New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

8:20 PM EST, Thursday, October 22, 2020
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA.

The NFC East Division is a horror show with the Dallas Cowboys getting destroyed by the Arizona Cardinals Monday night and remain in first place with an embarrassing 2-4 straight-up (SU) record. The Philadelphia Eagles have won once while losing four games, including a tie against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Eagles trail the Cowboys by a ½ game in the standings during the Washington Football Team, and New York Giants sport 1-5 SU records and trail by one game. So, a win by any of these inept teams would vault them into a tie for first place.

In light of how badly the Cowboys played in a 38-10 SU loss to the Arizona Cardinals, any of the four teams can win the NFC East with a losing record. The Eagles tied the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3 when head coach Doug Pederson opted to play for the tie and not the win. However, that decision to avoid a loss at all costs looks to be prophetic now.

The Eagles are a terrible team, and any win is significantly magnified in the NFC East standings. None of these teams are poised to rip off three or more consecutive wins and when they meet against a divisional foe earning a win is akin to winning 1.5 victories. The good news is that the Eagles are 5-0 SU and against-the-spread (ATS) in Thursday Night games under Pederson. Two of the five wins have been against the Giants, who are the opponent this Thursday.

The Eagles have endured so many injuries that they fail to stack up against any opponent right now. Running back Miles Sanders, tight end Zack Ertz, offensive guard/tackle Lane Johnson, and offensive tackle Jack Driscoll are unlikely to play in this game. Ertz is listed as 'OUT' as of Tuesday morning due to the high-ankle sprain he suffered in the loss to the Ravens that will require at least four weeks to heal.

The Eagles starting wide receivers DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery remain listed as questionable, and even if they do play, their overall effectiveness is unknown. The most massive personnel problem is having seven offensive linemen on the injury list or injured reserve and how best to plug new linemen into the lineup.

A scheduled game on Thursday Night forces NFL teams to execute more straightforward game plans. For the Eagles, this is a blessing given all the inexperienced backup players now put into starting roles. A simplistic game plan is what the Eagles need immediately to stop making many mental mistakes contributing to their losing ways. After this game, the Eagles have the Cowboys coming to town and then will play these Giants again in the Meadowlands. The Eagles must win all three games because the schedule gets rough, facing five consecutive teams with winning records. The Eagles' current form would not win any of those five games, but a 6-10 record might win the division crown if they hold the bulk of the tie-breakers.

This betting system underscores the importance of turnovers that determine the outcome of a football game. The betting system has earned a solid 56-45 SU record and 62-33-6 ATS record, good for 63% winning bets over the last five seasons. There are three simple requirements for this system.

1.       Bet on road teams.

2.       The road team is coming off two straight games, committing no more than one turnover in each.

3.       The host is coming off a game, having forced zero turnovers.

When the road team has been an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, the record improves to 15-14 SU and 23-5-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons.

The machine learning models project that the Giants will gain a minimum of 5.3 yards-per-play (YPPL) and gain more YPPL than the Eagles while scoring at least 20 points. In past games in which the Giants met or exceeded these measures have earned a 66-22 SU record and 68-20 ATS record, good for 77% winning bets over the last ten seasons. When these measures combine with the Giants installed as a road dog, the record improves to 13-1 ATS for 93% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 12 points.

Take the NY Giants plus the points as a Best Bet.

Arkansas State vs Appalachian State
8:30 ET, October 22, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on Arkansas State

App State last played in a 52-21 win over Campbell on September 26 and have to belevie there will be rust on both the offensive and defensive units. Arkansas State are playing their fourth game in 19 days and their offense ranks among the best in the nation in flash stats, but have played a weaker schedule than the SEC teams, for instance. App State has played a much weaker schedule than Arkansas State and the line is off by a TD based on the maching learning metrics.

This betting system has earned an outstanding 31-10 ATS record for 78% winning bets spanning the last 10 seasons. The requirements for the system are:

1.       Bet on road underdogs.  

2.       covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games.

3.       winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.

The machine learning models predict that Arkansas State will score at least 28 points. When scoring 28 points they have earned an outstanding 70-13 SU record for 84% wins and 59-22-2 ATS for 73% winning bets. When scoring 28 or more points as a 10-point underdog has earned a 2-3 SU record, BUT a perfect 5-0 ATS mark that covered the spread by an average of 14 points.

7-Star Best Bet and add no more than a 2* amount on the money line.  

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots
1:00 Noon EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Denver Broncos

This line was as high as 10-points and has been steadily moving lower despite the majority of tickets still jumping on the home favorite Patriots.

This NFL betting system supports the Broncos and has earned an outstanding 70% ATS on a 44-19-2 ATS record over the last five seasons. Play on underdogs facing an opponent that is coming off a game with a -3 or worse turnover margin.

The Broncos have the best run defense in the NFL and are only second to the Bucs in total defense.  Stopping the run, is key to defeating the Patriots given that they rank 21st in the NFL in overall passing.

The machine learning projections call for the Patriots to not have more than 230 passing yards and that the Broncos will have fewer turnovers. In past games in which the Broncos met or exceeded thes measures as a road dog has seen them earn a solid 14-10 SU record for 58% wins and 18-5-1 ATS for 78% winning bets that covered by an average of 7.7 points.

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

1:00 PM EST, October 18, 2020

7-Star Titan on the Chicago Bears

The Panthers defense has been awful this season ranking 27th overall in the NFL based on my numbers. The flash numbers may indicate a different picture but that one is a smoke and mirrors type. The Bears have been far better than them on defense ranking 6th-best overall and have shown excellent tackling of players in space too. I also have them ranked with the 4th-best pass rush in the NFL as well. They rank 15th with 11 sacks, but they have not been forced to use the blitz to generate pressure on the QB or to get penetration up field. Their defenswive line has been playing quite well and wht the unit ranks fifth in the NFL allowing 465 yards-after-the-catch.

DL Brent Urban, drafted in 2014, is having his best season and combined with Kamil Mack have been great run stoppers. Urbamn is listed as questionable for this game, but is expectd to play. Bilal Nichols has played on 187 snaps and can run a 4.9 Forty and has been getting better each week.

The following are from the machine learning metrics. The Bears in road games  are 32-11 SU for 74% wins and 35-6-2 ATS for 85% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 10 points when they held an opponent to fewer than 230 passig yards and had fewer turnovers.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
1:00 PM EST, October 18, 2020

Bet on Bad NFL Road Teams

There are two betting systems that support the winless Falcons in this road game against the Vikings. The first one has earned a solid 113-69-2 against-the-spread for 62% winning bets over the last 30 seasons. The requirements focus on offensive and defensive scoring.

1.         Bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

2.         Their opponents have outscored them by seven or more points-per-game.

3.         The dog is coming off back-to-back games, scoring seven or fewer points in the first half in each game.

The second NFL betting focuses on turnovers, which have a huge correlation to wins and losses for any football team. The system has earned a 28-8 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets spanning the last five seasons and has four requirements.

1.         Bet on underdogs, including pick-em.

2.         The team is mistake-free, averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers-per-game.

3.         The opponent has a defense that forces an average of 1.25 or fewer turnovers.

4.         The opponent is coming off two consecutive games forcing no more than one turnover.

The Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Pick:

The Vikings running back Dalvin Cook has been declared ‘OUT’ for this game, suffering from a groin injury. He is a massive part of the Vikings offense and will give the Falcons an even greater chance of winning this game.

The machine learning models project that the Falcons will out gain the Vikings by at least 100 total yards and will score at least 24 points. In past games in which the Falcons met or exceeded these performance measures has led them to a 52-5 straight-up (SU) record good for 91% wins and a 49-8 ATS record good for 86% winning bets covered the number an average of 14 points. The Falcons finally hold on to a lead and win the game.  

Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

8:00 PM EST, October 17, 2020

10-Star Titan on the Georgia Bulldogs

Here is a solid betting system that has earned a 34-13 ATS record good for 72% winning bets and 27 of the 34 ATS wins covered the spread by at least 7.5 points. The requirements are to underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival and is facing an opponent coming off a road game where both teams scored 34 points or more.

The machine learning models project that the Bulldogs will score a minimum of 27 points and gain a minimum of 175 rushing yards. In past games in which the Bulldogs met or exceeded these performance measures in road games has produced a 23-3 SU recpord for 89% wins and 19-7 ATS record for 73% winning bets since 2010; 5-1 ATS as an underdog.

Nick Saban is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in home games installed as 7-point or smaller favorite as the coach of the Tide.

Mississippi vs Arkansas
3:30 PM EST, October 17, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the Arkansas Razorbacks

Razorbacks are 25-12 ATS in home games facing good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards-per-game.

This system has gone 35-10 ATS  78% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to bet pn any team that is facing an opponent that is getting outscored by 7 or more PPG and has scored 30 or more points in each of their last two games.

The machine learning models project that the Razorbacks will score at least 28 points and gain average of 6.9 YUPPL. In past home games in which the Razorbacks met or exceeded these performance measures has earned them an outstanding 17-8 ASTS record for 68% winning bets and a 7-1 ATS 89% record when facing an SEC foe.

Louisville vs Notre Dame
2:20 PM EST, October 17, 2020

Scott Satterfield’s offense may not be very efficient, but it sure is explosive. The Cardinals are a top-12 team in passing and rushing explosiveness but rank in the bottom half of college football in Passing and Rushing Success Rate.

The inconsistencies on offense can really be boiled down to their offensive line play, as they’ve allowed 14 sacks and 40 tackles for loss in their first four games.

The Cards have done most of their damage through the air with quarterback Micale Cunningham, who is a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s regressed from last year. Last season, Cunningham averaged 11.2 yards per attempt, but this year, he’s dropped all the way down to 8.0. He’s also only completing 58.9% of his passes, so this is a game in which I see him, having a monster game.

Notre Dame is 1-12 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 or more points.

Here is a betting system that has earned a 38-11 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and requires us to bet on any team with 16 or more returning starters and has lost their last two games.

Auburn vs South Carolina
12:00 Noon EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Auburn Tigers

In the Tiger’s last trip to Columbia in 2011, the No 10 Gamecocks were upset by an unranked Tigers squad 16-13. The Tigers are 3-0 straight-up (SU) and 2-1 against-the-spread (ATS) in Columbia, 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS at home, and 3-1-1 SU and ATS in neutral site games facing the Gamecocks.

This college football betting system supports the Tigers and has earned an outstanding 77-34-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. More recently, the system has achieved a 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets over the previous three seasons.

There are three requirements for this system. The first is to bet on any team averaging 280 to 330 offensive YPG on the season. The second and third is the opponent gaining 390 to 440 YPG on the season and coming off a game gaining 7.25 or more yards-per-play. That is all there is to track this highly profitable betting system.

The Tigers are -3 points via Bet MGM. The machine learning models project that the Tigers will rush the ball for a minimum of 150 yards and score 28 points. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded this pair of performance measures has led them to a 74-5 SU mark for 94% wins and 53-23-3 ATS record and 70% winning bets that covered the number by an average of 7 points.

Taking the previous pair of performance measures and adding games in which the Tigers were a road favorite improves the results to a perfect 12-0 SU winning these games by an average of 21 points and 10-1-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the number by an average of 11.4 points.

Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers
Game 5 NLCS
9:08 PM EST, October 12, 2020

10-Star on the Dodgers

Here is a betting system that has eanred a 25-11 record good for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to bet against NL underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +185) that is a good offensive team scoring >=4.9 runs-per-game against a good NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans
7:00 PM EST, October 13, 2020

7-Star Titan on the Buffalo Bills

Here is a solid betting system that has earned a 42-14 record for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TENNESSEE) - after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.

The machine learning models project that the Bills will score 24 or more points and will win the turnover battle. In past games in which the Bills met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them earn a 30-2 SU record and 27-4-1 ATS for 87% winning bets the last ten seasons.

Chargers vs Saints
8:15 PM EST, October 13, 2020

7-Star play on the Chargers

Here is a solid betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to be on a road team that is doing well in the passing game averaging 275 passing yards-per-game (YPP) on the season and are coming off two consecutive games in which they allowed 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt.

The machine learning models project that the Chargers will gain a minimum of 5.5 yards-per-play and will outgain their opponent by a minimum of 70 total yards. In past games in which the Chargers met or exceeded these performance measures as a road dog, they have earned a 5-1 SU record and perfect 6-0 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 11 points.

Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks
8:20 PM EST, October 11, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the Vikings.

I like making this a combination wager to exploit the upset by placing a 4.5* amount on the line and a 2.5-star amount on the money line. You can certainly just bet 7-star play on the spread (line) too.

Here is a money line system that has earned an solid 19-7 record for 73% winners and has made 20.1 units-perunit bet over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to on any team using the money line (MINNESOTA) that was outgained by opponent by 70 or more passing yards-per-game on the season, after gaining 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games.

The machine learning models project that the Vikings will score 24 or more points and will average at least 7.7 yards-per-pass-attempt. In past games played over the last 5 seasons, the Vikings have earned a 19-3-1 SU record and a 18-3-2 ATS mark good for 86% winning bets.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 6 NBA Finals
7:30 PM EST, Sunday, October 11, 2020

The machine learning stools and models are on the Heat again. LeBron has been here before, but not many of the other teammates. LeBron knows the pressure well and it has gone bad more times than not. Butler is playing at an amazing level and the leadership has been immense to the rest of the team this entire playoff season.

 The following results match the projections produced by the models. The Lakers are 6-18 ATS when shooting between 43 and 47% form the field this season; 15-29-2 ATS for 34% when the opponent has shot 35% or better from beyond the arc. Lakers are 9-24-2 ATS when allowing 107 or more points and allowing 35% or better 3-point shooting this season.

Heat are 43-11 SU and 35-17 ATS for 67% when scoring 107 or more points and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots this season; 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in this year’s playoffs.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans
1:00 PM EST, October 11, 2020

7-Star Titan on the JAX Jaguars

Here is a solid betting system that has earned a 42-14 record for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against home teams that are allowing 25 or more PPG and have allowed 25 or more points in 3 straight games. Simple, highly profitable and easy to track.

The machine learning models project that the Jaguars will score 24 or more points and gain a minimum of 250 passing yards. I past games in which the Jaguars met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them earn a 9-6 SU record and 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets the last five seasons. The Texans are just 4-17 SU and 6-15 ATS for 28% wins when they have allowed these measures in games played over the last five seasons.

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Boston College vs Pittsburgh
4:00 PM EST, October 10, 2020

10-Star Titan on the Pitt Panthers

Here is a solid betting system that has earned a 100-50 ATS record gopod for 67% winning bets since 1990. The requirements are to bet on road teams, which is obviously Pittsburgh, in a game in which both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and is now facing a host that is coming off a close loss of 7 or fewer points to a conference rival.  BC lost 26-22 to UNC as 14.5-point dogs last week.

Pitt defense will be on display in this matchup and the machine learning models project that BC will gain less than 5 yards per play and not exceed 100 rushing yards. In past games in which Pitt met or exceeded these performance measures has led to an outstanding 33-7 SU mark and 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2006; 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS as a road favorite.

Texas Tech vs Iowa State
3:30 PM EST, October 10, 2020

7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Cyclones

Coming off its first win over Oklahoma in Ames, Iowa, since 1960, No. 24 Iowa State is looking to keep its focus against a visiting Texas Tech team that is trying to find a way to win. In the last two weeks, Texas Tech (1-2, 0-2 Big 12) dropped an overtime decision to then-No. 8 Texas and then squandered a fourth-quarter lead at Kansas State.

The machine learning models project that ISU will average a minimum of 9 yards-per-pass-attempt and will score at least 31 points. In past games in which the Cyclones met or exceeded these performance measures has earned a 15-3 SU record and 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets since 2006.

Florida vs Texas A&M
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Florida Gators.

This betting system has earned a 138-83 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the last 10 seasons and serves the active bettor well. It has produced a profit of $4,300 for the $100 bettor for a 19% return on investment (ROI). This betting system has four parameters that work together to produce consistent returns over the past 10 seasons.  The requirements are to bet against teams in the regular or postseason that were a bowl or playoff team from last year and are coming off a loss of 14 to 31 points as a ranked team.

The Aggies are coming off a loss as a ranked team to No 2 Alabama by the final score of 52-24 losing by 28 points and failing to cover the spread as 18-point road underdogs. The loss did not cause the Aggies much damage in the rankings this week as they find themselves positioned at No 14.

Tweaking this system produces a 17-7 SU record and 15-9 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets with a ranked team coming off a 14 to 31 point loss to a team ranked better than them, and is now facing another team ranked better than them in the current AP poll.

This awesome money line betting system has earned an outstanding 56-34 ATS record for 62% winning bets spanning the last 10 seasons and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $4,900. The requirements of this money line system are to bet on a home team using the money line off a blowout loss by 21 or more points to a conference rival that has five or more defensive returning starters than the current opponent.

This money line system has earned an 85-21 record for 80% winning bets since 2000. The requirements are to bet on a road team using the money line that is an excellent offensive team averaging 6.2 or more yards-per-play, after two consecutive games in which they gained 6.3 or more yards-per-play in each of them and is now facing an opponent with a struggling defense that is allowing at least 6.25 yards-per-play.

The machine learning models project that the Gators will score 28 or more points and average at least nine yards-per-pass attempt. In past games in which the Gators met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go on to earn a 40-1 SU record for 98% wins and a 32-5-2 ATS mark good for 87% winning bets that have covered by an average of 10.4 points.

When the Aggies have played games in which they allowed 28 or more points and more than 9 yards per pass attempt they have gone onto a miserable 5-27 SU record for 16% wins and 7-23-2 ATS record for 23% winning bets.

Virginia Tech vs UNC
12:00 PM EST, October 10, 2020

7-Star Play on the V-Tech Hokies

Let us start with a betting system that has earned a solid 76-35 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team that has a strong ground attack averaging a minimum of 4.8 yards-per-rush and are coming off a game in which they out rushed the opponent by a minimum of 150 yards and are now facing an average rusinmg team averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 yards-per-rush. Simply said, Tech has the better ground attach and will use that strength to control the clock and dominate time-of-possession.

The machine learning models project that the Hokies will gain at least 5 yards-per-rush and will have fewer turnovers than UNC. In past games in which the Hokies met or exceeded this pair of performance measures they have earned a 21-1 SU record and 19-3 ATS for 86.4% winning bets.

Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech
7:00 PM EST, October 9, 2020

7-Star Upset Alert on Georgia Tech

What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?

My Machine learning models project that G-Tech will average 5.5 or more rushing yards-per-attempt and score 28 or more points. In past games in which Tech met or exceeded this par of performance measures they have gone to a 37-7 SU record and 32-9-2 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets since 2011; in home conference games installed as a dog they have gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2011. Take Tech.

Tampa Bay Bucs vs Chicago Bears
Soldier Field, Chicago IL
8:20 PM EST, October 8, 2020

What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?

My Machine learning models project that Brady will throw for more than 250 yards and that the Bucs will gain a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-pass attempt. When the Bucs have met or exceeded these performance measures in road games they have earned a 8-6 SU record and a 11-3 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
9:00 PM EST, October 6, 2020.

Game 4 takes place in the NBA Finals and oh how the results of Game 3 have changed the look and feel of this series. The Lakers were out to a 2-0 series lead and Miami was without two of their best players in Games 2 and 3. Yet, the Heat’s strong forward, Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 19.9 points-per-game, 6.7 rebounds-per-game, and 10.2 assist-per-game for the series, found a way to lead his team to a huge Game 3 win Tuesday Night.

I went on record stating on Twitter and linked to the Game 3 NBA article found here on Odds, that there was never a better time to bet aggressively on a team that was down 0-2 to the NBA Finals than right now with the Heat. Currently, the Lakers are favored by 7.5-points at all the major sportsbooks with MGM offering the Heat at +7.5 +105 vig. For the series you can get the Heat at +850 and +1100 for Jimmy Butler to win the MVP at MGM as the screenshot below shows.

That is a great question and the answer consists of two parts. The first part is the fact that there has been three NBA Champions that had three different high scorers in each of the first three playoff rounds. The Miami Heat have become the fourth team and strongly believe they are a real team with a great floor general in Butler and the vastly better coaching in Spoelstra. I was completely sold when near the end of Game 3 Butler was seen saying “They know they are in trouble” repeatedly as he walked off the court toward his teammates during a timeout.

This money line betting system has earned a solid 104-89 betting record good for 55% winning bets and has made the Dime player a profit of $37,200 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on any team using the money line in a game involving two teams that are allowing opponents to shoot between 43.5 and 46% from the field, and is a good ball handling team averaging 14.5 or fewer turnovers-per-game and is facing a team that forces an average of 14 to 16 turnovers per game in games played after the 41st one has been completed and including the playoff rounds.

The machine learning models confirm the bet on the Heat tonight and with the win would bring this series to an even two wins apiece and reduce the Finals to a best-of-three match.  The day off until Game 5 give the Heat a chance to get Goran Dragic back into the lineup. He is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game and I do not expect him top play. However, I would not be surprised to see the Heat center Bam Adebayo get some minutes tonight. So, these projections do not include either player in the game tonight just as they did for last night’s game.

The Heat are projected to shoot above 45% form the field, make at least 14 3-point shots, and make more 3-point shots than the Lakers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these projections they went on to earn a 59-16 straight-up record and 56-15-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 79% winning bets since 1995 and 35-10 SU for 78% wins and 31-10-4 ATS for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The Lakers are a money losing 12-57 SU for 17% wins and 9-59-1 ATS for a miserable 13% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 11.5 points since 1995 and 8-24 SU for 25% wins and 7-25 ATS for 22% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 9 points since 2017 when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures.

All playoff teams that allowed their opponents to meet or exceed those performance measures are 15-64 SU for 19% wins losing by an average of 13 points and 14-63-2 ATS for 18% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 10 pints.

Take the Miami Heat as a Best Bet NBA in Game 4 of the NBA Finals

NE Patriots vs KC Chiefs
Arrowhead Stadium, KC, MO
7:05 PM EST, October 5, 2020

7-Star play on the Patriots

Betting against the Patriots has not paid off well while Bill Belichick has been the head coach of the Patriots. The Patriots are 13-18 straight-up (SU), but 19-12 against-the-spread (ATS) for 61.3% winning bets as an underdog of more than 3 points and less than 10 points since the 2000 season. If we add the ‘site’ parameter to this database query we learn that the Patriots are 2-3 SU and 4-1 ATS in home games and 11-15 SU and 15-11 ATS for 58% winning bets since 2000.

Drilling into the data a bit further and using the type of surface the game is being played on reveals more supporting evidence. The Patriots are 3-5 SU and 5-1 ATS in games played on artificial turf under Belichick and installed as a 3 to 10 point underdog and 10-13 SU covering 61% of those 23 games for a 14-9 ATS record when the game is on grass. Arrowhead Stadium is a grass surface stadium.

Even the month when the game is played brings to light just how good betting the Patriots under Belichick as an underdog has been for backers. The chart below shows that his best month is in October, in which the Patriots have earned a solid 65-18 SU record and covered 68% of those games ATS for a 55-26-2 record.

Then the cheesecake appears. Now, that Cam has COVID-19 and will not be playing the line has made the Patriots a double-digit underdog. Belichick is 8-1 ATS and 6-3 SU in games where his Patriots team has been installed as 10 or more point underdog. 6-0 SU and ATS the last six games in this incredible stretch of games.

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers
8:20 PM EST, October 4, 2020

Last week, on Monday Night Football, we got to see the Kansas Chiefs and their head coach and former Eagle head coach Andy Reed take offensive play-calling to a new level of creativity. Current Eagles skipper Doug Pederson used to call games in a similar creative style and at times with a whole lot more risk. Those days seem to be decades ago for the Eagle fans and without the right personnel, there is little reason to expect anything more from the Eagles on both sides of the ball.

The Eagles rank 24th in the NFL gaining 1009 total offensive yards good for 334 yards-per-game. There are five teams in the NFL that have gained 1,300 total offensive yards ore more. The NFC East rival Dallas Cowboys lead the NFL gaining 1,472 total yards and averaging 491 yards-per-game. There is one category that the Eagles lead in the NFL rankings and it is not one to be admired. They have turned the ball over to the opponent 8 times and so far, have turned the ball over on 21% of their drives this season. No NFL team can win games with performance measures this bad.

Here is a tremendous money line betting system that supports the 49ers and will cause even greater depression for the Eagle fans. This system has gone 27-1 for 96% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams using the money line and are a mistake-free team that are committing 0.75 or fewer turnovers-per-game and after a game earning a +2 turnover advantage and now facing an opponent with a -0.75 turnover differential.

The machine learning models project that the 49ers will score at least 28 points, will gain a minimum of 6 yards-per-play, and will have fewer turnovers than the Eagles. The 49ers are 81-8 straight-up (SU), and 67-22 against-the-spread (ATS) for 75% winning bets since 1990 when scoring 28 or more bets. Further, the 49ers are a stellar 21-2 SU and 18-5 ATS for 78% winning bets in home games when they score 28 or more points and average a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. Last, they are a 17-0 SU and 15-2 ATS for 88% wining bets when they have met or exceeded the projected all three of the performance measures. Take the San Francisco 49ers as a Best Bet NFL Pick.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 3 NBA Finals

8:30 PM EST, October 4, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat

In the history of the playoffs a team that had a different high-scorer in each of the last three playoff rounds are 3-0 in the Championship Finals. The Heat accomplished that feat and if there was ever a time to roll the dice and get an incredibly great price for futures prop in the NBA Finals it would be right now. I love the Heat on a futures bet to win the Finals. Yes, it is a long shot, but we are getting paid to assume that risk and one that I doi think is quite possible.

The machine learning reveals that the Heat are 134-17 SU and 120-27-4 ATS 82% when they score at least 107 points and shoot at least 45% from the field and will make more 3-point shots than the opponent.

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders
4: 25 PM EST, October 4, 2020

7-Star Best bet on the Raiders
7-Star best bet on the ‘UNDER’

3-Star Reverse action parlay using the Raiders and the ‘UNDER’

Here is a simple to use betting system that has made a ton of dough over the last 10 seasons and instructs us to be on underdsogs that are facing an opponent that is coming off a home win during the first four weeks of the season.

Supporting the ‘UNDER’ is a system that has earned a 24-5 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 83% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are bet the ‘UNDER’ with any team in game with a posted total of 49 or more points after one or more straight losses and is facing an opponent on a three-game or more win streak.

The machine learning tools project that the Raiders will gain at least 7 yards-per-pass play and score between 22 or more points. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a 13-8 SU record and 17-4 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets that covered by an average of 7 points.

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
1:00 PM EST, October 4, 2020

7-Star graded play on the Minnesota Vikings

Both teams are 0-3 and they both know that only four teams have ever made the playoffs after an 0-3 start and none after an 0-4 start. This betting system supports the Vikings and has earned a 28-7 ARTS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1990. The requirements are to bet on road teams that are coming off a home cover ATS, but lost the game SU and has not won a game on the season.

This system works against the Texans and has earned a 42-16 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after they posted two consecutive games in which their defense forced zero turnovers.

The machine learning models project that the Vikings will score between 24 and 30 points and will pass for a minimum of 225 yards. In past games in which the Vikings met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a solid 13-4 SU and ATS record good for 76% wining bets  over the last five seasons. In the same manner, the Texans are 2-7 SU and ATS when they have allowed these measures to an opponent since 2016.

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys
1:00 PM, October 4, 2020

7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Dallas Cowboys

The Public is on the Cowboys at a price of -5 and that is not surprising given that the Browns have been a dysfunctional franchise for most of the past decade. 68% of more than 1200 betting tickets that I track from 20 different sportsbooks are on the Cowboys and 87% of the total money bet on this game. So, we have the public and the larger betting professionals on the same side. This is not unusual, and it is not reflecting an extreme betting flow that would warrant a contrarian bet supporting the Browns.

The Cowboys could have been 0-3 on the season had it not been for an incredible comeback on the road against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 2. It can be reasoned too, that they might have been 3-0 if a few breaks had gone there way. The one certainty is the Cowboys offense is quite good and will be difficult for any defense to contain this season.

The Cowboys have tallied 1,472 yards or 490 yards-per-game and ranks best in the NFL by 100 total yards over the second-best Green Bay Packers. While it is unlikely that the Cowboys will be able to maintain a near-500 yards-per-game offense, they will have few games in which they will not gain a minimum of 375 offensive yards. Despite all the yards gained they have scored 88 points that place them 8th in scoring offense.

Turnovers at critical points in scoring drives have been a problem for the Cowboys, but one that can be corrected. They rank first in the league having run 236 offensive plays on37 total drives. They have suffered a turnover on 16.2% of their drives ranking fifth-worst in the NFL. By way of comparison, there are four teams in the NFL that have a turnover percentage under 5% of their total drives and includes the Kansas City Chiefs (3.4%), the San Francisco 49ers (3.2%), the Tennessee Titans (3.0%), and the Green Bay Packers, who have yet to have a turnover. The Cowboys will have a greater focus on ball handling and as a result, their scoring drive numbers will increase while the turnover measures decline.

The betting lines imply a Cowboys win by the final score of 31-25 given the 56-point total and that the Cowboys are 5-point home favorites. The models project that Dallas will score 28 or more points in this game. The Cowboys are a solid 50-15 straight-up (SU) and 47-18 against-the-spread (ATS) for 72% winning bets when scoring 28 or more points in games played since 2010. In games in which they scored 28 or more points and were installed as 3.5 to 7.5-point favorites, they are 27-6 SU and 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 6.4 points.

Since 2010, the Browns are 1-16 SU and 5-11-1 ATS in games as an underdog of 3.5 to 7.5 points and allowed 28 or more points. Take the Dallas Cowboys as an NFL Best Bet minus the points.

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM EST, October 4, 2020

Here is a solid and simple betting system that has earned an 83-43 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to be on underdogs that are faincg an opponent off a SU home win during the first four weeks of the regular season.

The Machine learning models project that the Dolphins will score at least 24 points and gain a minimum of 6.5 yards-per-play. In past games in which the Dolphins bet or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 9-2 SU record and 8-2 ATS mark good for 80% winning bets since 2016.

Virginia Cavaliers vs No 1 Clemson Tigers
Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
8:00 PM EST, October 3, 2020
Clemson -28 O/U: 55 points

The top-ranked Clemson Tigers, who are 2-0 overall and 1-0 in the ACC host the Virginia Cavaliers, who own a 1-0 overall and ACC Conference record. The two teams had not faced eachother for six consecutive seasons until last seasons’ ACC Championship game and now 10 months later face eachother again. The Tigers simply dominated the Cavaliers on both sides of the ball in their 62-17 ACC Championship win and covered the spread as 29.5-point favorites quite easily.

Virginia trailed only by 7 points at the end of a 14-7 first quarter, but from there on the game was controlled by the Tigers. Clemson returning QB Trevor Lawrence threw for 302 yards completing 16 of 22 passes including 4 touchdowns and zero interceptions. All combined, he earned a ridiculously high QB rating of 248. Overall, the Tigers outgained the Cavaliers by 232 offensive yards and forced three turnovers and did not turn the ball over.

I have found over my 26 years of sports data research, predictions, and picks that meaningful data points can be obtained from look at the previous game’s boxes score. Hence, the wording of What’s Next for a team coming off specific performance measures.

The Cavaliers are coming off a strong start to their 2020 season with a 30-20 win over Duke University and easily covered the spread as 3.5-point home favorites. They gained 185 rushing yards on 46 attempts for a 4.02 yards-per-rush ratio. QB Brennan Armstrong had an inconsistent game throwing for 269 yards but completing 53% of his 45 pass attempts for 24 completed passes. He averaged just 4.9 yards-per-pass-attempt including 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

So, what’s next for the Cavaliers coming off this game based on their performances. The Cavaliers as road double-digit underdogs are 6-33 straight-up (SU) for 15% wins. 19-18-2 against-the-spread (ATS) for 51.4% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ is 20-19 for 51% in games played following a game in which they averaged 4.2 or fewer rushing yards-per-attempt since 2006. Not much revealed one way or the other from just that alone. If we filter the data to include games over the last five seasons the Cavaliers are 0-12 SU, 7-5 ATS for 58% winning bets, and the ‘UNDER’ has earned a 7-5 winning record.

Combine Cavalier Rushing Yards and Turnover Margin

When combining rushing yards per attempt and turnover margin the brilliant College Football database reveals that the Cavaliers are 4-7 SU for 36% wins, 4-7 ATS, and 8-3 ‘OVER’ for 73% winning bets. So, now I have a possible lean to bet the ‘OVER’. But we have only just begun to drill the data.

The Tigers are 15-4 ATS when competing against a conference foe in games played spanning the last three seasons. They had half-time leads of 14 or more points in their last two games. The Tigers are 11-2 ATS after leading their previous two games by 14 or more points at the half in games played over the last three seasons.

The Tigers offense is looking quite good noting that they scored 20 or more points in the first half of each of the first two games this season. So, the Tigers are a 13-3 ATS following two straight games scoring 20 or more points in the first half in games played over the last three seasons.

So, here we get into a formidable team situation supporting a bet on the Tigers. Teams that ranked in the Top-5 and did not cover the spread in their last two games and are now favored by 20 or more points and facing an opponent off a SU win are an impressive 21-1 SU for 96% wins, 15-7 ATS for 68% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ 10-9-1 for 53% in games played since 2006.

What Does the Machine Learning Project for This Game?

The machine learning models predict a near certainty that the Tigers will score 28 or more points in this game. Teams ranked 5 or higher in the polls and score 28 points are 743-74 SU for 91% wins, 490-295-16 ATS for 62.4% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ has earned a solid 404-267-20 record in game splayed since 2006.  More specifically, when the Tigers are 47-1 SU for 98% wins, 32-14-1 ATS for a money-making 70% winning bets, and an even 23-23-1 record on the total in games played since 2016. 

Take the Clemson Tigers and lay the wood as a College Football Best Bet

No 7 Auburn Tigers vs No 4 Georgia Bulldogs
Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
7:30 PM EST, October 3, 2020
Georgia -6.5   o/u: 45

This is a matchup of nationally ranked SEC Conference Titans squaring off in Athens, GA Saturday Night with a lot on the line.  Speaking of the line, the Georgia Bulldogs are a 6.5-point home favorite, but the early betting flows sees the professionals backing the Auburn Tigers. The number of betting tickets is even at 50-50, but 75% of the money is on the Tigers and the line will move to a price of 6 points.

The Tigers are 21-17 straight-up for 55% wins, but a money-burning 14-23 ATS for 38% winning bets when coming off a game allowing 14 or fewer points. The news from the database queries improves to 12-8 SU for 60% winning bets and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets coming off a game where the offense averaged at least 5.5 yards-per-play, had 1 or zero turnovers and play on the road against a conference foe in games played since 2010.

This money line betting system has earned an 54-57 record for just 49% winners but has averaged a +220-dog wager in making the $100 bettor a profit of $4,930 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs between +150 and +300 in a game where both teams have returned five or fewer offensive starters. Since 1990, this simple betting system has made the $100 bettor a profit of $7,430. This system supports the Auburn Tigers.

The models project that the Tigers will force the Bulldogs into at least two turnovers, will have one or zero turnovers and will rush for 150 or more yards. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 29-1 SU record and a 21-8-1 ATS record producing 72.4% winning bets that have covered by an average of 9.3 points.

The Tigers are 3-0 SU and ATS when on the road installed as a dog and meeting or exceeded the previously mentioned performance measures. Further, the best of the best is the fact that when the Tigers meet the projections mentioned above while playing a conference foe they are a perfect 14-0 SU and 13-1 ATS for 93% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 16 points.

No 13 Texas A&M Aggies vs No 2 Alabama Crimson Tide
Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
3:30 PM EST, October 3, 2020
7-Star Titan on the Texas A&M Aggies

There are few matchups that are more enjoyable to watch then when two ranked teams out of the SEC Conference lock horns. This is one of them when No 13 Texas A&M Aggies travel to Tuscaloosa to face the No 2 Alabama Crimson Tide, who are favored by 17 points. Both teams are 1-0 overall and 1-0 in the SEC. The Tide got off to fast 28-3 start hosting the Missouri Tigers and coasted to the 38-19 win but failed to cover as 27.5-point favorites. The Aggies got off to unorthodox 7-5 half-time before getting control of the game in the second stanza against a determined Vanderbilt Commodores team to win 17-12 but failed to cover the spread as 25.5-point favorites.

Here is a College Football betting system that has earned a 75%-win percentage on a 39-13 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the last 10 seasons. The betting system requires us to bet on road teams that scored and allowed 17 or fewer points in their last game and are now facing a host, who led by 17 or more points at the half in their last game. Over the last three seasons this system has been a near-imperfect 10-1 ATS for 92% winning bets.

For a matchup of SEC teams, a posted total of 52-points is low scoring and does reflect the strength of both defenses in this matchup. So, the betting lines indicate a final score of 34-17 based on the Tide favored by 17 points and the posted total of 52-points. The projections call for the Aggies to hold the Tide to 28 or fewer points and not have more turnovers than the Tide.

In past games in which the Aggies met or exceeded these performance measures in SEC matchups they have earned an outstanding 24-3 SU record and a 22-3 ATS mark for 88% winning bets since 2006. When they achieved these performance measures in road SEC games, they are 12- SU and ATS covering the spread by an average of 12 points.

The Tide is 4-3 SU and an imperfect 0-7 ATS in home conference games when they have not scored more than 28 points and lost the turnover battle.

No 12 North Carolina Tarheels take to the road and to visit Chestnut Hill to take on the ACC rival Boston College Eagles. The Tarheels were ranked 18th in the 2020 preseason poll and are now ranked 12th after their dominating 31-6 win over conference rival Syracuse Orange. They were installed as 24-point home favorites and covered that spread by a single point. This is the highest ranking the Tarheels have enjoyed since being ranked 8th in Week 13 of the 2015 season.

The Tarheels are installed as 14.5-point road favorite with a posted total of 54 points. The betting public accounts for more than 70% of the bets placed on the Tarheels, but account for 48% of the total money bet on the game of the 20 sportsbooks that I track. Of the parlay bets made on this game 72% are betting the Tarheels and the ‘OVER’. So, this is a sign of irrational betting with so many obsessed with the Tarheels and provides a contrarian type of bet on Boston College.

The Tarheels have not played a game in three weeks after a non-conference game against Charlotte University was cancelled due to COVID-19 related illnesses to Charlotte’s offensive unit. The layoff will not have negative impact to their performance in this game. They have the best depth on the roster in many seasons and have a sophomore QB in Sam Howell that plays at a level far beyond his years. For the 2019 season he completed 259 of his 422 pass attempts for 61.4%, gaining 3,641 yards including 38 touchdown passes and just 7 interceptions.

The total was lined at 65 points in the Syracuse game, which implied a higher scoring game than what was the result. The Tarheels sputtered during the first half and held a 7-3 lead. It was not until the fourth quarter that they got things ignited and scored 21 unanswered points. Howell was the main reason for the offensive explosion and for the game completed 25 of 34 passes for 75% completions, 295 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Syracuse does have an elite-level defensive unit, so it is not concerning that Howell and the offense had some rust to get rid of.

The Tarheels ground attack was dominating in the fourth quarter and helped open the play action passing scheme. RB Javonte Williams had 57 rushing yards on 14 attempts including 3 touchdowns. RB Michael Carter had just 7 touches but gained 78 rushing yards for an 11.1 yards-per-rush average. WR Dyami Brown had a huge day catching 6 balls for 94 yards and a 15.7 yards-per-catch average.

The Tarheels and head coach Mack Brown have a luxury consisting of 10 of 11 returning starters on offense including their QB Howell and return 7 from last year’s defense. In this matchup the defense will get the accolades being matched against an Eagle offense that returns 6 offensive starters and 9 on defense. The Tarheel defense is vastly better than the Eagle defense and despite having 9 returning defensive starters I do not see the Eagles containing the Tarheel offense for all four quarters.

The Tarheels gained 160 rushing yards on 35 carries against one of the better defensive fronts seven in the ACC and will gain even more than that against the Eagle defense.

The 28-point scoring level is a pivotal one with many teams having much better results straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) when they score 28 or more points versus game sin which they do not. The machine learning models project that the Tarheels will score 28 or more points. In past games in which the Tarheels scored 28 or more points has earned a 175-36 SU record for 83% wins, 142-55 ATS record good for 72% winning bets, and the ‘OVER’ winning the money 77% on a 64-19-4 record since 1980.

My highly intelligent database reveals that the Tarheels are 17-1 SU and winning these games by an average of 25 points, and 15-3 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 7.9 points in road games and favored by double-digits.

Take the North Carolina Tarheels and lay the wood as a College Football Best Bet

Denver (0-3) vs NY Jets (0-3)
8:20 PM EST, October 1, 2020
Thursday Night Football

7-Star MLB Best Bet on the Jets

Let us start with a proven betting system that has earned a 37-12 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on underdogs that are facing a team with a terrible turnover metric farcing 1 or less turnovers-per-game and are coming off a game in which they had a -2 or worse turnover margin.

The machine learning models project that the Jets defense will get the job done tonight allowing 85 or fewer rushing yards. 20 or fewer points, and contain the Bronco offense to less than 300 yards. In past games, in which Denver’s offense had performances equal to or worse then these projections they have posted a losing 7-39 SU record and 7-38-1 ATS mark good for 15% wins since 1990 and are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS failing to cover by an average of 11 points since 2016.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

10:08 PM EST, September 30, 2020
Game 1 NL Wild Card

10-Star Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 Run Line

Here is a supporting run line betting system that has earned a 48-17 record good for 74% winning bets spanning the past five seasons and requires us to bet on road underdogs using the run line of +165 to -190 that is averaging 4.0 to 4.5 runs per game and is battig just 0.225 or worse over their last five games and is facing a solid NL starter with an ERA or 3.70 or lower on the season.

The Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler is on the hill and his team record is just 4-13 against the run line after giving up 1 or zero earned runs in his last outing over the last two seasons. He is also 0-2 when facing the Brewers and was on the disabled list twice in September because of a blister at the tip of his right index finger. He pitched just 11 2/3 innings in September.

Brent Sutor has made four appearances as an opener, he had no decisions and a 1.38 ERA in 13 innings.

Milwaukee finished sixth in the NL with a staff ERA of 4.16, and the team's relievers were fourth with a 4.17 mark.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 1 NBA Finals

9:00 PM EST, September 30, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the LA Lakers

This is a great betting system that has earned a 79-20 SU record for 80% wins and a 67-31-1 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to bet on favorites with a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and is coming off a game in which the combined score went over the posted total by 20 or more points. The record is 15-5 SU for 75% wins and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets in playoff games. Plus, a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals since 2015.

The machine learning reveals that the Lakers are 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring at least 105 points and having 40% of their points scored from made 3-pointers. 8-0 SU and ATS since the start of the 2018 season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
8:15 PM EST, September 28, 2020

10-Star Titan on the Baltimore Ravens

Travel related issues for the Chiefs as they are coming off a trip to LA and defeated the Chargers in a hard-fought 23-20 win and failed to cover the spread as 9-point favorites. They now play another road trip to the East Coast to face an excellent Baltimore Ravens team. Last September the Ravens visited Arrowhead and lost 33-28  to the Chiefs and failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. So, revenge is clearly a factor for the Ravens, in what may be a preview of the AFC Conference Championship game.

So, teams that are coming off a road win installed as a favorite against an opponent on the West Coast and is now traveling again to face an opponent on the East Coast and a team they defeated last season are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS failing to cover the spread by 9.4 points.

The machine learning models project that the Ravens will win this game by double digits. The Ravens are projected to outrush the Chiefs by at least a margin of 2:1 (more than twice as many rushing yards). In addition, they are projected to gain at least 1.2 yards-per-play more than the Chiefs. In past games in which the Ravens doubled their opponent rushing yards they have gone on to earn a 44-3 SU mark and 33-14-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. When the Ravens have doubled the opponents rushing yards and outgained them by an average of 1.2 YPPL they have earned a 37-1 SU record and 34-4 ATS for 90% winning bets.

4:25 PM EST, September 27, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet on the Detroit Lions

This betting system is incredible and has produced a 25-3 ATS record for 89% winning bets over the last 30 seasons. So, it is a very rare one, but when this system is activated, it is for very strong reasons. The system requires us to bet on road dogs that are facing a host that allowed 24 or more points on defense last season and are coming off a game in which they scored 30 or more points.

The machine learning tools project that the Lions will score 24 or more points and average a minimum of 5.3 yards-per-play. In past games when they met or exceeded these measures as an underdog they have gone to a solid 27-12 ATS record for 69% winning bets.

Raiders vs Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
1:00 PM EST, September 27, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Las Vegas Raiders

It has been 19 years since Jon Gruden was head coach of the Raiders and lost 16-13 in a highly scrutinized playoff game in Foxborough. Late in the fourth quarter it appeared that Tom Brady, who at the time few people knew his name, had fumbled the ball. Upon further review the official reversed the decision and scored it as an incomplete pass under the obscure “luck rule”. For Jon Gruden that single play has never faded in his memory since his Raiders had control of the game and were winning.

The Raiders have the personnel on both sides of the ball to be contenders for a playoff berth. They are coming off a home win installed as an underdog against a perennial playoff team in the New Orleans Saints. However, the Raiders are a money-burning 3-16 against-the-spread following a home win as an underdog since 2010. This trend by itself is not very meaningful if the present Raiders are a winning record team. That trend evolved over a period of losing seasons. So, always be careful when looking at specific team trends.

The good news is that the Raiders are a solid 19-8 ATS for 70% winning bets coming off a dominating win that featured 34 or more minutes in time-of-possession and 24 or more first downs. Further, head coach Jon Gruden is an outstanding 22-9-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7.5 points in all games he has coached.

In 2019, the Raiders scored 85 points in the first quarter and 110 points in the second for a total of 195 first-half points. Then the second half became a challenge and in some games a disaster scoring just 27 points in the third and 76 in the fourth for a total of 103 second-half points. Their second-half output was less than what they scored in the second quarter alone last season. So far in 2020, the scoring is vastly improved averaging 34 points-per-game and have scored 34 points in each half.

The 2019 season saw far too many check down passes by QB Derek Carr. There were 156 short right, 140 short middle, and 120 short left pass attempts for a combined total of 416 pass attempts. Carr attempted 513 passes and completed 361 for a 64% completing percentage. However, only 19% of his passes thrown were beyond 20 yards and that allowed defenses to bring safeties closer to the line of scrimmage to stop the run and blitz Carr.

In 2020, the Raiders have not looked for the deep ball and have an offensive scheme designed to minimize mistakes and move the chains in a physical style of play. This will open more play action pass plays because the Raiders ground attack must be respected by opposing defensive units.

The machine learning models project that both teams will score a minimum of 20 points. The Raiders when on the road are 36-44 straight-up (SU) and 55-23-2 against-the-spread (ATS) for 70.5% winning bets since 1990 and 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2016 when both teams score 20 or more points.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
1:00 PM EST, September 27, 2020
7-Star Upset Alert on the Cincinnati Bengals plus the points 

The Philadelphia Eagles season is on the line having lost their first two games in horrific fashion when they host another 0-2 team in the Cincinnati Bengals. The Eagles roster has been decimated by injuries on both sides of the ball and many new names will now be starters and expected to contribute significantly to this matchup. 

Those statements do not address the monumental problem the Eagles must solve with so many holes in the dam. Starting with the offensive line, LG Seumalo will miss several weeks with a knee injury. Pro Bowl RG Pederson is out for the year after tearing his achilleas in preseason drills.  The Eagles are struggling mightily on both sides of the ball. The run defense is awful, too many drives stall and end up not scoring, no discipline defending play action pass plays. The Rams, who defeated the Eagles last week, led the NFL with the most play action pass plays run in 2019. So, for the Eagle defense to not be prepared for that scheme is bizarre indeed.

So, we know the Bengals are road underdogs of 6-points and lost 35-30 on the road at the Cleveland Browns, but managed to get an against-the-spread (ATS) win as 6-point dogs. The Eagles were throttled 37-19 by the Rams and never led in the game.

Having massive databases at my fingertips is a luxury when working on matchup and situational analyses. So, I bet you wanted to know how 0-2 SU and ATS teams that were favored in both games in Week 1 and 2 have done in Week 3. Ewell, these slow starters are 9-7 SU for 56% wins and 9-6-1 ATS for 60% winning bets since 1990.  If the team lost at home in Week 2 are 10-6 SU and 11-5 ATS for 69% winners if playing at home in Week 3. Lastly, if these 0-2 SU and ATS teams were a playoff team from the previous season they are 16-14 SU and 19-11 ATS for 63% winning bets.

For his career Wentz is 32-27 SU, 28-31 ATS, and the ‘Over’ is 29-28 with two pushes. In last week’s loss to the Rams Wentz had no touchdown passes and marked the 8th time in his career that he recorded zero TD passes. That horrific performance level accounts for 14% of the 59 games he has played and must improve if he is to keep his starting QB job at the NFL level.

The good news, though, is that Wentz has thrown a single TD pass in five of the seven games following a game getting shutout from the scoring endzone. In 2016 in a home game against the Falcons he had a second consecutive game with zero TD passes and only once in a road game at Seattle in 2016 did he throw more than 1 TD pass getting two of them in that game. In not one of those 7 games did he have more TD passes than interceptions. Not Once!

Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers
9:00 PM EST, September 26, 2020
7-Star NBA Titan on the Denver Nuggets

I also like the first-half bet on Denver plus the points and this betting system supports that opportunity. The system has earned a solid 63-32 ATS record for 67% winning bets and instructs us to bet on 3-seed underdogs using the first-half line when trailing in a playoff series.

The machine learning models project that the Nuggets will make at least 48% of their shot attempts, 33% of their 3-point shot attempts, and score at least 107 points. The Nuggets are 181-33 SU and 169-39-6 ATS for 81% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 9 points.

Florida State vs 12 Miami (FLA)
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
7:30 PM EST, September 26, 2020

This betting system has earned a losing 45-153 record for 23% SU wins and 117-75-6 ATS mark good for 61% winners over the past 15 seasons. The requirements for an active opportunity are to bet on unranked road teams facing a conference foe and installed as a 3.5 or greater underdog and facing a ranked team between game numbers 2 and 5 of the regular seasons.

Now, let us drill down through this data to determine a sub-set that has posted better results. Applying the data to only show games played in the ACC Conference produces a 5-18 SU record for 22% wins and a 15-8 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets since 2005.

One more drill down produces a subset that has earned a 7-12 SU record for 37% wins and a jaw-dropping 16-3 ATS mark good for 84% when the team (Seminoles) is coming off a road game installed as a favorite. 

The Hurricanes are coming off a terrific 47-34 win over the Louisville Cardinals in which the Hurricanes graduate transfer QB D’Eriq King completed 18 of 30 pass attempts for 325 yards and three touchdowns. The Hurricanes are a solid 5-1 ATS coming off a game throwing for 300 or more passing yards and rushing for at least 150 yards.

However, the news is not all good given that the Hurricane defense was dominated in allowing 209 rushing yards and 309 passing yards. Hurricanes are a terrible 1-7 ATS for 11% winning bets following a game in which their defense allowed a minimum of 180 rushing yards and 250 passing yards.

The machine learning models project that the Seminoles will gain 8.5 or more yards-per-play and will score 28 or more points. In past games in which the Seminoles met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn an outstanding 12-0 SU record and a 9-3 ATS mark for 75% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 11 points.

22 Army vs 14 Cincinnati

September 26, 2020, 3:30 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Cincinnati Bearcats

Army is off to a fast start winning and covering both games they have played. They defeated Middle Tenn State 42-0 as a 3.5-point home favorite and defeated LA-Monroe 37-7 as 24-point home favorites. The bad news for the Cadets is that they are 5-15 ATS after two consecutive games scoring at least 31 points in each and 11-27 ATS following two straight games in which they outrushed their opponents by 150 or more rushing yards in each game.

The machine learning models project that Cincinnati will score at least 28 points and allow less than 350 offensive yards. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 47-0 SU record and 34-10-1 ATS record good for 77% winning bets since 2006 and 7-1 ATS over the last three seasons.

8 Texas vs Texas Tech
Jones ATT Stadium, Lubbock, TX
3:30 PM EST, September 26, 2020

The machine learning models project that the Longhorns will gain at least 6.9 yards-per-play, score 28 or more points, and have fewer turnovers than Texas Tech. In past games in which the Longhorns have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets that have covered by an average of 13 points.

12:00 PM EST, September 26, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet on the Auburn Tigers

Bo Nix, son of the Auburn legend QB, set school freshman records of 2,542 passing yards and 16 touchdown passes and will be even better than that this season. For a freshman in the SEC, Nix certainly took care of the ball with just six interceptions. He enters the season with a school-record streak of 191 thrown passes without an interception, which is the second-best active streak nationally behind Clemson star Trevor Lawrence (276).

The Tigers (9-4, 5-3 SEC in 2019) also reached the 50-point mark four times during Nix's initial campaign. That ties for second in program history behind the six 50-point outings Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton put on the board during the school's 2010 national championship season.

The machine learning tools project that the Tigers will gain at least 150 rushing yards and score at least 27 points and average at least 9 yards-per-pass play. In past games in which the Tigers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 49-3 SU record and a 36-15-1 ATS mark for 71% winning bets since 2006 and 13-3 ATS over the last three seasons.

9:00 PM EST, September 24, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

Since Game 5 of the Clippers series the Nuggets have not shot worse than 47% from the field spanning 6 consecutive games. Their defense was spotty in Game 3, but superior when it really mattered.If Denver becomes more consistent on the defensive end they will have a great shot at winning this series.

The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will shot at least 48% from the field, will make at least 35% of their 3-point shots and score at least 105 points. In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 107-19 SU record and 104-20-2 ATS for 84% winning bets that covered the number by 9.5 points in games played over the last 7 seasons; 43-8 SU and 38-12-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last two seasons; 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the spread by 8.9 points over the last two playoff seasons.  

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
8:20 PM EST, September 24, 2020
7-Star NFL Titan on the Miami Dolphins

Not one week goes by that the Miami media does not mention the calming influence and command of the huddle that Fitzpatrick bring to the team. Isaiah Ford was a Week 13 call-up from the practice squad in Week 13 last year, he has benefitted the most from Fitzpatrick’s extreme knowledge of the game. Since Week 13 of last season, Ford has caught 30 passes on 44 targets gaining 325 yards and averaging a solid 7.4 yards-per-catch.

In last week’s loss to the Bills, Fitzpatrick completed 31 of 47 passes for 328 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. All his metrics combined for an impressive 100.3 quarter-back-rating (QBR) against one of the better defensive units in the AFC. Ford was targeted more than DeVante Parker and Ford will steadily become an increasing part of the offensive game plan. A definite must-have on your DFS NFL team.

This betting system has earned a solid 86-50 ATS record good for 63% winning bets and a money-making 20% return-on-investment (ROI) spanning the past 15 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on teams in the first four weeks of the seasons facing a conference foe installed as dogs of 1.5 to 6 points and a team that won five or fewer games in the previous season.

So, it gets better when we drill down through the data and add game location as a parameter. For teams that are on the road and meeting the parameters above improves the betting system to 38-17-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Not satisfied yet. When the field surface is factored in, which is grass in the confines of TIAA Field, the road warrior is an impressive 27-8-2 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

The machine learning models project that the Dolphins will have more passing yards. will average 6.2 yards-per-play and will have a higher YPPL ratio than the Jaguars. In past games when the Dolphins have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a solid 21-10-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets and a 28.5% ROI in games played over the last 15 seasons.

UAB vs South Alabama
Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
7:30 PM EST, September 24, 2020

On Thursday Night at Hancock Whitney Stadium the C-USA UAB Blazers will be the guests of the Sun Belt South Alabama Jaguars with both teams coming off losses. The Blazers were man-handled at Miami 31-14 and failed to cover the generous 15.5 point spread back on September 10. The Jaguars are coming off a tough 27-24 home loss to Tulane, but easily covered the spread as 11.5-point underdogs. The Blazers are 1-1 versus the total line while the Jaguars have seen both of their games go ‘UNDER’ the total line.

The Blazers head coach Bill Clark is excited about the season given that he has 18 of the 22 starters from last season returning to play this one. The Blazers return nine starters on offense including their quarterback and red shirt junior Tyler Johnston III, who has been their starter for the past three seasons. In 2019, he threw for 2,250 yards on 59% completions including 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Cutting down the number of interceptions and improving the touchdown-to-interception ratio were addressed during the off season. He was off to a vastly improved start to the season before injuring his shoulder and is out indefinitely.

The biggest asset on the team is the return of all five starting offensive linemen from last season. The OL unit is by far the most complex and most difficult for any group of five teammates to work together to make the most out of every possession. UAB has four red shirt Seniors and a red shirt Junior on the offensive line and their chemistry is extremely positive having the experience of playing together for many games. Having an experienced QB and OL has proven to reduce mistakes and execute game plans at a much higher level. So, backup sophomore QB Bryson Lucero will have added confidence because of the experienced OL.

Here is an impeccable betting system that has earned a 22-8 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons and 15-2 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets. The instructions required are to play on any team off an extremely tough loss of three or fewer points during the first four weeks of the regular season. An amazing 58% of these games covered the spready a minimum of 7 points.

I have previously discussed the importance of 28 points and the implications for NCAA football teams when they score or more or allow more than 28 points in a game. There are the high-powered offenses every year, like the LSU Tigers, in 2019 that will have a higher pivot point for points scored and allowed.  Overall, I have found the 28-point pivot to be identified by the machine learning models more often.

So, the projections call for the Jaguars to score 28 or more points, gain a minimum of 175 rushing yards, will have more rushing yards than the Blazers, and average at least 1.0 or more yards-per-play. In past games in which the Jaguars scored 28 or more points they have earned a solid 26-13 SU record and 23-15-1 ATS mark for 61% winning bets since 2012. The Blazers are a miserable 17-116 SU for 13% wins and 40-81-2 ATS for 33% winning bets since 2012. Worse yet is that the Blazers are 1-8 SU and ATS for 11.1% winners when installed as a road favorite and allowing the host to score 28 or more points.

The Jaguars are a robust money making 15-4 SU for 79% wins and 11-6-2 ATS for 65% winning bets when outgaining their opponent by at least 1.25 yards-per-play since 2012 and 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS spanning games played over the last three seasons.

8:30 PM EST, September 23, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat

This betting system has eanred a solid 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The system requires us to bet on all teams in a game lined within 3 points on either side of pick-em and is out scoring their opponents by at least 6 points per game and after allowing 105 or more points in three consecutive games.

The machine learning tools project that the Heat will make at least 78% of their free throw attempts and will shoot at least 44% form the field and have the better ands more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio.  In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 145-13 SU record and 129-27 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the number by 9.2 points.

9:00 PM EST, September 22, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets are not pretenders, and, in the Lakers, view is an extremely dangerous team that cannot overlook for a minute. In the Conference Finals teams that are down 0-2 in the series are 12-8 straight-up (SU) and 13-7 against-the-spread (ATS) in Game 3.

Only Murry played more minutes (44) than Jokic (39) in Game 2 and this duo knows their performance is key to getting a Game 3 win tonight. Over his last four games against the Lakers Jokic has averaged 31 minutes, shot 49% from the field,94% form the charity stripe, and averaging 16.3 points-per-game (PPG). Over his last 10 playoff games, he is averaging 31minutes, 60% field goal percentage, 84% free-throw-percentage, 17.8 PPG and includes 10 boards-per-game, and 6.6 assist-per-game.

The Nuggets are 18-6 SU for 75% wins and 15-8-1 against-the-spread (ATS) for 65% winning bets following a loss in which Jokic scored 26 or more points. In games in which Jokic had more assists than rebounds, his team is 20-10 SU and 18-10-2 ATS for 64% winning bets.

PG Murray is playing at an elevated level and has averaged 34 minutes, shot 48% form the field, averaging 5.8 assists, and scoring 18.5 PPG over his last four games against the Lakers. Now, it is not up to Murray and Dojik to take it upon themselves to win this game. It is the opposite for the Nuggets team. In games when Dojik and Murray scored at least 50 points and then had a total of four more players scoring in double-digits the Nuggets record is 9-3 SU and ATS and when a total of seven Nuggets scored in double-digits they are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS.

Minutes played is a valuable parameter and underscores the need for Murray and Jokic to remain out of foul trouble tonight. The Nuggets are 12-7 ATS for 63% winning bets when Murray logged 40 or more minutes. When both Murray and Dojik have logged 40 or more minutes in the same game the Nuggets are 25-19 SU and 27-17 ATS for 61.4% winning bets.

No argument is needed that AD is the leader by a wide margin for the Western Conference Finals MVP award. He has had more than 30 points scored in each of the first two games of this series and the offensive game plan designed by head coach Vogel is centered on him. In case you wanted to know, the Lakers are 18-7 SU and 12-13 ATS in games played following back-to-back games where AD scored 30 or more points. What is eye-opening is that the ‘UNDER’ in these games has earned am 18-7 ‘UNDER’ record for 72% winning bets.

The ‘UNDER’ is also supported by a combined Lebron James and AD scoring metric. The ‘UNDER’ is 25-14 for 65% winning bets when James and Davis have combined for 50 or more points in Laker games. The Lakers are 29-10 SU and 10-20 ATS in these games.

The machine learning tools confirm a bet on the Nuggets and a lean towards the ‘UNDER’ The projections call for the Nuggets to have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, have more points scored in the paint and will have more made 3-point shots than the Lakers have fast break points scored. So, in past games where the Nuggets have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 101-12 SU record and an 88-23-2 ATS record good for cashing 79% of the bets made and has covered the spread by an average of 9.4 points. When these games have been in the playoffs the Nuggets have earned a 6-3 SU and ATS record good for 67% winning bets.

8:15 PM EST, September 21, 2020
NFL 7-Star Best Bet on the New Orleans Saints

In Week 1 the Saints faced the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and their new QB Tom Brady. The Saints were fired up to send a message to the Bucs and the NFC Conference that Mr. Brady was not the new sheriff in the NFC South with a 34-23 SU and ATS win. Brees completed 60% of his 30 pass attempts for 160 yards, 2 touchdowns, and no interceptions. He took 97% of the snaps running 67 total plays and was sacked only once.

Brees and the Saints are 14-8 SU and ATS for 64% winning bets following a home win in which Brees threw for fewer than 190 passing yards. The Saints with Brees starting are 25-18 SU and 25-17-1 ATS for 60% winning bets coming off a home ATS win and playing their next game on a grass surface and 6-3 ATS for 67% ATS winning bets since 2016. The Saints are 10-5 ATS for 67% winning bets when coming off a home ATS win and facing a team that was not in the playoffs of the previous season. Last, Saints are an impeccable 9-2 ATS for 82% winning bets when installed as a road favorite and facing a team that failed to make the playoffs in the previous season.

This betting system is active for a bet on the Saints tonight and has earned a remarkable 28-5 ATS mark for 85% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The system requires us to be on road teams that are facing an opponent that had a struggling defense in the previous season that allowed an average of 24 points-per-game and are coming off a game in which they scored 30 or more points.

The machine learning models project that the Saints will average at least 7.0 yards-per-pass-attempt and will have at least 5 more first downs than the Raiders. The Saints are 54-10 SU for 84% wins and 54-9-1 ATS for 86% winning bets that covered by an average of 11 points when they met or exceeded this pair of performance measures since 2002.

Kansas City vs LA Chargers

7-Star Upset Alert Titan on the Chargers

Here is a solid betting system that supports the Dolphins and is quite simple. It has earned a 77-35 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and instructs us to bet on underdogs that are facing a team coming off a home win spanning the first four weeks of the regular season. This system has earned a 16-6 ATS mark over the last three seasons.

The machine learning models project that Miami will have a better Yards-per-play ratio and have no more than one turnover. In past games in which the Chargers were home underdogs and met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 7-1 SU record and a 7-1 ATS record covering by an average of 14 points for a robust 67% ROI. Also, the Chargers are 51-14 SU and 40-24-1 ATS in home games and gaining at least 5.75 or more yards-per-play and when a home dog they are 8-3 for 72% ATS.

1:00 PM EST, September 20, 2020
NFL 7-Star Best Bet on the Detroit Lions

Here is a betting system to start things off that has earned a 50-21 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The system instructs us to be on underdogs that are facing an opponent that averaged 5.5 or more yards-per-play last season and is coming off a stellar offensive game in which they gained 400 or more yards.

We were on the Packers last week in their road upset win over the Vikings, but now against them. Teams ebb and flow and when they are coming off a strong outing and above average performance levels there is a propensity to revert back to the mean. Detroit outplayed Chicago last week on both sides of the ball and found a way to lose that game. They will not do that again in this matchup.

The machine learning projections call for the Lions to win the turnover batter, have more first downs, and average at least 4.7 yards-per-rush. In past games in which they met or exceeded those performance measures they went on to earn a perfect 20-0 ATS mark 19-1 SU and covered the spread by an average of 13 points.

Buffalo vs Miami

September 20, 2020, 1:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Miami Dolphins

Here is a solid betting system that supports the Dolphins and is quite simple. It has earned a 77-35 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and instructs us to bet on underdogs that are facing a team coming off a home win spanning the first four weeks of the regular season. This system has earned a 16-6 ATS mark over the last three seasons.

The machine learning models project that Miami will have a better Yards-per-play ratio and have no more than one turnover. In past games in which the Dolphins were home underdogs and met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 13-3 SU record and a 13-1-2 ATS record covering by an average of 9.8 points for a robust 68% ROI.

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
1:00 PM EST, September 20, 2020
Atlanta Falcons 7-Star Best Bet Titan

Both teams come into this game off losses and no one ever wants to start 0-2 out of the gate. The Cowboys had a tough game against a physical Rams team, but their inability to convert on third downs (3-12 25%) and move the chains was the main reason they lost. Time-of-possession was heavily in favor of the Rams, who had an 11:16 edge, but Dallas ran 69 plays to the Rams 72 plays. The Rams had a 10-minute edge in the first quarter with the remaining three quarters equal in time-of-possession.

The Rams did convert well on third downs (8-17 53%) and had more scoring chances than Dallas attained. One of those scoring chances ended with Goff throwing an interception, which was the only turnover of the game for either team. Dallas had just one drive in the first quarter that started on their own 26 and ended 6 plays later their 48-yard line. The Rams took their first possession of the season and drove 70 yards on 7 plays to score a touchdown. Their second drive of the quarter ended at the Dallas 10-yard line after missing a short field goal attempt.

This system is one you want to record and use for every NFL season as it has earned an incredible 27-5 against-the-spread record good for 84% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The system requires are to bet on underdogs that were excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing-yards-per-game (PYPG) last season and after a game in which their defense allowed 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt (PYPA). This combination of performance parameters has recorded a near-perfect 17-1 ATS over the last five seasons and is 8-0 ATS over the last three seasons.

The machine learning models project that the Falcons will score more than 27 points, pass for at least 260 yards, and will not be outgained by more than 65 total yards. In past games in which the Falcons met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to earn a 33-7 SU mark and 29-10-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets.

Wake returns just three starters on offense but return eight starters on defense. Despite the lack of expereince on offense, they held up well against Clemson, who has a one of the best defensive units in the nation. They do return eight starters on defense that will match up quite well against a solid Wolfpack offensive unit.

Wake played many high-scoring games in 2019 and as a result the defense was spending too much time on the field and gave up too many fourth quarter scores. The offense is geared towards moving the chains and keeping the opposing offense off the field, which is the winning recipe facing the Wolfpack.

Here is a proven betting system that has earned a solid 57-22 ATS record since 1990 and instructs us to play on road teams in the first four weeks of the season that have a new starting QB and was a bowl team that lost the last two games of the season.

The projections call for Wake to score at least 28 points and throw for an average of at least 9 or more passing yards-per-attempt. In past games in which Wake has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 20-0 SU record and an amazing 18-1 ATS mark for 85% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 9.5 points.

Take the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as a Best Bet Upset Alert this Saturday.

7-Star Upset Alert Titan on the Miami Hurricanes

Last season, the Hurricanes destroyed the Cardinal 55-27 with Quarterback Jarren Williams throwing for a school-record six touchdowns. After that game, it appeared that the Hurricanes were on the national stage, but Williams never even came close to matching that performance over the remainder of the season. He transferred to Garden City Community College in Kansas to hopefully finish out his NCAA career.

The Hurricanes lost a lot of talent from last season’s team due to the NFL draft and players opting out of the season account of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, for those choosing to play has brough them great opportunities and the Hurricanes starting QB D’Eriq King, who is a graduate transfer from the University of Houston, is making the most of it. He has an active NCAA-record scoring streak of having at least one touchdown pass and one rushing touchdown in 16 consecutive games. So, the Hurricanes offense under new OC Rhett Lashlee, will look to play fast and optimize the duel threat athleticism of King.

The Louisville defense allowed three scoring touchdowns last week in their 35-21 win over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers last week. However, two of these scores involved drives of 1 and 4 yards, after failed special team plays. One of the turnovers was a dropped ball by the punter and then a blocked punt. So, taking those miscues into account, the Louisville defense may have allowed 10 or fewer points.

The defense also got a turnover on downs at the goal line and had 11 tackles-for-loss and reflects consistent gap discipline and penetration they attained. This unit will have to play even better against the Hurricane offense that suddenly has many weapons and King, who is even being mentioned in Heisman conversations.

The following team situational results are based on their games last week. The Hurricanes are 6-1 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) after a game in which they rushed for 300 or more yards since the 2011 season. Moreover, the Hurricanes are a stout 18-4 SU and 14-8 ATS for 64% winning bets when out rushing their previous opponent by 125 or more yards since 2011.

The Cardinal is just 18-28 ATS for 39% winning bets following a game where their defense forced no more than one turnover in games played since 2011. Moreover, they are 6-17 ATS for 26% winning bets when the next game has been at home and a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS when ranked in the Top-25 poll.

This money line betting system has earned an outstanding 41-31 record for 56% winning wagers and has made the $100 bettor a profit of $4,910 over the last 10 seasons. The betting system instructs us to bet on road team using the money line that are facing an opponent coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by at least 175 yards and has at least eight returning starters on offense during the first four weeks of the regular season.

The current lines showing Louisville favored by 2.5 points and total of 65 points implies a 34-31 Louisville win. However, the machine learning projections sees the final score favoring the Hurricanes if they can contain the Cardinal to fewer than 28 points. When the Hurricanes have been installed as a road dog and have held the host to fewer than 28 points has produced a 16-12 SU record and a jaw-dropping 23-5 ATS mark for 82% winning bets since 1990.

The Cardinal is just 10-4 SU and 1-13 ATS when they have been a home favorite and scored fewer than 28 points in games played since 2011. The ‘UNDER’ is a perfect 14-0 in these games.

14 University of Central Florida vs Georgia Tech­
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
3:30 PM EST, September 19, 2020
Coverage: ABC

The No 14 UCF Knights will take to the field for the first time in the 2020 season. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets went into Tallahassee as a 13-point underdog and upset the Florida State Seminoles 16-13. Their confidence will be high knowing they have another opportunity to upset a ranked opponent in the Knights. The Jackets find themselves installed as 7.5-point home underdogs with a over/under line of 63-points. These lines imply a final score of 35-28 with the Knights winning.

The Jackets return nine offensive and 10 defensive starters. The biggest story coming out of last week’s win is all about the superior play of freshman quarterback Curtis Sims, who became the first-ever freshman QB to win a season opener and is the first fresh to start at Georgia Tech since Reggie Ball did in the 2003 season. He performed more like an experienced senior throwing for 277 passing yards on 24 completions, which is the highest since 2003. So, with all five offensive linemen back Sims will get solid protection and run blocking from this experienced unit and that is a major advantage for the Jackets in this matchup.

The defense is an even bigger story for the Jackets having held the Seminoles to just 307 total yards and 3.8 yards-per-play. The unit also forced three turnovers with their aggressive hard-hitting play. Linebacker Quez Jackson had an interception and led the team with nine tackles including 7 solo tackles. One fumble was forced and recovered by LB David Curry, who also had seven total tackles including four solo ones. The second fumble was recovered by defensive lineman Djimon Brooks, who also had three total tackles. There were three additional fumbles forced, but the Seminoles managed to recover them. In case you wanted to know, the most fumbles the Seminoles have had in a game is 7 and fumbles lost is 4 in all games played since 1990.

The Jacket defense played with a disciplined focus and were never caught out of position throughout the entire game. Head Coach Geoff Collins knows this is a solid recipe to contain the UCF juggernaut offense.

This betting system has earned an amazing 59-25 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 76% winning tickets over the last 30 seasons. The system instructs us to be on home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are facing an opponent in the first four weeks of the season that won their last three games of the previous season.

The key to this game and for the Jackets to cover the spread is to keep UCF from scoring more than 28 points and not get into a shooting match with them. In past games, in which the Jacks and their opponent both score 27 or more points they have gone a dismal 1-9 ATS for 10% winning bets. The 28-point level is a pivot point for the majority of NCAAF teams and not just for this matchup.

So, the projections call for the Jackets to score 27 or more points and have at least 5 more first downs than the Knights. In games played in which the Jackets scored 27 or more points and had more than 5 first downs than their opponent has seen them go on to record a 49-4 SU record and 40-11 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 10.3 points.

Take the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets plus the points as a Best Bet Upset Alert.

Duke vs Boston College

September 19, 2020, 12:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Boston College

Here is a solid betting system that supports BC and has earned an 86-34 ATS record good for 71% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. The system instructs us to bet against any team after being outgained by 125 total yards in their previous game and with an inexperienced QB in the first four weeks of the regular season. If the play against team (Duke) is a home favorite the system improves to 36-11 for 77% ATS winning bets.

The machine learning models project that BC will rush for at least 250 rushing yards and average at least 5.0 yards-per-rush. In past games in which BC met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a 21-3 SU record and a 20-4 ATS record that covers the spread by an average of 10.3 points. If BC was installed as an underdog they have posted a 7-2 SU record and 9-0 ATS mark covering by an average of 16.3 points.

9:00 PM EST, September 18, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Nuggets

The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and will make at least 12 3-point shots. In past games in which the Nuggets were underdogs and met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 33-19 SU record and 41-11 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets since 2000 and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons.

8:20 PM EST, September 17, 2020
NFL 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Bengals

The Browns first home game of the year will take place tonight and they could use a packed house to support them to a much-needed win. They will have to do that on their own. It is not the best of situations for the Browns, who were hammered by the Ravens last week. Teams that are playing at home after failing to cover the spread by at least 23 points and won fewer than seven games last season are 8-18 SU and 9-17 ATS for 35% in the first five weeks of the regular season.

Here is a betting system that supports the Bengals and has earned a solid 103-52 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets since 1990 and instructs us to plat on road underdogs facing a conference foe that had a losing record in their previous season. This system has recorded a nice money-making 13-4 ATS record over the last three seasons and 26-8 ATS over the last 5 seasons.

The machine learning tools are projecting that the Bengals will gain at least 125 rushing yards and average at least 7 yards-per-pass attempt. In past games in which the Bengals have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 52-15-1 SU record for 78% wins and 49-17-2 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2000. The Browns are 2-29-1 SU and 8-24 ATS for 25% when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures in games played since 2010.

iami Heat vs Boston Celtics

September 17, 2020, 7:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Miami Heat

Here is a solid betting system that supports the Heat and has earned a 73-40 SU record using the Money Line over the last five seasons. This system instructs us to be on any team in a game where they and the opponent have won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and with the opponent coming off a game where the total went ‘OVER’ by 18 or more points.

The machine learning models project that the Heat will make 77% or more of their free throw attempts, score at least 105 points, and make at least 10 3-point shots. In past games when installed as a dog and meeting or exceeding these performance measures the Heat have earned a 21-8 ATS record for 72% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 9 points.

Denver Center and super star Nikola Jokic stated after their come from behind win that “To us, Game 7 is just another game”. That simple statement is completely accurate with the Nuggets having the confidence that they have what it takes to defeat the Clippers. Jokic had 34 pints, 14 boards, and seven assists in their 111-98 win that featured 11 straight defensive stops at one point in the second half. So, I did a simple query of my vast NBA database and learned that the Nuggets are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against-the-spread (ATS) in games following one in which Jokic scored 25 or more points and had at least 10 boards in a win installed as an underdog.

The Clippers were founded in 1970 and played as the Buffalo Braves and then moved to San Diego in 1978. Team owner Irv Levin sold the franchise to real estate developer David Sterling for $12.5 million. Sterling moved the team to Los Angeles in 1984 and then was forced to sell the franchise to former Microsoft founder Steve Balmer, who finally brought winning ways to the franchise for the first time. Still, the Clippers have never advanced to the Western Conference Finals sporting an 0-7 record in previous chances.

The Clippers have strong support in winning Game 7 from the fact that they are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets following a game in which Paul George had 30 or more points; 3-0 ATS in the next game if coming off a loss installed as a favorite. Moreover, Clippers are 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS following game in which Paul George had a plus-minus rating of -10 or worse. So, you can see how team and player trends can many times work against one another when handicapping a game, but there is far more analysis yet to be seen.

Not too much to sink our teeth into here, but it is an excellent question. Teams that were 3-1 and forced into a game 7 are 0-4 SU and ATS since 2014. The last series in which this occurred was the Nuggets coming back to defeat the Utah Jazz in Round 1. 

No team in NBA history has won back-to-back series are being down in the series 3-1. This NBA betting system has earned a 20-7-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to play on teams that were losing at the half by 5 or more points in each of their last three games.  In playoffs games, this system has earned a 12-5-1 ATS record for 71% winning bets since 2013.

Denver trailed by 16 points at the half in Game 6 and playoff teams, who then came from behind to win those games are 14-9 ATS for 61% in the next game. Teams that had at least a 16-point lead in a closeout playoff game are 1-4 ATS with the ‘UNDER’ going a perfect 5-0 in the next playoffs game. Now we are getting somewhere with the analysis.

The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will have a higher shooting percentage from the field than the Clippers, will shoot at least 39% from beyond the arc and make at least 12 shots from long range. Since 1995, the Nuggets  are a remarkable 113-9 SU for 93% wins and 105-14-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. The Nuggets also sport a 46-4 SU anmd 40-8-2 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017. Moreover, teams that have met or exceeded these performance measures in Games 6 or 7 are 9-3 SU for 75% wins and 10-2 ATS for 83% winning bets. Take the Nuggets plus the points and for them to be the first-ever NBA team to win back-to-back payoff series after trailing 3-1 in each of them.

7:15 PM EST, September 14, 2020
NFL 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the NY Giants

The Steelers under head coach Tomlin has been a terrific franchise, but they have been slow starters in September games – at east against the spread where Tomlin-led Steelers teams are just 8-19 ATS in road games over the first four weeks of the season.

Ny Giants tackle Nate Solder opted out of the season and there are three new offensive lineman set to start tonight. They are elite athletes and have excellent skills in first round draft pick Andrew Thomas 6-5 315 from Georgia, RT Cam Fleming 6-6 320 from Stanford, and center Nick Gates 6-5 307 from Nebraska. I do believe this youthful OL has the athleticism and quickness to contain the Steeler defensive front and open up holes for Barkley to dart through untouched. Once Barkley gets into the open field he is extremely difficult to bring down by any defensive unit. This will then open up play action pass plays catching the Steelers in man coverage or in Sam-Will blitz schemes.

From the machine learning tools and models the Giants are expected to gain at least 125 rushing yards, have more first downs than the Steelers, and have more total offensive yards than the Steelers. In past games in which the Giants have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 89-16 SU record and 85-20 ATS for 81% winning bets since 1990; 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS since 2015. The Steelers are 3-3-1 SU and 1-6 ATS the spread failing to cover by an average of 8 points when their opponent has gained 125 or more rushing yards and are installed as road favorites since 2015.

Dallas Cowboys vs LA Rams

8:20PM EST, September 13, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Los Angeles Rams

From the machine learning tools, the Rams are projected to score at least 27 points, average more than 7 yards-per-pass attempt, and gain 400 or more total offensive yards. In past games in which the Rams met or exceeded these three performance measures they are 48-20 ATS and 62-9 SU winning the game by an average of 12 points; 28-10-2 ATS when in home games and an amazing 12-1-1 ATS mark and covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points.

1:00 PM EST, September 13, 2020
NFL 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Green Bay Packers

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a 100-53 ATS record for 65% winners over the last 35 seasons and instructs us to play on road dogs that are playing a divisional foe that had a struggling defense last season that allowed >= 5.4 yards-per-play. This betting system has earned a solid 10-3 ATS record over the last three seasons and 19-7 ATS over the last five seasons and 39-20 ATS over the last 10 seasons and reflects the strong consistent returns it has provided to backers.

Green Bay won both meetings against the Vikings and have many favorable matchups on both sides of the ball.

From the machine learning tools and models the Packers are projected to outgain the Vikings on the ground and have a better, more efficient yards-per-points ratio. In other words, the Packers will need fewer yards gained to score a single point on average. In past games in which the Packers met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a perfect 29-0 ATS record and covered the spread by an average of 15.6 points. Take the Packers as a 7-Star Upset Alert Titan

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

September 12, 2020, 1:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Atlanta Falcons

Kickoff - 1:00 PM EST, September 13, 2020
Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, Georgia
Coverage: FOX
Seattle favored by 2.5 points with an over/under of 49-points.

The Mercedes-Benz Stadium is one of the best venues in all of sports but will remain without fans for at least the first two home games of the Atlanta Flacons schedule. The Atlanta offense has always been dangerous for most opponents and will be better this season having added running back Todd Gurley through free agency and TE Hayden Hurst, who was acquired in a trade with Baltimore.

The Falcons running game ranked 30th in the NFL gaining just 1,361 rushing yards as compared to a league average of 1806 rushing yards. Further, the Falcons ranked 29th in the NFL with just 332 rushing attempts. They went 1-7 over the first eight games and fell behind early in games forcing them to abandon most or all the run plays. When an NFL team is behind in a game, especially by two or more scores, play action gets no respect from a defense and is simply a worthless formation.

Gurley has been banged up physically over his career, but still provides a new and real run threat for all defenses to respect. His presence will provide more opportunities to use play action pass routes, which is where the addition of Hurst and his above average speed will be a huge asset this season.

The running game fell into the statistical abyss for the Falcons, which put tremendous pressure on Matt Ryan to complete difficult passes and sustain scoring drives. The Falcons through the most passes in the NFL with a number no one really likes 666 throws form scrimmage. The Cincinnati Bengals were a distant second with 617 pass attempts and by comparison the terrific Baltimore Ravens offense that led the league in scoring ranked last with 439 pass attempts. So, the Falcons can expect a much better balance of run and pass plays making it far more difficult for defensive coordinators to prepare to defend.

Matt Ryan threw just 24 passes that were targeted down the deep middle of the field. The Tampa Bay Bucs ranked first with 37 throws in this category by way of comparison. With the addition of Hurst at TE and his speed it is a sure bet you will see the middle of the field exploited by the Falcons whenever they can get Hurst in man coverage by a linebacker. The Falcons ranked 17th in the NFL running 113 pass plays using play action and gained 827 yards from those plays. By comparison, Jared Goff and the Rams ran 194 play action plays and gained a league-best 1,564 passing yards. Gurley was part of that offense.

Well, there are gaggles of them of ocurse being spit out of my vast NFL database that can go back to 1980 if it provides meaningful results. Coach Carroll is just 3-14 ATS in games played in September since being hired by the Seahawks; 2-10 ATS in road games that have occurred in the first two weeks of the season.

The Falcons are a stout 19-6 ATS in home games that occurred in the first two weeks of the season. Moreover, they are 4-0 ATS as home dogs in the first two weeks of the season spanning the last 10 seasons.

The Falcons are projected to execute at least 25 rushing plays, average at least 4.5 rushing-yards-per-attempt and attain a yards-per-point ratio of not higher than 11.5 in this matchup. The Falcons are 48-8 SU and 37-15-4 ATS for 71% winning bets in home games when they have averaged a minimum of 4.5 RYPA and executed at least 25 rushing plays. When they have achieved the rushing metrics and had a YPPT ratio of not more than 11.5, the Falcons have earned a perfect 16-0 ATS mark covering the number by an average of 12 points. 

The Seahawks when traveling on the road are a near imperfect 1-10 SU and ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 15 points when they have allowed an opponent to rush the ball for a minimum of 25 attempts, gaining average of 4.5 RYPA, and allow an opponent YPPT ratio of 11.5 or lower.

R

8:00 PM EST, September 12, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Coming off a dismal 3-8 SU 2018 season, the Hilltoppers had an impressive 9-4 SU campaign in 2019 and topped it off with a win over Western Michigan in the First Responders Bowl. Both teams have an abundance of returning starters this season. The Hilltoppers return 7 on offense and 9 on defense while the Louisville Cardinals return 8 on offense and 8 on defense. However, the difference maker in this game will be the Hilltopper defensive unit.

The Cardinals offense also has returning quarterback Micale Cunningham, who is a red-shirt junior and a duel run-pass threat. He has gained 979 rusing yards with 11 touchdowns and passed for 2,538 yards on 62% completions with 23 touchdowns, and 6 picks over his last two seasons. Despite these impressive stats, I see the offense struggling against a very fast and disciplined Hilltopper defensive unit. In order to contain a duel threat QB it is imperative for the defense to maintain their individual gap areas and not over react to Cunningham’s ball fakes – and the unit will do a great job.

From the machine learning tools and models the Hilltoppers are projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 yards per pass attempt and contain Louisville to fewer than 28 points. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 10 points. In 2018, they had Louisville on the ropes leading 14-6 starting the fourth quarter, before Louisville scored 14 points in the fourth to win 20-17. WKU was a 21 point underdog and they did exceed the performance measures mentioned above.

ouston Rockets vs LA Lakers

September 12, 2020, 8:00 PM EST
10-Star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets

The Rockets are a 6.5-point underdog and the projections do show a decent probability that they may win this game. So, as a suggestion, I like splitting this 10-star amount into two parts consisting of a 7-star amount using the line and then a 3-Star amount using the money line. This strategy will provide significant additions to the bottom line over the course of a season. I know this is a bold call, but it is based on the ‘Math’ and the ML models.

The Rockets find themselves in a great spot for this game and a shocking – to the media and public at least – win over the Lakers. They are 11-2 ATS after two consecutive games in which they were outrebounded by 10 or more boards this season.

The machine learning projections also show that playoffs teams that were out rebounded by 8 or more boards in a previous game loss and average at least 115 points on the season are 11-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. The projections also call for the Rockets top score at least 115 points and will make at least 40% from 3-point land. Playoff teams coming off a loss and then scoring 115 or more points and shooting 40% or better from beyond the arc are an amazing 86-9 ATS for 91% winning bets over the last 10 seasons.

9:00 PM EST, September 11, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Boston Celtics

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a solid 33-12 ATS record over the past five seasons and instructs us to bet on favorites that have a winning record on the season and playoffs and are facing a a team that went over the total in their previous game by more than 30 points and has won 60 to 75% of their games. This system is 12-5 ASTS in the playoffs since 2015.

From the machine learning tools and models the Celtics are projected to have the better assists-to-turnover ratio, will make 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and score at least 105 points. In past playoff games in which the Celtics met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 9-1 SU and ATS record and covering the spread by an average of 9 points.

The NFL season starts this Thursday with the defending Super Bowl 54 Champion Chiefs hosting the AFC South Divisional Champion Houston Texans. This is also a rematch of last year’s Chiefs 51-31 win over the Texans in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. In that game the Chiefs were installed as 10-point home favorites and the game total line was 51 points. In Week 1, the Chiefs are favored by an identical 10-point betting line and the total has creeped up to 55 points.

No all defending Super Bowl Champions have started the following season with a home game. There have been 16 SB Champions, who have started the season with a home celebration and are 14-2 straight-up (SU), 11-4-1 against-the-spread (ATS), and near-even 7-8-1 ‘OVER’ record. Since 2002, this is the first time that a reigning Champion has been installed as a double-digit favorite. Reigning Champions installed as favorites are 12-2 SU, 9-4-1 ATS, and 8-6 ‘UNDER’ in Week 1 and when favored by four or more points sport an impressive 9-1 SU record, 7-2-1 ATS for 78% winning bets, and 6-4 tilt to the ‘UNDER’. So, no hangover whatsoever for the home fed reigning Champions.

The news remains positive for the reigning champions as they sport a 12-2 SU record, 9-4-1 ATS, and 7-6-1’ UNDER’ record when facing a playoff team from last season in Week 1. Opponents in Week 1 that were a previous season playoff team and facing a reigning Champion that is not in their division are a money-burning 2-14 SU, 4-11-1 ATS for 27% winning bets, and an 8-7-1 ‘OVER’ record in Week 1.

This offense is unstoppable when Reid’s play calling is clicking with this offensive sets. The Chiefs ranked 5th averaging 28.2 points-per-game with 30 receiving touchdowns, 16 rushing touchdowns, and 1 kickoff return for touchdown. They led the NFL making 34 field goal attempts on 38 tries and reflects the Chiefs struggles at times in the red zone. In their games, the Chiefs just knew that putting points on the scoreboard despite failed red zone conversions, was the recipe to win games. The Chiefs will average more points-per-game this season just by cutting down their field goal attempts in the red zone to 25.

The Chiefs ranked second in the NFL scoring on 49.4% of all drives and averaging 2.62 points-per-drive with the Baltimore Ravens ranking first and scoring points on 52% of their drives and averaging 2.62 points-per-drive. The Chiefs ranked fourth-best in the NFL taking care of the football and had a turnover on only 8% of their drives.

The Chiefs offense is designed to maximize yards-after-the-catch (YAC) much ion the way the San Francisco 49ers West Coast offense was designed and the same West Coast scheme Reid ran while the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles. The number one Texans defensive weakness was ranking 30th in the NFL allowing 2,067 YAC.

So, double digit favorites that have averaged at least 11 yards-per-completion spanning their last eight games and facing an opponent, who made the playoffs last season and allowed at least 375 points in their previous season are a solid 72-54-2 ATS for 57% winning bets and 116-12 SU for 90% wins and winning these games by an average of 15.1 points-per-game. Last, if this game takes place on a Thursday night, the double-digit favorites are 6-0 SU winning by an average of 16.5 points and 5-0-1 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 7.77 points.

There are more than 200 separate parameters in my NFL database and many of my machine learning tools combine many of these parameters that work well together in identifying ATS winners. These types of advanced mathematical applications are applied in the same way in many other industries, for instance, the Life Sciences and Biotech sectors. The combinatorial algorithms, for instance, will look to combine a combination of parameters (column names) that serve to optimize total return-on-investment (ROI) exactly in the same manner that I use them in stock market projections.

For this matchup, the Chiefs are projected to average at least 3.1 points-per-drive in this game against the Texans. The Chiefs are 17-5 SU and 17-5 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have met or exceeded a 3.1 points-per-drive ratio in games played over the last three seasons. Further, when installed as a home favorite and averaging  a minimum of 3.1 points-per-drive ratio they are a resounding 9-1 SU winning by an average of 16 points and 8-2 ATS for 80% and covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points.

Moreover, the Chiefs are projected to score 27 or more points and outgain the Texans by at least 80 yards. In past games where the Chiefs have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 64-3 SU record winning the games by an average of 19.6 points and a 61-4-2 ATS record good for 94% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 15.8 points.

By knowing these projections, you will find yourself watching the game and monitoring their progress. I also provide situational trends at the end of each quarter that can also serve to provide even more money-making betting opportunities that have proven track records.

6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Toronto Raptors

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a solid 131-81 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to be on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a trio of games in which the combined total of those 3  game went ‘UNDER’ the total by 24 or more points and are now facing an opponent that covered the spread by at least 18 points. By the way, when the game has been a playoff variety the team (Toronto) is 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets and has covered the spread by an impressive 9.6 points. The ‘OVER’ has earned a 12-6 mark for 67% winning bets.

The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets.

So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1.

6:30 PM EST, September 8, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Miami Heat

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a strong 40-16 ATS record for 72% winning bets and instructs us to be against teams in games lined within 3-points on either side of pick-em and has allowed 105 or more points in three consecutive games and is defeating their opponents by at least 6 PPG on the season.

The Bucks are just 6-15 ATS in games facing good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season.

From the machine learning tools the Heat are 133-24 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 106 or more points, making 78% or more of their free throw attempts and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. So, watch for these metrics in tonight’s game.

8:00 PM EST, September 5, 2020
NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Memphis Tigers

Let us start with a solid betting system that has earned a 37-10 against-the-spread ATS record for 79% winning bets spanning the last 10 seasons. The system, which I commonly call a situational database query, instructs us to play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that was an outstanding offense averaging 6.4 or more yards-per-play last season and has their starting quarterback from last season returning this season.

I wrote about the immense value of returning starters on offense, especially when four or five of the previous season’s starting offensive line returns for this season. Memphis has this in place to start their season and it will pay them handsome dividends over the first four weeks of the season.

From the machine learning tools, Memphis is projected to average at least 9.0 yards-per-pass-play and out-gain Arkansas State by at least 200 yards. In past games in which Memphis met or exceeded these projections they have gone on to earn a 13-1 ATS record for 93% winning bets that has also covered the spread by an average of 20.5 points.

SMU Mustangs vs Texas State

September 5, 2020, 4:30 PM EST
7-Star Titan Best on the Texas State

From the machine learning tools and projections Texas State is projected to pass for 75 fewer yards than SMU will pass for and that SMU will NOT exceed 31 or more points. In past Texas State games where this pair of measures were met or exceeded they are 19-10 ATS for 66% winning bets; 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when installed as a double digit dog.

If you do like teasers, consider a 6-point teaser adding 6-points to the current total  and adding 6-points to the current line. This makes the total about 72.5/73 points playing ‘UNDER’ and the T-State a 29/30-poit underdog.

SMU has not done well in games expected to be high scoring and are 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 over the last three seasons.

The South Alabama Jaguars, who are members in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference will travel to take on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, who are members of the West Division of the 14-team Conference-USA. The Eagles find themselves installed as double-digit home favorites against the Jaguars, who won just two games last season.

The 2019 season saw the Jaguars go a horrid 2-10, but they did earn respectable 7-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Head Coach Steve Campbell is just 5-19 straight up and 13-11 ATS in his first two seasons but has a 13 returning starters with seven on offense including quarterback Desmond Trotter and six on defense. The defense is returning the top-5 tacklers and gives reason for the defensive unit to be significantly better in 2020.

The Jaguars ranked fifth in the Sun Belt Conference allowing an averaging of 409 offensive yards-per-game, sixth allowing 192 rushing yards-per-game, and fourth allowing 217 passing yards-per-game. Having the best defensive players returning that accounted for 65% of last season’s production is key as are the seven starters returning on offense that accounted for 73% of last season’s total production.

I key handicapping method is to track the percentage of wagers being made and the total amounts of money those betting tickets add up to. In this game 78% of all bets being made are on the Eagles resulting in 22% of bets in support of the Jaguars. The line for this game opened with the Eagles favored by 14 points and despite having a 3:1 margin in bets made on them, the line has dropped to 13.5 points. The half-point decline in the line is a mall amount, but it is far more meaningful when the overwhelming number of bets are on the dog. This implies that the large bettors, so-called Wise Guys, are on the Jaguars and their combined money of their bets is offsetting the small public bets.

As the season rolls on you will notices that there is a pivot point in scoring that when exceeded favors that team and works against their opponent. Such is the case in this matchup as the Eagles are 171-28-1 straight-up (SU) for 86% wins and 131-41-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets when they score 28 or more points in games played since 1980; 49-16 SU for 75% wins and 45-19-1 ATS for 70.3% winning bets since 2010; 16-2 SU for 89% wins and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The Jaguars are a money-burning 8-54 SU for 13% wins and 21-39-2 ATS for 35% winning bets when they have allowed 28 or more points since 2011; 3-23 SU for 12% wins and 10-15 ATS for 40% winning bets over the last three seasons.

There is more though, then just using 28 points as a pivot to determine a betting opportunity. The machine learning summary shows that the Jaguars are just 1-7 SU for 13% wins, but 7-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring at least 24 points and are installed as a double-digit road underdog. The Eagles are 9-9 SU for 50% wins and 4-14 ATS for just 22% winning bets installed as a double-digit home favorite and allowing that opponent to score at least 24 points.

9:00 PM EST, September 2, 2020
MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Oklahoma City Thunder  

Looking to end a 7-gamje ATS losing streak, which is the worst stretch since January 2011. Oklahoma City beat Houston, 104-100, in Game 6 on Monday, outscoring the Rockets 12-2 in the final four minutes. Chris Paul scored eight of those 12 points as Houston was held to 1-for-6 shooting with three turnovers in that time. The Rockets will play their 12th Game 7 in franchise history as they've gone 6-5 in the first 11. Houston has lost four of their last five Game 7's dating back to 2005, with the lone win a 113-100 victory over the Clippers in the 2018 Western Semifinals. This will be the Thunder's fourth Game 7 since moving to Oklahoma City, but their first since the 2016 Western Conference Finals which they lost to Golden State. Oklahoma City won their first two Game 7's, beating the Grizzlies in 2011 and 2014. James Harden has played two previous Game 7's since joining the Rockets in 2012 (1-1). Harden has averaged 31.5 points per game in his first two Game 7's in Houston but has shot just 4-for-20 (.200) from three-point range over the two games.

Here is a money line betting system that has earned a strong 48-24 record for 67% winning bets and instructs to play on teams using the money line in a playoff game that with a win closes out the series and is a team winning between 60 and 75% of their games on the season.

From the machine learning tools the Thunder are 35-18 ATS for 67% winning bets and 38-15 SU when they have scored 111 or more points and had 13 to 17 turnovers in games played since 2017; perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in playoff games.  Moreover, the Thunder are 33-5 SU and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when shooting between 45 and 48% form the field and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio.

8:30 PM EST, September 1, 2020
MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz  

Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 135-79 ATS record good for 63% winning bets and instructs us to bet on teams that are 3 points on either side of pick-em and is facing a team that has beat the spread by a combined total of 24 or more points in total spanning their last three games and with both teams in the current matchup sporting a winning record on the season.  When the favorite is seeded lower (greater seeding numerically) and is lined by 2.5 points on either side of pick-em and the opponent covered the spread by at least 24 points in their last 3 games, the record moves to 0-5-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11 points.

The Nuggets are just 5-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning tools the Jazz are projected to make at least 48% of all of their shot attempts and make 15 or more free throws, and score at least 111 points. IN past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a robust 202-51-11 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2004; 44-13-5 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons; 9-2 ATS in playoffs games since 2008 and covering the spread by an average of 11 points.  

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

August 31, 2020 6:30 Game 1, Round 2 Eastern Conference
7-Star Titan Best on the Milwaukee Bucks

Here is a betting system that has earned a 37-12-1ATS record for 76% winning over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The record is 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when the game is in the playoffs; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets in all rounds after the first round since 2011.

From the machine learning tools and projections the Bucks are 39-5-1 ATS when the have scored 111 or more points, made 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and held their opponent to less than 38% 3-point shooting since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, no. 1 seeds that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 161-42-3 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 9 points for 79% winning bets.

9:00 PM EST, 08-29-20 (Saturday)
NBA 10-star Best Bet on the OKC Thunder  

The Rockets will have Russell Westbrook back in the lineup for this crucial Game-5 showdown. The Rockets won the first two games and then the Thunder came ‘storming’ back to win Games 3 and 4 in this series. With the Rockets launching 3-point shots at a record-breaking level the Thunder will defend the perimeter with zone defenses and over playing the top of the key screens. The Rockets will run pick and rolls, but clearly have used screens to free up 3-point shots. It is better to allow a 3-point shot to the Rockets players then play them too tightly and allow penetration in to the paint where they can then swing the ball to an open 3-point shooter. The more 1-on-1’s the Thunder get, the greater their margin of victory will be.

The Thunder are 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than opponent this season.

The Rockets averaged just a fraction more 3-point shot attempts then 2-point shot attempts this season. Their 2-point to 3-point shot attempt ratio has gone even further into extreme levels in this matchup. They are averaging 90 shot attempts per game, which is right on their regular season average, but are averaging an incredible 54  3-point shot attempts and just 36.8 2-point shot attempts. Since 2018, the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS for 12.5% and losing to the spread by an average of 12.2 points when they have attempted more 3’s than 2’s and the opponent made 8 or more free throws.

6:30 PM EST, 08-25-20 (Tuesday)
NBA 7-star Best Bet on the Utah Jazz + 5-Star Best Bet on the ‘UNDER’ and an optional 3-Best bet using a reverse parlay, which pays 4:1 on the Jazz and the ‘UNDER’.

Here is a fantastic betting system that has earned a 77% ATS win-rate on a 70-19 ATS record over the past 20 seasons and instruicts us to bet on favorites with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and is now facing an opponent that also has the same win percentage range and is coming off a cover in which the team lost the game in straight-up fashion. This betting system is 15-5 ATS in the playoffs covering the spread by an average of 9 points per game. These favorites are 17-3 SU in playoff games.

Denver is just 13-25 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning tools, the Jazz are 50-9 ATS for 85% winners when scoring 112 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games since 2017; 4-0 ATS and covering by an average of 20 points in playoff games since 2017.

Take the Utah Jazz as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet, 5-Star bets Bet ‘UNDER’ and 3-star reverse parlay on the Jazz and ‘UNDER’.

4:00 PM EST, 08-24-20 (Monday)
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets

The Rockets need to address a greater intensity on the boards and limit the Thunder’s second chance scoring opportunities. The Rockets are 10-1 ATS this season after three straight games being outrebounded by 5 or more boards in each game. Moreover, the Rockets are 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS for 67% coming off a loss installed as a favorite regardless of location.

The Rockets need to and are expected to improve their 3-point shooting. If they do not then this series will be won by the Thunder and this bet may prove to be a losing one. The Rockets in the playoffs are attempting an average of 53 3-point shots per game and making just 18 of them for a 34% rate. The Rockets, though, are making 57% of their 2-point shots, but are attempting an average of 28 shots per game. Narrowing the spread between 3-point and 2-point attempts will go a long way to seeing the Rockets win this game. Combined with the fact that they are taking much better care of the ball sporting a 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio as compared to the Thunder’s 1.26 ATS will more than offset any anomalies by the Thunder.

From the machine learning tools, the Rockets are 191-45-7 for 81% winners when scoring 114 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games; 10-1 ATS for 91% and covering by an average of 14 points in playoff games.

Take the Houston Rockets as as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet

6:30 PM EST, 08-23-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Toronto Raptors

Toronto is up 3-0 and looks to complete the series sweep over the Nets. No.2 seeds that have 3 wins in Round 1 are 28-15 ATS for 65% winners in series clinching games; when the opponent has not won a game, the 2-seed is 9-5 ATS for 64% winning tickets.

From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score at least 111 points and have fewer turnovers. In ast games when the Raptors have accomplished or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 152-69 ATS amrk good for 69% ATS winners. In playoffs games the Raptors have earned a near-perfect 9-1 ATS mark and have covered the spread by an average of 12.8 points.

Take the Toronto Raptors as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet

hiladelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

August 23, 1:00 PM EST
Eastern Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 4 - Orlando, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This one has earned a 63-32 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets  over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and playing an opponent with a higher win percentage, that the opponent has been favored in their last three games and have won all three of these games ATS spanning games played since 2015.

The 76ers have been a resilient team in 2019 and have earned a solid 31-18 ATS mark after habving lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games ATS; 20-7 ATS for 74% while sporting a 3-game or more ATS losing streak spanning games played over the last three seasons.

The 76ers shot 29.5% from the field and were 2-points behind the Celtics with under 1:45 left in the game. The public is all over the Celtics and is a logical choice to bet, but logic many times does not translate to ATS winning bet. Rumors are swirling that the ‘Trust the Process’ is a broken model and this team will be broken up starting with the firing of head coach Brett Brown. I ask you this. Would the team played with the heart and ‘guts’ they did in Game-3 and if they did not like their head coach? Would they have actually shown improvement on both ends of the court (Tatem in Game-3 was minimized) if they hated their head coach? 76ers are 14-6 ATS when coming off a game where they shot 33% or less form the field.

Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder

6:00 PM EST, August 22, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder

The conversations surrounding this matchup have centered on several shooting stats from the regular season and specifically how the Rockets shot just 23% from beyond the arc against the Thunder and that Harden and Eroc Gorden combined for a horrid 14% in those games. However, the first two games have had no similarities to the regular season results as Houston shot 39% from 3-point area and Harden and Gorden shot 42% combined. Then in Game-2 the Rockets shot just 33% from distance and Harden/Gorden went 2-21 for 10% makes and the Rockets still found a way to win the game. So, the Rockets have earned their way to a 2-0 series lead and have put the Thunder’s back against the wall.

The Thunder are a stout 22-9 ATS for 71% in games lined between -3 and +3 this season. Thunder are 18-9 ATS for 67% installed as a DOG and having lost 3 or 4 of their last 4 games ATS in games played since 2016; 4-0 ATS when a playoffs game.

The machine learning tools project the Thunder to score at least 114 points and are 7-1 ATS this season when doing so. The Thunder are 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring at least 114 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic

August 21, 1:30 PM EST
Eastern Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Orlando Magic

No.1 seeds in the NBA playoffs tied at 1-game each in Round-1 are just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Magic are coming off their worst shooting game of the 2019 season hitting just 34% from the field and they are projected to bounce back with a great effort this afternoon. The Magic have nothing to lose and are ‘supposed to lose’ and matched the Bucks point-for-point in the second-half of Game-2.

From the machine learning tools the Magic are an amazing 123-14 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored at least 112 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 8-0 ATS in playoff games covering the spread by an average of 17 points!

Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers
August 20, 4:00 PM EST
Western Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 2 - Lake Buena Vista, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Portland Trailblazers

Lakers have lost six straight to the number and in case you were wanting to know, No-1 seeds that have lost at least 6 consecutive games to the spread are a money burning 18-25 ATS for 42%. Most amateur bettors will presume that a team as ‘good as the Lakers’ will bounce back with a monster effort and easy ATS winning ticket. I mentioned in the Game-1 winner on Portland that the Lakers would be in a flux having not played any of the eight bubble games with any starting lineups and a mish mash of personnel. The Trailblazers are an excellent ball handling team and the Lakers are just 2-13 ATS when facing a solid ball handling team averaging no more than 14 TOPG this season.

From the machine learning tools the Trailblazers are an amazing 102-17-6 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 188-39-4 ATS in playoff games for the No-8 seed!

6:00 PM EST, 08-20-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Milwaukee Bucks

The No.1-seed Bucks were dominated and humiliated by the losing record and 8-seed Orlando Magic and are going to bounce back with a huge effort and blowout win. No-1 seeds that are coming off a loss installed as a favorite and the opponent is the 6-seed or worse are 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets. Not a big sample size, but when these top seeds have been embarrassed in Game-1 they are 3-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 10 points. Last year in the NBA playoffs we saw the Warriors hammer the Cliipers 129-110 and easily covering as 10.5-point favorites April 26. In the same series, the Warriors destroyed the Clippers 132-105 and covered the 9.5-point spread. Then the third game occurred back in the 2007 playoffs when the Mavs defeated the Warriors 112-99 and covered as 9.5-point favorites April 25.

Bucks are 52-34 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since the start of the 2018 season. The Magic are 6-29 SU and 12-23 ATS when playing against a winning record team this season; 6-12 ATS facing a winning record team and coming off a straight-up win.

No-1 seeds coming a game shotting 44% or worse from the field and allowed previous opponent to shoot at least 49% and had at least 16 TO are an impressive 39-20 ATS for 67%.

From the machine learning tools the Bucks are 140-51-3 ATS for 73% wins when they have scored at least 111 points and had 13 to 17 turnovers; No-1 seeds are 101-37 ATS for 73% winners when scoring at least 111 points and having between 13 and 17 TO.

Take the Milwaukee Bucks as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Orlando, Florida

6:30 PM EST, August 19, 2020
7-Star Best bet on the 76ers

I will get right to the machine learning projections. The 76ers are 111-37-2 ATS for 75% winners in games in which they made at least 78% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 111 points; and 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 15 points when it has been a playoff game. The Celtics are just 1-12 SU and ATS for 8% winning bets when their playoff opponent has scored 111 or more points and made at least 78% of their free throw attempts.

Consider splitting the wager into two parts consisting of a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line.

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
August 19, 4:00 PM EST
Western Conference - First Round – Best-Of-7 - Game 2 - Lake Buena Vista, Florida
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

Here is a betting system that has earned a a solid 66-27-1 ATS record for 71% and 12-3 ATS for 80% wins in playoff games since 2015. Then betting system query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that played a game in which the combined score was 20 or more points over the posted total line and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season.

The Nuggets are projected to score at least 111 points and are 15-4 ATS for 79% in playoff games and 11-2 ATS when installed as a favorite in playoff games.

Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers
First Round West Conference

9:00 PM EST, August 18, 2020
7-Star Best bet on the Portland Trailblazers

Let us start with a listing of meaningful team situational trends for this matchup. The Blazers are 16-2 ATS after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the bubble and have lost four of their last five games. They did rest their stars quite a bit down the stretch, but LeBron had rest since March 10th and playing eight games would not wear down a physical specimen like he is. So, fundamentally, I believe the lack of playing time with the entire roster is going to hurt the Lakers for the first part of this series. This is an unprecedented atmosphere and life-style for these players that certainly negates home court advantage and possibly give an edge to the pseudo road team going into the first round games.

Do not under estimate the loss of Rondo to a fractured thumb and Avery Bradley, who opted out, and was definitley the best defensive player on the team.

Here is time-tested betting system query from the database that has earned a 34-17 ATS record for 67% winning bets and also is 31-19 ‘OVER’ for 62% winners over the last five seasons. When the opponent is coming off a game where 216 or more points were scored the system improves to 24-11 ATS for 69% winners and a 21-14 ‘OVER’ mark for 60%. Finally, when the opponent is coming off a game in which 221 or more points were scored, the record improves significantly to a very impressive 21-6 ATS mark and 78% winning bets. The base query instructs us to play on underdogs of 3 to 9 points and coming of back-to-back wins of seven or fewer points and facig an opponent coming off a game where 206 or more points were scored.

1:30 PM EST, 08-18-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Milwaukee Bucks

Let us start with a look at the assist-to-turnover ratio for these two teams. The Magic do a great job taking care of the ball and have a below average amount of TO per game. They also move the ball well on offense and average 14.7 assists-per-game ranking 14th in the NBA. The result is they have an impressive 1.8672 assist-to-TO ratio (ATR) that is better and more efficient than the Bucks, who have posted a 1.7152 ATR. However, the Bucks play at a much faster pace than the Magic and that does skew these results. The Bucks lead the NBA averaging 118.7 PPG while the Magic rank 24th averaging 107.3 PPG.

In addition, underdogs of 12 or more points that possess a higher ATR by at least 0.15 and in game with a total of 220 or more are a miserable 0-13 SU losing the game by an average of 21 points and 1-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.7 PPG. Also, underdogs of 8 to 9.5 points that score an average of 9 or more points fewer than their opponent are just 5-14 ATS for 27% in the playoffs.  

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors
August 17, 4:00 PM EST
7-Star Titan Best Bet on the Raptors + 5-Star Bet on the ‘OVER’

I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage.

Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners.

Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game.

The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016.

Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’.

1:30 PM EST, 08-14-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Denver Nuggets

Here is a fantastic betting system that has earned a 74-37 ATS record good for 68% winning bets spanning the last 20 seasons. The betting system query instructs us to play on all teams in a non-conference matchup and a team that has seen their games go ‘OVER’ the posted total by at least six points in EACH of their last five games.

Coach Malone is 42-25-1 ATS after his Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games where the Nuggets have achieved or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 281-61-6 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1995 and 71-17-3 ATS since 2016, and 28-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018.

6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Philadelphia 76ers

Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.

Machine learning projects that the 76ers will score more than 111 points, have the better assist-to-turnover ratio, and make at least 38% of their shots from beyond the arc. The 76ers are an outstanding 145-38 ATS when they have achieved or exceeded this trio of performance measures. The Raptors are a miserable 27-145-3 ATS when they have allowed this trio of performance measures.

Denver vs Lakers

9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Los Angeles Lakers

Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points.

The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.

Machine learning projects that the Lakers will score 111 or more points and have fewer turnovers than the Nuggets and that the Nuggets will have at least 13 turnovers. In past games matching these measures the Lakers are an outstanding 160-59-4 ATS record good for 73% winning bets and 20-6 ATS just this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz
August 10, 3:00 PM EST
7-Star Titan on the Dallas Mavericks

The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season.

Take the Mavs.

9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
NBA 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Brooklyn Nets

Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.

Machine learning projects that the Nets will score 111 or more points and shoot between 43 and 50% and have a higher shooting percentage than the Clippers. In past games in which the Nets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 64-14-3 ATS for 82% winning bets and 37-8-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons and 11-3 ATS this season.

3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
MLB 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Denver Nuggets

Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season.

Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets.

9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
MLB 7-star Best Bet Titan on the Toronto Raptors

Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record.

Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets.