and have the better assist-turnover ratio. In past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 47-7 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Bet the Suns.

Iowa vs Arkansas State
8:00 ET
8-Unit best bet on Iowa minus the 20.5 points and is valid up to and including -21.5 points

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Same system applies to betting on Eastern Kentucky.

Tennessee Martin vs Eastern Kentucky
7:00 EST
8-Unit best Bet on the EKU minus the 8 points and is valid up to -9 points.

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Cleveland vs Portland

Moda Center, Portland, OR
10:00 ET

8-Unit Best bet on Portland if they are a double-digit underdog

Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming of three consecutive road losses has gone 36-42 SU and 53-23-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2016. If they are playing at home, their record improves to 17-16 SU and 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets and if priced as a 7 or more-point underdog has produced a terrific 24-9-1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia

7:05 ET

8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 4.5 points

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins over divisional foes and has won at least 75% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-26 SU record and 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 1996. If our team is the host and it is a divisional matchup has seem them go 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets since 1996.

Merrimack vs Ohio State

7 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State minus the 23.5 points and is valid up to and including 26 points.

Betting on double-digit favorites that are taking on a non-conference foe that had a winning record last season and is coming off a road upset win has earned a solid and consistent 75-5 SU and 51-25-4 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games is not greater than 140 points, these favorites produce big profits going 31-1 SU and 21-7-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. Bet Ohio State and lay the wood.

Buffalo vs Miami (Ohio)

7 ET, Wednesday

8-Unit Best bet on the Buffalo Bulls plus the 9

points and is valid if the price stays above 8

points.

Betting on a road team that has struggled to win 25 to 40% of their games, facing a winning record host and has seen their last three games play Under the total by at least 21 points in total has earned a solid 86-56-2 ATS for 61% winners since 2014. If the host has covered at least 5 of their last 6 games ATS, our road warriors have gone 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
10 PM | Chase Center, San Francisco
8-Unit best Bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 points and is valid up to and including 3.5 points.

Betting on teams that have lost their last two games priced as the favorite and facing a foe that they lost to in their previous meeting and are priced between a 3.5-point favorite or underdog has earned a 49-28 SU record and 50-27 ATS mark for 65% winning bets since 2016. If the home team they have gone 25-11 SU and 26-10 ATS for 72.2% winning bets.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 7.5 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 28-11 SUATS for 72% winning bets since 2014. The clincher is if the game is priced with a total of 221 or fewer points, these home teams have gone 11-1 SUATS for 92% winning bets since 2014.

No.1 Kansas vs. No. 17 Kentucky
9:30 PM | Champions Classic, Chicago, IL
United Center
10-Unit Best Bet on Kansas minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to and including -7.5 points. I do believe if there is any market movement, the price will get cheaper to bet Kansas. So, look for -6 or lower throughout the day.

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points in the first 10 games of the regular season, both teams won at least 60% of their games last season, and our favorite has 3 or more returning starters than their foe has earned a 36-12-1 ATS record for 75% winners and 44-5 SU mark. So, consider betting 80% of your normal bet size preflop and then look to get on Kansas with the remaining 20% at -2.5 or even pick-em knowing this system has gone 44-5 SU!

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 8.5 points playing on a neutral court that are coming off back-to-back wins by 20 or more points and scored at least 90 points in their last game have gone 31-18-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Ranked teams that made 15 more field than their previous two foes are 60-8 SU and 38-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2006. If they are favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points have gone to a remarkable 20-2 SU and 18-3-1 ATS for 86% winning bets since 2006.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans
8 PM | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
8-Unit Best Bet on the Pelicans plus the 3.5 points and is valid if the Pelicans remain the underdog.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 55-21 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home as the dog, they have gone to a 23-9 SU record and 25-7 ATS mark for 78% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total of 230 or more points, these home dogs have gone 9-1 ATS and SU for 90% winning bets.

Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois
7 PM | ESPNU
Huskie Stadium, Dekalb, IL
8-Unit best Bet on Northern Illinois minus the

From the predictive models we are looking for Northern Illinois to sacore at least 30 points and gain at least 7.5 yards per pass tonight. In past home games in which NIU achieved these measures has led them to a highly profitable 54-10 and 46-18 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2006 and 9-3 ATS over the past 5 seasons. They are also 13-5-1 ATS for 72% when scoring 30 or more points and their foe had 60 or more penalty yards called over the past five seasons.

Take Northern Illinois

Toledo vs Bowling Green
Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH

7:00 PM ESPN2
8-Unit best bet on Blowing Green plus the 10.5 points and is valid down to 9.5 points.

Betting on home dogs that have won three straight games that are taking on a foe that is coming off one or more consecutive wins has gone 95-61-2 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between 3.5 and 12 points, they have gone to a 57-30-1 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games has been 50 or more points, our home dogs have gone 43-20-1 ATS for 68.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Bet Bowling Green.

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
Highmark Park, Orchard Park, NY
8:15 PM ABC/ESPN
8-Unit Best Bet on the Broncos plus the 7 points and good at 6 points. I do not see this line moving ahead of kickoff.

Bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are struggling on defense allowing 28 or more PPG have gone 75-36-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015. If our road dog is in a matchup against a conference foe, their record soars to 57-21-1 ATS for 73% winners and if we drill further and include only games with a total of less than 50 points these dogs are a remarkable 43-13-1 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2015.

Betting on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover and facing a foe that has not forced a turnover in two consecutive games has earned a robust 21-21 SU record and 33-9 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game occurs from Week 8 on out these dogs have garnered a wealth-building 24-4 ATS mark good for 86% winning bets.

Florida International vs Miami (Fla)
Watsco Center, Coral Gables
7 PM
8-UNit best bet on FIU at 20 or more points

Miami is the 13th ranked team in the nation, but the models are suggesting this is just too many points to be giving FIU. This line opened at -20 and has quickly risen to 23 and even 23.5 at some books currently. I suggest betting 50% now and add the remaining 50% amount within the last hour till the tipoff.

Betting on double-digit road dogs that are coming off a horrid game losing by 15 or more points and were priced as the favorites has produced an 22-176 SU record, but a 138-58-2 ATS result for 70.4% winning bets.

Michigan vs St. Johns
6:30 PM | Madison Square Garden
8-Unit best Bet on Michigan +2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em.

This is part of the Gavitt Tipoff games. Betting on teams priced between the 3’s in the first 10 games of the regular season after leading their previous two games by at least 10 or more points at the half and have only two returning starters has produced a 120-64 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

St. Johns is just 1-7 ATS in home games after playing a game priced as the favorite; 3-10 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite; 1-10 ATS in home games after one or more wins.

Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

8:30 PM, Chase Center
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 or money line, whichever is cheaper at your book.

Bet on teasms that are facing a foe that is coming off three straight games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one, that foe is outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and the line is priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog has gone 55-20 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home the record soars to 37-13 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing on no more than a single day of rest, they get even better producing a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets since 2018.

Take the Warriors today.

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks
Lumen Field, Seattle
4:25 PM | FOX
8-Unit Best bet on the Washington Commanders plus the 6 points and is valid bet down to 4.5 points, although I do not see any significant change in the market ahead of kickoff.

Betting on road teams in a conference matchup that are facing home favorites of not more than 6-points that are coming off a humiliating loss by 28 or more points and with a total of 46 or fewer points has earned a highly profitable 38-19-2 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The best of all is the fact that these wounded teams have gone 0-12 ATS and 2-10 SU over the past 10 seasons. A rare situation, but one that has significant analytical meaning (p-Value and others)

UAB vs Maryland
8-Unit Best bet on Maryland minus the points, currently priced at -5 and is good up -7.5 points.

Bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have three or more returning starters than the foe and with both teams having won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

USC vs Oregon
8-Unit best bet on USC plus the 15.5 points and is good as long as USC is a double-digit underdog.

This is an insane amount of points to be giving USC, who has stumbled lately, and who is getting mispriced because of Oregon’s monster blowout win of Cal last week (Oregon was our PAC-12 MAX Bet of the Month).

Before the season began, the Circa had this game priced as Oregon favored by just two points and this meteoric rise is presenting a terrific betting opportunity. USC has not covered the spread in seven straight games and the OVER has won the money in these games.

Betting on road teams using the money line that allowed 42 or more points in their last game and have outscored their foes by 7 or more points in the first half of action has earned a 60-33 record for 65% winning bets and has made a highly profitable 42 units on the money line.

From the predictive model we learn that USC is 18-4 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have scored 31 or more points and won the turnover battle in games played over the past five seasons.

Texas vs TCU

Amon G. Carter Stadium, Forth Worth, TX
7:30 PM EST | ABC
8-Unit Best bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the 12.5 points

Betting on a ranked double-digit favorite facing an unranked foe. Our favorite is gaining an average of 4.8 yards per rush, outgained their previous foe by 125 or more yards on the ground, is now facing an average ground attack averaging 4.3 to 4.8 YPRA has earned a solid 34-20-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Betting road favorites between 10 and 21.5 points that have won four of their last 5 games with the current game taking place in November has earned a 49-6 SU record and 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Washington State vs California
California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
4:00 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on Washington State plus the points, currently priced as 2.5-point dogs.

Betting on road underdogs that are averaging at least 400 total yards per game and are coming off a very poor offensive game in which they averaged 3.85 or fewer yards per play has earned a 35-12-3 ATS record good for 75% winning bets since 2015. If the game occurs from Week 9 on to the end of the season has earned a 19-5-3 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets since 2015.

Betting on losing record road teams priced between the 3’s and is facing a host that is coming off a road blowout loss of 28 or more points, and that host has won 25 to 40% of their games on the season has earned a 37-13-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 30 years and is 17-5 ATS over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive playbook, we are expecting WSU to score at least 28 points and to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games in which WSU met or excee3ded th4ese projections has led them to a 59-15 SU record and a 57-17 ATS mark good for 77% winning bets.

Texas Tech vs Kansas

Noon ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium

8-Unit Best Bet on Kansas minus the points, currently priced at -4 and is good up to and including 6 points. That steam move is not expected to happen and see the market locked in at -4.

Betting on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the regular season that are averaging 190 to 230 rushing yards per game, allowed less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game, and now facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 and 190 RYPG has earned a solid 49-15 SU record and 43-18-3 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2015. If our team is in a conference matchup and favored by any amount, the record improves to a highly profitable 25-8-1 ATS for 76% winning bets. Take Kansas

Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
8:15 PM Prime Video
10-Unit Best Bet on the Carolina Panthers plus the 3.5 points

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that has won 25% or fewer of their games, is coming off two consecutive road losses, and with the game taking place from Week 5 on out to the end of the season has earned a highly profitable 51-33-6 ATS mark for 61% winning bets since 2010. If our team is the underdog in this matchup, their record soars to 12-12 SU and 16-6-2 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2010. If the total has been less than 40 points, our team has gone an impressive 7-2-1 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2010.

Betting on road dogs between 3.5 and 10 points that are allowing 28 or more PPG have gone 82-37-4 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our game has a total of 42.5 or fewer points, our road dogs have gone a near-perfect 9-1 ATS for 90% winning bets since 2015 and is 8-0 ATS since 2016.

The Panthers have covered the spread just once this season. Teams with no more than a single ATS win in games played from Week 10 on to the end of the season have gone 23-25 SU and 34-11-3 ATS for 76% winning bets since 1989 and is 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2009 (15 seasons) and has not lost since Week 12 of the 2012 season. Since that loss, this system is 10-0 ATS!

Southern Mississippi vs LA Lafayette
Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA
7:30 PM | ESPNU
8-Unit Best Bet on the Ragin Cajuns minus the points.

The Cajuns are averaging 197 rushing yards per game ranking 14th nationally and will be facing a defense that ranks 114th nationally allowing 186 RYPG. So, the models are projecting that the Cajuns will wear down the SMU defensive front and gain over 200 RY. The models also project that the Cajuns will gain 450 or more total yards and commit no more than single turnover.

In past games, the Cajuns are 54-10 SU and 47-15-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring 31 or more points and gaining 450 or more total yards. In addition, if they committed no more than a single turnover, they have gone 34-5 SU and 32-7 ATS for 82% winning bets.

Howard vs Georgia Tech
McCamish Pavilion, Atlanta, GA
7:30 PM ESPN+/ACCNX
8-Unit Best Bet on Howard plus the 10.5 points

Betting on dogs from 10 to 19.5 points in the first seven games of the season that are facing a non-tournament team form last season, who won four or more of their last games in the previous season, and who won between 45 and 55% of their games in the previous season have gone 38-13-1 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

From the predictive model we learn that Howard is 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets in games that they scored 75 or more points and had more rebounds than their foes.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
10 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors plus the 2.5 points

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 8 PPG on the season has earned a 21-9 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total in these games is 225 or mor points, the record has been 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

This matchup could easily be a preview of a showdown in the playoffs and even the conference finals and has significant meaning despite being so early in the 82-game season schedule. Warriors are 12-2 ATS when facing a foe that has won at least 70% of their games in each of the past three seasons.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State
WinTrust Arena, Chicago, Ill
9:30 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on Miss. State minus the points

Returning starters and their production from the previous season a huge advantage in the early part of the season in college basketball. Miss State head coach Chris Jans has five returning starters while ASU head coach Bobby Hurley has just one.

Betting on teams that are the favorite by 3 to 9.5 points, with 3 or more returning starters than their foe and in a game involving two teams that won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season, and with the current game occurring within the first 10 games of the season has earned a solid 30-8-1 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets

Barclays Center
7:30 PM EST
8-Unit best Bet on the Nets plus the 4.5 points

Betting on teams that have posted three straight games with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.5 or higher and is facing a foe that has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.0 or lower on the season, and with a total between 226 and 240 points has earned a solid 35-18-1 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Nets are playing pretty darn good basketball to start their season and the fans will be welcoming back James Harden with their version of the Bronx cheer. The fan base will be into this game simply because they want to see their team defeat any team that harden will ever be a member of and for good reason.

The Nets are sharing the ball and passing the ball with speed and accuracy in the half court sets. They rank 11th in the Association averaging 27 APG and third bets committing an average of 12 turnovers per game. The Clippers do not move the ball well in the half court and rank 28th committing 16.3 TPG. The Nets mistake-free play will go a long way to seeing them pull off the upset win. 

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia, PA
7:10 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points

It is early in the season yet these two divisional rivals are at the top of the Eastern Conference standings as expected both with 5-1 records. The Philadelphia fans will be loud and supportive for their franchise and their dislike of the foe and that will be a factor.

76ers are 19-1 SUATS with revenge and facing that foe, who is averaging 13.5 or more turnovers per game over the past two seasons. They are 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS in home games playing with revenge and with a posted total of 227 or more points over the past five seasons.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG on the season has earned a 54-20 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Looking at the standard deviations of scoring by quarters so far this season, the Celtics have been one of the most inconsistent first quarter scoring teams in the league. In fact, they rank third with a STD of 7.34 points scored in the first quarter. The Philadelphia defense has been quite good so far and no reason to expect otherwise tonight, especially at the start of the game.

Central Michigan vs Western Michigan
Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI

7:00 PM EST, ESPNU

8-Unit best bet on Western Michigan Broncos minus the -3 points.

From the predictive models, we are expecting WMU to score 31 or more points, The market has a 30 to 27 WMU home win given the 57.5 point total and WMU favored by three points, In past games in which WMU scored 31 points and had the same or fewer turnovers has led them to an outstanding 16-1 SU and 14-2-1 ATS for 88% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Chargers vs Jets
Monday Night Football | MetLife Stadium
8:15 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Chargers minus the points

5-Unit Best Bet on the Under | No Parlay – not worth the added risk.

It is a fact that the 10-UNIT MAX Bets have done very well in all sports for more than four years of betting opportunities hitting 68.8% winning tickets. Do not make the mistake that these plays anything more than that you can also look at them as the fact they lost 31% of the time. No one including me, knows if this play is going to win or lose, but over the course of a season or calendar year it is likely that we will generate profits by betting each one as they arise in a disciplined manner.

With that said, I am offering a special subscription for just $300 to get the remaining 8-weeks of the calendar year all access to every NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NCAAB, NHL 10-Unit best bet, which is more than 50% of what you would pay.

I like betting Under in game during the first half of action at 42.5 or more points. So, consider betting 3.5 units preflop and then took to add 1.5 units at 42.5 points.

Also, consider betting 7-Units on the Chargers preflop and then look to add the remaining 3-units at pick-em during the first half of action.

Last Sunday, the Jets and Giants played one of the ineptest games since at least 2000. The Giants managed to pass for negative yardage, which marks only the 7th time that any NFL team passed for negative yardage in a game since 1998. The last time any NFL passed for -9 or fewer yards was the Browns, who lost 48-0 to the Jacksonville Jaguars December 3, 2000.

So, home teams coming off a game in which they had 10 or more points, their previous opponent had 10 or more punts and with the current game total between 31 and 41 points has seen the Under go 13-4-1 for 77% winning bets.

There have been 85 games among the 8,754 games played or 1.0% where the teams combined for more punts than points scored since 1989. 

Teams that won a game in which there were more punts than points scored by both teams and now playing at home have gone 24-10-2 Under the total for 71% winning bets since 1989.

Justin Herbert looked at his best since suffering the grotesque injury to his fingers on his non-throwing hand. Granted the Bears were without their two starting safeties, but still Herbert was very accurate with all his passes. Jets defense has been great this season, but they have not been able to get off the field allowing 40% third down conversions. The Chargers are excellent in third down situations converting 41% of them on the season. The jets also are getting a sack on 6.94% of the plays ranking just 20th in the league. The Chargers OL is expected to protect Herbert well knowing the rank 7th in the league allowing a sack on just 5.6% of their passes.

On the other side of the ball, the Chargers do get pressure on the QB more time than not and rank 12th with 7.90 sack percentage. The Jets OL has not been good in large part to injuries and allow a sack on close to 10% of their plays ranking 27th in the league.

Chargers are 7-0 ATS when coming off three or more consecutive Under results in games played over the past three seasons.

From the predictive model, there is a high probability that the Chargers will hold the Jets to fewer than 21 points and force at least two turnovers. The Chargers are 21-5 SU and 19-6-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when they allowed 21 or fewer points and 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have allowed 21 or fewer points and forced two or more turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. The Jets are 1-20 SU and 2-18-1 ATS for just 10% winning tickets when scoring 21 or fewer points and committing two or more turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. The Jets are 7-41 SU and 10-37-1 ATS for 21% winning tickets when scoring 21 or fewer points in games played over the past 5 seasons.

Celtics vs Timberwolves
Monday, November 6

8-Unit Best Bet on the Timberwolves

Betting on home teams that allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that scored 120 or more points has gone 86-35 SU and 79-39-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Georgia Southern vs Georgia Tech
Opening College Hoops
8-Unit best Bet on Georgia Southern plus the points

Betting on road underdogs of 10 or more points in the first seven games of the regular season and are facing a foe that was not in the NCAA tournament and had a win percentage between 45 and 55% last season has earned an outstanding 37-7 ATS mark good for 84% winning bets.

Mavericks vs Magic
8-Unit Best Bet on the Mavericks plus 4.5 points

Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG, priced between 3.5-point dog and favorite and facing a foe that saw their last three games go over 220 points has earned a highly profitable 51-20 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2018.

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles
4:25 PM EST, 8-Unit Best Bet on the Cowboys plus the points.
This is expected to be a great game between these two NFC East Rivals and there is a high probability of many lead changes. So, if that happens use that volatility to your advantage abdf consider betting 5 units on the Cowboys preflop and then add 1.5 units if the Eagles score a TD first to take a 7-0 lead, or kick a FG, then score a TD to go up 10-0 in the first half of action. Then look to get the Cowboys for the remaining 1.5 units at Dallas +9.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting on winning record road teams from Week 8 on out that are facing a host that coming off a divisional road win and has won 75% or more of their games on the season has earned an outstanding 30-12 ATS record for 71.4% winning bets since 2010.

Betting on road teams using the money line that is coming off a home win by 21 or more points from Week 6 on out has earned a highly profitable 40-22 ATS record over the past five seasons. If our team is priced as a dog, they have gone on to a highly profitable 15-12 SU and 19-8 ATS record good for 70.3% winning bets over the past five seasons. The clincher is if our road warrior is facing a divisional foe, they have gone on to a 7-3 SU record and 9-1 ATS for 90% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs
8-Unit best bet on the Raptors -4 points

Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a highly profitable 48-24 ATS record good for 67% winning bets.

LA Rams vs Green Bay Packers

1:00 PM EST, Lambeau Field

8-Unit best Bet on the Packers minus the points

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a foe that is averaging 5.5 or more yards per play and was outgained by 100 or more yards in their previous game has gone to earn a 93-21 SU record and a 69-42-3 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 2010. If our home team is on a three or more-game losing streak, the record improves to 25-11 SU and 24-11-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2010. The clincher is the fact that these home teams that have the foe on the second or more road game and that opponent having lost their last game, which was also on the road are a perfect 7-0 ATS.

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

1:00 PM EST,
8-Unit best bet on the Bears plus the points

This is a highly contrarian bet that may make no sense at all, but let’s get into the numbers why the Bears are a terrific betting opportunity.

Betting on road dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points and that have allowed less than 100 rushing yards in each of their last three games has produced a 14-17 SU record and a jaw-dropping 25-6 ATS for 81% winning bets since 2018. If a road dog of 7 or more points their record has been 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2018.

Before the NFL season began, the Circa puts out lines and totals for every game of the NFL season. This game opened with the Bears a 2.5-point dog and now has shot up 7 points to a current 9.5-point price. When the line change has moved 7 or more points from the opening, and the game is taking place from Week 8 on out, the ATS record of betting on these unwanted teams is a solid 65% ATS.

Betting on dogs that are facing a team that has gained 375 or more total yards in each of their last three games and are outgaining their foes by a 50 or more YPG on the season has gone 27-9-2 ATS for 75% over the past five seasons.

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 9.5 points

Bet on road favorites of at least three points that have allowed between 100 and 110 points in each of their two previous game and facing a foe that is coming off a win by three or fewer points has produced an outstanding 24-9 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

If our road team is playing this game with more rest than the host, their record has been 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets.